FinalWin Prob.pScore
2629%90
96
1471%97
100
ORTG#PossPace
CHA logo CHA
112.98582.9
MIA logo MIA
116.38688.3

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

HeatBobcatsQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Scoring Margin

HeatBobcatsQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Play-by-Play

Score / WinProb
ClockTeamEventCHAMIA
Q4 - 0:00.0MIA96
0%
100
100%
Q4 - 0:06.0MIAWade Free Throw 2 of 2 (41 PTS)96
1.3%
100
98.7%
Q4 - 0:06.0MIAWade Free Throw 1 of 2 (40 PTS)96
1.7%
99
98.3%
Q4 - 0:06.0CHAMorrison 26' 3PT Jump Shot (13 PTS) (Okafor 1 AST)96
4.0%
98
96.0%
Q4 - 0:10.0MIAHaslem Free Throw 2 of 2 (6 PTS)93
0.7%
98
99.3%
Q4 - 0:10.0MIAHaslem Free Throw 1 of 2 (5 PTS)93
0.9%
97
99.1%
Q4 - 0:10.0MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:2 Def:7)93
1.5%
96
98.5%
Q4 - 0:11.0CHAMISS Augustin Driving Layup93
2.5%
96
97.5%
Q4 - 0:23.0MIAHaslem Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)93
7.8%
96
92.2%
Q4 - 0:23.0MIAMISS Haslem Free Throw 1 of 293
9.2%
95
90.8%
Q4 - 0:24.0CHAFelton Free Throw 2 of 2 (8 PTS)93
7.1%
95
92.9%
Q4 - 0:24.0CHAFelton Free Throw 1 of 2 (7 PTS)92
6.1%
95
93.9%
Q4 - 0:29.0MIADiawara Free Throw 2 of 2 (5 PTS)91
4.0%
95
96.0%
Q4 - 0:29.0MIADiawara Free Throw 1 of 2 (4 PTS)91
5.2%
94
94.8%
Q4 - 0:31.0MIADiawara REBOUND (Off:3 Def:3)91
8.3%
93
91.7%
Q4 - 0:32.0CHAMISS Richardson Free Throw 2 of 291
9.2%
93
90.8%
Q4 - 0:32.0CHAMISS Richardson Free Throw 1 of 291
14.7%
93
85.3%
Q4 - 0:40.0MIAWade Free Throw 2 of 2 (39 PTS)91
20.3%
93
79.7%
Q4 - 0:40.0MIAMISS Wade Free Throw 1 of 291
22.8%
92
77.2%
Q4 - 0:40.0MIAWade REBOUND (Off:2 Def:5)91
19.5%
92
80.5%
Q4 - 0:41.0CHAMISS Augustin 24' 3PT Jump Shot91
23.8%
92
76.2%
Q4 - 1:01MIAMarion 6' Jump Shot (13 PTS) (Wade 3 AST)91
36.4%
92
63.6%
Q4 - 1:11CHAAugustin 25' 3PT Jump Shot (14 PTS) (Felton 8 AST)91
50.9%
90
49.1%
Q4 - 1:30MIAWade Free Throw 2 of 2 (38 PTS)88
26.8%
90
73.2%
Q4 - 1:30MIAWade Free Throw 1 of 2 (37 PTS)88
28.9%
89
71.1%
Q4 - 1:45CHAFelton 22' Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Richardson 3 AST)88
36.6%
88
63.4%
Q4 - 1:55CHARichardson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)86
27.0%
88
73.0%
Q4 - 1:57CHAMISS Felton 12' Jump Shot86
20.1%
88
79.9%
Q4 - 2:14MIAMarion Free Throw 2 of 2 (11 PTS)86
29.7%
88
70.3%
Q4 - 2:14MIAMISS Marion Free Throw 1 of 286
31.7%
87
68.3%
Q4 - 2:14MIAMarion REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)86
25.6%
87
74.4%
Q4 - 2:15MIAMISS Wade 17' Jump Shot86
36.0%
87
64.0%
Q4 - 2:34CHAOkafor Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T10)86
25.5%
87
74.5%
Q4 - 2:35CHAOkafor REBOUND (Off:3 Def:9)86
41.6%
87
58.4%
Q4 - 2:36CHAMISS Felton 3PT Jump Shot86
30.0%
87
70.0%
Q4 - 2:56MIAChalmers Free Throw 2 of 2 (15 PTS)86
39.5%
87
60.5%
Q4 - 2:56MIAMISS Chalmers Free Throw 1 of 286
41.9%
86
58.1%
Q4 - 3:10CHAFelton Foul Turnover (P3.T9)86
36.2%
86
63.8%
Q4 - 3:22CHAOkafor REBOUND (Off:2 Def:9)86
51.7%
86
48.3%
Q4 - 3:23MIAMISS Diawara 3PT Jump Shot86
46.9%
86
53.1%
Q4 - 3:36CHABobcats Turnover: Shot Clock (T#8)86
36.6%
86
63.4%
Q4 - 3:36CHABobcats Rebound86
46.5%
86
53.5%
Q4 - 3:37CHADiawara BLOCK (1 BLK)86
39.5%
86
60.5%
Q4 - 4:02MIAWade Driving Dunk (36 PTS)86
46.7%
86
53.3%
Q4 - 4:10MIAWade REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)86
55.7%
84
44.3%
Q4 - 4:11CHAMISS Richardson 20' Jump Shot86
58.8%
84
41.2%
Q4 - 4:26CHABobcats Rebound86
65.8%
84
34.2%
Q4 - 4:27MIAMISS Marion 10' Floating Jump Shot86
62.9%
84
37.1%
Q4 - 4:50CHAFelton Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)86
55.9%
84
44.1%
Q4 - 4:50CHAFelton Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)85
54.1%
84
45.9%
Q4 - 5:15MIAWade Driving Layup (34 PTS)84
45.1%
84
54.9%
Q4 - 5:25MIADiawara REBOUND (Off:3 Def:2)84
53.2%
82
46.8%
Q4 - 5:26CHAMISS Augustin 20' Jump Shot84
55.9%
82
44.1%
Q4 - 5:44MIADiawara 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Wade 2 AST)84
62.0%
82
38.0%
Q4 - 5:59MIAWade REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)84
76.1%
79
23.9%
Q4 - 6:00CHAMISS Felton 25' 3PT Jump Shot84
78.0%
79
22.0%
Q4 - 6:26MIAHaslem Lost Ball Turnover (P2.T11)84
77.9%
79
22.1%
Q4 - 6:28MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:2 Def:6)84
71.9%
79
28.1%
Q4 - 6:29MIAMISS Diawara 3PT Jump Shot84
76.2%
79
23.8%
Q4 - 6:52CHAAugustin 24' 3PT Jump Shot (11 PTS) (Morrison 2 AST)84
72.1%
79
27.9%
Q4 - 7:17MIAChalmers Driving Layup (14 PTS)81
56.0%
79
44.0%
Q4 - 7:27MIADiawara REBOUND (Off:3 Def:1)81
62.3%
77
37.7%
Q4 - 7:28MIAMISS Wade 20' Jump Shot81
67.0%
77
33.0%
Q4 - 7:48CHAChalmers STEAL (3 STL)81
62.4%
77
37.6%
Q4 - 8:04MIAMarion Free Throw 2 of 2 (10 PTS)81
66.0%
77
34.0%
Q4 - 8:04MIAMarion Free Throw 1 of 2 (9 PTS)81
67.1%
76
32.9%
Q4 - 8:08CHAChalmers STEAL (2 STL)81
71.8%
75
28.2%
Q4 - 8:20CHAMohammed REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)81
76.6%
75
23.4%
Q4 - 8:21MIAMISS Wade Free Throw 2 of 281
76.0%
75
24.0%
Q4 - 8:21MIAWade Free Throw 1 of 2 (32 PTS)81
72.7%
75
27.3%
Q4 - 8:29CHADudley Free Throw 2 of 2 (1 PTS)81
76.8%
74
23.2%
Q4 - 8:29CHAMISS Dudley Free Throw 1 of 280
75.7%
74
24.3%
Q4 - 8:31MIAWade Bad Pass Turnover (P5.T10)80
76.7%
74
23.3%
Q4 - 8:43CHARichardson 26' 3PT Jump Shot (24 PTS) (Morrison 1 AST)80
71.9%
74
28.1%
Q4 - 8:54CHARichardson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)77
60.2%
74
39.8%
Q4 - 8:56MIAMISS Beasley 10' Jump Shot77
58.4%
74
41.6%
Q4 - 9:10CHAAugustin Free Throw 2 of 2 (8 PTS)77
52.4%
74
47.6%
Q4 - 9:10CHAAugustin Free Throw 1 of 2 (7 PTS)76
51.7%
74
48.3%
Q4 - 9:25MIABeasley Driving Layup (9 PTS)75
46.2%
74
53.8%
Q4 - 9:43CHAMorrison 3PT Jump Shot (10 PTS) (Richardson 2 AST)75
52.6%
72
47.4%
Q4 - 10:02CHARichardson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)72
39.5%
72
60.5%
Q4 - 10:04MIAMISS Haslem 16' Jump Shot72
37.9%
72
62.1%
Q4 - 10:21MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:1 Def:6)72
34.3%
72
65.7%
Q4 - 10:23CHAMISS Mohammed 5' Turnaround Hook Shot72
35.9%
72
64.1%
Q4 - 10:42MIAQuinn 25' 3PT Jump Shot (9 PTS) (Beasley 1 AST)72
39.6%
72
60.4%
Q4 - 11:07CHARichardson Free Throw 2 of 2 (21 PTS)72
49.6%
69
50.4%
Q4 - 11:07CHARichardson Free Throw 1 of 2 (20 PTS)71
48.3%
69
51.7%
Q4 - 11:21MIAQuinn Free Throw 1 of 1 (6 PTS)70
44.0%
69
56.0%
Q4 - 11:36CHAAugustin Driving Layup (6 PTS)70
55.0%
66
45.0%
Q3 - 0:00.0MIA68
49.4%
66
50.6%
Q3 - 0:00.0MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)68
44.3%
66
55.7%
Q3 - 0:00.0CHAMISS Morrison 25' 3PT Jump Shot68
45.8%
66
54.2%
Q3 - 0:22.0MIAWade Free Throw 2 of 2 (31 PTS)68
48.1%
66
51.9%
Q3 - 0:22.0MIAWade Free Throw 1 of 2 (30 PTS)68
49.1%
65
50.9%
Q3 - 0:37.0CHAOkafor Layup (19 PTS) (Dudley 4 AST)68
53.8%
64
46.2%
Q3 - 0:56.0CHAFelton REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)66
48.2%
64
51.8%
Q3 - 0:57.0MIAMISS Wade 13' Jump Shot66
46.8%
64
53.2%
Q3 - 1:12MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)66
42.7%
64
57.3%
Q3 - 1:14CHAMISS Augustin 7' Jump Shot66
44.1%
64
55.9%
Q3 - 1:18CHAOkafor REBOUND (Off:2 Def:8)66
47.2%
64
52.8%
Q3 - 1:20MIAMISS Beasley Driving Layup66
45.8%
64
54.2%
Q3 - 1:29MIAHEAT Rebound66
42.7%
64
57.3%
Q3 - 1:29MIAMISS Wade 20' Fadeaway Jumper66
45.8%
64
54.2%
Q3 - 1:30MIAWade REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)66
42.8%
64
57.2%
Q3 - 1:32MIAMISS Beasley 6' Jump Shot66
45.8%
64
54.2%
Q3 - 1:55CHAMorrison 12' Jump Shot (7 PTS)66
42.8%
64
57.2%
Q3 - 2:12CHAMorrison REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)64
37.0%
64
63.0%
Q3 - 2:14MIAMISS Beasley Free Throw 2 of 264
36.4%
64
63.6%
Q3 - 2:14MIAMISS Beasley Free Throw 1 of 264
33.6%
64
66.4%
Q3 - 2:14MIABeasley REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)64
32.7%
64
67.3%
Q3 - 2:15MIAMISS Marion 4' Turnaround Hook Shot64
35.7%
64
64.3%
Q3 - 2:25MIAJump Ball Wade vs. Dudley: Tip to Marion64
32.8%
64
67.2%
Q3 - 2:25CHAMISS Felton 15' Jump Shot64
34.0%
64
66.0%
Q3 - 2:38CHAMorrison REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)64
37.0%
64
63.0%
Q3 - 2:40CHAMISS Dudley 3' Hook Shot64
34.0%
64
66.0%
Q3 - 2:53CHAMorrison REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)64
37.0%
64
63.0%
Q3 - 2:54MIAMISS Quinn 24' 3PT Jump Shot64
35.7%
64
64.3%
Q3 - 3:10CHAFelton 13' Jump Shot (2 PTS)64
31.9%
64
68.1%
Q3 - 3:33MIAHaslem Offensive Goaltending Turnover (P1.T9)62
28.4%
64
71.6%
Q3 - 3:48CHADudley Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T5)62
24.7%
64
75.3%
Q3 - 3:49CHADudley REBOUND (Off:1 Def:6)62
28.4%
64
71.6%
Q3 - 3:51MIAMISS Wade 20' Jump Shot62
27.3%
64
72.7%
Q3 - 4:19CHARichardson Free Throw 2 of 2 (19 PTS)62
24.5%
64
75.5%
Q3 - 4:19CHARichardson Free Throw 1 of 2 (18 PTS)61
23.8%
64
76.2%
Q3 - 4:37MIAChalmers Lost Ball Turnover (P2.T8)60
21.9%
64
78.1%
Q3 - 4:44MIAAnthony REBOUND (Off:3 Def:3)60
18.6%
64
81.4%
Q3 - 4:45CHAMISS Okafor Layup60
19.6%
64
80.4%
Q3 - 5:08MIAMarion 12' Floating Jump Shot (8 PTS)60
21.8%
64
78.2%
Q3 - 5:33CHAOkafor 13' Fadeaway Jumper (17 PTS)60
24.4%
62
75.6%
Q3 - 5:47CHABobcats Rebound58
21.8%
62
78.2%
Q3 - 5:48MIAMISS Chalmers 8' Floating Jump Shot58
20.8%
62
79.2%
Q3 - 6:07MIAAnthony REBOUND (Off:3 Def:2)58
18.9%
62
81.1%
Q3 - 6:08CHAMISS Richardson 17' Fadeaway Jumper58
19.7%
62
80.3%
Q3 - 6:21MIAMarion 8' Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Wade 1 AST)58
21.7%
62
78.3%
Q3 - 6:50CHAOkafor Layup (15 PTS) (Richardson 1 AST)58
24.3%
60
75.7%
Q3 - 7:01CHADudley REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)56
21.6%
60
78.4%
Q3 - 7:02MIAMISS Haslem 17' Jump Shot56
20.8%
60
79.2%
Q3 - 7:28MIAMarion REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)56
19.0%
60
81.0%
Q3 - 7:29CHAMISS Felton 22' Jump Shot56
19.8%
60
80.2%
Q3 - 7:37CHAOkafor REBOUND (Off:2 Def:7)56
21.6%
60
78.4%
Q3 - 7:38MIAMISS Marion 8' Jump Shot56
20.8%
60
79.2%
Q3 - 8:03CHAOkafor 15' Jump Shot (13 PTS) (Dudley 3 AST)56
19.0%
60
81.0%
Q3 - 8:20CHARichardson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)54
16.9%
60
83.1%
Q3 - 8:21MIAMISS Wade 3PT Jump Shot54
16.2%
60
83.8%
Q3 - 8:42CHAOkafor Dunk (11 PTS) (Dudley 2 AST)54
14.8%
60
85.2%
Q3 - 9:02MIAWade 25' 3PT Jump Shot (29 PTS)52
13.2%
60
86.8%
Q3 - 9:08MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)52
16.9%
57
83.1%
Q3 - 9:09CHAMISS Richardson 25' 3PT Jump Shot52
17.6%
57
82.4%
Q3 - 9:30MIAWade 21' Jump Shot (26 PTS) (Haslem 2 AST)52
19.1%
57
80.9%
Q3 - 9:44MIAAnthony REBOUND (Off:3 Def:1)52
21.5%
55
78.5%
Q3 - 9:45MIAMISS Marion 10' Jump Shot52
23.3%
55
76.7%
Q3 - 10:05CHAOkafor 9' Jump Shot (9 PTS) (Felton 7 AST)52
21.5%
55
78.5%
Q3 - 10:27MIAWade Driving Layup (24 PTS)50
19.2%
55
80.8%
Q3 - 10:40CHAFelton Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T4)50
21.5%
53
78.5%
Q3 - 10:55MIAChalmers 6' Jump Shot (12 PTS)50
24.0%
53
76.0%
Q3 - 11:18CHARichardson 13' Jump Shot (17 PTS)50
26.4%
51
73.6%
Q3 - 11:36MIAHEAT Turnover: Shot Clock (T#7)48
24.0%
51
76.0%
Q3 - 11:36MIAHEAT Rebound48
21.4%
51
78.6%
Q3 - 11:37MIAMISS Wade 20' Jump Shot48
23.2%
51
76.8%
Q2 - 0:00.0MIA48
21.4%
51
78.6%
Q2 - 0:00.0CHAJones 3' Jump Shot (2 PTS)48
21.4%
51
78.6%
Q2 - 0:01.0CHAJones REBOUND (Off:2 Def:0)46
19.1%
51
80.9%
Q2 - 0:02.0CHABlount BLOCK (1 BLK)46
18.1%
51
81.9%
Q2 - 0:10.0MIAWade Driving Finger Roll Layup (22 PTS)46
19.1%
51
80.9%
Q2 - 0:15.0MIAWade REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)46
21.9%
49
78.1%
Q2 - 0:16.0CHAMISS Augustin 7' Jump Bank Shot46
22.4%
49
77.6%
Q2 - 0:34.0MIAChalmers Driving Dunk (10 PTS)46
23.7%
49
76.3%
Q2 - 0:45.0CHAAugustin 18' Fadeaway Jumper (4 PTS)46
26.8%
47
73.2%
Q2 - 1:01CHAJones REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)44
23.6%
47
76.4%
Q2 - 1:03CHAMISS Richardson Free Throw 3 of 344
22.1%
47
77.9%
Q2 - 1:03CHARichardson Free Throw 2 of 3 (15 PTS)44
23.7%
47
76.3%
Q2 - 1:03CHARichardson Free Throw 1 of 3 (14 PTS)43
23.0%
47
77.0%
Q2 - 1:21MIAWade Out of Bounds Lost Ball Turnover (P4.T6)42
19.2%
47
80.8%
Q2 - 1:37CHABrown Alley Oop Dunk (7 PTS) (Augustin 2 AST)42
17.8%
47
82.2%
Q2 - 1:42CHAOkafor REBOUND (Off:2 Def:6)40
15.4%
47
84.6%
Q2 - 1:43MIAMISS Chalmers Driving Layup40
15.1%
47
84.9%
Q2 - 1:54CHAAugustin Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)40
14.2%
47
85.8%
Q2 - 1:54CHAAugustin Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)39
14.0%
47
86.0%
Q2 - 2:07MIAWade 24' 3PT Jump Shot (20 PTS) (Diawara 2 AST)38
12.6%
47
87.4%
Q2 - 2:11MIADiawara REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)38
15.7%
44
84.3%
Q2 - 2:12MIAMISS Blount 19' Jump Shot38
16.9%
44
83.1%
Q2 - 2:23MIABlount REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)38
15.7%
44
84.3%
Q2 - 2:24CHAMISS Brown 20' Jump Shot38
16.2%
44
83.8%
Q2 - 2:50CHABobcats Rebound38
17.5%
44
82.5%
Q2 - 2:52CHAMISS Okafor Free Throw 1 of 138
15.9%
44
84.1%
Q2 - 2:53CHAOkafor REBOUND (Off:2 Def:5)36
14.1%
44
85.9%
Q2 - 2:54CHAMISS Ajinca Free Throw 2 of 236
12.8%
44
87.2%
Q2 - 2:54CHAMISS Ajinca Free Throw 1 of 236
13.6%
44
86.4%
Q2 - 2:54CHAAjinca REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)36
14.1%
44
85.9%
Q2 - 2:55CHAMISS Brown 25' 3PT Jump Shot36
13.0%
44
87.0%
Q2 - 2:58CHAOkafor REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)36
14.1%
44
85.9%
Q2 - 2:59CHAMISS Ajinca 18' Jump Shot36
13.0%
44
87.0%
Q2 - 3:18MIABeasley Driving Layup (7 PTS)36
14.3%
44
85.7%
Q2 - 3:28CHAAjinca Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)36
15.6%
42
84.4%
Q2 - 3:28CHAAjinca Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)35
15.1%
42
84.9%
Q2 - 3:42MIAChalmers Free Throw 2 of 2 (8 PTS)34
14.3%
42
85.7%
Q2 - 3:42MIAChalmers Free Throw 1 of 2 (7 PTS)34
14.6%
41
85.4%
Q2 - 3:43MIADiawara REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)34
15.6%
40
84.4%
Q2 - 3:44CHAMISS Morrison 16' Jump Shot34
16.2%
40
83.8%
Q2 - 4:04MIAChalmers 24' 3PT Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Diawara 1 AST)34
17.5%
40
82.5%
Q2 - 4:23CHAAjinca 12' Jump Shot (2 PTS)34
21.2%
37
78.8%
Q2 - 4:53MIAWade 9' Jump Shot (17 PTS)32
19.3%
37
80.7%
Q2 - 4:56MIAWade REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)32
21.2%
35
78.8%
Q2 - 4:57MIAMISS Wade Free Throw 2 of 232
23.1%
35
76.9%
Q2 - 4:57MIAWade Free Throw 1 of 2 (15 PTS)32
21.7%
35
78.3%
Q2 - 5:03MIAAnthony REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)32
23.5%
34
76.5%
Q2 - 5:05CHAMISS Richardson 8' Hook Shot32
24.1%
34
75.9%
Q2 - 5:11CHADudley REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)32
25.6%
34
74.4%
Q2 - 5:12CHAMISS Okafor 12' Jump Shot32
24.1%
34
75.9%
Q2 - 5:34MIAWade Free Throw 2 of 2 (14 PTS)32
25.6%
34
74.4%
Q2 - 5:34MIAWade Free Throw 1 of 2 (13 PTS)32
26.0%
33
74.0%
Q2 - 5:38MIAWade REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)32
28.0%
32
72.0%
Q2 - 5:39CHAMISS Felton 19' Jump Shot32
28.7%
32
71.3%
Q2 - 5:59MIAWade Free Throw 2 of 2 (12 PTS)32
30.3%
32
69.7%
Q2 - 5:59MIAWade Free Throw 1 of 2 (11 PTS)32
30.8%
31
69.2%
Q2 - 6:20CHABrown 24' 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Felton 6 AST)32
32.5%
30
67.5%
Q2 - 6:40CHABrown REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)29
28.0%
30
72.0%
Q2 - 6:41MIAMISS Wade Driving Layup29
27.2%
30
72.8%
Q2 - 6:50MIABeasley REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)29
25.4%
30
74.6%
Q2 - 6:52CHAMISS Felton 18' Jump Shot29
26.2%
30
73.8%
Q2 - 7:12MIAQuinn 26' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS)29
27.6%
30
72.4%
Q2 - 7:18MIAHEAT Rebound29
32.3%
27
67.7%
Q2 - 7:19MIAMISS Beasley 6' Jump Shot29
34.1%
27
65.9%
Q2 - 7:37MIAQuinn REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)29
32.3%
27
67.7%
Q2 - 7:39CHAMISS Morrison 25' 3PT Jump Shot29
33.0%
27
67.0%
Q2 - 7:48CHADudley REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)29
34.9%
27
65.1%
Q2 - 7:49MIAMISS Beasley 12' Jump Shot29
34.1%
27
65.9%
Q2 - 7:58MIADiawara REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)29
32.3%
27
67.7%
Q2 - 7:59MIAMISS Beasley 22' Jump Shot29
34.1%
27
65.9%
Q2 - 8:18MIAHEAT Rebound29
32.0%
27
68.0%
Q2 - 8:19CHAMISS Brown 25' 3PT Jump Shot29
32.7%
27
67.3%
Q2 - 8:42CHADudley REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)29
34.4%
27
65.6%
Q2 - 8:43MIAMISS Beasley Free Throw 2 of 229
34.1%
27
65.9%
Q2 - 8:43MIABeasley Free Throw 1 of 2 (5 PTS)29
32.4%
27
67.6%
Q2 - 8:49MIAHEAT Rebound29
34.5%
26
65.5%
Q2 - 8:51MIAMISS Beasley 4' Jump Shot29
36.1%
26
63.9%
Q2 - 9:04CHABrown Reverse Layup (2 PTS) (May 2 AST)29
33.9%
26
66.1%
Q2 - 9:22CHABobcats Rebound27
31.6%
26
68.4%
Q2 - 9:23MIAJump Ball Cook vs. Brown: Tip to Augustin27
31.6%
26
68.4%
Q2 - 9:26MIAJump Ball Magloire vs. Mohammed: Tip to27
31.6%
26
68.4%
Q2 - 9:26CHAMISS Augustin 9' Running Jump Shot27
30.0%
26
70.0%
Q2 - 9:35CHAMorrison REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)27
31.6%
26
68.4%
Q2 - 9:36MIAMISS Quinn 3PT Jump Shot27
30.9%
26
69.1%
Q2 - 9:57CHAAugustin Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T3)27
29.3%
26
70.7%
Q2 - 10:05MIABeasley Driving Layup (4 PTS)27
31.5%
26
68.5%
Q2 - 10:13MIAHEAT Rebound27
33.7%
24
66.3%
Q2 - 10:14MIAMISS Magloire 7' Hook Shot27
35.4%
24
64.6%
Q2 - 10:37CHAMorrison 21' Jump Shot (5 PTS)27
33.7%
24
66.3%
Q2 - 10:50MIAMagloire Traveling Turnover (P1.T5)25
31.5%
24
68.5%
Q2 - 10:51MIAMagloire REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)25
29.2%
24
70.8%
Q2 - 10:52CHAMISS Augustin 21' Jump Shot25
29.9%
24
70.1%
Q2 - 11:01CHAMorrison REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)25
31.4%
24
68.6%
Q2 - 11:02CHAMISS Mohammed 9' Jump Shot25
29.8%
24
70.2%
Q2 - 11:20MIAMarion 10' Floating Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Magloire 1 AST)25
31.4%
24
68.6%
Q2 - 11:24MIAMagloire REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)25
33.6%
22
66.4%
Q2 - 11:26MIAMISS Beasley 10' Jump Shot25
35.2%
22
64.8%
Q2 - 11:40MIAHEAT Rebound25
33.6%
22
66.4%
Q2 - 11:41MIAMISS Quinn 19' Jump Shot25
35.2%
22
64.8%
Q1 - 0:00.0MIA25
33.6%
22
66.4%
Q1 - 0:00.0MIAHEAT Rebound25
33.6%
22
66.4%
Q1 - 0:00.0MIAMISS Quinn 22' Jump Shot25
35.2%
22
64.8%
Q1 - 0:04.0CHAMorrison 24' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Augustin 1 AST)25
33.2%
22
66.8%
Q1 - 0:26.0CHAOkafor REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)22
28.6%
22
71.4%
Q1 - 0:27.0MIAMISS Haslem Free Throw 2 of 222
28.4%
22
71.6%
Q1 - 0:27.0MIAHaslem Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)22
27.0%
22
73.0%
Q1 - 0:41.0MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)22
29.0%
21
71.0%
Q1 - 0:42.0CHAMISS Dudley 18' Jump Shot22
29.5%
21
70.5%
Q1 - 0:51.0CHAMorrison REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)22
30.7%
21
69.3%
Q1 - 0:52.0MIAMISS Marion 7' Floating Jump Shot22
30.2%
21
69.8%
Q1 - 1:11CHAOkafor Layup (5 PTS) (Dudley 1 AST)22
28.9%
21
71.1%
Q1 - 1:24CHADudley REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)20
26.4%
21
73.6%
Q1 - 1:26MIAMISS Haslem 17' Jump Shot20
26.0%
21
74.0%
Q1 - 1:36MIAMarion REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)20
25.2%
21
74.8%
Q1 - 1:37CHAMISS Augustin 25' 3PT Jump Shot20
25.6%
21
74.4%
Q1 - 1:55MIABeasley 16' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Haslem 1 AST)20
26.4%
21
73.6%
Q1 - 2:07MIABeasley REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)20
28.7%
19
71.3%
Q1 - 2:08CHAMISS May 7' Hook Shot20
29.2%
19
70.8%
Q1 - 2:20CHAOkafor REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)20
30.3%
19
69.7%
Q1 - 2:21MIAMISS Beasley Driving Layup20
29.8%
19
70.2%
Q1 - 2:35MIABeasley REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)20
28.7%
19
71.3%
Q1 - 2:36CHAMISS Felton 20' Jump Shot20
29.2%
19
70.8%
Q1 - 2:52MIAChalmers Free Throw 1 of 1 (3 PTS)20
30.3%
19
69.7%
Q1 - 3:03MIABeasley REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)20
34.2%
16
65.8%
Q1 - 3:03CHABeasley BLOCK (1 BLK)20
34.8%
16
65.2%
Q1 - 3:04CHAMay REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)20
36.3%
16
63.7%
Q1 - 3:06CHAMISS Richardson Layup20
34.8%
16
65.2%
Q1 - 3:11MIAWade Bad Pass Turnover (P3.T4)20
36.3%
16
63.7%
Q1 - 3:23MIABeasley REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)20
34.2%
16
65.8%
Q1 - 3:25CHAMISS Richardson 20' Jump Shot20
34.9%
16
65.1%
Q1 - 3:42CHAFelton REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)20
36.3%
16
63.7%
Q1 - 3:43MIAMISS Haslem 16' Jump Shot20
35.7%
16
64.3%
Q1 - 4:00CHAMarion STEAL (1 STL)20
34.3%
16
65.7%
Q1 - 4:15MIAWade 20' Jump Shot (10 PTS) (Chalmers 3 AST)20
35.7%
16
64.3%
Q1 - 4:35MIAAnthony REBOUND (Off:2 Def:0)20
37.6%
14
62.4%
Q1 - 4:36MIAMISS Chalmers 25' 3PT Jump Shot20
39.2%
14
60.8%
Q1 - 4:45MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)20
37.7%
14
62.3%
Q1 - 4:46CHAMISS Felton 14' Jump Shot20
38.3%
14
61.7%
Q1 - 5:03MIAWade 19' Jump Shot (8 PTS)20
39.6%
14
60.4%
Q1 - 5:23CHARichardson 24' 3PT Jump Shot (13 PTS) (Felton 5 AST)20
41.4%
12
58.6%
Q1 - 5:38CHADudley REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)17
37.6%
12
62.4%
Q1 - 5:39MIAMISS Wade Free Throw 2 of 217
37.3%
12
62.7%
Q1 - 5:39MIAWade Free Throw 1 of 2 (6 PTS)17
35.9%
12
64.1%
Q1 - 5:57CHAMay 19' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Felton 4 AST)17
37.3%
11
62.7%
Q1 - 6:21MIAWade Driving Layup (5 PTS)15
34.9%
11
65.1%
Q1 - 6:35CHARichardson 8' Jump Bank Shot (10 PTS)15
36.8%
9
63.2%
Q1 - 6:54MIAWade Free Throw 1 of 1 (3 PTS)13
35.0%
9
65.0%
Q1 - 7:01MIAAnthony REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)13
38.3%
6
61.7%
Q1 - 7:02MIAMISS Marion 24' 3PT Jump Shot13
39.9%
6
60.1%
Q1 - 7:25CHAOkafor Dunk (3 PTS) (May 1 AST)13
38.3%
6
61.7%
Q1 - 7:30MIAChalmers Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T3)11
36.6%
6
63.4%
Q1 - 7:35MIAMarion REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)11
34.4%
6
65.6%
Q1 - 7:36MIAMISS Wade 25' 3PT Jump Shot11
35.9%
6
64.1%
Q1 - 7:42CHAChalmers STEAL (1 STL)11
34.4%
6
65.6%
Q1 - 7:45MIAWade Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T2)11
36.6%
6
63.4%
Q1 - 8:00MIAHEAT Rebound11
34.4%
6
65.6%
Q1 - 8:01CHAMISS Richardson Dunk11
34.8%
6
65.2%
Q1 - 8:20MIAHaslem 14' Jump Shot (2 PTS)11
36.1%
6
63.9%
Q1 - 8:38CHAMay 17' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Felton 3 AST)11
38.1%
4
61.9%
Q1 - 8:57MIAAnthony 7' Jump Shot (2 PTS)9
36.1%
4
63.9%
Q1 - 9:04MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)9
37.4%
2
62.6%
Q1 - 9:06MIAMISS Marion 8' Jump Bank Shot9
38.6%
2
61.4%
Q1 - 9:21CHARichardson 24' 3PT Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Felton 2 AST)9
37.5%
2
62.5%
Q1 - 9:29CHAOkafor REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)6
33.6%
2
66.4%
Q1 - 9:30MIAMISS Chalmers 25' 3PT Jump Shot6
33.2%
2
66.8%
Q1 - 9:37MIAMarion REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)6
32.1%
2
67.9%
Q1 - 9:38CHAHaslem BLOCK (1 BLK)6
32.5%
2
67.5%
Q1 - 9:43CHAOkafor REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)6
33.7%
2
66.3%
Q1 - 9:44MIAMISS Marion 7' Running Jump Shot6
33.2%
2
66.8%
Q1 - 10:05MIAMarion REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)6
31.2%
2
68.8%
Q1 - 10:07CHAMISS Okafor Free Throw 2 of 26
31.4%
2
68.6%
Q1 - 10:07CHAOkafor Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)6
32.2%
2
67.8%
Q1 - 10:19MIAWade Foul Turnover (P1.T1)5
31.3%
2
68.7%
Q1 - 10:26MIAChalmers REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)5
29.7%
2
70.3%
Q1 - 10:28CHAMISS May 19' Jump Shot5
30.2%
2
69.8%
Q1 - 10:42MIAMarion 9' Jump Bank Shot (2 PTS) (Chalmers 1 AST)5
31.4%
2
68.6%
Q1 - 11:06CHARichardson 24' 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Felton 1 AST)5
31.6%
0
68.4%
Q1 - 11:18CHAOkafor REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)2
28.9%
0
71.1%
Q1 - 11:19MIAMISS Wade 20' Jump Shot2
28.5%
0
71.5%
Q1 - 11:43CHARichardson 19' Jump Shot (2 PTS)2
27.5%
0
72.5%
Q1 - 12:00MIAJump Ball Anthony vs. Okafor: Tip to Felton0
26.3%
0
73.7%

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

CHA
1.05 52.7%
MIA
1.01 50.5%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)
CHA
9
17
53%
MIA
11
17
65%
Midrange
CHA
15
41
37%
MIA
15
43
35%
3PT | Effective 3PT
CHA
10
15.0
20
50%
75%
MIA
6
9.0
15
40%
60%
Free Throws
CHA
18
26
69%
MIA
30
41
73%
Makes
Effective 3P Makes
%
Efficiency
Misses
Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|
CHA logo Bobcats
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
J. Richardson2463%12.0 / 19
E. Okafor1979%9.5 / 12
D. Augustin1444%7.0 / 16
A. Morrison1381%6.5 / 8
R. Felton831%4.0 / 13
S. Brown758%3.5 / 6
S. May440%2.0 / 5
A. Ajinca450%2.0 / 4
D. Jones2100%1.0 / 1
J. Dudley117%0.5 / 3
N. Mohammed0-0.0 / 2
TS Makes
TS Misses

Total Points

|
MIA logo Heat
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
D. Wade4166%20.5 / 31
M. Chalmers1568%7.5 / 11
S. Marion1343%6.5 / 15
M. Beasley930%4.5 / 15
C. Quinn964%4.5 / 7
U. Haslem638%3.0 / 8
Y. Diawara563%2.5 / 4
J. Anthony2100%1.0 / 1
M. Blount0-0.0 / 1
J. Magloire0-0.0 / 1
TS Makes
TS Misses

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

CHA
76
+14
-9
90
MIA
76
+21
-10
97
Base
ORB
TOV

Scoring Efficiency

CHA
1.05 52.7%
MIA
1.01 50.5%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Efficiency & PaceThis Game
Efficiency
104.9
107.6
CHA 112.9
MIA 116.3 +3.3
Pace
88.2
90.2
CHA 82.9
MIA 88.3 +5.4
Avg. Poss. Time
16.5
16.3
CHA 17.4
MIA 16.3 +1.1
Four FactorsThis Game
EFG %
49.4%
50.0%
CHA 50.0% +3.3%
MIA 46.7%
TO %
16.7%
13.1%
CHA 10.1% +0.5%
MIA 10.6%
ORB %
27.8%
24.6%
CHA 25.6%
MIA 35.0% +9.4%
FTrt
31.2
28.2
CHA 33.3
MIA 54.7 +21.4
Misc. StatsThis Game
AST %
60.7%
55.1%
CHA 64.7% +27.2%
MIA 37.5%
STL %
7.9%
8.7%
CHA 7.1% +2.4%
MIA 4.7%
BLK %
8.2%
9.2%
CHA 3.3%
MIA 6.9% +3.6%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Shooting EfficiencyThis Game
TS%
52.0%
52.6%
CHA 52.7% +2.2%
MIA 50.5%
Rim FG%
55.2%
59.5%
CHA 52.9%
MIA 64.7% +11.8%
Mid FG%
40.4%
41.8%
CHA 36.6% +1.7%
MIA 34.9%
3P %
36.6%
35.7%
CHA 50.0% +10.0%
MIA 40.0%
FT %
74.0%
75.4%
CHA 69.2%
MIA 73.2% +4.0%
Shot DistributionThis Game
Rim Att. %
40.0%
30.3%
CHA 21.8%
MIA 22.7% +0.9%
Mid Att. %
38.8%
45.2%
CHA 52.6% +4.8%
MIA 57.3%
3P Att. %
21.3%
24.5%
CHA 25.6% +5.6%
MIA 20.0%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.
Game TotalsCHAMIA
Possessions8586
Possession Minutes24.623.4
Points96100
Rebounds3746
Assists2212
Steals64
Blocks24
Turnovers (Team)9 (1)10 (1)
Fouls
Off. Rebounds (Team)11 (3)14 (7)
Def. Rebounds (Team)26 (2)32 (3)
Field Goals34-7832-75
At-the-Rim FG9-1711-17
Midrange FG15-4115-43
2-Point FG24-5826-60
3-Point FG10-206-15
Free Throws18-2630-41
Fast Break Pts
2nd Chance Pts
Points in Paint
Pts off Turnovers
Bench Points
Biggest Lead

BOXSCORE

Access to boxscore predictions requires a premium subscription.
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
F · 6'7" 240 · 23
38.6
1
17%
7
4
1
0
2
6
1
6
1-2
50%
0-2
0%
0-0
-
C · 6'10" 255 · 26
37.8
19
79%
12
1
2
2
1
3
3
9
1-3
33%
9-11
82%
0-0
-
G · 6'6" 225 · 28
36.9
24
63%
4
3
1
0
0
3
1
3
6-9
67%
3-11
27%
4-5
80%
G · 6'1" 205 · 24
35.0
8
31%
2
8
0
0
3
6
0
2
4-4
100%
2-9
22%
0-2
0%
F · 6'9" 266 · 25
18.7
4
40%
1
2
2
0
1
4
1
0
0-0
-
2-5
40%
0-0
-
G · 6'0" 183 · 21
25.9
14
44%
0
2
0
0
2
2
0
0
4-4
100%
2-9
22%
2-5
40%
F · 6'8" 205 · 24
22.1
13
81%
6
2
0
0
0
3
2
4
0-0
-
2-3
67%
3-5
60%
C · 6'10" 250 · 31
10.2
0
0%
1
0
0
0
0
1
0
1
0-0
-
0-2
0%
0-0
-
G · 6'3" 215 · 23
9.9
7
58%
1
0
0
0
0
1
0
1
0-0
-
2-3
67%
1-3
33%
F-C · 6'11" 248 · 26
2.8
2
100%
2
0
0
0
0
0
2
0
0-0
-
1-1
100%
0-0
-
C · 7'2" 248 · 21
2.1
4
50%
1
0
0
0
0
0
1
0
2-4
50%
1-2
50%
0-0
-
G · 6'6" 212 · 28
#15 · C · 7'0" 240 · 24
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
#3 · F · 6'7" 220 · 26
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
TOTAL
240
96
53%
37
22
6
2
9
0
11
26
18-26
69%
24-58
41%
10-20
50%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.