FinalWin Prob.pScore
3015%90
99
1485%103
105
ORTG#PossPace
OKC logo OKC
99.0100110.3
MIA logo MIA
105.010091.4

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

HeatThunderQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Scoring Margin

HeatThunderQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Play-by-Play

Score / WinProb
ClockTeamEventOKCMIA
Q4 - 0:00.0MIA99
0%
105
100%
Q4 - 0:11.0MIAHEAT Rebound97
0.1%
105
99.9%
Q4 - 0:11.0MIAWade Free Throw 2 of 2 (38 PTS)97
0.1%
105
99.9%
Q4 - 0:11.0MIAMISS Wade Free Throw 1 of 297
0.1%
104
99.9%
Q4 - 0:14.0OKCWestbrook Finger Roll Layup (30 PTS)97
0.1%
104
99.9%
Q4 - 0:18.0MIAMarion Reverse Dunk (15 PTS) (Wade 7 AST)95
0.1%
104
99.9%
Q4 - 0:25.0MIADiawara REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)95
0.1%
102
99.9%
Q4 - 0:26.0OKCMISS Durant Finger Roll Layup95
0.1%
102
99.9%
Q4 - 0:34.0MIAChalmers Free Throw 2 of 2 (15 PTS)95
0.2%
102
99.8%
Q4 - 0:34.0MIAMISS Chalmers Free Throw 1 of 295
0.3%
101
99.7%
Q4 - 0:45.0OKCWestbrook Dunk (28 PTS) (Green 4 AST)95
0.5%
101
99.5%
Q4 - 0:48.0OKCDurant REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)93
0.3%
101
99.7%
Q4 - 0:49.0OKCMISS Westbrook Tip Shot93
0.2%
101
99.8%
Q4 - 0:50.0OKCWestbrook REBOUND (Off:3 Def:4)93
0.3%
101
99.7%
Q4 - 0:51.0OKCMISS Westbrook Layup93
0.2%
101
99.8%
Q4 - 0:57.0OKCWatson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)93
0.4%
101
99.6%
Q4 - 0:58.0MIAMISS Wade Layup93
0.4%
101
99.6%
Q4 - 1:06OKCDiawara STEAL (1 STL)93
0.3%
101
99.7%
Q4 - 1:17MIAMarion Dunk (13 PTS) (Chalmers 4 AST)93
0.8%
101
99.2%
Q4 - 1:20OKCChalmers STEAL (1 STL)93
1.4%
99
98.6%
Q4 - 1:41MIAMarion Free Throw 2 of 2 (11 PTS)93
3.5%
99
96.5%
Q4 - 1:41MIAMarion Free Throw 1 of 2 (10 PTS)93
3.8%
98
96.2%
Q4 - 1:41MIAMarion REBOUND (Off:4 Def:8)93
5.4%
97
94.6%
Q4 - 1:42OKCMarion BLOCK (4 BLK)93
6.4%
97
93.6%
Q4 - 1:53OKCGreen REBOUND (Off:0 Def:9)93
9.4%
97
90.6%
Q4 - 1:54MIAMISS Wade Free Throw 2 of 293
8.8%
97
91.2%
Q4 - 1:54MIAMISS Wade Free Throw 1 of 293
6.5%
97
93.5%
Q4 - 2:06OKCWestbrook Free Throw 2 of 2 (26 PTS)93
5.7%
97
94.3%
Q4 - 2:06OKCWestbrook Free Throw 1 of 2 (25 PTS)92
5.2%
97
94.8%
Q4 - 2:07MIAWade Lost Ball Turnover (P4.T14)91
4.2%
97
95.8%
Q4 - 2:17MIAChalmers REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)91
2.1%
97
97.9%
Q4 - 2:18OKCMISS Durant 25' 3PT Jump Shot91
2.6%
97
97.4%
Q4 - 2:25MIAWade Lost Ball Turnover (P3.T13)91
4.3%
97
95.7%
Q4 - 2:33MIAMarion REBOUND (Off:4 Def:7)91
2.1%
97
97.9%
Q4 - 2:35OKCMarion BLOCK (3 BLK)91
2.6%
97
97.4%
Q4 - 2:40OKCCollison REBOUND (Off:3 Def:5)91
4.3%
97
95.7%
Q4 - 2:41OKCMISS Green 3PT Jump Shot91
2.6%
97
97.4%
Q4 - 2:55OKCGreen REBOUND (Off:0 Def:8)91
4.7%
97
95.3%
Q4 - 2:56MIAMISS Haslem 17' Jump Shot91
3.9%
97
96.1%
Q4 - 3:15MIAChalmers REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)91
2.6%
97
97.4%
Q4 - 3:16OKCMISS Durant Driving Layup91
3.1%
97
96.9%
Q4 - 3:27MIAWade 5' Fadeaway Jumper (37 PTS)91
4.7%
97
95.3%
Q4 - 3:52MIAHEAT Rebound91
8.1%
95
91.9%
Q4 - 3:53OKCMISS Durant 20' Jump Shot91
9.1%
95
90.9%
Q4 - 4:08MIAMarion Layup (9 PTS) (Wade 6 AST)91
11.7%
95
88.3%
Q4 - 4:17MIAMarion REBOUND (Off:4 Def:6)91
15.8%
93
84.2%
Q4 - 4:18OKCWade BLOCK (2 BLK)91
17.6%
93
82.4%
Q4 - 4:31OKCThunder Rebound91
22.2%
93
77.8%
Q4 - 4:32MIAMISS Marion 4' Running Jump Shot91
20.1%
93
79.9%
Q4 - 4:52OKCDurant Free Throw 2 of 2 (16 PTS)91
15.7%
93
84.3%
Q4 - 4:52OKCMISS Durant Free Throw 1 of 290
15.2%
93
84.8%
Q4 - 5:13MIAChalmers 25' 3PT Jump Shot (14 PTS) (Wade 5 AST)90
17.4%
93
82.6%
Q4 - 5:34OKCMason Foul Turnover (P2.T12)90
29.0%
90
71.0%
Q4 - 5:49OKCMason REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)90
36.9%
90
63.1%
Q4 - 5:50MIAMISS Wade Driving Layup90
34.4%
90
65.6%
Q4 - 6:02MIAAnthony REBOUND (Off:3 Def:1)90
27.6%
90
72.4%
Q4 - 6:03OKCMISS Durant Free Throw 2 of 290
28.4%
90
71.6%
Q4 - 6:03OKCDurant Free Throw 1 of 2 (15 PTS)90
33.2%
90
66.8%
Q4 - 6:06OKCDurant REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)89
27.9%
90
72.1%
Q4 - 6:07MIAMISS Wade Driving Layup89
26.0%
90
74.0%
Q4 - 6:20OKCCollison Free Throw 1 of 1 (14 PTS)89
22.0%
90
78.0%
Q4 - 6:33OKCCollison REBOUND (Off:2 Def:5)86
13.5%
90
86.5%
Q4 - 6:35MIAMISS Cook 17' Fadeaway Jumper86
12.4%
90
87.6%
Q4 - 6:59OKCDurant 25' 3PT Jump Shot (14 PTS) (Watson 11 AST)86
10.2%
90
89.8%
Q4 - 7:16OKCGreen REBOUND (Off:0 Def:7)83
6.3%
90
93.7%
Q4 - 7:17MIAMISS Beasley Driving Layup83
5.8%
90
94.2%
Q4 - 7:34MIACook REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)83
4.7%
90
95.3%
Q4 - 7:35OKCMISS Watson 7' Jump Shot83
5.2%
90
94.8%
Q4 - 7:42OKCCollison REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)83
6.3%
90
93.7%
Q4 - 7:43MIAMISS Beasley 22' Jump Shot83
5.8%
90
94.2%
Q4 - 7:56MIABeasley REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)83
4.7%
90
95.3%
Q4 - 7:57OKCMISS Durant 10' Running Jump Shot83
5.2%
90
94.8%
Q4 - 8:14MIALivingston 13' Jump Shot (3 PTS)83
6.7%
90
93.3%
Q4 - 8:27OKCDurant Traveling Turnover (P2.T11)83
8.6%
88
91.4%
Q4 - 8:46MIADiawara Traveling Turnover (P1.T12)83
10.8%
88
89.2%
Q4 - 9:00OKCCollison Free Throw 1 of 1 (11 PTS)83
8.6%
88
91.4%
Q4 - 9:17MIAChalmers 26' 3PT Jump Shot (11 PTS) (Cook 1 AST)80
5.9%
88
94.1%
Q4 - 9:29MIACook REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)80
9.3%
85
90.7%
Q4 - 9:30OKCMISS Green Layup80
9.9%
85
90.1%
Q4 - 9:42MIACook Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T11)80
11.4%
85
88.6%
Q4 - 9:59OKCWatson 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Green 3 AST)80
9.2%
85
90.8%
Q4 - 10:20MIABeasley Traveling Turnover (P1.T10)77
6.2%
85
93.8%
Q4 - 10:36OKCGreen Alley Oop Dunk (21 PTS) (Watson 9 AST)77
5.0%
85
95.0%
Q4 - 10:40OKCCollison REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)75
4.0%
85
96.0%
Q4 - 10:42MIAMISS Marion 10' Running Jump Shot75
3.8%
85
96.2%
Q4 - 11:06OKCDurant Layup (11 PTS) (Watson 8 AST)75
3.6%
85
96.4%
Q4 - 11:15MIAChalmers Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T9)73
2.9%
85
97.1%
Q4 - 11:38OKCDurant 25' 3PT Jump Shot (9 PTS) (Watson 7 AST)73
2.4%
85
97.6%
Q3 - 0:00.0OKC70
1.5%
85
98.5%
Q3 - 0:02.0MIAWade Free Throw 1 of 1 (35 PTS)70
1.8%
85
98.2%
Q3 - 0:14.0MIAMarion REBOUND (Off:4 Def:5)70
2.7%
82
97.3%
Q3 - 0:15.0OKCMISS Green 24' 3PT Jump Shot70
2.8%
82
97.2%
Q3 - 0:27.0OKCWestbrook REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)70
3.2%
82
96.8%
Q3 - 0:28.0OKCMarion BLOCK (2 BLK)70
2.8%
82
97.2%
Q3 - 0:37.0MIAWade Free Throw 1 of 1 (32 PTS)70
3.2%
82
96.8%
Q3 - 0:39.0OKCWade STEAL (2 STL)70
4.8%
79
95.2%
Q3 - 0:41.0OKCCollison REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)70
5.7%
79
94.3%
Q3 - 0:45.0MIAMISS Marion 7' Jump Shot70
5.4%
79
94.6%
Q3 - 0:45.0MIAMarion REBOUND (Off:4 Def:4)70
4.8%
79
95.2%
Q3 - 0:47.0MIAMISS Marion Dunk70
5.4%
79
94.6%
Q3 - 1:04OKCWestbrook Poss Lost Ball Turnover (P3.T9)70
5.0%
79
95.0%
Q3 - 1:06OKCWestbrook REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)70
5.9%
79
94.1%
Q3 - 1:08MIAMISS Wade Layup70
5.6%
79
94.4%
Q3 - 1:23OKCCollison Dunk (8 PTS) (Watson 6 AST)70
5.0%
79
95.0%
Q3 - 1:36MIAHaslem Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T8)68
4.1%
79
95.9%
Q3 - 1:49OKCGreen 15' Fadeaway Jumper (19 PTS)68
3.4%
79
96.6%
Q3 - 2:06MIABeasley 7' Jump Shot (6 PTS)66
3.0%
79
97.0%
Q3 - 2:09MIABeasley REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)66
3.6%
77
96.4%
Q3 - 2:10MIAMISS Beasley 13' Jump Shot66
4.1%
77
95.9%
Q3 - 2:27OKCWestbrook Free Throw 2 of 2 (24 PTS)66
3.6%
77
96.4%
Q3 - 2:27OKCWestbrook Free Throw 1 of 2 (23 PTS)65
3.5%
77
96.5%
Q3 - 2:43MIAWade Discontinue Dribble Turnover (P2.T7)64
3.0%
77
97.0%
Q3 - 2:57OKCMason Traveling Turnover (P1.T8)64
2.5%
77
97.5%
Q3 - 3:17MIAWade Free Throw 2 of 2 (29 PTS)64
3.1%
77
96.9%
Q3 - 3:17MIAWade Free Throw 1 of 2 (28 PTS)64
3.2%
76
96.8%
Q3 - 3:21MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:1 Def:13)64
3.7%
75
96.3%
Q3 - 3:23OKCMISS Westbrook 15' Fadeaway Jumper64
3.9%
75
96.1%
Q3 - 3:32OKCDurant REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)64
4.4%
75
95.6%
Q3 - 3:33MIAMISS Haslem 19' Jump Shot64
4.2%
75
95.8%
Q3 - 3:56OKCWestbrook Layup (22 PTS) (Green 2 AST)64
3.7%
75
96.3%
Q3 - 4:01OKCGreen REBOUND (Off:0 Def:6)62
3.3%
75
96.7%
Q3 - 4:03MIAMISS Marion 8' Jump Shot62
3.1%
75
96.9%
Q3 - 4:05MIAMarion REBOUND (Off:3 Def:4)62
2.7%
75
97.3%
Q3 - 4:07MIAMISS Marion 9' Jump Shot62
3.1%
75
96.9%
Q3 - 4:27OKCGreen 18' Jump Shot (17 PTS)62
2.7%
75
97.3%
Q3 - 4:48MIAHaslem Free Throw 2 of 2 (15 PTS)60
2.3%
75
97.7%
Q3 - 4:48MIAMISS Haslem Free Throw 1 of 260
2.4%
74
97.6%
Q3 - 4:49MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:1 Def:12)60
2.3%
74
97.7%
Q3 - 4:49MIAMISS Wade 20' Jump Shot60
2.6%
74
97.4%
Q3 - 4:55MIAMarion REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)60
2.3%
74
97.7%
Q3 - 4:56MIAMISS Chalmers 25' 3PT Jump Shot60
2.6%
74
97.4%
Q3 - 5:04MIAWade REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)60
2.4%
74
97.6%
Q3 - 5:05OKCMISS Green 16' Jump Shot60
2.6%
74
97.4%
Q3 - 5:20MIAChalmers Free Throw 1 of 1 (8 PTS)60
2.9%
74
97.1%
Q3 - 5:27MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:0 Def:12)60
4.0%
71
96.0%
Q3 - 5:29OKCMISS Durant Driving Layup60
4.2%
71
95.8%
Q3 - 5:55MIAWade Alley Oop Dunk (27 PTS) (Chalmers 3 AST)60
4.7%
71
95.3%
Q3 - 6:20OKCDurant 14' Jump Shot (6 PTS)60
5.6%
69
94.4%
Q3 - 6:22OKCDurant REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)58
4.8%
69
95.2%
Q3 - 6:23OKCWade BLOCK (1 BLK)58
4.3%
69
95.7%
Q3 - 6:28MIAChalmers Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T6)58
4.8%
69
95.2%
Q3 - 6:36MIAMarion REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)58
4.1%
69
95.9%
Q3 - 6:37MIAMISS Haslem Layup58
4.6%
69
95.4%
Q3 - 7:00OKCGreen Free Throw 2 of 2 (15 PTS)58
4.1%
69
95.9%
Q3 - 7:00OKCMISS Green Free Throw 1 of 257
4.0%
69
96.0%
Q3 - 7:14OKCWestbrook REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)57
4.3%
69
95.7%
Q3 - 7:15MIAMISS Wade 18' Jump Shot57
4.1%
69
95.9%
Q3 - 7:35MIAMarion REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)57
3.7%
69
96.3%
Q3 - 7:37OKCMISS Westbrook Free Throw 2 of 257
3.8%
69
96.2%
Q3 - 7:37OKCWestbrook Free Throw 1 of 2 (20 PTS)57
4.2%
69
95.8%
Q3 - 7:44OKCWestbrook REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)56
3.7%
69
96.3%
Q3 - 7:45MIAMISS Anthony 9' Jump Shot56
3.5%
69
96.5%
Q3 - 8:03MIAAnthony REBOUND (Off:3 Def:0)56
3.3%
69
96.7%
Q3 - 8:04MIAMISS Haslem 17' Jump Shot56
3.6%
69
96.4%
Q3 - 8:15MIAWade REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)56
3.3%
69
96.7%
Q3 - 8:16OKCMISS Green 19' Jump Shot56
3.4%
69
96.6%
Q3 - 8:32MIAHaslem 16' Jump Shot (14 PTS) (Chalmers 2 AST)56
3.8%
69
96.2%
Q3 - 8:45MIAAnthony REBOUND (Off:2 Def:0)56
4.4%
67
95.6%
Q3 - 8:46MIAMISS Wade 25' 3PT Jump Shot56
4.8%
67
95.2%
Q3 - 8:53MIAWade REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)56
4.4%
67
95.6%
Q3 - 8:54OKCMISS Green 3PT Jump Shot56
4.6%
67
95.4%
Q3 - 9:07MIAWade Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T5)56
5.1%
67
94.9%
Q3 - 9:11MIAChalmers REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)56
4.4%
67
95.6%
Q3 - 9:13OKCMarion BLOCK (1 BLK)56
4.6%
67
95.4%
Q3 - 9:33MIAHaslem 19' Jump Shot (12 PTS) (Wade 4 AST)56
5.1%
67
94.9%
Q3 - 9:45MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:0 Def:11)56
5.9%
65
94.1%
Q3 - 9:46OKCMISS Wilkins 25' 3PT Jump Shot56
6.1%
65
93.9%
Q3 - 9:57MIAHaslem 17' Jump Shot (10 PTS) (Chalmers 1 AST)56
6.8%
65
93.2%
Q3 - 10:13OKCWestbrook Driving Reverse Layup (19 PTS)56
7.8%
63
92.2%
Q3 - 10:30MIAMarion Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T4)54
6.8%
63
93.2%
Q3 - 10:35MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:0 Def:10)54
6.0%
63
94.0%
Q3 - 10:37OKCMISS Durant Driving Layup54
6.2%
63
93.8%
Q3 - 10:54MIAMarion 6' Jump Shot (7 PTS)54
6.8%
63
93.2%
Q3 - 11:15MIAMarion REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)54
7.8%
61
92.2%
Q3 - 11:16OKCMISS Westbrook 13' Jump Shot54
8.1%
61
91.9%
Q3 - 11:29MIAAnthony Layup (6 PTS)54
8.9%
61
91.1%
Q3 - 11:30MIAAnthony REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)54
10.0%
59
90.0%
Q3 - 11:33MIAMISS Haslem 5' Jump Shot54
11.0%
59
89.0%
Q2 - 0:00.0MIA54
10.0%
59
90.0%
Q2 - 0:03.0OKCWestbrook Double Dribble Turnover (P2.T7)54
10.3%
59
89.7%
Q2 - 0:07.0OKCGreen REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)54
11.2%
59
88.8%
Q2 - 0:08.0MIAMISS Wade Free Throw 2 of 254
11.1%
59
88.9%
Q2 - 0:08.0MIAWade Free Throw 1 of 2 (25 PTS)54
10.2%
59
89.8%
Q2 - 0:25.0OKCWestbrook 16' Jump Shot (17 PTS)54
11.6%
58
88.4%
Q2 - 0:27.0OKCWestbrook REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)52
10.0%
58
90.0%
Q2 - 0:29.0OKCMISS Watson 17' Jump Shot52
9.3%
58
90.7%
Q2 - 0:35.0MIAWade Driving Layup (24 PTS)52
10.0%
58
90.0%
Q2 - 0:46.0OKCWilkins Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)52
11.5%
56
88.5%
Q2 - 0:46.0OKCWilkins Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)51
11.3%
56
88.7%
Q2 - 0:52.0MIAMarion Poss Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T3)50
10.0%
56
90.0%
Q2 - 0:54.0OKCMarion STEAL (1 STL)50
9.1%
56
90.9%
Q2 - 1:03MIAWade Driving Layup (22 PTS)50
9.9%
56
90.1%
Q2 - 1:12OKCWilcox Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)50
11.5%
54
88.5%
Q2 - 1:12OKCWilcox Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)49
11.1%
54
88.9%
Q2 - 1:30MIAWade Driving Layup (20 PTS) (Haslem 4 AST)48
9.9%
54
90.1%
Q2 - 1:48OKCGreen 25' 3PT Jump Shot (14 PTS) (Watson 5 AST)48
11.5%
52
88.5%
Q2 - 1:55OKCGreen REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)45
8.8%
52
91.2%
Q2 - 1:57MIAMISS Wade Driving Layup45
8.6%
52
91.4%
Q2 - 2:09OKCWestbrook Free Throw 2 of 2 (15 PTS)45
7.9%
52
92.1%
Q2 - 2:09OKCWestbrook Free Throw 1 of 2 (14 PTS)44
7.7%
52
92.3%
Q2 - 2:12MIAHaslem Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T2)43
7.0%
52
93.0%
Q2 - 2:25MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:0 Def:9)43
6.2%
52
93.8%
Q2 - 2:27OKCMISS Wilcox 9' Jump Shot43
6.4%
52
93.6%
Q2 - 2:38MIAWade Free Throw 2 of 2 (18 PTS)43
7.0%
52
93.0%
Q2 - 2:38MIAMISS Wade Free Throw 1 of 243
7.2%
51
92.8%
Q2 - 2:54OKCGreen 25' 3PT Jump Shot (11 PTS) (Watson 4 AST)43
7.0%
51
93.0%
Q2 - 3:15OKCThunder Rebound40
5.6%
51
94.4%
Q2 - 3:17MIAMISS Cook Driving Layup40
5.3%
51
94.7%
Q2 - 3:34MIADiawara REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)40
4.9%
51
95.1%
Q2 - 3:35MIAMISS Cook 24' 3PT Jump Shot40
5.3%
51
94.7%
Q2 - 3:44MIAWade REBOUND (Off:2 Def:0)40
4.9%
51
95.1%
Q2 - 3:45MIAMISS Haslem 18' Jump Shot40
5.3%
51
94.7%
Q2 - 4:00OKCWestbrook Free Throw 2 of 2 (13 PTS)40
4.9%
51
95.1%
Q2 - 4:00OKCMISS Westbrook Free Throw 1 of 239
4.7%
51
95.3%
Q2 - 4:02OKCWestbrook REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)39
4.9%
51
95.1%
Q2 - 4:03MIAMISS Chalmers 25' 3PT Jump Shot39
4.8%
51
95.2%
Q2 - 4:11OKCHaslem STEAL (1 STL)39
4.4%
51
95.6%
Q2 - 4:31MIAWade Driving Layup (17 PTS)39
4.9%
51
95.1%
Q2 - 4:36MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:0 Def:8)39
5.5%
49
94.5%
Q2 - 4:37OKCMISS Green 13' Jump Shot39
5.7%
49
94.3%
Q2 - 4:57MIAHaslem 17' Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Anthony 2 AST)39
6.2%
49
93.8%
Q2 - 5:06MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:0 Def:7)39
7.1%
47
92.9%
Q2 - 5:08OKCMISS Durant 12' Hook Shot39
7.3%
47
92.7%
Q2 - 5:27MIAChalmers 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Haslem 3 AST)39
7.8%
47
92.2%
Q2 - 5:51OKCWestbrook Dunk (12 PTS) (Green 1 AST)39
9.8%
44
90.2%
Q2 - 6:13MIAAnthony Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T1)37
9.0%
44
91.0%
Q2 - 6:38OKCDurant 19' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Watson 3 AST)37
7.9%
44
92.1%
Q2 - 6:44OKCWilcox REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)35
7.3%
44
92.7%
Q2 - 6:45MIAMISS Haslem 15' Jump Shot35
7.0%
44
93.0%
Q2 - 6:55MIACook REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)35
6.4%
44
93.6%
Q2 - 6:56OKCMISS Wilcox 9' Jump Shot35
6.6%
44
93.4%
Q2 - 7:12OKCDurant REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)35
7.1%
44
92.9%
Q2 - 7:13MIAMISS Cook 17' Jump Shot35
6.9%
44
93.1%
Q2 - 7:27MIAMagloire REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)35
6.4%
44
93.6%
Q2 - 7:28OKCMISS Westbrook 25' 3PT Jump Shot35
6.6%
44
93.4%
Q2 - 7:45OKCDurant Free Throw Technical (2 PTS)35
7.1%
44
92.9%
Q2 - 8:02MIACook 17' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Haslem 2 AST)34
6.5%
44
93.5%
Q2 - 8:15OKCGreen Step Out of Bounds Turnover (P1.T4)34
7.2%
42
92.8%
Q2 - 8:38MIAMagloire Dunk (2 PTS)34
8.0%
42
92.0%
Q2 - 8:40MIAMagloire REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)34
8.8%
40
91.2%
Q2 - 8:42MIAMISS Marion 13' Jump Shot34
9.5%
40
90.5%
Q2 - 8:58OKCPetro Layup (2 PTS) (Watson 2 AST)34
8.8%
40
91.2%
Q2 - 9:09OKCPetro REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)32
8.0%
40
92.0%
Q2 - 9:10MIAMISS Diawara 24' 3PT Jump Shot32
7.7%
40
92.3%
Q2 - 9:23MIAMarion REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)32
7.2%
40
92.8%
Q2 - 9:25OKCMISS Petro 15' Hook Shot32
7.4%
40
92.6%
Q2 - 9:39MIADiawara 26' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Marion 4 AST)32
8.0%
40
92.0%
Q2 - 9:45MIAMarion REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)32
9.7%
37
90.3%
Q2 - 9:46OKCMISS Petro 17' Jump Shot32
10.0%
37
90.0%
Q2 - 10:03OKCMason REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)32
10.8%
37
89.2%
Q2 - 10:04MIAMISS Livingston 16' Jump Shot32
10.5%
37
89.5%
Q2 - 10:24OKCCollison Tip Shot (6 PTS)32
9.8%
37
90.2%
Q2 - 10:25OKCCollison REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)30
8.9%
37
91.1%
Q2 - 10:26OKCMISS Watson 19' Jump Shot30
8.3%
37
91.7%
Q2 - 10:33OKCGreen Free Throw Technical (8 PTS)30
8.9%
37
91.1%
Q2 - 10:48MIALivingston Free Throw 2 of 2 (1 PTS)29
8.1%
37
91.9%
Q2 - 10:48MIAMISS Livingston Free Throw 1 of 229
8.3%
36
91.7%
Q2 - 11:02OKCGreen 20' Jump Shot (7 PTS) (Mason 1 AST)29
8.3%
36
91.7%
Q2 - 11:06OKCThunder Rebound27
7.6%
36
92.4%
Q2 - 11:07OKCMISS Petro Layup27
7.1%
36
92.9%
Q2 - 11:22OKCWatson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)27
7.6%
36
92.4%
Q2 - 11:23MIAMISS Magloire Free Throw 2 of 227
7.5%
36
92.5%
Q2 - 11:23MIAMISS Magloire Free Throw 1 of 227
7.1%
36
92.9%
Q2 - 11:31MIADiawara REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)27
6.9%
36
93.1%
Q2 - 11:32OKCMagloire BLOCK (1 BLK)27
7.1%
36
92.9%
Q2 - 11:40OKCCollison REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)27
7.6%
36
92.4%
Q2 - 11:41MIAMISS Magloire 7' Running Hook Shot27
7.3%
36
92.7%
Q1 - 0:00.0OKC27
6.9%
36
93.1%
Q1 - 0:00.0OKCPetro REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)27
7.6%
36
92.4%
Q1 - 0:01.0MIAMISS Livingston 16' Jump Shot27
7.4%
36
92.6%
Q1 - 0:05.0OKCMason Free Throw 1 of 1 (7 PTS)27
7.0%
36
93.0%
Q1 - 0:25.0MIABeasley Layup (4 PTS) (Livingston 1 AST)24
5.7%
36
94.3%
Q1 - 0:34.0OKCCollison REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)24
6.4%
34
93.6%
Q1 - 0:34.0OKCCollison Tip Shot (4 PTS)24
6.4%
34
93.6%
Q1 - 0:35.0OKCMISS Petro 11' Jump Shot22
5.4%
34
94.6%
Q1 - 0:56.0MIAHaslem 17' Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Marion 3 AST)22
5.7%
34
94.3%
Q1 - 1:17OKCCollison Layup (2 PTS) (Watson 1 AST)22
6.6%
32
93.4%
Q1 - 1:23OKCGreen REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)20
5.8%
32
94.2%
Q1 - 1:24MIAMISS Beasley 15' Jump Shot20
5.7%
32
94.3%
Q1 - 1:41OKCWatson Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T3)20
5.5%
32
94.5%
Q1 - 1:57MIABeasley Layup (2 PTS) (Marion 2 AST)20
5.8%
32
94.2%
Q1 - 2:10MIABeasley REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)20
6.7%
30
93.3%
Q1 - 2:11OKCMISS Durant 18' Jump Shot20
6.8%
30
93.2%
Q1 - 2:20OKCMason REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)20
7.1%
30
92.9%
Q1 - 2:22MIAMISS Wade 5' Running Jump Shot20
7.0%
30
93.0%
Q1 - 2:35MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:0 Def:6)20
6.7%
30
93.3%
Q1 - 2:36OKCMISS Durant 15' Jump Shot20
6.8%
30
93.2%
Q1 - 2:51MIAWade Driving Layup (15 PTS)20
7.1%
30
92.9%
Q1 - 3:06MIALivingston REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)20
7.7%
28
92.3%
Q1 - 3:08OKCMISS Mason 8' Running Jump Shot20
7.9%
28
92.1%
Q1 - 3:13OKCMason REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)20
8.4%
28
91.6%
Q1 - 3:14MIAMISS Marion 3PT Jump Shot20
8.2%
28
91.8%
Q1 - 3:33OKCWestbrook Finger Roll Layup (10 PTS)20
7.8%
28
92.2%
Q1 - 3:38OKCPetro REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)18
7.1%
28
92.9%
Q1 - 3:39MIAMISS Beasley 7' Hook Shot18
6.9%
28
93.1%
Q1 - 3:52OKCWestbrook Free Throw 2 of 2 (8 PTS)18
6.5%
28
93.5%
Q1 - 3:52OKCWestbrook Free Throw 1 of 2 (7 PTS)17
6.4%
28
93.6%
Q1 - 4:11MIAMarion 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS)16
6.0%
28
94.0%
Q1 - 4:23MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)16
7.1%
25
92.9%
Q1 - 4:25OKCMISS Mason 4' Running Hook Shot16
7.3%
25
92.7%
Q1 - 4:40MIAAnthony Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)16
7.7%
25
92.3%
Q1 - 4:40MIAAnthony Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)16
7.9%
24
92.1%
Q1 - 4:53OKCWestbrook Driving Layup (6 PTS)16
8.3%
23
91.7%
Q1 - 5:03MIAWade 19' Jump Shot (13 PTS) (Anthony 1 AST)14
8.0%
23
92.0%
Q1 - 5:18OKCMason 10' Jump Bank Shot (4 PTS)14
8.5%
21
91.5%
Q1 - 5:41MIAWade 19' Jump Shot (11 PTS) (Haslem 1 AST)12
8.0%
21
92.0%
Q1 - 5:59OKCMason Dunk (2 PTS) (Westbrook 2 AST)12
8.5%
19
91.5%
Q1 - 6:08OKCThunder Rebound10
7.8%
19
92.2%
Q1 - 6:09MIAMISS Marion 14' Jump Shot10
7.6%
19
92.4%
Q1 - 6:21MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)10
7.2%
19
92.8%
Q1 - 6:23OKCAnthony BLOCK (1 BLK)10
7.4%
19
92.6%
Q1 - 6:34MIAWade Tip Shot (9 PTS)10
7.8%
19
92.2%
Q1 - 6:35MIAWade REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)10
8.4%
17
91.6%
Q1 - 6:36MIAMISS Wade Layup10
8.9%
17
91.1%
Q1 - 6:38OKCWade STEAL (1 STL)10
8.4%
17
91.6%
Q1 - 6:42MIAWade Driving Layup (7 PTS)10
9.1%
17
90.9%
Q1 - 6:48MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)10
9.8%
15
90.2%
Q1 - 6:49OKCMISS Durant 25' 3PT Jump Shot10
10.1%
15
89.9%
Q1 - 7:05MIAMarion 10' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Wade 3 AST)10
10.4%
15
89.6%
Q1 - 7:29OKCWestbrook 17' Jump Shot (4 PTS)10
11.2%
13
88.8%
Q1 - 7:34OKCGreen REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)8
10.4%
13
89.6%
Q1 - 7:35MIAMISS Chalmers 3PT Jump Shot8
10.2%
13
89.8%
Q1 - 7:49OKCGreen 18' Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Westbrook 1 AST)8
9.6%
13
90.4%
Q1 - 8:06MIAWade Free Throw 1 of 1 (5 PTS)6
8.8%
13
91.2%
Q1 - 8:29OKCDurant Foul Turnover (P1.T1)6
10.2%
10
89.8%
Q1 - 8:48MIAHaslem 19' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Wade 2 AST)6
11.0%
10
89.0%
Q1 - 8:59MIAHEAT Rebound6
11.9%
8
88.1%
Q1 - 9:00OKCMISS Green 24' 3PT Jump Shot6
12.2%
8
87.8%
Q1 - 9:22MIAHaslem 10' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Marion 1 AST)6
12.7%
8
87.3%
Q1 - 9:45OKCDurant Free Throw 2 of 2 (1 PTS)6
13.7%
6
86.3%
Q1 - 9:45OKCMISS Durant Free Throw 1 of 25
13.6%
6
86.4%
Q1 - 9:55MIAChalmers Driving Layup (2 PTS)5
13.6%
6
86.4%
Q1 - 10:05MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)5
14.4%
4
85.6%
Q1 - 10:06OKCMISS Wilcox 13' Jump Shot5
14.6%
4
85.4%
Q1 - 10:23OKCGreen REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)5
15.4%
4
84.6%
Q1 - 10:24MIAMISS Marion 9' Hook Shot5
15.0%
4
85.0%
Q1 - 10:42OKCGreen Free Throw 1 of 1 (3 PTS)5
14.4%
4
85.6%
Q1 - 11:05MIAAnthony Dunk (2 PTS) (Wade 1 AST)2
12.4%
4
87.6%
Q1 - 11:16MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)2
13.1%
2
86.9%
Q1 - 11:18OKCMISS Wilcox 15' Jump Shot2
13.4%
2
86.6%
Q1 - 11:33MIAWade Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)2
14.0%
2
86.0%
Q1 - 11:33MIAWade Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)2
14.1%
1
85.9%
Q1 - 11:44OKCWestbrook Layup (2 PTS)2
14.8%
0
85.2%
Q1 - 12:00MIAJump Ball Anthony vs. Green: Tip to Wilcox0
14.0%
0
86.0%

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

OKC
1.04 52.1%
MIA
1.06 53.0%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)
OKC
18
34
53%
MIA
21
34
62%
Midrange
OKC
12
34
35%
MIA
15
39
38%
3PT | Effective 3PT
OKC
5
7.5
13
38%
58%
MIA
5
7.5
12
42%
63%
Free Throws
OKC
24
30
80%
MIA
18
28
64%
Makes
Effective 3P Makes
%
Efficiency
Misses
Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|
OKC logo Thunder
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
R. Westbrook3063%15.0 / 24
J. Green2162%10.5 / 17
K. Durant1845%9.0 / 20
N. Collison1488%7.0 / 8
D. Mason770%3.5 / 5
E. Watson325%1.5 / 6
C. Wilcox220%1.0 / 5
D. Wilkins233%1.0 / 3
J. Petro220%1.0 / 5
TS Makes
TS Misses

Total Points

|
MIA logo Heat
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
D. Wade3863%19.0 / 30
U. Haslem1550%7.5 / 15
S. Marion1544%7.5 / 17
M. Chalmers1583%7.5 / 9
J. Anthony675%3.0 / 4
M. Beasley638%3.0 / 8
Y. Diawara375%1.5 / 2
S. Livingston338%1.5 / 4
D. Cook220%1.0 / 5
J. Magloire233%1.0 / 3
TS Makes
TS Misses

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

OKC
86
+9
-14
95
MIA
86
+13
-14
99
Base
ORB
TOV

Scoring Efficiency

OKC
1.04 52.1%
MIA
1.06 53.0%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Efficiency & PaceThis Game
Efficiency
102.4
107.6
OKC 99.0 +6.0
MIA 105.0
Pace
94.1
90.2
OKC 110.3 +18.9
MIA 91.4
Avg. Poss. Time
15.1
16.3
OKC 13.1 +2.7
MIA 15.8
Four FactorsThis Game
EFG %
47.1%
50.0%
OKC 46.3%
MIA 51.2% +4.9%
TO %
16.4%
13.1%
OKC 12.9%
MIA 12.6% +0.3%
ORB %
28.7%
24.6%
OKC 17.8%
MIA 29.5% +11.7%
FTrt
30.8
28.2
OKC 37.0 +4.1
MIA 32.9
Misc. StatsThis Game
AST %
55.5%
55.1%
OKC 57.1% +1.0%
MIA 56.1%
STL %
7.8%
8.7%
OKC 7.0% +1.0%
MIA 6.0%
BLK %
6.9%
9.2%
OKC 5.5%
MIA 11.8% +6.3%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Shooting EfficiencyThis Game
TS%
50.8%
52.6%
OKC 52.1%
MIA 53.0% +0.9%
Rim FG%
57.9%
59.5%
OKC 52.9%
MIA 61.8% +8.9%
Mid FG%
37.1%
41.8%
OKC 35.3%
MIA 38.5% +3.2%
3P %
34.6%
35.7%
OKC 38.5%
MIA 41.7% +3.2%
FT %
78.6%
75.4%
OKC 80.0% +15.7%
MIA 64.3%
Shot DistributionThis Game
Rim Att. %
38.0%
30.3%
OKC 42.0% +2.0%
MIA 40.0%
Mid Att. %
47.9%
45.2%
OKC 42.0% +3.9%
MIA 45.9%
3P Att. %
14.1%
24.5%
OKC 16.0% +1.9%
MIA 14.1%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.
Game TotalsOKCMIA
Possessions100100
Possession Minutes21.826.3
Points99105
Rebounds3950
Assists2023
Steals76
Blocks48
Turnovers (Team)14 (0)14 (0)
Fouls
Off. Rebounds (Team)8 (1)13 (0)
Def. Rebounds (Team)31 (3)37 (3)
Field Goals35-8141-85
At-the-Rim FG18-3421-34
Midrange FG12-3415-39
2-Point FG30-6836-73
3-Point FG5-135-12
Free Throws24-3018-28
Fast Break Pts
2nd Chance Pts
Points in Paint
Pts off Turnovers
Bench Points
Biggest Lead

BOXSCORE

Access to boxscore predictions requires a premium subscription.
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
F · 6'8" 235 · 22
43.2
21
62%
9
4
1
1
1
1
0
9
3-4
75%
6-10
60%
2-6
33%
F · 6'11" 240 · 20
34.9
18
45%
5
1
1
1
3
1
2
3
4-7
57%
4-13
31%
2-4
50%
G · 6'3" 200 · 20
32.0
30
63%
7
2
2
0
3
3
3
4
10-12
83%
10-17
59%
0-1
0%
C · 6'10" 235 · 26
22.8
2
20%
1
0
0
0
2
4
0
1
2-2
100%
0-4
0%
0-0
-
G · 6'6" 225 · 29
15.8
2
33%
0
0
0
0
0
3
0
0
2-2
100%
0-1
0%
0-1
0%
G · 6'1" 199 · 29
30.4
3
25%
2
12
1
0
3
3
0
2
0-0
-
0-5
0%
1-1
100%
F · 6'10" 255 · 28
27.1
14
88%
8
0
2
1
0
4
3
5
2-2
100%
6-8
75%
0-0
-
G · 6'5" 222 · 31
25.5
7
70%
4
1
0
1
2
3
0
4
1-1
100%
3-5
60%
0-0
-
C · 7'0" 247 · 23
8.4
2
20%
3
0
0
0
0
0
0
3
0-0
-
1-5
20%
0-0
-
F-C · 6'10" 225 · 33
G · 6'6" 201 · 23
C · 6'11" 230 · 23
#31 · C · 7'1" 270 · 23
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
#3 · F · 6'9" 250 · 22
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
#51 · C · 7'0" 245 · 23
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
TOTAL
240
99
52%
39
20
7
4
14
0
8
31
24-30
80%
30-68
44%
5-13
38%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.