FinalWin Prob.pScore
737%93
108
563%98
91
ORTG#PossPace
SAS logo SAS
117.49282.0
DEN logo DEN
100.091103.6

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

NuggetsSpursQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Scoring Margin

NuggetsSpursQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Play-by-Play

Score / WinProb
ClockTeamEventSASDEN
Q4 - 0:00.0DEN108
100%
91
0%
Q4 - 0:20.0SASGinobili 19' Jump Shot (21 PTS)108
99.9%
91
0.1%
Q4 - 0:41.0DENSmith 25' 3PT Jump Shot (15 PTS) (Billups 4 AST)106
99.9%
91
0.1%
Q4 - 0:50.0SASBillups STEAL (1 STL)106
99.9%
88
0.1%
Q4 - 1:09SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:3 Def:9)106
99.9%
88
0.1%
Q4 - 1:11DENMISS Smith Layup106
99.9%
88
0.1%
Q4 - 1:14DENSmith REBOUND (Off:4 Def:6)106
99.9%
88
0.1%
Q4 - 1:15DENMISS Smith Driving Layup106
99.9%
88
0.1%
Q4 - 1:38SASParker Driving Layup (22 PTS)106
99.9%
88
0.1%
Q4 - 1:57DENBillups 19' Jump Shot (12 PTS)104
99.9%
88
0.1%
Q4 - 2:06SASParker 6' Jump Shot (20 PTS)104
99.9%
86
0.1%
Q4 - 2:28SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:3 Def:8)102
99.9%
86
0.1%
Q4 - 2:30DENMISS Anthony Driving Layup102
99.9%
86
0.1%
Q4 - 2:50SASGinobili Free Throw 1 of 1 (19 PTS)102
99.9%
86
0.1%
Q4 - 3:06DENAnthony Foul Turnover (P7.T14)99
99.7%
86
0.3%
Q4 - 3:16DENNUGGETS Rebound99
99.6%
86
0.4%
Q4 - 3:16SASMISS Mason Jr. 24' 3PT Jump Shot99
99.7%
86
0.3%
Q4 - 3:23SASGinobili REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)99
99.8%
86
0.2%
Q4 - 3:25DENMISS Billups 25' 3PT Jump Shot99
99.7%
86
0.3%
Q4 - 3:29DENAnthony REBOUND (Off:0 Def:6)99
99.6%
86
0.4%
Q4 - 3:31SASMISS Mason Jr. 25' 3PT Jump Shot99
99.0%
86
1.0%
Q4 - 3:56DENKleiza 25' 3PT Jump Shot (10 PTS) (Smith 4 AST)99
99.3%
86
0.7%
Q4 - 4:04DENSmith REBOUND (Off:3 Def:6)99
99.7%
83
0.3%
Q4 - 4:06SASMISS Ginobili 25' 3PT Jump Shot99
99.7%
83
0.3%
Q4 - 4:29DENBillups 9' Fadeaway Jumper (10 PTS)99
99.8%
83
0.2%
Q4 - 4:41SASMason Jr. Layup (11 PTS) (Duncan 6 AST)99
99.9%
81
0.1%
Q4 - 4:52DENAnthony Lost Ball Turnover (P6.T13)97
99.8%
81
0.2%
Q4 - 5:06SASSpurs Turnover: Shot Clock (T#14)97
99.3%
81
0.7%
Q4 - 5:07SASBowen REBOUND (Off:3 Def:4)97
99.5%
81
0.5%
Q4 - 5:09SASSmith BLOCK (1 BLK)97
99.4%
81
0.6%
Q4 - 5:34DENNene Dunk (12 PTS) (Smith 3 AST)97
99.5%
81
0.5%
Q4 - 5:42DENSmith REBOUND (Off:3 Def:5)97
99.7%
79
0.3%
Q4 - 5:43SASMISS Mason Jr. 3PT Jump Shot97
99.7%
79
0.3%
Q4 - 6:02DENBillups Foul Turnover (P2.T12)97
99.5%
79
0.5%
Q4 - 6:03DENBillups REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)97
99.4%
79
0.6%
Q4 - 6:06SASMISS Duncan 14' Jump Bank Shot97
99.4%
79
0.6%
Q4 - 6:28DENSmith 25' 3PT Jump Shot (12 PTS) (Billups 3 AST)97
99.5%
79
0.5%
Q4 - 6:34SASAnthony STEAL (3 STL)97
99.7%
76
0.3%
Q4 - 6:50DENBillups 18' Jump Shot (8 PTS)97
99.8%
76
0.2%
Q4 - 7:02SASMason Jr. 25' 3PT Jump Shot (9 PTS) (Duncan 5 AST)97
99.7%
74
0.3%
Q4 - 7:18DENAnthony Foul Turnover (P5.T11)94
99.6%
74
0.4%
Q4 - 7:28SASHill Free Throw 2 of 2 (11 PTS)94
99.4%
74
0.6%
Q4 - 7:28SASHill Free Throw 1 of 2 (10 PTS)93
99.4%
74
0.6%
Q4 - 7:30SASHill REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)92
99.3%
74
0.7%
Q4 - 7:32DENMISS Smith 13' Jump Shot92
99.2%
74
0.8%
Q4 - 7:54SASDuncan Layup (21 PTS) (Parker 8 AST)92
99.0%
74
1.0%
Q4 - 8:10SASMason Jr. REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)90
98.2%
74
1.8%
Q4 - 8:11DENMISS Smith 3PT Jump Shot90
98.1%
74
1.9%
Q4 - 8:19SASAnthony STEAL (2 STL)90
97.7%
74
2.3%
Q4 - 8:23SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:3 Def:7)90
98.2%
74
1.8%
Q4 - 8:25SASMISS Parker 7' Jump Shot90
97.9%
74
2.1%
Q4 - 8:32SASFinley REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)90
98.2%
74
1.8%
Q4 - 8:33DENMISS Smith 19' Jump Shot90
98.1%
74
1.9%
Q4 - 8:41DENSmith REBOUND (Off:3 Def:4)90
97.7%
74
2.3%
Q4 - 8:44SASMISS Duncan 8' Turnaround Hook Shot90
97.9%
74
2.1%
Q4 - 9:00SASFinley REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)90
98.2%
74
1.8%
Q4 - 9:02DENMISS Anthony Driving Layup90
97.4%
74
2.6%
Q4 - 9:11DENNene REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)90
96.9%
74
3.1%
Q4 - 9:11DENMISS Anthony 8' Jump Shot90
97.4%
74
2.6%
Q4 - 9:33SASDuncan Free Throw 2 of 2 (19 PTS)90
97.0%
74
3.0%
Q4 - 9:33SASDuncan Free Throw 1 of 2 (18 PTS)89
96.8%
74
3.2%
Q4 - 9:56DENBillups 26' 3PT Jump Shot (6 PTS)88
96.2%
74
3.8%
Q4 - 10:08SASGinobili Foul Turnover (P1.T11)88
96.9%
71
3.1%
Q4 - 10:28DENSmith REBOUND (Off:3 Def:3)88
97.5%
71
2.5%
Q4 - 10:28DENSmith Tip Shot (9 PTS)88
97.5%
71
2.5%
Q4 - 10:29DENSmith REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)88
98.0%
69
2.0%
Q4 - 10:29DENMISS Smith Layup88
98.3%
69
1.7%
Q4 - 10:31DENSmith REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)88
98.0%
69
2.0%
Q4 - 10:31DENMISS Smith Tip Shot88
98.3%
69
1.7%
Q4 - 10:32DENMISS Smith Layup88
98.3%
69
1.7%
Q4 - 10:44SASParker 19' Jump Shot (18 PTS) (Ginobili 2 AST)88
98.0%
69
2.0%
Q4 - 10:58SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:2 Def:7)86
97.6%
69
2.4%
Q4 - 10:59DENMISS Anthony 7' Turnaround Jump Shot86
97.4%
69
2.6%
Q4 - 11:10DENBillups REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)86
96.2%
69
3.8%
Q4 - 11:12SASMISS Ginobili 25' 3PT Jump Shot86
96.4%
69
3.6%
Q4 - 11:28DENSmith Free Throw 2 of 2 (7 PTS)86
96.9%
69
3.1%
Q4 - 11:28DENSmith Free Throw 1 of 2 (6 PTS)86
97.0%
68
3.0%
Q4 - 11:42SASGinobili 3PT Jump Shot (16 PTS) (Finley 1 AST)86
97.5%
67
2.5%
Q3 - 0:00.0SAS83
96.2%
67
3.8%
Q3 - 0:00.0SASSpurs Rebound83
96.2%
67
3.8%
Q3 - 0:00.0SASMISS Parker 28' 3PT Jump Shot83
95.7%
67
4.3%
Q3 - 0:03.0DENMartin Slam Dunk (12 PTS) (Anthony 3 AST)83
95.3%
67
4.7%
Q3 - 0:07.0DENNUGGETS Rebound83
96.3%
65
3.7%
Q3 - 0:10.0DENMISS Smith Free Throw 2 of 283
96.8%
65
3.2%
Q3 - 0:10.0DENMISS Smith Free Throw 1 of 283
96.3%
65
3.7%
Q3 - 0:29.0SASGinobili 24' 3PT Jump Shot (13 PTS) (Parker 7 AST)83
96.3%
65
3.7%
Q3 - 0:39.0DENSmith Free Throw 1 of 1 (5 PTS)80
94.4%
65
5.6%
Q3 - 0:49.0SASHill Free Throw 2 of 2 (9 PTS)80
96.3%
62
3.7%
Q3 - 0:49.0SASHill Free Throw 1 of 2 (8 PTS)79
96.2%
62
3.8%
Q3 - 1:03DENAnthony Layup (16 PTS)78
94.7%
62
5.3%
Q3 - 1:16DENSmith REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)78
95.7%
60
4.3%
Q3 - 1:17SASMISS Parker 9' Running Jump Shot78
95.9%
60
4.1%
Q3 - 1:27SASBowen REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)78
96.4%
60
3.6%
Q3 - 1:29SASMISS Parker 26' 3PT Jump Shot78
96.0%
60
4.0%
Q3 - 1:59DENAnthony Driving Layup (14 PTS)78
96.4%
60
3.6%
Q3 - 2:05DENKleiza REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)78
96.4%
58
3.6%
Q3 - 2:07SASMISS Mason Jr. 14' Jump Shot78
96.6%
58
3.4%
Q3 - 2:35DENSmith Driving Layup (2 PTS)78
97.0%
58
3.0%
Q3 - 2:41DENSmith REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)78
97.5%
56
2.5%
Q3 - 2:42SASMISS Mason Jr. 26' 3PT Jump Shot78
97.7%
56
2.3%
Q3 - 3:00DENMartin Free Throw 2 of 2 (10 PTS)78
97.9%
56
2.1%
Q3 - 3:00DENMISS Martin Free Throw 1 of 278
98.1%
55
1.9%
Q3 - 3:16SASDuncan Dunk (17 PTS)78
97.5%
55
2.5%
Q3 - 3:32SASMason Jr. REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)76
97.1%
55
2.9%
Q3 - 3:33DENMISS Anthony Free Throw 1 of 176
97.0%
55
3.0%
Q3 - 3:49SASDuncan Free Throw 2 of 2 (15 PTS)76
97.5%
53
2.5%
Q3 - 3:49SASDuncan Free Throw 1 of 2 (14 PTS)75
97.4%
53
2.6%
Q3 - 4:02DENCarter Foul Turnover (P3.T10)74
96.7%
53
3.3%
Q3 - 4:09DENMartin REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)74
96.0%
53
4.0%
Q3 - 4:11SASMISS Hill Driving Layup74
96.2%
53
3.8%
Q3 - 4:23SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:2 Def:6)74
96.7%
53
3.3%
Q3 - 4:25DENMISS Martin 6' Jump Hook Shot74
96.5%
53
3.5%
Q3 - 4:38SASMason Jr. 20' Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Duncan 4 AST)74
96.0%
53
4.0%
Q3 - 4:58DENCarter Free Throw 1 of 1 (5 PTS)72
95.4%
53
4.6%
Q3 - 5:12SASSpurs Turnover: Shot Clock (T#10)72
95.9%
50
4.1%
Q3 - 5:36DENMartin Free Throw 2 of 2 (9 PTS)72
96.6%
50
3.4%
Q3 - 5:36DENMISS Martin Free Throw 1 of 272
96.8%
49
3.2%
Q3 - 5:36DENMartin REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)72
96.6%
49
3.4%
Q3 - 5:37DENMISS Kleiza 3PT Jump Shot72
97.0%
49
3.0%
Q3 - 5:44DENAnthony REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)72
96.6%
49
3.4%
Q3 - 5:46SASMISS Ginobili 10' Running Jump Shot72
96.8%
49
3.2%
Q3 - 5:54SASHill REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)72
97.2%
49
2.8%
Q3 - 5:55DENMISS Nene 17' Jump Shot72
97.0%
49
3.0%
Q3 - 6:08DENAnthony REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)72
96.0%
49
4.0%
Q3 - 6:09SASMISS Hill 18' Jump Shot72
96.2%
49
3.8%
Q3 - 6:32SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:2 Def:5)72
96.7%
49
3.3%
Q3 - 6:34DENMISS Martin Free Throw 2 of 272
96.6%
49
3.4%
Q3 - 6:34DENMartin Free Throw 1 of 2 (8 PTS)72
96.3%
49
3.7%
Q3 - 6:47SASMartin STEAL (1 STL)72
96.6%
48
3.4%
Q3 - 7:04SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)72
96.5%
48
3.5%
Q3 - 7:05DENMISS Billups Driving Layup72
96.3%
48
3.7%
Q3 - 7:14DENAnthony REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)72
96.0%
48
4.0%
Q3 - 7:15SASMISS Duncan 8' Running Hook Shot72
96.1%
48
3.9%
Q3 - 7:40SASGinobili REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)72
96.6%
48
3.4%
Q3 - 7:42DENMISS Anthony Driving Layup72
96.4%
48
3.6%
Q3 - 7:55SASDuncan 17' Jump Bank Shot (13 PTS) (Bowen 1 AST)72
96.0%
48
4.0%
Q3 - 8:12DENNene 18' Jump Shot (10 PTS) (Martin 3 AST)70
95.0%
48
5.0%
Q3 - 8:30SASGinobili 25' 3PT Jump Shot (10 PTS) (Parker 6 AST)70
95.6%
46
4.4%
Q3 - 8:48DENNene Driving Layup (8 PTS) (Martin 2 AST)67
94.2%
46
5.8%
Q3 - 9:08SASParker Driving Layup (16 PTS)67
94.5%
44
5.5%
Q3 - 9:26DENAnthony Bad Pass Turnover (P4.T9)65
93.7%
44
6.3%
Q3 - 9:44SASDuncan 15' Turnaround Jump Shot (11 PTS)65
92.8%
44
7.2%
Q3 - 10:05DENNene Slam Dunk (6 PTS) (Jones 2 AST)63
90.9%
44
9.1%
Q3 - 10:27SASBonner 6' Jump Shot (14 PTS)63
92.0%
42
8.0%
Q3 - 10:29SASBonner REBOUND (Off:3 Def:5)61
90.9%
42
9.1%
Q3 - 10:30SASBonner REBOUND (Off:2 Def:5)61
90.9%
42
9.1%
Q3 - 10:30SASMISS Bonner Tip Shot61
90.1%
42
9.9%
Q3 - 10:31SASMISS Parker 3PT Jump Shot61
90.1%
42
9.9%
Q3 - 10:49DENMartin Traveling Turnover (P2.T8)61
90.9%
42
9.1%
Q3 - 11:03DENNene REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)61
88.7%
42
11.3%
Q3 - 11:05SASBillups BLOCK (1 BLK)61
89.2%
42
10.8%
Q3 - 11:09SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)61
90.1%
42
9.9%
Q3 - 11:11DENMISS Anthony 15' Jump Shot61
89.7%
42
10.3%
Q3 - 11:19DENAnthony REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)61
88.8%
42
11.2%
Q3 - 11:21SASMISS Duncan 18' Jump Shot61
89.2%
42
10.8%
Q3 - 11:41DENMartin Free Throw 2 of 2 (7 PTS)61
90.2%
42
9.8%
Q3 - 11:41DENMISS Martin Free Throw 1 of 261
90.6%
41
9.4%
Q2 - 0:00.0SAS61
90.1%
41
9.9%
Q2 - 0:00.0SASSpurs Rebound61
91.4%
41
8.6%
Q2 - 0:00.0SASMISS Mason Jr. 25' 3PT Running Jump Shot61
90.5%
41
9.5%
Q2 - 0:02.0SASMason Jr. REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)61
90.4%
41
9.6%
Q2 - 0:03.0DENMISS Billups 17' Jump Shot61
90.1%
41
9.9%
Q2 - 0:13.0SASBonner Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T8)61
89.5%
41
10.5%
Q2 - 0:13.0SASBonner REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)61
90.4%
41
9.6%
Q2 - 0:14.0DENMISS Nene Layup61
90.2%
41
9.8%
Q2 - 0:32.0SASParker 21' Jump Shot (14 PTS)61
89.5%
41
10.5%
Q2 - 0:48.0SASBowen REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)59
87.9%
41
12.1%
Q2 - 0:49.0DENMISS Billups 17' Jump Shot59
87.6%
41
12.4%
Q2 - 0:54.0DENMartin REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)59
86.8%
41
13.2%
Q2 - 0:56.0DENMISS Martin 17' Jump Shot59
87.6%
41
12.4%
Q2 - 1:08SASParker 19' Jump Shot (12 PTS)59
86.0%
41
14.0%
Q2 - 1:27SASBowen REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)57
83.9%
41
16.1%
Q2 - 1:28DENMISS Billups 20' Jump Shot57
83.5%
41
16.5%
Q2 - 1:40SASBonner 25' 3PT Jump Shot (12 PTS) (Parker 5 AST)57
82.6%
41
17.4%
Q2 - 1:55DENKleiza Free Throw 2 of 2 (7 PTS)54
77.9%
41
22.1%
Q2 - 1:55DENKleiza Free Throw 1 of 2 (6 PTS)54
78.3%
40
21.7%
Q2 - 1:55DENNUGGETS Rebound54
80.6%
39
19.4%
Q2 - 1:57SASMISS Mason Jr. 24' 3PT Jump Shot54
81.1%
39
18.9%
Q2 - 2:15DENAnthony Foul Turnover (P3.T7)54
81.3%
39
18.7%
Q2 - 2:32SASParker Foul Turnover (P4.T7)54
79.2%
39
20.8%
Q2 - 2:45DENBillups Out of Bounds Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T6)54
81.3%
39
18.7%
Q2 - 2:54DENNUGGETS Rebound54
79.3%
39
20.7%
Q2 - 2:54SASMISS Mason Jr. 24' 3PT Jump Shot54
79.9%
39
20.1%
Q2 - 3:15SASMason Jr. Free Throw Technical (4 PTS)54
80.7%
39
19.3%
Q2 - 3:18DENAnthony Foul Turnover (P2.T5)53
78.6%
39
21.4%
Q2 - 3:31SASOberto Layup (2 PTS) (Parker 4 AST)53
76.1%
39
23.9%
Q2 - 3:52DENMartin Driving Layup (6 PTS)51
74.2%
39
25.8%
Q2 - 4:14SASBowen 21' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Parker 3 AST)51
75.2%
37
24.8%
Q2 - 4:34SASGinobili REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)49
73.0%
37
27.0%
Q2 - 4:35DENMISS Nene 16' Jump Shot49
72.3%
37
27.7%
Q2 - 4:56SASParker 19' Jump Shot (10 PTS) (Oberto 4 AST)49
70.4%
37
29.6%
Q2 - 5:15DENMartin 20' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Carter 3 AST)47
67.1%
37
32.9%
Q2 - 5:21DENNene REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)47
69.7%
35
30.3%
Q2 - 5:23SASMISS Bowen 24' 3PT Jump Shot47
70.5%
35
29.5%
Q2 - 5:26SASBowen REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)47
72.1%
35
27.9%
Q2 - 5:28SASMartin BLOCK (2 BLK)47
70.5%
35
29.5%
Q2 - 5:42DENMartin 5' Running Hook Shot (2 PTS) (Carter 2 AST)47
72.1%
35
27.9%
Q2 - 6:05SASHill 25' 3PT Jump Shot (7 PTS) (Mason Jr. 2 AST)47
73.2%
33
26.8%
Q2 - 6:21SASMason Jr. REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)44
69.0%
33
31.0%
Q2 - 6:22DENMISS Carter 25' 3PT Jump Shot44
68.1%
33
31.9%
Q2 - 6:46SASHill 18' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Mason Jr. 1 AST)44
66.0%
33
34.0%
Q2 - 7:02DENMartin Foul Turnover (P1.T4)42
62.9%
33
37.1%
Q2 - 7:11DENKleiza REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)42
60.2%
33
39.8%
Q2 - 7:12SASMISS Mason Jr. 24' 3PT Jump Shot42
61.0%
33
39.0%
Q2 - 7:18SASGinobili REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)42
62.9%
33
37.1%
Q2 - 7:20DENMISS Nene 17' Turnaround Jump Shot42
62.1%
33
37.9%
Q2 - 7:38SASMason Jr. 28' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Duncan 3 AST)42
60.2%
33
39.8%
Q2 - 7:52SASHill REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)39
54.8%
33
45.2%
Q2 - 7:54DENMISS Billups 25' 3PT Jump Shot39
53.9%
33
46.1%
Q2 - 7:58DENKleiza REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)39
51.8%
33
48.2%
Q2 - 8:03SASMISS Hill 3' Layup39
52.0%
33
48.0%
Q2 - 8:20SASHill REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)39
53.9%
33
46.1%
Q2 - 8:21DENMISS Smith Free Throw 2 of 239
53.5%
33
46.5%
Q2 - 8:21DENMISS Smith Free Throw 1 of 239
51.7%
33
48.3%
Q2 - 8:41SASGinobili 3PT Jump Shot (7 PTS) (Hill 2 AST)39
51.2%
33
48.8%
Q2 - 8:54DENKleiza Free Throw 2 of 2 (5 PTS)36
45.7%
33
54.3%
Q2 - 8:54DENKleiza Free Throw 1 of 2 (4 PTS)36
46.2%
32
53.8%
Q2 - 8:57SASCarter STEAL (1 STL)36
48.5%
31
51.5%
Q2 - 9:04SASFinley REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)36
50.5%
31
49.5%
Q2 - 9:06DENMISS Carter 18' Jump Shot36
49.7%
31
50.3%
Q2 - 9:12DENAndersen REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)36
47.8%
31
52.2%
Q2 - 9:13SASMISS Hill 25' 3PT Jump Shot36
48.6%
31
51.4%
Q2 - 9:36SASHill REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)36
50.6%
31
49.4%
Q2 - 9:37DENMISS Smith 26' 3PT Jump Shot36
49.7%
31
50.3%
Q2 - 9:48SASGinobili Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)36
47.8%
31
52.2%
Q2 - 9:48SASGinobili Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)35
47.5%
31
52.5%
Q2 - 9:55SASBonner REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)34
45.2%
31
54.8%
Q2 - 9:57DENMISS Kleiza Driving Layup34
44.4%
31
55.6%
Q2 - 10:10DENAndersen REBOUND (Off:2 Def:0)34
42.3%
31
57.7%
Q2 - 10:11DENMISS Kleiza 25' 3PT Jump Shot34
44.1%
31
55.9%
Q2 - 10:21SASHill Layup (2 PTS)34
42.3%
31
57.7%
Q2 - 10:36DENKleiza 25' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Smith 1 AST)32
39.8%
31
60.2%
Q2 - 10:46DENSmith REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)32
44.9%
28
55.1%
Q2 - 10:47SASMISS Duncan 22' Jump Shot32
45.7%
28
54.3%
Q2 - 11:08SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)32
47.2%
28
52.8%
Q2 - 11:10DENAndersen REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)32
44.6%
28
55.4%
Q2 - 11:10DENMISS Andersen Tip Shot32
46.4%
28
53.6%
Q2 - 11:12DENMISS Smith Layup32
46.4%
28
53.6%
Q2 - 11:19DENNUGGETS Rebound32
44.6%
28
55.4%
Q2 - 11:19DENMISS Anthony Driving Layup32
46.4%
28
53.6%
Q2 - 11:33SASDuncan 5' Jump Hook Shot (9 PTS) (Hill 1 AST)32
44.6%
28
55.4%
Q2 - 11:45DENAndersen Slam Dunk (7 PTS) (Anthony 2 AST)30
42.2%
28
57.8%
Q1 - 0:00.0SAS30
44.6%
26
55.4%
Q1 - 0:00.0SASSpurs Rebound30
47.2%
26
52.8%
Q1 - 0:00.0SASMISS Hill 58' 3PT Jump Shot30
45.4%
26
54.6%
Q1 - 0:00.0DENCarter Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T3)30
47.2%
26
52.8%
Q1 - 0:01.0SASHill Foul Turnover (P1.T5)30
44.2%
26
55.8%
Q1 - 0:05.0DENAndersen 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Carter 1 AST)30
46.0%
26
54.0%
Q1 - 0:25.0SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)30
51.6%
23
48.4%
Q1 - 0:25.0SASDuncan Layup (7 PTS)30
51.6%
23
48.4%
Q1 - 0:26.0SASBonner REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)28
48.6%
23
51.4%
Q1 - 0:26.0SASAndersen BLOCK (2 BLK)28
47.3%
23
52.7%
Q1 - 0:29.0SASKleiza BLOCK (1 BLK)28
47.3%
23
52.7%
Q1 - 0:45.0DENCarter Foul Turnover (P1.T2)28
48.6%
23
51.4%
Q1 - 0:51.0SASBonner 14' Jump Shot (9 PTS) (Oberto 3 AST)28
46.7%
23
53.3%
Q1 - 1:00DENCarter Finger Roll Layup (2 PTS)26
43.7%
23
56.3%
Q1 - 1:16SASAnthony STEAL (1 STL)26
46.3%
21
53.7%
Q1 - 1:28SASBowen REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)26
47.9%
21
52.1%
Q1 - 1:29DENMISS Anthony 17' Jump Shot26
47.4%
21
52.6%
Q1 - 1:49SASParker Layup (8 PTS) (Oberto 2 AST)26
46.3%
21
53.7%
Q1 - 2:01DENAndersen Layup (2 PTS) (Anthony 1 AST)24
43.1%
21
56.9%
Q1 - 2:12DENAnthony REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)24
45.8%
19
54.2%
Q1 - 2:14SASAndersen BLOCK (1 BLK)24
46.4%
19
53.6%
Q1 - 2:30SASOberto REBOUND (Off:3 Def:0)24
47.7%
19
52.3%
Q1 - 2:32SASMISS Bowen 9' Running Jump Shot24
46.4%
19
53.6%
Q1 - 2:47SASOberto REBOUND (Off:2 Def:0)24
47.7%
19
52.3%
Q1 - 2:48SASMISS Parker 20' Jump Shot24
46.4%
19
53.6%
Q1 - 3:06DENAnthony 3 Second Violation Turnover (P1.T1)24
47.7%
19
52.3%
Q1 - 3:19SASParker Free Throw 2 of 2 (6 PTS)24
45.4%
19
54.6%
Q1 - 3:19SASParker Free Throw 1 of 2 (5 PTS)23
44.9%
19
55.1%
Q1 - 3:23SASBowen REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)22
43.2%
19
56.8%
Q1 - 3:24DENMISS Andersen Layup22
42.5%
19
57.5%
Q1 - 3:41SASParker Out of Bounds Lost Ball Turnover (P2.T3)22
41.0%
19
59.0%
Q1 - 3:50SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)22
43.2%
19
56.8%
Q1 - 3:51DENMISS Anthony 22' Jump Shot22
42.5%
19
57.5%
Q1 - 4:02SASParker Driving Layup (4 PTS) (Oberto 1 AST)22
40.3%
19
59.7%
Q1 - 4:19DENAnthony 21' Jump Shot (10 PTS) (Martin 1 AST)20
38.4%
19
61.6%
Q1 - 4:35SASParker 20' Jump Shot (2 PTS)20
40.4%
17
59.6%
Q1 - 4:47SASOberto REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)18
38.4%
17
61.6%
Q1 - 4:49SASMISS Mason Jr. 9' Running Jump Shot18
36.9%
17
63.1%
Q1 - 5:13DENAnthony Driving Finger Roll Layup (8 PTS)18
38.3%
17
61.7%
Q1 - 5:28SASDuncan Free Throw 2 of 2 (5 PTS)18
40.1%
15
59.9%
Q1 - 5:28SASMISS Duncan Free Throw 1 of 217
39.6%
15
60.4%
Q1 - 5:35SASBonner REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)17
40.4%
15
59.6%
Q1 - 5:40DENMISS Nene Layup17
39.7%
15
60.3%
Q1 - 5:43DENNene REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)17
38.1%
15
61.9%
Q1 - 5:46DENMISS Nene 10' Jump Shot17
39.7%
15
60.3%
Q1 - 6:12SASBonner Layup (7 PTS) (Ginobili 1 AST)17
37.8%
15
62.2%
Q1 - 6:16SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)15
35.9%
15
64.1%
Q1 - 6:17SASMISS Ginobili 25' 3PT Jump Shot15
34.5%
15
65.5%
Q1 - 6:33SASSpurs Rebound15
35.9%
15
64.1%
Q1 - 6:34DENMISS Jones Driving Layup15
35.3%
15
64.7%
Q1 - 6:42DENMartin REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)15
33.9%
15
66.1%
Q1 - 6:44SASMartin BLOCK (1 BLK)15
34.5%
15
65.5%
Q1 - 6:49SASBonner REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)15
36.0%
15
64.0%
Q1 - 6:50DENMISS Billups 15' Jump Shot15
35.3%
15
64.7%
Q1 - 7:12SASBonner Layup (5 PTS) (Duncan 2 AST)15
33.6%
15
66.4%
Q1 - 7:27DENAnthony 18' Jump Shot (6 PTS)13
32.0%
15
68.0%
Q1 - 7:33SASDuncan Out of Bounds Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T2)13
33.7%
13
66.3%
Q1 - 7:55DENJones Driving Layup (2 PTS)13
35.8%
13
64.2%
Q1 - 8:00SASNene STEAL (1 STL)13
37.5%
11
62.5%
Q1 - 8:20DENAnthony Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)13
39.4%
11
60.6%
Q1 - 8:20DENAnthony Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)13
39.8%
10
60.2%
Q1 - 8:34SASFinley 21' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Parker 2 AST)13
41.5%
9
58.5%
Q1 - 8:48SASParker REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)11
39.5%
9
60.5%
Q1 - 8:50DENMISS Martin 20' Jump Shot11
38.8%
9
61.2%
Q1 - 9:02DENMartin REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)11
37.5%
9
62.5%
Q1 - 9:03SASMISS Parker 22' Jump Shot11
38.0%
9
62.0%
Q1 - 9:10SASBonner REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)11
39.2%
9
60.8%
Q1 - 9:11DENMISS Billups 15' Jump Shot11
38.7%
9
61.3%
Q1 - 9:26SASDuncan Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)11
37.5%
9
62.5%
Q1 - 9:26SASDuncan Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)10
37.0%
9
63.0%
Q1 - 9:47DENBillups 24' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS)9
35.5%
9
64.5%
Q1 - 10:06SASFinley 17' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Duncan 1 AST)9
38.7%
6
61.3%
Q1 - 10:28DENNene 17' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Billups 1 AST)7
37.1%
6
62.9%
Q1 - 10:44SASDuncan 15' Jump Bank Shot (2 PTS)7
38.7%
4
61.3%
Q1 - 10:59DENNene 18' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Jones 1 AST)5
37.1%
4
62.9%
Q1 - 11:22SASBonner 26' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Parker 1 AST)5
37.9%
2
62.1%
Q1 - 11:38DENAnthony Driving Layup (2 PTS)2
34.9%
2
65.1%
Q1 - 11:54SASGinobili 18' Jump Shot (2 PTS)2
36.4%
0
63.6%
Q1 - 12:00DENJump Ball Nene vs. Duncan: Tip to Ginobili0
34.9%
0
65.1%

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

SAS
1.14 56.8%
DEN
1.01 50.6%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)
SAS
14
22
64%
DEN
18
35
51%
Midrange
SAS
18
34
53%
DEN
10
30
33%
3PT | Effective 3PT
SAS
9
13.5
26
35%
52%
DEN
7
10.5
14
50%
75%
Free Throws
SAS
17
18
94%
DEN
14
23
61%
Makes
Effective 3P Makes
%
Efficiency
Misses
Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|
SAS logo Spurs
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
T. Parker2250%11.0 / 22
T. Duncan2166%10.5 / 16
M. Ginobili2188%10.5 / 12
M. Bonner1488%7.0 / 8
R. Mason Jr.1139%5.5 / 14
G. Hill1155%5.5 / 10
M. Finley4100%2.0 / 2
B. Bowen225%1.0 / 4
F. Oberto250%1.0 / 2
TS Makes
TS Misses

Total Points

|
DEN logo Nuggets
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
C. Anthony1647%8.0 / 17
J. Smith1542%7.5 / 18
C. Billups1246%6.0 / 13
Nene1250%6.0 / 12
K. Martin1255%6.0 / 11
L. Kleiza1083%5.0 / 6
C. Andersen770%3.5 / 5
A. Carter563%2.5 / 4
D. Jones250%1.0 / 2
TS Makes
TS Misses

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

SAS
79
+15
-13
94
DEN
77
+12
-14
89
Base
ORB
TOV

Scoring Efficiency

SAS
1.14 56.8%
DEN
1.01 50.6%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Efficiency & PaceThis Game
Efficiency
108.3
110.2
SAS 117.4 +17.4
DEN 100.0
Pace
88.7
94.5
SAS 82.0
DEN 103.6 +21.6
Avg. Poss. Time
16.5
14.7
SAS 17.6
DEN 13.9 +3.7
Four FactorsThis Game
EFG %
51.3%
51.2%
SAS 55.5% +6.8%
DEN 48.7%
TO %
12.4%
15.8%
SAS 14.3%
DEN 13.6% +0.7%
ORB %
22.2%
27.5%
SAS 34.3% +12.1%
DEN 22.2%
FTrt
25.1
38.2
SAS 22.0
DEN 29.1 +7.1
Misc. StatsThis Game
AST %
57.1%
59.5%
SAS 65.9% +11.6%
DEN 54.3%
STL %
6.5%
9.1%
SAS 2.2%
DEN 7.7% +5.5%
BLK %
6.1%
9.7%
SAS 12.3%
DEN 12.5% +0.2%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.55 and 2.55.

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Shooting EfficiencyThis Game
TS%
53.4%
54.8%
SAS 56.8% +6.2%
DEN 50.6%
Rim FG%
58.8%
60.5%
SAS 63.6% +12.2%
DEN 51.4%
Mid FG%
42.7%
38.7%
SAS 52.9% +19.6%
DEN 33.3%
3P %
38.6%
37.1%
SAS 34.6%
DEN 50.0% +15.4%
FT %
76.2%
76.0%
SAS 94.4% +33.5%
DEN 60.9%
Shot DistributionThis Game
Rim Att. %
30.3%
39.7%
SAS 26.8%
DEN 44.3% +17.5%
Mid Att. %
44.9%
37.6%
SAS 41.5%
DEN 38.0% +3.5%
3P Att. %
24.8%
22.7%
SAS 31.7% +14.0%
DEN 17.7%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.
Game TotalsSASDEN
Possessions9291
Possession Minutes26.921.1
Points10891
Rebounds4733
Assists2719
Steals27
Blocks87
Turnovers (Team)13 (2)14 (0)
Fouls
Off. Rebounds (Team)12 (3)10 (2)
Def. Rebounds (Team)35 (1)23 (3)
Field Goals41-8235-79
At-the-Rim FG14-2218-35
Midrange FG18-3410-30
2-Point FG32-5628-65
3-Point FG9-267-14
Free Throws17-1814-23
Fast Break Pts
2nd Chance Pts
Points in Paint
Pts off Turnovers
Bench Points
Biggest Lead

BOXSCORE

Access to boxscore predictions requires a premium subscription.
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
F · 6'11" 250 · 33
38.6
21
66%
12
7
1
5
2
4
3
9
7-8
88%
7-12
58%
0-0
-
G · 6'2" 185 · 27
36.2
22
50%
1
8
0
0
7
1
0
1
2-2
100%
10-18
56%
0-3
0%
G · 6'6" 205 · 31
29.8
21
88%
4
2
1
0
1
3
0
4
3-3
100%
3-4
75%
4-7
57%
C · 6'10" 235 · 29
28.9
14
88%
8
0
0
2
1
2
3
5
0-0
-
4-6
67%
2-2
100%
F · 6'7" 225 · 36
13.9
4
100%
3
1
0
0
1
5
0
3
0-0
-
2-2
100%
0-0
-
F · 6'7" 200 · 37
31.9
2
25%
7
1
0
1
0
3
3
4
0-0
-
1-3
33%
0-1
0%
G · 6'5" 205 · 28
29.4
11
39%
4
2
0
0
0
0
0
4
1-1
100%
2-4
50%
2-10
20%
G · 6'3" 188 · 23
19.4
11
55%
5
2
0
0
1
5
0
5
4-4
100%
2-5
40%
1-3
33%
C · 6'10" 245 · 34
11.8
2
50%
3
4
0
0
0
1
3
0
0-0
-
1-2
50%
0-0
-
G-F · 6'5" 220 · 31
F · 6'9" 240 · 36
G · 6'1" 190 · 34
#28 · C · 6'11" 262 · 22
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
#35 · F · 6'8" 240 · 24
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
#19 · G · 6'2" 190 · 25
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
TOTAL
240
108
57%
47
27
2
8
13
0
12
35
17-18
94%
32-56
57%
9-26
35%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.