FinalWin Prob.pScore
2824%89
97
1276%99
107
ORTG#PossPace
MIL logo MIL
101.096100.8
DET logo DET
112.69590.7

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

PistonsBucksQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Scoring Margin

PistonsBucksQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Play-by-Play

Score / WinProb
ClockTeamEventMILDET
Q4 - 0:00.0DET97
0%
107
100%
Q4 - 0:15.0DETAfflalo REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)97
0.1%
107
99.9%
Q4 - 0:16.0MILMISS Sessions 24' 3PT Jump Shot97
0.1%
107
99.9%
Q4 - 0:24.0MILSessions REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)97
0.1%
107
99.9%
Q4 - 0:24.0MILMISS Alexander 27' 3PT Jump Shot97
0.1%
107
99.9%
Q4 - 0:31.0DETHerrmann Out of Bounds Lost Ball Turnover (P3.T14)97
0.1%
107
99.9%
Q4 - 0:34.0DETHerrmann REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)97
0.1%
107
99.9%
Q4 - 0:35.0MILMISS Allen Free Throw 2 of 297
0.1%
107
99.9%
Q4 - 0:35.0MILMISS Allen Free Throw 1 of 297
0.1%
107
99.9%
Q4 - 0:35.0MILAllen REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)97
0.1%
107
99.9%
Q4 - 0:36.0MILMISS Allen Layup97
0.1%
107
99.9%
Q4 - 0:48.0MILAlexander REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)97
0.1%
107
99.9%
Q4 - 0:49.0DETMISS Maxiell 16' Jump Shot97
0.1%
107
99.9%
Q4 - 1:13MILBell 27' 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Sessions 4 AST)97
0.1%
107
99.9%
Q4 - 1:18MILAlexander REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)94
0.1%
107
99.9%
Q4 - 1:20DETMISS Sharpe Layup94
0.1%
107
99.9%
Q4 - 1:37DETAfflalo REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)94
0.1%
107
99.9%
Q4 - 1:39MILMISS Allen 21' Jump Shot94
0.1%
107
99.9%
Q4 - 1:50DETMISS Sharpe 17' Jump Shot94
0.1%
107
99.9%
Q4 - 2:11MILBucks Rebound94
0.2%
107
99.8%
Q4 - 2:11MILAlexander Free Throw 2 of 2 (6 PTS)94
0.1%
107
99.9%
Q4 - 2:11MILMISS Alexander Free Throw 1 of 293
0.1%
107
99.9%
Q4 - 2:22DETAfflalo Kicked Ball Violation Turnover (P3.T13)93
0.1%
107
99.9%
Q4 - 2:22DETPISTONS Rebound93
0.1%
107
99.9%
Q4 - 2:23DETMISS Afflalo Reverse Layup93
0.1%
107
99.9%
Q4 - 2:47MILJefferson Reverse Layup (21 PTS) (Alexander 1 AST)93
0.1%
107
99.9%
Q4 - 3:04DETHerrmann 26' 3PT Jump Shot (16 PTS) (Wallace 2 AST)91
0.1%
107
99.9%
Q4 - 3:30MILJefferson 15' Jump Shot (19 PTS)91
0.1%
104
99.9%
Q4 - 3:43DETAfflalo Layup (9 PTS) (Maxiell 1 AST)89
0.3%
104
99.7%
Q4 - 4:00DETAfflalo REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)89
0.3%
102
99.7%
Q4 - 4:03MILMISS Jefferson 25' 3PT Jump Shot89
0.4%
102
99.6%
Q4 - 4:09MILAllen REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)89
0.5%
102
99.5%
Q4 - 4:10DETMISS Herrmann 24' 3PT Jump Shot89
0.4%
102
99.6%
Q4 - 4:33MILAllen 17' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Bell 4 AST)89
0.3%
102
99.7%
Q4 - 4:46MILJefferson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:6)87
0.2%
102
99.8%
Q4 - 4:47DETMISS Maxiell Free Throw 1 of 187
0.2%
102
99.8%
Q4 - 4:48DETMaxiell REBOUND (Off:5 Def:3)87
0.3%
100
99.7%
Q4 - 4:49DETMISS Wallace 26' 3PT Jump Shot87
0.4%
100
99.6%
Q4 - 5:05MILJefferson Free Throw 2 of 2 (17 PTS)87
0.6%
100
99.4%
Q4 - 5:05MILJefferson Free Throw 1 of 2 (16 PTS)86
0.6%
100
99.4%
Q4 - 5:16MILAlexander REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)85
0.5%
100
99.5%
Q4 - 5:17DETMISS Iverson Free Throw 2 of 285
0.4%
100
99.6%
Q4 - 5:17DETMISS Iverson Free Throw 1 of 285
0.3%
100
99.7%
Q4 - 5:20DETIverson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)85
0.3%
100
99.7%
Q4 - 5:22MILMISS Gadzuric 18' Jump Shot85
0.4%
100
99.6%
Q4 - 5:42DETHerrmann 3PT Jump Shot (13 PTS) (Iverson 7 AST)85
0.4%
100
99.6%
Q4 - 5:56MILSessions 11' Running Jump Shot (21 PTS) (Jefferson 1 AST)85
0.8%
97
99.2%
Q4 - 6:15DETHerrmann 3PT Jump Shot (10 PTS) (Iverson 6 AST)83
0.9%
97
99.1%
Q4 - 6:25DETIverson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)83
1.7%
94
98.3%
Q4 - 6:27MILMISS Sessions 16' Jump Shot83
1.8%
94
98.2%
Q4 - 6:34MILBucks Rebound83
2.3%
94
97.7%
Q4 - 6:35MILMaxiell BLOCK (6 BLK)83
1.8%
94
98.2%
Q4 - 6:51DETHerrmann Free Throw 2 of 2 (7 PTS)83
2.3%
94
97.7%
Q4 - 6:51DETMISS Herrmann Free Throw 1 of 283
2.4%
93
97.6%
Q4 - 6:51DETHerrmann REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)83
2.2%
93
97.8%
Q4 - 6:52DETMISS Iverson 17' Jump Shot83
2.8%
93
97.2%
Q4 - 7:15DETMaxiell REBOUND (Off:4 Def:3)83
2.7%
93
97.3%
Q4 - 7:18MILMISS Gadzuric 11' Hook Shot83
3.0%
93
97.0%
Q4 - 7:30DETIverson Bad Pass Turnover (P3.T12)83
3.6%
93
96.4%
Q4 - 7:51MILMbah a Moute 17' Jump Shot (9 PTS) (Bell 3 AST)83
2.7%
93
97.3%
Q4 - 8:06DETHerrmann 3PT Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Iverson 5 AST)81
2.5%
93
97.5%
Q4 - 8:22MILSessions 8' Running Bank Shot (19 PTS)81
4.2%
90
95.8%
Q4 - 8:35DETAfflalo Dunk (7 PTS) (Iverson 4 AST)79
3.2%
90
96.8%
Q4 - 8:37MILIverson STEAL (3 STL)79
4.2%
88
95.8%
Q4 - 8:56DETIverson 18' Jump Shot (17 PTS)79
5.3%
88
94.7%
Q4 - 9:13MILSessions Free Throw 2 of 2 (17 PTS)79
7.7%
86
92.3%
Q4 - 9:13MILSessions Free Throw 1 of 2 (16 PTS)78
7.3%
86
92.7%
Q4 - 9:24DETIverson 21' Jump Shot (15 PTS)77
6.0%
86
94.0%
Q4 - 9:31DETPISTONS Rebound77
7.6%
84
92.4%
Q4 - 9:32DETMISS Afflalo 25' 3PT Jump Shot77
8.8%
84
91.2%
Q4 - 9:46MILVillanueva Traveling Turnover (P3.T13)77
7.6%
84
92.4%
Q4 - 9:58MILJefferson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)77
9.4%
84
90.6%
Q4 - 10:00DETMISS Wallace 21' Jump Shot77
8.8%
84
91.2%
Q4 - 10:11DETHerrmann REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)77
8.1%
84
91.9%
Q4 - 10:12MILMISS Sessions Free Throw 2 of 277
8.4%
84
91.6%
Q4 - 10:12MILSessions Free Throw 1 of 2 (15 PTS)77
9.6%
84
90.4%
Q4 - 10:23DETIverson 18' Jump Shot (13 PTS)76
8.1%
84
91.9%
Q4 - 10:38MILMbah a Moute Foul Turnover (P2.T12)76
10.0%
82
90.0%
Q4 - 10:44DETHerrmann Out of Bounds Lost Ball Turnover (P2.T11)76
12.2%
82
87.8%
Q4 - 10:59MILVillanueva Putback Layup (10 PTS)76
10.0%
82
90.0%
Q4 - 11:00MILVillanueva REBOUND (Off:4 Def:2)74
8.1%
82
91.9%
Q4 - 11:01MILMaxiell BLOCK (5 BLK)74
7.6%
82
92.4%
Q4 - 11:15DETHerrmann Foul Turnover (P1.T10)74
8.6%
82
91.4%
Q4 - 11:31MILSessions 11' Running Jump Shot (14 PTS)74
7.1%
82
92.9%
Q4 - 11:40DETIverson Traveling Turnover (P2.T9)72
5.8%
82
94.2%
Q3 - 0:00.0MIL72
4.7%
82
95.3%
Q3 - 0:00.0MILBucks Rebound72
5.7%
82
94.3%
Q3 - 0:00.0MILMaxiell BLOCK (4 BLK)72
5.0%
82
95.0%
Q3 - 0:01.0DETHamilton Free Throw 2 of 2 (12 PTS)72
6.2%
82
93.8%
Q3 - 0:01.0DETMISS Hamilton Free Throw 1 of 272
6.4%
81
93.6%
Q3 - 0:21.0DETPrince REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)72
6.3%
81
93.7%
Q3 - 0:22.0MILMISS Villanueva 26' 3PT Jump Shot72
6.7%
81
93.3%
Q3 - 0:35.0MILGadzuric REBOUND (Off:5 Def:7)72
7.5%
81
92.5%
Q3 - 0:36.0DETMISS Prince 18' Jump Shot72
7.1%
81
92.9%
Q3 - 0:50.0DETMaxiell REBOUND (Off:4 Def:2)72
6.3%
81
93.7%
Q3 - 0:51.0DETMISS Hamilton 24' 3PT Jump Shot72
7.1%
81
92.9%
Q3 - 1:06MILSessions Free Throw 2 of 2 (12 PTS)72
6.6%
81
93.4%
Q3 - 1:06MILSessions Free Throw 1 of 2 (11 PTS)71
6.4%
81
93.6%
Q3 - 1:34DETMaxiell Dunk (11 PTS) (Prince 3 AST)70
5.4%
81
94.6%
Q3 - 1:42DETHamilton REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)70
6.6%
79
93.4%
Q3 - 1:43MILMISS Villanueva Tip Shot70
6.9%
79
93.1%
Q3 - 1:44MILVillanueva REBOUND (Off:3 Def:2)70
7.8%
79
92.2%
Q3 - 1:45MILMISS Gadzuric Layup70
6.9%
79
93.1%
Q3 - 1:46MILGadzuric REBOUND (Off:5 Def:6)70
7.8%
79
92.2%
Q3 - 1:47MILMISS Villanueva 6' Jump Shot70
6.9%
79
93.1%
Q3 - 2:02DETMaxiell Free Throw 2 of 2 (9 PTS)70
8.2%
79
91.8%
Q3 - 2:02DETMaxiell Free Throw 1 of 2 (8 PTS)70
8.7%
78
91.3%
Q3 - 2:03DETMaxiell REBOUND (Off:3 Def:2)70
9.7%
77
90.3%
Q3 - 2:04DETMISS Iverson Layup70
10.9%
77
89.1%
Q3 - 2:18MILVillanueva 10' Hook Shot (8 PTS)70
9.7%
77
90.3%
Q3 - 2:36DETIverson Traveling Turnover (P1.T8)68
8.1%
77
91.9%
Q3 - 2:48DETJohnson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)68
6.8%
77
93.2%
Q3 - 2:49MILMISS Jefferson 20' Jump Shot68
7.2%
77
92.8%
Q3 - 3:03DETHamilton 17' Jump Shot (11 PTS) (Prince 2 AST)68
8.3%
77
91.7%
Q3 - 3:21MILJefferson 18' Jump Shot (15 PTS) (Bell 2 AST)68
9.7%
75
90.3%
Q3 - 3:39DETIverson Free Throw 2 of 2 (11 PTS)66
8.3%
75
91.7%
Q3 - 3:39DETMISS Iverson Free Throw 1 of 266
8.6%
74
91.4%
Q3 - 3:39MILIverson STEAL (2 STL)66
8.2%
74
91.8%
Q3 - 3:42DETWallace Out of Bounds Lost Ball Turnover (P2.T7)66
9.8%
74
90.2%
Q3 - 3:57DETBrown REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)66
8.2%
74
91.8%
Q3 - 3:58MILMISS Ridnour 18' Jump Shot66
8.7%
74
91.3%
Q3 - 4:16DETHamilton 18' Jump Shot (9 PTS) (Stuckey 5 AST)66
10.1%
74
89.9%
Q3 - 4:33MILVillanueva Layup (6 PTS)66
11.5%
72
88.5%
Q3 - 4:34MILVillanueva REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)64
10.1%
72
89.9%
Q3 - 4:35MILMISS Gadzuric 13' Turnaround Jump Shot64
8.9%
72
91.1%
Q3 - 4:57DETPrince Free Throw 2 of 2 (10 PTS)64
10.1%
72
89.9%
Q3 - 4:57DETMISS Prince Free Throw 1 of 264
10.4%
71
89.6%
Q3 - 5:09MILVillanueva Foul Turnover (P1.T10)64
10.1%
71
89.9%
Q3 - 5:17MILGadzuric REBOUND (Off:4 Def:6)64
11.9%
71
88.1%
Q3 - 5:18DETMISS Hamilton 15' Jump Shot64
11.3%
71
88.7%
Q3 - 5:33DETStuckey REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)64
10.1%
71
89.9%
Q3 - 5:35MILMISS Ridnour 26' 3PT Jump Shot64
10.6%
71
89.4%
Q3 - 5:47DETWallace Free Throw 2 of 2 (8 PTS)64
11.9%
71
88.1%
Q3 - 5:47DETMISS Wallace Free Throw 1 of 264
12.3%
70
87.7%
Q3 - 6:14MILJefferson 25' 3PT Jump Shot (13 PTS) (Villanueva 1 AST)64
11.9%
70
88.1%
Q3 - 6:25MILGadzuric REBOUND (Off:4 Def:5)61
9.0%
70
91.0%
Q3 - 6:26MILMISS Bell 25' 3PT Jump Shot61
8.0%
70
92.0%
Q3 - 6:43DETBrown Driving Dunk (2 PTS)61
9.0%
70
91.0%
Q3 - 7:02MILRidnour 19' Jump Shot (8 PTS)61
10.5%
68
89.5%
Q3 - 7:16MILGadzuric REBOUND (Off:3 Def:5)59
9.2%
68
90.8%
Q3 - 7:18DETMISS Wallace 20' Jump Bank Shot59
8.8%
68
91.2%
Q3 - 7:43MILVillanueva Layup (4 PTS) (Ridnour 4 AST)59
7.9%
68
92.1%
Q3 - 7:47MILGadzuric REBOUND (Off:3 Def:4)57
6.9%
68
93.1%
Q3 - 7:49DETMISS Stuckey 14' Jump Shot57
6.6%
68
93.4%
Q3 - 8:14MILRidnour Driving Finger Roll Layup (6 PTS)57
6.1%
68
93.9%
Q3 - 8:34DETStuckey Free Throw 1 of 1 (12 PTS)55
5.3%
68
94.7%
Q3 - 8:37MILStuckey STEAL (4 STL)55
7.0%
65
93.0%
Q3 - 8:44MILRidnour REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)55
8.1%
65
91.9%
Q3 - 8:46DETMISS Prince 20' Jump Shot55
7.8%
65
92.2%
Q3 - 8:55DETWallace REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)55
7.0%
65
93.0%
Q3 - 8:57MILMISS Villanueva 8' Hook Shot55
7.3%
65
92.7%
Q3 - 9:04MILVillanueva REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)55
8.2%
65
91.8%
Q3 - 9:06DETMISS Stuckey 22' Jump Shot55
7.9%
65
92.1%
Q3 - 9:26MILJefferson Free Throw 2 of 2 (10 PTS)55
7.1%
65
92.9%
Q3 - 9:26MILJefferson Free Throw 1 of 2 (9 PTS)54
7.0%
65
93.0%
Q3 - 9:37DETWallace Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T6)53
6.2%
65
93.8%
Q3 - 9:57MILJefferson Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T8)53
5.4%
65
94.6%
Q3 - 10:10DETHamilton Free Throw 2 of 2 (7 PTS)53
6.4%
65
93.6%
Q3 - 10:10DETMISS Hamilton Free Throw 1 of 253
6.5%
64
93.5%
Q3 - 10:25DETWallace REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)53
6.4%
64
93.6%
Q3 - 10:26MILMISS Jefferson 26' 3PT Jump Shot53
6.7%
64
93.3%
Q3 - 10:35MILMbah a Moute REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)53
7.3%
64
92.7%
Q3 - 10:36MILMISS Gadzuric 16' Turnaround Jump Shot53
6.7%
64
93.3%
Q3 - 10:54DETWallace 16' Turnaround Jump Shot (7 PTS) (Hamilton 2 AST)53
7.3%
64
92.7%
Q3 - 11:15MILMbah a Moute 18' Jump Shot (7 PTS) (Ridnour 3 AST)53
8.5%
62
91.5%
Q3 - 11:25MILGadzuric REBOUND (Off:3 Def:3)51
7.5%
62
92.5%
Q3 - 11:26DETMISS Prince 24' 3PT Jump Shot51
7.2%
62
92.8%
Q3 - 11:49MILJefferson 18' Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Ridnour 2 AST)51
6.5%
62
93.5%
Q2 - 0:00.0MIL49
5.8%
62
94.2%
Q2 - 0:00.0MILBucks Rebound49
5.8%
62
94.2%
Q2 - 0:00.0MILMISS Sessions 37' 3PT Jump Shot49
5.3%
62
94.7%
Q2 - 0:03.0DETPrince Free Throw 2 of 2 (9 PTS)49
5.9%
62
94.1%
Q2 - 0:03.0DETPrince Free Throw 1 of 2 (8 PTS)49
6.1%
61
93.9%
Q2 - 0:16.0MILSessions Reverse Layup (10 PTS) (Lue 2 AST)49
6.9%
60
93.1%
Q2 - 0:34.0DETPrince Free Throw 2 of 2 (7 PTS)47
5.9%
60
94.1%
Q2 - 0:34.0DETPrince Free Throw 1 of 2 (6 PTS)47
6.1%
59
93.9%
Q2 - 0:50.0DETPISTONS Rebound47
6.9%
58
93.1%
Q2 - 0:52.0MILMISS Sessions 11' Running Jump Shot47
7.1%
58
92.9%
Q2 - 0:56.0MILLue REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)47
7.6%
58
92.4%
Q2 - 0:58.0DETMISS Hamilton 24' 3PT Jump Shot47
7.4%
58
92.6%
Q2 - 1:14MILAlexander Free Throw 2 of 2 (5 PTS)47
7.1%
58
92.9%
Q2 - 1:14MILAlexander Free Throw 1 of 2 (4 PTS)46
6.9%
58
93.1%
Q2 - 1:20MILLue REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)45
6.1%
58
93.9%
Q2 - 1:22DETMISS Maxiell Dunk45
5.9%
58
94.1%
Q2 - 1:25MILIverson STEAL (1 STL)45
5.5%
58
94.5%
Q2 - 1:41MILLue REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)45
6.1%
58
93.9%
Q2 - 1:42MILMISS Lue 18' Jump Shot45
5.7%
58
94.3%
Q2 - 1:54DETHamilton Free Throw Technical (6 PTS)45
6.0%
58
94.0%
Q2 - 1:58DETStuckey Layup (9 PTS)45
6.8%
57
93.2%
Q2 - 1:59MILStuckey STEAL (3 STL)45
8.0%
55
92.0%
Q2 - 2:00MILAlexander REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)45
8.7%
55
91.3%
Q2 - 2:02DETMISS Stuckey Layup45
8.6%
55
91.4%
Q2 - 2:07DETIverson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)45
7.9%
55
92.1%
Q2 - 2:09MILMISS Jefferson Reverse Layup45
8.2%
55
91.8%
Q2 - 2:15DETMaxiell Putback Dunk (7 PTS)45
8.9%
55
91.1%
Q2 - 2:15DETMaxiell REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)45
10.0%
53
90.0%
Q2 - 2:16DETMISS Hamilton Layup45
10.9%
53
89.1%
Q2 - 2:30DETPrince REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)45
10.0%
53
90.0%
Q2 - 2:31MILMISS Alexander Free Throw 2 of 245
10.2%
53
89.8%
Q2 - 2:31MILMISS Alexander Free Throw 1 of 245
10.9%
53
89.1%
Q2 - 2:47MILGadzuric REBOUND (Off:3 Def:2)45
11.2%
53
88.8%
Q2 - 2:48DETMISS Iverson 19' Jump Shot45
10.8%
53
89.2%
Q2 - 2:51DETPISTONS Rebound45
10.0%
53
90.0%
Q2 - 2:52DETMISS Stuckey Layup45
10.8%
53
89.2%
Q2 - 2:53DETStuckey REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)45
10.0%
53
90.0%
Q2 - 2:54DETMISS Maxiell Dunk45
10.8%
53
89.2%
Q2 - 3:13MILGadzuric Layup (10 PTS) (Sessions 3 AST)45
9.9%
53
90.1%
Q2 - 3:24DETPrince 3 Second Violation Turnover (P1.T5)43
9.0%
53
91.0%
Q2 - 3:37MILSessions 15' Running Jump Shot (8 PTS)43
7.9%
53
92.1%
Q2 - 3:50DETPrince Free Throw 2 of 2 (5 PTS)41
7.2%
53
92.8%
Q2 - 3:50DETMISS Prince Free Throw 1 of 241
7.3%
52
92.7%
Q2 - 4:09MILAlexander 26' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Lue 1 AST)41
7.2%
52
92.8%
Q2 - 4:30DETIverson Free Throw 2 of 2 (10 PTS)38
5.8%
52
94.2%
Q2 - 4:30DETIverson Free Throw 1 of 2 (9 PTS)38
5.9%
51
94.1%
Q2 - 4:42MILSessions 15' Jump Shot (6 PTS)38
6.4%
50
93.6%
Q2 - 4:43MILSessions REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)36
5.8%
50
94.2%
Q2 - 4:44MILMISS Gadzuric 15' Jump Shot36
5.3%
50
94.7%
Q2 - 5:05DETStuckey Traveling Turnover (P1.T4)36
5.9%
50
94.1%
Q2 - 5:14MILJefferson Free Throw 2 of 2 (6 PTS)36
5.3%
50
94.7%
Q2 - 5:14MILMISS Jefferson Free Throw 1 of 235
5.2%
50
94.8%
Q2 - 5:31DETIverson Free Throw 2 of 2 (8 PTS)35
5.3%
50
94.7%
Q2 - 5:31DETIverson Free Throw 1 of 2 (7 PTS)35
5.4%
49
94.6%
Q2 - 5:45MILJefferson 18' Pullup Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Sessions 2 AST)35
5.9%
48
94.1%
Q2 - 5:50MILSessions REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)33
5.3%
48
94.7%
Q2 - 5:52DETMISS Wallace 24' 3PT Jump Shot33
5.1%
48
94.9%
Q2 - 6:06MILSessions Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T5)33
4.9%
48
95.1%
Q2 - 6:17DETIverson Free Throw 2 of 2 (6 PTS)33
5.6%
48
94.4%
Q2 - 6:17DETIverson Free Throw 1 of 2 (5 PTS)33
5.7%
47
94.3%
Q2 - 6:28MILElson Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)33
6.1%
46
93.9%
Q2 - 6:28MILElson Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)32
5.9%
46
94.1%
Q2 - 6:50DETWallace 27' 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Herrmann 2 AST)31
5.6%
46
94.4%
Q2 - 7:00DETIverson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)31
6.8%
43
93.2%
Q2 - 7:01MILMISS Alexander 18' Jump Shot31
7.1%
43
92.9%
Q2 - 7:13MILJefferson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)31
7.6%
43
92.4%
Q2 - 7:14DETMISS Maxiell Free Throw 1 of 131
7.5%
43
92.5%
Q2 - 7:32DETHerrmann REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)31
8.5%
41
91.5%
Q2 - 7:32DETMISS Maxiell Free Throw 2 of 231
9.3%
41
90.7%
Q2 - 7:32DETMaxiell Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)31
8.8%
41
91.2%
Q2 - 7:51MILSessions Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)31
9.4%
40
90.6%
Q2 - 7:51MILSessions Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)30
9.2%
40
90.8%
Q2 - 8:08DETHerrmann 26' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Iverson 3 AST)29
8.7%
40
91.3%
Q2 - 8:15DETMaxiell REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)29
10.6%
37
89.4%
Q2 - 8:17DETMISS Iverson 15' Pullup Jump Shot29
11.3%
37
88.7%
Q2 - 8:36MILMbah a Moute Foul Turnover (P1.T4)29
10.6%
37
89.4%
Q2 - 8:49MILLue REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)29
11.7%
37
88.3%
Q2 - 8:51DETMISS Iverson 10' Running Jump Shot29
11.3%
37
88.7%
Q2 - 8:59DETAfflalo Free Throw Technical (5 PTS)29
10.6%
37
89.4%
Q2 - 9:12DETAfflalo REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)29
11.7%
36
88.3%
Q2 - 9:13MILMISS Villanueva 19' Jump Shot29
12.0%
36
88.0%
Q2 - 9:23MILElson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)29
12.8%
36
87.2%
Q2 - 9:24DETMISS Iverson 17' Jump Shot29
12.5%
36
87.5%
Q2 - 9:42MILLue 24' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Sessions 1 AST)29
11.7%
36
88.3%
Q2 - 10:10DETAfflalo 18' Pullup Jump Shot (4 PTS)26
9.9%
36
90.1%
Q2 - 10:17DETMaxiell REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)26
10.8%
34
89.2%
Q2 - 10:18MILMISS Villanueva 12' Jump Shot26
11.1%
34
88.9%
Q2 - 10:38DETMaxiell Dunk (2 PTS) (Iverson 2 AST)26
11.9%
34
88.1%
Q2 - 10:56MILSessions Reverse Layup (2 PTS)26
13.0%
32
87.0%
Q2 - 11:22DETAfflalo Driving Layup (2 PTS)24
12.1%
32
87.9%
Q2 - 11:27DETWallace REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)24
13.2%
30
86.8%
Q2 - 11:29MILMISS Villanueva 10' Hook Shot24
13.6%
30
86.4%
Q2 - 11:43DETIverson Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)24
14.5%
30
85.5%
Q2 - 11:43DETIverson Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)24
14.7%
29
85.3%
Q2 - 11:47DETMaxiell REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)24
15.8%
28
84.2%
Q2 - 11:49MILMISS Sessions 12' Running Jump Shot24
16.2%
28
83.8%
Q1 - 0:00.0MIL24
17.2%
28
82.8%
Q1 - 0:00.0MILJefferson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)24
17.2%
28
82.8%
Q1 - 0:01.0MILMaxiell BLOCK (3 BLK)24
16.2%
28
83.8%
Q1 - 0:02.0MILBucks Rebound24
16.9%
28
83.1%
Q1 - 0:04.0MILJohnson BLOCK (3 BLK)24
16.2%
28
83.8%
Q1 - 0:23.0DETPrince 20' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Iverson 1 AST)24
16.9%
28
83.1%
Q1 - 0:39.0MILVillanueva 13' Hook Shot (2 PTS) (Bell 1 AST)24
18.7%
26
81.3%
Q1 - 0:53.0DETJohnson Free Throw 2 of 2 (8 PTS)22
16.9%
26
83.1%
Q1 - 0:53.0DETJohnson Free Throw 1 of 2 (7 PTS)22
17.3%
25
82.7%
Q1 - 1:04MILSessions Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T3)22
18.7%
24
81.3%
Q1 - 1:09MILVillanueva REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)22
19.7%
24
80.3%
Q1 - 1:11DETMISS Johnson Alley Oop Dunk22
19.4%
24
80.6%
Q1 - 1:14DETIverson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)22
18.7%
24
81.3%
Q1 - 1:16MILMaxiell BLOCK (2 BLK)22
19.0%
24
81.0%
Q1 - 1:25DETAfflalo Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T3)22
19.7%
24
80.3%
Q1 - 1:27DETJohnson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)22
18.7%
24
81.3%
Q1 - 1:29MILJohnson BLOCK (2 BLK)22
19.0%
24
81.0%
Q1 - 1:39MILVillanueva REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)22
19.7%
24
80.3%
Q1 - 1:41MILMaxiell BLOCK (1 BLK)22
19.0%
24
81.0%
Q1 - 1:54DETIverson Driving Layup (2 PTS)22
19.7%
24
80.3%
Q1 - 1:59DETAfflalo REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)22
21.8%
22
78.2%
Q1 - 2:00MILMISS Jefferson 20' Jump Shot22
22.1%
22
77.9%
Q1 - 2:14DETAfflalo Traveling Turnover (P1.T2)22
22.9%
22
77.1%
Q1 - 2:24MILBell Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)22
21.6%
22
78.4%
Q1 - 2:24MILBell Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)21
21.3%
22
78.7%
Q1 - 2:34MILJefferson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)20
19.8%
22
80.2%
Q1 - 2:35DETMISS Stuckey 20' Jump Shot20
19.5%
22
80.5%
Q1 - 2:46DETHamilton REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)20
18.7%
22
81.3%
Q1 - 2:48MILJohnson BLOCK (1 BLK)20
19.0%
22
81.0%
Q1 - 2:51MILJefferson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)20
19.8%
22
80.2%
Q1 - 2:53DETMISS Prince Layup20
19.5%
22
80.5%
Q1 - 3:07MILGadzuric Free Throw 2 of 2 (8 PTS)20
18.3%
22
81.7%
Q1 - 3:07MILGadzuric Free Throw 1 of 2 (7 PTS)19
17.8%
22
82.2%
Q1 - 3:08MILGadzuric REBOUND (Off:3 Def:1)18
17.0%
22
83.0%
Q1 - 3:09MILMISS Ridnour 27' 3PT Jump Shot18
16.1%
22
83.9%
Q1 - 3:36DETJohnson Alley Oop Dunk (6 PTS) (Stuckey 4 AST)18
17.0%
22
83.0%
Q1 - 3:40MILStuckey STEAL (2 STL)18
18.4%
20
81.6%
Q1 - 4:05DETHamilton Layup (5 PTS)18
19.5%
20
80.5%
Q1 - 4:06DETHamilton REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)18
20.9%
18
79.1%
Q1 - 4:07DETMISS Hamilton Layup18
21.9%
18
78.1%
Q1 - 4:19DETWallace REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)18
20.9%
18
79.1%
Q1 - 4:21MILMISS Bell 17' Jump Shot18
21.3%
18
78.7%
Q1 - 4:34MILRidnour REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)18
22.5%
18
77.5%
Q1 - 4:35DETMISS Wallace 15' Jump Shot18
22.0%
18
78.0%
Q1 - 4:49DETJohnson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)18
20.9%
18
79.1%
Q1 - 4:51MILMISS Jefferson Layup18
21.4%
18
78.6%
Q1 - 5:02MILMbah a Moute REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)18
22.6%
18
77.4%
Q1 - 5:04DETMISS Wallace 11' Turnaround Jump Shot18
22.1%
18
77.9%
Q1 - 5:24MILRidnour 21' Jump Shot (4 PTS)18
20.9%
18
79.1%
Q1 - 5:37MILGadzuric REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)16
19.7%
18
80.3%
Q1 - 5:38MILMISS Mbah a Moute 22' Jump Shot16
18.7%
18
81.3%
Q1 - 6:00MILGadzuric REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)16
19.7%
18
80.3%
Q1 - 6:01DETMISS Hamilton 14' Jump Shot16
18.9%
18
81.1%
Q1 - 6:14MILMbah a Moute Free Throw 1 of 1 (5 PTS)16
18.0%
18
82.0%
Q1 - 6:29DETStuckey Driving Layup (7 PTS)13
15.7%
18
84.3%
Q1 - 6:37DETHamilton REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)13
16.8%
16
83.2%
Q1 - 6:39MILMISS Mbah a Moute 24' 3PT Jump Shot13
17.1%
16
82.9%
Q1 - 6:56DETJohnson 18' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Stuckey 3 AST)13
18.1%
16
81.9%
Q1 - 7:11DETHamilton REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)13
18.9%
14
81.1%
Q1 - 7:13MILMISS Gadzuric Layup13
19.4%
14
80.6%
Q1 - 7:14MILGadzuric REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)13
20.4%
14
79.6%
Q1 - 7:16MILMISS Bell 19' Jump Shot13
19.4%
14
80.6%
Q1 - 7:30DETStuckey 26' 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Wallace 1 AST)13
20.4%
14
79.6%
Q1 - 7:48DETWallace REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)13
23.2%
11
76.8%
Q1 - 7:49MILMISS Ridnour 17' Jump Shot13
23.7%
11
76.3%
Q1 - 8:02MILBell REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)13
24.4%
11
75.6%
Q1 - 8:04DETMISS Hamilton 16' Jump Shot13
24.0%
11
76.0%
Q1 - 8:06MILStuckey STEAL (1 STL)13
22.9%
11
77.1%
Q1 - 8:17DETJohnson Dunk (2 PTS) (Prince 1 AST)13
24.5%
11
75.5%
Q1 - 8:34MILGadzuric 13' Fadeaway Jumper (6 PTS)13
26.1%
9
73.9%
Q1 - 8:51MILRidnour REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)11
24.5%
9
75.5%
Q1 - 8:52DETMISS Prince 24' 3PT Jump Shot11
24.0%
9
76.0%
Q1 - 9:10MILGadzuric Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)11
22.8%
9
77.2%
Q1 - 9:10MILGadzuric Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)10
22.2%
9
77.8%
Q1 - 9:22DETStuckey 20' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Hamilton 1 AST)9
21.3%
9
78.7%
Q1 - 9:47MILJefferson Free Throw 1 of 1 (3 PTS)9
22.8%
7
77.2%
Q1 - 10:03DETHamilton 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Stuckey 2 AST)6
20.0%
7
80.0%
Q1 - 10:16MILRidnour 20' Jump Shot (2 PTS)6
22.3%
4
77.7%
Q1 - 10:24MILJefferson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)4
21.2%
4
78.8%
Q1 - 10:25DETMISS Stuckey 14' Pullup Jump Shot4
20.8%
4
79.2%
Q1 - 10:40MILGadzuric Layup (2 PTS)4
19.9%
4
80.1%
Q1 - 10:45MILMbah a Moute REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)2
18.8%
4
81.2%
Q1 - 10:46MILMISS Jefferson 14' Jump Shot2
18.0%
4
82.0%
Q1 - 10:59DETPrince 12' Jump Shot (2 PTS)2
18.8%
4
81.2%
Q1 - 11:13MILMbah a Moute Layup (2 PTS)2
19.5%
2
80.5%
Q1 - 11:17DETHamilton Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T1)0
18.5%
2
81.5%
Q1 - 11:29DETBrown REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)0
17.5%
2
82.5%
Q1 - 11:31MILBrown BLOCK (1 BLK)0
17.8%
2
82.2%
Q1 - 11:43DETWallace Layup (2 PTS) (Stuckey 1 AST)0
18.6%
2
81.4%
Q1 - 12:00DETJump Ball Brown vs. Gadzuric: Tip to Stuckey0
19.6%
0
80.4%

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

MIL
0.95 47.5%
DET
1.15 57.5%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)
MIL
12
22
55%
DET
17
28
61%
Midrange
MIL
18
47
38%
DET
11
31
35%
3PT | Effective 3PT
MIL
4
6.0
15
27%
40%
DET
8
12.0
16
50%
75%
Free Throws
MIL
25
32
78%
DET
27
39
69%
Makes
Effective 3P Makes
%
Efficiency
Misses
Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|
MIL logo Bucks
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
R. Jefferson2158%10.5 / 18
R. Sessions2166%10.5 / 16
D. Gadzuric1036%5.0 / 14
C. Villanueva1036%5.0 / 14
L. Mbah a Moute964%4.5 / 7
L. Ridnour844%4.0 / 9
J. Alexander643%3.0 / 7
C. Bell542%2.5 / 6
T. Lue375%1.5 / 2
F. Elson250%1.0 / 2
M. Allen225%1.0 / 4
TS Makes
TS Misses

Total Points

|
DET logo Pistons
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
A. Iverson1757%8.5 / 15
W. Herrmann16114%8.0 / 7
J. Maxiell1365%6.5 / 10
R. Hamilton1246%6.0 / 13
R. Stuckey1255%6.0 / 11
T. Prince1045%5.0 / 11
A. Afflalo975%4.5 / 6
R. Wallace840%4.0 / 10
A. Johnson880%4.0 / 5
K. Brown2100%1.0 / 1
W. Sharpe0-0.0 / 2
TS Makes
TS Misses

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

MIL
82
+20
-14
102
DET
81
+12
-14
93
Base
ORB
TOV

Scoring Efficiency

MIL
0.95 47.5%
DET
1.15 57.5%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Efficiency & PaceThis Game
Efficiency
106.3
106.8
MIL 101.0
DET 112.6 +11.6
Pace
93.0
87.3
MIL 100.8 +10.2
DET 90.7
Avg. Poss. Time
15.2
17.1
MIL 14.3 +1.6
DET 15.9
Four FactorsThis Game
EFG %
48.3%
48.3%
MIL 42.9%
DET 53.3% +10.4%
TO %
14.6%
12.7%
MIL 12.5% +0.7%
DET 13.2%
ORB %
27.9%
27.9%
MIL 33.3% +10.8%
DET 22.5%
FTrt
30.6
28.2
MIL 38.1
DET 52.0 +13.9
Misc. StatsThis Game
AST %
59.9%
56.7%
MIL 50.0%
DET 61.1% +11.1%
STL %
7.9%
6.8%
MIL 3.1%
DET 7.4% +4.3%
BLK %
6.5%
7.3%
MIL 8.5%
DET 14.5% +6.0%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Shooting EfficiencyThis Game
TS%
51.8%
51.0%
MIL 47.5%
DET 57.5% +10.0%
Rim FG%
55.5%
58.7%
MIL 54.5%
DET 60.7% +6.2%
Mid FG%
40.3%
41.2%
MIL 38.3% +2.8%
DET 35.5%
3P %
36.3%
34.9%
MIL 26.7%
DET 50.0% +23.3%
FT %
78.0%
75.1%
MIL 78.1% +8.9%
DET 69.2%
Shot DistributionThis Game
Rim Att. %
33.3%
30.0%
MIL 26.2%
DET 37.3% +11.1%
Mid Att. %
45.9%
53.5%
MIL 56.0%
DET 41.3% +14.6%
3P Att. %
20.8%
16.5%
MIL 17.9%
DET 21.3% +3.5%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.34 and 2.34.
Game TotalsMILDET
Possessions9695
Possession Minutes22.925.1
Points97107
Rebounds4741
Assists1722
Steals37
Blocks510
Turnovers (Team)14 (0)14 (0)
Fouls
Off. Rebounds (Team)16 (4)9 (3)
Def. Rebounds (Team)31 (1)32 (1)
Field Goals34-8436-75
At-the-Rim FG12-2217-28
Midrange FG18-4711-31
2-Point FG30-6928-59
3-Point FG4-158-16
Free Throws25-3227-39
Fast Break Pts
2nd Chance Pts
Points in Paint
Pts off Turnovers
Bench Points
Biggest Lead

BOXSCORE

Access to boxscore predictions requires a premium subscription.
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
F · 6'7" 233 · 28
42.6
21
58%
8
1
0
0
1
2
1
7
6-7
86%
6-12
50%
1-3
33%
C · 6'11" 240 · 31
32.1
10
36%
12
0
1
3
0
0
5
7
4-4
100%
3-12
25%
0-0
-
G · 6'3" 200 · 30
31.5
5
42%
1
4
0
0
1
2
0
1
2-2
100%
0-3
0%
1-2
50%
F · 6'8" 230 · 22
21.1
9
64%
3
0
2
0
2
6
2
1
1-1
100%
4-6
67%
0-1
0%
G · 6'2" 175 · 28
18.9
8
44%
3
4
0
0
2
4
0
3
0-0
-
4-7
57%
0-2
0%
G · 6'3" 190 · 23
30.8
21
66%
3
4
0
0
4
2
2
1
7-8
88%
7-10
70%
0-2
0%
F · 6'11" 232 · 24
18.6
10
36%
6
1
0
0
3
3
4
2
0-0
-
5-13
38%
0-1
0%
F · 6'8" 230 · 22
15.8
6
43%
4
1
0
2
1
4
0
4
3-6
50%
0-2
0%
1-2
50%
G · 6'0" 175 · 32
14.8
3
75%
4
2
0
0
0
1
1
3
0-0
-
0-1
0%
1-1
100%
C-F · 7'0" 240 · 33
7.8
2
50%
1
0
0
0
0
1
0
1
2-2
100%
0-0
-
0-1
0%
F · 6'10" 255 · 30
5.3
2
25%
2
0
0
0
0
0
1
1
0-2
0%
1-3
33%
0-0
-
F · 6'10" 240 · 34
0.6
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
-
0-0
-
#6 · C · 7'0" 260 · 24
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
#19 · G · 6'3" 195 · 32
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
#22 · G · 6'6" 215 · 29
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
TOTAL
240
97
48%
47
17
3
5
14
0
16
31
25-32
78%
30-69
43%
4-15
27%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.