FinalWin Prob.pScore
2837%96
96
2163%101
102
ORTG#PossPace
MIL logo MIL
106.79097.7
ATL logo ATL
112.19184.4

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

HawksBucksQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Scoring Margin

HawksBucksQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Play-by-Play

Score / WinProb
ClockTeamEventMILATL
Q4 - 0:00.0ATL96
0%
102
100%
Q4 - 0:06.0MILSessions REBOUND (Off:3 Def:4)96
0.1%
102
99.9%
Q4 - 0:06.0MILSessions Putback Layup (21 PTS)96
0.1%
102
99.9%
Q4 - 0:10.0MILHorford BLOCK (3 BLK)94
0.1%
102
99.9%
Q4 - 0:12.0MILSessions REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)94
0.1%
102
99.9%
Q4 - 0:14.0MILMISS Bell 27' 3PT Jump Shot94
0.1%
102
99.9%
Q4 - 0:18.0ATLJohnson Free Throw 2 of 2 (15 PTS)94
0.1%
102
99.9%
Q4 - 0:18.0ATLMISS Johnson Free Throw 1 of 294
0.1%
101
99.9%
Q4 - 0:21.0ATLHorford REBOUND (Off:1 Def:8)94
0.1%
101
99.9%
Q4 - 0:22.0MILMISS Jefferson 29' 3PT Jump Shot94
0.1%
101
99.9%
Q4 - 0:28.0ATLWilliams Free Throw 2 of 2 (18 PTS)94
0.4%
101
99.6%
Q4 - 0:28.0ATLMISS Williams Free Throw 1 of 294
0.4%
100
99.6%
Q4 - 0:31.0ATLWilliams REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)94
0.3%
100
99.7%
Q4 - 0:31.0MILMISS Jefferson Free Throw 2 of 294
0.4%
100
99.6%
Q4 - 0:31.0MILJefferson Free Throw 1 of 2 (25 PTS)94
0.7%
100
99.3%
Q4 - 0:44.0ATLMISS Bibby Free Throw 2 of 293
0.7%
100
99.3%
Q4 - 0:44.0ATLBibby Free Throw 1 of 2 (18 PTS)93
0.4%
100
99.6%
Q4 - 0:53.0ATLMurray 27' 3PT Jump Shot (16 PTS) (Johnson 9 AST)91
0.6%
99
99.4%
Q4 - 1:18ATLHorford REBOUND (Off:1 Def:7)91
3.6%
96
96.4%
Q4 - 1:19MILMISS Bell 24' 3PT Jump Shot91
4.4%
96
95.6%
Q4 - 1:20ATLWilliams Layup (17 PTS) (Johnson 8 AST)91
6.8%
96
93.2%
Q4 - 1:39MILVillanueva 6' Jump Shot (17 PTS) (Sessions 7 AST)91
12.6%
94
87.4%
Q4 - 1:48ATLHorford Free Throw 1 of 1 (21 PTS)89
9.0%
94
91.0%
Q4 - 2:03MILSessions Traveling Turnover (P2.T14)89
19.5%
91
80.5%
Q4 - 2:10MILJefferson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:6)89
32.5%
91
67.5%
Q4 - 2:12ATLMISS Murray 29' 3PT Jump Shot89
28.0%
91
72.0%
Q4 - 2:35MILMbah a Moute Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)89
19.2%
91
80.8%
Q4 - 2:35MILMbah a Moute Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)88
17.5%
91
82.5%
Q4 - 2:39ATLMurray Lost Ball Turnover (P3.T14)87
15.2%
91
84.8%
Q4 - 2:57MILVillanueva Free Throw 2 of 2 (15 PTS)87
9.8%
91
90.2%
Q4 - 2:57MILVillanueva Free Throw 1 of 2 (14 PTS)86
9.1%
91
90.9%
Q4 - 3:13ATLHorford Dunk (18 PTS)85
7.1%
91
92.9%
Q4 - 3:38MILSessions Driving Layup (19 PTS)85
13.2%
89
86.8%
Q4 - 3:49ATLMurray 28' 3PT Jump Shot (13 PTS) (Johnson 7 AST)83
9.5%
89
90.5%
Q4 - 4:12MILVillanueva Layup (13 PTS) (Mbah a Moute 3 AST)83
17.7%
86
82.3%
Q4 - 4:26MILSessions REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)81
12.9%
86
87.1%
Q4 - 4:27ATLMISS Bibby 28' 3PT Jump Shot81
11.6%
86
88.4%
Q4 - 4:49ATLJohnson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)81
8.8%
86
91.2%
Q4 - 4:50MILMISS Villanueva Alley Oop Layup81
9.9%
86
90.1%
Q4 - 5:00MILSessions REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)81
12.8%
86
87.2%
Q4 - 5:01ATLMISS Johnson 3PT Jump Shot81
14.2%
86
85.8%
Q4 - 5:21ATLHAWKS Rebound81
11.3%
86
88.7%
Q4 - 5:22MILMISS Jefferson Free Throw 2 of 281
11.8%
86
88.2%
Q4 - 5:22MILJefferson Free Throw 1 of 2 (24 PTS)81
14.4%
86
85.6%
Q4 - 5:36MILBell REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)80
11.4%
86
88.6%
Q4 - 5:39ATLMISS Murray 21' Jump Shot80
10.4%
86
89.6%
Q4 - 5:59MILVillanueva 8' Turnaround Jump Shot (11 PTS) (Sessions 6 AST)80
8.2%
86
91.8%
Q4 - 6:08ATLMurray Lost Ball Turnover (P2.T13)78
7.8%
86
92.2%
Q4 - 6:11MILMurray STEAL (3 STL)78
5.8%
86
94.2%
Q4 - 6:18ATLBibby Free Throw 2 of 2 (17 PTS)78
7.7%
86
92.3%
Q4 - 6:18ATLMISS Bibby Free Throw 1 of 278
8.1%
85
91.9%
Q4 - 6:33ATLWilliams REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)78
7.6%
85
92.4%
Q4 - 6:34MILMISS Sessions 12' Jump Shot78
8.3%
85
91.7%
Q4 - 6:48ATLWilliams Free Throw 2 of 2 (15 PTS)78
10.1%
85
89.9%
Q4 - 6:48ATLWilliams Free Throw 1 of 2 (14 PTS)78
10.5%
84
89.5%
Q4 - 6:52ATLHorford REBOUND (Off:1 Def:6)78
13.0%
83
87.0%
Q4 - 6:53MILMISS Jefferson 27' 3PT Jump Shot78
14.2%
83
85.8%
Q4 - 7:08ATLHorford REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)78
18.4%
83
81.6%
Q4 - 7:08ATLHorford Putback Slam Dunk (16 PTS)78
18.4%
83
81.6%
Q4 - 7:11ATLMISS Johnson 17' Running Jump Shot78
26.4%
81
73.6%
Q4 - 7:34MILJefferson Driving Layup (23 PTS)78
22.5%
81
77.5%
Q4 - 7:47MILJefferson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)76
18.3%
81
81.7%
Q4 - 7:48ATLMISS Horford 10' Jump Shot76
17.0%
81
83.0%
Q4 - 8:03ATLWilliams REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)76
15.8%
81
84.2%
Q4 - 8:04MILMISS Sessions 15' Jump Shot76
16.8%
81
83.2%
Q4 - 8:28ATLHorford Layup (14 PTS)76
19.3%
81
80.7%
Q4 - 8:49MILVillanueva 22' Jump Shot (9 PTS) (Sessions 5 AST)76
23.8%
79
76.2%
Q4 - 9:06MILJefferson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)74
20.6%
79
79.4%
Q4 - 9:06ATLMISS Bibby 27' 3PT Jump Shot74
19.4%
79
80.6%
Q4 - 9:22MILVillanueva Free Throw 2 of 2 (7 PTS)74
17.0%
79
83.0%
Q4 - 9:22MILVillanueva Free Throw 1 of 2 (6 PTS)73
16.4%
79
83.6%
Q4 - 9:37ATLEvans 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Williams 2 AST)72
13.7%
79
86.3%
Q4 - 9:56ATLHorford REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)72
20.6%
76
79.4%
Q4 - 9:57MILMISS Jefferson Free Throw 1 of 172
21.2%
76
78.8%
Q4 - 10:07ATLWilliams Free Throw 2 of 2 (13 PTS)70
17.7%
76
82.3%
Q4 - 10:07ATLWilliams Free Throw 1 of 2 (12 PTS)70
18.3%
75
81.7%
Q4 - 10:14ATLBibby REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)70
21.4%
74
78.6%
Q4 - 10:15MILMISS Jefferson 21' Jump Shot70
22.5%
74
77.5%
Q4 - 10:35ATLBibby 27' 3PT Jump Shot (16 PTS) (Evans 3 AST)70
25.3%
74
74.7%
Q4 - 10:54MILAlexander Putback Dunk (8 PTS)70
34.9%
71
65.1%
Q4 - 10:55MILAlexander REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)68
29.9%
71
70.1%
Q4 - 10:57MILWilliams BLOCK (2 BLK)68
26.7%
71
73.3%
Q4 - 11:03MILJefferson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)68
30.1%
71
69.9%
Q4 - 11:04ATLMISS Williams 22' Jump Shot68
28.9%
71
71.1%
Q4 - 11:28ATLLaw REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)68
26.0%
71
74.0%
Q4 - 11:29MILMISS Jefferson 29' 3PT Jump Shot68
27.2%
71
72.8%
Q4 - 11:43MILVillanueva Free Throw Technical (5 PTS)68
30.1%
71
69.9%
Q3 - 0:00.0MIL67
25.8%
71
74.2%
Q3 - 0:00.0MILBucks Rebound67
25.8%
71
74.2%
Q3 - 0:00.0MILMISS Sessions 45' 3PT Jump Shot67
23.2%
71
76.8%
Q3 - 0:03.0ATLMurray 21' Turnaround Jump Shot (10 PTS)67
26.2%
71
73.8%
Q3 - 0:27.0MILJefferson 19' Jump Shot (19 PTS)67
30.8%
69
69.2%
Q3 - 0:35.0ATLMurray Free Throw 2 of 2 (8 PTS)65
26.1%
69
73.9%
Q3 - 0:35.0ATLMurray Free Throw 1 of 2 (7 PTS)65
27.1%
68
72.9%
Q3 - 0:37.0ATLWilliams REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)65
30.8%
67
69.2%
Q3 - 0:38.0MILMISS Jefferson Alley Oop Layup65
32.0%
67
68.0%
Q3 - 0:42.0MILSessions REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)65
34.8%
67
65.2%
Q3 - 0:43.0MILMISS Alexander 20' Jump Shot65
32.0%
67
68.0%
Q3 - 1:10ATLJohnson Free Throw 2 of 2 (14 PTS)65
34.6%
67
65.4%
Q3 - 1:10ATLJohnson Free Throw 1 of 2 (13 PTS)65
35.4%
66
64.6%
Q3 - 1:19MILSessions Driving Layup (17 PTS)65
39.6%
65
60.4%
Q3 - 1:43MILBucks Rebound63
34.6%
65
65.4%
Q3 - 1:46ATLMISS Law 21' Jump Shot63
33.4%
65
66.6%
Q3 - 2:11MILSessions Out of Bounds Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T12)63
30.6%
65
69.4%
Q3 - 2:24ATLWilliams Free Throw 2 of 2 (11 PTS)63
34.6%
65
65.4%
Q3 - 2:24ATLWilliams Free Throw 1 of 2 (10 PTS)63
35.3%
64
64.7%
Q3 - 2:48MILAlexander 18' Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Jefferson 1 AST)63
39.1%
63
60.9%
Q3 - 2:58MILJefferson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)61
34.6%
63
65.4%
Q3 - 2:59ATLMISS Johnson 9' Jump Shot61
33.4%
63
66.6%
Q3 - 3:27MILSessions Running Dunk (15 PTS) (Bell 5 AST)61
30.5%
63
69.5%
Q3 - 3:30ATLJohnson Lost Ball Turnover (P3.T12)59
27.0%
63
73.0%
Q3 - 3:52MILJefferson Running Reverse Layup (17 PTS) (Sessions 3 AST)59
23.4%
63
76.6%
Q3 - 3:57MILMbah a Moute REBOUND (Off:1 Def:7)57
20.5%
63
79.5%
Q3 - 3:58ATLMISS Williams 24' 3PT Jump Shot57
19.6%
63
80.4%
Q3 - 4:21MILAlexander 2' Layup (4 PTS) (Bell 4 AST)57
17.8%
63
82.2%
Q3 - 4:27MILMbah a Moute REBOUND (Off:1 Def:6)55
15.8%
63
84.2%
Q3 - 4:29ATLMISS Murray 22' Turnaround Jump Shot55
15.0%
63
85.0%
Q3 - 4:53MILJefferson Traveling Turnover (P1.T11)55
13.2%
63
86.8%
Q3 - 5:15ATLWilliams 4' Driving Jump Shot (9 PTS)55
16.1%
63
83.9%
Q3 - 5:37ATLBibby REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)55
18.2%
61
81.8%
Q3 - 5:38MILMISS Alexander 20' Jump Shot55
19.1%
61
80.9%
Q3 - 5:50MILMbah a Moute REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)55
21.2%
61
78.8%
Q3 - 5:51ATLMISS Bibby 29' 3PT Jump Shot55
20.2%
61
79.8%
Q3 - 6:06MILSessions 8' Jump Shot (13 PTS) (Ridnour 4 AST)55
18.7%
61
81.3%
Q3 - 6:19ATLBibby Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T11)53
16.5%
61
83.5%
Q3 - 6:23ATLHorford REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)53
14.2%
61
85.8%
Q3 - 6:24MILHorford BLOCK (2 BLK)53
14.9%
61
85.1%
Q3 - 6:35MILRidnour REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)53
16.5%
61
83.5%
Q3 - 6:36ATLMISS Murray 18' Jump Shot53
15.8%
61
84.2%
Q3 - 6:50ATLBibby REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)53
14.2%
61
85.8%
Q3 - 6:51MILMISS Ridnour 19' Jump Shot53
14.9%
61
85.1%
Q3 - 6:57ATLHorford Foul Turnover (P3.T10)53
16.5%
61
83.5%
Q3 - 7:16MILMbah a Moute Foul Turnover (P3.T10)53
14.7%
61
85.3%
Q3 - 7:25ATLHorford 20' Jump Shot (12 PTS)53
16.9%
61
83.1%
Q3 - 7:47ATLJohnson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)53
19.0%
59
81.0%
Q3 - 7:48MILMISS Alexander 13' Turnaround Jump Shot53
19.8%
59
80.2%
Q3 - 8:04MILMbah a Moute REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)53
21.8%
59
78.2%
Q3 - 8:05ATLMISS Johnson 29' 3PT Jump Shot53
21.0%
59
79.0%
Q3 - 8:17MILJefferson Free Throw 1 of 1 (15 PTS)53
19.2%
59
80.8%
Q3 - 8:38ATLBibby 3PT Jump Shot (13 PTS) (Johnson 6 AST)50
15.1%
59
84.9%
Q3 - 8:52ATLBibby REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)50
19.2%
56
80.8%
Q3 - 8:55MILMISS Alexander 7' Jump Shot50
20.0%
56
80.0%
Q3 - 9:08ATLHorford Traveling Turnover (P2.T9)50
22.0%
56
78.0%
Q3 - 9:25MILRidnour 19' Jump Shot (5 PTS)50
19.5%
56
80.5%
Q3 - 9:38ATLHorford Free Throw 2 of 2 (10 PTS)48
17.3%
56
82.7%
Q3 - 9:38ATLMISS Horford Free Throw 1 of 248
17.8%
55
82.2%
Q3 - 9:44MILHorford STEAL (2 STL)48
17.2%
55
82.8%
Q3 - 10:07ATLBibby Foul Turnover (P1.T8)48
19.8%
55
80.2%
Q3 - 10:22ATLHAWKS Rebound48
17.6%
55
82.4%
Q3 - 10:25MILMISS Mbah a Moute 19' Jump Shot48
18.3%
55
81.7%
Q3 - 10:44ATLWilliams 5' Jump Shot (7 PTS) (Horford 2 AST)48
19.8%
55
80.2%
Q3 - 10:54ATLJohnson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)48
22.1%
53
77.9%
Q3 - 10:55MILMISS Jefferson 24' 3PT Jump Shot48
22.9%
53
77.1%
Q3 - 11:11ATLJohnson 30' 3PT Jump Shot (12 PTS)48
25.0%
53
75.0%
Q3 - 11:19ATLJohnson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)48
30.4%
50
69.6%
Q3 - 11:19MILMISS Jefferson Layup48
31.4%
50
68.6%
Q3 - 11:50ATLJohnson 19' Floating Jump Shot (9 PTS) (Bibby 2 AST)48
33.6%
50
66.4%
Q2 - 0:00.0ATL48
36.6%
48
63.4%
Q2 - 0:00.0ATLHAWKS Rebound48
36.6%
48
63.4%
Q2 - 0:00.0ATLMISS Johnson 20' Fadeaway Jumper48
39.0%
48
61.0%
Q2 - 0:15.0MILSessions Free Throw 1 of 1 (11 PTS)48
37.1%
48
62.9%
Q2 - 1:01MILMbah a Moute REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)45
30.4%
48
69.6%
Q2 - 1:02ATLMISS Bibby 28' 3PT Jump Shot45
29.7%
48
70.3%
Q2 - 1:02MILJefferson Free Throw 2 of 2 (12 PTS)45
28.4%
48
71.6%
Q2 - 1:02MILMISS Jefferson Free Throw 1 of 244
27.9%
48
72.1%
Q2 - 1:12ATLJones Running Layup (5 PTS) (Bibby 1 AST)44
27.7%
48
72.3%
Q2 - 1:38MILJefferson Running Reverse Layup (11 PTS) (Mbah a Moute 2 AST)44
31.1%
46
68.9%
Q2 - 1:42MILMbah a Moute REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)42
27.6%
46
72.4%
Q2 - 1:44ATLMISS Bibby 17' Jump Shot42
27.1%
46
72.9%
Q2 - 2:07MILBibby STEAL (2 STL)42
25.4%
46
74.6%
Q2 - 2:22ATLBibby 20' Jump Shot (10 PTS)42
28.0%
46
72.0%
Q2 - 2:48MILSessions Driving Layup (8 PTS)42
30.6%
44
69.4%
Q2 - 3:16ATLBibby 5' Running Jump Shot (8 PTS)40
28.2%
44
71.8%
Q2 - 3:24MILBibby STEAL (1 STL)40
30.4%
42
69.6%
Q2 - 3:40MILJefferson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)40
33.5%
42
66.5%
Q2 - 3:41ATLMISS Evans 3PT Jump Shot40
32.5%
42
67.5%
Q2 - 3:50ATLHAWKS Rebound40
30.4%
42
69.6%
Q2 - 3:53ATLMISS Bibby 28' 3PT Jump Shot40
32.5%
42
67.5%
Q2 - 4:11ATLHAWKS Rebound40
30.4%
42
69.6%
Q2 - 4:11MILMISS Gadzuric Free Throw 2 of 240
30.8%
42
69.2%
Q2 - 4:11MILMISS Gadzuric Free Throw 1 of 240
31.9%
42
68.1%
Q2 - 4:11MILBucks Rebound40
33.2%
42
66.8%
Q2 - 4:11MILMISS Lue 8' Jump Shot40
31.2%
42
68.8%
Q2 - 4:24MILGadzuric REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)40
33.2%
42
66.8%
Q2 - 4:24ATLMISS Horford 8' Jump Shot40
32.3%
42
67.7%
Q2 - 4:35ATLHorford REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)40
30.4%
42
69.6%
Q2 - 4:38MILMISS Alexander 18' Turnaround Jump Shot40
31.2%
42
68.8%
Q2 - 4:59ATLBibby 28' 3PT Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Johnson 5 AST)40
33.2%
42
66.8%
Q2 - 5:18MILLue 17' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Alexander 1 AST)40
38.7%
39
61.3%
Q2 - 5:21MILBucks Rebound38
35.9%
39
64.1%
Q2 - 5:21MILHorford BLOCK (1 BLK)38
34.1%
39
65.9%
Q2 - 5:35ATLBibby 27' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Johnson 4 AST)38
35.9%
39
64.1%
Q2 - 6:07MILSessions 17' Jump Shot (6 PTS)38
41.0%
36
59.0%
Q2 - 6:17MILLue REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)36
38.8%
36
61.2%
Q2 - 6:19ATLMISS Williams 21' Jump Shot36
37.8%
36
62.2%
Q2 - 6:34MILAlexander 16' Jump Shot (2 PTS)36
35.6%
36
64.4%
Q2 - 6:47MILSessions REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)34
33.4%
36
66.6%
Q2 - 6:49ATLMISS Murray 27' 3PT Jump Shot34
32.5%
36
67.5%
Q2 - 7:08MILMbah a Moute Putback Layup (2 PTS)34
30.6%
36
69.4%
Q2 - 7:10MILMbah a Moute REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)32
28.3%
36
71.7%
Q2 - 7:12MILWilliams BLOCK (1 BLK)32
26.7%
36
73.3%
Q2 - 7:28MILBucks Rebound32
28.3%
36
71.7%
Q2 - 7:28ATLMISS Johnson 26' 3PT Jump Shot32
27.6%
36
72.4%
Q2 - 7:54MILLue 20' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Sessions 2 AST)32
26.0%
36
74.0%
Q2 - 7:59ATLLaw Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T7)30
23.9%
36
76.1%
Q2 - 8:09MILAlexander Traveling Turnover (P1.T6)30
22.2%
36
77.8%
Q2 - 8:11MILMbah a Moute REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)30
24.1%
36
75.9%
Q2 - 8:12ATLMISS Johnson 16' Jump Shot30
23.5%
36
76.5%
Q2 - 8:33MILSessions 8' Running Jump Shot (4 PTS)30
22.2%
36
77.8%
Q2 - 8:50ATLLaw Driving Layup (4 PTS)28
20.3%
36
79.7%
Q2 - 9:03MILSessions Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)28
22.2%
34
77.8%
Q2 - 9:03MILSessions Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)27
21.8%
34
78.2%
Q2 - 9:20ATLMurray Running Dunk (6 PTS) (Law 1 AST)26
20.4%
34
79.6%
Q2 - 9:24MILMurray STEAL (2 STL)26
22.2%
32
77.8%
Q2 - 9:26MILElson REBOUND (Off:2 Def:0)26
24.1%
32
75.9%
Q2 - 9:29MILMISS Elson 12' Jump Shot26
22.8%
32
77.2%
Q2 - 9:47ATLWilliams Free Throw 2 of 2 (5 PTS)26
24.1%
32
75.9%
Q2 - 9:47ATLWilliams Free Throw 1 of 2 (4 PTS)26
24.4%
31
75.6%
Q2 - 9:59ATLJones REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)26
26.1%
30
73.9%
Q2 - 10:01MILMISS Villanueva 9' Jump Shot26
27.0%
30
73.0%
Q2 - 10:03MILVillanueva REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)26
28.5%
30
71.5%
Q2 - 10:04MILMISS Jefferson 18' Jump Shot26
27.0%
30
73.0%
Q2 - 10:19MILVillanueva REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)26
28.5%
30
71.5%
Q2 - 10:20ATLMISS Law 14' Jump Shot26
27.8%
30
72.2%
Q2 - 10:26ATLJones REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)26
26.3%
30
73.7%
Q2 - 10:28MILMISS Villanueva 12' Jump Shot26
27.0%
30
73.0%
Q2 - 10:35MILVillanueva REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)26
28.5%
30
71.5%
Q2 - 10:37ATLMISS Evans 24' 3PT Jump Shot26
27.8%
30
72.2%
Q2 - 10:51MILVillanueva 2' Layup (4 PTS) (Sessions 1 AST)26
26.3%
30
73.7%
Q2 - 10:54MILElson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)24
24.4%
30
75.6%
Q2 - 10:56MILMISS Sessions 19' Jump Shot24
23.0%
30
77.0%
Q2 - 11:12ATLLaw 5' Driving Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Evans 2 AST)24
24.7%
30
75.3%
Q2 - 11:30ATLJones REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)24
26.6%
28
73.4%
Q2 - 11:32MILMISS Villanueva 20' Jump Shot24
27.2%
28
72.8%
Q2 - 11:45ATLJones Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T6)24
28.6%
28
71.4%
Q1 - 0:00.0MIL24
26.6%
28
73.4%
Q1 - 0:00.0MILBucks Rebound24
28.6%
28
71.4%
Q1 - 0:00.0MILMISS Villanueva 32' 3PT Jump Shot24
27.2%
28
72.8%
Q1 - 0:07.0ATLJones Free Throw 1 of 1 (3 PTS)24
28.3%
28
71.7%
Q1 - 0:07.0ATLJones REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)24
33.0%
25
67.0%
Q1 - 0:07.0ATLMISS Horford 9' Turnaround Jump Shot24
34.2%
25
65.8%
Q1 - 0:30.0MILJefferson 29' 3PT Jump Shot (9 PTS)24
33.0%
25
67.0%
Q1 - 0:37.0MILSessions REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)21
28.4%
25
71.6%
Q1 - 0:39.0ATLMISS Evans 16' Jump Shot21
27.9%
25
72.1%
Q1 - 0:59.0MILJefferson 4' Running Jump Shot (6 PTS)21
26.8%
25
73.2%
Q1 - 1:16ATLMurray 10' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Horford 1 AST)19
24.8%
25
75.2%
Q1 - 1:38MILJefferson 20' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Bell 3 AST)19
27.2%
23
72.8%
Q1 - 1:55ATLMurray Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T5)17
24.8%
23
75.2%
Q1 - 1:58ATLHorford REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)17
23.6%
23
76.4%
Q1 - 1:59MILMISS Jefferson 17' Jump Shot17
23.9%
23
76.1%
Q1 - 2:16ATLMurray Running Layup (2 PTS) (Evans 1 AST)17
25.2%
23
74.8%
Q1 - 2:20MILMurray STEAL (1 STL)17
27.3%
21
72.7%
Q1 - 2:35ATLJohnson 19' Jump Shot (7 PTS)17
28.8%
21
71.2%
Q1 - 2:53MILVillanueva Layup (2 PTS) (Bell 2 AST)17
31.1%
19
68.9%
Q1 - 3:14ATLHorford 12' Turnaround Jump Shot (9 PTS)15
28.9%
19
71.1%
Q1 - 3:28ATLJones REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)15
30.9%
17
69.1%
Q1 - 3:30MILMISS Bell 3PT Jump Shot15
31.5%
17
68.5%
Q1 - 3:45ATLJohnson 28' 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Jones 1 AST)15
32.8%
17
67.2%
Q1 - 3:48ATLJones REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)15
37.0%
14
63.0%
Q1 - 3:50ATLMISS Johnson 12' Jump Shot15
38.5%
14
61.5%
Q1 - 3:58ATLHAWKS Rebound15
37.0%
14
63.0%
Q1 - 4:00ATLMISS Bibby 19' Jump Shot15
38.5%
14
61.5%
Q1 - 4:13MILRidnour Foul Turnover (P1.T3)15
36.5%
14
63.5%
Q1 - 4:33MILBell REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)15
38.8%
14
61.2%
Q1 - 4:34ATLMISS Williams 28' 3PT Jump Shot15
38.1%
14
61.9%
Q1 - 4:58MILRidnour 27' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Bell 1 AST)15
36.6%
14
63.4%
Q1 - 5:24ATLJohnson Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)12
32.8%
14
67.2%
Q1 - 5:24ATLJohnson Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)12
33.1%
13
66.9%
Q1 - 5:48MILGadzuric 16' Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Ridnour 2 AST)12
34.4%
12
65.6%
Q1 - 6:01ATLWilliams 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Johnson 3 AST)10
32.4%
12
67.6%
Q1 - 6:18MILGadzuric 5' Turnaround Jump Shot (4 PTS)10
36.2%
9
63.8%
Q1 - 6:21MILGadzuric REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)8
34.4%
9
65.6%
Q1 - 6:22MILMISS Jefferson 19' Jump Shot8
33.0%
9
67.0%
Q1 - 6:55ATLHorford Layup (7 PTS) (Johnson 2 AST)8
34.4%
9
65.6%
Q1 - 6:58MILHorford STEAL (1 STL)8
36.2%
7
63.8%
Q1 - 7:07ATLHorford Running Dunk (5 PTS) (Johnson 1 AST)8
38.1%
7
61.9%
Q1 - 7:11MILJohnson STEAL (1 STL)8
39.9%
5
60.1%
Q1 - 7:29ATLPachulia Layup (2 PTS)8
42.2%
5
57.8%
Q1 - 7:31ATLPachulia REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)8
44.1%
3
55.9%
Q1 - 7:34ATLMISS Bibby 19' Jump Shot8
45.7%
3
54.3%
Q1 - 7:49ATLWilliams REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)8
44.1%
3
55.9%
Q1 - 7:50MILMISS Ridnour 19' Jump Shot8
44.8%
3
55.2%
Q1 - 8:04ATLHorford Foul Turnover (P1.T4)8
46.0%
3
54.0%
Q1 - 8:08ATLHorford REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)8
43.9%
3
56.1%
Q1 - 8:09MILMISS Mbah a Moute 11' Turnaround Jump Shot8
44.6%
3
55.4%
Q1 - 8:33ATLHorford Free Throw 2 of 2 (3 PTS)8
46.0%
3
54.0%
Q1 - 8:33ATLMISS Horford Free Throw 1 of 28
46.5%
2
53.5%
Q1 - 8:52MILBell 4' Running Jump Shot (4 PTS)8
46.0%
2
54.0%
Q1 - 8:58ATLJohnson Lost Ball Turnover (P2.T3)6
44.0%
2
56.0%
Q1 - 9:18MILGadzuric Dunk (2 PTS) (Mbah a Moute 1 AST)6
41.7%
2
58.3%
Q1 - 9:45ATLHorford 17' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Williams 1 AST)4
39.6%
2
60.4%
Q1 - 9:47ATLHAWKS Rebound4
41.7%
0
58.3%
Q1 - 9:48ATLMISS Pachulia 6' Running Jump Shot4
42.9%
0
57.1%
Q1 - 10:11MILBell 20' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Ridnour 1 AST)4
40.8%
0
59.2%
Q1 - 10:21MILGadzuric REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)2
39.2%
0
60.8%
Q1 - 10:23ATLMISS Pachulia 12' Jump Shot2
38.6%
0
61.4%
Q1 - 10:38MILJefferson Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)2
37.4%
0
62.6%
Q1 - 10:38MILJefferson Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)1
37.1%
0
62.9%
Q1 - 10:42ATLPachulia Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T2)0
35.8%
0
64.2%
Q1 - 10:45ATLPachulia REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)0
34.0%
0
66.0%
Q1 - 10:46MILMISS Ridnour 5' Driving Jump Shot0
34.5%
0
65.5%
Q1 - 11:10ATLJohnson Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T1)0
35.3%
0
64.7%
Q1 - 11:31ATLBibby REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)0
33.7%
0
66.3%
Q1 - 11:32MILMISS Jefferson 22' Jump Shot0
34.2%
0
65.8%
Q1 - 11:39MILBucks Rebound0
35.3%
0
64.7%
Q1 - 11:40MILMISS Ridnour 26' 3PT Jump Shot0
34.2%
0
65.8%
Q1 - 12:00ATLJump Ball Horford vs. Gadzuric: Tip to Ridnour0
35.3%
0
64.7%

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

MIL
1.07 53.3%
ATL
1.20 60.0%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)
MIL
22
29
76%
ATL
16
16
100%
Midrange
MIL
15
39
38%
ATL
9
30
30%
3PT | Effective 3PT
MIL
2
3.0
12
17%
25%
ATL
10
15.0
24
42%
63%
Free Throws
MIL
16
22
73%
ATL
22
28
79%
Makes
Effective 3P Makes
%
Efficiency
Misses
Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|
MIL logo Bucks
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
R. Jefferson2552%12.5 / 24
R. Sessions2166%10.5 / 16
C. Villanueva1973%9.5 / 13
J. Alexander836%4.0 / 11
D. Gadzuric675%3.0 / 4
L. Ridnour542%2.5 / 6
L. Mbah a Moute440%2.0 / 5
C. Bell440%2.0 / 5
T. Lue467%2.0 / 3
F. Elson0-0.0 / 1
TS Makes
TS Misses

Total Points

|
ATL logo Hawks
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
A. Horford2175%10.5 / 14
M. Williams1869%9.0 / 13
M. Bibby1856%9.0 / 16
R. Murray1667%8.0 / 12
J. Johnson1550%7.5 / 15
S. Jones5125%2.5 / 2
A. Law450%2.0 / 4
M. Evans338%1.5 / 4
Z. Pachulia233%1.0 / 3
TS Makes
TS Misses

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

MIL
76
+14
-14
90
ATL
77
+8
-14
85
Base
ORB
TOV

Scoring Efficiency

MIL
1.07 53.3%
ATL
1.20 60.0%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Efficiency & PaceThis Game
Efficiency
106.3
109.2
MIL 106.7
ATL 112.1 +5.4
Pace
93.0
89.8
MIL 97.7 +13.3
ATL 84.4
Avg. Poss. Time
15.2
15.9
MIL 14.7 +2.3
ATL 17.1
Four FactorsThis Game
EFG %
48.3%
50.4%
MIL 50.0%
ATL 57.1% +7.1%
TO %
14.6%
13.6%
MIL 13.5% +1.0%
ATL 14.5%
ORB %
27.9%
26.0%
MIL 24.3% +11.0%
ATL 13.3%
FTrt
30.6
32.3
MIL 27.5
ATL 40.0 +12.5
Misc. StatsThis Game
AST %
59.9%
56.1%
MIL 56.4%
ATL 60.0% +3.6%
STL %
7.9%
8.2%
MIL 7.8%
ATL 8.8% +1.0%
BLK %
6.5%
7.4%
MIL 6.5%
ATL 7.4% +0.9%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Shooting EfficiencyThis Game
TS%
51.8%
53.2%
MIL 53.3%
ATL 60.0% +6.7%
Rim FG%
55.5%
60.5%
MIL 75.9%
ATL 100.0% +24.1%
Mid FG%
40.3%
40.2%
MIL 38.5% +8.5%
ATL 30.0%
3P %
36.3%
36.6%
MIL 16.7%
ATL 41.7% +25.0%
FT %
78.0%
73.8%
MIL 72.7%
ATL 78.6% +5.9%
Shot DistributionThis Game
Rim Att. %
33.3%
32.2%
MIL 36.3% +13.4%
ATL 22.9%
Mid Att. %
45.9%
42.4%
MIL 48.8%
ATL 42.9% +5.9%
3P Att. %
20.8%
25.3%
MIL 15.0%
ATL 34.3% +19.3%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.
Game TotalsMILATL
Possessions9091
Possession Minutes22.125.9
Points96102
Rebounds3532
Assists2221
Steals78
Blocks35
Turnovers (Team)14 (0)14 (0)
Fouls
Off. Rebounds (Team)9 (5)4 (4)
Def. Rebounds (Team)26 (2)28 (3)
Field Goals39-8035-70
At-the-Rim FG22-2916-16
Midrange FG15-399-30
2-Point FG37-6825-46
3-Point FG2-1210-24
Free Throws16-2222-28
Fast Break Pts
2nd Chance Pts
Points in Paint
Pts off Turnovers
Bench Points
Biggest Lead

BOXSCORE

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PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
F · 6'7" 233 · 28
42.4
25
52%
6
1
1
0
1
3
0
6
6-10
60%
8-15
53%
1-5
20%
F · 6'8" 230 · 22
32.8
4
40%
8
3
1
0
4
5
1
7
2-2
100%
1-4
25%
0-0
-
G · 6'3" 200 · 30
31.7
4
40%
2
5
2
0
1
3
0
2
0-0
-
2-2
100%
0-3
0%
G · 6'2" 175 · 28
19.5
5
42%
1
4
2
1
3
2
0
1
0-0
-
1-4
25%
1-2
50%
C · 6'11" 240 · 31
18.3
6
75%
3
0
0
1
1
1
1
2
0-2
0%
3-3
100%
0-0
-
G · 6'3" 190 · 23
36.8
21
66%
7
8
1
0
2
4
3
4
3-3
100%
9-14
64%
0-1
0%
F · 6'11" 232 · 24
21.9
19
73%
4
0
0
1
0
4
1
3
5-5
100%
7-11
64%
0-1
0%
F · 6'8" 230 · 22
21.6
8
36%
1
1
0
0
1
2
1
0
0-0
-
4-11
36%
0-0
-
G · 6'0" 175 · 32
7.9
4
67%
1
0
0
0
1
1
0
1
0-0
-
2-3
67%
0-0
-
C-F · 7'0" 240 · 33
7.0
0
0%
2
0
0
0
0
0
2
0
0-0
-
0-1
0%
0-0
-
F · 6'10" 255 · 30
F · 6'10" 240 · 34
#6 · C · 7'0" 260 · 24
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
#19 · G · 6'3" 195 · 32
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
#22 · G · 6'6" 215 · 29
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
TOTAL
240
96
53%
35
22
7
3
14
0
9
26
16-22
73%
37-68
54%
2-12
17%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.