FinalWin Prob.pScore
1733%94
100
1367%100
109
ORTG#PossPace
IND logo IND
104.296103.6
MIA logo MIA
111.29891.3

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

HeatPacersQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Scoring Margin

HeatPacersQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Play-by-Play

Score / WinProb
ClockTeamEventINDMIA
Q4 - 0:00.0MIA100
0%
109
100%
Q4 - 0:04.0MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:1 Def:7)100
0.1%
109
99.9%
Q4 - 0:05.0INDMISS Jack 26' 3PT Jump Shot100
0.1%
109
99.9%
Q4 - 0:12.0MIAWade Free Throw 2 of 2 (38 PTS)100
0.1%
109
99.9%
Q4 - 0:12.0MIAWade Free Throw 1 of 2 (37 PTS)100
0.1%
108
99.9%
Q4 - 0:21.0MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:1 Def:6)100
0.1%
107
99.9%
Q4 - 0:22.0INDMISS Daniels 4' Jump Shot100
0.1%
107
99.9%
Q4 - 0:28.0INDNesterovic REBOUND (Off:3 Def:4)100
0.3%
107
99.7%
Q4 - 0:30.0MIAMISS Wade 15' Jump Bank Shot100
0.3%
107
99.7%
Q4 - 0:45.0INDJack Foul Turnover (P1.T21)100
0.4%
107
99.6%
Q4 - 0:52.0MIAMarion 11' Running Jump Shot (18 PTS)100
1.0%
107
99.0%
Q4 - 1:09INDNesterovic Dunk (13 PTS) (Jack 5 AST)100
2.8%
105
97.2%
Q4 - 1:16MIABeasley 15' Jump Shot (17 PTS) (Haslem 1 AST)98
2.0%
105
98.0%
Q4 - 1:33MIAWade REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)98
4.2%
103
95.8%
Q4 - 1:34INDMISS Granger 17' Jump Shot98
5.0%
103
95.0%
Q4 - 1:45MIAHaslem Dunk (16 PTS) (Marion 4 AST)98
8.1%
103
91.9%
Q4 - 1:49INDHaslem STEAL (1 STL)98
12.4%
101
87.6%
Q4 - 2:05MIAWade Dunk (36 PTS) (Quinn 2 AST)98
21.2%
101
78.8%
Q4 - 2:10INDQuinn STEAL (1 STL)98
26.8%
99
73.2%
Q4 - 2:19INDJack REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)98
42.7%
99
57.3%
Q4 - 2:20MIAMISS Haslem 19' Jump Shot98
37.5%
99
62.5%
Q4 - 2:41INDGranger 25' 3PT Jump Shot (23 PTS) (Jack 4 AST)98
26.7%
99
73.3%
Q4 - 2:51MIAWade Free Throw 2 of 2 (34 PTS)95
15.0%
99
85.0%
Q4 - 2:51MIAWade Free Throw 1 of 2 (33 PTS)95
16.1%
98
83.9%
Q4 - 2:59INDDaniels Free Throw 2 of 2 (25 PTS)95
19.6%
97
80.4%
Q4 - 2:59INDMISS Daniels Free Throw 1 of 294
18.0%
97
82.0%
Q4 - 3:13MIAMarion Foul Turnover (P1.T11)94
22.1%
97
77.9%
Q4 - 3:35INDNesterovic Layup (11 PTS) (Granger 6 AST)94
16.8%
97
83.2%
Q4 - 3:51MIABeasley Dunk (15 PTS) (Wade 8 AST)92
12.2%
97
87.8%
Q4 - 4:08INDNesterovic Free Throw 2 of 2 (9 PTS)92
16.3%
95
83.7%
Q4 - 4:08INDMISS Nesterovic Free Throw 1 of 291
14.9%
95
85.1%
Q4 - 4:08INDNesterovic REBOUND (Off:3 Def:3)91
16.7%
95
83.3%
Q4 - 4:09INDMISS Murphy 25' 3PT Jump Shot91
13.0%
95
87.0%
Q4 - 4:20INDDaniels REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)91
16.6%
95
83.4%
Q4 - 4:21MIAMISS Quinn 25' 3PT Jump Shot91
14.9%
95
85.1%
Q4 - 4:43MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)91
11.5%
95
88.5%
Q4 - 4:44INDWade BLOCK (2 BLK)91
12.8%
95
87.2%
Q4 - 5:10MIAHaslem 19' Jump Shot (14 PTS) (Wade 7 AST)91
18.7%
95
81.3%
Q4 - 5:25MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)91
24.1%
93
75.9%
Q4 - 5:26MIAMISS Beasley 21' Jump Shot91
28.9%
93
71.1%
Q4 - 5:46INDNesterovic Layup (8 PTS) (Granger 5 AST)91
24.1%
93
75.9%
Q4 - 5:57MIAMarion 9' Running Jump Shot (16 PTS)89
18.6%
93
81.4%
Q4 - 6:19INDMurphy Foul Turnover (P1.T18)89
25.1%
91
74.9%
Q4 - 6:22INDNesterovic REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)89
31.5%
91
68.5%
Q4 - 6:23INDMISS Granger 24' 3PT Jump Shot89
27.0%
91
73.0%
Q4 - 6:37INDNesterovic REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)89
31.5%
91
68.5%
Q4 - 6:39MIAMISS Wade Driving Layup89
29.5%
91
70.5%
Q4 - 6:58INDGranger 20' Jump Shot (20 PTS) (Nesterovic 2 AST)89
25.1%
91
74.9%
Q4 - 7:09INDMurphy REBOUND (Off:3 Def:8)87
20.8%
91
79.2%
Q4 - 7:10MIAMISS Haslem 14' Jump Shot87
19.3%
91
80.7%
Q4 - 7:22INDMarion STEAL (6 STL)87
16.3%
91
83.7%
Q4 - 7:33MIAWade Driving Dunk (32 PTS)87
20.8%
91
79.2%
Q4 - 7:37INDWade STEAL (1 STL)87
25.4%
89
74.6%
Q4 - 7:48MIAWade Driving Dunk (30 PTS) (Beasley 2 AST)87
31.5%
89
68.5%
Q4 - 8:03INDDaniels Free Throw 1 of 1 (24 PTS)87
37.5%
87
62.5%
Q4 - 8:20MIAWade 13' Turnaround Jump Shot (28 PTS)84
26.1%
87
73.9%
Q4 - 8:35INDNesterovic Free Throw 2 of 2 (6 PTS)84
31.6%
85
68.4%
Q4 - 8:35INDNesterovic Free Throw 1 of 2 (5 PTS)83
30.0%
85
70.0%
Q4 - 8:53MIAWade 17' Jump Shot (26 PTS)82
26.1%
85
73.9%
Q4 - 9:12MIAHEAT Rebound82
32.0%
83
68.0%
Q4 - 9:13INDMISS Ford 12' Jump Shot82
33.5%
83
66.5%
Q4 - 9:14INDFord REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)82
37.2%
83
62.8%
Q4 - 9:15INDAnthony BLOCK (2 BLK)82
33.5%
83
66.5%
Q4 - 9:46MIAAnthony Dunk (2 PTS) (Marion 3 AST)82
37.2%
83
62.8%
Q4 - 9:54MIAAnthony REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)82
43.3%
81
56.7%
Q4 - 9:55MIAMISS Marion 8' Jump Shot82
47.2%
81
52.8%
Q4 - 10:15INDGranger Foul Turnover (P4.T15)82
42.4%
81
57.6%
Q4 - 10:27INDGranger Free Throw Technical (18 PTS)82
47.9%
81
52.1%
Q4 - 10:42INDPacers Rebound81
42.3%
81
57.7%
Q4 - 10:43MIAMISS Cook 13' Running Jump Shot81
40.7%
81
59.3%
Q4 - 11:07INDGranger Free Throw 2 of 2 (17 PTS)81
36.8%
81
63.2%
Q4 - 11:07INDGranger Free Throw 1 of 2 (16 PTS)80
36.1%
81
63.9%
Q4 - 11:20INDRush REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)79
31.7%
81
68.3%
Q4 - 11:22INDMISS Rush Layup79
28.7%
81
71.3%
Q4 - 11:37MIAMarion 7' Running Jump Shot (14 PTS)79
31.7%
81
68.3%
Q3 - 0:00.0IND79
36.8%
79
63.2%
Q3 - 0:00.0MIAQuinn 29' 3PT Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Wade 6 AST)79
41.6%
79
58.4%
Q3 - 0:17.0INDJack Free Throw 2 of 2 (8 PTS)79
51.6%
76
48.4%
Q3 - 0:17.0INDMISS Jack Free Throw 1 of 278
51.0%
76
49.0%
Q3 - 0:32.0INDDaniels REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)78
51.1%
76
48.9%
Q3 - 0:33.0MIAMISS Marion Layup78
49.7%
76
50.3%
Q3 - 0:38.0INDMarion STEAL (5 STL)78
46.6%
76
53.4%
Q3 - 0:58.0MIAMarion 12' Running Jump Shot (12 PTS)78
51.1%
76
48.9%
Q3 - 1:05MIADiawara REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)78
55.4%
74
44.6%
Q3 - 1:06INDMISS Daniels Layup78
56.8%
74
43.2%
Q3 - 1:13INDFoster REBOUND (Off:1 Def:7)78
59.8%
74
40.2%
Q3 - 1:14MIAMISS Marion 9' Running Jump Shot78
58.5%
74
41.5%
Q3 - 1:26INDRush Foul Turnover (P2.T13)78
55.5%
74
44.5%
Q3 - 1:44MIAQuinn 19' Jump Shot (5 PTS)78
59.9%
74
40.1%
Q3 - 2:10INDJack Free Throw 2 of 2 (7 PTS)78
62.9%
72
37.1%
Q3 - 2:10INDMISS Jack Free Throw 1 of 277
62.3%
72
37.7%
Q3 - 2:14INDFoster REBOUND (Off:1 Def:6)77
62.9%
72
37.1%
Q3 - 2:15MIAMISS Wade 15' Jump Shot77
61.6%
72
38.4%
Q3 - 2:30INDDaniels Out of Bounds Lost Ball Turnover (P2.T12)77
58.5%
72
41.5%
Q3 - 2:41MIAWade 8' Jump Shot (24 PTS)77
63.0%
72
37.0%
Q3 - 2:58INDDaniels Layup (21 PTS) (Jack 3 AST)77
67.3%
70
32.7%
Q3 - 3:03INDFoster REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)75
61.4%
70
38.6%
Q3 - 3:04MIAMISS Marion 13' Jump Shot75
60.0%
70
40.0%
Q3 - 3:32INDRush 25' 3PT Jump Shot (10 PTS) (Daniels 2 AST)75
56.9%
70
43.1%
Q3 - 3:48INDJack REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)72
48.2%
70
51.8%
Q3 - 3:49INDMISS Daniels 11' Jump Shot72
44.9%
70
55.1%
Q3 - 4:00MIABeasley Lost Ball Turnover (P3.T10)72
48.2%
70
51.8%
Q3 - 4:08MIAChalmers REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)72
42.7%
70
57.3%
Q3 - 4:09INDMISS Daniels 25' 3PT Jump Shot72
44.2%
70
55.8%
Q3 - 4:25MIABeasley 6' Jump Bank Shot (13 PTS) (Wade 5 AST)72
47.8%
70
52.2%
Q3 - 4:43INDDaniels Driving Layup (19 PTS)72
51.4%
68
48.6%
Q3 - 4:51INDJack REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)70
47.8%
68
52.2%
Q3 - 4:52MIAMISS Haslem 16' Jump Shot70
46.2%
68
53.8%
Q3 - 5:01MIAWade REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)70
41.8%
68
58.2%
Q3 - 5:02INDMISS Nesterovic 16' Jump Shot70
43.2%
68
56.8%
Q3 - 5:19MIAChalmers Free Throw 2 of 2 (5 PTS)70
46.5%
68
53.5%
Q3 - 5:19MIAChalmers Free Throw 1 of 2 (4 PTS)70
47.6%
67
52.4%
Q3 - 5:38INDDaniels Layup (17 PTS) (Jack 2 AST)70
50.2%
66
49.8%
Q3 - 5:43INDNesterovic REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)68
46.6%
66
53.4%
Q3 - 5:44MIAMISS Chalmers Layup68
45.2%
66
54.8%
Q3 - 5:48MIABeasley REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)68
41.9%
66
58.1%
Q3 - 5:50INDWade BLOCK (1 BLK)68
43.3%
66
56.7%
Q3 - 6:10MIABeasley 5' Jump Bank Shot (11 PTS)68
45.6%
66
54.4%
Q3 - 6:25INDDaniels Free Throw 1 of 1 (15 PTS)68
49.3%
64
50.7%
Q3 - 6:35MIABeasley Free Throw 2 of 2 (9 PTS)65
41.6%
64
58.4%
Q3 - 6:35MIABeasley Free Throw 1 of 2 (8 PTS)65
42.5%
63
57.5%
Q3 - 6:35MIABeasley REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)65
45.3%
62
54.7%
Q3 - 6:37MIAMISS Wade 24' 3PT Jump Shot65
48.3%
62
51.7%
Q3 - 6:45MIAChalmers REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)65
45.3%
62
54.7%
Q3 - 6:46INDMISS Nesterovic 16' Jump Shot65
46.6%
62
53.4%
Q3 - 7:03MIABeasley 14' Jump Shot (7 PTS) (Marion 2 AST)65
48.2%
62
51.8%
Q3 - 7:23INDFord 25' 3PT Jump Shot (11 PTS) (Murphy 5 AST)65
52.0%
60
48.0%
Q3 - 7:39MIAHaslem 16' Jump Shot (12 PTS) (Chalmers 2 AST)62
44.5%
60
55.5%
Q3 - 7:51MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)62
48.2%
58
51.8%
Q3 - 7:52INDMISS Granger 21' Jump Shot62
49.5%
58
50.5%
Q3 - 8:11MIAWade 16' Jump Shot (22 PTS)62
51.5%
58
48.5%
Q3 - 8:21MIABeasley REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)62
55.0%
56
45.0%
Q3 - 8:22INDMISS Ford 16' Jump Shot62
56.2%
56
43.8%
Q3 - 8:35MIABeasley Free Throw 2 of 2 (5 PTS)62
59.0%
56
41.0%
Q3 - 8:35MIABeasley Free Throw 1 of 2 (4 PTS)62
59.8%
55
40.2%
Q3 - 8:42MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)62
62.3%
54
37.7%
Q3 - 8:43INDMISS Nesterovic 8' Hook Shot62
63.5%
54
36.5%
Q3 - 8:51MIAHaslem 15' Jump Shot (10 PTS)62
66.1%
54
33.9%
Q3 - 9:11INDMarion STEAL (4 STL)62
68.3%
52
31.7%
Q3 - 9:19INDFord REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)62
71.5%
52
28.5%
Q3 - 9:20MIAMISS Beasley 16' Jump Shot62
70.5%
52
29.5%
Q3 - 9:36INDDaniels Foul Turnover (P1.T10)62
68.3%
52
31.7%
Q3 - 9:51MIAMarion Free Throw 2 of 2 (10 PTS)62
71.5%
52
28.5%
Q3 - 9:51MIAMarion Free Throw 1 of 2 (9 PTS)62
72.2%
51
27.8%
Q3 - 9:54INDMarion STEAL (3 STL)62
74.4%
50
25.6%
Q3 - 10:05INDPacers Rebound62
75.7%
50
24.3%
Q3 - 10:06MIAMISS Wade 15' Jump Shot62
74.8%
50
25.2%
Q3 - 10:23INDMurphy Putback Dunk (6 PTS)62
73.0%
50
27.0%
Q3 - 10:25INDMurphy REBOUND (Off:3 Def:7)60
70.1%
50
29.9%
Q3 - 10:26INDMISS Granger Layup60
68.0%
50
32.0%
Q3 - 10:27MIAChalmers Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T9)60
70.1%
50
29.9%
Q3 - 10:38MIAMarion REBOUND (Off:2 Def:7)60
67.0%
50
33.0%
Q3 - 10:40INDMISS Daniels 24' 3PT Jump Shot60
68.0%
50
32.0%
Q3 - 11:03MIAHaslem 14' Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Wade 4 AST)60
68.9%
50
31.1%
Q3 - 11:22MIAMarion REBOUND (Off:2 Def:6)60
71.7%
48
28.3%
Q3 - 11:24INDMISS Daniels 17' Running Jump Shot60
72.6%
48
27.4%
Q3 - 11:46INDMurphy REBOUND (Off:2 Def:7)60
74.6%
48
25.4%
Q3 - 11:48INDMISS Granger Layup60
72.6%
48
27.4%
Q2 - 0:00.0IND60
74.6%
48
25.4%
Q2 - 0:00.0INDPacers Rebound60
74.6%
48
25.4%
Q2 - 0:00.0INDMISS Nesterovic 64' 3PT Jump Shot60
72.6%
48
27.4%
Q2 - 0:00.0MIAWade 24' 3PT Jump Shot (20 PTS)60
74.6%
48
25.4%
Q2 - 0:14.0INDFord 24' 3PT Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Daniels 1 AST)60
78.6%
45
21.4%
Q2 - 0:35.0MIAWade 25' 3PT Jump Shot (17 PTS)57
73.1%
45
26.9%
Q2 - 0:45.0INDFord Out of Bounds Lost Ball Turnover (P3.T8)57
78.6%
42
21.4%
Q2 - 0:49.0INDFord REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)57
80.3%
42
19.7%
Q2 - 0:50.0MIAMISS Haslem Layup57
79.8%
42
20.2%
Q2 - 1:12INDDaniels Layup (12 PTS) (Granger 4 AST)57
77.7%
42
22.3%
Q2 - 1:25MIAWade Poss Lost Ball Turnover (P4.T8)55
74.7%
42
25.3%
Q2 - 1:31MIADiawara REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)55
72.9%
42
27.1%
Q2 - 1:32INDMISS Granger 24' 3PT Jump Shot55
73.4%
42
26.6%
Q2 - 1:43MIAWade Free Throw 2 of 2 (14 PTS)55
74.7%
42
25.3%
Q2 - 1:43MIAMISS Wade Free Throw 1 of 255
75.2%
41
24.8%
Q2 - 1:56INDGranger 24' 3PT Jump Shot (15 PTS)55
75.4%
41
24.6%
Q2 - 2:04MIAMarion 15' Running Jump Shot (8 PTS)52
68.5%
41
31.5%
Q2 - 2:05MIAMarion REBOUND (Off:2 Def:5)52
71.1%
39
28.9%
Q2 - 2:06MIAMISS Marion 7' Running Jump Shot52
72.9%
39
27.1%
Q2 - 2:25INDGranger 24' 3PT Jump Shot (12 PTS) (Ford 2 AST)52
71.2%
39
28.8%
Q2 - 2:33MIAMarion 14' Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Wade 3 AST)49
65.7%
39
34.3%
Q2 - 2:48MIAMarion REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)49
68.5%
37
31.5%
Q2 - 2:50INDMISS Murphy Layup49
69.4%
37
30.6%
Q2 - 2:55INDMurphy REBOUND (Off:1 Def:7)49
71.3%
37
28.7%
Q2 - 2:58MIAMISS Cook 15' Jump Shot49
70.5%
37
29.5%
Q2 - 3:04INDMarion STEAL (2 STL)49
67.3%
37
32.7%
Q2 - 3:15INDMurphy REBOUND (Off:1 Def:6)49
70.5%
37
29.5%
Q2 - 3:16INDMISS Ford 25' 3PT Jump Shot49
68.3%
37
31.7%
Q2 - 3:42MIAWade Dunk (13 PTS) (Marion 1 AST)49
70.5%
37
29.5%
Q2 - 3:48INDChalmers STEAL (3 STL)49
72.6%
35
27.4%
Q2 - 4:15MIAChalmers Free Throw 2 of 2 (3 PTS)49
74.1%
35
25.9%
Q2 - 4:15MIAMISS Chalmers Free Throw 1 of 249
74.7%
34
25.3%
Q2 - 4:34INDRush Layup (7 PTS) (Nesterovic 1 AST)49
74.0%
34
26.0%
Q2 - 4:48MIAMarion 8' Running Jump Shot (4 PTS)47
71.8%
34
28.2%
Q2 - 5:02INDGranger 17' Jump Shot (9 PTS) (Ford 1 AST)47
73.1%
32
26.9%
Q2 - 5:10INDFord REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)45
70.7%
32
29.3%
Q2 - 5:11MIAMISS Haslem Layup45
69.9%
32
30.1%
Q2 - 5:27INDFord Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T5)45
68.3%
32
31.7%
Q2 - 5:41MIADiawara Poss Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T7)45
70.7%
32
29.3%
Q2 - 5:45MIAWade REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)45
68.3%
32
31.7%
Q2 - 5:46INDMISS Rush 18' Jump Shot45
69.0%
32
31.0%
Q2 - 6:06INDFoster REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)45
69.9%
32
30.1%
Q2 - 6:07MIAMISS Wade Free Throw 2 of 245
69.5%
32
30.5%
Q2 - 6:07MIAMISS Wade Free Throw 1 of 245
67.9%
32
32.1%
Q2 - 6:24INDFoster Layup (4 PTS) (Jack 1 AST)45
67.0%
32
33.0%
Q2 - 6:37INDGranger REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)43
64.8%
32
35.2%
Q2 - 6:38MIAMISS Wade Free Throw 1 of 143
64.4%
32
35.6%
Q2 - 6:53INDGranger 24' 3PT Jump Shot (7 PTS) (Murphy 4 AST)43
67.0%
30
33.0%
Q2 - 7:02INDFoster REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)40
61.0%
30
39.0%
Q2 - 7:03MIAMISS Diawara 25' 3PT Jump Shot40
60.2%
30
39.8%
Q2 - 7:13MIAWade REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)40
58.3%
30
41.7%
Q2 - 7:15INDMISS Murphy 25' 3PT Jump Shot40
59.2%
30
40.8%
Q2 - 7:16INDFoster REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)40
61.1%
30
38.9%
Q2 - 7:17INDMISS Granger 25' 3PT Jump Shot40
59.2%
30
40.8%
Q2 - 7:40MIAWade Driving Layup (9 PTS)40
61.2%
30
38.8%
Q2 - 7:50MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)40
63.7%
28
36.3%
Q2 - 7:51INDMISS Ford 3PT Jump Shot40
64.5%
28
35.5%
Q2 - 7:58MIAWade Lost Ball Turnover (P3.T6)40
66.4%
28
33.6%
Q2 - 8:08MIAMarion REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)40
62.5%
28
37.5%
Q2 - 8:10INDMISS Foster Free Throw 1 of 140
62.9%
28
37.1%
Q2 - 8:23MIABeasley Foul Turnover (P2.T5)38
59.9%
28
40.1%
Q2 - 8:41INDMurphy Running Finger Roll Layup (4 PTS)38
57.4%
28
42.6%
Q2 - 8:57INDMurphy REBOUND (Off:0 Def:6)36
54.6%
28
45.4%
Q2 - 8:59MIAMISS Quinn 21' Jump Shot36
53.8%
28
46.2%
Q2 - 9:08MIABeasley REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)36
51.0%
28
49.0%
Q2 - 9:09INDMISS Foster 5' Jump Shot36
51.8%
28
48.2%
Q2 - 9:31MIAQuinn Free Throw 1 of 1 (3 PTS)36
53.8%
28
46.2%
Q2 - 9:49INDJack 25' 3PT Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Foster 1 AST)36
59.0%
25
41.0%
Q2 - 10:03INDMurphy REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)33
53.2%
25
46.8%
Q2 - 10:04MIAMISS Beasley 19' Jump Shot33
52.3%
25
47.7%
Q2 - 10:25MIAAnthony REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)33
50.5%
25
49.5%
Q2 - 10:26INDMISS Murphy 25' 3PT Jump Shot33
51.3%
25
48.7%
Q2 - 10:36INDMurphy REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)33
53.2%
25
46.8%
Q2 - 10:37MIAMISS Cook 18' Jump Shot33
52.4%
25
47.6%
Q2 - 10:49MIAQuinn REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)33
50.5%
25
49.5%
Q2 - 10:50INDMISS Granger 25' 3PT Jump Shot33
51.3%
25
48.7%
Q2 - 11:11MIADiawara 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Quinn 1 AST)33
52.6%
25
47.4%
Q2 - 11:19MIAAnthony REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)33
57.6%
22
42.4%
Q2 - 11:20INDMISS Granger 25' 3PT Jump Shot33
58.3%
22
41.7%
Q2 - 11:29MIACook Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)33
60.1%
22
39.9%
Q2 - 11:29MIACook Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)33
60.5%
21
39.5%
Q2 - 11:52INDJack Free Throw 2 of 2 (3 PTS)33
62.5%
20
37.5%
Q2 - 11:52INDJack Free Throw 1 of 2 (2 PTS)32
62.2%
20
37.8%
Q1 - 0:00.0MIA31
60.1%
20
39.9%
Q1 - 0:00.0MIAHEAT Rebound31
57.6%
20
42.4%
Q1 - 0:00.0MIAMISS Marion 8' Running Jump Shot31
59.4%
20
40.6%
Q1 - 0:16.0INDDaniels 17' Jump Shot (10 PTS)31
56.5%
20
43.5%
Q1 - 0:33.0MIAQuinn Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T4)29
53.6%
20
46.4%
Q1 - 0:41.0MIAMarion REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)29
51.7%
20
48.3%
Q1 - 0:42.0INDMISS Daniels Free Throw 1 of 129
51.9%
20
48.1%
Q1 - 0:47.0INDPacers Rebound27
48.7%
20
51.3%
Q1 - 0:48.0INDAnthony BLOCK (1 BLK)27
47.4%
20
52.6%
Q1 - 0:57.0INDDaniels REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)27
48.7%
20
51.3%
Q1 - 0:58.0MIAMISS Quinn 21' Jump Shot27
48.1%
20
51.9%
Q1 - 1:13INDRush Out of Bounds Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T4)27
46.1%
20
53.9%
Q1 - 1:16INDDaniels REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)27
47.7%
20
52.3%
Q1 - 1:17MIAMISS Wade 20' Jump Shot27
47.2%
20
52.8%
Q1 - 1:34MIAQuinn REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)27
46.1%
20
53.9%
Q1 - 1:35INDMISS Jack 13' Jump Shot27
46.6%
20
53.4%
Q1 - 1:51MIAWade 15' Jump Shot (7 PTS)27
47.8%
20
52.2%
Q1 - 2:14INDNesterovic 4' Jump Shot (4 PTS)27
50.1%
18
49.9%
Q1 - 2:16INDNesterovic REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)25
47.4%
18
52.6%
Q1 - 2:17INDMISS Daniels Driving Layup25
46.1%
18
53.9%
Q1 - 2:26INDJack Free Throw Technical (1 PTS)25
47.4%
18
52.6%
Q1 - 2:34INDFoster REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)24
45.1%
18
54.9%
Q1 - 2:35MIAMISS Haslem 20' Jump Shot24
44.5%
18
55.5%
Q1 - 2:54INDRush Driving Layup (5 PTS)24
43.3%
18
56.7%
Q1 - 3:14MIAHaslem Free Throw 2 of 2 (6 PTS)22
40.5%
18
59.5%
Q1 - 3:14MIAHaslem Free Throw 1 of 2 (5 PTS)22
41.0%
17
59.0%
Q1 - 3:21MIAMarion REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)22
42.7%
16
57.3%
Q1 - 3:22MIAMISS Marion 5' Turnaround Jump Shot22
44.3%
16
55.7%
Q1 - 3:54INDRush 24' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Murphy 2 AST)22
42.8%
16
57.2%
Q1 - 4:09INDPacers Rebound19
37.8%
16
62.2%
Q1 - 4:10MIAMISS Chalmers Driving Dunk19
37.1%
16
62.9%
Q1 - 4:16MIAMarion REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)19
35.6%
16
64.4%
Q1 - 4:18INDMISS Foster 4' Running Jump Shot19
36.3%
16
63.7%
Q1 - 4:28INDFoster REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)19
37.8%
16
62.2%
Q1 - 4:29MIAMISS Chalmers 24' 3PT Jump Shot19
37.1%
16
62.9%
Q1 - 4:47INDMurphy 18' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Granger 3 AST)19
35.6%
16
64.4%
Q1 - 4:59MIAWade Free Throw 2 of 2 (5 PTS)17
33.7%
16
66.3%
Q1 - 4:59MIAMISS Wade Free Throw 1 of 217
34.1%
15
65.9%
Q1 - 5:08MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)17
33.5%
15
66.5%
Q1 - 5:09INDMISS Ford Driving Layup17
34.1%
15
65.9%
Q1 - 5:18MIAHaslem Layup (4 PTS) (Wade 2 AST)17
35.7%
15
64.3%
Q1 - 5:32INDGranger 18' Jump Shot (4 PTS)17
37.4%
13
62.6%
Q1 - 5:49MIABeasley Foul Turnover (P1.T3)15
35.7%
13
64.3%
Q1 - 6:07INDDaniels Layup (6 PTS) (Murphy 1 AST)15
33.1%
13
66.9%
Q1 - 6:16INDNesterovic REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)13
31.4%
13
68.6%
Q1 - 6:17MIAMISS Beasley 5' Running Jump Shot13
30.8%
13
69.2%
Q1 - 6:23INDMarion STEAL (1 STL)13
29.5%
13
70.5%
Q1 - 6:35MIAWade Driving Dunk (4 PTS) (Beasley 1 AST)13
31.4%
13
68.6%
Q1 - 6:44INDFord Free Throw 1 of 1 (5 PTS)13
33.2%
11
66.8%
Q1 - 6:47INDMurphy REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)10
29.6%
11
70.4%
Q1 - 6:49MIAMISS Wade Driving Layup10
29.1%
11
70.9%
Q1 - 6:55INDChalmers STEAL (2 STL)10
27.8%
11
72.2%
Q1 - 7:04MIAWade Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T2)10
29.4%
11
70.6%
Q1 - 7:07MIAMarion REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)10
27.5%
11
72.5%
Q1 - 7:08INDMISS Daniels 20' Jump Shot10
28.1%
11
71.9%
Q1 - 7:16INDMurphy REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)10
29.4%
11
70.6%
Q1 - 7:17MIAMISS Wade 10' Jump Bank Shot10
28.8%
11
71.2%
Q1 - 7:32INDDaniels REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)10
27.5%
11
72.5%
Q1 - 7:32INDDaniels Tip Shot (4 PTS)10
27.5%
11
72.5%
Q1 - 7:33INDMISS Granger Layup8
24.8%
11
75.2%
Q1 - 7:47MIAHaslem 16' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Wade 1 AST)8
26.0%
11
74.0%
Q1 - 8:09INDFord Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)8
27.4%
9
72.6%
Q1 - 8:09INDFord Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)7
27.2%
9
72.8%
Q1 - 8:12MIAWade Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T1)6
25.7%
9
74.3%
Q1 - 8:34INDGranger 7' Jump Shot (2 PTS)6
24.2%
9
75.8%
Q1 - 8:48MIAWade 18' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Chalmers 1 AST)4
22.7%
9
77.3%
Q1 - 9:08INDNesterovic 5' Jump Hook Shot (2 PTS) (Granger 2 AST)4
24.6%
7
75.4%
Q1 - 9:20MIAChalmers Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)2
23.0%
7
77.0%
Q1 - 9:20MIAChalmers Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)2
23.4%
6
76.6%
Q1 - 9:24INDChalmers STEAL (1 STL)2
24.6%
5
75.4%
Q1 - 9:34INDMurphy REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)2
25.9%
5
74.1%
Q1 - 9:35MIAMISS Beasley Layup2
25.5%
5
74.5%
Q1 - 9:50MIABeasley REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)2
24.5%
5
75.5%
Q1 - 9:51INDMISS Daniels 7' Jump Shot2
24.9%
5
75.1%
Q1 - 10:11MIABeasley 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS)2
26.2%
5
73.8%
Q1 - 10:34INDDaniels Layup (2 PTS) (Granger 1 AST)2
29.0%
2
71.0%
Q1 - 10:43INDGranger REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)0
27.6%
2
72.4%
Q1 - 10:44MIAMISS Wade 20' Jump Shot0
27.2%
2
72.8%
Q1 - 10:51MIABeasley REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)0
26.1%
2
73.9%
Q1 - 10:52INDMISS Ford 7' Running Jump Shot0
26.6%
2
73.4%
Q1 - 11:15MIAMarion 9' Running Jump Shot (2 PTS)0
27.4%
2
72.6%
Q1 - 11:34MIAHEAT Rebound0
28.7%
0
71.3%
Q1 - 11:35MIAMISS Chalmers 24' 3PT Jump Shot0
29.7%
0
70.3%
Q1 - 12:00MIAJump Ball Haslem vs. Nesterovic: Tip to Marion0
28.7%
0
71.3%

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

IND
1.11 55.6%
MIA
1.16 58.0%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)
IND
21
33
64%
MIA
13
23
57%
Midrange
IND
7
24
29%
MIA
23
46
50%
3PT | Effective 3PT
IND
9
13.5
23
39%
59%
MIA
5
7.5
10
50%
75%
Free Throws
IND
17
23
74%
MIA
22
28
79%
Makes
Effective 3P Makes
%
Efficiency
Misses
Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|
IND logo Pacers
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
M. Daniels2557%12.5 / 22
D. Granger2361%11.5 / 19
R. Nesterovic1354%6.5 / 12
T. Ford1150%5.5 / 11
B. Rush1083%5.0 / 6
J. Jack867%4.0 / 6
T. Murphy643%3.0 / 7
J. Foster440%2.0 / 5
TS Makes
TS Misses

Total Points

|
MIA logo Heat
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
D. Wade3866%19.0 / 29
S. Marion1856%9.0 / 16
M. Beasley1765%8.5 / 13
U. Haslem1657%8.0 / 14
C. Quinn867%4.0 / 6
M. Chalmers536%2.5 / 7
Y. Diawara375%1.5 / 2
D. Cook225%1.0 / 4
J. Anthony2100%1.0 / 1
TS Makes
TS Misses

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

IND
75
+13
-21
88
MIA
87
+7
-11
94
Base
ORB
TOV

Scoring Efficiency

IND
1.11 55.6%
MIA
1.16 58.0%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Efficiency & PaceThis Game
Efficiency
108.1
107.6
IND 104.2
MIA 111.2 +7.1
Pace
96.5
90.2
IND 103.6 +12.3
MIA 91.3
Avg. Poss. Time
14.5
16.3
IND 13.9 +1.9
MIA 15.8
Four FactorsThis Game
EFG %
50.1%
50.0%
IND 51.9%
MIA 55.1% +3.2%
TO %
14.4%
13.1%
IND 18.9%
MIA 10.8% +8.1%
ORB %
25.5%
24.6%
IND 26.2% +11.9%
MIA 14.3%
FTrt
26.7
28.2
IND 28.8
MIA 35.4 +6.6
Misc. StatsThis Game
AST %
55.1%
55.1%
IND 64.9% +18.6%
MIA 46.3%
STL %
7.2%
8.7%
IND 4.2%
MIA 12.2% +8.0%
BLK %
8.1%
9.2%
IND 1.4%
MIA 7.0% +5.6%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Shooting EfficiencyThis Game
TS%
53.2%
52.6%
IND 55.6%
MIA 58.0% +2.4%
Rim FG%
56.5%
59.5%
IND 63.6% +7.1%
MIA 56.5%
Mid FG%
40.6%
41.8%
IND 29.2%
MIA 50.0% +20.8%
3P %
37.8%
35.7%
IND 39.1%
MIA 50.0% +10.9%
FT %
80.7%
75.4%
IND 73.9%
MIA 78.6% +4.7%
Shot DistributionThis Game
Rim Att. %
35.1%
30.3%
IND 41.3% +12.1%
MIA 29.1%
Mid Att. %
40.6%
45.2%
IND 30.0% +28.2%
MIA 58.2%
3P Att. %
24.4%
24.5%
IND 28.7% +16.1%
MIA 12.7%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.
Game TotalsINDMIA
Possessions9698
Possession Minutes22.225.8
Points100109
Rebounds4136
Assists2419
Steals412
Blocks14
Turnovers (Team)21 (0)11 (0)
Fouls
Off. Rebounds (Team)11 (2)5 (2)
Def. Rebounds (Team)30 (3)31 (2)
Field Goals37-8041-79
At-the-Rim FG21-3313-23
Midrange FG7-2423-46
2-Point FG28-5736-69
3-Point FG9-235-10
Free Throws17-2322-28
Fast Break Pts
2nd Chance Pts
Points in Paint
Pts off Turnovers
Bench Points
Biggest Lead

BOXSCORE

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PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
C · 7'0" 255 · 32
37.9
13
54%
7
2
0
1
4
2
3
4
3-4
75%
5-9
56%
0-1
0%
F · 6'11" 245 · 29
37.6
6
43%
11
6
0
0
1
4
3
8
0-0
-
3-4
75%
0-3
0%
G · 6'6" 200 · 28
36.6
25
57%
5
2
1
0
4
4
1
4
3-5
60%
11-19
58%
0-2
0%
F · 6'9" 222 · 26
35.3
23
61%
2
6
1
0
6
4
0
2
3-3
100%
4-9
44%
4-9
44%
G · 6'0" 165 · 26
26.4
11
50%
4
2
0
0
3
1
1
3
3-3
100%
1-6
17%
2-4
50%
G · 6'3" 200 · 25
23.9
8
67%
3
5
1
0
1
4
1
2
5-7
71%
0-1
0%
1-2
50%
G-F · 6'6" 220 · 23
22.1
10
83%
1
0
0
0
2
2
1
0
0-0
-
2-4
50%
2-2
100%
F-C · 6'11" 250 · 32
20.2
4
40%
8
1
1
0
0
4
1
7
0-1
0%
2-5
40%
0-0
-
G · 6'1" 175 · 27
C · 7'2" 270 · 22
G-F · 6'6" 215 · 26
· 6'10" 240 · 22
#17 · G-F · 6'9" 230 · 28
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
#11 · G · 6'3" 188 · 31
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
#9 · F · 6'10" 230 · 32
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
TOTAL
240
100
56%
41
24
4
1
21
0
11
30
17-23
74%
28-57
49%
9-23
39%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.