FinalWin Prob.pScore
732%99
90
168%105
104
ORTG#PossPace
DEN logo DEN
96.893100.7
LAL logo LAL
110.69487.3

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

LakersNuggetsQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Scoring Margin

LakersNuggetsQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Play-by-Play

Score / WinProb
ClockTeamEventDENLAL
Q4 - 0:00.0LAL90
0%
104
100%
Q4 - 0:14.0DENSmith Reverse Dunk (18 PTS) (Kleiza 1 AST)90
0%
104
100%
Q4 - 0:16.0DENKleiza REBOUND (Off:3 Def:1)88
0%
104
100%
Q4 - 0:17.0DENMISS Smith 27' 3PT Jump Shot88
0%
104
100%
Q4 - 0:28.0LALAriza Free Throw 2 of 2 (11 PTS)88
0.1%
104
99.9%
Q4 - 0:28.0LALAriza Free Throw 1 of 2 (10 PTS)88
0.1%
103
99.9%
Q4 - 0:29.0LALAriza REBOUND (Off:4 Def:3)88
0.1%
102
99.9%
Q4 - 0:30.0LALMISS Vujacic 21' Jump Shot88
0.1%
102
99.9%
Q4 - 0:53.0DENKleiza REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)88
0.1%
102
99.9%
Q4 - 0:53.0DENKleiza Tip Shot (13 PTS)88
0.1%
102
99.9%
Q4 - 0:53.0DENJones REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)86
0.1%
102
99.9%
Q4 - 0:53.0DENMISS Jones Tip Shot86
0.1%
102
99.9%
Q4 - 0:55.0DENMISS Balkman 15' Jump Shot86
0.1%
102
99.9%
Q4 - 1:17LALWalton Layup (2 PTS) (Vujacic 2 AST)86
0.1%
102
99.9%
Q4 - 1:33DENKleiza 21' Jump Shot (11 PTS) (Atkins 1 AST)86
0.1%
100
99.9%
Q4 - 1:44LALVujacic Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T15)84
0.1%
100
99.9%
Q4 - 1:48DENVujacic STEAL (2 STL)84
0.1%
100
99.9%
Q4 - 1:53DENSmith REBOUND (Off:0 Def:6)84
0.1%
100
99.9%
Q4 - 1:54LALMISS Walton 24' 3PT Jump Shot84
0.1%
100
99.9%
Q4 - 2:08DENBalkman Backcourt Turnover (P1.T14)84
0.1%
100
99.9%
Q4 - 2:23LALPowell Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)84
0.1%
100
99.9%
Q4 - 2:23LALPowell Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)84
0.1%
99
99.9%
Q4 - 2:27LALAriza REBOUND (Off:3 Def:3)84
0.1%
98
99.9%
Q4 - 2:29DENPowell BLOCK (3 BLK)84
0.1%
98
99.9%
Q4 - 2:31DENKleiza REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)84
0.1%
98
99.9%
Q4 - 2:32DENMISS Smith 27' 3PT Jump Shot84
0.1%
98
99.9%
Q4 - 2:46LALLAKERS Turnover: Shot Clock (T#14)84
0.1%
98
99.9%
Q4 - 3:16DENSmith 28' 3PT Jump Shot (16 PTS)84
0.1%
98
99.9%
Q4 - 3:23DENNuggets Rebound81
0.1%
98
99.9%
Q4 - 3:23DENFarmar BLOCK (1 BLK)81
0.1%
98
99.9%
Q4 - 3:23DENBalkman REBOUND (Off:4 Def:1)81
0.1%
98
99.9%
Q4 - 3:25DENMISS Martin 21' Jump Shot81
0.1%
98
99.9%
Q4 - 3:39LALAriza Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T13)81
0.2%
98
99.8%
Q4 - 3:45LALVujacic REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)81
0.1%
98
99.9%
Q4 - 3:46DENMISS Kleiza 28' 3PT Jump Shot81
0.1%
98
99.9%
Q4 - 4:00LALAriza 25' 3PT Jump Shot (9 PTS)81
0.1%
98
99.9%
Q4 - 4:16LALAriza REBOUND (Off:3 Def:2)81
0.3%
95
99.7%
Q4 - 4:17LALMISS Mihm 10' Hook Shot81
0.4%
95
99.6%
Q4 - 4:38DENSmith 24' 3PT Jump Shot (13 PTS) (Carter 1 AST)81
0.3%
95
99.7%
Q4 - 4:48LALFarmar Driving Layup (7 PTS)78
0.1%
95
99.9%
Q4 - 4:52DENFarmar STEAL (3 STL)78
0.2%
93
99.8%
Q4 - 5:08DENSmith REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)78
0.6%
93
99.4%
Q4 - 5:09LALMISS Vujacic 3PT Jump Shot78
0.5%
93
99.5%
Q4 - 5:20LALLAKERS Rebound78
0.4%
93
99.6%
Q4 - 5:21LALMISS Ariza 24' 3PT Jump Shot78
0.5%
93
99.5%
Q4 - 5:35LALLAKERS Rebound78
0.4%
93
99.6%
Q4 - 5:36DENMISS Smith 29' 3PT Jump Shot78
0.4%
93
99.6%
Q4 - 5:48DENMartin REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)78
0.5%
93
99.5%
Q4 - 5:50LALMISS Vujacic 30' 3PT Jump Shot78
0.5%
93
99.5%
Q4 - 6:16DENBalkman Layup (4 PTS) (Martin 4 AST)78
0.6%
93
99.4%
Q4 - 6:28LALMihm Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T12)76
0.5%
93
99.5%
Q4 - 6:34LALWalton REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)76
0.3%
93
99.7%
Q4 - 6:35LALMISS Vujacic 26' 3PT Jump Shot76
0.4%
93
99.6%
Q4 - 6:41LALWalton REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)76
0.3%
93
99.7%
Q4 - 6:43DENMISS Martin 12' Jump Shot76
0.4%
93
99.6%
Q4 - 7:03DENNuggets Rebound76
0.7%
93
99.3%
Q4 - 7:03LALMISS Farmar 26' 3PT Jump Shot76
0.6%
93
99.4%
Q4 - 7:25DENBalkman Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)76
0.5%
93
99.5%
Q4 - 7:25DENBalkman Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)75
0.4%
93
99.6%
Q4 - 7:25DENBalkman REBOUND (Off:3 Def:1)74
0.4%
93
99.6%
Q4 - 7:26DENMISS Martin Layup74
0.3%
93
99.7%
Q4 - 7:43LALBynum Step Out of Bounds Turnover (P2.T11)74
0.4%
93
99.6%
Q4 - 7:56DENSmith 26' 3PT Jump Shot (10 PTS) (Balkman 1 AST)74
0.3%
93
99.7%
Q4 - 8:00DENBalkman REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)71
0.2%
93
99.8%
Q4 - 8:02DENBynum BLOCK (1 BLK)71
0.2%
93
99.8%
Q4 - 8:22LALVujacic 27' 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Ariza 4 AST)71
0.2%
93
99.8%
Q4 - 8:34DENAriza STEAL (3 STL)71
0.4%
90
99.6%
Q4 - 8:38DENMartin REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)71
0.5%
90
99.5%
Q4 - 8:39LALMISS Bynum 4' Jump Shot71
0.5%
90
99.5%
Q4 - 8:40LALBynum REBOUND (Off:3 Def:10)71
0.4%
90
99.6%
Q4 - 8:43LALMISS Vujacic 25' 3PT Jump Shot71
0.5%
90
99.5%
Q4 - 9:02DENCarter 22' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Martin 3 AST)71
0.6%
90
99.4%
Q4 - 9:23LALAriza Free Throw 2 of 2 (6 PTS)69
0.5%
90
99.5%
Q4 - 9:23LALAriza Free Throw 1 of 2 (5 PTS)69
0.5%
89
99.5%
Q4 - 9:38LALVujacic REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)69
0.6%
88
99.4%
Q4 - 9:39DENOdom BLOCK (1 BLK)69
0.6%
88
99.4%
Q4 - 9:48DENBalkman REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)69
0.7%
88
99.3%
Q4 - 9:49LALMISS Farmar 19' Jump Shot69
0.7%
88
99.3%
Q4 - 10:14LALVujacic REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)69
0.8%
88
99.2%
Q4 - 10:15DENMISS Kleiza 24' 3PT Jump Shot69
0.8%
88
99.2%
Q4 - 10:21DENMartin REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)69
0.9%
88
99.1%
Q4 - 10:22LALMISS Vujacic 25' 3PT Jump Shot69
0.9%
88
99.1%
Q4 - 10:39DENKleiza Free Throw 2 of 2 (9 PTS)69
0.7%
88
99.3%
Q4 - 10:39DENKleiza Free Throw 1 of 2 (8 PTS)68
0.7%
88
99.3%
Q4 - 10:43LALVujacic Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T10)67
0.6%
88
99.4%
Q4 - 10:52DENVujacic STEAL (1 STL)67
0.5%
88
99.5%
Q4 - 11:00DENSmith REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)67
0.6%
88
99.4%
Q4 - 11:01LALMISS Odom 11' Jump Shot67
0.7%
88
99.3%
Q4 - 11:21LALVujacic REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)67
0.6%
88
99.4%
Q4 - 11:22LALMISS Farmar 21' Jump Shot67
0.7%
88
99.3%
Q4 - 11:32LALBynum REBOUND (Off:2 Def:10)67
0.6%
88
99.4%
Q4 - 11:33DENMISS Billups 26' 3PT Jump Shot67
0.7%
88
99.3%
Q4 - 11:41DENSmith REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)67
0.7%
88
99.3%
Q4 - 11:42LALMISS Vujacic Layup67
0.7%
88
99.3%
Q3 - 0:00.0DEN67
0.6%
88
99.4%
Q3 - 0:15.0LALBryant 15' Jump Shot (29 PTS) (Gasol 4 AST)67
0.9%
88
99.1%
Q3 - 0:34.0DENNene Slam Dunk (18 PTS) (Smith 3 AST)67
1.1%
86
98.9%
Q3 - 0:45.0LALBryant Free Throw 2 of 2 (27 PTS)65
0.9%
86
99.1%
Q3 - 0:45.0LALMISS Bryant Free Throw 1 of 265
0.9%
85
99.1%
Q3 - 1:06DENSmith Running Layup (7 PTS) (Billups 9 AST)65
1.1%
85
98.9%
Q3 - 1:11DENSmith REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)63
0.9%
85
99.1%
Q3 - 1:12LALMISS Gasol 9' Jump Shot63
0.8%
85
99.2%
Q3 - 1:22LALFisher REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)63
0.7%
85
99.3%
Q3 - 1:24DENGasol BLOCK (1 BLK)63
0.8%
85
99.2%
Q3 - 1:42DENNuggets Rebound63
0.8%
85
99.2%
Q3 - 1:43LALMISS Bryant 30' 3PT Jump Shot63
0.8%
85
99.2%
Q3 - 2:06DENSmith Free Throw 2 of 2 (5 PTS)63
0.9%
85
99.1%
Q3 - 2:06DENMISS Smith Free Throw 1 of 262
0.8%
85
99.2%
Q3 - 2:18LALBryant 17' Running Jump Shot (26 PTS)62
0.8%
85
99.2%
Q3 - 2:25LALGasol REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)62
1.0%
83
99.0%
Q3 - 2:26DENMISS Anthony 18' Jump Shot62
1.1%
83
98.9%
Q3 - 2:41LALOdom Free Throw 2 of 2 (13 PTS)62
1.2%
83
98.8%
Q3 - 2:41LALOdom Free Throw 1 of 2 (12 PTS)62
1.3%
82
98.7%
Q3 - 2:41LALLAKERS Rebound62
1.5%
81
98.5%
Q3 - 2:42LALMISS Fisher 29' 3PT Jump Shot62
1.7%
81
98.3%
Q3 - 3:05DENBillups Free Throw 2 of 2 (15 PTS)62
1.7%
81
98.3%
Q3 - 3:05DENBillups Free Throw 1 of 2 (14 PTS)61
1.6%
81
98.4%
Q3 - 3:25LALAriza 20' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Fisher 1 AST)60
1.4%
81
98.6%
Q3 - 3:32LALBynum REBOUND (Off:2 Def:9)60
1.6%
79
98.4%
Q3 - 3:33DENMISS Anthony Driving Layup60
1.7%
79
98.3%
Q3 - 3:48DENNene REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)60
2.0%
79
98.0%
Q3 - 3:49LALMISS Fisher 21' Jump Shot60
1.9%
79
98.1%
Q3 - 3:57DENFisher STEAL (1 STL)60
1.6%
79
98.4%
Q3 - 4:12LALBynum 17' Jump Shot (13 PTS)60
2.2%
79
97.8%
Q3 - 4:30LALAriza REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)60
2.5%
77
97.5%
Q3 - 4:32LALMISS Fisher 26' 3PT Jump Shot60
2.9%
77
97.1%
Q3 - 4:38LALBynum REBOUND (Off:2 Def:8)60
2.5%
77
97.5%
Q3 - 4:40DENMISS Billups 28' 3PT Jump Shot60
2.7%
77
97.3%
Q3 - 4:58LALBryant Driving Dunk (24 PTS)60
3.1%
77
96.9%
Q3 - 5:01DENBryant STEAL (2 STL)60
3.9%
75
96.1%
Q3 - 5:32DENFisher BLOCK (1 BLK)60
5.6%
73
94.4%
Q3 - 5:51DENNuggets Rebound60
6.3%
73
93.7%
Q3 - 5:51LALMISS Gasol Layup60
6.0%
73
94.0%
Q3 - 6:14LALBynum REBOUND (Off:2 Def:7)60
5.7%
73
94.3%
Q3 - 6:15DENMISS Anthony 20' Jump Shot60
5.9%
73
94.1%
Q3 - 6:32LALBryant 15' Jump Shot (22 PTS)60
6.6%
73
93.4%
Q3 - 6:53DENJones Driving Layup (4 PTS)60
7.6%
71
92.4%
Q3 - 7:00DENAnthony REBOUND (Off:4 Def:6)58
6.6%
71
93.4%
Q3 - 7:01LALMISS Bynum 12' Jump Shot58
6.7%
71
93.3%
Q3 - 7:11LALLAKERS Rebound58
6.0%
71
94.0%
Q3 - 7:11LALMISS Bryant 28' 3PT Jump Shot58
6.7%
71
93.3%
Q3 - 7:37DENBillups 7' Pullup Jump Shot (13 PTS)58
6.0%
71
94.0%
Q3 - 7:42LALBryant Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T9)56
5.2%
71
94.8%
Q3 - 7:57DENNene Free Throw 1 of 1 (16 PTS)56
4.5%
71
95.5%
Q3 - 8:12LALBryant 11' Step Back Jump Shot (20 PTS)53
3.5%
71
96.5%
Q3 - 8:24LALBynum REBOUND (Off:2 Def:6)53
4.0%
69
96.0%
Q3 - 8:25DENMISS Anthony 13' Jump Shot53
4.2%
69
95.8%
Q3 - 8:36DENJones REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)53
4.7%
69
95.3%
Q3 - 8:37LALMISS Radmanovic 26' 3PT Jump Shot53
4.5%
69
95.5%
Q3 - 8:50LALBynum REBOUND (Off:2 Def:5)53
4.0%
69
96.0%
Q3 - 8:52DENMISS Billups Layup53
4.2%
69
95.8%
Q3 - 9:05LALBynum 2' Alley Oop Dunk (11 PTS) (Bryant 2 AST)53
4.9%
69
95.1%
Q3 - 9:22DENBillups Driving Layup (11 PTS) (Nene 2 AST)53
5.6%
67
94.4%
Q3 - 9:28LALRadmanovic Bad Pass Turnover (P3.T8)51
4.9%
67
95.1%
Q3 - 9:41DENMartin Driving Slam Dunk (6 PTS) (Billups 7 AST)51
4.2%
67
95.8%
Q3 - 9:58DENMartin REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)49
3.7%
67
96.3%
Q3 - 9:59LALMISS Bynum Layup49
3.5%
67
96.5%
Q3 - 10:00LALBynum REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)49
3.2%
67
96.8%
Q3 - 10:01LALMISS Radmanovic 13' Fadeaway Jumper49
3.8%
67
96.2%
Q3 - 10:14LALBryant REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)49
3.4%
67
96.6%
Q3 - 10:15DENMISS Jones 15' Jump Shot49
3.6%
67
96.4%
Q3 - 10:34LALBynum Traveling Turnover (P1.T7)49
3.9%
67
96.1%
Q3 - 10:49LALBynum REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)49
3.4%
67
96.6%
Q3 - 10:50DENMISS Jones Free Throw 2 of 249
3.5%
67
96.5%
Q3 - 10:50DENMISS Jones Free Throw 1 of 249
3.8%
67
96.2%
Q3 - 10:56DENAnthony REBOUND (Off:4 Def:5)49
3.9%
67
96.1%
Q3 - 10:57DENMISS Anthony 26' 3PT Jump Shot49
3.6%
67
96.4%
Q3 - 11:05LALFisher Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T6)49
4.2%
67
95.8%
Q3 - 11:15DENAnthony 15' Jump Shot (10 PTS) (Martin 2 AST)49
3.6%
67
96.4%
Q3 - 11:31LALGasol Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T5)47
3.2%
67
96.8%
Q3 - 11:48DENBryant STEAL (1 STL)47
2.8%
67
97.2%
Q2 - 0:00.0LAL47
3.2%
67
96.8%
Q2 - 0:01.0LALGasol REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)47
3.1%
67
96.9%
Q2 - 0:03.0DENMISS Anthony 22' Jump Shot47
3.2%
67
96.8%
Q2 - 0:16.0DENMartin REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)47
3.4%
67
96.6%
Q2 - 0:20.0DENPowell BLOCK (2 BLK)47
3.2%
67
96.8%
Q2 - 0:27.0LALGasol Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T4)47
3.4%
67
96.6%
Q2 - 0:39.0DENAnthony 9' Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Billups 6 AST)47
3.0%
67
97.0%
Q2 - 0:53.0LALRadmanovic Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T3)45
2.6%
67
97.4%
Q2 - 1:07DENNene Free Throw 2 of 2 (13 PTS)45
2.5%
67
97.5%
Q2 - 1:07DENMISS Nene Free Throw 1 of 244
2.4%
67
97.6%
Q2 - 1:09DENNene REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)44
2.4%
67
97.6%
Q2 - 1:10LALMISS Radmanovic 28' 3PT Jump Shot44
2.4%
67
97.6%
Q2 - 1:25DENMartin Slam Dunk (4 PTS) (Anthony 5 AST)44
2.2%
67
97.8%
Q2 - 1:40LALGasol Free Throw 2 of 2 (10 PTS)42
1.9%
67
98.1%
Q2 - 1:40LALMISS Gasol Free Throw 1 of 242
1.9%
66
98.1%
Q2 - 1:40LALGasol REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)42
1.9%
66
98.1%
Q2 - 1:42DENMISS Nene Free Throw 1 of 142
2.0%
66
98.0%
Q2 - 1:58LALBryant 28' 3PT Jump Shot (18 PTS) (Farmar 4 AST)40
1.6%
66
98.4%
Q2 - 2:10DENNene Slam Dunk (10 PTS) (Anthony 3 AST)40
2.3%
63
97.7%
Q2 - 2:14DENAnthony REBOUND (Off:3 Def:5)38
2.0%
63
98.0%
Q2 - 2:16DENMISS Martin 5' Hook Shot38
1.9%
63
98.1%
Q2 - 2:33LALBryant Driving Dunk (15 PTS) (Gasol 3 AST)38
2.0%
63
98.0%
Q2 - 2:47DENMartin Layup (2 PTS) (Billups 5 AST)38
2.3%
61
97.7%
Q2 - 3:00LALGasol 14' Jump Shot (9 PTS) (Farmar 3 AST)36
2.0%
61
98.0%
Q2 - 3:11LALFarmar REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)36
2.4%
59
97.6%
Q2 - 3:12LALMISS Farmar 21' Jump Shot36
2.6%
59
97.4%
Q2 - 3:27DENBillups Layup (9 PTS) (Smith 2 AST)36
2.4%
59
97.6%
Q2 - 3:32DENSmith REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)34
2.2%
59
97.8%
Q2 - 3:34LALMISS Farmar Layup34
2.1%
59
97.9%
Q2 - 3:59DENAnthony REBOUND (Off:2 Def:5)34
1.9%
59
98.1%
Q2 - 3:59DENAnthony Tip Shot (6 PTS)34
1.9%
59
98.1%
Q2 - 4:00DENAnthony REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)32
1.7%
59
98.3%
Q2 - 4:00DENMISS Anthony Tip Shot32
1.5%
59
98.5%
Q2 - 4:01DENMISS Anthony Layup32
1.6%
59
98.4%
Q2 - 4:26LALGasol Slam Dunk (7 PTS) (Farmar 2 AST)32
1.8%
59
98.2%
Q2 - 4:32LALAriza REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)32
2.0%
57
98.0%
Q2 - 4:33DENPowell BLOCK (1 BLK)32
2.1%
57
97.9%
Q2 - 4:52LALBryant Reverse Layup (13 PTS)32
2.3%
57
97.7%
Q2 - 4:54LALBryant REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)32
2.5%
55
97.5%
Q2 - 4:55LALMISS Bryant Layup32
2.8%
55
97.2%
Q2 - 5:03LALFarmar REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)32
2.8%
55
97.2%
Q2 - 5:05DENMISS Anthony 18' Jump Shot32
2.9%
55
97.1%
Q2 - 5:20LALGasol 8' Hook Shot (5 PTS)32
3.1%
55
96.9%
Q2 - 5:36DENSmith Driving Layup (4 PTS) (Billups 4 AST)32
3.5%
53
96.5%
Q2 - 5:47DENAnthony REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)30
3.1%
53
96.9%
Q2 - 5:48LALMISS Ariza Layup30
3.0%
53
97.0%
Q2 - 5:49LALAriza REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)30
2.7%
53
97.3%
Q2 - 5:52LALMISS Powell 4' Hook Shot30
3.0%
53
97.0%
Q2 - 6:09LALLAKERS Rebound30
2.9%
53
97.1%
Q2 - 6:09DENMISS Smith Layup30
3.0%
53
97.0%
Q2 - 6:14LALFarmar Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T2)30
3.3%
53
96.7%
Q2 - 6:19LALFarmar REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)30
2.9%
53
97.1%
Q2 - 6:21DENMISS Nene Layup30
3.0%
53
97.0%
Q2 - 6:23DENNene REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)30
3.3%
53
96.7%
Q2 - 6:25DENMISS Nene Layup30
3.0%
53
97.0%
Q2 - 6:28DENBalkman REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)30
3.3%
53
96.7%
Q2 - 6:30DENMISS Nene 11' Jump Shot30
3.0%
53
97.0%
Q2 - 6:44LALOdom Layup (11 PTS) (Bynum 5 AST)30
3.3%
53
96.7%
Q2 - 7:03DENNene Slam Dunk (8 PTS) (Billups 3 AST)30
3.8%
51
96.2%
Q2 - 7:09LALVujacic 16' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Farmar 1 AST)28
3.4%
51
96.6%
Q2 - 7:23DENOdom STEAL (1 STL)28
3.8%
49
96.2%
Q2 - 7:34LALBynum 11' Jump Shot (9 PTS) (Ariza 2 AST)28
4.2%
49
95.8%
Q2 - 7:48LALBynum REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)28
4.7%
47
95.3%
Q2 - 7:49DENMISS Kleiza 25' 3PT Jump Shot28
4.9%
47
95.1%
Q2 - 8:08LALOdom Driving Layup (9 PTS)28
5.6%
47
94.4%
Q2 - 8:12LALOdom REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)28
6.2%
45
93.8%
Q2 - 8:14DENMISS Kleiza 26' 3PT Jump Shot28
6.4%
45
93.6%
Q2 - 8:26DENKleiza REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)28
6.8%
45
93.2%
Q2 - 8:27LALMISS Vujacic 12' Jump Shot28
6.6%
45
93.4%
Q2 - 8:40DENKleiza 10' Jump Shot (7 PTS) (Billups 2 AST)28
6.1%
45
93.9%
Q2 - 8:56LALBynum Free Throw 1 of 1 (7 PTS)26
5.5%
45
94.5%
Q2 - 9:11LALFarmar REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)26
6.9%
42
93.1%
Q2 - 9:12DENMISS Nene 9' Jump Shot26
7.2%
42
92.8%
Q2 - 9:31LALBynum Alley Oop Dunk (4 PTS) (Vujacic 1 AST)26
7.7%
42
92.3%
Q2 - 9:45DENAriza STEAL (2 STL)26
8.5%
40
91.5%
Q2 - 9:49DENNene REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)26
9.4%
40
90.6%
Q2 - 9:51LALMISS Odom Free Throw 2 of 226
9.2%
40
90.8%
Q2 - 9:51LALOdom Free Throw 1 of 2 (7 PTS)26
8.7%
40
91.3%
Q2 - 10:01DENKleiza Driving Reverse Layup (5 PTS) (Nene 1 AST)26
9.7%
39
90.3%
Q2 - 10:17LALFarmar Slam Dunk (5 PTS)24
8.8%
39
91.2%
Q2 - 10:23DENFarmar STEAL (2 STL)24
9.6%
37
90.4%
Q2 - 10:37LALBynum Dunk (2 PTS)24
10.6%
37
89.4%
Q2 - 10:38LALBynum REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)24
11.6%
35
88.4%
Q2 - 10:41LALMISS Farmar Dunk24
12.4%
35
87.6%
Q2 - 10:45DENFarmar STEAL (1 STL)24
11.6%
35
88.4%
Q2 - 10:49DENAnthony REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)24
12.8%
35
87.2%
Q2 - 10:50LALMISS Vujacic 25' 3PT Jump Shot24
12.4%
35
87.6%
Q2 - 11:10DENNene 18' Jump Shot (6 PTS)24
12.0%
35
88.0%
Q2 - 11:25DENAnthony REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)22
11.0%
35
89.0%
Q2 - 11:26LALMISS Ariza 21' Jump Shot22
10.6%
35
89.4%
Q2 - 11:44DENAnthony Driving Layup (4 PTS)22
10.0%
35
90.0%
Q1 - 0:00.0DEN20
9.1%
35
90.9%
Q1 - 0:01.0DENMartin REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)20
9.3%
35
90.7%
Q1 - 0:02.0LALMISS Odom 21' Jump Shot20
9.1%
35
90.9%
Q1 - 0:26.0DENSmith Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)20
8.7%
35
91.3%
Q1 - 0:26.0DENSmith Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)19
8.5%
35
91.5%
Q1 - 0:41.0LALAriza Slam Dunk (2 PTS) (Bryant 1 AST)18
7.8%
35
92.2%
Q1 - 0:47.0LALFarmar REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)18
8.7%
33
91.3%
Q1 - 0:48.0DENMISS Kleiza 26' 3PT Jump Shot18
8.9%
33
91.1%
Q1 - 0:57.0LALOdom Reverse Layup (6 PTS) (Bynum 4 AST)18
9.3%
33
90.7%
Q1 - 1:10DENAriza STEAL (1 STL)18
10.8%
31
89.2%
Q1 - 1:21LALOdom Layup (4 PTS) (Ariza 1 AST)18
11.5%
31
88.5%
Q1 - 1:30DENKleiza 24' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Smith 1 AST)18
12.8%
29
87.2%
Q1 - 1:52LALFarmar 27' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Bynum 3 AST)15
10.5%
29
89.5%
Q1 - 2:04DENKleiza 3 Second Violation Turnover (P1.T2)15
13.1%
26
86.9%
Q1 - 2:18LALBryant Free Throw 2 of 2 (11 PTS)15
13.9%
26
86.1%
Q1 - 2:18LALBryant Free Throw 1 of 2 (10 PTS)15
14.1%
25
85.9%
Q1 - 2:28LALOdom REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)15
15.3%
24
84.7%
Q1 - 2:29DENMISS Anthony 26' 3PT Jump Shot15
15.6%
24
84.4%
Q1 - 2:45DENNuggets Rebound15
16.3%
24
83.7%
Q1 - 2:45DENMISS Billups 11' Jump Shot15
15.6%
24
84.4%
Q1 - 3:13LALOdom Slam Dunk (2 PTS) (Gasol 2 AST)15
16.4%
24
83.6%
Q1 - 3:31DENNene Slam Dunk (4 PTS) (Anthony 2 AST)15
17.7%
22
82.3%
Q1 - 3:56LALFisher 25' 3PT Jump Shot (7 PTS) (Gasol 1 AST)13
16.4%
22
83.6%
Q1 - 4:14LALLAKERS Rebound13
19.0%
19
81.0%
Q1 - 4:16DENMISS Billups 27' 3PT Jump Shot13
19.4%
19
80.6%
Q1 - 4:22DENAnthony REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)13
20.5%
19
79.5%
Q1 - 4:23LALMISS Fisher 27' 3PT Jump Shot13
20.0%
19
80.0%
Q1 - 4:29LALBryant REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)13
19.0%
19
81.0%
Q1 - 4:33LALMISS Bryant Alley Oop Dunk13
20.0%
19
80.0%
Q1 - 4:48LALGasol REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)13
19.0%
19
81.0%
Q1 - 4:49DENMISS Martin Free Throw 2 of 213
19.2%
19
80.8%
Q1 - 4:49DENMISS Martin Free Throw 1 of 213
20.0%
19
80.0%
Q1 - 5:06LALBryant 18' Jump Shot (9 PTS) (Bynum 2 AST)13
20.8%
19
79.2%
Q1 - 5:23DENBillups 3PT Jump Shot (7 PTS) (Anthony 1 AST)13
22.0%
17
78.0%
Q1 - 5:38LALRadmanovic Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T1)10
19.4%
17
80.6%
Q1 - 5:53LALLAKERS Rebound10
17.9%
17
82.1%
Q1 - 5:53DENMISS Anthony 28' 3PT Jump Shot10
18.3%
17
81.7%
Q1 - 6:12LALGasol Free Throw 2 of 2 (3 PTS)10
19.2%
17
80.8%
Q1 - 6:12LALMISS Gasol Free Throw 1 of 210
19.5%
16
80.5%
Q1 - 6:26DENJones 20' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Billups 1 AST)10
19.1%
16
80.9%
Q1 - 6:42LALBryant Free Throw 1 of 1 (7 PTS)8
17.9%
16
82.1%
Q1 - 6:57LALFisher REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)8
20.5%
13
79.5%
Q1 - 6:58LALMISS Bryant 22' Jump Shot8
21.5%
13
78.5%
Q1 - 7:07LALBynum REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)8
20.3%
13
79.7%
Q1 - 7:07DENMISS Martin 20' Jump Shot8
20.7%
13
79.3%
Q1 - 7:31LALBryant 11' Turnaround Jump Shot (4 PTS)8
21.8%
13
78.2%
Q1 - 7:47LALLAKERS Rebound8
23.2%
11
76.8%
Q1 - 7:47DENRadmanovic BLOCK (1 BLK)8
23.7%
11
76.3%
Q1 - 8:04DENAnthony REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)8
24.6%
11
75.4%
Q1 - 8:05LALMISS Gasol 9' Jump Shot8
24.1%
11
75.9%
Q1 - 8:23DENBillups 19' Jump Shot (4 PTS)8
23.1%
11
76.9%
Q1 - 8:36LALBryant 16' Turnaround Jump Shot (2 PTS)6
21.6%
11
78.4%
Q1 - 8:52LALBynum REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)6
23.1%
9
76.9%
Q1 - 8:54DENMISS Anthony 21' Jump Shot6
23.5%
9
76.5%
Q1 - 9:13LALRadmanovic 26' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Bynum 1 AST)6
24.8%
9
75.2%
Q1 - 9:30DENAnthony 18' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Martin 1 AST)6
28.0%
6
72.0%
Q1 - 9:44LALFisher 20' Jump Shot (4 PTS)4
26.3%
6
73.7%
Q1 - 9:59DENNene Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)4
28.0%
4
72.0%
Q1 - 9:59DENNene Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)3
27.5%
4
72.5%
Q1 - 10:07DENJones REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)2
26.4%
4
73.6%
Q1 - 10:09LALMISS Gasol 17' Jump Shot2
25.9%
4
74.1%
Q1 - 10:23DENBillups 15' Running Jump Shot (2 PTS)2
24.9%
4
75.1%
Q1 - 10:34DENNene REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)0
23.6%
4
76.4%
Q1 - 10:35LALMISS Bryant 13' Jump Shot0
23.2%
4
76.8%
Q1 - 10:47DENNene Out of Bounds Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T1)0
22.3%
4
77.7%
Q1 - 11:13LALFisher Driving Layup (2 PTS)0
23.7%
4
76.3%
Q1 - 11:31LALBryant REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)0
24.9%
2
75.1%
Q1 - 11:32DENMISS Nene 15' Jump Shot0
25.3%
2
74.7%
Q1 - 11:45LALGasol 6' Running Hook Shot (2 PTS)0
26.2%
2
73.8%
Q1 - 12:00LALJump Ball Bynum vs. Nene: Tip to Radmanovic0
27.5%
0
72.5%

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

DEN
0.95 47.4%
LAL
1.08 54.2%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)
DEN
20
37
54%
LAL
18
28
64%
Midrange
DEN
11
28
39%
LAL
17
34
50%
3PT | Effective 3PT
DEN
5
7.5
19
26%
39%
LAL
6
9.0
22
27%
41%
Free Throws
DEN
13
20
65%
LAL
16
20
80%
Makes
Effective 3P Makes
%
Efficiency
Misses
Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|
DEN logo Nuggets
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
Nene1864%9.0 / 14
J. Smith1864%9.0 / 14
C. Billups1558%7.5 / 13
L. Kleiza1350%6.5 / 13
C. Anthony1026%5.0 / 19
K. Martin630%3.0 / 10
D. Jones440%2.0 / 5
R. Balkman450%2.0 / 4
A. Carter2100%1.0 / 1
TS Makes
TS Misses

Total Points

|
LAL logo Lakers
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
K. Bryant2973%14.5 / 20
A. Bynum1372%6.5 / 9
L. Odom1372%6.5 / 9
P. Gasol1255%6.0 / 11
T. Ariza1169%5.5 / 8
D. Fisher750%3.5 / 7
J. Farmar739%3.5 / 9
S. Vujacic523%2.5 / 11
V. Radmanovic338%1.5 / 4
J. Powell250%1.0 / 2
L. Walton250%1.0 / 2
C. Mihm0-0.0 / 1
TS Makes
TS Misses

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

DEN
78
+16
-15
94
LAL
80
+16
-14
96
Base
ORB
TOV

Scoring Efficiency

DEN
0.95 47.4%
LAL
1.08 54.2%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Efficiency & PaceThis Game
Efficiency
110.2
112.4
DEN 96.8 +13.9
LAL 110.6
Pace
94.5
94.7
DEN 100.7 +13.4
LAL 87.3
Avg. Poss. Time
14.7
15.1
DEN 14.3 +2.2
LAL 16.5
Four FactorsThis Game
EFG %
51.2%
51.3%
DEN 45.8%
LAL 52.4% +6.6%
TO %
15.8%
13.8%
DEN 13.9%
LAL 13.9%
ORB %
27.5%
29.3%
DEN 32.6%
LAL 34.2% +1.6%
FTrt
38.2
29.9
DEN 23.8
LAL 23.8
Misc. StatsThis Game
AST %
59.5%
57.7%
DEN 75.0% +21.3%
LAL 53.7%
STL %
9.1%
9.2%
DEN 10.8%
LAL 12.8% +2.0%
BLK %
9.7%
8.2%
DEN 4.8%
LAL 13.8% +9.0%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.55 and 2.55.

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Shooting EfficiencyThis Game
TS%
54.8%
54.2%
DEN 47.4%
LAL 54.2% +6.8%
Rim FG%
60.5%
61.0%
DEN 54.1%
LAL 64.3% +10.2%
Mid FG%
38.7%
41.8%
DEN 39.3%
LAL 50.0% +10.7%
3P %
37.1%
36.1%
DEN 26.3%
LAL 27.3% +1.0%
FT %
76.0%
77.1%
DEN 65.0%
LAL 80.0% +15.0%
Shot DistributionThis Game
Rim Att. %
39.7%
35.5%
DEN 44.0% +10.7%
LAL 33.3%
Mid Att. %
37.6%
42.8%
DEN 33.3% +7.1%
LAL 40.5%
3P Att. %
22.7%
21.7%
DEN 22.6%
LAL 26.2% +3.6%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.
Game TotalsDENLAL
Possessions9394
Possession Minutes22.225.8
Points90104
Rebounds3942
Assists2722
Steals1012
Blocks39
Turnovers (Team)15 (0)14 (1)
Fouls
Off. Rebounds (Team)14 (2)13 (3)
Def. Rebounds (Team)25 (3)29 (5)
Field Goals36-8441-84
At-the-Rim FG20-3718-28
Midrange FG11-2817-34
2-Point FG31-6535-62
3-Point FG5-196-22
Free Throws13-2016-20
Fast Break Pts
2nd Chance Pts
Points in Paint
Pts off Turnovers
Bench Points
Biggest Lead

BOXSCORE

Access to boxscore predictions requires a premium subscription.
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
F · 6'9" 225 · 31
36.3
6
30%
6
4
3
0
1
2
1
5
0-2
0%
3-9
33%
0-0
-
C · 6'11" 250 · 26
33.1
18
64%
5
2
2
2
2
3
1
4
4-6
67%
7-12
58%
0-0
-
G · 6'3" 210 · 32
32.8
15
58%
0
9
3
0
0
0
0
0
2-2
100%
5-8
63%
1-4
25%
F · 6'8" 240 · 24
30.6
10
26%
10
5
0
0
3
0
4
6
0-0
-
5-16
31%
0-3
0%
G · 6'6" 225 · 28
17.7
4
40%
3
0
0
0
1
5
1
2
0-2
0%
2-4
50%
0-0
-
G-F · 6'6" 225 · 23
28.4
18
64%
6
3
0
0
5
2
0
6
3-4
75%
3-6
50%
3-6
50%
F · 6'8" 234 · 24
22.6
13
50%
4
1
1
0
1
4
3
1
2-2
100%
4-6
67%
1-6
17%
G · 6'1" 190 · 33
19.9
2
100%
0
1
0
1
1
2
0
0
0-0
-
1-1
100%
0-0
-
F · 6'8" 225 · 24
13.3
4
50%
5
1
0
0
1
1
4
1
2-2
100%
1-3
33%
0-0
-
G · 5'11" 185 · 34
5.3
0
0%
0
1
1
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
-
0-0
-
G-F · 6'6" 205 · 22
C · 7'1" 245 · 24
#45 · C · 7'0" 240 · 27
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
#11 · F-C · 6'10" 245 · 30
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
TOTAL
240
90
47%
39
27
10
3
15
0
14
25
13-20
65%
31-65
48%
5-19
26%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.