FinalWin Prob.pScore
954%100
100
1746%99
98
ORTG#PossPace
ORL logo ORL
95.2105109.0
IND logo IND
95.110382.7

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

PacersMagicQ1Q2Q3Q4OT19:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:002:00

Scoring Margin

PacersMagicQ1Q2Q3Q4OT19:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:002:00

Play-by-Play

Score / WinProb
ClockTeamEventORLIND
OT1 - 0:00.0ORL100
100%
98
0%
OT1 - 0:00.0ORLTurkoglu REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)100
99.9%
98
0.1%
OT1 - 0:01.0INDMISS Ford 16' Jump Shot100
99.9%
98
0.1%
OT1 - 0:23.0ORLLewis 18' Jump Shot (23 PTS) (Nelson 9 AST)100
83.1%
98
16.9%
OT1 - 0:39.0ORLBogans REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)98
64.7%
98
35.3%
OT1 - 0:40.0INDMISS Murphy 2' Layup98
58.7%
98
41.3%
OT1 - 0:51.0INDGranger REBOUND (Off:0 Def:6)98
46.0%
98
54.0%
OT1 - 0:51.0ORLMISS Nelson 19' Jump Shot98
51.4%
98
48.6%
OT1 - 1:14ORLMagic Rebound98
63.6%
98
36.4%
OT1 - 1:14INDMISS Daniels 14' Jump Shot98
58.9%
98
41.1%
OT1 - 1:35INDPACERS Rebound98
48.4%
98
51.6%
OT1 - 1:35ORLMISS Nelson 26' 3PT Jump Shot98
52.9%
98
47.1%
OT1 - 1:55INDDaniels 2' Layup (25 PTS)98
61.6%
98
38.4%
OT1 - 1:57INDDaniels REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)98
71.6%
96
28.4%
OT1 - 1:58INDMISS Daniels 8' Jump Shot98
78.7%
96
21.3%
OT1 - 2:12ORLLewis 13' Turnaround Jump Shot (21 PTS)98
70.3%
96
29.7%
OT1 - 2:22ORLHoward REBOUND (Off:3 Def:14)96
63.8%
96
36.2%
OT1 - 2:23INDMISS Nesterovic 1' Layup96
58.6%
96
41.4%
OT1 - 2:48ORLLewis 26' 3PT Jump Shot (19 PTS)96
46.1%
96
53.9%
OT1 - 3:07INDGranger 25' 3PT Jump Shot (21 PTS) (Nesterovic 8 AST)93
30.1%
96
69.9%
OT1 - 3:34ORLHoward 1' Layup (24 PTS) (Nelson 8 AST)93
50.5%
93
49.5%
OT1 - 3:43ORLHoward REBOUND (Off:3 Def:13)91
41.8%
93
58.2%
OT1 - 3:44INDMISS Daniels 19' Jump Shot91
38.7%
93
61.3%
OT1 - 4:06INDNesterovic REBOUND (Off:3 Def:6)91
31.8%
93
68.2%
OT1 - 4:08ORLNesterovic BLOCK (1 BLK)91
34.6%
93
65.4%
OT1 - 4:30INDDaniels 2' Driving Layup (23 PTS)91
41.4%
93
58.6%
OT1 - 4:38INDFord REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)91
50.3%
91
49.7%
OT1 - 4:39ORLMISS Turkoglu 3PT Jump Shot91
53.6%
91
46.4%
OT1 - 5:00INDJump Ball Nesterovic vs. Howard: Tip to Nelson91
60.8%
91
39.2%
Q4 - 0:07.0INDGranger REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)91
34.0%
91
66.0%
Q4 - 0:08.0ORLMISS Nelson 21' Jump Shot91
43.8%
91
56.2%
Q4 - 0:29.0ORLBogans REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)91
66.4%
91
33.6%
Q4 - 0:30.0INDMISS Granger 19' Jump Shot91
59.4%
91
40.6%
Q4 - 0:49.0INDDaniels REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)91
45.6%
91
54.4%
Q4 - 0:50.0ORLMISS Bogans 27' 3PT Jump Shot91
51.3%
91
48.7%
Q4 - 1:13INDFord 9' Pullup Jump Shot (22 PTS)91
63.6%
91
36.4%
Q4 - 1:17INDFord REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)91
74.7%
89
25.3%
Q4 - 1:18ORLMISS Nelson 22' Jump Shot91
78.1%
89
21.9%
Q4 - 1:33INDGranger Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T14)91
83.3%
89
16.7%
Q4 - 1:43ORLNelson 18' Pullup Jump Shot (22 PTS)91
72.0%
89
28.0%
Q4 - 1:57ORLLewis REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)89
61.7%
89
38.3%
Q4 - 1:57INDMISS Granger Free Throw 2 of 289
59.9%
89
40.1%
Q4 - 1:57INDGranger Free Throw 1 of 2 (18 PTS)89
51.2%
89
48.8%
Q4 - 2:08INDDaniels REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)89
59.0%
88
41.0%
Q4 - 2:09ORLMISS Lewis 17' Jump Shot89
63.9%
88
36.1%
Q4 - 2:27ORLHoward REBOUND (Off:3 Def:12)89
74.4%
88
25.6%
Q4 - 2:29INDMISS Granger 25' 3PT Jump Shot89
70.1%
88
29.9%
Q4 - 2:40ORLHoward Free Throw 2 of 2 (22 PTS)89
58.7%
88
41.3%
Q4 - 2:40ORLHoward Free Throw 1 of 2 (21 PTS)88
54.5%
88
45.5%
Q4 - 2:57INDFord Free Throw 2 of 2 (20 PTS)87
51.8%
88
48.2%
Q4 - 2:57INDMISS Ford Free Throw 1 of 287
53.2%
87
46.8%
Q4 - 3:13ORLNelson 16' Jump Shot (20 PTS)87
48.0%
87
52.0%
Q4 - 3:29INDDaniels 2' Alley Oop Dunk (21 PTS) (Ford 4 AST)85
40.7%
87
59.3%
Q4 - 3:33ORLFord STEAL (1 STL)85
50.5%
85
49.5%
Q4 - 3:46ORLTurkoglu REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)85
60.6%
85
39.4%
Q4 - 3:47INDMISS Nesterovic 1' Tip Shot85
57.6%
85
42.4%
Q4 - 3:48INDNesterovic REBOUND (Off:3 Def:5)85
50.4%
85
49.6%
Q4 - 3:49INDMISS Ford 3' Jump Shot85
57.6%
85
42.4%
Q4 - 4:07ORLLewis Free Throw 1 of 1 (16 PTS)85
50.4%
85
49.6%
Q4 - 4:12INDGranger Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T13)82
32.4%
85
67.6%
Q4 - 4:32ORLDaniels STEAL (1 STL)82
23.8%
85
76.2%
Q4 - 4:48INDGranger 19' Jump Shot (17 PTS)82
32.2%
85
67.8%
Q4 - 5:13ORLNelson 22' Jump Shot (18 PTS)82
42.4%
83
57.6%
Q4 - 5:24ORLLewis REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)80
34.7%
83
65.3%
Q4 - 5:25INDMISS Foster Tip Shot80
32.3%
83
67.7%
Q4 - 5:26INDFoster REBOUND (Off:4 Def:5)80
27.1%
83
72.9%
Q4 - 5:27INDMISS Ford Layup80
32.3%
83
67.7%
Q4 - 5:41ORLLewis 26' 3PT Jump Shot (13 PTS) (Nelson 7 AST)80
27.1%
83
72.9%
Q4 - 5:59ORLHoward REBOUND (Off:3 Def:11)77
16.0%
83
84.0%
Q4 - 6:01INDMISS Granger 26' 3PT Jump Shot77
17.9%
83
82.1%
Q4 - 6:14INDDaniels REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)77
14.8%
83
85.2%
Q4 - 6:15ORLMISS Turkoglu 26' 3PT Jump Shot77
16.1%
83
83.9%
Q4 - 6:32ORLHoward REBOUND (Off:3 Def:10)77
19.1%
83
80.9%
Q4 - 6:33INDMISS Murphy 26' 3PT Jump Shot77
17.7%
83
82.3%
Q4 - 6:40INDDaniels REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)77
14.7%
83
85.3%
Q4 - 6:41ORLMISS Turkoglu 16' Jump Shot77
15.9%
83
84.1%
Q4 - 7:03INDFord 1' Reverse Layup (19 PTS)77
21.6%
83
78.4%
Q4 - 7:05INDFord REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)77
26.3%
81
73.7%
Q4 - 7:06INDMISS Ford Layup77
30.5%
81
69.5%
Q4 - 7:31ORLNelson Free Throw 2 of 2 (16 PTS)77
26.2%
81
73.8%
Q4 - 7:31ORLNelson Free Throw 1 of 2 (15 PTS)76
25.3%
81
74.7%
Q4 - 7:45ORLPietrus REBOUND (Off:2 Def:5)75
21.4%
81
78.6%
Q4 - 7:46INDMISS Ford 16' Jump Shot75
19.9%
81
80.1%
Q4 - 7:55INDRush REBOUND (Off:4 Def:1)75
16.8%
81
83.2%
Q4 - 7:56ORLMISS Bogans 24' 3PT Jump Shot75
18.1%
81
81.9%
Q4 - 8:05ORLBattie REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)75
23.5%
81
76.5%
Q4 - 8:06INDMISS Granger 5' Layup75
22.2%
81
77.8%
Q4 - 8:14INDNesterovic REBOUND (Off:2 Def:5)75
19.3%
81
80.7%
Q4 - 8:15ORLMISS Battie 12' Jump Shot75
20.5%
81
79.5%
Q4 - 8:33INDFord 2' Finger Roll Layup (17 PTS)75
23.4%
81
76.6%
Q4 - 8:55ORLPietrus Driving Slam Dunk (10 PTS) (Turkoglu 2 AST)75
28.5%
79
71.5%
Q4 - 9:05ORLPietrus REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)73
25.5%
79
74.5%
Q4 - 9:06INDMISS Granger 21' Jump Shot73
24.2%
79
75.8%
Q4 - 9:23ORLLewis Foul Turnover (P3.T16)73
21.3%
79
78.7%
Q4 - 9:30INDFord Free Throw 2 of 2 (15 PTS)73
25.4%
79
74.6%
Q4 - 9:30INDFord Free Throw 1 of 2 (14 PTS)73
26.0%
78
74.0%
Q4 - 9:48ORLBogans 25' 3PT Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Johnson 1 AST)73
30.4%
77
69.6%
Q4 - 9:54ORLPietrus REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)70
21.0%
77
79.0%
Q4 - 9:54INDMISS Rush 1' Tip Shot70
19.9%
77
80.1%
Q4 - 9:56INDRush REBOUND (Off:4 Def:0)70
17.4%
77
82.6%
Q4 - 9:57INDMISS Nesterovic 7' Jump Shot70
19.9%
77
80.1%
Q4 - 9:59INDRush REBOUND (Off:3 Def:0)70
17.4%
77
82.6%
Q4 - 10:01INDMISS Rush 3' Layup70
21.6%
77
78.4%
Q4 - 10:20INDRush REBOUND (Off:2 Def:0)70
19.0%
77
81.0%
Q4 - 10:21INDMISS Nesterovic 20' Jump Shot70
21.5%
77
78.5%
Q4 - 10:41ORLPietrus Foul Turnover (P3.T15)70
19.0%
77
81.0%
Q4 - 10:52INDFord Lost Ball Turnover (P4.T12)70
22.6%
77
77.4%
Q4 - 10:59INDPACERS Rebound70
18.9%
77
81.1%
Q4 - 10:59INDMISS Rush 2' Layup70
21.4%
77
78.6%
Q4 - 11:05INDJack REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)70
20.6%
77
79.4%
Q4 - 11:06ORLMISS Johnson 18' Jump Shot70
21.6%
77
78.4%
Q4 - 11:17ORLJohnson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)70
24.1%
77
75.9%
Q4 - 11:18INDMISS Granger 16' Jump Shot70
23.0%
77
77.0%
Q4 - 11:37INDGranger REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)70
20.5%
77
79.5%
Q4 - 11:38ORLFord BLOCK (1 BLK)70
21.5%
77
78.5%
Q3 - 0:00.0ORL70
24.0%
77
76.0%
Q3 - 0:00.0ORLMagic Rebound70
24.0%
77
76.0%
Q3 - 0:00.0ORLMISS Turkoglu 46' 3PT Jump Shot70
21.5%
77
78.5%
Q3 - 0:02.0INDFoster 1' Tip Shot (9 PTS)70
25.1%
77
74.9%
Q3 - 0:02.0INDFoster REBOUND (Off:3 Def:5)70
29.6%
75
70.4%
Q3 - 0:03.0INDMISS Jack 16' Jump Shot70
32.3%
75
67.7%
Q3 - 0:19.0ORLHoward Free Throw 2 of 2 (20 PTS)70
29.6%
75
70.4%
Q3 - 0:19.0ORLHoward Free Throw 1 of 2 (19 PTS)69
28.1%
75
71.9%
Q3 - 0:36.0INDDaniels 3PT Jump Shot (19 PTS) (Jack 4 AST)68
25.0%
75
75.0%
Q3 - 0:49.0ORLTurkoglu Bad Pass Turnover (P4.T14)68
34.0%
72
66.0%
Q3 - 1:00INDDaniels 18' Jump Shot (16 PTS)68
38.1%
72
61.9%
Q3 - 1:13ORLMagic Turnover: Shot Clock (T#13)68
43.7%
70
56.3%
Q3 - 1:13ORLMagic Rebound68
48.1%
70
51.9%
Q3 - 1:13ORLMISS Howard 12' Jump Shot68
45.0%
70
55.0%
Q3 - 1:14ORLHoward REBOUND (Off:3 Def:9)68
48.1%
70
51.9%
Q3 - 1:14ORLFoster BLOCK (2 BLK)68
45.0%
70
55.0%
Q3 - 1:37INDFoster 3 Second Violation Turnover (P3.T11)68
48.1%
70
51.9%
Q3 - 1:57ORLBogans 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Turkoglu 1 AST)68
43.7%
70
56.3%
Q3 - 2:03INDDaniels Lost Ball Turnover (P3.T10)65
35.1%
70
64.9%
Q3 - 2:16INDFoster REBOUND (Off:2 Def:5)65
30.9%
70
69.1%
Q3 - 2:18ORLFoster BLOCK (1 BLK)65
32.2%
70
67.8%
Q3 - 2:38ORLHoward REBOUND (Off:2 Def:9)65
35.0%
70
65.0%
Q3 - 2:39INDMISS Murphy 18' Jump Shot65
33.7%
70
66.3%
Q3 - 2:45INDFoster REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)65
30.9%
70
69.1%
Q3 - 2:46ORLMISS Turkoglu 1' Layup65
32.1%
70
67.9%
Q3 - 2:59ORLMagic Rebound65
35.0%
70
65.0%
Q3 - 3:00ORLMISS Nelson 3PT Jump Shot65
32.1%
70
67.9%
Q3 - 3:14ORLHoward REBOUND (Off:2 Def:8)65
36.4%
70
63.6%
Q3 - 3:15INDMISS Jack 18' Jump Shot65
35.0%
70
65.0%
Q3 - 3:35INDJack REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)65
32.0%
70
68.0%
Q3 - 3:37ORLMISS Turkoglu 26' 3PT Jump Shot65
33.3%
70
66.7%
Q3 - 3:46ORLNelson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)65
36.3%
70
63.7%
Q3 - 3:48INDMISS Foster 27' 3PT Jump Shot65
34.9%
70
65.1%
Q3 - 3:53INDPACERS Rebound65
32.0%
70
68.0%
Q3 - 3:53INDMISS Granger 9' Jump Shot65
34.9%
70
65.1%
Q3 - 4:07INDNesterovic REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)65
32.3%
70
67.7%
Q3 - 4:08ORLMISS Pietrus 25' 3PT Jump Shot65
33.7%
70
66.3%
Q3 - 4:18ORLHoward REBOUND (Off:2 Def:7)65
37.0%
70
63.0%
Q3 - 4:19INDMISS Nesterovic 20' Jump Shot65
35.5%
70
64.5%
Q3 - 4:35ORLCook Traveling Turnover (P2.T12)65
32.4%
70
67.6%
Q3 - 4:45INDRush 17' Fadeaway Jumper (5 PTS) (Nesterovic 7 AST)65
37.0%
70
63.0%
Q3 - 5:09ORLHoward REBOUND (Off:2 Def:6)65
40.9%
68
59.1%
Q3 - 5:09ORLHoward Putback Slam Dunk (18 PTS)65
40.9%
68
59.1%
Q3 - 5:10ORLMISS Turkoglu 11' Jump Shot63
34.4%
68
65.6%
Q3 - 5:20ORLCook REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)63
37.3%
68
62.7%
Q3 - 5:21INDMISS Nesterovic 7' Jump Shot63
36.0%
68
64.0%
Q3 - 5:37INDPACERS Rebound63
33.0%
68
67.0%
Q3 - 5:38ORLMISS Pietrus Layup63
34.3%
68
65.7%
Q3 - 5:48INDGranger 26' 3PT Jump Shot (15 PTS) (Nesterovic 6 AST)63
37.3%
68
62.7%
Q3 - 5:59INDNesterovic REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)63
44.9%
65
55.1%
Q3 - 6:00ORLMISS Cook 19' Jump Shot63
46.3%
65
53.7%
Q3 - 6:07ORLHoward REBOUND (Off:1 Def:6)63
49.9%
65
50.1%
Q3 - 6:09INDMISS Nesterovic 1' Layup63
48.6%
65
51.4%
Q3 - 6:24ORLCook 26' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Nelson 6 AST)63
45.5%
65
54.5%
Q3 - 6:39INDFoster Layup (7 PTS) (Granger 3 AST)60
38.0%
65
62.0%
Q3 - 6:54ORLPietrus Free Throw 2 of 2 (8 PTS)60
41.5%
63
58.5%
Q3 - 6:54ORLPietrus Free Throw 1 of 2 (7 PTS)59
40.6%
63
59.4%
Q3 - 7:05INDFord 26' 3PT Jump Shot (13 PTS) (Nesterovic 5 AST)58
38.4%
63
61.6%
Q3 - 7:21INDNesterovic REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)58
45.8%
60
54.2%
Q3 - 7:23ORLMISS Turkoglu Free Throw 2 of 258
46.3%
60
53.7%
Q3 - 7:23ORLTurkoglu Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)58
49.0%
60
51.0%
Q3 - 7:37ORLCook REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)57
45.9%
60
54.1%
Q3 - 7:38INDMISS Granger 10' Jump Shot57
44.7%
60
55.3%
Q3 - 7:53ORLTurkoglu Out of Bounds Lost Ball Turnover (P3.T11)57
42.0%
60
58.0%
Q3 - 8:11ORLNelson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)57
46.1%
60
53.9%
Q3 - 8:12INDMISS Daniels 24' 3PT Jump Shot57
44.9%
60
55.1%
Q3 - 8:29ORLLewis Foul Turnover (P2.T10)57
42.1%
60
57.9%
Q3 - 8:47INDFord 11' Jump Shot (10 PTS) (Nesterovic 4 AST)57
46.1%
60
53.9%
Q3 - 8:51INDNesterovic REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)57
49.6%
58
50.4%
Q3 - 8:52INDMISS Daniels 2' Layup57
52.4%
58
47.6%
Q3 - 8:58ORLNesterovic STEAL (1 STL)57
49.6%
58
50.4%
Q3 - 9:12ORLLewis REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)57
53.7%
58
46.3%
Q3 - 9:13INDMISS Granger 1' Layup57
52.5%
58
47.5%
Q3 - 9:25ORLNelson 20' Pullup Jump Shot (14 PTS)57
49.9%
58
50.1%
Q3 - 9:30INDDaniels Lost Ball Turnover (P2.T9)55
46.3%
58
53.7%
Q3 - 9:39INDGranger REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)55
42.6%
58
57.4%
Q3 - 9:41ORLMISS Turkoglu 26' 3PT Jump Shot55
43.7%
58
56.3%
Q3 - 9:54INDDaniels 6' Jump Shot (14 PTS) (Nesterovic 3 AST)55
46.3%
58
53.7%
Q3 - 10:07INDMurphy REBOUND (Off:1 Def:9)55
50.1%
56
49.9%
Q3 - 10:08ORLMISS Howard 13' Jump Shot55
51.2%
56
48.8%
Q3 - 10:20ORLNelson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)55
53.7%
56
46.3%
Q3 - 10:21INDMISS Nesterovic 19' Jump Shot55
52.6%
56
47.4%
Q3 - 10:37ORLLewis 26' 3PT Jump Shot (10 PTS) (Nelson 5 AST)55
50.1%
56
49.9%
Q3 - 10:57INDFord 10' Fadeaway Jumper (8 PTS)52
43.1%
56
56.9%
Q3 - 11:21ORLLewis 7' Jump Shot (7 PTS)52
47.0%
54
53.0%
Q3 - 11:33INDFord REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)50
43.8%
54
56.2%
Q3 - 11:33INDFord Bad Pass Turnover (P3.T8)50
43.8%
54
56.2%
Q3 - 11:35INDMISS Ford 1' Layup50
42.7%
54
57.3%
Q2 - 0:00.0IND50
40.2%
54
59.8%
Q2 - 0:00.0ORLNelson 20' Pullup Jump Shot (12 PTS)50
40.2%
54
59.8%
Q2 - 0:05.0INDJack Free Throw 2 of 2 (5 PTS)48
37.3%
54
62.7%
Q2 - 0:05.0INDMISS Jack Free Throw 1 of 248
37.8%
53
62.2%
Q2 - 0:06.0ORLJack STEAL (1 STL)48
38.2%
53
61.8%
Q2 - 0:27.0ORLHoward REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)48
40.5%
53
59.5%
Q2 - 0:29.0INDMISS Ford 8' Jump Shot48
39.8%
53
60.2%
Q2 - 0:39.0ORLMagic Turnover: Shot Clock (T#7)48
38.1%
53
61.9%
Q2 - 0:39.0ORLMagic Rebound48
40.5%
53
59.5%
Q2 - 0:40.0ORLMurphy BLOCK (1 BLK)48
38.8%
53
61.2%
Q2 - 1:06INDDaniels 1' Driving Layup (12 PTS)48
41.0%
53
59.0%
Q2 - 1:16ORLNelson 2' Driving Layup (10 PTS)48
45.1%
51
54.9%
Q2 - 1:23INDFord Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T7)46
41.0%
51
59.0%
Q2 - 1:41INDMurphy REBOUND (Off:1 Def:8)46
38.7%
51
61.3%
Q2 - 1:42INDMISS Ford Free Throw 2 of 246
40.6%
51
59.4%
Q2 - 1:42INDFord Free Throw 1 of 2 (6 PTS)46
38.2%
51
61.8%
Q2 - 2:07ORLHoward 4' Hook Shot (16 PTS)46
41.8%
50
58.2%
Q2 - 2:24ORLMagic Rebound44
38.8%
50
61.2%
Q2 - 2:25INDMISS Murphy 25' 3PT Jump Shot44
37.8%
50
62.2%
Q2 - 2:37INDGranger REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)44
35.7%
50
64.3%
Q2 - 2:39ORLMISS Nelson 17' Jump Shot44
36.6%
50
63.4%
Q2 - 3:00INDFord Free Throw 1 of 1 (5 PTS)44
38.7%
50
61.3%
Q2 - 3:14ORLTurkoglu Driving Layup (2 PTS) (Nelson 4 AST)44
45.1%
47
54.9%
Q2 - 3:25INDMurphy 25' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Ford 3 AST)42
42.5%
47
57.5%
Q2 - 3:31INDFoster REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)42
48.2%
44
51.8%
Q2 - 3:32INDMISS Granger 9' Jump Shot42
50.7%
44
49.3%
Q2 - 3:41INDFord REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)42
48.2%
44
51.8%
Q2 - 3:42ORLMISS Lewis 17' Jump Shot42
49.3%
44
50.7%
Q2 - 4:02ORLMagic Rebound42
51.8%
44
48.2%
Q2 - 4:03INDMISS Murphy 18' Jump Shot42
50.8%
44
49.2%
Q2 - 4:19ORLHoward 1' Slam Dunk (14 PTS)42
48.5%
44
51.5%
Q2 - 4:31ORLHoward REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)40
45.7%
44
54.3%
Q2 - 4:32INDMISS Granger 22' Jump Shot40
44.7%
44
55.3%
Q2 - 4:39INDFoster REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)40
42.5%
44
57.5%
Q2 - 4:40ORLMISS Howard 15' Jump Shot40
43.5%
44
56.5%
Q2 - 4:51ORLHoward REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)40
45.7%
44
54.3%
Q2 - 4:52ORLMISS Howard 1' Layup40
43.5%
44
56.5%
Q2 - 5:04ORLBogans REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)40
46.1%
44
53.9%
Q2 - 5:05INDMISS Daniels 17' Jump Shot40
45.3%
44
54.7%
Q2 - 5:25INDMurphy REBOUND (Off:0 Def:8)40
43.3%
44
56.7%
Q2 - 5:27ORLDaniels BLOCK (1 BLK)40
44.1%
44
55.9%
Q2 - 5:36ORLMagic Rebound40
46.1%
44
53.9%
Q2 - 5:37INDMISS Ford 17' Jump Shot40
45.2%
44
54.8%
Q2 - 5:58ORLHoward 1' Alley Oop Dunk (12 PTS) (Nelson 3 AST)40
43.2%
44
56.8%
Q2 - 6:06INDFord 1' Layup (4 PTS) (Hibbert 2 AST)38
40.9%
44
59.1%
Q2 - 6:19ORLHoward 5' Jump Hook Shot (10 PTS)38
43.2%
42
56.8%
Q2 - 6:33INDDaniels 19' Jump Shot (10 PTS) (Hibbert 1 AST)36
40.8%
42
59.2%
Q2 - 6:55ORLHoward Free Throw 1 of 1 (8 PTS)36
43.2%
40
56.8%
Q2 - 7:12INDJack Out of Bounds Lost Ball Turnover (P2.T6)33
38.4%
40
61.6%
Q2 - 7:23ORLJohnson 25' 3PT Jump Shot (7 PTS)33
35.6%
40
64.4%
Q2 - 7:30ORLHoward REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)30
30.7%
40
69.3%
Q2 - 7:31INDMISS Jack 22' Jump Shot30
29.9%
40
70.1%
Q2 - 7:45ORLCook Foul Turnover (P1.T6)30
28.2%
40
71.8%
Q2 - 8:08INDDaniels 2' Driving Layup (8 PTS)30
31.4%
40
68.6%
Q2 - 8:22INDRush REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)30
33.8%
38
66.2%
Q2 - 8:24INDMISS Daniels Free Throw 1 of 130
35.9%
38
64.1%
Q2 - 8:27INDMurphy REBOUND (Off:0 Def:7)30
38.9%
36
61.1%
Q2 - 8:28ORLHibbert BLOCK (2 BLK)30
39.7%
36
60.3%
Q2 - 8:45INDDaniels Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T5)30
41.4%
36
58.6%
Q2 - 9:04INDPACERS Rebound30
39.0%
36
61.0%
Q2 - 9:04ORLHibbert BLOCK (1 BLK)30
39.8%
36
60.2%
Q2 - 9:17ORLJohnson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)30
41.6%
36
58.4%
Q2 - 9:18INDMISS Jack 27' 3PT Jump Shot30
40.8%
36
59.2%
Q2 - 9:29INDPACERS Rebound30
39.0%
36
61.0%
Q2 - 9:30INDMISS Granger 26' 3PT Jump Shot30
40.8%
36
59.2%
Q2 - 9:37INDMurphy REBOUND (Off:0 Def:6)30
39.0%
36
61.0%
Q2 - 9:39ORLRush BLOCK (1 BLK)30
39.8%
36
60.2%
Q2 - 9:45ORLBattie REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)30
41.6%
36
58.4%
Q2 - 9:46INDMISS Foster 1' Layup30
40.8%
36
59.2%
Q2 - 10:04ORLJohnson 4' Driving Finger Roll Layup (4 PTS)30
39.4%
36
60.6%
Q2 - 10:19INDFoster Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T4)28
37.0%
36
63.0%
Q2 - 10:35INDFoster REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)28
34.5%
36
65.5%
Q2 - 10:36ORLMISS Redick 25' 3PT Jump Shot28
35.2%
36
64.8%
Q2 - 10:59ORLLewis REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)28
36.9%
36
63.1%
Q2 - 11:00INDMISS Jack 1' Layup28
36.2%
36
63.8%
Q2 - 11:07INDJack REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)28
34.9%
36
65.1%
Q2 - 11:08ORLMISS Turkoglu 26' 3PT Jump Shot28
35.7%
36
64.3%
Q2 - 11:17INDJack Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T3)28
37.3%
36
62.7%
Q2 - 11:25INDFoster REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)28
34.9%
36
65.1%
Q2 - 11:26ORLMISS Turkoglu 2' Layup28
35.7%
36
64.3%
Q2 - 11:44INDGranger 15' Pullup Jump Shot (12 PTS)28
37.3%
36
62.7%
Q1 - 0:00.0ORL28
39.7%
34
60.3%
Q1 - 0:00.0ORLMagic Rebound28
42.2%
34
57.8%
Q1 - 0:00.0ORLMISS Pietrus 35' 3PT Jump Shot28
40.5%
34
59.5%
Q1 - 0:01.0INDFoster Free Throw 1 of 1 (5 PTS)28
42.2%
34
57.8%
Q1 - 0:19.0INDGranger REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)28
47.7%
31
52.3%
Q1 - 0:20.0ORLMISS Battie 17' Jump Shot28
48.3%
31
51.7%
Q1 - 0:32.0ORLBattie REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)28
49.6%
31
50.4%
Q1 - 0:33.0INDMISS Foster 19' Jump Shot28
49.0%
31
51.0%
Q1 - 0:50.0ORLPietrus Step Out of Bounds Turnover (P2.T5)28
47.6%
31
52.4%
Q1 - 1:00INDGranger 24' 3PT Jump Shot (10 PTS) (Foster 1 AST)28
49.6%
31
50.4%
Q1 - 1:12ORLJohnson Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)28
55.3%
28
44.7%
Q1 - 1:12ORLJohnson Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)27
54.7%
28
45.3%
Q1 - 1:19ORLJohnson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)26
52.2%
28
47.8%
Q1 - 1:21INDMISS Rush 13' Jump Shot26
51.7%
28
48.3%
Q1 - 1:37INDMurphy REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)26
50.6%
28
49.4%
Q1 - 1:38ORLMISS Pietrus 22' Jump Shot26
51.1%
28
48.9%
Q1 - 2:05INDRush 27' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Jack 1 AST)26
52.5%
28
47.5%
Q1 - 2:26ORLLewis 16' Jump Shot (5 PTS)26
57.5%
25
42.5%
Q1 - 2:42INDJack 6' Floating Jump Shot (4 PTS)24
54.8%
25
45.2%
Q1 - 2:48ORLRush STEAL (1 STL)24
57.5%
23
42.5%
Q1 - 2:57INDJack 7' Floating Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Nesterovic 2 AST)24
59.3%
23
40.7%
Q1 - 3:12ORLNelson 26' 3PT Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Howard 1 AST)24
61.9%
21
38.1%
Q1 - 3:35INDGranger Free Throw 2 of 2 (7 PTS)21
57.5%
21
42.5%
Q1 - 3:35INDGranger Free Throw 1 of 2 (6 PTS)21
57.8%
20
42.2%
Q1 - 3:49ORLRedick 19' Fadeaway Jumper (2 PTS)21
59.7%
19
40.3%
Q1 - 4:05INDFoster Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)19
57.4%
19
42.6%
Q1 - 4:05INDFoster Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)19
58.0%
18
42.0%
Q1 - 4:05INDFoster REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)19
59.4%
17
40.6%
Q1 - 4:06INDMISS Daniels 4' Jump Shot19
60.9%
17
39.1%
Q1 - 4:22ORLNelson 26' 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Redick 1 AST)19
59.4%
17
40.6%
Q1 - 4:31ORLPietrus REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)16
55.2%
17
44.8%
Q1 - 4:33INDMISS Daniels 16' Jump Shot16
54.5%
17
45.5%
Q1 - 4:45ORLHoward 5' Jump Hook Shot (5 PTS)16
52.9%
17
47.1%
Q1 - 5:03INDFoster Foul Turnover (P1.T2)14
50.7%
17
49.3%
Q1 - 5:22ORLNelson Foul Turnover (P1.T3)14
48.3%
17
51.7%
Q1 - 5:25INDFord Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T1)14
50.7%
17
49.3%
Q1 - 5:47ORLNelson 19' Step Back Jump Shot (2 PTS)14
48.3%
17
51.7%
Q1 - 5:55ORLHoward REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)12
46.4%
17
53.6%
Q1 - 5:56INDMISS Ford 19' Jump Shot12
45.7%
17
54.3%
Q1 - 6:15ORLPietrus 3PT Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Nelson 2 AST)12
44.4%
17
55.6%
Q1 - 6:28INDGranger 10' Step Back Jump Shot (5 PTS)9
40.3%
17
59.7%
Q1 - 6:44INDFord REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)9
42.2%
15
57.8%
Q1 - 6:46ORLMISS Pietrus 26' 3PT Jump Shot9
42.9%
15
57.1%
Q1 - 6:52ORLPietrus REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)9
44.4%
15
55.6%
Q1 - 6:53ORLMISS Redick 26' 3PT Jump Shot9
42.9%
15
57.1%
Q1 - 6:57ORLLewis REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)9
44.4%
15
55.6%
Q1 - 6:58INDMISS Granger 1' Layup9
43.8%
15
56.2%
Q1 - 7:11ORLTurkoglu Foul Turnover (P1.T2)9
42.3%
15
57.7%
Q1 - 7:22INDDaniels Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)9
44.6%
15
55.4%
Q1 - 7:22INDDaniels Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)9
45.1%
14
54.9%
Q1 - 7:33INDNesterovic REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)9
46.5%
13
53.5%
Q1 - 7:35INDMISS Nesterovic 8' Jump Shot9
48.1%
13
51.9%
Q1 - 7:44ORLPietrus 25' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS)9
46.5%
13
53.5%
Q1 - 8:00INDNesterovic 19' Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Ford 2 AST)6
42.5%
13
57.5%
Q1 - 8:11INDNesterovic REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)6
44.6%
11
55.4%
Q1 - 8:13ORLMISS Lewis 13' Jump Shot6
45.3%
11
54.7%
Q1 - 8:31INDDaniels 7' Fadeaway Jumper (2 PTS)6
46.7%
11
53.3%
Q1 - 8:49ORLLewis 25' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Nelson 1 AST)6
48.8%
9
51.2%
Q1 - 9:11INDNesterovic 19' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Ford 1 AST)3
45.6%
9
54.4%
Q1 - 9:25INDMurphy REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)3
47.7%
7
52.3%
Q1 - 9:26ORLMISS Turkoglu 26' 3PT Jump Shot3
48.3%
7
51.7%
Q1 - 9:37INDGranger Free Throw 1 of 1 (3 PTS)3
49.5%
7
50.5%
Q1 - 9:54INDMurphy REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)3
53.6%
4
46.4%
Q1 - 9:55ORLMISS Howard Free Throw 2 of 23
53.9%
4
46.1%
Q1 - 9:55ORLMISS Howard Free Throw 1 of 23
54.9%
4
45.1%
Q1 - 10:05ORLHoward REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)3
55.7%
4
44.3%
Q1 - 10:06INDMISS Ford 15' Jump Shot3
55.1%
4
44.9%
Q1 - 10:19INDMurphy REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)3
53.8%
4
46.2%
Q1 - 10:20ORLMISS Howard 5' Jump Shot3
54.4%
4
45.6%
Q1 - 10:33INDNesterovic 1' Layup (2 PTS) (Granger 1 AST)3
55.7%
4
44.3%
Q1 - 10:40INDMurphy REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)3
57.4%
2
42.6%
Q1 - 10:41ORLMISS Pietrus 26' 3PT Jump Shot3
58.0%
2
42.0%
Q1 - 10:49INDFord 19' Pullup Jump Shot (2 PTS)3
59.3%
2
40.7%
Q1 - 11:05ORLHoward 16' Jump Shot (3 PTS)3
60.5%
0
39.5%
Q1 - 11:14ORLTurkoglu REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)1
58.9%
0
41.1%
Q1 - 11:16INDMISS Nesterovic 4' Jump Shot1
58.4%
0
41.6%
Q1 - 11:18ORLHoward Free Throw 2 of 2 (1 PTS)1
57.3%
0
42.7%
Q1 - 11:18ORLMISS Howard Free Throw 1 of 20
56.7%
0
43.3%
Q1 - 11:27ORLPietrus REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)0
57.3%
0
42.7%
Q1 - 11:28INDMISS Murphy 26' 3PT Jump Shot0
56.8%
0
43.2%
Q1 - 11:41ORLPietrus Step Out of Bounds Turnover (P1.T1)0
55.6%
0
44.4%
Q1 - 11:41ORLPietrus REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)0
57.3%
0
42.7%
Q1 - 11:41ORLGranger BLOCK (1 BLK)0
56.1%
0
43.9%
Q1 - 12:00INDJump Ball Nesterovic vs. Howard: Tip to Lewis0
57.3%
0
42.7%

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

ORL
1.00 50.0%
IND
0.91 45.4%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)
ORL
13
24
54%
IND
14
34
41%
Midrange
ORL
12
31
39%
IND
17
49
35%
3PT | Effective 3PT
ORL
12
18.0
31
39%
58%
IND
7
10.5
16
44%
66%
Free Throws
ORL
14
18
78%
IND
15
20
75%
Makes
Effective 3P Makes
%
Efficiency
Misses
Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|
ORL logo Magic
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
D. Howard2452%12.0 / 23
R. Lewis2396%11.5 / 12
J. Nelson2265%11.0 / 17
M. Pietrus1045%5.0 / 11
A. Johnson770%3.5 / 5
K. Bogans660%3.0 / 5
H. Turkoglu311%1.5 / 14
B. Cook375%1.5 / 2
J. Redick233%1.0 / 3
T. Battie0-0.0 / 2
TS Makes
TS Misses

Total Points

|
IND logo Pacers
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
M. Daniels2563%12.5 / 20
T. Ford2250%11.0 / 22
D. Granger2148%10.5 / 22
J. Foster956%4.5 / 8
R. Nesterovic621%3.0 / 14
T. Murphy536%2.5 / 7
B. Rush542%2.5 / 6
J. Jack531%2.5 / 8
TS Makes
TS Misses

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

ORL
89
+10
-16
99
IND
89
+18
-14
107
Base
ORB
TOV

Scoring Efficiency

ORL
1.00 50.0%
IND
0.91 45.4%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Efficiency & PaceThis Game
Efficiency
109.0
108.1
ORL 95.2 +0.1
IND 95.1
Pace
92.5
96.5
ORL 109.0 +26.3
IND 82.7
Avg. Poss. Time
15.5
14.5
ORL 13.2 +4.2
IND 17.4
Four FactorsThis Game
EFG %
52.0%
50.1%
ORL 50.0% +8.1%
IND 41.9%
TO %
14.6%
14.4%
ORL 16.1%
IND 11.5% +4.6%
ORB %
24.1%
25.5%
ORL 11.6%
IND 26.3% +14.7%
FTrt
35.1
26.7
ORL 20.9 +0.7
IND 20.2
Misc. StatsThis Game
AST %
54.4%
55.1%
ORL 37.8%
IND 57.9% +20.1%
STL %
7.5%
7.2%
ORL 10.5% +5.6%
IND 4.9%
BLK %
8.0%
8.1%
ORL 8.4%
IND 18.2% +9.8%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Shooting EfficiencyThis Game
TS%
54.4%
53.2%
ORL 50.0% +4.6%
IND 45.4%
Rim FG%
60.9%
56.5%
ORL 54.2% +13.0%
IND 41.2%
Mid FG%
39.3%
40.6%
ORL 38.7% +4.0%
IND 34.7%
3P %
38.1%
37.8%
ORL 38.7%
IND 43.8% +5.1%
FT %
71.5%
80.7%
ORL 77.8% +2.8%
IND 75.0%
Shot DistributionThis Game
Rim Att. %
31.3%
35.1%
ORL 27.9%
IND 34.3% +6.4%
Mid Att. %
35.2%
40.6%
ORL 36.0% +13.4%
IND 49.5%
3P Att. %
33.5%
24.4%
ORL 36.0% +19.9%
IND 16.2%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.58 and 2.58.
Game TotalsORLIND
Possessions105103
Possession Minutes23.129.9
Points10098
Rebounds4753
Assists1422
Steals115
Blocks710
Turnovers (Team)16 (2)14 (0)
Fouls
Off. Rebounds (Team)5 (5)15 (3)
Def. Rebounds (Team)42 (4)38 (3)
Field Goals37-8638-99
At-the-Rim FG13-2414-34
Midrange FG12-3117-49
2-Point FG25-5531-83
3-Point FG12-317-16
Free Throws14-1815-20
Fast Break Pts
2nd Chance Pts
Points in Paint
Pts off Turnovers
Bench Points
Biggest Lead

BOXSCORE

Access to boxscore predictions requires a premium subscription.
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
C · 6'11" 265 · 23
44.4
24
52%
17
1
1
5
1
1
3
14
6-9
67%
9-19
47%
0-0
-
F · 6'10" 220 · 30
40.7
3
11%
3
2
2
0
4
3
0
3
1-2
50%
1-6
17%
0-7
0%
G · 6'0" 190 · 27
39.1
22
65%
3
9
0
0
1
5
0
3
2-2
100%
7-11
64%
2-5
40%
F · 6'10" 235 · 29
37.1
23
96%
5
0
6
0
4
5
0
5
1-1
100%
5-8
63%
4-4
100%
G · 6'6" 215 · 27
29.8
10
45%
7
0
1
0
3
3
2
5
2-2
100%
1-3
33%
2-7
29%
G-F · 6'5" 215 · 29
27.2
6
60%
4
0
0
1
1
2
0
4
0-0
-
0-1
0%
2-4
50%
G · 6'3" 195 · 34
13.9
7
70%
3
1
0
0
0
2
0
3
2-2
100%
1-3
33%
1-1
100%
C-F · 6'9" 250 · 28
12.3
3
75%
2
0
0
0
2
1
0
2
0-0
-
0-1
0%
1-1
100%
G-F · 6'4" 200 · 24
12.0
2
33%
0
1
0
0
0
2
0
0
0-0
-
1-1
100%
0-2
0%
C · 6'11" 240 · 33
8.6
0
0%
3
0
1
1
0
2
0
3
0-0
-
0-2
0%
0-0
-
G · 6'5" 200 · 23
C · 6'11" 240 · 25
#31 · C · 6'10" 270 · 34
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
#29 · G · 5'10" 180 · 30
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
#32 · G-F · 6'7" 195 · 25
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
TOTAL
265
100
50%
47
14
11
7
16
0
5
42
14-18
78%
25-55
45%
12-31
39%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.