FinalWin Prob.pScore
1046%92
91
1754%94
81
ORTG#PossPace
DEN logo DEN
102.28994.2
SAS logo SAS
91.08984.4

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

SpursNuggetsQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Scoring Margin

SpursNuggetsQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Play-by-Play

Score / WinProb
ClockTeamEventDENSAS
Q4 - 0:00.0DEN91
100%
81
0%
Q4 - 0:20.0SASHill 1' Dunk (20 PTS) (Ahearn 2 AST)91
99.9%
81
0.1%
Q4 - 0:23.0SASAhearn REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)91
99.9%
79
0.1%
Q4 - 0:24.0DENMISS Samb 18' Jump Shot91
99.9%
79
0.1%
Q4 - 0:40.0SASHill 1' Layup (18 PTS) (Bonner 2 AST)91
99.9%
79
0.1%
Q4 - 0:44.0DENBonner STEAL (1 STL)91
99.9%
77
0.1%
Q4 - 0:59.0SASHill Free Throw 2 of 2 (16 PTS)91
99.9%
77
0.1%
Q4 - 0:59.0SASHill Free Throw 1 of 2 (15 PTS)91
99.9%
76
0.1%
Q4 - 1:08DENJones Traveling Turnover (P1.T19)91
99.9%
75
0.1%
Q4 - 1:22SASAhearn Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)91
99.9%
75
0.1%
Q4 - 1:22SASAhearn Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)91
99.9%
74
0.1%
Q4 - 1:22DENAhearn STEAL (1 STL)91
99.9%
73
0.1%
Q4 - 1:36DENJones REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)91
99.9%
73
0.1%
Q4 - 1:37SASMISS Tolliver 24' 3PT Jump Shot91
99.9%
73
0.1%
Q4 - 1:43DENAtkins 2' Layup (2 PTS) (Billups 6 AST)91
99.9%
73
0.1%
Q4 - 1:47SASHill Bad Pass Turnover (P3.T16)89
99.9%
73
0.1%
Q4 - 1:58SASTolliver REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)89
99.9%
73
0.1%
Q4 - 1:59DENMISS Anthony 16' Pullup Jump Shot89
99.9%
73
0.1%
Q4 - 2:19DENAnthony REBOUND (Off:0 Def:9)89
99.9%
73
0.1%
Q4 - 2:20SASMISS Tolliver 25' 3PT Jump Shot89
99.9%
73
0.1%
Q4 - 2:28SASSPURS Rebound89
99.9%
73
0.1%
Q4 - 2:28SASMISS Udoka 26' 3PT Jump Shot89
99.9%
73
0.1%
Q4 - 2:40DENMartin Dunk (18 PTS) (Anthony 7 AST)89
99.9%
73
0.1%
Q4 - 2:54DENAnthony REBOUND (Off:0 Def:8)87
99.9%
73
0.1%
Q4 - 2:56SASMISS Ahearn 9' Jump Shot87
99.8%
73
0.2%
Q4 - 3:11DENAnthony Kicked Ball Violation Turnover (P5.T17)87
99.8%
73
0.2%
Q4 - 3:32SASHill Free Throw 2 of 2 (14 PTS)87
99.6%
73
0.4%
Q4 - 3:32SASHill Free Throw 1 of 2 (13 PTS)87
99.6%
72
0.4%
Q4 - 3:36DENHill STEAL (2 STL)87
99.7%
71
0.3%
Q4 - 3:53DENNene REBOUND (Off:2 Def:7)87
99.8%
71
0.2%
Q4 - 3:54SASMISS Bonner 3' Jump Shot87
99.8%
71
0.2%
Q4 - 3:58SASBonner REBOUND (Off:4 Def:4)87
99.7%
71
0.3%
Q4 - 3:59SASMISS Bonner 1' Layup87
99.8%
71
0.2%
Q4 - 4:16SASBonner REBOUND (Off:3 Def:4)87
99.8%
71
0.2%
Q4 - 4:17SASMISS Hill 6' Jump Shot87
99.8%
71
0.2%
Q4 - 4:37SASSPURS Rebound87
99.8%
71
0.2%
Q4 - 4:37DENMISS Anthony 15' Jump Shot87
99.8%
71
0.2%
Q4 - 4:58SASMason Jr. Bad Pass Turnover (P4.T15)87
99.8%
71
0.2%
Q4 - 5:12DENNene Free Throw 2 of 2 (16 PTS)87
99.5%
71
0.5%
Q4 - 5:12DENNene Free Throw 1 of 2 (15 PTS)86
99.4%
71
0.6%
Q4 - 5:12DENNene REBOUND (Off:2 Def:6)85
99.2%
71
0.8%
Q4 - 5:13DENMISS Smith 2' Driving Dunk85
99.0%
71
1.0%
Q4 - 5:30SASTolliver 25' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Ahearn 1 AST)85
99.3%
71
0.7%
Q4 - 5:43SASMason Jr. REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)85
99.6%
68
0.4%
Q4 - 5:45DENMISS Anthony 24' 3PT Jump Shot85
99.7%
68
0.3%
Q4 - 6:03SASMason Jr. 1' Layup (8 PTS)85
99.5%
68
0.5%
Q4 - 6:16SASTolliver REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)85
99.6%
66
0.4%
Q4 - 6:17DENMISS Nene 1' Reverse Layup85
99.7%
66
0.3%
Q4 - 6:39SASSPURS Turnover: Shot Clock (T#14)85
99.7%
66
0.3%
Q4 - 7:07DENAnthony 25' 3PT Jump Shot (21 PTS) (Smith 4 AST)85
99.4%
66
0.6%
Q4 - 7:33SASHill 5' Running Bank Shot (12 PTS)82
99.0%
66
1.0%
Q4 - 7:53DENBillups Free Throw 2 of 2 (22 PTS)82
99.3%
64
0.7%
Q4 - 7:53DENBillups Free Throw 1 of 2 (21 PTS)81
99.2%
64
0.8%
Q4 - 8:05DENBillups REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)80
98.6%
64
1.4%
Q4 - 8:07SASMISS Udoka 25' 3PT Jump Shot80
98.5%
64
1.5%
Q4 - 8:21SASBowen REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)80
98.2%
64
1.8%
Q4 - 8:22DENMISS Kleiza 24' 3PT Jump Shot80
98.4%
64
1.6%
Q4 - 8:35SASBonner 1' Layup (8 PTS) (Oberto 3 AST)80
98.6%
64
1.4%
Q4 - 8:56DENBillups 3PT Jump Shot (20 PTS) (Carter 2 AST)80
99.0%
62
1.0%
Q4 - 9:12DENNene REBOUND (Off:1 Def:6)77
97.6%
62
2.4%
Q4 - 9:13SASMISS Oberto Free Throw 1 of 177
97.6%
62
2.4%
Q4 - 9:30DENKleiza Traveling Turnover (P2.T15)77
98.2%
60
1.8%
Q4 - 9:34SASUdoka Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T13)77
98.5%
60
1.5%
Q4 - 9:38DENUdoka STEAL (1 STL)77
98.2%
60
1.8%
Q4 - 10:00SASOberto REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)77
99.1%
58
0.9%
Q4 - 10:01SASMISS Bowen 18' Jump Shot77
98.7%
58
1.3%
Q4 - 10:20DENBowen BLOCK (1 BLK)77
98.6%
58
1.4%
Q4 - 10:26DENNuggets Rebound77
98.8%
58
1.2%
Q4 - 10:26DENBonner BLOCK (1 BLK)77
98.6%
58
1.4%
Q4 - 10:47SASBowen Dunk (3 PTS)77
98.8%
58
1.2%
Q4 - 10:51DENBowen STEAL (2 STL)77
99.1%
56
0.9%
Q4 - 10:59SASUdoka Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T12)77
99.2%
56
0.8%
Q4 - 11:16DENCarter 18' Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Smith 3 AST)77
98.8%
56
1.2%
Q4 - 11:39SASVaughn 20' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Oberto 2 AST)75
98.5%
56
1.5%
Q3 - 0:00.0SAS75
98.8%
54
1.2%
Q3 - 0:00.0SASSPURS Rebound75
98.8%
54
1.2%
Q3 - 0:00.0SASMISS Bowen 40' 3PT Jump Shot75
98.9%
54
1.1%
Q3 - 0:02.0DENMartin 2' Dunk (16 PTS) (Billups 5 AST)75
98.4%
54
1.6%
Q3 - 0:06.0SASBowen Free Throw 3 of 3 (1 PTS)73
98.1%
54
1.9%
Q3 - 0:06.0SASMISS Bowen Free Throw 2 of 373
98.2%
53
1.8%
Q3 - 0:06.0SASMISS Bowen Free Throw 1 of 373
98.0%
53
2.0%
Q3 - 0:28.0SASSPURS Rebound73
98.1%
53
1.9%
Q3 - 0:29.0DENMISS Billups 25' 3PT Jump Shot73
98.2%
53
1.8%
Q3 - 0:45.0SASOberto Foul Turnover (P1.T11)73
98.4%
53
1.6%
Q3 - 1:07DENBillups 25' 3PT Jump Shot (17 PTS) (Smith 2 AST)73
97.8%
53
2.2%
Q3 - 1:15DENAnthony Free Throw Technical (18 PTS)70
96.7%
53
3.3%
Q3 - 1:25DENAnthony Free Throw Technical (17 PTS)69
96.1%
53
3.9%
Q3 - 1:31DENAnthony REBOUND (Off:0 Def:7)68
95.2%
53
4.8%
Q3 - 1:32SASMISS Duncan 11' Turnaround Bank Shot68
95.0%
53
5.0%
Q3 - 1:53DENBillups 20' Jump Shot (14 PTS)68
94.4%
53
5.6%
Q3 - 2:10DENAnthony REBOUND (Off:0 Def:6)66
92.2%
53
7.8%
Q3 - 2:12SASMISS Duncan Free Throw 2 of 266
92.0%
53
8.0%
Q3 - 2:12SASMISS Duncan Free Throw 1 of 266
91.2%
53
8.8%
Q3 - 2:29DENBillups Free Throw 2 of 2 (12 PTS)66
90.8%
53
9.2%
Q3 - 2:29DENBillups Free Throw 1 of 2 (11 PTS)65
90.7%
53
9.3%
Q3 - 2:34DENBillups REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)64
89.1%
53
10.9%
Q3 - 2:35SASMISS Bowen 24' 3PT Jump Shot64
88.6%
53
11.4%
Q3 - 2:55SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:4 Def:7)64
87.2%
53
12.8%
Q3 - 2:56DENMISS Anthony 12' Jump Shot64
87.8%
53
12.2%
Q3 - 3:24SASBonner 12' Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Finley 1 AST)64
88.3%
53
11.7%
Q3 - 3:35SASBonner REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)64
89.9%
51
10.1%
Q3 - 3:36DENMISS Nene 16' Jump Shot64
90.4%
51
9.6%
Q3 - 3:51SASFinley Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T10)64
91.5%
51
8.5%
Q3 - 4:03DENNene Free Throw 2 of 2 (14 PTS)64
89.1%
51
10.9%
Q3 - 4:03DENNene Free Throw 1 of 2 (13 PTS)63
88.6%
51
11.4%
Q3 - 4:14DENAnthony REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)62
87.6%
51
12.4%
Q3 - 4:16SASMISS Duncan 15' Turnaround Jump Shot62
86.9%
51
13.1%
Q3 - 4:41SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:4 Def:6)62
85.3%
51
14.7%
Q3 - 4:42DENMISS Anthony 19' Jump Shot62
86.0%
51
14.0%
Q3 - 5:00SASDuncan Free Throw 1 of 1 (12 PTS)62
87.7%
51
12.3%
Q3 - 5:15DENMartin 1' Alley Oop Layup (14 PTS) (Nene 1 AST)62
89.7%
48
10.3%
Q3 - 5:33SASBonner 4' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Duncan 6 AST)60
88.3%
48
11.7%
Q3 - 5:52DENAnthony 20' Jump Shot (16 PTS) (Billups 4 AST)60
89.8%
46
10.2%
Q3 - 6:22DENBillups REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)58
87.4%
46
12.6%
Q3 - 6:23SASMISS Finley 1' Layup58
86.8%
46
13.2%
Q3 - 6:29DENFinley STEAL (2 STL)58
85.4%
46
14.6%
Q3 - 6:44SASHill Out of Bounds Lost Ball Turnover (P2.T9)58
87.4%
46
12.6%
Q3 - 7:05DENAnthony Bad Pass Turnover (P4.T11)58
84.1%
46
15.9%
Q3 - 7:26SASHill Free Throw 2 of 2 (10 PTS)58
86.2%
46
13.8%
Q3 - 7:26SASHill Free Throw 1 of 2 (9 PTS)58
86.6%
45
13.4%
Q3 - 7:41DENAnthony Free Throw 2 of 2 (14 PTS)58
87.9%
44
12.1%
Q3 - 7:41DENAnthony Free Throw 1 of 2 (13 PTS)57
87.6%
44
12.4%
Q3 - 7:52DENNene REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)56
86.2%
44
13.8%
Q3 - 7:53SASMISS Duncan 4' Jump Shot56
85.7%
44
14.3%
Q3 - 8:12SASBonner REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)56
83.5%
44
16.5%
Q3 - 8:13DENMISS Martin 7' Jump Hook Shot56
84.1%
44
15.9%
Q3 - 8:35SASHill 15' Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Mason Jr. 1 AST)56
85.6%
44
14.4%
Q3 - 8:58DENMason Jr. STEAL (1 STL)56
87.2%
42
12.8%
Q3 - 9:02SASFinley Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T8)56
88.4%
42
11.6%
Q3 - 9:06SASBonner REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)56
86.7%
42
13.3%
Q3 - 9:07SASMISS Finley 26' 3PT Jump Shot56
87.9%
42
12.1%
Q3 - 9:26SASBonner REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)56
86.8%
42
13.2%
Q3 - 9:27DENMISS Jones 17' Jump Shot56
87.3%
42
12.7%
Q3 - 9:43DENBillups REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)56
88.4%
42
11.6%
Q3 - 9:45SASMISS Duncan 9' Jump Shot56
87.9%
42
12.1%
Q3 - 9:59DENAnthony 13' Jump Shot (12 PTS) (Martin 1 AST)56
86.8%
42
13.2%
Q3 - 10:14SASDuncan 10' Jump Shot (9 PTS) (Bonner 1 AST)54
84.1%
42
15.9%
Q3 - 10:32DENNene Free Throw 2 of 2 (12 PTS)54
86.0%
40
14.0%
Q3 - 10:32DENMISS Nene Free Throw 1 of 253
85.5%
40
14.5%
Q3 - 10:43DENJones REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)53
86.0%
40
14.0%
Q3 - 10:44SASMISS Finley 24' 3PT Jump Shot53
85.5%
40
14.5%
Q3 - 11:04DENBillups 25' 3PT Jump Shot (10 PTS) (Anthony 6 AST)53
83.3%
40
16.7%
Q3 - 11:21DENJones REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)50
79.3%
40
20.7%
Q3 - 11:22SASMISS Hill 24' 3PT Jump Shot50
78.6%
40
21.4%
Q3 - 11:41DENAnthony Traveling Turnover (P3.T9)50
76.8%
40
23.2%
Q2 - 0:00.0SAS50
79.4%
40
20.6%
Q2 - 0:00.0SASHill REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)50
76.8%
40
23.2%
Q2 - 0:00.0SASMISS Finley 20' Jump Shot50
78.6%
40
21.4%
Q2 - 0:08.0SASMason Jr. Free Throw Technical (6 PTS)50
76.5%
40
23.5%
Q2 - 0:25.0DENBillups Free Throw 2 of 2 (7 PTS)50
78.9%
39
21.1%
Q2 - 0:25.0DENBillups Free Throw 1 of 2 (6 PTS)49
78.6%
39
21.4%
Q2 - 0:36.0SASFinley 2' Layup (13 PTS) (Duncan 5 AST)48
76.0%
39
24.0%
Q2 - 0:41.0SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:4 Def:5)48
78.9%
37
21.1%
Q2 - 0:42.0DENMISS Martin Free Throw 1 of 148
79.1%
37
20.9%
Q2 - 0:46.0SASHill Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T7)46
76.0%
37
24.0%
Q2 - 0:58.0DENMartin 6' Jump Shot (10 PTS) (Anthony 4 AST)46
74.0%
37
26.0%
Q2 - 1:12DENMartin REBOUND (Off:1 Def:6)44
70.2%
37
29.8%
Q2 - 1:13SASMISS Mason Jr. 24' 3PT Jump Shot44
69.5%
37
30.5%
Q2 - 1:29SASFinley REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)44
68.1%
37
31.9%
Q2 - 1:30DENMISS Anthony 11' Jump Bank Shot44
68.8%
37
31.2%
Q2 - 1:55SASHill 2' Running Layup (6 PTS) (Udoka 1 AST)44
70.2%
37
29.8%
Q2 - 2:00SASThomas REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)44
73.6%
35
26.4%
Q2 - 2:02DENMISS Carter 3PT Jump Shot44
73.1%
35
26.9%
Q2 - 2:19SASFinley 16' Pullup Jump Shot (11 PTS) (Duncan 4 AST)44
74.9%
35
25.1%
Q2 - 2:26SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:4 Def:4)44
77.2%
33
22.8%
Q2 - 2:27DENMISS Anthony 17' Jump Shot44
77.9%
33
22.1%
Q2 - 2:52DENNene REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)44
79.5%
33
20.5%
Q2 - 2:53SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:4 Def:3)44
77.3%
33
22.7%
Q2 - 2:53SASMISS Duncan 2' Tip Shot44
78.8%
33
21.2%
Q2 - 2:54SASMISS Duncan 3' Reverse Layup44
78.8%
33
21.2%
Q2 - 3:14DENNene 16' Jump Shot (11 PTS) (Carter 1 AST)44
76.6%
33
23.4%
Q2 - 3:29DENMartin REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)42
74.6%
33
25.4%
Q2 - 3:31SASMISS Hill 2' Driving Layup42
73.8%
33
26.2%
Q2 - 3:36DENFinley STEAL (1 STL)42
71.8%
33
28.2%
Q2 - 3:52DENNene REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)42
74.6%
33
25.4%
Q2 - 3:53SASMISS Finley Free Throw 2 of 242
74.3%
33
25.7%
Q2 - 3:53SASFinley Free Throw 1 of 2 (9 PTS)42
72.5%
33
27.5%
Q2 - 4:00DENAnthony Free Throw 2 of 2 (10 PTS)42
74.3%
32
25.7%
Q2 - 4:00DENAnthony Free Throw 1 of 2 (9 PTS)41
73.8%
32
26.2%
Q2 - 4:10DENMartin REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)40
71.4%
32
28.6%
Q2 - 4:11SASMISS Duncan Free Throw 2 of 240
71.0%
32
29.0%
Q2 - 4:11SASDuncan Free Throw 1 of 2 (7 PTS)40
69.6%
32
30.4%
Q2 - 4:23DENAnthony Free Throw 2 of 2 (8 PTS)40
71.3%
31
28.7%
Q2 - 4:23DENAnthony Free Throw 1 of 2 (7 PTS)39
70.8%
31
29.2%
Q2 - 4:39SASDuncan Free Throw 2 of 2 (6 PTS)38
68.9%
31
31.1%
Q2 - 4:39SASDuncan Free Throw 1 of 2 (5 PTS)38
69.6%
30
30.4%
Q2 - 4:58DENNene Dunk (9 PTS)38
71.3%
29
28.7%
Q2 - 5:00DENNene REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)36
68.9%
29
31.1%
Q2 - 5:02DENMISS Anthony Free Throw 2 of 236
66.1%
29
33.9%
Q2 - 5:02DENMISS Anthony Free Throw 1 of 236
67.9%
29
32.1%
Q2 - 5:15SASBonner 5' Jump Hook Shot (2 PTS) (Duncan 3 AST)36
68.3%
29
31.7%
Q2 - 5:31SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:3 Def:3)36
70.9%
27
29.1%
Q2 - 5:33DENMISS Smith 24' 3PT Jump Shot36
71.6%
27
28.4%
Q2 - 5:39SASDuncan Lost Ball Turnover (P2.T6)36
73.2%
27
26.8%
Q2 - 5:57DENMartin 2' Driving Layup (8 PTS)36
70.9%
27
29.1%
Q2 - 6:14SASHill Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)34
67.9%
27
32.1%
Q2 - 6:14SASHill Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)34
68.4%
26
31.6%
Q2 - 6:26SASSPURS Rebound34
70.0%
25
30.0%
Q2 - 6:26SASMISS Bonner 10' Turnaround Jump Shot34
71.9%
25
28.1%
Q2 - 6:28SASBonner REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)34
70.0%
25
30.0%
Q2 - 6:30SASMISS Duncan 7' Jump Bank Shot34
71.9%
25
28.1%
Q2 - 6:44DENAnthony Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T7)34
70.0%
25
30.0%
Q2 - 6:45DENAnthony REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)34
72.8%
25
27.2%
Q2 - 6:46SASMISS Vaughn 2' Layup34
71.9%
25
28.1%
Q2 - 6:52SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:3 Def:2)34
70.0%
25
30.0%
Q2 - 6:54SASMISS Bonner 24' 3PT Jump Shot34
71.9%
25
28.1%
Q2 - 7:06DENAnthony Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T6)34
69.7%
25
30.3%
Q2 - 7:09DENAnthony REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)34
72.1%
25
27.9%
Q2 - 7:11SASMISS Vaughn 18' Jump Shot34
71.4%
25
28.6%
Q2 - 7:15SASUdoka REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)34
69.7%
25
30.3%
Q2 - 7:17SASMISS Bonner 25' 3PT Jump Shot34
71.4%
25
28.6%
Q2 - 7:41DENSmith Free Throw 2 of 2 (5 PTS)34
69.7%
25
30.3%
Q2 - 7:41DENMISS Smith Free Throw 1 of 233
69.2%
25
30.8%
Q2 - 7:41DENNuggets Rebound33
69.8%
25
30.2%
Q2 - 7:41DENMISS Martin 17' Jump Shot33
68.1%
25
31.9%
Q2 - 7:54DENSmith REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)33
69.8%
25
30.2%
Q2 - 7:56SASMISS Vaughn 14' Pullup Jump Shot33
69.1%
25
30.9%
Q2 - 8:09DENMartin 16' Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Anthony 3 AST)33
66.6%
25
33.4%
Q2 - 8:16DENNuggets Rebound31
64.1%
25
35.9%
Q2 - 8:16DENMason Jr. BLOCK (1 BLK)31
62.4%
25
37.6%
Q2 - 8:21DENCarter REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)31
64.1%
25
35.9%
Q2 - 8:23SASMISS Mason Jr. 19' Jump Shot31
63.4%
25
36.6%
Q2 - 8:36SASBonner REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)31
61.6%
25
38.4%
Q2 - 8:38DENMISS Martin 7' Turnaround Hook Shot31
62.4%
25
37.6%
Q2 - 8:46DENBalkman REBOUND (Off:3 Def:1)31
64.1%
25
35.9%
Q2 - 8:47DENMISS Carter 17' Jump Shot31
62.4%
25
37.6%
Q2 - 8:53DENSmith REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)31
64.2%
25
35.8%
Q2 - 8:55SASMISS Mason Jr. 21' Jump Shot31
63.4%
25
36.6%
Q2 - 9:08DENCarter Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T5)31
61.0%
25
39.0%
Q2 - 9:20SASUdoka 9' Pullup Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Vaughn 1 AST)31
63.6%
25
36.4%
Q2 - 9:42DENMartin 2' Layup (4 PTS)31
66.0%
23
34.0%
Q2 - 9:43DENMartin REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)29
63.6%
23
36.4%
Q2 - 9:44DENThomas BLOCK (1 BLK)29
61.8%
23
38.2%
Q2 - 10:01SASThomas Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T5)29
63.2%
23
36.8%
Q2 - 10:23DENBalkman 1' Layup (2 PTS)29
60.6%
23
39.4%
Q2 - 10:24DENBalkman REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)27
58.2%
23
41.8%
Q2 - 10:26DENMISS Balkman 2' Reverse Layup27
56.3%
23
43.7%
Q2 - 10:35DENMartin REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)27
58.2%
23
41.8%
Q2 - 10:37SASMISS Udoka 24' 3PT Jump Shot27
57.4%
23
42.6%
Q2 - 10:51DENVaughn STEAL (1 STL)27
55.5%
23
44.5%
Q2 - 11:05SASMason Jr. 16' Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Thomas 1 AST)27
57.8%
23
42.2%
Q2 - 11:20DENCarter Free Throw 1 of 1 (3 PTS)27
60.2%
21
39.8%
Q2 - 11:29SASMason Jr. Step Out of Bounds Turnover (P3.T4)24
55.3%
21
44.7%
Q2 - 11:45DENSmith 1' Driving Layup (4 PTS)24
52.7%
21
47.3%
Q1 - 0:00.0DEN22
50.2%
21
49.8%
Q1 - 0:00.0DENNuggets Rebound22
50.2%
21
49.8%
Q1 - 0:00.0DENMISS Carter 26' 3PT Jump Shot22
48.4%
21
51.6%
Q1 - 0:02.0DENBalkman REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)22
49.4%
21
50.6%
Q1 - 0:03.0SASMISS Vaughn 3' Layup22
48.9%
21
51.1%
Q1 - 0:25.0DENBowen STEAL (1 STL)22
47.6%
21
52.4%
Q1 - 0:27.0DENBalkman REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)22
49.5%
21
50.5%
Q1 - 0:29.0DENMISS Smith 20' Jump Shot22
48.2%
21
51.8%
Q1 - 0:42.0SASUdoka Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)22
49.5%
21
50.5%
Q1 - 0:42.0SASUdoka Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)22
50.1%
20
49.9%
Q1 - 0:59.0SASThomas REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)22
52.5%
19
47.5%
Q1 - 1:01SASMISS Udoka 16' Jump Shot22
53.5%
19
46.5%
Q1 - 1:14DENKleiza Foul Turnover (P1.T2)22
52.4%
19
47.6%
Q1 - 1:20DENKleiza REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)22
54.0%
19
46.0%
Q1 - 1:22SASMISS Vaughn 3' Layup22
53.5%
19
46.5%
Q1 - 1:27SASUdoka REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)22
52.4%
19
47.6%
Q1 - 1:29DENMISS Billups 2' Running Layup22
52.9%
19
47.1%
Q1 - 1:51SASDuncan Out of Bounds Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T3)22
54.0%
19
46.0%
Q1 - 2:03DENNene 11' Jump Shot (7 PTS) (Smith 1 AST)22
52.1%
19
47.9%
Q1 - 2:21SASFinley 17' Pullup Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Duncan 2 AST)20
49.4%
19
50.6%
Q1 - 2:44DENBillups 7' Fadeaway Bank Shot (5 PTS)20
52.1%
17
47.9%
Q1 - 3:02SASVaughn 16' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Duncan 1 AST)18
49.6%
17
50.4%
Q1 - 3:12SASVaughn REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)18
51.9%
15
48.1%
Q1 - 3:14DENMISS Kleiza 3' Layup18
52.6%
15
47.4%
Q1 - 3:29DENBillups REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)18
54.2%
15
45.8%
Q1 - 3:31SASMISS Duncan 13' Jump Shot18
53.5%
15
46.5%
Q1 - 3:33SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)18
51.9%
15
48.1%
Q1 - 3:35SASMISS Bowen 20' Jump Shot18
53.5%
15
46.5%
Q1 - 3:59DENSmith 1' Driving Layup (2 PTS)18
51.9%
15
48.1%
Q1 - 4:09DENBillups Free Throw Technical (3 PTS)16
49.3%
15
50.7%
Q1 - 4:28SASDuncan 5' Jump Shot (4 PTS)15
47.1%
15
52.9%
Q1 - 4:45SASOberto REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)15
49.2%
13
50.8%
Q1 - 4:47DENMISS Nene Free Throw 2 of 215
49.6%
13
50.4%
Q1 - 4:47DENNene Free Throw 1 of 2 (5 PTS)15
50.9%
13
49.1%
Q1 - 5:03SASFinley Free Throw 2 of 2 (6 PTS)14
49.2%
13
50.8%
Q1 - 5:03SASFinley Free Throw 1 of 2 (5 PTS)14
49.5%
12
50.5%
Q1 - 5:12SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)14
51.0%
11
49.0%
Q1 - 5:15SASMISS Mason Jr. 13' Fadeaway Jumper14
52.7%
11
47.3%
Q1 - 5:28SASSPURS Rebound14
51.1%
11
48.9%
Q1 - 5:31DENMISS Anthony 15' Jump Shot14
51.8%
11
48.2%
Q1 - 5:44SASMason Jr. Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T2)14
53.5%
11
46.5%
Q1 - 6:06DENAnthony 24' 3PT Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Billups 3 AST)14
51.0%
11
49.0%
Q1 - 6:14DENMartin REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)11
46.8%
11
53.2%
Q1 - 6:15SASMISS Duncan 20' Jump Shot11
46.1%
11
53.9%
Q1 - 6:32SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)11
44.6%
11
55.4%
Q1 - 6:34DENMISS Billups 24' 3PT Jump Shot11
45.3%
11
54.7%
Q1 - 6:49SASHill 2' Driving Layup (2 PTS)11
46.8%
11
53.2%
Q1 - 7:08SASFinley REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)11
48.6%
9
51.4%
Q1 - 7:09DENDuncan BLOCK (1 BLK)11
49.4%
9
50.6%
Q1 - 7:16DENNene REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)11
51.0%
9
49.0%
Q1 - 7:18SASMISS Hill 3PT Jump Shot11
50.3%
9
49.7%
Q1 - 7:37DENNene 11' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Anthony 2 AST)11
48.7%
9
51.3%
Q1 - 7:49SASFinley 16' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Hill 1 AST)9
46.8%
9
53.2%
Q1 - 8:02DENAnthony 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Billups 2 AST)9
48.7%
7
51.3%
Q1 - 8:11DENNene REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)6
44.5%
7
55.5%
Q1 - 8:12SASMISS Mason Jr. 16' Jump Shot6
43.9%
7
56.1%
Q1 - 8:38DENBillups Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)6
42.4%
7
57.6%
Q1 - 8:38DENBillups Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)5
42.2%
7
57.8%
Q1 - 8:50DENAnthony REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)4
40.4%
7
59.6%
Q1 - 8:51SASMISS Finley 15' Jump Shot4
39.8%
7
60.2%
Q1 - 9:06SASHill REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)4
39.1%
7
60.9%
Q1 - 9:08DENMISS Martin 14' Jump Shot4
39.7%
7
60.3%
Q1 - 9:22SASMason Jr. 25' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS)4
40.8%
7
59.2%
Q1 - 9:28SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)4
44.9%
4
55.1%
Q1 - 9:29DENMISS Jones 5' Running Jump Shot4
45.5%
4
54.5%
Q1 - 9:48SASFinley 13' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Oberto 1 AST)4
46.7%
4
53.3%
Q1 - 9:59DENHill STEAL (1 STL)4
48.9%
2
51.1%
Q1 - 10:03DENMartin REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)4
50.4%
2
49.6%
Q1 - 10:04SASMISS Hill 16' Jump Shot4
49.8%
2
50.2%
Q1 - 10:29DENNene 9' Turnaround Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Billups 1 AST)4
48.4%
2
51.6%
Q1 - 10:43SASDuncan 10' Jump Bank Shot (2 PTS)2
46.7%
2
53.3%
Q1 - 10:59SASMason Jr. REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)2
48.5%
0
51.5%
Q1 - 11:00DENMISS Anthony 16' Jump Shot2
49.1%
0
50.9%
Q1 - 11:17SASMason Jr. Step Out of Bounds Turnover (P1.T1)2
49.7%
0
50.3%
Q1 - 11:33DENMartin 2' Dunk (2 PTS) (Anthony 1 AST)2
48.0%
0
52.0%
Q1 - 11:39DENAnthony REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)0
46.4%
0
53.6%
Q1 - 11:40SASMISS Finley 3PT Jump Shot0
45.8%
0
54.2%
Q1 - 12:00SASJump Ball Duncan vs. Nene: Tip to Oberto0
44.6%
0
55.4%

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

DEN
1.14 56.9%
SAS
0.90 45.0%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)
DEN
13
23
57%
SAS
14
24
58%
Midrange
DEN
11
29
38%
SAS
13
34
38%
3PT | Effective 3PT
DEN
6
9.0
13
46%
69%
SAS
2
3.0
17
12%
18%
Free Throws
DEN
25
31
81%
SAS
21
28
75%
Makes
Effective 3P Makes
%
Efficiency
Misses
Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|
DEN logo Nuggets
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
C. Billups2292%11.0 / 12
C. Anthony2155%10.5 / 19
K. Martin1864%9.0 / 14
Nene1673%8.0 / 11
J. Smith536%2.5 / 7
A. Carter542%2.5 / 6
R. Balkman250%1.0 / 2
C. Atkins2100%1.0 / 1
D. Jones0-0.0 / 2
L. Kleiza0-0.0 / 3
C. Samb0-0.0 / 1
TS Makes
TS Misses

Total Points

|
SAS logo Spurs
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
G. Hill2067%10.0 / 15
M. Finley1350%6.5 / 13
T. Duncan1238%6.0 / 16
R. Mason Jr.850%4.0 / 8
M. Bonner844%4.0 / 9
J. Vaughn638%3.0 / 8
I. Udoka433%2.0 / 6
B. Bowen325%1.5 / 6
A. Tolliver350%1.5 / 3
F. Oberto2100%1.0 / 1
B. Ahearn250%1.0 / 2
TS Makes
TS Misses

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

DEN
69
+10
-20
79
SAS
74
+15
-15
89
Base
ORB
TOV

Scoring Efficiency

DEN
1.14 56.9%
SAS
0.90 45.0%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Efficiency & PaceThis Game
Efficiency
110.2
108.3
DEN 102.2
SAS 91.0 +11.2
Pace
94.5
88.7
DEN 94.2 +9.8
SAS 84.4
Avg. Poss. Time
14.7
16.5
DEN 15.3 +1.8
SAS 17.1
Four FactorsThis Game
EFG %
51.2%
51.3%
DEN 50.8% +10.8%
SAS 40.0%
TO %
15.8%
12.4%
DEN 20.3%
SAS 15.5% +4.8%
ORB %
27.5%
22.2%
DEN 20.0%
SAS 25.5% +5.5%
FTrt
38.2
25.1
DEN 47.7 +10.4
SAS 37.3
Misc. StatsThis Game
AST %
59.5%
57.1%
DEN 70.0% +1.0%
SAS 69.0%
STL %
9.1%
6.5%
DEN 10.1%
SAS 12.4% +2.3%
BLK %
9.7%
6.1%
DEN 5.2%
SAS 9.6% +4.4%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.55 and 2.55.

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Shooting EfficiencyThis Game
TS%
54.8%
53.4%
DEN 56.9% +11.9%
SAS 45.0%
Rim FG%
60.5%
58.8%
DEN 56.5%
SAS 58.3% +1.8%
Mid FG%
38.7%
42.7%
DEN 37.9%
SAS 38.2% +0.3%
3P %
37.1%
38.6%
DEN 46.2% +34.4%
SAS 11.8%
FT %
76.0%
76.2%
DEN 80.6% +5.6%
SAS 75.0%
Shot DistributionThis Game
Rim Att. %
39.7%
30.3%
DEN 35.4% +3.4%
SAS 32.0%
Mid Att. %
37.6%
44.9%
DEN 44.6% +0.7%
SAS 45.3%
3P Att. %
22.7%
24.8%
DEN 20.0%
SAS 22.7% +2.7%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.
Game TotalsDENSAS
Possessions8989
Possession Minutes22.725.3
Points9181
Rebounds4136
Assists2120
Steals911
Blocks35
Turnovers (Team)20 (0)15 (1)
Fouls
Off. Rebounds (Team)6 (4)12 (3)
Def. Rebounds (Team)35 (0)24 (3)
Field Goals30-6529-75
At-the-Rim FG13-2314-24
Midrange FG11-2913-34
2-Point FG24-5227-58
3-Point FG6-132-17
Free Throws25-3121-28
Fast Break Pts
2nd Chance Pts
Points in Paint
Pts off Turnovers
Bench Points
Biggest Lead

BOXSCORE

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PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
G · 6'3" 210 · 32
39.8
22
92%
5
6
1
1
6
1
0
5
9-9
100%
2-3
67%
3-5
60%
F · 6'8" 240 · 24
35.5
21
55%
9
7
1
0
5
4
0
9
8-10
80%
2-11
18%
3-4
75%
F · 6'9" 225 · 31
34.5
18
64%
7
1
2
0
0
3
1
6
0-1
0%
9-14
64%
0-0
-
C · 6'11" 250 · 26
32.6
16
73%
9
1
1
2
1
5
2
7
6-8
75%
5-7
71%
0-0
-
G · 6'6" 225 · 28
17.9
0
0%
3
0
1
0
1
1
0
3
0-0
-
0-2
0%
0-0
-
G-F · 6'6" 225 · 23
25.4
5
36%
2
4
1
0
0
3
0
2
1-2
50%
2-5
40%
0-1
0%
G · 6'1" 190 · 33
24.1
5
42%
1
2
0
0
3
1
0
1
1-1
100%
2-4
50%
0-2
0%
F · 6'8" 234 · 24
17.8
0
0%
1
0
1
0
2
2
0
1
0-0
-
0-2
0%
0-1
0%
F · 6'8" 225 · 24
8.6
2
50%
4
0
1
0
1
1
3
1
0-0
-
1-2
50%
0-0
-
G · 5'11" 185 · 34
2.5
2
100%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
1-1
100%
0-0
-
C · 7'1" 245 · 24
1.4
0
0%
0
0
0
0
1
1
0
0
0-0
-
0-1
0%
0-0
-
G-F · 6'6" 205 · 22
#11 · F-C · 6'10" 245 · 30
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
#45 · C · 7'0" 240 · 27
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
TOTAL
240
91
57%
41
21
9
3
20
0
6
35
25-31
81%
24-52
46%
6-13
46%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.