Dunks & Threes: Pro Basketball Analysis

All Games Wednesday, November 19, 2008

Final			Win Prob.	pScore
	28	Kings	12%	87	105
	4	Hornets	88%	102	96

	ORTG	#Poss	Pace
SAC	122.1	86	83.6
NOH	111.6	86	88.5

Scoring Opportunities

SAC

+15

-15

NOH

+14

-14

Base

ORB

TOV

Scoring Efficiency

SAC

1.19 59.7%

NOH

1.12 55.8%

Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

			Score / WinProb
Clock	Team	Event	SAC	NOH
Q4 - 0:00.0	SAC		105 100%	96 0%
Q4 - 0:25.0	SAC	Udrih Free Throw 1 of 1 (14 PTS)	105 99.9%	96 0.1%
Q4 - 0:26.0	NOH	Paul Layup (20 PTS)	104 99.9%	96 0.1%
Q4 - 0:31.0	SAC	Udrih Free Throw 2 of 2 (13 PTS)	104 99.9%	94 0.1%
Q4 - 0:31.0	SAC	Udrih Free Throw 1 of 2 (12 PTS)	103 99.9%	94 0.1%
Q4 - 0:33.0	NOH	Paul Foul Turnover (P4.T14)	102 99.9%	94 0.1%
Q4 - 0:39.0	SAC	Udrih Free Throw 2 of 2 (11 PTS)	102 99.4%	94 0.6%
Q4 - 0:39.0	SAC	MISS Udrih Free Throw 1 of 2	101 99.3%	94 0.7%
Q4 - 0:40.0	SAC	Kings Rebound	101 99.4%	94 0.6%
Q4 - 0:40.0	NOH	MISS Stojakovic 26' 3PT Jump Shot	101 99.2%	94 0.8%
Q4 - 0:44.0	NOH	Posey REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)	101 98.4%	94 1.6%
Q4 - 0:46.0	NOH	MISS West 25' 3PT Jump Shot	101 99.0%	94 1.0%
Q4 - 1:01	SAC	Miller 22' Jump Shot (14 PTS) (Jackson 5 AST)	101 97.2%	94 2.8%
Q4 - 1:22	SAC	Miller REBOUND (Off:1 Def:7)	99 93.1%	94 6.9%
Q4 - 1:24	NOH	MISS West 8' Jump Shot	99 91.6%	94 8.4%
Q4 - 1:39	NOH	West REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)	99 84.7%	94 15.3%
Q4 - 1:40	SAC	MISS Miller 17' Jump Shot	99 86.6%	94 13.4%
Q4 - 2:00	NOH	Chandler Layup (12 PTS) (Paul 15 AST)	99 89.6%	94 10.4%
Q4 - 2:02	NOH	Stojakovic REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)	99 93.1%	92 6.9%
Q4 - 2:04	NOH	MISS Chandler Layup	99 95.4%	92 4.6%
Q4 - 2:06	NOH	Chandler REBOUND (Off:6 Def:4)	99 93.2%	92 6.8%
Q4 - 2:07	NOH	MISS Paul 16' Jump Shot	99 95.5%	92 4.5%
Q4 - 2:24	NOH	Chandler REBOUND (Off:5 Def:4)	99 93.3%	92 6.7%
Q4 - 2:26	SAC	MISS Salmons 19' Jump Shot	99 94.5%	92 5.5%
Q4 - 2:51	NOH	Chandler Free Throw 2 of 2 (10 PTS)	99 93.9%	92 6.1%
Q4 - 2:51	NOH	MISS Chandler Free Throw 1 of 2	99 94.7%	91 5.3%
Q4 - 3:07	SAC	Jackson 3PT Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Miller 2 AST)	99 93.8%	91 6.2%
Q4 - 3:28	NOH	Paul Free Throw 1 of 1 (18 PTS)	96 87.7%	91 12.3%
Q4 - 3:35	SAC	Udrih Free Throw 2 of 2 (10 PTS)	96 88.7%	88 11.3%
Q4 - 3:35	SAC	Udrih Free Throw 1 of 2 (9 PTS)	95 88.2%	88 11.8%
Q4 - 3:50	SAC	Miller REBOUND (Off:1 Def:6)	94 85.4%	88 14.6%
Q4 - 3:50	NOH	MISS Brown 25' 3PT Jump Shot	94 83.7%	88 16.3%
Q4 - 4:08	SAC	Salmons Layup (29 PTS) (Jackson 4 AST)	94 79.9%	88 20.1%
Q4 - 4:13	NOH	West Lost Ball Turnover (P4.T13)	92 73.6%	88 26.4%
Q4 - 4:33	SAC	Jackson 21' Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Salmons 6 AST)	92 65.0%	88 35.0%
Q4 - 4:51	SAC	Miller REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)	90 56.5%	88 43.5%
Q4 - 4:52	NOH	MISS Posey Layup	90 53.3%	88 46.7%
Q4 - 5:07	SAC	Jackson 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Salmons 5 AST)	90 42.9%	88 57.1%
Q4 - 5:24	NOH	West 18' Jump Shot (22 PTS) (Paul 14 AST)	87 27.9%	88 72.1%
Q4 - 5:47	SAC	Miller 20' Jump Shot (12 PTS)	87 35.0%	86 65.0%
Q4 - 6:11	NOH	West Layup (20 PTS)	85 26.4%	86 73.6%
Q4 - 6:25	SAC	Salmons Free Throw 1 of 1 (27 PTS)	85 32.5%	84 67.5%
Q4 - 6:29	NOH	Wright Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T12)	82 21.0%	84 79.0%
Q4 - 6:41	NOH	Wright REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)	82 16.2%	84 83.8%
Q4 - 6:43	SAC	MISS Udrih 24' 3PT Jump Shot	82 17.6%	84 82.4%
Q4 - 6:53	SAC	Jackson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)	82 21.0%	84 79.0%
Q4 - 6:55	NOH	MISS Posey 16' Jump Shot	82 19.5%	84 80.5%
Q4 - 7:21	SAC	Salmons Layup (24 PTS)	82 15.7%	84 84.3%
Q4 - 7:26	NOH	Chandler Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T11)	80 12.6%	84 87.4%
Q4 - 7:43	SAC	Butler STEAL (2 STL)	80 9.6%	84 90.4%
Q4 - 7:43	SAC	Salmons Free Throw Technical (22 PTS)	80 12.6%	84 87.4%
Q4 - 7:53	SAC	Hawes REBOUND (Off:3 Def:3)	79 9.8%	84 90.2%
Q4 - 7:57	SAC	MISS Hawes Free Throw 1 of 1	79 7.7%	84 92.3%
Q4 - 8:01	SAC	Salmons REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)	77 6.2%	84 93.8%
Q4 - 8:02	NOH	MISS Posey 26' 3PT Jump Shot	77 5.8%	84 94.2%
Q4 - 8:07	NOH	Armstrong REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)	77 5.0%	84 95.0%
Q4 - 8:09	NOH	MISS Wright 19' Jump Shot	77 5.8%	84 94.2%
Q4 - 8:15	NOH	Armstrong REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)	77 4.9%	84 95.1%
Q4 - 8:17	SAC	Armstrong BLOCK (1 BLK)	77 5.3%	84 94.7%
Q4 - 8:39	NOH	Wright 21' Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Armstrong 1 AST)	77 6.2%	84 93.8%
Q4 - 8:57	SAC	Thompson Foul Turnover (P2.T15)	77 8.0%	82 92.0%
Q4 - 8:57	SAC	Thompson REBOUND (Off:5 Def:1)	77 10.0%	82 90.0%
Q4 - 8:57	SAC	MISS Thompson Layup	77 8.5%	82 91.5%
Q4 - 8:57	SAC	Thompson REBOUND (Off:4 Def:1)	77 10.0%	82 90.0%
Q4 - 8:59	SAC	MISS Hawes Layup	77 8.5%	82 91.5%
Q4 - 9:03	SAC	Hawes REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)	77 10.6%	82 89.4%
Q4 - 9:06	SAC	MISS B. Brown 26' 3PT Jump Shot	77 9.2%	82 90.8%
Q4 - 9:37	NOH	Posey Driving Layup (6 PTS)	77 10.5%	82 89.5%
Q4 - 9:57	SAC	Kings Turnover: Shot Clock (T#14)	77 13.2%	80 86.8%
Q4 - 9:57	SAC	Kings Rebound	77 16.0%	80 84.0%
Q4 - 9:57	SAC	MISS Jackson 25' 3PT Jump Shot	77 14.0%	80 86.0%
Q4 - 10:22	NOH	Brown Free Throw 2 of 2 (13 PTS)	77 15.9%	80 84.1%
Q4 - 10:22	NOH	Brown Free Throw 1 of 2 (12 PTS)	77 16.5%	79 83.5%
Q4 - 10:41	NOH	Butler REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)	77 19.3%	78 80.7%
Q4 - 10:42	SAC	MISS Hawes 25' 3PT Jump Shot	77 20.4%	78 79.6%
Q4 - 10:58	SAC	Hawes REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)	77 23.0%	78 77.0%
Q4 - 11:00	NOH	MISS Wright Layup	77 21.8%	78 78.2%
Q4 - 11:11	NOH	Armstrong REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)	77 19.1%	78 80.9%
Q4 - 11:12	SAC	MISS Greene 13' Jump Shot	77 20.0%	78 80.0%
Q4 - 11:34	NOH	Butler REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)	77 22.4%	78 77.6%
Q4 - 11:34	NOH	Butler Tip Shot (10 PTS)	77 22.4%	78 77.6%
Q4 - 11:35	NOH	MISS Posey 25' 3PT Jump Shot	77 29.4%	76 70.6%
Q3 - 0:00.0	NOH		77 26.6%	76 73.4%
Q3 - 0:01.0	SAC	Armstrong STEAL (2 STL)	77 26.1%	76 73.9%
Q3 - 0:23.0	SAC	Hawes REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)	77 29.8%	76 70.2%
Q3 - 0:23.0	SAC	MISS Thompson 16' Jump Shot	77 27.2%	76 72.8%
Q3 - 0:29.0	SAC	Greene REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)	77 29.8%	76 70.2%
Q3 - 0:31.0	NOH	MISS Armstrong Dunk	77 28.7%	76 71.3%
Q3 - 0:49.0	NOH	HORNETS Rebound	77 26.2%	76 73.8%
Q3 - 0:50.0	SAC	MISS Jackson 25' 3PT Jump Shot	77 27.3%	76 72.7%
Q3 - 1:13	NOH	Brown Step Out of Bounds Turnover (P2.T10)	77 29.0%	76 71.0%
Q3 - 1:25	SAC	Thompson 8' Running Jump Shot (10 PTS)	77 25.5%	76 74.5%
Q3 - 1:44	SAC	Thompson REBOUND (Off:3 Def:1)	75 21.6%	76 78.4%
Q3 - 1:46	NOH	MISS Paul 9' Jump Shot	75 20.7%	76 79.3%
Q3 - 1:59	NOH	Paul REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)	75 18.8%	76 81.2%
Q3 - 2:00	SAC	MISS Hawes 6' Jump Shot	75 19.6%	76 80.4%
Q3 - 2:19	NOH	West Free Throw 2 of 2 (18 PTS)	75 21.0%	76 79.0%
Q3 - 2:19	NOH	West Free Throw 1 of 2 (17 PTS)	75 21.4%	75 78.6%
Q3 - 2:22	NOH	Chandler REBOUND (Off:5 Def:3)	75 24.3%	74 75.7%
Q3 - 2:23	NOH	MISS Stojakovic 22' Jump Shot	75 26.8%	74 73.2%
Q3 - 2:34	SAC	Greene 10' Running Jump Shot (15 PTS)	75 24.4%	74 75.6%
Q3 - 3:01	NOH	Chandler Alley Oop Dunk (9 PTS) (Paul 13 AST)	73 20.0%	74 80.0%
Q3 - 3:14	SAC	Thompson Layup (8 PTS) (Salmons 3 AST)	73 22.9%	72 77.1%
Q3 - 3:31	NOH	Brown 25' 3PT Jump Shot (11 PTS) (Paul 12 AST)	71 20.1%	72 79.9%
Q3 - 3:59	SAC	Udrih 15' Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Hawes 2 AST)	71 26.4%	69 73.6%
Q3 - 4:17	NOH	Stojakovic 25' 3PT Jump Shot (7 PTS) (Paul 11 AST)	69 22.9%	69 77.1%
Q3 - 4:21	NOH	Paul REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)	69 29.1%	66 70.9%
Q3 - 4:23	SAC	Chandler BLOCK (1 BLK)	69 30.4%	66 69.6%
Q3 - 4:30	NOH	West Dunk (16 PTS) (Stojakovic 1 AST)	69 33.4%	66 66.6%
Q3 - 4:32	SAC	West STEAL (1 STL)	69 36.7%	64 63.3%
Q3 - 4:48	NOH	Jump Ball Paul vs. Miller: Tip to Salmons	69 41.6%	64 58.4%
Q3 - 4:54	NOH	Chandler REBOUND (Off:4 Def:3)	69 36.8%	64 63.2%
Q3 - 4:56	SAC	MISS Salmons 25' 3PT Jump Shot	69 38.2%	64 61.8%
Q3 - 5:22	NOH	Butler Dunk (8 PTS) (Paul 10 AST)	69 39.5%	64 60.5%
Q3 - 5:27	SAC	Paul STEAL (4 STL)	69 43.1%	62 56.9%
Q3 - 5:52	NOH	West 12' Fadeaway Jumper (14 PTS) (Paul 9 AST)	69 47.9%	62 52.1%
Q3 - 6:16	SAC	Salmons 9' Jump Shot (21 PTS) (Udrih 7 AST)	69 49.1%	60 50.9%
Q3 - 6:29	NOH	Butler 16' Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Paul 8 AST)	67 45.5%	60 54.5%
Q3 - 6:41	SAC	Miller 17' Jump Shot (10 PTS) (Udrih 6 AST)	67 49.2%	58 50.8%
Q3 - 6:46	SAC	Kings Rebound	65 45.5%	58 54.5%
Q3 - 6:47	SAC	MISS Thompson 12' Jump Shot	65 42.5%	58 57.5%
Q3 - 7:03	SAC	Miller REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)	65 43.0%	58 57.0%
Q3 - 7:04	NOH	MISS Paul 26' 3PT Jump Shot	65 41.8%	58 58.2%
Q3 - 7:25	SAC	Thompson 20' Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Udrih 5 AST)	65 39.3%	58 60.7%
Q3 - 7:34	SAC	Udrih REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)	63 35.8%	58 64.2%
Q3 - 7:36	SAC	MISS Miller 24' 3PT Jump Shot	63 33.3%	58 66.7%
Q3 - 7:53	NOH	West Out of Bounds Lost Ball Turnover (P3.T8)	63 35.9%	58 64.1%
Q3 - 8:11	SAC	Salmons 17' Jump Shot (19 PTS)	63 31.3%	58 68.7%
Q3 - 8:24	NOH	Stojakovic Illegal Screen Turnover (P1.T7)	61 28.4%	58 71.6%
Q3 - 8:37	SAC	Salmons Layup (17 PTS)	61 25.2%	58 74.8%
Q3 - 8:44	NOH	Chandler Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T6)	59 22.7%	58 77.3%
Q3 - 8:55	NOH	Paul REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)	59 20.0%	58 80.0%
Q3 - 8:56	SAC	MISS Greene 17' Jump Shot	59 20.8%	58 79.2%
Q3 - 9:12	NOH	West Free Throw 2 of 2 (12 PTS)	59 22.1%	58 77.9%
Q3 - 9:12	NOH	West Free Throw 1 of 2 (11 PTS)	59 22.4%	57 77.6%
Q3 - 9:24	SAC	Salmons Layup (15 PTS) (Thompson 1 AST)	59 24.7%	56 75.3%
Q3 - 9:28	SAC	Miller REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)	57 22.1%	56 77.9%
Q3 - 9:29	NOH	MISS Butler 17' Jump Shot	57 21.4%	56 78.6%
Q3 - 9:50	SAC	Thompson Layup (4 PTS) (Salmons 2 AST)	57 19.6%	56 80.4%
Q3 - 9:56	SAC	Salmons REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)	55 17.5%	56 82.5%
Q3 - 9:58	NOH	MISS West 18' Jump Shot	55 16.8%	56 83.2%
Q3 - 10:13	SAC	Salmons 19' Jump Shot (13 PTS)	55 15.1%	56 84.9%
Q3 - 10:31	NOH	Chandler Dunk (7 PTS) (West 3 AST)	53 13.4%	56 86.6%
Q3 - 10:34	NOH	Chandler REBOUND (Off:4 Def:2)	53 15.1%	54 84.9%
Q3 - 10:36	NOH	MISS Stojakovic 23' Jump Shot	53 16.4%	54 83.6%
Q3 - 10:57	SAC	Thompson Layup (2 PTS)	53 15.1%	54 84.9%
Q3 - 10:58	SAC	Thompson REBOUND (Off:3 Def:0)	51 13.4%	54 86.6%
Q3 - 10:59	SAC	MISS Udrih Reverse Layup	51 12.2%	54 87.8%
Q3 - 11:16	SAC	Miller REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)	51 13.1%	54 86.9%
Q3 - 11:17	NOH	MISS Chandler 8' Jump Shot	51 12.6%	54 87.4%
Q3 - 11:41	SAC	Butler STEAL (1 STL)	51 11.5%	54 88.5%
Q2 - 0:00.0	SAC		51 13.1%	54 86.9%
Q2 - 0:00.0	SAC	Kings Rebound	51 13.1%	54 86.9%
Q2 - 0:00.0	SAC	MISS Salmons 19' Jump Shot	51 12.0%	54 88.0%
Q2 - 0:00.0	NOH	Paul 11' Jump Shot (15 PTS)	51 13.1%	54 86.9%
Q2 - 0:17.0	SAC	Greene Layup (13 PTS) (Jackson 2 AST)	51 14.8%	52 85.2%
Q2 - 0:39.0	NOH	West Layup (10 PTS) (Paul 7 AST)	49 12.8%	52 87.2%
Q2 - 0:56.0	SAC	Salmons Layup (11 PTS)	49 14.8%	50 85.2%
Q2 - 1:05	NOH	West Foul Turnover (P2.T5)	47 12.7%	50 87.3%
Q2 - 1:17	NOH	MISS West Free Throw Technical	47 11.6%	50 88.4%
Q2 - 1:27	NOH	Chandler REBOUND (Off:3 Def:2)	47 11.6%	50 88.4%
Q2 - 1:28	SAC	MISS Thompson Layup	47 11.9%	50 88.1%
Q2 - 1:43	NOH	Stojakovic Layup (4 PTS) (Paul 6 AST)	47 12.7%	50 87.3%
Q2 - 1:55	SAC	Salmons Driving Layup (9 PTS)	47 14.7%	48 85.3%
Q2 - 2:03	NOH	Paul Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T4)	45 12.5%	48 87.5%
Q2 - 2:27	SAC	Salmons Layup (7 PTS)	45 11.2%	48 88.8%
Q2 - 2:32	SAC	Udrih REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)	43 10.0%	48 90.0%
Q2 - 2:33	NOH	MISS Stojakovic 18' Jump Shot	43 9.7%	48 90.3%
Q2 - 2:51	NOH	Stojakovic REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)	43 8.9%	48 91.1%
Q2 - 2:52	SAC	MISS Miller Free Throw 2 of 2	43 9.0%	48 91.0%
Q2 - 2:52	SAC	Miller Free Throw 1 of 2 (8 PTS)	43 9.8%	48 90.2%
Q2 - 3:07	SAC	MISS Miller Free Throw Technical	42 8.9%	48 91.1%
Q2 - 3:17	NOH	Paul Free Throw 2 of 2 (13 PTS)	42 8.9%	48 91.1%
Q2 - 3:17	NOH	Paul Free Throw 1 of 2 (12 PTS)	42 9.0%	47 91.0%
Q2 - 3:22	SAC	B. Brown Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T9)	42 9.7%	46 90.3%
Q2 - 3:37	SAC	Jackson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)	42 11.1%	46 88.9%
Q2 - 3:38	SAC	MISS Greene 26' 3PT Jump Shot	42 10.1%	46 89.9%
Q2 - 3:55	NOH	Chandler Free Throw 1 of 1 (5 PTS)	42 11.1%	46 88.9%
Q2 - 3:55	NOH	Chandler REBOUND (Off:3 Def:1)	42 12.4%	45 87.6%
Q2 - 3:55	NOH	Chandler Putback Dunk (4 PTS)	42 12.4%	45 87.6%
Q2 - 3:55	NOH	MISS Posey Layup	42 14.8%	43 85.2%
Q2 - 4:02	NOH	Chandler REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)	42 13.3%	43 86.7%
Q2 - 4:03	NOH	MISS Paul 18' Jump Shot	42 14.4%	43 85.6%
Q2 - 4:30	SAC	Greene 3PT Jump Shot (11 PTS) (Hawes 1 AST)	42 13.3%	43 86.7%
Q2 - 4:54	NOH	Posey Reverse Layup (4 PTS) (West 2 AST)	39 10.9%	43 89.1%
Q2 - 4:57	NOH	HORNETS Rebound	39 12.0%	41 88.0%
Q2 - 4:57	NOH	MISS West 17' Jump Shot	39 13.0%	41 87.0%
Q2 - 5:20	SAC	Greene 24' 3PT Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Jackson 1 AST)	39 12.0%	41 88.0%
Q2 - 5:31	SAC	Hawes REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)	36 9.6%	41 90.4%
Q2 - 5:32	NOH	MISS Wright 3PT Jump Shot	36 9.3%	41 90.7%
Q2 - 5:49	SAC	B. Brown 15' Jump Shot (6 PTS)	36 8.7%	41 91.3%
Q2 - 5:56	NOH	Paul Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T3)	34 7.8%	41 92.2%
Q2 - 5:59	NOH	Chandler REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)	34 7.0%	41 93.0%
Q2 - 6:00	SAC	MISS Jackson 25' 3PT Jump Shot	34 7.2%	41 92.8%
Q2 - 6:21	SAC	Jackson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)	34 8.0%	41 92.0%
Q2 - 6:22	NOH	MISS Chandler 10' Jump Shot	34 7.7%	41 92.3%
Q2 - 6:38	SAC	Greene Free Throw 2 of 2 (5 PTS)	34 7.0%	41 93.0%
Q2 - 6:38	SAC	Greene Free Throw 1 of 2 (4 PTS)	33 6.8%	41 93.2%
Q2 - 6:53	NOH	Wright 17' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Brown 2 AST)	32 6.4%	41 93.6%
Q2 - 6:57	NOH	Brown REBOUND (Off:3 Def:0)	32 7.0%	39 93.0%
Q2 - 6:59	NOH	MISS Brown Layup	32 7.7%	39 92.3%
Q2 - 7:12	NOH	Posey REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)	32 7.0%	39 93.0%
Q2 - 7:16	SAC	MISS Thompson 13' Jump Shot	32 7.2%	39 92.8%
Q2 - 7:36	SAC	Kings Rebound	32 7.8%	39 92.2%
Q2 - 7:37	NOH	MISS Butler 26' 3PT Jump Shot	32 7.5%	39 92.5%
Q2 - 7:58	NOH	Posey REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)	32 7.0%	39 93.0%
Q2 - 7:59	SAC	MISS Hawes 18' Jump Shot	32 7.2%	39 92.8%
Q2 - 8:33	NOH	Brown Driving Layup (8 PTS)	32 7.8%	39 92.2%
Q2 - 8:44	SAC	B. Brown 19' Jump Shot (4 PTS)	32 8.7%	37 91.3%
Q2 - 8:57	NOH	Butler 21' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Brown 1 AST)	30 7.8%	37 92.2%
Q2 - 9:13	SAC	B. Brown 20' Jump Shot (2 PTS)	30 8.6%	35 91.4%
Q2 - 9:22	SAC	Thompson REBOUND (Off:2 Def:0)	28 7.8%	35 92.2%
Q2 - 9:25	SAC	MISS Jackson 17' Jump Shot	28 7.3%	35 92.7%
Q2 - 9:29	SAC	Jackson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)	28 7.8%	35 92.2%
Q2 - 9:31	NOH	MISS Posey 3PT Jump Shot	28 7.6%	35 92.4%
Q2 - 9:53	SAC	Hawes 16' Jump Shot (7 PTS) (Salmons 1 AST)	28 7.0%	35 93.0%
Q2 - 10:01	NOH	Brown Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T2)	26 6.5%	35 93.5%
Q2 - 10:11	NOH	Posey REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)	26 5.9%	35 94.1%
Q2 - 10:13	SAC	MISS Salmons Layup	26 6.1%	35 93.9%
Q2 - 10:26	NOH	Brown Layup (6 PTS) (Wright 1 AST)	26 6.5%	35 93.5%
Q2 - 10:31	SAC	Wright STEAL (1 STL)	26 7.1%	33 92.9%
Q2 - 10:45	NOH	Posey 20' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Butler 1 AST)	26 7.9%	33 92.1%
Q2 - 11:11	SAC	Miller Layup (7 PTS)	26 8.8%	31 91.2%
Q2 - 11:27	NOH	Wright 15' Jump Shot (2 PTS)	24 8.1%	31 91.9%
Q2 - 11:33	SAC	Armstrong STEAL (1 STL)	24 8.8%	29 91.2%
Q2 - 11:44	SAC	Miller REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)	24 9.7%	29 90.3%
Q2 - 11:47	SAC	MISS Salmons Free Throw 2 of 2	24 9.0%	29 91.0%
Q2 - 11:47	SAC	Salmons Free Throw 1 of 2 (5 PTS)	24 9.5%	29 90.5%
Q1 - 0:00.0	SAC		23 8.9%	29 91.1%
Q1 - 0:00.0	SAC	Kings Rebound	23 8.9%	29 91.1%
Q1 - 0:00.0	SAC	MISS Udrih 43' 3PT Jump Shot	23 8.3%	29 91.7%
Q1 - 0:02.0	SAC	Hawes REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)	23 8.7%	29 91.3%
Q1 - 0:04.0	NOH	MISS Brown Layup	23 8.5%	29 91.5%
Q1 - 0:10.0	SAC	Brown STEAL (1 STL)	23 8.1%	29 91.9%
Q1 - 0:29.0	SAC	Greene REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)	23 8.7%	29 91.3%
Q1 - 0:30.0	NOH	MISS Paul 27' 3PT Jump Shot	23 8.5%	29 91.5%
Q1 - 0:52.0	SAC	Hawes 24' 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Greene 1 AST)	23 8.1%	29 91.9%
Q1 - 1:18	NOH	Brown Layup (4 PTS) (Paul 5 AST)	20 6.7%	29 93.3%
Q1 - 1:24	SAC	Paul STEAL (3 STL)	20 7.5%	27 92.5%
Q1 - 1:35	NOH	Paul 11' Jump Shot (11 PTS)	20 8.0%	27 92.0%
Q1 - 1:47	SAC	Miller Free Throw 2 of 2 (5 PTS)	20 8.9%	25 91.1%
Q1 - 1:47	SAC	Miller Free Throw 1 of 2 (4 PTS)	19 8.8%	25 91.2%
Q1 - 2:00	NOH	Paul 15' Fadeaway Jumper (9 PTS)	18 8.0%	25 92.0%
Q1 - 2:24	NOH	Armstrong REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)	18 9.0%	23 91.0%
Q1 - 2:26	SAC	MISS Udrih 21' Jump Shot	18 9.2%	23 90.8%
Q1 - 2:51	NOH	Brown Layup (2 PTS)	18 9.6%	23 90.4%
Q1 - 2:53	NOH	Brown REBOUND (Off:2 Def:0)	18 10.6%	21 89.4%
Q1 - 2:56	NOH	MISS West 12' Jump Shot	18 11.1%	21 88.9%
Q1 - 3:07	NOH	Brown REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)	18 10.3%	21 89.7%
Q1 - 3:09	NOH	MISS West 18' Jump Shot	18 10.9%	21 89.1%
Q1 - 3:34	SAC	Hawes 22' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Udrih 4 AST)	18 10.4%	21 89.6%
Q1 - 3:46	NOH	West Traveling Turnover (P1.T1)	16 9.5%	21 90.5%
Q1 - 3:55	SAC	Udrih 17' Turnaround Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Miller 1 AST)	16 8.8%	21 91.2%
Q1 - 4:14	NOH	Chandler Alley Oop Dunk (2 PTS) (Paul 4 AST)	14 8.0%	21 92.0%
Q1 - 4:37	SAC	Udrih Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)	14 8.6%	19 91.4%
Q1 - 4:37	SAC	Udrih Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)	13 8.5%	19 91.5%
Q1 - 4:50	NOH	West 16' Jump Shot (8 PTS)	12 8.0%	19 92.0%
Q1 - 5:11	SAC	Greene 24' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Udrih 3 AST)	12 8.8%	17 91.2%
Q1 - 5:23	SAC	Udrih REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)	9 7.6%	17 92.4%
Q1 - 5:24	NOH	MISS Butler 12' Jump Shot	9 7.4%	17 92.6%
Q1 - 5:39	SAC	Salmons 8' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Udrih 2 AST)	9 6.9%	17 93.1%
Q1 - 5:52	NOH	Paul 9' Jump Shot (7 PTS)	7 6.5%	17 93.5%
Q1 - 5:59	SAC	Udrih Traveling Turnover (P1.T4)	7 6.9%	15 93.1%
Q1 - 6:11	NOH	West 10' Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Paul 3 AST)	7 7.4%	15 92.6%
Q1 - 6:27	SAC	Paul STEAL (2 STL)	7 8.0%	13 92.0%
Q1 - 6:47	NOH	Stojakovic 17' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Paul 2 AST)	7 8.7%	13 91.3%
Q1 - 6:58	NOH	Chandler REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)	7 9.3%	11 90.7%
Q1 - 7:00	NOH	MISS Stojakovic 19' Jump Shot	7 9.9%	11 90.1%
Q1 - 7:14	SAC	Miller 24' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Udrih 1 AST)	7 9.1%	11 90.9%
Q1 - 7:30	SAC	Thompson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)	4 7.9%	11 92.1%
Q1 - 7:32	SAC	MISS Salmons 25' 3PT Jump Shot	4 7.4%	11 92.6%
Q1 - 7:45	NOH	West 9' Jump Shot (4 PTS)	4 7.9%	11 92.1%
Q1 - 8:10	SAC	Salmons 17' Jump Shot (2 PTS)	4 8.3%	9 91.7%
Q1 - 8:34	NOH	Paul Free Throw 2 of 2 (5 PTS)	2 7.7%	9 92.3%
Q1 - 8:34	NOH	MISS Paul Free Throw 1 of 2	2 7.8%	8 92.2%
Q1 - 8:38	SAC	Paul STEAL (1 STL)	2 7.7%	8 92.3%
Q1 - 8:54	NOH	West 16' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Paul 1 AST)	2 8.3%	8 91.7%
Q1 - 9:11	NOH	Stojakovic REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)	2 9.1%	6 90.9%
Q1 - 9:13	SAC	MISS Greene 19' Jump Shot	2 9.2%	6 90.8%
Q1 - 9:26	NOH	Paul Layup (4 PTS)	2 9.7%	6 90.3%
Q1 - 9:40	NOH	Butler REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)	2 10.5%	4 89.5%
Q1 - 9:41	SAC	MISS Miller 18' Jump Shot	2 10.7%	4 89.3%
Q1 - 9:59	NOH	Paul Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)	2 11.2%	4 88.8%
Q1 - 9:59	NOH	Paul Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)	2 11.3%	3 88.7%
Q1 - 10:13	NOH	Butler REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)	2 11.9%	2 88.1%
Q1 - 10:15	SAC	MISS Udrih 22' Jump Shot	2 12.1%	2 87.9%
Q1 - 10:22	SAC	Miller REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)	2 12.7%	2 87.3%
Q1 - 10:23	NOH	MISS Chandler 14' Jump Shot	2 12.4%	2 87.6%
Q1 - 10:33	SAC	Thompson Traveling Turnover (P1.T1)	2 11.9%	2 88.1%
Q1 - 10:52	SAC	Udrih REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)	2 12.7%	2 87.3%
Q1 - 10:53	NOH	MISS Paul 25' 3PT Jump Shot	2 12.4%	2 87.6%
Q1 - 11:23	SAC	Udrih Driving Layup (2 PTS)	2 11.5%	2 88.5%
Q1 - 11:45	NOH	Butler Layup (2 PTS) (West 1 AST)	0 10.9%	2 89.1%
Q1 - 12:00	NOH	Jump Ball Chandler vs. Miller: Tip to Stojakovic	0 11.5%	0 88.5%

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

SAC

1.19 59.7%

NOH

1.12 55.8%

Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)

SAC

68%

NOH

72%

Midrange

SAC

56%

NOH

51%

3PT | Effective 3PT

SAC

10.5

37%

55%

NOH

3.0

15%

23%

Free Throws

SAC

76%

NOH

82%

Makes

Effective 3P Makes

Efficiency

Misses

Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

Kings

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
J. Salmons	29	76%	14.5 / 19
D. Greene	15	75%	7.5 / 10
B. Miller	14	70%	7.0 / 10
B. Udrih	14	50%	7.0 / 14
J. Thompson	10	45%	5.0 / 11
S. Hawes	9	50%	4.5 / 9
B. Jackson	8	57%	4.0 / 7
B. Brown	6	75%	3.0 / 4

TS Makes

TS Misses

Total Points

Hornets

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
D. West	22	65%	11.0 / 17
C. Paul	20	63%	10.0 / 16
D. Brown	13	72%	6.5 / 9
T. Chandler	12	55%	6.0 / 11
R. Butler	10	63%	5.0 / 8
P. Stojakovic	7	44%	3.5 / 8
J. Posey	6	33%	3.0 / 9
J. Wright	6	50%	3.0 / 6
H. Armstrong	0	-	0.0 / 1

TS Makes

TS Misses

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

SAC

+15

-15

NOH

+14

-14

Base

ORB

TOV

Scoring Efficiency

SAC

1.19 59.7%

NOH

1.12 55.8%

Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Efficiency & Pace		This Game
Efficiency	105.3 108.6	SAC 122.1 +10.5 NOH 111.6
Pace	94.5 88.0	SAC 83.6 NOH 88.5 +4.9
Avg. Poss. Time	15.1 16.8	SAC 17.2 NOH 16.3 +1.0
Four Factors		This Game
EFG %	49.1% 50.1%	SAC 59.3% +6.1% NOH 53.2%
TO %	15.5% 13.3%	SAC 16.0% NOH 14.2% +1.8%
ORB %	24.6% 24.6%	SAC 34.4% NOH 38.2% +3.8%
FTrt	31.5 28.8	SAC 28.0 +5.9 NOH 22.1
Misc. Stats		This Game
AST %	54.1% 55.3%	SAC 58.5% NOH 60.0% +1.5%
STL %	7.3% 8.2%	SAC 9.3% NOH 12.8% +3.5%
BLK %	6.5% 7.2%	SAC 1.6% NOH 3.6% +2.0%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Shooting Efficiency		This Game
TS%	52.7% 53.1%	SAC 59.7% +3.9% NOH 55.8%
Rim FG%	56.6% 58.6%	SAC 68.2% NOH 72.0% +3.8%
Mid FG%	39.7% 42.5%	SAC 55.9% +4.6% NOH 51.3%
3P %	36.8% 36.4%	SAC 36.8% +21.4% NOH 15.4%
FT %	79.8% 80.7%	SAC 76.2% NOH 82.4% +6.2%
Shot Distribution		This Game
Rim Att. %	33.9% 29.0%	SAC 29.3% NOH 32.5% +3.1%
Mid Att. %	42.2% 47.0%	SAC 45.3% +5.3% NOH 50.6%
3P Att. %	23.8% 24.0%	SAC 25.3% +8.5% NOH 16.9%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Game Totals	SAC	NOH
Possessions	86	86
Possession Minutes	24.7	23.3
Points	105	96
Rebounds	32	34
Assists	24	24
Steals	8	11
Blocks	1	2
Turnovers (Team)	15 (1)	14 (0)
Fouls
Off. Rebounds (Team)	11 (4)	13 (1)
Def. Rebounds (Team)	21 (2)	21 (1)
Field Goals	41-75	40-77
At-the-Rim FG	15-22	18-25
Midrange FG	19-34	20-39
2-Point FG	34-56	38-64
3-Point FG	7-19	2-13
Free Throws	16-21	14-17
Fast Break Pts
2nd Chance Pts
Points in Paint
Pts off Turnovers
Bench Points
Biggest Lead

BOXSCORE

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28 Sacramento Kings

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
John Salmons G · 6'6" 210 · 29	40.2	29	76%	2	6	1	0	1	1	0	2	3-4	75%	13-16	81%	0-2	0%
Brad Miller C · 7'0" 261 · 33	34.5	14	70%	8	2	2	0	5	4	1	7	3-5	60%	4-6	67%	1-2	50%
Donte Greene F · 6'11" 226 · 21	34.5	15	75%	2	1	0	0	0	1	0	2	2-2	100%	2-5	40%	3-4	75%
Beno Udrih G · 6'3" 205 · 26	33.9	14	50%	4	7	1	0	5	0	1	3	8-9	89%	3-6	50%	0-3	0%
Jason Thompson F · 6'11" 250 · 22	31.2	10	45%	6	1	1	0	2	3	5	1	0-0	-	5-11	45%	0-0	-
Spencer Hawes F-C · 7'1" 245 · 21	28.3	9	50%	6	2	0	1	0	4	3	3	0-1	0%	3-7	43%	1-2	50%
Bobby Jackson G · 6'1" 185 · 36	23.2	8	57%	4	5	3	0	0	2	1	3	0-0	-	1-2	50%	2-5	40%
Bobby Brown · 6'2" 175 · 24	14.1	6	75%	0	0	0	0	2	2	0	0	0-0	-	3-3	100%	0-1	0%
Quincy Douby G · 6'3" 175 · 25
Mikki Moore F-C · 7'0" 225 · 33
Shelden Williams C-F · 6'9" 250 · 25
Kenny Thomas C-F · 6'7" 245 · 31
Francisco Garcia #32 · G-F · 6'7" 215 · 27	INACTIVE \| INACTIVE
Kevin Martin #23 · G · 6'7" 199 · 26	INACTIVE \| INACTIVE
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	105	60%	32	24	8	1	15	0	11	21	16-21	76%	34-56	61%	7-19	37%

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28 Sacramento Kings

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
John Salmons G · 6'6" 210 · 29	40.2	29	76%	2	6	1	0	1	1	0	2	3-4	75%	13-16	81%	0-2	0%
Brad Miller C · 7'0" 261 · 33	34.5	14	70%	8	2	2	0	5	4	1	7	3-5	60%	4-6	67%	1-2	50%
Donte Greene F · 6'11" 226 · 21	34.5	15	75%	2	1	0	0	0	1	0	2	2-2	100%	2-5	40%	3-4	75%
Beno Udrih G · 6'3" 205 · 26	33.9	14	50%	4	7	1	0	5	0	1	3	8-9	89%	3-6	50%	0-3	0%
Jason Thompson F · 6'11" 250 · 22	31.2	10	45%	6	1	1	0	2	3	5	1	0-0	-	5-11	45%	0-0	-
Spencer Hawes F-C · 7'1" 245 · 21	28.3	9	50%	6	2	0	1	0	4	3	3	0-1	0%	3-7	43%	1-2	50%
Bobby Jackson G · 6'1" 185 · 36	23.2	8	57%	4	5	3	0	0	2	1	3	0-0	-	1-2	50%	2-5	40%
Bobby Brown · 6'2" 175 · 24	14.1	6	75%	0	0	0	0	2	2	0	0	0-0	-	3-3	100%	0-1	0%
Quincy Douby G · 6'3" 175 · 25
Mikki Moore F-C · 7'0" 225 · 33
Shelden Williams C-F · 6'9" 250 · 25
Kenny Thomas C-F · 6'7" 245 · 31
Francisco Garcia #32 · G-F · 6'7" 215 · 27	INACTIVE \| INACTIVE
Kevin Martin #23 · G · 6'7" 199 · 26	INACTIVE \| INACTIVE
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	105	60%	32	24	8	1	15	0	11	21	16-21	76%	34-56	61%	7-19	37%

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4 New Orleans Hornets

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Chris Paul G · 6'0" 175 · 24	37.0	20	63%	3	15	4	0	4	5	0	3	6-7	86%	7-10	70%	0-3	0%
David West F · 6'9" 250 · 28	35.6	22	65%	1	3	1	0	4	4	0	1	4-5	80%	9-14	64%	0-1	0%
Tyson Chandler C · 7'1" 240 · 26	33.2	12	55%	10	0	0	1	2	1	6	4	2-3	67%	5-9	56%	0-0	-
Rasual Butler G · 6'7" 215 · 29	27.9	10	63%	5	1	2	0	0	1	1	4	0-0	-	5-7	71%	0-1	0%
Peja Stojakovic F · 6'10" 229 · 31	27.7	7	44%	3	1	0	0	1	1	1	2	0-0	-	2-6	33%	1-2	50%
James Posey F · 6'8" 217 · 32	29.0	6	33%	4	0	0	0	0	1	1	3	0-0	-	3-6	50%	0-3	0%
Devin Brown G · 6'5" 210 · 30	23.1	13	72%	3	2	1	0	2	3	3	0	2-2	100%	4-6	67%	1-2	50%
Hilton Armstrong F-C · 6'11" 235 · 24	14.2	0	0%	4	1	2	1	0	2	1	3	0-0	-	0-1	0%	0-0	-
Julian Wright F · 6'8" 225 · 22	12.4	6	50%	1	1	1	0	1	1	0	1	0-0	-	3-5	60%	0-1	0%
Morris Peterson G · 6'7" 220 · 31
Melvin Ely C-F · 6'10" 260 · 31
Mike James G · 6'2" 188 · 33
Ryan Bowen #40 · F · 6'9" 218 · 33	INACTIVE \| INACTIVE
Sean Marks #4 · F-C · 6'10" 250 · 33	INACTIVE \| INACTIVE
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	96	56%	34	24	11	2	14	0	13	21	14-17	82%	38-64	59%	2-13	15%

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Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).

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Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.

Scoring Opportunities

Scoring Efficiency

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

Scoring by Shot Type

Total Points

Total Points

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

Scoring Efficiency

Reg Season Avg

Reg Season Avg

BOXSCORE