FinalWin Prob.pScore
1637%92
101
1263%97
95
ORTG#PossPace
TOR logo TOR
113.58988.1
MIA logo MIA
109.28787.9

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

HeatRaptorsQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Scoring Margin

HeatRaptorsQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Play-by-Play

Score / WinProb
ClockTeamEventTORMIA
Q4 - 0:00.0TOR101
100%
95
0%
Q4 - 0:02.0MIAMISS Quinn 4' Jump Shot101
99.9%
95
0.1%
Q4 - 0:02.0MIAQuinn REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)101
99.9%
95
0.1%
Q4 - 0:03.0MIAMISS Wade 3PT Jump Shot101
99.9%
95
0.1%
Q4 - 0:07.0TORParker Free Throw 2 of 2 (19 PTS)101
99.9%
95
0.1%
Q4 - 0:07.0TORParker Free Throw 1 of 2 (18 PTS)100
99.8%
95
0.2%
Q4 - 0:12.0TORO'Neal REBOUND (Off:4 Def:12)99
99.4%
95
0.6%
Q4 - 0:13.0MIAMISS Cook 24' 3PT Jump Shot99
98.9%
95
1.1%
Q4 - 0:19.0TORHaslem STEAL (1 STL)99
97.3%
95
2.7%
Q4 - 0:41.0MIAWade 20' Jump Shot (40 PTS)99
96.3%
95
3.7%
Q4 - 0:47.0TORParker 3PT Jump Shot (17 PTS) (Bargnani 1 AST)99
97.8%
93
2.2%
Q4 - 1:02MIAWade 15' Turnaround Jump Shot (38 PTS)96
89.5%
93
10.5%
Q4 - 1:09TORCalderon Driving Layup (8 PTS)96
93.2%
91
6.8%
Q4 - 1:20MIAQuinn Lost Ball Turnover (P2.T10)94
87.5%
91
12.5%
Q4 - 1:42MIAMarion REBOUND (Off:3 Def:11)94
75.5%
91
24.5%
Q4 - 1:43TORMISS O'Neal 13' Jump Shot94
78.3%
91
21.7%
Q4 - 2:09TORO'Neal REBOUND (Off:4 Def:11)94
84.9%
91
15.1%
Q4 - 2:10MIAMISS Wade 25' 3PT Jump Shot94
82.2%
91
17.8%
Q4 - 2:29TORO'Neal Dunk (16 PTS) (Bosh 1 AST)94
74.4%
91
25.6%
Q4 - 2:45MIAWade Layup (36 PTS) (Marion 1 AST)92
68.7%
91
31.3%
Q4 - 2:49MIAMarion REBOUND (Off:3 Def:10)92
74.4%
89
25.6%
Q4 - 2:50TORMISS Bosh 14' Turnaround Jump Shot92
78.4%
89
21.6%
Q4 - 3:11TORParker REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)92
82.6%
89
17.4%
Q4 - 3:12MIAMISS Quinn 24' 3PT Jump Shot92
79.9%
89
20.1%
Q4 - 3:23MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:5 Def:5)92
72.5%
89
27.5%
Q4 - 3:24TORMISS Bosh 16' Jump Shot92
76.2%
89
23.8%
Q4 - 3:30TORBosh REBOUND (Off:3 Def:8)92
83.0%
89
17.0%
Q4 - 3:31TORWade BLOCK (5 BLK)92
70.4%
89
29.6%
Q4 - 4:01MIAWade 3PT Jump Shot (34 PTS)92
76.8%
89
23.2%
Q4 - 4:06MIAHEAT Rebound92
87.5%
86
12.5%
Q4 - 4:07MIAMISS Wade Driving Layup92
90.3%
86
9.7%
Q4 - 4:28TORBargnani 9' Hook Shot (25 PTS)92
87.7%
86
12.3%
Q4 - 4:44MIACook 20' Jump Shot (10 PTS)90
83.4%
86
16.6%
Q4 - 5:04TORBosh 17' Jump Shot (15 PTS)90
83.8%
84
16.2%
Q4 - 5:22TORBosh REBOUND (Off:2 Def:8)88
79.1%
84
20.9%
Q4 - 5:23MIAMISS Cook 25' 3PT Jump Shot88
77.3%
84
22.7%
Q4 - 5:50TORParker 17' Fadeaway Jumper (14 PTS)88
72.9%
84
27.1%
Q4 - 5:59TORRaptors Rebound86
66.0%
84
34.0%
Q4 - 6:00TORWade BLOCK (4 BLK)86
60.3%
84
39.7%
Q4 - 6:13TORParker REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)86
63.1%
84
36.9%
Q4 - 6:14MIAMISS Wade 18' Jump Shot86
60.9%
84
39.1%
Q4 - 6:27MIAMarion REBOUND (Off:3 Def:9)86
55.5%
84
44.5%
Q4 - 6:28TORMISS Bargnani 5' Jump Shot86
57.9%
84
42.1%
Q4 - 6:43TORRaptors Rebound86
63.3%
84
36.7%
Q4 - 6:44MIAMISS Cook 25' 3PT Jump Shot86
61.0%
84
39.0%
Q4 - 6:50MIAQuinn REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)86
55.6%
84
44.4%
Q4 - 6:52TORMISS O'Neal 19' Jump Shot86
58.0%
84
42.0%
Q4 - 7:08TORParker REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)86
61.0%
84
39.0%
Q4 - 7:09MIAMISS Wade 22' Jump Shot86
58.8%
84
41.2%
Q4 - 7:15MIAAnthony REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)86
53.7%
84
46.3%
Q4 - 7:17MIAMISS Cook Driving Layup86
58.9%
84
41.1%
Q4 - 7:40TORParker 24' 3PT Jump Shot (12 PTS) (Calderon 7 AST)86
53.8%
84
46.2%
Q4 - 7:56TORCalderon REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)83
40.4%
84
59.6%
Q4 - 7:57MIAMISS Wade 25' 3PT Jump Shot83
38.2%
84
61.8%
Q4 - 8:14TORRaptors Turnover: Shot Clock (T#12)83
34.2%
84
65.8%
Q4 - 8:14TORRaptors Rebound83
39.9%
84
60.1%
Q4 - 8:15TORMISS Bosh 20' Jump Shot83
35.9%
84
64.1%
Q4 - 8:39MIAWade Driving Dunk (31 PTS)83
40.0%
84
60.0%
Q4 - 8:53TORSolomon Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T11)83
46.6%
82
53.4%
Q4 - 9:07MIAQuinn 24' 3PT Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Wade 11 AST)83
51.9%
82
48.1%
Q4 - 9:21MIAQuinn Free Throw Technical (3 PTS)83
63.9%
79
36.1%
Q4 - 9:26MIAWade REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)83
69.2%
78
30.8%
Q4 - 9:27TORMISS Solomon 15' Jump Shot83
70.7%
78
29.3%
Q4 - 9:47MIACook 3PT Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Wade 10 AST)83
74.0%
78
26.0%
Q4 - 10:02TORBosh 19' Jump Shot (13 PTS)83
80.2%
75
19.8%
Q4 - 10:20MIAMarion 9' Floating Jump Shot (20 PTS) (Wade 9 AST)81
76.4%
75
23.6%
Q4 - 10:34TORHumphries Free Throw 2 of 2 (8 PTS)81
80.3%
73
19.7%
Q4 - 10:34TORHumphries Free Throw 1 of 2 (7 PTS)80
79.1%
73
20.9%
Q4 - 10:49MIAMarion Dunk (18 PTS) (Anthony 1 AST)79
76.4%
73
23.6%
Q4 - 11:04TORBosh 20' Jump Shot (11 PTS) (Solomon 5 AST)79
78.5%
71
21.5%
Q4 - 11:17TORMISS Kapono Free Throw Technical77
74.5%
71
25.5%
Q4 - 11:18MIAMarion Alley Oop Dunk (16 PTS) (Wade 8 AST)77
74.5%
71
25.5%
Q4 - 11:22TORCook STEAL (1 STL)77
78.6%
69
21.4%
Q4 - 11:38MIAWade Driving Dunk (29 PTS)77
81.8%
69
18.2%
Q4 - 11:49MIAMarion REBOUND (Off:3 Def:8)77
85.0%
67
15.0%
Q4 - 11:50TORMISS Kapono 20' Jump Shot77
85.7%
67
14.3%
Q3 - 0:00.0TOR77
87.4%
67
12.6%
Q3 - 0:01.0TORHumphries REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)77
85.7%
67
14.3%
Q3 - 0:02.0MIAMISS Wade 25' 3PT Jump Shot77
85.0%
67
15.0%
Q3 - 0:21.0MIAMarion REBOUND (Off:3 Def:7)77
83.5%
67
16.5%
Q3 - 0:22.0TORMISS Kapono 11' Floating Jump Shot77
84.2%
67
15.8%
Q3 - 0:34.0MIAWade Free Throw 1 of 1 (27 PTS)77
85.8%
67
14.2%
Q3 - 0:39.0MIAQuinn REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)77
90.3%
64
9.7%
Q3 - 0:41.0TORMISS Calderon 7' Running Jump Shot77
90.8%
64
9.2%
Q3 - 0:47.0TORRaptors Rebound77
91.8%
64
8.2%
Q3 - 0:48.0TORAnthony BLOCK (2 BLK)77
90.8%
64
9.2%
Q3 - 1:03MIAWade 25' 3PT Jump Shot (24 PTS)77
90.8%
64
9.2%
Q3 - 1:12MIACook REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)77
93.7%
61
6.3%
Q3 - 1:13TORMISS Calderon 21' Jump Shot77
94.1%
61
5.9%
Q3 - 1:35TORMISS Humphries Free Throw Flagrant 2 of 277
94.7%
61
5.3%
Q3 - 1:35TORHumphries Free Throw Flagrant 1 of 2 (6 PTS)77
95.3%
61
4.7%
Q3 - 1:47MIAWade 16' Jump Shot (21 PTS)76
93.7%
61
6.3%
Q3 - 2:02TORBargnani Free Throw 3 of 3 (23 PTS)76
93.8%
59
6.2%
Q3 - 2:02TORBargnani Free Throw 2 of 3 (22 PTS)75
93.6%
59
6.4%
Q3 - 2:02TORBargnani Free Throw 1 of 3 (21 PTS)74
93.4%
59
6.6%
Q3 - 2:11MIACook 12' Jump Bank Shot (5 PTS)73
91.2%
59
8.8%
Q3 - 2:26MIAMarion REBOUND (Off:3 Def:6)73
92.7%
57
7.3%
Q3 - 2:28TORMISS O'Neal 11' Turnaround Jump Shot73
93.0%
57
7.0%
Q3 - 2:39TORBargnani REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)73
93.9%
57
6.1%
Q3 - 2:40MIAMISS Marion 16' Jump Shot73
93.5%
57
6.5%
Q3 - 3:02TORO'Neal 15' Jump Shot (14 PTS) (Calderon 6 AST)73
91.6%
57
8.4%
Q3 - 3:18MIAMarion 16' Jump Shot (14 PTS) (Wade 7 AST)71
90.2%
57
9.8%
Q3 - 3:36TORParker 3PT Jump Shot (9 PTS) (Calderon 5 AST)71
91.7%
55
8.3%
Q3 - 3:45TORO'Neal REBOUND (Off:4 Def:10)68
88.6%
55
11.4%
Q3 - 3:48MIAMISS Marion Alley Oop Layup68
88.0%
55
12.0%
Q3 - 4:08TORO'Neal 5' Hook Shot (12 PTS)68
85.4%
55
14.6%
Q3 - 4:31MIAMarion 12' Jump Shot (12 PTS) (Wade 6 AST)66
83.5%
55
16.5%
Q3 - 4:50TORCalderon 21' Jump Shot (6 PTS)66
85.4%
53
14.6%
Q3 - 4:58TORBosh REBOUND (Off:2 Def:7)64
83.5%
53
16.5%
Q3 - 5:01TORMISS O'Neal 15' Turnaround Jump Shot64
79.7%
53
20.3%
Q3 - 5:14TORBosh REBOUND (Off:1 Def:7)64
81.8%
53
18.2%
Q3 - 5:16MIAMISS Haslem Layup64
81.0%
53
19.0%
Q3 - 5:30TORParker 25' 3PT Jump Shot (6 PTS) (O'Neal 3 AST)64
79.0%
53
21.0%
Q3 - 5:51TORBosh REBOUND (Off:1 Def:6)61
73.3%
53
26.7%
Q3 - 5:53MIAMISS Chalmers 20' Jump Shot61
72.2%
53
27.8%
Q3 - 5:56MIAHEAT Rebound61
69.5%
53
30.5%
Q3 - 5:57MIAMISS Wade 12' Jump Bank Shot61
72.2%
53
27.8%
Q3 - 6:09MIABeasley REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)61
68.2%
53
31.8%
Q3 - 6:10MIAMISS Beasley Driving Layup61
70.8%
53
29.2%
Q3 - 6:31TORCalderon 25' 3PT Jump Shot (4 PTS) (O'Neal 2 AST)61
68.3%
53
31.7%
Q3 - 6:47TORO'Neal REBOUND (Off:4 Def:9)58
61.2%
53
38.8%
Q3 - 6:49MIAMISS Beasley 20' Jump Shot58
59.9%
53
40.1%
Q3 - 6:57MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:5 Def:4)58
57.0%
53
43.0%
Q3 - 6:58MIAMISS Chalmers Driving Layup58
59.9%
53
40.1%
Q3 - 7:09MIABeasley REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)58
55.7%
53
44.3%
Q3 - 7:10TORMISS Bosh 10' Turnaround Jump Shot58
56.9%
53
43.1%
Q3 - 7:23MIABeasley 19' Jump Shot (7 PTS) (Wade 5 AST)58
59.7%
53
40.3%
Q3 - 7:47TORParker 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (O'Neal 1 AST)58
63.2%
51
36.8%
Q3 - 8:04MIAWade Free Throw 2 of 2 (19 PTS)55
55.3%
51
44.7%
Q3 - 8:04MIAWade Free Throw 1 of 2 (18 PTS)55
56.0%
50
44.0%
Q3 - 8:18TORO'Neal Foul Turnover (P3.T9)55
58.7%
49
41.3%
Q3 - 8:32MIAHaslem 3' Hook Shot (2 PTS)55
62.6%
49
37.4%
Q3 - 8:35MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:4 Def:4)55
65.8%
47
34.2%
Q3 - 8:37MIAMISS Beasley Layup55
68.3%
47
31.7%
Q3 - 8:48MIABeasley REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)55
65.8%
47
34.2%
Q3 - 8:50TORMISS Bosh 18' Jump Shot55
66.9%
47
33.1%
Q3 - 9:03TORO'Neal REBOUND (Off:4 Def:8)55
68.4%
47
31.6%
Q3 - 9:05MIAMISS Chalmers 10' Running Hook Shot55
67.5%
47
32.5%
Q3 - 9:17TORO'Neal 3 Second Violation Turnover (P2.T8)55
65.2%
47
34.8%
Q3 - 9:24TORBosh REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)55
68.5%
47
31.5%
Q3 - 9:27MIAMISS Wade 11' Turnaround Jump Shot55
67.5%
47
32.5%
Q3 - 9:46TORBargnani 25' 3PT Jump Shot (20 PTS) (Calderon 4 AST)55
65.2%
47
34.8%
Q3 - 10:09TORO'Neal REBOUND (Off:4 Def:7)52
57.3%
47
42.7%
Q3 - 10:10MIAMISS Marion 3PT Jump Shot52
56.2%
47
43.8%
Q3 - 10:28TORBosh 18' Jump Shot (9 PTS)52
53.7%
47
46.3%
Q3 - 10:45MIAChalmers Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T9)50
50.2%
47
49.8%
Q3 - 10:59TORBargnani 24' 3PT Jump Shot (17 PTS) (Calderon 3 AST)50
46.6%
47
53.4%
Q3 - 11:16MIAMarion Dunk (10 PTS) (Chalmers 4 AST)47
39.5%
47
60.5%
Q3 - 11:24MIAMarion REBOUND (Off:3 Def:5)47
42.6%
45
57.4%
Q3 - 11:25TORMISS Parker 18' Jump Shot47
43.7%
45
56.3%
Q3 - 11:48MIAWade Driving Layup (17 PTS) (Beasley 1 AST)47
46.3%
45
53.7%
Q2 - 0:00.0MIA47
49.5%
43
50.5%
Q2 - 0:00.0MIAHEAT Rebound47
49.5%
43
50.5%
Q2 - 0:00.0MIAMISS Cook 25' 3PT Jump Shot47
52.1%
43
47.9%
Q2 - 0:01.0MIAWade Free Throw Clear Path 2 of 2 (15 PTS)47
49.6%
43
50.4%
Q2 - 0:01.0MIAMISS Wade Free Throw Clear Path 1 of 247
50.4%
42
49.6%
Q2 - 0:01.0TORWade STEAL (1 STL)47
53.0%
42
47.0%
Q2 - 0:17.0TORO'Neal REBOUND (Off:4 Def:6)47
55.5%
42
44.5%
Q2 - 0:18.0MIAMISS Wade Free Throw 1 of 147
55.2%
42
44.8%
Q2 - 0:24.0TORRaptors Turnover: Backcourt (T#6)47
59.6%
40
40.4%
Q2 - 0:41.0MIAMarion 15' Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Wade 4 AST)47
62.1%
40
37.9%
Q2 - 0:49.0MIAMarion REBOUND (Off:3 Def:4)47
65.9%
38
34.1%
Q2 - 0:51.0TORMISS Solomon Free Throw 2 of 247
66.2%
38
33.8%
Q2 - 0:51.0TORSolomon Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)47
68.0%
38
32.0%
Q2 - 1:01TORRaptors Rebound46
64.3%
38
35.7%
Q2 - 1:02MIAMISS Haslem 13' Jump Shot46
63.7%
38
36.3%
Q2 - 1:22MIAHEAT Rebound46
62.1%
38
37.9%
Q2 - 1:23TORMISS Solomon 13' Jump Shot46
62.8%
38
37.2%
Q2 - 1:28TORRaptors Rebound46
64.4%
38
35.6%
Q2 - 1:29TORWade BLOCK (3 BLK)46
62.8%
38
37.2%
Q2 - 1:46MIAQuinn 22' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Wade 3 AST)46
64.4%
38
35.6%
Q2 - 2:02TORBargnani 19' Jump Shot (14 PTS) (Solomon 4 AST)46
66.5%
36
33.5%
Q2 - 2:19TORBargnani REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)44
63.7%
36
36.3%
Q2 - 2:20MIAMISS Chalmers 6' Running Jump Shot44
62.8%
36
37.2%
Q2 - 2:29MIAMarion REBOUND (Off:3 Def:3)44
60.7%
36
39.3%
Q2 - 2:30TORMISS Kapono 24' 3PT Jump Shot44
61.6%
36
38.4%
Q2 - 2:39TORParker REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)44
63.8%
36
36.2%
Q2 - 2:40TORMISS Bargnani 26' 3PT Jump Shot44
61.7%
36
38.3%
Q2 - 2:51TORKapono REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)44
63.8%
36
36.2%
Q2 - 2:52MIAMISS Wade 20' Jump Shot44
62.9%
36
37.1%
Q2 - 3:15TORKapono 20' Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Solomon 3 AST)44
59.8%
36
40.2%
Q2 - 3:31TORO'Neal REBOUND (Off:4 Def:5)42
57.3%
36
42.7%
Q2 - 3:32MIAMISS Wade Free Throw 2 of 242
56.8%
36
43.2%
Q2 - 3:32MIAWade Free Throw 1 of 2 (12 PTS)42
54.7%
36
45.3%
Q2 - 3:39TORCalderon Foul Turnover (P1.T5)42
56.8%
35
43.2%
Q2 - 4:00MIAMarion Driving Finger Roll Layup (6 PTS) (Chalmers 3 AST)42
60.3%
35
39.7%
Q2 - 4:03MIAChalmers REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)42
61.9%
33
38.1%
Q2 - 4:04TORWade BLOCK (2 BLK)42
62.9%
33
37.1%
Q2 - 4:22MIAWade Traveling Turnover (P3.T8)42
65.0%
33
35.0%
Q2 - 4:42TORBargnani 21' Jump Shot (12 PTS)42
62.0%
33
38.0%
Q2 - 5:18MIAWade 10' Running Jump Shot (11 PTS)40
58.5%
33
41.5%
Q2 - 5:24MIAWade REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)40
61.5%
31
38.5%
Q2 - 5:26TORMISS O'Neal 20' Jump Shot40
62.3%
31
37.7%
Q2 - 5:51MIAHaslem 3 Second Violation Turnover (P1.T7)40
64.2%
31
35.8%
Q2 - 6:10TORO'Neal Layup (10 PTS)40
60.3%
31
39.7%
Q2 - 6:12TORO'Neal REBOUND (Off:4 Def:4)38
58.1%
31
41.9%
Q2 - 6:13TORMISS Moon 25' 3PT Jump Shot38
55.7%
31
44.3%
Q2 - 6:27MIAWade Lost Ball Turnover (P2.T6)38
58.1%
31
41.9%
Q2 - 6:41TORSolomon Discontinue Dribble Turnover (P1.T4)38
54.8%
31
45.2%
Q2 - 6:53TORRaptors Rebound38
58.1%
31
41.9%
Q2 - 6:54MIAMISS Wade 20' Jump Shot38
57.1%
31
42.9%
Q2 - 7:03MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:3 Def:4)38
54.4%
31
45.6%
Q2 - 7:04TORMISS O'Neal 13' Jump Shot38
55.2%
31
44.8%
Q2 - 7:15TORO'Neal REBOUND (Off:3 Def:4)38
57.2%
31
42.8%
Q2 - 7:16TORMISS Bosh Dunk38
55.3%
31
44.7%
Q2 - 7:17TORBosh REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)38
57.2%
31
42.8%
Q2 - 7:19TORMISS Kapono 14' Jump Shot38
55.3%
31
44.7%
Q2 - 7:35TORO'Neal REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)38
57.3%
31
42.7%
Q2 - 7:36MIAMISS Diawara 24' 3PT Jump Shot38
56.4%
31
43.6%
Q2 - 8:02TORO'Neal 5' Jump Shot (8 PTS)38
53.6%
31
46.4%
Q2 - 8:03TORO'Neal REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)36
50.8%
31
49.2%
Q2 - 8:05TORMISS O'Neal 4' Jump Shot36
49.0%
31
51.0%
Q2 - 8:06TORO'Neal REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)36
50.9%
31
49.1%
Q2 - 8:07TORMISS Bosh 9' Jump Shot36
49.0%
31
51.0%
Q2 - 8:27MIABeasley Foul Turnover (P2.T5)36
50.9%
31
49.1%
Q2 - 8:52TORKapono 21' Jump Shot (4 PTS)36
48.2%
31
51.8%
Q2 - 9:11MIABeasley 22' Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Quinn 3 AST)34
44.9%
31
55.1%
Q2 - 9:29TORBosh 19' Jump Shot (7 PTS)34
47.6%
29
52.4%
Q2 - 9:43MIADiawara 25' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Quinn 2 AST)32
44.9%
29
55.1%
Q2 - 9:55MIABeasley REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)32
50.3%
26
49.7%
Q2 - 9:57TORMISS Humphries 6' Jump Shot32
51.1%
26
48.9%
Q2 - 10:05MIABeasley Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T4)32
52.5%
26
47.5%
Q2 - 10:20TORBosh Free Throw 1 of 1 (5 PTS)32
49.8%
26
50.2%
Q2 - 10:35MIAChalmers Driving Layup (7 PTS)29
44.7%
26
55.3%
Q2 - 10:48TORKapono 21' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Solomon 2 AST)29
47.2%
24
52.8%
Q2 - 10:59MIABeasley Free Throw 2 of 2 (3 PTS)27
44.7%
24
55.3%
Q2 - 10:59MIAMISS Beasley Free Throw 1 of 227
45.2%
23
54.8%
Q2 - 11:20TORBosh 14' Fadeaway Jumper (2 PTS)27
44.4%
23
55.6%
Q2 - 11:45MIAChalmers Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T3)25
41.9%
23
58.1%
Q1 - 0:00.0MIA25
39.4%
23
60.6%
Q1 - 0:00.0MIAHEAT Rebound25
39.4%
23
60.6%
Q1 - 0:00.0MIAMISS Chalmers 64' 3PT Jump Shot25
41.2%
23
58.8%
Q1 - 0:00.0TORMoon Free Throw 2 of 2 (3 PTS)25
39.4%
23
60.6%
Q1 - 0:00.0TORMISS Moon Free Throw 1 of 224
38.9%
23
61.1%
Q1 - 0:03.0MIAQuinn Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T2)24
38.6%
23
61.4%
Q1 - 0:21.0TORMoon 20' Jump Shot (2 PTS)24
36.9%
23
63.1%
Q1 - 0:36.0MIAChalmers Free Throw 3 of 3 (5 PTS)22
34.1%
23
65.9%
Q1 - 0:36.0MIAMISS Chalmers Free Throw 2 of 322
34.7%
22
65.3%
Q1 - 0:36.0MIAChalmers Free Throw 1 of 3 (4 PTS)22
33.2%
22
66.8%
Q1 - 0:57.0MIAChalmers REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)22
36.9%
21
63.1%
Q1 - 0:59.0TORAnthony BLOCK (1 BLK)22
37.5%
21
62.5%
Q1 - 1:12MIAChalmers 25' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Quinn 1 AST)22
38.4%
21
61.6%
Q1 - 1:34TORHumphries Free Throw 2 of 2 (5 PTS)22
43.7%
18
56.3%
Q1 - 1:34TORHumphries Free Throw 1 of 2 (4 PTS)21
42.9%
18
57.1%
Q1 - 1:42TORHumphries REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)20
40.7%
18
59.3%
Q1 - 1:43MIAMISS Wade 22' Jump Shot20
40.2%
18
59.8%
Q1 - 1:56TORHumphries Free Throw 1 of 1 (3 PTS)20
39.1%
18
60.9%
Q1 - 1:58TORMoon REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)17
34.0%
18
66.0%
Q1 - 1:59MIAMarion REBOUND (Off:3 Def:2)17
32.6%
18
67.4%
Q1 - 1:59MIAMISS Marion Tip Shot17
33.6%
18
66.4%
Q1 - 2:02MIAMISS Anthony 4' Hook Shot17
33.7%
18
66.3%
Q1 - 2:10MIAAnthony REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)17
32.5%
18
67.5%
Q1 - 2:12TORMISS Humphries 15' Jump Shot17
33.0%
18
67.0%
Q1 - 2:28MIAMarion 16' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Wade 2 AST)17
34.2%
18
65.8%
Q1 - 2:38MIACook REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)17
36.7%
16
63.3%
Q1 - 2:39TORMISS Bargnani 14' Jump Shot17
37.2%
16
62.8%
Q1 - 2:54MIAWade Driving Dunk (9 PTS)17
38.4%
16
61.6%
Q1 - 3:01TORRaptors Turnover: Backcourt (T#3)17
40.7%
14
59.3%
Q1 - 3:16MIAWade 14' Fadeaway Jumper (7 PTS)17
42.9%
14
57.1%
Q1 - 3:29TORMarion STEAL (2 STL)17
45.2%
12
54.8%
Q1 - 3:49TORParker REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)17
47.4%
12
52.6%
Q1 - 3:50MIAMISS Haslem 17' Jump Shot17
46.7%
12
53.3%
Q1 - 4:06MIAMarion REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)17
44.4%
12
55.6%
Q1 - 4:07TORMISS Bosh 7' Turnaround Jump Shot17
45.1%
12
54.9%
Q1 - 4:22MIAWade Free Throw 1 of 1 (5 PTS)17
46.8%
12
53.2%
Q1 - 4:31MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:3 Def:3)17
51.1%
9
48.9%
Q1 - 4:32TORMISS Parker 7' Running Hook Shot17
51.8%
9
48.2%
Q1 - 4:45MIACook 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Chalmers 2 AST)17
53.5%
9
46.5%
Q1 - 4:51MIAChalmers REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)17
57.7%
6
42.3%
Q1 - 4:53TORWade BLOCK (1 BLK)17
58.4%
6
41.6%
Q1 - 5:06TORParker REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)17
59.3%
6
40.7%
Q1 - 5:07MIAMISS Marion 25' 3PT Jump Shot17
58.6%
6
41.4%
Q1 - 5:16MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:3 Def:2)17
56.9%
6
43.1%
Q1 - 5:17MIAMISS Haslem 7' Hook Shot17
58.6%
6
41.4%
Q1 - 5:19MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)17
56.9%
6
43.1%
Q1 - 5:21MIAMISS Chalmers 25' 3PT Jump Shot17
58.6%
6
41.4%
Q1 - 5:28MIAWade REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)17
57.0%
6
43.0%
Q1 - 5:29TORMISS Bargnani 18' Turnaround Jump Shot17
57.7%
6
42.3%
Q1 - 5:38TORBosh REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)17
59.3%
6
40.7%
Q1 - 5:39MIAMISS Wade Driving Dunk17
58.6%
6
41.4%
Q1 - 5:56MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)17
57.0%
6
43.0%
Q1 - 5:57TORMISS O'Neal 8' Turnaround Jump Shot17
57.7%
6
42.3%
Q1 - 6:11TORCalderon Free Throw Technical (1 PTS)17
58.5%
6
41.5%
Q1 - 6:20TORBosh REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)16
56.5%
6
43.5%
Q1 - 6:21MIAMISS Cook 24' 3PT Jump Shot16
55.8%
6
44.2%
Q1 - 6:25MIAMarion REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)16
54.3%
6
45.7%
Q1 - 6:26MIAMISS Cook 3PT Jump Shot16
55.8%
6
44.2%
Q1 - 6:44TORO'Neal 15' Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Calderon 2 AST)16
54.3%
6
45.7%
Q1 - 6:59TORBosh REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)14
52.3%
6
47.7%
Q1 - 7:00MIAMISS Haslem 16' Jump Shot14
51.6%
6
48.4%
Q1 - 7:10MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)14
49.7%
6
50.3%
Q1 - 7:11TORMISS Bosh 8' Turnaround Jump Shot14
50.4%
6
49.6%
Q1 - 7:23TORO'Neal REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)14
52.1%
6
47.9%
Q1 - 7:24MIAMISS Cook 21' Jump Shot14
51.3%
6
48.7%
Q1 - 7:42TORBargnani 9' Jump Shot (10 PTS)14
49.7%
6
50.3%
Q1 - 7:43TORBargnani REBOUND (Off:2 Def:0)12
47.8%
6
52.2%
Q1 - 7:44TORMISS Parker 20' Jump Shot12
46.2%
6
53.8%
Q1 - 7:51TORO'Neal REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)12
47.8%
6
52.2%
Q1 - 7:52MIAMISS Wade 12' Jump Shot12
47.1%
6
52.9%
Q1 - 8:10TORBargnani Dunk (8 PTS) (Calderon 1 AST)12
45.3%
6
54.7%
Q1 - 8:22TORO'Neal REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)10
43.2%
6
56.8%
Q1 - 8:23MIAMISS Marion Tip Shot10
42.6%
6
57.4%
Q1 - 8:24MIAMarion REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)10
41.2%
6
58.8%
Q1 - 8:26MIAMISS Haslem 16' Jump Shot10
42.6%
6
57.4%
Q1 - 8:41MIAMarion REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)10
41.2%
6
58.8%
Q1 - 8:42TORMISS Parker 16' Jump Shot10
41.8%
6
58.2%
Q1 - 8:48MIAWade Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T1)10
43.3%
6
56.7%
Q1 - 9:15TORO'Neal Driving Dunk (4 PTS)10
41.0%
6
59.0%
Q1 - 9:38MIAMarion 6' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Chalmers 1 AST)8
38.9%
6
61.1%
Q1 - 9:44TORMarion STEAL (1 STL)8
41.0%
4
59.0%
Q1 - 9:54MIAWade 5' Running Jump Shot (2 PTS)8
42.8%
4
57.2%
Q1 - 10:11TORO'Neal 12' Turnaround Jump Shot (2 PTS)8
43.7%
2
56.3%
Q1 - 10:29TORBosh REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)6
42.1%
2
57.9%
Q1 - 10:30MIAMISS Haslem 19' Jump Shot6
41.5%
2
58.5%
Q1 - 10:48TORBargnani Free Throw 1 of 1 (6 PTS)6
40.2%
2
59.8%
Q1 - 11:01MIABeasley 22' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Wade 1 AST)3
36.1%
2
63.9%
Q1 - 11:09MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)3
37.6%
0
62.4%
Q1 - 11:11MIAMISS Marion 6' Hook Shot3
38.7%
0
61.3%
Q1 - 11:29TORBargnani 25' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Parker 1 AST)3
37.7%
0
62.3%
Q1 - 11:37TORBargnani REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)0
34.6%
0
65.4%
Q1 - 11:38TORMISS Calderon 24' 3PT Jump Shot0
33.6%
0
66.4%
Q1 - 12:00MIAJump Ball Haslem vs. Bosh: Tip to O'Neal0
34.7%
0
65.3%

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

TOR
1.09 54.3%
MIA
1.01 50.5%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)
TOR
9
15
60%
MIA
13
25
52%
Midrange
TOR
20
54
37%
MIA
19
40
48%
3PT | Effective 3PT
TOR
9
13.5
13
69%
104%
MIA
7
10.5
23
30%
46%
Free Throws
TOR
16
20
80%
MIA
10
15
67%
Makes
Effective 3P Makes
%
Efficiency
Misses
Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|
TOR logo Raptors
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
A. Bargnani2578%12.5 / 16
A. Parker1973%9.5 / 13
J. O'Neal1647%8.0 / 17
C. Bosh1544%7.5 / 17
J. Calderon857%4.0 / 7
K. Humphries880%4.0 / 5
J. Kapono643%3.0 / 7
J. Moon350%1.5 / 3
W. Solomon117%0.5 / 3
TS Makes
TS Misses

Total Points

|
MIA logo Heat
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
D. Wade4063%20.0 / 32
S. Marion2059%10.0 / 17
D. Cook1042%5.0 / 12
M. Chalmers739%3.5 / 9
M. Beasley750%3.5 / 7
C. Quinn675%3.0 / 4
Y. Diawara375%1.5 / 2
U. Haslem213%1.0 / 8
J. Anthony0-0.0 / 1
TS Makes
TS Misses

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

TOR
79
+14
-10
93
MIA
77
+15
-10
92
Base
ORB
TOV

Scoring Efficiency

TOR
1.09 54.3%
MIA
1.01 50.5%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Efficiency & PaceThis Game
Efficiency
106.3
107.6
TOR 113.5 +4.3
MIA 109.2
Pace
92.6
90.2
TOR 88.1 +0.3
MIA 87.9
Avg. Poss. Time
15.4
16.3
TOR 16.3 +0.1
MIA 16.4
Four FactorsThis Game
EFG %
49.4%
50.0%
TOR 51.8% +3.5%
MIA 48.3%
TO %
13.8%
13.1%
TOR 12.5%
MIA 9.6% +2.9%
ORB %
24.1%
24.6%
TOR 25.0%
MIA 25.0%
FTrt
27.9
28.2
TOR 24.4 +7.4
MIA 17.0
Misc. StatsThis Game
AST %
60.1%
55.1%
TOR 47.4%
MIA 53.8% +6.4%
STL %
6.8%
8.7%
TOR 6.7% +1.0%
MIA 5.7%
BLK %
7.6%
9.2%
TOR 6.2%
MIA 10.1% +3.9%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Shooting EfficiencyThis Game
TS%
52.7%
52.6%
TOR 54.3% +3.8%
MIA 50.5%
Rim FG%
57.9%
59.5%
TOR 60.0% +8.0%
MIA 52.0%
Mid FG%
42.3%
41.8%
TOR 37.0%
MIA 47.5% +10.5%
3P %
37.2%
35.7%
TOR 69.2% +38.8%
MIA 30.4%
FT %
82.4%
75.4%
TOR 80.0% +13.3%
MIA 66.7%
Shot DistributionThis Game
Rim Att. %
28.4%
30.3%
TOR 18.3%
MIA 28.4% +10.1%
Mid Att. %
52.3%
45.2%
TOR 65.9%
MIA 45.5% +20.4%
3P Att. %
19.3%
24.5%
TOR 15.9%
MIA 26.1% +10.3%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.06 and 2.06.
Game TotalsTORMIA
Possessions8987
Possession Minutes24.223.8
Points10195
Rebounds4341
Assists1821
Steals65
Blocks47
Turnovers (Team)10 (3)10 (0)
Fouls
Off. Rebounds (Team)10 (4)11 (4)
Def. Rebounds (Team)33 (3)30 (1)
Field Goals38-8239-88
At-the-Rim FG9-1513-25
Midrange FG20-5419-40
2-Point FG29-6932-65
3-Point FG9-137-23
Free Throws16-2010-15
Fast Break Pts
2nd Chance Pts
Points in Paint
Pts off Turnovers
Bench Points
Biggest Lead

BOXSCORE

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PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
C · 6'11" 255 · 30
39.1
16
47%
17
3
0
1
4
1
4
13
0-0
-
8-17
47%
0-0
-
F · 6'11" 235 · 25
38.6
15
44%
11
1
2
1
1
3
3
8
1-1
100%
7-17
41%
0-0
-
F · 7'0" 245 · 23
37.1
25
78%
4
1
0
2
1
2
2
2
4-4
100%
6-11
55%
3-4
75%
G · 6'6" 210 · 33
35.2
19
73%
6
1
0
0
0
2
1
5
2-2
100%
1-7
14%
5-5
100%
G · 6'3" 200 · 27
32.2
8
57%
1
7
2
0
1
3
0
1
1-1
100%
2-5
40%
1-2
50%
F · 6'8" 215 · 28
16.6
6
43%
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-1
0%
3-6
50%
0-1
0%
G · 6'1" 185 · 30
15.8
1
17%
0
5
0
0
2
2
0
0
1-2
50%
0-2
0%
0-0
-
F · 6'8" 205 · 28
12.8
3
50%
1
0
2
0
1
1
0
1
1-2
50%
1-1
100%
0-1
0%
F · 6'9" 235 · 24
12.5
8
80%
2
0
0
0
0
3
0
2
6-7
86%
1-3
33%
0-0
-
G · 6'5" 190 · 24
F · 6'7" 230 · 26
F · 6'4" 220 · 24
#21 · F · 6'10" 280 · 22
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
TOTAL
240
101
54%
43
18
6
4
10
0
10
33
16-20
80%
29-69
42%
9-13
69%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.