FinalWin Prob.pScore
1439%92
96
1261%96
107
ORTG#PossPace
MIA logo MIA
104.39285.0
TOR logo TOR
115.193101.3

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

RaptorsHeatQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Scoring Margin

RaptorsHeatQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Play-by-Play

Score / WinProb
ClockTeamEventMIATOR
Q4 - 0:00.0MIA96
0%
107
100%
Q4 - 0:22.0MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:3 Def:7)96
0.1%
107
99.9%
Q4 - 0:22.0TORMISS Solomon Free Throw 2 of 296
0.1%
107
99.9%
Q4 - 0:22.0TORSolomon Free Throw 1 of 2 (15 PTS)96
0.1%
107
99.9%
Q4 - 0:25.0TORParker REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)96
0.1%
106
99.9%
Q4 - 0:26.0MIAMISS Cook 25' 3PT Jump Shot96
0.1%
106
99.9%
Q4 - 0:30.0MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:3 Def:6)96
0.1%
106
99.9%
Q4 - 0:31.0MIAMISS Quinn 3PT Jump Shot96
0.1%
106
99.9%
Q4 - 0:38.0TORSolomon Free Throw 2 of 2 (14 PTS)96
0.1%
106
99.9%
Q4 - 0:38.0TORSolomon Free Throw 1 of 2 (13 PTS)96
0.1%
105
99.9%
Q4 - 0:39.0MIAMarion Free Throw 1 of 1 (8 PTS)96
0.2%
104
99.8%
Q4 - 0:41.0MIAHeat Rebound93
0.1%
104
99.9%
Q4 - 0:42.0MIAParker BLOCK (1 BLK)93
0.1%
104
99.9%
Q4 - 0:44.0TORO'Neal Free Throw 1 of 1 (11 PTS)93
0.1%
104
99.9%
Q4 - 0:44.0TORBosh Free Throw Technical (27 PTS)93
0.1%
103
99.9%
Q4 - 0:44.0TORO'Neal Layup (10 PTS) (Solomon 11 AST)93
0.2%
102
99.8%
Q4 - 0:51.0MIAParker STEAL (2 STL)93
0.5%
100
99.5%
Q4 - 1:03TORBosh Slam Dunk (26 PTS) (Solomon 10 AST)93
1.6%
100
98.4%
Q4 - 1:18MIAWade Free Throw 2 of 2 (29 PTS)93
3.7%
98
96.3%
Q4 - 1:18MIAWade Free Throw 1 of 2 (28 PTS)92
3.3%
98
96.7%
Q4 - 1:24TORParker Free Throw 2 of 2 (10 PTS)91
2.5%
98
97.5%
Q4 - 1:24TORParker Free Throw 1 of 2 (9 PTS)91
2.7%
97
97.3%
Q4 - 1:36MIACook 21' Pullup Jump Shot (16 PTS)91
4.8%
96
95.2%
Q4 - 1:56TORRAPTORS Turnover: Shot Clock (T#20)89
3.6%
96
96.4%
Q4 - 1:57TORSolomon REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)89
2.1%
96
97.9%
Q4 - 1:59TORMISS O'Neal Layup89
3.0%
96
97.0%
Q4 - 2:00TORO'Neal REBOUND (Off:5 Def:13)89
2.1%
96
97.9%
Q4 - 2:02TORMISS O'Neal Layup89
3.2%
96
96.8%
Q4 - 2:21TORO'Neal REBOUND (Off:4 Def:13)89
2.0%
96
98.0%
Q4 - 2:22MIAMISS Wade 19' Pullup Jump Shot89
2.4%
96
97.6%
Q4 - 2:32MIAWade REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)89
3.9%
96
96.1%
Q4 - 2:34TORMISS O'Neal Layup89
3.1%
96
96.9%
Q4 - 2:36TORO'Neal REBOUND (Off:4 Def:12)89
2.0%
96
98.0%
Q4 - 2:37TORMISS Bosh 22' Step Back Jump Shot89
3.1%
96
96.9%
Q4 - 2:53MIAHaslem 4' Jump Shot (10 PTS) (Cook 2 AST)89
2.9%
96
97.1%
Q4 - 3:15TORBosh Foul Turnover (P4.T19)87
2.0%
96
98.0%
Q4 - 3:36MIAWade Dunk (27 PTS)87
2.4%
96
97.6%
Q4 - 3:38TORBosh Bad Pass Turnover (P3.T18)85
1.7%
96
98.3%
Q4 - 3:41TORBosh REBOUND (Off:2 Def:5)85
1.1%
96
98.9%
Q4 - 3:43MIAMISS Chalmers Driving Layup85
1.2%
96
98.8%
Q4 - 3:52MIAHeat Rebound85
1.6%
96
98.4%
Q4 - 3:52TORMISS Kapono 24' 3PT Jump Shot85
1.4%
96
98.6%
Q4 - 4:08MIAWade 20' Pullup Jump Shot (25 PTS) (Chalmers 3 AST)85
1.0%
96
99.0%
Q4 - 4:24TORO'Neal Traveling Turnover (P3.T17)83
0.7%
96
99.3%
Q4 - 4:43MIAWade 16' Pullup Jump Shot (23 PTS)83
0.5%
96
99.5%
Q4 - 4:52TORSolomon 25' 3PT Jump Shot (12 PTS) (Kapono 3 AST)81
0.3%
96
99.7%
Q4 - 4:58MIAParker STEAL (1 STL)81
0.7%
93
99.3%
Q4 - 5:06MIACook REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)81
1.8%
93
98.2%
Q4 - 5:07TORMISS O'Neal 12' Turnaround Hook Shot81
1.6%
93
98.4%
Q4 - 5:23TORBosh REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)81
1.2%
93
98.8%
Q4 - 5:24MIAMISS Haslem 6' Jump Hook Shot81
1.4%
93
98.6%
Q4 - 5:37TORSolomon Foul Turnover (P4.T16)81
1.7%
93
98.3%
Q4 - 5:48MIAHaslem Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T10)81
1.2%
93
98.8%
Q4 - 5:51MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:2 Def:6)81
1.7%
93
98.3%
Q4 - 5:52MIAMISS Cook 25' 3PT Pullup Jump Shot81
1.4%
93
98.6%
Q4 - 6:14MIAMarion REBOUND (Off:3 Def:1)81
2.5%
93
97.5%
Q4 - 6:15MIAMISS Quinn 25' 3PT Jump Shot81
2.0%
93
98.0%
Q4 - 6:24MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:1 Def:6)81
2.5%
93
97.5%
Q4 - 6:25TORMISS Moon 21' Jump Shot81
2.3%
93
97.7%
Q4 - 6:39TORMoon REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)81
1.8%
93
98.2%
Q4 - 6:41MIAMISS Wade 8' Driving Hook Shot81
2.0%
93
98.0%
Q4 - 6:53MIAQuinn Free Throw Technical (11 PTS)81
2.5%
93
97.5%
Q4 - 7:15TORKapono 26' 3PT Jump Shot (10 PTS) (Ukic 4 AST)80
2.5%
93
97.5%
Q4 - 7:18TORHumphries REBOUND (Off:4 Def:5)80
4.1%
90
95.9%
Q4 - 7:21MIAO'Neal BLOCK (2 BLK)80
4.5%
90
95.5%
Q4 - 7:27MIAMarion REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)80
5.5%
90
94.5%
Q4 - 7:28MIAMISS Cook 25' 3PT Jump Shot80
4.5%
90
95.5%
Q4 - 7:50TORHumphries Free Throw 2 of 2 (14 PTS)80
5.4%
90
94.6%
Q4 - 7:50TORHumphries Free Throw 1 of 2 (13 PTS)80
5.9%
89
94.1%
Q4 - 7:55MIAMoon STEAL (1 STL)80
6.9%
88
93.1%
Q4 - 8:01MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)80
10.4%
88
89.6%
Q4 - 8:02TORMISS Ukic 24' 3PT Jump Shot80
9.7%
88
90.3%
Q4 - 8:24TORO'Neal REBOUND (Off:3 Def:12)80
8.2%
88
91.8%
Q4 - 8:25MIAMISS Cook 25' 3PT Jump Shot80
8.8%
88
91.2%
Q4 - 8:36TORRAPTORS Turnover: Backcourt (T#15)80
10.3%
88
89.7%
Q4 - 8:48TORUkic REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)80
8.2%
88
91.8%
Q4 - 8:49MIAMISS Wade 24' 3PT Jump Shot80
8.8%
88
91.2%
Q4 - 8:53MIACook REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)80
10.3%
88
89.7%
Q4 - 8:55MIAO'Neal BLOCK (1 BLK)80
8.8%
88
91.2%
Q4 - 9:04MIAHeat Rebound80
11.7%
88
88.3%
Q4 - 9:04MIAMoon BLOCK (2 BLK)80
10.1%
88
89.9%
Q4 - 9:15TORKapono 21' Jump Shot (7 PTS) (Moon 4 AST)80
11.6%
88
88.4%
Q4 - 9:28MIABeasley Driving Layup (13 PTS)80
14.4%
86
85.6%
Q4 - 9:44TORMoon Free Throw 2 of 2 (8 PTS)78
11.6%
86
88.4%
Q4 - 9:44TORMoon Free Throw 1 of 2 (7 PTS)78
12.1%
85
87.9%
Q4 - 10:00TORO'Neal REBOUND (Off:3 Def:11)78
14.4%
84
85.6%
Q4 - 10:02MIAMISS Wade Driving Finger Roll Layup78
16.3%
84
83.7%
Q4 - 10:21TORBosh Slam Dunk (24 PTS) (Kapono 2 AST)78
18.4%
84
81.6%
Q4 - 10:33TORMoon REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)78
22.2%
82
77.8%
Q4 - 10:34MIAMISS Diawara 3PT Jump Shot78
23.4%
82
76.6%
Q4 - 10:51MIAHeat Rebound78
26.2%
82
73.8%
Q4 - 10:52TORMISS Kapono 18' Step Back Jump Shot78
24.9%
82
75.1%
Q4 - 11:08MIAKapono STEAL (3 STL)78
23.0%
82
77.0%
Q4 - 11:10MIABeasley REBOUND (Off:4 Def:2)78
26.8%
82
73.2%
Q4 - 11:12MIAMISS Beasley 4' Running Jump Shot78
24.1%
82
75.9%
Q4 - 11:25MIAAnthony REBOUND (Off:3 Def:1)78
26.8%
82
73.2%
Q4 - 11:26MIAMISS Cook 20' Jump Shot78
24.1%
82
75.9%
Q4 - 11:44TORHumphries Free Throw 2 of 2 (12 PTS)78
26.7%
82
73.3%
Q4 - 11:44TORHumphries Free Throw 1 of 2 (11 PTS)78
28.2%
81
71.8%
Q3 - 0:00.0TOR78
31.4%
80
68.6%
Q3 - 0:00.0TORRAPTORS Rebound78
31.4%
80
68.6%
Q3 - 0:00.0TORMISS Parker 26' 3PT Jump Shot78
34.5%
80
65.5%
Q3 - 0:06.0TORMoon REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)78
31.9%
80
68.1%
Q3 - 0:07.0MIAMISS Wade 15' Pullup Jump Shot78
33.1%
80
66.9%
Q3 - 0:28.0TORParker 8' Driving Hook Shot (8 PTS)78
35.9%
80
64.1%
Q3 - 0:37.0TORMoon REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)78
41.3%
78
58.7%
Q3 - 0:37.0MIAMoon BLOCK (1 BLK)78
42.6%
78
57.4%
Q3 - 0:41.0MIAAnthony REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)78
45.7%
78
54.3%
Q3 - 0:42.0MIAMISS Wade 19' Pullup Jump Shot78
42.6%
78
57.4%
Q3 - 0:49.0TORUkic Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T14)78
45.7%
78
54.3%
Q3 - 1:00MIAQuinn Driving Finger Roll Layup (10 PTS) (Wade 8 AST)78
41.3%
78
58.7%
Q3 - 1:13TORBosh Free Throw 2 of 2 (22 PTS)76
35.8%
78
64.2%
Q3 - 1:13TORBosh Free Throw 1 of 2 (21 PTS)76
36.5%
77
63.5%
Q3 - 1:29TORHumphries REBOUND (Off:4 Def:4)76
40.8%
76
59.2%
Q3 - 1:30MIAMISS Quinn 20' Pullup Jump Shot76
42.2%
76
57.8%
Q3 - 1:56TORSolomon 23' Jump Shot (9 PTS) (Moon 3 AST)76
45.2%
76
54.8%
Q3 - 2:16MIACook 25' 3PT Jump Shot (14 PTS) (Wade 7 AST)76
49.5%
74
50.5%
Q3 - 2:36TORHumphries 16' Jump Shot (10 PTS) (Moon 2 AST)73
40.3%
74
59.7%
Q3 - 2:53MIAQuinn 3PT Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Wade 6 AST)73
44.9%
72
55.1%
Q3 - 3:04TORMoon Free Throw 1 of 1 (6 PTS)70
35.9%
72
64.1%
Q3 - 3:17MIAWade 9' Pullup Jump Shot (21 PTS)70
44.2%
69
55.8%
Q3 - 3:32MIAHeat Rebound68
40.1%
69
59.9%
Q3 - 3:32TORMISS O'Neal 17' Pullup Jump Shot68
38.8%
69
61.2%
Q3 - 3:48TORO'Neal REBOUND (Off:3 Def:10)68
35.6%
69
64.4%
Q3 - 3:49MIAMISS Quinn 13' Pullup Jump Shot68
37.0%
69
63.0%
Q3 - 3:59MIAAnthony REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)68
40.2%
69
59.8%
Q3 - 3:59TORMISS Bosh Free Throw 2 of 268
39.5%
69
60.5%
Q3 - 3:59TORBosh Free Throw 1 of 2 (20 PTS)68
36.6%
69
63.4%
Q3 - 4:24MIABeasley Foul Turnover (P3.T7)68
39.5%
68
60.5%
Q3 - 4:44TORBosh Driving Layup (19 PTS)68
44.4%
68
55.6%
Q3 - 4:51TORParker REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)68
48.1%
66
51.9%
Q3 - 4:52TORMISS Bargnani 14' Pullup Jump Shot68
51.6%
66
48.4%
Q3 - 5:01MIAHaslem 17' Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Quinn 3 AST)68
47.3%
66
52.7%
Q3 - 5:18TORSolomon Layup (7 PTS) (Bargnani 3 AST)66
43.7%
66
56.3%
Q3 - 5:38MIAWade Driving Finger Roll Layup (19 PTS)66
47.3%
64
52.7%
Q3 - 5:45MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)64
43.7%
64
56.3%
Q3 - 5:46TORMISS Solomon 25' 3PT Jump Shot64
42.3%
64
57.7%
Q3 - 6:05MIAWade 22' Pullup Jump Shot (17 PTS)64
39.0%
64
61.0%
Q3 - 6:17TORBosh Free Throw 2 of 2 (17 PTS)62
35.5%
64
64.5%
Q3 - 6:17TORBosh Free Throw 1 of 2 (16 PTS)62
36.1%
63
63.9%
Q3 - 6:17TORBosh REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)62
39.0%
62
61.0%
Q3 - 6:19TORMISS Bosh 17' Jump Shot62
41.9%
62
58.1%
Q3 - 6:37MIAMarion 9' Running Hook Shot (5 PTS) (Haslem 1 AST)62
39.0%
62
61.0%
Q3 - 6:39MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)60
35.5%
62
64.5%
Q3 - 6:40MIAMISS Marion 3PT Jump Shot60
32.8%
62
67.2%
Q3 - 6:54TORBosh Driving Layup (15 PTS) (Solomon 9 AST)60
35.5%
62
64.5%
Q3 - 7:07MIAHaslem 4' Hook Shot (6 PTS) (Chalmers 2 AST)60
38.6%
60
61.4%
Q3 - 7:30TORParker Inbound Turnover (P2.T13)58
35.2%
60
64.8%
Q3 - 7:38TORBosh REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)58
31.6%
60
68.4%
Q3 - 7:39MIAMISS Beasley 25' 3PT Jump Shot58
32.7%
60
67.3%
Q3 - 7:58MIABeasley REBOUND (Off:3 Def:2)58
35.2%
60
64.8%
Q3 - 7:59TORMISS Bargnani 18' Pullup Jump Shot58
34.1%
60
65.9%
Q3 - 8:14TORRAPTORS Rebound58
31.5%
60
68.5%
Q3 - 8:14MIAMISS Chalmers 22' Jump Shot58
32.6%
60
67.4%
Q3 - 8:33TORBargnani Foul Turnover (P2.T12)58
35.2%
60
64.8%
Q3 - 8:49MIABeasley Tip Shot (11 PTS)58
31.5%
60
68.5%
Q3 - 8:51MIABeasley REBOUND (Off:3 Def:1)56
28.6%
60
71.4%
Q3 - 8:52MIAMISS Beasley Driving Layup56
26.4%
60
73.6%
Q3 - 9:08TORO'Neal Layup (8 PTS) (Solomon 8 AST)56
28.6%
60
71.4%
Q3 - 9:16TORBargnani REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)56
31.7%
58
68.3%
Q3 - 9:17MIAMISS Chalmers 25' 3PT Jump Shot56
32.7%
58
67.3%
Q3 - 9:42TORBargnani Driving Layup (12 PTS)56
35.1%
58
64.9%
Q3 - 9:50TORO'Neal REBOUND (Off:3 Def:9)56
38.4%
56
61.6%
Q3 - 9:52MIAMISS Beasley Driving Reverse Layup56
39.5%
56
60.5%
Q3 - 10:08TORO'Neal 19' Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Solomon 7 AST)56
41.7%
56
58.3%
Q3 - 10:18TORSolomon REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)56
45.1%
54
54.9%
Q3 - 10:19MIAMISS Haslem 19' Jump Shot56
46.2%
54
53.8%
Q3 - 10:30MIABeasley REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)56
48.8%
54
51.2%
Q3 - 10:31TORMISS Bosh 20' Jump Shot56
47.7%
54
52.3%
Q3 - 10:44MIAWade Palming Turnover (P2.T6)56
45.2%
54
54.8%
Q3 - 10:59TORBosh Layup (13 PTS) (O'Neal 1 AST)56
48.8%
54
51.2%
Q3 - 11:14MIABeasley Free Throw 2 of 2 (9 PTS)56
51.6%
52
48.4%
Q3 - 11:14MIABeasley Free Throw 1 of 2 (8 PTS)55
50.9%
52
49.1%
Q3 - 11:27TORO'Neal Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)54
48.4%
52
51.6%
Q3 - 11:27TORO'Neal Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)54
49.2%
51
50.8%
Q3 - 11:41TORO'Neal REBOUND (Off:3 Def:8)54
51.7%
50
48.3%
Q3 - 11:42MIAMISS Wade 18' Pullup Jump Shot54
52.8%
50
47.2%
Q2 - 0:00.0TOR54
55.4%
50
44.6%
Q2 - 0:00.0TORBosh REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)54
51.7%
50
48.3%
Q2 - 0:01.0MIAMISS Wade 25' 3PT Jump Shot54
52.6%
50
47.4%
Q2 - 0:24.0TORBargnani Driving Layup (10 PTS) (Moon 1 AST)54
54.3%
50
45.7%
Q2 - 0:36.0MIACook 26' 3PT Jump Shot (11 PTS) (Wade 5 AST)54
58.4%
48
41.6%
Q2 - 0:57.0TORBosh 17' Jump Shot (11 PTS)51
51.1%
48
48.9%
Q2 - 1:19MIAWade Driving Dunk (15 PTS)51
54.7%
46
45.3%
Q2 - 1:37MIACook REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)49
50.6%
46
49.4%
Q2 - 1:38TORMISS Moon 26' 3PT Jump Shot49
49.8%
46
50.2%
Q2 - 1:51TORParker REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)49
48.2%
46
51.8%
Q2 - 1:53MIAMISS Wade Driving Layup49
48.9%
46
51.1%
Q2 - 2:10TORParker Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T11)49
50.4%
46
49.6%
Q2 - 2:14TORSolomon REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)49
47.1%
46
52.9%
Q2 - 2:15TORMISS Parker 3PT Jump Shot49
49.4%
46
50.6%
Q2 - 2:30MIAWade Driving Dunk (13 PTS)49
47.1%
46
52.9%
Q2 - 2:33TORSolomon Bad Pass Turnover (P3.T10)47
44.0%
46
56.0%
Q2 - 2:45MIAWade Driving Layup (11 PTS) (Chalmers 1 AST)47
40.9%
46
59.1%
Q2 - 3:00TORMoon 20' Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Kapono 1 AST)45
37.9%
46
62.1%
Q2 - 3:12MIABeasley Step Out of Bounds Turnover (P2.T5)45
40.4%
44
59.6%
Q2 - 3:12MIABeasley REBOUND (Off:2 Def:0)45
44.0%
44
56.0%
Q2 - 3:13MIABosh BLOCK (2 BLK)45
41.5%
44
58.5%
Q2 - 3:16MIAMarion REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)45
44.0%
44
56.0%
Q2 - 3:18MIAMISS Beasley 20' Jump Shot45
41.5%
44
58.5%
Q2 - 3:32TORSolomon Traveling Turnover (P2.T9)45
44.0%
44
56.0%
Q2 - 3:44MIABeasley Free Throw 1 of 1 (7 PTS)45
40.4%
44
59.6%
Q2 - 3:59TORO'Neal Foul Turnover (P2.T8)42
35.0%
44
65.0%
Q2 - 3:59TORO'Neal REBOUND (Off:3 Def:7)42
31.8%
44
68.2%
Q2 - 3:59TORMISS O'Neal Tip Shot42
34.0%
44
66.0%
Q2 - 3:59TORO'Neal REBOUND (Off:2 Def:7)42
31.8%
44
68.2%
Q2 - 4:01TORMISS O'Neal Layup42
33.8%
44
66.2%
Q2 - 4:15MIAHaslem 16' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Marion 1 AST)42
31.9%
44
68.1%
Q2 - 4:22TORBosh Free Throw 2 of 2 (9 PTS)40
29.4%
44
70.6%
Q2 - 4:22TORBosh Free Throw 1 of 2 (8 PTS)40
29.8%
43
70.2%
Q2 - 4:31TORO'Neal REBOUND (Off:1 Def:7)40
31.9%
42
68.1%
Q2 - 4:32MIAMISS Wade 12' Pullup Jump Shot40
32.7%
42
67.3%
Q2 - 4:52TORO'Neal 11' Turnaround Fadeaway (2 PTS)40
34.8%
42
65.2%
Q2 - 5:16MIAWade 17' Pullup Jump Shot (9 PTS)40
37.6%
40
62.4%
Q2 - 5:25MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)38
34.8%
40
65.2%
Q2 - 5:26TORMISS Kapono 25' 3PT Jump Shot38
34.0%
40
66.0%
Q2 - 5:32MIAKapono STEAL (2 STL)38
32.2%
40
67.8%
Q2 - 5:47MIAMarion REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)38
34.7%
40
65.3%
Q2 - 5:47TORMISS Moon Free Throw 2 of 238
34.4%
40
65.6%
Q2 - 5:47TORMoon Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)38
32.7%
40
67.3%
Q2 - 5:52TORO'Neal REBOUND (Off:1 Def:6)38
34.8%
39
65.2%
Q2 - 5:54MIAMISS Wade Driving Layup38
35.6%
39
64.4%
Q2 - 6:18TORKapono 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Ukic 3 AST)38
37.7%
39
62.3%
Q2 - 6:24TORMoon REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)38
42.7%
36
57.3%
Q2 - 6:25MIAMISS Anthony Layup38
43.8%
36
56.2%
Q2 - 6:26MIAAnthony REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)38
46.1%
36
53.9%
Q2 - 6:27MIAMISS Diawara 3PT Jump Shot38
43.8%
36
56.2%
Q2 - 6:43TORKapono 16' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Ukic 2 AST)38
46.1%
36
53.9%
Q2 - 6:59MIADiawara Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)38
48.5%
34
51.5%
Q2 - 6:59MIADiawara Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)37
47.7%
34
52.3%
Q2 - 7:00MIADiawara REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)36
46.1%
34
53.9%
Q2 - 7:01MIAMISS Beasley 23' Jump Shot36
43.5%
34
56.5%
Q2 - 7:12MIADiawara REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)36
45.5%
34
54.5%
Q2 - 7:13TORMISS Bosh 20' Jump Shot36
44.7%
34
55.3%
Q2 - 7:29MIAAnthony Running Slam Dunk (2 PTS) (Cook 1 AST)36
42.7%
34
57.3%
Q2 - 7:44MIAQuinn REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)34
40.0%
34
60.0%
Q2 - 7:46TORMISS Bosh Layup34
39.2%
34
60.8%
Q2 - 7:58TORO'Neal REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)34
37.2%
34
62.8%
Q2 - 7:59MIAMISS Quinn 17' Pullup Jump Shot34
38.1%
34
61.9%
Q2 - 8:11MIAHeat Rebound34
39.7%
34
60.3%
Q2 - 8:12MIAMISS Cook 24' 3PT Pullup Jump Shot34
38.0%
34
62.0%
Q2 - 8:30TORBosh Free Throw 2 of 2 (7 PTS)34
39.7%
34
60.3%
Q2 - 8:30TORMISS Bosh Free Throw 1 of 234
40.2%
33
59.8%
Q2 - 8:35TORRAPTORS Rebound34
39.8%
33
60.2%
Q2 - 8:35TORMISS Kapono 17' Pullup Jump Shot34
41.6%
33
58.4%
Q2 - 8:44TORHumphries REBOUND (Off:4 Def:3)34
39.8%
33
60.2%
Q2 - 8:45MIAMISS Diawara 24' 3PT Jump Shot34
40.6%
33
59.4%
Q2 - 9:00TORKapono Traveling Turnover (P1.T7)34
42.4%
33
57.6%
Q2 - 9:05TORHumphries REBOUND (Off:4 Def:2)34
39.4%
33
60.6%
Q2 - 9:06TORMISS Bargnani 26' 3PT Jump Shot34
41.2%
33
58.8%
Q2 - 9:09TORHumphries REBOUND (Off:3 Def:2)34
39.4%
33
60.6%
Q2 - 9:11TORMISS O'Neal 13' Jump Shot34
41.2%
33
58.8%
Q2 - 9:29MIACook 3PT Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Quinn 2 AST)34
39.4%
33
60.6%
Q2 - 9:49TORHumphries Driving Layup (8 PTS) (Ukic 1 AST)31
34.5%
33
65.5%
Q2 - 10:00TORHumphries REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)31
36.9%
31
63.1%
Q2 - 10:01MIAMISS Quinn 19' Jump Shot31
37.7%
31
62.3%
Q2 - 10:22TORHumphries 15' Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Bargnani 2 AST)31
39.4%
31
60.6%
Q2 - 10:28TORBargnani REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)31
41.9%
29
58.1%
Q2 - 10:30TORMISS Bargnani 16' Jump Shot31
43.7%
29
56.3%
Q2 - 10:43MIABeasley Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)31
41.9%
29
58.1%
Q2 - 10:43MIABeasley Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)30
41.3%
29
58.7%
Q2 - 10:53TORRAPTORS Turnover: Shot Clock (T#6)29
39.4%
29
60.6%
Q2 - 10:53TORRAPTORS Rebound29
36.9%
29
63.1%
Q2 - 10:53TORMISS Ukic 18' Fadeaway Jumper29
38.6%
29
61.4%
Q2 - 10:54TORUkic REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)29
36.9%
29
63.1%
Q2 - 10:56TORMISS Ukic 12' Running Jump Shot29
38.6%
29
61.4%
Q2 - 11:18MIACook Free Throw 2 of 2 (5 PTS)29
36.9%
29
63.1%
Q2 - 11:18MIACook Free Throw 1 of 2 (4 PTS)28
36.5%
29
63.5%
Q2 - 11:35TORBargnani 3 Second Violation Turnover (P1.T5)27
34.6%
29
65.4%
Q2 - 11:45MIAKapono STEAL (1 STL)27
32.3%
29
67.7%
Q1 - 0:00.0TOR27
34.6%
29
65.4%
Q1 - 0:00.0MIAQuinn 26' 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Wade 3 AST)27
32.3%
29
67.7%
Q1 - 0:19.0TORSolomon 25' 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Humphries 2 AST)24
27.8%
29
72.2%
Q1 - 0:24.0TORHumphries REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)24
32.5%
26
67.5%
Q1 - 0:25.0TORMISS Humphries 8' Driving Hook Shot24
33.6%
26
66.4%
Q1 - 0:39.0MIACook 27' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Quinn 1 AST)24
32.4%
26
67.6%
Q1 - 1:06TORBargnani 12' Turnaround Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Parker 1 AST)21
28.1%
26
71.9%
Q1 - 1:18TORHumphries REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)21
30.6%
24
69.4%
Q1 - 1:19MIAMISS Wade 17' Turnaround Fadeaway Shot21
31.0%
24
69.0%
Q1 - 1:40TORSolomon 22' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Humphries 1 AST)21
32.0%
24
68.0%
Q1 - 1:44TORHumphries REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)21
34.8%
22
65.2%
Q1 - 1:45TORMISS Solomon 25' 3PT Jump Shot21
35.8%
22
64.2%
Q1 - 1:59TORRAPTORS Rebound21
34.8%
22
65.2%
Q1 - 2:00TORMISS Bargnani 11' Turnaround Jump Shot21
35.8%
22
64.2%
Q1 - 2:17TORBargnani REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)21
34.7%
22
65.3%
Q1 - 2:19MIAMISS Blount 13' Turnaround Fadeaway Shot21
35.3%
22
64.7%
Q1 - 2:34MIABlount REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)21
36.5%
22
63.5%
Q1 - 2:35TORMISS Humphries Free Throw 1 of 121
36.2%
22
63.8%
Q1 - 2:54MIAWade Free Throw 1 of 1 (7 PTS)21
39.0%
20
61.0%
Q1 - 3:13TORHumphries Slam Dunk (2 PTS) (Solomon 5 AST)18
34.5%
20
65.5%
Q1 - 3:29MIAQuinn 20' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Wade 2 AST)18
36.6%
18
63.4%
Q1 - 3:36MIACook REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)16
34.5%
18
65.5%
Q1 - 3:38TORMISS Bosh 6' Turnaround Fadeaway Shot16
33.9%
18
66.1%
Q1 - 3:52TORBosh REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)16
32.5%
18
67.5%
Q1 - 3:53MIAMISS Cook 22' Jump Shot16
33.1%
18
66.9%
Q1 - 4:06TORBosh Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T4)16
34.3%
18
65.7%
Q1 - 4:22TORO'Neal REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)16
32.3%
18
67.7%
Q1 - 4:23MIAMISS Haslem 16' Jump Shot16
32.9%
18
67.1%
Q1 - 4:41TORBosh Driving Finger Roll Layup (6 PTS) (Solomon 4 AST)16
34.3%
18
65.7%
Q1 - 4:51TORO'Neal REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)16
36.3%
16
63.7%
Q1 - 4:52MIAMISS Wade 22' Jump Shot16
36.9%
16
63.1%
Q1 - 5:13TORBargnani 14' Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Solomon 3 AST)16
38.4%
16
61.6%
Q1 - 5:27MIAMarion 25' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Wade 1 AST)16
40.2%
14
59.8%
Q1 - 5:37MIAWade REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)13
36.4%
14
63.6%
Q1 - 5:38TORMISS Bosh 18' Jump Shot13
35.7%
14
64.3%
Q1 - 5:51MIAWade 17' Pullup Jump Shot (4 PTS)13
34.2%
14
65.8%
Q1 - 5:58TORBosh Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T3)11
32.5%
14
67.5%
Q1 - 6:16TORSolomon REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)11
30.4%
14
69.6%
Q1 - 6:17MIAMISS Wade Driving Layup11
30.9%
14
69.1%
Q1 - 6:34TORParker 24' 3PT Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Solomon 2 AST)11
32.3%
14
67.7%
Q1 - 6:43TORBosh REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)11
36.0%
11
64.0%
Q1 - 6:44TORMISS Bargnani 3PT Jump Shot11
37.5%
11
62.5%
Q1 - 6:55MIABargnani STEAL (1 STL)11
36.0%
11
64.0%
Q1 - 7:02MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)11
38.0%
11
62.0%
Q1 - 7:03TORMISS Solomon 16' Floating Jump Shot11
37.3%
11
62.7%
Q1 - 7:28MIAWade 21' Pullup Jump Shot (2 PTS)11
35.8%
11
64.2%
Q1 - 7:37MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)9
34.1%
11
65.9%
Q1 - 7:38TORMISS Solomon 25' 3PT Jump Shot9
33.4%
11
66.6%
Q1 - 7:44TORO'Neal REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)9
32.0%
11
68.0%
Q1 - 7:45TORMISS O'Neal Layup9
33.4%
11
66.6%
Q1 - 7:57TORO'Neal REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)9
32.0%
11
68.0%
Q1 - 7:58MIABosh BLOCK (1 BLK)9
32.6%
11
67.4%
Q1 - 8:24TORParker 25' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Bargnani 1 AST)9
33.8%
11
66.2%
Q1 - 8:42MIABeasley 20' Jump Shot (2 PTS)9
37.7%
8
62.3%
Q1 - 8:46MIAMISS Wade Free Throw Technical7
35.7%
8
64.3%
Q1 - 8:56MIAWade REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)7
35.7%
8
64.3%
Q1 - 8:58TORMISS O'Neal Dunk7
35.2%
8
64.8%
Q1 - 9:00TORRAPTORS Rebound7
33.8%
8
66.2%
Q1 - 9:00TORMISS Bosh 9' Turnaround Jump Shot7
35.2%
8
64.8%
Q1 - 9:16MIAChalmers 25' 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Beasley 2 AST)7
34.2%
8
65.8%
Q1 - 9:22MIABeasley REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)4
30.5%
8
69.5%
Q1 - 9:23MIAMISS Beasley 17' Pullup Jump Shot4
29.5%
8
70.5%
Q1 - 9:31TORSolomon Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T2)4
30.5%
8
69.5%
Q1 - 9:37TORO'Neal REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)4
29.0%
8
71.0%
Q1 - 9:38MIAMISS Wade 21' Pullup Jump Shot4
29.4%
8
70.6%
Q1 - 9:55TORBargnani Driving Layup (4 PTS) (Solomon 1 AST)4
30.5%
8
69.5%
Q1 - 10:03TORBargnani REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)4
32.5%
6
67.5%
Q1 - 10:04MIAMISS Beasley 7' Running Jump Shot4
33.0%
6
67.0%
Q1 - 10:20TORBosh Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)4
34.2%
6
65.8%
Q1 - 10:20TORBosh Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)4
34.5%
5
65.5%
Q1 - 10:32MIAHaslem 17' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Beasley 1 AST)4
35.8%
4
64.2%
Q1 - 10:58TORBargnani 7' Turnaround Fadeaway (2 PTS) (Bosh 1 AST)2
34.2%
4
65.8%
Q1 - 11:12MIAChalmers 9' Running Jump Shot (2 PTS)2
35.5%
2
64.5%
Q1 - 11:27TORBosh Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)0
34.1%
2
65.9%
Q1 - 11:27TORBosh Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)0
34.3%
1
65.7%
Q1 - 11:33MIASolomon STEAL (1 STL)0
35.6%
0
64.4%
Q1 - 11:47TORO'Neal Traveling Turnover (P1.T1)0
37.2%
0
62.8%
Q1 - 12:00TORJump Ball Bosh vs. Haslem: Tip to O'Neal0
35.6%
0
64.4%

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

MIA
0.98 49.0%
TOR
1.09 54.6%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)
MIA
13
25
52%
TOR
14
22
64%
Midrange
MIA
16
43
37%
TOR
16
37
43%
3PT | Effective 3PT
MIA
8
12.0
24
33%
50%
TOR
6
9.0
17
35%
53%
Free Throws
MIA
14
15
93%
TOR
29
34
85%
Makes
Effective 3P Makes
%
Efficiency
Misses
Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|
MIA logo Heat
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
D. Wade2945%14.5 / 32
D. Cook1657%8.0 / 14
M. Beasley1341%6.5 / 16
C. Quinn1155%5.5 / 10
U. Haslem1063%5.0 / 8
S. Marion880%4.0 / 5
M. Chalmers550%2.5 / 5
J. Anthony250%1.0 / 2
Y. Diawara225%1.0 / 4
M. Blount0-0.0 / 1
TS Makes
TS Misses

Total Points

|
TOR logo Raptors
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
C. Bosh2761%13.5 / 22
W. Solomon1568%7.5 / 11
K. Humphries1488%7.0 / 8
A. Bargnani1250%6.0 / 12
J. O'Neal1134%5.5 / 16
A. Parker1083%5.0 / 6
J. Kapono1063%5.0 / 8
J. Moon867%4.0 / 6
R. Ukic0-0.0 / 3
TS Makes
TS Misses

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

MIA
80
+18
-12
98
TOR
76
+21
-17
97
Base
ORB
TOV

Scoring Efficiency

MIA
0.98 49.0%
TOR
1.09 54.6%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Efficiency & PaceThis Game
Efficiency
107.6
106.3
MIA 104.3
TOR 115.1 +10.7
Pace
90.2
92.6
MIA 85.0
TOR 101.3 +16.3
Avg. Poss. Time
16.3
15.4
MIA 16.9
TOR 14.2 +2.7
Four FactorsThis Game
EFG %
50.0%
49.4%
MIA 44.6%
TOR 51.3% +6.7%
TO %
13.1%
13.8%
MIA 10.8% +7.2%
TOR 18.0%
ORB %
24.6%
24.1%
MIA 29.4%
TOR 44.4% +15.0%
FTrt
28.2
27.9
MIA 16.3
TOR 44.7 +28.4
Misc. StatsThis Game
AST %
55.1%
60.1%
MIA 56.8%
TOR 86.1% +29.3%
STL %
8.7%
6.8%
MIA 6.5%
TOR 8.6% +2.1%
BLK %
9.2%
7.6%
MIA 16.9% +6.6%
TOR 10.3%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Shooting EfficiencyThis Game
TS%
52.6%
52.7%
MIA 49.0%
TOR 54.6% +5.6%
Rim FG%
59.5%
57.9%
MIA 52.0%
TOR 63.6% +11.6%
Mid FG%
41.8%
42.3%
MIA 37.2%
TOR 43.2% +6.0%
3P %
35.7%
37.2%
MIA 33.3%
TOR 35.3% +2.0%
FT %
75.4%
82.4%
MIA 93.3% +8.0%
TOR 85.3%
Shot DistributionThis Game
Rim Att. %
30.3%
28.4%
MIA 27.2%
TOR 28.9% +1.8%
Mid Att. %
45.2%
52.3%
MIA 46.7% +1.9%
TOR 48.7%
3P Att. %
24.5%
19.3%
MIA 26.1% +3.7%
TOR 22.4%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.06 and 2.06.
Game TotalsMIATOR
Possessions9293
Possession Minutes26.022.0
Points96107
Rebounds3552
Assists2131
Steals68
Blocks107
Turnovers (Team)12 (0)17 (3)
Fouls
Off. Rebounds (Team)15 (3)16 (5)
Def. Rebounds (Team)20 (3)36 (1)
Field Goals37-9236-76
At-the-Rim FG13-2514-22
Midrange FG16-4316-37
2-Point FG29-6830-59
3-Point FG8-246-17
Free Throws14-1529-34
Fast Break Pts
2nd Chance Pts
Points in Paint
Pts off Turnovers
Bench Points
Biggest Lead

BOXSCORE

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PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
G · 6'4" 220 · 27
40.5
29
45%
3
8
4
2
4
2
0
3
3-4
75%
13-28
46%
0-3
0%
C · 6'8" 235 · 28
37.5
10
63%
10
1
1
1
2
4
3
7
0-0
-
5-8
63%
0-0
-
F · 6'7" 228 · 31
35.3
8
80%
4
1
0
4
1
3
3
1
1-1
100%
2-3
67%
1-2
50%
F · 6'9" 235 · 20
25.7
13
41%
6
2
0
0
4
3
4
2
5-5
100%
4-13
31%
0-1
0%
G · 6'2" 190 · 22
23.7
5
50%
0
3
1
0
1
6
0
0
0-0
-
1-3
33%
1-2
50%
G · 6'5" 210 · 22
31.1
16
57%
4
3
0
0
0
3
1
3
2-2
100%
1-4
25%
4-9
44%
G · 6'2" 175 · 25
24.3
11
55%
1
3
0
0
0
1
0
1
1-1
100%
2-6
33%
2-4
50%
C · 6'9" 245 · 26
11.5
2
50%
4
0
0
2
0
1
3
1
0-0
-
1-2
50%
0-0
-
F-G · 6'7" 225 · 26
7.5
2
25%
2
0
0
1
0
0
1
1
2-2
100%
0-0
-
0-3
0%
C-F · 7'0" 250 · 33
2.9
0
0%
1
0
0
0
0
1
0
1
0-0
-
0-1
0%
0-0
-
G · 6'2" 205 · 27
G · 6'7" 192 · 23
#22 · G-F · 6'8" 218 · 28
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
#21 · C · 6'11" 265 · 30
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
#1 · F-G · 6'9" 205 · 23
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
TOTAL
240
96
49%
35
21
6
10
12
0
15
20
14-15
93%
29-68
43%
8-24
33%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.