Dunks & Threes: Pro Basketball Analysis

All Games Thursday, November 13, 2008

Final			Win Prob.	pScore
	10	Nuggets	34%	97	99
	4	Cavaliers	66%	102	110

	ORTG	#Poss	Pace
DEN	115.1	86	98.9
CLE	125.0	88	77.8

Scoring Opportunities

DEN

+12

-13

CLE

-9

Base

ORB

TOV

Scoring Efficiency

DEN

1.14 56.9%

CLE

1.25 62.5%

Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

			Score / WinProb
Clock	Team	Event	DEN	CLE
Q4 - 0:00.0	CLE		99 0%	110 100%
Q4 - 0:03.0	CLE	CAVALIERS Rebound	99 0%	110 100%
Q4 - 0:04.0	DEN	MISS Kleiza 24' 3PT Jump Shot	99 0%	110 100%
Q4 - 0:15.0	CLE	Szczerbiak Free Throw 2 of 2 (10 PTS)	99 0.1%	110 99.9%
Q4 - 0:15.0	CLE	Szczerbiak Free Throw 1 of 2 (9 PTS)	99 0.1%	109 99.9%
Q4 - 0:28.0	DEN	Billups 1' Driving Layup (26 PTS)	99 0.1%	108 99.9%
Q4 - 0:32.0	DEN	Smith REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)	97 0.1%	108 99.9%
Q4 - 0:35.0	CLE	MISS Williams 17' Fadeaway Jumper	97 0.1%	108 99.9%
Q4 - 0:55.0	CLE	Varejao Free Throw Flagrant 2 of 2 (6 PTS)	97 0.1%	108 99.9%
Q4 - 0:55.0	CLE	Varejao Free Throw Flagrant 1 of 2 (5 PTS)	97 0.1%	107 99.9%
Q4 - 1:09	DEN	Billups 12' Fadeaway Jumper (24 PTS)	97 0.3%	106 99.7%
Q4 - 1:19	CLE	Williams Reverse Layup (24 PTS) (James 11 AST)	95 0.2%	106 99.8%
Q4 - 1:26	CLE	Williams Free Throw Technical (22 PTS)	95 0.4%	104 99.6%
Q4 - 1:42	CLE	Szczerbiak REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)	95 1.1%	103 98.9%
Q4 - 1:44	DEN	MISS Billups 26' 3PT Jump Shot	95 1.3%	103 98.7%
Q4 - 1:49	CLE	James Bad Pass Turnover (P5.T9)	95 2.1%	103 97.9%
Q4 - 2:07	CLE	Gibson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)	95 1.1%	103 98.9%
Q4 - 2:10	DEN	MISS Anthony 2' Reverse Layup	95 1.4%	103 98.6%
Q4 - 2:23	DEN	Nene REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)	95 2.2%	103 97.8%
Q4 - 2:24	CLE	MISS Gibson 16' Jump Shot	95 1.8%	103 98.2%
Q4 - 2:54	DEN	Smith 1' Reverse Layup (18 PTS)	95 1.7%	103 98.3%
Q4 - 2:59	CLE	Williams Poss Lost Ball Turnover (P2.T8)	93 1.2%	103 98.8%
Q4 - 3:26	CLE	Varejao REBOUND (Off:0 Def:8)	93 0.6%	103 99.4%
Q4 - 3:28	DEN	MISS Smith 26' 3PT Jump Shot	93 0.8%	103 99.2%
Q4 - 3:44	DEN	Nuggets Rebound	93 2.1%	103 97.9%
Q4 - 3:45	CLE	MISS James 23' Jump Shot	93 1.9%	103 98.1%
Q4 - 4:04	DEN	Nene Free Throw 2 of 2 (12 PTS)	93 1.3%	103 98.7%
Q4 - 4:04	DEN	Nene Free Throw 1 of 2 (11 PTS)	92 1.2%	103 98.8%
Q4 - 4:20	DEN	Martin REBOUND (Off:3 Def:7)	91 0.9%	103 99.1%
Q4 - 4:21	CLE	MISS Williams 17' Running Jump Shot	91 0.8%	103 99.2%
Q4 - 4:39	CLE	Varejao REBOUND (Off:0 Def:7)	91 0.6%	103 99.4%
Q4 - 4:41	DEN	MISS Carter 24' 3PT Jump Shot	91 0.7%	103 99.3%
Q4 - 4:56	DEN	Billups REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)	91 0.9%	103 99.1%
Q4 - 4:57	CLE	MISS Williams 29' 3PT Jump Shot	91 0.8%	103 99.2%
Q4 - 5:23	DEN	Williams STEAL (1 STL)	91 1.1%	103 98.9%
Q4 - 5:31	DEN	Nuggets Rebound	91 1.6%	103 98.4%
Q4 - 5:31	DEN	MISS Billups 2' Layup	91 1.2%	103 98.8%
Q4 - 5:55	CLE	Williams 25' 3PT Jump Shot (21 PTS)	91 1.5%	103 98.5%
Q4 - 6:11	CLE	Varejao REBOUND (Off:0 Def:6)	91 4.0%	100 96.0%
Q4 - 6:12	DEN	MISS Smith 17' Jump Shot	91 4.4%	100 95.6%
Q4 - 6:23	CLE	Williams 7' Running Jump Shot (18 PTS)	91 5.4%	100 94.6%
Q4 - 6:35	DEN	Smith 27' 3PT Jump Shot (16 PTS) (Carter 2 AST)	91 7.0%	98 93.0%
Q4 - 6:49	CLE	Gibson Driving Layup (15 PTS)	88 4.0%	98 96.0%
Q4 - 7:07	DEN	Nene Foul Turnover (P2.T13)	88 6.2%	96 93.8%
Q4 - 7:08	DEN	Carter REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)	88 8.2%	96 91.8%
Q4 - 7:11	CLE	MISS Gibson 8' Running Jump Shot	88 7.5%	96 92.5%
Q4 - 7:34	CLE	Szczerbiak REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)	88 6.1%	96 93.9%
Q4 - 7:35	DEN	MISS Kleiza 3PT Jump Shot	88 6.7%	96 93.3%
Q4 - 7:48	CLE	Szczerbiak 15' Jump Shot (8 PTS)	88 8.1%	96 91.9%
Q4 - 8:09	DEN	Kleiza 24' 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Smith 3 AST)	88 11.6%	94 88.4%
Q4 - 8:23	CLE	West Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T7)	85 7.1%	94 92.9%
Q4 - 8:38	DEN	Smith Driving Layup (13 PTS)	85 5.6%	94 94.4%
Q4 - 8:54	CLE	Szczerbiak Dunk (6 PTS) (James 10 AST)	83 4.3%	94 95.7%
Q4 - 8:59	CLE	West REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)	83 5.6%	92 94.4%
Q4 - 9:00	DEN	MISS Balkman 1' Layup	83 6.0%	92 94.0%
Q4 - 9:05	DEN	Kleiza REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)	83 8.2%	92 91.8%
Q4 - 9:07	CLE	MISS James 15' Turnaround Jump Shot	83 7.7%	92 92.3%
Q4 - 9:28	DEN	Anthony Foul Turnover (P6.T12)	83 6.6%	92 93.4%
Q4 - 9:33	DEN	Balkman REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)	83 8.2%	92 91.8%
Q4 - 9:34	CLE	MISS James 20' Jump Shot	83 7.6%	92 92.4%
Q4 - 9:55	CLE	Szczerbiak REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)	83 6.6%	92 93.4%
Q4 - 9:56	CLE	MISS Gibson 15' Jump Shot	83 7.6%	92 92.4%
Q4 - 10:22	DEN	Smith 17' Jump Shot (11 PTS)	83 7.3%	92 92.7%
Q4 - 10:41	CLE	Gibson 11' Running Bank Shot (13 PTS)	81 5.9%	92 94.1%
Q4 - 10:56	CLE	Varejao REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)	81 7.3%	90 92.7%
Q4 - 10:57	DEN	MISS Smith 18' Jump Shot	81 7.7%	90 92.3%
Q4 - 11:15	CLE	Gibson 6' Running Jump Shot (11 PTS)	81 9.7%	90 90.3%
Q4 - 11:30	CLE	Gibson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)	81 11.8%	88 88.2%
Q4 - 11:31	DEN	MISS Anthony 2' Layup	81 12.5%	88 87.5%
Q4 - 11:45	DEN	Anthony REBOUND (Off:2 Def:6)	81 14.1%	88 85.9%
Q4 - 11:47	CLE	MISS Gibson 3PT Jump Shot	81 13.4%	88 86.6%
Q3 - 0:00.0	DEN		81 11.8%	88 88.2%
Q3 - 0:00.0	DEN	Nuggets Rebound	81 14.1%	88 85.9%
Q3 - 0:00.0	DEN	MISS Smith 57' 3PT Jump Shot	81 12.5%	88 87.5%
Q3 - 0:00.0	CLE	James 19' Jump Shot (22 PTS)	81 14.1%	88 85.9%
Q3 - 0:25.0	CLE	Varejao REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)	81 17.8%	86 82.2%
Q3 - 0:26.0	DEN	MISS Billups 25' 3PT Jump Shot	81 18.6%	86 81.4%
Q3 - 0:36.0	CLE	Gibson 25' 3PT Jump Shot (9 PTS) (James 9 AST)	81 20.6%	86 79.4%
Q3 - 0:57.0	CLE	Gibson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)	81 28.5%	83 71.5%
Q3 - 0:58.0	CLE	MISS James 21' Jump Shot	81 31.2%	83 68.8%
Q3 - 1:21	DEN	Smith 26' 3PT Jump Shot (9 PTS) (Billups 6 AST)	81 28.4%	83 71.6%
Q3 - 1:35	CLE	James Free Throw 1 of 1 (20 PTS)	78 20.8%	83 79.2%
Q3 - 1:39	DEN	James STEAL (3 STL)	78 28.4%	80 71.6%
Q3 - 1:40	DEN	Balkman REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)	78 32.2%	80 67.8%
Q3 - 1:41	DEN	MISS Balkman Layup	78 29.6%	80 70.4%
Q3 - 1:58	CLE	Wallace Free Throw 2 of 2 (11 PTS)	78 32.2%	80 67.8%
Q3 - 1:58	CLE	Wallace Free Throw 1 of 2 (10 PTS)	78 34.5%	79 65.5%
Q3 - 2:16	DEN	Anthony 1' Running Dunk (18 PTS) (Billups 5 AST)	78 36.4%	78 63.6%
Q3 - 2:34	CLE	Wallace 6' Hook Shot (9 PTS) (James 8 AST)	76 32.2%	78 67.8%
Q3 - 2:56	CLE	Wallace REBOUND (Off:3 Def:3)	76 36.5%	76 63.5%
Q3 - 2:57	DEN	MISS Nene 17' Jump Shot	76 37.8%	76 62.2%
Q3 - 3:07	DEN	Martin REBOUND (Off:3 Def:6)	76 40.3%	76 59.7%
Q3 - 3:09	CLE	MISS Williams 15' Fadeaway Jumper	76 38.9%	76 61.1%
Q3 - 3:29	CLE	CAVALIERS Rebound	76 35.8%	76 64.2%
Q3 - 3:30	DEN	MISS Anthony 24' 3PT Jump Shot	76 37.2%	76 62.8%
Q3 - 3:41	CLE	James Bad Pass Turnover (P4.T6)	76 40.3%	76 59.7%
Q3 - 4:01	CLE	Ilgauskas REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)	76 35.4%	76 64.6%
Q3 - 4:02	CLE	MISS Williams 26' 3PT Jump Shot	76 38.7%	76 61.3%
Q3 - 4:08	CLE	Wallace REBOUND (Off:3 Def:2)	76 35.4%	76 64.6%
Q3 - 4:09	CLE	MISS Ilgauskas 20' Jump Shot	76 38.7%	76 61.3%
Q3 - 4:32	DEN	Nene 1' Layup (10 PTS) (Smith 2 AST)	76 35.4%	76 64.6%
Q3 - 4:40	DEN	Martin REBOUND (Off:3 Def:5)	74 32.1%	76 67.9%
Q3 - 4:42	CLE	MISS James 18' Jump Shot	74 30.8%	76 69.2%
Q3 - 5:02	DEN	Billups Free Throw 2 of 2 (22 PTS)	74 27.8%	76 72.2%
Q3 - 5:02	DEN	Billups Free Throw 1 of 2 (21 PTS)	73 27.4%	76 72.6%
Q3 - 5:22	CLE	Ilgauskas 18' Jump Shot (10 PTS) (James 7 AST)	72 24.9%	76 75.1%
Q3 - 5:42	DEN	Jones 1' Layup (6 PTS) (Billups 4 AST)	72 27.8%	74 72.2%
Q3 - 5:46	DEN	Anthony REBOUND (Off:2 Def:5)	70 25.0%	74 75.0%
Q3 - 5:48	CLE	MISS Williams 2' Layup	70 23.9%	74 76.1%
Q3 - 6:02	DEN	Nuggets Turnover: Shot Clock (T#10)	70 21.9%	74 78.1%
Q3 - 6:12	DEN	Nuggets Rebound	70 25.0%	74 75.0%
Q3 - 6:12	DEN	Ilgauskas BLOCK (1 BLK)	70 22.8%	74 77.2%
Q3 - 6:28	CLE	James 20' Jump Shot (17 PTS)	70 24.9%	74 75.1%
Q3 - 6:42	DEN	Anthony Free Throw 2 of 2 (16 PTS)	70 27.8%	72 72.2%
Q3 - 6:42	DEN	Anthony Free Throw 1 of 2 (15 PTS)	69 27.3%	72 72.7%
Q3 - 6:44	CLE	West Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T5)	68 24.9%	72 75.1%
Q3 - 6:57	DEN	Ilgauskas STEAL (2 STL)	68 21.8%	72 78.2%
Q3 - 7:11	CLE	Ilgauskas 20' Jump Shot (8 PTS) (James 6 AST)	68 24.9%	72 75.1%
Q3 - 7:35	CLE	Ilgauskas REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)	68 27.8%	70 72.2%
Q3 - 7:38	DEN	MISS Anthony Free Throw 2 of 2	68 28.2%	70 71.8%
Q3 - 7:38	DEN	Anthony Free Throw 1 of 2 (14 PTS)	68 30.4%	70 69.6%
Q3 - 7:38	DEN	Anthony REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)	67 27.9%	70 72.1%
Q3 - 7:41	DEN	MISS Martin 14' Jump Hook Shot	67 25.7%	70 74.3%
Q3 - 8:01	CLE	Wallace REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)	67 27.9%	70 72.1%
Q3 - 8:01	CLE	Wallace 2' Tip Shot (7 PTS)	67 27.9%	70 72.1%
Q3 - 8:03	CLE	MISS Williams 13' Running Jump Shot	67 33.2%	68 66.8%
Q3 - 8:25	CLE	James REBOUND (Off:1 Def:7)	67 30.7%	68 69.3%
Q3 - 8:26	DEN	MISS Jones 21' Jump Shot	67 31.8%	68 68.2%
Q3 - 8:52	CLE	West 3PT Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Williams 6 AST)	67 34.3%	68 65.7%
Q3 - 9:24	DEN	MISS Jones Free Throw 1 of 1	67 41.4%	65 58.6%
Q3 - 9:24	DEN	Jones REBOUND (Off:2 Def:0)	67 40.9%	65 59.1%
Q3 - 9:24	DEN	Jones 1' Putback Layup (4 PTS)	67 40.9%	65 59.1%
Q3 - 9:24	DEN	MISS Anthony 1' Finger Roll Layup	65 35.0%	65 65.0%
Q3 - 9:41	CLE	Wallace Layup (5 PTS) (Williams 5 AST)	65 37.5%	65 62.5%
Q3 - 9:55	DEN	Billups Free Throw 2 of 2 (20 PTS)	65 40.9%	63 59.1%
Q3 - 9:55	DEN	Billups Free Throw 1 of 2 (19 PTS)	64 40.5%	63 59.5%
Q3 - 9:59	DEN	Anthony REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)	63 37.5%	63 62.5%
Q3 - 10:00	CLE	MISS Williams 25' 3PT Jump Shot	63 36.4%	63 63.6%
Q3 - 10:09	CLE	Wallace REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)	63 33.7%	63 66.3%
Q3 - 10:10	DEN	MISS Anthony 21' Jump Shot	63 34.7%	63 65.3%
Q3 - 10:24	CLE	West 24' 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS) (James 5 AST)	63 37.0%	63 63.0%
Q3 - 10:41	CLE	James REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)	63 43.9%	60 56.1%
Q3 - 10:42	DEN	MISS Nene 15' Jump Shot	63 45.0%	60 55.0%
Q3 - 11:02	CLE	Ilgauskas 20' Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Wallace 3 AST)	63 46.9%	60 53.1%
Q3 - 11:27	DEN	Martin Finger Roll Layup (12 PTS) (Billups 3 AST)	63 50.1%	58 49.9%
Q3 - 11:39	CLE	James Bad Pass Turnover (P3.T4)	61 46.9%	58 53.1%
Q3 - 11:40	CLE	James REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)	61 43.3%	58 56.7%
Q3 - 11:41	DEN	Williams BLOCK (1 BLK)	61 44.4%	58 55.6%
Q2 - 0:00.0	CLE		61 46.9%	58 53.1%
Q2 - 0:00.0	CLE	Wallace REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)	61 43.3%	58 56.7%
Q2 - 0:01.0	DEN	MISS Carter 26' 3PT Jump Shot	61 44.2%	58 55.8%
Q2 - 0:26.0	CLE	Williams 3PT Jump Shot (16 PTS) (James 4 AST)	61 45.9%	58 54.1%
Q2 - 0:46.0	DEN	Nene Free Throw 2 of 2 (8 PTS)	61 53.4%	55 46.6%
Q2 - 0:46.0	DEN	Nene Free Throw 1 of 2 (7 PTS)	60 52.5%	55 47.5%
Q2 - 1:03	DEN	Martin REBOUND (Off:3 Def:4)	59 48.7%	55 51.3%
Q2 - 1:04	CLE	MISS James 19' Jump Shot	59 48.0%	55 52.0%
Q2 - 1:26	DEN	Billups 1' Driving Layup (18 PTS)	59 46.3%	55 53.7%
Q2 - 1:45	CLE	Ilgauskas 8' Hook Shot (4 PTS) (Williams 4 AST)	57 42.2%	55 57.8%
Q2 - 1:59	CLE	CAVALIERS Rebound	57 46.4%	53 53.6%
Q2 - 1:59	CLE	MISS West 7' Jump Shot	57 48.0%	53 52.0%
Q2 - 2:05	DEN	James STEAL (2 STL)	57 45.0%	53 55.0%
Q2 - 2:28	CLE	James 17' Jump Shot (15 PTS)	57 48.4%	53 51.6%
Q2 - 2:52	DEN	Nene Free Throw 2 of 2 (6 PTS)	57 51.5%	51 48.5%
Q2 - 2:52	DEN	Nene Free Throw 1 of 2 (5 PTS)	56 50.7%	51 49.3%
Q2 - 3:05	CLE	James Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T3)	55 48.0%	51 52.0%
Q2 - 3:23	DEN	Martin 19' Jump Shot (10 PTS) (Carter 1 AST)	55 44.4%	51 55.6%
Q2 - 3:38	DEN	Nene REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)	53 41.8%	51 58.2%
Q2 - 3:39	CLE	MISS James Free Throw 1 of 1	53 41.4%	51 58.6%
Q2 - 3:55	CLE	James REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)	53 44.4%	49 55.6%
Q2 - 3:56	DEN	MISS Anthony 22' Jump Shot	53 45.5%	49 54.5%
Q2 - 4:14	DEN	Martin REBOUND (Off:3 Def:3)	53 47.1%	49 52.9%
Q2 - 4:15	CLE	MISS West 21' Jump Shot	53 46.1%	49 53.9%
Q2 - 4:39	DEN	Anthony REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)	53 43.9%	49 56.1%
Q2 - 4:39	DEN	Anthony 1' Putback Layup (13 PTS)	53 43.9%	49 56.1%
Q2 - 4:41	DEN	MISS Carter 1' Layup	51 39.0%	49 61.0%
Q2 - 4:48	CLE	James Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T2)	51 41.2%	49 58.8%
Q2 - 4:56	DEN	Pavlovic STEAL (1 STL)	51 38.0%	49 62.0%
Q2 - 5:21	CLE	Varejao 1' Driving Layup (4 PTS) (West 4 AST)	51 40.7%	49 59.3%
Q2 - 5:33	CLE	Varejao REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)	51 43.7%	47 56.3%
Q2 - 5:34	DEN	MISS Anthony 24' 3PT Jump Shot	51 44.6%	47 55.4%
Q2 - 5:59	CLE	Varejao 1' Layup (2 PTS) (Pavlovic 1 AST)	51 46.6%	47 53.4%
Q2 - 6:21	DEN	Anthony Free Throw 2 of 2 (11 PTS)	51 48.7%	45 51.3%
Q2 - 6:21	DEN	Anthony Free Throw 1 of 2 (10 PTS)	50 48.2%	45 51.8%
Q2 - 6:29	DEN	Anthony REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)	49 46.4%	45 53.6%
Q2 - 6:30	CLE	MISS Hickson 5' Jump Shot	49 45.3%	45 54.7%
Q2 - 6:46	DEN	Carter Layup (2 PTS)	49 43.1%	45 56.9%
Q2 - 6:51	DEN	Kleiza REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)	47 40.7%	45 59.3%
Q2 - 6:52	CLE	MISS Szczerbiak 22' Jump Shot	47 39.7%	45 60.3%
Q2 - 6:59	CLE	Varejao REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)	47 37.5%	45 62.5%
Q2 - 7:01	DEN	Martin REBOUND (Off:3 Def:2)	47 40.0%	45 60.0%
Q2 - 7:01	DEN	MISS Martin 1' Tip Shot	47 38.1%	45 61.9%
Q2 - 7:02	DEN	MISS Kleiza Layup	47 38.1%	45 61.9%
Q2 - 7:19	CLE	Szczerbiak 22' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Williams 3 AST)	47 40.1%	45 59.9%
Q2 - 7:34	DEN	Kleiza 1' Layup (2 PTS) (Anthony 2 AST)	47 42.7%	43 57.3%
Q2 - 7:40	DEN	Smith REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)	45 40.1%	43 59.9%
Q2 - 7:41	CLE	MISS Williams 24' 3PT Jump Shot	45 39.2%	43 60.8%
Q2 - 7:58	DEN	Martin Free Throw 2 of 2 (8 PTS)	45 37.3%	43 62.7%
Q2 - 7:58	DEN	Martin Free Throw 1 of 2 (7 PTS)	44 36.5%	43 63.5%
Q2 - 8:11	CLE	Williams 18' Jump Shot (13 PTS)	43 34.5%	43 65.5%
Q2 - 8:20	CLE	Hickson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)	43 37.1%	41 62.9%
Q2 - 8:21	DEN	MISS Martin 6' Jump Shot	43 37.8%	41 62.2%
Q2 - 8:37	CLE	Hickson 2' Reverse Layup (4 PTS)	43 39.6%	41 60.4%
Q2 - 8:53	DEN	Anthony Slam Dunk (9 PTS)	43 42.3%	39 57.7%
Q2 - 8:57	CLE	Williams Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T1)	41 39.6%	39 60.4%
Q2 - 9:09	CLE	CAVALIERS Rebound	41 36.6%	39 63.4%
Q2 - 9:09	DEN	MISS Carter 1' Layup	41 37.4%	39 62.6%
Q2 - 9:18	CLE	Hickson 1' Layup (2 PTS) (Williams 2 AST)	41 39.1%	39 60.9%
Q2 - 9:37	DEN	Anthony Out of Bounds Lost Ball Turnover (P3.T6)	41 41.7%	37 58.3%
Q2 - 9:54	CLE	Williams 20' Jump Shot (11 PTS) (Szczerbiak 2 AST)	41 44.4%	37 55.6%
Q2 - 10:09	DEN	Smith Double Dribble Turnover (P1.T5)	41 46.6%	35 53.4%
Q2 - 10:15	DEN	Smith REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)	41 49.3%	35 50.7%
Q2 - 10:16	CLE	MISS Szczerbiak 24' 3PT Jump Shot	41 48.5%	35 51.5%
Q2 - 10:33	DEN	Martin 1' Dunk (6 PTS)	41 46.6%	35 53.4%
Q2 - 10:35	DEN	Martin REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)	39 44.1%	35 55.9%
Q2 - 10:36	DEN	MISS Balkman 18' Jump Shot	39 42.2%	35 57.8%
Q2 - 11:10	CLE	Szczerbiak 22' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Gibson 1 AST)	39 43.7%	35 56.3%
Q2 - 11:16	CLE	Varejao REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)	39 46.2%	33 53.8%
Q2 - 11:17	DEN	MISS Kleiza 25' 3PT Jump Shot	39 47.0%	33 53.0%
Q2 - 11:24	DEN	Smith REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)	39 48.8%	33 51.2%
Q2 - 11:25	CLE	MISS Williams 25' 3PT Jump Shot	39 48.0%	33 52.0%
Q2 - 11:45	DEN	Smith Free Throw 1 of 1 (6 PTS)	39 46.2%	33 53.8%
Q1 - 0:00.0	CLE		36 41.3%	33 58.7%
Q1 - 0:02.0	DEN	Billups 25' 3PT Jump Shot (16 PTS)	36 38.4%	33 61.6%
Q1 - 0:26.0	DEN	Nuggets Rebound	33 33.4%	33 66.6%
Q1 - 0:26.0	DEN	MISS Smith Free Throw 2 of 2	33 32.0%	33 68.0%
Q1 - 0:26.0	DEN	Smith Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)	33 33.5%	33 66.5%
Q1 - 0:43.0	CLE	Gibson Layup (6 PTS) (Varejao 1 AST)	32 31.3%	33 68.7%
Q1 - 0:56.0	DEN	Billups 26' 3PT Jump Shot (13 PTS) (Smith 1 AST)	32 33.9%	31 66.1%
Q1 - 1:15	CLE	Gibson 21' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (James 3 AST)	29 29.1%	31 70.9%
Q1 - 1:26	CLE	James REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)	29 31.8%	29 68.2%
Q1 - 1:27	CLE	MISS James 21' Jump Shot	29 32.8%	29 67.2%
Q1 - 1:55	DEN	Nene 1' Slam Dunk (4 PTS) (Balkman 2 AST)	29 31.8%	29 68.2%
Q1 - 2:01	DEN	Nene REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)	27 29.3%	29 70.7%
Q1 - 2:04	CLE	MISS James Alley Oop Layup	27 28.9%	29 71.1%
Q1 - 2:14	CLE	Gibson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)	27 27.8%	29 72.2%
Q1 - 2:15	DEN	MISS Billups 12' Jump Shot	27 28.3%	29 71.7%
Q1 - 2:28	CLE	James 1' Driving Layup (11 PTS) (Ilgauskas 1 AST)	27 29.3%	29 70.7%
Q1 - 2:47	DEN	Smith 20' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Balkman 1 AST)	27 31.6%	27 68.4%
Q1 - 2:59	CLE	James 1' Dunk (9 PTS) (Szczerbiak 1 AST)	25 29.3%	27 70.7%
Q1 - 3:05	CLE	Ilgauskas REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)	25 31.3%	25 68.7%
Q1 - 3:06	CLE	MISS James 21' Jump Shot	25 32.7%	25 67.3%
Q1 - 3:16	DEN	Ilgauskas STEAL (1 STL)	25 31.3%	25 68.7%
Q1 - 3:33	CLE	Gibson 4' Running Jump Shot (2 PTS)	25 33.3%	25 66.7%
Q1 - 3:56	DEN	Billups 2' Driving Layup (10 PTS) (Jones 1 AST)	25 35.4%	23 64.6%
Q1 - 4:06	DEN	Martin REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)	23 33.0%	23 67.0%
Q1 - 4:07	CLE	MISS West 25' 3PT Jump Shot	23 32.3%	23 67.7%
Q1 - 4:28	DEN	Martin 1' Driving Dunk (4 PTS)	23 31.0%	23 69.0%
Q1 - 4:47	CLE	James 1' Driving Slam Dunk (7 PTS) (Williams 1 AST)	21 29.2%	23 70.8%
Q1 - 5:02	DEN	Anthony Free Throw 2 of 2 (7 PTS)	21 30.9%	21 69.1%
Q1 - 5:02	DEN	Anthony Free Throw 1 of 2 (6 PTS)	20 30.6%	21 69.4%
Q1 - 5:06	DEN	Martin REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)	19 29.4%	21 70.6%
Q1 - 5:08	CLE	MISS Ilgauskas 1' Layup	19 28.7%	21 71.3%
Q1 - 5:21	DEN	Martin REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)	19 27.3%	21 72.7%
Q1 - 5:21	DEN	Martin 1' Putback Dunk (2 PTS)	19 27.3%	21 72.7%
Q1 - 5:22	DEN	MISS Jones 1' Layup	17 24.6%	21 75.4%
Q1 - 5:40	CLE	James 2' Alley Oop Dunk (5 PTS) (West 3 AST)	17 25.9%	21 74.1%
Q1 - 5:44	DEN	James STEAL (1 STL)	17 27.3%	19 72.7%
Q1 - 6:00	CLE	James Free Throw 2 of 2 (3 PTS)	17 29.3%	19 70.7%
Q1 - 6:00	CLE	MISS James Free Throw 1 of 2	17 29.7%	18 70.3%
Q1 - 6:05	CLE	James REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)	17 28.9%	18 71.1%
Q1 - 6:06	DEN	MISS Nene 2' Layup	17 29.5%	18 70.5%
Q1 - 6:14	CLE	Williams 15' Turnaround Jump Shot (9 PTS)	17 30.8%	18 69.2%
Q1 - 6:34	DEN	Billups 25' 3PT Jump Shot (8 PTS)	17 32.5%	16 67.5%
Q1 - 6:48	CLE	Williams 19' Jump Shot (7 PTS) (West 2 AST)	14 29.0%	16 71.0%
Q1 - 7:15	DEN	Billups 25' 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Anthony 1 AST)	14 30.4%	14 69.6%
Q1 - 7:27	DEN	Anthony REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)	11 27.1%	14 72.9%
Q1 - 7:28	CLE	MISS Williams 25' 3PT Jump Shot	11 26.6%	14 73.4%
Q1 - 7:52	DEN	Nene 20' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Billups 2 AST)	11 25.3%	14 74.7%
Q1 - 8:06	DEN	Nuggets Rebound	9 23.7%	14 76.3%
Q1 - 8:07	CLE	MISS West 25' 3PT Jump Shot	9 23.2%	14 76.8%
Q1 - 8:10	CLE	Wallace REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)	9 22.2%	14 77.8%
Q1 - 8:11	CLE	MISS James 22' Jump Shot	9 23.2%	14 76.8%
Q1 - 8:23	DEN	Jones REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)	9 22.2%	14 77.8%
Q1 - 8:23	DEN	Jones 1' Putback Layup (2 PTS)	9 22.2%	14 77.8%
Q1 - 8:25	DEN	MISS Martin 2' Layup	7 19.8%	14 80.2%
Q1 - 8:30	DEN	Anthony REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)	7 20.8%	14 79.2%
Q1 - 8:31	CLE	MISS Ilgauskas 18' Jump Shot	7 20.4%	14 79.6%
Q1 - 8:39	CLE	James REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)	7 19.4%	14 80.6%
Q1 - 8:40	DEN	MISS Martin 17' Jump Shot	7 19.8%	14 80.2%
Q1 - 8:49	CLE	Ilgauskas 3' Jump Bank Shot (2 PTS) (James 2 AST)	7 20.8%	14 79.2%
Q1 - 9:05	DEN	Anthony 24' 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Billups 1 AST)	7 22.8%	12 77.2%
Q1 - 9:22	CLE	Williams 7' Running Jump Shot (5 PTS)	4 19.9%	12 80.1%
Q1 - 9:43	DEN	Anthony Foul Turnover (P1.T2)	4 21.3%	10 78.7%
Q1 - 10:11	CLE	Wallace Free Throw 1 of 1 (3 PTS)	4 23.2%	10 76.8%
Q1 - 10:27	DEN	Anthony 20' Jump Shot (2 PTS)	4 25.8%	7 74.2%
Q1 - 10:41	CLE	James 1' Slam Dunk (2 PTS) (Wallace 2 AST)	2 24.5%	7 75.5%
Q1 - 10:44	DEN	Wallace STEAL (1 STL)	2 25.8%	5 74.2%
Q1 - 11:05	CLE	Williams 25' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (James 1 AST)	2 27.3%	5 72.7%
Q1 - 11:28	DEN	Billups 1' Layup (2 PTS)	2 30.0%	2 70.0%
Q1 - 11:46	CLE	West 17' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Wallace 1 AST)	0 28.6%	2 71.4%
Q1 - 12:00	CLE	Jump Ball Ilgauskas vs. Nene: Tip to Williams	0 30.0%	0 70.0%

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

DEN

1.14 56.9%

CLE

1.25 62.5%

Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)

DEN

58%

CLE

82%

Midrange

DEN

33%

CLE

52%

3PT | Effective 3PT

DEN

12.0

42%

63%

CLE

9.0

38%

56%

Free Throws

DEN

88%

CLE

83%

Makes

Effective 3P Makes

Efficiency

Misses

Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

Nuggets

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
C. Billups	26	87%	13.0 / 15
C. Anthony	18	56%	9.0 / 16
J. Smith	18	75%	9.0 / 12
K. Martin	12	50%	6.0 / 12
Nene	12	60%	6.0 / 10
D. Jones	6	50%	3.0 / 6
L. Kleiza	5	42%	2.5 / 6
A. Carter	2	20%	1.0 / 5
R. Balkman	0	-	0.0 / 3

TS Makes

TS Misses

Total Points

Cavaliers

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
M. Williams	24	57%	12.0 / 21
L. James	22	52%	11.0 / 21
D. Gibson	15	68%	7.5 / 11
B. Wallace	11	110%	5.5 / 5
Z. Ilgauskas	10	63%	5.0 / 8
W. Szczerbiak	10	71%	5.0 / 7
D. West	8	57%	4.0 / 7
A. Varejao	6	150%	3.0 / 2
J. Hickson	4	67%	2.0 / 3

TS Makes

TS Misses

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

DEN

+12

-13

CLE

-9

Base

ORB

TOV

Scoring Efficiency

DEN

1.14 56.9%

CLE

1.25 62.5%

Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Efficiency & Pace		This Game
Efficiency	110.2 112.0	DEN 115.1 CLE 125.0 +9.9
Pace	94.5 89.1	DEN 98.9 +21.1 CLE 77.8
Avg. Poss. Time	14.7 17.2	DEN 14.6 +3.9 CLE 18.5
Four Factors		This Game
EFG %	51.2% 51.9%	DEN 53.4% CLE 61.0% +7.6%
TO %	15.8% 13.4%	DEN 14.4% CLE 9.3% +5.1%
ORB %	27.5% 27.8%	DEN 23.5% CLE 24.2% +0.7%
FTrt	38.2 31.2	DEN 32.9 +18.3 CLE 14.6
Misc. Stats		This Game
AST %	59.5% 55.0%	DEN 45.7% CLE 63.8% +18.1%
STL %	9.1% 8.1%	DEN 8.1% CLE 9.1% +1.0%
BLK %	9.7% 8.7%	DEN 3.0% CLE 3.7% +0.7%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.55 and 2.55.

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Shooting Efficiency		This Game
TS%	54.8% 54.3%	DEN 56.9% CLE 62.5% +5.6%
Rim FG%	60.5% 62.0%	DEN 58.3% CLE 81.8% +23.5%
Mid FG%	38.7% 40.8%	DEN 33.3% CLE 52.3% +19.0%
3P %	37.1% 39.3%	DEN 42.1% +4.6% CLE 37.5%
FT %	76.0% 75.7%	DEN 87.5% +4.2% CLE 83.3%
Shot Distribution		This Game
Rim Att. %	39.7% 30.3%	DEN 49.3% +22.5% CLE 26.8%
Mid Att. %	37.6% 43.8%	DEN 24.7% +29.0% CLE 53.7%
3P Att. %	22.7% 25.9%	DEN 26.0% +6.5% CLE 19.5%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Game Totals	DEN	CLE
Possessions	86	88
Possession Minutes	20.9	27.1
Points	99	110
Rebounds	33	34
Assists	16	30
Steals	7	8
Blocks	2	2
Turnovers (Team)	13 (1)	9 (0)
Fouls
Off. Rebounds (Team)	8 (4)	8 (1)
Def. Rebounds (Team)	25 (2)	26 (3)
Field Goals	35-73	47-82
At-the-Rim FG	21-36	18-22
Midrange FG	6-18	23-44
2-Point FG	27-54	41-66
3-Point FG	8-19	6-16
Free Throws	21-24	10-12
Fast Break Pts
2nd Chance Pts
Points in Paint
Pts off Turnovers
Bench Points
Biggest Lead

BOXSCORE

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10 Denver Nuggets

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Carmelo Anthony F · 6'8" 240 · 24	38.1	18	56%	8	2	1	0	6	4	2	6	7-8	88%	4-9	44%	1-3	33%
Chauncey Billups G · 6'3" 210 · 32	36.0	26	87%	1	6	1	0	0	2	0	1	4-4	100%	5-7	71%	4-6	67%
Kenyon Martin F · 6'9" 225 · 31	35.7	12	50%	10	0	2	0	3	3	3	7	2-2	100%	5-11	45%	0-0	-
Nene C · 6'11" 250 · 26	34.7	12	60%	3	0	1	2	2	4	0	3	6-6	100%	3-7	43%	0-0	-
Dahntay Jones G · 6'6" 225 · 28	15.3	6	50%	2	1	0	0	0	3	2	0	0-1	0%	3-5	60%	0-0	-
JR Smith G-F · 6'6" 225 · 23	27.7	18	75%	4	3	1	0	1	0	0	4	2-3	67%	5-7	71%	2-4	50%
Linas Kleiza F · 6'8" 234 · 24	21.9	5	42%	2	0	1	0	0	2	0	2	0-0	-	1-2	50%	1-4	25%
Anthony Carter G · 6'1" 190 · 33	19.9	2	20%	1	2	0	0	0	0	0	1	0-0	-	1-3	33%	0-2	0%
Renaldo Balkman F · 6'8" 225 · 24	10.7	0	0%	2	2	0	0	1	0	1	1	0-0	-	0-3	0%	0-0	-
Cheikh Samb C · 7'1" 245 · 24
Sonny Weems G-F · 6'6" 205 · 22
Chucky Atkins G · 5'11" 185 · 34
Steven Hunter #45 · C · 7'0" 240 · 27	INACTIVE \| INACTIVE
Chris Andersen #11 · F-C · 6'10" 245 · 30	INACTIVE \| INACTIVE
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	99	57%	33	16	7	2	13	0	8	25	21-24	88%	27-54	50%	8-19	42%

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10 Denver Nuggets

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Carmelo Anthony F · 6'8" 240 · 24	38.1	18	56%	8	2	1	0	6	4	2	6	7-8	88%	4-9	44%	1-3	33%
Chauncey Billups G · 6'3" 210 · 32	36.0	26	87%	1	6	1	0	0	2	0	1	4-4	100%	5-7	71%	4-6	67%
Kenyon Martin F · 6'9" 225 · 31	35.7	12	50%	10	0	2	0	3	3	3	7	2-2	100%	5-11	45%	0-0	-
Nene C · 6'11" 250 · 26	34.7	12	60%	3	0	1	2	2	4	0	3	6-6	100%	3-7	43%	0-0	-
Dahntay Jones G · 6'6" 225 · 28	15.3	6	50%	2	1	0	0	0	3	2	0	0-1	0%	3-5	60%	0-0	-
JR Smith G-F · 6'6" 225 · 23	27.7	18	75%	4	3	1	0	1	0	0	4	2-3	67%	5-7	71%	2-4	50%
Linas Kleiza F · 6'8" 234 · 24	21.9	5	42%	2	0	1	0	0	2	0	2	0-0	-	1-2	50%	1-4	25%
Anthony Carter G · 6'1" 190 · 33	19.9	2	20%	1	2	0	0	0	0	0	1	0-0	-	1-3	33%	0-2	0%
Renaldo Balkman F · 6'8" 225 · 24	10.7	0	0%	2	2	0	0	1	0	1	1	0-0	-	0-3	0%	0-0	-
Cheikh Samb C · 7'1" 245 · 24
Sonny Weems G-F · 6'6" 205 · 22
Chucky Atkins G · 5'11" 185 · 34
Steven Hunter #45 · C · 7'0" 240 · 27	INACTIVE \| INACTIVE
Chris Andersen #11 · F-C · 6'10" 245 · 30	INACTIVE \| INACTIVE
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	99	57%	33	16	7	2	13	0	8	25	21-24	88%	27-54	50%	8-19	42%

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4 Cleveland Cavaliers

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
LeBron James F · 6'9" 250 · 24	38.0	22	52%	8	11	3	0	5	4	1	7	2-4	50%	10-20	50%	0-0	-
Mo Williams G · 6'1" 198 · 26	34.5	24	57%	0	6	1	1	2	1	0	0	1-1	100%	7-12	58%	3-9	33%
Delonte West G · 6'3" 180 · 25	33.5	8	57%	1	4	0	0	2	4	0	1	0-0	-	1-3	33%	2-4	50%
Ben Wallace F · 6'9" 240 · 34	25.1	11	110%	6	3	1	0	0	2	3	3	3-3	100%	4-4	100%	0-0	-
Zydrunas Ilgauskas C · 7'3" 260 · 33	23.6	10	63%	3	1	2	1	0	2	2	1	0-0	-	5-8	63%	0-0	-
Anderson Varejao F · 6'11" 260 · 26	24.0	6	150%	8	1	0	0	0	2	0	8	2-2	100%	2-2	100%	0-0	-
Wally Szczerbiak G-F · 6'7" 240 · 32	23.3	10	71%	3	2	0	0	0	0	1	2	2-2	100%	4-5	80%	0-1	0%
Daniel Gibson G · 6'2" 200 · 23	18.9	15	68%	4	1	0	0	0	3	1	3	0-0	-	6-9	67%	1-2	50%
Sasha Pavlovic G-F · 6'7" 235 · 25	11.5	0	0%	0	1	1	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-0	-
JJ Hickson C-F · 6'9" 242 · 20	7.3	4	67%	1	0	0	0	0	2	0	1	0-0	-	2-3	67%	0-0	-
Tarence Kinsey G · 6'6" 189 · 25	0.3	0	0%	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-0	-
Lorenzen Wright F-C · 6'11" 255 · 33
Darnell Jackson #0 · F · 6'9" 253 · 23	INACTIVE \| INACTIVE
Eric Snow #20 · G · 6'3" 205 · 36	INACTIVE \| INACTIVE
Jawad Williams #31 · F · 6'9" 225 · 26	INACTIVE \| INACTIVE
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	110	63%	34	30	8	2	9	0	8	26	10-12	83%	41-66	62%	6-16	38%

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Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.

Scoring Opportunities

Scoring Efficiency

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

Scoring by Shot Type

Total Points

Total Points

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

Scoring Efficiency

Reg Season Avg

Reg Season Avg

BOXSCORE