for complete access.
All Games Wednesday, November 12, 2008
FinalWin Prob.pScore
15
Spurs
53%92
78
27
Bucks
47%91
82
ORTG#PossPace
SAS logo SAS
96.38174.6
MIL logo MIL
105.17886.0

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

BucksSpursQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Scoring Margin

BucksSpursQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Play-by-Play

Score / WinProb
ClockTeamEventSASMIL
Q4 - 0:00.0SAS78
0%
82
100%
Q4 - 0:03.0MILJefferson Free Throw 2 of 2 (19 PTS)78
0.5%
82
99.5%
Q4 - 0:03.0MILJefferson Free Throw 1 of 2 (18 PTS)78
0.7%
81
99.3%
Q4 - 0:04.0MILBUCKS Rebound78
1.8%
80
98.2%
Q4 - 0:05.0SASMISS Duncan 5' Jump Shot78
2.8%
80
97.2%
Q4 - 0:10.0SASTolliver REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)78
19.4%
80
80.6%
Q4 - 0:11.0MILMISS Sessions Free Throw 2 of 278
17.1%
80
82.9%
Q4 - 0:11.0MILSessions Free Throw 1 of 2 (13 PTS)78
9.4%
80
90.6%
Q4 - 0:12.0SASFinley 3PT Jump Shot (19 PTS) (Mason Jr. 4 AST)78
15.3%
79
84.7%
Q4 - 0:17.0MILBell Free Throw 2 of 2 (7 PTS)75
3.3%
79
96.7%
Q4 - 0:17.0MILBell Free Throw 1 of 2 (6 PTS)75
4.0%
78
96.0%
Q4 - 0:19.0SASDuncan Layup (24 PTS) (Mason Jr. 3 AST)75
7.2%
77
92.8%
Q4 - 0:28.0SASTolliver REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)73
5.6%
77
94.4%
Q4 - 0:30.0MILMISS Sessions Free Throw 1 of 173
5.4%
77
94.6%
Q4 - 0:41.0SASDuncan Free Throw 1 of 1 (22 PTS)73
15.0%
75
85.0%
Q4 - 0:53.0MILJefferson Foul Turnover (P1.T8)70
5.5%
75
94.5%
Q4 - 1:12MILJefferson REBOUND (Off:2 Def:7)70
4.4%
75
95.6%
Q4 - 1:13SASMISS Duncan Free Throw 2 of 270
4.9%
75
95.1%
Q4 - 1:13SASDuncan Free Throw 1 of 2 (19 PTS)70
6.7%
75
93.3%
Q4 - 1:29SASFinley REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)69
5.9%
75
94.1%
Q4 - 1:30MILMISS Bogut Layup69
5.0%
75
95.0%
Q4 - 1:46MILBogut REBOUND (Off:7 Def:10)69
4.4%
75
95.6%
Q4 - 1:48SASMISS Tolliver 26' 3PT Jump Shot69
5.3%
75
94.7%
Q4 - 1:59MILSessions Free Throw 2 of 2 (10 PTS)69
7.4%
75
92.6%
Q4 - 1:59MILSessions Free Throw 1 of 2 (9 PTS)69
8.1%
74
91.9%
Q4 - 2:00SASSessions STEAL (1 STL)69
11.0%
73
89.0%
Q4 - 2:14SASBowen REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)69
18.9%
73
81.1%
Q4 - 2:15MILMISS Jefferson 18' Jump Shot69
15.8%
73
84.2%
Q4 - 2:27SASDuncan Free Throw 1 of 1 (18 PTS)69
10.3%
73
89.7%
Q4 - 2:41MILMbah a Moute Foul Turnover (P3.T7)66
4.9%
73
95.1%
Q4 - 3:02SASDuncan Free Throw 1 of 1 (15 PTS)66
3.7%
73
96.3%
Q4 - 3:15MILSessions 7' Floating Jump Shot (8 PTS)63
1.7%
73
98.3%
Q4 - 3:31MILMbah a Moute REBOUND (Off:3 Def:4)63
4.8%
71
95.2%
Q4 - 3:32SASMISS Finley 26' 3PT Jump Shot63
5.4%
71
94.6%
Q4 - 3:51MILMbah a Moute Free Throw 2 of 2 (11 PTS)63
6.6%
71
93.4%
Q4 - 3:51MILMbah a Moute Free Throw 1 of 2 (10 PTS)63
7.2%
70
92.8%
Q4 - 3:51MILMbah a Moute REBOUND (Off:3 Def:3)63
9.1%
69
90.9%
Q4 - 3:52MILMISS Jefferson 14' Jump Shot63
11.7%
69
88.3%
Q4 - 4:11SASDuncan 5' Hook Shot (12 PTS)63
8.8%
69
91.2%
Q4 - 4:29MILBUCKS Turnover: Shot Clock (T#6)61
6.3%
69
93.7%
Q4 - 4:29MILBUCKS Rebound61
4.2%
69
95.8%
Q4 - 4:30MILMISS Jefferson Layup61
5.5%
69
94.5%
Q4 - 4:54MILBogut REBOUND (Off:7 Def:9)61
4.1%
69
95.9%
Q4 - 4:56SASMISS Duncan Layup61
4.7%
69
95.3%
Q4 - 5:24MILBogut REBOUND (Off:7 Def:8)61
8.7%
69
91.3%
Q4 - 5:24MILBogut Dunk (10 PTS)61
8.7%
69
91.3%
Q4 - 5:26MILMISS Bell 15' Jump Shot61
14.4%
67
85.6%
Q4 - 5:39MILBogut REBOUND (Off:6 Def:8)61
11.6%
67
88.4%
Q4 - 5:40MILMISS Bogut 6' Hook Shot61
14.4%
67
85.6%
Q4 - 6:03MILJefferson REBOUND (Off:2 Def:6)61
14.6%
67
85.4%
Q4 - 6:04SASMISS Vaughn 16' Jump Shot61
15.8%
67
84.2%
Q4 - 6:24MILMbah a Moute 3 Second Violation Turnover (P2.T5)61
18.8%
67
81.2%
Q4 - 6:36MILBogut REBOUND (Off:5 Def:8)61
14.4%
67
85.6%
Q4 - 6:37SASMISS Bowen 18' Jump Shot61
15.6%
67
84.4%
Q4 - 6:58MILMbah a Moute Free Throw 2 of 2 (9 PTS)61
18.7%
67
81.3%
Q4 - 6:58MILMbah a Moute Free Throw 1 of 2 (8 PTS)61
19.9%
66
80.1%
Q4 - 7:03MILSessions REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)61
25.8%
65
74.2%
Q4 - 7:04SASMISS Duncan 4' Hook Shot61
27.6%
65
72.4%
Q4 - 7:27MILJefferson 16' Jump Shot (17 PTS)61
31.8%
65
68.2%
Q4 - 7:46MILBogut REBOUND (Off:5 Def:7)61
37.7%
63
62.3%
Q4 - 7:47MILMISS Sessions 16' Jump Shot61
42.7%
63
57.3%
Q4 - 7:57MILSessions REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)61
37.6%
63
62.4%
Q4 - 7:58SASMISS Duncan 8' Jump Shot61
39.8%
63
60.2%
Q4 - 8:25MILJefferson 19' Jump Shot (15 PTS) (Sessions 3 AST)61
45.7%
63
54.3%
Q4 - 8:42MILBogut REBOUND (Off:4 Def:7)61
52.4%
61
47.6%
Q4 - 8:43SASMISS Hill 12' Jump Shot61
54.3%
61
45.7%
Q4 - 9:04MILSessions Driving Layup (6 PTS)61
58.5%
61
41.5%
Q4 - 9:15SASHill Foul Turnover (P2.T10)61
64.4%
59
35.6%
Q4 - 9:30MILMbah a Moute 19' Jump Shot (7 PTS) (Sessions 2 AST)61
69.5%
59
30.5%
Q4 - 9:47MILBogut REBOUND (Off:4 Def:6)61
74.6%
57
25.4%
Q4 - 9:49SASMISS Hill 3PT Jump Shot61
75.9%
57
24.1%
Q4 - 10:10MILBogut REBOUND (Off:4 Def:5)61
77.6%
57
22.4%
Q4 - 10:10MILBogut Tip Shot (8 PTS)61
77.6%
57
22.4%
Q4 - 10:12MILMISS Jefferson 5' Jump Shot61
83.6%
55
16.4%
Q4 - 10:28SASFinley 14' Jump Shot (16 PTS) (Mason Jr. 1 AST)61
81.4%
55
18.6%
Q4 - 10:58MILMbah a Moute 19' Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Sessions 1 AST)59
77.7%
55
22.3%
Q4 - 11:16SASBogut STEAL (3 STL)59
80.3%
53
19.7%
Q4 - 11:41SASFinley REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)59
83.4%
53
16.6%
Q4 - 11:42MILMISS Jefferson Reverse Layup59
82.5%
53
17.5%
Q3 - 0:00.0SAS59
80.4%
53
19.6%
Q3 - 0:00.0SASSpurs Rebound59
83.4%
53
16.6%
Q3 - 0:00.0SASMISS Tolliver 18' Jump Shot59
81.3%
53
18.7%
Q3 - 0:08.0MILJefferson Free Throw 2 of 2 (13 PTS)59
82.1%
53
17.9%
Q3 - 0:08.0MILJefferson Free Throw 1 of 2 (12 PTS)59
82.6%
52
17.4%
Q3 - 0:28.0MILAlexander REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)59
85.3%
51
14.7%
Q3 - 0:29.0SASMISS Tolliver 27' 3PT Jump Shot59
85.9%
51
14.1%
Q3 - 0:44.0MILJefferson 25' 3PT Jump Shot (11 PTS) (Ridnour 3 AST)59
87.4%
51
12.6%
Q3 - 0:51.0SASTolliver 20' Jump Shot (9 PTS) (Finley 3 AST)59
91.5%
48
8.5%
Q3 - 1:07SASBowen REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)57
88.7%
48
11.3%
Q3 - 1:08MILMISS Jefferson 17' Jump Shot57
88.1%
48
11.9%
Q3 - 1:30SASDuncan Reverse Layup (10 PTS) (Tolliver 2 AST)57
86.8%
48
13.2%
Q3 - 1:41SASFinley REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)55
84.1%
48
15.9%
Q3 - 1:42MILMISS Sessions 26' 3PT Jump Shot55
83.4%
48
16.6%
Q3 - 1:54MILAlexander REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)55
81.6%
48
18.4%
Q3 - 1:55MILMISS Ridnour 12' Jump Shot55
83.4%
48
16.6%
Q3 - 2:14SASFinley 17' Jump Shot (14 PTS)55
80.5%
48
19.5%
Q3 - 2:40MILSessions 8' Jump Shot (4 PTS)53
77.4%
48
22.6%
Q3 - 2:49MILBUCKS Rebound53
80.5%
46
19.5%
Q3 - 2:49MILMISS Mbah a Moute Layup53
82.5%
46
17.5%
Q3 - 3:08SASVaughn 15' Jump Shot (4 PTS)53
79.8%
46
20.2%
Q3 - 3:33MILSessions 18' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Bogut 4 AST)51
77.0%
46
23.0%
Q3 - 3:49SASTolliver Layup (7 PTS) (Finley 2 AST)51
79.8%
44
20.2%
Q3 - 3:54MILJefferson Free Throw 2 of 2 (8 PTS)49
77.0%
44
23.0%
Q3 - 3:54MILMISS Jefferson Free Throw 1 of 249
77.5%
43
22.5%
Q3 - 4:04SASBogut STEAL (2 STL)49
75.9%
43
24.1%
Q3 - 4:30MILMbah a Moute 17' Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Bogut 3 AST)49
79.5%
43
20.5%
Q3 - 4:34MILBogut REBOUND (Off:3 Def:5)49
81.8%
41
18.2%
Q3 - 4:35MILMISS Ridnour 27' 3PT Jump Shot49
83.8%
41
16.2%
Q3 - 4:58MILBogut REBOUND (Off:2 Def:5)49
81.8%
41
18.2%
Q3 - 4:59SASMISS Vaughn Layup49
82.7%
41
17.3%
Q3 - 5:03SASVaughn REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)49
83.5%
41
16.5%
Q3 - 5:04MILMISS Jefferson 3PT Jump Shot49
82.7%
41
17.3%
Q3 - 5:35SASFinley 16' Jump Shot (12 PTS) (Vaughn 6 AST)49
80.8%
41
19.2%
Q3 - 5:42SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)47
78.4%
41
21.6%
Q3 - 5:43SASMISS Tolliver 27' 3PT Jump Shot47
76.1%
41
23.9%
Q3 - 5:55SASTolliver REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)47
78.5%
41
21.5%
Q3 - 5:57MILMISS Ridnour 18' Jump Shot47
77.5%
41
22.5%
Q3 - 6:18SASBowen 16' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Vaughn 5 AST)47
74.6%
41
25.4%
Q3 - 6:39MILJefferson 18' Jump Shot (7 PTS) (Ridnour 2 AST)45
71.7%
41
28.3%
Q3 - 6:53SASDuncan 8' Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Finley 1 AST)45
74.6%
39
25.4%
Q3 - 7:18SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)43
70.7%
39
29.3%
Q3 - 7:18MILMISS Bell 25' 3PT Jump Shot43
69.7%
39
30.3%
Q3 - 7:32SASDuncan Foul Turnover (P3.T7)43
67.3%
39
32.7%
Q3 - 7:55SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)43
70.8%
39
29.2%
Q3 - 7:56MILMISS Ridnour Free Throw 2 of 243
70.3%
39
29.7%
Q3 - 7:56MILRidnour Free Throw 1 of 2 (10 PTS)43
67.9%
39
32.1%
Q3 - 7:58SASRidnour STEAL (2 STL)43
70.7%
38
29.3%
Q3 - 8:12MILBell 18' Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Bogut 2 AST)43
73.4%
38
26.6%
Q3 - 8:28MILBogut REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)43
76.0%
36
24.0%
Q3 - 8:29SASMISS Udoka 21' Jump Shot43
76.9%
36
23.1%
Q3 - 8:45SASOberto REBOUND (Off:3 Def:2)43
78.9%
36
21.1%
Q3 - 8:46SASMISS Mason Jr. 26' 3PT Jump Shot43
76.9%
36
23.1%
Q3 - 9:12MILJefferson 18' Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Ridnour 1 AST)43
78.4%
36
21.6%
Q3 - 9:22SASHill Palming Turnover (P1.T5)43
80.8%
34
19.2%
Q3 - 9:45MILRidnour Layup (9 PTS)43
83.0%
34
17.0%
Q3 - 9:50SASRidnour STEAL (1 STL)43
85.0%
32
15.0%
Q3 - 10:07SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)43
86.1%
32
13.9%
Q3 - 10:08SASMISS Mason Jr. 17' Jump Shot43
84.9%
32
15.1%
Q3 - 10:34MILRidnour Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T4)43
86.2%
32
13.8%
Q3 - 10:54MILJefferson REBOUND (Off:2 Def:5)43
84.4%
32
15.6%
Q3 - 10:56SASMISS Duncan 15' Jump Shot43
84.9%
32
15.1%
Q3 - 11:13MILBell Free Throw 2 of 2 (3 PTS)43
85.7%
32
14.3%
Q3 - 11:13MILMISS Bell Free Throw 1 of 243
86.0%
31
14.0%
Q3 - 11:34MILJefferson REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)43
85.6%
31
14.4%
Q3 - 11:36SASMISS Udoka 21' Jump Shot43
86.2%
31
13.8%
Q2 - 0:00.0MIL43
87.3%
31
12.7%
Q2 - 0:00.0SASDuncan Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T3)43
85.6%
31
14.4%
Q2 - 0:09.0MILMbah a Moute Free Throw 2 of 2 (1 PTS)43
86.6%
31
13.4%
Q2 - 0:09.0MILMISS Mbah a Moute Free Throw 1 of 243
87.0%
30
13.0%
Q2 - 0:29.0MILJefferson REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)43
87.0%
30
13.0%
Q2 - 0:30.0SASMISS Duncan 19' Jump Shot43
87.3%
30
12.7%
Q2 - 0:57.0SASMason Jr. REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)43
88.1%
30
11.9%
Q2 - 0:59.0MILMISS Mbah a Moute Layup43
87.8%
30
12.2%
Q2 - 1:15MILBogut REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)43
86.6%
30
13.4%
Q2 - 1:17SASMISS Mason Jr. 15' Jump Shot43
86.9%
30
13.1%
Q2 - 1:25SASMason Jr. REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)43
87.7%
30
12.3%
Q2 - 1:26MILMISS Mbah a Moute 13' Jump Shot43
87.3%
30
12.7%
Q2 - 1:39SASMason Jr. 24' 3PT Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Hill 3 AST)43
86.6%
30
13.4%
Q2 - 1:51SASHill REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)40
82.7%
30
17.3%
Q2 - 1:52MILMISS Ridnour 8' Jump Shot40
82.3%
30
17.7%
Q2 - 2:09MILBogut REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)40
80.4%
30
19.6%
Q2 - 2:11SASMISS Hill 17' Jump Shot40
81.1%
30
18.9%
Q2 - 2:34MILJefferson 21' Jump Shot (3 PTS)40
82.5%
30
17.5%
Q2 - 2:44SASDuncan 16' Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Hill 2 AST)40
84.2%
28
15.8%
Q2 - 3:03SASOberto REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)38
82.3%
28
17.7%
Q2 - 3:05SASMISS Finley 27' 3PT Jump Shot38
80.7%
28
19.3%
Q2 - 3:26SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)38
82.3%
28
17.7%
Q2 - 3:27MILMISS Ridnour 16' Jump Shot38
81.6%
28
18.4%
Q2 - 3:43SASFinley Jump Hook Shot (10 PTS) (Duncan 2 AST)38
80.0%
28
20.0%
Q2 - 3:59SASMason Jr. REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)36
78.3%
28
21.7%
Q2 - 4:00MILMISS Alexander 25' 3PT Jump Shot36
77.5%
28
22.5%
Q2 - 4:11MILMbah a Moute REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)36
75.4%
28
24.6%
Q2 - 4:13SASMISS Mason Jr. 25' 3PT Jump Shot36
76.1%
28
23.9%
Q2 - 4:28MILRidnour 26' 3PT Jump Shot (7 PTS) (Lue 1 AST)36
77.8%
28
22.2%
Q2 - 4:52SASFinley 12' Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Hill 1 AST)36
81.6%
25
18.4%
Q2 - 5:07MILLue 16' Jump Shot (2 PTS)34
79.3%
25
20.7%
Q2 - 5:18MILBogut REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)34
81.3%
23
18.7%
Q2 - 5:19SASMISS Tolliver 26' 3PT Jump Shot34
81.8%
23
18.2%
Q2 - 5:29SASTolliver REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)34
83.0%
23
17.0%
Q2 - 5:31MILMISS Lue 25' 3PT Jump Shot34
82.5%
23
17.5%
Q2 - 5:57SASFinley 24' 3PT Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Bowen 1 AST)34
81.3%
23
18.7%
Q2 - 6:16MILBogut 7' Hook Shot (6 PTS) (Alexander 1 AST)31
76.9%
23
23.1%
Q2 - 6:32MILVillanueva REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)31
78.6%
21
21.4%
Q2 - 6:33SASMISS Finley 17' Jump Shot31
79.3%
21
20.7%
Q2 - 6:50SASThomas REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)31
80.8%
21
19.2%
Q2 - 6:52MILMISS Lue 18' Jump Shot31
80.2%
21
19.8%
Q2 - 7:13SASBowen Layup (2 PTS) (Vaughn 4 AST)31
78.5%
21
21.5%
Q2 - 7:25SASThomas REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)29
76.6%
21
23.4%
Q2 - 7:26MILMISS Villanueva 8' Jump Shot29
75.9%
21
24.1%
Q2 - 7:42MILElson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)29
74.4%
21
25.6%
Q2 - 7:43SASMISS Thomas 17' Jump Shot29
75.1%
21
24.9%
Q2 - 7:57SASTolliver REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)29
76.6%
21
23.4%
Q2 - 7:59MILMISS Elson 16' Jump Shot29
75.9%
21
24.1%
Q2 - 8:21SASThomas 16' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Vaughn 3 AST)29
73.9%
21
26.1%
Q2 - 8:35MILAlexander Driving Layup (4 PTS)27
71.7%
21
28.3%
Q2 - 8:50SASFinley 24' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Thomas 1 AST)27
74.0%
19
26.0%
Q2 - 9:08SASThomas REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)24
69.0%
19
31.0%
Q2 - 9:09MILMISS Villanueva 14' Jump Shot24
68.3%
19
31.7%
Q2 - 9:19SASVaughn Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)24
66.6%
19
33.4%
Q2 - 9:19SASVaughn Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)23
66.1%
19
33.9%
Q2 - 9:32MILAlexander 19' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Bell 4 AST)22
64.2%
19
35.8%
Q2 - 9:42MILElson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)22
66.6%
17
33.4%
Q2 - 9:43MILMISS Alexander 18' Jump Shot22
68.3%
17
31.7%
Q2 - 10:02SASThomas 14' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Vaughn 2 AST)22
66.3%
17
33.7%
Q2 - 10:20MILVillanueva 18' Jump Shot (6 PTS)20
64.0%
17
36.0%
Q2 - 10:34MILElson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)20
66.3%
15
33.7%
Q2 - 10:35SASMISS Vaughn 15' Jump Shot20
67.1%
15
32.9%
Q2 - 10:44SASBowen REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)20
68.7%
15
31.3%
Q2 - 10:45MILMISS Alexander 11' Jump Shot20
68.0%
15
32.0%
Q2 - 11:02SASTolliver REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)20
65.9%
15
34.1%
Q2 - 11:02SASTolliver Tip Shot (5 PTS)20
65.9%
15
34.1%
Q2 - 11:04SASMISS Thomas 15' Jump Shot18
62.0%
15
38.0%
Q2 - 11:22SASFinley REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)18
63.7%
15
36.3%
Q2 - 11:23MILMISS Villanueva 9' Hook Shot18
62.9%
15
37.1%
Q2 - 11:33MILSessions REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)18
61.2%
15
38.8%
Q2 - 11:34SASMISS Finley 26' 3PT Jump Shot18
62.0%
15
38.0%
Q1 - 0:00.0SAS18
63.7%
15
36.3%
Q1 - 0:00.0SASSpurs Rebound18
63.7%
15
36.3%
Q1 - 0:00.0SASMISS Mason Jr. 12' Jump Shot18
62.0%
15
38.0%
Q1 - 0:04.0SASThomas REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)18
62.9%
15
37.1%
Q1 - 0:06.0MILMISS Ridnour 17' Jump Shot18
62.3%
15
37.7%
Q1 - 0:27.0MILJefferson REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)18
61.1%
15
38.9%
Q1 - 0:28.0SASMISS Mason Jr. 25' 3PT Jump Shot18
61.7%
15
38.3%
Q1 - 0:41.0SASSpurs Rebound18
62.9%
15
37.1%
Q1 - 0:43.0MILMISS Bogut Dunk18
62.4%
15
37.6%
Q1 - 0:57.0SASTolliver 25' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Vaughn 1 AST)18
61.1%
15
38.9%
Q1 - 1:20MILVillanueva 17' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Jefferson 1 AST)15
55.8%
15
44.2%
Q1 - 1:29MILRidnour REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)15
58.9%
13
41.1%
Q1 - 1:30SASMISS Tolliver 26' 3PT Jump Shot15
59.3%
13
40.7%
Q1 - 1:57MILBogut Layup (4 PTS)15
60.4%
13
39.6%
Q1 - 2:15MILVillanueva REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)15
63.0%
11
37.0%
Q1 - 2:16SASMISS Thomas 16' Jump Shot15
63.6%
11
36.4%
Q1 - 2:39MILVillanueva Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T3)15
64.8%
11
35.2%
Q1 - 3:06SASDuncan Dunk (4 PTS) (Tolliver 1 AST)15
63.0%
11
37.0%
Q1 - 3:23MILVillanueva 15' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Bell 3 AST)13
60.8%
11
39.2%
Q1 - 3:38MILBogut REBOUND (Off:2 Def:0)13
63.0%
9
37.0%
Q1 - 3:39MILMISS Bell 25' 3PT Jump Shot13
64.4%
9
35.6%
Q1 - 4:07SASHill Layup (4 PTS)13
62.5%
9
37.5%
Q1 - 4:27MILRidnour 14' Jump Shot (4 PTS)11
60.6%
9
39.4%
Q1 - 4:35MILRidnour REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)11
62.6%
7
37.4%
Q1 - 4:37SASMISS Duncan 17' Jump Shot11
63.2%
7
36.8%
Q1 - 4:55SASBowen REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)11
64.8%
7
35.2%
Q1 - 4:57MILMbah a Moute REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)11
62.6%
7
37.4%
Q1 - 4:57MILMISS Mbah a Moute Tip Shot11
64.1%
7
35.9%
Q1 - 4:58MILMISS Bell Layup11
64.1%
7
35.9%
Q1 - 5:02SASJefferson STEAL (1 STL)11
62.0%
7
38.0%
Q1 - 5:16MILBell 9' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Bogut 1 AST)11
64.3%
7
35.7%
Q1 - 5:32MILBogut REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)11
66.0%
5
34.0%
Q1 - 5:32MILMISS Jefferson 15' Jump Shot11
67.5%
5
32.5%
Q1 - 5:58SASHill 18' Jump Shot (2 PTS)11
66.0%
5
34.0%
Q1 - 6:12SASSpurs Rebound9
64.1%
5
35.9%
Q1 - 6:14SASMISS Udoka 24' 3PT Jump Shot9
62.7%
5
37.3%
Q1 - 6:24SASOberto REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)9
64.1%
5
35.9%
Q1 - 6:26MILMISS Mbah a Moute 17' Jump Shot9
63.5%
5
36.5%
Q1 - 6:52SASDuncan Layup (2 PTS) (Oberto 1 AST)9
62.1%
5
37.9%
Q1 - 7:12MILJefferson Free Throw 2 of 2 (1 PTS)7
60.2%
5
39.8%
Q1 - 7:12MILMISS Jefferson Free Throw 1 of 27
60.6%
4
39.4%
Q1 - 7:12MILJefferson REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)7
60.0%
4
40.0%
Q1 - 7:13MILMISS Jefferson Layup7
61.6%
4
38.4%
Q1 - 7:14MILJefferson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)7
60.0%
4
40.0%
Q1 - 7:16MILMISS Jefferson 26' 3PT Jump Shot7
61.6%
4
38.4%
Q1 - 7:31MILMbah a Moute REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)7
60.0%
4
40.0%
Q1 - 7:32MILMISS Bell 15' Jump Shot7
61.6%
4
38.4%
Q1 - 7:48MILMbah a Moute REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)7
60.0%
4
40.0%
Q1 - 7:50SASMISS Mason Jr. Reverse Layup7
60.7%
4
39.3%
Q1 - 8:04SASMason Jr. REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)7
62.1%
4
37.9%
Q1 - 8:05MILMISS Bogut 8' Hook Shot7
61.5%
4
38.5%
Q1 - 8:21SASUdoka 26' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Duncan 1 AST)7
60.1%
4
39.9%
Q1 - 8:31SASOberto REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)4
56.0%
4
44.0%
Q1 - 8:32SASMISS Mason Jr. 19' Jump Shot4
54.6%
4
45.4%
Q1 - 8:44SASHill REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)4
56.0%
4
44.0%
Q1 - 8:45MILMISS Jefferson 17' Jump Shot4
55.4%
4
44.6%
Q1 - 8:58MILMbah a Moute REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)4
53.9%
4
46.1%
Q1 - 9:00SASMISS Duncan 18' Jump Shot4
54.6%
4
45.4%
Q1 - 9:13SASOberto REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)4
56.3%
4
43.7%
Q1 - 9:15MILMISS Bogut 4' Hook Shot4
55.7%
4
44.3%
Q1 - 9:26MILRidnour REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)4
54.5%
4
45.5%
Q1 - 9:27SASMISS Duncan 19' Jump Shot4
55.0%
4
45.0%
Q1 - 9:54MILRidnour 18' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Bell 2 AST)4
56.3%
4
43.7%
Q1 - 10:01MILBell REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)4
58.0%
2
42.0%
Q1 - 10:02SASMISS Udoka Layup4
58.6%
2
41.4%
Q1 - 10:06MILRidnour Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T2)4
59.9%
2
40.1%
Q1 - 10:23SASMason Jr. 26' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS)4
58.0%
2
42.0%
Q1 - 10:27SASMason Jr. REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)1
54.5%
2
45.5%
Q1 - 10:28SASMISS Oberto Free Throw 2 of 21
52.8%
2
47.2%
Q1 - 10:28SASOberto Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)1
53.7%
2
46.3%
Q1 - 10:46MILBogut 9' Hook Shot (2 PTS) (Bell 1 AST)0
52.7%
2
47.3%
Q1 - 10:57MILJefferson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)0
54.4%
0
45.6%
Q1 - 10:58SASMISS Duncan 18' Jump Shot0
55.0%
0
45.0%
Q1 - 11:06SASHill REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)0
56.1%
0
43.9%
Q1 - 11:07MILMISS Bell 25' 3PT Jump Shot0
55.6%
0
44.4%
Q1 - 11:24SASBogut STEAL (1 STL)0
54.4%
0
45.6%
Q1 - 11:42MILMbah a Moute Traveling Turnover (P1.T1)0
56.1%
0
43.9%
Q1 - 12:00MILJump Ball Bogut vs. Duncan: Tip to Bell0
54.4%
0
45.6%

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

SAS
0.97 48.8%
MIL
0.92 46.1%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)
SAS
13
19
68%
MIL
7
18
39%
Midrange
SAS
12
35
34%
MIL
22
46
48%
3PT | Effective 3PT
SAS
7
10.5
20
35%
53%
MIL
2
3.0
11
18%
27%
Free Throws
SAS
7
9
78%
MIL
18
25
72%
Makes
Effective 3P Makes
%
Efficiency
Misses
Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|
SAS logo Spurs
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
T. Duncan2457%12.0 / 21
M. Finley1979%9.5 / 12
A. Tolliver945%4.5 / 10
R. Mason Jr.630%3.0 / 10
G. Hill440%2.0 / 5
B. Bowen467%2.0 / 3
J. Vaughn440%2.0 / 5
K. Thomas440%2.0 / 5
I. Udoka330%1.5 / 5
F. Oberto150%0.5 / 1
TS Makes
TS Misses

Total Points

|
MIL logo Bucks
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
R. Jefferson1945%9.5 / 21
R. Sessions1372%6.5 / 9
L. Mbah a Moute1150%5.5 / 11
A. Bogut1050%5.0 / 10
L. Ridnour1045%5.0 / 11
C. Bell735%3.5 / 10
C. Villanueva650%3.0 / 6
J. Alexander440%2.0 / 5
T. Lue233%1.0 / 3
F. Elson0-0.0 / 1
TS Makes
TS Misses

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

SAS
70
+10
-11
80
MIL
71
+16
-7
87
Base
ORB
TOV

Scoring Efficiency

SAS
0.97 48.8%
MIL
0.92 46.1%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Efficiency & PaceThis Game
Efficiency
108.3
106.3
SAS 96.3 +8.8
MIL 105.1
Pace
88.7
93.0
SAS 74.6
MIL 86.0 +11.4
Avg. Poss. Time
16.5
15.2
SAS 19.3
MIL 16.7 +2.6
Four FactorsThis Game
EFG %
51.3%
48.3%
SAS 48.0% +5.3%
MIL 42.7%
TO %
12.4%
14.6%
SAS 12.4%
MIL 8.5% +3.9%
ORB %
22.2%
27.9%
SAS 17.5%
MIL 31.8% +14.3%
FTrt
25.1
30.6
SAS 12.2
MIL 33.3 +21.1
Misc. StatsThis Game
AST %
57.1%
59.9%
SAS 75.0% +20.2%
MIL 54.8%
STL %
6.5%
7.9%
SAS 3.7%
MIL 9.0% +5.3%
BLK %
6.1%
6.5%
SAS 6.3% +6.3%
MIL 0.0%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.08 and 2.08.

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Shooting EfficiencyThis Game
TS%
53.4%
51.8%
SAS 48.8% +2.7%
MIL 46.1%
Rim FG%
58.8%
55.5%
SAS 68.4% +29.5%
MIL 38.9%
Mid FG%
42.7%
40.3%
SAS 34.3%
MIL 47.8% +13.5%
3P %
38.6%
36.3%
SAS 35.0% +16.8%
MIL 18.2%
FT %
76.2%
78.0%
SAS 77.8% +5.8%
MIL 72.0%
Shot DistributionThis Game
Rim Att. %
30.3%
33.3%
SAS 25.7% +1.7%
MIL 24.0%
Mid Att. %
44.9%
45.9%
SAS 47.3% +14.0%
MIL 61.3%
3P Att. %
24.8%
20.8%
SAS 27.0% +12.4%
MIL 14.7%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.
Game TotalsSASMIL
Possessions8178
Possession Minutes26.121.8
Points7882
Rebounds3747
Assists2417
Steals37
Blocks40
Turnovers (Team)11 (0)7 (1)
Fouls
Off. Rebounds (Team)7 (3)14 (2)
Def. Rebounds (Team)30 (1)33 (1)
Field Goals32-7431-75
At-the-Rim FG13-197-18
Midrange FG12-3522-46
2-Point FG25-5429-64
3-Point FG7-202-11
Free Throws7-918-25
Fast Break Pts
2nd Chance Pts
Points in Paint
Pts off Turnovers
Bench Points
Biggest Lead

BOXSCORE

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15 San Antonio Spurs
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
Tim Duncan
F · 6'11" 250 · 33
34.7
24
57%
5
2
0
3
4
4
2
3
4-5
80%
10-20
50%
0-0
-
Roger Mason Jr.
G · 6'5" 205 · 28
31.2
6
30%
5
4
1
0
1
2
1
4
0-0
-
0-5
0%
2-5
40%
George Hill
G · 6'3" 188 · 23
22.2
4
40%
3
3
1
0
2
4
0
3
0-0
-
2-4
50%
0-1
0%
Ime Udoka
F · 6'5" 220 · 31
16.4
3
30%
0
0
0
1
1
1
0
0
0-0
-
0-3
0%
1-2
50%
Fabricio Oberto
C · 6'10" 245 · 34
16.4
1
50%
5
1
0
0
0
3
3
2
1-2
50%
0-0
-
0-0
-
Michael Finley
G-F · 6'7" 225 · 36
30.1
19
79%
4
3
0
0
0
2
0
4
0-0
-
5-6
83%
3-6
50%
Anthony Tolliver
F · 6'8" 240 · 23
28.3
9
45%
6
3
0
0
2
2
1
5
0-0
-
3-4
75%
1-6
17%
Bruce Bowen
F · 6'7" 200 · 37
27.2
4
67%
4
1
0
0
1
4
0
4
0-0
-
2-3
67%
0-0
-
Jacque Vaughn
G · 6'1" 190 · 34
20.1
4
40%
1
6
0
0
0
0
0
1
2-2
100%
1-4
25%
0-0
-
Kurt Thomas
F · 6'9" 240 · 36
13.3
4
40%
4
1
1
0
0
0
0
4
0-0
-
2-5
40%
0-0
-
Desmon Farmer
G · 6'5" 220 · 27
Matt Bonner
C-F · 6'10" 235 · 29
Ian Mahinmi
#28 · C · 6'11" 262 · 22
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
Tony Parker
#9 · G · 6'2" 185 · 26
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
Manu Ginobili
#20 · G · 6'6" 205 · 31
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
TOTAL
240
78
49%
37
24
3
4
11
0
7
30
7-9
78%
25-54
46%
7-20
35%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.