FinalWin Prob.pScore
1325%92
89
375%101
100
ORTG#PossPace
MIA logo MIA
107.28383.1
NOH
117.68585.4

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

HornetsHeatQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Scoring Margin

HornetsHeatQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Play-by-Play

Score / WinProb
ClockTeamEventMIANOH
Q4 - 0:00.0NOH89
0%
100
100%
Q4 - 0:20.0MIAWade 19' Fadeaway Jumper (30 PTS) (Haslem 2 AST)89
0.1%
100
99.9%
Q4 - 0:32.0NOHChandler Alley Oop Layup (13 PTS) (Paul 13 AST)87
0.1%
100
99.9%
Q4 - 0:46.0NOHChandler REBOUND (Off:1 Def:9)87
0.1%
98
99.9%
Q4 - 0:47.0MIAMISS Cook 26' 3PT Jump Shot87
0.1%
98
99.9%
Q4 - 0:56.0MIACook REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)87
0.1%
98
99.9%
Q4 - 0:56.0NOHMISS Stojakovic 26' 3PT Jump Shot87
0.1%
98
99.9%
Q4 - 1:19NOHWest REBOUND (Off:0 Def:9)87
0.1%
98
99.9%
Q4 - 1:20MIAMISS Wade 25' 3PT Jump Shot87
0.1%
98
99.9%
Q4 - 1:28NOHStojakovic 25' 3PT Jump Shot (12 PTS) (Paul 12 AST)87
0.2%
98
99.8%
Q4 - 1:49NOHWest REBOUND (Off:0 Def:8)87
1.1%
95
98.9%
Q4 - 1:50MIAMISS Beasley Layup87
1.3%
95
98.7%
Q4 - 2:07NOHWest Foul Turnover (P1.T10)87
1.9%
95
98.1%
Q4 - 2:31MIAHaslem Dunk (12 PTS) (Wade 10 AST)87
1.0%
95
99.0%
Q4 - 2:44NOHPaul Free Throw 1 of 1 (21 PTS)85
0.7%
95
99.3%
Q4 - 3:00MIAWade Free Throw 1 of 1 (28 PTS)85
2.1%
92
97.9%
Q4 - 3:06NOHPaul Bad Pass Turnover (P5.T9)82
1.0%
92
99.0%
Q4 - 3:25NOHHORNETS Rebound82
0.5%
92
99.5%
Q4 - 3:26MIAMISS Quinn 26' 3PT Jump Shot82
0.6%
92
99.4%
Q4 - 3:46MIAChalmers REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)82
1.7%
92
98.3%
Q4 - 3:47NOHMISS West 17' Jump Shot82
1.5%
92
98.5%
Q4 - 4:07NOHChandler REBOUND (Off:1 Def:8)82
1.1%
92
98.9%
Q4 - 4:08MIAMISS Wade 11' Jump Shot82
1.2%
92
98.8%
Q4 - 4:30NOHPaul Driving Layup (18 PTS)82
1.6%
92
98.4%
Q4 - 4:46NOHWest REBOUND (Off:0 Def:7)82
2.2%
90
97.8%
Q4 - 4:47MIAMISS Wade 20' Jump Shot82
2.5%
90
97.5%
Q4 - 4:56NOHPaul Free Throw 2 of 2 (16 PTS)82
3.4%
90
96.6%
Q4 - 4:56NOHMISS Paul Free Throw 1 of 282
3.5%
89
96.5%
Q4 - 5:06MIAQuinn 25' 3PT Jump Shot (14 PTS) (Wade 9 AST)82
4.8%
89
95.2%
Q4 - 5:23NOHPaul 25' 3PT Jump Shot (15 PTS) (Stojakovic 1 AST)79
2.5%
89
97.5%
Q4 - 5:48MIAHaslem Layup (10 PTS) (Chalmers 3 AST)79
4.6%
86
95.4%
Q4 - 6:06NOHButler 15' Turnaround Jump Shot (8 PTS)77
4.4%
86
95.6%
Q4 - 6:08NOHButler REBOUND (Off:3 Def:0)77
5.7%
84
94.3%
Q4 - 6:10NOHMISS Butler 26' 3PT Jump Shot77
7.0%
84
93.0%
Q4 - 6:33MIABeasley 20' Jump Shot (10 PTS) (Wade 8 AST)77
5.7%
84
94.3%
Q4 - 6:46NOHChandler Free Throw 2 of 2 (11 PTS)75
4.3%
84
95.7%
Q4 - 6:46NOHMISS Chandler Free Throw 1 of 275
4.8%
83
95.2%
Q4 - 7:01MIAWade Free Throw 2 of 2 (25 PTS)75
4.9%
83
95.1%
Q4 - 7:01MIAWade Free Throw 1 of 2 (24 PTS)74
4.7%
83
95.3%
Q4 - 7:12MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)73
3.8%
83
96.2%
Q4 - 7:13NOHMISS Paul 26' 3PT Jump Shot73
3.5%
83
96.5%
Q4 - 7:43MIAWade Driving Layup (23 PTS)73
2.8%
83
97.2%
Q4 - 7:50MIAWade REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)71
2.2%
83
97.8%
Q4 - 7:51NOHMISS Posey 24' 3PT Jump Shot71
2.0%
83
98.0%
Q4 - 8:04MIABeasley Free Throw 2 of 2 (8 PTS)71
2.1%
83
97.9%
Q4 - 8:04MIABeasley Free Throw 1 of 2 (7 PTS)70
2.0%
83
98.0%
Q4 - 8:05MIABeasley REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)69
1.6%
83
98.4%
Q4 - 8:06MIAMISS Wade 19' Jump Shot69
1.4%
83
98.6%
Q4 - 8:20MIABeasley REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)69
1.6%
83
98.4%
Q4 - 8:21NOHMISS James Layup69
1.5%
83
98.5%
Q4 - 8:26NOHArmstrong REBOUND (Off:3 Def:2)69
1.3%
83
98.7%
Q4 - 8:27NOHMISS Posey 26' 3PT Jump Shot69
1.5%
83
98.5%
Q4 - 8:45NOHButler REBOUND (Off:2 Def:0)69
1.2%
83
98.8%
Q4 - 8:46NOHMISS Butler 24' 3PT Jump Shot69
1.5%
83
98.5%
Q4 - 9:10MIAQuinn 26' 3PT Jump Shot (11 PTS) (Chalmers 2 AST)69
1.6%
83
98.4%
Q4 - 9:31NOHWest Free Throw 1 of 1 (21 PTS)66
1.0%
83
99.0%
Q4 - 9:42NOHArmstrong REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)66
1.6%
80
98.4%
Q4 - 9:43NOHMISS James Free Throw 2 of 266
1.9%
80
98.1%
Q4 - 9:43NOHJames Free Throw 1 of 2 (10 PTS)66
1.6%
80
98.4%
Q4 - 9:57NOHJump Ball Armstrong vs. Haslem: Tip to West66
2.0%
79
98.0%
Q4 - 9:58MIAMISS Quinn 25' 3PT Jump Shot66
2.2%
79
97.8%
Q4 - 10:12NOHJames Driving Layup (9 PTS)66
2.9%
79
97.1%
Q4 - 10:34NOHArmstrong REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)66
3.6%
77
96.4%
Q4 - 10:35MIAMISS Wade Layup66
3.9%
77
96.1%
Q4 - 10:46MIAQuinn REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)66
4.5%
77
95.5%
Q4 - 10:47NOHMISS James Layup66
4.2%
77
95.8%
Q4 - 11:09MIAButler STEAL (1 STL)66
4.1%
77
95.9%
Q4 - 11:18MIAHeat Rebound66
5.0%
77
95.0%
Q4 - 11:19MIAMISS Beasley 12' Jump Shot66
4.4%
77
95.6%
Q4 - 11:39NOHButler 24' 3PT Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Posey 2 AST)66
5.0%
77
95.0%
Q3 - 0:00.0NOH66
7.5%
74
92.5%
Q3 - 0:00.0NOHHORNETS Rebound66
7.5%
74
92.5%
Q3 - 0:00.0NOHMISS Paul 11' Running Bank Shot66
8.6%
74
91.4%
Q3 - 0:04.0MIAHaslem Dunk (8 PTS) (Wade 7 AST)66
8.2%
74
91.8%
Q3 - 0:22.0NOHWest 8' Driving Bank Shot (18 PTS)64
6.6%
74
93.4%
Q3 - 0:34.0MIAMarion 11' Jump Shot (10 PTS) (Wade 6 AST)64
8.1%
72
91.9%
Q3 - 0:50.0NOHWest Free Throw 2 of 2 (16 PTS)62
6.6%
72
93.4%
Q3 - 0:50.0NOHWest Free Throw 1 of 2 (15 PTS)62
6.7%
71
93.3%
Q3 - 1:10MIAQuinn 3PT Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Wade 5 AST)62
8.4%
70
91.6%
Q3 - 1:36NOHChandler Alley Oop Dunk (10 PTS) (Posey 1 AST)59
5.7%
70
94.3%
Q3 - 1:50NOHChandler REBOUND (Off:1 Def:7)59
7.0%
68
93.0%
Q3 - 1:51MIAMISS Marion 3PT Jump Shot59
7.3%
68
92.7%
Q3 - 2:00NOHPaul Bad Pass Turnover (P4.T8)59
8.2%
68
91.8%
Q3 - 2:18MIAQuinn 19' Pullup Jump Shot (5 PTS)59
7.3%
68
92.7%
Q3 - 2:27MIAQuinn REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)57
6.1%
68
93.9%
Q3 - 2:28NOHMISS West 20' Jump Shot57
5.8%
68
94.2%
Q3 - 2:40NOHWest REBOUND (Off:0 Def:6)57
5.1%
68
94.9%
Q3 - 2:41MIAMISS Wade 25' 3PT Jump Shot57
5.4%
68
94.6%
Q3 - 3:00MIAMarion REBOUND (Off:2 Def:6)57
6.1%
68
93.9%
Q3 - 3:01NOHMISS West 17' Jump Shot57
6.1%
68
93.9%
Q3 - 3:10NOHStojakovic REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)57
5.3%
68
94.7%
Q3 - 3:11MIAMISS Haslem 20' Jump Shot57
5.6%
68
94.4%
Q3 - 3:36NOHPosey Foul Turnover (P1.T7)57
6.4%
68
93.6%
Q3 - 3:50MIAQuinn 26' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Beasley 2 AST)57
5.3%
68
94.7%
Q3 - 4:09NOHStojakovic Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T6)54
4.1%
68
95.9%
Q3 - 4:27MIAWade Free Throw 2 of 2 (21 PTS)54
3.3%
68
96.7%
Q3 - 4:27MIAMISS Wade Free Throw 1 of 253
3.2%
68
96.8%
Q3 - 4:39MIAQuinn REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)53
3.4%
68
96.6%
Q3 - 4:40NOHMISS Paul Layup53
3.2%
68
96.8%
Q3 - 4:52NOHPaul REBOUND (Off:2 Def:5)53
2.8%
68
97.2%
Q3 - 4:53MIAMISS Beasley 21' Jump Shot53
3.0%
68
97.0%
Q3 - 5:07NOHStojakovic 25' 3PT Jump Shot (9 PTS) (West 3 AST)53
3.7%
68
96.3%
Q3 - 5:32NOHChandler REBOUND (Off:1 Def:6)53
5.0%
65
95.0%
Q3 - 5:32MIAMISS Beasley 17' Jump Shot53
5.2%
65
94.8%
Q3 - 5:59NOHWest Layup (14 PTS) (Paul 11 AST)53
5.9%
65
94.1%
Q3 - 6:18MIAWade Driving Layup (20 PTS)53
7.1%
63
92.9%
Q3 - 6:25MIAWade REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)51
6.2%
63
93.8%
Q3 - 6:26NOHMISS Peterson 26' 3PT Jump Shot51
5.9%
63
94.1%
Q3 - 6:44MIABeasley 19' Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Wade 4 AST)51
5.2%
63
94.8%
Q3 - 6:56MIABeasley REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)49
4.5%
63
95.5%
Q3 - 6:57NOHMISS Peterson 3PT Jump Shot49
4.3%
63
95.7%
Q3 - 6:58MIAPaul STEAL (4 STL)49
3.8%
63
96.2%
Q3 - 7:16NOHPaul Free Throw 2 of 2 (12 PTS)49
4.8%
63
95.2%
Q3 - 7:16NOHPaul Free Throw 1 of 2 (11 PTS)49
4.9%
62
95.1%
Q3 - 7:17MIAPaul STEAL (3 STL)49
5.5%
61
94.5%
Q3 - 7:30NOHPaul Free Throw 2 of 2 (10 PTS)49
6.4%
61
93.6%
Q3 - 7:30NOHMISS Paul Free Throw 1 of 249
6.6%
60
93.4%
Q3 - 7:35MIADiawara 24' 3PT Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Beasley 1 AST)49
6.4%
60
93.6%
Q3 - 7:59NOHChandler Alley Oop Dunk (8 PTS) (Paul 10 AST)46
4.8%
60
95.2%
Q3 - 8:10MIAWade 18' Pullup Jump Shot (18 PTS)46
5.7%
58
94.3%
Q3 - 8:23NOHPaul Free Throw 2 of 2 (9 PTS)44
5.0%
58
95.0%
Q3 - 8:23NOHPaul Free Throw 1 of 2 (8 PTS)44
5.1%
57
94.9%
Q3 - 8:54MIAWade Free Throw 2 of 2 (16 PTS)44
5.7%
56
94.3%
Q3 - 8:54MIAWade Free Throw 1 of 2 (15 PTS)43
5.5%
56
94.5%
Q3 - 9:05MIAMarion REBOUND (Off:2 Def:5)42
5.1%
56
94.9%
Q3 - 9:06NOHMISS Chandler Free Throw 1 of 142
5.0%
56
95.0%
Q3 - 9:13NOHChandler REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)42
5.8%
54
94.2%
Q3 - 9:14MIAChandler BLOCK (1 BLK)42
6.1%
54
93.9%
Q3 - 9:35NOHPeterson Layup (10 PTS)42
6.7%
54
93.3%
Q3 - 9:40MIAPeterson STEAL (2 STL)42
7.7%
52
92.3%
Q3 - 9:56NOHPaul Free Throw 2 of 2 (7 PTS)42
8.8%
52
91.2%
Q3 - 9:56NOHPaul Free Throw 1 of 2 (6 PTS)42
9.0%
51
91.0%
Q3 - 10:04MIAWade REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)42
10.2%
50
89.8%
Q3 - 10:04MIAWade Putback Dunk (14 PTS)42
10.2%
50
89.8%
Q3 - 10:05MIAMISS Beasley 17' Jump Shot40
8.2%
50
91.8%
Q3 - 10:29NOHWest Free Throw 2 of 2 (12 PTS)40
9.0%
50
91.0%
Q3 - 10:29NOHWest Free Throw 1 of 2 (11 PTS)40
9.2%
49
90.8%
Q3 - 10:29NOHWest Free Throw Technical (10 PTS)40
10.2%
48
89.8%
Q3 - 10:32NOHPeterson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)40
11.6%
47
88.4%
Q3 - 10:33NOHMISS Stojakovic Layup40
12.7%
47
87.3%
Q3 - 10:36NOHStojakovic REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)40
11.6%
47
88.4%
Q3 - 10:37NOHMISS Stojakovic 18' Jump Shot40
12.7%
47
87.3%
Q3 - 10:53MIABeasley Driving Finger Roll Layup (4 PTS)40
11.6%
47
88.4%
Q3 - 11:04MIAChalmers REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)38
10.4%
47
89.6%
Q3 - 11:05NOHMISS Chandler Alley Oop Layup38
10.0%
47
90.0%
Q3 - 11:17NOHPaul REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)38
9.1%
47
90.9%
Q3 - 11:20NOHMISS West 12' Jump Shot38
10.0%
47
90.0%
Q3 - 11:47MIAChalmers 19' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Haslem 1 AST)38
9.1%
47
90.9%
Q2 - 0:00.0NOH36
8.1%
47
91.9%
Q2 - 0:00.0NOHHORNETS Rebound36
7.1%
47
92.9%
Q2 - 0:00.0NOHMISS Peterson 59' 3PT Jump Shot36
7.8%
47
92.2%
Q2 - 0:00.0MIACook 24' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Wade 3 AST)36
7.1%
47
92.9%
Q2 - 0:06.0NOHPaul Bad Pass Turnover (P3.T5)33
5.6%
47
94.4%
Q2 - 0:12.0NOHPeterson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)33
5.1%
47
94.9%
Q2 - 0:13.0MIAMISS Diawara 26' 3PT Jump Shot33
5.3%
47
94.7%
Q2 - 0:31.0MIADiawara REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)33
5.6%
47
94.4%
Q2 - 0:31.0NOHMISS Armstrong 12' Jump Shot33
5.5%
47
94.5%
Q2 - 0:44.0MIAWade Free Throw 1 of 1 (12 PTS)33
5.1%
47
94.9%
Q2 - 0:53.0NOHPaul Free Throw 1 of 1 (5 PTS)30
3.8%
47
96.2%
Q2 - 0:57.0MIAPaul STEAL (2 STL)30
5.1%
44
94.9%
Q2 - 1:12NOHPaul Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)30
5.8%
44
94.2%
Q2 - 1:12NOHPaul Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)30
5.9%
43
94.1%
Q2 - 1:19NOHWest REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)30
6.8%
42
93.2%
Q2 - 1:23MIAMISS Haslem Free Throw 2 of 230
6.9%
42
93.1%
Q2 - 1:23MIAHaslem Free Throw 1 of 2 (6 PTS)30
7.5%
42
92.5%
Q2 - 1:23MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)29
6.6%
42
93.4%
Q2 - 1:24MIAMISS Marion 25' 3PT Jump Shot29
6.2%
42
93.8%
Q2 - 1:42NOHPeterson Running Layup (8 PTS) (Paul 8 AST)29
6.6%
42
93.4%
Q2 - 1:57NOHWest REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)29
7.7%
40
92.3%
Q2 - 1:58MIAMISS Cook 26' 3PT Jump Shot29
7.9%
40
92.1%
Q2 - 2:16NOHPaul Foul Turnover (P2.T4)29
8.6%
40
91.4%
Q2 - 2:21NOHArmstrong REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)29
7.6%
40
92.4%
Q2 - 2:22NOHMISS Paul Layup29
8.3%
40
91.7%
Q2 - 2:35MIAWade Free Throw 2 of 2 (9 PTS)29
7.6%
40
92.4%
Q2 - 2:35MIAMISS Wade Free Throw 1 of 228
7.5%
40
92.5%
Q2 - 2:51NOHWest 12' Running Jump Shot (9 PTS)28
7.6%
40
92.4%
Q2 - 3:08MIAPaul STEAL (1 STL)28
8.6%
38
91.4%
Q2 - 3:13NOHChandler Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T3)28
9.8%
38
90.2%
Q2 - 3:16NOHChandler REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)28
8.6%
38
91.4%
Q2 - 3:17MIAMISS Haslem Layup28
8.9%
38
91.1%
Q2 - 3:36NOHWest Free Throw 1 of 1 (7 PTS)28
9.8%
38
90.2%
Q2 - 3:54MIAHaslem Free Throw 1 of 1 (5 PTS)28
12.0%
35
88.0%
Q2 - 4:11NOHPeterson 3PT Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Paul 6 AST)25
9.8%
35
90.2%
Q2 - 4:24NOHChandler REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)25
12.1%
32
87.9%
Q2 - 4:25MIAMISS Wade Layup25
12.5%
32
87.5%
Q2 - 4:35NOHMISS West Free Throw Technical25
13.6%
32
86.4%
Q2 - 4:42MIAWade REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)25
13.6%
32
86.4%
Q2 - 4:43NOHMISS Stojakovic 3PT Jump Shot25
13.1%
32
86.9%
Q2 - 5:02NOHWest REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)25
12.4%
32
87.6%
Q2 - 5:03MIAPosey BLOCK (2 BLK)25
12.8%
32
87.2%
Q2 - 5:16MIAMarion REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)25
13.7%
32
86.3%
Q2 - 5:17NOHMISS West 10' Fadeaway Jumper25
13.2%
32
86.8%
Q2 - 5:40NOHWright REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)25
12.3%
32
87.7%
Q2 - 5:41MIAMISS Cook 28' 3PT Jump Shot25
12.7%
32
87.3%
Q2 - 6:04MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)25
14.0%
32
86.0%
Q2 - 6:05NOHMISS Butler 17' Jump Shot25
13.5%
32
86.5%
Q2 - 6:08NOHButler REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)25
12.4%
32
87.6%
Q2 - 6:09NOHMISS Butler 25' 3PT Jump Shot25
13.5%
32
86.5%
Q2 - 6:25NOHPosey REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)25
12.4%
32
87.6%
Q2 - 6:26MIAMISS Chalmers 19' Jump Shot25
12.9%
32
87.1%
Q2 - 6:54NOHButler 25' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Paul 5 AST)25
14.0%
32
86.0%
Q2 - 7:10NOHPaul REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)25
16.7%
29
83.3%
Q2 - 7:11MIAPosey BLOCK (1 BLK)25
17.2%
29
82.8%
Q2 - 7:33MIACook REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)25
18.4%
29
81.6%
Q2 - 7:33NOHMISS Wright 20' Jump Shot25
17.9%
29
82.1%
Q2 - 7:46NOHPosey REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)25
16.7%
29
83.3%
Q2 - 7:47MIAMISS Haslem 19' Jump Shot25
17.2%
29
82.8%
Q2 - 8:05MIADiawara REBOUND (Off:2 Def:0)25
18.4%
29
81.6%
Q2 - 8:06MIAMISS Cook 26' 3PT Jump Shot25
17.3%
29
82.7%
Q2 - 8:30MIAMarion REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)25
18.4%
29
81.6%
Q2 - 8:31NOHMISS Posey 24' 3PT Jump Shot25
17.9%
29
82.1%
Q2 - 8:50NOHChandler REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)25
16.8%
29
83.2%
Q2 - 8:50MIAMISS Chalmers Free Throw 2 of 225
17.0%
29
83.0%
Q2 - 8:50MIAMISS Chalmers Free Throw 1 of 225
18.0%
29
82.0%
Q2 - 9:13NOHChandler Alley Oop Dunk (4 PTS) (Paul 4 AST)25
18.3%
29
81.7%
Q2 - 9:21NOHChandler REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)25
19.9%
27
80.1%
Q2 - 9:22NOHMISS Butler 3PT Jump Shot25
21.1%
27
78.9%
Q2 - 9:32NOHWright REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)25
19.9%
27
80.1%
Q2 - 9:33MIAMISS Blount 19' Jump Shot25
20.4%
27
79.6%
Q2 - 9:43MIAChalmers REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)25
21.7%
27
78.3%
Q2 - 9:44NOHMISS Wright 25' 3PT Jump Shot25
21.1%
27
78.9%
Q2 - 10:09NOHPaul REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)25
20.0%
27
80.0%
Q2 - 10:10MIAMISS Diawara 25' 3PT Jump Shot25
20.5%
27
79.5%
Q2 - 10:43NOHJames 24' 3PT Jump Shot (7 PTS) (Wright 1 AST)25
21.7%
27
78.3%
Q2 - 11:05MIABeasley 3 Second Violation Turnover (P1.T4)25
25.5%
24
74.5%
Q2 - 11:11MIADiawara REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)25
27.5%
24
72.5%
Q2 - 11:13MIAMISS Beasley Layup25
26.1%
24
73.9%
Q2 - 11:25NOHWright Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T2)25
27.5%
24
72.5%
Q2 - 11:44MIABeasley 16' Fadeaway Jumper (2 PTS)25
25.5%
24
74.5%
Q1 - 0:00.0NOH23
23.6%
24
76.4%
Q1 - 0:00.0NOHHORNETS Rebound23
21.8%
24
78.2%
Q1 - 0:00.0NOHMISS Wright 8' Jump Shot23
23.1%
24
76.9%
Q1 - 0:03.0MIADiawara 25' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Quinn 2 AST)23
21.8%
24
78.2%
Q1 - 0:22.0NOHJames Driving Layup (4 PTS)20
18.3%
24
81.7%
Q1 - 0:43.0MIAMarion Free Throw 2 of 2 (8 PTS)20
20.2%
22
79.8%
Q1 - 0:43.0MIAMISS Marion Free Throw 1 of 219
19.8%
22
80.2%
Q1 - 0:54.0MIACook REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)19
19.8%
22
80.2%
Q1 - 0:55.0NOHMISS Stojakovic 24' 3PT Jump Shot19
19.4%
22
80.6%
Q1 - 1:13MIAMarion Layup (7 PTS) (Quinn 1 AST)19
18.7%
22
81.3%
Q1 - 1:36MIACook REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)17
16.9%
22
83.1%
Q1 - 1:36NOHMISS Armstrong 19' Jump Shot17
16.6%
22
83.4%
Q1 - 1:45NOHPosey REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)17
16.0%
22
84.0%
Q1 - 1:46MIAMISS Blount 11' Jump Shot17
16.3%
22
83.7%
Q1 - 1:50MIABlount REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)17
16.9%
22
83.1%
Q1 - 1:51MIAMISS Marion 12' Jump Shot17
16.3%
22
83.7%
Q1 - 2:09NOHWright REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)17
17.1%
22
82.9%
Q1 - 2:09NOHWright Putback Dunk (2 PTS)17
17.1%
22
82.9%
Q1 - 2:10NOHMISS Stojakovic 20' Jump Shot17
19.5%
20
80.5%
Q1 - 2:26NOHArmstrong REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)17
18.7%
20
81.3%
Q1 - 2:27MIAMISS Wade Free Throw 1 of 117
18.9%
20
81.1%
Q1 - 2:45NOHArmstrong Slam Dunk (3 PTS) (James 1 AST)15
17.1%
20
82.9%
Q1 - 3:04MIAWade Foul Turnover (P2.T3)15
18.4%
18
81.6%
Q1 - 3:07MIAWade REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)15
19.9%
18
80.1%
Q1 - 3:08NOHMISS Stojakovic 11' Jump Shot15
19.4%
18
80.6%
Q1 - 3:23NOHWest REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)15
18.5%
18
81.5%
Q1 - 3:25MIAMISS Quinn 26' 3PT Jump Shot15
18.9%
18
81.1%
Q1 - 3:31MIAMarion REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)15
19.9%
18
80.1%
Q1 - 3:33MIAMISS Beasley 21' Jump Shot15
18.9%
18
81.1%
Q1 - 3:52MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)15
19.9%
18
80.1%
Q1 - 3:53NOHMISS James 9' Jump Shot15
19.4%
18
80.6%
Q1 - 4:15MIAMarion 25' 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Wade 1 AST)15
18.2%
18
81.8%
Q1 - 4:35NOHJames 18' Pullup Jump Shot (2 PTS)12
15.8%
18
84.2%
Q1 - 4:55MIAHaslem Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)12
16.9%
16
83.1%
Q1 - 4:55MIAHaslem Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)11
16.7%
16
83.3%
Q1 - 5:07NOHArmstrong Free Throw 2 of 2 (1 PTS)10
16.1%
16
83.9%
Q1 - 5:07NOHMISS Armstrong Free Throw 1 of 210
16.5%
15
83.5%
Q1 - 5:21MIAMarion Layup (2 PTS)10
15.9%
15
84.1%
Q1 - 5:22MIAMarion REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)8
15.0%
15
85.0%
Q1 - 5:24MIAMISS Wade 19' Jump Shot8
14.1%
15
85.9%
Q1 - 5:47MIABeasley REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)8
14.9%
15
85.1%
Q1 - 5:48NOHMISS Paul 19' Jump Shot8
14.6%
15
85.4%
Q1 - 5:54NOHPaul REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)8
13.7%
15
86.3%
Q1 - 5:55NOHMISS Peterson 24' 3PT Jump Shot8
14.6%
15
85.4%
Q1 - 6:13NOHChandler REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)8
13.6%
15
86.4%
Q1 - 6:14MIAMISS Wade Layup8
14.0%
15
86.0%
Q1 - 6:27NOHWest 18' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Paul 3 AST)8
14.7%
15
85.3%
Q1 - 6:38MIAChalmers 9' Running Bank Shot (2 PTS)8
15.8%
13
84.2%
Q1 - 6:59NOHPeterson 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Paul 2 AST)6
14.8%
13
85.2%
Q1 - 7:22MIAWade 19' Running Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Chalmers 1 AST)6
16.7%
10
83.3%
Q1 - 7:42NOHChandler Dunk (2 PTS) (West 1 AST)4
15.7%
10
84.3%
Q1 - 8:02MIAPeterson STEAL (1 STL)4
16.6%
8
83.4%
Q1 - 8:27NOHStojakovic 25' 3PT Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Paul 1 AST)4
17.8%
8
82.2%
Q1 - 8:51MIAWade Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)4
20.4%
5
79.6%
Q1 - 8:51MIAWade Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)3
20.1%
5
79.9%
Q1 - 8:55MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)2
19.1%
5
80.9%
Q1 - 8:56NOHMISS Chandler 7' Jump Shot2
18.7%
5
81.3%
Q1 - 9:11MIAWade Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)2
18.0%
5
82.0%
Q1 - 9:11MIAWade Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)1
17.8%
5
82.2%
Q1 - 9:19MIAMarion REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)0
16.8%
5
83.2%
Q1 - 9:21NOHMISS Stojakovic 26' 3PT Jump Shot0
16.5%
5
83.5%
Q1 - 9:28NOHPaul REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)0
15.8%
5
84.2%
Q1 - 9:29MIAMISS Haslem 8' Jump Shot0
16.1%
5
83.9%
Q1 - 9:56NOHStojakovic 24' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Peterson 1 AST)0
16.7%
5
83.3%
Q1 - 10:07NOHPeterson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)0
19.2%
2
80.8%
Q1 - 10:08MIAMISS Beasley 22' Jump Shot0
19.6%
2
80.4%
Q1 - 10:20NOHPaul Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T1)0
20.4%
2
79.6%
Q1 - 10:24NOHWest REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)0
19.2%
2
80.8%
Q1 - 10:25MIAMISS Wade 20' Jump Shot0
19.6%
2
80.4%
Q1 - 10:32MIAMarion REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)0
20.4%
2
79.6%
Q1 - 10:33NOHMISS West 7' Jump Shot0
20.1%
2
79.9%
Q1 - 10:51MIAWade Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T1)0
19.2%
2
80.8%
Q1 - 10:59MIAWade REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)0
20.4%
2
79.6%
Q1 - 11:00NOHMISS West 17' Jump Shot0
20.1%
2
79.9%
Q1 - 11:17NOHPaul REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)0
19.1%
2
80.9%
Q1 - 11:18MIAMISS Haslem 18' Jump Shot0
19.4%
2
80.6%

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

MIA
1.07 53.6%
NOH
1.10 54.9%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)
MIA
10
18
56%
NOH
13
19
68%
Midrange
MIA
13
33
39%
NOH
11
30
37%
3PT | Effective 3PT
MIA
8
12.0
21
38%
57%
NOH
10
15.0
27
37%
56%
Free Throws
MIA
19
26
73%
NOH
22
29
76%
Makes
Effective 3P Makes
%
Efficiency
Misses
Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|
MIA logo Heat
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
D. Wade3058%15.0 / 26
C. Quinn1488%7.0 / 8
U. Haslem1255%6.0 / 11
M. Beasley1036%5.0 / 14
S. Marion1063%5.0 / 8
Y. Diawara675%3.0 / 4
M. Chalmers450%2.0 / 4
D. Cook325%1.5 / 6
M. Blount0-0.0 / 2
TS Makes
TS Misses

Total Points

|
Hornets
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
D. West2166%10.5 / 16
C. Paul2170%10.5 / 15
T. Chandler1372%6.5 / 9
P. Stojakovic1250%6.0 / 12
M. Peterson1063%5.0 / 8
M. James1063%5.0 / 8
R. Butler850%4.0 / 8
H. Armstrong338%1.5 / 4
J. Wright225%1.0 / 4
J. Posey0-0.0 / 3
TS Makes
TS Misses

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

MIA
73
+9
-10
82
NOH
75
+15
-10
90
Base
ORB
TOV

Scoring Efficiency

MIA
1.07 53.6%
NOH
1.10 54.9%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Efficiency & PaceThis Game
Efficiency
107.6
108.6
MIA 107.2
NOH 117.6 +10.4
Pace
90.2
88.0
MIA 83.1
NOH 85.4 +2.3
Avg. Poss. Time
16.3
16.8
MIA 17.3
NOH 16.9 +0.5
Four FactorsThis Game
EFG %
50.0%
50.1%
MIA 48.6%
NOH 51.3% +2.7%
TO %
13.1%
13.3%
MIA 10.7%
NOH 10.1% +0.6%
ORB %
24.6%
24.6%
MIA 19.5%
NOH 29.3% +9.8%
FTrt
28.2
28.8
MIA 36.1
NOH 38.2 +2.1
Misc. StatsThis Game
AST %
55.1%
55.3%
MIA 64.5%
NOH 67.6% +3.1%
STL %
8.7%
8.2%
MIA 8.4% +0.2%
NOH 8.2%
BLK %
9.2%
7.2%
MIA 6.1% +0.2%
NOH 5.9%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Shooting EfficiencyThis Game
TS%
52.6%
53.1%
MIA 53.6%
NOH 54.9% +1.3%
Rim FG%
59.5%
58.6%
MIA 55.6%
NOH 68.4% +12.8%
Mid FG%
41.8%
42.5%
MIA 39.4% +2.7%
NOH 36.7%
3P %
35.7%
36.4%
MIA 38.1% +1.1%
NOH 37.0%
FT %
75.4%
80.7%
MIA 73.1%
NOH 75.9% +2.8%
Shot DistributionThis Game
Rim Att. %
30.3%
29.0%
MIA 25.0%
NOH 25.0%
Mid Att. %
45.2%
47.0%
MIA 45.8%
NOH 39.5% +6.4%
3P Att. %
24.5%
24.0%
MIA 29.2%
NOH 35.5% +6.4%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.
Game TotalsMIANOH
Possessions8385
Possession Minutes24.023.9
Points89100
Rebounds3745
Assists2023
Steals77
Blocks33
Turnovers (Team)10 (0)10 (0)
Fouls
Off. Rebounds (Team)8 (1)12 (3)
Def. Rebounds (Team)29 (0)33 (2)
Field Goals31-7234-76
At-the-Rim FG10-1813-19
Midrange FG13-3311-30
2-Point FG23-5124-49
3-Point FG8-2110-27
Free Throws19-2622-29
Fast Break Pts
2nd Chance Pts
Points in Paint
Pts off Turnovers
Bench Points
Biggest Lead

BOXSCORE

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PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
C · 6'8" 235 · 28
42.4
12
55%
5
2
0
0
0
4
1
4
4-5
80%
4-9
44%
0-0
-
G · 6'4" 220 · 27
40.9
30
58%
6
10
1
2
5
2
1
5
12-15
80%
9-18
50%
0-2
0%
F · 6'9" 235 · 20
35.6
10
36%
4
2
1
0
1
4
1
3
2-2
100%
4-13
31%
0-0
-
F · 6'7" 228 · 31
35.6
10
63%
8
0
0
1
2
1
2
6
1-2
50%
3-4
75%
1-3
33%
G · 6'2" 190 · 22
27.0
4
50%
3
3
1
0
1
5
0
3
0-2
0%
2-3
67%
0-0
-
G · 6'2" 175 · 25
23.6
14
88%
3
2
2
0
0
2
0
3
0-0
-
1-1
100%
4-7
57%
G · 6'5" 210 · 22
18.1
3
25%
4
0
0
0
1
0
0
4
0-0
-
0-1
0%
1-5
20%
F-G · 6'7" 225 · 26
11.2
6
75%
3
1
2
0
0
5
2
1
0-0
-
0-0
-
2-4
50%
C-F · 7'0" 250 · 33
5.6
0
0%
1
0
0
0
0
0
1
0
0-0
-
0-2
0%
0-0
-
G · 6'7" 192 · 23
F-G · 6'9" 205 · 23
C · 6'9" 245 · 26
#22 · G-F · 6'8" 218 · 28
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
#5 · G · 6'2" 205 · 27
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
#21 · C · 6'11" 265 · 30
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
TOTAL
240
89
54%
37
20
7
3
10
0
8
29
19-26
73%
23-51
45%
8-21
38%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.