FinalWin Prob.pScore
2930%91
109
1870%98
104
ORTG#PossPace
MEM logo MEM
113.59685.5
GSW logo GSW
105.199112.9

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

WarriorsGrizzliesQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Scoring Margin

WarriorsGrizzliesQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Play-by-Play

Score / WinProb
ClockTeamEventMEMGSW
Q4 - 0:00.0MEM109
100%
104
0%
Q4 - 0:04.0MEMMayo REBOUND (Off:3 Def:6)109
99.9%
104
0.1%
Q4 - 0:07.0GSWMISS Jackson 28' 3PT Jump Shot109
99.8%
104
0.2%
Q4 - 0:15.0MEMConley Free Throw 2 of 2 (10 PTS)109
98.9%
104
1.1%
Q4 - 0:15.0MEMConley Free Throw 1 of 2 (9 PTS)108
98.7%
104
1.3%
Q4 - 0:15.0GSWJackson Free Throw 2 of 2 (27 PTS)107
97.8%
104
2.2%
Q4 - 0:15.0GSWJackson Free Throw 1 of 2 (26 PTS)107
98.1%
103
1.9%
Q4 - 0:19.0GSWWARRIORS Rebound107
99.0%
102
1.0%
Q4 - 0:19.0GSWMISS Nelson 3' Layup107
99.6%
102
0.4%
Q4 - 0:24.0GSWNelson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)107
98.0%
102
2.0%
Q4 - 0:26.0MEMMISS Arthur Free Throw 2 of 2107
98.0%
102
2.0%
Q4 - 0:26.0MEMArthur Free Throw 1 of 2 (13 PTS)107
98.8%
102
1.2%
Q4 - 0:28.0GSWJackson Free Throw 2 of 2 (25 PTS)106
97.7%
102
2.3%
Q4 - 0:28.0GSWJackson Free Throw 1 of 2 (24 PTS)106
98.0%
101
2.0%
Q4 - 0:36.0MEMGay 2' Driving Layup (23 PTS)106
99.0%
100
1.0%
Q4 - 0:50.0GSWJackson 1' Driving Dunk (23 PTS)104
94.8%
100
5.2%
Q4 - 0:55.0MEMGay 24' 3PT Jump Shot (21 PTS) (Arthur 1 AST)104
96.8%
98
3.2%
Q4 - 1:19GSWJackson 2' Driving Layup (21 PTS) (Watson 8 AST)101
86.2%
98
13.8%
Q4 - 1:22GSWWatson REBOUND (Off:3 Def:5)101
91.0%
96
9.0%
Q4 - 1:24MEMMISS Gay 26' 3PT Jump Shot101
92.3%
96
7.7%
Q4 - 1:49MEMMayo REBOUND (Off:3 Def:5)101
92.0%
96
8.0%
Q4 - 1:51GSWMISS Jackson Free Throw 2 of 2101
91.4%
96
8.6%
Q4 - 1:51GSWMISS Jackson Free Throw 1 of 2101
88.4%
96
11.6%
Q4 - 2:10MEMWarrick 1' Slam Dunk (19 PTS) (Conley 6 AST)101
87.5%
96
12.5%
Q4 - 2:28GSWWright Bad Pass Turnover (P3.T13)99
83.9%
96
16.1%
Q4 - 2:41MEMGasol Free Throw 2 of 2 (8 PTS)99
72.2%
96
27.8%
Q4 - 2:41MEMGasol Free Throw 1 of 2 (7 PTS)98
69.4%
96
30.6%
Q4 - 2:57GSWWARRIORS Turnover: Shot Clock (T#12)97
62.1%
96
37.9%
Q4 - 2:57GSWWARRIORS Rebound97
47.6%
96
52.4%
Q4 - 2:57GSWMISS Jackson 22' Jump Shot97
57.9%
96
42.1%
Q4 - 3:20GSWAzubuike REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)97
47.8%
96
52.2%
Q4 - 3:22MEMMISS Conley 6' Jump Shot97
52.6%
96
47.4%
Q4 - 3:30MEMGrizzlies Rebound97
63.4%
96
36.6%
Q4 - 3:30MEMJackson BLOCK (1 BLK)97
52.7%
96
47.3%
Q4 - 3:46GSWBiedrins Free Throw 2 of 2 (23 PTS)97
56.5%
96
43.5%
Q4 - 3:46GSWMISS Biedrins Free Throw 1 of 297
59.9%
95
40.1%
Q4 - 3:46GSWBiedrins REBOUND (Off:5 Def:7)97
55.8%
95
44.2%
Q4 - 3:47MEMWright BLOCK (3 BLK)97
58.9%
95
41.1%
Q4 - 4:08GSWAzubuike Foul Turnover (P3.T11)97
66.0%
95
34.0%
Q4 - 4:21MEMWarrick Free Throw 2 of 2 (17 PTS)97
56.2%
95
43.8%
Q4 - 4:21MEMMISS Warrick Free Throw 1 of 296
53.8%
95
46.2%
Q4 - 4:37MEMGasol REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)96
57.0%
95
43.0%
Q4 - 4:38GSWMISS Watson Free Throw 2 of 296
55.6%
95
44.4%
Q4 - 4:38GSWMISS Watson Free Throw 1 of 296
49.3%
95
50.7%
Q4 - 4:38GSWWatson REBOUND (Off:3 Def:4)96
46.4%
95
53.6%
Q4 - 4:39GSWWatson REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)96
46.4%
95
53.6%
Q4 - 4:39GSWMISS Watson 2' Tip Shot96
53.8%
95
46.2%
Q4 - 4:40GSWMISS Jackson 27' 3PT Jump Shot96
53.8%
95
46.2%
Q4 - 5:00MEMMayo 15' Pullup Jump Shot (20 PTS)96
46.5%
95
53.5%
Q4 - 5:05MEMMayo REBOUND (Off:3 Def:4)94
37.3%
95
62.7%
Q4 - 5:07GSWMISS Randolph 18' Jump Shot94
34.8%
95
65.2%
Q4 - 5:15GSWRandolph REBOUND (Off:1 Def:6)94
29.5%
95
70.5%
Q4 - 5:18MEMMISS Gay 21' Jump Shot94
31.7%
95
68.3%
Q4 - 5:39GSWBiedrins Free Throw 1 of 1 (22 PTS)94
37.3%
95
62.7%
Q4 - 5:46GSWRandolph REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)94
53.7%
92
46.3%
Q4 - 5:48MEMMISS Mayo 26' 3PT Jump Shot94
56.4%
92
43.6%
Q4 - 6:08GSWAzubuike Free Throw 1 of 1 (21 PTS)94
58.9%
92
41.1%
Q4 - 6:11MEMJackson STEAL (1 STL)94
72.2%
89
27.8%
Q4 - 6:26GSWJackson Poss Lost Ball Turnover (P2.T10)94
78.2%
89
21.8%
Q4 - 6:37MEMMayo Free Throw 2 of 2 (18 PTS)94
72.4%
89
27.6%
Q4 - 6:37MEMMISS Mayo Free Throw 1 of 293
71.1%
89
28.9%
Q4 - 6:53GSWAzubuike 26' 3PT Jump Shot (18 PTS) (Jackson 2 AST)93
72.7%
89
27.3%
Q4 - 7:07GSWRandolph REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)93
79.4%
86
20.6%
Q4 - 7:08MEMMISS Mayo 8' Jump Shot93
80.9%
86
19.1%
Q4 - 7:26GSWBiedrins Free Throw 2 of 2 (19 PTS)93
84.0%
86
16.0%
Q4 - 7:26GSWBiedrins Free Throw 1 of 2 (18 PTS)93
85.3%
85
14.7%
Q4 - 7:26GSWBiedrins REBOUND (Off:5 Def:6)93
87.2%
84
12.8%
Q4 - 7:26GSWMISS Biedrins 4' Jump Shot93
89.3%
84
10.7%
Q4 - 7:39MEMLowry Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T12)93
87.2%
84
12.8%
Q4 - 7:58GSWBiedrins Free Throw 1 of 1 (17 PTS)93
90.3%
84
9.7%
Q4 - 7:58GSWBiedrins REBOUND (Off:4 Def:6)93
92.5%
83
7.5%
Q4 - 7:58GSWBiedrins 2' Putback Layup (16 PTS)93
92.5%
83
7.5%
Q4 - 7:58GSWRandolph REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)93
94.1%
81
5.9%
Q4 - 7:58GSWMISS Randolph 2' Tip Shot93
95.2%
81
4.8%
Q4 - 8:00GSWMISS Azubuike 25' 3PT Jump Shot93
95.2%
81
4.8%
Q4 - 8:13MEMGay 23' Pullup Jump Shot (18 PTS)93
92.5%
81
7.5%
Q4 - 8:37MEMWarrick REBOUND (Off:3 Def:7)91
90.5%
81
9.5%
Q4 - 8:39GSWMISS Watson Free Throw 2 of 291
90.2%
81
9.8%
Q4 - 8:39GSWWatson Free Throw 1 of 2 (9 PTS)91
88.6%
81
11.4%
Q4 - 8:43MEMWarrick 1' Slam Dunk (16 PTS)91
90.6%
80
9.4%
Q4 - 8:58MEMGasol REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)89
88.0%
80
12.0%
Q4 - 9:00GSWMISS Randolph 13' Jump Shot89
87.2%
80
12.8%
Q4 - 9:11MEMGasol 2' Putback Layup (6 PTS)89
82.7%
80
17.3%
Q4 - 9:12MEMGasol REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)87
78.8%
80
21.2%
Q4 - 9:13MEMMISS Lowry 6' Jump Shot87
76.0%
80
24.0%
Q4 - 9:36GSWAzubuike Step Out of Bounds Turnover (P2.T9)87
78.9%
80
21.1%
Q4 - 9:47MEMArthur 21' Jump Shot (12 PTS) (Mayo 4 AST)87
74.9%
80
25.1%
Q4 - 10:04GSWBiedrins Free Throw 2 of 2 (14 PTS)85
67.4%
80
32.6%
Q4 - 10:04GSWBiedrins Free Throw 1 of 2 (13 PTS)85
69.2%
79
30.8%
Q4 - 10:26MEMArthur 7' Turnaround Bank Hook Shot (10 PTS) (Warrick 3 AST)85
72.4%
78
27.6%
Q4 - 10:40GSWJackson Free Throw 2 of 2 (19 PTS)83
67.6%
78
32.4%
Q4 - 10:40GSWJackson Free Throw 1 of 2 (18 PTS)83
68.4%
77
31.6%
Q4 - 10:51MEMWarrick 3' Jump Hook Shot (14 PTS)83
72.5%
76
27.5%
Q4 - 11:12GSWRandolph 20' Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Watson 7 AST)81
65.4%
76
34.6%
Q4 - 11:28GSWRandolph REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)81
70.4%
74
29.6%
Q4 - 11:29MEMMISS Buckner 28' 3PT Jump Shot81
71.7%
74
28.3%
Q4 - 11:43GSWBiedrins 3 Second Violation Turnover (P3.T8)81
74.5%
74
25.5%
Q3 - 0:00.0GSW81
70.5%
74
29.5%
Q3 - 0:00.0GSWWARRIORS Rebound81
70.5%
74
29.5%
Q3 - 0:00.0GSWMISS Watson 1' Driving Layup81
73.3%
74
26.7%
Q3 - 0:04.0MEMMayo 16' Jump Shot (17 PTS)81
68.6%
74
31.4%
Q3 - 0:26.0MEMArthur REBOUND (Off:3 Def:9)79
63.6%
74
36.4%
Q3 - 0:27.0GSWMISS Jackson 27' 3PT Jump Shot79
62.4%
74
37.6%
Q3 - 0:39.0MEMMISS Buckner Free Throw 2 of 279
60.0%
74
40.0%
Q3 - 0:39.0MEMMISS Buckner Free Throw 1 of 279
63.4%
74
36.6%
Q3 - 0:39.0GSWMISS Turiaf 19' Jump Shot79
62.4%
74
37.6%
Q3 - 0:39.0MEMBuckner REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)79
59.4%
74
40.6%
Q3 - 0:54.0MEMMayo Free Throw 2 of 2 (15 PTS)79
59.4%
74
40.6%
Q3 - 0:54.0MEMMayo Free Throw 1 of 2 (14 PTS)78
58.4%
74
41.6%
Q3 - 0:54.0MEMMayo REBOUND (Off:3 Def:3)77
53.8%
74
46.2%
Q3 - 0:55.0MEMMISS Mayo 4' Jump Shot77
50.7%
74
49.3%
Q3 - 1:00MEMArthur REBOUND (Off:3 Def:8)77
53.8%
74
46.2%
Q3 - 1:02GSWMISS Jackson 7' Jump Shot77
51.2%
74
48.8%
Q3 - 1:16MEMWarrick 1' Slam Dunk (12 PTS) (Lowry 3 AST)77
48.2%
74
51.8%
Q3 - 1:21MEMArthur REBOUND (Off:3 Def:7)75
42.9%
74
57.1%
Q3 - 1:23GSWMISS Nelson 18' Jump Shot75
41.5%
74
58.5%
Q3 - 1:38MEMNelson STEAL (1 STL)75
38.6%
74
61.4%
Q3 - 1:45MEMArthur REBOUND (Off:3 Def:6)75
42.9%
74
57.1%
Q3 - 1:47GSWMISS Jackson Free Throw 2 of 275
42.3%
74
57.7%
Q3 - 1:47GSWMISS Jackson Free Throw 1 of 275
38.9%
74
61.1%
Q3 - 2:02MEMLowry Free Throw 2 of 2 (7 PTS)75
37.5%
74
62.5%
Q3 - 2:02MEMLowry Free Throw 1 of 2 (6 PTS)74
36.5%
74
63.5%
Q3 - 2:05MEMArthur REBOUND (Off:3 Def:5)73
33.2%
74
66.8%
Q3 - 2:07GSWMISS Watson 20' Jump Shot73
32.0%
74
68.0%
Q3 - 2:18MEMLowry 1' Driving Layup (5 PTS)73
29.3%
74
70.7%
Q3 - 2:23MEMWarrick REBOUND (Off:3 Def:6)71
25.5%
74
74.5%
Q3 - 2:26GSWMISS Nelson Free Throw 1 of 171
25.0%
74
75.0%
Q3 - 2:45MEMWarrick 1' Slam Dunk (10 PTS) (Mayo 3 AST)71
29.3%
72
70.7%
Q3 - 3:06GSWTuriaf 3' Driving Layup (2 PTS)69
25.4%
72
74.6%
Q3 - 3:24MEMGay Foul Turnover (P3.T10)69
28.7%
70
71.3%
Q3 - 3:46GSWJackson 2' Layup (17 PTS) (Watson 6 AST)69
32.8%
70
67.2%
Q3 - 3:52GSWWatson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)69
36.6%
68
63.4%
Q3 - 3:54MEMMISS Mayo 9' Floating Jump Shot69
38.0%
68
62.0%
Q3 - 4:09GSWWatson Free Throw 2 of 2 (8 PTS)69
40.9%
68
59.1%
Q3 - 4:09GSWWatson Free Throw 1 of 2 (7 PTS)69
41.8%
67
58.2%
Q3 - 4:18MEMArthur 2' Reverse Layup (8 PTS) (Warrick 2 AST)69
44.4%
66
55.6%
Q3 - 4:21MEMWarrick REBOUND (Off:3 Def:5)67
40.9%
66
59.1%
Q3 - 4:23MEMBiedrins BLOCK (2 BLK)67
37.5%
66
62.5%
Q3 - 4:42GSWJackson 22' Jump Shot (15 PTS)67
40.9%
66
59.1%
Q3 - 4:55MEMGay Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T9)67
44.4%
64
55.6%
Q3 - 4:59GSWJackson 3' Driving Layup (13 PTS)67
49.5%
64
50.5%
Q3 - 5:09GSWWatson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)67
51.6%
62
48.4%
Q3 - 5:11MEMMISS Mayo 19' Jump Shot67
53.0%
62
47.0%
Q3 - 5:20GSWNelson 5' Turnaround Hook Shot (4 PTS)67
56.3%
62
43.7%
Q3 - 5:40MEMConley 19' Jump Shot (8 PTS)67
60.0%
60
40.0%
Q3 - 5:49MEMConley REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)65
56.4%
60
43.6%
Q3 - 5:50GSWMISS Azubuike 26' 3PT Jump Shot65
55.0%
60
45.0%
Q3 - 6:02MEMArthur 9' Jump Hook Shot (6 PTS) (Mayo 2 AST)65
50.5%
60
49.5%
Q3 - 6:19MEMGrizzlies Rebound63
46.8%
60
53.2%
Q3 - 6:21MEMMISS Gay 17' Jump Shot63
43.8%
60
56.2%
Q3 - 6:39GSWJackson Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T7)63
46.9%
60
53.1%
Q3 - 6:44MEMWarrick 4' Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Conley 5 AST)63
42.6%
60
57.4%
Q3 - 6:49MEMWarrick REBOUND (Off:2 Def:5)61
39.0%
60
61.0%
Q3 - 6:50GSWMISS Azubuike 9' Jump Hook Shot61
37.7%
60
62.3%
Q3 - 7:07MEMGay Free Throw 2 of 2 (16 PTS)61
34.3%
60
65.7%
Q3 - 7:07MEMGay Free Throw 1 of 2 (15 PTS)60
33.6%
60
66.4%
Q3 - 7:14MEMGay REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)59
31.0%
60
69.0%
Q3 - 7:16GSWMISS Biedrins 3' Layup59
30.0%
60
70.0%
Q3 - 7:26GSWWatson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)59
27.7%
60
72.3%
Q3 - 7:28GSWMISS Williams 19' Jump Shot59
30.0%
60
70.0%
Q3 - 7:37GSWBiedrins REBOUND (Off:3 Def:6)59
27.7%
60
72.3%
Q3 - 7:38MEMMISS Arthur 7' Turnaround Hook Shot59
28.7%
60
71.3%
Q3 - 7:53GSWBiedrins REBOUND (Off:3 Def:5)59
31.1%
60
68.9%
Q3 - 7:53GSWBiedrins 2' Layup (12 PTS)59
31.1%
60
68.9%
Q3 - 7:57GSWMISS Watson 24' 3PT Jump Shot59
36.9%
58
63.1%
Q3 - 8:10GSWWARRIORS Rebound59
33.9%
58
66.1%
Q3 - 8:12MEMMISS Gay 26' 3PT Jump Shot59
35.0%
58
65.0%
Q3 - 8:35GSWBiedrins Slam Dunk (10 PTS) (Williams 4 AST)59
37.6%
58
62.4%
Q3 - 8:55MEMMayo 21' Pullup Jump Shot (13 PTS)59
41.0%
56
59.0%
Q3 - 9:01MEMMayo REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)57
37.1%
56
62.9%
Q3 - 9:02GSWMISS Biedrins 1' Driving Slam Dunk57
36.0%
56
64.0%
Q3 - 9:12GSWAzubuike REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)57
33.7%
56
66.3%
Q3 - 9:15MEMMISS Arthur 11' Jump Shot57
34.7%
56
65.3%
Q3 - 9:35GSWBiedrins REBOUND (Off:2 Def:5)57
37.2%
56
62.8%
Q3 - 9:35GSWBiedrins 3' Layup (8 PTS)57
37.2%
56
62.8%
Q3 - 9:38GSWMISS Watson 7' Jump Shot57
43.1%
54
56.9%
Q3 - 9:58MEMGay 1' Driving Slam Dunk (14 PTS) (Conley 4 AST)57
40.6%
54
59.4%
Q3 - 10:06MEMArthur REBOUND (Off:3 Def:4)55
36.5%
54
63.5%
Q3 - 10:07GSWMISS Azubuike 25' 3PT Jump Shot55
35.5%
54
64.5%
Q3 - 10:26MEMMayo 3PT Jump Shot (11 PTS) (Gay 2 AST)55
33.3%
54
66.7%
Q3 - 10:32MEMArthur REBOUND (Off:3 Def:3)52
27.3%
54
72.7%
Q3 - 10:35GSWMISS Jackson 26' 3PT Jump Shot52
26.4%
54
73.6%
Q3 - 10:47MEMGay 5' Driving Bank Hook Shot (12 PTS)52
24.5%
54
75.5%
Q3 - 10:58MEMWarrick REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)50
22.0%
54
78.0%
Q3 - 11:00GSWMISS Azubuike Free Throw 1 of 150
21.7%
54
78.3%
Q3 - 11:00GSWAzubuike REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)50
24.5%
52
75.5%
Q3 - 11:01GSWMISS Azubuike 2' Layup50
26.3%
52
73.7%
Q3 - 11:08GSWJackson REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)50
24.3%
52
75.7%
Q3 - 11:10MEMMISS Arthur 20' Jump Shot50
25.2%
52
74.8%
Q3 - 11:25GSWWright REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)50
27.2%
52
72.8%
Q3 - 11:25GSWWright 2' Tip Shot (6 PTS)50
27.2%
52
72.8%
Q3 - 11:27GSWMISS Jackson 4' Jump Shot50
32.0%
50
68.0%
Q3 - 11:48MEMMayo 18' Pullup Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Conley 3 AST)50
29.8%
50
70.2%
Q2 - 0:00.0GSW48
27.2%
50
72.8%
Q2 - 0:01.0GSWBiedrins REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)48
24.9%
50
75.1%
Q2 - 0:03.0MEMWright BLOCK (2 BLK)48
25.4%
50
74.6%
Q2 - 0:04.0MEMRoss REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)48
26.7%
50
73.3%
Q2 - 0:06.0MEMMISS Conley 27' 3PT Jump Shot48
25.4%
50
74.6%
Q2 - 0:28.0MEMWarrick REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)48
26.8%
50
73.2%
Q2 - 0:29.0GSWMISS Biedrins 5' Jump Shot48
26.2%
50
73.8%
Q2 - 0:44.0MEMGay Free Throw 2 of 2 (10 PTS)48
24.8%
50
75.2%
Q2 - 0:44.0MEMMISS Gay Free Throw 1 of 247
24.3%
50
75.7%
Q2 - 1:04MEMMayo REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)47
24.2%
50
75.8%
Q2 - 1:06MEMMISS Gay 25' 3PT Jump Shot47
23.0%
50
77.0%
Q2 - 1:10MEMRoss REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)47
24.2%
50
75.8%
Q2 - 1:11MEMMISS Ross 3PT Jump Shot47
23.0%
50
77.0%
Q2 - 1:29MEMGay REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)47
24.2%
50
75.8%
Q2 - 1:30GSWMISS Azubuike 2' Layup47
23.6%
50
76.4%
Q2 - 1:43GSWWatson Free Throw Technical (6 PTS)47
22.5%
50
77.5%
Q2 - 1:43GSWMISS Watson Free Throw Technical47
24.8%
49
75.2%
Q2 - 1:43GSWWARRIORS Rebound47
24.8%
49
75.2%
Q2 - 1:43MEMMISS Gay 3' Reverse Layup47
25.4%
49
74.6%
Q2 - 1:50MEMMilicic REBOUND (Off:4 Def:2)47
26.6%
49
73.4%
Q2 - 1:54GSWMISS Azubuike 4' Jump Shot47
26.1%
49
73.9%
Q2 - 2:01GSWAzubuike REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)47
24.2%
49
75.8%
Q2 - 2:03MEMWright BLOCK (1 BLK)47
24.9%
49
75.1%
Q2 - 2:11MEMMilicic REBOUND (Off:4 Def:1)47
26.7%
49
73.3%
Q2 - 2:13MEMMISS Mayo 28' 3PT Jump Shot47
25.0%
49
75.0%
Q2 - 2:29GSWBiedrins Traveling Turnover (P2.T6)47
26.7%
49
73.3%
Q2 - 2:41MEMMayo 6' Running Jump Shot (6 PTS)47
24.3%
49
75.7%
Q2 - 2:57GSWNelson 8' Floating Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Azubuike 1 AST)45
22.0%
49
78.0%
Q2 - 3:11GSWWatson Free Throw Technical (5 PTS)45
23.9%
47
76.1%
Q2 - 3:25MEMWarrick Free Throw 2 of 2 (6 PTS)45
26.3%
46
73.7%
Q2 - 3:25MEMWarrick Free Throw 1 of 2 (5 PTS)44
25.7%
46
74.3%
Q2 - 3:25MEMWarrick REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)43
24.3%
46
75.7%
Q2 - 3:25MEMMISS Warrick 2' Layup43
22.5%
46
77.5%
Q2 - 3:26GSWTuriaf Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T5)43
24.3%
46
75.7%
Q2 - 3:30MEMConley 2' Layup (6 PTS)43
21.7%
46
78.3%
Q2 - 3:44MEMGay REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)41
20.0%
46
80.0%
Q2 - 3:46GSWMISS Belinelli 19' Jump Shot41
19.3%
46
80.7%
Q2 - 3:58MEMGay Free Throw 2 of 2 (9 PTS)41
17.8%
46
82.2%
Q2 - 3:58MEMGay Free Throw 1 of 2 (8 PTS)40
17.4%
46
82.6%
Q2 - 4:23GSWBelinelli 2' Driving Layup (2 PTS) (Watson 5 AST)39
16.2%
46
83.8%
Q2 - 4:28MEMWatson STEAL (1 STL)39
17.8%
44
82.2%
Q2 - 4:52GSWJackson 18' Fadeaway Jumper (11 PTS) (Watson 4 AST)39
19.8%
44
80.2%
Q2 - 5:11MEMWarrick REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)39
21.9%
42
78.1%
Q2 - 5:11MEMWarrick 1' Putback Slam Dunk (4 PTS)39
21.9%
42
78.1%
Q2 - 5:15MEMMISS Conley 7' Running Jump Shot37
18.7%
42
81.3%
Q2 - 5:21MEMConley REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)37
19.9%
42
80.1%
Q2 - 5:24GSWMISS Turiaf 14' Jump Shot37
19.3%
42
80.7%
Q2 - 5:41MEMWright STEAL (1 STL)37
18.1%
42
81.9%
Q2 - 5:56MEMMilicic REBOUND (Off:3 Def:1)37
19.9%
42
80.1%
Q2 - 5:57MEMMISS Gay 27' 3PT Jump Shot37
18.6%
42
81.4%
Q2 - 6:23MEMMilicic REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)37
20.2%
42
79.8%
Q2 - 6:25GSWMISS Belinelli Free Throw 2 of 237
19.9%
42
80.1%
Q2 - 6:25GSWMISS Belinelli Free Throw 1 of 237
18.8%
42
81.2%
Q2 - 6:26GSWWright REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)37
18.1%
42
81.9%
Q2 - 6:27MEMMISS Mayo 19' Jump Shot37
18.8%
42
81.2%
Q2 - 6:52MEMGasol REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)37
20.2%
42
79.8%
Q2 - 6:54GSWMISS Belinelli 21' Jump Shot37
19.6%
42
80.4%
Q2 - 7:02MEMBelinelli STEAL (1 STL)37
18.2%
42
81.8%
Q2 - 7:20MEMMayo REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)37
20.0%
42
80.0%
Q2 - 7:22GSWMISS Jackson 25' 3PT Jump Shot37
19.4%
42
80.6%
Q2 - 7:35GSWTuriaf REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)37
18.2%
42
81.8%
Q2 - 7:37MEMMISS Arthur 3' Jump Shot37
18.7%
42
81.3%
Q2 - 7:38MEMArthur REBOUND (Off:3 Def:2)37
20.0%
42
80.0%
Q2 - 7:40MEMMISS Lowry 3PT Jump Shot37
18.7%
42
81.3%
Q2 - 8:00GSWJackson Free Throw 2 of 2 (9 PTS)37
20.0%
42
80.0%
Q2 - 8:00GSWJackson Free Throw 1 of 2 (8 PTS)37
20.3%
41
79.7%
Q2 - 8:13MEMArthur Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)37
21.9%
40
78.1%
Q2 - 8:13MEMArthur Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)36
21.4%
40
78.6%
Q2 - 8:18MEMMayo REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)35
20.1%
40
79.9%
Q2 - 8:22MEMAzubuike BLOCK (1 BLK)35
18.9%
40
81.1%
Q2 - 8:28MEMRoss REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)35
20.1%
40
79.9%
Q2 - 8:29GSWMISS Williams 22' Jump Shot35
19.6%
40
80.4%
Q2 - 8:38MEMRoss 25' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Lowry 2 AST)35
18.4%
40
81.6%
Q2 - 8:52GSWJackson 21' Jump Shot (7 PTS)32
15.3%
40
84.7%
Q2 - 9:01GSWJackson Free Throw Technical (5 PTS)32
16.8%
38
83.2%
Q2 - 9:14GSWWARRIORS Rebound32
18.3%
37
81.7%
Q2 - 9:14MEMMISS Mayo 27' 3PT Jump Shot32
18.8%
37
81.2%
Q2 - 9:18MEMArthur REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)32
20.0%
37
80.0%
Q2 - 9:19GSWMISS Jackson 3' Jump Shot32
19.5%
37
80.5%
Q2 - 9:36MEMMilicic 3' Layup (6 PTS) (Lowry 1 AST)32
18.3%
37
81.7%
Q2 - 10:04GSWAzubuike Free Throw 1 of 1 (13 PTS)30
17.1%
37
82.9%
Q2 - 10:07MEMMilicic 2' Layup (4 PTS)30
20.2%
34
79.8%
Q2 - 10:08MEMMilicic REBOUND (Off:2 Def:0)28
18.6%
34
81.4%
Q2 - 10:10MEMWilliams BLOCK (1 BLK)28
17.5%
34
82.5%
Q2 - 10:28GSWRandolph 21' Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Williams 2 AST)28
18.6%
34
81.4%
Q2 - 10:38GSWRandolph REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)28
20.1%
32
79.9%
Q2 - 10:38MEMMISS Gay 3' Jump Shot28
20.7%
32
79.3%
Q2 - 10:55MEMRoss REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)28
21.9%
32
78.1%
Q2 - 10:56GSWMISS Williams 16' Jump Shot28
21.4%
32
78.6%
Q2 - 11:01GSWAzubuike REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)28
20.4%
32
79.6%
Q2 - 11:04MEMTuriaf BLOCK (1 BLK)28
20.9%
32
79.1%
Q2 - 11:06MEMMilicic REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)28
22.1%
32
77.9%
Q2 - 11:07MEMMISS Lowry 15' Jump Shot28
20.9%
32
79.1%
Q2 - 11:16MEMGrizzlies Rebound28
22.1%
32
77.9%
Q2 - 11:16MEMRandolph BLOCK (1 BLK)28
20.9%
32
79.1%
Q2 - 11:29GSWRandolph 19' Step Back Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Williams 1 AST)28
22.1%
32
77.9%
Q2 - 11:44GSWTuriaf REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)28
23.9%
30
76.1%
Q2 - 11:46MEMMISS Milicic Free Throw 2 of 228
24.1%
30
75.9%
Q2 - 11:46MEMMISS Milicic Free Throw 1 of 228
25.1%
30
74.9%
Q1 - 0:00.0MEM28
25.8%
30
74.2%
Q1 - 0:01.0GSWAzubuike 3PT Jump Shot (10 PTS) (Watson 3 AST)28
25.3%
30
74.7%
Q1 - 0:10.0MEMGay Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T5)28
29.7%
27
70.3%
Q1 - 0:21.0GSWWatson Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)28
31.3%
27
68.7%
Q1 - 0:21.0GSWWatson Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)28
31.8%
26
68.2%
Q1 - 0:25.0MEMWarrick Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)28
34.0%
25
66.0%
Q1 - 0:25.0MEMWarrick Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)27
33.4%
25
66.6%
Q1 - 0:37.0GSWRandolph 16' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Watson 2 AST)26
31.4%
25
68.6%
Q1 - 0:49.0MEMLowry Traveling Turnover (P1.T4)26
34.0%
23
66.0%
Q1 - 0:52.0MEMRoss REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)26
35.8%
23
64.2%
Q1 - 0:53.0GSWMISS Biedrins 2' Layup26
35.2%
23
64.8%
Q1 - 1:10MEMLowry 26' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Ross 1 AST)26
33.7%
23
66.3%
Q1 - 1:34MEMWarrick REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)23
29.0%
23
71.0%
Q1 - 1:34GSWMISS Watson 6' Jump Shot23
28.6%
23
71.4%
Q1 - 1:55GSWRandolph REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)23
27.7%
23
72.3%
Q1 - 1:57MEMMISS Mayo 18' Jump Shot23
28.1%
23
71.9%
Q1 - 2:12GSWAzubuike 3' Driving Layup (7 PTS)23
29.1%
23
70.9%
Q1 - 2:16GSWBiedrins REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)23
31.4%
21
68.6%
Q1 - 2:17MEMGay REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)23
33.0%
21
67.0%
Q1 - 2:17MEMMISS Gay 3' Tip Shot23
31.9%
21
68.1%
Q1 - 2:22MEMBiedrins BLOCK (1 BLK)23
31.9%
21
68.1%
Q1 - 2:36GSWAzubuike Free Throw 1 of 1 (5 PTS)23
33.0%
21
67.0%
Q1 - 2:50MEMMilicic 5' Jump Hook Shot (2 PTS) (Warrick 1 AST)23
37.6%
18
62.4%
Q1 - 2:56MEMMayo REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)21
35.1%
18
64.9%
Q1 - 3:02GSWMISS Jackson 26' 3PT Jump Shot21
34.4%
18
65.6%
Q1 - 3:11MEMMayo 20' Pullup Jump Shot (4 PTS)21
33.0%
18
67.0%
Q1 - 3:34MEMGasol REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)19
31.0%
18
69.0%
Q1 - 3:35GSWMISS Randolph 19' Jump Shot19
30.4%
18
69.6%
Q1 - 3:48MEMConley 18' Jump Shot (4 PTS)19
29.1%
18
70.9%
Q1 - 3:58GSWWatson 12' Turnaround Fadeaway (2 PTS)17
27.2%
18
72.8%
Q1 - 4:12MEMGay 20' Fadeaway Jumper (7 PTS) (Conley 2 AST)17
28.6%
16
71.4%
Q1 - 4:24GSWAzubuike Poss Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T4)15
26.9%
16
73.1%
Q1 - 4:37MEMGasol 1' Layup (4 PTS) (Gay 1 AST)15
25.1%
16
74.9%
Q1 - 5:02GSWJackson 1' Putback Layup (4 PTS)13
23.8%
16
76.2%
Q1 - 5:04GSWJackson REBOUND (Off:2 Def:0)13
25.2%
14
74.8%
Q1 - 5:05GSWJackson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)13
25.2%
14
74.8%
Q1 - 5:05GSWMISS Jackson 2' Putback Layup13
26.5%
14
73.5%
Q1 - 5:07GSWMISS Wright 5' Jump Shot13
26.5%
14
73.5%
Q1 - 5:22GSWBiedrins REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)13
25.2%
14
74.8%
Q1 - 5:23MEMMISS Warrick 19' Jump Shot13
25.7%
14
74.3%
Q1 - 5:48GSWBiedrins REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)13
27.0%
14
73.0%
Q1 - 5:48GSWBiedrins 2' Putback Layup (6 PTS)13
27.0%
14
73.0%
Q1 - 5:49GSWMISS Azubuike 7' Driving Hook Shot13
30.0%
12
70.0%
Q1 - 6:08MEMGay 29' 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Mayo 1 AST)13
28.2%
12
71.8%
Q1 - 6:35GSWAzubuike 3' Layup (2 PTS) (Biedrins 1 AST)10
25.0%
12
75.0%
Q1 - 6:40MEMBiedrins STEAL (1 STL)10
26.6%
10
73.4%
Q1 - 6:47GSWWright Foul Turnover (P2.T3)10
28.4%
10
71.6%
Q1 - 7:08MEMGasol 3' Driving Layup (2 PTS) (Conley 1 AST)10
26.2%
10
73.8%
Q1 - 7:14MEMWarrick REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)8
24.8%
10
75.2%
Q1 - 7:16GSWMISS Wright 11' Jump Shot8
24.3%
10
75.7%
Q1 - 7:25GSWWatson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)8
23.1%
10
76.9%
Q1 - 7:25MEMArthur REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)8
24.8%
10
75.2%
Q1 - 7:25MEMMISS Arthur 2' Layup8
23.6%
10
76.4%
Q1 - 7:26MEMMISS Gasol 6' Jump Shot8
23.6%
10
76.4%
Q1 - 7:45GSWBiedrins Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)8
24.8%
10
75.2%
Q1 - 7:45GSWBiedrins Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)8
25.4%
9
74.6%
Q1 - 7:54GSWBiedrins REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)8
26.3%
8
73.7%
Q1 - 7:57MEMMISS Gay 25' 3PT Jump Shot8
26.8%
8
73.2%
Q1 - 8:11GSWBiedrins 1' Running Slam Dunk (2 PTS) (Watson 1 AST)8
27.8%
8
72.2%
Q1 - 8:16GSWWatson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)8
29.5%
6
70.5%
Q1 - 8:18MEMMISS Arthur 21' Jump Shot8
30.0%
6
70.0%
Q1 - 8:34MEMGasol REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)8
31.3%
6
68.7%
Q1 - 8:35GSWMISS Jackson 11' Turnaround Jump Shot8
30.7%
6
69.3%
Q1 - 8:54MEMGay 12' Turnaround Hook Shot (2 PTS)8
29.5%
6
70.5%
Q1 - 9:06GSWBiedrins Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T2)6
27.7%
6
72.3%
Q1 - 9:18MEMConley 17' Pullup Jump Shot (2 PTS)6
26.2%
6
73.8%
Q1 - 9:30GSWWright 6' Jump Hook Shot (4 PTS) (Jackson 1 AST)4
24.6%
6
75.4%
Q1 - 9:40GSWBiedrins REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)4
26.2%
4
73.8%
Q1 - 9:41MEMMISS Arthur 16' Jump Shot4
26.7%
4
73.3%
Q1 - 9:57GSWWright Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T1)4
27.7%
4
72.3%
Q1 - 10:01MEMAzubuike STEAL (1 STL)4
26.0%
4
74.0%
Q1 - 10:20GSWWright Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)4
27.5%
4
72.5%
Q1 - 10:20GSWWright Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)4
27.9%
3
72.1%
Q1 - 10:27MEMArthur 2' Putback Layup (2 PTS)4
28.9%
2
71.1%
Q1 - 10:31MEMArthur REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)2
27.5%
2
72.5%
Q1 - 10:33MEMMISS Mayo 7' Running Jump Shot2
26.5%
2
73.5%
Q1 - 10:44MEMGrizzlies Rebound2
27.5%
2
72.5%
Q1 - 10:44GSWMISS Biedrins 3' Jump Shot2
27.1%
2
72.9%
Q1 - 10:55MEMMayo 23' Fadeaway Jumper (2 PTS)2
26.0%
2
74.0%
Q1 - 11:15GSWJackson 5' Turnaround Hook Shot (2 PTS)0
24.5%
2
75.5%
Q1 - 11:33MEMMayo Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T1)0
25.7%
0
74.3%
Q1 - 11:43MEMArthur REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)0
27.0%
0
73.0%
Q1 - 11:45GSWMISS Wright 4' Jump Hook Shot0
26.6%
0
73.4%
Q1 - 12:00GSWJump Ball Biedrins vs. Gasol: Tip to Jackson0
25.7%
0
74.3%

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

MEM
1.03 51.4%
GSW
1.00 50.0%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)
MEM
20
33
61%
GSW
24
42
57%
Midrange
MEM
16
39
41%
GSW
10
30
33%
3PT | Effective 3PT
MEM
5
7.5
17
29%
44%
GSW
2
3.0
12
17%
25%
Free Throws
MEM
22
30
73%
GSW
30
43
70%
Makes
Effective 3P Makes
%
Efficiency
Misses
Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|
MEM logo Grizzlies
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
R. Gay2350%11.5 / 23
O. Mayo2048%10.0 / 21
H. Warrick1963%9.5 / 15
D. Arthur1346%6.5 / 14
M. Conley1063%5.0 / 8
M. Gasol880%4.0 / 5
K. Lowry750%3.5 / 7
D. Milicic660%3.0 / 5
Q. Ross350%1.5 / 3
G. Buckner0-0.0 / 2
TS Makes
TS Misses

Total Points

|
GSW logo Warriors
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
S. Jackson2750%13.5 / 27
A. Biedrins2364%11.5 / 18
K. Azubuike2166%10.5 / 16
C. Watson941%4.5 / 11
A. Randolph850%4.0 / 8
B. Wright650%3.0 / 6
D. Nelson660%3.0 / 5
R. Turiaf233%1.0 / 3
M. Belinelli225%1.0 / 4
M. Williams0-0.0 / 3
TS Makes
TS Misses

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

MEM
83
+21
-13
104
GSW
87
+16
-12
103
Base
ORB
TOV

Scoring Efficiency

MEM
1.03 51.4%
GSW
1.00 50.0%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Efficiency & PaceThis Game
Efficiency
103.4
109.1
MEM 113.5 +8.5
GSW 105.1
Pace
90.3
98.6
MEM 85.5
GSW 112.9 +27.4
Avg. Poss. Time
16.2
14.2
MEM 16.8
GSW 12.8 +4.1
Four FactorsThis Game
EFG %
48.6%
49.7%
MEM 48.9% +4.9%
GSW 44.0%
TO %
15.6%
14.3%
MEM 11.3%
GSW 11.2% +0.1%
ORB %
25.9%
26.1%
MEM 39.1% +13.1%
GSW 26.0%
FTrt
32.9
33.9
MEM 33.7
GSW 51.2 +17.5
Misc. StatsThis Game
AST %
49.7%
53.0%
MEM 48.8%
GSW 50.0% +1.2%
STL %
8.2%
7.8%
MEM 3.1%
GSW 7.1% +4.0%
BLK %
7.9%
9.2%
MEM 5.6%
GSW 13.9% +8.3%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.46 and 2.46.

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Shooting EfficiencyThis Game
TS%
51.5%
53.7%
MEM 51.4% +1.4%
GSW 50.0%
Rim FG%
55.3%
57.8%
MEM 60.6% +3.5%
GSW 57.1%
Mid FG%
40.9%
39.2%
MEM 41.0% +7.7%
GSW 33.3%
3P %
36.0%
37.3%
MEM 29.4% +12.7%
GSW 16.7%
FT %
75.6%
79.1%
MEM 73.3% +3.5%
GSW 69.8%
Shot DistributionThis Game
Rim Att. %
37.2%
37.6%
MEM 37.1%
GSW 50.0% +12.9%
Mid Att. %
45.3%
41.5%
MEM 43.8%
GSW 35.7% +8.1%
3P Att. %
17.5%
20.9%
MEM 19.1% +4.8%
GSW 14.3%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.
Game TotalsMEMGSW
Possessions9699
Possession Minutes26.921.1
Points109104
Rebounds5541
Assists2018
Steals37
Blocks410
Turnovers (Team)13 (0)12 (1)
Fouls
Off. Rebounds (Team)18 (3)13 (3)
Def. Rebounds (Team)37 (1)28 (3)
Field Goals41-8936-84
At-the-Rim FG20-3324-42
Midrange FG16-3910-30
2-Point FG36-7234-72
3-Point FG5-172-12
Free Throws22-3030-43
Fast Break Pts
2nd Chance Pts
Points in Paint
Pts off Turnovers
Bench Points
Biggest Lead

BOXSCORE

Access to boxscore predictions requires a premium subscription.
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
G · 6'5" 210 · 21
44.0
20
48%
9
4
0
0
3
3
3
6
3-4
75%
7-15
47%
1-4
25%
F · 6'8" 230 · 22
40.5
23
50%
4
2
1
1
4
3
1
3
5-6
83%
6-13
46%
2-7
29%
G · 6'0" 175 · 21
32.2
10
63%
2
6
1
0
2
3
0
2
2-2
100%
4-6
67%
0-1
0%
F · 6'9" 235 · 21
25.9
13
46%
12
1
0
3
0
5
3
9
3-4
75%
5-13
38%
0-0
-
C · 7'1" 255 · 24
17.3
8
80%
6
0
0
0
1
6
1
5
2-2
100%
3-4
75%
0-0
-
F · 6'9" 219 · 26
37.9
19
63%
10
3
1
0
0
3
3
7
5-6
83%
7-12
58%
0-0
-
G · 6'0" 196 · 23
15.8
7
50%
0
3
0
0
2
4
0
0
2-2
100%
1-4
25%
1-2
50%
C · 7'0" 275 · 23
12.4
6
60%
6
0
0
0
0
1
4
2
0-2
0%
3-4
75%
0-0
-
F-G · 6'6" 193 · 28
9.9
3
50%
5
1
0
0
1
1
2
3
0-0
-
0-1
0%
1-2
50%
G · 6'4" 210 · 32
4.1
0
0%
1
0
0
0
0
2
0
1
0-2
0%
0-0
-
0-1
0%
G · 6'7" 224 · 30
G · 6'5" 200 · 21
#15 · C · 7'2" 265 · 23
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
#8 · F · 6'9" 245 · 32
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
TOTAL
240
109
51%
55
20
3
4
13
0
18
37
22-30
73%
36-72
50%
5-17
29%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.