Dunks & Threes: Pro Basketball Analysis

All Games Monday, November 3, 2008

Final			Win Prob.	pScore
	13	Pistons	55%	92	101
	22	Bobcats	45%	90	83

	ORTG	#Poss	Pace
DET	127.8	79	72.5
CHA	105.1	79	86.8

Scoring Opportunities

DET

+19

-8

CHA

+11

-13

Base

ORB

TOV

Scoring Efficiency

DET

1.10 54.9%

CHA

1.06 53.2%

Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

			Score / WinProb
Clock	Team	Event	DET	CHA
Q4 - 0:00.0	DET		101 100%	83 0%
Q4 - 0:12.0	CHA	Brown 19' Jump Shot (16 PTS)	101 99.9%	83 0.1%
Q4 - 0:25.0	DET	Sharpe Reverse Slam Dunk (2 PTS)	101 99.9%	81 0.1%
Q4 - 0:39.0	DET	Acker REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)	99 99.9%	81 0.1%
Q4 - 0:41.0	CHA	MISS Augustin Free Throw 2 of 2	99 99.9%	81 0.1%
Q4 - 0:41.0	CHA	Augustin Free Throw 1 of 2 (5 PTS)	99 99.9%	81 0.1%
Q4 - 0:53.0	DET	Acker 16' Jump Shot (2 PTS)	99 99.9%	80 0.1%
Q4 - 0:56.0	CHA	Brown Bad Pass Turnover (P3.T14)	97 99.9%	80 0.1%
Q4 - 1:11	CHA	Ajinca REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)	97 99.9%	80 0.1%
Q4 - 1:12	DET	MISS Afflalo 18' Jump Shot	97 99.9%	80 0.1%
Q4 - 1:29	CHA	Morrison Traveling Turnover (P2.T13)	97 99.9%	80 0.1%
Q4 - 1:43	DET	Maxiell 17' Jump Shot (10 PTS)	97 99.9%	80 0.1%
Q4 - 2:02	CHA	Ajinca 11' Turnaround Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Brown 3 AST)	95 99.9%	80 0.1%
Q4 - 2:18	DET	Maxiell Free Throw 2 of 2 (8 PTS)	95 99.9%	78 0.1%
Q4 - 2:18	DET	Maxiell Free Throw 1 of 2 (7 PTS)	94 99.9%	78 0.1%
Q4 - 2:39	CHA	Augustin Driving Layup (4 PTS)	93 99.9%	78 0.1%
Q4 - 2:49	CHA	Wallace REBOUND (Off:2 Def:10)	93 99.9%	76 0.1%
Q4 - 2:50	DET	MISS Afflalo 25' 3PT Jump Shot	93 99.9%	76 0.1%
Q4 - 3:22	DET	Brown REBOUND (Off:4 Def:5)	93 99.9%	76 0.1%
Q4 - 3:23	CHA	MISS Richardson 21' Jump Shot	93 99.9%	76 0.1%
Q4 - 3:35	DET	Brown Free Throw 2 of 2 (3 PTS)	93 99.8%	76 0.2%
Q4 - 3:35	DET	MISS Brown Free Throw 1 of 2	92 99.8%	76 0.2%
Q4 - 3:35	DET	Brown REBOUND (Off:4 Def:4)	92 99.8%	76 0.2%
Q4 - 3:37	DET	MISS Bynum 19' Jump Shot	92 99.8%	76 0.2%
Q4 - 3:57	CHA	Felton Bad Pass Turnover (P3.T12)	92 99.9%	76 0.1%
Q4 - 4:13	DET	Bynum Driving Layup (12 PTS)	92 99.8%	76 0.2%
Q4 - 4:36	CHA	Wallace Free Throw 2 of 2 (15 PTS)	90 99.7%	76 0.3%
Q4 - 4:36	CHA	Wallace Free Throw 1 of 2 (14 PTS)	90 99.7%	75 0.3%
Q4 - 4:45	DET	Afflalo 21' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Bynum 4 AST)	90 99.8%	74 0.2%
Q4 - 5:13	CHA	Felton Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T11)	88 99.4%	74 0.6%
Q4 - 5:26	DET	Bynum Driving Layup (10 PTS)	88 99.2%	74 0.8%
Q4 - 5:37	DET	Brown REBOUND (Off:3 Def:4)	86 98.9%	74 1.1%
Q4 - 5:39	DET	MISS Afflalo 23' Jump Shot	86 98.6%	74 1.4%
Q4 - 6:00	DET	Prince REBOUND (Off:0 Def:6)	86 98.9%	74 1.1%
Q4 - 6:02	CHA	MISS Brown Layup	86 98.1%	74 1.9%
Q4 - 6:27	DET	Bynum Driving Layup (8 PTS)	86 97.7%	74 2.3%
Q4 - 6:41	CHA	Okafor Free Throw 2 of 2 (11 PTS)	84 96.9%	74 3.1%
Q4 - 6:41	CHA	Okafor Free Throw 1 of 2 (10 PTS)	84 97.2%	73 2.8%
Q4 - 6:54	DET	Bynum Layup (6 PTS)	84 97.7%	72 2.3%
Q4 - 7:19	CHA	Brown Free Throw 2 of 2 (14 PTS)	82 96.1%	72 3.9%
Q4 - 7:19	CHA	Brown Free Throw 1 of 2 (13 PTS)	82 96.4%	71 3.6%
Q4 - 7:22	CHA	Augustin REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)	82 97.0%	70 3.0%
Q4 - 7:24	DET	MISS Prince 15' Jump Shot	82 97.2%	70 2.8%
Q4 - 7:48	CHA	Brown Free Throw 2 of 2 (12 PTS)	82 97.8%	70 2.2%
Q4 - 7:48	CHA	Brown Free Throw 1 of 2 (11 PTS)	82 97.9%	69 2.1%
Q4 - 8:09	DET	Bynum 20' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Afflalo 2 AST)	82 97.8%	68 2.2%
Q4 - 8:31	CHA	BOBCATS Turnover: Shot Clock (T#10)	80 97.1%	68 2.9%
Q4 - 8:31	CHA	Brown REBOUND (Off:2 Def:0)	80 96.3%	68 3.7%
Q4 - 8:31	CHA	MISS Augustin 20' Jump Shot	80 96.9%	68 3.1%
Q4 - 9:07	DET	Wallace 17' Jump Bank Shot (15 PTS)	80 95.5%	68 4.5%
Q4 - 9:25	CHA	Morrison Out of Bounds Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T9)	78 94.3%	68 5.7%
Q4 - 9:32	CHA	Okafor REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)	78 93.0%	68 7.0%
Q4 - 9:34	DET	MISS Wallace 27' 3PT Jump Shot	78 93.4%	68 6.6%
Q4 - 10:01	CHA	Morrison 28' 3PT Jump Shot (10 PTS) (Augustin 2 AST)	78 93.4%	68 6.6%
Q4 - 10:34	DET	Afflalo Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T8)	78 95.8%	65 4.2%
Q4 - 10:35	DET	Afflalo REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)	78 96.6%	65 3.4%
Q4 - 10:37	CHA	MISS Augustin 26' 3PT Jump Shot	78 96.4%	65 3.6%
Q4 - 10:55	DET	Herrmann Layup (5 PTS) (Afflalo 1 AST)	78 95.8%	65 4.2%
Q4 - 11:00	DET	Afflalo REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)	76 94.8%	65 5.2%
Q4 - 11:03	CHA	MISS Morrison 17' Jump Shot	76 93.5%	65 6.5%
Q4 - 11:07	CHA	BOBCATS Rebound	76 92.6%	65 7.4%
Q4 - 11:07	CHA	MISS Brown Dunk	76 93.5%	65 6.5%
Q4 - 11:23	CHA	Morrison REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)	76 92.7%	65 7.3%
Q4 - 11:24	DET	MISS Wallace 10' Hook Shot	76 93.1%	65 6.9%
Q4 - 11:33	CHA	Morrison 19' Jump Shot (7 PTS) (Brown 2 AST)	76 93.9%	65 6.1%
Q3 - 0:00.0	DET		76 95.1%	63 4.9%
Q3 - 0:00.0	DET	Pistons Rebound	76 96.0%	63 4.0%
Q3 - 0:00.0	DET	MISS Bynum 27' 3PT Jump Shot	76 95.4%	63 4.6%
Q3 - 0:23.0	CHA	Morrison 24' 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Augustin 1 AST)	76 95.3%	63 4.7%
Q3 - 0:42.0	DET	Hamilton 14' Jump Shot (19 PTS)	76 96.9%	60 3.1%
Q3 - 0:59.0	CHA	Wallace Free Throw 2 of 2 (13 PTS)	74 96.2%	60 3.8%
Q3 - 0:59.0	CHA	Wallace Free Throw 1 of 2 (12 PTS)	74 96.4%	59 3.6%
Q3 - 1:13	DET	Hamilton 3PT Jump Shot (17 PTS) (Bynum 3 AST)	74 96.5%	58 3.5%
Q3 - 1:17	DET	Bynum REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)	71 94.8%	58 5.2%
Q3 - 1:21	CHA	MISS Brown Layup	71 94.5%	58 5.5%
Q3 - 1:30	CHA	Brown REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)	71 93.9%	58 6.1%
Q3 - 1:32	DET	MISS Hamilton 19' Jump Shot	71 94.2%	58 5.8%
Q3 - 1:47	DET	Pistons Rebound	71 94.8%	58 5.2%
Q3 - 1:48	CHA	MISS Augustin 25' 3PT Jump Shot	71 94.6%	58 5.4%
Q3 - 2:07	DET	Wallace REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)	71 93.1%	58 6.9%
Q3 - 2:07	DET	Wallace Putback Dunk (13 PTS)	71 93.1%	58 6.9%
Q3 - 2:09	DET	Okafor BLOCK (1 BLK)	69 90.7%	58 9.3%
Q3 - 2:30	CHA	Wallace Foul Turnover (P3.T8)	69 91.8%	58 8.2%
Q3 - 2:42	CHA	Wallace REBOUND (Off:2 Def:9)	69 90.3%	58 9.7%
Q3 - 2:44	DET	MISS Wallace 24' 3PT Jump Shot	69 90.8%	58 9.2%
Q3 - 3:04	CHA	Wallace Layup (11 PTS)	69 91.3%	58 8.7%
Q3 - 3:24	DET	Stuckey 19' Jump Shot (9 PTS)	69 92.5%	56 7.5%
Q3 - 3:41	DET	Prince REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)	67 91.3%	56 8.7%
Q3 - 3:43	CHA	MISS Wallace Free Throw 2 of 2	67 91.1%	56 8.9%
Q3 - 3:43	CHA	Wallace Free Throw 1 of 2 (9 PTS)	67 90.2%	56 9.8%
Q3 - 3:59	DET	Stuckey Driving Layup (7 PTS)	67 91.2%	55 8.8%
Q3 - 4:18	DET	Prince REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)	65 89.3%	55 10.7%
Q3 - 4:20	CHA	MISS Dudley 20' Jump Shot	65 88.6%	55 11.4%
Q3 - 4:33	DET	Johnson Dunk (12 PTS) (Wallace 3 AST)	65 87.2%	55 12.8%
Q3 - 4:46	DET	Wallace REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)	63 85.5%	55 14.5%
Q3 - 4:47	CHA	MISS Richardson 8' Jump Shot	63 84.7%	55 15.3%
Q3 - 4:51	CHA	BOBCATS Rebound	63 82.7%	55 17.3%
Q3 - 4:52	CHA	MISS Wallace Layup	63 84.7%	55 15.3%
Q3 - 5:08	DET	Hamilton 15' Jump Shot (14 PTS)	63 81.8%	55 18.2%
Q3 - 5:11	DET	Hamilton REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)	61 79.5%	55 20.5%
Q3 - 5:13	DET	MISS Prince 17' Jump Shot	61 77.3%	55 22.7%
Q3 - 5:17	DET	Prince REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)	61 79.5%	55 20.5%
Q3 - 5:19	CHA	MISS Richardson 24' 3PT Jump Shot	61 78.6%	55 21.4%
Q3 - 5:40	DET	Prince 18' Jump Shot (10 PTS) (Hamilton 5 AST)	61 76.3%	55 23.7%
Q3 - 6:01	CHA	Dudley Free Throw 2 of 2 (8 PTS)	59 73.1%	55 26.9%
Q3 - 6:01	CHA	Dudley Free Throw 1 of 2 (7 PTS)	59 73.8%	54 26.2%
Q3 - 6:21	DET	Stuckey Free Throw 2 of 2 (5 PTS)	59 75.9%	53 24.1%
Q3 - 6:21	DET	Stuckey Free Throw 1 of 2 (4 PTS)	58 75.4%	53 24.6%
Q3 - 6:22	DET	Stuckey REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)	57 73.1%	53 26.9%
Q3 - 6:23	CHA	MISS Wallace Dunk	57 72.0%	53 28.0%
Q3 - 6:49	DET	Hamilton 19' Jump Shot (12 PTS) (Stuckey 3 AST)	57 69.5%	53 30.5%
Q3 - 7:09	CHA	Felton Driving Layup (10 PTS)	55 65.5%	53 34.5%
Q3 - 7:24	DET	Hamilton 20' Jump Shot (10 PTS) (Stuckey 2 AST)	55 68.8%	51 31.2%
Q3 - 7:36	DET	Johnson REBOUND (Off:5 Def:1)	53 65.6%	51 34.4%
Q3 - 7:38	DET	MISS Prince 7' Hook Shot	53 63.0%	51 37.0%
Q3 - 7:56	CHA	Richardson Palming Turnover (P2.T7)	53 65.6%	51 34.4%
Q3 - 8:19	DET	Wallace 27' 3PT Jump Shot (11 PTS) (Prince 3 AST)	53 61.5%	51 38.5%
Q3 - 8:30	DET	Stuckey REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)	50 54.5%	51 45.5%
Q3 - 8:32	CHA	MISS Wallace 27' 3PT Jump Shot	50 53.3%	51 46.7%
Q3 - 8:56	CHA	Felton Free Throw Technical (8 PTS)	50 50.4%	51 49.6%
Q3 - 8:59	DET	Johnson REBOUND (Off:4 Def:1)	50 54.2%	50 45.8%
Q3 - 8:59	DET	Johnson Tip Shot (10 PTS)	50 54.2%	50 45.8%
Q3 - 9:01	DET	MISS Wallace 16' Fadeaway Jumper	48 48.3%	50 51.7%
Q3 - 9:18	CHA	Felton 19' Jump Shot (7 PTS)	48 50.9%	50 49.1%
Q3 - 9:33	DET	Dudley STEAL (1 STL)	48 54.5%	48 45.5%
Q3 - 9:36	DET	Johnson REBOUND (Off:3 Def:1)	48 58.2%	48 41.8%
Q3 - 9:37	DET	MISS Hamilton 20' Jump Shot	48 55.6%	48 44.4%
Q3 - 10:00	DET	Johnson REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)	48 58.2%	48 41.8%
Q3 - 10:01	CHA	MISS Wallace Free Throw 2 of 2	48 57.7%	48 42.3%
Q3 - 10:01	CHA	Wallace Free Throw 1 of 2 (8 PTS)	48 55.6%	48 44.4%
Q3 - 10:09	DET	Prince Poss Lost Ball Turnover (P2.T6)	48 58.1%	47 41.9%
Q3 - 10:26	CHA	Wallace Driving Layup (7 PTS)	48 61.6%	47 38.4%
Q3 - 10:55	DET	Johnson Free Throw 1 of 1 (8 PTS)	48 64.9%	45 35.1%
Q3 - 11:16	CHA	Okafor REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)	45 58.5%	45 41.5%
Q3 - 11:16	CHA	Okafor Tip Shot (9 PTS)	45 58.5%	45 41.5%
Q3 - 11:19	CHA	MISS Richardson 8' Hook Shot	45 64.0%	43 36.0%
Q3 - 11:36	CHA	Richardson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)	45 61.6%	43 38.4%
Q3 - 11:38	DET	MISS Hamilton 7' Jump Shot	45 62.6%	43 37.4%
Q2 - 0:00.0	CHA		45 65.0%	43 35.0%
Q2 - 0:00.0	CHA	BOBCATS Rebound	45 61.6%	43 38.4%
Q2 - 0:00.0	CHA	MISS Brown 49' 3PT Jump Shot	45 64.0%	43 36.0%
Q2 - 0:00.0	DET	Brown STEAL (4 STL)	45 61.6%	43 38.4%
Q2 - 0:04.0	CHA	Wallace Layup (5 PTS)	45 64.5%	43 35.5%
Q2 - 0:06.0	DET	Wallace STEAL (1 STL)	45 68.2%	41 31.8%
Q2 - 0:21.0	DET	Herrmann REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)	45 70.4%	41 29.6%
Q2 - 0:24.0	DET	MISS Hamilton Layup	45 68.9%	41 31.1%
Q2 - 0:37.0	CHA	Wallace Free Throw 2 of 2 (3 PTS)	45 70.4%	41 29.6%
Q2 - 0:37.0	CHA	Wallace Free Throw 1 of 2 (2 PTS)	45 71.1%	40 28.9%
Q2 - 0:53.0	DET	Brown STEAL (3 STL)	45 73.7%	39 26.3%
Q2 - 0:56.0	DET	Wallace REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)	45 75.7%	39 24.3%
Q2 - 0:59.0	CHA	MISS Richardson 29' 3PT Jump Shot	45 75.1%	39 24.9%
Q2 - 1:22	CHA	Dudley REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)	45 73.6%	39 26.4%
Q2 - 1:24	DET	Brown BLOCK (1 BLK)	45 74.1%	39 25.9%
Q2 - 1:27	DET	Wallace REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)	45 75.4%	39 24.6%
Q2 - 1:29	CHA	MISS Wallace Layup	45 74.8%	39 25.2%
Q2 - 1:48	DET	Herrmann 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Prince 2 AST)	45 73.6%	39 26.4%
Q2 - 2:09	CHA	Dudley 18' Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Richardson 5 AST)	42 67.5%	39 32.5%
Q2 - 2:28	CHA	Wallace REBOUND (Off:2 Def:8)	42 70.2%	37 29.8%
Q2 - 2:29	DET	MISS Wallace 14' Turnaround Jump Shot	42 71.0%	37 29.0%
Q2 - 2:59	CHA	Okafor Dunk (7 PTS) (Richardson 4 AST)	42 72.9%	37 27.1%
Q2 - 3:11	DET	Maxiell Free Throw 2 of 2 (6 PTS)	42 74.9%	35 25.1%
Q2 - 3:11	DET	Maxiell Free Throw 1 of 2 (5 PTS)	41 74.1%	35 25.9%
Q2 - 3:23	CHA	Morrison 7' Turnaround Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Richardson 3 AST)	40 72.9%	35 27.1%
Q2 - 3:37	CHA	Okafor REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)	40 74.9%	33 25.1%
Q2 - 3:39	DET	MISS Herrmann 3PT Jump Shot	40 75.7%	33 24.3%
Q2 - 4:00	CHA	Brown 17' Jump Shot (10 PTS) (Morrison 2 AST)	40 77.6%	33 22.4%
Q2 - 4:07	CHA	Wallace REBOUND (Off:2 Def:7)	40 79.0%	31 21.0%
Q2 - 4:08	DET	Hamilton REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)	40 81.1%	31 18.9%
Q2 - 4:08	DET	MISS Maxiell Tip Shot	40 79.6%	31 20.4%
Q2 - 4:14	DET	MISS Stuckey Layup	40 79.7%	31 20.3%
Q2 - 4:31	CHA	Richardson 17' Fadeaway Jumper (4 PTS)	40 81.1%	31 18.9%
Q2 - 4:56	DET	Wallace Layup (8 PTS)	40 82.8%	29 17.2%
Q2 - 5:11	DET	Herrmann REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)	38 80.7%	29 19.3%
Q2 - 5:12	DET	MISS Hamilton 25' 3PT Jump Shot	38 79.4%	29 20.6%
Q2 - 5:36	CHA	Okafor Free Throw 2 of 2 (5 PTS)	38 80.7%	29 19.3%
Q2 - 5:36	CHA	Okafor Free Throw 1 of 2 (4 PTS)	38 81.3%	28 18.7%
Q2 - 5:55	DET	Maxiell Layup (4 PTS) (Hamilton 4 AST)	38 82.5%	27 17.5%
Q2 - 6:12	CHA	Brown 24' 3PT Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Richardson 2 AST)	36 80.3%	27 19.7%
Q2 - 6:36	DET	Stuckey 26' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Wallace 1 AST)	36 83.4%	24 16.6%
Q2 - 6:56	DET	Hamilton REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)	33 80.3%	24 19.7%
Q2 - 6:59	CHA	MISS Okafor 8' Hook Shot	33 79.7%	24 20.3%
Q2 - 7:21	DET	Wallace 26' 3PT Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Herrmann 1 AST)	33 78.0%	24 22.0%
Q2 - 7:33	DET	Herrmann REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)	30 73.9%	24 26.1%
Q2 - 7:35	CHA	MISS Morrison 18' Jump Shot	30 73.2%	24 26.8%
Q2 - 7:45	CHA	Wallace REBOUND (Off:2 Def:6)	30 71.6%	24 28.4%
Q2 - 7:47	CHA	MISS Mohammed 11' Jump Shot	30 73.2%	24 26.8%
Q2 - 8:05	DET	Maxiell Slam Dunk (2 PTS) (Bynum 2 AST)	30 71.2%	24 28.8%
Q2 - 8:20	CHA	Felton Layup (5 PTS)	28 68.9%	24 31.1%
Q2 - 8:48	DET	Wallace 25' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Bynum 1 AST)	28 71.3%	22 28.7%
Q2 - 9:07	CHA	Brown 17' Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Morrison 1 AST)	25 66.2%	22 33.8%
Q2 - 9:14	DET	Brown STEAL (2 STL)	25 68.5%	20 31.5%
Q2 - 9:35	CHA	Mohammed Layup (2 PTS) (Brown 1 AST)	25 70.8%	20 29.2%
Q2 - 9:49	DET	Bynum Driving Layup (2 PTS)	25 73.0%	18 27.0%
Q2 - 10:04	CHA	Wallace Foul Turnover (P2.T6)	23 70.5%	18 29.5%
Q2 - 10:08	CHA	Wallace REBOUND (Off:1 Def:6)	23 68.2%	18 31.8%
Q2 - 10:09	DET	MISS Brown Layup	23 68.9%	18 31.1%
Q2 - 10:28	CHA	Brown Free Throw 2 of 2 (3 PTS)	23 70.5%	18 29.5%
Q2 - 10:28	CHA	Brown Free Throw 1 of 2 (2 PTS)	23 71.1%	17 28.9%
Q2 - 10:31	CHA	Morrison REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)	23 72.6%	16 27.4%
Q2 - 10:32	DET	MISS Afflalo 14' Jump Shot	23 73.3%	16 26.8%
Q2 - 10:53	CHA	Augustin 20' Jump Shot (2 PTS)	23 74.7%	16 25.3%
Q2 - 11:10	CHA	Wallace REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)	23 76.0%	14 24.0%
Q2 - 11:12	DET	MISS Afflalo Layup	23 76.6%	14 23.4%
Q2 - 11:24	DET	Maxiell REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)	23 77.9%	14 22.1%
Q2 - 11:25	CHA	MISS Brown Layup	23 77.3%	14 22.7%
Q2 - 11:30	CHA	Morrison REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)	23 76.1%	14 23.9%
Q2 - 11:32	DET	MISS Bynum Layup	23 76.6%	14 23.4%
Q2 - 11:43	DET	Maxiell REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)	23 77.9%	14 22.1%
Q2 - 11:45	DET	MISS Brown Layup	23 76.6%	14 23.4%
Q1 - 0:00.0	DET		23 77.9%	14 22.1%
Q1 - 0:00.0	DET	Pistons Rebound	23 77.9%	14 22.1%
Q1 - 0:00.0	DET	MISS Stuckey 20' Turnaround Jump Shot	23 76.6%	14 23.4%
Q1 - 0:07.0	CHA	Dudley Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)	23 76.9%	14 23.1%
Q1 - 0:07.0	CHA	Dudley Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)	23 77.3%	13 22.7%
Q1 - 0:25.0	CHA	Dudley REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)	23 79.0%	12 21.0%
Q1 - 0:29.0	DET	MISS Prince 6' Hook Shot	23 79.4%	12 20.6%
Q1 - 0:48.0	DET	Brown REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)	23 80.3%	12 19.7%
Q1 - 0:50.0	CHA	MISS Brown Free Throw 2 of 2	23 80.1%	12 19.9%
Q1 - 0:50.0	CHA	Brown Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)	23 79.1%	12 20.9%
Q1 - 0:50.0	DET	Brown STEAL (1 STL)	23 80.6%	11 19.4%
Q1 - 1:04	CHA	Brown Foul Turnover (P2.T5)	23 81.1%	11 18.9%
Q1 - 1:14	DET	Johnson Layup (5 PTS) (Brown 2 AST)	23 80.1%	11 19.9%
Q1 - 1:36	CHA	Wallace Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T4)	21 78.1%	11 21.9%
Q1 - 1:46	DET	Hamilton 12' Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Brown 1 AST)	21 77.0%	11 23.0%
Q1 - 1:56	DET	Brown REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)	19 74.7%	11 25.3%
Q1 - 1:57	DET	Brown REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)	19 74.7%	11 25.3%
Q1 - 1:57	DET	MISS Brown Layup	19 73.8%	11 26.2%
Q1 - 1:58	DET	MISS Prince 13' Jump Shot	19 73.8%	11 26.2%
Q1 - 2:18	DET	Prince REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)	19 74.4%	11 25.6%
Q1 - 2:19	CHA	MISS Brown 18' Jump Shot	19 73.9%	11 26.1%
Q1 - 2:38	CHA	Wallace REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)	19 72.9%	11 27.1%
Q1 - 2:39	DET	MISS Prince 3PT Jump Shot	19 73.4%	11 26.6%
Q1 - 2:46	CHA	Brown Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T3)	19 74.4%	11 25.6%
Q1 - 2:48	CHA	Brown REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)	19 72.9%	11 27.1%
Q1 - 2:50	CHA	MISS Richardson Layup	19 74.0%	11 26.0%
Q1 - 3:10	DET	Prince 26' 3PT Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Hamilton 3 AST)	19 72.8%	11 27.2%
Q1 - 3:31	CHA	Felton Free Throw 2 of 2 (3 PTS)	16 69.0%	11 31.0%
Q1 - 3:31	CHA	MISS Felton Free Throw 1 of 2	16 69.4%	10 30.6%
Q1 - 3:43	CHA	Wallace REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)	16 69.1%	10 30.9%
Q1 - 3:45	DET	MISS Hamilton 12' Jump Shot	16 69.6%	10 30.4%
Q1 - 4:07	CHA	Dudley REBOUND (Off:2 Def:0)	16 70.5%	10 29.5%
Q1 - 4:07	CHA	Dudley Putback Layup (2 PTS)	16 70.5%	10 29.5%
Q1 - 4:09	CHA	MISS Okafor Layup	16 73.5%	8 26.5%
Q1 - 4:25	DET	Brown Layup (2 PTS) (Hamilton 2 AST)	16 72.3%	8 27.7%
Q1 - 4:42	CHA	Okafor Layup (3 PTS) (Felton 1 AST)	14 70.6%	8 29.4%
Q1 - 4:56	DET	Johnson Free Throw 2 of 2 (3 PTS)	14 72.3%	6 27.7%
Q1 - 4:56	DET	MISS Johnson Free Throw 1 of 2	13 71.9%	6 28.1%
Q1 - 5:13	DET	Brown REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)	13 71.9%	6 28.1%
Q1 - 5:15	CHA	MISS Wallace 26' 3PT Jump Shot	13 71.2%	6 28.8%
Q1 - 5:22	CHA	Wallace REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)	13 69.8%	6 30.2%
Q1 - 5:24	DET	MISS Stuckey Layup	13 70.5%	6 29.5%
Q1 - 5:25	DET	Stuckey REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)	13 71.9%	6 28.1%
Q1 - 5:27	DET	Felton BLOCK (1 BLK)	13 70.5%	6 29.5%
Q1 - 5:40	CHA	Felton Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T2)	13 71.9%	6 28.1%
Q1 - 5:53	CHA	Felton REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)	13 69.9%	6 30.1%
Q1 - 5:54	DET	MISS Brown 15' Jump Shot	13 70.5%	6 29.5%
Q1 - 5:57	DET	Pistons Rebound	13 71.9%	6 28.1%
Q1 - 5:57	DET	Richardson BLOCK (1 BLK)	13 70.5%	6 29.5%
Q1 - 6:17	DET	Prince REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)	13 71.7%	6 28.3%
Q1 - 6:18	CHA	MISS Dudley 20' Jump Shot	13 71.1%	6 28.9%
Q1 - 6:34	DET	Hamilton 18' Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Stuckey 1 AST)	13 69.8%	6 30.2%
Q1 - 6:55	CHA	Richardson Driving Layup (2 PTS)	11 68.1%	6 31.9%
Q1 - 7:07	CHA	Wallace REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)	11 69.8%	4 30.2%
Q1 - 7:08	DET	Johnson REBOUND (Off:2 Def:0)	11 71.7%	4 28.3%
Q1 - 7:08	DET	MISS Johnson Tip Shot	11 70.4%	4 29.6%
Q1 - 7:10	DET	MISS Hamilton 25' 3PT Jump Shot	11 70.4%	4 29.6%
Q1 - 7:26	DET	Brown REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)	11 71.7%	4 28.3%
Q1 - 7:28	CHA	MISS Wallace Layup	11 71.1%	4 28.9%
Q1 - 7:43	CHA	Okafor REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)	11 69.8%	4 30.2%
Q1 - 7:44	DET	MISS Brown 4' Turnaround Hook Shot	11 70.4%	4 29.6%
Q1 - 8:07	DET	Brown REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)	11 71.6%	4 28.4%
Q1 - 8:08	CHA	MISS Okafor Free Throw 2 of 2	11 71.4%	4 28.6%
Q1 - 8:08	CHA	Okafor Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)	11 70.5%	4 29.5%
Q1 - 8:23	DET	Prince 19' Jump Shot (5 PTS)	11 71.6%	3 28.4%
Q1 - 8:45	DET	Stuckey REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)	9 69.9%	3 30.1%
Q1 - 8:47	CHA	MISS Richardson 26' 3PT Jump Shot	9 69.3%	3 30.7%
Q1 - 8:50	CHA	Okafor REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)	9 68.1%	3 31.9%
Q1 - 8:54	CHA	MISS Wallace Free Throw 2 of 2	9 69.6%	3 30.4%
Q1 - 8:54	CHA	Wallace Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)	9 68.5%	3 31.5%
Q1 - 8:54	CHA	Wallace REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)	9 69.9%	2 30.1%
Q1 - 8:56	CHA	MISS Felton 20' Jump Shot	9 71.1%	2 28.9%
Q1 - 9:18	DET	Hamilton Driving Layup (4 PTS)	9 69.7%	2 30.3%
Q1 - 9:37	DET	Pistons Rebound	7 67.8%	2 32.2%
Q1 - 9:38	CHA	MISS Wallace 20' Jump Shot	7 67.4%	2 32.6%
Q1 - 9:53	DET	Hamilton 15' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Prince 1 AST)	7 66.2%	2 33.8%
Q1 - 10:06	CHA	Richardson Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T1)	5 63.9%	2 36.1%
Q1 - 10:20	DET	Johnson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)	5 62.1%	2 37.9%
Q1 - 10:20	DET	Johnson Putback Dunk (2 PTS)	5 62.1%	2 37.9%
Q1 - 10:22	DET	MISS Hamilton 14' Jump Shot	3 59.1%	2 40.9%
Q1 - 10:45	DET	Hamilton REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)	3 60.4%	2 39.6%
Q1 - 10:47	CHA	MISS Felton 22' Jump Shot	3 59.9%	2 40.1%
Q1 - 10:53	CHA	Dudley REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)	3 58.6%	2 41.4%
Q1 - 10:58	CHA	MISS Richardson 20' Jump Shot	3 59.9%	2 40.1%
Q1 - 11:14	DET	Prince 24' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Hamilton 1 AST)	3 58.4%	2 41.6%
Q1 - 11:36	CHA	Felton 22' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Richardson 1 AST)	0 55.2%	2 44.8%
Q1 - 12:00	CHA	Jump Ball Okafor vs. Johnson: Tip to Felton	0 56.8%	0 43.2%

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

DET

1.10 54.9%

CHA

1.06 53.2%

Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)

DET

56%

CHA

55%

Midrange

DET

44%

CHA

42%

3PT | Effective 3PT

DET

12.0

50%

75%

CHA

4.5

27%

41%

Free Throws

DET

82%

CHA

80%

Makes

Effective 3P Makes

Efficiency

Misses

Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

Pistons

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
R. Hamilton	19	53%	9.5 / 18
R. Wallace	15	63%	7.5 / 12
A. Johnson	12	75%	6.0 / 8
W. Bynum	12	67%	6.0 / 9
T. Prince	10	50%	5.0 / 10
J. Maxiell	10	83%	5.0 / 6
R. Stuckey	9	56%	4.5 / 8
W. Herrmann	5	83%	2.5 / 3
K. Brown	3	21%	1.5 / 7
A. Afflalo	2	17%	1.0 / 6
W. Sharpe	2	100%	1.0 / 1
A. Acker	2	100%	1.0 / 1

TS Makes

TS Misses

Total Points

Bobcats

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
S. Brown	16	67%	8.0 / 12
G. Wallace	15	47%	7.5 / 16
E. Okafor	11	69%	5.5 / 8
R. Felton	10	71%	5.0 / 7
A. Morrison	10	83%	5.0 / 6
J. Dudley	8	67%	4.0 / 6
D. Augustin	5	42%	2.5 / 6
J. Richardson	4	20%	2.0 / 10
N. Mohammed	2	50%	1.0 / 2
A. Ajinca	2	100%	1.0 / 1
A. Brown	0	-	0.0 / 2

TS Makes

TS Misses

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

DET

+19

-8

CHA

+11

-13

Base

ORB

TOV

Scoring Efficiency

DET

1.10 54.9%

CHA

1.06 53.2%

Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Efficiency & Pace		This Game
Efficiency	106.8 104.9	DET 127.8 +22.8 CHA 105.1
Pace	87.3 88.2	DET 72.5 CHA 86.8 +14.4
Avg. Poss. Time	17.1 16.5	DET 19.9 CHA 16.6 +3.3
Four Factors		This Game
EFG %	48.3% 49.4%	DET 54.8% +8.2% CHA 46.6%
TO %	12.7% 16.7%	DET 8.3% +7.5% CHA 15.8%
ORB %	27.9% 27.8%	DET 41.0% +17.5% CHA 23.5%
FTrt	28.2 31.2	DET 13.1 CHA 59.3 +46.2
Misc. Stats		This Game
AST %	56.7% 60.7%	DET 54.8% +4.8% CHA 50.0%
STL %	6.8% 7.9%	DET 5.1% CHA 7.6% +2.5%
BLK %	7.3% 8.2%	DET 8.3% +2.4% CHA 5.9%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Shooting Efficiency		This Game
TS%	51.0% 52.0%	DET 54.9% +1.7% CHA 53.2%
Rim FG%	58.7% 55.2%	DET 55.9% +1.4% CHA 54.5%
Mid FG%	41.2% 40.4%	DET 44.1% +1.8% CHA 42.3%
3P %	34.9% 36.6%	DET 50.0% +22.7% CHA 27.3%
FT %	75.1% 74.0%	DET 81.8% +1.8% CHA 80.0%
Shot Distribution		This Game
Rim Att. %	30.0% 40.0%	DET 40.5% +3.2% CHA 37.3%
Mid Att. %	53.5% 38.8%	DET 40.5% +3.6% CHA 44.1%
3P Att. %	16.5% 21.3%	DET 19.0% +0.4% CHA 18.6%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.34 and 2.34.

Game Totals	DET	CHA
Possessions	79	79
Possession Minutes	26.2	21.8
Points	101	83
Rebounds	42	31
Assists	23	13
Steals	4	6
Blocks	4	4
Turnovers (Team)	8 (0)	13 (1)
Fouls
Off. Rebounds (Team)	16 (3)	8 (3)
Def. Rebounds (Team)	26 (2)	23 (0)
Field Goals	42-84	26-59
At-the-Rim FG	19-34	12-22
Midrange FG	15-34	11-26
2-Point FG	34-68	23-48
3-Point FG	8-16	3-11
Free Throws	9-11	28-35
Fast Break Pts
2nd Chance Pts
Points in Paint
Pts off Turnovers
Bench Points
Biggest Lead

BOXSCORE

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13 Detroit Pistons

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Tayshaun Prince F · 6'9" 212 · 29	30.0	10	50%	6	3	0	1	2	2	0	6	0-0	-	2-7	29%	2-3	67%
Richard Hamilton G · 6'7" 193 · 31	29.7	19	53%	4	5	0	0	0	0	2	2	0-0	-	8-15	53%	1-3	33%
Rasheed Wallace C · 6'11" 230 · 34	28.7	15	63%	4	3	0	1	1	3	1	3	0-0	-	3-7	43%	3-5	60%
Rodney Stuckey G · 6'5" 205 · 23	25.3	9	56%	4	3	0	0	1	1	1	3	2-2	100%	2-6	33%	1-1	100%
Amir Johnson F · 6'9" 240 · 22	22.9	12	75%	6	0	1	0	1	4	5	1	2-3	67%	5-7	71%	0-0	-
Jason Maxiell F · 6'7" 260 · 26	22.9	10	83%	2	0	0	1	1	2	1	1	4-4	100%	3-4	75%	0-0	-
Will Bynum G · 6'0" 185 · 26	22.7	12	67%	1	4	0	0	1	2	0	1	0-0	-	6-8	75%	0-1	0%
Walter Herrmann F · 6'9" 225 · 29	18.8	5	83%	3	1	0	0	0	3	2	1	0-0	-	1-1	100%	1-2	50%
Arron Afflalo G · 6'5" 210 · 23	18.3	2	17%	2	2	1	0	1	3	0	2	0-0	-	1-5	20%	0-1	0%
Kwame Brown C · 6'11" 290 · 27	16.9	3	21%	9	2	2	1	0	2	4	5	1-2	50%	1-6	17%	0-0	-
Walter Sharpe F · 6'9" 245 · 22	1.9	2	100%	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	-	1-1	100%	0-0	-
Alex Acker G · 6'5" 185 · 26	1.9	2	100%	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	1	0-0	-	1-1	100%	0-0	-
Allen Iverson #3 · G · 6'0" 165 · 33	INACTIVE \| INACTIVE
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	101	55%	42	23	4	4	8	0	16	26	9-11	82%	34-68	50%	8-16	50%

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13 Detroit Pistons

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Tayshaun Prince F · 6'9" 212 · 29	30.0	10	50%	6	3	0	1	2	2	0	6	0-0	-	2-7	29%	2-3	67%
Richard Hamilton G · 6'7" 193 · 31	29.7	19	53%	4	5	0	0	0	0	2	2	0-0	-	8-15	53%	1-3	33%
Rasheed Wallace C · 6'11" 230 · 34	28.7	15	63%	4	3	0	1	1	3	1	3	0-0	-	3-7	43%	3-5	60%
Rodney Stuckey G · 6'5" 205 · 23	25.3	9	56%	4	3	0	0	1	1	1	3	2-2	100%	2-6	33%	1-1	100%
Amir Johnson F · 6'9" 240 · 22	22.9	12	75%	6	0	1	0	1	4	5	1	2-3	67%	5-7	71%	0-0	-
Jason Maxiell F · 6'7" 260 · 26	22.9	10	83%	2	0	0	1	1	2	1	1	4-4	100%	3-4	75%	0-0	-
Will Bynum G · 6'0" 185 · 26	22.7	12	67%	1	4	0	0	1	2	0	1	0-0	-	6-8	75%	0-1	0%
Walter Herrmann F · 6'9" 225 · 29	18.8	5	83%	3	1	0	0	0	3	2	1	0-0	-	1-1	100%	1-2	50%
Arron Afflalo G · 6'5" 210 · 23	18.3	2	17%	2	2	1	0	1	3	0	2	0-0	-	1-5	20%	0-1	0%
Kwame Brown C · 6'11" 290 · 27	16.9	3	21%	9	2	2	1	0	2	4	5	1-2	50%	1-6	17%	0-0	-
Walter Sharpe F · 6'9" 245 · 22	1.9	2	100%	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	-	1-1	100%	0-0	-
Alex Acker G · 6'5" 185 · 26	1.9	2	100%	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	1	0-0	-	1-1	100%	0-0	-
Allen Iverson #3 · G · 6'0" 165 · 33	INACTIVE \| INACTIVE
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	101	55%	42	23	4	4	8	0	16	26	9-11	82%	34-68	50%	8-16	50%

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22 Charlotte Bobcats

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Gerald Wallace F · 6'7" 220 · 26	41.0	15	47%	12	0	1	0	3	5	2	10	9-12	75%	3-8	38%	0-2	0%
Emeka Okafor C · 6'10" 255 · 26	38.7	11	69%	5	0	0	1	0	2	2	3	5-6	83%	3-5	60%	0-0	-
Jason Richardson G · 6'6" 225 · 28	32.9	4	20%	1	5	0	1	2	3	0	1	0-0	-	2-7	29%	0-3	0%
Raymond Felton G · 6'1" 205 · 24	22.8	10	71%	1	1	0	1	3	3	0	1	2-3	67%	4-6	67%	0-0	-
Jared Dudley F · 6'7" 240 · 23	21.0	8	67%	4	0	1	0	0	1	2	2	4-4	100%	2-4	50%	0-0	-
Shannon Brown G · 6'3" 215 · 23	26.1	16	67%	1	3	4	1	0	0	0	1	7-8	88%	3-6	50%	1-2	50%
Adam Morrison F · 6'8" 205 · 24	24.0	10	83%	3	2	0	0	2	0	0	3	0-0	-	2-4	50%	2-2	100%
D.J. Augustin G · 6'0" 183 · 21	16.2	5	42%	1	2	0	0	0	2	0	1	1-2	50%	2-3	67%	0-2	0%
Andre Brown F · 6'9" 245 · 27	10.1	0	0%	2	0	0	0	3	1	2	0	0-0	-	0-2	0%	0-0	-
Nazr Mohammed C · 6'10" 250 · 31	4.8	2	50%	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	-	1-2	50%	0-0	-
Alexis Ajinca C · 7'2" 248 · 20	2.3	2	100%	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	1	0-0	-	1-1	100%	0-0	-
Matt Carroll G · 6'6" 212 · 28
Linton Johnson #43 · F · 6'8" 205 · 28	INACTIVE \| INACTIVE
Ryan Hollins #15 · C · 7'0" 240 · 24	INACTIVE \| INACTIVE
Sean May #42 · C-F · 6'9" 266 · 25	INACTIVE \| INACTIVE
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	83	53%	31	13	6	4	13	0	8	23	28-35	80%	23-48	48%	3-11	27%

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Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.

Scoring Opportunities

Scoring Efficiency

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

Scoring by Shot Type

Total Points

Total Points

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

Scoring Efficiency

Reg Season Avg

Reg Season Avg

BOXSCORE