FinalWin Prob.pScore
1662%97
99
2938%93
113
ORTG#PossPace
ATL logo ATL
110.09091.9
MIA logo MIA
122.89290.1

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

HeatHawksQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Scoring Margin

HeatHawksQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Play-by-Play

Score / WinProb
ClockTeamEventATLMIA
Q4 - 0:00.0MIA99
0%
113
100%
Q4 - 0:18.0ATLPachulia Free Throw 2 of 2 (14 PTS)99
0.1%
113
99.9%
Q4 - 0:18.0ATLPachulia Free Throw 1 of 2 (13 PTS)98
0.1%
113
99.9%
Q4 - 0:26.0MIAQuinn 25' 3PT Jump Shot (11 PTS)97
0.1%
113
99.9%
Q4 - 0:45.0MIAPowell REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)97
0.1%
110
99.9%
Q4 - 0:46.0MIAMISS Barron 25' 3PT Jump Shot97
0.1%
110
99.9%
Q4 - 1:12ATLStoudamire 25' 3PT Jump Shot (14 PTS) (Law 1 AST)97
0.1%
110
99.9%
Q4 - 1:21ATLStoudamire REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)94
0.1%
110
99.9%
Q4 - 1:23MIAMISS Cook 20' Jump Shot94
0.1%
110
99.9%
Q4 - 1:38MIAAnthony REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)94
0.1%
110
99.9%
Q4 - 1:40ATLMISS Pachulia Free Throw 2 of 294
0.1%
110
99.9%
Q4 - 1:40ATLMISS Pachulia Free Throw 1 of 294
0.1%
110
99.9%
Q4 - 1:47ATLLaw REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)94
0.1%
110
99.9%
Q4 - 1:49MIAMISS Williams 28' 3PT Jump Shot94
0.1%
110
99.9%
Q4 - 1:55MIACook REBOUND (Off:0 Def:9)94
0.1%
110
99.9%
Q4 - 1:57ATLMISS Richardson 21' Jump Shot94
0.1%
110
99.9%
Q4 - 2:23MIACook Layup (16 PTS) (Davis 9 AST)94
0.1%
110
99.9%
Q4 - 2:25MIAHEAT Rebound94
0.2%
108
99.8%
Q4 - 2:26MIAMISS Barron 24' 3PT Jump Shot94
0.3%
108
99.7%
Q4 - 2:38MIACook REBOUND (Off:0 Def:8)94
0.2%
108
99.8%
Q4 - 2:40ATLMISS Horford 15' Turnaround Jump Shot94
0.2%
108
99.8%
Q4 - 2:47ATLHawks Rebound94
0.4%
108
99.6%
Q4 - 2:48ATLAnthony BLOCK (3 BLK)94
0.2%
108
99.8%
Q4 - 3:00MIADavis 17' Jump Shot (15 PTS)94
0.5%
108
99.5%
Q4 - 3:13ATLWilliams Foul Turnover (P2.T13)94
0.6%
106
99.4%
Q4 - 3:18ATLStoudamire REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)94
1.2%
106
98.8%
Q4 - 3:19MIAMISS Barron Layup94
1.0%
106
99.0%
Q4 - 3:20MIABarron REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)94
0.6%
106
99.4%
Q4 - 3:22MIAMISS Anthony 8' Turnaround Jump Shot94
1.0%
106
99.0%
Q4 - 3:23MIAAnthony REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)94
0.6%
106
99.4%
Q4 - 3:25MIAMISS Anthony Dunk94
1.0%
106
99.0%
Q4 - 3:39MIACook REBOUND (Off:0 Def:7)94
1.6%
106
98.4%
Q4 - 3:41ATLMISS Smith 14' Turnaround Jump Shot94
1.7%
106
98.3%
Q4 - 4:00ATLHawks Rebound94
2.1%
106
97.9%
Q4 - 4:01MIAMISS Williams 25' 3PT Jump Shot94
1.9%
106
98.1%
Q4 - 4:23MIACook REBOUND (Off:0 Def:6)94
1.4%
106
98.6%
Q4 - 4:24ATLMISS Williams 21' Jump Shot94
1.5%
106
98.5%
Q4 - 4:43MIACook 24' 3PT Jump Shot (14 PTS) (Davis 8 AST)94
2.0%
106
98.0%
Q4 - 5:06MIADavis REBOUND (Off:0 Def:7)94
6.2%
103
93.8%
Q4 - 5:08ATLMISS Smith 21' Jump Shot94
6.8%
103
93.2%
Q4 - 5:25MIAWilliams 24' 3PT Jump Shot (17 PTS) (Cook 4 AST)94
8.4%
103
91.6%
Q4 - 5:38MIABarron REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)94
15.0%
100
85.0%
Q4 - 5:40ATLMISS Bibby 21' Jump Shot94
16.4%
100
83.6%
Q4 - 5:48ATLBibby REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)94
19.9%
100
80.1%
Q4 - 5:49MIAMISS Cook 20' Jump Shot94
18.3%
100
81.7%
Q4 - 6:04ATLHorford Layup (8 PTS) (Williams 1 AST)94
18.2%
100
81.8%
Q4 - 6:18MIACook 19' Jump Shot (11 PTS) (Williams 5 AST)92
14.6%
100
85.4%
Q4 - 6:34MIADavis REBOUND (Off:0 Def:6)92
18.0%
98
82.0%
Q4 - 6:35ATLMISS Childress Free Throw 2 of 292
18.7%
98
81.3%
Q4 - 6:35ATLChildress Free Throw 1 of 2 (10 PTS)92
22.0%
98
78.0%
Q4 - 6:55MIAWilliams 25' 3PT Jump Shot (14 PTS)91
18.5%
98
81.5%
Q4 - 7:01MIABarron REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)91
32.4%
95
67.6%
Q4 - 7:03ATLMISS Horford 6' Hook Shot91
34.5%
95
65.5%
Q4 - 7:22MIABarron 21' Jump Shot (13 PTS) (Williams 4 AST)91
39.4%
95
60.6%
Q4 - 7:37ATLWilliams 20' Jump Shot (11 PTS) (Childress 3 AST)91
45.1%
93
54.9%
Q4 - 7:40ATLHawks Rebound89
39.3%
93
60.7%
Q4 - 7:42ATLBlount BLOCK (1 BLK)89
34.2%
93
65.8%
Q4 - 7:56ATLHorford REBOUND (Off:5 Def:7)89
39.2%
93
60.8%
Q4 - 7:58MIAMISS Barron Reverse Layup89
36.9%
93
63.1%
Q4 - 8:17ATLWilliams 16' Jump Shot (9 PTS)89
34.5%
93
65.5%
Q4 - 8:35MIABarron Slam Dunk (11 PTS) (Blount 2 AST)87
29.0%
93
71.0%
Q4 - 8:50MIABlount REBOUND (Off:4 Def:2)87
34.4%
91
65.6%
Q4 - 8:51ATLPowell BLOCK (1 BLK)87
36.3%
91
63.7%
Q4 - 9:23MIABlount REBOUND (Off:4 Def:1)87
42.5%
91
57.5%
Q4 - 9:25MIAMISS Powell 24' 3PT Jump Shot87
40.6%
91
59.4%
Q4 - 9:49MIABlount Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T7)87
42.4%
91
57.6%
Q4 - 10:05MIABlount REBOUND (Off:3 Def:1)85
27.7%
91
72.3%
Q4 - 10:07MIAMISS Cook Alley Oop Dunk85
31.3%
91
68.7%
Q4 - 10:21MIABarron REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)85
27.7%
91
72.3%
Q4 - 10:22ATLMISS Stoudamire 26' 3PT Jump Shot85
29.2%
91
70.8%
Q4 - 10:38ATLSmith REBOUND (Off:0 Def:7)85
32.8%
91
67.2%
Q4 - 10:39MIAMISS Powell Reverse Layup85
31.2%
91
68.8%
Q4 - 10:47ATLDavis STEAL (1 STL)85
27.6%
91
72.4%
Q4 - 10:54ATLPachulia REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)85
32.8%
91
67.2%
Q4 - 10:55MIAMISS Powell 25' 3PT Jump Shot85
31.2%
91
68.8%
Q4 - 11:10MIAHEAT Rebound85
28.7%
91
71.3%
Q4 - 11:10MIAMISS Davis Driving Layup85
32.0%
91
68.0%
Q4 - 11:21ATLPachulia 3 Second Violation Turnover (P3.T11)85
28.7%
91
71.3%
Q4 - 11:31MIAQuinn Free Throw 2 of 2 (8 PTS)85
33.5%
91
66.5%
Q4 - 11:31MIAQuinn Free Throw 1 of 2 (7 PTS)85
34.3%
90
65.7%
Q4 - 11:46ATLStoudamire 22' Jump Shot (9 PTS) (Pachulia 1 AST)85
38.3%
89
61.7%
Q3 - 0:00.0MIA83
33.5%
89
66.5%
Q3 - 0:00.0MIAHEAT Rebound83
28.6%
89
71.4%
Q3 - 0:00.0MIAMISS Barron 43' 3PT Jump Shot83
32.0%
89
68.0%
Q3 - 0:04.0ATLPachulia Free Throw 2 of 2 (12 PTS)83
31.0%
89
69.0%
Q3 - 0:04.0ATLPachulia Free Throw 1 of 2 (11 PTS)82
30.0%
89
70.0%
Q3 - 0:04.0ATLHawks Rebound81
26.7%
89
73.3%
Q3 - 0:05.0ATLMISS Stoudamire 15' Jump Shot81
24.0%
89
76.0%
Q3 - 0:26.0MIAQuinn 19' Jump Shot (6 PTS)81
26.6%
89
73.4%
Q3 - 0:43.0MIADavis REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)81
30.7%
87
69.3%
Q3 - 0:45.0ATLMISS Williams Free Throw 2 of 281
31.3%
87
68.7%
Q3 - 0:45.0ATLWilliams Free Throw 1 of 2 (7 PTS)81
34.5%
87
65.5%
Q3 - 0:55.0MIABarron Free Throw 1 of 1 (9 PTS)80
30.7%
87
69.3%
Q3 - 1:06ATLChildress Tip Shot (9 PTS)80
41.7%
84
58.3%
Q3 - 1:08ATLChildress REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)78
37.2%
84
62.8%
Q3 - 1:09ATLMISS Smith 16' Jump Shot78
34.0%
84
66.0%
Q3 - 1:23MIAQuinn Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)78
37.2%
84
62.8%
Q3 - 1:23MIAQuinn Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)78
37.9%
83
62.1%
Q3 - 1:28ATLSmith Free Throw 1 of 1 (20 PTS)78
41.7%
82
58.3%
Q3 - 1:30MIAPowell Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T6)75
32.7%
82
67.3%
Q3 - 1:48ATLQuinn STEAL (1 STL)75
28.4%
82
71.6%
Q3 - 2:05MIAQuinn 22' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Cook 3 AST)75
34.0%
82
66.0%
Q3 - 2:20ATLSmith Free Throw 2 of 2 (17 PTS)75
37.8%
80
62.2%
Q3 - 2:20ATLSmith Free Throw 1 of 2 (16 PTS)74
36.8%
80
63.2%
Q3 - 2:24ATLSmith REBOUND (Off:0 Def:6)73
33.9%
80
66.1%
Q3 - 2:25MIAMISS Blount 24' 3PT Jump Shot73
32.6%
80
67.4%
Q3 - 2:36MIACook REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)73
29.5%
80
70.5%
Q3 - 2:37ATLMISS Smith 3PT Jump Shot73
30.8%
80
69.2%
Q3 - 2:55MIACook Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T5)73
33.9%
80
66.1%
Q3 - 2:58ATLBlount STEAL (2 STL)73
29.5%
80
70.5%
Q3 - 3:12MIABlount 15' Jump Shot (16 PTS) (Quinn 6 AST)73
35.2%
80
64.8%
Q3 - 3:29ATLBibby Free Throw 2 of 2 (17 PTS)73
39.0%
78
61.0%
Q3 - 3:29ATLBibby Free Throw 1 of 2 (16 PTS)72
38.4%
78
61.6%
Q3 - 3:38MIADavis Free Throw 2 of 2 (13 PTS)71
35.1%
78
64.9%
Q3 - 3:38MIADavis Free Throw 1 of 2 (12 PTS)71
35.8%
77
64.2%
Q3 - 3:56MIADavis Free Throw Technical (11 PTS)71
39.0%
76
61.0%
Q3 - 4:10ATLBibby 21' Jump Shot (15 PTS) (Johnson 5 AST)71
44.2%
75
55.8%
Q3 - 4:29ATLChildress REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)69
40.5%
75
59.5%
Q3 - 4:30MIAMISS Cook Free Throw 1 of 169
39.9%
75
60.1%
Q3 - 4:47MIAHEAT Rebound69
44.1%
73
55.9%
Q3 - 4:48ATLMISS Bibby 21' Jump Shot69
45.6%
73
54.4%
Q3 - 4:51ATLChildress REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)69
49.1%
73
50.9%
Q3 - 4:53ATLMISS Johnson 19' Fadeaway Jumper69
45.6%
73
54.4%
Q3 - 5:24MIALasme Running Dunk (12 PTS) (Davis 7 AST)69
49.6%
73
50.4%
Q3 - 5:28MIABlount REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)69
53.5%
71
46.5%
Q3 - 5:29ATLMISS Bibby 24' 3PT Jump Shot69
54.8%
71
45.2%
Q3 - 5:44MIACook 25' 3PT Jump Shot (7 PTS)69
57.9%
71
42.1%
Q3 - 5:49MIAHEAT Rebound69
65.5%
68
34.5%
Q3 - 5:50MIAMISS Quinn Driving Layup69
68.2%
68
31.8%
Q3 - 6:08ATLSmith Free Throw 2 of 2 (15 PTS)69
65.6%
68
34.4%
Q3 - 6:08ATLSmith Free Throw 1 of 2 (14 PTS)68
64.7%
68
35.3%
Q3 - 6:13ATLSmith REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)67
62.1%
68
37.9%
Q3 - 6:14MIAMISS Quinn 25' 3PT Jump Shot67
60.9%
68
39.1%
Q3 - 6:36ATLWilliams 16' Jump Shot (6 PTS)67
58.0%
68
42.0%
Q3 - 6:55MIALasme Dunk (10 PTS) (Blount 1 AST)65
54.3%
68
45.7%
Q3 - 6:57MIABlount REBOUND (Off:2 Def:0)65
58.0%
66
42.0%
Q3 - 6:59MIAMISS Davis 27' 3PT Jump Shot65
60.9%
66
39.1%
Q3 - 7:27ATLWilliams 12' Jump Shot (4 PTS)65
57.7%
66
42.3%
Q3 - 7:46MIABlount 25' 3PT Jump Shot (14 PTS) (Cook 2 AST)63
54.4%
66
45.6%
Q3 - 7:58MIACook REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)63
61.5%
63
38.5%
Q3 - 8:00ATLMISS Williams 15' Fadeaway Jumper63
62.7%
63
37.3%
Q3 - 8:17ATLWilliams REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)63
65.9%
63
34.1%
Q3 - 8:19MIAMISS Quinn 21' Jump Shot63
64.7%
63
35.3%
Q3 - 8:32MIADavis REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)63
61.9%
63
38.1%
Q3 - 8:33ATLMISS Johnson 3PT Jump Shot63
63.1%
63
36.9%
Q3 - 8:59MIABlount 25' 3PT Jump Shot (11 PTS) (Davis 6 AST)63
65.8%
63
34.2%
Q3 - 9:06MIADavis REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)63
72.0%
60
28.0%
Q3 - 9:07ATLMISS Bibby 25' 3PT Jump Shot63
72.9%
60
27.1%
Q3 - 9:13ATLHorford REBOUND (Off:5 Def:6)63
74.9%
60
25.1%
Q3 - 9:16MIAMISS Blount 7' Hook Shot63
74.1%
60
25.9%
Q3 - 9:28MIACook REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)63
72.0%
60
28.0%
Q3 - 9:29ATLMISS Horford 5' Jump Shot63
72.9%
60
27.1%
Q3 - 9:30ATLHorford REBOUND (Off:5 Def:5)63
75.0%
60
25.0%
Q3 - 9:32ATLMISS Smith 8' Running Hook Shot63
72.9%
60
27.1%
Q3 - 9:53ATLHorford REBOUND (Off:4 Def:5)63
75.0%
60
25.0%
Q3 - 9:55MIAMISS Lasme Free Throw 1 of 163
74.6%
60
25.4%
Q3 - 10:10ATLSmith Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T8)63
77.5%
58
22.5%
Q3 - 10:13ATLSmith REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)63
80.1%
58
19.9%
Q3 - 10:14MIAMISS Cook 26' 3PT Jump Shot63
79.3%
58
20.7%
Q3 - 10:38ATLHorford 15' Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Bibby 5 AST)63
77.5%
58
22.5%
Q3 - 11:03MIABlount 25' 3PT Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Cook 1 AST)61
75.3%
58
24.7%
Q3 - 11:22MIAQuinn REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)61
80.0%
55
20.0%
Q3 - 11:23ATLMISS Williams 21' Jump Shot61
80.7%
55
19.3%
Q3 - 11:41ATLHorford REBOUND (Off:4 Def:4)61
82.2%
55
17.8%
Q3 - 11:43MIAMISS Lasme 6' Jump Shot61
81.5%
55
18.5%
Q2 - 0:00.0MIA61
80.0%
55
20.0%
Q2 - 0:00.0MIAHEAT Rebound61
80.0%
55
20.0%
Q2 - 0:00.0MIAMISS Cook 70' 3PT Jump Shot61
81.5%
55
18.5%
Q2 - 0:01.0ATLSmith Alley Oop Dunk (13 PTS) (Johnson 4 AST)61
80.0%
55
20.0%
Q2 - 0:02.0MIAAl. Johnson Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T4)59
77.1%
55
22.9%
Q2 - 0:04.0ATLBibby 21' Jump Shot (13 PTS)59
75.4%
55
24.6%
Q2 - 0:23.0ATLSmith REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)57
72.1%
55
27.9%
Q2 - 0:25.0MIAMISS Williams 26' 3PT Jump Shot57
71.5%
55
28.5%
Q2 - 0:32.0MIABlount REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)57
70.2%
55
29.8%
Q2 - 0:33.0MIAMISS Davis 24' 3PT Jump Shot57
71.5%
55
28.5%
Q2 - 0:40.0MIAAl. Johnson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)57
70.2%
55
29.8%
Q2 - 0:41.0MIAMISS Cook 25' 3PT Jump Shot57
71.5%
55
28.5%
Q2 - 0:56.0ATLBibby 13' Jump Shot (11 PTS)57
70.1%
55
29.9%
Q2 - 1:08MIAWilliams 26' 3PT Jump Shot (11 PTS)55
66.2%
55
33.8%
Q2 - 1:20ATLSmith Free Throw 2 of 2 (11 PTS)55
72.9%
52
27.1%
Q2 - 1:20ATLMISS Smith Free Throw 1 of 254
72.2%
52
27.8%
Q2 - 1:23ATLSmith REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)54
71.7%
52
28.3%
Q2 - 1:24MIAMISS Al. Johnson 10' Hook Shot54
71.3%
52
28.7%
Q2 - 1:36ATLWilliams STEAL (2 STL)54
70.3%
52
29.7%
Q2 - 1:43ATLWilliams REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)54
71.7%
52
28.3%
Q2 - 1:44MIAMISS Cook 24' 3PT Jump Shot54
71.3%
52
28.7%
Q2 - 2:01MIAAl. Johnson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)54
69.6%
52
30.4%
Q2 - 2:02ATLMISS Smith Free Throw 1 of 154
70.0%
52
30.0%
Q2 - 2:16MIADavis 23' Jump Shot (10 PTS) (Williams 3 AST)52
66.8%
52
33.2%
Q2 - 2:32ATLBibby Free Throw 2 of 2 (9 PTS)52
69.7%
50
30.3%
Q2 - 2:32ATLBibby Free Throw 1 of 2 (8 PTS)51
69.3%
50
30.7%
Q2 - 2:46MIABlount 19' Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Davis 5 AST)50
66.7%
50
33.3%
Q2 - 3:01ATLBlount STEAL (1 STL)50
69.5%
48
30.5%
Q2 - 3:17ATLWilliams REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)50
72.3%
48
27.7%
Q2 - 3:18MIAMISS Al. Johnson Free Throw 1 of 150
71.9%
48
28.1%
Q2 - 3:36ATLSmith Alley Oop Dunk (8 PTS) (Bibby 4 AST)50
74.3%
46
25.7%
Q2 - 3:50MIAAl. Johnson Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)48
72.3%
46
27.7%
Q2 - 3:50MIAAl. Johnson Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)48
72.9%
45
27.1%
Q2 - 4:04ATLPachulia 3 Second Violation Turnover (P2.T5)48
74.4%
44
25.6%
Q2 - 4:18ATLWilliams REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)48
76.5%
44
23.5%
Q2 - 4:19MIAMISS Blount 20' Jump Shot48
75.9%
44
24.1%
Q2 - 4:38ATLPachulia 14' Turnaround Jump Shot (10 PTS)48
74.4%
44
25.6%
Q2 - 5:05MIAWilliams 26' 3PT Jump Shot (8 PTS)46
72.3%
44
27.7%
Q2 - 5:27ATLHorford 12' Fadeaway Jumper (4 PTS)46
76.4%
41
23.6%
Q2 - 5:47MIAWilliams 24' 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS)44
74.5%
41
25.5%
Q2 - 5:55ATLPachulia 7' Hook Shot (8 PTS)44
78.4%
38
21.6%
Q2 - 6:14MIAAnthony Dunk (3 PTS) (Williams 1 AST)42
76.6%
38
23.4%
Q2 - 6:18MIACook REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)42
78.2%
36
21.8%
Q2 - 6:20ATLMISS Stoudamire 24' 3PT Jump Shot42
78.8%
36
21.2%
Q2 - 6:29ATLHorford REBOUND (Off:4 Def:3)42
80.3%
36
19.7%
Q2 - 6:30MIAMISS Blount 26' 3PT Jump Shot42
79.7%
36
20.3%
Q2 - 6:42ATLStoudamire Free Throw 1 of 1 (7 PTS)42
78.2%
36
21.8%
Q2 - 6:46MIAWilliams Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T3)39
74.6%
36
25.4%
Q2 - 6:50ATLWilliams STEAL (1 STL)39
72.0%
36
28.0%
Q2 - 6:59MIACook Driving Layup (4 PTS)39
74.6%
36
25.4%
Q2 - 7:17MIAHEAT Rebound39
76.2%
34
23.8%
Q2 - 7:18ATLAnthony BLOCK (2 BLK)39
76.8%
34
23.2%
Q2 - 7:34MIAPowell Layup (6 PTS) (Barron 4 AST)39
78.2%
34
21.8%
Q2 - 7:38ATLBarron STEAL (1 STL)39
79.8%
32
20.2%
Q2 - 7:53ATLWilliams REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)39
81.6%
32
18.4%
Q2 - 7:54MIAMISS Barron 20' Jump Shot39
81.0%
32
19.0%
Q2 - 8:16MIAHEAT Rebound39
79.4%
32
20.6%
Q2 - 8:17ATLMISS Stoudamire 8' Jump Shot39
80.0%
32
20.0%
Q2 - 8:19ATLStoudamire REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)39
81.3%
32
18.7%
Q2 - 8:20ATLMISS Stoudamire 10' Running Jump Shot39
80.0%
32
20.0%
Q2 - 8:36ATLStoudamire REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)39
81.3%
32
18.7%
Q2 - 8:37MIAMISS Cook 25' 3PT Jump Shot39
80.7%
32
19.3%
Q2 - 8:54ATLChildress Free Throw 1 of 1 (7 PTS)39
79.4%
32
20.6%
Q2 - 9:00ATLChildress REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)36
76.1%
32
23.9%
Q2 - 9:01MIAMISS Powell 3PT Jump Shot36
75.3%
32
24.7%
Q2 - 9:15MIAWilliams REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)36
73.8%
32
26.2%
Q2 - 9:16ATLAnthony BLOCK (1 BLK)36
74.4%
32
25.6%
Q2 - 9:35MIABarron 16' Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Davis 4 AST)36
75.9%
32
24.1%
Q2 - 9:58ATLStoudamire 18' Jump Shot (4 PTS)36
77.5%
30
22.5%
Q2 - 10:05ATLStoudamire REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)34
75.6%
30
24.4%
Q2 - 10:06MIAMISS Anthony 6' Jump Shot34
75.0%
30
25.0%
Q2 - 10:16ATLStoudamire 10' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Childress 1 AST)34
73.5%
30
26.5%
Q2 - 10:35MIAPowell Layup (4 PTS) (Barron 3 AST)32
71.8%
30
28.2%
Q2 - 10:39MIADavis REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)32
73.5%
28
26.5%
Q2 - 10:41ATLMISS Williams 12' Jump Shot32
74.2%
28
25.8%
Q2 - 11:02MIABarron 19' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Davis 3 AST)32
75.4%
28
24.6%
Q2 - 11:21ATLPachulia 13' Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Horford 2 AST)32
77.1%
26
22.9%
Q2 - 11:43MIAWilliams 19' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Barron 2 AST)30
75.4%
26
24.6%
Q1 - 0:00.0ATL30
77.1%
24
22.9%
Q1 - 0:00.0MIAPowell Driving Layup (2 PTS)30
78.8%
24
21.2%
Q1 - 0:05.0MIADavis REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)30
80.2%
22
19.8%
Q1 - 0:06.0ATLMISS Bibby 20' Jump Shot30
80.6%
22
19.4%
Q1 - 0:30.0ATLChildress REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)30
81.4%
22
18.6%
Q1 - 0:31.0MIAMISS Davis 18' Jump Shot30
81.0%
22
19.0%
Q1 - 0:41.0ATLBibby 18' Jump Shot (7 PTS)30
80.2%
22
19.8%
Q1 - 0:48.0ATLHorford REBOUND (Off:4 Def:2)28
78.3%
22
21.7%
Q1 - 0:50.0MIAMISS Anthony Free Throw 2 of 228
78.2%
22
21.8%
Q1 - 0:50.0MIAAnthony Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)28
77.2%
22
22.8%
Q1 - 1:02ATLChildress Dunk (4 PTS) (Bibby 3 AST)28
78.7%
21
21.3%
Q1 - 1:11MIABarron Layup (2 PTS) (Davis 2 AST)26
76.7%
21
23.3%
Q1 - 1:35ATLPachulia Tip Shot (4 PTS)26
78.7%
19
21.3%
Q1 - 1:36ATLPachulia REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)24
76.6%
19
23.4%
Q1 - 1:37ATLMISS Johnson Driving Layup24
75.7%
19
24.3%
Q1 - 1:58MIADavis 24' 3PT Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Barron 1 AST)24
76.6%
19
23.4%
Q1 - 2:04MIABarron REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)24
80.2%
16
19.8%
Q1 - 2:05MIAMISS Quinn 25' 3PT Jump Shot24
81.1%
16
18.9%
Q1 - 2:14MIAHEAT Rebound24
80.2%
16
19.8%
Q1 - 2:15ATLMISS Bibby 20' Jump Shot24
80.6%
16
19.4%
Q1 - 2:28ATLJohnson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)24
81.5%
16
18.5%
Q1 - 2:29MIAMISS Powell 24' 3PT Jump Shot24
81.1%
16
18.9%
Q1 - 2:46MIAHEAT Rebound24
80.2%
16
19.8%
Q1 - 2:47MIAMISS Barron 18' Jump Shot24
81.1%
16
18.9%
Q1 - 3:06ATLPachulia Driving Layup (2 PTS)24
79.6%
16
20.4%
Q1 - 3:24ATLBibby REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)22
78.3%
16
21.7%
Q1 - 3:26MIAMISS Quinn Driving Layup22
77.8%
16
22.2%
Q1 - 3:43ATLChildress Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)22
76.6%
16
23.4%
Q1 - 3:43ATLChildress Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)21
76.3%
16
23.7%
Q1 - 3:46ATLBibby REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)20
75.1%
16
24.9%
Q1 - 3:48MIAMISS Barron Layup20
74.5%
16
25.5%
Q1 - 4:06MIABarron REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)20
73.2%
16
26.8%
Q1 - 4:07ATLMISS Smith Free Throw 1 of 120
73.5%
16
26.5%
Q1 - 4:23ATLHawks Rebound18
71.8%
16
28.2%
Q1 - 4:24ATLMISS Bibby 16' Jump Shot18
70.2%
16
29.8%
Q1 - 4:31ATLChildress REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)18
71.8%
16
28.2%
Q1 - 4:32MIAMISS Powell 8' Jump Shot18
71.1%
16
28.9%
Q1 - 4:47MIAHEAT Rebound18
69.5%
16
30.5%
Q1 - 4:48ATLMISS Horford 15' Jump Shot18
70.2%
16
29.8%
Q1 - 5:02MIALasme 20' Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Quinn 5 AST)18
71.6%
16
28.4%
Q1 - 5:13ATLLasme STEAL (1 STL)18
73.2%
14
26.8%
Q1 - 5:33MIADavis 25' 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Quinn 4 AST)18
75.0%
14
25.0%
Q1 - 5:40MIALasme REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)18
77.8%
11
22.2%
Q1 - 5:41ATLMISS Bibby 20' Jump Shot18
78.3%
11
21.7%
Q1 - 5:52ATLHorford REBOUND (Off:4 Def:1)18
79.4%
11
20.6%
Q1 - 5:53ATLMISS Johnson 27' 3PT Jump Shot18
78.3%
11
21.7%
Q1 - 6:01MIACook Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T2)18
78.9%
11
21.1%
Q1 - 6:22ATLBibby 17' Jump Shot (5 PTS)18
77.4%
11
22.6%
Q1 - 6:30ATLHorford REBOUND (Off:3 Def:1)16
76.1%
11
23.9%
Q1 - 6:31MIAMISS Blount 20' Jump Shot16
75.6%
11
24.4%
Q1 - 6:48ATLHorford 3 Second Violation Turnover (P1.T1)16
74.5%
11
25.5%
Q1 - 7:06MIABlount 24' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Davis 1 AST)16
75.8%
11
24.2%
Q1 - 7:23ATLJohnson 24' 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Bibby 2 AST)16
78.3%
8
21.7%
Q1 - 7:33ATLBibby REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)13
75.8%
8
24.2%
Q1 - 7:34MIAMISS Quinn 24' 3PT Jump Shot13
75.3%
8
24.7%
Q1 - 7:50ATLWilliams Dunk (2 PTS) (Horford 1 AST)13
74.2%
8
25.8%
Q1 - 8:14MIADavis 19' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Quinn 3 AST)11
73.4%
8
26.6%
Q1 - 8:33MIAHEAT Rebound11
74.6%
6
25.4%
Q1 - 8:34ATLMISS Bibby 25' 3PT Jump Shot11
75.1%
6
24.9%
Q1 - 8:36ATLHorford REBOUND (Off:3 Def:0)11
76.2%
6
23.8%
Q1 - 8:38ATLMISS Williams 20' Jump Shot11
75.1%
6
24.9%
Q1 - 8:50ATLJohnson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)11
76.2%
6
23.8%
Q1 - 8:51MIAMISS Blount 21' Jump Shot11
75.7%
6
24.3%
Q1 - 9:05ATLHorford Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)11
74.4%
6
25.6%
Q1 - 9:05ATLHorford Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)10
74.1%
6
25.9%
Q1 - 9:05ATLHorford REBOUND (Off:2 Def:0)9
73.3%
6
26.7%
Q1 - 9:06ATLMISS Smith 7' Running Hook Shot9
72.0%
6
28.0%
Q1 - 9:09ATLSmith REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)9
73.3%
6
26.7%
Q1 - 9:11MIAMISS Lasme 4' Jump Shot9
72.8%
6
27.2%
Q1 - 9:33ATLSmith 19' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Bibby 1 AST)9
71.4%
6
28.6%
Q1 - 9:43MIALasme 20' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Quinn 2 AST)7
70.3%
6
29.7%
Q1 - 9:59ATLJohnson 22' Fadeaway Jumper (2 PTS)7
71.5%
4
28.5%
Q1 - 10:26MIACook 20' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Quinn 1 AST)5
70.1%
4
29.9%
Q1 - 10:49ATLBibby 24' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Smith 1 AST)5
71.4%
2
28.6%
Q1 - 10:57MIADavis Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T1)2
68.5%
2
31.5%
Q1 - 11:11MIACook REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)2
66.9%
2
33.1%
Q1 - 11:12ATLMISS Horford 12' Jump Shot2
67.4%
2
32.6%
Q1 - 11:14ATLHorford REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)2
68.4%
2
31.6%
Q1 - 11:15ATLMISS Williams 20' Jump Shot2
67.4%
2
32.6%
Q1 - 11:29MIALasme 7' Jump Shot (2 PTS)2
68.4%
2
31.6%
Q1 - 11:33MIALasme REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)2
70.1%
0
29.9%
Q1 - 11:34MIAMISS Davis 24' 3PT Jump Shot2
71.1%
0
28.9%
Q1 - 11:54ATLSmith Alley Oop Dunk (2 PTS) (Johnson 1 AST)2
70.1%
0
29.9%
Q1 - 12:00MIAJump Ball Blount vs. Smith: Tip to Horford0
68.4%
0
31.6%

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

ATL
1.09 54.4%
MIA
1.13 56.5%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)
ATL
13
19
68%
MIA
12
22
55%
Midrange
ATL
21
48
44%
MIA
18
33
55%
3PT | Effective 3PT
ATL
3
4.5
11
27%
41%
MIA
14
21.0
37
38%
57%
Free Throws
ATL
22
29
76%
MIA
11
15
73%
Makes
Effective 3P Makes
%
Efficiency
Misses
Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|
ATL logo Hawks
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
J. Smith2063%10.0 / 16
M. Bibby1750%8.5 / 17
Z. Pachulia1488%7.0 / 8
S. Stoudamire1464%7.0 / 11
M. Williams1142%5.5 / 13
J. Childress1056%5.0 / 9
A. Horford844%4.0 / 9
J. Johnson542%2.5 / 6
J. Richardson0-0.0 / 1
TS Makes
TS Misses

Total Points

|
MIA logo Heat
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
J. Williams1794%8.5 / 9
D. Cook1653%8.0 / 15
M. Blount1667%8.0 / 12
R. Davis1568%7.5 / 11
E. Barron1346%6.5 / 14
S. Lasme1275%6.0 / 8
C. Quinn1150%5.5 / 11
K. Powell633%3.0 / 9
A. Johnson467%2.0 / 3
J. Anthony330%1.5 / 5
TS Makes
TS Misses

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

ATL
77
+13
-13
90
MIA
84
+16
-8
100
Base
ORB
TOV

Scoring Efficiency

ATL
1.09 54.4%
MIA
1.13 56.5%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Efficiency & PaceThis Game
Efficiency
106.6
100.2
ATL 110.0
MIA 122.8 +12.8
Pace
91.4
90.5
ATL 91.9 +1.8
MIA 90.1
Avg. Poss. Time
15.6
16.3
ATL 15.7 +0.3
MIA 16.0
Four FactorsThis Game
EFG %
48.3%
48.2%
ATL 49.4%
MIA 55.4% +6.0%
TO %
15.5%
15.4%
ATL 12.5%
MIA 7.5% +5.0%
ORB %
29.8%
22.2%
ATL 25.0% +2.8%
MIA 22.2%
FTrt
34.0
30.0
ATL 37.2 +20.9
MIA 16.3
Misc. StatsThis Game
AST %
60.6%
58.5%
ATL 54.1%
MIA 68.2% +14.1%
STL %
7.9%
7.9%
ATL 7.8%
MIA 8.7% +0.9%
BLK %
8.4%
7.1%
ATL 10.9% +3.4%
MIA 7.5%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Shooting EfficiencyThis Game
TS%
52.0%
50.6%
ATL 54.4%
MIA 56.5% +2.1%
Rim FG%
58.6%
59.2%
ATL 68.4% +13.9%
MIA 54.5%
Mid FG%
38.5%
38.8%
ATL 43.8%
MIA 54.5% +10.7%
3P %
35.6%
35.8%
ATL 27.3%
MIA 37.8% +10.5%
FT %
77.2%
72.7%
ATL 75.9% +2.6%
MIA 73.3%
Shot DistributionThis Game
Rim Att. %
36.9%
30.2%
ATL 24.4% +0.4%
MIA 23.9%
Mid Att. %
46.7%
48.1%
ATL 61.5%
MIA 35.9% +25.7%
3P Att. %
16.5%
21.7%
ATL 14.1%
MIA 40.2% +26.1%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.
Game TotalsATLMIA
Possessions9092
Possession Minutes23.524.5
Points99113
Rebounds4437
Assists2030
Steals78
Blocks65
Turnovers (Team)13 (0)8 (0)
Fouls
Off. Rebounds (Team)9 (4)10 (6)
Def. Rebounds (Team)35 (1)27 (6)
Field Goals37-7844-92
At-the-Rim FG13-1912-22
Midrange FG21-4818-33
2-Point FG34-6730-55
3-Point FG3-1114-37
Free Throws22-2911-15
Fast Break Pts
2nd Chance Pts
Points in Paint
Pts off Turnovers
Bench Points
Biggest Lead

BOXSCORE

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PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
F · 6'9" 237 · 22
37.9
11
42%
5
1
2
1
2
1
0
5
1-2
50%
5-12
42%
0-0
-
F · 6'9" 225 · 22
31.7
20
63%
7
2
2
1
2
2
0
7
6-9
67%
7-12
58%
0-1
0%
C · 6'10" 245 · 22
31.6
8
44%
12
2
0
2
1
3
5
7
2-2
100%
3-8
38%
0-0
-
G · 6'7" 240 · 27
28.8
5
42%
2
5
2
1
2
2
0
2
0-0
-
1-3
33%
1-3
33%
G · 6'2" 195 · 30
27.5
17
50%
4
5
0
0
0
1
0
4
4-4
100%
5-11
45%
1-4
25%
C · 6'11" 270 · 24
28.4
14
88%
2
1
0
0
3
3
1
1
4-6
67%
5-5
100%
0-0
-
F-G · 6'8" 210 · 25
27.8
10
56%
6
3
1
1
1
0
2
4
4-5
80%
3-7
43%
0-0
-
G · 6'1" 175 · 26
18.8
14
64%
5
0
0
0
2
2
1
4
1-1
100%
5-8
63%
1-3
33%
G · 6'3" 202 · 23
2.8
0
0%
1
1
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-0
-
0-0
-
F · 6'10" 235 · 24
2.4
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
-
0-0
-
G-F · 6'7" 195 · 24
2.4
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-1
0%
0-0
-
G · 6'5" 210 · 24
#12 · G · 5'11" 170 · 30
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
TOTAL
240
99
54%
44
20
7
6
13
0
9
35
22-29
76%
34-67
51%
3-11
27%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.