FinalWin Prob.pScore
951%102
121
1449%101
105
ORTG#PossPace
ORL logo ORL
123.59896.1
ATL logo ATL
108.29799.0

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

HawksMagicQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Scoring Margin

HawksMagicQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Play-by-Play

Score / WinProb
ClockTeamEventORLATL
Q4 - 0:00.0ATL121
100%
105
0%
Q4 - 0:10.0ATLStoudamire REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)121
99.9%
105
0.1%
Q4 - 0:11.0ORLMISS Dooling 26' 3PT Jump Shot121
99.9%
105
0.1%
Q4 - 0:30.0ATLRichardson 17' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Law 4 AST)121
99.9%
105
0.1%
Q4 - 0:38.0ORLRedick Foul Turnover (P1.T12)121
99.9%
103
0.1%
Q4 - 0:52.0ATLLaw Driving Layup (11 PTS)121
99.9%
103
0.1%
Q4 - 1:00ORLEvans 25' 3PT Jump Shot (27 PTS) (Dooling 9 AST)121
99.9%
101
0.1%
Q4 - 1:15ATLStoudamire Free Throw 3 of 3 (16 PTS)118
99.9%
101
0.1%
Q4 - 1:15ATLMISS Stoudamire Free Throw 2 of 3118
99.9%
100
0.1%
Q4 - 1:15ATLStoudamire Free Throw 1 of 3 (15 PTS)118
99.9%
100
0.1%
Q4 - 1:25ORLFoyle Dunk (4 PTS) (Dooling 8 AST)118
99.9%
99
0.1%
Q4 - 1:37ATLLaw Driving Layup (9 PTS)116
99.9%
99
0.1%
Q4 - 1:46ORLGarrity Free Throw Technical (3 PTS)116
99.9%
97
0.1%
Q4 - 1:46ORLRedick 27' 3PT Jump Shot (11 PTS) (Dooling 7 AST)115
99.9%
97
0.1%
Q4 - 1:58ATLJones Foul Turnover (P1.T16)112
99.9%
97
0.1%
Q4 - 2:08ORLRedick Layup (8 PTS) (Dooling 6 AST)112
99.9%
97
0.1%
Q4 - 2:31ATLLaw 8' Running Jump Shot (7 PTS)110
99.9%
97
0.1%
Q4 - 2:45ORLDooling Driving Layup (11 PTS)110
99.9%
95
0.1%
Q4 - 3:01ORLGarrity REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)108
99.7%
95
0.3%
Q4 - 3:03ATLMISS Stoudamire 21' Jump Shot108
99.7%
95
0.3%
Q4 - 3:25ORLEvans 9' Running Jump Shot (24 PTS)108
99.5%
95
0.5%
Q4 - 3:34ORLEvans REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)106
98.6%
95
1.4%
Q4 - 3:35ATLMISS Horford 20' Jump Shot106
98.4%
95
1.6%
Q4 - 3:54ORLDooling Running Layup (9 PTS) (Redick 1 AST)106
98.1%
95
1.9%
Q4 - 4:00ORLGarrity REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)104
97.3%
95
2.7%
Q4 - 4:01ATLMISS Horford Layup104
97.0%
95
3.0%
Q4 - 4:04ATLHorford REBOUND (Off:4 Def:7)104
96.1%
95
3.9%
Q4 - 4:05ATLMISS Childress Putback Layup104
97.0%
95
3.0%
Q4 - 4:07ATLChildress REBOUND (Off:5 Def:1)104
96.2%
95
3.8%
Q4 - 4:09ATLMISS Williams 8' Jump Shot104
97.1%
95
2.9%
Q4 - 4:20ATLHorford REBOUND (Off:3 Def:7)104
96.2%
95
3.8%
Q4 - 4:21ORLMISS Redick 28' 3PT Jump Shot104
96.6%
95
3.4%
Q4 - 4:30ORLRedick REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)104
97.4%
95
2.6%
Q4 - 4:32ATLMISS Horford 11' Turnaround Jump Shot104
97.1%
95
2.9%
Q4 - 4:53ATLHorford REBOUND (Off:3 Def:6)104
96.3%
95
3.7%
Q4 - 4:54ORLMISS Garrity 10' Jump Shot104
96.7%
95
3.3%
Q4 - 5:18ATLHorford 7' Running Hook Shot (8 PTS)104
96.2%
95
3.8%
Q4 - 5:24ORLChildress STEAL (1 STL)104
97.2%
93
2.8%
Q4 - 5:27ATLPachulia Lost Ball Turnover (P2.T15)104
98.0%
93
2.0%
Q4 - 5:45ORLRedick 24' 3PT Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Dooling 5 AST)104
97.2%
93
2.8%
Q4 - 6:04ATLPachulia 7' Running Hook Shot (8 PTS)101
93.3%
93
6.7%
Q4 - 6:21ORLEvans 24' 3PT Jump Shot (22 PTS) (Garrity 1 AST)101
94.8%
91
5.2%
Q4 - 6:46ATLSmith Driving Dunk (10 PTS) (Pachulia 5 AST)98
91.3%
91
8.7%
Q4 - 7:02ORLRedick 18' Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Dooling 4 AST)98
91.6%
89
8.4%
Q4 - 7:10ORLGarrity REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)96
89.6%
89
10.4%
Q4 - 7:11ATLMISS Stoudamire 25' 3PT Jump Shot96
88.7%
89
11.3%
Q4 - 7:17ATLSmith REBOUND (Off:1 Def:7)96
86.3%
89
13.7%
Q4 - 7:18ORLMISS Dooling 20' Jump Shot96
87.4%
89
12.6%
Q4 - 7:42ATLStoudamire 27' 3PT Jump Shot (14 PTS) (Pachulia 4 AST)96
89.7%
89
10.3%
Q4 - 7:54ATLHAWKS Rebound96
93.6%
86
6.4%
Q4 - 7:57ATLMISS Smith 18' Jump Shot96
94.8%
86
5.2%
Q4 - 8:15ORLGarrity Step Out of Bounds Turnover (P1.T10)96
92.3%
86
7.7%
Q4 - 8:21ATLStoudamire Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T14)96
94.0%
86
6.0%
Q4 - 8:34ORLGarrity Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)96
92.3%
86
7.7%
Q4 - 8:34ORLGarrity Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)95
92.1%
86
7.9%
Q4 - 8:34ORLGarrity REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)94
90.4%
86
9.6%
Q4 - 8:36ORLMISS Garrity 7' Turnaround Jump Shot94
88.7%
86
11.3%
Q4 - 9:02ATLStoudamire 25' 3PT Jump Shot (11 PTS) (Childress 2 AST)94
89.2%
86
10.8%
Q4 - 9:05ATLHAWKS Rebound94
92.9%
83
7.1%
Q4 - 9:05ATLMISS Williams Layup94
94.0%
83
6.0%
Q4 - 9:09ORLStoudamire STEAL (1 STL)94
93.0%
83
7.0%
Q4 - 9:11ORLTurkoglu REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)94
94.4%
83
5.6%
Q4 - 9:14ATLMISS Williams 7' Jump Shot94
94.0%
83
6.0%
Q4 - 9:22ORLFoyle 8' Turnaround Jump Shot (2 PTS)94
93.0%
83
7.0%
Q4 - 9:43ATLChildress Free Throw 2 of 2 (15 PTS)92
91.4%
83
8.6%
Q4 - 9:43ATLMISS Childress Free Throw 1 of 292
91.7%
82
8.3%
Q4 - 9:46ATLSmith REBOUND (Off:1 Def:6)92
91.3%
82
8.7%
Q4 - 9:48ORLMISS Redick 9' Turnaround Jump Shot92
91.9%
82
8.1%
Q4 - 9:54ATLWilliams Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T13)92
93.1%
82
6.9%
Q4 - 10:08ORLTurkoglu Out of Bounds Lost Ball Turnover (P2.T8)92
90.1%
82
9.9%
Q4 - 10:23ATLPachulia 17' Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Childress 1 AST)92
92.1%
82
7.9%
Q4 - 10:37ORLRedick Free Throw 2 of 2 (1 PTS)92
93.5%
80
6.5%
Q4 - 10:37ORLMISS Redick Free Throw 1 of 291
93.3%
80
6.7%
Q4 - 10:52ATLChildress Step Out of Bounds Turnover (P2.T12)91
93.6%
80
6.4%
Q4 - 11:07ORLHoward 4' Turnaround Jump Shot (15 PTS) (Dooling 3 AST)91
91.0%
80
9.0%
Q4 - 11:22ATLWilliams 19' Jump Shot (16 PTS) (Pachulia 3 AST)89
89.2%
80
10.8%
Q4 - 11:44ORLHoward Alley Oop Dunk (13 PTS) (Turkoglu 8 AST)89
91.1%
78
8.9%
Q3 - 0:00.0ORL87
89.3%
78
10.7%
Q3 - 0:00.0ORLMagic Rebound87
89.3%
78
10.7%
Q3 - 0:00.0ORLMISS Evans 30' 3PT Jump Shot87
87.6%
78
12.4%
Q3 - 0:03.0ATLJohnson Driving Layup (10 PTS)87
88.1%
78
11.9%
Q3 - 0:22.0ATLWilliams REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)87
90.2%
76
9.8%
Q3 - 0:23.0ORLMISS Bogans 25' 3PT Jump Shot87
90.7%
76
9.3%
Q3 - 0:30.0ORLHoward REBOUND (Off:2 Def:11)87
91.9%
76
8.1%
Q3 - 0:31.0ATLMISS Williams 19' Jump Shot87
91.4%
76
8.6%
Q3 - 0:49.0ORLHoward Dunk (11 PTS) (Dooling 2 AST)87
90.2%
76
9.8%
Q3 - 1:09ATLWilliams 17' Jump Shot (14 PTS) (Johnson 3 AST)85
87.2%
76
12.8%
Q3 - 1:29ATLPachulia REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)85
89.2%
74
10.8%
Q3 - 1:30ORLMISS Howard Free Throw 2 of 285
89.5%
74
10.5%
Q3 - 1:30ORLHoward Free Throw 1 of 2 (9 PTS)85
90.4%
74
9.6%
Q3 - 1:47ATLChildress REBOUND (Off:4 Def:1)84
89.3%
74
10.7%
Q3 - 1:47ATLChildress Putback Layup (14 PTS)84
89.3%
74
10.7%
Q3 - 1:50ATLMISS Stoudamire 20' Jump Shot84
92.1%
72
7.9%
Q3 - 2:13ORLEvans Putback Dunk (19 PTS)84
89.8%
72
10.2%
Q3 - 2:15ORLEvans REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)82
88.1%
72
11.9%
Q3 - 2:16ORLMISS Lewis 26' 3PT Jump Shot82
86.6%
72
13.4%
Q3 - 2:38ATLBibby 17' Jump Shot (9 PTS) (Smith 2 AST)82
88.2%
72
11.8%
Q3 - 3:01ORLEvans 24' 3PT Jump Shot (17 PTS) (Turkoglu 7 AST)82
89.2%
70
10.8%
Q3 - 3:13ATLJohnson Bad Pass Turnover (P3.T11)79
85.3%
70
14.7%
Q3 - 3:36ORLEvans Running Dunk (14 PTS) (Turkoglu 6 AST)79
82.8%
70
17.2%
Q3 - 3:39ORLTurkoglu REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)77
80.3%
70
19.7%
Q3 - 3:41ATLMISS Johnson 3PT Jump Shot77
79.3%
70
20.7%
Q3 - 3:48ATLBibby REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)77
77.1%
70
22.9%
Q3 - 3:49ORLMISS Lewis Running Layup77
78.1%
70
21.9%
Q3 - 3:53ATLBibby Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T10)77
80.3%
70
19.7%
Q3 - 4:05ORLNelson 27' 3PT Jump Shot (14 PTS)77
76.0%
70
24.0%
Q3 - 4:27ORLHoward REBOUND (Off:2 Def:10)74
69.8%
70
30.2%
Q3 - 4:28ATLMISS Horford 16' Jump Shot74
68.5%
70
31.5%
Q3 - 4:42ATLHorford REBOUND (Off:3 Def:5)74
65.5%
70
34.5%
Q3 - 4:44ORLMISS Nelson 22' Jump Shot74
66.8%
70
33.2%
Q3 - 4:58ATLSmith Free Throw 1 of 1 (8 PTS)74
69.8%
70
30.2%
Q3 - 5:15ATLHorford REBOUND (Off:3 Def:4)74
75.5%
67
24.5%
Q3 - 5:17ORLMISS Howard 7' Hook Shot74
76.5%
67
23.5%
Q3 - 5:35ORLHoward REBOUND (Off:2 Def:9)74
78.7%
67
21.3%
Q3 - 5:36ATLMISS Bibby 18' Jump Shot74
77.7%
67
22.3%
Q3 - 5:57ORLLewis 19' Jump Shot (12 PTS) (Turkoglu 5 AST)74
75.5%
67
24.5%
Q3 - 6:10ATLWilliams Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T9)72
71.7%
67
28.3%
Q3 - 6:28ORLTurkoglu 27' 3PT Jump Shot (17 PTS) (Nelson 5 AST)72
68.2%
67
31.8%
Q3 - 6:48ATLWilliams 16' Jump Shot (12 PTS) (Bibby 3 AST)69
61.1%
67
38.9%
Q3 - 7:03ORLNelson 10' Fadeaway Jumper (11 PTS)69
63.6%
65
36.4%
Q3 - 7:14ORLHoward REBOUND (Off:2 Def:8)67
60.5%
65
39.5%
Q3 - 7:16ATLMISS Johnson 13' Running Jump Shot67
59.2%
65
40.8%
Q3 - 7:35ORLLewis 21' Jump Shot (10 PTS) (Turkoglu 4 AST)67
56.3%
65
43.7%
Q3 - 7:43ATLJohnson Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T8)65
53.0%
65
47.0%
Q3 - 7:52ATLHAWKS Rebound65
48.5%
65
51.5%
Q3 - 7:53ATLMISS Smith 7' Hook Shot65
51.6%
65
48.4%
Q3 - 8:08ATLSmith REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)65
48.8%
65
51.2%
Q3 - 8:09ORLMISS Lewis 26' 3PT Jump Shot65
50.1%
65
49.9%
Q3 - 8:17ORLLewis REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)65
53.1%
65
46.9%
Q3 - 8:18ATLMISS Horford 19' Jump Shot65
51.8%
65
48.2%
Q3 - 8:35ORLLewis 10' Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Nelson 4 AST)65
48.8%
65
51.2%
Q3 - 8:51ORLHoward REBOUND (Off:2 Def:7)63
45.5%
65
54.5%
Q3 - 8:52ATLMISS Bibby 27' 3PT Jump Shot63
44.2%
65
55.8%
Q3 - 9:06ATLSmith REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)63
41.7%
65
58.3%
Q3 - 9:07ORLMISS Evans 15' Jump Shot63
42.8%
65
57.2%
Q3 - 9:25ATLBibby 16' Jump Shot (7 PTS) (Horford 6 AST)63
45.4%
65
54.6%
Q3 - 9:38ORLNelson Driving Layup (9 PTS)63
49.0%
63
51.0%
Q3 - 9:48ATLHorford 12' Turnaround Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Smith 1 AST)61
45.4%
63
54.6%
Q3 - 10:01ORLEvans Layup (12 PTS) (Lewis 2 AST)61
49.0%
61
51.0%
Q3 - 10:16ORLLewis REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)59
45.9%
61
54.1%
Q3 - 10:17ATLMISS Smith Free Throw 2 of 259
45.4%
61
54.6%
Q3 - 10:17ATLMISS Smith Free Throw 1 of 259
43.2%
61
56.8%
Q3 - 10:23ORLTurkoglu 11' Jump Shot (14 PTS)59
42.0%
61
58.0%
Q3 - 10:39ATLWilliams 18' Jump Shot (10 PTS) (Horford 5 AST)57
38.9%
61
61.1%
Q3 - 10:53ORLEvans Free Throw 1 of 1 (10 PTS)57
42.0%
59
58.0%
Q3 - 11:06ATLBibby 20' Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Horford 4 AST)54
36.1%
59
63.9%
Q3 - 11:24ORLEvans 24' 3PT Jump Shot (7 PTS) (Turkoglu 3 AST)54
39.2%
57
60.8%
Q3 - 11:48ATLSmith Alley Oop Dunk (5 PTS) (Horford 3 AST)51
33.0%
57
67.0%
Q2 - 0:00.0ATL51
35.9%
55
64.1%
Q2 - 0:00.0ATLSmith REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)51
35.9%
55
64.1%
Q2 - 0:00.0ORLMISS Dooling 18' Jump Shot51
37.0%
55
63.0%
Q2 - 0:21.0ORLDooling REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)51
39.4%
55
60.6%
Q2 - 0:22.0ATLMISS Stoudamire 26' 3PT Jump Shot51
38.7%
55
61.3%
Q2 - 0:25.0ORLSmith STEAL (1 STL)51
37.2%
55
62.8%
Q2 - 0:29.0ATLStoudamire Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T7)51
39.4%
55
60.6%
Q2 - 0:35.0ATLSmith REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)51
37.1%
55
62.9%
Q2 - 0:36.0ORLSmith BLOCK (1 BLK)51
37.8%
55
62.2%
Q2 - 0:38.0ORLAugustine REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)51
39.4%
55
60.6%
Q2 - 0:40.0ORLMISS Dooling 14' Jump Shot51
37.8%
55
62.2%
Q2 - 1:01ATLSmith Free Throw 2 of 2 (3 PTS)51
39.5%
55
60.5%
Q2 - 1:01ATLSmith Free Throw 1 of 2 (2 PTS)51
40.3%
54
59.7%
Q2 - 1:02ATLChildress REBOUND (Off:3 Def:1)51
44.1%
53
55.9%
Q2 - 1:04ORLMISS Howard 7' Hook Shot51
44.6%
53
55.4%
Q2 - 1:15ORLHoward REBOUND (Off:2 Def:6)51
45.8%
53
54.2%
Q2 - 1:16ATLMISS Smith 11' Jump Shot51
45.3%
53
54.7%
Q2 - 1:27ATLHorford REBOUND (Off:3 Def:3)51
44.1%
53
55.9%
Q2 - 1:28ORLMISS Lewis 27' 3PT Jump Shot51
44.6%
53
55.4%
Q2 - 1:42ATLLaw Free Throw 1 of 1 (5 PTS)51
45.8%
53
54.2%
Q2 - 1:51ORLHoward Free Throw 2 of 2 (8 PTS)51
53.7%
50
46.3%
Q2 - 1:51ORLMISS Howard Free Throw 1 of 250
52.5%
50
47.5%
Q2 - 2:16ATLChildress Driving Layup (12 PTS) (Williams 1 AST)50
52.8%
50
47.2%
Q2 - 2:18ATLChildress REBOUND (Off:3 Def:0)50
56.1%
48
43.9%
Q2 - 2:21ATLMISS Williams 18' Jump Shot50
58.1%
48
41.9%
Q2 - 2:42ORLTurkoglu Free Throw 2 of 2 (12 PTS)50
56.2%
48
43.8%
Q2 - 2:42ORLTurkoglu Free Throw 1 of 2 (11 PTS)49
55.7%
48
44.3%
Q2 - 2:55ORLDooling REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)48
52.7%
48
47.3%
Q2 - 2:57ATLMISS Smith Free Throw 2 of 248
52.4%
48
47.6%
Q2 - 2:57ATLSmith Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)48
50.4%
48
49.6%
Q2 - 3:07ORLHoward Out of Bounds Lost Ball Turnover (P2.T6)48
52.7%
47
47.3%
Q2 - 3:22ATLHorford REBOUND (Off:3 Def:2)48
56.0%
47
44.0%
Q2 - 3:22ATLHorford Putback Dunk (4 PTS)48
56.0%
47
44.0%
Q2 - 3:24ATLMISS Childress 9' Jump Shot48
60.8%
45
39.2%
Q2 - 3:38ORLDooling 18' Jump Shot (7 PTS) (Turkoglu 2 AST)48
58.6%
45
41.4%
Q2 - 4:02ATLWilliams Free Throw 2 of 2 (8 PTS)46
55.6%
45
44.4%
Q2 - 4:02ATLWilliams Free Throw 1 of 2 (7 PTS)46
56.1%
44
43.9%
Q2 - 4:09ORLDooling Free Throw 2 of 2 (5 PTS)46
58.5%
43
41.5%
Q2 - 4:09ORLDooling Free Throw 1 of 2 (4 PTS)45
58.1%
43
41.9%
Q2 - 4:25ATLChildress REBOUND (Off:2 Def:0)44
55.7%
43
44.3%
Q2 - 4:25ATLChildress Tip Shot (10 PTS)44
55.7%
43
44.3%
Q2 - 4:27ATLMISS Horford 9' Turnaround Hook Shot44
60.4%
41
39.6%
Q2 - 4:45ATLHorford REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)44
58.5%
41
41.5%
Q2 - 4:46ORLMISS Arroyo 15' Jump Shot44
59.4%
41
40.6%
Q2 - 5:01ATLSmith Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T6)44
61.3%
41
38.7%
Q2 - 5:13ORLArroyo Running Layup (4 PTS)44
58.3%
41
41.7%
Q2 - 5:18ATLSmith Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T5)42
55.8%
41
44.2%
Q2 - 5:24ATLSmith REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)42
52.7%
41
47.3%
Q2 - 5:25ORLMISS Evans 4' Jump Shot42
53.7%
41
46.3%
Q2 - 5:38ATLChildress Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T4)42
55.8%
41
44.2%
Q2 - 5:56ORLDooling Free Throw 2 of 2 (3 PTS)42
52.7%
41
47.3%
Q2 - 5:56ORLDooling Free Throw 1 of 2 (2 PTS)41
52.3%
41
47.7%
Q2 - 6:16ATLLaw 18' Jump Shot (2 PTS)40
50.4%
41
49.6%
Q2 - 6:32ORLEvans 5' Running Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Dooling 1 AST)40
52.6%
39
47.4%
Q2 - 6:37ORLDooling REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)38
50.4%
39
49.6%
Q2 - 6:38ATLMISS Childress 6' Running Jump Shot38
49.4%
39
50.6%
Q2 - 6:54ORLArroyo 19' Jump Shot (2 PTS)38
47.1%
39
52.9%
Q2 - 7:01ORLArroyo REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)36
45.2%
39
54.8%
Q2 - 7:02ATLMISS Stoudamire 26' 3PT Jump Shot36
44.3%
39
55.7%
Q2 - 7:10ATLLaw REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)36
42.4%
39
57.6%
Q2 - 7:12ORLPachulia BLOCK (1 BLK)36
43.3%
39
56.7%
Q2 - 7:29ATLStoudamire 25' 3PT Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Pachulia 2 AST)36
45.2%
39
54.8%
Q2 - 7:50ORLLewis 28' 3PT Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Arroyo 1 AST)36
50.2%
36
49.8%
Q2 - 8:05ORLTurkoglu REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)33
45.2%
36
54.8%
Q2 - 8:07ORLMISS Dooling 28' 3PT Jump Shot33
43.2%
36
56.8%
Q2 - 8:32ATLPachulia Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)33
45.2%
36
54.8%
Q2 - 8:32ATLPachulia Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)33
45.7%
35
54.3%
Q2 - 8:53ORLTurkoglu 7' Running Jump Shot (10 PTS)33
47.4%
34
52.6%
Q2 - 9:10ATLStoudamire 29' 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Law 3 AST)31
45.3%
34
54.7%
Q2 - 9:16ATLWilliams REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)31
50.0%
31
50.0%
Q2 - 9:17ORLMISS Lewis 11' Jump Shot31
50.9%
31
49.1%
Q2 - 9:31ATLPachulia Driving Layup (2 PTS) (Law 2 AST)31
52.8%
31
47.2%
Q2 - 9:41ATLHAWKS Rebound31
55.1%
29
44.9%
Q2 - 9:44ORLMISS Arroyo 18' Fadeaway Jumper31
55.9%
29
44.1%
Q2 - 10:00ATLChildress 26' 3PT Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Law 1 AST)31
57.8%
29
42.2%
Q2 - 10:14ORLDooling Free Throw 2 of 2 (1 PTS)31
62.1%
26
37.9%
Q2 - 10:14ORLMISS Dooling Free Throw 1 of 230
61.7%
26
38.3%
Q2 - 10:26ATLChildress Free Throw 2 of 2 (5 PTS)30
62.4%
26
37.6%
Q2 - 10:26ATLChildress Free Throw 1 of 2 (4 PTS)30
62.8%
25
37.2%
Q2 - 10:33ATLLaw REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)30
64.4%
24
35.6%
Q2 - 10:34ORLMISS Lewis 26' 3PT Jump Shot30
65.2%
24
34.8%
Q2 - 10:46ATLWilliams 21' Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Stoudamire 1 AST)30
66.9%
24
33.1%
Q2 - 11:01ATLHAWKS Rebound30
68.5%
22
31.5%
Q2 - 11:03ORLMISS Lewis 10' Turnaround Jump Shot30
69.1%
22
30.9%
Q2 - 11:20ATLStoudamire 17' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Pachulia 1 AST)30
70.5%
22
29.5%
Q2 - 11:38ORLTurkoglu Driving Layup (8 PTS)30
72.5%
20
27.5%
Q2 - 11:46ORLLewis REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)28
70.6%
20
29.4%
Q2 - 11:47ATLMISS Stoudamire 21' Jump Shot28
69.9%
20
30.1%
Q1 - 0:00.0ATL28
68.5%
20
31.5%
Q1 - 0:00.0ATLHAWKS Rebound28
68.5%
20
31.5%
Q1 - 0:00.0ATLMISS Johnson 39' 3PT Jump Shot28
69.9%
20
30.1%
Q1 - 0:00.0ORLJohnson STEAL (1 STL)28
68.5%
20
31.5%
Q1 - 0:05.0ORLTurkoglu REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)28
69.8%
20
30.2%
Q1 - 0:06.0ATLMISS Johnson 25' 3PT Jump Shot28
69.3%
20
30.7%
Q1 - 0:08.0ATLWilliams REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)28
68.2%
20
31.8%
Q1 - 0:10.0ATLMISS Johnson 25' 3PT Jump Shot28
69.3%
20
30.7%
Q1 - 0:32.0ORLHoward REBOUND (Off:2 Def:5)28
68.2%
20
31.8%
Q1 - 0:32.0ORLHoward Putback Dunk (7 PTS)28
68.2%
20
31.8%
Q1 - 0:34.0ORLMISS Evans 24' 3PT Jump Shot26
64.5%
20
35.5%
Q1 - 0:43.0ORLBogans REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)26
65.7%
20
34.3%
Q1 - 0:44.0ATLMISS Williams 7' Running Jump Shot26
65.2%
20
34.8%
Q1 - 0:58.0ATLPachulia REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)26
64.0%
20
36.0%
Q1 - 1:02ORLMISS Howard 7' Hook Shot26
64.5%
20
35.5%
Q1 - 1:24ATLChildress Free Throw 1 of 1 (3 PTS)26
65.6%
20
34.4%
Q1 - 1:24ATLChildress REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)26
70.2%
17
29.8%
Q1 - 1:25ATLMISS Pachulia 9' Running Jump Shot26
71.3%
17
28.7%
Q1 - 1:45ATLHAWKS Rebound26
70.2%
17
29.8%
Q1 - 1:45ORLMISS Evans 13' Turnaround Jump Shot26
70.7%
17
29.3%
Q1 - 1:52ATLJohnson Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T3)26
71.7%
17
28.3%
Q1 - 2:01ATLPachulia REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)26
70.0%
17
30.0%
Q1 - 2:02ORLMISS Turkoglu 28' 3PT Jump Shot26
70.6%
17
29.4%
Q1 - 2:28ATLWilliams Alley Oop Dunk (4 PTS) (Johnson 2 AST)26
71.9%
17
28.1%
Q1 - 2:32ORLWilliams STEAL (1 STL)26
73.8%
15
26.2%
Q1 - 2:37ORLHoward REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)26
75.5%
15
24.5%
Q1 - 2:38ATLMISS Stoudamire 20' Jump Shot26
75.0%
15
25.0%
Q1 - 2:44ATLStoudamire REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)26
73.8%
15
26.2%
Q1 - 2:47ORLMISS Howard 13' Jump Bank Shot26
74.4%
15
25.6%
Q1 - 3:05ORLEvans REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)26
74.8%
15
25.2%
Q1 - 3:07ATLMISS Pachulia 12' Jump Shot26
74.2%
15
25.8%
Q1 - 3:29ORLHoward Putback Layup (5 PTS)26
72.9%
15
27.1%
Q1 - 3:30ORLHoward REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)24
71.3%
15
28.7%
Q1 - 3:31ORLMISS Bogans 27' 3PT Jump Shot24
69.8%
15
30.2%
Q1 - 3:37ORLLewis REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)24
71.3%
15
28.7%
Q1 - 3:39ATLMISS Smith 6' Turnaround Jump Shot24
70.7%
15
29.3%
Q1 - 3:48ATLPachulia REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)24
69.2%
15
30.8%
Q1 - 3:49ORLMISS Lewis Free Throw 2 of 224
69.5%
15
30.5%
Q1 - 3:49ORLLewis Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)24
70.8%
15
29.2%
Q1 - 3:59ATLPachulia Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T2)23
69.4%
15
30.6%
Q1 - 4:15ORLHoward Free Throw 2 of 2 (3 PTS)23
66.8%
15
33.2%
Q1 - 4:15ORLMISS Howard Free Throw 1 of 222
66.2%
15
33.8%
Q1 - 4:29ORLHoward REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)22
67.2%
15
32.8%
Q1 - 4:30ATLMISS Bibby 26' 3PT Jump Shot22
66.5%
15
33.5%
Q1 - 4:40ATLSmith REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)22
64.8%
15
35.2%
Q1 - 4:44ATLMISS Horford 19' Jump Shot22
66.5%
15
33.5%
Q1 - 4:57ORLBogans 26' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Nelson 3 AST)22
64.8%
15
35.2%
Q1 - 5:05ORLHoward REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)19
60.5%
15
39.5%
Q1 - 5:07ATLMISS Johnson 21' Fadeaway Jumper19
59.9%
15
40.1%
Q1 - 5:18ORLNelson Step Out of Bounds Turnover (P2.T3)19
58.3%
15
41.7%
Q1 - 5:18ORLNelson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)19
60.6%
15
39.4%
Q1 - 5:20ATLMISS Horford 19' Jump Shot19
59.9%
15
40.1%
Q1 - 5:40ORLTurkoglu 21' Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Nelson 2 AST)19
58.3%
15
41.7%
Q1 - 6:04ATLJohnson Layup (8 PTS) (Horford 2 AST)17
56.1%
15
43.9%
Q1 - 6:10ORLBibby STEAL (1 STL)17
58.0%
13
42.0%
Q1 - 6:23ATLBibby 27' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Johnson 1 AST)17
60.0%
13
40.0%
Q1 - 6:47ORLNelson 21' Jump Shot (7 PTS)17
63.8%
10
36.2%
Q1 - 7:05ATLJohnson 7' Running Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Horford 1 AST)15
61.4%
10
38.6%
Q1 - 7:17ORLNelson Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T1)15
63.0%
8
37.0%
Q1 - 7:22ORLHoward REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)15
64.9%
8
35.1%
Q1 - 7:23ATLMISS Johnson 29' 3PT Jump Shot15
64.3%
8
35.7%
Q1 - 7:41ORLNelson 28' 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Turkoglu 1 AST)15
63.0%
8
37.0%
Q1 - 8:04ATLHorford Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)12
59.9%
8
40.1%
Q1 - 8:04ATLHorford Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)12
60.3%
7
39.7%
Q1 - 8:04ATLHorford REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)12
61.5%
6
38.5%
Q1 - 8:06ATLMISS Bibby 20' Jump Shot12
62.9%
6
37.1%
Q1 - 8:14ORLNelson Driving Layup (2 PTS)12
61.5%
6
38.5%
Q1 - 8:25ATLJohnson 9' Running Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Bibby 2 AST)10
59.8%
6
40.2%
Q1 - 8:42ORLTurkoglu 18' Fadeaway Jumper (4 PTS)10
61.4%
4
38.6%
Q1 - 9:02ATLJohnson 19' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Bibby 1 AST)8
59.8%
4
40.2%
Q1 - 9:18ORLLewis Running Dunk (2 PTS)8
61.1%
2
38.9%
Q1 - 9:22ATLBibby Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T1)6
59.8%
2
40.2%
Q1 - 9:32ORLHoward 8' Turnaround Hook Shot (2 PTS) (Evans 1 AST)6
57.5%
2
42.5%
Q1 - 9:51ATLWilliams 14' Turnaround Jump Shot (2 PTS)4
56.1%
2
43.9%
Q1 - 10:15ORLTurkoglu 9' Running Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Nelson 1 AST)4
57.5%
0
42.5%
Q1 - 10:22ORLLewis REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)2
55.9%
0
44.1%
Q1 - 10:24ATLMISS Williams 19' Jump Shot2
55.2%
0
44.8%
Q1 - 10:29ATLHorford REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)2
53.8%
0
46.2%
Q1 - 10:30ORLMISS Howard 7' Jump Shot2
54.4%
0
45.6%
Q1 - 10:46ORLHoward REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)2
55.9%
0
44.1%
Q1 - 10:48ATLMISS Smith 6' Jump Shot2
55.2%
0
44.8%
Q1 - 11:10ORLEvans 6' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Howard 1 AST)2
53.9%
0
46.1%
Q1 - 11:22ORLNelson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)0
52.0%
0
48.0%
Q1 - 11:23ATLMISS Bibby 29' 3PT Jump Shot0
51.4%
0
48.6%
Q1 - 11:26ATLHorford REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)0
50.3%
0
49.7%
Q1 - 11:28ATLMISS Smith 7' Hook Shot0
51.4%
0
48.6%
Q1 - 11:37ATLBibby REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)0
50.2%
0
49.8%
Q1 - 11:38ORLMISS Howard 7' Turnaround Jump Shot0
50.8%
0
49.2%
Q1 - 12:00ATLJump Ball Smith vs. Howard: Tip to Nelson0
52.0%
0
48.0%

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

ORL
1.30 65.1%
ATL
1.05 52.5%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)
ORL
19
22
86%
ATL
15
19
79%
Midrange
ORL
17
37
46%
ATL
20
51
39%
3PT | Effective 3PT
ORL
11
16.5
23
48%
72%
ATL
6
9.0
18
33%
50%
Free Throws
ORL
16
22
73%
ATL
17
22
77%
Makes
Effective 3P Makes
%
Efficiency
Misses
Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|
ORL logo Magic
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
M. Evans2784%13.5 / 16
H. Turkoglu1785%8.5 / 10
D. Howard1550%7.5 / 15
J. Nelson14100%7.0 / 7
R. Lewis1246%6.0 / 13
K. Dooling1150%5.5 / 11
J. Redick1179%5.5 / 7
A. Foyle4100%2.0 / 2
C. Arroyo450%2.0 / 4
K. Bogans350%1.5 / 3
P. Garrity350%1.5 / 3
J. Augustine0-0.0 / 1
TS Makes
TS Misses

Total Points

|
ATL logo Hawks
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
M. Williams1653%8.0 / 15
S. Stoudamire1657%8.0 / 14
J. Childress1575%7.5 / 10
A. Law11110%5.5 / 5
J. Smith1042%5.0 / 12
J. Johnson1042%5.0 / 12
M. Bibby950%4.5 / 9
A. Horford833%4.0 / 12
Z. Pachulia867%4.0 / 6
J. Richardson2100%1.0 / 1
M. West0-0.0 / 1
TS Makes
TS Misses

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

ORL
86
+7
-12
93
ATL
81
+16
-16
97
Base
ORB
TOV

Scoring Efficiency

ORL
1.30 65.1%
ATL
1.05 52.5%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Efficiency & PaceThis Game
Efficiency
111.2
106.6
ORL 123.5 +15.2
ATL 108.2
Pace
93.5
91.4
ORL 96.1
ATL 99.0 +2.9
Avg. Poss. Time
15.1
15.6
ORL 15.0
ATL 14.5 +0.4
Four FactorsThis Game
EFG %
53.7%
48.3%
ORL 64.0% +14.0%
ATL 50.0%
TO %
14.7%
15.5%
ORL 11.6% +2.5%
ATL 14.1%
ORB %
23.4%
29.8%
ORL 18.2%
ATL 26.7% +8.5%
FTrt
35.5
34.0
ORL 26.8 +1.8
ATL 25.0
Misc. StatsThis Game
AST %
55.8%
60.6%
ORL 61.7%
ATL 68.3% +6.6%
STL %
6.8%
7.9%
ORL 11.2% +5.0%
ATL 6.2%
BLK %
6.2%
8.4%
ORL 5.7% +2.3%
ATL 3.4%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Shooting EfficiencyThis Game
TS%
55.9%
52.0%
ORL 65.1% +12.6%
ATL 52.5%
Rim FG%
61.5%
58.6%
ORL 86.4% +7.5%
ATL 78.9%
Mid FG%
40.8%
38.5%
ORL 45.9% +6.7%
ATL 39.2%
3P %
38.6%
35.6%
ORL 47.8% +14.5%
ATL 33.3%
FT %
72.1%
77.2%
ORL 72.7%
ATL 77.3% +4.6%
Shot DistributionThis Game
Rim Att. %
35.5%
36.9%
ORL 26.8% +5.2%
ATL 21.6%
Mid Att. %
32.3%
46.7%
ORL 45.1% +12.8%
ATL 58.0%
3P Att. %
32.2%
16.5%
ORL 28.0% +7.6%
ATL 20.5%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.29 and 2.29.
Game TotalsORLATL
Possessions9897
Possession Minutes24.523.5
Points121105
Rebounds3939
Assists2928
Steals116
Blocks42
Turnovers (Team)12 (0)16 (0)
Fouls
Off. Rebounds (Team)6 (1)12 (4)
Def. Rebounds (Team)33 (0)27 (3)
Field Goals47-8241-88
At-the-Rim FG19-2215-19
Midrange FG17-3720-51
2-Point FG36-5935-70
3-Point FG11-236-18
Free Throws16-2217-22
Fast Break Pts
2nd Chance Pts
Points in Paint
Pts off Turnovers
Bench Points
Biggest Lead

BOXSCORE

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PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
G · 6'5" 220 · 29
36.1
27
84%
3
1
0
0
1
1
1
2
1-1
100%
7-10
70%
4-6
67%
F · 6'10" 235 · 29
31.0
12
46%
5
2
5
1
1
1
0
5
1-2
50%
4-7
57%
1-5
20%
C · 6'11" 265 · 22
29.3
15
50%
13
1
0
1
2
2
2
11
3-6
50%
6-12
50%
0-0
-
F · 6'10" 220 · 29
29.0
17
85%
4
8
0
0
3
2
1
3
2-2
100%
6-7
86%
1-2
50%
G · 6'0" 190 · 26
21.5
14
100%
2
5
1
0
2
1
0
2
0-0
-
4-5
80%
2-2
100%
G · 6'3" 195 · 28
26.5
11
50%
3
9
0
1
0
1
0
3
5-6
83%
3-6
50%
0-2
0%
C · 6'10" 270 · 33
18.7
4
100%
1
0
2
1
1
3
0
1
0-0
-
2-2
100%
0-0
-
G-F · 6'4" 200 · 24
12.0
11
79%
1
1
0
0
1
3
0
1
1-2
50%
2-3
67%
2-3
67%
G-F · 6'5" 215 · 28
10.7
3
50%
1
0
1
0
0
1
0
1
0-0
-
0-0
-
1-3
33%
F · 6'9" 238 · 32
10.6
3
50%
4
1
1
0
1
0
1
3
3-3
100%
0-2
0%
0-0
-
G · 6'2" 200 · 29
10.4
4
50%
1
1
1
0
0
2
0
1
0-0
-
2-4
50%
0-0
-
F · 6'10" 235 · 24
4.2
0
0%
1
0
0
0
0
2
1
0
0-0
-
0-1
0%
0-0
-
#4 · C · 6'11" 240 · 32
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
#34 · C-F · 6'9" 250 · 27
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
#13 · C · 6'11" 240 · 24
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
TOTAL
240
121
65%
39
29
11
4
12
0
6
33
16-22
73%
36-59
61%
11-23
48%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.