| ORTG | #Poss | Pace | |
|---|---|---|---|
 MIA | 88.2 | 85 | 79.8 |
 TOR | 108.3 | 84 | 89.8 |
Scoring Opportunities
MIA
71
+18
-14
89
TOR
72
+13
-12
85
Base
ORB
TOV
Scoring Efficiency
MIA
0.84 42.1%
TOR
1.07 53.5%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %
WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS
Win Probability
Scoring Margin
Play-by-Play
| Score / WinProb | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Clock | Team | Event | MIA | TOR |
| Q4 - 0:00.0 | MIA | 75 0% | 91 100% | |
| Q4 - 0:17.0 | TOR | Humphries Tip Shot (2 PTS) | 75 0% | 91 100% |
| Q4 - 0:17.0 | TOR | Humphries REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0) | 75 0% | 89 100% |
| Q4 - 0:18.0 | TOR | MISS Humphries 7' Jump Shot | 75 0.1% | 89 99.9% |
| Q4 - 0:31.0 | MIA | Ahearn Out of Bounds Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T17) | 75 0.1% | 89 99.9% |
| Q4 - 0:47.0 | MIA | Ahearn Free Throw Technical (1 PTS) | 75 0.1% | 89 99.9% |
| Q4 - 0:48.0 | MIA | Heat Rebound | 74 0.1% | 89 99.9% |
| Q4 - 0:49.0 | MIA | MISS Anthony 10' Jump Shot | 74 0.1% | 89 99.9% |
| Q4 - 1:01 | MIA | Cook REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4) | 74 0.1% | 89 99.9% |
| Q4 - 1:03 | TOR | MISS Brezec Driving Layup | 74 0.1% | 89 99.9% |
| Q4 - 1:22 | MIA | Cook 24' 3PT Jump Shot (22 PTS) (Powell 3 AST) | 74 0.1% | 89 99.9% |
| Q4 - 1:41 | TOR | Brezec 10' Turnaround Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Calderon 11 AST) | 71 0.1% | 89 99.9% |
| Q4 - 2:04 | MIA | Cook Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T16) | 71 0.1% | 87 99.9% |
| Q4 - 2:24 | TOR | Bosh Alley Oop Dunk (15 PTS) (Calderon 10 AST) | 71 0.1% | 87 99.9% |
| Q4 - 2:37 | MIA | Powell 9' Running Hook Shot (6 PTS) | 71 0.1% | 85 99.9% |
| Q4 - 2:55 | MIA | Powell REBOUND (Off:2 Def:8) | 69 0.1% | 85 99.9% |
| Q4 - 2:56 | TOR | MISS Nesterovic 15' Jump Shot | 69 0.1% | 85 99.9% |
| Q4 - 3:07 | TOR | Bosh REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4) | 69 0.1% | 85 99.9% |
| Q4 - 3:09 | MIA | MISS Barron Tip Shot | 69 0.1% | 85 99.9% |
| Q4 - 3:11 | MIA | Barron REBOUND (Off:3 Def:2) | 69 0.1% | 85 99.9% |
| Q4 - 3:13 | MIA | MISS Quinn Driving Layup | 69 0.1% | 85 99.9% |
| Q4 - 3:22 | TOR | Kapono Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T12) | 69 0.1% | 85 99.9% |
| Q4 - 3:33 | TOR | Delfino REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1) | 69 0.1% | 85 99.9% |
| Q4 - 3:35 | MIA | MISS Cook Driving Layup | 69 0.1% | 85 99.9% |
| Q4 - 3:54 | TOR | Nesterovic Layup (20 PTS) (Calderon 9 AST) | 69 0.1% | 85 99.9% |
| Q4 - 4:06 | TOR | RAPTORS Rebound | 69 0.1% | 83 99.9% |
| Q4 - 4:06 | MIA | MISS Davis 24' 3PT Jump Shot | 69 0.1% | 83 99.9% |
| Q4 - 4:32 | TOR | Bosh 3 Second Violation Turnover (P1.T11) | 69 0.2% | 83 99.8% |
| Q4 - 4:46 | TOR | Bosh REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3) | 69 0.1% | 83 99.9% |
| Q4 - 4:48 | MIA | Bosh BLOCK (1 BLK) | 69 0.1% | 83 99.9% |
| Q4 - 5:13 | TOR | Calderon Driving Layup (2 PTS) (Delfino 2 AST) | 69 0.3% | 83 99.7% |
| Q4 - 5:17 | MIA | Delfino STEAL (2 STL) | 69 0.4% | 81 99.6% |
| Q4 - 5:28 | MIA | Powell REBOUND (Off:2 Def:7) | 69 0.6% | 81 99.4% |
| Q4 - 5:29 | TOR | MISS Delfino 16' Jump Shot | 69 0.5% | 81 99.5% |
| Q4 - 5:41 | MIA | Heat Turnover: Shot Clock (T#14) | 69 0.4% | 81 99.6% |
| Q4 - 6:11 | TOR | Kapono 16' Jump Shot (11 PTS) | 69 0.8% | 81 99.2% |
| Q4 - 6:20 | TOR | Bargnani REBOUND (Off:2 Def:5) | 69 1.0% | 79 99.0% |
| Q4 - 6:21 | MIA | MISS Davis 19' Jump Shot | 69 1.1% | 79 98.9% |
| Q4 - 6:35 | TOR | Kapono 3PT Jump Shot (9 PTS) (Calderon 8 AST) | 69 1.4% | 79 98.6% |
| Q4 - 6:49 | TOR | Bargnani REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4) | 69 2.4% | 76 97.6% |
| Q4 - 6:50 | MIA | MISS Davis 24' 3PT Jump Shot | 69 2.7% | 76 97.3% |
| Q4 - 7:12 | TOR | Nesterovic 4' Jump Hook Shot (18 PTS) | 69 3.9% | 76 96.1% |
| Q4 - 7:14 | TOR | Nesterovic REBOUND (Off:3 Def:4) | 69 4.9% | 74 95.1% |
| Q4 - 7:17 | TOR | MISS Bargnani Layup | 69 6.0% | 74 94.0% |
| Q4 - 7:33 | TOR | Calderon REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4) | 69 4.9% | 74 95.1% |
| Q4 - 7:34 | MIA | MISS Powell 24' 3PT Jump Shot | 69 5.3% | 74 94.7% |
| Q4 - 7:47 | MIA | Powell REBOUND (Off:2 Def:6) | 69 6.5% | 74 93.5% |
| Q4 - 7:48 | TOR | MISS Kapono 19' Jump Shot | 69 6.0% | 74 94.0% |
| Q4 - 8:09 | MIA | Blount 25' 3PT Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Quinn 6 AST) | 69 5.5% | 74 94.5% |
| Q4 - 8:25 | MIA | Powell REBOUND (Off:2 Def:5) | 66 3.4% | 74 96.6% |
| Q4 - 8:26 | TOR | MISS Calderon 3PT Jump Shot | 66 3.1% | 74 96.9% |
| Q4 - 8:33 | TOR | Calderon REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3) | 66 2.6% | 74 97.4% |
| Q4 - 8:34 | TOR | MISS Calderon Tip Shot | 66 3.1% | 74 96.9% |
| Q4 - 8:35 | TOR | Calderon REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3) | 66 2.6% | 74 97.4% |
| Q4 - 8:36 | TOR | MISS Bargnani 9' Jump Shot | 66 3.1% | 74 96.9% |
| Q4 - 8:55 | MIA | Davis Driving Layup (11 PTS) | 66 2.6% | 74 97.4% |
| Q4 - 9:00 | TOR | Kapono Poss Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T10) | 64 2.0% | 74 98.0% |
| Q4 - 9:15 | MIA | Calderon STEAL (2 STL) | 64 1.8% | 74 98.2% |
| Q4 - 9:39 | TOR | Kapono 20' Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Delfino 1 AST) | 64 2.3% | 74 97.7% |
| Q4 - 9:52 | MIA | Delfino STEAL (1 STL) | 64 2.8% | 72 97.2% |
| Q4 - 10:01 | MIA | Davis REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4) | 64 4.0% | 72 96.0% |
| Q4 - 10:02 | TOR | MISS Bargnani 15' Jump Shot | 64 3.7% | 72 96.3% |
| Q4 - 10:14 | MIA | Heat Turnover: Shot Clock (T#11) | 64 3.1% | 72 96.9% |
| Q4 - 10:14 | MIA | Heat Rebound | 64 3.9% | 72 96.1% |
| Q4 - 10:14 | MIA | MISS Quinn 16' Jump Shot | 64 3.3% | 72 96.7% |
| Q4 - 10:39 | MIA | Powell REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4) | 64 3.9% | 72 96.1% |
| Q4 - 10:40 | TOR | MISS Kapono 21' Jump Shot | 64 3.6% | 72 96.4% |
| Q4 - 10:57 | TOR | Kapono REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0) | 64 3.1% | 72 96.9% |
| Q4 - 10:58 | TOR | MISS Bargnani 25' 3PT Jump Shot | 64 3.6% | 72 96.4% |
| Q4 - 11:14 | TOR | Calderon REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3) | 64 3.5% | 72 96.5% |
| Q4 - 11:15 | MIA | MISS Powell 7' Driving Jump Shot | 64 3.7% | 72 96.3% |
| Q4 - 11:38 | TOR | Nesterovic Running Layup (16 PTS) (Calderon 7 AST) | 64 4.3% | 72 95.7% |
| Q4 - 11:48 | TOR | Bargnani REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3) | 64 5.2% | 70 94.8% |
| Q4 - 11:49 | TOR | MISS Kapono 25' 3PT Jump Shot | 64 6.1% | 70 93.9% |
| Q3 - 0:00.0 | MIA | 64 5.2% | 70 94.8% | |
| Q3 - 0:00.0 | MIA | Heat Rebound | 64 6.5% | 70 93.5% |
| Q3 - 0:00.0 | MIA | MISS Quinn 36' 3PT Running Jump Shot | 64 5.6% | 70 94.4% |
| Q3 - 0:04.0 | MIA | Powell REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3) | 64 6.6% | 70 93.4% |
| Q3 - 0:04.0 | TOR | MISS Bargnani 24' 3PT Jump Shot | 64 6.2% | 70 93.8% |
| Q3 - 0:21.0 | MIA | Kapono STEAL (1 STL) | 64 5.4% | 70 94.6% |
| Q3 - 0:36.0 | MIA | Anthony REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2) | 64 6.6% | 70 93.4% |
| Q3 - 0:37.0 | MIA | MISS Barron 18' Jump Shot | 64 5.8% | 70 94.2% |
| Q3 - 0:53.0 | MIA | Cook REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3) | 64 6.6% | 70 93.4% |
| Q3 - 0:54.0 | MIA | MISS Cook 3PT Jump Shot | 64 5.8% | 70 94.2% |
| Q3 - 1:22 | TOR | Bosh Free Throw 2 of 2 (13 PTS) | 64 6.7% | 70 93.3% |
| Q3 - 1:22 | TOR | MISS Bosh Free Throw 1 of 2 | 64 6.9% | 69 93.1% |
| Q3 - 1:26 | MIA | Bosh STEAL (2 STL) | 64 6.7% | 69 93.3% |
| Q3 - 1:39 | TOR | Bargnani Free Throw 1 of 1 (8 PTS) | 64 8.0% | 69 92.0% |
| Q3 - 1:50 | MIA | Davis Traveling Turnover (P3.T8) | 64 11.4% | 66 88.6% |
| Q3 - 2:01 | TOR | Bosh Free Throw 2 of 2 (12 PTS) | 64 13.3% | 66 86.7% |
| Q3 - 2:01 | TOR | Bosh Free Throw 1 of 2 (11 PTS) | 64 13.6% | 65 86.4% |
| Q3 - 2:14 | MIA | Cook 22' Jump Shot (19 PTS) (Barron 1 AST) | 64 15.4% | 64 84.6% |
| Q3 - 2:28 | MIA | Heat Rebound | 62 13.3% | 64 86.7% |
| Q3 - 2:29 | TOR | MISS Nesterovic 5' Jump Shot | 62 12.6% | 64 87.4% |
| Q3 - 2:42 | TOR | RAPTORS Rebound | 62 11.2% | 64 88.8% |
| Q3 - 2:43 | MIA | MISS Davis 24' 3PT Jump Shot | 62 11.8% | 64 88.2% |
| Q3 - 3:04 | TOR | Nesterovic 11' Running Hook Shot (14 PTS) (Ford 4 AST) | 62 13.4% | 64 86.6% |
| Q3 - 3:31 | MIA | Davis 25' 3PT Jump Shot (9 PTS) (Cook 3 AST) | 62 15.4% | 62 84.6% |
| Q3 - 3:35 | MIA | Cook REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3) | 59 11.4% | 62 88.6% |
| Q3 - 3:36 | MIA | Moon BLOCK (3 BLK) | 59 10.1% | 62 89.9% |
| Q3 - 3:58 | TOR | Ford Free Throw 2 of 2 (11 PTS) | 59 11.4% | 62 88.6% |
| Q3 - 3:58 | TOR | Ford Free Throw 1 of 2 (10 PTS) | 59 11.7% | 61 88.3% |
| Q3 - 4:03 | TOR | Moon REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5) | 59 12.7% | 60 87.3% |
| Q3 - 4:04 | MIA | MISS Quinn 25' 3PT Jump Shot | 59 13.4% | 60 86.6% |
| Q3 - 4:27 | TOR | Parker 3PT Jump Shot (13 PTS) | 59 15.2% | 60 84.8% |
| Q3 - 4:53 | MIA | Cook 20' Jump Shot (17 PTS) (Davis 4 AST) | 59 19.8% | 57 80.2% |
| Q3 - 5:19 | TOR | Bosh 14' Jump Shot (10 PTS) (Parker 3 AST) | 57 17.2% | 57 82.8% |
| Q3 - 5:29 | TOR | Parker REBOUND (Off:0 Def:7) | 57 19.5% | 55 80.5% |
| Q3 - 5:30 | MIA | MISS Barron 21' Jump Shot | 57 20.4% | 55 79.6% |
| Q3 - 5:43 | MIA | Anthony REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2) | 57 22.5% | 55 77.5% |
| Q3 - 5:44 | TOR | MISS Bosh 16' Turnaround Jump Shot | 57 21.5% | 55 78.5% |
| Q3 - 6:07 | MIA | Davis 21' Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Quinn 5 AST) | 57 18.8% | 55 81.2% |
| Q3 - 6:21 | TOR | Ford 9' Running Jump Shot (9 PTS) | 55 16.7% | 55 83.3% |
| Q3 - 6:33 | TOR | Bosh REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2) | 55 18.9% | 53 81.1% |
| Q3 - 6:34 | TOR | MISS Nesterovic 22' Jump Shot | 55 20.8% | 53 79.2% |
| Q3 - 6:50 | MIA | Quinn 18' Jump Shot (14 PTS) | 55 18.9% | 53 81.1% |
| Q3 - 7:14 | TOR | Nesterovic Layup (12 PTS) (Bosh 3 AST) | 53 16.5% | 53 83.5% |
| Q3 - 7:19 | MIA | Bosh STEAL (1 STL) | 53 18.4% | 51 81.6% |
| Q3 - 7:34 | TOR | Ford Bad Pass Turnover (P4.T9) | 53 21.3% | 51 78.7% |
| Q3 - 7:42 | TOR | Nesterovic REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4) | 53 18.4% | 51 81.6% |
| Q3 - 7:44 | MIA | MISS Cook 12' Running Jump Shot | 53 19.3% | 51 80.7% |
| Q3 - 8:11 | TOR | Ford 25' 3PT Jump Shot (7 PTS) (Nesterovic 2 AST) | 53 20.8% | 51 79.2% |
| Q3 - 8:16 | TOR | Nesterovic REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3) | 53 25.8% | 48 74.2% |
| Q3 - 8:18 | TOR | MISS Moon Tip Shot | 53 28.2% | 48 71.8% |
| Q3 - 8:20 | TOR | Moon REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4) | 53 25.8% | 48 74.2% |
| Q3 - 8:22 | TOR | MISS Moon 5' Running Jump Shot | 53 28.2% | 48 71.8% |
| Q3 - 8:37 | MIA | Cook 9' Running Jump Shot (15 PTS) (Quinn 4 AST) | 53 25.8% | 48 74.2% |
| Q3 - 8:52 | MIA | Heat Rebound | 51 23.4% | 48 76.6% |
| Q3 - 8:54 | TOR | MISS Nesterovic Layup | 51 22.5% | 48 77.5% |
| Q3 - 9:13 | TOR | Moon REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4) | 51 19.5% | 48 80.5% |
| Q3 - 9:14 | MIA | MISS Blount 25' 3PT Jump Shot | 51 20.3% | 48 79.7% |
| Q3 - 9:23 | MIA | Cook REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3) | 51 22.1% | 48 77.9% |
| Q3 - 9:25 | TOR | MISS Ford 15' Pullup Jump Shot | 51 21.3% | 48 78.7% |
| Q3 - 9:33 | TOR | Bosh REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2) | 51 19.6% | 48 80.4% |
| Q3 - 9:34 | MIA | MISS Cook 25' 3PT Jump Shot | 51 20.3% | 48 79.7% |
| Q3 - 9:51 | TOR | Ford 22' Jump Shot (4 PTS) | 51 22.1% | 48 77.9% |
| Q3 - 9:58 | TOR | Parker REBOUND (Off:0 Def:6) | 51 24.7% | 46 75.3% |
| Q3 - 9:59 | MIA | MISS Blount 19' Jump Shot | 51 25.5% | 46 74.5% |
| Q3 - 10:19 | MIA | Cook REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2) | 51 26.2% | 46 73.8% |
| Q3 - 10:19 | TOR | MISS Moon 19' Jump Shot | 51 25.3% | 46 74.7% |
| Q3 - 10:31 | MIA | Nesterovic STEAL (1 STL) | 51 23.3% | 46 76.7% |
| Q3 - 10:53 | TOR | Parker 25' 3PT Jump Shot (10 PTS) (Ford 3 AST) | 51 26.3% | 46 73.7% |
| Q3 - 11:14 | MIA | Lasme Driving Layup (2 PTS) (Cook 2 AST) | 51 30.2% | 43 69.8% |
| Q3 - 11:18 | TOR | Parker Bad Pass Turnover (P3.T8) | 49 27.5% | 43 72.5% |
| Q3 - 11:34 | MIA | Cook 17' Running Jump Shot (13 PTS) | 49 24.8% | 43 75.2% |
| Q2 - 0:00.0 | MIA | 47 22.4% | 43 77.6% | |
| Q2 - 0:00.0 | MIA | Heat Rebound | 47 22.4% | 43 77.6% |
| Q2 - 0:00.0 | MIA | MISS Quinn 20' Jump Shot | 47 20.7% | 43 79.3% |
| Q2 - 0:06.0 | TOR | Parker Out of Bounds Lost Ball Turnover (P2.T7) | 47 21.4% | 43 78.6% |
| Q2 - 0:30.0 | TOR | Parker REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5) | 47 19.9% | 43 80.1% |
| Q2 - 0:30.0 | MIA | MISS Cook 25' 3PT Jump Shot | 47 20.4% | 43 79.6% |
| Q2 - 0:33.0 | MIA | Heat Rebound | 47 21.4% | 43 78.6% |
| Q2 - 0:33.0 | MIA | Moon BLOCK (2 BLK) | 47 20.4% | 43 79.6% |
| Q2 - 0:50.0 | MIA | Davis REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3) | 47 21.5% | 43 78.5% |
| Q2 - 0:53.0 | TOR | MISS Moon 25' 3PT Jump Shot | 47 21.0% | 43 79.0% |
| Q2 - 1:10 | TOR | Bosh REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1) | 47 19.9% | 43 80.1% |
| Q2 - 1:11 | MIA | MISS Davis 19' Fadeaway Jumper | 47 20.2% | 43 79.8% |
| Q2 - 1:27 | TOR | Parker 3PT Jump Shot (7 PTS) (Moon 2 AST) | 47 21.0% | 43 79.0% |
| Q2 - 1:58 | MIA | Cook 18' Jump Shot (11 PTS) | 47 26.8% | 40 73.2% |
| Q2 - 2:23 | MIA | Quinn REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1) | 45 23.1% | 40 76.9% |
| Q2 - 2:24 | TOR | MISS Nesterovic 16' Jump Shot | 45 22.4% | 40 77.6% |
| Q2 - 2:41 | MIA | Quinn Free Throw 2 of 2 (12 PTS) | 45 21.1% | 40 78.9% |
| Q2 - 2:41 | MIA | Quinn Free Throw 1 of 2 (11 PTS) | 44 20.8% | 40 79.2% |
| Q2 - 2:56 | TOR | Bosh Free Throw 2 of 2 (8 PTS) | 43 18.9% | 40 81.1% |
| Q2 - 2:56 | TOR | Bosh Free Throw 1 of 2 (7 PTS) | 43 19.2% | 39 80.8% |
| Q2 - 3:03 | TOR | Parker REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4) | 43 19.9% | 38 80.1% |
| Q2 - 3:04 | MIA | MISS Quinn 15' Jump Shot | 43 20.5% | 38 79.5% |
| Q2 - 3:13 | TOR | Ford Foul Turnover (P3.T6) | 43 22.1% | 38 77.9% |
| Q2 - 3:26 | MIA | Quinn 3PT Jump Shot (10 PTS) (Powell 2 AST) | 43 20.0% | 38 80.0% |
| Q2 - 3:30 | MIA | Powell REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2) | 40 16.6% | 38 83.4% |
| Q2 - 3:31 | MIA | MISS Quinn 8' Running Jump Shot | 40 15.4% | 38 84.6% |
| Q2 - 3:48 | TOR | Nesterovic 10' Turnaround Hook Shot (10 PTS) (Parker 2 AST) | 40 16.6% | 38 83.4% |
| Q2 - 4:17 | MIA | Powell 8' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Quinn 3 AST) | 40 17.5% | 36 82.5% |
| Q2 - 4:27 | TOR | Ford Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T5) | 38 15.9% | 36 84.1% |
| Q2 - 4:32 | TOR | Parker REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3) | 38 14.4% | 36 85.6% |
| Q2 - 4:33 | MIA | MISS Lasme 17' Jump Shot | 38 14.9% | 36 85.1% |
| Q2 - 4:53 | TOR | Nesterovic 8' Jump Hook Shot (8 PTS) (Ford 2 AST) | 38 15.9% | 36 84.1% |
| Q2 - 5:02 | TOR | Nesterovic REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3) | 38 17.0% | 34 83.0% |
| Q2 - 5:04 | TOR | MISS Bosh 11' Turnaround Jump Shot | 38 18.2% | 34 81.8% |
| Q2 - 5:18 | MIA | Lasme Traveling Turnover (P1.T5) | 38 17.0% | 34 83.0% |
| Q2 - 5:36 | TOR | Bargnani Foul Turnover (P1.T4) | 38 18.8% | 34 81.2% |
| Q2 - 5:44 | TOR | Nesterovic REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3) | 38 17.0% | 34 83.0% |
| Q2 - 5:45 | MIA | MISS Cook 25' 3PT Jump Shot | 38 17.6% | 34 82.4% |
| Q2 - 6:02 | TOR | Kapono 18' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Calderon 5 AST) | 38 18.4% | 34 81.6% |
| Q2 - 6:07 | TOR | Nesterovic REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2) | 38 19.8% | 32 80.2% |
| Q2 - 6:09 | MIA | MISS Powell Driving Reverse Layup | 38 20.4% | 32 79.6% |
| Q2 - 6:24 | MIA | Cook REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1) | 38 22.0% | 32 78.0% |
| Q2 - 6:25 | TOR | MISS Bargnani 3PT Jump Shot | 38 21.3% | 32 78.7% |
| Q2 - 6:40 | MIA | Barron 19' Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Quinn 2 AST) | 38 19.8% | 32 80.2% |
| Q2 - 7:04 | MIA | Blount REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5) | 36 17.9% | 32 82.1% |
| Q2 - 7:05 | TOR | MISS Calderon 24' 3PT Jump Shot | 36 17.4% | 32 82.6% |
| Q2 - 7:25 | MIA | Barron Tip Shot (6 PTS) | 36 16.3% | 32 83.7% |
| Q2 - 7:27 | MIA | Barron REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2) | 34 15.0% | 32 85.0% |
| Q2 - 7:28 | MIA | MISS Quinn 20' Jump Shot | 34 14.0% | 32 86.0% |
| Q2 - 7:40 | MIA | Barron REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2) | 34 15.0% | 32 85.0% |
| Q2 - 7:41 | TOR | MISS Kapono 14' Jump Shot | 34 14.6% | 32 85.4% |
| Q2 - 7:52 | TOR | Bargnani REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3) | 34 13.6% | 32 86.4% |
| Q2 - 7:53 | MIA | Bargnani BLOCK (3 BLK) | 34 14.1% | 32 85.9% |
| Q2 - 8:09 | TOR | Kapono 21' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Calderon 4 AST) | 34 14.9% | 32 85.1% |
| Q2 - 8:14 | TOR | Calderon REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2) | 34 16.1% | 30 83.9% |
| Q2 - 8:16 | MIA | Nesterovic BLOCK (2 BLK) | 34 16.6% | 30 83.4% |
| Q2 - 8:37 | MIA | Barron REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1) | 34 17.7% | 30 82.3% |
| Q2 - 8:38 | TOR | MISS Nesterovic 14' Turnaround Bank Shot | 34 17.2% | 30 82.8% |
| Q2 - 8:51 | TOR | Nesterovic REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1) | 34 16.1% | 30 83.9% |
| Q2 - 8:52 | MIA | MISS Barron 8' Driving Hook Shot | 34 16.6% | 30 83.4% |
| Q2 - 9:18 | TOR | Nesterovic Running Dunk (6 PTS) (Calderon 3 AST) | 34 17.2% | 30 82.8% |
| Q2 - 9:32 | MIA | Powell Driving Layup (2 PTS) | 34 18.6% | 28 81.4% |
| Q2 - 9:44 | MIA | Williams REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1) | 32 17.3% | 28 82.7% |
| Q2 - 9:45 | TOR | MISS Delfino 3PT Jump Shot | 32 16.8% | 28 83.2% |
| Q2 - 9:57 | TOR | RAPTORS Rebound | 32 15.7% | 28 84.3% |
| Q2 - 9:57 | MIA | Nesterovic BLOCK (1 BLK) | 32 16.2% | 28 83.8% |
| Q2 - 10:18 | MIA | Blount REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4) | 32 17.3% | 28 82.7% |
| Q2 - 10:19 | TOR | MISS Nesterovic 16' Jump Shot | 32 16.8% | 28 83.2% |
| Q2 - 10:27 | TOR | Bargnani REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2) | 32 15.7% | 28 84.3% |
| Q2 - 10:28 | MIA | MISS Davis 25' 3PT Jump Shot | 32 16.2% | 28 83.8% |
| Q2 - 10:39 | MIA | Powell REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2) | 32 17.3% | 28 82.7% |
| Q2 - 10:39 | MIA | MISS Williams 3PT Jump Shot | 32 16.2% | 28 83.8% |
| Q2 - 10:42 | MIA | Williams REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0) | 32 17.3% | 28 82.7% |
| Q2 - 10:44 | MIA | Bargnani BLOCK (2 BLK) | 32 16.2% | 28 83.8% |
| Q2 - 10:49 | TOR | Delfino Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T3) | 32 17.3% | 28 82.7% |
| Q2 - 11:03 | MIA | Davis Tip Shot (4 PTS) | 32 15.2% | 28 84.8% |
| Q2 - 11:05 | MIA | Davis REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2) | 30 14.0% | 28 86.0% |
| Q2 - 11:07 | MIA | MISS Davis Alley Oop Layup | 30 13.2% | 28 86.8% |
| Q2 - 11:23 | TOR | Bargnani 26' 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Calderon 2 AST) | 30 14.0% | 28 86.0% |
| Q2 - 11:37 | MIA | Barron 15' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Williams 1 AST) | 30 16.6% | 25 83.4% |
| Q1 - 0:00.0 | TOR | 28 15.3% | 25 84.7% | |
| Q1 - 0:00.0 | TOR | RAPTORS Rebound | 28 14.1% | 25 85.9% |
| Q1 - 0:01.0 | TOR | MISS Bargnani 25' 3PT Jump Shot | 28 14.6% | 25 85.4% |
| Q1 - 0:05.0 | MIA | Williams Free Throw 1 of 1 (3 PTS) | 28 14.0% | 25 86.0% |
| Q1 - 0:22.0 | MIA | Powell REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2) | 25 11.6% | 25 88.4% |
| Q1 - 0:23.0 | TOR | MISS Bargnani 14' Jump Shot | 25 11.4% | 25 88.6% |
| Q1 - 0:38.0 | MIA | Barron 21' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Powell 1 AST) | 25 10.9% | 25 89.1% |
| Q1 - 0:57.0 | TOR | Delfino 25' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Calderon 1 AST) | 23 9.8% | 25 90.2% |
| Q1 - 1:14 | MIA | Calderon STEAL (1 STL) | 23 11.8% | 22 88.2% |
| Q1 - 1:16 | MIA | Barron REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0) | 23 12.6% | 22 87.4% |
| Q1 - 1:17 | MIA | Bargnani BLOCK (1 BLK) | 23 12.1% | 22 87.9% |
| Q1 - 1:25 | MIA | Powell REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1) | 23 12.6% | 22 87.4% |
| Q1 - 1:26 | TOR | MISS Bargnani 25' 3PT Jump Shot | 23 12.4% | 22 87.6% |
| Q1 - 1:32 | TOR | Parker REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2) | 23 11.8% | 22 88.2% |
| Q1 - 1:33 | MIA | MISS Powell 3PT Jump Shot | 23 12.1% | 22 87.9% |
| Q1 - 1:52 | TOR | Parker Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T2) | 23 12.6% | 22 87.4% |
| Q1 - 2:06 | MIA | Davis Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS) | 23 11.7% | 22 88.3% |
| Q1 - 2:06 | MIA | Davis Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS) | 22 11.5% | 22 88.5% |
| Q1 - 2:17 | TOR | Bargnani Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS) | 21 10.7% | 22 89.3% |
| Q1 - 2:17 | TOR | Bargnani Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS) | 21 10.8% | 21 89.2% |
| Q1 - 2:18 | TOR | Bargnani REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1) | 21 11.7% | 20 88.3% |
| Q1 - 2:19 | TOR | MISS Delfino 25' 3PT Jump Shot | 21 12.3% | 20 87.7% |
| Q1 - 2:26 | TOR | Calderon REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1) | 21 11.7% | 20 88.3% |
| Q1 - 2:27 | MIA | MISS Cook 25' 3PT Jump Shot | 21 12.0% | 20 88.0% |
| Q1 - 2:52 | TOR | Bosh Free Throw 2 of 2 (6 PTS) | 21 12.6% | 20 87.4% |
| Q1 - 2:52 | TOR | MISS Bosh Free Throw 1 of 2 | 21 12.8% | 19 87.2% |
| Q1 - 3:06 | TOR | Bargnani REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1) | 21 12.3% | 19 87.7% |
| Q1 - 3:07 | MIA | MISS Davis 19' Jump Shot | 21 12.6% | 19 87.4% |
| Q1 - 3:14 | MIA | Heat Rebound | 21 13.4% | 19 86.6% |
| Q1 - 3:14 | MIA | MISS Anthony Tip Shot | 21 12.6% | 19 87.4% |
| Q1 - 3:15 | MIA | Anthony REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1) | 21 13.4% | 19 86.6% |
| Q1 - 3:16 | MIA | MISS Barron 9' Jump Shot | 21 12.6% | 19 87.4% |
| Q1 - 3:38 | MIA | Davis REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2) | 21 13.5% | 19 86.5% |
| Q1 - 3:39 | TOR | MISS Bosh Free Throw 2 of 2 | 21 13.3% | 19 86.7% |
| Q1 - 3:39 | TOR | Bosh Free Throw 1 of 2 (5 PTS) | 21 12.6% | 19 87.4% |
| Q1 - 3:39 | TOR | Bosh REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0) | 21 13.3% | 18 86.7% |
| Q1 - 3:40 | TOR | MISS Bosh 12' Turnaround Hook Shot | 21 14.2% | 18 85.8% |
| Q1 - 3:53 | MIA | Blount 21' Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Cook 1 AST) | 21 13.3% | 18 86.7% |
| Q1 - 4:18 | TOR | Ford Driving Reverse Layup (2 PTS) (Moon 1 AST) | 19 12.1% | 18 87.9% |
| Q1 - 4:23 | MIA | Moon STEAL (1 STL) | 19 12.9% | 16 87.1% |
| Q1 - 4:41 | TOR | Moon 19' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Ford 1 AST) | 19 14.1% | 16 85.9% |
| Q1 - 5:01 | MIA | Cook 25' 3PT Jump Shot (9 PTS) (Quinn 1 AST) | 19 14.3% | 14 85.7% |
| Q1 - 5:07 | MIA | Anthony REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1) | 16 12.5% | 14 87.5% |
| Q1 - 5:08 | TOR | MISS Parker 16' Jump Shot | 16 12.2% | 14 87.8% |
| Q1 - 5:24 | MIA | Cook 24' 3PT Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Blount 1 AST) | 16 11.5% | 14 88.5% |
| Q1 - 5:51 | TOR | Moon Alley Oop Dunk (2 PTS) (Nesterovic 1 AST) | 13 10.0% | 14 90.0% |
| Q1 - 6:05 | MIA | Quinn 25' 3PT Jump Shot (7 PTS) | 13 10.5% | 12 89.5% |
| Q1 - 6:14 | MIA | Blount REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3) | 10 9.1% | 12 90.9% |
| Q1 - 6:15 | TOR | MISS Bosh 10' Turnaround Hook Shot | 10 8.9% | 12 91.1% |
| Q1 - 6:35 | MIA | Blount Out of Bounds Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T2) | 10 8.5% | 12 91.5% |
| Q1 - 6:55 | TOR | Parker 9' Running Jump Shot (4 PTS) | 10 9.1% | 12 90.9% |
| Q1 - 7:03 | TOR | Moon REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3) | 10 9.6% | 10 90.4% |
| Q1 - 7:04 | MIA | MISS Quinn 24' 3PT Jump Shot | 10 9.8% | 10 90.2% |
| Q1 - 7:22 | TOR | Bosh 18' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Parker 1 AST) | 10 10.3% | 10 89.7% |
| Q1 - 7:33 | MIA | Heat Turnover: Shot Clock (T#1) | 10 11.0% | 8 89.0% |
| Q1 - 7:33 | MIA | Heat Rebound | 10 11.8% | 8 88.2% |
| Q1 - 7:33 | MIA | MISS Blount 21' Jump Shot | 10 11.2% | 8 88.8% |
| Q1 - 7:59 | TOR | Parker 13' Running Jump Shot (2 PTS) | 10 11.9% | 8 88.1% |
| Q1 - 8:12 | TOR | Moon REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2) | 10 12.3% | 6 87.7% |
| Q1 - 8:13 | MIA | MISS Blount 20' Jump Shot | 10 12.5% | 6 87.5% |
| Q1 - 8:27 | TOR | Bosh Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS) | 10 13.2% | 6 86.8% |
| Q1 - 8:27 | TOR | Bosh Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS) | 10 13.3% | 5 86.7% |
| Q1 - 8:45 | TOR | Parker REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1) | 10 14.0% | 4 86.0% |
| Q1 - 8:47 | MIA | Moon BLOCK (1 BLK) | 10 14.3% | 4 85.7% |
| Q1 - 8:55 | MIA | Blount REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2) | 10 15.0% | 4 85.0% |
| Q1 - 8:56 | TOR | MISS Nesterovic 8' Jump Hook Shot | 10 14.7% | 4 85.3% |
| Q1 - 9:15 | MIA | Blount 25' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Davis 3 AST) | 10 13.8% | 4 86.2% |
| Q1 - 9:26 | MIA | Blount REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1) | 7 12.3% | 4 87.7% |
| Q1 - 9:27 | TOR | MISS Ford 12' Fadeaway Jumper | 7 12.0% | 4 88.0% |
| Q1 - 9:38 | TOR | Moon REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1) | 7 11.3% | 4 88.7% |
| Q1 - 9:39 | MIA | MISS Quinn 19' Jump Shot | 7 11.6% | 4 88.4% |
| Q1 - 9:59 | TOR | Nesterovic Layup (4 PTS) (Bosh 2 AST) | 7 12.3% | 4 87.7% |
| Q1 - 10:16 | MIA | Cook 24' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Davis 2 AST) | 7 12.8% | 2 87.2% |
| Q1 - 10:38 | MIA | Davis REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1) | 4 11.4% | 2 88.6% |
| Q1 - 10:40 | TOR | MISS Nesterovic 12' Turnaround Jump Shot | 4 11.1% | 2 88.9% |
| Q1 - 11:04 | MIA | Quinn 19' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Davis 1 AST) | 4 10.5% | 2 89.5% |
| Q1 - 11:14 | TOR | Ford Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T1) | 2 9.8% | 2 90.2% |
| Q1 - 11:25 | MIA | Quinn 8' Running Jump Shot (2 PTS) | 2 9.2% | 2 90.8% |
| Q1 - 11:42 | TOR | Nesterovic 6' Hook Shot (2 PTS) (Bosh 1 AST) | 0 8.6% | 2 91.4% |
| Q1 - 12:00 | TOR | Jump Ball Bosh vs. Blount: Tip to Ford | 0 9.2% | 0 90.8% |
SHOOTING
Scoring Efficiency
MIA
0.84 42.1%
TOR
1.07 53.5%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %
Scoring by Shot Type
At the Rim (within 5 feet)
MIA
6
16
38%
TOR
10
17
59%
Midrange
MIA
15
40
38%
TOR
18
41
44%
3PT | Effective 3PT
MIA
9
13.5
25
36%
54%
TOR
7
10.5
18
39%
58%
Free Throws
MIA
6
6
100%
TOR
14
17
82%
Makes
Effective 3P Makes
%
Efficiency Misses
Bars scaled to point value.
Total Points
| Heat| PLAYER | PTS | TS% | TSM / TSA | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| D. Cook | 22 | 58% | 11.0 / 19 | |
| C. Quinn | 14 | 41% | 7.0 / 17 | |
| R. Davis | 11 | 42% | 5.5 / 13 | |
| M. Blount | 8 | 57% | 4.0 / 7 | |
| E. Barron | 8 | 40% | 4.0 / 10 | |
| K. Powell | 6 | 30% | 3.0 / 10 | |
| J. Williams | 3 | 50% | 1.5 / 3 | |
| S. Lasme | 2 | 50% | 1.0 / 2 | |
| B. Ahearn | 1 | - | 0.0 / 0 | |
| J. Anthony | 0 | - | 0.0 / 2 |
TS Makes
TS Misses
Total Points
| Raptors| PLAYER | PTS | TS% | TSM / TSA | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| R. Nesterovic | 20 | 53% | 10.0 / 19 | |
| C. Bosh | 15 | 58% | 7.5 / 13 | |
| A. Parker | 13 | 108% | 6.5 / 6 | |
| T. Ford | 11 | 79% | 5.5 / 7 | |
| J. Kapono | 11 | 61% | 5.5 / 9 | |
| A. Bargnani | 8 | 33% | 4.0 / 12 | |
| J. Moon | 4 | 33% | 2.0 / 6 | |
| C. Delfino | 3 | 38% | 1.5 / 4 | |
| J. Calderon | 2 | 25% | 1.0 / 4 | |
| K. Humphries | 2 | 50% | 1.0 / 2 | |
| P. Brezec | 2 | 50% | 1.0 / 2 |
TS Makes
TS Misses
MATCHUP
Scoring Opportunities
MIA
71
+18
-14
89
TOR
72
+13
-12
85
Base
ORB
TOV
Scoring Efficiency
MIA
0.84 42.1%
TOR
1.07 53.5%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %
Reg Season Avg | Game Stats | |
|---|---|---|
| Efficiency & Pace | This Game | |
| Efficiency | 100.2 109.7 | MIA 88.2 +20.1 TOR 108.3 |
| Pace | 90.5 90.7 | MIA 79.8 TOR 89.8 +10.0 |
| Avg. Poss. Time | 16.3 15.9 | MIA 18.0 TOR 16.0 +2.0 |
| Four Factors | This Game | |
| EFG % | 48.2% 51.1% | MIA 42.6% TOR 50.7% +8.1% |
| TO % | 15.4% 12.3% | MIA 16.9% TOR 12.6% +4.3% |
| ORB % | 22.2% 23.5% | MIA 26.8% TOR 30.8% +4.0% |
| FTrt | 30.0 24.7 | MIA 7.4 TOR 22.4 +15.0 |
| Misc. Stats | This Game | |
| AST % | 58.5% 62.0% | MIA 63.3% TOR 77.1% +13.8% |
| STL % | 7.9% 7.6% | MIA 5.9% TOR 10.7% +4.8% |
| BLK % | 7.1% 6.9% | MIA 6.9% TOR 16.1% +9.2% |
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.16 and 2.16.
Reg Season Avg | Game Stats | |
|---|---|---|
| Shooting Efficiency | This Game | |
| TS% | 50.6% 53.7% | MIA 42.1% TOR 53.5% +11.4% |
| Rim FG% | 59.2% 58.5% | MIA 37.5% TOR 58.8% +21.3% |
| Mid FG% | 38.8% 43.3% | MIA 37.5% TOR 43.9% +6.4% |
| 3P % | 35.8% 39.2% | MIA 36.0% TOR 38.9% +2.9% |
| FT % | 72.7% 81.2% | MIA 100.0% +17.6% TOR 82.4% |
| Shot Distribution | This Game | |
| Rim Att. % | 30.2% 28.9% | MIA 19.8% TOR 22.4% +2.6% |
| Mid Att. % | 48.1% 49.4% | MIA 49.4% +4.6% TOR 53.9% |
| 3P Att. % | 21.7% 21.7% | MIA 30.9% +7.2% TOR 23.7% |
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.
| Game Totals | MIA | TOR |
|---|---|---|
| Possessions | 85 | 84 |
| Possession Minutes | 25.6 | 22.4 |
| Points | 75 | 91 |
| Rebounds | 38 | 42 |
| Assists | 19 | 27 |
| Steals | 5 | 9 |
| Blocks | 4 | 9 |
| Turnovers (Team) | 14 (3) | 12 (0) |
| Fouls | ||
| Off. Rebounds (Team) | 11 (7) | 12 (1) |
| Def. Rebounds (Team) | 27 (2) | 30 (3) |
| Field Goals | 30-81 | 35-76 |
| At-the-Rim FG | 6-16 | 10-17 |
| Midrange FG | 15-40 | 18-41 |
| 2-Point FG | 21-56 | 28-58 |
| 3-Point FG | 9-25 | 7-18 |
| Free Throws | 6-6 | 14-17 |
| Fast Break Pts | ||
| 2nd Chance Pts | ||
| Points in Paint | ||
| Pts off Turnovers | ||
| Bench Points | ||
| Biggest Lead |
BOXSCORE
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Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.
Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.
Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.
Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.
Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.