FinalWin Prob.pScore
2915%85
76
1485%99
84
ORTG#PossPace
MIA logo MIA
90.58493.4
CLE logo CLE
100.08476.3

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

CavaliersHeatQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Scoring Margin

CavaliersHeatQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Play-by-Play

Score / WinProb
ClockTeamEventMIACLE
Q4 - 0:00.0CLE76
0%
84
100%
Q4 - 0:09.0CLEGibson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)76
0.1%
84
99.9%
Q4 - 0:10.0MIAMISS Davis 34' 3PT Jump Shot76
0.1%
84
99.9%
Q4 - 0:14.0CLEWest Free Throw 2 of 2 (18 PTS)76
0.1%
84
99.9%
Q4 - 0:14.0CLEWest Free Throw 1 of 2 (17 PTS)76
0.1%
83
99.9%
Q4 - 0:15.0MIAQuinn 25' 3PT Jump Shot (9 PTS)76
0.1%
82
99.9%
Q4 - 0:22.0CLEWest Free Throw 2 of 2 (16 PTS)73
0.1%
82
99.9%
Q4 - 0:22.0CLEWest Free Throw 1 of 2 (15 PTS)73
0.1%
81
99.9%
Q4 - 0:28.0MIADavis Bad Pass Turnover (P3.T12)73
0.1%
80
99.9%
Q4 - 0:41.0CLEPavlovic REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)73
0.5%
80
99.5%
Q4 - 0:41.0CLEPavlovic 1' Putback Slam Dunk (4 PTS)73
0.5%
80
99.5%
Q4 - 0:42.0CLEMISS West 18' Jump Shot73
1.5%
78
98.5%
Q4 - 1:03CLEJames REBOUND (Off:0 Def:11)73
1.4%
78
98.6%
Q4 - 1:05MIAMISS Blount Free Throw 2 of 273
1.5%
78
98.5%
Q4 - 1:05MIABlount Free Throw 1 of 2 (9 PTS)73
2.2%
78
97.8%
Q4 - 1:25MIAHeat Rebound72
1.9%
78
98.1%
Q4 - 1:26CLEMISS Gibson 3PT Jump Shot72
1.6%
78
98.4%
Q4 - 1:41MIABlount 19' Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Davis 7 AST)72
1.3%
78
98.7%
Q4 - 1:54CLEJames Bad Pass Turnover (P5.T13)70
0.9%
78
99.1%
Q4 - 1:59CLEJames REBOUND (Off:0 Def:10)70
0.5%
78
99.5%
Q4 - 2:00MIAMISS Blount 15' Jump Shot70
0.6%
78
99.4%
Q4 - 2:16CLEIlgauskas REBOUND (Off:6 Def:8)70
1.1%
78
98.9%
Q4 - 2:16CLEIlgauskas 1' Tip Shot (14 PTS)70
1.1%
78
98.9%
Q4 - 2:18CLEIlgauskas REBOUND (Off:5 Def:8)70
1.4%
76
98.6%
Q4 - 2:18CLEMISS Ilgauskas Tip Shot70
2.2%
76
97.8%
Q4 - 2:20CLEMISS James 1' Layup70
2.2%
76
97.8%
Q4 - 2:37MIADavis 25' 3PT Jump Shot (17 PTS) (Powell 2 AST)70
1.4%
76
98.6%
Q4 - 2:47CLEJames Poss Lost Ball Turnover (P4.T12)67
0.7%
76
99.3%
Q4 - 3:04MIABlount Reverse Layup (6 PTS) (Quinn 6 AST)67
0.5%
76
99.5%
Q4 - 3:25CLEVarejao Traveling Turnover (P2.T11)65
0.4%
76
99.6%
Q4 - 3:44MIAQuinn Foul Turnover (P3.T11)65
0.5%
76
99.5%
Q4 - 3:56CLEJames Free Throw 2 of 2 (13 PTS)65
0.7%
76
99.3%
Q4 - 3:56CLEMISS James Free Throw 1 of 265
0.7%
75
99.3%
Q4 - 4:18MIACook 10' Running Jump Shot (13 PTS) (Quinn 5 AST)65
0.6%
75
99.4%
Q4 - 4:36CLEJames Free Throw 2 of 2 (12 PTS)63
0.4%
75
99.6%
Q4 - 4:36CLEJames Free Throw 1 of 2 (11 PTS)63
0.5%
74
99.5%
Q4 - 4:39MIAJames STEAL (1 STL)63
0.6%
73
99.4%
Q4 - 4:58CLEVarejao Free Throw 2 of 2 (10 PTS)63
0.9%
73
99.1%
Q4 - 4:58CLEVarejao Free Throw 1 of 2 (9 PTS)63
1.0%
72
99.0%
Q4 - 5:21CLEVarejao REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)63
1.7%
71
98.3%
Q4 - 5:22MIAMISS Davis 26' 3PT Jump Shot63
1.9%
71
98.1%
Q4 - 5:29MIABarron REBOUND (Off:1 Def:7)63
2.4%
71
97.6%
Q4 - 5:30CLEMISS Varejao 15' Jump Shot63
2.2%
71
97.8%
Q4 - 5:39CLEBrown REBOUND (Off:1 Def:6)63
1.7%
71
98.3%
Q4 - 5:40MIAMISS Barron 20' Jump Shot63
1.9%
71
98.1%
Q4 - 6:00CLEVarejao 12' Jump Shot (8 PTS)63
2.4%
71
97.6%
Q4 - 6:10CLEPavlovic REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)63
3.6%
69
96.4%
Q4 - 6:11MIAMISS Davis 16' Jump Shot63
4.0%
69
96.0%
Q4 - 6:26MIABarron REBOUND (Off:1 Def:6)63
5.0%
69
95.0%
Q4 - 6:27CLEMISS Ilgauskas 10' Turnaround Jump Shot63
4.6%
69
95.4%
Q4 - 6:40CLEIlgauskas REBOUND (Off:4 Def:8)63
3.6%
69
96.4%
Q4 - 6:40CLEMISS Pavlovic 24' 3PT Jump Shot63
4.6%
69
95.4%
Q4 - 6:57MIADavis 17' Turnaround Jump Shot (14 PTS)63
3.6%
69
96.4%
Q4 - 7:14MIADavis REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)61
3.3%
69
96.7%
Q4 - 7:15CLEMISS Varejao Free Throw 1 of 161
3.1%
69
96.9%
Q4 - 7:37CLEBrown REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)61
4.1%
67
95.9%
Q4 - 7:38MIAMISS Cook 26' 3PT Jump Shot61
4.5%
67
95.5%
Q4 - 7:47MIACook REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)61
5.5%
67
94.5%
Q4 - 7:48CLEMISS Brown 25' 3PT Jump Shot61
5.0%
67
95.0%
Q4 - 8:01CLEIlgauskas REBOUND (Off:3 Def:8)61
4.8%
67
95.2%
Q4 - 8:02MIAMISS Davis Free Throw 2 of 261
4.9%
67
95.1%
Q4 - 8:02MIADavis Free Throw 1 of 2 (12 PTS)61
5.8%
67
94.2%
Q4 - 8:15CLEIlgauskas 1' Layup (12 PTS) (Brown 4 AST)60
4.8%
67
95.2%
Q4 - 8:25CLEVarejao REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)60
6.0%
65
94.0%
Q4 - 8:26MIAMISS Blount 20' Jump Shot60
6.5%
65
93.5%
Q4 - 8:39CLEGibson Free Throw 3 of 3 (9 PTS)60
7.7%
65
92.3%
Q4 - 8:39CLEGibson Free Throw 2 of 3 (8 PTS)60
8.0%
64
92.0%
Q4 - 8:39CLEGibson Free Throw 1 of 3 (7 PTS)60
8.3%
63
91.7%
Q4 - 8:49CLEVarejao REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)60
12.1%
62
87.9%
Q4 - 8:50MIAMISS Cook 21' Jump Shot60
13.0%
62
87.0%
Q4 - 9:07CLEGibson 25' 3PT Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Ilgauskas 1 AST)60
15.0%
62
85.0%
Q4 - 9:34CLEBrown REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)60
22.0%
59
78.0%
Q4 - 9:35MIAMISS Barron 22' Jump Shot60
23.4%
59
76.6%
Q4 - 9:50MIAPowell REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)60
26.7%
59
73.3%
Q4 - 9:51CLEMISS Pavlovic 1' Layup60
25.2%
59
74.8%
Q4 - 9:57CLEBrown REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)60
22.1%
59
77.9%
Q4 - 10:00MIAMISS Anthony 10' Hook Shot60
23.4%
59
76.6%
Q4 - 10:32CLEIlgauskas 7' Jump Hook Shot (10 PTS)60
26.0%
59
74.0%
Q4 - 10:54MIAQuinn Free Throw 2 of 2 (6 PTS)60
30.3%
57
69.7%
Q4 - 10:54MIAMISS Quinn Free Throw 1 of 259
29.6%
57
70.4%
Q4 - 11:10MIAAnthony REBOUND (Off:2 Def:0)59
30.4%
57
69.6%
Q4 - 11:12MIAMISS Barron 20' Jump Shot59
27.2%
57
72.8%
Q4 - 11:37MIADavis REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)59
30.4%
57
69.6%
Q4 - 11:38CLEMISS Ilgauskas 19' Jump Shot59
29.0%
57
71.0%
Q3 - 0:00.0CLE59
25.8%
57
74.2%
Q3 - 0:10.0MIAQuinn Driving Layup (5 PTS)59
24.9%
57
75.1%
Q3 - 0:34.0CLEBrown 22' Jump Shot (10 PTS) (James 7 AST)57
21.3%
57
78.7%
Q3 - 0:44.0CLEJames REBOUND (Off:0 Def:9)57
25.0%
55
75.0%
Q3 - 0:45.0MIAMISS Powell 3PT Jump Shot57
26.2%
55
73.8%
Q3 - 1:02CLEBrown 11' Running Jump Shot (8 PTS)57
27.7%
55
72.3%
Q3 - 1:25CLESmith REBOUND (Off:3 Def:1)57
31.7%
53
68.3%
Q3 - 1:28CLEMISS James 8' Jump Bank Shot57
34.8%
53
65.2%
Q3 - 1:41MIAAnthony Free Throw 2 of 2 (5 PTS)57
31.8%
53
68.2%
Q3 - 1:41MIAAnthony Free Throw 1 of 2 (4 PTS)56
30.5%
53
69.5%
Q3 - 2:06CLEVarejao Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T10)55
26.6%
53
73.4%
Q3 - 2:18CLEJames REBOUND (Off:0 Def:8)55
22.8%
53
77.2%
Q3 - 2:19MIAMISS Barron 1' Layup55
23.9%
53
76.1%
Q3 - 2:28MIABarron REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)55
26.6%
53
73.4%
Q3 - 2:30CLEMISS West 8' Running Jump Shot55
25.4%
53
74.6%
Q3 - 2:56CLEWest REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)55
22.9%
53
77.1%
Q3 - 2:57MIAMISS Barron 7' Jump Shot55
24.0%
53
76.0%
Q3 - 3:18CLEJames Bad Pass Turnover (P3.T9)55
26.2%
53
73.8%
Q3 - 3:31MIABarron 13' Jump Bank Shot (13 PTS)55
22.6%
53
77.4%
Q3 - 3:50MIABarron REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)53
19.8%
53
80.2%
Q3 - 3:50CLEMISS Varejao Free Throw 1 of 153
19.4%
53
80.6%
Q3 - 4:11CLEIlgauskas REBOUND (Off:3 Def:7)53
21.6%
51
78.4%
Q3 - 4:11MIAMISS Barron Free Throw 2 of 253
22.0%
51
78.0%
Q3 - 4:11MIABarron Free Throw 1 of 2 (11 PTS)53
23.9%
51
76.1%
Q3 - 4:24CLEJames Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T8)52
22.1%
51
77.9%
Q3 - 4:45MIALasme 1' Slam Dunk (8 PTS) (Davis 6 AST)52
18.9%
51
81.1%
Q3 - 5:09CLEPavlovic 21' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (James 6 AST)50
16.5%
51
83.5%
Q3 - 5:20CLEIlgauskas REBOUND (Off:3 Def:6)50
18.7%
49
81.3%
Q3 - 5:21MIAMISS Blount 13' Jump Shot50
19.6%
49
80.4%
Q3 - 5:35MIADavis REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)50
21.6%
49
78.4%
Q3 - 5:36CLEMISS Pavlovic 21' Jump Shot50
20.7%
49
79.3%
Q3 - 5:48CLEIlgauskas REBOUND (Off:3 Def:5)50
18.7%
49
81.3%
Q3 - 5:49MIAMISS Powell 24' 3PT Jump Shot50
19.5%
49
80.5%
Q3 - 6:10CLEWest 14' Jump Shot (14 PTS) (Pavlovic 1 AST)50
20.9%
49
79.1%
Q3 - 6:25MIADavis 25' 3PT Jump Shot (11 PTS) (Powell 1 AST)50
23.5%
47
76.5%
Q3 - 6:41CLEIlgauskas 19' Jump Shot (8 PTS) (West 1 AST)47
18.4%
47
81.6%
Q3 - 7:03MIALasme 19' Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Quinn 4 AST)47
20.3%
45
79.7%
Q3 - 7:24MIAPowell REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)45
18.2%
45
81.8%
Q3 - 7:25CLEMISS Pavlovic 1' Running Layup45
17.4%
45
82.6%
Q3 - 7:41MIADavis Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T9)45
15.7%
45
84.3%
Q3 - 8:06CLEJames Free Throw 2 of 2 (10 PTS)45
17.9%
45
82.1%
Q3 - 8:06CLEJames Free Throw 1 of 2 (9 PTS)45
18.4%
44
81.6%
Q3 - 8:11CLEJames REBOUND (Off:0 Def:7)45
19.9%
43
80.1%
Q3 - 8:12MIAMISS Blount 15' Fadeaway Jumper45
20.8%
43
79.2%
Q3 - 8:23MIALasme REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)45
22.8%
43
77.2%
Q3 - 8:24CLEMISS Pavlovic 22' Jump Shot45
21.9%
43
78.1%
Q3 - 8:48CLEJames REBOUND (Off:0 Def:6)45
19.9%
43
80.1%
Q3 - 8:49MIAMISS Davis 11' Jump Shot45
20.8%
43
79.2%
Q3 - 9:06MIALasme REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)45
21.6%
43
78.4%
Q3 - 9:07CLEMISS West 19' Jump Shot45
20.8%
43
79.2%
Q3 - 9:23CLEIlgauskas REBOUND (Off:3 Def:4)45
19.2%
43
80.8%
Q3 - 9:25MIAMISS Lasme 5' Running Jump Shot45
19.9%
43
80.1%
Q3 - 9:45MIAHeat Rebound45
21.7%
43
78.3%
Q3 - 9:45CLEMISS West Layup45
20.9%
43
79.1%
Q3 - 10:04MIADavis 24' 3PT Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Quinn 3 AST)45
18.3%
43
81.7%
Q3 - 10:20CLEWest Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T7)42
14.7%
43
85.3%
Q3 - 10:30CLEWallace REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)42
12.8%
43
87.2%
Q3 - 10:33CLEMISS Ilgauskas 10' Turnaround Jump Shot42
14.1%
43
85.9%
Q3 - 10:48CLEPavlovic REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)42
12.8%
43
87.2%
Q3 - 10:49CLEMISS Ilgauskas 19' Jump Shot42
14.1%
43
85.9%
Q3 - 11:08MIABlount 20' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Davis 5 AST)42
12.4%
43
87.6%
Q3 - 11:22CLEWest 26' 3PT Jump Shot (12 PTS) (James 5 AST)40
11.1%
43
88.9%
Q3 - 11:42MIADavis Free Throw 2 of 2 (5 PTS)40
14.0%
40
86.0%
Q3 - 11:42MIADavis Free Throw 1 of 2 (4 PTS)39
13.8%
40
86.2%
Q2 - 0:00.0CLE38
12.5%
40
87.5%
Q2 - 0:00.0CLECAVALIERS Rebound38
11.0%
40
89.0%
Q2 - 0:00.0CLEMISS Gibson 3PT Jump Shot38
12.1%
40
87.9%
Q2 - 0:04.0MIAQuinn Free Throw 2 of 2 (3 PTS)38
11.3%
40
88.7%
Q2 - 0:04.0MIAQuinn Free Throw 1 of 2 (2 PTS)37
11.1%
40
88.9%
Q2 - 0:16.0CLEJames Step Out of Bounds Turnover (P1.T6)36
9.7%
40
90.3%
Q2 - 0:31.0MIAPowell 1' Layup (2 PTS)36
8.9%
40
91.1%
Q2 - 0:36.0MIAPowell REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)34
7.6%
40
92.4%
Q2 - 0:36.0CLEMISS James 25' 3PT Jump Shot34
7.4%
40
92.6%
Q2 - 0:42.0MIAQuinn Free Throw 2 of 2 (1 PTS)34
7.0%
40
93.0%
Q2 - 0:42.0MIAMISS Quinn Free Throw 1 of 233
6.8%
40
93.2%
Q2 - 0:48.0MIAHeat Rebound33
6.7%
40
93.3%
Q2 - 0:48.0CLEMISS Brown 25' 3PT Jump Shot33
6.5%
40
93.5%
Q2 - 1:04MIAWilliams Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T8)33
6.4%
40
93.6%
Q2 - 1:28CLEJames 1' Layup (8 PTS) (Gibson 2 AST)33
6.8%
40
93.2%
Q2 - 1:31CLECAVALIERS Rebound33
8.1%
38
91.9%
Q2 - 1:32CLEMISS Ilgauskas 12' Jump Shot33
8.5%
38
91.5%
Q2 - 1:50CLEJames REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)33
8.1%
38
91.9%
Q2 - 1:51MIAMISS Powell 16' Jump Shot33
8.3%
38
91.7%
Q2 - 2:10CLEWest Free Throw 2 of 2 (9 PTS)33
8.9%
38
91.1%
Q2 - 2:10CLEMISS West Free Throw 1 of 233
9.1%
37
90.9%
Q2 - 2:11CLEWest REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)33
9.0%
37
91.0%
Q2 - 2:14MIAGibson BLOCK (1 BLK)33
9.3%
37
90.7%
Q2 - 2:38CLEWest Free Throw 2 of 2 (8 PTS)33
10.0%
37
90.0%
Q2 - 2:38CLEWest Free Throw 1 of 2 (7 PTS)33
10.2%
36
89.8%
Q2 - 2:38CLEWest REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)33
11.3%
35
88.7%
Q2 - 2:39CLEMISS Gibson 25' 3PT Jump Shot33
12.1%
35
87.9%
Q2 - 3:04MIADavis 26' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS)33
11.0%
35
89.0%
Q2 - 3:29MIAPowell REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)30
9.0%
35
91.0%
Q2 - 3:30CLEMISS Ilgauskas 17' Jump Shot30
8.6%
35
91.4%
Q2 - 3:47MIABarron Reverse Slam Dunk (10 PTS)30
7.9%
35
92.1%
Q2 - 3:52CLEIlgauskas Lost Ball Turnover (P2.T5)28
7.2%
35
92.8%
Q2 - 3:56CLEIlgauskas REBOUND (Off:3 Def:3)28
6.3%
35
93.7%
Q2 - 3:57MIAMISS Barron 1' Layup28
6.6%
35
93.4%
Q2 - 4:13MIADavis REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)28
7.1%
35
92.9%
Q2 - 4:15CLEMISS James Free Throw 2 of 228
7.0%
35
93.0%
Q2 - 4:15CLEJames Free Throw 1 of 2 (6 PTS)28
6.6%
35
93.4%
Q2 - 4:15CLEJames REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)28
7.1%
34
92.9%
Q2 - 4:17MIAJames BLOCK (2 BLK)28
7.4%
34
92.6%
Q2 - 4:39CLEJames 3' Slam Dunk (5 PTS) (Wallace 2 AST)28
7.9%
34
92.1%
Q2 - 4:46MIAWallace STEAL (1 STL)28
8.8%
32
91.2%
Q2 - 5:00CLEWest 25' 3PT Jump Shot (6 PTS) (James 4 AST)28
9.8%
32
90.2%
Q2 - 5:11CLEJames REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)28
11.8%
29
88.2%
Q2 - 5:12MIAWallace BLOCK (3 BLK)28
12.2%
29
87.8%
Q2 - 5:38CLEIlgauskas 21' Jump Shot (6 PTS) (James 3 AST)28
13.1%
29
86.9%
Q2 - 6:04MIABarron 21' Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Davis 4 AST)28
14.1%
27
85.9%
Q2 - 6:20MIAAnthony REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)26
13.1%
27
86.9%
Q2 - 6:21MIAMISS Barron 19' Jump Shot26
12.0%
27
88.0%
Q2 - 6:39MIABarron REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)26
13.1%
27
86.9%
Q2 - 6:40CLEMISS Smith Layup26
12.6%
27
87.4%
Q2 - 6:42CLESmith REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)26
11.6%
27
88.4%
Q2 - 6:43CLEMISS Szczerbiak 19' Jump Shot26
12.6%
27
87.4%
Q2 - 7:01CLESzczerbiak REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)26
11.7%
27
88.3%
Q2 - 7:02MIAMISS Davis 17' Jump Shot26
12.1%
27
87.9%
Q2 - 7:20CLEBrown 25' 3PT Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Gibson 1 AST)26
12.9%
27
87.1%
Q2 - 7:28CLEBrown REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)26
15.4%
24
84.6%
Q2 - 7:29CLEMISS Smith 13' Jump Shot26
16.4%
24
83.6%
Q2 - 7:50MIABarron 20' Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Williams 1 AST)26
15.4%
24
84.6%
Q2 - 7:59MIAPowell REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)24
14.2%
24
85.8%
Q2 - 8:00CLEMISS Brown 11' Step Back Jump Shot24
13.7%
24
86.3%
Q2 - 8:22MIABarron 6' Running Bank Hook Shot (4 PTS)24
12.7%
24
87.3%
Q2 - 8:37MIAHeat Rebound22
11.8%
24
88.2%
Q2 - 8:37CLEMISS Gibson 25' 3PT Jump Shot22
11.4%
24
88.6%
Q2 - 8:51CLECAVALIERS Rebound22
10.6%
24
89.4%
Q2 - 8:51CLEMISS Szczerbiak 21' Jump Shot22
11.4%
24
88.6%
Q2 - 9:00CLESmith REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)22
10.6%
24
89.4%
Q2 - 9:01MIAMISS Williams 27' 3PT Jump Shot22
10.8%
24
89.2%
Q2 - 9:21CLEBrown Free Throw 1 of 1 (3 PTS)22
11.6%
24
88.4%
Q2 - 9:35MIAAnthony Free Throw 2 of 2 (3 PTS)22
13.7%
21
86.3%
Q2 - 9:35MIAMISS Anthony Free Throw 1 of 221
13.3%
21
86.7%
Q2 - 9:45MIAWilliams REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)21
13.8%
21
86.2%
Q2 - 9:46CLEMISS Szczerbiak 21' Jump Shot21
13.4%
21
86.6%
Q2 - 10:02MIABarron Out of Bounds Lost Ball Turnover (P2.T6)21
12.6%
21
87.4%
Q2 - 10:25CLEBrown Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T4)21
13.9%
21
86.1%
Q2 - 10:36CLEVarejao REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)21
12.6%
21
87.4%
Q2 - 10:37MIAMISS Williams 17' Jump Shot21
13.0%
21
87.0%
Q2 - 10:55CLESmith 16' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Brown 3 AST)21
13.9%
21
86.1%
Q2 - 11:13MIACook Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T5)21
14.6%
19
85.4%
Q2 - 11:24CLECAVALIERS Turnover: Shot Clock (T#3)21
15.9%
19
84.1%
Q2 - 11:49MIASzczerbiak STEAL (1 STL)21
14.6%
19
85.4%
Q1 - 0:00.0CLE21
15.9%
19
84.1%
Q1 - 0:03.0MIAAnthony 1' Layup (2 PTS) (Davis 3 AST)21
14.6%
19
85.4%
Q1 - 0:25.0MIABarron REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)19
13.2%
19
86.8%
Q1 - 0:27.0MIAMISS Davis 11' Jump Shot19
12.6%
19
87.4%
Q1 - 0:44.0MIACook REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)19
13.2%
19
86.8%
Q1 - 0:46.0CLEMISS Smith 20' Jump Shot19
12.9%
19
87.1%
Q1 - 0:57.0CLESzczerbiak REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)19
12.4%
19
87.6%
Q1 - 0:58.0MIAMISS Barron 16' Jump Shot19
12.6%
19
87.4%
Q1 - 1:15MIABarron REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)19
13.2%
19
86.8%
Q1 - 1:16CLEMISS Varejao Free Throw 2 of 219
13.1%
19
86.9%
Q1 - 1:16CLEMISS Varejao Free Throw 1 of 219
12.5%
19
87.5%
Q1 - 1:30MIACook 25' 3PT Jump Shot (11 PTS) (Davis 2 AST)19
12.4%
19
87.6%
Q1 - 1:48MIACook REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)16
10.3%
19
89.7%
Q1 - 1:48CLEMISS James 22' Jump Shot16
10.0%
19
90.0%
Q1 - 2:00MIABarron Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)16
9.6%
19
90.4%
Q1 - 2:00MIABarron Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)15
9.4%
19
90.6%
Q1 - 2:19CLESmith 1' Layup (2 PTS)14
8.7%
19
91.3%
Q1 - 2:21CLESmith REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)14
9.5%
17
90.5%
Q1 - 2:23CLEMISS Gibson 22' Jump Shot14
10.0%
17
90.0%
Q1 - 2:38MIABarron Out of Bounds Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T3)14
9.5%
17
90.5%
Q1 - 2:38MIABarron REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)14
10.3%
17
89.7%
Q1 - 2:39CLEMISS James 1' Driving Finger Roll Layup14
10.0%
17
90.0%
Q1 - 2:58MIACook Free Throw 2 of 2 (8 PTS)14
9.5%
17
90.5%
Q1 - 2:58MIACook Free Throw 1 of 2 (7 PTS)13
9.4%
17
90.6%
Q1 - 3:15CLEVarejao 1' Layup (2 PTS) (James 2 AST)12
8.7%
17
91.3%
Q1 - 3:32MIAQuinn Foul Turnover (P1.T2)12
9.4%
15
90.6%
Q1 - 3:35CLESzczerbiak Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T2)12
10.3%
15
89.7%
Q1 - 3:58MIALasme 17' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Davis 1 AST)12
9.4%
15
90.6%
Q1 - 4:01MIAHeat Rebound10
8.6%
15
91.4%
Q1 - 4:01MIAIlgauskas BLOCK (1 BLK)10
8.0%
15
92.0%
Q1 - 4:15CLEIlgauskas Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)10
8.6%
15
91.4%
Q1 - 4:15CLEIlgauskas Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)10
8.7%
14
91.3%
Q1 - 4:23CLEJames REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)10
9.2%
13
90.8%
Q1 - 4:24MIAMISS Blount 20' Jump Shot10
9.4%
13
90.6%
Q1 - 4:41CLEGibson 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (James 1 AST)10
10.1%
13
89.9%
Q1 - 4:53CLEBrown REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)10
11.6%
10
88.4%
Q1 - 4:56MIAWallace BLOCK (2 BLK)10
12.0%
10
88.0%
Q1 - 5:09MIAQuinn REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)10
12.3%
10
87.7%
Q1 - 5:12CLEIlgauskas REBOUND (Off:3 Def:2)10
11.3%
10
88.7%
Q1 - 5:12CLEMISS Ilgauskas 1' Tip Shot10
12.0%
10
88.0%
Q1 - 5:15CLEMISS Ilgauskas 1' Layup10
12.0%
10
88.0%
Q1 - 5:31CLEIlgauskas REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)10
11.3%
10
88.7%
Q1 - 5:32MIAMISS Cook 25' 3PT Jump Shot10
11.6%
10
88.4%
Q1 - 5:49MIAQuinn REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)10
12.3%
10
87.7%
Q1 - 5:51CLEMISS Wallace 3' Layup10
12.0%
10
88.0%
Q1 - 6:08MIACook 26' 3PT Jump Shot (6 PTS)10
11.2%
10
88.8%
Q1 - 6:26CLEJames Free Throw 1 of 1 (3 PTS)7
9.7%
10
90.3%
Q1 - 6:27CLEBrown REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)7
11.2%
7
88.8%
Q1 - 6:29MIAJames BLOCK (1 BLK)7
11.5%
7
88.5%
Q1 - 6:47MIACook REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)7
12.1%
7
87.9%
Q1 - 6:48CLEMISS Brown 8' Jump Shot7
11.8%
7
88.2%
Q1 - 7:01CLEWest REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)7
11.0%
7
89.0%
Q1 - 7:03MIAMISS Quinn 8' Running Jump Shot7
11.2%
7
88.8%
Q1 - 7:16MIABlount REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)7
11.8%
7
88.2%
Q1 - 7:18CLEMISS Ilgauskas 9' Jump Hook Shot7
11.6%
7
88.4%
Q1 - 7:36MIALasme 19' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Quinn 2 AST)7
11.0%
7
89.0%
Q1 - 7:50MIALasme REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)5
10.3%
7
89.7%
Q1 - 7:52CLEIlgauskas REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)5
9.6%
7
90.4%
Q1 - 7:52CLEMISS Ilgauskas 2' Tip Shot5
10.1%
7
89.9%
Q1 - 7:54CLEMISS James 4' Jump Shot5
10.1%
7
89.9%
Q1 - 8:15MIABlount 19' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Quinn 1 AST)5
9.4%
7
90.6%
Q1 - 8:32CLEWallace 1' Dunk (2 PTS) (Brown 1 AST)3
8.8%
7
91.2%
Q1 - 8:48CLEIlgauskas REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)3
9.4%
5
90.6%
Q1 - 8:50CLEMISS Wallace Free Throw 2 of 23
10.0%
5
90.0%
Q1 - 8:50CLEMISS Wallace Free Throw 1 of 23
9.8%
5
90.2%
Q1 - 9:08MIACook 25' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS)3
9.2%
5
90.8%
Q1 - 9:09MIACook REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)0
8.2%
5
91.8%
Q1 - 9:11MIABrown BLOCK (1 BLK)0
7.7%
5
92.3%
Q1 - 9:37CLEIlgauskas 8' Jump Hook Shot (2 PTS)0
8.2%
5
91.8%
Q1 - 9:51CLEWallace REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)0
8.6%
3
91.4%
Q1 - 9:52MIAMISS Davis 25' 3PT Jump Shot0
8.9%
3
91.1%
Q1 - 10:00MIAQuinn REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)0
9.4%
3
90.6%
Q1 - 10:01CLEMISS Brown 20' Jump Shot0
9.1%
3
90.9%
Q1 - 10:05CLEWallace REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)0
8.6%
3
91.4%
Q1 - 10:06CLEMISS West 1' Reverse Layup0
9.1%
3
90.9%
Q1 - 10:13MIAHeat Turnover: 8 Second Violation (T#1)0
8.6%
3
91.4%
Q1 - 10:26CLEWest 25' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Wallace 1 AST)0
9.3%
3
90.7%
Q1 - 10:44CLEIlgauskas REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)0
10.6%
0
89.4%
Q1 - 10:46MIAWallace BLOCK (1 BLK)0
10.8%
0
89.2%
Q1 - 11:08CLEIlgauskas Out of Bounds Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T1)0
11.3%
0
88.7%
Q1 - 11:18CLEJames REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)0
10.6%
0
89.4%
Q1 - 11:19MIAMISS Blount 20' Jump Shot0
10.8%
0
89.2%
Q1 - 11:36MIABlount REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)0
11.3%
0
88.7%
Q1 - 11:38CLEMISS Ilgauskas 19' Jump Shot0
11.1%
0
88.9%
Q1 - 12:00CLEJump Ball Ilgauskas vs. Blount: Tip to West0
10.6%
0
89.4%

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

MIA
0.97 48.7%
CLE
0.91 45.7%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)
MIA
6
12
50%
CLE
11
24
46%
Midrange
MIA
12
38
32%
CLE
11
36
31%
3PT | Effective 3PT
MIA
8
12.0
16
50%
75%
CLE
6
9.0
14
43%
64%
Free Throws
MIA
16
22
73%
CLE
22
31
71%
Makes
Effective 3P Makes
%
Efficiency
Misses
Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|
MIA logo Heat
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
R. Davis1753%8.5 / 16
D. Cook1372%6.5 / 9
E. Barron1341%6.5 / 16
C. Quinn975%4.5 / 6
M. Blount938%4.5 / 12
S. Lasme857%4.0 / 7
J. Anthony563%2.5 / 4
K. Powell220%1.0 / 5
J. Williams0-0.0 / 2
TS Makes
TS Misses

Total Points

|
CLE logo Cavaliers
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
D. West1869%9.0 / 13
Z. Ilgauskas1437%7.0 / 19
L. James1350%6.5 / 13
D. Brown1056%5.0 / 9
A. Varejao1083%5.0 / 6
D. Gibson956%4.5 / 8
S. Pavlovic429%2.0 / 7
J. Smith440%2.0 / 5
B. Wallace233%1.0 / 3
W. Szczerbiak0-0.0 / 3
TS Makes
TS Misses

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

MIA
73
+5
-11
78
CLE
72
+18
-12
90
Base
ORB
TOV

Scoring Efficiency

MIA
0.97 48.7%
CLE
0.91 45.7%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Efficiency & PaceThis Game
Efficiency
100.2
106.2
MIA 90.5 +9.5
CLE 100.0
Pace
90.5
90.0
MIA 93.4 +17.1
CLE 76.3
Avg. Poss. Time
16.3
16.5
MIA 15.4 +3.5
CLE 18.9
Four FactorsThis Game
EFG %
48.2%
48.0%
MIA 45.5% +3.6%
CLE 41.9%
TO %
15.4%
14.5%
MIA 13.7%
CLE 12.9% +0.8%
ORB %
22.2%
30.5%
MIA 9.5%
CLE 34.1% +24.6%
FTrt
30.0
30.8
MIA 33.3
CLE 41.9 +8.6
Misc. StatsThis Game
AST %
58.5%
55.8%
MIA 61.5%
CLE 71.4% +9.9%
STL %
7.9%
7.8%
MIA 8.3% +4.7%
CLE 3.6%
BLK %
7.1%
8.5%
MIA 3.3%
CLE 16.0% +12.7%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Shooting EfficiencyThis Game
TS%
50.6%
50.5%
MIA 48.7% +3.0%
CLE 45.7%
Rim FG%
59.2%
57.7%
MIA 50.0% +4.2%
CLE 45.8%
Mid FG%
38.8%
36.9%
MIA 31.6% +1.0%
CLE 30.6%
3P %
35.8%
35.8%
MIA 50.0% +7.1%
CLE 42.9%
FT %
72.7%
71.7%
MIA 72.7% +1.7%
CLE 71.0%
Shot DistributionThis Game
Rim Att. %
30.2%
34.7%
MIA 18.2%
CLE 32.4% +14.3%
Mid Att. %
48.1%
42.2%
MIA 57.6%
CLE 48.6% +8.9%
3P Att. %
21.7%
23.1%
MIA 24.2% +5.3%
CLE 18.9%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.
Game TotalsMIACLE
Possessions8484
Possession Minutes21.626.4
Points7684
Rebounds3353
Assists1620
Steals73
Blocks28
Turnovers (Team)11 (1)12 (1)
Fouls
Off. Rebounds (Team)4 (1)15 (3)
Def. Rebounds (Team)29 (4)38 (0)
Field Goals26-6628-74
At-the-Rim FG6-1211-24
Midrange FG12-3811-36
2-Point FG18-5022-60
3-Point FG8-166-14
Free Throws16-2222-31
Fast Break Pts
2nd Chance Pts
Points in Paint
Pts off Turnovers
Bench Points
Biggest Lead

BOXSCORE

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PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
F · 6'7" 195 · 29
44.4
17
53%
4
7
3
0
3
4
0
4
3-4
75%
1-7
14%
4-7
57%
G · 6'2" 175 · 25
34.2
9
75%
3
6
0
0
3
4
0
3
4-6
67%
1-2
50%
1-1
100%
C · 7'0" 250 · 32
27.8
9
38%
2
0
0
1
0
2
0
2
1-2
50%
4-11
36%
0-0
-
G · 6'5" 210 · 21
25.8
13
72%
5
0
0
0
1
6
1
4
2-2
100%
1-3
33%
3-5
60%
F · 6'8" 215 · 25
20.4
8
57%
3
0
0
1
0
2
0
3
0-0
-
4-7
57%
0-0
-
F · 6'7" 215 · 27
30.1
2
20%
5
2
1
0
0
1
0
5
0-0
-
1-3
33%
0-2
0%
F-C · 7'0" 250 · 27
26.8
13
41%
8
0
3
0
2
3
1
7
3-4
75%
5-14
36%
0-0
-
G · 6'1" 180 · 32
15.5
0
0%
1
1
0
0
2
1
0
1
0-0
-
0-1
0%
0-1
0%
C · 6'9" 245 · 26
15.1
5
63%
2
0
0
0
0
2
2
0
3-4
75%
1-2
50%
0-0
-
G · 6'2" 190 · 24
G · 6'2" 205 · 26
F · 6'9" 240 · 25
#33 · C · 6'10" 261 · 38
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
#1 · F-G · 6'9" 205 · 22
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
#40 · F · 6'8" 235 · 28
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
#3 · G · 6'4" 220 · 26
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
#7 · G-F · 6'7" 228 · 30
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
TOTAL
240
76
49%
33
16
7
2
11
0
4
29
16-22
73%
18-50
36%
8-16
50%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.