FinalWin Prob.pScore
2847%96
96
2953%97
91
ORTG#PossPace
MEM logo MEM
106.79092.2
MIA logo MIA
102.28986.9

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

HeatGrizzliesQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Scoring Margin

HeatGrizzliesQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Play-by-Play

Score / WinProb
ClockTeamEventMEMMIA
Q4 - 0:00.0MEM96
100%
91
0%
Q4 - 0:02.0MEMLowry REBOUND (Off:0 Def:6)96
99.9%
91
0.1%
Q4 - 0:03.0MIAMISS Cook 26' 3PT Jump Shot96
99.9%
91
0.1%
Q4 - 0:06.0MIAHEAT Rebound96
99.4%
91
0.6%
Q4 - 0:08.0MIAMISS Davis 19' Jump Shot96
99.6%
91
0.4%
Q4 - 0:10.0MIAQuinn REBOUND (Off:1 Def:6)96
99.0%
91
1.0%
Q4 - 0:13.0MIAMISS Blount 25' 3PT Jump Shot96
99.5%
91
0.5%
Q4 - 0:29.0MEMQuinn STEAL (3 STL)96
97.1%
91
2.9%
Q4 - 0:36.0MEMBrown REBOUND (Off:6 Def:5)96
99.0%
91
1.0%
Q4 - 0:37.0MIAMISS Lasme Layup96
98.7%
91
1.3%
Q4 - 0:40.0MIALasme REBOUND (Off:6 Def:3)96
95.9%
91
4.1%
Q4 - 0:42.0MIAMISS Cook 26' 3PT Jump Shot96
97.5%
91
2.5%
Q4 - 0:59.0MEMCardinal REBOUND (Off:3 Def:4)96
93.7%
91
6.3%
Q4 - 0:59.0MEMBrown Tip Shot (4 PTS)96
93.7%
91
6.3%
Q4 - 0:59.0MEMMISS Gay 7' Jump Shot94
84.3%
91
15.7%
Q4 - 1:21MEMConley REBOUND (Off:1 Def:6)94
87.0%
91
13.0%
Q4 - 1:22MIAMISS Quinn 24' 3PT Jump Shot94
84.6%
91
15.4%
Q4 - 1:34MIACook REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)94
76.7%
91
23.3%
Q4 - 1:36MEMMISS Gay 25' 3PT Jump Shot94
79.6%
91
20.4%
Q4 - 1:52MIAQuinn 26' 3PT Jump Shot (14 PTS)94
84.0%
91
16.0%
Q4 - 2:08MEMGay 5' Running Hook Shot (14 PTS)94
92.1%
88
7.9%
Q4 - 2:25MIALasme Slam Dunk (9 PTS) (Blount 2 AST)92
90.0%
88
10.0%
Q4 - 2:35MIAQuinn REBOUND (Off:0 Def:6)92
91.9%
86
8.1%
Q4 - 2:36MEMMISS Gay 25' 3PT Jump Shot92
93.4%
86
6.6%
Q4 - 2:54MIALasme Bad Pass Turnover (P4.T13)92
94.2%
86
5.8%
Q4 - 2:57MIALasme REBOUND (Off:5 Def:3)92
90.2%
86
9.8%
Q4 - 2:58MIAMISS Blount 20' Jump Shot92
93.2%
86
6.8%
Q4 - 3:18MEMConley Free Throw 2 of 2 (15 PTS)92
90.3%
86
9.7%
Q4 - 3:18MEMMISS Conley Free Throw 1 of 291
89.4%
86
10.6%
Q4 - 3:33MIABlount Driving Layup (5 PTS)91
87.5%
86
12.5%
Q4 - 3:49MEMConley Free Throw 2 of 2 (14 PTS)91
91.2%
84
8.8%
Q4 - 3:49MEMMISS Conley Free Throw 1 of 290
90.5%
84
9.5%
Q4 - 3:57MIAPowell 26' 3PT Jump Shot (11 PTS) (Quinn 8 AST)90
91.5%
84
8.5%
Q4 - 4:17MEMBrown 5' Jump Bank Shot (2 PTS)90
95.8%
81
4.2%
Q4 - 4:19MEMBrown REBOUND (Off:6 Def:4)88
94.1%
81
5.9%
Q4 - 4:20MEMMISS Gay 10' Jump Shot88
92.4%
81
7.6%
Q4 - 4:38MIACook 25' 3PT Jump Shot (11 PTS) (Quinn 7 AST)88
94.2%
81
5.8%
Q4 - 4:58MIAHEAT Rebound88
97.1%
78
2.9%
Q4 - 4:59MEMMISS Gay 25' 3PT Jump Shot88
97.5%
78
2.5%
Q4 - 5:26MIACook 24' 3PT Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Quinn 6 AST)88
96.9%
78
3.1%
Q4 - 5:39MIALasme REBOUND (Off:4 Def:3)88
98.4%
75
1.6%
Q4 - 5:41MEMMISS Brown 6' Hook Shot88
98.5%
75
1.5%
Q4 - 5:56MEMConley REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)88
98.9%
75
1.1%
Q4 - 5:58MIAMISS Blount 15' Jump Shot88
98.7%
75
1.3%
Q4 - 6:20MEMJacobsen 3PT Jump Shot (10 PTS) (Cardinal 1 AST)88
97.5%
75
2.5%
Q4 - 6:37MIABarron 20' Jump Shot (22 PTS) (Ahearn 1 AST)85
95.8%
75
4.2%
Q4 - 6:51MIACook REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)85
96.7%
73
3.3%
Q4 - 6:52MEMMISS Collins 18' Jump Shot85
97.1%
73
2.9%
Q4 - 7:15MEMCardinal REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)85
96.8%
73
3.2%
Q4 - 7:16MIAMISS Cook 26' 3PT Jump Shot85
96.4%
73
3.6%
Q4 - 7:36MEMCollins Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)85
95.7%
73
4.3%
Q4 - 7:36MEMCollins Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)84
95.2%
73
4.8%
Q4 - 7:54MEMNavarro REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)83
94.6%
73
5.4%
Q4 - 7:56MEMMISS Navarro 11' Running Hook Shot83
93.4%
73
6.6%
Q4 - 8:17MIABarron 7' Hook Bank Shot (20 PTS)83
93.1%
73
6.9%
Q4 - 8:26MIAAhearn REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)83
94.6%
71
5.4%
Q4 - 8:28MEMAnthony BLOCK (2 BLK)83
95.0%
71
5.0%
Q4 - 8:31MIABarron REBOUND (Off:3 Def:0)83
95.8%
71
4.2%
Q4 - 8:31MIABarron Tip Shot (18 PTS)83
95.8%
71
4.2%
Q4 - 8:34MIAMISS Powell Driving Layup83
97.2%
69
2.8%
Q4 - 8:51MEMLowry Layup (17 PTS)83
96.7%
69
3.3%
Q4 - 8:56MIAAhearn Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T12)81
95.8%
69
4.2%
Q4 - 9:10MEMNavarro Free Throw 2 of 2 (15 PTS)81
93.6%
69
6.4%
Q4 - 9:10MEMNavarro Free Throw 1 of 2 (14 PTS)80
93.4%
69
6.6%
Q4 - 9:14MEMCardinal REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)79
92.1%
69
7.9%
Q4 - 9:16MEMMISS Lowry Free Throw 2 of 279
90.4%
69
9.6%
Q4 - 9:16MEMLowry Free Throw 1 of 2 (15 PTS)79
91.6%
69
8.4%
Q4 - 9:21MEMJacobsen REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)78
90.2%
69
9.8%
Q4 - 9:22MIAMISS Barron 19' Jump Shot78
89.5%
69
10.5%
Q4 - 9:42MIAPowell REBOUND (Off:2 Def:5)78
87.8%
69
12.2%
Q4 - 9:43MEMMISS Cardinal 3PT Jump Shot78
88.6%
69
11.4%
Q4 - 10:03MEMCardinal REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)78
88.9%
69
11.1%
Q4 - 10:05MIAMISS Barron 14' Turnaround Jump Shot78
88.2%
69
11.8%
Q4 - 10:19MIAAnthony REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)78
86.3%
69
13.7%
Q4 - 10:20MEMMISS Collins 15' Jump Shot78
87.2%
69
12.8%
Q4 - 10:41MEMNavarro REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)78
89.0%
69
11.0%
Q4 - 10:43MIAMISS Quinn 20' Jump Shot78
88.3%
69
11.7%
Q4 - 10:57MEMCardinal 18' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Navarro 1 AST)78
86.4%
69
13.6%
Q4 - 11:18MEMNavarro REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)76
82.4%
69
17.6%
Q4 - 11:19MIAMISS Davis 18' Jump Shot76
81.3%
69
18.7%
Q4 - 11:46MEMNavarro Free Throw 2 of 2 (13 PTS)76
78.9%
69
21.1%
Q4 - 11:46MEMNavarro Free Throw 1 of 2 (12 PTS)75
78.4%
69
21.6%
Q3 - 0:00.0MIA74
75.2%
69
24.8%
Q3 - 0:00.0MIAHEAT Rebound74
70.8%
69
29.2%
Q3 - 0:00.0MIAMISS Davis 33' 3PT Jump Shot74
73.9%
69
26.1%
Q3 - 0:01.0MIADavis REBOUND (Off:0 Def:7)74
69.9%
69
30.1%
Q3 - 0:02.0MEMMISS Conley 13' Floating Jump Shot74
71.2%
69
28.8%
Q3 - 0:21.0MIAMISS Davis Free Throw Technical74
74.0%
69
26.0%
Q3 - 0:21.0MIADavis Free Throw 2 of 2 (17 PTS)74
74.0%
69
26.0%
Q3 - 0:21.0MIADavis Free Throw 1 of 2 (16 PTS)74
74.7%
68
25.3%
Q3 - 0:27.0MIAQuinn REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)74
77.8%
67
22.2%
Q3 - 0:29.0MEMMISS Lowry 9' Jump Shot74
78.9%
67
21.1%
Q3 - 0:42.0MIABarron Free Throw 2 of 2 (16 PTS)74
81.2%
67
18.8%
Q3 - 0:42.0MIABarron Free Throw 1 of 2 (15 PTS)74
81.9%
66
18.1%
Q3 - 0:44.0MIABarron REBOUND (Off:2 Def:0)74
84.1%
65
15.9%
Q3 - 0:46.0MIAMISS Davis Driving Finger Roll Layup74
86.0%
65
14.0%
Q3 - 0:53.0MIAAnthony REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)74
84.2%
65
15.8%
Q3 - 0:54.0MIAMISS Quinn 14' Jump Shot74
86.0%
65
14.0%
Q3 - 1:04MEMWarrick Free Throw 2 of 2 (17 PTS)74
82.8%
65
17.2%
Q3 - 1:04MEMWarrick Free Throw 1 of 2 (16 PTS)73
82.1%
65
17.9%
Q3 - 1:06MEMWarrick REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)72
80.0%
65
20.0%
Q3 - 1:08MEMAnthony BLOCK (1 BLK)72
77.6%
65
22.4%
Q3 - 1:10MIACook Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T11)72
80.0%
65
20.0%
Q3 - 1:17MEMConley Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T10)72
76.6%
65
23.4%
Q3 - 1:32MIACook 24' 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Quinn 5 AST)72
80.0%
65
20.0%
Q3 - 1:38MIAHEAT Rebound72
85.5%
62
14.5%
Q3 - 1:40MEMMISS Jacobsen 25' 3PT Jump Shot72
86.2%
62
13.8%
Q3 - 1:50MEMJacobsen REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)72
87.8%
62
12.2%
Q3 - 1:52MEMDavis BLOCK (1 BLK)72
86.3%
62
13.7%
Q3 - 1:57MEMLowry REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)72
87.8%
62
12.2%
Q3 - 1:58MIAMISS Davis 26' 3PT Jump Shot72
87.2%
62
12.8%
Q3 - 2:10MEMDavis STEAL (3 STL)72
84.0%
62
16.0%
Q3 - 2:31MEMGrizzlies Rebound72
86.6%
62
13.4%
Q3 - 2:32MIAMISS Blount 19' Jump Shot72
85.8%
62
14.2%
Q3 - 2:57MEMLowry 24' 3PT Jump Shot (14 PTS) (Warrick 2 AST)72
84.1%
62
15.9%
Q3 - 3:18MIABarron 20' Jump Shot (14 PTS) (Quinn 4 AST)69
77.8%
62
22.2%
Q3 - 3:42MEMJacobsen Driving Layup (7 PTS) (Lowry 4 AST)69
80.6%
60
19.4%
Q3 - 3:46MIAQuinn Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T10)67
77.8%
60
22.2%
Q3 - 3:54MIAQuinn REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)67
74.4%
60
25.6%
Q3 - 3:56MEMMISS Jacobsen 24' 3PT Jump Shot67
75.5%
60
24.5%
Q3 - 4:09MEMWarrick REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)67
76.9%
60
23.1%
Q3 - 4:11MIAMISS Powell 26' 3PT Jump Shot67
75.8%
60
24.2%
Q3 - 4:34MEMLowry Driving Layup (11 PTS)67
73.3%
60
26.7%
Q3 - 4:58MIALasme Lost Ball Turnover (P3.T9)65
70.3%
60
29.7%
Q3 - 5:17MIAHEAT Rebound65
65.5%
60
34.5%
Q3 - 5:21MEMMISS Gay Alley Oop Dunk65
66.7%
60
33.3%
Q3 - 5:38MIAPowell 26' 3PT Jump Shot (8 PTS)65
69.4%
60
30.6%
Q3 - 5:52MIADavis REBOUND (Off:0 Def:6)65
75.8%
57
24.2%
Q3 - 5:54MEMMISS Gay 11' Jump Shot65
76.8%
57
23.2%
Q3 - 6:07MEMCollins REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)65
77.8%
57
22.2%
Q3 - 6:10MIAMISS Quinn 10' Running Jump Shot65
76.9%
57
23.1%
Q3 - 6:23MIAPowell REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)65
74.8%
57
25.2%
Q3 - 6:24MEMMISS Navarro 27' 3PT Jump Shot65
75.8%
57
24.2%
Q3 - 6:39MIAQuinn 9' Running Bank Shot (11 PTS)65
77.9%
57
22.1%
Q3 - 6:50MIALasme REBOUND (Off:4 Def:2)65
80.4%
55
19.6%
Q3 - 6:51MEMMISS Conley 24' 3PT Jump Shot65
81.2%
55
18.8%
Q3 - 7:12MIALasme Free Throw 2 of 2 (7 PTS)65
82.0%
55
18.0%
Q3 - 7:12MIALasme Free Throw 1 of 2 (6 PTS)65
82.6%
54
17.4%
Q3 - 7:15MEMDavis STEAL (2 STL)65
83.8%
53
16.2%
Q3 - 7:19MEMBrown REBOUND (Off:5 Def:4)65
86.1%
53
13.9%
Q3 - 7:22MEMMISS Warrick 18' Jump Shot65
84.6%
53
15.4%
Q3 - 7:37MEMConley REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)65
86.1%
53
13.9%
Q3 - 7:43MIAMISS Lasme 5' Jump Shot65
85.5%
53
14.5%
Q3 - 8:04MEMWarrick Free Throw 1 of 1 (15 PTS)65
83.4%
53
16.6%
Q3 - 8:26MIALasme Foul Turnover (P2.T8)62
79.1%
53
20.9%
Q3 - 8:41MEMConley Layup (13 PTS) (Brown 1 AST)62
76.1%
53
23.9%
Q3 - 8:45MIAQuinn Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T7)60
73.7%
53
26.3%
Q3 - 9:05MEMNavarro Out of Bounds Lost Ball Turnover (P3.T7)60
69.5%
53
30.5%
Q3 - 9:22MIAQuinn Driving Layup (9 PTS)60
72.6%
53
27.4%
Q3 - 9:33MIADavis REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)60
75.4%
51
24.6%
Q3 - 9:35MEMMISS Gay 26' 3PT Jump Shot60
76.2%
51
23.8%
Q3 - 10:00MIABlount Free Throw 1 of 1 (3 PTS)60
78.1%
51
21.9%
Q3 - 10:00MIABlount Tip Shot (2 PTS)60
80.5%
50
19.5%
Q3 - 10:02MIABlount REBOUND (Off:4 Def:3)60
81.7%
48
18.3%
Q3 - 10:03MIAMISS Blount Tip Shot60
83.3%
48
16.7%
Q3 - 10:04MIABlount REBOUND (Off:3 Def:3)60
81.7%
48
18.3%
Q3 - 10:05MIAMISS Powell 8' Hook Shot60
83.3%
48
16.7%
Q3 - 10:18MEMGay 18' Jump Shot (12 PTS)60
81.8%
48
18.2%
Q3 - 10:35MEMGrizzlies Rebound58
79.8%
48
20.2%
Q3 - 10:36MEMMISS Brown 12' Jump Shot58
78.0%
48
22.0%
Q3 - 10:46MEMGay REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)58
79.8%
48
20.2%
Q3 - 10:47MIAMISS Quinn 19' Jump Shot58
79.1%
48
20.9%
Q3 - 10:52MIABlount REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)58
77.2%
48
22.8%
Q3 - 10:53MIAMISS Davis 26' 3PT Jump Shot58
79.1%
48
20.9%
Q3 - 11:00MIABlount REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)58
77.2%
48
22.8%
Q3 - 11:03MEMLasme BLOCK (2 BLK)58
77.4%
48
22.6%
Q3 - 11:15MIALasme Free Throw 2 of 2 (5 PTS)58
79.1%
48
20.9%
Q3 - 11:15MIALasme Free Throw 1 of 2 (4 PTS)58
79.7%
47
20.3%
Q3 - 11:24MIAQuinn REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)58
81.2%
46
18.8%
Q3 - 11:26MEMMISS Gay Reverse Layup58
81.9%
46
18.1%
Q3 - 11:47MIADavis 25' 3PT Jump Shot (15 PTS) (Quinn 3 AST)58
83.4%
46
16.6%
Q2 - 0:00.0MEM58
86.8%
43
13.2%
Q2 - 0:00.0MEMGrizzlies Rebound58
88.4%
43
11.6%
Q2 - 0:00.0MEMMISS Gay 51' 3PT Jump Shot58
87.3%
43
12.7%
Q2 - 0:01.0MIADavis 26' 3PT Jump Shot (12 PTS)58
87.1%
43
12.9%
Q2 - 0:08.0MIADavis REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)58
90.2%
40
9.8%
Q2 - 0:09.0MEMMISS Warrick 25' 3PT Jump Shot58
90.5%
40
9.5%
Q2 - 0:31.0MEMLowry REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)58
91.1%
40
8.9%
Q2 - 0:32.0MIAMISS Quinn 20' Jump Shot58
90.8%
40
9.2%
Q2 - 0:47.0MIAHEAT Rebound58
90.3%
40
9.7%
Q2 - 0:48.0MIAMISS Quinn 26' 3PT Jump Shot58
90.9%
40
9.1%
Q2 - 1:00MEMGay 10' Turnaround Jump Shot (10 PTS)58
90.3%
40
9.7%
Q2 - 1:04MEMGay REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)56
87.9%
40
12.1%
Q2 - 1:05MEMMISS Lowry 25' 3PT Jump Shot56
87.4%
40
12.6%
Q2 - 1:17MEMLowry REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)56
87.9%
40
12.1%
Q2 - 1:18MIAMISS Davis 20' Jump Shot56
87.7%
40
12.3%
Q2 - 1:38MEMGay 23' Jump Shot (8 PTS)56
87.2%
40
12.8%
Q2 - 2:00MIAQuinn 25' 3PT Jump Shot (7 PTS) (Davis 3 AST)54
84.9%
40
15.1%
Q2 - 2:11MIAAnthony REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)54
87.5%
37
12.5%
Q2 - 2:12MEMMISS Navarro 25' 3PT Jump Shot54
87.9%
37
12.1%
Q2 - 2:29MEMBrown REBOUND (Off:4 Def:4)54
88.7%
37
11.3%
Q2 - 2:32MIAMISS Powell 7' Jump Shot54
88.4%
37
11.6%
Q2 - 2:51MEMGay Free Throw 2 of 2 (6 PTS)54
87.6%
37
12.4%
Q2 - 2:51MEMGay Free Throw 1 of 2 (5 PTS)53
87.3%
37
12.7%
Q2 - 3:03MIALasme Free Throw 2 of 2 (3 PTS)52
85.0%
37
15.0%
Q2 - 3:03MIAMISS Lasme Free Throw 1 of 252
85.4%
36
14.6%
Q2 - 3:03MIALasme REBOUND (Off:4 Def:1)52
84.8%
36
15.2%
Q2 - 3:05MIAMISS Blount 18' Jump Shot52
86.0%
36
14.0%
Q2 - 3:23MEMGay Driving Dunk (4 PTS)52
84.9%
36
15.1%
Q2 - 3:32MEMBrown REBOUND (Off:4 Def:3)50
83.5%
36
16.5%
Q2 - 3:34MEMMISS Gay 22' Jump Shot50
82.2%
36
17.8%
Q2 - 3:55MEMBrown REBOUND (Off:3 Def:3)50
83.5%
36
16.5%
Q2 - 3:57MIAMISS Davis 3PT Jump Shot50
83.0%
36
17.0%
Q2 - 4:03MIABlount REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)50
80.7%
36
19.3%
Q2 - 4:05MEMMISS Lowry Driving Layup50
81.3%
36
18.7%
Q2 - 4:13MEMWarrick REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)50
82.5%
36
17.5%
Q2 - 4:15MEMMISS Brown 14' Jump Shot50
81.3%
36
18.7%
Q2 - 4:28MEMGay REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)50
82.5%
36
17.5%
Q2 - 4:31MEMMISS Gay 27' 3PT Jump Shot50
81.3%
36
18.7%
Q2 - 4:38MIABlount Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T6)50
82.5%
36
17.5%
Q2 - 4:50MEMQuinn STEAL (2 STL)50
80.8%
36
19.2%
Q2 - 4:57MEMBrown REBOUND (Off:3 Def:2)50
82.5%
36
17.5%
Q2 - 4:58MEMMISS Warrick 17' Jump Shot50
81.3%
36
18.7%
Q2 - 5:12MIADavis 25' 3PT Jump Shot (9 PTS) (Quinn 2 AST)50
82.1%
36
17.9%
Q2 - 5:25MIAPowell REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)50
85.1%
33
14.9%
Q2 - 5:26MEMMISS Warrick Free Throw 2 of 250
85.3%
33
14.7%
Q2 - 5:26MEMMISS Warrick Free Throw 1 of 250
86.1%
33
13.9%
Q2 - 5:37MIADavis Free Throw 2 of 2 (6 PTS)50
86.6%
33
13.4%
Q2 - 5:37MIADavis Free Throw 1 of 2 (5 PTS)50
86.8%
32
13.2%
Q2 - 5:59MEMNavarro 10' Floating Jump Shot (11 PTS)50
87.7%
31
12.3%
Q2 - 6:08MEMCardinal REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)48
86.0%
31
14.0%
Q2 - 6:09MIAMISS Cook 3PT Jump Shot48
85.5%
31
14.5%
Q2 - 6:29MEMMilicic Foul Turnover (P1.T5)48
84.3%
31
15.7%
Q2 - 6:39MIAHEAT Turnover: Backcourt (T#5)48
86.0%
31
14.0%
Q2 - 6:54MEMQuinn STEAL (1 STL)48
84.4%
31
15.6%
Q2 - 6:55MEMLowry REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)48
86.0%
31
14.0%
Q2 - 6:56MIAMISS Blount 12' Jump Shot48
85.6%
31
14.4%
Q2 - 7:13MEMNavarro 5' Floating Jump Shot (9 PTS)48
83.4%
31
16.6%
Q2 - 7:16MEMCardinal REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)46
82.0%
31
18.0%
Q2 - 7:18MEMMISS Navarro 16' Jump Shot46
80.9%
31
19.1%
Q2 - 7:22MEMCardinal REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)46
82.1%
31
17.9%
Q2 - 7:24MIABlount REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)46
80.4%
31
19.6%
Q2 - 7:24MIAMISS Blount Tip Shot46
81.6%
31
18.4%
Q2 - 7:32MIAMISS Powell Driving Finger Roll Layup46
81.6%
31
18.4%
Q2 - 7:51MEMLowry Free Throw 2 of 2 (9 PTS)46
80.4%
31
19.6%
Q2 - 7:51MEMMISS Lowry Free Throw 1 of 245
80.0%
31
20.0%
Q2 - 7:51MEMLowry REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)45
80.5%
31
19.5%
Q2 - 7:53MIAMISS Williams 25' 3PT Jump Shot45
80.0%
31
20.0%
Q2 - 8:15MEMNavarro 3PT Jump Shot (7 PTS) (Lowry 3 AST)45
78.0%
31
22.0%
Q2 - 8:29MIABarron 19' Turnaround Jump Shot (12 PTS) (Williams 3 AST)42
74.6%
31
25.4%
Q2 - 8:39MEMAnthony STEAL (1 STL)42
76.2%
29
23.8%
Q2 - 8:52MIABarron 20' Jump Shot (10 PTS) (Powell 1 AST)42
78.3%
29
21.7%
Q2 - 9:18MEMLowry Running Dunk (8 PTS)42
79.1%
27
20.9%
Q2 - 9:22MIAAnthony Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T4)40
77.6%
27
22.4%
Q2 - 9:45MEMLowry Free Throw 1 of 1 (6 PTS)40
75.6%
27
24.4%
Q2 - 9:45MEMLowry Driving Layup (5 PTS)39
73.7%
27
26.3%
Q2 - 9:51MEMBrown REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)37
71.9%
27
28.1%
Q2 - 9:53MIAMISS Williams 26' 3PT Jump Shot37
71.2%
27
28.8%
Q2 - 10:01MEMJacobsen Driving Layup (5 PTS)37
69.1%
27
30.9%
Q2 - 10:10MIAPowell Dunk (5 PTS) (Barron 1 AST)35
67.3%
27
32.7%
Q2 - 10:31MEMLowry Free Throw 2 of 2 (3 PTS)35
69.1%
25
30.9%
Q2 - 10:31MEMMISS Lowry Free Throw 1 of 234
68.7%
25
31.3%
Q2 - 10:34MEMConley REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)34
69.4%
25
30.6%
Q2 - 10:35MIAMISS Barron 20' Jump Shot34
68.7%
25
31.3%
Q2 - 10:49MEMConley 3PT Jump Shot (11 PTS) (Lowry 2 AST)34
67.0%
25
33.0%
Q2 - 11:06MIACook Alley Oop Dunk (2 PTS) (Williams 2 AST)31
62.0%
25
38.0%
Q2 - 11:17MIAPowell REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)31
64.3%
23
35.7%
Q2 - 11:18MEMMISS Lowry Free Throw 2 of 231
64.6%
23
35.4%
Q2 - 11:18MEMMISS Lowry Free Throw 1 of 231
66.0%
23
34.0%
Q2 - 11:40MIABarron Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T3)31
66.5%
23
33.5%
Q2 - 11:43MIABarron REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)31
64.3%
23
35.7%
Q2 - 11:44MIAMISS Cook 26' 3PT Jump Shot31
65.9%
23
34.1%
Q1 - 0:00.0MIA31
64.3%
23
35.7%
Q1 - 0:00.0MIAHEAT Rebound31
64.3%
23
35.7%
Q1 - 0:00.0MIAMISS Williams 51' 3PT Jump Shot31
65.9%
23
34.1%
Q1 - 0:01.0MEMWarrick 25' 3PT Jump Shot (12 PTS) (Conley 3 AST)31
64.1%
23
35.9%
Q1 - 0:24.0MIABarron 18' Jump Shot (8 PTS)28
59.0%
23
41.0%
Q1 - 0:38.0MEMConley 19' Jump Shot (8 PTS)28
61.9%
21
38.1%
Q1 - 0:48.0MIAWilliams 20' Jump Shot (2 PTS)26
59.1%
21
40.9%
Q1 - 0:58.0MEMLowry 9' Turnaround Jump Shot (2 PTS)26
61.9%
19
38.1%
Q1 - 1:09MIABarron 18' Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Davis 2 AST)24
59.0%
19
41.0%
Q1 - 1:22MEMWarrick Dunk (9 PTS) (Lowry 1 AST)24
61.8%
17
38.2%
Q1 - 1:43MIABarron Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)22
59.0%
17
41.0%
Q1 - 1:43MIABarron Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)22
59.6%
16
40.4%
Q1 - 2:02MEMWarrick Free Throw 2 of 2 (7 PTS)22
61.6%
15
38.4%
Q1 - 2:02MEMWarrick Free Throw 1 of 2 (6 PTS)21
61.1%
15
38.9%
Q1 - 2:06MEMBrown REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)20
59.3%
15
40.7%
Q1 - 2:08MIAMISS Davis Driving Layup20
58.6%
15
41.4%
Q1 - 2:24MEMJacobsen 26' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Conley 2 AST)20
57.1%
15
42.9%
Q1 - 2:43MIADavis Alley Oop Dunk (4 PTS) (Williams 1 AST)17
52.3%
15
47.7%
Q1 - 2:50MEMConley Out of Bounds Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T2)17
54.8%
13
45.2%
Q1 - 2:54MIABarron 9' Hook Shot (2 PTS)17
57.0%
13
43.0%
Q1 - 3:11MEMWarrick 19' Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Conley 1 AST)17
58.6%
11
41.4%
Q1 - 3:18MEMConley REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)15
56.7%
11
43.3%
Q1 - 3:20MIAMISS Barron 16' Jump Shot15
55.9%
11
44.1%
Q1 - 3:37MIALasme REBOUND (Off:3 Def:1)15
54.2%
11
45.8%
Q1 - 3:38MIAMISS Davis 9' Fadeaway Jumper15
55.9%
11
44.1%
Q1 - 3:55MIADavis REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)15
54.2%
11
45.8%
Q1 - 3:56MEMMISS Brown Free Throw 2 of 215
54.6%
11
45.4%
Q1 - 3:56MEMMISS Brown Free Throw 1 of 215
55.7%
11
44.3%
Q1 - 3:57MEMBrown REBOUND (Off:2 Def:0)15
56.7%
11
43.3%
Q1 - 3:59MEMMISS Navarro 18' Jump Shot15
55.0%
11
45.0%
Q1 - 4:13MEMJacobsen REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)15
56.5%
11
43.5%
Q1 - 4:14MIAMISS Quinn 24' 3PT Jump Shot15
55.7%
11
44.3%
Q1 - 4:35MEMNavarro 11' Running Jump Shot (4 PTS)15
53.9%
11
46.1%
Q1 - 4:41MEMJacobsen REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)13
52.1%
11
47.9%
Q1 - 4:42MIAMISS Lasme 22' Jump Shot13
51.3%
11
48.7%
Q1 - 4:50MIADavis REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)13
49.5%
11
50.5%
Q1 - 4:51MEMMISS Warrick 13' Jump Shot13
50.3%
11
49.7%
Q1 - 5:11MIALasme Foul Turnover (P1.T2)13
51.6%
11
48.4%
Q1 - 5:23MIAQuinn REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)13
49.3%
11
50.7%
Q1 - 5:24MEMMISS Gay 18' Jump Shot13
50.0%
11
50.0%
Q1 - 5:38MIADavis Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T1)13
51.6%
11
48.4%
Q1 - 5:57MEMConley 26' 3PT Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Warrick 1 AST)13
49.3%
11
50.7%
Q1 - 6:02MEMBrown REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)10
45.1%
11
54.9%
Q1 - 6:04MEMMISS Gay Free Throw 3 of 310
43.3%
11
56.7%
Q1 - 6:04MEMGay Free Throw 2 of 3 (2 PTS)10
44.7%
11
55.3%
Q1 - 6:04MEMGay Free Throw 1 of 3 (1 PTS)9
44.2%
11
55.8%
Q1 - 6:17MIAQuinn 15' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Davis 1 AST)8
41.2%
11
58.8%
Q1 - 6:31MEMDavis STEAL (1 STL)8
43.1%
9
56.9%
Q1 - 6:50MIADavis 12' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Quinn 1 AST)8
45.1%
9
54.9%
Q1 - 7:05MEMConley 25' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Gay 1 AST)8
46.9%
7
53.1%
Q1 - 7:20MEMConley REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)5
43.3%
7
56.7%
Q1 - 7:22MIAMISS Blount 21' Jump Shot5
42.7%
7
57.3%
Q1 - 7:33MIAHEAT Rebound5
41.3%
7
58.7%
Q1 - 7:35MIAMISS Lasme Layup5
42.7%
7
57.3%
Q1 - 7:37MIAPowell REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)5
41.3%
7
58.7%
Q1 - 7:39MIAMISS Powell Driving Finger Roll Layup5
42.7%
7
57.3%
Q1 - 7:48MIABlount REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)5
41.3%
7
58.7%
Q1 - 7:49MEMMISS Navarro 25' 3PT Jump Shot5
41.9%
7
58.1%
Q1 - 8:12MIALasme Layup (2 PTS)5
43.6%
7
56.4%
Q1 - 8:13MIALasme REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)5
45.3%
5
54.7%
Q1 - 8:15MIAMISS Quinn 25' 3PT Jump Shot5
46.7%
5
53.3%
Q1 - 8:36MIAQuinn REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)5
45.2%
5
54.8%
Q1 - 8:38MEMMISS Navarro 25' 3PT Jump Shot5
45.9%
5
54.1%
Q1 - 8:48MEMGrizzlies Rebound5
47.3%
5
52.7%
Q1 - 8:50MIAMISS Lasme 18' Jump Shot5
46.7%
5
53.3%
Q1 - 8:59MIAPowell REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)5
45.2%
5
54.8%
Q1 - 9:01MEMMISS Conley Driving Layup5
45.6%
5
54.4%
Q1 - 9:12MIAPowell Dunk (3 PTS) (Blount 1 AST)5
47.3%
5
52.7%
Q1 - 9:30MEMNavarro 8' Running Jump Shot (2 PTS)5
48.7%
3
51.3%
Q1 - 9:38MIAQuinn 15' Jump Shot (2 PTS)3
47.3%
3
52.7%
Q1 - 9:48MIADavis REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)3
48.7%
1
51.3%
Q1 - 9:50MEMLasme BLOCK (1 BLK)3
49.4%
1
50.6%
Q1 - 9:55MEMConley REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)3
51.1%
1
48.9%
Q1 - 9:57MEMMISS Conley 24' 3PT Jump Shot3
49.4%
1
50.6%
Q1 - 10:15MEMMilicic REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)3
50.8%
1
49.2%
Q1 - 10:17MIAMISS Powell Free Throw 2 of 23
50.5%
1
49.5%
Q1 - 10:17MIAPowell Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)3
49.4%
1
50.6%
Q1 - 10:18MIAPowell REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)3
50.6%
0
49.4%
Q1 - 10:20MIAMISS Powell 9' Jump Shot3
52.0%
0
48.0%
Q1 - 10:33MIALasme REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)3
50.6%
0
49.4%
Q1 - 10:35MEMMISS Warrick Free Throw 2 of 23
50.9%
0
49.1%
Q1 - 10:35MEMWarrick Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)3
52.0%
0
48.0%
Q1 - 10:40MEMGay REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)2
50.8%
0
49.2%
Q1 - 10:41MIAMISS Powell 26' 3PT Jump Shot2
50.2%
0
49.8%
Q1 - 10:56MIALasme REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)2
48.7%
0
51.3%
Q1 - 10:57MIAMISS Davis 26' 3PT Jump Shot2
50.2%
0
49.8%
Q1 - 11:16MIAHEAT Rebound2
48.8%
0
51.2%
Q1 - 11:17MEMMISS Warrick 19' Jump Shot2
49.3%
0
50.7%
Q1 - 11:26MEMNavarro REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)2
50.5%
0
49.5%
Q1 - 11:27MIAMISS Blount 18' Jump Shot2
50.0%
0
50.0%
Q1 - 11:42MEMWarrick 11' Jump Shot (2 PTS)2
48.8%
0
51.2%
Q1 - 12:00MIAJump Ball Blount vs. Milicic: Tip to Warrick0
46.9%
0
53.1%

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

MEM
0.99 49.5%
MIA
0.91 45.5%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)
MEM
13
21
62%
MIA
10
20
50%
Midrange
MEM
12
32
38%
MIA
13
38
34%
3PT | Effective 3PT
MEM
8
12.0
25
32%
48%
MIA
10
15.0
30
33%
50%
Free Throws
MEM
22
35
63%
MIA
15
18
83%
Makes
Effective 3P Makes
%
Efficiency
Misses
Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|
MEM logo Grizzlies
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
H. Warrick1757%8.5 / 15
K. Lowry1750%8.5 / 17
M. Conley1563%7.5 / 12
J. Navarro1554%7.5 / 14
R. Gay1435%7.0 / 20
C. Jacobsen1083%5.0 / 6
A. Brown433%2.0 / 6
B. Cardinal250%1.0 / 2
J. Collins233%1.0 / 3
D. Milicic0-0.0 / 0
TS Makes
TS Misses

Total Points

|
MIA logo Heat
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
E. Barron2273%11.0 / 15
R. Davis1747%8.5 / 18
C. Quinn1447%7.0 / 15
K. Powell1142%5.5 / 13
D. Cook1161%5.5 / 9
S. Lasme950%4.5 / 9
M. Blount519%2.5 / 13
J. Williams225%1.0 / 4
TS Makes
TS Misses

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

MEM
79
+18
-11
97
MIA
77
+22
-12
99
Base
ORB
TOV

Scoring Efficiency

MEM
0.99 49.5%
MIA
0.91 45.5%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Efficiency & PaceThis Game
Efficiency
104.9
100.2
MEM 106.7 +4.4
MIA 102.2
Pace
95.5
90.5
MEM 92.2 +5.2
MIA 86.9
Avg. Poss. Time
15.1
16.3
MEM 15.6 +0.9
MIA 16.6
Four FactorsThis Game
EFG %
50.0%
48.2%
MEM 47.4% +4.2%
MIA 43.2%
TO %
15.4%
15.4%
MEM 10.5% +1.4%
MIA 11.9%
ORB %
23.8%
22.2%
MEM 35.6% +0.9%
MIA 34.7%
FTrt
31.1
30.0
MEM 44.9 +24.4
MIA 20.5
Misc. StatsThis Game
AST %
51.4%
58.5%
MEM 42.4%
MIA 57.6% +15.2%
STL %
6.4%
7.9%
MEM 11.1% +3.2%
MIA 7.9%
BLK %
7.1%
7.1%
MEM 1.7%
MIA 9.4% +7.7%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Shooting EfficiencyThis Game
TS%
52.6%
50.6%
MEM 49.5% +4.0%
MIA 45.5%
Rim FG%
59.4%
59.2%
MEM 61.9% +11.9%
MIA 50.0%
Mid FG%
39.4%
38.8%
MEM 37.5% +3.3%
MIA 34.2%
3P %
34.9%
35.8%
MEM 32.0%
MIA 33.3% +1.3%
FT %
72.3%
72.7%
MEM 62.9%
MIA 83.3% +20.4%
Shot DistributionThis Game
Rim Att. %
36.1%
30.2%
MEM 26.9% +4.2%
MIA 22.7%
Mid Att. %
37.5%
48.1%
MEM 41.0% +2.2%
MIA 43.2%
3P Att. %
26.4%
21.7%
MEM 32.1%
MIA 34.1% +2.0%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.
Game TotalsMEMMIA
Possessions9089
Possession Minutes23.424.6
Points9691
Rebounds4846
Assists1419
Steals107
Blocks15
Turnovers (Team)11 (0)12 (1)
Fouls
Off. Rebounds (Team)16 (2)17 (5)
Def. Rebounds (Team)32 (2)29 (4)
Field Goals33-7833-88
At-the-Rim FG13-2110-20
Midrange FG12-3213-38
2-Point FG25-5323-58
3-Point FG8-2510-30
Free Throws22-3515-18
Fast Break Pts
2nd Chance Pts
Points in Paint
Pts off Turnovers
Bench Points
Biggest Lead

BOXSCORE

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PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
F · 6'9" 219 · 26
35.7
17
57%
3
2
0
0
0
1
2
1
6-9
67%
4-9
44%
1-2
50%
G · 6'0" 175 · 21
34.5
15
63%
7
3
2
0
2
2
1
6
2-4
50%
2-5
40%
3-5
60%
G · 6'3" 170 · 28
30.7
15
54%
4
1
0
0
3
1
1
3
4-4
100%
4-7
57%
1-5
20%
F · 6'8" 230 · 22
25.6
14
35%
4
2
2
1
1
0
2
2
4-5
80%
5-12
42%
0-6
0%
C · 7'0" 275 · 23
9.8
0
0%
1
0
0
0
1
1
0
1
0-0
-
0-0
-
0-0
-
G · 6'0" 196 · 22
30.8
17
50%
6
4
3
0
1
0
0
6
4-9
44%
5-10
50%
1-2
50%
F · 6'9" 245 · 27
25.2
4
33%
11
1
2
0
1
4
6
5
0-2
0%
2-5
40%
0-0
-
G · 6'6" 215 · 27
20.4
10
83%
4
0
0
0
0
1
1
3
0-0
-
2-2
100%
2-4
50%
F · 6'8" 240 · 31
14.3
2
50%
7
1
0
0
1
0
3
4
0-0
-
1-1
100%
0-1
0%
C · 7'0" 255 · 29
13.1
2
33%
1
0
1
0
1
3
0
1
2-2
100%
0-2
0%
0-0
-
G · 6'5" 200 · 20
C · 6'11" 290 · 26
#33 · G-F · 6'8" 218 · 28
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
#8 · G · 6'5" 209 · 36
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
TOTAL
240
96
50%
48
14
10
1
11
0
16
32
22-35
63%
25-53
47%
8-25
32%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.