FinalWin Prob.pScore
2417%92
93
1083%104
111
ORTG#PossPace
MIL logo MIL
103.39086.6
TOR logo TOR
123.39093.7

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

RaptorsBucksQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Scoring Margin

RaptorsBucksQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Play-by-Play

Score / WinProb
ClockTeamEventMILTOR
Q4 - 0:00.0TOR93
0%
111
100%
Q4 - 0:19.0MILBogut Layup (10 PTS) (Sessions 10 AST)93
0%
111
100%
Q4 - 0:24.0TORBrezec Slam Dunk (2 PTS) (Graham 1 AST)91
0%
111
100%
Q4 - 0:35.0MILSessions Bad Pass Turnover (P4.T15)91
0%
109
100%
Q4 - 0:50.0TORHumphries 15' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Calderon 12 AST)91
0.1%
109
99.9%
Q4 - 1:08MILKapono STEAL (2 STL)91
0.1%
107
99.9%
Q4 - 1:20TORKapono 20' Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Calderon 11 AST)91
0.1%
107
99.9%
Q4 - 1:32MILSessions Driving Layup (6 PTS)91
0.1%
105
99.9%
Q4 - 1:45MILVillanueva REBOUND (Off:0 Def:12)89
0.1%
105
99.9%
Q4 - 1:47TORMISS Nesterovic Running Layup89
0.1%
105
99.9%
Q4 - 2:02MILVillanueva Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T13)89
0.1%
105
99.9%
Q4 - 2:12TORBosh Free Throw 2 of 2 (32 PTS)89
0.1%
105
99.9%
Q4 - 2:12TORBosh Free Throw 1 of 2 (31 PTS)89
0.1%
104
99.9%
Q4 - 2:29MILSimmons Driving Reverse Layup (11 PTS)89
0.1%
103
99.9%
Q4 - 2:45TORParker 24' 3PT Jump Shot (18 PTS) (Calderon 10 AST)87
0.1%
103
99.9%
Q4 - 2:53TORNesterovic REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)87
0.1%
100
99.9%
Q4 - 2:55MILMISS Sessions Driving Reverse Layup87
0.1%
100
99.9%
Q4 - 3:11TORParker Driving Layup (15 PTS) (Bosh 2 AST)87
0.2%
100
99.8%
Q4 - 3:24TORKapono REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)87
0.2%
98
99.8%
Q4 - 3:24TORMISS Parker 25' 3PT Jump Shot87
0.4%
98
99.6%
Q4 - 3:42MILBogut 19' Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Sessions 9 AST)87
0.5%
98
99.5%
Q4 - 3:54TORParker Free Throw 2 of 2 (13 PTS)85
0.3%
98
99.7%
Q4 - 3:54TORParker Free Throw 1 of 2 (12 PTS)85
0.4%
97
99.6%
Q4 - 3:58MILKapono STEAL (1 STL)85
0.5%
96
99.5%
Q4 - 4:10TORBosh Free Throw 2 of 2 (30 PTS)85
0.7%
96
99.3%
Q4 - 4:10TORMISS Bosh Free Throw 1 of 285
0.7%
95
99.3%
Q4 - 4:20TORBargnani REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)85
0.7%
95
99.3%
Q4 - 4:21MILMISS Sessions Driving Layup85
0.8%
95
99.2%
Q4 - 4:30MILRedd REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)85
1.0%
95
99.0%
Q4 - 4:30TORMISS Bargnani 16' Jump Shot85
0.9%
95
99.1%
Q4 - 4:45MILBogut 5' Jump Shot (6 PTS)85
0.7%
95
99.3%
Q4 - 4:46MILBogut REBOUND (Off:5 Def:4)83
0.5%
95
99.5%
Q4 - 4:48MILBosh BLOCK (4 BLK)83
0.4%
95
99.6%
Q4 - 4:50MILSimmons REBOUND (Off:3 Def:3)83
0.5%
95
99.5%
Q4 - 4:51MILMISS Bogut Layup83
0.4%
95
99.6%
Q4 - 4:52MILBogut REBOUND (Off:4 Def:4)83
0.5%
95
99.5%
Q4 - 4:53MILMISS Villanueva 11' Turnaround Jump Shot83
0.4%
95
99.6%
Q4 - 5:17TORKapono 19' Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Calderon 9 AST)83
0.7%
95
99.3%
Q4 - 5:22TORBosh REBOUND (Off:3 Def:8)83
1.0%
93
99.0%
Q4 - 5:24MILMISS Bogut Layup83
1.1%
93
98.9%
Q4 - 5:36MILSessions REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)83
1.3%
93
98.7%
Q4 - 5:38TORMISS Bosh 22' Jump Shot83
1.2%
93
98.8%
Q4 - 5:53MILSessions Driving Layup (4 PTS)83
0.9%
93
99.1%
Q4 - 6:02TORDelfino Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)81
1.0%
93
99.0%
Q4 - 6:02TORDelfino Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)81
1.0%
92
99.0%
Q4 - 6:18MILBosh STEAL (3 STL)81
1.2%
91
98.8%
Q4 - 6:29MILRuffin REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)81
1.7%
91
98.3%
Q4 - 6:30MILMISS Simmons 25' 3PT Jump Shot81
1.3%
91
98.7%
Q4 - 6:47MILRuffin REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)81
1.7%
91
98.3%
Q4 - 6:49TORMISS Delfino Driving Finger Roll Layup81
1.5%
91
98.5%
Q4 - 6:58TORBargnani REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)81
1.2%
91
98.8%
Q4 - 7:00MILBosh BLOCK (3 BLK)81
1.3%
91
98.7%
Q4 - 7:06TORBosh Lost Ball Turnover (P2.T6)81
2.1%
91
97.9%
Q4 - 7:18TORCalderon REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)81
1.6%
91
98.4%
Q4 - 7:19TORMISS Delfino 21' Pullup Jump Shot81
1.9%
91
98.1%
Q4 - 7:39MILSimmons 3PT Jump Shot (9 PTS) (Sessions 8 AST)81
1.5%
91
98.5%
Q4 - 7:57TORBargnani Driving Reverse Layup (10 PTS)78
0.9%
91
99.1%
Q4 - 8:20MILVillanueva Driving Dunk (38 PTS) (Sessions 7 AST)78
1.5%
89
98.5%
Q4 - 8:27TORBargnani Driving Dunk (8 PTS)76
1.2%
89
98.8%
Q4 - 8:31TORBargnani REBOUND (Off:2 Def:0)76
1.5%
87
98.5%
Q4 - 8:32TORMISS Bargnani 18' Jump Shot76
1.8%
87
98.2%
Q4 - 8:49MILSessions 8' Running Jump Shot (2 PTS)76
1.5%
87
98.5%
Q4 - 9:06MILBucks Rebound74
1.4%
87
98.6%
Q4 - 9:07MILMISS Ivey 3PT Jump Shot74
1.2%
87
98.8%
Q4 - 9:14MILSessions REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)74
1.4%
87
98.6%
Q4 - 9:15TORMISS Kapono 22' Jump Shot74
1.3%
87
98.7%
Q4 - 9:28TORBosh REBOUND (Off:3 Def:7)74
1.1%
87
98.9%
Q4 - 9:29MILMISS Simmons 25' 3PT Jump Shot74
1.1%
87
98.9%
Q4 - 9:39TORKapono 21' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Calderon 8 AST)74
1.4%
87
98.6%
Q4 - 9:57MILVillanueva Free Throw 2 of 2 (36 PTS)74
1.7%
85
98.3%
Q4 - 9:57MILMISS Villanueva Free Throw 1 of 273
1.6%
85
98.4%
Q4 - 10:08MILSimmons REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)73
2.0%
85
98.0%
Q4 - 10:09TORMISS Nesterovic 6' Hook Shot73
1.9%
85
98.1%
Q4 - 10:24TORKapono REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)73
1.6%
85
98.4%
Q4 - 10:25MILMISS Villanueva 24' 3PT Jump Shot73
1.7%
85
98.3%
Q4 - 10:32MILVillanueva REBOUND (Off:0 Def:11)73
2.0%
85
98.0%
Q4 - 10:33TORMISS Bargnani 20' Jump Shot73
1.8%
85
98.2%
Q4 - 10:51MILVillanueva 25' 3PT Jump Shot (35 PTS) (Simmons 2 AST)73
1.5%
85
98.5%
Q4 - 11:13TORBargnani 18' Pullup Jump Shot (6 PTS)70
1.2%
85
98.8%
Q4 - 11:39MILVillanueva 11' Running Jump Shot (32 PTS)70
1.5%
83
98.5%
Q3 - 0:00.0TOR68
1.2%
83
98.8%
Q3 - 0:00.0TORRAPTORS Rebound68
0.9%
83
99.1%
Q3 - 0:00.0TORMISS Parker 40' 3PT Running Jump Shot68
1.1%
83
98.9%
Q3 - 0:03.0TORParker REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)68
1.1%
83
98.9%
Q3 - 0:04.0MILMISS Ivey 9' Running Jump Shot68
1.2%
83
98.8%
Q3 - 0:27.0MILBogut REBOUND (Off:3 Def:4)68
1.3%
83
98.7%
Q3 - 0:28.0TORMISS Bargnani 21' Jump Shot68
1.3%
83
98.7%
Q3 - 0:38.0TORDelfino REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)68
1.1%
83
98.9%
Q3 - 0:39.0MILMISS Villanueva Free Throw 2 of 268
1.1%
83
98.9%
Q3 - 0:39.0MILVillanueva Free Throw 1 of 2 (30 PTS)68
1.3%
83
98.7%
Q3 - 0:44.0TORNesterovic 8' Driving Hook Shot (14 PTS) (Bargnani 2 AST)67
1.1%
83
98.9%
Q3 - 0:58.0MILIvey Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T10)67
1.3%
81
98.7%
Q3 - 1:07TORNesterovic Driving Reverse Layup (12 PTS) (Ford 7 AST)67
1.8%
81
98.2%
Q3 - 1:26TORMoon REBOUND (Off:0 Def:8)67
2.2%
79
97.8%
Q3 - 1:27MILMISS Redd Free Throw 1 of 167
2.3%
79
97.7%
Q3 - 1:34TORBargnani Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T5)65
1.8%
79
98.2%
Q3 - 1:45TORMoon REBOUND (Off:0 Def:7)65
1.5%
79
98.5%
Q3 - 1:46MILMISS Simmons 17' Jump Shot65
1.6%
79
98.4%
Q3 - 1:59TORNesterovic 17' Jump Shot (10 PTS) (Ford 6 AST)65
1.8%
79
98.2%
Q3 - 2:11MILBucks Turnover: Shot Clock (T#9)65
2.4%
77
97.6%
Q3 - 2:11MILBucks Rebound65
2.9%
77
97.1%
Q3 - 2:11MILMISS Villanueva 32' 3PT Jump Shot65
2.5%
77
97.5%
Q3 - 2:39TORFord 13' Pullup Jump Shot (14 PTS)65
2.9%
77
97.1%
Q3 - 2:56MILBogut Layup (4 PTS)65
3.4%
75
96.6%
Q3 - 2:58MILBogut REBOUND (Off:3 Def:3)63
2.9%
75
97.1%
Q3 - 2:59MILMISS Ivey Driving Layup63
2.5%
75
97.5%
Q3 - 3:06MILBucks Rebound63
3.1%
75
96.9%
Q3 - 3:07MILMISS Bogut 16' Fadeaway Jumper63
2.7%
75
97.3%
Q3 - 3:29TORBosh Free Throw 2 of 2 (29 PTS)63
3.1%
75
96.9%
Q3 - 3:29TORBosh Free Throw 1 of 2 (28 PTS)63
3.2%
74
96.8%
Q3 - 3:57MILSimmons 10' Fadeaway Jumper (6 PTS) (Villanueva 1 AST)63
3.6%
73
96.4%
Q3 - 4:21TORBosh 25' 3PT Jump Shot (27 PTS) (Parker 2 AST)61
3.2%
73
96.8%
Q3 - 4:30TORBosh REBOUND (Off:3 Def:6)61
4.4%
70
95.6%
Q3 - 4:31MILMISS Mason 15' Fadeaway Jumper61
4.6%
70
95.4%
Q3 - 4:51TORBosh 16' Jump Shot (24 PTS) (Ford 5 AST)61
5.3%
70
94.7%
Q3 - 4:58TORMoon REBOUND (Off:0 Def:6)61
6.1%
68
93.9%
Q3 - 5:00MILParker BLOCK (2 BLK)61
6.5%
68
93.5%
Q3 - 5:02MILRedd REBOUND (Off:2 Def:0)61
7.5%
68
92.5%
Q3 - 5:03MILMISS Sessions 12' Running Jump Shot61
6.7%
68
93.3%
Q3 - 5:24TORParker Driving Dunk (11 PTS)61
7.5%
68
92.5%
Q3 - 5:28MILParker STEAL (1 STL)61
8.6%
66
91.4%
Q3 - 5:37MILBucks Rebound61
10.2%
66
89.8%
Q3 - 5:38TORMISS Parker 15' Pullup Jump Shot61
9.7%
66
90.3%
Q3 - 5:50MILRedd Foul Turnover (P2.T7)61
8.6%
66
91.4%
Q3 - 5:55MILBogut REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)61
10.1%
66
89.9%
Q3 - 5:55TORMISS Moon 18' Jump Shot61
9.7%
66
90.3%
Q3 - 6:06TORNesterovic REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)61
8.7%
66
91.3%
Q3 - 6:07MILMISS Redd 25' 3PT Jump Shot61
9.1%
66
90.9%
Q3 - 6:35TORFord 19' Pullup Jump Shot (12 PTS)61
10.2%
66
89.8%
Q3 - 6:46TORRAPTORS Rebound61
11.6%
64
88.4%
Q3 - 6:47MILParker BLOCK (1 BLK)61
12.2%
64
87.8%
Q3 - 6:55MILMason REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)61
13.5%
64
86.5%
Q3 - 6:56MILMISS Villanueva 19' Pullup Jump Shot61
12.2%
64
87.8%
Q3 - 7:12TORMoon 17' Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Ford 4 AST)61
13.5%
64
86.5%
Q3 - 7:33MILBogut Layup (2 PTS)61
15.2%
62
84.8%
Q3 - 7:34MILBogut REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)59
13.5%
62
86.5%
Q3 - 7:36MILMISS Bogut Alley Oop Layup59
12.1%
62
87.9%
Q3 - 7:55TORFord 17' Pullup Jump Shot (10 PTS)59
13.5%
62
86.5%
Q3 - 8:11MILMason 8' Driving Hook Shot (2 PTS) (Bogut 2 AST)59
15.0%
60
85.0%
Q3 - 8:31TORFord 18' Pullup Jump Shot (8 PTS)57
13.5%
60
86.5%
Q3 - 8:43MILRedd 19' Jump Shot (15 PTS)57
15.0%
58
85.0%
Q3 - 8:56MILVillanueva REBOUND (Off:0 Def:10)55
13.5%
58
86.5%
Q3 - 8:57TORMISS Nesterovic 16' Jump Shot55
12.9%
58
87.1%
Q3 - 9:11TORNesterovic REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)55
11.4%
58
88.6%
Q3 - 9:13MILMISS Villanueva 24' 3PT Jump Shot55
11.8%
58
88.2%
Q3 - 9:29TORNesterovic 7' Driving Hook Shot (8 PTS)55
13.0%
58
87.0%
Q3 - 9:51MILVillanueva 17' Jump Shot (29 PTS) (Sessions 6 AST)55
14.7%
56
85.3%
Q3 - 9:59MILSessions REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)53
13.0%
56
87.0%
Q3 - 10:00MILMISS Bogut Driving Layup53
11.9%
56
88.1%
Q3 - 10:16TORParker 19' Jump Shot (9 PTS) (Ford 3 AST)53
12.7%
56
87.3%
Q3 - 10:34MILRedd 25' 3PT Jump Shot (13 PTS) (Mason 3 AST)53
14.2%
54
85.8%
Q3 - 10:55TORFord 8' Pullup Jump Shot (6 PTS)50
11.2%
54
88.8%
Q3 - 11:03TORMoon REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)50
12.3%
52
87.7%
Q3 - 11:04MILMoon BLOCK (1 BLK)50
12.8%
52
87.2%
Q3 - 11:11MILBogut REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)50
13.9%
52
86.1%
Q3 - 11:12TORMISS Bosh 10' Turnaround Hook Shot50
13.4%
52
86.6%
Q3 - 11:27MILRedd 8' Jump Shot (10 PTS) (Mason 2 AST)50
12.3%
52
87.7%
Q3 - 11:48TORParker 19' Jump Shot (7 PTS) (Ford 2 AST)48
11.0%
52
89.0%
Q2 - 0:00.0TOR48
12.3%
50
87.7%
Q2 - 0:00.0TORNesterovic REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)48
12.3%
50
87.7%
Q2 - 0:00.0MILMISS Redd Layup48
12.8%
50
87.2%
Q2 - 0:00.0MILRedd REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)48
14.0%
50
86.0%
Q2 - 0:01.0MILMISS Ivey 14' Floating Jump Shot48
13.0%
50
87.0%
Q2 - 0:24.0TORMoon 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Parker 1 AST)48
13.7%
50
86.3%
Q2 - 0:31.0TORParker REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)48
17.7%
47
82.3%
Q2 - 0:32.0MILMISS Villanueva 15' Step Back Jump Shot48
18.1%
47
81.9%
Q2 - 0:49.0TORNesterovic Step Out of Bounds Turnover (P1.T4)48
19.1%
47
80.9%
Q2 - 1:04MILIvey Free Throw 2 of 2 (9 PTS)48
17.9%
47
82.1%
Q2 - 1:04MILMISS Ivey Free Throw 1 of 247
17.4%
47
82.6%
Q2 - 1:23TORParker Driving Layup (5 PTS)47
17.0%
47
83.0%
Q2 - 1:44MILRedd Free Throw 2 of 2 (8 PTS)47
19.8%
45
80.2%
Q2 - 1:44MILRedd Free Throw 1 of 2 (7 PTS)46
19.5%
45
80.5%
Q2 - 2:02TORBosh Running Dunk (22 PTS)45
17.2%
45
82.8%
Q2 - 2:05TORBosh REBOUND (Off:3 Def:5)45
19.1%
43
80.9%
Q2 - 2:06TORMISS Moon 18' Jump Shot45
20.4%
43
79.6%
Q2 - 2:28MILRedd 15' Pullup Jump Shot (6 PTS)45
19.2%
43
80.8%
Q2 - 2:45TORFord 19' Pullup Jump Shot (4 PTS)43
17.2%
43
82.8%
Q2 - 2:58MILRedd Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)43
19.2%
41
80.8%
Q2 - 2:58MILRedd Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)42
19.0%
41
81.0%
Q2 - 3:15TORBosh Free Throw 2 of 2 (20 PTS)41
16.9%
41
83.1%
Q2 - 3:15TORBosh Free Throw 1 of 2 (19 PTS)41
17.1%
40
82.9%
Q2 - 3:25TORParker REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)41
18.4%
39
81.6%
Q2 - 3:26MILMISS Simmons 11' Turnaround Fadeaway Shot41
19.1%
39
80.9%
Q2 - 3:41MILRuffin REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)41
20.6%
39
79.4%
Q2 - 3:42MILMISS Redd 14' Turnaround Fadeaway Shot41
19.1%
39
80.9%
Q2 - 4:03TORBargnani Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)41
19.7%
39
80.3%
Q2 - 4:03TORBargnani Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)41
20.0%
38
80.0%
Q2 - 4:17MILIvey 3PT Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Redd 2 AST)41
21.7%
37
78.3%
Q2 - 4:33MILIvey REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)38
18.0%
37
82.0%
Q2 - 4:34MILBosh BLOCK (2 BLK)38
16.9%
37
83.1%
Q2 - 4:49MILVillanueva REBOUND (Off:0 Def:9)38
18.0%
37
82.0%
Q2 - 4:50TORMISS Bosh 25' 3PT Jump Shot38
17.5%
37
82.5%
Q2 - 5:01TORBargnani REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)38
16.0%
37
84.0%
Q2 - 5:02TORMISS Delfino 22' Pullup Jump Shot38
17.2%
37
82.8%
Q2 - 5:18MILSimmons Tip Shot (4 PTS)38
16.0%
37
84.0%
Q2 - 5:21MILSimmons REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)36
14.7%
37
85.3%
Q2 - 5:22MILMISS Redd 22' Pullup Jump Shot36
13.7%
37
86.3%
Q2 - 5:39TORBargnani 17' Pullup Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Delfino 2 AST)36
14.7%
37
85.3%
Q2 - 5:56TORCalderon REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)36
16.1%
35
83.9%
Q2 - 5:57MILMISS Simmons 24' 3PT Jump Shot36
16.6%
35
83.4%
Q2 - 6:04MILSimmons REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)36
17.6%
35
82.4%
Q2 - 6:05MILMISS Villanueva 25' 3PT Jump Shot36
16.3%
35
83.7%
Q2 - 6:16TORBosh Alley Oop Dunk (18 PTS) (Calderon 7 AST)36
17.6%
35
82.4%
Q2 - 6:31MILIvey 25' 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Redd 1 AST)36
18.9%
33
81.1%
Q2 - 6:56TORBosh Layup (16 PTS) (Delfino 1 AST)33
16.1%
33
83.9%
Q2 - 7:18TORBosh REBOUND (Off:2 Def:5)33
17.2%
31
82.8%
Q2 - 7:19TORMISS Bargnani 25' 3PT Jump Shot33
18.3%
31
81.7%
Q2 - 7:30MILSimmons Out of Bounds Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T6)33
17.2%
31
82.8%
Q2 - 7:47TORCalderon Driving Layup (2 PTS)33
18.9%
31
81.1%
Q2 - 8:04MILIvey Driving Layup (2 PTS)33
20.1%
29
79.9%
Q2 - 8:14MILVillanueva REBOUND (Off:0 Def:8)31
18.7%
29
81.3%
Q2 - 8:15TORMISS Bosh Free Throw 1 of 131
18.5%
29
81.5%
Q2 - 8:25MILVillanueva 11' Running Jump Shot (27 PTS)31
20.1%
27
79.9%
Q2 - 8:47MILSimmons REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)29
18.7%
27
81.3%
Q2 - 8:49TORMISS Delfino Running Layup29
18.2%
27
81.8%
Q2 - 8:51TORRAPTORS Rebound29
17.0%
27
83.0%
Q2 - 8:52TORMISS Calderon 17' Jump Shot29
18.2%
27
81.8%
Q2 - 9:08MILVillanueva 24' 3PT Pullup Jump Shot (25 PTS) (Sessions 5 AST)29
16.7%
27
83.3%
Q2 - 9:23TORDelfino 20' Pullup Jump Shot (2 PTS)26
14.2%
27
85.8%
Q2 - 9:39MILVillanueva 25' 3PT Jump Shot (22 PTS) (Sessions 4 AST)26
15.4%
25
84.6%
Q2 - 9:50MILVillanueva REBOUND (Off:0 Def:7)23
13.0%
25
87.0%
Q2 - 9:51TORMISS Bosh Layup23
12.7%
25
87.3%
Q2 - 10:08MILVillanueva 24' 3PT Jump Shot (19 PTS) (Sessions 3 AST)23
11.9%
25
88.1%
Q2 - 10:18MILVillanueva REBOUND (Off:0 Def:6)20
10.1%
25
89.9%
Q2 - 10:19TORMISS Kapono 19' Jump Shot20
9.8%
25
90.2%
Q2 - 10:35MILVillanueva 21' Jump Shot (16 PTS)20
9.1%
25
90.9%
Q2 - 10:55TORKapono 13' Running Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Calderon 5 AST)18
8.4%
25
91.6%
Q2 - 11:09TORBosh REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)18
9.0%
23
91.0%
Q2 - 11:10MILMISS Simmons 24' 3PT Jump Shot18
9.3%
23
90.7%
Q2 - 11:25MILSimmons REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)18
9.9%
23
90.1%
Q2 - 11:26TORMISS Bosh 8' Jump Hook Shot18
9.6%
23
90.4%
Q2 - 11:35TORKapono REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)18
9.0%
23
91.0%
Q2 - 11:36MILMISS Sessions 8' Running Jump Shot18
9.3%
23
90.7%
Q2 - 11:47MILRuffin REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)18
9.9%
23
90.1%
Q2 - 11:48TORMISS Calderon 9' Running Jump Shot18
9.6%
23
90.4%
Q1 - 0:00.0MIL18
9.0%
23
91.0%
Q1 - 0:00.0MILBucks Rebound18
9.9%
23
90.1%
Q1 - 0:00.0MILMISS Sessions 51' 3PT Running Jump Shot18
9.3%
23
90.7%
Q1 - 0:01.0MILSessions REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)18
9.8%
23
90.2%
Q1 - 0:02.0TORMISS Bargnani 25' 3PT Jump Shot18
9.6%
23
90.4%
Q1 - 0:19.0MILVillanueva 25' 3PT Jump Shot (14 PTS) (Simmons 1 AST)18
9.1%
23
90.9%
Q1 - 0:43.0TORBosh 5' Jump Shot (12 PTS) (Calderon 4 AST)15
7.5%
23
92.5%
Q1 - 0:56.0MILRedd 16' Pullup Jump Shot (2 PTS)15
8.4%
21
91.6%
Q1 - 1:18TORBosh Slam Dunk (10 PTS) (Bargnani 1 AST)13
7.5%
21
92.5%
Q1 - 1:30TORParker REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)13
8.4%
19
91.6%
Q1 - 1:31MILMISS Sessions 15' Fadeaway Jumper13
8.6%
19
91.4%
Q1 - 1:50TORBosh Driving Finger Roll Layup (8 PTS) (Calderon 3 AST)13
9.0%
19
91.0%
Q1 - 2:02TORDelfino REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)13
9.9%
17
90.1%
Q1 - 2:03MILMISS Villanueva 18' Jump Shot13
10.1%
17
89.9%
Q1 - 2:23TORBosh 7' Jump Hook Shot (6 PTS) (Calderon 2 AST)13
10.7%
17
89.3%
Q1 - 2:35MILBargnani STEAL (1 STL)13
11.7%
15
88.3%
Q1 - 2:57TORNesterovic 8' Jump Hook Shot (6 PTS)13
12.6%
15
87.4%
Q1 - 3:18MILSimmons Layup (2 PTS)13
13.5%
13
86.5%
Q1 - 3:37MILVillanueva REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)11
12.6%
13
87.4%
Q1 - 3:38TORMISS Nesterovic 17' Jump Shot11
12.2%
13
87.8%
Q1 - 3:53MILVillanueva Free Throw 1 of 1 (11 PTS)11
11.5%
13
88.5%
Q1 - 3:57MILBogut REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)8
9.9%
13
90.1%
Q1 - 3:58TORMISS Nesterovic Tip Shot8
9.6%
13
90.4%
Q1 - 4:00TORNesterovic REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)8
9.0%
13
91.0%
Q1 - 4:01TORMISS Nesterovic Layup8
9.5%
13
90.5%
Q1 - 4:17MILVillanueva 25' 3PT Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Sessions 1 AST)8
8.8%
13
91.2%
Q1 - 4:33TORNesterovic 14' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Calderon 1 AST)5
7.7%
13
92.3%
Q1 - 4:43TORNesterovic REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)5
8.2%
11
91.8%
Q1 - 4:44MILMISS Mason 11' Driving Hook Shot5
8.4%
11
91.6%
Q1 - 5:01MILVillanueva REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)5
8.9%
11
91.1%
Q1 - 5:03TORMISS Bosh Alley Oop Dunk5
8.7%
11
91.3%
Q1 - 5:13TORBosh REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)5
8.2%
11
91.8%
Q1 - 5:14MILMISS Mason 17' Pullup Jump Shot5
8.4%
11
91.6%
Q1 - 5:28TORBosh Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)5
8.9%
11
91.1%
Q1 - 5:28TORBosh Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)5
9.0%
10
91.0%
Q1 - 5:35MILBosh STEAL (2 STL)5
9.5%
9
90.5%
Q1 - 5:50TORMoon Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T3)5
10.4%
9
89.6%
Q1 - 6:00TORMoon REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)5
9.5%
9
90.5%
Q1 - 6:02MILBosh BLOCK (1 BLK)5
9.8%
9
90.2%
Q1 - 6:25TORFord Driving Layup (2 PTS) (Bosh 1 AST)5
10.3%
9
89.7%
Q1 - 6:28MILBosh STEAL (1 STL)5
11.0%
7
89.0%
Q1 - 6:37TORParker Free Throw 2 of 2 (3 PTS)5
11.9%
7
88.1%
Q1 - 6:37TORMISS Parker Free Throw 1 of 25
12.0%
6
88.0%
Q1 - 6:45TORBosh REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)5
11.9%
6
88.1%
Q1 - 6:46TORMISS Ford 17' Jump Shot5
12.5%
6
87.5%
Q1 - 6:56TORMoon REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)5
11.9%
6
88.1%
Q1 - 6:58MILMISS Villanueva 24' 3PT Jump Shot5
12.1%
6
87.9%
Q1 - 7:22TORBosh Running Layup (2 PTS) (Moon 1 AST)5
12.6%
6
87.4%
Q1 - 7:28MILMoon STEAL (1 STL)5
13.3%
4
86.7%
Q1 - 7:42MILVillanueva REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)5
14.3%
4
85.7%
Q1 - 7:43TORMISS Bosh 9' Turnaround Hook Shot5
14.0%
4
86.0%
Q1 - 7:59TORBosh REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)5
13.3%
4
86.7%
Q1 - 8:00MILMISS Sessions 20' Jump Shot5
13.7%
4
86.3%
Q1 - 8:13TORBosh Foul Turnover (P1.T2)5
14.1%
4
85.9%
Q1 - 8:23MILMason Step Out of Bounds Turnover (P1.T1)5
13.1%
4
86.9%
Q1 - 8:29MILMason REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)5
14.1%
4
85.9%
Q1 - 8:30TORMISS Nesterovic 10' Turnaround Hook Shot5
13.8%
4
86.2%
Q1 - 8:41MILVillanueva 16' Running Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Mason 1 AST)5
13.1%
4
86.9%
Q1 - 8:58TORNesterovic 17' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Ford 1 AST)3
12.4%
4
87.6%
Q1 - 9:11MILVillanueva 25' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Bogut 1 AST)3
12.9%
2
87.1%
Q1 - 9:16MILBogut REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)0
11.5%
2
88.5%
Q1 - 9:17MILMISS Redd 25' 3PT Jump Shot0
10.8%
2
89.2%
Q1 - 9:28MILVillanueva REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)0
11.5%
2
88.5%
Q1 - 9:29TORMISS Moon 15' Jump Shot0
11.2%
2
88.8%
Q1 - 9:40TORBosh REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)0
10.6%
2
89.4%
Q1 - 9:41MILMISS Mason 9' Running Jump Shot0
10.8%
2
89.2%
Q1 - 10:05TORParker Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)0
11.4%
2
88.6%
Q1 - 10:05TORParker Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)0
11.5%
1
88.5%
Q1 - 10:11TORBosh REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)0
12.1%
0
87.9%
Q1 - 10:13MILMISS Sessions 9' Running Jump Shot0
12.3%
0
87.7%
Q1 - 10:30MILVillanueva REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)0
13.0%
0
87.0%
Q1 - 10:31TORMISS Moon 17' Jump Shot0
12.7%
0
87.3%
Q1 - 10:38TORMoon REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)0
12.1%
0
87.9%
Q1 - 10:39MILMISS Redd 25' 3PT Jump Shot0
12.3%
0
87.7%
Q1 - 10:49MILBucks Rebound0
13.0%
0
87.0%
Q1 - 10:51TORMISS Parker 16' Floating Jump Shot0
12.7%
0
87.3%
Q1 - 10:53TORRAPTORS Rebound0
12.1%
0
87.9%
Q1 - 10:53TORMISS Ford Driving Layup0
12.7%
0
87.3%
Q1 - 10:59TORMoon REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)0
12.1%
0
87.9%
Q1 - 11:00MILMISS Sessions 21' Pullup Jump Shot0
12.3%
0
87.7%
Q1 - 11:25TORParker Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T1)0
12.8%
0
87.2%
Q1 - 11:40TORFord REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)0
12.1%
0
87.9%
Q1 - 11:41MILMISS Villanueva 20' Jump Shot0
12.3%
0
87.7%
Q1 - 12:00TORJump Ball Bosh vs. Bogut: Tip to Villanueva0
12.8%
0
87.2%

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

MIL
0.98 48.9%
TOR
1.16 57.8%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)
MIL
11
24
46%
TOR
16
24
67%
Midrange
MIL
15
39
38%
TOR
26
51
51%
3PT | Effective 3PT
MIL
11
16.5
25
44%
66%
TOR
3
4.5
8
38%
56%
Free Throws
MIL
8
12
67%
TOR
18
21
86%
Makes
Effective 3P Makes
%
Efficiency
Misses
Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|
MIL logo Bucks
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
C. Villanueva3870%19.0 / 27
M. Redd1750%8.5 / 17
B. Simmons1146%5.5 / 12
A. Bogut1050%5.0 / 10
R. Ivey950%4.5 / 9
R. Sessions625%3.0 / 12
D. Mason220%1.0 / 5
M. Ruffin0-0.0 / 1
TS Makes
TS Misses

Total Points

|
TOR logo Raptors
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
C. Bosh3270%16.0 / 23
A. Parker1869%9.0 / 13
R. Nesterovic1450%7.0 / 14
T. Ford1478%7.0 / 9
A. Bargnani1045%5.0 / 11
J. Kapono867%4.0 / 6
J. Moon542%2.5 / 6
C. Delfino433%2.0 / 6
J. Calderon233%1.0 / 3
K. Humphries2100%1.0 / 1
P. Brezec2100%1.0 / 1
TS Makes
TS Misses

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

MIL
76
+19
-14
95
TOR
84
+11
-6
95
Base
ORB
TOV

Scoring Efficiency

MIL
0.98 48.9%
TOR
1.16 57.8%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Efficiency & PaceThis Game
Efficiency
105.5
109.7
MIL 103.3
TOR 123.3 +20.0
Pace
91.2
90.7
MIL 86.6
TOR 93.7 +7.1
Avg. Poss. Time
16.0
15.9
MIL 16.6
TOR 15.4 +1.3
Four FactorsThis Game
EFG %
48.2%
51.1%
MIL 48.3%
TOR 56.0% +7.7%
TO %
15.5%
12.3%
MIL 13.9%
TOR 6.1% +7.8%
ORB %
30.1%
23.5%
MIL 31.3% +7.8%
TOR 23.5%
FTrt
29.4
24.7
MIL 13.6
TOR 25.3 +11.7
Misc. StatsThis Game
AST %
58.2%
62.0%
MIL 54.1%
TOR 64.4% +10.3%
STL %
7.2%
7.6%
MIL 3.3%
TOR 8.9% +5.6%
BLK %
7.2%
6.9%
MIL 2.7%
TOR 11.1% +8.4%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.16 and 2.16.

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Shooting EfficiencyThis Game
TS%
50.9%
53.7%
MIL 48.9%
TOR 57.8% +8.9%
Rim FG%
54.3%
58.5%
MIL 45.8%
TOR 66.7% +20.9%
Mid FG%
41.4%
43.3%
MIL 38.5%
TOR 51.0% +12.5%
3P %
34.4%
39.2%
MIL 44.0% +6.5%
TOR 37.5%
FT %
73.3%
81.2%
MIL 66.7%
TOR 85.7% +19.0%
Shot DistributionThis Game
Rim Att. %
37.4%
28.9%
MIL 27.3%
TOR 28.9% +1.6%
Mid Att. %
43.2%
49.4%
MIL 44.3% +17.1%
TOR 61.4%
3P Att. %
19.5%
21.7%
MIL 28.4% +18.8%
TOR 9.6%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.
Game TotalsMILTOR
Possessions9090
Possession Minutes24.923.1
Points93111
Rebounds4141
Assists2029
Steals38
Blocks27
Turnovers (Team)14 (1)6 (0)
Fouls
Off. Rebounds (Team)15 (4)8 (3)
Def. Rebounds (Team)26 (2)33 (1)
Field Goals37-8845-83
At-the-Rim FG11-2416-24
Midrange FG15-3926-51
2-Point FG26-6342-75
3-Point FG11-253-8
Free Throws8-1218-21
Fast Break Pts
2nd Chance Pts
Points in Paint
Pts off Turnovers
Bench Points
Biggest Lead

BOXSCORE

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PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
F · 6'11" 232 · 24
46.9
38
70%
12
1
1
0
2
3
0
12
3-5
60%
7-13
54%
7-12
58%
G · 6'6" 215 · 29
36.8
17
50%
3
2
0
0
2
2
2
1
4-5
80%
5-11
45%
1-4
25%
G · 6'3" 190 · 22
35.8
6
25%
4
10
0
0
4
0
1
3
0-0
-
3-11
27%
0-1
0%
C · 7'0" 260 · 23
33.3
10
50%
9
2
1
2
2
3
5
4
0-0
-
5-10
50%
0-0
-
F · 6'5" 222 · 30
19.7
2
20%
2
3
0
0
2
0
1
1
0-0
-
1-5
20%
0-0
-
F · 6'6" 235 · 28
29.1
11
46%
6
2
1
0
1
3
3
3
0-0
-
4-7
57%
1-5
20%
G · 6'4" 200 · 26
23.4
9
50%
1
0
0
0
1
2
1
0
1-2
50%
1-5
20%
2-3
67%
F-C · 6'8" 248 · 31
15.0
0
0%
4
0
0
0
0
3
2
2
0-0
-
0-1
0%
0-0
-
G · 6'1" 198 · 25
C · 6'11" 240 · 30
F-G · 6'6" 225 · 31
C · 6'11" 255 · 30
#9 · F · 7'0" 250 · 20
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
#42 · G · 6'3" 200 · 29
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
TOTAL
240
93
49%
41
20
3
2
14
0
15
26
8-12
67%
26-63
41%
11-25
44%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.