FinalWin Prob.pScore
1870%96
88
3030%89
95
ORTG#PossPace
CHI logo CHI
102.38697.8
MIA logo MIA
106.78979.4

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

HeatBullsQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Scoring Margin

HeatBullsQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Play-by-Play

Score / WinProb
ClockTeamEventCHIMIA
Q4 - 0:00.0MIA88
0%
95
100%
Q4 - 0:10.0CHINoah Layup (16 PTS)88
0.1%
95
99.9%
Q4 - 0:12.0CHINoah REBOUND (Off:5 Def:8)86
0.1%
95
99.9%
Q4 - 0:14.0CHIBlount BLOCK (2 BLK)86
0.1%
95
99.9%
Q4 - 0:18.0CHINoah REBOUND (Off:4 Def:8)86
0.1%
95
99.9%
Q4 - 0:20.0MIAMISS Blount 7' Hook Shot86
0.1%
95
99.9%
Q4 - 0:39.0MIAPowell REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)86
0.2%
95
99.8%
Q4 - 0:40.0CHIMISS Hinrich 21' Jump Shot86
0.2%
95
99.8%
Q4 - 0:49.0MIAJump Ball Quinn vs. Noah: Tip to Hughes86
0.6%
95
99.4%
Q4 - 1:03MIADavis REBOUND (Off:1 Def:7)86
0.5%
95
99.5%
Q4 - 1:05CHIMISS Gordon 25' 3PT Jump Shot86
0.6%
95
99.4%
Q4 - 1:10MIAHEAT Turnover: Shot Clock (T#11)86
1.1%
95
98.9%
Q4 - 1:34CHIGordon 27' 3PT Jump Shot (16 PTS) (Deng 2 AST)86
1.4%
95
98.6%
Q4 - 1:42CHIGordon REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)83
0.7%
95
99.3%
Q4 - 1:43MIAMISS Davis 25' 3PT Jump Shot83
0.6%
95
99.4%
Q4 - 2:03CHIDeng 22' Jump Shot (25 PTS) (Gordon 2 AST)83
0.5%
95
99.5%
Q4 - 2:10CHINoah REBOUND (Off:4 Def:7)81
0.4%
95
99.6%
Q4 - 2:11MIAMISS Powell 16' Jump Shot81
0.3%
95
99.7%
Q4 - 2:26MIACook REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)81
0.2%
95
99.8%
Q4 - 2:28CHIMISS Hughes 22' Jump Shot81
0.3%
95
99.7%
Q4 - 2:36CHIBulls Rebound81
0.5%
95
99.5%
Q4 - 2:37CHIMISS Gordon 25' 3PT Jump Shot81
0.3%
95
99.7%
Q4 - 2:57MIAPowell 24' 3PT Jump Shot (18 PTS) (Cook 2 AST)81
0.6%
95
99.4%
Q4 - 3:14MIADavis REBOUND (Off:1 Def:6)81
1.3%
92
98.7%
Q4 - 3:15CHIMISS Gordon 19' Jump Shot81
1.5%
92
98.5%
Q4 - 3:22CHIDeng REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)81
2.3%
92
97.7%
Q4 - 3:24MIAMISS Williams Driving Layup81
1.9%
92
98.1%
Q4 - 3:43CHIGordon Free Throw 2 of 2 (13 PTS)81
2.8%
92
97.2%
Q4 - 3:43CHIGordon Free Throw 1 of 2 (12 PTS)80
2.7%
92
97.3%
Q4 - 3:47MIABarron 19' Jump Shot (13 PTS) (Blount 4 AST)79
2.0%
92
98.0%
Q4 - 4:13CHINoah Layup (14 PTS)79
2.6%
90
97.4%
Q4 - 4:15CHINoah REBOUND (Off:4 Def:6)77
1.8%
90
98.2%
Q4 - 4:16CHIMISS Deng 17' Jump Shot77
1.4%
90
98.6%
Q4 - 4:29MIAPowell Layup (15 PTS) (Blount 3 AST)77
1.8%
90
98.2%
Q4 - 4:36CHIGordon Free Throw 2 of 2 (11 PTS)77
2.5%
88
97.5%
Q4 - 4:36CHIGordon Free Throw 1 of 2 (10 PTS)76
2.4%
88
97.6%
Q4 - 4:46MIABarron Free Throw 2 of 2 (11 PTS)75
1.8%
88
98.2%
Q4 - 4:46MIAMISS Barron Free Throw 1 of 275
1.9%
87
98.1%
Q4 - 4:54MIABarron REBOUND (Off:3 Def:3)75
1.7%
87
98.3%
Q4 - 4:55CHIMISS Thomas Layup75
1.9%
87
98.1%
Q4 - 5:09MIACook 25' 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Williams 4 AST)75
4.3%
87
95.7%
Q4 - 5:31CHINoah Free Throw 2 of 2 (12 PTS)75
7.8%
84
92.2%
Q4 - 5:31CHINoah Free Throw 1 of 2 (11 PTS)74
7.2%
84
92.8%
Q4 - 5:44MIACook 17' Jump Shot (2 PTS)73
5.8%
84
94.2%
Q4 - 6:05MIAHEAT Rebound73
10.7%
82
89.3%
Q4 - 6:06CHIMISS Thomas 18' Jump Shot73
11.8%
82
88.2%
Q4 - 6:22CHIGordon REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)73
14.3%
82
85.7%
Q4 - 6:23MIAMISS Blount 26' 3PT Jump Shot73
13.1%
82
86.9%
Q4 - 6:40MIACook REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)73
10.5%
82
89.5%
Q4 - 6:42CHIMISS Noah Layup73
11.5%
82
88.5%
Q4 - 7:04MIABlount 16' Jump Shot (13 PTS) (Powell 3 AST)73
18.2%
82
81.8%
Q4 - 7:14MIAHEAT Rebound73
21.9%
80
78.1%
Q4 - 7:15MIAMISS Blount 21' Jump Shot73
25.8%
80
74.2%
Q4 - 7:37MIAWilliams REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)73
21.7%
80
78.3%
Q4 - 7:38CHIMISS Gordon 26' 3PT Jump Shot73
23.4%
80
76.6%
Q4 - 7:50CHISefolosha REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)73
27.4%
80
72.6%
Q4 - 7:53MIAMISS Williams 5' Hook Shot73
25.6%
80
74.4%
Q4 - 8:00CHILasme STEAL (2 STL)73
21.6%
80
78.4%
Q4 - 8:17MIAWilliams Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)73
30.0%
80
70.0%
Q4 - 8:17MIAWilliams Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)73
30.6%
79
69.4%
Q4 - 8:23MIALasme REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)73
35.5%
78
64.5%
Q4 - 8:25CHIMISS Gordon 25' 3PT Jump Shot73
37.3%
78
62.7%
Q4 - 8:37MIAPowell 12' Jump Shot (13 PTS)73
41.6%
78
58.4%
Q4 - 8:53CHIDuhon 25' 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS)73
47.8%
76
52.2%
Q4 - 9:10MIADavis Driving Layup (16 PTS)70
38.5%
76
61.5%
Q4 - 9:19CHIDavis STEAL (4 STL)70
43.9%
74
56.1%
Q4 - 9:24CHISefolosha REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)70
50.1%
74
49.9%
Q4 - 9:25MIAMISS Powell 26' 3PT Jump Shot70
48.2%
74
51.8%
Q4 - 9:44MIAJump Ball Powell vs. Gray: Tip to Lasme70
43.8%
74
56.2%
Q4 - 9:46CHIAnthony BLOCK (1 BLK)70
45.7%
74
54.3%
Q4 - 9:53MIAPowell 8' Turnaround Jump Shot (11 PTS)70
50.0%
74
50.0%
Q4 - 10:13MIAAnthony REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)70
56.4%
72
43.6%
Q4 - 10:15CHIMISS Gray Free Throw 1 of 170
57.2%
72
42.8%
Q4 - 10:26MIAWilliams Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T10)68
51.2%
72
48.8%
Q4 - 10:42CHIGray Poss Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T14)68
45.1%
72
54.9%
Q4 - 10:42CHIGray REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)68
51.2%
72
48.8%
Q4 - 10:43CHIMISS Sefolosha 19' Jump Shot68
47.0%
72
53.0%
Q4 - 11:03CHIBulls Rebound68
51.3%
72
48.7%
Q4 - 11:04MIAMISS Davis 25' 3PT Jump Shot68
49.6%
72
50.4%
Q4 - 11:25CHIGordon Free Throw 2 of 2 (9 PTS)68
45.7%
72
54.3%
Q4 - 11:25CHIMISS Gordon Free Throw 1 of 267
45.1%
72
54.9%
Q4 - 11:37MIADavis 25' 3PT Jump Shot (14 PTS) (Williams 3 AST)67
45.9%
72
54.1%
Q3 - 0:00.0CHI67
56.5%
69
43.5%
Q3 - 0:00.0MIAAnthony REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)67
62.0%
69
38.0%
Q3 - 0:00.0MIAAnthony Tip Shot (6 PTS)67
62.0%
69
38.0%
Q3 - 0:03.0MIAMISS Quinn 17' Jump Shot67
70.8%
67
29.2%
Q3 - 0:09.0CHIDavis STEAL (3 STL)67
67.7%
67
32.3%
Q3 - 0:29.0CHIDeng REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)67
72.0%
67
28.0%
Q3 - 0:31.0MIAMISS Anthony 14' Jump Shot67
70.7%
67
29.3%
Q3 - 0:55.0MIAPowell REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)67
67.6%
67
32.4%
Q3 - 0:56.0CHIMISS Deng 25' 3PT Jump Shot67
68.9%
67
31.1%
Q3 - 1:13MIAQuinn 26' 3PT Jump Shot (16 PTS) (Davis 2 AST)67
72.5%
67
27.5%
Q3 - 1:29CHIGordon 25' 3PT Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Gray 1 AST)67
79.5%
64
20.5%
Q3 - 1:38CHINocioni REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)64
72.5%
64
27.5%
Q3 - 1:40CHIMISS Nocioni Layup64
69.6%
64
30.4%
Q3 - 1:52CHIDuhon REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)64
72.5%
64
27.5%
Q3 - 1:54MIAMISS Lasme 7' Jump Shot64
71.3%
64
28.7%
Q3 - 2:14MIAAnthony REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)64
68.2%
64
31.8%
Q3 - 2:16CHIMISS Nocioni 12' Jump Shot64
69.5%
64
30.5%
Q3 - 2:33MIAPowell Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T9)64
72.4%
64
27.6%
Q3 - 2:52CHINocioni 25' 3PT Jump Shot (7 PTS) (Thomas 3 AST)64
68.2%
64
31.8%
Q3 - 2:56CHIThomas REBOUND (Off:1 Def:7)61
60.0%
64
40.0%
Q3 - 2:57CHIMISS Gordon Layup61
56.6%
64
43.4%
Q3 - 3:03CHIThomas REBOUND (Off:0 Def:7)61
60.7%
64
39.3%
Q3 - 3:04MIAMISS Quinn 18' Jump Shot61
59.3%
64
40.7%
Q3 - 3:12CHIQuinn STEAL (2 STL)61
56.1%
64
43.9%
Q3 - 3:26MIAQuinn Free Throw 2 of 2 (13 PTS)61
60.7%
64
39.3%
Q3 - 3:26MIAQuinn Free Throw 1 of 2 (12 PTS)61
61.3%
63
38.7%
Q3 - 3:36MIADavis REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)61
64.6%
62
35.4%
Q3 - 3:41MIAMISS Powell Driving Layup61
67.6%
62
32.4%
Q3 - 4:01MIADavis REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)61
65.0%
62
35.0%
Q3 - 4:02CHIMISS Hinrich 21' Jump Shot61
66.4%
62
33.6%
Q3 - 4:09CHIGordon REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)61
69.4%
62
30.6%
Q3 - 4:10CHIMISS Hinrich 26' 3PT Jump Shot61
66.4%
62
33.6%
Q3 - 4:26CHIThomas REBOUND (Off:0 Def:6)61
69.4%
62
30.6%
Q3 - 4:27MIAMISS Barron 19' Jump Shot61
68.1%
62
31.9%
Q3 - 4:35MIADavis REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)61
65.0%
62
35.0%
Q3 - 4:37CHIMISS Gordon 5' Jump Shot61
66.4%
62
33.6%
Q3 - 4:48MIAQuinn 18' Jump Shot (11 PTS) (Davis 1 AST)61
69.4%
62
30.6%
Q3 - 5:10CHIDeng 5' Jump Shot (23 PTS) (Thomas 2 AST)61
72.7%
60
27.3%
Q3 - 5:31MIADavis 25' 3PT Jump Shot (11 PTS) (Powell 2 AST)59
69.5%
60
30.5%
Q3 - 5:55MIAQuinn REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)59
75.9%
57
24.1%
Q3 - 5:56CHIMISS Thomas 19' Jump Shot59
76.9%
57
23.1%
Q3 - 6:10MIAPowell 3PT Jump Shot (9 PTS) (Blount 2 AST)59
78.9%
57
21.1%
Q3 - 6:27MIABlount REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)59
83.6%
54
16.4%
Q3 - 6:28CHIMISS Hughes 15' Jump Shot59
84.3%
54
15.7%
Q3 - 6:41MIAQuinn 8' Running Jump Shot (9 PTS)59
85.8%
54
14.2%
Q3 - 6:56CHINoah Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T11)59
87.6%
52
12.4%
Q3 - 7:16MIADavis Free Throw 2 of 2 (8 PTS)59
88.8%
52
11.2%
Q3 - 7:16MIADavis Free Throw 1 of 2 (7 PTS)59
89.1%
51
10.9%
Q3 - 7:19MIABarron REBOUND (Off:3 Def:2)59
90.1%
50
9.9%
Q3 - 7:22CHIMISS Hughes 20' Jump Shot59
90.5%
50
9.5%
Q3 - 7:34MIADavis Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T8)59
91.6%
50
8.4%
Q3 - 7:51MIAPowell REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)59
90.1%
50
9.9%
Q3 - 7:53CHIMISS Hughes 19' Jump Shot59
90.6%
50
9.4%
Q3 - 8:06MIABarron 19' Jump Shot (10 PTS) (Blount 1 AST)59
91.5%
50
8.5%
Q3 - 8:33CHINoah Free Throw 2 of 2 (10 PTS)59
92.4%
48
7.6%
Q3 - 8:33CHINoah Free Throw 1 of 2 (9 PTS)58
92.1%
48
7.9%
Q3 - 8:42CHINoah REBOUND (Off:3 Def:6)57
91.5%
48
8.5%
Q3 - 8:43MIAMISS Blount 5' Hook Shot57
91.0%
48
9.0%
Q3 - 9:00CHIDeng 18' Jump Shot (21 PTS) (Hinrich 4 AST)57
90.0%
48
10.0%
Q3 - 9:17MIABarron 18' Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Quinn 6 AST)55
88.5%
48
11.5%
Q3 - 9:42CHINoah Layup (8 PTS) (Thomas 1 AST)55
89.9%
46
10.1%
Q3 - 9:56MIACook Poss Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T7)53
88.5%
46
11.5%
Q3 - 10:03MIADavis REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)53
86.9%
46
13.1%
Q3 - 10:05CHIBlount BLOCK (1 BLK)53
87.4%
46
12.6%
Q3 - 10:07CHINoah REBOUND (Off:3 Def:5)53
88.6%
46
11.4%
Q3 - 10:09CHIMISS Noah Reverse Layup53
87.4%
46
12.6%
Q3 - 10:29MIADavis 26' 3PT Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Cook 1 AST)53
88.6%
46
11.4%
Q3 - 10:47MIABarron REBOUND (Off:3 Def:1)53
91.0%
43
9.0%
Q3 - 10:48MIAMISS Quinn 25' 3PT Jump Shot53
91.9%
43
8.1%
Q3 - 11:13CHIThomas Alley Oop Dunk (4 PTS) (Hinrich 3 AST)53
91.0%
43
9.0%
Q3 - 11:31MIABlount Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T6)51
89.9%
43
10.1%
Q3 - 11:49CHIHughes Driving Layup (6 PTS)51
88.5%
43
11.5%
Q2 - 0:00.0MIA49
87.1%
43
12.9%
Q2 - 0:00.0MIAHEAT Rebound49
85.4%
43
14.6%
Q2 - 0:00.0MIAMISS Barron 25' 3PT Jump Shot49
86.6%
43
13.4%
Q2 - 0:03.0CHIHughes Driving Layup (4 PTS) (Hinrich 2 AST)49
85.4%
43
14.6%
Q2 - 0:08.0MIAQuinn 26' 3PT Jump Shot (7 PTS) (Powell 1 AST)47
83.1%
43
16.9%
Q2 - 0:30.0CHIDeng 15' Jump Shot (19 PTS)47
87.0%
40
13.0%
Q2 - 0:44.0MIABlount Free Throw 1 of 1 (11 PTS)45
85.0%
40
15.0%
Q2 - 1:08CHIDeng Free Throw 2 of 2 (17 PTS)45
88.3%
37
11.7%
Q2 - 1:08CHIDeng Free Throw 1 of 2 (16 PTS)44
88.0%
37
12.0%
Q2 - 1:19CHIThomas REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)43
86.2%
37
13.8%
Q2 - 1:21MIAMISS Davis 25' 3PT Jump Shot43
85.9%
37
14.1%
Q2 - 1:43CHIHughes 15' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Hinrich 1 AST)43
85.3%
37
14.7%
Q2 - 2:00MIABarron Driving Dunk (6 PTS) (Quinn 5 AST)41
82.8%
37
17.2%
Q2 - 2:23CHIDeng Free Throw 2 of 2 (15 PTS)41
84.8%
35
15.2%
Q2 - 2:23CHIDeng Free Throw 1 of 2 (14 PTS)40
84.5%
35
15.5%
Q2 - 2:30CHIHinrich REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)39
83.0%
35
17.0%
Q2 - 2:32MIAMISS Blount 24' 3PT Jump Shot39
82.5%
35
17.5%
Q2 - 2:47CHIDeng Free Throw 1 of 1 (13 PTS)39
81.3%
35
18.7%
Q2 - 2:50MIABarron Lost Ball Turnover (P2.T5)36
77.0%
35
23.0%
Q2 - 3:12CHIThomas Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T10)36
75.0%
35
25.0%
Q2 - 3:27MIADavis 19' Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Quinn 4 AST)36
77.4%
35
22.6%
Q2 - 3:43CHIThomas Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T9)36
79.2%
33
20.8%
Q2 - 3:47CHIThomas REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)36
81.3%
33
18.7%
Q2 - 3:48MIAMISS Quinn 25' 3PT Jump Shot36
80.7%
33
19.3%
Q2 - 4:04MIAQuinn REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)36
79.4%
33
20.6%
Q2 - 4:06CHIMISS Hughes 21' Jump Shot36
80.0%
33
20.0%
Q2 - 4:22MIAQuinn Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)36
81.2%
33
18.8%
Q2 - 4:22MIAQuinn Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)36
81.5%
32
18.5%
Q2 - 4:36MIAPowell REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)36
82.9%
31
17.1%
Q2 - 4:37CHIMISS Gordon 22' Jump Shot36
83.4%
31
16.6%
Q2 - 4:44CHIDeng REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)36
84.5%
31
15.5%
Q2 - 4:48MIAMISS Powell 8' Jump Shot36
84.0%
31
16.0%
Q2 - 5:12CHIGordon 24' 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Duhon 4 AST)36
82.9%
31
17.1%
Q2 - 5:18CHINoah REBOUND (Off:2 Def:5)33
79.6%
31
20.4%
Q2 - 5:20MIAMISS Williams 8' Jump Shot33
79.0%
31
21.0%
Q2 - 5:37MIAAnthony REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)33
77.5%
31
22.5%
Q2 - 5:39MIAMISS Powell 3PT Jump Shot33
79.0%
31
21.0%
Q2 - 6:01CHIDeng 20' Jump Shot (10 PTS) (Duhon 3 AST)33
77.6%
31
22.4%
Q2 - 6:09MIAWilliams Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T4)31
76.1%
31
23.9%
Q2 - 6:27CHISefolosha Foul Turnover (P2.T8)31
73.5%
31
26.5%
Q2 - 6:32CHIDuhon REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)31
76.0%
31
24.0%
Q2 - 6:34MIAMISS Williams 25' 3PT Jump Shot31
75.3%
31
24.7%
Q2 - 6:48CHILasme STEAL (1 STL)31
73.5%
31
26.5%
Q2 - 7:10MIALasme Layup (4 PTS) (Williams 2 AST)31
76.1%
31
23.9%
Q2 - 7:15MIALasme REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)31
77.8%
29
22.2%
Q2 - 7:17CHIMISS Noah 6' Hook Shot31
78.4%
29
21.6%
Q2 - 7:33CHINoah REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)31
79.7%
29
20.3%
Q2 - 7:35MIAMISS Powell 12' Jump Shot31
79.1%
29
20.9%
Q2 - 7:57CHINocioni 22' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Duhon 2 AST)31
77.8%
29
22.2%
Q2 - 8:14MIAAnthony Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)29
76.0%
29
24.0%
Q2 - 8:14MIAAnthony Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)29
76.5%
28
23.5%
Q2 - 8:23MIAPowell REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)29
77.6%
27
22.4%
Q2 - 8:24CHIMISS Nocioni 18' Jump Shot29
78.2%
27
21.8%
Q2 - 8:36MIAPowell Layup (6 PTS) (Williams 1 AST)29
79.6%
27
20.4%
Q2 - 8:59CHIDuhon Driving Layup (2 PTS)29
81.0%
25
19.0%
Q2 - 9:11MIALasme Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)27
79.6%
25
20.4%
Q2 - 9:11MIAMISS Lasme Free Throw 1 of 227
80.0%
24
20.0%
Q2 - 9:22CHIGordon 22' Jump Shot (2 PTS)27
79.4%
24
20.6%
Q2 - 9:40MIAWilliams Driving Layup (2 PTS)25
77.9%
24
22.1%
Q2 - 9:54CHINocioni 15' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Duhon 1 AST)25
79.4%
22
20.6%
Q2 - 10:09MIAPowell Reverse Layup (4 PTS)23
77.6%
22
22.4%
Q2 - 10:15CHIDavis STEAL (2 STL)23
79.1%
20
20.9%
Q2 - 10:27MIALasme Free Throw 2 of 2 (1 PTS)23
80.9%
20
19.1%
Q2 - 10:27MIAMISS Lasme Free Throw 1 of 223
81.3%
19
18.7%
Q2 - 10:46CHIGray 6' Hook Shot (2 PTS)23
80.7%
19
19.3%
Q2 - 11:00CHISefolosha REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)21
79.3%
19
20.7%
Q2 - 11:02MIAMISS Powell 16' Jump Shot21
78.8%
19
21.2%
Q2 - 11:17MIADavis Free Throw Technical (1 PTS)21
77.6%
19
22.4%
Q2 - 11:27MIAAnthony REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)21
79.3%
18
20.7%
Q2 - 11:30CHILasme BLOCK (1 BLK)21
79.8%
18
20.2%
Q1 - 0:00.0MIA21
80.8%
18
19.2%
Q1 - 0:01.0CHIDavis STEAL (1 STL)21
79.3%
18
20.7%
Q1 - 0:23.0MIAAnthony 5' Hook Shot (2 PTS)21
80.5%
18
19.5%
Q1 - 0:40.0CHIHinrich 17' Jump Shot (5 PTS)21
82.2%
16
17.8%
Q1 - 0:44.0CHISefolosha REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)19
80.5%
16
19.5%
Q1 - 0:47.0MIAMISS Davis Layup19
80.1%
16
19.9%
Q1 - 1:02CHINocioni 3 Second Violation Turnover (P1.T4)19
79.3%
16
20.7%
Q1 - 1:19MIABlount 17' Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Quinn 3 AST)19
80.5%
16
19.5%
Q1 - 1:35CHIDeng 21' Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Gordon 1 AST)19
82.3%
14
17.7%
Q1 - 1:57MIAPowell 8' Running Jump Shot (2 PTS)17
80.5%
14
19.5%
Q1 - 2:11MIAPowell REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)17
82.3%
12
17.7%
Q1 - 2:13MIAMISS Cook 26' 3PT Jump Shot17
83.2%
12
16.8%
Q1 - 2:37MIABlount REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)17
82.3%
12
17.7%
Q1 - 2:38CHIMISS Nocioni 21' Jump Shot17
82.7%
12
17.3%
Q1 - 2:54CHIHughes REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)17
83.6%
12
16.4%
Q1 - 2:55MIAMISS Powell 25' 3PT Jump Shot17
83.2%
12
16.8%
Q1 - 3:21CHIBlount STEAL (2 STL)17
82.0%
12
18.0%
Q1 - 3:33CHIDeng REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)17
83.5%
12
16.5%
Q1 - 3:35MIAMISS Barron 20' Jump Shot17
83.0%
12
17.0%
Q1 - 3:50MIABarron REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)17
82.0%
12
18.0%
Q1 - 3:52CHIMISS Noah 9' Hook Shot17
82.5%
12
17.5%
Q1 - 4:05CHIThomas REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)17
83.6%
12
16.4%
Q1 - 4:07MIAMISS Barron 18' Jump Shot17
83.2%
12
16.8%
Q1 - 4:15CHIQuinn STEAL (1 STL)17
82.1%
12
17.9%
Q1 - 4:25CHIThomas REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)17
83.6%
12
16.4%
Q1 - 4:26MIAMISS Quinn 18' Jump Shot17
83.2%
12
16.8%
Q1 - 4:42CHIThomas 15' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Hughes 2 AST)17
82.1%
12
17.9%
Q1 - 4:51MIAQuinn Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T3)15
81.0%
12
19.0%
Q1 - 5:15CHIDeng Free Throw 2 of 2 (6 PTS)15
79.5%
12
20.5%
Q1 - 5:15CHIDeng Free Throw 1 of 2 (5 PTS)14
79.2%
12
20.8%
Q1 - 5:17MIABarron Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T2)13
78.3%
12
21.7%
Q1 - 5:18MIABarron REBOUND (Off:2 Def:0)13
76.6%
12
23.4%
Q1 - 5:25MIAMISS Davis 24' Jump Shot13
77.8%
12
22.2%
Q1 - 5:35CHIBlount STEAL (1 STL)13
76.6%
12
23.4%
Q1 - 5:50MIABlount 18' Jump Shot (6 PTS)13
78.3%
12
21.7%
Q1 - 6:15CHINoah Dunk (6 PTS)13
79.4%
10
20.6%
Q1 - 6:16CHINoah REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)11
78.1%
10
21.9%
Q1 - 6:18CHIMISS Hughes 26' 3PT Jump Shot11
77.1%
10
22.9%
Q1 - 6:30MIABarron REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)11
78.1%
10
21.9%
Q1 - 6:30MIABarron Tip Shot (4 PTS)11
78.1%
10
21.9%
Q1 - 6:32MIAMISS Barron Layup11
80.4%
8
19.6%
Q1 - 6:47MIACook REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)11
79.4%
8
20.6%
Q1 - 6:48CHIMISS Hughes 15' Jump Shot11
79.8%
8
20.2%
Q1 - 7:03MIABarron 20' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Quinn 2 AST)11
80.8%
8
19.2%
Q1 - 7:19MIAQuinn REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)11
81.8%
6
18.2%
Q1 - 7:22CHIMISS Thomas 6' Hook Shot11
82.2%
6
17.8%
Q1 - 7:45MIABlount 16' Jump Shot (4 PTS)11
83.0%
6
17.0%
Q1 - 8:09CHINoah Dunk (4 PTS) (Hughes 1 AST)11
84.4%
4
15.6%
Q1 - 8:18CHINoah REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)9
83.4%
4
16.6%
Q1 - 8:19MIAMISS Cook 25' 3PT Jump Shot9
83.1%
4
16.9%
Q1 - 8:42MIADavis REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)9
82.2%
4
17.8%
Q1 - 8:44CHIMISS Deng Free Throw 1 of 19
82.4%
4
17.6%
Q1 - 8:47CHIThomas REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)7
81.2%
4
18.8%
Q1 - 8:48MIAMISS Quinn 3PT Jump Shot7
80.8%
4
19.2%
Q1 - 9:12CHINoah Layup (2 PTS)7
79.7%
4
20.3%
Q1 - 9:14CHINoah REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)5
78.8%
4
21.2%
Q1 - 9:16CHIBarron BLOCK (1 BLK)5
77.7%
4
22.3%
Q1 - 9:33MIAQuinn Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T1)5
78.8%
4
21.2%
Q1 - 9:37MIACook REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)5
77.2%
4
22.8%
Q1 - 9:39CHIMISS Thomas 16' Jump Shot5
77.7%
4
22.3%
Q1 - 9:56CHINoah REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)5
78.8%
4
21.2%
Q1 - 9:57MIAMISS Quinn 25' 3PT Jump Shot5
78.4%
4
21.6%
Q1 - 10:17CHIHinrich 26' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Deng 1 AST)5
77.3%
4
22.7%
Q1 - 10:29MIABlount 21' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Quinn 1 AST)2
74.7%
4
25.3%
Q1 - 10:41MIADavis REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)2
75.9%
2
24.1%
Q1 - 10:42CHIMISS Thomas 16' Jump Shot2
76.4%
2
23.6%
Q1 - 11:03MIAQuinn Layup (2 PTS)2
77.3%
2
22.7%
Q1 - 11:18CHIDeng 20' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Noah 1 AST)2
78.7%
0
21.3%
Q1 - 11:33CHINoah REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)0
77.4%
0
22.6%
Q1 - 11:35MIAMISS Barron 20' Jump Shot0
77.0%
0
23.0%
Q1 - 12:00MIAJump Ball Blount vs. Noah: Tip to Quinn0
76.1%
0
23.9%

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

CHI
1.07 53.7%
MIA
1.09 54.6%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)
CHI
14
25
56%
MIA
11
17
65%
Midrange
CHI
13
35
37%
MIA
17
34
50%
3PT | Effective 3PT
CHI
6
9.0
13
46%
69%
MIA
8
12.0
24
33%
50%
Free Throws
CHI
16
19
84%
MIA
15
18
83%
Makes
Effective 3P Makes
%
Efficiency
Misses
Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|
CHI logo Bulls
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
L. Deng2589%12.5 / 14
J. Noah1657%8.0 / 14
B. Gordon1650%8.0 / 16
A. Nocioni750%3.5 / 7
L. Hughes630%3.0 / 10
K. Hinrich550%2.5 / 5
C. Duhon583%2.5 / 3
T. Thomas425%2.0 / 8
A. Gray4100%2.0 / 2
T. Sefolosha0-0.0 / 2
TS Makes
TS Misses

Total Points

|
MIA logo Heat
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
K. Powell1856%9.0 / 16
R. Davis1673%8.0 / 11
C. Quinn1657%8.0 / 14
M. Blount1359%6.5 / 11
E. Barron1350%6.5 / 13
J. Anthony675%3.0 / 4
D. Cook563%2.5 / 4
S. Lasme450%2.0 / 4
J. Williams433%2.0 / 6
TS Makes
TS Misses

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

CHI
70
+10
-16
80
MIA
78
+9
-11
87
Base
ORB
TOV

Scoring Efficiency

CHI
1.07 53.7%
MIA
1.09 54.6%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Efficiency & PaceThis Game
Efficiency
104.1
100.2
CHI 102.3
MIA 106.7 +4.4
Pace
93.0
90.5
CHI 97.8 +18.4
MIA 79.4
Avg. Poss. Time
15.3
16.3
CHI 14.7 +3.4
MIA 18.1
Four FactorsThis Game
EFG %
47.0%
48.2%
CHI 49.3%
MIA 53.3% +4.0%
TO %
15.1%
15.4%
CHI 16.4%
MIA 12.6% +3.8%
ORB %
28.9%
22.2%
CHI 23.1% +3.7%
MIA 19.4%
FTrt
29.6
30.0
CHI 26.0 +2.0
MIA 24.0
Misc. StatsThis Game
AST %
60.6%
58.5%
CHI 60.6% +2.3%
MIA 58.3%
STL %
8.2%
7.9%
CHI 9.3%
MIA 11.2% +1.9%
BLK %
8.5%
7.1%
CHI 9.8% +1.5%
MIA 8.3%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Shooting EfficiencyThis Game
TS%
50.2%
50.6%
CHI 53.7%
MIA 54.6% +0.9%
Rim FG%
53.0%
59.2%
CHI 56.0%
MIA 64.7% +8.7%
Mid FG%
40.0%
38.8%
CHI 37.1%
MIA 50.0% +12.9%
3P %
36.3%
35.8%
CHI 46.2% +12.9%
MIA 33.3%
FT %
75.6%
72.7%
CHI 84.2% +0.9%
MIA 83.3%
Shot DistributionThis Game
Rim Att. %
32.5%
30.2%
CHI 34.2% +11.6%
MIA 22.7%
Mid Att. %
48.4%
48.1%
CHI 47.9%
MIA 45.3% +2.6%
3P Att. %
19.0%
21.7%
CHI 17.8%
MIA 32.0% +14.2%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.22 and 2.22.
Game TotalsCHIMIA
Possessions8689
Possession Minutes21.126.9
Points8895
Rebounds3837
Assists2021
Steals810
Blocks55
Turnovers (Team)16 (0)11 (1)
Fouls
Off. Rebounds (Team)9 (1)7 (2)
Def. Rebounds (Team)29 (1)30 (2)
Field Goals33-7336-75
At-the-Rim FG14-2511-17
Midrange FG13-3517-34
2-Point FG27-6028-51
3-Point FG6-138-24
Free Throws16-1915-18
Fast Break Pts
2nd Chance Pts
Points in Paint
Pts off Turnovers
Bench Points
Biggest Lead

BOXSCORE

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PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
F · 6'9" 220 · 23
37.7
25
89%
4
2
2
0
5
0
0
4
7-8
88%
9-10
90%
0-1
0%
C · 6'11" 230 · 23
31.6
16
57%
13
1
1
1
1
4
5
8
4-4
100%
6-12
50%
0-0
-
F · 6'10" 225 · 22
30.2
4
25%
8
3
1
1
2
3
1
7
0-0
-
2-8
25%
0-0
-
G · 6'4" 190 · 27
29.6
5
50%
1
4
1
0
0
1
0
1
0-0
-
1-3
33%
1-2
50%
G · 6'5" 185 · 29
26.1
6
30%
1
2
0
0
1
0
0
1
0-0
-
3-9
33%
0-1
0%
G · 6'3" 205 · 25
26.7
16
50%
3
2
0
0
3
3
1
2
5-6
83%
1-6
17%
3-7
43%
G · 6'1" 190 · 26
18.4
5
83%
2
4
1
0
0
1
0
2
0-0
-
1-2
50%
1-1
100%
· 6'7" 225 · 28
18.2
7
50%
1
1
1
0
1
2
1
0
0-0
-
2-6
33%
1-1
100%
F · 6'7" 220 · 24
11.3
0
0%
4
0
0
1
2
1
0
4
0-0
-
0-2
0%
0-0
-
C · 7'0" 270 · 23
10.2
4
100%
1
1
1
2
1
2
1
0
0-1
0%
2-2
100%
0-0
-
F · 6'8" 216 · 24
F · 6'9" 235 · 22
#20 · G · 6'3" 190 · 22
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
#90 · F · 6'10" 250 · 27
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
#6 · G · 6'3" 215 · 22
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
TOTAL
240
88
54%
38
20
8
5
16
0
9
29
16-19
84%
27-60
45%
6-13
46%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.