FinalWin Prob.pScore
2439%102
97
1961%105
105
ORTG#PossPace
MIL logo MIL
101.09694.6
IND logo IND
109.49697.5

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

PacersBucksQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Scoring Margin

PacersBucksQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Play-by-Play

Score / WinProb
ClockTeamEventMILIND
Q4 - 0:00.0IND97
0%
105
100%
Q4 - 0:24.0MILRedd 3' Running Jump Shot (24 PTS)97
0.1%
105
99.9%
Q4 - 0:29.0MILRedd REBOUND (Off:1 Def:6)95
0.1%
105
99.9%
Q4 - 0:29.0INDMISS Granger 19' Jump Shot95
0.1%
105
99.9%
Q4 - 0:51.0MILRedd Free Throw 1 of 1 (22 PTS)95
0.1%
105
99.9%
Q4 - 0:51.0MILRedd REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)92
0.1%
105
99.9%
Q4 - 0:52.0MILMISS Simmons 24' 3PT Jump Shot92
0.1%
105
99.9%
Q4 - 1:01INDGranger 23' Jump Shot (27 PTS) (Diener 5 AST)92
0.1%
105
99.9%
Q4 - 1:21INDFoster REBOUND (Off:5 Def:10)92
0.1%
103
99.9%
Q4 - 1:22MILMISS Sessions 9' Jump Shot92
0.2%
103
99.8%
Q4 - 1:36INDGranger Free Throw 2 of 2 (25 PTS)92
0.4%
103
99.6%
Q4 - 1:36INDGranger Free Throw 1 of 2 (24 PTS)92
0.4%
102
99.6%
Q4 - 1:56MILVillanueva Free Throw 1 of 1 (22 PTS)92
0.7%
101
99.3%
Q4 - 2:05MILVillanueva REBOUND (Off:2 Def:11)89
0.4%
101
99.6%
Q4 - 2:06INDMISS Diener 28' 3PT Jump Shot89
0.3%
101
99.7%
Q4 - 2:26INDDunleavy REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)89
0.2%
101
99.8%
Q4 - 2:27MILGranger BLOCK (2 BLK)89
0.2%
101
99.8%
Q4 - 2:45INDDiener 25' 3PT Pullup Jump Shot (18 PTS) (Daniels 4 AST)89
0.4%
101
99.6%
Q4 - 2:51INDDaniels REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)89
1.2%
98
98.8%
Q4 - 2:51MILMISS Villanueva 14' Jump Shot89
1.4%
98
98.6%
Q4 - 3:03INDFoster 3' Layup (16 PTS) (Diener 4 AST)89
2.0%
98
98.0%
Q4 - 3:26MILRedd 12' Turnaround Bank Shot (19 PTS)89
2.6%
96
97.4%
Q4 - 3:43MILBogut REBOUND (Off:4 Def:10)87
3.1%
96
96.9%
Q4 - 3:44INDMISS Granger 22' Jump Shot87
2.8%
96
97.2%
Q4 - 4:02MILVillanueva Free Throw 2 of 2 (19 PTS)87
2.0%
96
98.0%
Q4 - 4:02MILMISS Villanueva Free Throw 1 of 286
1.9%
96
98.1%
Q4 - 4:16MILBogut REBOUND (Off:4 Def:9)86
2.0%
96
98.0%
Q4 - 4:17INDMISS Foster 18' Jump Shot86
1.8%
96
98.2%
Q4 - 4:34MILBogut 5' Jump Hook Shot (16 PTS)86
1.3%
96
98.7%
Q4 - 4:51INDGranger Free Throw 2 of 2 (23 PTS)84
0.9%
96
99.1%
Q4 - 4:51INDMISS Granger Free Throw 1 of 284
1.0%
95
99.0%
Q4 - 4:54MILDiener STEAL (1 STL)84
0.9%
95
99.1%
Q4 - 5:01MILBucks Rebound84
2.1%
95
97.9%
Q4 - 5:01MILMISS Ivey 5' Jump Shot84
1.7%
95
98.3%
Q4 - 5:10MILVillanueva REBOUND (Off:2 Def:10)84
2.1%
95
97.9%
Q4 - 5:10INDMISS Foster Free Throw 1 of 184
2.0%
95
98.0%
Q4 - 5:26MILBogut 2' Layup (14 PTS)84
2.8%
93
97.2%
Q4 - 5:27MILBogut REBOUND (Off:4 Def:8)82
2.1%
93
97.9%
Q4 - 5:29MILMISS Villanueva 22' Jump Shot82
1.6%
93
98.4%
Q4 - 5:45INDGranger 17' Jump Shot (22 PTS)82
2.1%
93
97.9%
Q4 - 6:01MILSessions Foul Turnover (P4.T14)82
3.7%
91
96.3%
Q4 - 6:10INDDiener 25' 3PT Jump Shot (15 PTS)82
5.1%
91
94.9%
Q4 - 6:30MILSimmons 18' Jump Shot (11 PTS)82
8.5%
88
91.5%
Q4 - 6:49INDFoster 17' Jump Shot (12 PTS) (Daniels 3 AST)80
6.7%
88
93.3%
Q4 - 7:08MILVillanueva 6' Running Jump Shot (18 PTS)80
10.1%
86
89.9%
Q4 - 7:27INDDiener 25' 3PT Jump Shot (12 PTS) (Dunleavy 6 AST)78
8.0%
86
92.0%
Q4 - 7:46MILBogut Free Throw 2 of 2 (12 PTS)78
12.7%
83
87.3%
Q4 - 7:46MILMISS Bogut Free Throw 1 of 277
11.7%
83
88.3%
Q4 - 8:02INDDunleavy 26' 3PT Jump Shot (17 PTS) (Daniels 2 AST)77
14.3%
83
85.7%
Q4 - 8:08INDO'Neal REBOUND (Off:5 Def:4)77
21.7%
80
78.3%
Q4 - 8:09INDMISS Daniels 26' 3PT Jump Shot77
24.9%
80
75.1%
Q4 - 8:27MILGranger STEAL (3 STL)77
21.7%
80
78.3%
Q4 - 8:47INDDunleavy 25' 3PT Jump Shot (14 PTS) (O'Neal 2 AST)77
26.4%
80
73.6%
Q4 - 8:51INDDiener REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)77
37.3%
77
62.7%
Q4 - 8:52INDMISS Granger 25' 3PT Jump Shot77
41.7%
77
58.3%
Q4 - 9:05INDDunleavy REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)77
37.2%
77
62.8%
Q4 - 9:06MILRuffin REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)77
43.3%
77
56.7%
Q4 - 9:06MILMISS Ruffin 1' Tip Shot77
39.0%
77
61.0%
Q4 - 9:07MILMISS Mason 12' Jump Shot77
39.0%
77
61.0%
Q4 - 9:26INDDaniels 3' Slam Dunk (5 PTS) (Diener 3 AST)77
43.3%
77
56.7%
Q4 - 9:32INDDiener REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)77
49.0%
75
51.0%
Q4 - 9:34MILMISS Mason 12' Turnaround Fadeaway Shot77
50.9%
75
49.1%
Q4 - 9:49INDDiener 25' 3PT Jump Shot (9 PTS) (Dunleavy 5 AST)77
55.3%
75
44.7%
Q4 - 10:07INDGranger REBOUND (Off:1 Def:6)77
64.7%
72
35.3%
Q4 - 10:07MILMISS Redd 13' Jump Shot77
66.4%
72
33.6%
Q4 - 10:33INDDiener 25' 3PT Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Daniels 1 AST)77
70.2%
72
29.8%
Q4 - 10:42INDO'Neal REBOUND (Off:4 Def:4)77
78.5%
69
21.5%
Q4 - 10:44MILGranger BLOCK (1 BLK)77
79.7%
69
20.3%
Q4 - 10:45MILSimmons REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)77
82.4%
69
17.6%
Q4 - 10:46MILMISS Simmons 3' Reverse Layup77
79.7%
69
20.3%
Q4 - 11:02INDGranger Free Throw 2 of 2 (20 PTS)77
80.8%
69
19.2%
Q4 - 11:02INDGranger Free Throw 1 of 2 (19 PTS)77
81.2%
68
18.8%
Q4 - 11:11INDDiener REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)77
83.8%
67
16.2%
Q4 - 11:12MILMISS Redd 16' Jump Shot77
84.7%
67
15.3%
Q4 - 11:22MILRuffin REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)77
86.7%
67
13.3%
Q4 - 11:23INDMISS O'Neal 3' Tip Shot77
85.9%
67
14.1%
Q4 - 11:24INDO'Neal REBOUND (Off:4 Def:3)77
83.9%
67
16.1%
Q4 - 11:26INDMISS Diener 6' Jump Hook Shot77
85.9%
67
14.1%
Q4 - 11:32INDGranger REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)77
83.9%
67
16.1%
Q4 - 11:34MILMISS Redd 17' Fadeaway Jumper77
84.8%
67
15.2%
Q4 - 11:46INDO'Neal 3 Second Violation Turnover (P2.T8)77
86.7%
67
13.3%
Q3 - 0:00.0MIL77
83.9%
67
16.1%
Q3 - 0:00.0MILSessions REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)77
86.8%
67
13.2%
Q3 - 0:01.0INDMISS Shaw. Williams 18' Jump Shot77
84.3%
67
15.7%
Q3 - 0:22.0MILBogut Traveling Turnover (P3.T12)77
82.4%
67
17.6%
Q3 - 0:44.0MILRedd REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)77
85.2%
67
14.8%
Q3 - 0:45.0INDMISS Shaw. Williams 20' Jump Shot77
84.4%
67
15.6%
Q3 - 0:54.0MILSessions 20' Jump Shot (8 PTS)77
82.5%
67
17.5%
Q3 - 1:17MILVillanueva REBOUND (Off:2 Def:9)75
77.6%
67
22.4%
Q3 - 1:18INDMISS Daniels 18' Jump Shot75
76.5%
67
23.5%
Q3 - 1:34MILRedd 16' Pullup Jump Shot (17 PTS) (Sessions 10 AST)75
74.0%
67
26.0%
Q3 - 1:43MILVillanueva REBOUND (Off:2 Def:8)73
70.2%
67
29.8%
Q3 - 1:44INDMISS Dunleavy 25' 3PT Jump Shot73
68.9%
67
31.1%
Q3 - 1:51INDDunleavy REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)73
65.8%
67
34.2%
Q3 - 1:52MILBogut REBOUND (Off:3 Def:8)73
70.2%
67
29.8%
Q3 - 1:52MILMISS Bogut 3' Tip Shot73
67.2%
67
32.8%
Q3 - 1:53MILMISS Villanueva 3' Layup73
67.2%
67
32.8%
Q3 - 2:10MILMason REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)73
68.4%
67
31.6%
Q3 - 2:11INDMISS Granger 25' 3PT Jump Shot73
67.0%
67
33.0%
Q3 - 2:20MILVillanueva 2' Layup (16 PTS)73
63.9%
67
36.1%
Q3 - 2:21MILVillanueva REBOUND (Off:2 Def:7)71
59.9%
67
40.1%
Q3 - 2:22MILMISS Villanueva 4' Jump Shot71
56.4%
67
43.6%
Q3 - 2:30MILRedd REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)71
59.9%
67
40.1%
Q3 - 2:31INDMISS Diener 26' 3PT Jump Shot71
58.4%
67
41.6%
Q3 - 2:38INDDiener REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)71
55.0%
67
45.0%
Q3 - 2:40MILMISS Villanueva 25' 3PT Jump Shot71
56.5%
67
43.5%
Q3 - 2:57INDDiener 25' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Granger 2 AST)71
60.0%
67
40.0%
Q3 - 3:14MILRedd Free Throw 2 of 2 (15 PTS)71
67.2%
64
32.8%
Q3 - 3:14MILMISS Redd Free Throw 1 of 270
66.7%
64
33.3%
Q3 - 3:28INDDaniels Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T7)70
67.5%
64
32.5%
Q3 - 3:42MILMason Foul Turnover (P2.T11)70
63.2%
64
36.8%
Q3 - 3:56MILRedd REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)70
67.5%
64
32.5%
Q3 - 3:57INDMISS Murray 13' Jump Shot70
66.2%
64
33.8%
Q3 - 4:00INDPACERS Rebound70
63.2%
64
36.8%
Q3 - 4:00INDMISS Murray 4' Jump Shot70
66.2%
64
33.8%
Q3 - 4:13MILRedd 17' Jump Shot (14 PTS) (Mason 1 AST)70
61.7%
64
38.3%
Q3 - 4:23MILBucks Rebound68
58.2%
64
41.8%
Q3 - 4:24INDMISS Murray 5' Jump Shot68
56.7%
64
43.3%
Q3 - 4:32MILMason 5' Running Jump Shot (16 PTS)68
53.4%
64
46.6%
Q3 - 4:46INDGranger Free Throw 2 of 2 (18 PTS)66
49.7%
64
50.3%
Q3 - 4:46INDGranger Free Throw 1 of 2 (17 PTS)66
50.3%
63
49.7%
Q3 - 4:50INDO'Neal REBOUND (Off:3 Def:3)66
53.4%
62
46.6%
Q3 - 4:51INDMISS Murray 24' 3PT Jump Shot66
56.8%
62
43.2%
Q3 - 5:22MILRedd Bad Pass Turnover (P3.T10)66
52.9%
62
47.1%
Q3 - 5:36MILBogut REBOUND (Off:2 Def:8)66
57.4%
62
42.6%
Q3 - 5:36INDMISS Murphy Free Throw 2 of 266
56.8%
62
43.2%
Q3 - 5:36INDMurphy Free Throw 1 of 2 (13 PTS)66
54.0%
62
46.0%
Q3 - 5:49MILMason 11' Floating Jump Shot (14 PTS) (Redd 1 AST)66
57.0%
61
43.0%
Q3 - 6:05INDDunleavy Free Throw 2 of 2 (11 PTS)64
52.3%
61
47.7%
Q3 - 6:05INDDunleavy Free Throw 1 of 2 (10 PTS)64
52.9%
60
47.1%
Q3 - 6:18MILSessions 3' Layup (6 PTS)64
56.0%
59
44.0%
Q3 - 6:30INDMurray 1' Driving Layup (8 PTS)62
52.4%
59
47.6%
Q3 - 6:38INDDunleavy REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)62
56.1%
57
43.9%
Q3 - 6:39MILMISS Redd 15' Jump Shot62
57.4%
57
42.6%
Q3 - 6:56MILVillanueva REBOUND (Off:1 Def:7)62
60.3%
57
39.7%
Q3 - 6:57INDMISS Foster 4' Jump Shot62
59.0%
57
41.0%
Q3 - 7:12MILBogut 1' Layup (11 PTS) (Villanueva 2 AST)62
54.9%
57
45.1%
Q3 - 7:27MILBucks Rebound60
51.7%
57
48.3%
Q3 - 7:28INDMISS Murray 21' Jump Shot60
50.3%
57
49.7%
Q3 - 7:39MILRedd 7' Driving Hook Shot (12 PTS)60
47.2%
57
52.8%
Q3 - 7:57INDFoster 1' Layup (10 PTS) (Murray 3 AST)58
44.0%
57
56.0%
Q3 - 8:05INDFoster REBOUND (Off:5 Def:9)58
47.0%
55
53.0%
Q3 - 8:05MILMISS Sessions 3' Jump Shot58
48.3%
55
51.7%
Q3 - 8:27INDFoster 1' Dunk (8 PTS) (Murray 2 AST)58
51.3%
55
48.7%
Q3 - 8:42INDFoster REBOUND (Off:5 Def:8)58
54.6%
53
45.4%
Q3 - 8:42MILMISS Mason 13' Fadeaway Jumper58
55.9%
53
44.1%
Q3 - 9:00INDGranger Foul Turnover (P2.T6)58
58.8%
53
41.2%
Q3 - 9:11INDFoster REBOUND (Off:5 Def:7)58
53.8%
53
46.2%
Q3 - 9:11MILMISS Bogut Free Throw 2 of 258
54.3%
53
45.7%
Q3 - 9:11MILMISS Bogut Free Throw 1 of 258
56.1%
53
43.9%
Q3 - 9:32INDMurphy 14' Jump Shot (12 PTS) (Foster 2 AST)58
57.6%
53
42.4%
Q3 - 9:36INDFoster REBOUND (Off:5 Def:6)58
61.0%
51
39.0%
Q3 - 9:37INDMISS Granger 25' 3PT Jump Shot58
63.5%
51
36.5%
Q3 - 9:56MILBogut 4' Jump Hook Shot (9 PTS) (Sessions 9 AST)58
61.0%
51
39.0%
Q3 - 10:02MILVillanueva REBOUND (Off:1 Def:6)56
56.8%
51
43.2%
Q3 - 10:03INDFoster REBOUND (Off:4 Def:6)56
52.9%
51
47.1%
Q3 - 10:03INDMISS Foster 2' Tip Shot56
55.6%
51
44.4%
Q3 - 10:04INDMISS Murray 2' Layup56
55.6%
51
44.4%
Q3 - 10:11INDMurphy REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)56
52.9%
51
47.1%
Q3 - 10:12MILMISS Redd 24' 3PT Jump Shot56
54.1%
51
45.9%
Q3 - 10:22INDDunleavy Free Throw 2 of 2 (9 PTS)56
56.8%
51
43.2%
Q3 - 10:22INDDunleavy Free Throw 1 of 2 (8 PTS)56
57.4%
50
42.6%
Q3 - 10:33MILMason 2' Reverse Layup (12 PTS) (Sessions 8 AST)56
59.9%
49
40.1%
Q3 - 10:40MILSessions REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)54
56.8%
49
43.2%
Q3 - 10:41INDMISS Granger 3PT Jump Shot54
55.7%
49
44.3%
Q3 - 10:54INDGranger REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)54
53.0%
49
47.0%
Q3 - 10:55MILMISS Sessions 22' Jump Shot54
54.1%
49
45.9%
Q3 - 11:06MILVillanueva REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)54
55.9%
49
44.1%
Q3 - 11:07INDMISS Dunleavy 4' Jump Shot54
54.9%
49
45.1%
Q3 - 11:13MILMurphy STEAL (1 STL)54
52.4%
49
47.6%
Q3 - 11:27MILBucks Rebound54
56.0%
49
44.0%
Q3 - 11:29INDMISS Dunleavy 24' 3PT Jump Shot54
54.9%
49
45.1%
Q3 - 11:47MILBogut Free Throw 2 of 2 (7 PTS)54
52.4%
49
47.6%
Q3 - 11:47MILBogut Free Throw 1 of 2 (6 PTS)53
51.2%
49
48.8%
Q2 - 0:00.0MIL52
49.2%
49
50.8%
Q2 - 0:00.0MILBucks Rebound52
49.2%
49
50.8%
Q2 - 0:00.0MILMISS Simmons 26' 3PT Jump Shot52
46.6%
49
53.4%
Q2 - 0:16.0MILSimmons REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)52
48.1%
49
51.9%
Q2 - 0:17.0INDMISS Granger 22' Jump Shot52
47.4%
49
52.6%
Q2 - 0:32.0MILSessions Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)52
45.8%
49
54.2%
Q2 - 0:32.0MILSessions Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)51
45.2%
49
54.8%
Q2 - 0:46.0MILBogut REBOUND (Off:2 Def:7)50
41.6%
49
58.4%
Q2 - 0:46.0INDMISS Granger Free Throw 1 of 150
41.3%
49
58.7%
Q2 - 1:00MILBogut 3' Jump Bank Shot (5 PTS) (Sessions 7 AST)50
45.7%
47
54.3%
Q2 - 1:03MILBucks Rebound48
41.1%
47
58.9%
Q2 - 1:03MILFoster BLOCK (1 BLK)48
40.0%
47
60.0%
Q2 - 1:12MILBogut REBOUND (Off:2 Def:6)48
41.2%
47
58.8%
Q2 - 1:13INDMISS Dunleavy 3PT Jump Shot48
40.7%
47
59.3%
Q2 - 1:28INDFoster REBOUND (Off:3 Def:6)48
39.5%
47
60.5%
Q2 - 1:29INDMISS Granger 26' 3PT Jump Shot48
40.7%
47
59.3%
Q2 - 1:46MILMason Free Throw 1 of 1 (10 PTS)48
39.5%
47
60.5%
Q2 - 2:00MILMason REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)45
32.2%
47
67.8%
Q2 - 2:01INDMISS Murray 18' Pullup Jump Shot45
32.1%
47
67.9%
Q2 - 2:19MILSimmons 21' Jump Shot (9 PTS) (Sessions 6 AST)45
30.3%
47
69.7%
Q2 - 2:31MILSimmons REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)43
27.5%
47
72.5%
Q2 - 2:32INDMISS Dunleavy 7' Jump Hook Shot43
26.8%
47
73.2%
Q2 - 2:40MILMurray STEAL (2 STL)43
25.3%
47
74.7%
Q2 - 2:47INDMurphy 1' Driving Layup (10 PTS)43
27.5%
47
72.5%
Q2 - 3:06MILSimmons 21' Jump Shot (7 PTS) (Sessions 5 AST)43
30.2%
45
69.8%
Q2 - 3:28INDMurphy 26' 3PT Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Dunleavy 4 AST)41
28.0%
45
72.0%
Q2 - 3:35INDFoster REBOUND (Off:2 Def:6)41
32.7%
42
67.3%
Q2 - 3:36MILMISS Redd 5' Running Jump Shot41
33.6%
42
66.4%
Q2 - 3:52MILBucks Rebound41
35.8%
42
64.2%
Q2 - 3:53INDMISS Granger 24' 3PT Jump Shot41
34.8%
42
65.2%
Q2 - 4:09MILVillanueva Free Throw 2 of 2 (14 PTS)41
32.8%
42
67.2%
Q2 - 4:09MILVillanueva Free Throw 1 of 2 (13 PTS)40
32.4%
42
67.6%
Q2 - 4:19INDDunleavy Free Throw 2 of 2 (7 PTS)39
30.3%
42
69.7%
Q2 - 4:19INDDunleavy Free Throw 1 of 2 (6 PTS)39
30.7%
41
69.3%
Q2 - 4:23MILFoster STEAL (1 STL)39
32.8%
40
67.2%
Q2 - 4:40INDGranger 4' Driving Finger Roll Layup (14 PTS)39
35.4%
40
64.6%
Q2 - 4:51INDFoster REBOUND (Off:2 Def:5)39
38.1%
38
61.9%
Q2 - 4:52MILMISS Ivey 6' Jump Shot39
38.9%
38
61.1%
Q2 - 5:05MILBogut REBOUND (Off:2 Def:5)39
40.8%
38
59.2%
Q2 - 5:06INDMISS Diener 21' Jump Shot39
39.9%
38
60.1%
Q2 - 5:27MILRedd 9' Fadeaway Bank Shot (10 PTS)39
37.8%
38
62.2%
Q2 - 5:34MILRedd REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)37
35.4%
38
64.6%
Q2 - 5:35INDMISS Murphy 25' 3PT Jump Shot37
34.6%
38
65.4%
Q2 - 5:46MILSimmons 25' 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Bogut 3 AST)37
32.7%
38
67.3%
Q2 - 5:50MILBogut REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)34
28.1%
38
71.9%
Q2 - 5:51MILMISS Simmons 13' Jump Shot34
26.4%
38
73.6%
Q2 - 6:09MILBogut REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)34
28.4%
38
71.6%
Q2 - 6:10INDMISS Granger 4' Jump Shot34
27.6%
38
72.4%
Q2 - 6:18MILDaniels STEAL (1 STL)34
25.8%
38
74.2%
Q2 - 6:30INDMurphy 1' Layup (5 PTS) (Dunleavy 3 AST)34
28.4%
38
71.6%
Q2 - 6:47MILVillanueva 25' 3PT Jump Shot (12 PTS) (Ivey 1 AST)34
30.2%
36
69.8%
Q2 - 7:02MILBucks Rebound31
26.5%
36
73.5%
Q2 - 7:02INDMISS O'Neal 7' Jump Hook Shot31
25.9%
36
74.1%
Q2 - 7:18INDDiener REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)31
24.4%
36
75.6%
Q2 - 7:20MILMISS Sessions 11' Pullup Jump Shot31
25.0%
36
75.0%
Q2 - 7:39INDO'Neal Foul Turnover (P1.T5)31
26.5%
36
73.5%
Q2 - 7:41INDFoster REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)31
24.3%
36
75.7%
Q2 - 7:42MILMISS Ivey 3' Running Jump Shot31
25.0%
36
75.0%
Q2 - 7:47MILSimmons REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)31
26.5%
36
73.5%
Q2 - 7:50INDMISS Dunleavy 26' 3PT Jump Shot31
25.8%
36
74.2%
Q2 - 7:55INDO'Neal REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)31
24.3%
36
75.7%
Q2 - 7:56INDMISS Daniels 26' 3PT Jump Shot31
25.8%
36
74.2%
Q2 - 8:04INDFoster REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)31
24.3%
36
75.7%
Q2 - 8:05INDMISS O'Neal 16' Jump Shot31
25.9%
36
74.1%
Q2 - 8:17INDO'Neal REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)31
24.4%
36
75.6%
Q2 - 8:18MILMISS Ruffin 7' Turnaround Jump Shot31
25.0%
36
75.0%
Q2 - 8:26INDDaniels Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T4)31
26.6%
36
73.4%
Q2 - 8:48MILSimmons Traveling Turnover (P1.T5)31
24.4%
36
75.6%
Q2 - 9:04INDDunleavy 24' 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Diener 2 AST)31
26.7%
36
73.3%
Q2 - 9:10INDFoster REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)31
30.5%
33
69.5%
Q2 - 9:11MILMISS Simmons 19' Jump Shot31
31.3%
33
68.7%
Q2 - 9:30INDFoster REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)31
33.0%
33
67.0%
Q2 - 9:30INDFoster 3' Tip Shot (6 PTS)31
33.0%
33
67.0%
Q2 - 9:31INDMISS Diener 4' Finger Roll Layup31
36.8%
31
63.2%
Q2 - 9:39INDDaniels REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)31
35.0%
31
65.0%
Q2 - 9:41INDMISS Daniels 18' Jump Shot31
36.8%
31
63.2%
Q2 - 9:58MILVillanueva 3' Dunk (9 PTS) (Sessions 4 AST)31
35.0%
31
65.0%
Q2 - 10:15INDDaniels 25' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Dunleavy 2 AST)29
33.0%
31
67.0%
Q2 - 10:23INDDunleavy REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)29
37.3%
28
62.7%
Q2 - 10:24MILMISS Villanueva 18' Jump Shot29
38.1%
28
61.9%
Q2 - 10:30MILRuffin REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)29
39.9%
28
60.1%
Q2 - 10:31INDMISS Dunleavy 2' Layup29
39.1%
28
60.9%
Q2 - 10:35INDO'Neal REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)29
37.3%
28
62.7%
Q2 - 10:39INDMISS Daniels 12' Turnaround Jump Shot29
39.1%
28
60.9%
Q2 - 10:54MILSimmons 19' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Sessions 3 AST)29
37.3%
28
62.7%
Q2 - 11:05MILVillanueva REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)27
34.8%
28
65.2%
Q2 - 11:06INDMISS O'Neal Free Throw 2 of 227
34.5%
28
65.5%
Q2 - 11:06INDMISS O'Neal Free Throw 1 of 227
33.1%
28
66.9%
Q2 - 11:27MILVillanueva 20' Jump Shot (7 PTS) (Sessions 2 AST)27
32.7%
28
67.3%
Q2 - 11:41INDFoster 3' Slam Dunk (4 PTS) (Diener 1 AST)25
30.6%
28
69.4%
Q2 - 11:45INDO'Neal REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)25
32.7%
26
67.3%
Q2 - 11:47MILMISS Ivey 24' 3PT Jump Shot25
33.3%
26
66.7%
Q1 - 0:00.0MIL25
34.9%
26
65.1%
Q1 - 0:00.0MILBucks Rebound25
34.9%
26
65.1%
Q1 - 0:00.0MILDaniels BLOCK (1 BLK)25
33.3%
26
66.7%
Q1 - 0:06.0MILBogut REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)25
34.4%
26
65.6%
Q1 - 0:07.0INDMISS Dunleavy 27' 3PT Jump Shot25
33.9%
26
66.1%
Q1 - 0:29.0INDFoster REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)25
32.8%
26
67.2%
Q1 - 0:29.0MILMISS Redd 27' 3PT Jump Shot25
33.3%
26
66.7%
Q1 - 0:38.0INDO'Neal Free Throw 2 of 2 (1 PTS)25
34.4%
26
65.6%
Q1 - 0:38.0INDMISS O'Neal Free Throw 1 of 225
34.9%
25
65.1%
Q1 - 0:57.0MILBogut Free Throw 2 of 2 (3 PTS)25
34.9%
25
65.1%
Q1 - 0:57.0MILMISS Bogut Free Throw 1 of 224
34.1%
25
65.9%
Q1 - 1:20MILRedd REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)24
34.5%
25
65.5%
Q1 - 1:21INDMISS Murray 19' Jump Shot24
34.0%
25
66.0%
Q1 - 1:36MILRedd Free Throw 2 of 2 (8 PTS)24
32.8%
25
67.2%
Q1 - 1:36MILRedd Free Throw 1 of 2 (7 PTS)23
32.5%
25
67.5%
Q1 - 1:50INDMurphy Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T3)22
30.3%
25
69.7%
Q1 - 2:10INDGranger REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)22
28.8%
25
71.2%
Q1 - 2:12MILMISS Redd 16' Jump Shot22
29.3%
25
70.7%
Q1 - 2:27INDGranger 26' 3PT Jump Shot (12 PTS) (O'Neal 1 AST)22
30.6%
25
69.4%
Q1 - 2:49MILRedd 5' Running Hook Shot (6 PTS)22
34.9%
22
65.1%
Q1 - 2:55INDGranger Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T2)20
32.6%
22
67.4%
Q1 - 3:06INDO'Neal REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)20
30.6%
22
69.4%
Q1 - 3:07MILMISS Sessions 15' Floating Jump Shot20
31.2%
22
68.8%
Q1 - 3:33INDMurray 3' Driving Dunk (6 PTS)20
32.8%
22
67.2%
Q1 - 3:50MILMason Free Throw 1 of 1 (7 PTS)20
34.5%
20
65.5%
Q1 - 3:59MILRuffin REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)17
30.8%
20
69.2%
Q1 - 4:00INDMISS O'Neal 13' Jump Shot17
30.1%
20
69.9%
Q1 - 4:17MILSessions 21' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Bogut 2 AST)17
28.6%
20
71.4%
Q1 - 4:32MILBogut REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)15
27.2%
20
72.8%
Q1 - 4:32INDMISS Murphy Free Throw 2 of 215
26.9%
20
73.1%
Q1 - 4:32INDMurphy Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)15
25.7%
20
74.3%
Q1 - 4:40INDMurphy REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)15
26.8%
19
73.2%
Q1 - 4:41MILMISS Sessions 18' Jump Shot15
27.4%
19
72.6%
Q1 - 5:07INDDunleavy 18' Jump Shot (2 PTS)15
28.9%
19
71.1%
Q1 - 5:27MILVillanueva 3' Dunk (5 PTS) (Bogut 1 AST)15
30.5%
17
69.5%
Q1 - 5:32MILVillanueva REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)13
28.9%
17
71.1%
Q1 - 5:33INDMISS Granger 2' Layup13
28.3%
17
71.7%
Q1 - 5:44INDGranger REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)13
27.0%
17
73.0%
Q1 - 5:45MILMISS Sessions 5' Jump Shot13
27.6%
17
72.4%
Q1 - 5:51INDMurphy Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T1)13
28.9%
17
71.1%
Q1 - 6:03MILVillanueva 4' Layup (3 PTS)13
27.2%
17
72.8%
Q1 - 6:05MILVillanueva REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)11
25.7%
17
74.3%
Q1 - 6:06MILMISS Redd 26' 3PT Jump Shot11
24.6%
17
75.4%
Q1 - 6:10MILBogut REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)11
25.7%
17
74.3%
Q1 - 6:11MILMISS Mason 11' Jump Shot11
24.6%
17
75.4%
Q1 - 6:26INDGranger Free Throw 1 of 1 (9 PTS)11
25.7%
17
74.3%
Q1 - 6:38MILRedd 2' Driving Finger Roll Layup (4 PTS)11
28.8%
14
71.2%
Q1 - 6:47MILMason REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)9
27.3%
14
72.7%
Q1 - 6:48INDMISS Dunleavy 17' Jump Shot9
26.7%
14
73.3%
Q1 - 7:01MILVillanueva Free Throw 2 of 2 (1 PTS)9
26.0%
14
74.0%
Q1 - 7:01MILMISS Villanueva Free Throw 1 of 28
25.7%
14
74.3%
Q1 - 7:16INDGranger 8' Turnaround Fadeaway (6 PTS)8
26.1%
14
73.9%
Q1 - 7:30MILMason 18' Pullup Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Villanueva 1 AST)8
27.4%
12
72.6%
Q1 - 7:47INDFoster 2' Layup (2 PTS) (Granger 1 AST)6
26.1%
12
73.9%
Q1 - 7:57INDFoster REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)6
27.4%
10
72.6%
Q1 - 7:58MILMISS Villanueva 8' Jump Shot6
27.9%
10
72.1%
Q1 - 8:05MILBogut REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)6
29.2%
10
70.8%
Q1 - 8:06INDMISS Granger 24' 3PT Jump Shot6
28.7%
10
71.3%
Q1 - 8:11INDGranger REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)6
27.5%
10
72.5%
Q1 - 8:12INDMISS Murray 10' Jump Bank Shot6
28.7%
10
71.3%
Q1 - 8:22MILDunleavy STEAL (1 STL)6
27.5%
10
72.5%
Q1 - 8:41INDMurray 1' Driving Layup (4 PTS)6
29.2%
10
70.8%
Q1 - 8:45MILMurray STEAL (1 STL)6
30.6%
8
69.4%
Q1 - 8:49MILVillanueva REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)6
32.4%
8
67.6%
Q1 - 8:50INDMISS Murray 3' Jump Shot6
31.9%
8
68.1%
Q1 - 9:06MILRedd 3' Driving Layup (2 PTS)6
30.3%
8
69.7%
Q1 - 9:21INDGranger 2' Layup (4 PTS) (Murray 1 AST)4
29.1%
8
70.9%
Q1 - 9:28MILGranger STEAL (2 STL)4
30.3%
6
69.7%
Q1 - 9:44INDMurray 12' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Foster 1 AST)4
32.4%
6
67.6%
Q1 - 10:01INDGranger REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)4
33.6%
4
66.4%
Q1 - 10:02MILMISS Villanueva 22' Jump Shot4
34.2%
4
65.8%
Q1 - 10:20INDMurphy 1' Layup (2 PTS) (Dunleavy 1 AST)4
35.5%
4
64.5%
Q1 - 10:38MILMason 10' Fadeaway Jumper (2 PTS)4
37.0%
2
63.0%
Q1 - 10:49MILVillanueva REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)2
35.6%
2
64.4%
Q1 - 10:50INDMISS Murray 14' Jump Shot2
35.0%
2
65.0%
Q1 - 10:59MILBogut 7' Jump Hook Shot (2 PTS)2
33.6%
2
66.4%
Q1 - 11:14INDGranger 2' Driving Finger Roll Layup (2 PTS)0
32.0%
2
68.0%
Q1 - 11:25MILGranger STEAL (1 STL)0
33.8%
0
66.2%
Q1 - 11:45MILSessions REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)0
35.3%
0
64.7%
Q1 - 11:46INDMISS Murphy 10' Running Jump Shot0
34.8%
0
65.2%
Q1 - 12:00INDJump Ball Foster vs. Bogut: Tip to Dunleavy0
33.8%
0
66.2%

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

MIL
1.01 50.5%
IND
1.02 51.0%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)
MIL
20
33
61%
IND
19
31
61%
Midrange
MIL
17
40
43%
IND
7
30
23%
3PT | Effective 3PT
MIL
2
3.0
10
20%
30%
IND
12
18.0
30
40%
60%
Free Throws
MIL
17
24
71%
IND
17
25
68%
Makes
Effective 3P Makes
%
Efficiency
Misses
Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|
MIL logo Bucks
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
M. Redd2452%12.0 / 23
C. Villanueva2258%11.0 / 19
A. Bogut1667%8.0 / 12
D. Mason1673%8.0 / 11
B. Simmons1150%5.5 / 11
R. Sessions836%4.0 / 11
M. Ruffin0-0.0 / 2
R. Ivey0-0.0 / 4
TS Makes
TS Misses

Total Points

|
IND logo Pacers
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
D. Granger2754%13.5 / 25
T. Diener1882%9.0 / 11
M. Dunleavy1753%8.5 / 16
J. Foster1673%8.0 / 11
T. Murphy1372%6.5 / 9
R. Murray827%4.0 / 15
M. Daniels536%2.5 / 7
J. O'Neal18%0.5 / 6
S. Williams0-0.0 / 2
TS Makes
TS Misses

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

MIL
81
+13
-15
94
IND
88
+14
-8
102
Base
ORB
TOV

Scoring Efficiency

MIL
1.01 50.5%
IND
1.02 51.0%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Efficiency & PaceThis Game
Efficiency
105.5
105.8
MIL 101.0
IND 109.4 +8.3
Pace
91.2
98.0
MIL 94.6
IND 97.5 +2.9
Avg. Poss. Time
16.0
14.1
MIL 15.2
IND 14.8 +0.5
Four FactorsThis Game
EFG %
48.2%
49.8%
MIL 48.2%
IND 48.4% +0.2%
TO %
15.5%
15.0%
MIL 13.8%
IND 7.3% +6.5%
ORB %
30.1%
24.4%
MIL 22.0%
IND 25.0% +3.0%
FTrt
29.4
29.2
MIL 28.9 +1.4
IND 27.5
Misc. StatsThis Game
AST %
58.2%
60.1%
MIL 46.2%
IND 65.8% +19.6%
STL %
7.2%
7.7%
MIL 5.2%
IND 10.4% +5.2%
BLK %
7.2%
7.9%
MIL 9.8% +4.3%
IND 5.5%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Shooting EfficiencyThis Game
TS%
50.9%
52.8%
MIL 50.5%
IND 51.0% +0.5%
Rim FG%
54.3%
58.0%
MIL 60.6%
IND 61.3% +0.7%
Mid FG%
41.4%
38.9%
MIL 42.5% +19.2%
IND 23.3%
3P %
34.4%
37.4%
MIL 20.0%
IND 40.0% +20.0%
FT %
73.3%
76.8%
MIL 70.8% +2.8%
IND 68.0%
Shot DistributionThis Game
Rim Att. %
37.4%
31.0%
MIL 39.8% +5.7%
IND 34.1%
Mid Att. %
43.2%
40.1%
MIL 48.2%
IND 33.0% +15.2%
3P Att. %
19.5%
28.9%
MIL 12.0%
IND 33.0% +20.9%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.
Game TotalsMILIND
Possessions9696
Possession Minutes24.423.6
Points97105
Rebounds4845
Assists1825
Steals510
Blocks64
Turnovers (Team)15 (0)8 (0)
Fouls
Off. Rebounds (Team)9 (4)13 (1)
Def. Rebounds (Team)39 (5)32 (0)
Field Goals39-8338-91
At-the-Rim FG20-3319-31
Midrange FG17-407-30
2-Point FG37-7326-61
3-Point FG2-1012-30
Free Throws17-2417-25
Fast Break Pts
2nd Chance Pts
Points in Paint
Pts off Turnovers
Bench Points
Biggest Lead

BOXSCORE

Access to boxscore predictions requires a premium subscription.
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
G · 6'3" 190 · 22
42.2
8
36%
3
10
1
2
4
4
0
3
2-2
100%
3-10
30%
0-0
-
G · 6'6" 215 · 29
40.0
24
52%
7
1
1
0
4
2
1
6
4-5
80%
10-17
59%
0-4
0%
C · 7'0" 260 · 23
39.0
16
67%
14
3
1
3
3
3
4
10
4-8
50%
6-8
75%
0-0
-
F · 6'11" 232 · 24
35.5
22
58%
13
2
0
0
0
3
2
11
5-7
71%
7-14
50%
1-2
50%
F · 6'5" 222 · 30
27.2
16
73%
3
1
0
1
2
2
0
3
2-2
100%
7-11
64%
0-0
-
F · 6'6" 235 · 28
28.3
11
50%
4
0
0
0
1
2
1
3
0-0
-
4-8
50%
1-3
33%
F-C · 6'8" 248 · 31
13.9
0
0%
4
0
1
0
0
3
1
3
0-0
-
0-2
0%
0-0
-
G · 6'4" 200 · 26
13.8
0
0%
0
1
1
0
1
2
0
0
0-0
-
0-3
0%
0-1
0%
G · 6'1" 198 · 25
F-G · 6'6" 225 · 31
C · 6'11" 240 · 30
C · 6'11" 255 · 30
#42 · G · 6'3" 200 · 29
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
#9 · F · 7'0" 250 · 20
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
TOTAL
240
97
51%
48
18
5
6
15
0
9
39
17-24
71%
37-73
51%
2-10
20%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.