FinalWin Prob.pScore
1159%103
134
2241%100
99
ORTG#PossPace
GSW logo GSW
130.1103115.1
MIA logo MIA
97.110292.3

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

HeatWarriorsQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Scoring Margin

HeatWarriorsQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Play-by-Play

Score / WinProb
ClockTeamEventGSWMIA
Q4 - 0:00.0GSW134
100%
99
0%
Q4 - 0:21.0MIABanks Driving Layup (20 PTS)134
99.9%
99
0.1%
Q4 - 0:27.0MIABlount REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)134
99.9%
97
0.1%
Q4 - 0:28.0GSWMISS O'Bryant Alley Oop Layup134
99.9%
97
0.1%
Q4 - 0:40.0GSWCroshere REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)134
99.9%
97
0.1%
Q4 - 0:41.0MIAMISS Banks Free Throw 2 of 2134
99.9%
97
0.1%
Q4 - 0:41.0MIABanks Free Throw 1 of 2 (18 PTS)134
99.9%
97
0.1%
Q4 - 0:50.0MIADavis REBOUND (Off:0 Def:12)134
99.9%
96
0.1%
Q4 - 0:52.0GSWMISS Barnes 24' 3PT Jump Shot134
99.9%
96
0.1%
Q4 - 1:01MIADavis Driving Layup (10 PTS)134
99.9%
96
0.1%
Q4 - 1:13GSWBarnes 6' Hook Shot (8 PTS)134
99.9%
94
0.1%
Q4 - 1:16GSWCroshere REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)132
99.9%
94
0.1%
Q4 - 1:18MIAMISS Quinn 26' 3PT Jump Shot132
99.9%
94
0.1%
Q4 - 1:26GSWCroshere Tip Shot (7 PTS)132
99.9%
94
0.1%
Q4 - 1:27GSWCroshere REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)130
99.9%
94
0.1%
Q4 - 1:28GSWMISS O'Bryant 8' Hook Shot130
99.9%
94
0.1%
Q4 - 1:29GSWO'Bryant REBOUND (Off:2 Def:0)130
99.9%
94
0.1%
Q4 - 1:30GSWMISS Watson 18' Jump Shot130
99.9%
94
0.1%
Q4 - 1:43MIABlount 16' Jump Shot (5 PTS)130
99.9%
94
0.1%
Q4 - 1:59GSWCroshere Foul Turnover (P1.T9)130
99.9%
92
0.1%
Q4 - 2:03GSWBarnes REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)130
99.9%
92
0.1%
Q4 - 2:04MIAMISS Marion 8' Jump Shot130
99.9%
92
0.1%
Q4 - 2:21GSWWatson Free Throw 2 of 2 (9 PTS)130
99.9%
92
0.1%
Q4 - 2:21GSWWatson Free Throw 1 of 2 (8 PTS)129
99.9%
92
0.1%
Q4 - 2:23MIAMarion Bad Pass Turnover (P3.T15)128
99.9%
92
0.1%
Q4 - 2:28GSWWright 15' Jump Shot (7 PTS)128
99.9%
92
0.1%
Q4 - 2:35GSWWatson REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)126
99.9%
92
0.1%
Q4 - 2:37GSWBlount BLOCK (1 BLK)126
99.9%
92
0.1%
Q4 - 2:40GSWO'Bryant REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)126
99.9%
92
0.1%
Q4 - 2:41GSWMISS Croshere 25' 3PT Jump Shot126
99.9%
92
0.1%
Q4 - 2:43GSWBarnes REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)126
99.9%
92
0.1%
Q4 - 2:49MIAMISS Banks 25' 3PT Jump Shot126
99.9%
92
0.1%
Q4 - 3:09GSWCroshere 25' 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Barnes 1 AST)126
99.9%
92
0.1%
Q4 - 3:22MIADavis 17' Jump Shot (8 PTS)123
99.9%
92
0.1%
Q4 - 3:35GSWWatson Free Throw 2 of 2 (7 PTS)123
99.9%
90
0.1%
Q4 - 3:35GSWWatson Free Throw 1 of 2 (6 PTS)122
99.9%
90
0.1%
Q4 - 3:38MIAMarion Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T14)121
99.9%
90
0.1%
Q4 - 3:54MIAMarion REBOUND (Off:2 Def:8)121
99.9%
90
0.1%
Q4 - 3:55GSWMISS Croshere 18' Jump Shot121
99.9%
90
0.1%
Q4 - 4:14MIABlount Free Throw 2 of 2 (3 PTS)121
99.9%
90
0.1%
Q4 - 4:14MIAMISS Blount Free Throw 1 of 2121
99.9%
89
0.1%
Q4 - 4:25MIADavis REBOUND (Off:0 Def:11)121
99.9%
89
0.1%
Q4 - 4:27GSWMISS Watson 7' Jump Shot121
99.9%
89
0.1%
Q4 - 4:43MIAHaslem Free Throw 2 of 2 (17 PTS)121
99.9%
89
0.1%
Q4 - 4:43MIAHaslem Free Throw 1 of 2 (16 PTS)121
99.9%
88
0.1%
Q4 - 4:43MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:3 Def:2)121
99.9%
87
0.1%
Q4 - 4:44MIAMISS Davis 26' 3PT Jump Shot121
99.9%
87
0.1%
Q4 - 4:51MIADavis REBOUND (Off:0 Def:10)121
99.9%
87
0.1%
Q4 - 4:52GSWBanks BLOCK (1 BLK)121
99.9%
87
0.1%
Q4 - 5:13GSWWarriors Rebound121
99.9%
87
0.1%
Q4 - 5:14MIAMISS Davis 15' Jump Shot121
99.9%
87
0.1%
Q4 - 5:31GSWCroshere Layup (2 PTS)121
99.9%
87
0.1%
Q4 - 5:42GSWBarnes REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)119
99.9%
87
0.1%
Q4 - 5:43MIAMISS Quinn 3PT Jump Shot119
99.9%
87
0.1%
Q4 - 5:55GSWWright 6' Jump Shot (5 PTS)119
99.9%
87
0.1%
Q4 - 6:03GSWWright REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)117
99.9%
87
0.1%
Q4 - 6:05MIAMISS Haslem 6' Hook Shot117
99.9%
87
0.1%
Q4 - 6:23GSWAzubuike Free Throw 2 of 2 (12 PTS)117
99.9%
87
0.1%
Q4 - 6:23GSWAzubuike Free Throw 1 of 2 (11 PTS)116
99.9%
87
0.1%
Q4 - 6:37MIAHaslem Free Throw 2 of 2 (15 PTS)115
99.9%
87
0.1%
Q4 - 6:37MIAHaslem Free Throw 1 of 2 (14 PTS)115
99.9%
86
0.1%
Q4 - 6:48MIAQuinn REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)115
99.9%
85
0.1%
Q4 - 6:49GSWMISS Azubuike 21' Jump Shot115
99.9%
85
0.1%
Q4 - 7:04MIAQuinn Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T13)115
99.9%
85
0.1%
Q4 - 7:15GSWBarnes 7' Hook Shot (6 PTS) (Watson 2 AST)115
99.9%
85
0.1%
Q4 - 7:19GSWWatson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)113
99.9%
85
0.1%
Q4 - 7:21GSWMISS Wright 19' Jump Shot113
99.9%
85
0.1%
Q4 - 7:31GSWCroshere REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)113
99.9%
85
0.1%
Q4 - 7:32MIAMISS Williams 25' 3PT Jump Shot113
99.9%
85
0.1%
Q4 - 7:38MIAMarion REBOUND (Off:2 Def:7)113
99.9%
85
0.1%
Q4 - 7:40GSWMISS Barnes 24' 3PT Jump Shot113
99.9%
85
0.1%
Q4 - 7:54MIAQuinn Driving Layup (20 PTS)113
99.9%
85
0.1%
Q4 - 8:05GSWBarnes 8' Hook Shot (4 PTS)113
99.9%
83
0.1%
Q4 - 8:21MIAMarion Free Throw 2 of 2 (17 PTS)111
99.9%
83
0.1%
Q4 - 8:21MIAMISS Marion Free Throw 1 of 2111
99.9%
82
0.1%
Q4 - 8:31GSWAzubuike Reverse Layup (10 PTS)111
99.9%
82
0.1%
Q4 - 8:47MIAWilliams 25' 3PT Jump Shot (10 PTS) (Marion 2 AST)109
99.9%
82
0.1%
Q4 - 8:51MIAMarion REBOUND (Off:2 Def:6)109
99.9%
79
0.1%
Q4 - 8:53MIAMISS Blount 19' Jump Shot109
99.9%
79
0.1%
Q4 - 9:13GSWPietrus 22' Jump Shot (15 PTS)109
99.9%
79
0.1%
Q4 - 9:26MIAQuinn Driving Layup (18 PTS)107
99.9%
79
0.1%
Q4 - 9:38GSWBarnes Layup (2 PTS)107
99.9%
77
0.1%
Q4 - 9:42MIAWilliams Lost Ball Turnover (P2.T12)105
99.9%
77
0.1%
Q4 - 9:58GSWAzubuike 25' 3PT Jump Shot (8 PTS)105
99.9%
77
0.1%
Q4 - 10:06GSWBarnes REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)102
99.8%
77
0.2%
Q4 - 10:08MIAMISS Quinn Layup102
99.8%
77
0.2%
Q4 - 10:20MIADavis REBOUND (Off:0 Def:9)102
99.7%
77
0.3%
Q4 - 10:21GSWMISS Azubuike 25' 3PT Jump Shot102
99.8%
77
0.2%
Q4 - 10:41MIADavis Bad Pass Turnover (P4.T11)102
99.8%
77
0.2%
Q4 - 10:41MIAMarion REBOUND (Off:1 Def:6)102
99.7%
77
0.3%
Q4 - 10:43GSWHaslem BLOCK (1 BLK)102
99.8%
77
0.2%
Q4 - 10:47GSWPietrus REBOUND (Off:3 Def:6)102
99.8%
77
0.2%
Q4 - 10:49GSWMISS Barnes 25' 3PT Jump Shot102
99.8%
77
0.2%
Q4 - 11:09MIAHaslem 6' Hook Shot (13 PTS) (Banks 4 AST)102
99.7%
77
0.3%
Q4 - 11:27MIAMarion REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)102
99.8%
75
0.2%
Q4 - 11:29GSWMISS Azubuike Free Throw 1 of 1102
99.8%
75
0.2%
Q4 - 11:41MIAHaslem Reverse Layup (11 PTS) (Banks 3 AST)100
99.7%
75
0.3%
Q3 - 0:00.0MIA100
99.8%
73
0.2%
Q3 - 0:00.0MIAHEAT Rebound100
99.8%
73
0.2%
Q3 - 0:00.0MIAMISS Davis 25' 3PT Jump Shot100
99.8%
73
0.2%
Q3 - 0:04.0GSWEllis 17' Jump Shot (16 PTS)100
99.7%
73
0.3%
Q3 - 0:27.0MIADavis 25' 3PT Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Quinn 2 AST)98
99.7%
73
0.3%
Q3 - 0:40.0GSWEllis 22' Jump Shot (14 PTS)98
99.8%
70
0.2%
Q3 - 0:47.0GSWEllis REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)96
99.7%
70
0.3%
Q3 - 0:48.0MIAMISS Haslem 16' Jump Shot96
99.7%
70
0.3%
Q3 - 1:09GSWJackson 17' Jump Shot (22 PTS)96
99.5%
70
0.5%
Q3 - 1:17GSWPietrus REBOUND (Off:2 Def:6)94
99.5%
70
0.5%
Q3 - 1:18MIAMISS Banks 25' 3PT Jump Shot94
99.4%
70
0.6%
Q3 - 1:46GSWEllis Layup (12 PTS) (Pietrus 1 AST)94
99.3%
70
0.7%
Q3 - 1:51MIAHaslem Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T10)92
99.2%
70
0.8%
Q3 - 2:13GSWAzubuike Foul Turnover (P1.T8)92
98.8%
70
1.2%
Q3 - 2:20GSWPietrus REBOUND (Off:2 Def:5)92
99.0%
70
1.0%
Q3 - 2:21MIAMISS Quinn 25' 3PT Jump Shot92
99.0%
70
1.0%
Q3 - 2:38GSWEllis 16' Jump Shot (10 PTS)92
98.8%
70
1.2%
Q3 - 2:55MIADavis Free Throw 2 of 2 (3 PTS)90
98.6%
70
1.4%
Q3 - 2:55MIADavis Free Throw 1 of 2 (2 PTS)90
98.6%
69
1.4%
Q3 - 3:06GSWQuinn STEAL (1 STL)90
98.6%
68
1.4%
Q3 - 3:13MIABanks Poss Lost Ball Turnover (P4.T9)90
98.9%
68
1.1%
Q3 - 3:27GSWJackson 25' 3PT Jump Shot (20 PTS)90
98.6%
68
1.4%
Q3 - 3:39MIAQuinn 18' Jump Shot (16 PTS)87
98.1%
68
1.9%
Q3 - 3:59GSWPietrus Alley Oop Dunk (13 PTS) (Ellis 5 AST)87
98.4%
66
1.6%
Q3 - 4:06MIABanks Driving Layup (17 PTS)85
97.8%
66
2.2%
Q3 - 4:10GSWMarion STEAL (1 STL)85
98.1%
64
1.9%
Q3 - 4:15MIADavis Bad Pass Turnover (P3.T8)85
98.5%
64
1.5%
Q3 - 4:26GSWHarrington 25' 3PT Jump Shot (17 PTS) (Ellis 4 AST)85
98.1%
64
1.9%
Q3 - 4:40MIAQuinn 24' 3PT Jump Shot (14 PTS) (Haslem 1 AST)82
97.4%
64
2.6%
Q3 - 4:51MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)82
98.1%
61
1.9%
Q3 - 4:52GSWMISS Ellis Layup82
98.2%
61
1.8%
Q3 - 5:02GSWHarrington REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)82
98.2%
61
1.8%
Q3 - 5:03MIAMISS Banks 21' Jump Shot82
98.1%
61
1.9%
Q3 - 5:28GSWEllis Free Throw 2 of 2 (8 PTS)82
97.9%
61
2.1%
Q3 - 5:28GSWEllis Free Throw 1 of 2 (7 PTS)81
97.8%
61
2.2%
Q3 - 5:30GSWJackson REBOUND (Off:2 Def:5)80
97.6%
61
2.4%
Q3 - 5:31MIAMISS Banks 15' Jump Shot80
97.4%
61
2.6%
Q3 - 5:35MIABanks REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)80
97.1%
61
2.9%
Q3 - 5:36GSWMISS Harrington 3PT Jump Shot80
97.2%
61
2.8%
Q3 - 5:47GSWEllis REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)80
97.6%
61
2.4%
Q3 - 5:48MIAMISS Davis 21' Jump Shot80
97.4%
61
2.6%
Q3 - 6:07GSWEllis Alley Oop Dunk (6 PTS) (Jackson 4 AST)80
96.7%
61
3.3%
Q3 - 6:09GSWMISS Pietrus Free Throw Flagrant 2 of 278
96.2%
61
3.8%
Q3 - 6:09GSWPietrus Free Throw Flagrant 1 of 2 (11 PTS)78
96.6%
61
3.4%
Q3 - 6:14GSWBiedrins REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)77
95.6%
61
4.4%
Q3 - 6:16MIAMISS Marion 4' Jump Shot77
95.4%
61
4.6%
Q3 - 6:38GSWPietrus Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T5)77
94.9%
61
5.1%
Q3 - 6:59MIABanks Driving Layup (15 PTS)77
95.6%
61
4.4%
Q3 - 7:22GSWPietrus Layup (10 PTS)77
95.8%
59
4.2%
Q3 - 7:24GSWPietrus REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)75
95.2%
59
4.8%
Q3 - 7:25GSWMISS Ellis 19' Jump Shot75
94.6%
59
5.4%
Q3 - 7:34GSWEllis REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)75
95.2%
59
4.8%
Q3 - 7:35MIAMISS Banks 19' Jump Shot75
95.0%
59
5.0%
Q3 - 7:55GSWPietrus Dunk (8 PTS) (Ellis 3 AST)75
94.3%
59
5.7%
Q3 - 8:00MIABanks Lost Ball Turnover (P3.T7)73
93.6%
59
6.4%
Q3 - 8:25GSWPietrus 15' Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Ellis 2 AST)73
92.2%
59
7.8%
Q3 - 8:38MIAHaslem Free Throw 2 of 2 (9 PTS)71
91.2%
59
8.8%
Q3 - 8:38MIAHaslem Free Throw 1 of 2 (8 PTS)71
91.4%
58
8.6%
Q3 - 8:45MIADavis REBOUND (Off:0 Def:8)71
92.2%
57
7.8%
Q3 - 8:46GSWMISS Davis 13' Jump Shot71
92.6%
57
7.4%
Q3 - 8:57GSWJackson REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)71
93.3%
57
6.7%
Q3 - 8:58MIAMISS Williams 3PT Jump Shot71
93.0%
57
7.0%
Q3 - 9:17MIAWilliams REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)71
91.8%
57
8.2%
Q3 - 9:19GSWMISS Pietrus Alley Oop Dunk71
92.1%
57
7.9%
Q3 - 9:33MIABanks Driving Layup (13 PTS)71
92.9%
57
7.1%
Q3 - 9:51GSWEllis Alley Oop Dunk (4 PTS) (Davis 10 AST)71
93.8%
55
6.2%
Q3 - 9:56GSWPietrus REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)69
92.9%
55
7.1%
Q3 - 9:57MIAMISS Haslem 12' Jump Shot69
92.6%
55
7.4%
Q3 - 10:09GSWDavis 19' Jump Shot (15 PTS) (Jackson 3 AST)69
91.4%
55
8.6%
Q3 - 10:33MIAMarion 14' Jump Shot (16 PTS) (Banks 2 AST)67
90.4%
55
9.6%
Q3 - 10:57GSWDavis 18' Jump Shot (13 PTS)67
91.5%
53
8.5%
Q3 - 11:06MIADavis Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T6)65
90.1%
53
9.9%
Q3 - 11:10MIADavis REBOUND (Off:0 Def:7)65
88.7%
53
11.3%
Q3 - 11:11GSWMarion BLOCK (2 BLK)65
89.2%
53
10.8%
Q3 - 11:26MIAHaslem Driving Layup (7 PTS)65
90.1%
53
9.9%
Q3 - 11:46GSWBiedrins 4' Hook Shot (6 PTS) (Jackson 2 AST)65
91.2%
51
8.8%
Q2 - 0:00.0GSW63
90.1%
51
9.9%
Q2 - 0:00.0GSWWarriors Rebound63
90.1%
51
9.9%
Q2 - 0:00.0GSWMISS Davis 15' Jump Shot63
89.2%
51
10.8%
Q2 - 0:17.0GSWBiedrins REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)63
89.3%
51
10.7%
Q2 - 0:18.0MIAMISS Marion 5' Jump Shot63
89.1%
51
10.9%
Q2 - 0:34.0MIAMarion REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)63
88.4%
51
11.6%
Q2 - 0:35.0GSWMISS Azubuike 25' 3PT Jump Shot63
88.7%
51
11.3%
Q2 - 0:44.0GSWEllis REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)63
89.4%
51
10.6%
Q2 - 0:45.0MIAMISS Marion 24' 3PT Jump Shot63
89.1%
51
10.9%
Q2 - 1:08GSWDavis 14' Jump Shot (11 PTS)63
88.1%
51
11.9%
Q2 - 1:36MIAMarion Slam Dunk (14 PTS) (Davis 4 AST)61
85.9%
51
14.1%
Q2 - 1:40MIABanks REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)61
88.1%
49
11.9%
Q2 - 1:41GSWMISS Davis 24' 3PT Jump Shot61
88.3%
49
11.7%
Q2 - 1:47GSWAzubuike REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)61
88.8%
49
11.2%
Q2 - 1:49MIAMISS Davis 25' 3PT Jump Shot61
88.6%
49
11.4%
Q2 - 2:07GSWWatson 24' 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Davis 9 AST)61
87.3%
49
12.7%
Q2 - 2:20MIABanks Free Throw 1 of 1 (11 PTS)58
84.2%
49
15.8%
Q2 - 2:22MIABanks REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)58
87.3%
46
12.7%
Q2 - 2:23GSWMISS Ellis 20' Jump Shot58
87.7%
46
12.3%
Q2 - 2:37MIAHaslem Free Throw 2 of 2 (5 PTS)58
88.6%
46
11.4%
Q2 - 2:37MIAHaslem Free Throw 1 of 2 (4 PTS)58
88.8%
45
11.2%
Q2 - 2:37MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)58
89.9%
44
10.1%
Q2 - 2:38MIAMISS Haslem Layup58
90.6%
44
9.4%
Q2 - 2:39MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)58
89.9%
44
10.1%
Q2 - 2:40MIAMISS Marion 12' Jump Shot58
90.6%
44
9.4%
Q2 - 3:06GSWAzubuike Reverse Layup (3 PTS) (Ellis 1 AST)58
89.1%
44
10.9%
Q2 - 3:10GSWEllis REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)56
88.0%
44
12.0%
Q2 - 3:12GSWMISS Watson Reverse Layup56
87.0%
44
13.0%
Q2 - 3:19GSWAzubuike REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)56
88.1%
44
11.9%
Q2 - 3:20MIAMISS Blount 15' Jump Shot56
87.6%
44
12.4%
Q2 - 3:43MIADavis REBOUND (Off:0 Def:6)56
86.6%
44
13.4%
Q2 - 3:45GSWMISS Davis Free Throw 2 of 256
86.8%
44
13.2%
Q2 - 3:45GSWDavis Free Throw 1 of 2 (9 PTS)56
87.7%
44
12.3%
Q2 - 3:53GSWBiedrins REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)55
86.8%
44
13.2%
Q2 - 3:54MIAMISS Quinn 20' Jump Shot55
86.3%
44
13.7%
Q2 - 4:14GSWWright Tip Shot (3 PTS)55
84.8%
44
15.2%
Q2 - 4:15GSWWright REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)53
83.2%
44
16.8%
Q2 - 4:15GSWDavis BLOCK (2 BLK)53
82.1%
44
17.9%
Q2 - 4:20MIABanks Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T5)53
83.2%
44
16.8%
Q2 - 4:34GSWWright Free Throw 2 of 2 (1 PTS)53
81.5%
44
18.5%
Q2 - 4:34GSWMISS Wright Free Throw 1 of 252
81.1%
44
18.9%
Q2 - 4:40MIABlount 20' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Quinn 1 AST)52
81.5%
44
18.5%
Q2 - 4:59GSWBiedrins Reverse Layup (4 PTS) (Davis 8 AST)52
83.2%
42
16.8%
Q2 - 5:13MIABanks 19' Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Williams 3 AST)50
81.4%
42
18.6%
Q2 - 5:40GSWJackson Layup (17 PTS)50
82.9%
40
17.1%
Q2 - 5:47MIAWilliams Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T4)48
81.4%
40
18.6%
Q2 - 5:56GSWEllis 12' Jump Shot (2 PTS)48
79.5%
40
20.5%
Q2 - 6:11MIAQuinn 24' 3PT Jump Shot (11 PTS) (Davis 3 AST)46
77.7%
40
22.3%
Q2 - 6:18MIADavis REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)46
80.9%
37
19.1%
Q2 - 6:19GSWMISS Jackson 25' 3PT Jump Shot46
81.5%
37
18.5%
Q2 - 6:25GSWWatson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)46
82.9%
37
17.1%
Q2 - 6:27MIAMISS Haslem Layup46
82.3%
37
17.7%
Q2 - 6:35MIADavis REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)46
80.9%
37
19.1%
Q2 - 6:36GSWMISS Azubuike 25' 3PT Jump Shot46
81.5%
37
18.5%
Q2 - 6:47GSWBiedrins REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)46
82.9%
37
17.1%
Q2 - 6:49MIAMISS Davis Reverse Layup46
82.3%
37
17.7%
Q2 - 7:15GSWJackson Free Throw 1 of 1 (15 PTS)46
80.5%
37
19.5%
Q2 - 7:15GSWJackson REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)43
77.2%
37
22.8%
Q2 - 7:16GSWMISS Ellis 12' Jump Shot43
75.7%
37
24.3%
Q2 - 7:22GSWAzubuike REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)43
77.2%
37
22.8%
Q2 - 7:24GSWMISS Ellis 20' Jump Shot43
75.8%
37
24.2%
Q2 - 7:39MIAMarion Driving Dunk (12 PTS)43
77.2%
37
22.8%
Q2 - 7:47MIADavis REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)43
78.9%
35
21.1%
Q2 - 7:48GSWMISS Harrington 24' 3PT Jump Shot43
79.4%
35
20.6%
Q2 - 8:00MIABanks Driving Dunk (6 PTS)43
80.7%
35
19.3%
Q2 - 8:16GSWAzubuike Free Throw 2 of 2 (1 PTS)43
81.7%
33
18.3%
Q2 - 8:16GSWMISS Azubuike Free Throw 1 of 242
81.4%
33
18.6%
Q2 - 8:28MIABanks Driving Layup (4 PTS)42
82.0%
33
18.0%
Q2 - 8:57MIADavis REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)42
83.3%
31
16.7%
Q2 - 8:58GSWMISS Jackson 24' 3PT Jump Shot42
83.8%
31
16.2%
Q2 - 9:03GSWPietrus REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)42
84.4%
31
15.6%
Q2 - 9:04MIAMISS Banks 25' 3PT Jump Shot42
83.9%
31
16.1%
Q2 - 9:30MIAMarion REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)42
82.9%
31
17.1%
Q2 - 9:31GSWMISS Pietrus 24' 3PT Jump Shot42
83.4%
31
16.6%
Q2 - 9:38MIABanks Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T3)42
84.4%
31
15.6%
Q2 - 10:02GSWHarrington 24' 3PT Jump Shot (14 PTS) (Davis 7 AST)42
82.5%
31
17.5%
Q2 - 10:18GSWPietrus REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)39
79.7%
31
20.3%
Q2 - 10:19MIAMISS Quinn 24' 3PT Jump Shot39
79.1%
31
20.9%
Q2 - 10:42GSWDavis Driving Layup (8 PTS)39
77.8%
31
22.2%
Q2 - 10:54GSWWatson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)37
76.3%
31
23.7%
Q2 - 10:55MIAMISS Davis 16' Jump Shot37
75.7%
31
24.3%
Q2 - 11:10GSWPietrus Alley Oop Dunk (4 PTS) (Jackson 1 AST)37
74.1%
31
25.9%
Q2 - 11:23GSWDavis REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)35
72.2%
31
27.8%
Q2 - 11:25MIAMISS Marion 8' Jump Shot35
71.6%
31
28.4%
Q2 - 11:47GSWHarrington 26' 3PT Jump Shot (11 PTS) (Watson 1 AST)35
70.2%
31
29.8%
Q1 - 0:00.0GSW32
66.0%
31
34.0%
Q1 - 0:01.0MIAQuinn 25' 3PT Jump Shot (8 PTS)32
65.5%
31
34.5%
Q1 - 0:04.0GSWWatson 12' Jump Shot (2 PTS)32
70.2%
28
29.8%
Q1 - 0:27.0MIAQuinn 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Blount 1 AST)30
67.7%
28
32.3%
Q1 - 0:46.0MIABlount REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)30
72.1%
25
27.9%
Q1 - 0:47.0GSWMISS Jackson 8' Jump Shot30
72.6%
25
27.4%
Q1 - 0:51.0GSWJackson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)30
73.6%
25
26.4%
Q1 - 0:52.0GSWDavis BLOCK (1 BLK)30
72.6%
25
27.4%
Q1 - 1:07GSWPietrus REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)30
73.6%
25
26.4%
Q1 - 1:08GSWMISS Watson Driving Layup30
72.6%
25
27.4%
Q1 - 1:12GSWHarrington REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)30
73.6%
25
26.4%
Q1 - 1:13MIAMISS Davis 4' Jump Shot30
73.1%
25
26.9%
Q1 - 1:34GSWJackson 25' 3PT Jump Shot (12 PTS) (Davis 6 AST)30
72.1%
25
27.9%
Q1 - 1:47MIAQuinn 15' Jump Shot (2 PTS)27
67.7%
25
32.3%
Q1 - 2:09GSWDavis Free Throw 2 of 2 (6 PTS)27
70.2%
23
29.8%
Q1 - 2:09GSWDavis Free Throw 1 of 2 (5 PTS)26
69.7%
23
30.3%
Q1 - 2:11GSWDavis REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)25
68.1%
23
31.9%
Q1 - 2:12MIAMISS Williams 25' 3PT Jump Shot25
67.5%
23
32.5%
Q1 - 2:18GSWWilliams STEAL (1 STL)25
66.1%
23
33.9%
Q1 - 2:28MIAWilliams 25' 3PT Jump Shot (7 PTS)25
68.1%
23
31.9%
Q1 - 2:38GSWJackson 25' 3PT Jump Shot (9 PTS) (Davis 5 AST)25
72.1%
20
27.9%
Q1 - 2:51GSWHarrington REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)22
68.1%
20
31.9%
Q1 - 2:53MIAMISS Davis 24' 3PT Jump Shot22
67.5%
20
32.5%
Q1 - 3:06MIABlount REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)22
65.8%
20
34.2%
Q1 - 3:07GSWMISS Pietrus 24' 3PT Jump Shot22
66.5%
20
33.5%
Q1 - 3:25GSWHarrington REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)22
68.1%
20
31.9%
Q1 - 3:26MIAMISS Banks 16' Jump Shot22
67.4%
20
32.6%
Q1 - 3:44GSWJackson 25' 3PT Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Davis 4 AST)22
65.8%
20
34.2%
Q1 - 3:57MIAMarion Dunk (10 PTS) (Williams 2 AST)19
61.9%
20
38.1%
Q1 - 4:03GSWDavis STEAL (2 STL)19
63.8%
18
36.2%
Q1 - 4:14MIAHaslem Free Throw 2 of 2 (3 PTS)19
66.3%
18
33.7%
Q1 - 4:14MIAMISS Haslem Free Throw 1 of 219
66.7%
17
33.3%
Q1 - 4:33GSWHarrington 25' 3PT Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Davis 3 AST)19
65.8%
17
34.2%
Q1 - 4:51MIAMarion Dunk (8 PTS) (Davis 2 AST)16
62.2%
17
37.8%
Q1 - 4:56GSWHaslem STEAL (1 STL)16
63.8%
15
36.2%
Q1 - 5:00MIAMarion Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T2)16
66.2%
15
33.8%
Q1 - 5:13GSWHarrington 24' 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Davis 2 AST)16
64.0%
15
36.0%
Q1 - 5:29MIAMarion Alley Oop Dunk (6 PTS) (Banks 1 AST)13
60.3%
15
39.7%
Q1 - 5:38GSWHarrington 20' Jump Shot (2 PTS)13
62.1%
13
37.9%
Q1 - 5:41GSWHarrington REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)11
60.3%
13
39.7%
Q1 - 5:42GSWMarion BLOCK (1 BLK)11
58.7%
13
41.3%
Q1 - 5:55MIAMarion Layup (4 PTS) (Davis 1 AST)11
60.3%
13
39.7%
Q1 - 6:04MIAWilliams REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)11
62.1%
11
37.9%
Q1 - 6:05GSWMISS Pietrus 3PT Jump Shot11
62.7%
11
37.3%
Q1 - 6:13GSWJackson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)11
64.1%
11
35.9%
Q1 - 6:15MIAMISS Davis 16' Jump Shot11
63.5%
11
36.5%
Q1 - 6:21MIAMarion REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)11
62.1%
11
37.9%
Q1 - 6:23GSWMISS Jackson Driving Layup11
62.7%
11
37.3%
Q1 - 6:38GSWJackson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)11
64.1%
11
35.9%
Q1 - 6:40MIAMISS Haslem 16' Jump Shot11
63.5%
11
36.5%
Q1 - 7:11GSWPietrus Slam Dunk (2 PTS) (Biedrins 2 AST)11
62.3%
11
37.7%
Q1 - 7:16MIADavis Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T1)9
60.7%
11
39.3%
Q1 - 7:20MIADavis REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)9
58.6%
11
41.4%
Q1 - 7:21GSWMISS Ellis 18' Jump Shot9
59.3%
11
40.7%
Q1 - 7:39MIAHaslem Layup (2 PTS) (Williams 1 AST)9
60.6%
11
39.4%
Q1 - 7:44GSWDavis STEAL (1 STL)9
62.3%
9
37.7%
Q1 - 8:04MIABanks 20' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Marion 1 AST)9
64.7%
9
35.3%
Q1 - 8:14MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)9
66.2%
7
33.8%
Q1 - 8:15GSWMISS Jackson 15' Fadeaway Jumper9
66.8%
7
33.2%
Q1 - 8:32MIADavis Free Throw 2 of 2 (1 PTS)9
68.1%
7
31.9%
Q1 - 8:32MIAMISS Davis Free Throw 1 of 29
68.3%
6
31.7%
Q1 - 8:42GSWDavis 14' Jump Shot (4 PTS)9
67.9%
6
32.1%
Q1 - 9:02GSWPietrus REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)7
66.4%
6
33.6%
Q1 - 9:03MIAMISS Williams 25' 3PT Jump Shot7
65.7%
6
34.3%
Q1 - 9:15GSWDavis 5' Hook Shot (2 PTS)7
64.2%
6
35.8%
Q1 - 9:34MIAMarion Driving Layup (2 PTS)5
63.0%
6
37.0%
Q1 - 9:55MIAHEAT Rebound5
64.3%
4
35.7%
Q1 - 9:56GSWMISS Pietrus 3PT Jump Shot5
64.9%
4
35.1%
Q1 - 10:09GSWWarriors Rebound5
66.2%
4
33.8%
Q1 - 10:10MIAMISS Haslem Layup5
65.7%
4
34.3%
Q1 - 10:21MIAMarion REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)5
64.3%
4
35.7%
Q1 - 10:22GSWMISS Jackson 26' 3PT Jump Shot5
64.9%
4
35.1%
Q1 - 10:39MIAWilliams Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)5
66.2%
4
33.8%
Q1 - 10:39MIAWilliams Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)5
66.4%
3
33.6%
Q1 - 10:43MIAMarion REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)5
67.7%
2
32.3%
Q1 - 10:44MIAMISS Banks 25' 3PT Jump Shot5
68.9%
2
31.1%
Q1 - 11:05GSWJackson 25' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Biedrins 1 AST)5
67.8%
2
32.2%
Q1 - 11:18MIAWilliams 17' Jump Shot (2 PTS)2
64.4%
2
35.6%
Q1 - 11:27GSWBiedrins Reverse Layup (2 PTS) (Davis 1 AST)2
66.2%
0
33.8%
Q1 - 11:34GSWJackson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)0
64.4%
0
35.6%
Q1 - 11:36MIAMISS Haslem 17' Jump Shot0
63.9%
0
36.1%
Q1 - 12:00MIAJump Ball Marion vs. Biedrins: Tip to Banks0
62.8%
0
37.2%

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

GSW
1.23 61.5%
MIA
1.06 53.2%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)
GSW
21
32
66%
MIA
20
28
71%
Midrange
GSW
19
36
53%
MIA
10
29
34%
3PT | Effective 3PT
GSW
13
19.5
30
43%
65%
MIA
7
10.5
24
29%
44%
Free Throws
GSW
15
20
75%
MIA
18
23
78%
Makes
Effective 3P Makes
%
Efficiency
Misses
Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|
GSW logo Warriors
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
S. Jackson2273%11.0 / 15
A. Harrington17106%8.5 / 8
M. Ellis1653%8.0 / 15
M. Pietrus1554%7.5 / 14
B. Davis1568%7.5 / 11
K. Azubuike1255%6.0 / 11
C. Watson950%4.5 / 9
M. Barnes857%4.0 / 7
B. Wright770%3.5 / 5
A. Croshere770%3.5 / 5
A. Biedrins6100%3.0 / 3
P. O'Bryant0-0.0 / 3
TS Makes
TS Misses

Total Points

|
MIA logo Heat
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
M. Banks2056%10.0 / 18
C. Quinn2071%10.0 / 14
S. Marion1757%8.5 / 15
U. Haslem1750%8.5 / 17
R. Davis1033%5.0 / 15
J. Williams1063%5.0 / 8
M. Blount550%2.5 / 5
TS Makes
TS Misses

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

GSW
94
+15
-9
109
MIA
87
+6
-15
93
Base
ORB
TOV

Scoring Efficiency

GSW
1.23 61.5%
MIA
1.06 53.2%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Efficiency & PaceThis Game
Efficiency
111.5
100.2
GSW 130.1
MIA 97.1 +33.0
Pace
99.1
90.5
GSW 115.1 +22.7
MIA 92.3
Avg. Poss. Time
13.8
16.3
GSW 12.5 +3.1
MIA 15.6
Four FactorsThis Game
EFG %
51.1%
48.2%
GSW 60.7% +10.7%
MIA 50.0%
TO %
13.0%
15.4%
GSW 7.8% +6.3%
MIA 14.1%
ORB %
27.2%
22.2%
GSW 31.1% +19.2%
MIA 11.9%
FTrt
27.6
30.0
GSW 20.4
MIA 28.4 +8.0
Misc. StatsThis Game
AST %
53.9%
58.5%
GSW 49.1% +3.2%
MIA 45.9%
STL %
9.1%
7.9%
GSW 11.7% +5.8%
MIA 5.9%
BLK %
6.9%
7.1%
GSW 5.3%
MIA 10.3% +5.0%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.12 and 2.12.

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Shooting EfficiencyThis Game
TS%
53.7%
50.6%
GSW 61.5% +8.3%
MIA 53.2%
Rim FG%
59.6%
59.2%
GSW 65.6%
MIA 71.4% +5.8%
Mid FG%
38.3%
38.8%
GSW 52.8% +18.3%
MIA 34.5%
3P %
34.8%
35.8%
GSW 43.3% +14.1%
MIA 29.2%
FT %
75.2%
72.7%
GSW 75.0%
MIA 78.3% +3.3%
Shot DistributionThis Game
Rim Att. %
40.6%
30.2%
GSW 32.7%
MIA 34.6% +1.9%
Mid Att. %
29.9%
48.1%
GSW 36.7%
MIA 35.8% +0.9%
3P Att. %
29.5%
21.7%
GSW 30.6% +1.0%
MIA 29.6%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.36 and 2.36.
Game TotalsGSWMIA
Possessions103102
Possession Minutes21.526.5
Points13499
Rebounds5136
Assists2617
Steals126
Blocks37
Turnovers (Team)9 (0)15 (0)
Fouls
Off. Rebounds (Team)14 (1)5 (1)
Def. Rebounds (Team)37 (2)31 (1)
Field Goals53-9837-81
At-the-Rim FG21-3220-28
Midrange FG19-3610-29
2-Point FG40-6830-57
3-Point FG13-307-24
Free Throws15-2018-23
Fast Break Pts
2nd Chance Pts
Points in Paint
Pts off Turnovers
Bench Points
Biggest Lead

BOXSCORE

Access to boxscore predictions requires a premium subscription.
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
F · 6'6" 215 · 26
32.0
15
54%
9
1
2
0
2
4
3
6
1-2
50%
7-10
70%
0-4
0%
F · 6'8" 220 · 30
30.9
22
73%
7
5
1
0
2
1
2
5
1-1
100%
3-7
43%
5-8
63%
G · 6'3" 185 · 22
30.3
16
53%
5
5
2
1
2
1
1
4
2-2
100%
7-14
50%
0-0
-
G · 6'3" 212 · 29
27.8
15
68%
2
10
1
0
1
2
0
2
3-4
75%
6-8
75%
0-1
0%
C · 7'0" 250 · 22
18.3
6
100%
4
2
0
0
0
3
0
4
0-0
-
3-3
100%
0-0
-
G · 6'2" 175 · 24
25.4
9
50%
4
2
4
0
0
0
2
2
4-4
100%
1-6
17%
1-1
100%
G · 6'5" 215 · 24
20.5
12
55%
3
0
1
2
1
3
1
2
3-5
60%
3-5
60%
1-4
25%
F · 6'9" 245 · 28
19.1
17
106%
5
0
0
0
0
2
1
4
0-0
-
1-1
100%
5-7
71%
F-C · 6'10" 235 · 20
12.3
7
70%
2
0
0
0
0
0
1
1
1-2
50%
3-4
75%
0-0
-
F · 6'7" 226 · 28
11.5
8
57%
4
1
1
0
0
1
0
4
0-0
-
4-4
100%
0-3
0%
F · 6'10" 240 · 33
8.3
7
70%
4
0
0
0
1
3
1
3
0-0
-
2-3
67%
1-2
50%
C · 7'0" 250 · 22
3.6
0
0%
2
0
0
0
0
1
2
0
0-0
-
0-3
0%
0-0
-
#19 · C · 7'2" 240 · 23
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
#18 · G-F · 6'5" 210 · 22
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
#4 · F-C · 6'10" 245 · 35
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
TOTAL
240
134
62%
51
26
12
3
9
0
14
37
15-20
75%
40-68
59%
13-30
43%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.