for complete access.
All Games Wednesday, March 5, 2008
FinalWin Prob.pScore
14
Raptors
47%95
108
20
Heat
53%96
83
ORTG#PossPace
TOR logo TOR
117.49285.9
MIA logo MIA
91.29198.7

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

HeatRaptorsQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Scoring Margin

HeatRaptorsQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Play-by-Play

Score / WinProb
ClockTeamEventTORMIA
Q4 - 0:00.0TOR108
100%
83
0%
Q4 - 0:08.0MIAQuinn 3PT Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Davis 3 AST)108
99.9%
83
0.1%
Q4 - 0:17.0TORBlount STEAL (1 STL)108
99.9%
80
0.1%
Q4 - 0:30.0MIABanks Driving Layup (21 PTS)108
99.9%
80
0.1%
Q4 - 0:38.0MIABanks REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)108
99.9%
78
0.1%
Q4 - 0:39.0TORMISS Graham 19' Jump Shot108
99.9%
78
0.1%
Q4 - 0:45.0TORHumphries REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)108
99.9%
78
0.1%
Q4 - 0:46.0MIAMISS Banks 24' 3PT Jump Shot108
99.9%
78
0.1%
Q4 - 1:11TORGraham Traveling Turnover (P1.T8)108
99.9%
78
0.1%
Q4 - 1:25MIABarron 18' Jump Shot (10 PTS) (Banks 4 AST)108
99.9%
78
0.1%
Q4 - 1:38TORBaston Layup (5 PTS)108
99.9%
76
0.1%
Q4 - 1:45TORHumphries REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)106
99.9%
76
0.1%
Q4 - 1:47MIAMISS Banks Reverse Layup106
99.9%
76
0.1%
Q4 - 1:56MIAQuinn REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)106
99.9%
76
0.1%
Q4 - 1:58TORMISS Humphries 18' Jump Shot106
99.9%
76
0.1%
Q4 - 2:11MIAAl. Johnson Foul Turnover (P4.T20)106
99.9%
76
0.1%
Q4 - 2:21MIAAl. Johnson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)106
99.9%
76
0.1%
Q4 - 2:22TORMISS Baston Free Throw 2 of 2106
99.9%
76
0.1%
Q4 - 2:22TORBaston Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)106
99.9%
76
0.1%
Q4 - 2:36MIADavis 21' Jump Shot (16 PTS) (Quinn 1 AST)105
99.9%
76
0.1%
Q4 - 2:53TORHumphries Driving Dunk (3 PTS)105
99.9%
74
0.1%
Q4 - 3:14TORBaston REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)103
99.9%
74
0.1%
Q4 - 3:15MIAMISS Quinn 24' 3PT Jump Shot103
99.9%
74
0.1%
Q4 - 3:27TORBaston 8' Turnaround Jump Shot (2 PTS)103
99.9%
74
0.1%
Q4 - 3:30TORBaston REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)101
99.9%
74
0.1%
Q4 - 3:32TORMISS Ford 20' Jump Shot101
99.9%
74
0.1%
Q4 - 3:58MIABanks Discontinue Dribble Turnover (P3.T19)101
99.9%
74
0.1%
Q4 - 4:04TORFord 9' Jump Shot (13 PTS)101
99.9%
74
0.1%
Q4 - 4:11MIADavis Free Throw 2 of 2 (14 PTS)99
99.9%
74
0.1%
Q4 - 4:11MIAMISS Davis Free Throw 1 of 299
99.9%
73
0.1%
Q4 - 4:12TORDavis STEAL (2 STL)99
99.9%
73
0.1%
Q4 - 4:28MIADavis Free Throw 2 of 2 (13 PTS)99
99.9%
73
0.1%
Q4 - 4:28MIADavis Free Throw 1 of 2 (12 PTS)99
99.9%
72
0.1%
Q4 - 4:35MIAHEAT Rebound99
99.9%
71
0.1%
Q4 - 4:36MIAMISS Barron Dunk99
99.9%
71
0.1%
Q4 - 4:37MIABarron REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)99
99.9%
71
0.1%
Q4 - 4:38MIAMISS Davis 3PT Jump Shot99
99.9%
71
0.1%
Q4 - 4:54TORKapono 19' Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Ford 5 AST)99
99.9%
71
0.1%
Q4 - 5:06TORBrezec REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)97
99.9%
71
0.1%
Q4 - 5:07MIAMISS Quinn 24' 3PT Jump Shot97
99.9%
71
0.1%
Q4 - 5:19MIAQuinn REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)97
99.9%
71
0.1%
Q4 - 5:20TORMISS Humphries 17' Jump Shot97
99.9%
71
0.1%
Q4 - 5:33MIADavis Free Throw 2 of 2 (11 PTS)97
99.9%
71
0.1%
Q4 - 5:33MIADavis Free Throw 1 of 2 (10 PTS)97
99.9%
70
0.1%
Q4 - 5:44TORFord Free Throw 2 of 2 (11 PTS)97
99.9%
69
0.1%
Q4 - 5:44TORFord Free Throw 1 of 2 (10 PTS)96
99.9%
69
0.1%
Q4 - 5:51TORFord REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)95
99.9%
69
0.1%
Q4 - 5:53MIAMISS Davis 18' Fadeaway Jumper95
99.9%
69
0.1%
Q4 - 6:16TORKapono 19' Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Ford 4 AST)95
99.9%
69
0.1%
Q4 - 6:25TORFord REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)93
99.9%
69
0.1%
Q4 - 6:26MIAMISS Quinn 25' 3PT Jump Shot93
99.9%
69
0.1%
Q4 - 6:37TORDelfino Free Throw 2 of 2 (7 PTS)93
99.9%
69
0.1%
Q4 - 6:37TORMISS Delfino Free Throw 1 of 292
99.9%
69
0.1%
Q4 - 6:46MIABanks Driving Layup (19 PTS)92
99.9%
69
0.1%
Q4 - 6:57TORHumphries Free Throw 2 of 2 (1 PTS)92
99.9%
67
0.1%
Q4 - 6:57TORMISS Humphries Free Throw 1 of 291
99.9%
67
0.1%
Q4 - 7:15MIABanks 19' Jump Shot (17 PTS)91
99.9%
67
0.1%
Q4 - 7:30TORBrezec Free Throw 2 of 2 (9 PTS)91
99.9%
65
0.1%
Q4 - 7:30TORBrezec Free Throw 1 of 2 (8 PTS)90
99.9%
65
0.1%
Q4 - 7:45MIABanks Free Throw 2 of 2 (15 PTS)89
99.9%
65
0.1%
Q4 - 7:45MIABanks Free Throw 1 of 2 (14 PTS)89
99.9%
64
0.1%
Q4 - 8:13MIAAl. Johnson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)89
99.8%
63
0.2%
Q4 - 8:14TORMISS Brezec Free Throw 2 of 289
99.8%
63
0.2%
Q4 - 8:14TORBrezec Free Throw 1 of 2 (7 PTS)89
99.9%
63
0.1%
Q4 - 8:30MIAQuinn Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T18)88
99.8%
63
0.2%
Q4 - 8:40MIABanks REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)88
99.8%
63
0.2%
Q4 - 8:41TORMISS Delfino 24' 3PT Jump Shot88
99.8%
63
0.2%
Q4 - 8:57MIAQuinn 25' 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Davis 2 AST)88
99.8%
63
0.2%
Q4 - 9:15TORKapono 19' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Ford 3 AST)88
99.8%
60
0.2%
Q4 - 9:23TORHumphries REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)86
99.8%
60
0.2%
Q4 - 9:24TORMISS Kapono 14' Jump Shot86
99.8%
60
0.2%
Q4 - 9:36TORFord REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)86
99.8%
60
0.2%
Q4 - 9:39MIAMISS Barron 10' Running Jump Shot86
99.8%
60
0.2%
Q4 - 9:58TORDelfino Dunk (6 PTS) (Ford 2 AST)86
99.8%
60
0.2%
Q4 - 10:26MIAQuinn Driving Layup (2 PTS)84
99.6%
60
0.4%
Q4 - 10:47TORFord 14' Jump Shot (9 PTS)84
99.7%
58
0.3%
Q4 - 11:06MIADavis Step Out of Bounds Turnover (P1.T17)82
99.4%
58
0.6%
Q4 - 11:23TORKapono 16' Jump Shot (2 PTS)82
99.3%
58
0.7%
Q4 - 11:45MIAAl. Johnson Lost Ball Turnover (P3.T16)80
99.2%
58
0.8%
Q3 - 0:00.0MIA80
99.0%
58
1.0%
Q3 - 0:00.0MIAHEAT Rebound80
99.0%
58
1.0%
Q3 - 0:00.0TORMISS Parker 18' Jump Shot80
99.0%
58
1.0%
Q3 - 0:08.0TORMoon REBOUND (Off:1 Def:8)80
98.9%
58
1.1%
Q3 - 0:10.0MIAMISS Marion Free Throw 2 of 280
98.9%
58
1.1%
Q3 - 0:10.0MIAMarion Free Throw 1 of 2 (5 PTS)80
98.7%
58
1.3%
Q3 - 0:30.0MIAMarion REBOUND (Off:2 Def:12)80
98.9%
57
1.1%
Q3 - 0:31.0TORMISS Nesterovic 3PT Jump Shot80
99.0%
57
1.0%
Q3 - 0:52.0TORMoon REBOUND (Off:1 Def:7)80
99.1%
57
0.9%
Q3 - 0:53.0MIAMISS Banks 25' 3PT Jump Shot80
99.1%
57
0.9%
Q3 - 0:59.0MIABanks REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)80
98.9%
57
1.1%
Q3 - 1:00TORMISS Delfino 17' Jump Shot80
99.0%
57
1.0%
Q3 - 1:13TORMoon REBOUND (Off:1 Def:6)80
98.9%
57
1.1%
Q3 - 1:15MIAMISS Davis Free Throw 2 of 280
98.8%
57
1.2%
Q3 - 1:15MIAMISS Davis Free Throw 1 of 280
98.7%
57
1.3%
Q3 - 1:28TORMoon 14' Jump Shot (14 PTS) (Ford 1 AST)80
98.6%
57
1.4%
Q3 - 1:46MIABanks Free Throw 2 of 2 (13 PTS)78
98.4%
57
1.6%
Q3 - 1:46MIABanks Free Throw 1 of 2 (12 PTS)78
98.4%
56
1.6%
Q3 - 1:56MIAMarion REBOUND (Off:2 Def:11)78
98.7%
55
1.3%
Q3 - 1:58TORMISS Nesterovic 15' Jump Shot78
98.7%
55
1.3%
Q3 - 2:18TORMoon REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)78
98.6%
55
1.4%
Q3 - 2:20MIAMISS Davis 14' Jump Shot78
98.5%
55
1.5%
Q3 - 2:29MIAMarion REBOUND (Off:2 Def:10)78
98.3%
55
1.7%
Q3 - 2:30TORMISS Parker 25' 3PT Jump Shot78
98.4%
55
1.6%
Q3 - 2:49MIABanks 24' 3PT Jump Shot (11 PTS) (Wade 4 AST)78
98.6%
55
1.4%
Q3 - 3:05MIAMarion REBOUND (Off:2 Def:9)78
98.8%
52
1.2%
Q3 - 3:06TORMISS Moon Free Throw 1 of 178
98.9%
52
1.1%
Q3 - 3:15MIABanks Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T15)76
98.6%
52
1.4%
Q3 - 3:26TORNesterovic 18' Jump Shot (16 PTS) (Calderon 13 AST)76
98.4%
52
1.6%
Q3 - 3:44MIAWade 19' Jump Shot (16 PTS)74
98.1%
52
1.9%
Q3 - 4:02TORMoon 19' Jump Shot (10 PTS) (Calderon 12 AST)74
98.0%
50
2.0%
Q3 - 4:21MIABarron 4' Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Banks 3 AST)72
97.7%
50
2.3%
Q3 - 4:38MIAMarion REBOUND (Off:2 Def:8)72
98.0%
48
2.0%
Q3 - 4:39TORMISS Humphries Free Throw 2 of 272
98.1%
48
1.9%
Q3 - 4:39TORMISS Humphries Free Throw 1 of 272
98.3%
48
1.7%
Q3 - 4:56MIAWade Free Throw 1 of 1 (14 PTS)72
98.4%
48
1.6%
Q3 - 5:12TORParker 24' 3PT Jump Shot (12 PTS) (Calderon 11 AST)72
98.6%
45
1.4%
Q3 - 5:29TORNesterovic REBOUND (Off:2 Def:8)69
98.1%
45
1.9%
Q3 - 5:31MIAMISS Davis 24' 3PT Jump Shot69
98.0%
45
2.0%
Q3 - 5:42TORNesterovic Tip Shot (14 PTS)69
97.8%
45
2.2%
Q3 - 5:43TORNesterovic REBOUND (Off:2 Def:7)67
97.4%
45
2.6%
Q3 - 5:44TORMISS Humphries 8' Jump Shot67
97.1%
45
2.9%
Q3 - 6:02TORParker REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)67
97.0%
45
3.0%
Q3 - 6:04TORMISS Parker 3PT Jump Shot67
96.6%
45
3.4%
Q3 - 6:15TORRaptors Rebound67
97.0%
45
3.0%
Q3 - 6:16MIAMISS Williams 10' Jump Shot67
96.8%
45
3.2%
Q3 - 6:33TORMoon Reverse Layup (8 PTS) (Nesterovic 1 AST)67
96.4%
45
3.6%
Q3 - 6:47TORNesterovic REBOUND (Off:1 Def:7)65
95.9%
45
4.1%
Q3 - 6:48MIAMISS Wade 19' Jump Shot65
95.7%
45
4.3%
Q3 - 7:03MIADavis REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)65
94.5%
45
5.5%
Q3 - 7:05TORMISS Calderon 18' Jump Shot65
94.8%
45
5.2%
Q3 - 7:22TORMoon REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)65
95.4%
45
4.6%
Q3 - 7:24MIAMISS Barron 9' Hook Shot65
95.2%
45
4.8%
Q3 - 7:38TORParker 19' Jump Shot (9 PTS) (Calderon 10 AST)65
94.6%
45
5.4%
Q3 - 7:50TORParker REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)63
93.9%
45
6.1%
Q3 - 7:51MIAMISS Williams 25' 3PT Jump Shot63
93.5%
45
6.5%
Q3 - 8:16TORParker 17' Jump Shot (7 PTS)63
92.3%
45
7.7%
Q3 - 8:37MIABlount Lost Ball Turnover (P2.T14)61
91.4%
45
8.6%
Q3 - 9:00TORNesterovic 20' Jump Shot (12 PTS) (Calderon 9 AST)61
89.9%
45
10.1%
Q3 - 9:11MIAAl. Johnson Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T13)59
87.7%
45
12.3%
Q3 - 9:18TORNesterovic 17' Jump Shot (10 PTS) (Calderon 8 AST)59
86.0%
45
14.0%
Q3 - 9:31TORRaptors Rebound57
84.2%
45
15.8%
Q3 - 9:32MIAMISS Wade Free Throw 2 of 257
84.0%
45
16.0%
Q3 - 9:32MIAWade Free Throw 1 of 2 (11 PTS)57
82.6%
45
17.4%
Q3 - 9:43TORWilliams STEAL (1 STL)57
84.2%
44
15.8%
Q3 - 9:57TORBargnani Free Throw Flagrant 2 of 2 (12 PTS)57
86.1%
44
13.9%
Q3 - 9:57TORBargnani Free Throw Flagrant 1 of 2 (11 PTS)56
85.8%
44
14.2%
Q3 - 10:09TORParker REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)55
81.5%
44
18.5%
Q3 - 10:10MIAMISS Williams 24' 3PT Jump Shot55
80.8%
44
19.2%
Q3 - 10:22MIABlount REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)55
79.0%
44
21.0%
Q3 - 10:24TORMISS Moon 19' Jump Shot55
79.8%
44
20.2%
Q3 - 10:55MIAMarion Layup (4 PTS) (Al. Johnson 1 AST)55
81.5%
44
18.5%
Q3 - 11:06MIAMarion REBOUND (Off:2 Def:7)55
82.7%
42
17.3%
Q3 - 11:07TORMISS Bargnani 18' Jump Shot55
83.3%
42
16.7%
Q3 - 11:24MIAMarion Lost Ball Turnover (P2.T12)55
84.7%
42
15.3%
Q3 - 11:42TORMoon 19' Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Bargnani 2 AST)55
82.8%
42
17.2%
Q2 - 0:00.0MIA53
80.8%
42
19.2%
Q2 - 0:00.0MIAHEAT Rebound53
78.5%
42
21.5%
Q2 - 0:00.0MIAMISS Wade 68' 3PT Jump Shot53
80.1%
42
19.9%
Q2 - 0:01.0TORNesterovic 18' Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Calderon 7 AST)53
77.9%
42
22.1%
Q2 - 0:23.0MIAWade Bad Pass Turnover (P5.T11)51
74.8%
42
25.2%
Q2 - 0:39.0MIAHEAT Rebound51
73.0%
42
27.0%
Q2 - 0:40.0TORMISS Delfino 24' 3PT Jump Shot51
73.6%
42
26.4%
Q2 - 0:59.0MIAMarion Dunk (2 PTS) (Blount 1 AST)51
74.9%
42
25.1%
Q2 - 1:04TORDavis STEAL (1 STL)51
77.4%
40
22.6%
Q2 - 1:25MIAWade Reverse Layup (10 PTS)51
78.6%
40
21.4%
Q2 - 1:36MIAMarion REBOUND (Off:2 Def:6)51
81.6%
38
18.4%
Q2 - 1:37TORMISS Parker 24' 3PT Jump Shot51
81.9%
38
18.1%
Q2 - 1:47TORCalderon REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)51
82.6%
38
17.4%
Q2 - 1:49TORMISS Nesterovic 6' Hook Shot51
82.0%
38
18.0%
Q2 - 2:01TORCalderon REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)51
82.2%
38
17.8%
Q2 - 2:02MIAMISS Williams 17' Jump Shot51
81.6%
38
18.4%
Q2 - 2:08MIAMarion REBOUND (Off:2 Def:5)51
80.4%
38
19.6%
Q2 - 2:10TORMISS Parker 18' Jump Shot51
80.9%
38
19.1%
Q2 - 2:28MIAMarion Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T10)51
82.2%
38
17.8%
Q2 - 2:36MIABlount REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)51
80.5%
38
19.5%
Q2 - 2:38TORMISS Delfino 25' 3PT Jump Shot51
81.0%
38
19.0%
Q2 - 2:54MIABlount 14' Turnaround Jump Shot (2 PTS)51
82.2%
38
17.8%
Q2 - 3:12TORCalderon 17' Jump Shot (9 PTS)51
82.7%
36
17.3%
Q2 - 3:33MIAWade Driving Layup (8 PTS)49
81.2%
36
18.8%
Q2 - 3:56TORCalderon 24' 3PT Jump Shot (7 PTS) (Parker 3 AST)49
82.8%
34
17.2%
Q2 - 4:03TORParker REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)46
78.2%
34
21.8%
Q2 - 4:04MIAMISS Wade 24' 3PT Jump Shot46
77.6%
34
22.4%
Q2 - 4:10MIADavis REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)46
76.2%
34
23.8%
Q2 - 4:11TORMISS Bargnani 24' Jump Shot46
76.9%
34
23.1%
Q2 - 4:20MIAWade Bad Pass Turnover (P4.T9)46
78.3%
34
21.7%
Q2 - 4:42TORNesterovic Layup (6 PTS) (Delfino 2 AST)46
76.3%
34
23.7%
Q2 - 4:52MIAAl. Johnson Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T8)44
74.1%
34
25.9%
Q2 - 4:54MIAAl. Johnson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)44
71.8%
34
28.2%
Q2 - 4:56MIAMISS Barron 19' Jump Shot44
73.4%
34
26.6%
Q2 - 5:13TORDelfino Reverse Layup (4 PTS)44
71.3%
34
28.7%
Q2 - 5:34TORNesterovic REBOUND (Off:1 Def:6)42
69.1%
34
30.9%
Q2 - 5:35MIAMISS Davis Layup42
68.3%
34
31.7%
Q2 - 5:45TORBrezec 3 Second Violation Turnover (P1.T4)42
66.5%
34
33.5%
Q2 - 6:05MIABanks 24' 3PT Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Davis 1 AST)42
68.7%
34
31.3%
Q2 - 6:24MIAAl. Johnson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)42
72.8%
31
27.2%
Q2 - 6:26TORMISS Brezec Free Throw 1 of 142
73.2%
31
26.8%
Q2 - 6:38MIADavis Free Throw 2 of 2 (9 PTS)40
71.1%
31
28.9%
Q2 - 6:38MIADavis Free Throw 1 of 2 (8 PTS)40
71.4%
30
28.6%
Q2 - 6:57TORBrezec Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)40
72.9%
29
27.1%
Q2 - 6:57TORBrezec Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)39
72.3%
29
27.7%
Q2 - 7:01TORFord REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)38
70.0%
29
30.0%
Q2 - 7:03MIAMISS Al. Johnson Layup38
69.3%
29
30.7%
Q2 - 7:21TORFord 20' Jump Shot (7 PTS)38
67.6%
29
32.4%
Q2 - 7:45MIADavis 17' Jump Shot (7 PTS)36
65.5%
29
34.5%
Q2 - 7:55TORFord Free Throw Technical (5 PTS)36
67.7%
27
32.3%
Q2 - 8:05TORFord 19' Jump Shot (4 PTS)35
64.7%
27
35.3%
Q2 - 8:25MIAWade 24' 3PT Jump Shot (6 PTS)33
62.7%
27
37.3%
Q2 - 8:32MIABanks REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)33
67.1%
24
32.9%
Q2 - 8:34TORMISS Brezec 20' Jump Shot33
67.9%
24
32.1%
Q2 - 8:50MIADavis 24' 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Banks 2 AST)33
69.6%
24
30.4%
Q2 - 9:11TORFord Driving Layup (2 PTS)33
72.9%
21
27.1%
Q2 - 9:14MIAWade Lost Ball Turnover (P3.T7)31
71.1%
21
28.9%
Q2 - 9:16MIAWade REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)31
68.7%
21
31.3%
Q2 - 9:18TORMISS Ford Reverse Layup31
69.4%
21
30.6%
Q2 - 9:38MIABarron 17' Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Wade 3 AST)31
71.1%
21
28.9%
Q2 - 9:55MIAHEAT Rebound31
72.9%
19
27.1%
Q2 - 9:56MIAMISS Marion Layup31
74.5%
19
25.5%
Q2 - 9:59MIADavis REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)31
72.9%
19
27.1%
Q2 - 10:00TORMISS Ford 18' Jump Shot31
73.6%
19
26.4%
Q2 - 10:19MIABanks Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T6)31
74.6%
19
25.4%
Q2 - 10:37MIABarron REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)31
72.5%
19
27.5%
Q2 - 10:38TORMISS Moon 3PT Jump Shot31
73.1%
19
26.9%
Q2 - 10:47TORRaptors Rebound31
74.6%
19
25.4%
Q2 - 10:48TORBarron BLOCK (1 BLK)31
73.1%
19
26.9%
Q2 - 10:52TORMoon REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)31
74.6%
19
25.4%
Q2 - 10:53MIAMISS Banks 24' 3PT Jump Shot31
74.0%
19
26.0%
Q2 - 11:17TORBrezec 17' Turnaround Jump Shot (2 PTS)31
71.9%
19
28.1%
Q2 - 11:45MIABanks Layup (5 PTS)29
69.9%
19
30.1%
Q2 - 11:50TORBarron STEAL (1 STL)29
71.9%
17
28.1%
Q1 - 0:00.0TOR29
73.9%
17
26.1%
Q1 - 0:00.0TORDelfino REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)29
73.9%
17
26.1%
Q1 - 0:00.0TORMISS Ford Layup29
72.5%
17
27.5%
Q1 - 0:24.0MIABarron Traveling Turnover (P1.T5)29
73.0%
17
27.0%
Q1 - 0:40.0MIABanks REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)29
71.5%
17
28.5%
Q1 - 0:42.0TORMarion BLOCK (1 BLK)29
72.0%
17
28.0%
Q1 - 1:02MIABanks 24' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Wade 2 AST)29
72.9%
17
27.1%
Q1 - 1:14MIAWade REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)29
76.8%
14
23.2%
Q1 - 1:15TORMISS Delfino 24' 3PT Jump Shot29
77.2%
14
22.8%
Q1 - 1:31TORNesterovic REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)29
78.1%
14
21.9%
Q1 - 1:32MIAMISS Wade 17' Jump Shot29
77.7%
14
22.3%
Q1 - 1:50TORDelfino Layup (2 PTS) (Parker 2 AST)29
76.8%
14
23.2%
Q1 - 2:09MIABarron Layup (4 PTS) (Marion 1 AST)27
74.7%
14
25.3%
Q1 - 2:26TORNesterovic Dunk (4 PTS) (Parker 1 AST)27
76.6%
12
23.4%
Q1 - 2:44MIADavis 20' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Banks 1 AST)25
74.7%
12
25.3%
Q1 - 2:58TORCalderon Driving Layup (4 PTS)25
76.6%
10
23.4%
Q1 - 3:07TORMoon REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)23
73.8%
10
26.2%
Q1 - 3:09MIAMISS Barron 14' Jump Shot23
73.2%
10
26.8%
Q1 - 3:20MIAWade REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)23
71.9%
10
28.1%
Q1 - 3:21TORMISS Moon 26' 3PT Jump Shot23
72.5%
10
27.5%
Q1 - 3:36MIABarron Tip Shot (2 PTS)23
73.9%
10
26.1%
Q1 - 3:37MIABarron REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)23
75.4%
8
24.6%
Q1 - 3:38MIAMISS Marion Tip Shot23
76.7%
8
23.3%
Q1 - 3:39MIAMarion REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)23
75.4%
8
24.6%
Q1 - 3:40MIAMISS Marion 12' Jump Shot23
76.7%
8
23.3%
Q1 - 3:45MIAHEAT Rebound23
75.4%
8
24.6%
Q1 - 3:46MIAMISS Marion Layup23
76.7%
8
23.3%
Q1 - 3:48MIAMarion REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)23
75.4%
8
24.6%
Q1 - 3:49MIAMISS Wade Driving Dunk23
76.7%
8
23.3%
Q1 - 4:03TORCalderon Driving Layup (2 PTS)23
74.7%
8
25.3%
Q1 - 4:24TORRaptors Rebound21
73.4%
8
26.6%
Q1 - 4:25MIAMISS Wade 8' Jump Shot21
72.8%
8
27.2%
Q1 - 4:49TORMoon Layup (4 PTS) (Calderon 6 AST)21
71.3%
8
28.7%
Q1 - 4:53MIAWilliams Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T4)19
69.8%
8
30.2%
Q1 - 4:57MIAMarion REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)19
67.5%
8
32.5%
Q1 - 4:58TORMISS Moon 20' Jump Shot19
68.3%
8
31.7%
Q1 - 5:12TORRaptors Rebound19
68.6%
8
31.4%
Q1 - 5:13MIAMISS Marion 25' 3PT Jump Shot19
68.0%
8
32.0%
Q1 - 5:22TORBargnani 19' Jump Shot (10 PTS) (Calderon 5 AST)19
66.6%
8
33.4%
Q1 - 5:34TORNesterovic REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)17
64.9%
8
35.1%
Q1 - 5:35MIAMISS Williams 3PT Jump Shot17
64.3%
8
35.7%
Q1 - 5:46MIAMarion REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)17
62.8%
8
37.2%
Q1 - 5:47TORMISS Calderon 19' Jump Shot17
63.4%
8
36.6%
Q1 - 5:59TORNesterovic REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)17
65.0%
8
35.0%
Q1 - 6:00MIAMISS Blount 19' Jump Shot17
64.3%
8
35.7%
Q1 - 6:18TORMoon Alley Oop Dunk (2 PTS) (Calderon 4 AST)17
62.0%
8
38.0%
Q1 - 6:30TORCalderon REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)15
60.1%
8
39.9%
Q1 - 6:32MIAMISS Al. Johnson 7' Jump Shot15
59.5%
8
40.5%
Q1 - 6:47TORBargnani Driving Layup (8 PTS)15
58.1%
8
41.9%
Q1 - 6:57TORMoon REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)13
56.2%
8
43.8%
Q1 - 6:58MIAMISS Al. Johnson 18' Jump Shot13
55.6%
8
44.4%
Q1 - 7:17TORParker 25' 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Bargnani 1 AST)13
53.5%
8
46.5%
Q1 - 7:29TORNesterovic REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)10
49.9%
8
50.1%
Q1 - 7:30MIAMISS Blount Layup10
49.2%
8
50.8%
Q1 - 7:44TORBargnani 25' 3PT Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Calderon 3 AST)10
47.8%
8
52.2%
Q1 - 7:56TORMoon REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)7
44.2%
8
55.8%
Q1 - 7:57TORMISS Bargnani 24' 3PT Jump Shot7
42.7%
8
57.3%
Q1 - 8:25MIAWilliams 24' 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Wade 1 AST)7
44.4%
8
55.6%
Q1 - 8:49TORNesterovic 6' Hook Shot (2 PTS)7
47.9%
5
52.1%
Q1 - 8:50TORNesterovic REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)5
46.3%
5
53.7%
Q1 - 8:51TORMISS Bargnani Reverse Layup5
44.8%
5
55.2%
Q1 - 9:04MIAWade Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T3)5
46.2%
5
53.8%
Q1 - 9:08TORWade STEAL (1 STL)5
43.8%
5
56.2%
Q1 - 9:16TORNesterovic REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)5
46.2%
5
53.8%
Q1 - 9:17MIAMISS Wade 18' Jump Shot5
45.5%
5
54.5%
Q1 - 9:33TORBargnani 25' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Calderon 2 AST)5
43.9%
5
56.1%
Q1 - 9:41MIAWade Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T2)2
40.7%
5
59.3%
Q1 - 10:01TORParker 21' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Calderon 1 AST)2
38.5%
5
61.5%
Q1 - 10:15MIAWilliams Driving Layup (2 PTS)0
37.0%
5
63.0%
Q1 - 10:38TORNesterovic Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T1)0
38.5%
3
61.5%
Q1 - 10:54MIAWade 20' Jump Shot (3 PTS)0
40.5%
3
59.5%
Q1 - 11:07MIAMarion REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)0
42.3%
1
57.7%
Q1 - 11:08TORMISS Bargnani 17' Jump Shot0
42.8%
1
57.2%
Q1 - 11:20MIABlount Traveling Turnover (P1.T1)0
44.0%
1
56.0%
Q1 - 11:24MIAMarion REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)0
42.3%
1
57.7%
Q1 - 11:25TORMISS Bargnani 16' Jump Shot0
42.8%
1
57.2%
Q1 - 11:43TORParker REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)0
44.0%
1
56.0%
Q1 - 11:44MIAMISS Wade Free Throw 2 of 20
43.8%
1
56.2%
Q1 - 11:44MIAWade Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)0
42.5%
1
57.5%
Q1 - 12:00MIAJump Ball Blount vs. Nesterovic: Tip to Al. Johnson0
44.1%
0
55.9%

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

TOR
1.17 58.7%
MIA
1.02 51.2%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)
TOR
17
22
77%
MIA
13
22
59%
Midrange
TOR
23
44
52%
MIA
9
25
36%
3PT | Effective 3PT
TOR
5
7.5
16
31%
47%
MIA
8
12.0
22
36%
55%
Free Throws
TOR
13
21
62%
MIA
15
21
71%
Makes
Effective 3P Makes
%
Efficiency
Misses
Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|
TOR logo Raptors
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
R. Nesterovic1667%8.0 / 12
J. Moon1464%7.0 / 11
T. Ford1365%6.5 / 10
A. Parker1260%6.0 / 10
A. Bargnani1260%6.0 / 10
J. Calderon975%4.5 / 6
P. Brezec964%4.5 / 7
J. Kapono880%4.0 / 5
C. Delfino739%3.5 / 9
M. Baston583%2.5 / 3
K. Humphries325%1.5 / 6
J. Graham0-0.0 / 1
TS Makes
TS Misses

Total Points

|
MIA logo Heat
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
M. Banks2181%10.5 / 13
D. Wade1653%8.0 / 15
R. Davis1657%8.0 / 14
E. Barron1050%5.0 / 10
C. Quinn867%4.0 / 6
S. Marion531%2.5 / 8
J. Williams536%2.5 / 7
M. Blount233%1.0 / 3
A. Johnson0-0.0 / 3
TS Makes
TS Misses

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

TOR
83
+9
-9
92
MIA
71
+9
-20
80
Base
ORB
TOV

Scoring Efficiency

TOR
1.17 58.7%
MIA
1.02 51.2%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Efficiency & PaceThis Game
Efficiency
109.7
100.2
TOR 117.4
MIA 91.2 +26.2
Pace
90.7
90.5
TOR 85.9
MIA 98.7 +12.8
Avg. Poss. Time
15.9
16.3
TOR 16.8
MIA 14.6 +2.2
Four FactorsThis Game
EFG %
51.1%
48.2%
TOR 57.9% +8.6%
MIA 49.3%
TO %
12.3%
15.4%
TOR 9.0% +11.4%
MIA 20.4%
ORB %
23.5%
22.2%
TOR 20.5% +6.2%
MIA 14.3%
FTrt
24.7
30.0
TOR 25.6
MIA 30.4 +4.8
Misc. StatsThis Game
AST %
62.0%
58.5%
TOR 60.0% +10.0%
MIA 50.0%
STL %
7.6%
7.9%
TOR 12.0% +5.4%
MIA 6.6%
BLK %
6.9%
7.1%
TOR 6.4% +3.4%
MIA 3.0%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.16 and 2.16.

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Shooting EfficiencyThis Game
TS%
53.7%
50.6%
TOR 58.7% +7.5%
MIA 51.2%
Rim FG%
58.5%
59.2%
TOR 77.3% +18.2%
MIA 59.1%
Mid FG%
43.3%
38.8%
TOR 52.3% +16.3%
MIA 36.0%
3P %
39.2%
35.8%
TOR 31.3%
MIA 36.4% +5.1%
FT %
81.2%
72.7%
TOR 61.9%
MIA 71.4% +9.5%
Shot DistributionThis Game
Rim Att. %
28.9%
30.2%
TOR 26.8%
MIA 31.9% +5.1%
Mid Att. %
49.4%
48.1%
TOR 53.7%
MIA 36.2% +17.4%
3P Att. %
21.7%
21.7%
TOR 19.5%
MIA 31.9% +12.4%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.
Game TotalsTORMIA
Possessions9291
Possession Minutes25.722.1
Points10883
Rebounds3836
Assists2715
Steals116
Blocks32
Turnovers (Team)9 (0)20 (0)
Fouls
Off. Rebounds (Team)8 (1)5 (4)
Def. Rebounds (Team)30 (4)31 (2)
Field Goals45-8230-69
At-the-Rim FG17-2213-22
Midrange FG23-449-25
2-Point FG40-6622-47
3-Point FG5-168-22
Free Throws13-2115-21
Fast Break Pts
2nd Chance Pts
Points in Paint
Pts off Turnovers
Bench Points
Biggest Lead

BOXSCORE

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14 Toronto Raptors
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
Anthony Parker
G · 6'6" 210 · 33
29.4
12
60%
5
3
0
0
0
2
1
4
0-0
-
3-5
60%
2-5
40%
Rasho Nesterovic
F · 7'0" 255 · 32
29.2
16
67%
10
2
0
0
2
3
2
8
0-0
-
8-11
73%
0-1
0%
Jamario Moon
F · 6'8" 205 · 28
26.5
14
64%
9
0
4
3
0
0
1
8
0-1
0%
7-9
78%
0-2
0%
Jose Calderon
G · 6'3" 200 · 26
26.4
9
75%
3
13
1
0
1
0
1
2
0-0
-
3-5
60%
1-1
100%
Andrea Bargnani
C · 7'0" 245 · 22
21.0
12
60%
0
2
1
0
1
0
0
0
2-2
100%
2-7
29%
2-3
67%
Carlos Delfino
G-F · 6'6" 230 · 26
25.2
7
39%
1
2
2
0
0
2
1
0
1-2
50%
3-4
75%
0-4
0%
T.J. Ford
G · 6'0" 165 · 25
22.0
13
65%
4
5
1
0
3
3
0
4
3-3
100%
5-9
56%
0-0
-
Jason Kapono
F · 6'8" 215 · 27
18.8
8
80%
0
0
0
0
0
3
0
0
0-0
-
4-5
80%
0-0
-
Kris Humphries
F · 6'9" 235 · 23
18.7
3
25%
3
0
1
0
0
1
1
2
1-4
25%
1-4
25%
0-0
-
Primoz Brezec
C · 7'1" 255 · 28
13.7
9
64%
1
0
1
0
1
2
0
1
5-7
71%
2-4
50%
0-0
-
Joey Graham
F · 6'7" 230 · 26
4.6
0
0%
0
0
0
0
1
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-1
0%
0-0
-
Maceo Baston
F · 6'10" 230 · 32
4.6
5
83%
2
0
0
0
0
2
1
1
1-2
50%
2-2
100%
0-0
-
Chris Bosh
#4 · F · 6'11" 235 · 24
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
Jorge Garbajosa
#15 · F · 6'9" 245 · 30
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
Darrick Martin
#2 · G · 5'11" 170 · 37
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
TOTAL
240
108
59%
38
27
11
3
9
0
8
30
13-21
62%
40-66
61%
5-16
31%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.