FinalWin Prob.pScore
2135%95
109
1565%100
120
ORTG#PossPace
MIA logo MIA
119.89192.0
SAC logo SAC
129.09392.0

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

KingsHeatQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Scoring Margin

KingsHeatQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Play-by-Play

Score / WinProb
ClockTeamEventMIASAC
Q4 - 0:00.0SAC109
0%
120
100%
Q4 - 0:03.0MIAWilliams REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)107
0%
120
100%
Q4 - 0:05.0SACMISS Martin Driving Layup107
0%
120
100%
Q4 - 0:29.0SACUdrih REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)107
0.1%
120
99.9%
Q4 - 0:30.0MIAMISS Davis 25' 3PT Jump Shot107
0.1%
120
99.9%
Q4 - 0:46.0SACWorld Peace 3PT Jump Shot (32 PTS) (Miller 7 AST)107
0.1%
120
99.9%
Q4 - 1:05SACMiller REBOUND (Off:4 Def:5)107
0.1%
117
99.9%
Q4 - 1:06MIAMISS Marion 9' Jump Shot107
0.1%
117
99.9%
Q4 - 1:21SACMartin Free Throw 2 of 2 (29 PTS)107
0.4%
117
99.6%
Q4 - 1:21SACMartin Free Throw 1 of 2 (28 PTS)107
0.4%
116
99.6%
Q4 - 1:34MIADavis 3PT Jump Shot (12 PTS) (Wade 7 AST)107
0.8%
115
99.2%
Q4 - 1:42MIADavis REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)104
0.4%
115
99.6%
Q4 - 1:44MIAMISS Blount 23' Jump Shot104
0.3%
115
99.7%
Q4 - 1:55SACMartin Dunk (27 PTS) (Salmons 2 AST)104
0.4%
115
99.6%
Q4 - 1:58MIAWorld Peace STEAL (1 STL)104
0.6%
113
99.4%
Q4 - 2:02MIABlount REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)104
1.3%
113
98.7%
Q4 - 2:04MIAMISS Wade 26' 3PT Jump Shot104
0.8%
113
99.2%
Q4 - 2:24SACMiller 3' Hook Shot (14 PTS) (World Peace 2 AST)104
1.4%
113
98.6%
Q4 - 2:51MIAWade Driving Layup (26 PTS)104
2.4%
111
97.6%
Q4 - 3:01MIAMarion REBOUND (Off:1 Def:7)102
1.8%
111
98.2%
Q4 - 3:01SACMISS World Peace 14' Fadeaway Jumper102
1.5%
111
98.5%
Q4 - 3:23MIAMarion 8' Jump Bank Shot (19 PTS)102
1.0%
111
99.0%
Q4 - 3:48SACSalmons 3PT Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Udrih 9 AST)100
1.3%
111
98.7%
Q4 - 4:11MIAMarion 24' 3PT Jump Shot (17 PTS) (Wade 6 AST)100
2.5%
108
97.5%
Q4 - 4:31SACSalmons 25' 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Miller 6 AST)97
1.2%
108
98.8%
Q4 - 4:52SACMiller REBOUND (Off:4 Def:4)97
2.5%
105
97.5%
Q4 - 4:53MIAMISS Williams 11' Running Jump Shot97
2.8%
105
97.2%
Q4 - 5:06MIAMarion REBOUND (Off:1 Def:6)97
4.8%
105
95.2%
Q4 - 5:06SACMISS World Peace 15' Jump Shot97
4.4%
105
95.6%
Q4 - 5:26MIAWilliams Driving Layup (18 PTS)97
3.4%
105
96.6%
Q4 - 5:41SACKINGS Turnover: Shot Clock (T#13)95
2.5%
105
97.5%
Q4 - 6:14MIAWilliams 8' Running Bank Shot (16 PTS)95
2.4%
105
97.6%
Q4 - 6:31SACUdrih 21' Jump Shot (23 PTS)93
1.8%
105
98.2%
Q4 - 6:50MIAUdrih STEAL (3 STL)93
2.3%
103
97.7%
Q4 - 7:15SACMiller Driving Dunk (12 PTS)93
4.2%
103
95.8%
Q4 - 7:36MIABlount 19' Jump Shot (7 PTS) (Davis 1 AST)93
5.2%
101
94.8%
Q4 - 7:55SACGarcia Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)91
4.1%
101
95.9%
Q4 - 7:55SACGarcia Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)91
4.3%
100
95.7%
Q4 - 8:08SACUdrih REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)91
6.3%
99
93.7%
Q4 - 8:09MIAMISS Davis 19' Jump Shot91
6.7%
99
93.3%
Q4 - 8:18SACWorld Peace 20' Jump Shot (29 PTS)91
7.9%
99
92.1%
Q4 - 8:36MIAWade 22' Jump Shot (24 PTS)91
9.9%
97
90.1%
Q4 - 9:05SACUdrih Driving Reverse Layup (21 PTS)89
8.7%
97
91.3%
Q4 - 9:13SACSalmons REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)89
10.7%
95
89.3%
Q4 - 9:14MIAMISS Blount 21' Jump Shot89
11.5%
95
88.5%
Q4 - 9:39SACMiller 3PT Jump Shot (10 PTS) (Udrih 8 AST)89
13.3%
95
86.7%
Q4 - 9:59SACGarcia REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)89
19.8%
92
80.2%
Q4 - 10:00MIAMISS Wade 18' Jump Shot89
21.0%
92
79.0%
Q4 - 10:21MIAAl. Johnson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)89
24.6%
92
75.4%
Q4 - 10:22SACMISS Miller 20' Jump Shot89
23.2%
92
76.8%
Q4 - 10:36MIABanks Traveling Turnover (P2.T14)89
20.3%
92
79.7%
Q4 - 10:55SACMoore Dunk (4 PTS) (Udrih 7 AST)89
24.5%
92
75.5%
Q4 - 11:14MIAHeat Turnover: Shot Clock (T#13)89
29.1%
90
70.9%
Q4 - 11:39MIAMarion REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)89
33.9%
90
66.1%
Q4 - 11:40SACMISS Moore 5' Jump Hook Shot89
32.4%
90
67.6%
Q3 - 0:00.0SAC89
29.0%
90
71.0%
Q3 - 0:00.0SACMartin REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)89
29.0%
90
71.0%
Q3 - 0:01.0SACMISS Miller 3PT Jump Shot89
32.4%
90
67.6%
Q3 - 0:19.0MIAMarion Dunk (14 PTS) (Banks 4 AST)89
29.3%
90
70.7%
Q3 - 0:40.0SACUdrih 3PT Jump Shot (19 PTS) (Miller 5 AST)87
25.2%
90
74.8%
Q3 - 1:00SACMoore REBOUND (Off:1 Def:7)87
33.8%
87
66.2%
Q3 - 1:01MIAMISS Davis 3PT Jump Shot87
34.9%
87
65.1%
Q3 - 1:23SACMartin 25' 3PT Jump Shot (25 PTS) (Udrih 6 AST)87
38.1%
87
61.9%
Q3 - 1:28SACUdrih REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)87
47.5%
84
52.5%
Q3 - 1:30MIAMISS Wade 24' 3PT Jump Shot87
49.1%
84
50.9%
Q3 - 1:55SACWorld Peace Driving Layup (27 PTS)87
52.6%
84
47.4%
Q3 - 2:11MIABanks Free Throw 2 of 2 (8 PTS)87
55.4%
82
44.6%
Q3 - 2:11MIAMISS Banks Free Throw 1 of 286
54.6%
82
45.4%
Q3 - 2:22SACWorld Peace Free Throw 2 of 2 (25 PTS)86
55.9%
82
44.1%
Q3 - 2:22SACWorld Peace Free Throw 1 of 2 (24 PTS)86
56.9%
81
43.1%
Q3 - 2:31SACWorld Peace REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)86
60.0%
80
40.0%
Q3 - 2:32MIAMISS Davis 19' Jump Shot86
61.5%
80
38.5%
Q3 - 2:53SACWorld Peace 24' 3PT Jump Shot (23 PTS)86
64.8%
80
35.2%
Q3 - 3:00SACWorld Peace REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)86
72.5%
77
27.5%
Q3 - 3:01MIAMISS Banks 25' 3PT Jump Shot86
72.5%
77
27.5%
Q3 - 3:19SACUdrih Free Throw 2 of 2 (16 PTS)86
75.1%
77
24.9%
Q3 - 3:19SACUdrih Free Throw 1 of 2 (15 PTS)86
75.5%
76
24.5%
Q3 - 3:36SACMiller REBOUND (Off:4 Def:3)86
78.1%
75
21.9%
Q3 - 3:37MIAMISS Davis Free Throw 2 of 286
78.6%
75
21.4%
Q3 - 3:37MIADavis Free Throw 1 of 2 (9 PTS)86
80.6%
75
19.4%
Q3 - 3:53SACMartin Bad Pass Turnover (P4.T12)85
78.3%
75
21.7%
Q3 - 4:13MIAHaslem 14' Jump Shot (6 PTS)85
73.0%
75
27.0%
Q3 - 4:31SACMartin Free Throw 2 of 2 (22 PTS)83
70.2%
75
29.8%
Q3 - 4:31SACMartin Free Throw 1 of 2 (21 PTS)83
70.6%
74
29.4%
Q3 - 4:34SACMartin REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)83
73.2%
73
26.8%
Q3 - 4:35MIAMISS Marion 9' Jump Hook Shot83
74.3%
73
25.7%
Q3 - 4:51SACMartin Free Throw 2 of 2 (20 PTS)83
76.9%
73
23.1%
Q3 - 4:51SACMartin Free Throw 1 of 2 (19 PTS)83
77.3%
72
22.7%
Q3 - 4:54SACMiller REBOUND (Off:4 Def:2)83
79.4%
71
20.6%
Q3 - 4:56SACMISS World Peace 25' 3PT Jump Shot83
81.6%
71
18.4%
Q3 - 5:10MIAWade Free Throw 2 of 2 (22 PTS)83
78.2%
71
21.8%
Q3 - 5:10MIAWade Free Throw 1 of 2 (21 PTS)82
77.7%
71
22.3%
Q3 - 5:27SACMartin Lost Ball Turnover (P3.T11)81
75.5%
71
24.5%
Q3 - 5:43SACKINGS Rebound81
72.0%
71
28.0%
Q3 - 5:43MIAMISS Williams 22' Jump Shot81
73.1%
71
26.9%
Q3 - 5:49MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)81
75.5%
71
24.5%
Q3 - 5:50SACMISS Martin 22' Jump Shot81
74.5%
71
25.5%
Q3 - 5:53SACMoore REBOUND (Off:1 Def:6)81
72.0%
71
28.0%
Q3 - 5:54SACMISS World Peace Layup81
74.5%
71
25.5%
Q3 - 5:58SACMoore REBOUND (Off:0 Def:6)81
72.0%
71
28.0%
Q3 - 5:59MIAMISS Wade 16' Jump Shot81
73.1%
71
26.9%
Q3 - 6:15SACMartin 3PT Jump Shot (18 PTS) (World Peace 1 AST)81
73.9%
71
26.1%
Q3 - 6:22SACWorld Peace REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)81
79.4%
68
20.6%
Q3 - 6:22SACMISS Martin 19' Jump Shot81
81.3%
68
18.7%
Q3 - 6:25SACKINGS Rebound81
79.4%
68
20.6%
Q3 - 6:26SACMISS Udrih Driving Layup81
81.3%
68
18.7%
Q3 - 6:40MIABarron Foul Turnover (P5.T12)81
79.5%
68
20.5%
Q3 - 6:51SACMartin Free Throw 2 of 2 (15 PTS)81
82.1%
68
17.9%
Q3 - 6:51SACMartin Free Throw 1 of 2 (14 PTS)81
82.4%
67
17.6%
Q3 - 7:01SACMoore REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)81
82.8%
66
17.2%
Q3 - 7:02MIAMISS Wade 26' 3PT Jump Shot81
83.5%
66
16.5%
Q3 - 7:14SACUdrih 3PT Jump Shot (14 PTS) (Miller 4 AST)81
85.2%
66
14.8%
Q3 - 7:34MIABarron Traveling Turnover (P4.T11)81
88.5%
63
11.5%
Q3 - 7:44MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)81
90.2%
63
9.8%
Q3 - 7:46SACMISS Miller 8' Jump Shot81
89.7%
63
10.3%
Q3 - 8:01MIAHaslem 15' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Williams 7 AST)81
87.8%
63
12.2%
Q3 - 8:20SACMartin 17' Jump Shot (13 PTS)79
86.3%
63
13.7%
Q3 - 8:40MIAMarion Layup (12 PTS) (Williams 6 AST)79
87.8%
61
12.2%
Q3 - 8:50SACUdrih Free Throw 1 of 1 (11 PTS)77
86.4%
61
13.6%
Q3 - 8:55SACMiller REBOUND (Off:3 Def:2)77
89.4%
58
10.6%
Q3 - 8:56MIAMISS Marion 15' Jump Shot77
89.9%
58
10.1%
Q3 - 9:17SACWorld Peace Free Throw 2 of 2 (20 PTS)77
89.8%
58
10.2%
Q3 - 9:17SACWorld Peace Free Throw 1 of 2 (19 PTS)77
90.1%
57
9.9%
Q3 - 9:35MIAWade Free Throw 2 of 2 (20 PTS)77
91.0%
56
9.0%
Q3 - 9:35MIAWade Free Throw 1 of 2 (19 PTS)76
90.8%
56
9.2%
Q3 - 9:48SACWorld Peace 21' Jump Shot (18 PTS)75
89.8%
56
10.2%
Q3 - 10:02MIABlount Foul Turnover (P1.T10)75
90.0%
54
10.0%
Q3 - 10:10SACMartin Free Throw 2 of 2 (11 PTS)75
91.4%
54
8.6%
Q3 - 10:10SACMartin Free Throw 1 of 2 (10 PTS)75
91.5%
53
8.5%
Q3 - 10:13SACMoore REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)75
92.3%
52
7.7%
Q3 - 10:14MIAMISS Williams 24' 3PT Jump Shot75
92.7%
52
7.3%
Q3 - 10:20MIAMarion REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)75
93.4%
52
6.6%
Q3 - 10:21SACMISS Moore 10' Jump Shot75
93.1%
52
6.9%
Q3 - 10:40MIAWilliams Free Throw 2 of 2 (14 PTS)75
92.4%
52
7.6%
Q3 - 10:40MIAWilliams Free Throw 1 of 2 (13 PTS)74
92.2%
52
7.8%
Q3 - 10:59MIABlount REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)73
91.4%
52
8.6%
Q3 - 11:00SACMISS Miller Free Throw 2 of 273
91.3%
52
8.7%
Q3 - 11:00SACMiller Free Throw 1 of 2 (7 PTS)73
90.4%
52
9.6%
Q3 - 11:16MIABlount 19' Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Williams 5 AST)73
90.5%
51
9.5%
Q3 - 11:34MIAMarion REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)71
89.3%
51
10.7%
Q3 - 11:35SACMISS Martin Free Throw 3 of 371
89.1%
51
10.9%
Q3 - 11:35SACMartin Free Throw 2 of 3 (9 PTS)71
88.1%
51
11.9%
Q3 - 11:35SACMartin Free Throw 1 of 3 (8 PTS)71
88.3%
50
11.7%
Q3 - 11:46MIAMarion Free Throw 2 of 2 (10 PTS)71
90.5%
49
9.5%
Q3 - 11:46MIAMarion Free Throw 1 of 2 (9 PTS)70
90.3%
49
9.7%
Q3 - 11:46MIAMarion REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)69
89.3%
49
10.7%
Q3 - 11:47MIAMISS Haslem Layup69
88.3%
49
11.7%
Q2 - 0:00.0MIA69
89.3%
49
10.7%
Q2 - 0:00.0SACUdrih Driving Layup (8 PTS)69
89.3%
49
10.7%
Q2 - 0:12.0MIAWade Free Throw 2 of 2 (18 PTS)69
89.6%
47
10.4%
Q2 - 0:12.0MIAWade Free Throw 1 of 2 (17 PTS)68
89.4%
47
10.6%
Q2 - 0:25.0SACMoore Traveling Turnover (P3.T10)67
87.9%
47
12.1%
Q2 - 0:35.0MIAMartin STEAL (1 STL)67
86.9%
47
13.1%
Q2 - 0:43.0MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)67
88.0%
47
12.0%
Q2 - 0:45.0SACMISS World Peace 24' Jump Shot67
87.7%
47
12.3%
Q2 - 1:07MIAWade Dunk (16 PTS)67
86.2%
47
13.8%
Q2 - 1:09MIAHeat Rebound65
83.8%
47
16.2%
Q2 - 1:10MIAMoore BLOCK (1 BLK)65
83.1%
47
16.9%
Q2 - 1:24SACWorld Peace 25' 3PT Jump Shot (16 PTS) (Udrih 5 AST)65
83.8%
47
16.2%
Q2 - 1:34MIAWade Free Throw 1 of 1 (14 PTS)65
87.7%
44
12.3%
Q2 - 1:49SACWorld Peace Traveling Turnover (P2.T9)62
83.8%
44
16.2%
Q2 - 2:01SACKINGS Rebound62
81.2%
44
18.8%
Q2 - 2:02MIAMISS Haslem 5' Running Hook Shot62
81.8%
44
18.2%
Q2 - 2:16SACWorld Peace 4' Finger Roll Layup (13 PTS)62
83.0%
44
17.0%
Q2 - 2:34MIADavis Foul Turnover (P1.T8)62
84.9%
42
15.1%
Q2 - 2:47MIADavis REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)62
86.3%
42
13.7%
Q2 - 2:48SACMISS Martin Free Throw 2 of 262
86.1%
42
13.9%
Q2 - 2:48SACMartin Free Throw 1 of 2 (7 PTS)62
85.0%
42
15.0%
Q2 - 2:54SACMartin REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)62
86.5%
41
13.5%
Q2 - 2:55MIAMISS Wade 23' Jump Shot62
86.9%
41
13.1%
Q2 - 3:14SACUdrih 9' Jump Bank Shot (6 PTS)62
86.3%
41
13.7%
Q2 - 3:32MIADavis 3PT Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Marion 2 AST)62
87.6%
39
12.4%
Q2 - 3:43SACMiller Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T8)59
84.9%
39
15.1%
Q2 - 3:57MIAMarion Slam Dunk (8 PTS) (Wade 5 AST)59
83.2%
39
16.8%
Q2 - 4:12SACMartin Foul Turnover (P2.T7)57
80.0%
39
20.0%
Q2 - 4:27SACMiller REBOUND (Off:3 Def:1)57
78.1%
39
21.9%
Q2 - 4:28MIAMISS Blount 19' Jump Shot57
78.7%
39
21.3%
Q2 - 4:44SACWorld Peace 3 Second Violation Turnover (P1.T6)57
80.1%
39
19.9%
Q2 - 4:59MIAMarion Layup (6 PTS) (Wade 4 AST)57
78.2%
39
21.8%
Q2 - 5:14MIAMarion REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)55
75.4%
39
24.6%
Q2 - 5:15SACMISS Martin Free Throw 2 of 255
75.1%
39
24.9%
Q2 - 5:15SACMartin Free Throw 1 of 2 (6 PTS)55
73.5%
39
26.5%
Q2 - 5:33MIABanks 26' 3PT Jump Shot (7 PTS) (Wade 3 AST)55
75.2%
38
24.8%
Q2 - 5:45MIAWade REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)52
71.0%
38
29.0%
Q2 - 5:46SACMISS World Peace 8' Jump Shot52
70.2%
38
29.8%
Q2 - 5:56MIABanks 20' Jump Shot (4 PTS)52
68.4%
38
31.6%
Q2 - 6:27SACDouby 16' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Miller 3 AST)50
65.3%
38
34.7%
Q2 - 6:46MIAMarion Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)50
67.3%
36
32.7%
Q2 - 6:46MIAMarion Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)49
66.8%
36
33.2%
Q2 - 6:51MIABanks REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)48
65.3%
36
34.7%
Q2 - 6:52SACMISS Garcia 26' 3PT Jump Shot48
64.4%
36
35.6%
Q2 - 7:08MIABanks 20' Jump Shot (2 PTS)48
61.1%
36
38.9%
Q2 - 7:28SACMartin 25' 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Garcia 1 AST)46
58.8%
36
41.2%
Q2 - 7:43SACHawes REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)46
63.6%
33
36.4%
Q2 - 7:44MIAMISS Davis 24' 3PT Jump Shot46
64.4%
33
35.6%
Q2 - 7:57MIABanks REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)46
66.3%
33
33.7%
Q2 - 7:58SACMISS Hawes 5' Jump Hook Shot46
65.5%
33
34.5%
Q2 - 8:05SACJohnson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)46
62.8%
33
37.2%
Q2 - 8:06MIAMISS Al. Johnson 19' Jump Shot46
63.7%
33
36.3%
Q2 - 8:32SACJohnson Foul Turnover (P1.T5)46
65.5%
33
34.5%
Q2 - 8:47MIADavis 25' 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Marion 1 AST)46
62.9%
33
37.1%
Q2 - 9:07SACHawes REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)43
57.2%
33
42.8%
Q2 - 9:07SACHawes Tip Shot (4 PTS)43
57.2%
33
42.8%
Q2 - 9:09SACMISS Miller 3' Layup43
61.3%
31
38.7%
Q2 - 9:30MIADavis 18' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Banks 3 AST)43
59.5%
31
40.5%
Q2 - 9:49SACHawes 17' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Salmons 1 AST)41
57.3%
31
42.7%
Q2 - 10:00SACSalmons REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)41
59.5%
29
40.5%
Q2 - 10:01MIAMISS Banks 25' 3PT Jump Shot41
59.8%
29
40.2%
Q2 - 10:18SACSalmons 1' Dunk (2 PTS) (Hawes 1 AST)41
61.7%
29
38.3%
Q2 - 10:23MIAJohnson STEAL (1 STL)41
63.7%
27
36.3%
Q2 - 10:29SACHawes Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T4)41
66.3%
27
33.7%
Q2 - 10:47MIABarron 19' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Banks 2 AST)41
63.7%
27
36.3%
Q2 - 10:59SACMoore Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T3)39
61.7%
27
38.3%
Q2 - 11:19MIAWright Free Throw 1 of 1 (3 PTS)39
58.1%
27
41.9%
Q2 - 11:24MIAAl. Johnson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)36
53.3%
27
46.7%
Q2 - 11:26SACMISS Salmons 16' Jump Shot36
52.6%
27
47.4%
Q2 - 11:42MIAAl. Johnson Slam Dunk (4 PTS)36
50.9%
27
49.1%
Q1 - 0:00.0SAC34
48.5%
27
51.5%
Q1 - 0:00.0SACKINGS Rebound34
46.1%
27
53.9%
Q1 - 0:00.0SACMISS World Peace 22' Jump Shot34
47.8%
27
52.2%
Q1 - 0:20.0SACMoore REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)34
45.8%
27
54.2%
Q1 - 0:20.0MIAMISS Wade Free Throw 2 of 234
46.0%
27
54.0%
Q1 - 0:20.0MIAWade Free Throw 1 of 2 (11 PTS)34
47.7%
27
52.3%
Q1 - 0:28.0SACJohnson Driving Layup (2 PTS)33
45.3%
27
54.7%
Q1 - 0:39.0MIAAl. Johnson Poss Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T6)33
48.2%
25
51.8%
Q1 - 0:46.0MIAWilliams REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)33
50.0%
25
50.0%
Q1 - 0:47.0SACMISS Martin 25' 3PT Jump Shot33
49.4%
25
50.6%
Q1 - 1:10MIAWade Free Throw 1 of 1 (10 PTS)33
48.1%
25
51.9%
Q1 - 1:16MIABarron REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)30
42.9%
25
57.1%
Q1 - 1:18SACMISS World Peace 25' 3PT Jump Shot30
42.3%
25
57.7%
Q1 - 1:36MIAAl. Johnson Layup (2 PTS) (Wright 1 AST)30
41.1%
25
58.9%
Q1 - 1:59SACMoore Slam Dunk (2 PTS) (Miller 2 AST)28
38.3%
25
61.7%
Q1 - 2:15MIAWade Alley Oop Dunk (7 PTS) (Williams 4 AST)28
40.8%
23
59.2%
Q1 - 2:27SACUdrih 16' Jump Shot (4 PTS)26
38.5%
23
61.5%
Q1 - 2:42MIAWilliams 24' 3PT Jump Shot (12 PTS)26
40.8%
21
59.2%
Q1 - 2:49MIAWilliams REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)23
36.3%
21
63.7%
Q1 - 2:50MIAMISS Wade 25' 3PT Jump Shot23
34.9%
21
65.1%
Q1 - 2:57MIAWade REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)23
36.3%
21
63.7%
Q1 - 2:58SACMISS Miller 20' Jump Shot23
35.6%
21
64.4%
Q1 - 3:08MIAWade 25' 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS)23
33.7%
21
66.3%
Q1 - 3:22SACMiller 3' Layup (6 PTS) (Udrih 4 AST)20
30.1%
21
69.9%
Q1 - 3:35SACMartin REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)20
31.8%
19
68.2%
Q1 - 3:36MIAMISS Marion 3PT Jump Shot20
32.4%
19
67.6%
Q1 - 4:03SACUdrih Driving Layup (2 PTS)20
33.7%
19
66.3%
Q1 - 4:08MIAUdrih STEAL (2 STL)20
35.3%
17
64.7%
Q1 - 4:28SACWorld Peace 21' Jump Shot (11 PTS) (Udrih 3 AST)20
37.8%
17
62.2%
Q1 - 4:39MIABarron Foul Turnover (P3.T4)20
39.4%
15
60.6%
Q1 - 4:58SACWorld Peace 22' Jump Shot (9 PTS)20
42.0%
15
58.0%
Q1 - 5:24MIABarron Traveling Turnover (P2.T3)20
42.8%
13
57.2%
Q1 - 5:27MIAWilliams REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)20
45.1%
13
54.9%
Q1 - 5:29SACMISS Udrih Layup20
44.4%
13
55.6%
Q1 - 5:34MIAUdrih STEAL (1 STL)20
42.8%
13
57.2%
Q1 - 5:52SACWorld Peace 24' 3PT Jump Shot (7 PTS)20
45.2%
13
54.8%
Q1 - 6:04MIAWade 20' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Williams 3 AST)20
48.1%
10
51.9%
Q1 - 6:20SACMartin Foul Turnover (P1.T2)18
46.2%
10
53.8%
Q1 - 6:31MIAWilliams 3PT Jump Shot (9 PTS)18
44.1%
10
55.9%
Q1 - 6:37SACMoore Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T1)15
40.2%
10
59.8%
Q1 - 6:39MIAMoore STEAL (1 STL)15
38.2%
10
61.8%
Q1 - 6:51MIAMarion REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)15
40.2%
10
59.8%
Q1 - 6:52SACMISS Miller 6' Jump Shot15
39.6%
10
60.4%
Q1 - 7:05MIAMarion Layup (2 PTS) (Wade 2 AST)15
37.4%
10
62.6%
Q1 - 7:29SACMiller 19' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Udrih 2 AST)13
35.9%
10
64.1%
Q1 - 7:51MIAHaslem 16' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Wade 1 AST)13
37.5%
8
62.5%
Q1 - 8:03SACWorld Peace 15' Jump Shot (4 PTS)11
35.8%
8
64.2%
Q1 - 8:19MIABarron 17' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Williams 2 AST)11
37.3%
6
62.7%
Q1 - 8:32SACMiller Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)9
35.8%
6
64.2%
Q1 - 8:32SACMiller Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)9
36.0%
5
64.0%
Q1 - 8:33SACMiller REBOUND (Off:3 Def:0)9
37.3%
4
62.7%
Q1 - 8:34SACMISS Miller Layup9
38.7%
4
61.3%
Q1 - 8:42SACMoore REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)9
37.3%
4
62.7%
Q1 - 8:43MIAMISS Williams 19' Jump Shot9
37.9%
4
62.1%
Q1 - 8:48MIAWilliams REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)9
39.3%
4
60.7%
Q1 - 8:49SACMISS World Peace 6' Jump Shot9
38.7%
4
61.3%
Q1 - 9:05SACUdrih REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)9
36.9%
4
63.1%
Q1 - 9:06MIAMISS Marion 25' 3PT Jump Shot9
37.6%
4
62.4%
Q1 - 9:14MIABlount REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)9
39.2%
4
60.8%
Q1 - 9:15SACMISS Martin 14' Jump Shot9
38.5%
4
61.5%
Q1 - 9:30MIAWilliams 25' 3PT Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Haslem 1 AST)9
37.0%
4
63.0%
Q1 - 9:42MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)6
34.0%
4
66.0%
Q1 - 9:43SACMISS Moore 5' Jump Hook Shot6
33.3%
4
66.7%
Q1 - 9:57SACMoore REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)6
31.9%
4
68.1%
Q1 - 9:58MIAMISS Blount 25' 3PT Jump Shot6
32.5%
4
67.5%
Q1 - 10:18SACWorld Peace Layup (2 PTS) (Miller 1 AST)6
33.7%
4
66.3%
Q1 - 10:20SACMiller REBOUND (Off:2 Def:0)6
35.2%
2
64.8%
Q1 - 10:22SACMISS World Peace Driving Layup6
36.5%
2
63.5%
Q1 - 10:27SACMiller REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)6
35.2%
2
64.8%
Q1 - 10:29SACMISS Udrih 18' Jump Shot6
36.5%
2
63.5%
Q1 - 10:51MIAWilliams 25' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS)6
35.2%
2
64.8%
Q1 - 11:10MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)3
31.8%
2
68.2%
Q1 - 11:11SACMISS Martin 20' Jump Shot3
31.3%
2
68.7%
Q1 - 11:30MIABlount 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Williams 1 AST)3
30.3%
2
69.7%
Q1 - 11:49SACMartin Layup (2 PTS) (Udrih 1 AST)0
27.2%
2
72.8%
Q1 - 11:58SACJump Ball Miller vs. Blount: Tip to Moore0
28.8%
0
71.2%

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

MIA
1.33 66.5%
SAC
1.32 65.9%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)
MIA
14
17
82%
SAC
17
27
63%
Midrange
MIA
15
30
50%
SAC
12
29
41%
3PT | Effective 3PT
MIA
11
16.5
24
46%
69%
SAC
12
18.0
17
71%
106%
Free Throws
MIA
18
21
86%
SAC
26
30
87%
Makes
Effective 3P Makes
%
Efficiency
Misses
Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|
MIA logo Heat
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
D. Wade2668%13.0 / 19
S. Marion1968%9.5 / 14
J. Williams1875%9.0 / 12
R. Davis1464%7.0 / 11
M. Banks867%4.0 / 6
M. Blount750%3.5 / 7
U. Haslem660%3.0 / 5
E. Barron4100%2.0 / 2
A. Johnson467%2.0 / 3
D. Wright3150%1.5 / 1
TS Makes
TS Misses

Total Points

|
SAC logo Kings
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
M. World Peace3267%16.0 / 24
K. Martin2973%14.5 / 20
B. Udrih2388%11.5 / 13
B. Miller1450%7.0 / 14
J. Salmons8100%4.0 / 4
M. Moore440%2.0 / 5
S. Hawes467%2.0 / 3
F. Garcia250%1.0 / 2
A. Johnson2100%1.0 / 1
Q. Douby2100%1.0 / 1
TS Makes
TS Misses

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

MIA
76
+5
-15
81
SAC
81
+10
-12
91
Base
ORB
TOV

Scoring Efficiency

MIA
1.33 66.5%
SAC
1.32 65.9%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Efficiency & PaceThis Game
Efficiency
100.2
107.2
MIA 119.8
SAC 129.0 +9.3
Pace
90.5
95.0
MIA 92.0
SAC 92.0 +0.1
Avg. Poss. Time
16.3
15.0
MIA 15.7
SAC 15.6 +0.0
Four FactorsThis Game
EFG %
48.2%
50.3%
MIA 64.1%
SAC 64.4% +0.3%
TO %
15.4%
16.0%
MIA 16.6%
SAC 13.1% +3.5%
ORB %
22.2%
25.1%
MIA 13.3%
SAC 23.5% +10.2%
FTrt
30.0
34.6
MIA 29.6
SAC 41.1 +11.5
Misc. StatsThis Game
AST %
58.5%
51.5%
MIA 60.0% +6.3%
SAC 53.7%
STL %
7.9%
8.3%
MIA 5.5%
SAC 7.5% +2.0%
BLK %
7.1%
6.5%
MIA 3.6% +1.5%
SAC 2.1%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Shooting EfficiencyThis Game
TS%
50.6%
54.1%
MIA 66.5% +0.6%
SAC 65.9%
Rim FG%
59.2%
58.2%
MIA 82.4% +19.4%
SAC 63.0%
Mid FG%
38.8%
40.7%
MIA 50.0% +8.6%
SAC 41.4%
3P %
35.8%
37.3%
MIA 45.8%
SAC 70.6% +24.8%
FT %
72.7%
79.8%
MIA 85.7%
SAC 86.7% +1.0%
Shot DistributionThis Game
Rim Att. %
30.2%
36.7%
MIA 23.9%
SAC 37.0% +13.0%
Mid Att. %
48.1%
42.5%
MIA 42.3%
SAC 39.7% +2.5%
3P Att. %
21.7%
20.8%
MIA 33.8% +10.5%
SAC 23.3%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.
Game TotalsMIASAC
Possessions9193
Possession Minutes23.824.3
Points109120
Rebounds3034
Assists2422
Steals57
Blocks21
Turnovers (Team)15 (1)12 (1)
Fouls
Off. Rebounds (Team)4 (1)8 (2)
Def. Rebounds (Team)26 (0)26 (2)
Field Goals40-7141-73
At-the-Rim FG14-1717-27
Midrange FG15-3012-29
2-Point FG29-4729-56
3-Point FG11-2412-17
Free Throws18-2126-30
Fast Break Pts
2nd Chance Pts
Points in Paint
Pts off Turnovers
Bench Points
Biggest Lead

BOXSCORE

Access to boxscore predictions requires a premium subscription.
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
F · 6'7" 228 · 30
40.5
19
68%
8
2
0
1
0
3
1
7
4-4
100%
6-9
67%
1-3
33%
G · 6'4" 220 · 26
39.6
26
68%
2
7
0
0
4
3
0
2
9-10
90%
7-10
70%
1-5
20%
G · 6'1" 180 · 32
31.0
18
75%
5
8
1
0
0
4
1
4
2-2
100%
2-6
33%
4-5
80%
F · 6'8" 235 · 28
27.4
6
60%
5
1
0
1
0
0
0
5
0-0
-
3-5
60%
0-0
-
C · 7'0" 250 · 32
18.7
7
50%
3
0
1
0
1
4
1
2
0-0
-
2-5
40%
1-2
50%
G · 6'7" 195 · 28
29.4
14
64%
2
1
0
0
2
4
1
1
1-2
50%
2-4
50%
3-6
50%
F-C · 7'0" 250 · 27
18.7
4
100%
1
0
0
0
5
2
0
1
0-0
-
2-2
100%
0-0
-
G · 6'2" 205 · 26
17.0
8
67%
2
4
2
0
2
3
0
2
1-2
50%
2-2
100%
1-3
33%
F · 6'9" 240 · 25
13.5
4
67%
2
0
1
0
1
2
0
2
0-0
-
2-3
67%
0-0
-
F-G · 6'9" 205 · 22
4.2
3
150%
0
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
1-1
100%
1-1
100%
0-0
-
C · 6'10" 261 · 38
G · 6'2" 175 · 24
#50 · C · 6'9" 245 · 26
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
#14 · G · 6'5" 210 · 21
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
#21 · G · 6'4" 190 · 27
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
TOTAL
240
109
67%
30
24
5
2
15
0
4
26
18-21
86%
29-47
62%
11-24
46%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.