FinalWin Prob.pScore
1917%86
88
183%99
98
ORTG#PossPace
ATL logo ATL
93.69498.1
BOS logo BOS
104.39491.0

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

CelticsHawksQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Scoring Margin

CelticsHawksQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Play-by-Play

Score / WinProb
ClockTeamEventATLBOS
Q4 - 0:00.0BOS88
0%
98
100%
Q4 - 0:21.0ATLStoudamire 2' Driving Layup (6 PTS)88
0.1%
98
99.9%
Q4 - 0:27.0BOSRondo Free Throw 2 of 2 (6 PTS)86
0.1%
98
99.9%
Q4 - 0:27.0BOSRondo Free Throw 1 of 2 (5 PTS)86
0.1%
97
99.9%
Q4 - 0:29.0BOSRondo REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)86
0.1%
96
99.9%
Q4 - 0:30.0ATLMISS Smith Free Throw 2 of 286
0.1%
96
99.9%
Q4 - 0:30.0ATLSmith Free Throw 1 of 2 (22 PTS)86
0.1%
96
99.9%
Q4 - 0:48.0BOSPierce Free Throw 2 of 2 (30 PTS)85
0.1%
96
99.9%
Q4 - 0:48.0BOSPierce Free Throw 1 of 2 (29 PTS)85
0.1%
95
99.9%
Q4 - 0:52.0ATLSmith 1' Tip Shot (21 PTS)85
0.1%
94
99.9%
Q4 - 0:52.0ATLSmith REBOUND (Off:4 Def:5)83
0.1%
94
99.9%
Q4 - 0:52.0ATLMISS Smith Layup83
0.1%
94
99.9%
Q4 - 0:54.0ATLSmith REBOUND (Off:3 Def:5)83
0.1%
94
99.9%
Q4 - 0:54.0ATLMISS Johnson 14' Jump Shot83
0.1%
94
99.9%
Q4 - 1:06BOSPierce 1' Layup (28 PTS) (Perkins 6 AST)83
0.1%
94
99.9%
Q4 - 1:25BOSPierce REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)83
0.2%
92
99.8%
Q4 - 1:26BOSMISS Pierce 3' Layup83
0.4%
92
99.6%
Q4 - 1:41ATLAllen STEAL (2 STL)83
0.3%
92
99.7%
Q4 - 1:56BOSPierce Free Throw 2 of 2 (26 PTS)83
0.6%
92
99.4%
Q4 - 1:56BOSPierce Free Throw 1 of 2 (25 PTS)83
0.7%
91
99.3%
Q4 - 2:09BOSGarnett REBOUND (Off:3 Def:13)83
1.0%
90
99.0%
Q4 - 2:10ATLMISS Smith 3' Layup83
1.2%
90
98.8%
Q4 - 2:26BOSAllen 13' Running Jump Shot (17 PTS)83
1.9%
90
98.1%
Q4 - 2:53ATLHorford 6' Fadeaway Jumper (14 PTS)83
3.1%
88
96.9%
Q4 - 2:55ATLHorford REBOUND (Off:3 Def:8)81
2.3%
88
97.7%
Q4 - 2:56ATLMISS Smith 11' Jump Shot81
1.6%
88
98.4%
Q4 - 3:13BOSPerkins 1' Putback Slam Dunk (11 PTS)81
2.3%
88
97.7%
Q4 - 3:15BOSPerkins REBOUND (Off:3 Def:9)81
3.0%
86
97.0%
Q4 - 3:17BOSMISS Rondo 2' Layup81
4.5%
86
95.5%
Q4 - 3:34ATLHorford 2' Driving Layup (12 PTS) (Bibby 9 AST)81
4.4%
86
95.6%
Q4 - 3:45BOSPierce Free Throw 2 of 2 (24 PTS)79
3.1%
86
96.9%
Q4 - 3:45BOSPierce Free Throw 1 of 2 (23 PTS)79
3.3%
85
96.7%
Q4 - 3:57ATLGarnett STEAL (2 STL)79
4.3%
84
95.7%
Q4 - 4:11BOSDavis Traveling Turnover (P1.T15)79
6.1%
84
93.9%
Q4 - 4:18BOSAllen REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)79
4.2%
84
95.8%
Q4 - 4:19BOSMISS Garnett 17' Jump Shot79
5.4%
84
94.6%
Q4 - 4:39ATLSmith Free Throw 2 of 2 (19 PTS)79
4.2%
84
95.8%
Q4 - 4:39ATLMISS Smith Free Throw 1 of 278
3.8%
84
96.2%
Q4 - 4:44ATLSmith REBOUND (Off:2 Def:5)78
4.2%
84
95.8%
Q4 - 4:45BOSMISS House 25' 3PT Jump Shot78
3.8%
84
96.2%
Q4 - 5:03ATLHorford 2' Driving Layup (10 PTS)78
3.6%
84
96.4%
Q4 - 5:18BOSDavis Free Throw 2 of 2 (6 PTS)76
2.6%
84
97.4%
Q4 - 5:18BOSDavis Free Throw 1 of 2 (5 PTS)76
2.8%
83
97.2%
Q4 - 5:19BOSDavis REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)76
3.5%
82
96.5%
Q4 - 5:20BOSMISS Davis 1' Layup76
4.5%
82
95.5%
Q4 - 5:37BOSHouse REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)76
3.5%
82
96.5%
Q4 - 5:38ATLMISS Johnson 3PT Jump Shot76
3.9%
82
96.1%
Q4 - 5:46ATLChildress REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)76
4.9%
82
95.1%
Q4 - 5:48BOSMISS Garnett 15' Turnaround Jump Shot76
4.4%
82
95.6%
Q4 - 6:01ATLSmith Free Throw 2 of 2 (18 PTS)76
3.9%
82
96.1%
Q4 - 6:01ATLSmith Free Throw 1 of 2 (17 PTS)75
3.7%
82
96.3%
Q4 - 6:17BOSGarnett 2' Dunk (20 PTS)74
3.1%
82
96.9%
Q4 - 6:42BOSGarnett REBOUND (Off:3 Def:12)74
3.9%
80
96.1%
Q4 - 6:42ATLMISS Bibby 19' Jump Shot74
4.3%
80
95.7%
Q4 - 6:52ATLHorford REBOUND (Off:2 Def:8)74
5.4%
80
94.6%
Q4 - 6:53BOSMISS House 24' 3PT Jump Shot74
4.9%
80
95.1%
Q4 - 6:59ATLAllen STEAL (1 STL)74
3.9%
80
96.1%
Q4 - 7:05BOSGarnett 4' Jump Shot (18 PTS) (House 4 AST)74
6.0%
80
94.0%
Q4 - 7:25ATLChildress 1' Dunk (12 PTS) (Johnson 3 AST)74
7.5%
78
92.5%
Q4 - 7:57BOSGarnett Free Throw 2 of 2 (16 PTS)72
6.0%
78
94.0%
Q4 - 7:57BOSGarnett Free Throw 1 of 2 (15 PTS)72
6.2%
77
93.8%
Q4 - 8:15ATLChildress 1' Reverse Dunk (10 PTS) (Bibby 8 AST)72
8.3%
76
91.7%
Q4 - 8:20ATLHorford REBOUND (Off:2 Def:7)70
6.6%
76
93.4%
Q4 - 8:21BOSMISS House 14' Jump Shot70
6.1%
76
93.9%
Q4 - 8:40BOSPerkins REBOUND (Off:2 Def:9)70
5.1%
76
94.9%
Q4 - 8:41ATLMISS Smith 20' Jump Shot70
5.5%
76
94.5%
Q4 - 8:44ATLHawks Rebound70
6.5%
76
93.5%
Q4 - 8:45ATLPerkins BLOCK (4 BLK)70
5.5%
76
94.5%
Q4 - 9:05BOSHouse 25' 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Perkins 5 AST)70
6.9%
76
93.1%
Q4 - 9:29ATLSmith 1' Layup (16 PTS) (Bibby 7 AST)70
10.5%
73
89.5%
Q4 - 9:36ATLHorford REBOUND (Off:2 Def:6)68
8.6%
73
91.4%
Q4 - 9:37BOSMISS Allen 24' 3PT Jump Shot68
8.0%
73
92.0%
Q4 - 9:51ATLHawks Rebound68
6.8%
73
93.2%
Q4 - 9:51ATLHorford Free Throw 2 of 2 (8 PTS)68
6.8%
73
93.2%
Q4 - 9:51ATLMISS Horford Free Throw 1 of 267
6.4%
73
93.6%
Q4 - 9:52ATLHorford REBOUND (Off:2 Def:5)67
6.8%
73
93.2%
Q4 - 9:53ATLPerkins BLOCK (3 BLK)67
5.8%
73
94.2%
Q4 - 10:10ATLHorford REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)67
7.3%
73
92.7%
Q4 - 10:10BOSMISS Powe Free Throw 2 of 267
7.1%
73
92.9%
Q4 - 10:10BOSPowe Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)67
6.2%
73
93.8%
Q4 - 10:19BOSHouse REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)67
7.2%
72
92.8%
Q4 - 10:20ATLMISS Horford 10' Jump Shot67
7.7%
72
92.3%
Q4 - 10:36ATLJohnson REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)67
8.9%
72
91.1%
Q4 - 10:37BOSMISS House 25' 3PT Jump Shot67
8.4%
72
91.6%
Q4 - 10:55ATLJohnson Out of Bounds Lost Ball Turnover (P3.T10)67
7.1%
72
92.9%
Q4 - 11:14BOSAllen 2' Driving Layup (15 PTS)67
9.5%
72
90.5%
Q4 - 11:35BOSPerkins REBOUND (Off:2 Def:8)67
11.4%
70
88.6%
Q4 - 11:36ATLMISS Johnson 24' 3PT Jump Shot67
12.1%
70
87.9%
Q4 - 11:41ATLJohnson REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)67
13.9%
70
86.1%
Q4 - 11:44ATLMISS Johnson 13' Jump Shot67
12.1%
70
87.9%
Q3 - 0:00.0BOS67
13.9%
70
86.1%
Q3 - 0:00.0BOSCELTICS Rebound67
11.4%
70
88.6%
Q3 - 0:01.0BOSMISS Posey 25' 3PT Jump Shot67
13.0%
70
87.0%
Q3 - 0:25.0ATLChildress Free Throw 2 of 2 (8 PTS)67
11.5%
70
88.5%
Q3 - 0:25.0ATLMISS Childress Free Throw 1 of 266
11.2%
70
88.8%
Q3 - 0:28.0BOSPierce Lost Ball Turnover (P2.T14)66
11.5%
70
88.5%
Q3 - 0:37.0ATLPachulia 1' Layup (3 PTS) (Bibby 6 AST)66
9.6%
70
90.4%
Q3 - 0:55.0ATLChildress REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)64
7.9%
70
92.1%
Q3 - 0:56.0BOSMISS Pierce 24' 3PT Jump Shot64
7.5%
70
92.5%
Q3 - 1:03BOSPowe REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)64
6.7%
70
93.3%
Q3 - 1:04ATLMISS Childress 25' 3PT Jump Shot64
7.1%
70
92.9%
Q3 - 1:19BOSPierce 11' Turnaround Jump Shot (22 PTS)64
8.1%
70
91.9%
Q3 - 1:36BOSPowe REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)64
9.6%
68
90.4%
Q3 - 1:37ATLMISS Pachulia 4' Jump Shot64
10.2%
68
89.8%
Q3 - 1:37ATLPachulia REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)64
11.5%
68
88.5%
Q3 - 1:38ATLMISS Bibby 26' 3PT Jump Shot64
10.2%
68
89.8%
Q3 - 1:53BOSPierce Free Throw 2 of 2 (20 PTS)64
11.5%
68
88.5%
Q3 - 1:53BOSMISS Pierce Free Throw 1 of 264
11.9%
67
88.1%
Q3 - 2:07BOSPerkins REBOUND (Off:2 Def:7)64
11.4%
67
88.6%
Q3 - 2:07ATLMISS Childress Free Throw 2 of 264
11.6%
67
88.4%
Q3 - 2:07ATLChildress Free Throw 1 of 2 (7 PTS)64
13.0%
67
87.0%
Q3 - 2:22ATLPachulia REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)63
11.5%
67
88.5%
Q3 - 2:23BOSMISS Pierce 3PT Jump Shot63
10.9%
67
89.1%
Q3 - 2:45ATLBibby Free Throw 2 of 2 (14 PTS)63
9.6%
67
90.4%
Q3 - 2:45ATLBibby Free Throw 1 of 2 (13 PTS)62
9.4%
67
90.6%
Q3 - 2:59BOSPierce 26' 3PT Jump Shot (19 PTS) (Rondo 8 AST)61
8.2%
67
91.8%
Q3 - 3:20BOSGarnett REBOUND (Off:3 Def:11)61
11.6%
64
88.4%
Q3 - 3:22ATLAllen BLOCK (1 BLK)61
12.2%
64
87.8%
Q3 - 3:31ATLJohnson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)61
13.7%
64
86.3%
Q3 - 3:32BOSMISS Pierce 17' Jump Shot61
13.0%
64
87.0%
Q3 - 3:44ATLPachulia Free Throw 1 of 1 (1 PTS)61
11.6%
64
88.4%
Q3 - 3:54ATLBibby REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)58
8.5%
64
91.5%
Q3 - 3:55BOSMISS Garnett 21' Jump Shot58
8.0%
64
92.0%
Q3 - 4:05BOSCELTICS Rebound58
7.1%
64
92.9%
Q3 - 4:05ATLMISS Horford 4' Jump Shot58
7.5%
64
92.5%
Q3 - 4:18BOSGarnett Traveling Turnover (P4.T13)58
8.5%
64
91.5%
Q3 - 4:37ATLBibby 3PT Jump Shot (10 PTS) (Childress 2 AST)58
7.1%
64
92.9%
Q3 - 4:58ATLPachulia REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)55
5.2%
64
94.8%
Q3 - 4:59BOSMISS Rondo 1' Driving Layup55
5.0%
64
95.0%
Q3 - 5:09ATLChildress Free Throw 2 of 2 (6 PTS)55
4.6%
64
95.4%
Q3 - 5:09ATLChildress Free Throw 1 of 2 (5 PTS)54
4.5%
64
95.5%
Q3 - 5:16BOSGarnett 2' Layup (14 PTS) (Davis 2 AST)53
4.0%
64
96.0%
Q3 - 5:37ATLChildress 2' Driving Layup (4 PTS)53
4.6%
62
95.4%
Q3 - 5:58BOSDavis 1' Reverse Layup (4 PTS) (Garnett 3 AST)51
3.9%
62
96.1%
Q3 - 6:08BOSPierce REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)51
4.7%
60
95.3%
Q3 - 6:09ATLMISS Smith 21' Jump Shot51
5.0%
60
95.0%
Q3 - 6:33BOSAllen 22' Jump Shot (13 PTS) (Davis 1 AST)51
5.6%
60
94.4%
Q3 - 6:47ATLHorford Free Throw 2 of 2 (7 PTS)51
6.4%
58
93.6%
Q3 - 6:47ATLHorford Free Throw 1 of 2 (6 PTS)50
6.2%
58
93.8%
Q3 - 6:58ATLBibby REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)49
5.6%
58
94.4%
Q3 - 6:59BOSMISS Pierce 20' Jump Shot49
5.3%
58
94.7%
Q3 - 7:29ATLChildress 4' Driving Finger Roll Layup (2 PTS)49
4.9%
58
95.1%
Q3 - 7:42BOSPerkins Foul Turnover (P1.T12)47
4.3%
58
95.7%
Q3 - 7:47BOSPerkins REBOUND (Off:2 Def:6)47
3.6%
58
96.4%
Q3 - 7:48ATLMISS Johnson 24' 3PT Jump Shot47
3.8%
58
96.2%
Q3 - 8:00BOSPierce 22' Jump Shot (16 PTS) (Perkins 4 AST)47
4.3%
58
95.7%
Q3 - 8:06BOSPerkins REBOUND (Off:2 Def:5)47
5.0%
56
95.0%
Q3 - 8:07ATLMISS Smith 2' Layup47
5.2%
56
94.8%
Q3 - 8:31BOSPierce 19' Jump Shot (14 PTS)47
5.8%
56
94.2%
Q3 - 8:41BOSPerkins REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)47
6.6%
54
93.4%
Q3 - 8:42ATLMISS Smith Free Throw 2 of 247
6.7%
54
93.3%
Q3 - 8:42ATLSmith Free Throw 1 of 2 (14 PTS)47
7.3%
54
92.7%
Q3 - 8:57BOSPierce 26' 3PT Jump Shot (12 PTS) (Rondo 7 AST)46
6.7%
54
93.3%
Q3 - 9:06BOSGarnett REBOUND (Off:3 Def:10)46
8.6%
51
91.4%
Q3 - 9:07ATLMISS Bibby 24' 3PT Jump Shot46
9.0%
51
91.0%
Q3 - 9:09ATLWilliams REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)46
9.9%
51
90.1%
Q3 - 9:09ATLMISS Johnson 3PT Jump Shot46
9.0%
51
91.0%
Q3 - 9:14ATLJohnson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)46
9.9%
51
90.1%
Q3 - 9:15ATLPierce BLOCK (2 BLK)46
9.0%
51
91.0%
Q3 - 9:40BOSPierce Dunk (9 PTS) (Rondo 6 AST)46
9.9%
51
90.1%
Q3 - 9:43BOSGarnett REBOUND (Off:3 Def:9)46
11.3%
49
88.7%
Q3 - 9:45ATLPerkins BLOCK (2 BLK)46
11.7%
49
88.3%
Q3 - 10:04BOSPierce 1' Layup (7 PTS)46
12.6%
49
87.4%
Q3 - 10:08ATLRondo STEAL (2 STL)46
14.0%
47
86.0%
Q3 - 10:28BOSAllen 24' 3PT Pullup Jump Shot (11 PTS)46
16.1%
47
83.9%
Q3 - 10:36BOSGarnett REBOUND (Off:3 Def:8)46
20.1%
44
79.9%
Q3 - 10:37ATLMISS Smith 15' Jump Shot46
20.8%
44
79.2%
Q3 - 10:57BOSAllen 3PT Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Rondo 5 AST)46
22.7%
44
77.3%
Q3 - 11:21ATLHorford 1' Alley Oop Dunk (5 PTS) (Bibby 5 AST)46
26.7%
41
73.3%
Q3 - 11:24ATLBibby REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)44
24.2%
41
75.8%
Q3 - 11:26BOSMISS Rondo 8' Jump Shot44
23.4%
41
76.6%
Q3 - 11:46BOSGarnett REBOUND (Off:3 Def:7)44
21.7%
41
78.3%
Q3 - 11:47BOSMISS Pierce 26' 3PT Jump Shot44
23.5%
41
76.5%
Q2 - 0:00.0BOS44
21.7%
41
78.3%
Q2 - 0:00.0ATLWest Traveling Turnover (P1.T8)44
21.7%
41
78.3%
Q2 - 0:01.0BOSGarnett 1' Dunk (12 PTS) (Rondo 4 AST)44
23.3%
41
76.7%
Q2 - 0:11.0ATLJohnson Free Throw 1 of 1 (9 PTS)44
26.6%
39
73.4%
Q2 - 0:21.0ATLPachulia REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)41
21.1%
39
78.9%
Q2 - 0:23.0BOSMISS Rondo 2' Reverse Layup41
20.6%
39
79.4%
Q2 - 0:27.0ATLRondo STEAL (1 STL)41
19.5%
39
80.5%
Q2 - 0:37.0BOSRondo Foul Turnover (P1.T11)41
21.1%
39
78.9%
Q2 - 0:39.0ATLJohnson Backcourt Turnover (P1.T6)41
19.5%
39
80.5%
Q2 - 0:54.0BOSPerkins Free Throw 2 of 2 (9 PTS)41
21.1%
39
78.9%
Q2 - 0:54.0BOSPerkins Free Throw 1 of 2 (8 PTS)41
21.9%
38
78.1%
Q2 - 0:56.0BOSPerkins REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)41
24.0%
37
76.0%
Q2 - 0:56.0BOSMISS Garnett 1' Layup41
25.3%
37
74.7%
Q2 - 1:18BOSGarnett REBOUND (Off:2 Def:7)41
24.0%
37
76.0%
Q2 - 1:19ATLMISS Smith 15' Jump Shot41
24.4%
37
75.6%
Q2 - 1:36ATLHawks Rebound41
25.3%
37
74.7%
Q2 - 1:37BOSMISS Garnett 19' Jump Shot41
24.9%
37
75.1%
Q2 - 1:53BOSCELTICS Rebound41
24.1%
37
75.9%
Q2 - 1:54ATLMISS Johnson 26' 3PT Jump Shot41
24.4%
37
75.6%
Q2 - 2:17BOSPerkins Free Throw 2 of 2 (7 PTS)41
25.3%
37
74.7%
Q2 - 2:17BOSMISS Perkins Free Throw 1 of 241
26.1%
36
73.9%
Q2 - 2:21BOSPerkins REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)41
25.4%
36
74.6%
Q2 - 2:22BOSMISS Rondo 3' Layup41
27.0%
36
73.0%
Q2 - 2:33BOSGarnett REBOUND (Off:2 Def:6)41
25.5%
36
74.5%
Q2 - 2:34ATLMISS Horford Free Throw 2 of 241
25.8%
36
74.2%
Q2 - 2:34ATLHorford Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)41
27.3%
36
72.7%
Q2 - 2:50BOSGarnett Slam Dunk (10 PTS) (Rondo 3 AST)40
25.2%
36
74.8%
Q2 - 2:55BOSAllen REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)40
28.0%
34
72.0%
Q2 - 2:56BOSMISS Allen 25' 3PT Jump Shot40
29.6%
34
70.4%
Q2 - 3:23ATLSmith 1' Layup (13 PTS)40
26.5%
34
73.5%
Q2 - 3:24ATLSmith REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)38
24.5%
34
75.5%
Q2 - 3:25ATLMISS Bibby 1' Layup38
22.8%
34
77.2%
Q2 - 3:28BOSGarnett Lost Ball Turnover (P3.T10)38
24.5%
34
75.5%
Q2 - 3:46ATLSmith 24' 3PT Jump Shot (11 PTS) (Bibby 4 AST)38
22.1%
34
77.9%
Q2 - 3:57ATLBibby REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)35
18.5%
34
81.5%
Q2 - 3:58BOSMISS Garnett 20' Jump Shot35
17.9%
34
82.1%
Q2 - 4:21ATLBibby 25' 3PT Jump Shot (7 PTS) (Johnson 2 AST)35
16.2%
34
83.8%
Q2 - 4:27ATLSmith REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)32
13.3%
34
86.7%
Q2 - 4:28BOSMISS Rondo 3' Layup32
12.9%
34
87.1%
Q2 - 4:45ATLWilliams 20' Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Bibby 3 AST)32
12.0%
34
88.0%
Q2 - 4:55BOSGarnett Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T9)30
10.9%
34
89.1%
Q2 - 5:08BOSGarnett REBOUND (Off:2 Def:5)30
9.7%
34
90.3%
Q2 - 5:10ATLMISS Horford 4' Jump Shot30
10.0%
34
90.0%
Q2 - 5:14ATLJohnson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)30
10.8%
34
89.2%
Q2 - 5:20BOSMISS Garnett 20' Jump Shot30
10.5%
34
89.5%
Q2 - 5:36ATLWilliams Free Throw 2 of 2 (6 PTS)30
9.7%
34
90.3%
Q2 - 5:36ATLWilliams Free Throw 1 of 2 (5 PTS)29
9.5%
34
90.5%
Q2 - 5:43ATLHorford REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)28
8.8%
34
91.2%
Q2 - 5:44BOSMISS House 21' Jump Shot28
8.5%
34
91.5%
Q2 - 5:57BOSAllen REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)28
7.9%
34
92.1%
Q2 - 5:58ATLMISS Smith 3' Jump Shot28
8.2%
34
91.8%
Q2 - 6:01ATLSmith REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)28
8.9%
34
91.1%
Q2 - 6:02ATLMISS Bibby 20' Jump Shot28
8.2%
34
91.8%
Q2 - 6:18BOSGarnett 14' Turnaround Fadeaway (8 PTS) (House 3 AST)28
8.9%
34
91.1%
Q2 - 6:30ATLWilliams Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)28
9.6%
32
90.4%
Q2 - 6:30ATLWilliams Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)27
9.5%
32
90.5%
Q2 - 6:56BOSDavis 3' Driving Layup (2 PTS) (House 2 AST)26
8.9%
32
91.1%
Q2 - 7:02BOSDavis REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)26
9.8%
30
90.2%
Q2 - 7:05BOSMISS Davis 4' Jump Shot26
10.5%
30
89.5%
Q2 - 7:24BOSCELTICS Rebound26
9.8%
30
90.2%
Q2 - 7:25ATLMISS Williams 9' Jump Shot26
10.1%
30
89.9%
Q2 - 7:45BOSAllen 18' Jump Shot (5 PTS) (House 1 AST)26
10.9%
30
89.1%
Q2 - 8:08ATLPowe STEAL (1 STL)26
11.8%
28
88.2%
Q2 - 8:21BOSAllen Out of Bounds Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T8)26
13.1%
28
86.9%
Q2 - 8:27ATLAllen STEAL (1 STL)26
11.8%
28
88.2%
Q2 - 8:32ATLSmith REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)26
13.1%
28
86.9%
Q2 - 8:33BOSMISS House 25' 3PT Jump Shot26
12.7%
28
87.3%
Q2 - 8:56ATLSmith 22' Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Stoudamire 1 AST)26
11.8%
28
88.2%
Q2 - 9:18BOSCELTICS Turnover: Shot Clock (T#7)24
10.8%
28
89.2%
Q2 - 9:20BOSCELTICS Rebound24
9.8%
28
90.2%
Q2 - 9:20BOSMISS Allen 2' Layup24
10.5%
28
89.5%
Q2 - 9:42BOSPowe REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)24
9.8%
28
90.2%
Q2 - 9:43ATLMISS Stoudamire 26' 3PT Jump Shot24
10.1%
28
89.9%
Q2 - 9:55BOSHouse Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T6)24
10.8%
28
89.2%
Q2 - 10:11BOSDavis REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)24
9.9%
28
90.1%
Q2 - 10:13ATLMISS Smith 18' Jump Shot24
10.2%
28
89.8%
Q2 - 10:23ATLWilliams REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)24
10.9%
28
89.1%
Q2 - 10:24BOSMISS Powe 1' Layup24
10.6%
28
89.4%
Q2 - 10:43BOSPosey REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)24
9.9%
28
90.1%
Q2 - 10:44ATLMISS Pachulia 15' Jump Shot24
10.2%
28
89.8%
Q2 - 10:59BOSPowe 3 Second Violation Turnover (P1.T5)24
10.9%
28
89.1%
Q2 - 11:17ATLSmith 18' Fadeaway Jumper (6 PTS)24
9.7%
28
90.3%
Q2 - 11:37BOSPosey 19' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Powe 1 AST)22
8.9%
28
91.1%
Q2 - 11:41BOSCELTICS Rebound22
9.8%
26
90.2%
Q2 - 11:42BOSMISS House 3PT Jump Shot22
10.4%
26
89.6%
Q1 - 0:00.0ATL22
9.8%
26
90.2%
Q1 - 0:01.0ATLWilliams REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)22
10.5%
26
89.5%
Q1 - 0:02.0BOSMISS Posey 26' 3PT Jump Shot22
10.3%
26
89.7%
Q1 - 0:19.0ATLStoudamire 17' Fadeaway Jumper (4 PTS)22
9.8%
26
90.2%
Q1 - 0:33.0BOSHouse Layup (2 PTS) (Perkins 3 AST)20
8.8%
26
91.2%
Q1 - 0:36.0ATLHouse STEAL (1 STL)20
9.8%
24
90.2%
Q1 - 0:38.0ATLWilliams REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)20
10.5%
24
89.5%
Q1 - 0:39.0BOSMISS Powe 1' Layup20
10.3%
24
89.7%
Q1 - 0:42.0BOSPierce REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)20
9.8%
24
90.2%
Q1 - 0:44.0BOSMISS Pierce 3' Jump Shot20
10.3%
24
89.7%
Q1 - 0:54.0ATLStoudamire 2' Driving Layup (2 PTS) (Smith 1 AST)20
9.8%
24
90.2%
Q1 - 1:04BOSPierce Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T4)18
8.9%
24
91.1%
Q1 - 1:12BOSPierce REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)18
8.3%
24
91.7%
Q1 - 1:13ATLMISS Johnson 27' 3PT Jump Shot18
8.5%
24
91.5%
Q1 - 1:37ATLChildress REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)18
8.9%
24
91.1%
Q1 - 1:38BOSMISS Rondo 18' Jump Shot18
8.7%
24
91.3%
Q1 - 1:57ATLBibby 20' Pullup Jump Shot (4 PTS)18
8.3%
24
91.7%
Q1 - 2:07ATLHorford REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)16
7.5%
24
92.5%
Q1 - 2:08BOSMISS Allen 25' 3PT Jump Shot16
7.3%
24
92.7%
Q1 - 2:16BOSPierce REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)16
6.9%
24
93.1%
Q1 - 2:17ATLMISS Johnson 19' Jump Shot16
7.1%
24
92.9%
Q1 - 2:33BOSPerkins 2' Slam Dunk (6 PTS) (Garnett 2 AST)16
7.5%
24
92.5%
Q1 - 2:43BOSPierce REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)16
8.2%
22
91.8%
Q1 - 2:44ATLMISS Pachulia 19' Jump Shot16
8.4%
22
91.6%
Q1 - 2:55ATLHorford REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)16
8.9%
22
91.1%
Q1 - 2:56BOSMISS Perkins 2' Layup16
8.7%
22
91.3%
Q1 - 3:11ATLHorford 2' Layup (2 PTS) (Bibby 2 AST)16
8.2%
22
91.8%
Q1 - 3:22BOSPerkins 1' Slam Dunk (4 PTS) (Allen 1 AST)14
7.6%
22
92.4%
Q1 - 3:48ATLBibby 19' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Childress 1 AST)14
8.2%
20
91.8%
Q1 - 3:51ATLChildress REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)12
7.6%
20
92.4%
Q1 - 3:52ATLMISS Bibby 26' 3PT Jump Shot12
7.2%
20
92.8%
Q1 - 4:23BOSPierce 25' 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Perkins 2 AST)12
7.6%
20
92.4%
Q1 - 4:32BOSPerkins REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)12
8.8%
17
91.2%
Q1 - 4:33ATLPierce BLOCK (1 BLK)12
9.0%
17
91.0%
Q1 - 5:00BOSGarnett 2' Putback Layup (6 PTS)12
9.7%
17
90.3%
Q1 - 5:00BOSGarnett REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)12
10.3%
15
89.7%
Q1 - 5:01BOSMISS Garnett 4' Jump Shot12
10.7%
15
89.3%
Q1 - 5:17ATLGarnett STEAL (1 STL)12
10.1%
15
89.9%
Q1 - 5:28ATLJohnson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)12
11.0%
15
89.0%
Q1 - 5:30BOSMISS Rondo 18' Jump Shot12
10.8%
15
89.2%
Q1 - 5:39BOSGarnett REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)12
10.1%
15
89.9%
Q1 - 5:40ATLMISS Johnson 17' Jump Shot12
10.4%
15
89.6%
Q1 - 5:57BOSRondo 19' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Pierce 1 AST)12
11.0%
15
89.0%
Q1 - 6:14ATLJohnson 17' Jump Shot (6 PTS)12
11.7%
13
88.3%
Q1 - 6:31BOSGarnett Tip Shot (4 PTS)10
10.9%
13
89.1%
Q1 - 6:31BOSGarnett REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)10
11.7%
11
88.3%
Q1 - 6:33BOSMISS Rondo 18' Jump Shot10
12.3%
11
87.7%
Q1 - 6:41BOSGarnett REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)10
11.7%
11
88.3%
Q1 - 6:41ATLMISS Bibby 21' Jump Shot10
12.0%
11
88.0%
Q1 - 6:56BOSGarnett Foul Turnover (P1.T3)10
12.6%
11
87.4%
Q1 - 7:20ATLWilliams 2' Driving Layup (2 PTS)10
11.5%
11
88.5%
Q1 - 7:23BOSAllen Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T2)8
10.9%
11
89.1%
Q1 - 7:31BOSAllen REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)8
10.1%
11
89.9%
Q1 - 7:32ATLMISS Johnson 20' Jump Shot8
10.3%
11
89.7%
Q1 - 7:44BOSAllen 24' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Rondo 2 AST)8
10.9%
11
89.1%
Q1 - 7:50ATLBibby Inbound Turnover (P1.T1)8
12.3%
8
87.7%
Q1 - 7:50BOSCELTICS Turnover: 5 Second Inbound (T#1)8
13.3%
8
86.7%
Q1 - 7:50BOSCELTICS Rebound8
12.3%
8
87.7%
Q1 - 7:51BOSMISS Garnett 7' Jump Shot8
13.0%
8
87.0%
Q1 - 8:06ATLSmith 1' Driving Slam Dunk (4 PTS) (Bibby 1 AST)8
12.1%
8
87.9%
Q1 - 8:22ATLHorford REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)6
11.4%
8
88.6%
Q1 - 8:23BOSMISS Pierce 24' 3PT Jump Shot6
11.2%
8
88.8%
Q1 - 8:29BOSPerkins REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)6
10.6%
8
89.4%
Q1 - 8:30ATLMISS Smith 21' Jump Shot6
10.8%
8
89.2%
Q1 - 8:48ATLWilliams REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)6
11.4%
8
88.6%
Q1 - 8:49BOSMISS Allen 17' Jump Shot6
11.2%
8
88.8%
Q1 - 9:09ATLJohnson 14' Turnaround Fadeaway (4 PTS)6
10.4%
8
89.6%
Q1 - 9:32BOSGarnett 21' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Rondo 1 AST)4
9.9%
8
90.1%
Q1 - 9:44BOSGarnett REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)4
10.4%
6
89.6%
Q1 - 9:45ATLMISS Bibby 26' 3PT Jump Shot4
10.7%
6
89.3%
Q1 - 9:49ATLHorford REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)4
11.4%
6
88.6%
Q1 - 9:50ATLMISS Williams 20' Jump Shot4
10.7%
6
89.3%
Q1 - 10:11BOSPierce 18' Pullup Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Perkins 1 AST)4
11.3%
6
88.7%
Q1 - 10:22BOSPerkins REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)4
11.9%
4
88.1%
Q1 - 10:23ATLMISS Smith 16' Jump Shot4
12.2%
4
87.8%
Q1 - 10:41ATLSmith REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)4
12.8%
4
87.2%
Q1 - 10:42BOSMISS Perkins Free Throw 1 of 14
12.7%
4
87.3%
Q1 - 11:03ATLJohnson 24' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Williams 1 AST)4
13.6%
2
86.4%
Q1 - 11:05ATLHawks Rebound2
12.7%
2
87.3%
Q1 - 11:05ATLPerkins BLOCK (1 BLK)2
12.2%
2
87.8%
Q1 - 11:11ATLSmith REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)2
12.7%
2
87.3%
Q1 - 11:12BOSMISS Pierce 1' Layup2
12.4%
2
87.6%
Q1 - 11:22BOSGarnett REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)2
11.9%
2
88.1%
Q1 - 11:23ATLMISS Horford 17' Jump Shot2
12.2%
2
87.8%
Q1 - 11:40BOSRondo 16' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Garnett 1 AST)2
12.7%
2
87.3%
Q1 - 11:54ATLSmith Alley Oop Dunk (2 PTS) (Johnson 1 AST)2
13.6%
0
86.4%
Q1 - 12:00BOSJump Ball Perkins vs. Smith: Tip to Horford0
12.7%
0
87.3%

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

ATL
0.93 46.3%
BOS
1.00 50.0%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)
ATL
17
30
57%
BOS
18
34
53%
Midrange
ATL
12
35
34%
BOS
12
28
43%
3PT | Effective 3PT
ATL
3
4.5
16
19%
28%
BOS
7
10.5
21
33%
50%
Free Throws
ATL
21
28
75%
BOS
17
21
81%
Makes
Effective 3P Makes
%
Efficiency
Misses
Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|
ATL logo Hawks
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
J. Smith2242%11.0 / 26
A. Horford1458%7.0 / 12
M. Bibby1450%7.0 / 14
J. Childress1255%6.0 / 11
J. Johnson928%4.5 / 16
M. Williams867%4.0 / 6
S. Stoudamire675%3.0 / 4
Z. Pachulia330%1.5 / 5
TS Makes
TS Misses

Total Points

|
BOS logo Celtics
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
P. Pierce3065%15.0 / 23
K. Garnett2053%10.0 / 19
R. Allen1777%8.5 / 11
K. Perkins1179%5.5 / 7
R. Rondo625%3.0 / 12
G. Davis660%3.0 / 5
E. House528%2.5 / 9
J. Posey233%1.0 / 3
L. Powe117%0.5 / 3
T. Allen0-0.0 / 1
TS Makes
TS Misses

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

ATL
81
+15
-13
96
BOS
81
+16
-13
97
Base
ORB
TOV

Scoring Efficiency

ATL
0.93 46.3%
BOS
1.00 50.0%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Efficiency & PaceThis Game
Efficiency
106.6
109.6
ATL 93.6 +10.6
BOS 104.3
Pace
91.4
91.5
ATL 98.1 +7.1
BOS 91.0
Avg. Poss. Time
15.6
15.7
ATL 14.7 +1.1
BOS 15.8
Four FactorsThis Game
EFG %
48.3%
52.2%
ATL 41.4%
BOS 48.8% +7.4%
TO %
15.5%
15.7%
ATL 12.2% +1.8%
BOS 14.0%
ORB %
29.8%
26.6%
ATL 25.0%
BOS 27.9% +2.9%
FTrt
34.0
34.6
ATL 34.6 +9.3
BOS 25.3
Misc. StatsThis Game
AST %
60.6%
61.4%
ATL 56.3%
BOS 70.3% +14.0%
STL %
7.9%
9.3%
ATL 4.3%
BOS 9.6% +5.3%
BLK %
8.4%
7.9%
ATL 11.3% +0.5%
BOS 10.8%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Shooting EfficiencyThis Game
TS%
52.0%
55.1%
ATL 46.3%
BOS 50.0% +3.7%
Rim FG%
58.6%
58.2%
ATL 56.7% +3.8%
BOS 52.9%
Mid FG%
38.5%
43.2%
ATL 34.3%
BOS 42.9% +8.6%
3P %
35.6%
38.1%
ATL 18.8%
BOS 33.3% +14.5%
FT %
77.2%
77.1%
ATL 75.0%
BOS 81.0% +6.0%
Shot DistributionThis Game
Rim Att. %
36.9%
37.1%
ATL 37.0%
BOS 41.0% +3.9%
Mid Att. %
46.7%
38.0%
ATL 43.2%
BOS 33.7% +9.5%
3P Att. %
16.5%
24.9%
ATL 19.8%
BOS 25.3% +5.5%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.
Game TotalsATLBOS
Possessions9494
Possession Minutes23.024.8
Points8898
Rebounds4348
Assists1826
Steals49
Blocks77
Turnovers (Team)13 (0)13 (2)
Fouls
Off. Rebounds (Team)12 (3)12 (4)
Def. Rebounds (Team)31 (1)36 (3)
Field Goals32-8137-83
At-the-Rim FG17-3018-34
Midrange FG12-3512-28
2-Point FG29-6530-62
3-Point FG3-167-21
Free Throws21-2817-21
Fast Break Pts
2nd Chance Pts
Points in Paint
Pts off Turnovers
Bench Points
Biggest Lead

BOXSCORE

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PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
G · 6'7" 240 · 27
40.8
9
28%
6
3
2
0
4
2
2
4
1-1
100%
4-10
40%
0-6
0%
F · 6'9" 225 · 22
40.4
22
42%
9
1
0
3
3
5
4
5
5-8
63%
7-21
33%
1-1
100%
C · 6'10" 245 · 22
38.2
14
58%
11
0
1
2
0
3
3
8
4-6
67%
5-9
56%
0-0
-
G · 6'2" 195 · 30
38.2
14
50%
4
9
0
0
3
0
0
4
2-2
100%
3-7
43%
2-7
29%
F · 6'9" 237 · 22
20.5
8
67%
5
1
1
2
1
2
1
4
4-4
100%
2-4
50%
0-0
-
F-G · 6'8" 210 · 25
33.2
12
55%
4
2
0
0
1
1
1
3
4-6
67%
4-7
57%
0-1
0%
C · 6'11" 270 · 24
16.1
3
30%
4
1
0
0
0
3
1
3
1-1
100%
1-4
25%
0-0
-
G · 6'1" 175 · 25
9.6
6
75%
0
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
3-3
100%
0-1
0%
G-F · 6'7" 195 · 24
1.1
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
-
0-0
-
G · 6'5" 210 · 24
1.1
0
0%
0
0
0
0
1
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
-
0-0
-
F · 6'10" 235 · 24
0.7
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
-
0-0
-
G · 6'3" 202 · 23
#12 · G · 5'11" 170 · 30
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
TOTAL
240
88
46%
43
18
4
7
13
0
12
31
21-28
75%
29-65
45%
3-16
19%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.