FinalWin Prob.pScore
173%99
96
2427%92
94
ORTG#PossPace
SAS logo SAS
103.29397.1
MIL logo MIL
100.09490.2

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

BucksSpursQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Scoring Margin

BucksSpursQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Play-by-Play

Score / WinProb
ClockTeamEventSASMIL
Q4 - 0:00.0MIL96
100%
94
0%
Q4 - 0:00.0MILBUCKS Rebound96
95.4%
94
4.6%
Q4 - 0:00.0MILBogut REBOUND (Off:6 Def:9)96
95.4%
94
4.6%
Q4 - 0:00.0MILMISS Bogut Tip Shot96
99.0%
94
1.0%
Q4 - 0:01.0MILMISS Redd Free Throw 2 of 296
99.3%
94
0.7%
Q4 - 0:08.0SASParker Free Throw 2 of 2 (26 PTS)96
88.6%
94
11.4%
Q4 - 0:08.0SASMISS Parker Free Throw 1 of 295
85.9%
94
14.1%
Q4 - 0:08.0MILBell Lost Ball Turnover (P2.T11)95
89.9%
94
10.1%
Q4 - 0:13.0SASGinobili 17' Jump Shot (30 PTS)95
73.6%
94
26.4%
Q4 - 0:20.0MILBell Layup (6 PTS)93
55.0%
94
45.0%
Q4 - 0:25.0MILBell REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)93
71.2%
92
28.8%
Q4 - 0:27.0SASBowen REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)93
87.2%
92
12.8%
Q4 - 0:27.0SASMISS Bowen Tip Shot93
77.0%
92
23.0%
Q4 - 0:29.0SASMISS Parker 18' Jump Shot93
76.7%
92
23.3%
Q4 - 0:39.0SASParker REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)93
85.1%
92
14.9%
Q4 - 0:40.0MILMISS Ivey 7' Running Jump Shot93
81.3%
92
18.7%
Q4 - 0:51.0SASGinobili Step Out of Bounds Turnover (P3.T14)93
70.6%
92
29.4%
Q4 - 1:08MILSimmons 3PT Jump Shot (11 PTS) (Ivey 2 AST)93
81.7%
92
18.3%
Q4 - 1:23SASGinobili 17' Jump Shot (28 PTS)93
92.7%
89
7.3%
Q4 - 1:39MILIvey Layup (4 PTS)91
88.3%
89
11.7%
Q4 - 1:49SASDuncan Free Throw 2 of 2 (9 PTS)91
91.7%
87
8.3%
Q4 - 1:49SASMISS Duncan Free Throw 1 of 290
90.7%
87
9.3%
Q4 - 2:14MILBell Layup (4 PTS) (Bogut 2 AST)90
92.8%
87
7.2%
Q4 - 2:32MILBogut REBOUND (Off:5 Def:9)90
94.5%
85
5.5%
Q4 - 2:33SASMISS Parker Free Throw 2 of 290
94.9%
85
5.1%
Q4 - 2:33SASMISS Parker Free Throw 1 of 290
96.1%
85
3.9%
Q4 - 2:44MILRedd Layup (25 PTS) (Ivey 1 AST)90
97.1%
85
2.9%
Q4 - 2:55SASParker 19' Jump Shot (25 PTS) (Duncan 4 AST)90
97.0%
83
3.0%
Q4 - 3:07SASParker REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)88
96.0%
83
4.0%
Q4 - 3:08MILMISS Redd 27' 3PT Jump Shot88
95.4%
83
4.6%
Q4 - 3:22SASParker Traveling Turnover (P4.T13)88
93.3%
83
6.7%
Q4 - 3:39MILBogut Free Throw 2 of 2 (17 PTS)88
94.3%
83
5.7%
Q4 - 3:39MILBogut Free Throw 1 of 2 (16 PTS)88
95.0%
82
5.0%
Q4 - 3:39MILBUCKS Rebound88
95.9%
81
4.1%
Q4 - 3:39MILMISS Ivey 13' Jump Shot88
96.9%
81
3.1%
Q4 - 4:06SASGinobili Layup (26 PTS) (Duncan 3 AST)88
96.1%
81
3.9%
Q4 - 4:21MILRedd Layup (23 PTS)86
94.6%
81
5.4%
Q4 - 4:23MILRedd REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)86
96.1%
79
3.9%
Q4 - 4:24MILMISS Redd Layup86
97.0%
79
3.0%
Q4 - 4:31MILSimmons REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)86
96.1%
79
3.9%
Q4 - 4:32SASMISS Duncan Layup86
96.6%
79
3.4%
Q4 - 4:46MILRedd Lost Ball Turnover (P6.T10)86
97.4%
79
2.6%
Q4 - 4:56MILBell REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)86
96.2%
79
3.8%
Q4 - 4:58SASMISS Parker 13' Jump Shot86
96.6%
79
3.4%
Q4 - 5:19MILBogut 15' Jump Shot (15 PTS) (Bell 3 AST)86
96.6%
79
3.4%
Q4 - 5:42SASGinobili Free Throw 2 of 2 (24 PTS)86
97.5%
77
2.5%
Q4 - 5:42SASGinobili Free Throw 1 of 2 (23 PTS)85
97.4%
77
2.6%
Q4 - 5:46SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:1 Def:6)84
96.6%
77
3.4%
Q4 - 5:47MILMISS Simmons 6' Jump Shot84
96.2%
77
3.8%
Q4 - 6:05MILBUCKS Rebound84
94.4%
77
5.6%
Q4 - 6:05SASMISS Stoudamire 26' 3PT Jump Shot84
94.9%
77
5.1%
Q4 - 6:25MILRedd Free Throw 2 of 2 (21 PTS)84
96.0%
77
4.0%
Q4 - 6:25MILMISS Redd Free Throw 1 of 284
96.1%
76
3.9%
Q4 - 6:27MILBUCKS Rebound84
95.8%
76
4.2%
Q4 - 6:28MILMISS Bell 12' Jump Shot84
96.7%
76
3.3%
Q4 - 6:38MILBogut REBOUND (Off:5 Def:8)84
95.8%
76
4.2%
Q4 - 6:40SASMISS Finley 16' Jump Shot84
96.2%
76
3.8%
Q4 - 6:55SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)84
97.0%
76
3.0%
Q4 - 6:57MILMISS Redd Layup84
96.7%
76
3.3%
Q4 - 7:18SASParker Jump Hook Shot (23 PTS)84
95.2%
76
4.8%
Q4 - 7:37SASBowen REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)82
94.0%
76
6.0%
Q4 - 7:39MILMISS Redd Layup82
93.5%
76
6.5%
Q4 - 7:56SASParker 5' Jump Shot (21 PTS)82
92.0%
76
8.0%
Q4 - 8:04MILRedd Bad Pass Turnover (P5.T9)80
88.9%
76
11.1%
Q4 - 8:22SASParker Foul Turnover (P3.T12)80
86.1%
76
13.9%
Q4 - 8:32SASSpurs Rebound80
88.9%
76
11.1%
Q4 - 8:33MILMISS Redd 25' 3PT Jump Shot80
88.1%
76
11.9%
Q4 - 8:47SASBowen 3PT Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Stoudamire 2 AST)80
86.1%
76
13.9%
Q4 - 9:10MILGadzuric Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)77
79.2%
76
20.8%
Q4 - 9:10MILGadzuric Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)77
80.8%
75
19.2%
Q4 - 9:19MILIvey REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)77
82.7%
74
17.3%
Q4 - 9:20SASMISS Finley 24' 3PT Jump Shot77
83.7%
74
16.3%
Q4 - 9:33MILRedd Free Throw 2 of 2 (20 PTS)77
86.0%
74
14.0%
Q4 - 9:33MILRedd Free Throw 1 of 2 (19 PTS)77
86.4%
73
13.6%
Q4 - 9:38MILRedd REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)77
88.5%
72
11.5%
Q4 - 9:39SASGadzuric BLOCK (1 BLK)77
89.3%
72
10.7%
Q4 - 9:56MILSimmons 11' Jump Bank Shot (8 PTS)77
90.8%
72
9.2%
Q4 - 10:08MILIvey REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)77
91.9%
70
8.1%
Q4 - 10:09SASMISS Stoudamire 16' Jump Shot77
92.4%
70
7.6%
Q4 - 10:13MILRedd Bad Pass Turnover (P4.T8)77
93.5%
70
6.5%
Q4 - 10:29SASGinobili Dunk (22 PTS) (Udoka 1 AST)77
91.9%
70
8.1%
Q4 - 10:34MILGadzuric Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T7)75
90.2%
70
9.8%
Q4 - 10:36MILGadzuric REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)75
87.8%
70
12.2%
Q4 - 10:37MILMISS Bell Layup75
89.6%
70
10.4%
Q4 - 10:42MILBell REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)75
87.9%
70
12.1%
Q4 - 10:44SASMISS Udoka 17' Jump Shot75
88.6%
70
11.4%
Q4 - 10:56MILRedd Free Throw 2 of 2 (18 PTS)75
90.3%
70
9.7%
Q4 - 10:56MILRedd Free Throw 1 of 2 (17 PTS)75
90.5%
69
9.5%
Q4 - 11:10SASGinobili 5' Running Hook Shot (20 PTS)75
91.1%
68
8.9%
Q4 - 11:14SASOberto REBOUND (Off:3 Def:5)73
89.3%
68
10.7%
Q4 - 11:16SASMISS Ginobili 24' 3PT Jump Shot73
87.7%
68
12.3%
Q4 - 11:41SASOberto REBOUND (Off:2 Def:5)73
89.4%
68
10.6%
Q4 - 11:42MILMISS Bell Layup73
88.7%
68
11.3%
Q3 - 0:00.0MIL73
87.0%
68
13.0%
Q3 - 0:00.0MILSimmons REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)73
87.0%
68
13.0%
Q3 - 0:01.0SASMISS Finley 26' 3PT Jump Shot73
87.6%
68
12.4%
Q3 - 0:18.0SASGinobili REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)73
89.1%
68
10.9%
Q3 - 0:19.0MILMISS Ivey 26' 3PT Jump Shot73
88.5%
68
11.5%
Q3 - 0:38.0SASOberto Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)73
86.9%
68
13.1%
Q3 - 0:38.0SASOberto Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)72
86.0%
68
14.0%
Q3 - 0:52.0MILIvey Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)71
84.4%
68
15.6%
Q3 - 0:52.0MILIvey Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)71
85.0%
67
15.0%
Q3 - 0:56.0SASGinobili Free Throw 2 of 2 (18 PTS)71
86.9%
66
13.1%
Q3 - 0:56.0SASGinobili Free Throw 1 of 2 (17 PTS)70
86.6%
66
13.4%
Q3 - 1:07MILBogut REBOUND (Off:5 Def:7)69
84.4%
66
15.6%
Q3 - 1:07MILBogut Tip Shot (13 PTS)69
84.4%
66
15.6%
Q3 - 1:09MILMISS Mason Layup69
88.2%
64
11.8%
Q3 - 1:28MILBogut REBOUND (Off:4 Def:7)69
86.7%
64
13.3%
Q3 - 1:28SASMISS Ginobili Free Throw 2 of 269
87.0%
64
13.0%
Q3 - 1:28SASGinobili Free Throw 1 of 2 (16 PTS)69
88.5%
64
11.5%
Q3 - 1:40SASStoudamire REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)68
86.8%
64
13.2%
Q3 - 1:40MILMISS Bogut Free Throw 2 of 268
86.5%
64
13.5%
Q3 - 1:40MILMISS Bogut Free Throw 1 of 268
85.3%
64
14.7%
Q3 - 1:58SASFinley 20' Jump Shot (11 PTS)68
84.3%
64
15.7%
Q3 - 2:19SASUdoka REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)66
81.3%
64
18.7%
Q3 - 2:20MILMISS Simmons 25' 3PT Jump Shot66
80.3%
64
19.7%
Q3 - 2:44SASGinobili Free Throw 1 of 1 (15 PTS)66
78.0%
64
22.0%
Q3 - 2:55MILBell Offensive Foul Turnover (P1.T6)63
71.3%
64
28.7%
Q3 - 3:02SASUdoka 24' 3PT Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Ginobili 4 AST)63
67.6%
64
32.4%
Q3 - 3:15SASFinley REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)60
59.5%
64
40.5%
Q3 - 3:16MILMISS Mason 9' Jump Shot60
58.1%
64
41.9%
Q3 - 3:36SASFinley 19' Jump Shot (9 PTS) (Parker 5 AST)60
54.8%
64
45.2%
Q3 - 3:44SASUdoka REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)58
50.6%
64
49.4%
Q3 - 3:45MILMISS Bogut 6' Hook Shot58
49.1%
64
50.9%
Q3 - 4:11SASParker Layup (19 PTS)58
47.3%
64
52.7%
Q3 - 4:17SASOberto REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)56
43.6%
64
56.4%
Q3 - 4:18MILMISS Bell 27' 3PT Jump Shot56
42.1%
64
57.9%
Q3 - 4:34SASGinobili Layup (12 PTS) (Parker 4 AST)56
38.8%
64
61.2%
Q3 - 4:40SASBowen REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)54
35.3%
64
64.7%
Q3 - 4:42MILMISS Redd 7' Jump Shot54
33.9%
64
66.1%
Q3 - 4:53MILMason REBOUND (Off:2 Def:6)54
30.9%
64
69.1%
Q3 - 4:54SASMISS Bowen 3PT Jump Shot54
32.2%
64
67.8%
Q3 - 5:09MILRedd 17' Jump Shot (16 PTS) (Bell 2 AST)54
36.9%
64
63.1%
Q3 - 5:27MILBogut REBOUND (Off:4 Def:6)54
40.5%
62
59.5%
Q3 - 5:28SASMISS Ginobili 3PT Jump Shot54
41.8%
62
58.2%
Q3 - 5:32SASOberto REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)54
44.9%
62
55.1%
Q3 - 5:34SASMISS Ginobili Running Hook Shot54
41.8%
62
58.2%
Q3 - 5:48SASGinobili REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)54
44.8%
62
55.2%
Q3 - 5:49MILMISS Villanueva 26' 3PT Jump Shot54
43.5%
62
56.5%
Q3 - 5:55MILBogut REBOUND (Off:4 Def:5)54
40.4%
62
59.6%
Q3 - 5:56MILMISS Redd 15' Jump Shot54
43.5%
62
56.5%
Q3 - 6:10MILVillanueva REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)54
42.2%
62
57.8%
Q3 - 6:12SASBogut BLOCK (2 BLK)54
43.5%
62
56.5%
Q3 - 6:17SASBowen REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)54
46.4%
62
53.6%
Q3 - 6:18SASMISS Horry 3PT Jump Shot54
43.5%
62
56.5%
Q3 - 6:44MILBogut 6' Hook Shot (11 PTS)54
46.3%
62
53.7%
Q3 - 7:01MILBUCKS Rebound54
50.4%
60
49.6%
Q3 - 7:01SASVillanueva BLOCK (1 BLK)54
51.8%
60
48.2%
Q3 - 7:11MILMason REBOUND (Off:2 Def:5)54
54.9%
60
45.1%
Q3 - 7:11MILMason Tip Shot (12 PTS)54
54.9%
60
45.1%
Q3 - 7:13MILMISS Villanueva 17' Jump Shot54
61.1%
58
38.9%
Q3 - 7:32SASParker Free Throw 2 of 2 (17 PTS)54
58.1%
58
41.9%
Q3 - 7:32SASMISS Parker Free Throw 1 of 253
57.3%
58
42.7%
Q3 - 7:32SASUdoka Free Throw Technical (5 PTS)53
58.7%
58
41.3%
Q3 - 7:32SASUdoka Free Throw Technical (4 PTS)52
54.9%
58
45.1%
Q3 - 7:43SASHorry REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)51
51.0%
58
49.0%
Q3 - 7:44MILMISS Williams 14' Jump Shot51
49.7%
58
50.3%
Q3 - 8:06MILBUCKS Rebound51
48.0%
58
52.0%
Q3 - 8:06SASMISS Duncan Layup51
49.3%
58
50.7%
Q3 - 8:26MILRedd 15' Jump Shot (14 PTS)51
52.2%
58
47.8%
Q3 - 8:43MILMason REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)51
55.4%
56
44.6%
Q3 - 8:44SASMISS Udoka 25' 3PT Jump Shot51
56.7%
56
43.3%
Q3 - 8:59MILMason REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)51
59.6%
56
40.4%
Q3 - 8:59MILMason Tip Shot (10 PTS)51
59.6%
56
40.4%
Q3 - 9:01MILMISS Villanueva Running Jump Shot51
66.3%
54
33.7%
Q3 - 9:16MILMason REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)51
63.9%
54
36.1%
Q3 - 9:18SASMISS Horry 3PT Jump Shot51
64.9%
54
35.1%
Q3 - 9:41SASUdoka REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)51
67.3%
54
32.7%
Q3 - 9:42MILMISS Mason Reverse Layup51
66.2%
54
33.8%
Q3 - 10:08SASParker 21' Jump Shot (16 PTS)51
64.9%
54
35.1%
Q3 - 10:21MILRedd Free Throw 1 of 1 (12 PTS)49
62.0%
54
38.0%
Q3 - 10:27MILVillanueva REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)49
68.1%
51
31.9%
Q3 - 10:28SASMISS Duncan 5' Hook Shot49
69.1%
51
30.9%
Q3 - 10:47MILRedd Bad Pass Turnover (P3.T5)49
71.3%
51
28.7%
Q3 - 11:08SASDuncan 3' Hook Shot (8 PTS)49
69.3%
51
30.7%
Q3 - 11:20SASBowen REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)47
66.4%
51
33.6%
Q3 - 11:21MILMISS Williams 16' Jump Shot47
65.4%
51
34.6%
Q3 - 11:39MILMason REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)47
63.0%
51
37.0%
Q3 - 11:40SASMISS Duncan Hook Shot47
64.1%
51
35.9%
Q2 - 0:00.0MIL47
66.3%
51
33.7%
Q2 - 0:00.0MILBogut REBOUND (Off:3 Def:5)47
63.0%
51
37.0%
Q2 - 0:01.0MILMISS Bogut 19' Jump Shot47
65.9%
51
34.1%
Q2 - 0:03.0SASParker Free Throw 2 of 2 (14 PTS)47
64.5%
51
35.5%
Q2 - 0:03.0SASParker Free Throw 1 of 2 (13 PTS)46
63.8%
51
36.2%
Q2 - 0:14.0MILBogut Free Throw 2 of 2 (9 PTS)45
60.4%
51
39.6%
Q2 - 0:14.0MILBogut Free Throw 1 of 2 (8 PTS)45
61.6%
50
38.4%
Q2 - 0:14.0MILBogut REBOUND (Off:2 Def:5)45
64.5%
49
35.5%
Q2 - 0:15.0SASMISS Parker Free Throw 2 of 245
64.8%
49
35.2%
Q2 - 0:15.0SASMISS Parker Free Throw 1 of 245
66.8%
49
33.2%
Q2 - 0:35.0MILRedd Layup (9 PTS)45
66.6%
49
33.4%
Q2 - 0:52.0SASFinley Free Throw 2 of 2 (7 PTS)45
70.2%
47
29.8%
Q2 - 0:52.0SASFinley Free Throw 1 of 2 (6 PTS)44
69.8%
47
30.2%
Q2 - 0:58.0SASFinley REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)43
66.6%
47
33.4%
Q2 - 1:00MILMISS Williams 18' Jump Shot43
65.9%
47
34.1%
Q2 - 1:12SASGinobili Layup (10 PTS)43
65.1%
47
34.9%
Q2 - 1:21SASGinobili Free Throw Technical (8 PTS)41
60.7%
47
39.3%
Q2 - 1:22SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)40
57.6%
47
42.4%
Q2 - 1:23MILMISS Bogut Free Throw 2 of 240
57.3%
47
42.7%
Q2 - 1:23MILMISS Bogut Free Throw 1 of 240
55.6%
47
44.4%
Q2 - 1:23MILWilliams REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)40
55.9%
47
44.1%
Q2 - 1:24MILMISS Williams Reverse Layup40
57.0%
47
43.0%
Q2 - 1:44SASDuncan Layup (6 PTS) (Oberto 1 AST)40
55.9%
47
44.1%
Q2 - 2:13MILRedd 14' Jump Shot (7 PTS)38
52.8%
47
47.2%
Q2 - 2:21MILRedd REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)38
56.1%
45
43.9%
Q2 - 2:23SASMISS Duncan 3' Jump Hook Shot38
57.0%
45
43.0%
Q2 - 2:36SASOberto REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)38
58.9%
45
41.1%
Q2 - 2:37SASMISS Bowen 3PT Jump Shot38
57.0%
45
43.0%
Q2 - 2:45SASGinobili REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)38
58.9%
45
41.1%
Q2 - 2:46MILMISS Bell Layup38
58.0%
45
42.0%
Q2 - 2:56MILBogut REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)38
56.1%
45
43.9%
Q2 - 2:57MILMISS Simmons 17' Jump Shot38
58.0%
45
42.0%
Q2 - 3:12SASBogut STEAL (2 STL)38
57.4%
45
42.6%
Q2 - 3:26MILBell Layup (2 PTS)38
60.6%
45
39.4%
Q2 - 3:32MILBogut REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)38
63.0%
43
37.0%
Q2 - 3:33SASMISS Parker 9' Jump Shot38
64.0%
43
36.0%
Q2 - 3:46SASUdoka REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)38
66.1%
43
33.9%
Q2 - 3:47MILMISS Simmons 7' Jump Hook Shot38
65.2%
43
34.8%
Q2 - 4:00MILBell REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)38
63.0%
43
37.0%
Q2 - 4:01SASMISS Duncan 10' Jump Bank Shot38
65.1%
43
34.9%
Q2 - 4:24MILBogut Dunk (7 PTS) (Simmons 3 AST)38
66.8%
43
33.2%
Q2 - 4:36MILBogut REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)38
69.3%
41
30.7%
Q2 - 4:37SASMISS Duncan 9' Hook Shot38
70.1%
41
29.9%
Q2 - 4:56MILRedd Layup (5 PTS) (Simmons 2 AST)38
71.7%
41
28.3%
Q2 - 5:09SASUdoka 24' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Parker 3 AST)38
74.3%
39
25.7%
Q2 - 5:18SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)35
69.9%
39
30.1%
Q2 - 5:20SASBogut BLOCK (1 BLK)35
68.1%
39
31.9%
Q2 - 5:25MILRedd Free Throw 2 of 2 (3 PTS)35
69.9%
39
30.1%
Q2 - 5:25MILRedd Free Throw 1 of 2 (2 PTS)35
70.3%
38
29.7%
Q2 - 5:38SASParker Layup (12 PTS) (Duncan 2 AST)35
72.1%
37
27.9%
Q2 - 5:56MILBUCKS Turnover: Shot Clock (T#4)33
69.9%
37
30.1%
Q2 - 5:56MILBUCKS Rebound33
67.3%
37
32.7%
Q2 - 5:56MILMISS Bogut Running Hook Shot33
69.1%
37
30.9%
Q2 - 6:19SASSimmons STEAL (3 STL)33
67.8%
37
32.2%
Q2 - 6:30SASThomas REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)33
70.6%
37
29.4%
Q2 - 6:31SASMISS Finley 26' 3PT Jump Shot33
68.7%
37
31.3%
Q2 - 6:43SASThomas REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)33
70.6%
37
29.4%
Q2 - 6:44MILMISS Bogut 6' Hook Shot33
69.8%
37
30.2%
Q2 - 7:04SASStoudamire 8' Jump Shot (2 PTS)33
68.8%
37
31.2%
Q2 - 7:21MILSimmons 26' 3PT Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Bell 1 AST)31
66.6%
37
33.4%
Q2 - 7:33SASBogut STEAL (1 STL)31
70.9%
34
29.1%
Q2 - 7:44MILSimmons 27' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS)31
73.2%
34
26.8%
Q2 - 8:02SASSimmons STEAL (2 STL)31
76.8%
31
23.2%
Q2 - 8:18MILBogut Free Throw 2 of 2 (5 PTS)31
78.8%
31
21.2%
Q2 - 8:18MILMISS Bogut Free Throw 1 of 231
79.4%
30
20.6%
Q2 - 8:27MILBell REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)31
78.6%
30
21.4%
Q2 - 8:29MILMISS Redd 17' Jump Shot31
80.0%
30
20.0%
Q2 - 8:48MILBell REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)31
78.6%
30
21.4%
Q2 - 8:49SASMISS Finley 25' 3PT Jump Shot31
79.2%
30
20.8%
Q2 - 9:07SASUdoka REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)31
80.6%
30
19.4%
Q2 - 9:09MILMISS Bell 26' 3PT Jump Shot31
80.1%
30
19.9%
Q2 - 9:26MILGadzuric REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)31
78.8%
30
21.2%
Q2 - 9:26SASMISS Ginobili Free Throw 1 of 131
79.0%
30
21.0%
Q2 - 9:39MILGadzuric 3 Second Violation Turnover (P1.T3)29
77.2%
30
22.8%
Q2 - 9:58SASHorry 17' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Stoudamire 1 AST)29
75.2%
30
24.8%
Q2 - 10:14SASStoudamire REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)27
73.3%
30
26.7%
Q2 - 10:15MILMISS Yi 18' Jump Shot27
72.6%
30
27.4%
Q2 - 10:30SASHorry Step Out of Bounds Turnover (P2.T7)27
71.1%
30
28.9%
Q2 - 10:53MILWilliams Reverse Layup (13 PTS) (Simmons 1 AST)27
73.3%
30
26.7%
Q2 - 10:58SASSimmons STEAL (1 STL)27
75.0%
28
25.0%
Q2 - 11:19SASSpurs Rebound27
77.1%
28
22.9%
Q2 - 11:19MILMISS Simmons 20' Jump Shot27
76.6%
28
23.4%
Q2 - 11:40MILSimmons REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)27
75.4%
28
24.6%
Q2 - 11:41SASMISS Horry Layup27
75.9%
28
24.1%
Q1 - 0:00.0MIL27
77.1%
28
22.9%
Q1 - 0:00.0MILBUCKS Rebound27
75.4%
28
24.6%
Q1 - 0:00.0MILMISS Villanueva 64' 3PT Jump Shot27
76.6%
28
23.4%
Q1 - 0:00.0SASVillanueva STEAL (1 STL)27
75.4%
28
24.6%
Q1 - 0:00.0MILWilliams Free Throw 2 of 2 (11 PTS)27
77.1%
28
22.9%
Q1 - 0:00.0MILWilliams Free Throw 1 of 2 (10 PTS)27
77.3%
27
22.7%
Q1 - 0:07.0MILBogut REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)27
78.9%
26
21.1%
Q1 - 0:08.0SASMISS Thomas 6' Jump Shot27
79.3%
26
20.7%
Q1 - 0:30.0MILWilliams 20' Jump Shot (9 PTS)27
80.1%
26
19.9%
Q1 - 0:34.0MILSimmons REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)27
81.9%
24
18.1%
Q1 - 0:35.0SASMISS Stoudamire 24' 3PT Jump Shot27
82.2%
24
17.8%
Q1 - 0:52.0MILVillanueva Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)27
83.0%
24
17.0%
Q1 - 0:52.0MILVillanueva Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)27
83.2%
23
16.8%
Q1 - 1:00SASFinley 24' 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Ginobili 3 AST)27
84.6%
22
15.4%
Q1 - 1:12SASThomas REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)24
81.6%
22
18.4%
Q1 - 1:14MILMISS Mason 15' Jump Shot24
81.3%
22
18.7%
Q1 - 1:31SASParker Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T4)24
80.5%
22
19.5%
Q1 - 1:48MILWilliams 17' Jump Shot (7 PTS)24
81.6%
22
18.4%
Q1 - 1:55MILMason REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)24
83.3%
20
16.7%
Q1 - 1:56SASMISS Ginobili 3PT Jump Shot24
83.6%
20
16.4%
Q1 - 2:12MILMason 7' Jump Hook Shot (8 PTS)24
84.6%
20
15.4%
Q1 - 2:32SASFinley 19' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Parker 2 AST)24
85.8%
18
14.2%
Q1 - 2:45MILVillanueva 14' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Mason 2 AST)22
84.6%
18
15.4%
Q1 - 2:58MILVillanueva REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)22
85.8%
16
14.2%
Q1 - 2:59SASMISS Thomas 17' Jump Shot22
86.1%
16
13.9%
Q1 - 3:10MILRedd Foul Turnover (P2.T2)22
86.7%
16
13.3%
Q1 - 3:23SASParker 17' Jump Shot (10 PTS)22
85.6%
16
14.4%
Q1 - 3:39SASHorry REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)20
84.5%
16
15.5%
Q1 - 3:41MILMISS Mason Free Throw 1 of 120
84.4%
16
15.6%
Q1 - 4:01SASParker Layup (8 PTS)20
85.6%
14
14.4%
Q1 - 4:06SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)18
84.7%
14
15.3%
Q1 - 4:08MILMISS Villanueva 7' Hook Shot18
84.3%
14
15.7%
Q1 - 4:27MILWilliams REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)18
83.3%
14
16.7%
Q1 - 4:29SASMason BLOCK (1 BLK)18
83.7%
14
16.3%
Q1 - 4:41SASFinley REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)18
84.7%
14
15.3%
Q1 - 4:43MILMISS Redd 17' Jump Shot18
84.3%
14
15.7%
Q1 - 4:59SASParker Layup (6 PTS)18
83.3%
14
16.7%
Q1 - 5:09SASOberto REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)16
82.3%
14
17.7%
Q1 - 5:10MILBogut REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)16
81.0%
14
19.0%
Q1 - 5:10MILMISS Bogut Tip Shot16
81.9%
14
18.1%
Q1 - 5:11MILMISS Redd 6' Jump Shot16
81.9%
14
18.1%
Q1 - 5:24MILBogut REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)16
81.0%
14
19.0%
Q1 - 5:25SASMISS Parker 11' Jump Shot16
81.4%
14
18.6%
Q1 - 5:32SASBowen REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)16
82.4%
14
17.6%
Q1 - 5:33MILMISS Redd 10' Jump Shot16
81.9%
14
18.1%
Q1 - 5:53SASParker 17' Jump Shot (4 PTS)16
81.0%
14
19.0%
Q1 - 6:01SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)14
79.7%
14
20.3%
Q1 - 6:02MILMISS Mason 17' Jump Shot14
79.3%
14
20.7%
Q1 - 6:20SASGinobili Free Throw 2 of 2 (5 PTS)14
78.3%
14
21.7%
Q1 - 6:20SASGinobili Free Throw 1 of 2 (4 PTS)13
78.1%
14
21.9%
Q1 - 6:37MILWilliams 27' 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Redd 1 AST)12
77.0%
14
23.0%
Q1 - 7:07SASDuncan 3' Jump Shot (4 PTS)12
79.9%
11
20.1%
Q1 - 7:26SASOberto REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)10
78.7%
11
21.3%
Q1 - 7:26MILMISS Villanueva 8' Jump Shot10
78.3%
11
21.7%
Q1 - 7:39SASParker Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T3)10
77.3%
11
22.7%
Q1 - 7:54MILBogut Layup (4 PTS) (Mason 1 AST)10
78.7%
11
21.3%
Q1 - 8:13SASGinobili 24' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Parker 1 AST)10
80.4%
9
19.6%
Q1 - 8:33MILWilliams 16' Jump Shot (2 PTS)7
78.0%
9
22.0%
Q1 - 8:39SASWilliams STEAL (1 STL)7
79.2%
7
20.8%
Q1 - 8:47SASOberto REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)7
80.5%
7
19.5%
Q1 - 8:48MILMISS Bogut 14' Jump Shot7
80.1%
7
19.9%
Q1 - 8:58MILRedd REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)7
79.1%
7
20.9%
Q1 - 8:59SASMISS Ginobili 25' 3PT Jump Shot7
79.6%
7
20.4%
Q1 - 9:13MILMason Layup (4 PTS) (Bogut 1 AST)7
80.5%
7
19.5%
Q1 - 9:34SASBowen 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Duncan 1 AST)7
81.4%
5
18.6%
Q1 - 9:50SASGinobili REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)4
79.3%
5
20.7%
Q1 - 9:51MILMISS Villanueva 15' Jump Shot4
78.9%
5
21.1%
Q1 - 10:06SASOberto Foul Turnover (P1.T1)4
77.8%
5
22.2%
Q1 - 10:28MILBogut Layup (2 PTS)4
79.2%
5
20.8%
Q1 - 10:35MILRedd Free Throw Technical (1 PTS)4
80.3%
3
19.7%
Q1 - 10:45MILMason REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)4
81.4%
2
18.6%
Q1 - 10:46SASMISS Bowen 14' Jump Shot4
81.8%
2
18.2%
Q1 - 10:57MILMason Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)4
82.7%
2
17.3%
Q1 - 10:57MILMason Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)4
83.0%
1
17.0%
Q1 - 11:12SASParker Layup (2 PTS) (Ginobili 2 AST)4
83.7%
0
16.3%
Q1 - 11:16MILRedd Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T1)2
82.6%
0
17.4%
Q1 - 11:30SASDuncan Layup (2 PTS) (Ginobili 1 AST)2
81.6%
0
18.4%
Q1 - 11:44SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)0
80.4%
0
19.6%
Q1 - 11:45MILMISS Villanueva 19' Jump Shot0
80.1%
0
19.9%
Q1 - 12:00MILJump Ball Bogut vs. Duncan: Tip to Villanueva0
79.3%
0
20.7%

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

SAS
1.10 55.2%
MIL
0.91 45.6%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)
SAS
18
30
60%
MIL
17
30
57%
Midrange
SAS
11
24
46%
MIL
12
41
29%
3PT | Effective 3PT
SAS
6
9.0
21
29%
43%
MIL
4
6.0
12
33%
50%
Free Throws
SAS
20
29
69%
MIL
24
33
73%
Makes
Effective 3P Makes
%
Efficiency
Misses
Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|
SAS logo Spurs
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
M. Ginobili3071%15.0 / 21
T. Parker2662%13.0 / 21
M. Finley1155%5.5 / 10
T. Duncan938%4.5 / 12
I. Udoka880%4.0 / 5
B. Bowen650%3.0 / 6
F. Oberto250%1.0 / 2
D. Stoudamire225%1.0 / 4
R. Horry225%1.0 / 4
K. Thomas0-0.0 / 2
TS Makes
TS Misses

Total Points

|
MIL logo Bucks
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
M. Redd2552%12.5 / 24
A. Bogut1747%8.5 / 18
M. Williams1365%6.5 / 10
D. Mason1255%6.0 / 11
B. Simmons1161%5.5 / 9
C. Bell633%3.0 / 9
C. Villanueva420%2.0 / 10
R. Ivey440%2.0 / 5
D. Gadzuric2100%1.0 / 1
J. Yi0-0.0 / 1
TS Makes
TS Misses

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

SAS
79
+7
-14
86
MIL
84
+17
-10
101
Base
ORB
TOV

Scoring Efficiency

SAS
1.10 55.2%
MIL
0.91 45.6%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Efficiency & PaceThis Game
Efficiency
106.5
105.5
SAS 103.2 +3.2
MIL 100.0
Pace
89.5
91.2
SAS 97.1 +6.9
MIL 90.2
Avg. Poss. Time
16.5
16.0
SAS 14.8 +1.1
MIL 16.0
Four FactorsThis Game
EFG %
50.4%
48.2%
SAS 50.7% +8.5%
MIL 42.2%
TO %
13.4%
15.5%
SAS 13.8%
MIL 10.1% +3.7%
ORB %
23.4%
30.1%
SAS 17.1%
MIL 25.5% +8.4%
FTrt
27.6
29.4
SAS 38.7
MIL 39.8 +1.1
Misc. StatsThis Game
AST %
58.5%
58.2%
SAS 48.6% +6.2%
MIL 42.4%
STL %
7.1%
7.2%
SAS 6.5%
MIL 7.4% +0.9%
BLK %
6.5%
7.2%
SAS 2.8%
MIL 9.3% +6.5%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Shooting EfficiencyThis Game
TS%
52.8%
50.9%
SAS 55.2% +9.6%
MIL 45.6%
Rim FG%
60.6%
54.3%
SAS 60.0% +3.3%
MIL 56.7%
Mid FG%
40.4%
41.4%
SAS 45.8% +16.5%
MIL 29.3%
3P %
36.9%
34.4%
SAS 28.6%
MIL 33.3% +4.7%
FT %
76.1%
73.3%
SAS 69.0%
MIL 72.7% +3.7%
Shot DistributionThis Game
Rim Att. %
30.8%
37.4%
SAS 40.0% +3.9%
MIL 36.1%
Mid Att. %
44.1%
43.2%
SAS 32.0% +17.4%
MIL 49.4%
3P Att. %
25.1%
19.5%
SAS 28.0% +13.5%
MIL 14.5%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.
Game TotalsSASMIL
Possessions9394
Possession Minutes23.025.0
Points9694
Rebounds4246
Assists1714
Steals67
Blocks25
Turnovers (Team)14 (0)10 (1)
Fouls
Off. Rebounds (Team)7 (0)12 (5)
Def. Rebounds (Team)35 (2)34 (3)
Field Goals35-7533-83
At-the-Rim FG18-3017-30
Midrange FG11-2412-41
2-Point FG29-5429-71
3-Point FG6-214-12
Free Throws20-2924-33
Fast Break Pts
2nd Chance Pts
Points in Paint
Pts off Turnovers
Bench Points
Biggest Lead

BOXSCORE

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PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
G · 6'2" 185 · 26
35.5
26
62%
2
5
1
0
4
1
0
2
4-10
40%
11-16
69%
0-0
-
F · 6'11" 250 · 32
33.3
9
38%
7
4
0
0
1
5
1
6
1-2
50%
4-11
36%
0-0
-
G · 6'6" 205 · 31
33.1
30
71%
4
4
3
0
3
3
0
4
9-11
82%
9-12
75%
1-5
20%
F · 6'7" 200 · 37
31.2
6
50%
6
0
1
1
0
4
2
4
0-0
-
0-2
0%
2-4
50%
C · 6'10" 245 · 33
21.0
2
50%
8
1
0
0
1
4
3
5
2-2
100%
0-1
0%
0-0
-
G-F · 6'7" 225 · 35
27.6
11
55%
3
0
0
0
2
3
0
3
2-2
100%
3-4
75%
1-5
20%
G-F · 6'5" 220 · 31
18.6
8
80%
5
1
1
1
0
3
0
5
2-2
100%
0-2
0%
2-3
67%
G · 5'10" 171 · 34
16.9
2
25%
2
2
0
0
1
2
0
2
0-0
-
1-2
50%
0-2
0%
F-C · 6'10" 240 · 38
13.6
2
25%
2
0
0
0
2
1
0
2
0-0
-
1-2
50%
0-2
0%
F · 6'9" 240 · 35
9.0
0
0%
3
0
0
0
0
2
1
2
0-0
-
0-2
0%
0-0
-
G · 6'1" 190 · 33
0.1
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
-
0-0
-
C-F · 6'10" 235 · 28
#28 · C · 6'11" 262 · 21
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
TOTAL
240
96
55%
42
17
6
2
14
0
7
35
20-29
69%
29-54
54%
6-21
29%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.