FinalWin Prob.pScore
1918%94
88
382%106
106
ORTG#PossPace
MIA logo MIA
89.898103.2
LAL logo LAL
106.010095.2

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

LakersHeatQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Scoring Margin

LakersHeatQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Play-by-Play

Score / WinProb
ClockTeamEventMIALAL
Q4 - 0:00.0LAL88
0%
106
100%
Q4 - 0:20.0MIADavis REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)88
0%
106
100%
Q4 - 0:20.0MIADavis Layup (14 PTS)88
0%
106
100%
Q4 - 0:21.0MIAMISS Haslem 18' Jump Shot86
0%
106
100%
Q4 - 0:32.0LALVujacic 3PT Jump Shot (12 PTS) (Odom 6 AST)86
0%
106
100%
Q4 - 0:53.0LALOdom REBOUND (Off:2 Def:9)86
0.1%
103
99.9%
Q4 - 0:55.0MIAFarmar BLOCK (1 BLK)86
0.1%
103
99.9%
Q4 - 1:06LALOdom 25' 3PT Jump Shot (13 PTS) (Bryant 8 AST)86
0.1%
103
99.9%
Q4 - 1:29LALFarmar REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)86
0.1%
100
99.9%
Q4 - 1:30MIAMISS Banks 24' 3PT Jump Shot86
0.1%
100
99.9%
Q4 - 1:45LALOdom 21' Jump Shot (10 PTS) (Turiaf 1 AST)86
0.1%
100
99.9%
Q4 - 2:02LALTuriaf REBOUND (Off:1 Def:11)86
0.1%
98
99.9%
Q4 - 2:03MIAMISS Marion 25' 3PT Jump Shot86
0.1%
98
99.9%
Q4 - 2:18LALTuriaf Free Throw 1 of 1 (7 PTS)86
0.2%
98
99.8%
Q4 - 2:18LALTuriaf REBOUND (Off:1 Def:10)86
0.4%
95
99.6%
Q4 - 2:19LALMISS Turiaf Layup86
0.6%
95
99.4%
Q4 - 2:23LALFarmar REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)86
0.4%
95
99.6%
Q4 - 2:25LALMISS Farmar 25' 3PT Jump Shot86
0.6%
95
99.4%
Q4 - 2:39MIAWade Free Throw 1 of 1 (18 PTS)86
0.4%
95
99.6%
Q4 - 2:52LALBryant Foul Turnover (P3.T18)82
0.2%
95
99.8%
Q4 - 3:05MIADavis 25' 3PT Jump Shot (12 PTS) (Wade 3 AST)82
0.1%
95
99.9%
Q4 - 3:11MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:3 Def:5)79
0.1%
95
99.9%
Q4 - 3:12LALMISS Vujacic 25' 3PT Jump Shot79
0.1%
95
99.9%
Q4 - 3:26LALTuriaf REBOUND (Off:0 Def:10)79
0.1%
95
99.9%
Q4 - 3:29MIAMISS Davis 8' Hook Shot79
0.1%
95
99.9%
Q4 - 3:56LALBryant Driving Dunk (21 PTS) (Vujacic 2 AST)79
0.1%
95
99.9%
Q4 - 4:06MIAWade Free Throw 2 of 2 (14 PTS)79
0.2%
93
99.8%
Q4 - 4:06MIAWade Free Throw 1 of 2 (13 PTS)78
0.2%
93
99.8%
Q4 - 4:15LALBryant Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T17)77
0.1%
93
99.9%
Q4 - 4:26LALTuriaf REBOUND (Off:0 Def:9)77
0.1%
93
99.9%
Q4 - 4:27MIAMISS Banks 19' Jump Shot77
0.1%
93
99.9%
Q4 - 4:39LALVujacic 20' Jump Shot (9 PTS) (Farmar 3 AST)77
0.1%
93
99.9%
Q4 - 4:54MIAHaslem Free Throw 2 of 2 (8 PTS)77
0.2%
91
99.8%
Q4 - 4:54MIAHaslem Free Throw 1 of 2 (7 PTS)76
0.1%
91
99.9%
Q4 - 4:54MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:3 Def:4)75
0.1%
91
99.9%
Q4 - 4:55MIAMISS Haslem Layup75
0.1%
91
99.9%
Q4 - 4:57MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)75
0.1%
91
99.9%
Q4 - 4:59MIATuriaf BLOCK (3 BLK)75
0.1%
91
99.9%
Q4 - 5:16LALFarmar 25' 3PT Jump Shot (24 PTS) (Odom 5 AST)75
0.2%
91
99.8%
Q4 - 5:33LALTuriaf REBOUND (Off:0 Def:8)75
0.4%
88
99.6%
Q4 - 5:34MIAMISS Banks Free Throw 2 of 275
0.4%
88
99.6%
Q4 - 5:34MIABanks Free Throw 1 of 2 (13 PTS)75
0.5%
88
99.5%
Q4 - 5:48LALTuriaf Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)74
0.4%
88
99.6%
Q4 - 5:48LALTuriaf Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)74
0.4%
87
99.6%
Q4 - 5:48LALLAKERS Rebound74
0.5%
86
99.5%
Q4 - 5:48MIAMISS Davis 3PT Jump Shot74
0.6%
86
99.4%
Q4 - 6:07LALVujacic Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T16)74
1.0%
86
99.0%
Q4 - 6:20LALTuriaf REBOUND (Off:0 Def:7)74
0.7%
86
99.3%
Q4 - 6:21MIAMISS Wade 19' Jump Shot74
0.8%
86
99.2%
Q4 - 6:33LALOdom Free Throw 2 of 2 (8 PTS)74
1.0%
86
99.0%
Q4 - 6:33LALMISS Odom Free Throw 1 of 274
1.0%
85
99.0%
Q4 - 6:50MIADavis 25' 3PT Jump Shot (9 PTS) (Banks 4 AST)74
0.9%
85
99.1%
Q4 - 7:09LALFarmar Layup (21 PTS) (Vujacic 1 AST)71
0.7%
85
99.3%
Q4 - 7:21LALTuriaf REBOUND (Off:0 Def:6)71
0.9%
83
99.1%
Q4 - 7:22MIAMISS Wade Free Throw 2 of 271
1.0%
83
99.0%
Q4 - 7:22MIAWade Free Throw 1 of 2 (12 PTS)71
1.2%
83
98.8%
Q4 - 7:34LALVujacic Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T15)70
1.0%
83
99.0%
Q4 - 7:43MIADavis Dunk (6 PTS) (Banks 3 AST)70
0.7%
83
99.3%
Q4 - 7:46MIABanks REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)68
0.6%
83
99.4%
Q4 - 7:47LALMISS Vujacic 21' Jump Shot68
0.5%
83
99.5%
Q4 - 8:05MIAWright Alley Oop Dunk (8 PTS) (Wade 2 AST)68
0.6%
83
99.4%
Q4 - 8:22LALFarmar Layup (19 PTS)66
0.4%
83
99.6%
Q4 - 8:26LALFarmar REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)66
0.6%
81
99.4%
Q4 - 8:27MIAMISS Davis 22' Jump Shot66
0.6%
81
99.4%
Q4 - 8:35MIAWright REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)66
0.7%
81
99.3%
Q4 - 8:36LALMISS Farmar 27' 3PT Jump Shot66
0.7%
81
99.3%
Q4 - 8:49MIAHaslem 18' Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Davis 9 AST)66
0.6%
81
99.4%
Q4 - 9:06LALFarmar 24' 3PT Jump Shot (17 PTS)64
0.6%
81
99.4%
Q4 - 9:11LALFarmar REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)64
0.9%
78
99.1%
Q4 - 9:13MIATuriaf BLOCK (2 BLK)64
0.9%
78
99.1%
Q4 - 9:25LALFarmar Layup (14 PTS) (Walton 4 AST)64
1.1%
78
98.9%
Q4 - 9:37MIAWright Free Throw 2 of 2 (6 PTS)64
1.4%
76
98.6%
Q4 - 9:37MIAWright Free Throw 1 of 2 (5 PTS)63
1.3%
76
98.7%
Q4 - 9:41MIABanks REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)62
1.1%
76
98.9%
Q4 - 9:42LALMISS Walton 21' Jump Shot62
1.0%
76
99.0%
Q4 - 10:01LALGasol REBOUND (Off:2 Def:9)62
1.0%
76
99.0%
Q4 - 10:02MIAMISS Wright 6' Jump Hook Shot62
1.1%
76
98.9%
Q4 - 10:08MIADavis REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)62
1.3%
76
98.7%
Q4 - 10:10LALMISS Turiaf Layup62
1.2%
76
98.8%
Q4 - 10:32MIABanks Driving Layup (12 PTS)62
1.0%
76
99.0%
Q4 - 10:50LALVujacic 25' 3PT Jump Shot (7 PTS) (Farmar 2 AST)60
0.8%
76
99.2%
Q4 - 11:10LALTuriaf REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)60
1.5%
73
98.5%
Q4 - 11:13MIAMISS Marion 6' Jump Shot60
1.6%
73
98.4%
Q4 - 11:20LALWalton Double Dribble Turnover (P2.T14)60
1.9%
73
98.1%
Q4 - 11:23LALWalton REBOUND (Off:3 Def:8)60
1.5%
73
98.5%
Q4 - 11:24LALMISS Vujacic 20' Jump Shot60
1.8%
73
98.2%
Q4 - 11:37MIAWright Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)60
1.5%
73
98.5%
Q4 - 11:37MIAWright Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)59
1.5%
73
98.5%
Q4 - 11:40LALTuriaf Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T13)58
1.2%
73
98.8%
Q3 - 0:00.0LAL58
1.0%
73
99.0%
Q3 - 0:00.0LALWalton REBOUND (Off:2 Def:8)58
1.0%
73
99.0%
Q3 - 0:02.0MIABryant BLOCK (2 BLK)58
1.2%
73
98.8%
Q3 - 0:05.0MIADavis REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)58
1.4%
73
98.6%
Q3 - 0:06.0LALMISS Farmar 24' 3PT Jump Shot58
1.3%
73
98.7%
Q3 - 0:29.0MIAWright 5' Turnaround Hook Shot (2 PTS) (Davis 8 AST)58
1.1%
73
98.9%
Q3 - 0:44.0LALFarmar Driving Dunk (12 PTS)56
0.9%
73
99.1%
Q3 - 0:47.0MIAFarmar STEAL (3 STL)56
1.1%
71
98.9%
Q3 - 0:57.0MIAMarion REBOUND (Off:2 Def:9)56
1.4%
71
98.6%
Q3 - 0:58.0LALMISS Odom 10' Turnaround Hook Shot56
1.3%
71
98.7%
Q3 - 1:14LALWalton REBOUND (Off:2 Def:7)56
1.3%
71
98.7%
Q3 - 1:16LALMISS Odom 20' Jump Shot56
1.5%
71
98.5%
Q3 - 1:26LALOdom REBOUND (Off:2 Def:8)56
1.3%
71
98.7%
Q3 - 1:28MIAMISS Wright 3PT Jump Shot56
1.4%
71
98.6%
Q3 - 1:43MIAMarion REBOUND (Off:2 Def:8)56
1.6%
71
98.4%
Q3 - 1:44LALMISS Bryant 20' Jump Shot56
1.5%
71
98.5%
Q3 - 2:09LALGasol REBOUND (Off:2 Def:8)56
1.4%
71
98.6%
Q3 - 2:10MIAMISS Banks 25' 3PT Jump Shot56
1.5%
71
98.5%
Q3 - 2:23MIAMarion REBOUND (Off:2 Def:7)56
1.7%
71
98.3%
Q3 - 2:24LALMISS Bryant 18' Jump Shot56
1.6%
71
98.4%
Q3 - 2:36MIAHeat Turnover: Shot Clock (T#12)56
1.4%
71
98.6%
Q3 - 2:36MIAMarion REBOUND (Off:2 Def:6)56
1.7%
71
98.3%
Q3 - 2:37MIABryant BLOCK (1 BLK)56
1.5%
71
98.5%
Q3 - 2:59MIAMarion REBOUND (Off:1 Def:6)56
1.7%
71
98.3%
Q3 - 3:00LALMISS Bryant 25' 3PT Jump Shot56
1.6%
71
98.4%
Q3 - 3:14MIABlount Foul Turnover (P1.T11)56
1.6%
71
98.4%
Q3 - 3:27LALGasol 18' Jump Shot (13 PTS)56
1.9%
71
98.1%
Q3 - 3:32LALLAKERS Rebound56
2.2%
69
97.8%
Q3 - 3:32LALMISS Gasol Layup56
2.5%
69
97.5%
Q3 - 3:42MIAWade 17' Jump Shot (11 PTS) (Banks 2 AST)56
2.2%
69
97.8%
Q3 - 3:56LALGasol Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T12)54
1.9%
69
98.1%
Q3 - 4:18MIAMarion Driving Layup (13 PTS) (Williams 3 AST)54
1.7%
69
98.3%
Q3 - 4:40LALGasol 6' Hook Shot (11 PTS) (Odom 4 AST)52
1.4%
69
98.6%
Q3 - 4:42LALOdom REBOUND (Off:2 Def:7)52
1.7%
67
98.3%
Q3 - 4:43LALMISS Fisher 26' 3PT Jump Shot52
1.9%
67
98.1%
Q3 - 4:50LALGasol REBOUND (Off:2 Def:7)52
1.7%
67
98.3%
Q3 - 4:51MIAMISS Wade Reverse Layup52
1.8%
67
98.2%
Q3 - 5:13LALFisher Out of Bounds Lost Ball Turnover (P2.T11)52
2.2%
67
97.8%
Q3 - 5:18LALOdom REBOUND (Off:1 Def:7)52
1.8%
67
98.2%
Q3 - 5:19MIAMISS Wade Layup52
1.9%
67
98.1%
Q3 - 5:21MIAWade REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)52
2.2%
67
97.8%
Q3 - 5:23MIAOdom BLOCK (1 BLK)52
1.9%
67
98.1%
Q3 - 5:44LALOdom Driving Slam Dunk (7 PTS) (Walton 3 AST)52
2.2%
67
97.8%
Q3 - 5:48MIAOdom STEAL (1 STL)52
2.5%
65
97.5%
Q3 - 6:06LALOdom Free Throw 2 of 2 (5 PTS)52
3.2%
65
96.8%
Q3 - 6:06LALMISS Odom Free Throw 1 of 252
3.3%
64
96.7%
Q3 - 6:14LALWalton REBOUND (Off:1 Def:7)52
3.1%
64
96.9%
Q3 - 6:15MIAMISS Marion 12' Floating Jump Shot52
3.3%
64
96.7%
Q3 - 6:32LALBryant Driving Slam Dunk (19 PTS)52
3.7%
64
96.3%
Q3 - 6:36MIABryant STEAL (4 STL)52
4.3%
62
95.7%
Q3 - 6:54LALFisher 3PT Jump Shot (7 PTS) (Gasol 3 AST)52
5.0%
62
95.0%
Q3 - 7:08LALBryant REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)52
6.9%
59
93.1%
Q3 - 7:09MIAMISS Blount 7' Jump Shot52
7.2%
59
92.8%
Q3 - 7:21MIABlount REBOUND (Off:3 Def:3)52
8.1%
59
91.9%
Q3 - 7:23LALMISS Walton Layup52
7.7%
59
92.3%
Q3 - 7:46MIAWade 8' Running Jump Shot (9 PTS) (Williams 2 AST)52
6.8%
59
93.2%
Q3 - 7:51LALWalton Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T10)50
6.0%
59
94.0%
Q3 - 8:01LALOdom REBOUND (Off:1 Def:6)50
5.2%
59
94.8%
Q3 - 8:04LALMISS Fisher 19' Jump Shot50
5.8%
59
94.2%
Q3 - 8:15MIAWade 11' Jump Shot (7 PTS)50
5.2%
59
94.8%
Q3 - 8:27LALWalton 19' Jump Shot (9 PTS) (Bryant 7 AST)48
4.6%
59
95.4%
Q3 - 8:44MIAWade 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Marion 3 AST)48
5.2%
57
94.8%
Q3 - 9:01LALGasol Free Throw 2 of 2 (9 PTS)45
4.0%
57
96.0%
Q3 - 9:01LALMISS Gasol Free Throw 1 of 245
4.1%
56
95.9%
Q3 - 9:06LALGasol REBOUND (Off:2 Def:6)45
4.0%
56
96.0%
Q3 - 9:07MIAGasol BLOCK (4 BLK)45
4.2%
56
95.8%
Q3 - 9:23LALOdom Bad Pass Turnover (P3.T9)45
4.6%
56
95.4%
Q3 - 9:24LALOdom REBOUND (Off:0 Def:6)45
4.0%
56
96.0%
Q3 - 9:27MIAMISS Marion 24' 3PT Jump Shot45
4.2%
56
95.8%
Q3 - 9:39MIAMarion REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)45
4.6%
56
95.4%
Q3 - 9:39LALMISS Walton Free Throw 2 of 245
4.5%
56
95.5%
Q3 - 9:39LALWalton Free Throw 1 of 2 (7 PTS)45
4.1%
56
95.9%
Q3 - 9:55MIABlount 18' Jump Shot (12 PTS) (Williams 1 AST)45
4.6%
55
95.4%
Q3 - 10:05MIABlount REBOUND (Off:3 Def:2)43
4.1%
55
95.9%
Q3 - 10:06LALMISS Fisher 24' 3PT Jump Shot43
3.9%
55
96.1%
Q3 - 10:14MIABryant STEAL (3 STL)43
3.5%
55
96.5%
Q3 - 10:21MIAWilliams REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)43
4.1%
55
95.9%
Q3 - 10:22LALMISS Bryant 25' 3PT Jump Shot43
3.9%
55
96.1%
Q3 - 10:28LALOdom REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)43
3.5%
55
96.5%
Q3 - 10:29MIAMISS Wade Running Layup43
3.7%
55
96.3%
Q3 - 10:44LALFisher 17' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Odom 3 AST)43
4.1%
55
95.9%
Q3 - 10:56LALWalton REBOUND (Off:1 Def:6)43
4.6%
53
95.4%
Q3 - 10:57MIAMISS Haslem Layup43
4.8%
53
95.2%
Q3 - 11:16LALOdom Foul Turnover (P2.T8)43
5.3%
53
94.7%
Q3 - 11:32MIAWade 14' Jump Bank Shot (2 PTS) (Blount 1 AST)43
4.6%
53
95.4%
Q3 - 11:36MIABlount REBOUND (Off:3 Def:1)41
4.1%
53
95.9%
Q3 - 11:37MIAMISS Wade 18' Jump Shot41
3.7%
53
96.3%
Q2 - 0:00.0LAL41
4.1%
53
95.9%
Q2 - 0:00.0LALLAKERS Rebound41
3.6%
53
96.4%
Q2 - 0:00.0LALMISS Turiaf 11' Jump Shot41
3.9%
53
96.1%
Q2 - 0:01.0LALLAKERS Rebound41
3.9%
53
96.1%
Q2 - 0:01.0LALMISS Fisher 10' Jump Shot41
4.1%
53
95.9%
Q2 - 0:19.0LALFisher REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)41
3.9%
53
96.1%
Q2 - 0:21.0MIAMISS Haslem Layup41
4.0%
53
96.0%
Q2 - 0:23.0MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)41
4.2%
53
95.8%
Q2 - 0:25.0MIAMISS Banks 26' 3PT Jump Shot41
4.0%
53
96.0%
Q2 - 0:47.0LALBryant 17' Jump Shot (17 PTS)41
4.2%
53
95.8%
Q2 - 0:59.0MIAMarion Out of Bounds Lost Ball Turnover (P3.T7)41
5.0%
51
95.0%
Q2 - 1:16LALBryant Free Throw 2 of 2 (15 PTS)41
5.6%
51
94.4%
Q2 - 1:16LALBryant Free Throw 1 of 2 (14 PTS)41
5.7%
50
94.3%
Q2 - 1:29MIAHaslem 6' Running Hook Shot (4 PTS) (Davis 7 AST)41
6.7%
49
93.3%
Q2 - 1:50MIABanks REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)39
5.6%
49
94.4%
Q2 - 1:53LALMISS Fisher 18' Jump Shot39
5.5%
49
94.5%
Q2 - 2:05MIAHaslem 16' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Davis 6 AST)39
5.3%
49
94.7%
Q2 - 2:23MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)37
4.6%
49
95.4%
Q2 - 2:25LALMISS Fisher Layup37
4.5%
49
95.5%
Q2 - 2:33LALOdom REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)37
4.1%
49
95.9%
Q2 - 2:34MIAMISS Wright 20' Jump Shot37
4.3%
49
95.7%
Q2 - 2:41LALFisher Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T7)37
4.6%
49
95.4%
Q2 - 2:57MIAMarion 18' Jump Shot (11 PTS) (Davis 5 AST)37
4.1%
49
95.9%
Q2 - 3:08MIAMarion REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)35
3.9%
49
96.1%
Q2 - 3:09LALMISS Walton 20' Jump Shot35
3.7%
49
96.3%
Q2 - 3:25MIABanks 25' 3PT Jump Shot (10 PTS) (Davis 4 AST)35
3.4%
49
96.6%
Q2 - 3:41LALFisher Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)32
2.7%
49
97.3%
Q2 - 3:41LALFisher Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)32
2.8%
48
97.2%
Q2 - 3:54MIAMarion 3PT Jump Shot (9 PTS) (Davis 3 AST)32
3.0%
47
97.0%
Q2 - 4:15LALTuriaf Slam Dunk (2 PTS) (Walton 2 AST)29
2.5%
47
97.5%
Q2 - 4:29MIABanks Driving Layup (7 PTS)29
2.8%
45
97.2%
Q2 - 4:55LALWalton Layup (6 PTS)27
2.5%
45
97.5%
Q2 - 4:57LALWalton REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)27
2.8%
43
97.2%
Q2 - 4:58LALMISS Turiaf 13' Jump Shot27
3.0%
43
97.0%
Q2 - 5:10LALTuriaf REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)27
2.9%
43
97.1%
Q2 - 5:11MIAMISS Banks 14' Jump Shot27
3.0%
43
97.0%
Q2 - 5:24MIAHeat Rebound27
3.2%
43
96.8%
Q2 - 5:26LALMISS Bryant 20' Jump Shot27
3.1%
43
96.9%
Q2 - 5:48MIABlount REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)27
2.9%
43
97.1%
Q2 - 5:48MIABlount Tip Shot (10 PTS)27
2.9%
43
97.1%
Q2 - 5:49MIAMISS Haslem Layup25
2.4%
43
97.6%
Q2 - 5:58MIABlount REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)25
2.6%
43
97.4%
Q2 - 5:59LALMISS Bryant 11' Jump Shot25
2.5%
43
97.5%
Q2 - 6:12LALFarmar Free Throw Clear Path 2 of 2 (10 PTS)25
2.4%
43
97.6%
Q2 - 6:12LALFarmar Free Throw Clear Path 1 of 2 (9 PTS)25
2.5%
42
97.5%
Q2 - 6:12MIAFarmar STEAL (2 STL)25
2.9%
41
97.1%
Q2 - 6:24MIAHeat Rebound25
3.3%
41
96.7%
Q2 - 6:25LALMISS Farmar 25' 3PT Jump Shot25
3.2%
41
96.8%
Q2 - 6:36LALMbenga REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)25
2.9%
41
97.1%
Q2 - 6:38LALMISS Turiaf 19' Jump Shot25
3.2%
41
96.8%
Q2 - 6:48LALTuriaf REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)25
2.9%
41
97.1%
Q2 - 6:49MIAMISS Davis 18' Jump Shot25
3.1%
41
96.9%
Q2 - 6:59MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)25
3.3%
41
96.7%
Q2 - 7:01LALMISS Vujacic 24' 3PT Jump Shot25
3.4%
41
96.6%
Q2 - 7:15LALMbenga REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)25
3.2%
41
96.8%
Q2 - 7:16MIAMISS Wade Free Throw 2 of 225
3.2%
41
96.8%
Q2 - 7:16MIAMISS Wade Free Throw 1 of 225
3.4%
41
96.6%
Q2 - 7:27LALFarmar 26' 3PT Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Bryant 6 AST)25
3.5%
41
96.5%
Q2 - 7:40MIABlount Free Throw 2 of 2 (8 PTS)25
4.3%
38
95.7%
Q2 - 7:40MIABlount Free Throw 1 of 2 (7 PTS)24
4.2%
38
95.8%
Q2 - 7:51LALBryant Free Throw 2 of 2 (13 PTS)23
3.9%
38
96.1%
Q2 - 7:51LALBryant Free Throw 1 of 2 (12 PTS)23
4.0%
37
96.0%
Q2 - 8:02MIABanks Driving Reverse Layup (5 PTS)23
4.3%
36
95.7%
Q2 - 8:09MIABarron REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)21
4.0%
36
96.0%
Q2 - 8:11LALMISS Gasol 6' Hook Shot21
3.9%
36
96.1%
Q2 - 8:12LALGasol REBOUND (Off:2 Def:5)21
3.6%
36
96.4%
Q2 - 8:14LALMISS Turiaf 15' Jump Shot21
3.9%
36
96.1%
Q2 - 8:28LALLAKERS Rebound21
3.6%
36
96.4%
Q2 - 8:29MIAMISS Banks 25' 3PT Jump Shot21
3.7%
36
96.3%
Q2 - 8:35MIABlount REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)21
4.0%
36
96.0%
Q2 - 8:38MIAMISS Davis Layup21
3.7%
36
96.3%
Q2 - 8:54LALBryant Free Throw 1 of 1 (11 PTS)21
4.0%
36
96.0%
Q2 - 9:03MIABlount Free Throw 2 of 2 (6 PTS)21
4.9%
33
95.1%
Q2 - 9:03MIABlount Free Throw 1 of 2 (5 PTS)20
4.8%
33
95.2%
Q2 - 9:22LALFarmar 25' 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Gasol 2 AST)19
4.5%
33
95.5%
Q2 - 9:44LALOdom REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)19
5.4%
30
94.6%
Q2 - 9:46MIAMISS Wade 13' Fadeaway Jumper19
5.5%
30
94.5%
Q2 - 9:50LALVujacic 18' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Odom 2 AST)19
6.0%
30
94.0%
Q2 - 9:56LALOdom REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)19
6.5%
28
93.5%
Q2 - 10:12MIAGasol BLOCK (3 BLK)19
6.8%
28
93.2%
Q2 - 10:33LALVujacic 16' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Farmar 1 AST)19
7.4%
28
92.6%
Q2 - 10:38MIAFarmar STEAL (1 STL)19
8.0%
26
92.0%
Q2 - 10:43MIAMarion REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)19
8.8%
26
91.2%
Q2 - 10:45MIATuriaf BLOCK (1 BLK)19
8.2%
26
91.8%
Q2 - 10:56MIABarron REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)19
8.8%
26
91.2%
Q2 - 10:57LALMISS Farmar 17' Jump Shot19
8.6%
26
91.4%
Q2 - 11:20LALTuriaf REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)19
7.9%
26
92.1%
Q2 - 11:21MIAMISS Davis 21' Jump Shot19
8.1%
26
91.9%
Q2 - 11:31MIAMarion REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)19
8.7%
26
91.3%
Q2 - 11:32LALMISS Gasol Layup19
8.4%
26
91.6%
Q2 - 11:46LALTuriaf REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)19
7.9%
26
92.1%
Q2 - 11:47MIAMISS Marion 10' Jump Shot19
8.1%
26
91.9%
Q1 - 0:00.0LAL19
8.7%
26
91.3%
Q1 - 0:00.0MIABanks 27' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS)19
7.9%
26
92.1%
Q1 - 0:16.0LALGasol 5' Hook Shot (8 PTS)16
6.6%
26
93.4%
Q1 - 0:29.0LALLAKERS Rebound16
7.4%
24
92.6%
Q1 - 0:29.0MIAGasol BLOCK (2 BLK)16
7.5%
24
92.5%
Q1 - 0:49.0LALLAKERS Turnover: Shot Clock (T#6)16
7.9%
24
92.1%
Q1 - 1:18MIAMarion Slam Dunk (6 PTS) (Davis 2 AST)16
7.4%
24
92.6%
Q1 - 1:22MIADavis REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)14
6.6%
24
93.4%
Q1 - 1:24LALMISS Bryant 13' Turnaround Jump Shot14
6.5%
24
93.5%
Q1 - 1:48MIABarron 18' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Davis 1 AST)14
6.2%
24
93.8%
Q1 - 2:04LALFarmar Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T5)12
5.6%
24
94.4%
Q1 - 2:10MIADavis Driving Layup (4 PTS)12
5.2%
24
94.8%
Q1 - 2:25LALFarmar 20' Jump Shot (2 PTS)10
4.7%
24
95.3%
Q1 - 2:38MIAMarion 19' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Banks 1 AST)10
5.2%
22
94.8%
Q1 - 2:49LALOdom Traveling Turnover (P1.T4)8
4.7%
22
95.3%
Q1 - 2:54LALWalton REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)8
4.3%
22
95.7%
Q1 - 2:56MIABarron REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)8
4.7%
22
95.3%
Q1 - 2:56MIAMISS Barron Layup8
4.4%
22
95.6%
Q1 - 2:57MIAMISS Banks Layup8
4.4%
22
95.6%
Q1 - 3:06MIABarron REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)8
4.9%
22
95.1%
Q1 - 3:07LALMISS Fisher 25' 3PT Jump Shot8
4.8%
22
95.2%
Q1 - 3:25MIADavis Layup (2 PTS) (Marion 2 AST)8
4.4%
22
95.6%
Q1 - 3:29MIABanks REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)6
4.1%
22
95.9%
Q1 - 3:30LALMISS Gasol Layup6
4.0%
22
96.0%
Q1 - 3:37LALOdom REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)6
3.7%
22
96.3%
Q1 - 3:38MIAGasol BLOCK (1 BLK)6
3.8%
22
96.2%
Q1 - 3:57LALBryant Free Throw 2 of 2 (8 PTS)6
4.1%
22
95.9%
Q1 - 3:57LALBryant Free Throw 1 of 2 (7 PTS)6
4.1%
21
95.9%
Q1 - 4:14LALWalton REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)6
4.4%
20
95.6%
Q1 - 4:15MIAMISS Williams 25' 3PT Jump Shot6
4.6%
20
95.4%
Q1 - 4:28LALWalton 19' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Odom 1 AST)6
4.9%
20
95.1%
Q1 - 4:42LALWalton REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)6
5.2%
18
94.8%
Q1 - 4:43MIAMISS Blount 21' Jump Shot6
5.4%
18
94.6%
Q1 - 4:56MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)6
5.8%
18
94.2%
Q1 - 4:57LALMISS Fisher 25' 3PT Jump Shot6
5.6%
18
94.4%
Q1 - 5:01LALGasol REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)6
5.4%
18
94.6%
Q1 - 5:03LALMISS Gasol 7' Jump Hook Shot6
5.7%
18
94.3%
Q1 - 5:26MIAMarion 8' Turnaround Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Wade 1 AST)6
5.4%
18
94.6%
Q1 - 5:44LALGasol Dunk (6 PTS) (Bryant 5 AST)4
5.0%
18
95.0%
Q1 - 5:56MIAMarion Out of Bounds Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T4)4
5.3%
16
94.7%
Q1 - 6:00LALBryant Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T3)4
5.8%
16
94.2%
Q1 - 6:15LALGasol REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)4
5.5%
16
94.5%
Q1 - 6:16MIAMISS Wade Layup4
5.7%
16
94.3%
Q1 - 6:23LALBryant Slam Dunk (6 PTS) (Fisher 1 AST)4
6.0%
16
94.0%
Q1 - 6:26MIABryant STEAL (2 STL)4
6.4%
14
93.6%
Q1 - 6:47LALGasol Dunk (4 PTS) (Bryant 4 AST)4
6.9%
14
93.1%
Q1 - 7:04MIAWilliams Backcourt Turnover (P1.T2)4
7.6%
12
92.4%
Q1 - 7:15LALLAKERS Turnover: Shot Clock (T#2)4
8.2%
12
91.8%
Q1 - 7:38LALFisher REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)4
7.6%
12
92.4%
Q1 - 7:39MIAMISS Marion 9' Jump Shot4
7.7%
12
92.3%
Q1 - 7:53LALWalton Driving Layup (2 PTS) (Bryant 3 AST)4
8.2%
12
91.8%
Q1 - 7:56LALGasol REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)4
8.7%
10
91.3%
Q1 - 7:57MIAMISS Williams Layup4
8.9%
10
91.1%
Q1 - 8:09LALOdom 22' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Bryant 2 AST)4
9.3%
10
90.7%
Q1 - 8:25MIABlount Slam Dunk (4 PTS) (Marion 1 AST)4
9.8%
8
90.2%
Q1 - 8:44LALBryant Driving Dunk (4 PTS)2
9.3%
8
90.7%
Q1 - 8:48MIABryant STEAL (1 STL)2
9.9%
6
90.1%
Q1 - 9:02MIAMarion REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)2
10.6%
6
89.4%
Q1 - 9:03LALMISS Gasol 5' Hook Shot2
10.3%
6
89.7%
Q1 - 9:19LALFisher REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)2
9.7%
6
90.3%
Q1 - 9:20LALMISS Walton Layup2
10.3%
6
89.7%
Q1 - 9:26LALWalton REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)2
9.7%
6
90.3%
Q1 - 9:27MIAMISS Wade 26' 3PT Jump Shot2
10.0%
6
90.0%
Q1 - 9:36MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)2
10.6%
6
89.4%
Q1 - 9:37LALMISS Fisher 22' Jump Shot2
10.3%
6
89.7%
Q1 - 9:45LALWalton REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)2
9.7%
6
90.3%
Q1 - 9:46MIAMISS Haslem 18' Jump Shot2
10.0%
6
90.0%
Q1 - 10:03LALOdom Layup (2 PTS) (Walton 1 AST)2
10.5%
6
89.5%
Q1 - 10:12LALGasol REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)2
11.1%
4
88.9%
Q1 - 10:13MIAMISS Marion 24' 3PT Jump Shot2
11.4%
4
88.6%
Q1 - 10:20LALGasol Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T1)2
12.0%
4
88.0%
Q1 - 10:21LALGasol REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)2
11.1%
4
88.9%
Q1 - 10:23MIAWalton BLOCK (1 BLK)2
11.4%
4
88.6%
Q1 - 10:38LALGasol 6' Hook Shot (2 PTS) (Bryant 1 AST)2
12.0%
4
88.0%
Q1 - 10:50LALGasol REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)2
12.7%
2
87.3%
Q1 - 10:52MIAMISS Wade 19' Jump Shot2
13.0%
2
87.0%
Q1 - 11:08MIAMarion REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)2
13.5%
2
86.5%
Q1 - 11:10LALMISS Gasol 13' Jump Shot2
13.2%
2
86.8%
Q1 - 11:23MIABlount 15' Jump Shot (2 PTS)2
12.7%
2
87.3%
Q1 - 11:42LALBryant 11' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Gasol 1 AST)0
11.9%
2
88.1%
Q1 - 12:00LALJump Ball Gasol vs. Blount: Tip to Fisher0
12.7%
0
87.3%

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

MIA
0.90 44.9%
LAL
1.07 53.5%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)
MIA
13
32
41%
LAL
18
27
67%
Midrange
MIA
13
38
34%
LAL
14
37
38%
3PT | Effective 3PT
MIA
7
10.5
18
39%
58%
LAL
8
12.0
20
40%
60%
Free Throws
MIA
15
19
79%
LAL
18
22
82%
Makes
Effective 3P Makes
%
Efficiency
Misses
Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|
MIA logo Heat
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
D. Wade1845%9.0 / 20
R. Davis1450%7.0 / 14
S. Marion1346%6.5 / 14
M. Banks1346%6.5 / 14
M. Blount1267%6.0 / 9
U. Haslem833%4.0 / 12
D. Wright857%4.0 / 7
E. Barron225%1.0 / 4
J. Williams0-0.0 / 3
TS Makes
TS Misses

Total Points

|
LAL logo Lakers
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
J. Farmar2486%12.0 / 14
K. Bryant2162%10.5 / 17
L. Odom1372%6.5 / 9
P. Gasol1346%6.5 / 14
S. Vujacic1267%6.0 / 9
L. Walton950%4.5 / 9
D. Fisher729%3.5 / 12
R. Turiaf739%3.5 / 9
TS Makes
TS Misses

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

MIA
86
+11
-12
97
LAL
84
+14
-16
98
Base
ORB
TOV

Scoring Efficiency

MIA
0.90 44.9%
LAL
1.07 53.5%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Efficiency & PaceThis Game
Efficiency
100.2
112.8
MIA 89.8 +16.2
LAL 106.0
Pace
90.5
95.8
MIA 103.2 +7.9
LAL 95.2
Avg. Poss. Time
16.3
14.9
MIA 14.0 +1.2
LAL 15.1
Four FactorsThis Game
EFG %
48.2%
52.5%
MIA 41.5%
LAL 52.4% +10.9%
TO %
15.4%
14.2%
MIA 11.9% +4.2%
LAL 16.1%
ORB %
22.2%
26.4%
MIA 20.0%
LAL 27.5% +7.5%
FTrt
30.0
33.3
MIA 21.6
LAL 26.2 +4.6
Misc. StatsThis Game
AST %
58.5%
61.7%
MIA 69.7%
LAL 70.0% +0.3%
STL %
7.9%
8.3%
MIA 6.1%
LAL 8.0% +1.9%
BLK %
7.1%
8.0%
MIA 7.8%
LAL 17.1% +9.3%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Shooting EfficiencyThis Game
TS%
50.6%
55.6%
MIA 44.9%
LAL 53.5% +8.6%
Rim FG%
59.2%
61.5%
MIA 40.6%
LAL 66.7% +26.1%
Mid FG%
38.8%
41.1%
MIA 34.2%
LAL 37.8% +3.6%
3P %
35.8%
37.8%
MIA 38.9%
LAL 40.0% +1.1%
FT %
72.7%
76.9%
MIA 78.9%
LAL 81.8% +2.9%
Shot DistributionThis Game
Rim Att. %
30.2%
36.2%
MIA 36.4% +4.2%
LAL 32.1%
Mid Att. %
48.1%
38.1%
MIA 43.2% +0.9%
LAL 44.0%
3P Att. %
21.7%
25.7%
MIA 20.5%
LAL 23.8% +3.4%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.
Game TotalsMIALAL
Possessions98100
Possession Minutes22.825.2
Points88106
Rebounds4055
Assists2328
Steals68
Blocks512
Turnovers (Team)12 (1)16 (2)
Fouls
Off. Rebounds (Team)11 (0)11 (3)
Def. Rebounds (Team)29 (2)44 (3)
Field Goals33-8840-84
At-the-Rim FG13-3218-27
Midrange FG13-3814-37
2-Point FG26-7032-64
3-Point FG7-188-20
Free Throws15-1918-22
Fast Break Pts
2nd Chance Pts
Points in Paint
Pts off Turnovers
Bench Points
Biggest Lead

BOXSCORE

Access to boxscore predictions requires a premium subscription.
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
F · 6'8" 235 · 28
39.1
8
33%
8
0
1
0
1
4
3
5
2-2
100%
3-11
27%
0-0
-
F · 6'7" 228 · 30
38.2
13
46%
11
3
2
0
5
1
2
9
0-0
-
5-10
50%
1-4
25%
G · 6'4" 220 · 26
28.6
18
45%
1
3
0
1
4
5
1
0
4-7
57%
4-14
29%
2-3
67%
C · 7'0" 250 · 32
25.0
12
67%
6
1
0
1
1
1
3
3
4-4
100%
4-7
57%
0-0
-
G · 6'1" 180 · 32
16.1
0
0%
1
3
2
0
1
1
0
1
0-0
-
0-2
0%
0-1
0%
G · 6'2" 205 · 26
31.9
13
46%
4
4
0
2
0
3
0
4
1-2
50%
3-7
43%
2-6
33%
G · 6'7" 195 · 28
31.5
14
50%
4
9
1
1
0
1
1
3
0-0
-
4-11
36%
2-3
67%
F-G · 6'9" 205 · 22
16.6
8
57%
1
0
0
0
0
1
0
1
4-4
100%
2-4
50%
0-1
0%
F-C · 7'0" 250 · 27
13.0
2
25%
4
0
0
0
0
4
1
3
0-0
-
1-4
25%
0-0
-
F · 6'9" 240 · 25
C · 6'10" 261 · 38
G · 6'2" 175 · 24
#21 · G · 6'4" 190 · 27
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
#14 · G · 6'5" 210 · 21
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
#50 · C · 6'9" 245 · 26
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
TOTAL
240
88
45%
40
23
6
5
12
0
11
29
15-19
79%
26-70
37%
7-18
39%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.