FinalWin Prob.pScore
1849%99
113
2351%100
107
ORTG#PossPace
CHI logo CHI
114.199103.3
IND logo IND
108.19995.0

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

PacersBullsQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Scoring Margin

PacersBullsQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Play-by-Play

Score / WinProb
ClockTeamEventCHIIND
Q4 - 0:00.0CHI113
100%
107
0%
Q4 - 0:04.0CHIGordon REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)113
99.9%
107
0.1%
Q4 - 0:06.0INDMISS Foster 20' Jump Shot113
99.9%
107
0.1%
Q4 - 0:13.0CHIMISS Sefolosha Free Throw 2 of 2113
99.6%
107
0.4%
Q4 - 0:13.0CHIMISS Sefolosha Free Throw 1 of 2113
99.8%
107
0.2%
Q4 - 0:18.0CHIHughes 2' Layup (29 PTS) (Deng 5 AST)113
99.9%
105
0.1%
Q4 - 0:20.0CHIBulls Rebound111
99.8%
105
0.2%
Q4 - 0:20.0INDMISS Graham 25' 3PT Jump Shot111
99.8%
105
0.2%
Q4 - 0:25.0INDFoster REBOUND (Off:4 Def:10)111
99.0%
105
1.0%
Q4 - 0:26.0CHIMISS Hughes Free Throw 2 of 2111
99.1%
105
0.9%
Q4 - 0:26.0CHIMISS Hughes Free Throw 1 of 2111
99.4%
105
0.6%
Q4 - 0:26.0CHIHughes REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)111
99.6%
105
0.4%
Q4 - 0:27.0INDMISS Dunleavy 27' 3PT Jump Shot111
99.4%
105
0.6%
Q4 - 0:33.0CHIGooden Free Throw 2 of 2 (10 PTS)111
98.8%
105
1.2%
Q4 - 0:33.0CHIMISS Gooden Free Throw 1 of 2110
98.6%
105
1.4%
Q4 - 0:39.0CHIDeng REBOUND (Off:3 Def:3)110
98.3%
105
1.7%
Q4 - 0:41.0INDMISS Dunleavy 26' 3PT Jump Shot110
97.6%
105
2.4%
Q4 - 0:49.0CHIGordon Foul Turnover (P3.T13)110
95.2%
105
4.8%
Q4 - 0:57.0INDDiener Free Throw 2 of 2 (22 PTS)110
97.0%
105
3.0%
Q4 - 0:57.0INDDiener Free Throw 1 of 2 (21 PTS)110
97.3%
104
2.7%
Q4 - 1:08CHIGooden Free Throw 2 of 2 (9 PTS)110
97.8%
103
2.2%
Q4 - 1:08CHIGooden Free Throw 1 of 2 (8 PTS)109
97.5%
103
2.5%
Q4 - 1:30INDDunleavy Bad Pass Turnover (P3.T18)108
94.9%
103
5.1%
Q4 - 1:39INDDunleavy REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)108
90.3%
103
9.7%
Q4 - 1:40CHIMISS Nocioni 26' 3PT Jump Shot108
91.6%
103
8.4%
Q4 - 2:05INDGranger 25' 3PT Jump Shot (17 PTS) (Daniels 2 AST)108
93.7%
103
6.3%
Q4 - 2:19CHIDeng 3' Driving Layup (16 PTS) (Gordon 6 AST)108
96.9%
100
3.1%
Q4 - 2:37INDDiener 16' Pullup Jump Shot (20 PTS)106
96.1%
100
3.9%
Q4 - 2:44INDGranger REBOUND (Off:1 Def:7)106
96.8%
98
3.2%
Q4 - 2:45CHIMISS Hughes 26' 3PT Jump Shot106
97.4%
98
2.6%
Q4 - 3:02INDDunleavy Free Throw 2 of 2 (23 PTS)106
97.6%
98
2.4%
Q4 - 3:02INDMISS Dunleavy Free Throw 1 of 2106
97.7%
97
2.3%
Q4 - 3:15CHIDeng Free Throw 1 of 1 (14 PTS)106
97.3%
97
2.7%
Q4 - 3:31CHIHughes REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)103
91.3%
97
8.7%
Q4 - 3:32INDMISS Dunleavy 26' 3PT Jump Shot103
90.4%
97
9.6%
Q4 - 3:38INDGranger REBOUND (Off:1 Def:6)103
88.1%
97
11.9%
Q4 - 3:39CHIMurphy BLOCK (2 BLK)103
89.3%
97
10.7%
Q4 - 3:42CHIGooden REBOUND (Off:8 Def:7)103
91.6%
97
8.4%
Q4 - 3:43CHIMISS Gordon 16' Jump Shot103
89.4%
97
10.6%
Q4 - 3:47CHIHughes REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)103
91.7%
97
8.3%
Q4 - 3:48CHIDaniels BLOCK (1 BLK)103
89.5%
97
10.5%
Q4 - 4:09INDMurphy Free Throw 2 of 2 (19 PTS)103
92.0%
97
8.0%
Q4 - 4:09INDMISS Murphy Free Throw 1 of 2103
92.4%
96
7.6%
Q4 - 4:09INDPACERS Rebound103
91.8%
96
8.2%
Q4 - 4:10CHIMISS Gordon 24' 3PT Jump Shot103
92.7%
96
7.3%
Q4 - 4:27INDDunleavy Free Throw 2 of 2 (22 PTS)103
94.4%
96
5.6%
Q4 - 4:27INDDunleavy Free Throw 1 of 2 (21 PTS)103
94.7%
95
5.3%
Q4 - 4:37INDMurphy REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)103
96.1%
94
3.9%
Q4 - 4:38CHIMISS Nocioni 26' 3PT Jump Shot103
96.5%
94
3.5%
Q4 - 4:58CHIGooden REBOUND (Off:7 Def:7)103
97.3%
94
2.7%
Q4 - 4:59INDMISS Granger 26' 3PT Jump Shot103
97.0%
94
3.0%
Q4 - 5:12CHIHughes 24' 3PT Jump Shot (27 PTS) (Gordon 4 AST)103
94.3%
94
5.7%
Q4 - 5:19CHIGooden REBOUND (Off:7 Def:6)100
89.7%
94
10.3%
Q4 - 5:19CHIMISS Deng Free Throw 2 of 2100
86.6%
94
13.4%
Q4 - 5:19CHIDeng Free Throw 1 of 2 (11 PTS)100
88.9%
94
11.1%
Q4 - 5:22INDDaniels Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T17)99
86.2%
94
13.8%
Q4 - 5:36CHIHughes 19' Pullup Jump Shot (24 PTS)99
81.6%
94
18.4%
Q4 - 5:51INDDunleavy Free Throw 2 of 2 (20 PTS)97
76.3%
94
23.7%
Q4 - 5:51INDDunleavy Free Throw 1 of 2 (19 PTS)97
77.2%
93
22.8%
Q4 - 6:06INDFoster REBOUND (Off:4 Def:9)97
78.9%
92
21.1%
Q4 - 6:07CHIMISS Gordon 16' Pullup Jump Shot97
80.6%
92
19.4%
Q4 - 6:32INDDunleavy 3PT Jump Shot (18 PTS) (Granger 3 AST)97
84.2%
92
15.8%
Q4 - 6:43INDGranger REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)97
90.4%
89
9.6%
Q4 - 6:44CHIMISS Gordon 17' Jump Shot97
91.3%
89
8.7%
Q4 - 6:51CHIGooden REBOUND (Off:6 Def:6)97
93.0%
89
7.0%
Q4 - 6:53CHIGooden REBOUND (Off:5 Def:6)97
93.0%
89
7.0%
Q4 - 6:53CHIMISS Gooden 2' Tip Shot97
91.3%
89
8.7%
Q4 - 6:54CHIMISS Thomas 2' Layup97
91.3%
89
8.7%
Q4 - 7:08INDDunleavy Free Throw 2 of 2 (15 PTS)97
91.3%
89
8.7%
Q4 - 7:08INDDunleavy Free Throw 1 of 2 (14 PTS)97
91.7%
88
8.3%
Q4 - 7:22CHINocioni Free Throw 1 of 1 (11 PTS)97
93.1%
87
6.9%
Q4 - 7:25INDMurphy Lost Ball Turnover (P4.T16)94
89.0%
87
11.0%
Q4 - 7:45INDDaniels REBOUND (Off:3 Def:4)94
85.6%
87
14.4%
Q4 - 7:49CHIMurphy BLOCK (1 BLK)94
86.7%
87
13.3%
Q4 - 8:01INDDunleavy 3' Layup (13 PTS) (Diener 9 AST)94
87.0%
87
13.0%
Q4 - 8:06INDGranger REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)94
89.6%
85
10.4%
Q4 - 8:07CHIMISS Gordon 17' Pullup Jump Shot94
90.3%
85
9.7%
Q4 - 8:15CHIGordon REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)94
91.8%
85
8.2%
Q4 - 8:17INDMISS Diener 26' 3PT Jump Shot94
91.2%
85
8.8%
Q4 - 8:22INDMurphy REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)94
89.7%
85
10.3%
Q4 - 8:23CHIGooden REBOUND (Off:4 Def:6)94
91.8%
85
8.2%
Q4 - 8:23CHIMISS Gooden 2' Tip Shot94
90.4%
85
9.6%
Q4 - 8:24CHIMISS Gooden 3' Jump Shot94
90.4%
85
9.6%
Q4 - 8:39CHIThomas REBOUND (Off:1 Def:9)94
91.9%
85
8.1%
Q4 - 8:40INDMISS Dunleavy 19' Jump Shot94
91.3%
85
8.7%
Q4 - 8:53CHIHughes 5' Driving Finger Roll Layup (22 PTS)94
89.7%
85
10.3%
Q4 - 9:11CHIThomas REBOUND (Off:1 Def:8)92
85.8%
85
14.2%
Q4 - 9:12INDMISS Foster 21' Jump Shot92
84.9%
85
15.1%
Q4 - 9:36CHIGooden Free Throw 1 of 1 (7 PTS)92
82.6%
85
17.4%
Q4 - 9:50INDMurphy 2' Layup (18 PTS) (Dunleavy 2 AST)89
74.7%
85
25.3%
Q4 - 10:07INDFoster REBOUND (Off:4 Def:8)89
77.3%
83
22.7%
Q4 - 10:08CHIMISS Gordon 22' Jump Shot89
78.6%
83
21.4%
Q4 - 10:22CHIGooden REBOUND (Off:3 Def:6)89
81.4%
83
18.6%
Q4 - 10:22INDMISS Dunleavy Free Throw 2 of 289
80.9%
83
19.1%
Q4 - 10:22INDDunleavy Free Throw 1 of 2 (11 PTS)89
78.3%
83
21.7%
Q4 - 10:34CHIThomas REBOUND (Off:1 Def:7)89
81.1%
82
18.9%
Q4 - 10:34CHIThomas 2' Tip Shot (6 PTS)89
81.1%
82
18.9%
Q4 - 10:35CHIMISS Hughes 15' Jump Shot87
74.6%
82
25.4%
Q4 - 10:42CHINoah REBOUND (Off:1 Def:6)87
77.7%
82
22.3%
Q4 - 10:43INDGranger REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)87
73.2%
82
26.8%
Q4 - 10:43INDMISS Granger 2' Tip Shot87
76.4%
82
23.6%
Q4 - 10:45INDMISS Rush 16' Jump Shot87
76.4%
82
23.6%
Q4 - 10:57INDGranger REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)87
73.2%
82
26.8%
Q4 - 10:57CHIMISS Nocioni Free Throw 2 of 287
73.8%
82
26.2%
Q4 - 10:57CHINocioni Free Throw 1 of 2 (8 PTS)87
76.8%
82
23.2%
Q4 - 11:02INDRush Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T15)86
72.2%
82
27.8%
Q4 - 11:15INDRush REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)86
67.5%
82
32.5%
Q4 - 11:15CHIMISS Nocioni Free Throw 1 of 186
68.1%
82
31.9%
Q4 - 11:28CHINoah REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)84
62.8%
82
37.2%
Q4 - 11:29INDMISS Granger 26' 3PT Jump Shot84
61.2%
82
38.8%
Q4 - 11:32INDFoster REBOUND (Off:4 Def:7)84
57.3%
82
42.7%
Q4 - 11:33INDMISS Diener 27' 3PT Jump Shot84
61.2%
82
38.8%
Q4 - 11:53CHINocioni 18' Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Hughes 5 AST)84
57.4%
82
42.6%
Q3 - 0:00.0IND82
52.2%
82
47.8%
Q3 - 0:00.0INDPACERS Rebound82
46.5%
82
53.5%
Q3 - 0:00.0INDMISS Diener 44' 3PT Jump Shot82
50.5%
82
49.5%
Q3 - 0:01.0CHIGordon 25' 3PT Pullup Jump Shot (15 PTS)82
47.1%
82
52.9%
Q3 - 0:09.0INDDiener 21' Turnaround Jump Shot (18 PTS)79
37.0%
82
63.0%
Q3 - 0:30.0CHIGordon Free Throw 2 of 2 (12 PTS)79
41.9%
80
58.1%
Q3 - 0:30.0CHIMISS Gordon Free Throw 1 of 278
41.4%
80
58.6%
Q3 - 0:33.0CHINocioni REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)78
41.9%
80
58.1%
Q3 - 0:35.0INDMISS Harrison 3' Layup78
40.4%
80
59.6%
Q3 - 0:42.0INDPACERS Rebound78
37.0%
80
63.0%
Q3 - 0:44.0INDMISS Rush 18' Step Back Jump Shot78
40.4%
80
59.6%
Q3 - 0:58.0CHINoah Free Throw 2 of 2 (11 PTS)78
37.0%
80
63.0%
Q3 - 0:58.0CHIMISS Noah Free Throw 1 of 277
35.5%
80
64.5%
Q3 - 1:12INDHarrison 16' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Daniels 1 AST)77
37.8%
80
62.2%
Q3 - 1:28INDDunleavy REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)77
42.3%
78
57.7%
Q3 - 1:31CHIMISS Hughes 15' Pullup Jump Shot77
43.8%
78
56.2%
Q3 - 1:38CHINoah REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)77
47.3%
78
52.7%
Q3 - 1:39INDMISS Murphy 3PT Jump Shot77
45.7%
78
54.3%
Q3 - 1:48INDDaniels REBOUND (Off:3 Def:3)77
42.3%
78
57.7%
Q3 - 1:50CHIMISS Gordon 16' Jump Shot77
43.8%
78
56.2%
Q3 - 2:04INDDaniels 4' Layup (7 PTS) (Rush 1 AST)77
47.0%
78
53.0%
Q3 - 2:15CHIGooden 1' Slam Dunk (4 PTS)77
51.3%
76
48.7%
Q3 - 2:15CHIGooden REBOUND (Off:3 Def:5)75
47.0%
76
53.0%
Q3 - 2:16CHIMISS Gordon 2' Jump Shot75
43.5%
76
56.5%
Q3 - 2:33CHIBulls Rebound75
47.1%
76
52.9%
Q3 - 2:34CHIMISS Hughes 20' Jump Shot75
43.6%
76
56.4%
Q3 - 2:53CHIGooden REBOUND (Off:2 Def:5)75
47.1%
76
52.9%
Q3 - 2:53INDMISS Dunleavy Free Throw 2 of 275
46.4%
76
53.6%
Q3 - 2:53INDDunleavy Free Throw 1 of 2 (10 PTS)75
43.2%
76
56.8%
Q3 - 2:55CHIHarrison STEAL (1 STL)75
46.7%
75
53.3%
Q3 - 3:07INDDiener Out of Bounds Lost Ball Turnover (P2.T14)75
51.7%
75
48.3%
Q3 - 3:27CHIHughes 3PT Jump Shot (20 PTS) (Gordon 2 AST)75
47.0%
75
53.0%
Q3 - 3:44CHINoah REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)72
38.4%
75
61.6%
Q3 - 3:45INDMISS Foster 4' Layup72
37.1%
75
62.9%
Q3 - 3:58INDDunleavy REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)72
34.0%
75
66.0%
Q3 - 3:59CHIMISS Hughes 25' 3PT Jump Shot72
35.3%
75
64.7%
Q3 - 4:05CHIGooden REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)72
38.9%
75
61.1%
Q3 - 4:06INDMISS Daniels 12' Pullup Jump Shot72
37.5%
75
62.5%
Q3 - 4:26CHIHughes 17' Jump Shot (17 PTS)72
34.3%
75
65.7%
Q3 - 4:31CHIGooden REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)70
31.0%
75
69.0%
Q3 - 4:33CHIHarrison BLOCK (1 BLK)70
28.2%
75
71.8%
Q3 - 4:50CHIDeng REBOUND (Off:3 Def:2)70
31.0%
75
69.0%
Q3 - 4:50INDMISS Foster Free Throw 2 of 270
30.5%
75
69.5%
Q3 - 4:50INDFoster Free Throw 1 of 2 (5 PTS)70
28.5%
75
71.5%
Q3 - 5:08CHIHughes 24' 3PT Jump Shot (15 PTS)70
31.3%
74
68.7%
Q3 - 5:15INDDiener Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T13)67
24.8%
74
75.2%
Q3 - 5:25INDFoster REBOUND (Off:3 Def:7)67
21.6%
74
78.4%
Q3 - 5:26INDMISS Granger 24' 3PT Jump Shot67
23.8%
74
76.2%
Q3 - 5:47INDMurphy REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)67
21.6%
74
78.4%
Q3 - 5:49CHIMISS Deng 17' Jump Shot67
22.5%
74
77.5%
Q3 - 6:05INDFoster Traveling Turnover (P2.T12)67
25.6%
74
74.4%
Q3 - 6:17CHINoah 16' Jump Shot (10 PTS) (Hughes 4 AST)67
22.4%
74
77.6%
Q3 - 6:32CHIGooden REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)65
19.9%
74
80.1%
Q3 - 6:33INDMISS Diener 26' 3PT Jump Shot65
19.1%
74
80.9%
Q3 - 6:44CHIGooden 3' Slam Dunk (2 PTS) (Sefolosha 2 AST)65
17.3%
74
82.7%
Q3 - 6:56INDDiener 15' Turnaround Fadeaway (16 PTS)63
15.2%
74
84.8%
Q3 - 7:15INDFoster REBOUND (Off:2 Def:7)63
17.7%
72
82.3%
Q3 - 7:15CHISefolosha REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)63
20.5%
72
79.5%
Q3 - 7:15CHIMISS Sefolosha 2' Tip Shot63
18.5%
72
81.5%
Q3 - 7:17CHIMISS Gooden 12' Jump Hook Shot63
18.5%
72
81.5%
Q3 - 7:34INDDiener 20' Pullup Jump Shot (14 PTS)63
20.5%
72
79.5%
Q3 - 8:01CHINoah 1' Slam Dunk (8 PTS) (Hughes 3 AST)63
23.4%
70
76.6%
Q3 - 8:19INDJump Ball Granger vs. Noah: Tip to Deng61
21.1%
70
78.9%
Q3 - 8:21INDGranger REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)61
18.4%
70
81.6%
Q3 - 8:24CHIMISS Hughes 13' Pullup Jump Shot61
19.2%
70
80.8%
Q3 - 8:38INDGranger 25' 3PT Jump Shot (14 PTS) (Murphy 3 AST)61
21.1%
70
78.9%
Q3 - 9:04INDDiener REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)61
26.8%
67
73.2%
Q3 - 9:05CHIMISS Noah Free Throw 2 of 261
27.2%
67
72.8%
Q3 - 9:05CHINoah Free Throw 1 of 2 (6 PTS)61
28.9%
67
71.1%
Q3 - 9:24CHIThomas REBOUND (Off:0 Def:7)60
26.9%
67
73.1%
Q3 - 9:25INDMISS Granger 6' Jump Hook Shot60
26.0%
67
74.0%
Q3 - 9:34INDFoster REBOUND (Off:2 Def:6)60
24.0%
67
76.0%
Q3 - 9:35CHIMISS Thomas 18' Jump Shot60
24.9%
67
75.1%
Q3 - 9:54INDMurphy 25' 3PT Jump Shot (16 PTS) (Diener 8 AST)60
26.9%
67
73.1%
Q3 - 10:05CHIHughes 18' Pullup Jump Shot (12 PTS)60
33.3%
64
66.7%
Q3 - 10:18INDGranger 25' 3PT Jump Shot (11 PTS) (Murphy 2 AST)58
30.6%
64
69.4%
Q3 - 10:45CHIDeng REBOUND (Off:3 Def:1)58
36.5%
61
63.5%
Q3 - 10:45CHIDeng 3' Tip Shot (10 PTS)58
36.5%
61
63.5%
Q3 - 10:46CHIMISS Thomas 4' Running Hook Shot56
31.2%
61
68.8%
Q3 - 11:04INDDiener Free Throw 2 of 2 (12 PTS)56
34.1%
61
65.9%
Q3 - 11:04INDDiener Free Throw 1 of 2 (11 PTS)56
34.6%
60
65.4%
Q3 - 11:15INDFoster REBOUND (Off:2 Def:5)56
37.2%
59
62.8%
Q3 - 11:16CHIMISS Hinrich 20' Jump Shot56
38.2%
59
61.8%
Q3 - 11:32INDDiener 17' Fadeaway Jumper (10 PTS)56
40.6%
59
59.4%
Q3 - 11:34INDDiener REBOUND (Off:2 Def:0)56
43.8%
57
56.2%
Q3 - 11:36INDMISS Murphy 13' Jump Shot56
46.3%
57
53.7%
Q2 - 0:00.0IND56
43.8%
57
56.2%
Q2 - 0:00.0INDPACERS Rebound56
43.8%
57
56.2%
Q2 - 0:01.0INDMISS Granger 20' Jump Shot56
46.3%
57
53.7%
Q2 - 0:24.0INDFoster REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)56
44.7%
57
55.3%
Q2 - 0:25.0INDMISS Daniels 10' Turnaround Jump Shot56
46.3%
57
53.7%
Q2 - 0:33.0INDDaniels REBOUND (Off:3 Def:2)56
44.6%
57
55.4%
Q2 - 0:34.0CHIMISS Deng 19' Jump Shot56
45.4%
57
54.6%
Q2 - 0:46.0INDDunleavy Free Throw 2 of 2 (9 PTS)56
47.0%
57
53.0%
Q2 - 0:46.0INDDunleavy Free Throw 1 of 2 (8 PTS)56
47.5%
56
52.5%
Q2 - 0:52.0CHIDaniels STEAL (2 STL)56
51.2%
55
48.8%
Q2 - 1:02INDDiener Free Throw 2 of 2 (8 PTS)56
53.2%
55
46.8%
Q2 - 1:02INDDiener Free Throw 1 of 2 (7 PTS)56
53.7%
54
46.3%
Q2 - 1:10CHISefolosha 24' 3PT Jump Shot (7 PTS) (Hinrich 3 AST)56
57.9%
53
42.1%
Q2 - 1:23CHIGooden REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)53
50.0%
53
50.0%
Q2 - 1:24INDMISS Dunleavy 15' Floating Jump Shot53
49.5%
53
50.5%
Q2 - 1:46CHIHughes Foul Turnover (P1.T10)53
48.3%
53
51.7%
Q2 - 1:54INDMurphy Free Throw 2 of 2 (13 PTS)53
50.0%
53
50.0%
Q2 - 1:54INDMurphy Free Throw 1 of 2 (12 PTS)53
50.6%
52
49.4%
Q2 - 2:15CHIGordon 25' 3PT Jump Shot (11 PTS) (Hughes 2 AST)53
53.9%
51
46.1%
Q2 - 2:34INDGranger 22' Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Murphy 1 AST)50
47.4%
51
52.6%
Q2 - 2:57CHIHughes Free Throw 2 of 2 (10 PTS)50
50.9%
49
49.1%
Q2 - 2:57CHIHughes Free Throw 1 of 2 (9 PTS)49
50.2%
49
49.8%
Q2 - 3:04INDDaniels 3' Layup (5 PTS) (Dunleavy 1 AST)48
47.8%
49
52.2%
Q2 - 3:06INDPACERS Rebound48
50.4%
47
49.6%
Q2 - 3:06INDMISS Dunleavy 2' Layup48
52.7%
47
47.3%
Q2 - 3:12CHIDaniels STEAL (1 STL)48
50.4%
47
49.6%
Q2 - 3:30INDDiener Free Throw 2 of 2 (6 PTS)48
53.8%
47
46.2%
Q2 - 3:30INDDiener Free Throw 1 of 2 (5 PTS)48
54.2%
46
45.8%
Q2 - 3:41CHIDeng 4' Layup (8 PTS) (Hughes 1 AST)48
56.4%
45
43.6%
Q2 - 3:54INDDunleavy Free Throw 2 of 2 (7 PTS)46
53.8%
45
46.2%
Q2 - 3:54INDDunleavy Free Throw 1 of 2 (6 PTS)46
54.2%
44
45.8%
Q2 - 4:08CHIHughes 20' Jump Shot (8 PTS)46
56.3%
43
43.7%
Q2 - 4:16INDMurphy 2' Driving Dunk (11 PTS) (Diener 7 AST)44
53.4%
43
46.6%
Q2 - 4:37CHIHughes Free Throw 2 of 2 (6 PTS)44
56.3%
41
43.7%
Q2 - 4:37CHIHughes Free Throw 1 of 2 (5 PTS)43
55.6%
41
44.4%
Q2 - 4:54INDGranger Traveling Turnover (P4.T10)42
53.4%
41
46.6%
Q2 - 5:07CHISefolosha 19' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Deng 4 AST)42
50.4%
41
49.6%
Q2 - 5:24INDMurphy Free Throw 2 of 2 (9 PTS)40
47.8%
41
52.2%
Q2 - 5:24INDMISS Murphy Free Throw 1 of 240
48.3%
40
51.7%
Q2 - 5:41CHIHinrich 25' 3PT Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Sefolosha 1 AST)40
47.6%
40
52.4%
Q2 - 5:56INDMurphy 18' Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Diener 6 AST)37
42.2%
40
57.8%
Q2 - 6:11INDPACERS Rebound37
44.8%
38
55.2%
Q2 - 6:11CHIMISS Hughes 22' Jump Shot37
45.8%
38
54.2%
Q2 - 6:23CHINoah REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)37
48.1%
38
51.9%
Q2 - 6:24INDMISS Dunleavy 24' 3PT Jump Shot37
47.1%
38
52.9%
Q2 - 6:35CHISefolosha Traveling Turnover (P3.T8)37
44.8%
38
55.2%
Q2 - 6:42INDMurphy Lost Ball Turnover (P3.T9)37
48.1%
38
51.9%
Q2 - 6:46INDDiener REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)37
44.8%
38
55.2%
Q2 - 6:47INDMISS Granger 26' 3PT Jump Shot37
47.1%
38
52.9%
Q2 - 7:03CHINoah 2' Layup (5 PTS)37
45.3%
38
54.7%
Q2 - 7:14INDDiener Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)35
42.8%
38
57.2%
Q2 - 7:14INDDiener Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)35
43.2%
37
56.8%
Q2 - 7:30CHIGordon Free Throw 2 of 2 (8 PTS)35
45.3%
36
54.7%
Q2 - 7:30CHIMISS Gordon Free Throw 1 of 234
45.0%
36
55.0%
Q2 - 7:40CHIDeng REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)34
45.4%
36
54.6%
Q2 - 7:41CHIMISS Nocioni 14' Step Back Jump Shot34
43.5%
36
56.5%
Q2 - 7:54CHINoah REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)34
45.4%
36
54.6%
Q2 - 7:54INDMISS Shaw. Williams 1' Layup34
44.6%
36
55.4%
Q2 - 8:01INDShaw. Williams REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)34
42.5%
36
57.5%
Q2 - 8:02CHIMISS Nocioni 3' Layup34
43.4%
36
56.6%
Q2 - 8:09CHIDeng REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)34
45.4%
36
54.6%
Q2 - 8:10INDMISS Daniels 6' Jump Shot34
44.5%
36
55.5%
Q2 - 8:25CHIGranger STEAL (2 STL)34
42.5%
36
57.5%
Q2 - 8:36INDRush 12' Pullup Jump Shot (8 PTS)34
45.4%
36
54.6%
Q2 - 8:51CHIDeng 3' Driving Finger Roll Layup (6 PTS) (Gordon 1 AST)34
47.7%
34
52.3%
Q2 - 8:56INDGranger Lost Ball Turnover (P3.T8)32
45.4%
34
54.6%
Q2 - 9:03INDFoster REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)32
42.7%
34
57.3%
Q2 - 9:04CHIMISS Nocioni 3PT Jump Shot32
43.5%
34
56.5%
Q2 - 9:22INDRush 12' Fadeaway Jumper (6 PTS) (Granger 2 AST)32
45.4%
34
54.6%
Q2 - 9:48CHIGordon Free Throw 1 of 1 (7 PTS)32
47.6%
32
52.4%
Q2 - 9:57INDGranger 3' Driving Layup (6 PTS)29
42.9%
32
57.1%
Q2 - 10:08CHIGordon 12' Floating Jump Shot (4 PTS)29
45.1%
30
54.9%
Q2 - 10:23INDRush Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)27
42.9%
30
57.1%
Q2 - 10:23INDMISS Rush Free Throw 1 of 227
43.5%
29
56.5%
Q2 - 10:26INDRush REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)27
42.6%
29
57.4%
Q2 - 10:28CHIFoster BLOCK (1 BLK)27
43.5%
29
56.5%
Q2 - 10:33CHIGray REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)27
45.4%
29
54.6%
Q2 - 10:35INDMISS Daniels 2' Layup27
44.5%
29
55.5%
Q2 - 10:36INDDaniels REBOUND (Off:3 Def:1)27
42.6%
29
57.4%
Q2 - 10:37INDMISS Foster 4' Jump Shot27
44.5%
29
55.5%
Q2 - 10:43INDPACERS Rebound27
42.6%
29
57.4%
Q2 - 10:45INDMISS Shaw. Williams 3' Layup27
44.5%
29
55.5%
Q2 - 10:46INDShaw. Williams REBOUND (Off:2 Def:0)27
42.6%
29
57.4%
Q2 - 10:47INDShaw. Williams REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)27
42.6%
29
57.4%
Q2 - 10:47INDMISS Shaw. Williams 3' Tip Shot27
44.5%
29
55.5%
Q2 - 10:48INDMISS Daniels 13' Jump Shot27
44.5%
29
55.5%
Q2 - 11:07INDDaniels REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)27
42.8%
29
57.2%
Q2 - 11:08CHIMISS Hughes 24' 3PT Jump Shot27
43.5%
29
56.5%
Q2 - 11:33INDDaniels 2' Layup (3 PTS)27
45.1%
29
54.9%
Q2 - 11:37INDDaniels REBOUND (Off:2 Def:0)27
47.6%
27
52.4%
Q2 - 11:39INDMISS Daniels 13' Jump Shot27
49.2%
27
50.8%
Q1 - 0:00.0CHI27
47.6%
27
52.4%
Q1 - 0:02.0CHIThomas REBOUND (Off:0 Def:6)27
49.5%
27
50.5%
Q1 - 0:03.0INDMISS Granger 11' Jump Shot27
48.9%
27
51.1%
Q1 - 0:22.0CHIGray Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)27
47.7%
27
52.3%
Q1 - 0:22.0CHIGray Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)26
46.9%
27
53.1%
Q1 - 0:35.0INDRush 25' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Granger 1 AST)25
44.8%
27
55.2%
Q1 - 0:49.0INDHarrison REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)25
50.1%
24
49.9%
Q1 - 0:50.0CHIMISS Gordon 9' Floating Jump Shot25
50.6%
24
49.4%
Q1 - 1:05INDDaniels Free Throw 2 of 2 (1 PTS)25
52.0%
24
48.0%
Q1 - 1:05INDMISS Daniels Free Throw 1 of 225
52.5%
23
47.5%
Q1 - 1:07INDDaniels REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)25
52.5%
23
47.5%
Q1 - 1:08INDMISS Daniels 16' Jump Shot25
53.7%
23
46.3%
Q1 - 1:24CHIHughes 21' Pullup Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Gooden 2 AST)25
52.5%
23
47.5%
Q1 - 1:38INDHarrison Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)23
49.6%
23
50.4%
Q1 - 1:38INDHarrison Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)23
50.6%
22
49.4%
Q1 - 1:39INDHarrison REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)23
52.5%
21
47.5%
Q1 - 1:40INDMISS Shaw. Williams 26' 3PT Jump Shot23
53.7%
21
46.3%
Q1 - 1:54CHINocioni 26' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Gooden 1 AST)23
52.5%
21
47.5%
Q1 - 2:00INDGranger Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T7)20
47.2%
21
52.8%
Q1 - 2:22CHIGooden Traveling Turnover (P2.T6)20
45.4%
21
54.6%
Q1 - 2:33CHIGooden REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)20
47.6%
21
52.4%
Q1 - 2:34CHIMISS Gordon 7' Jump Shot20
46.1%
21
53.9%
Q1 - 2:47INDDunleavy 4' Driving Finger Roll Layup (5 PTS)20
47.6%
21
52.4%
Q1 - 3:00CHIGordon 21' Pullup Jump Shot (2 PTS)20
50.1%
19
49.9%
Q1 - 3:10CHIMISS Hughes Free Throw Clear Path 2 of 218
47.7%
19
52.3%
Q1 - 3:10CHIHughes Free Throw Clear Path 1 of 2 (2 PTS)18
49.4%
19
50.6%
Q1 - 3:11INDDunleavy Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T6)17
45.5%
19
54.5%
Q1 - 3:31INDPACERS Rebound17
43.0%
19
57.0%
Q1 - 3:31CHIMISS Hughes Free Throw 2 of 217
43.3%
19
56.7%
Q1 - 3:31CHIHughes Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)17
44.8%
19
55.2%
Q1 - 3:50CHIGooden REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)16
43.3%
19
56.7%
Q1 - 3:51INDMISS Harrison Free Throw 2 of 216
42.9%
19
57.1%
Q1 - 3:51INDMISS Harrison Free Throw 1 of 216
41.9%
19
58.1%
Q1 - 4:08CHIGooden Out of Bounds Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T5)16
40.9%
19
59.1%
Q1 - 4:15INDFoster 6' Jump Shot (4 PTS)16
43.5%
19
56.5%
Q1 - 4:17INDFoster REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)16
45.2%
17
54.8%
Q1 - 4:19INDMISS Harrison 1' Layup16
47.0%
17
53.0%
Q1 - 4:34INDHarrison REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)16
45.2%
17
54.8%
Q1 - 4:35CHIMISS Deng 11' Pullup Jump Shot16
46.0%
17
54.0%
Q1 - 4:49INDMurphy Out of Bounds Lost Ball Turnover (P2.T5)16
47.8%
17
52.2%
Q1 - 4:55INDFoster REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)16
45.2%
17
54.8%
Q1 - 4:56CHIMISS Deng 8' Running Hook Shot16
46.0%
17
54.0%
Q1 - 5:13CHIThomas REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)16
47.7%
17
52.3%
Q1 - 5:14INDMISS Murphy 15' Pullup Jump Shot16
47.0%
17
53.0%
Q1 - 5:29INDGranger REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)16
45.4%
17
54.6%
Q1 - 5:30CHIMISS Deng 19' Jump Shot16
46.1%
17
53.9%
Q1 - 5:37CHIThomas REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)16
47.7%
17
52.3%
Q1 - 5:38INDMISS Granger 25' 3PT Jump Shot16
47.0%
17
53.0%
Q1 - 5:47INDFoster REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)16
45.4%
17
54.6%
Q1 - 5:48CHIMISS Sefolosha 19' Jump Shot16
46.1%
17
53.9%
Q1 - 5:51CHINoah REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)16
47.7%
17
52.3%
Q1 - 5:53CHIMISS Sefolosha 15' Jump Shot16
46.1%
17
53.9%
Q1 - 5:59CHIThomas REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)16
47.7%
17
52.3%
Q1 - 6:00INDMISS Granger 25' 3PT Jump Shot16
47.0%
17
53.0%
Q1 - 6:18CHISefolosha Step Out of Bounds Turnover (P2.T4)16
45.4%
17
54.6%
Q1 - 6:31INDGranger 25' 3PT Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Diener 5 AST)16
47.5%
17
52.5%
Q1 - 6:51CHINoah 3' Dunk (3 PTS) (Deng 3 AST)16
51.5%
14
48.5%
Q1 - 6:53CHIDeng REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)14
49.5%
14
50.5%
Q1 - 6:54CHIMISS Thomas 16' Jump Shot14
48.1%
14
51.9%
Q1 - 7:07INDDiener 18' Fadeaway Jumper (2 PTS)14
49.5%
14
50.5%
Q1 - 7:23CHIDeng 2' Slam Dunk (4 PTS) (Thomas 1 AST)14
51.2%
12
48.8%
Q1 - 7:33INDMurphy Foul Turnover (P1.T4)12
49.5%
12
50.5%
Q1 - 7:41CHINoah Free Throw 2 of 2 (1 PTS)12
47.4%
12
52.6%
Q1 - 7:41CHIMISS Noah Free Throw 1 of 211
46.8%
12
53.2%
Q1 - 7:54CHIThomas REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)11
47.6%
12
52.4%
Q1 - 7:55INDMISS Murphy 6' Running Hook Shot11
47.0%
12
53.0%
Q1 - 8:10CHIHinrich 26' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Deng 2 AST)11
45.8%
12
54.2%
Q1 - 8:28INDMurphy 26' 3PT Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Diener 4 AST)8
42.3%
12
57.7%
Q1 - 8:38CHIThomas 18' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Hinrich 2 AST)8
45.8%
9
54.2%
Q1 - 8:54INDMurphy 26' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Diener 3 AST)6
44.1%
9
55.9%
Q1 - 9:00INDGranger Free Throw Technical (1 PTS)6
47.7%
6
52.3%
Q1 - 9:17CHINoah Foul Turnover (P1.T3)6
49.2%
5
50.8%
Q1 - 9:26CHIThomas REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)6
51.7%
5
48.3%
Q1 - 9:27INDMISS Foster 2' Reverse Layup6
50.9%
5
49.1%
Q1 - 9:41CHIThomas 4' Alley Oop Dunk (2 PTS) (Hinrich 1 AST)6
49.3%
5
50.7%
Q1 - 9:46INDDunleavy Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T3)4
47.9%
5
52.1%
Q1 - 10:02CHISefolosha Traveling Turnover (P1.T2)4
45.6%
5
54.4%
Q1 - 10:10INDGranger Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T2)4
47.7%
5
52.3%
Q1 - 10:31CHISefolosha 19' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Deng 1 AST)4
45.6%
5
54.4%
Q1 - 10:40INDDunleavy 25' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Diener 2 AST)2
44.0%
5
56.0%
Q1 - 10:44INDFoster REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)2
47.4%
2
52.6%
Q1 - 10:46CHIMISS Noah 10' Jump Shot2
48.1%
2
51.9%
Q1 - 10:50INDFoster Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T1)2
49.6%
2
50.4%
Q1 - 10:51CHIGranger STEAL (1 STL)2
47.4%
2
52.6%
Q1 - 11:11INDFoster 19' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Diener 1 AST)2
49.3%
2
50.7%
Q1 - 11:39CHIDeng 6' Running Hook Shot (2 PTS)2
51.3%
0
48.7%
Q1 - 12:00INDJump Ball Foster vs. Noah: Tip to Hinrich0
49.3%
0
50.7%

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

CHI
1.09 54.3%
IND
1.07 53.5%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)
CHI
18
29
62%
IND
9
20
45%
Midrange
CHI
14
42
33%
IND
13
31
42%
3PT | Effective 3PT
CHI
9
13.5
16
56%
84%
IND
10
15.0
27
37%
56%
Free Throws
CHI
22
37
59%
IND
33
43
77%
Makes
Effective 3P Makes
%
Efficiency
Misses
Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|
CHI logo Bulls
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
L. Hughes2963%14.5 / 23
L. Deng1662%8.0 / 13
B. Gordon1542%7.5 / 18
J. Noah1169%5.5 / 8
A. Nocioni1155%5.5 / 10
D. Gooden1045%5.0 / 11
T. Sefolosha750%3.5 / 7
T. Thomas638%3.0 / 8
K. Hinrich6100%3.0 / 3
A. Gray2100%1.0 / 1
TS Makes
TS Misses

Total Points

|
IND logo Pacers
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
M. Dunleavy2569%12.5 / 18
T. Diener2279%11.0 / 14
T. Murphy1973%9.5 / 13
D. Granger1753%8.5 / 16
K. Rush867%4.0 / 6
M. Daniels732%3.5 / 11
J. Foster531%2.5 / 8
D. Harrison440%2.0 / 5
S. Williams0-0.0 / 4
S. Graham0-0.0 / 1
TS Makes
TS Misses

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

CHI
86
+16
-13
102
IND
81
+18
-18
99
Base
ORB
TOV

Scoring Efficiency

CHI
1.09 54.3%
IND
1.07 53.5%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Efficiency & PaceThis Game
Efficiency
104.1
105.8
CHI 114.1 +6.1
IND 108.1
Pace
93.0
98.0
CHI 103.3 +8.3
IND 95.0
Avg. Poss. Time
15.3
14.1
CHI 13.9 +1.2
IND 15.2
Four FactorsThis Game
EFG %
47.0%
49.8%
CHI 52.3% +4.9%
IND 47.4%
TO %
15.1%
15.0%
CHI 11.2% +4.5%
IND 15.7%
ORB %
28.9%
24.4%
CHI 30.6% +1.1%
IND 29.5%
FTrt
29.6
29.2
CHI 42.5
IND 55.1 +12.6
Misc. StatsThis Game
AST %
60.6%
60.1%
CHI 63.4% +0.9%
IND 62.5%
STL %
8.2%
7.7%
CHI 13.1% +8.0%
IND 5.1%
BLK %
8.5%
7.9%
CHI 13.7% +6.7%
IND 7.0%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Shooting EfficiencyThis Game
TS%
50.2%
52.8%
CHI 54.3% +0.8%
IND 53.5%
Rim FG%
53.0%
58.0%
CHI 62.1% +17.1%
IND 45.0%
Mid FG%
40.0%
38.9%
CHI 33.3%
IND 41.9% +8.6%
3P %
36.3%
37.4%
CHI 56.3% +19.3%
IND 37.0%
FT %
75.6%
76.8%
CHI 59.5%
IND 76.7% +17.2%
Shot DistributionThis Game
Rim Att. %
32.5%
31.0%
CHI 33.3% +7.7%
IND 25.6%
Mid Att. %
48.4%
40.1%
CHI 48.3%
IND 39.7% +8.5%
3P Att. %
19.0%
28.9%
CHI 18.4%
IND 34.6% +16.2%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.22 and 2.22.
Game TotalsCHIIND
Possessions9999
Possession Minutes23.025.0
Points113107
Rebounds4647
Assists2620
Steals135
Blocks75
Turnovers (Team)13 (0)18 (0)
Fouls
Off. Rebounds (Team)15 (1)13 (5)
Def. Rebounds (Team)31 (1)34 (3)
Field Goals41-8732-78
At-the-Rim FG18-299-20
Midrange FG14-4213-31
2-Point FG32-7122-51
3-Point FG9-1610-27
Free Throws22-3733-43
Fast Break Pts
2nd Chance Pts
Points in Paint
Pts off Turnovers
Bench Points
Biggest Lead

BOXSCORE

Access to boxscore predictions requires a premium subscription.
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
F · 6'9" 220 · 23
35.3
16
62%
6
5
2
0
2
5
3
3
2-3
67%
7-12
58%
0-0
-
C · 6'11" 230 · 23
26.3
11
69%
7
0
2
1
2
4
1
6
3-6
50%
4-5
80%
0-0
-
G · 6'7" 220 · 24
26.1
7
50%
1
2
1
1
3
4
1
0
0-2
0%
2-5
40%
1-1
100%
F · 6'10" 225 · 22
20.2
6
38%
10
2
0
2
0
4
1
9
0-0
-
3-8
38%
0-0
-
G · 6'4" 190 · 27
16.6
6
100%
0
3
2
0
0
3
0
0
0-0
-
0-1
0%
2-2
100%
G · 6'5" 185 · 29
32.4
29
63%
3
6
3
0
1
3
1
2
6-10
60%
7-13
54%
3-6
50%
G · 6'3" 205 · 25
28.7
15
42%
2
6
2
1
3
3
0
2
3-5
60%
3-13
23%
2-3
67%
F · 6'10" 250 · 26
25.4
10
45%
15
2
0
1
2
5
8
7
4-5
80%
3-9
33%
0-0
-
· 6'7" 225 · 28
21.4
11
55%
1
0
1
0
0
2
0
1
2-4
50%
3-5
60%
1-4
25%
C · 7'0" 270 · 23
7.4
2
100%
1
0
0
1
0
1
0
1
2-2
100%
0-0
-
0-0
-
G · 6'1" 190 · 25
F · 6'9" 235 · 22
#35 · F · 6'8" 216 · 23
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
#20 · G · 6'3" 190 · 22
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
#6 · G · 6'3" 215 · 22
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
TOTAL
240
113
54%
46
26
13
7
13
0
15
31
22-37
59%
32-71
45%
9-16
56%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.