FinalWin Prob.pScore
1549%97
86
1751%98
107
ORTG#PossPace
SAC logo SAC
89.696103.0
MIA logo MIA
112.69588.9

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

HeatKingsQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Scoring Margin

HeatKingsQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Play-by-Play

Score / WinProb
ClockTeamEventSACMIA
Q4 - 0:00.0SAC86
0%
107
100%
Q4 - 0:27.0MIADavis Dunk (11 PTS) (Quinn 1 AST)86
0%
107
100%
Q4 - 0:30.0MIABarron REBOUND (Off:3 Def:2)86
0%
105
100%
Q4 - 0:31.0SACAl. Johnson BLOCK (1 BLK)86
0%
105
100%
Q4 - 0:40.0MIABanks Free Throw 2 of 2 (5 PTS)86
0.1%
105
99.9%
Q4 - 0:40.0MIABanks Free Throw 1 of 2 (4 PTS)86
0.1%
104
99.9%
Q4 - 0:50.0SACShel. Williams Reverse Layup (7 PTS)86
0.1%
103
99.9%
Q4 - 0:52.0SACShel. Williams REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)84
0.1%
103
99.9%
Q4 - 0:53.0SACMISS Salmons 25' 3PT Jump Shot84
0.1%
103
99.9%
Q4 - 1:09MIABarron Tip Shot (11 PTS)84
0.1%
103
99.9%
Q4 - 1:11MIABarron REBOUND (Off:3 Def:1)84
0.1%
101
99.9%
Q4 - 1:13MIAMISS Quinn 6' Floating Jump Shot84
0.1%
101
99.9%
Q4 - 1:29SACShel. Williams Layup (5 PTS) (Douby 1 AST)84
0.1%
101
99.9%
Q4 - 1:34SACDouby REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)82
0.1%
101
99.9%
Q4 - 1:35MIAMISS Barron 17' Jump Shot82
0.1%
101
99.9%
Q4 - 1:58SACGarcia 12' Jump Shot (2 PTS)82
0.1%
101
99.9%
Q4 - 2:15SACKings Rebound80
0.1%
101
99.9%
Q4 - 2:16MIAMISS Davis Free Throw 2 of 280
0.1%
101
99.9%
Q4 - 2:16MIADavis Free Throw 1 of 2 (9 PTS)80
0.1%
101
99.9%
Q4 - 2:32SACHawes Free Throw 2 of 2 (16 PTS)80
0.1%
100
99.9%
Q4 - 2:32SACMISS Hawes Free Throw 1 of 279
0.1%
100
99.9%
Q4 - 2:45MIADavis 13' Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Banks 2 AST)79
0.1%
100
99.9%
Q4 - 3:02MIAQuinn REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)79
0.1%
98
99.9%
Q4 - 3:03SACMISS Salmons 26' 3PT Jump Shot79
0.1%
98
99.9%
Q4 - 3:14SACShel. Williams REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)79
0.1%
98
99.9%
Q4 - 3:16MIAMISS Davis 20' Jump Shot79
0.1%
98
99.9%
Q4 - 3:43MIAQuinn REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)79
0.1%
98
99.9%
Q4 - 3:44SACMISS Douby 9' Hook Shot79
0.1%
98
99.9%
Q4 - 3:54MIAAl. Johnson Traveling Turnover (P1.T15)79
0.1%
98
99.9%
Q4 - 4:04SACShel. Williams Free Throw 2 of 2 (3 PTS)79
0.1%
98
99.9%
Q4 - 4:04SACMISS Shel. Williams Free Throw 1 of 278
0.1%
98
99.9%
Q4 - 4:14SACShel. Williams REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)78
0.1%
98
99.9%
Q4 - 4:16MIAMISS Davis 20' Jump Shot78
0.1%
98
99.9%
Q4 - 4:39SACDouby 25' 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS)78
0.1%
98
99.9%
Q4 - 4:46SACShel. Williams REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)75
0.1%
98
99.9%
Q4 - 4:47MIAMISS Banks 25' 3PT Jump Shot75
0.1%
98
99.9%
Q4 - 5:03SACShel. Williams Dunk (2 PTS) (Salmons 1 AST)75
0.1%
98
99.9%
Q4 - 5:12SACSalmons REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)73
0.1%
98
99.9%
Q4 - 5:13MIAMISS Quinn 3PT Jump Shot73
0.1%
98
99.9%
Q4 - 5:40SACSalmons Driving Layup (8 PTS)73
0.1%
98
99.9%
Q4 - 5:59MIAMarion Poss Lost Ball Turnover (P2.T14)71
0.1%
98
99.9%
Q4 - 6:03SACBanks STEAL (1 STL)71
0.1%
98
99.9%
Q4 - 6:26MIABanks 25' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Haslem 1 AST)71
0.1%
98
99.9%
Q4 - 6:38MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:2 Def:5)71
0.1%
95
99.9%
Q4 - 6:40SACMISS Garcia 24' 3PT Jump Shot71
0.1%
95
99.9%
Q4 - 6:53SACKings Rebound71
0.1%
95
99.9%
Q4 - 6:55MIAMISS Haslem Layup71
0.1%
95
99.9%
Q4 - 7:06SACMoore Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T16)71
0.1%
95
99.9%
Q4 - 7:20SACKings Rebound71
0.2%
95
99.8%
Q4 - 7:21MIAMISS Wade 19' Jump Shot71
0.1%
95
99.9%
Q4 - 7:45SACHawes 5' Jump Shot (15 PTS)71
0.1%
95
99.9%
Q4 - 8:00SACMartin REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)69
0.1%
95
99.9%
Q4 - 8:02MIAMISS Davis 15' Jump Shot69
0.1%
95
99.9%
Q4 - 8:13MIABanks REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)69
0.1%
95
99.9%
Q4 - 8:14SACMISS Martin 24' 3PT Jump Shot69
0.1%
95
99.9%
Q4 - 8:37MIADavis 24' 3PT Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Banks 1 AST)69
0.2%
95
99.8%
Q4 - 8:57MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)69
0.2%
92
99.8%
Q4 - 8:59SACMISS Shel. Williams 6' Running Jump Shot69
0.3%
92
99.7%
Q4 - 9:15MIAHaslem Free Throw 2 of 2 (17 PTS)69
0.5%
92
99.5%
Q4 - 9:15MIAHaslem Free Throw 1 of 2 (16 PTS)69
0.5%
91
99.5%
Q4 - 9:41MIABlount REBOUND (Off:2 Def:7)69
0.6%
90
99.4%
Q4 - 9:42SACMISS Martin 19' Jump Shot69
0.6%
90
99.4%
Q4 - 9:54MIABlount Free Throw 2 of 2 (14 PTS)69
0.7%
90
99.3%
Q4 - 9:54MIAMISS Blount Free Throw 1 of 269
0.8%
89
99.2%
Q4 - 10:15SACHawes Dunk (13 PTS) (Udrih 3 AST)69
1.0%
89
99.0%
Q4 - 10:36SACMartin REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)67
0.8%
89
99.2%
Q4 - 10:37MIAMISS Barron 16' Jump Shot67
0.7%
89
99.3%
Q4 - 11:02SACMartin Driving Layup (14 PTS)67
0.8%
89
99.2%
Q4 - 11:21SACKings Rebound65
0.6%
89
99.4%
Q4 - 11:22MIAMISS Wade 26' 3PT Jump Shot65
0.6%
89
99.4%
Q4 - 11:39SACSalmons 16' Jump Shot (6 PTS)65
0.5%
89
99.5%
Q3 - 0:00.0SAC63
0.4%
89
99.6%
Q3 - 0:00.0MIAWilliams Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T13)63
0.4%
89
99.6%
Q3 - 0:01.0SACSalmons Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)63
0.4%
89
99.6%
Q3 - 0:01.0SACSalmons Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)62
0.4%
89
99.6%
Q3 - 0:06.0MIAMarion Free Throw 2 of 2 (24 PTS)61
0.4%
89
99.6%
Q3 - 0:06.0MIAMarion Free Throw 1 of 2 (23 PTS)61
0.4%
88
99.6%
Q3 - 0:24.0MIABlount REBOUND (Off:2 Def:6)61
0.4%
87
99.6%
Q3 - 0:26.0SACMarion BLOCK (2 BLK)61
0.5%
87
99.5%
Q3 - 0:45.0MIABarron 20' Jump Shot (9 PTS) (Marion 2 AST)61
0.5%
87
99.5%
Q3 - 0:53.0MIAMarion REBOUND (Off:0 Def:8)61
0.6%
85
99.4%
Q3 - 0:54.0SACMISS World Peace 25' 3PT Jump Shot61
0.7%
85
99.3%
Q3 - 1:04SACGarcia REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)61
1.0%
85
99.0%
Q3 - 1:05SACMISS World Peace 24' 3PT Jump Shot61
0.9%
85
99.1%
Q3 - 1:13SACGarcia REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)61
1.0%
85
99.0%
Q3 - 1:14MIAMISS Marion 21' Jump Shot61
1.0%
85
99.0%
Q3 - 1:41SACHawes Reverse Layup (11 PTS)61
0.8%
85
99.2%
Q3 - 1:43SACHawes REBOUND (Off:2 Def:0)59
0.7%
85
99.3%
Q3 - 1:44SACMISS Garcia 20' Jump Shot59
0.6%
85
99.4%
Q3 - 1:55MIABarron 14' Jump Shot (7 PTS) (Marion 1 AST)59
0.7%
85
99.3%
Q3 - 2:13SACHawes Free Throw 2 of 2 (9 PTS)59
1.0%
83
99.0%
Q3 - 2:13SACMISS Hawes Free Throw 1 of 258
1.0%
83
99.0%
Q3 - 2:19MIAWade Bad Pass Turnover (P5.T12)58
1.0%
83
99.0%
Q3 - 2:37SACDouby 22' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Hawes 2 AST)58
0.9%
83
99.1%
Q3 - 2:52MIAWade Free Throw 1 of 1 (15 PTS)56
0.7%
83
99.3%
Q3 - 3:07MIAMarion REBOUND (Off:0 Def:7)56
1.2%
80
98.8%
Q3 - 3:08SACMISS Hawes 22' Jump Shot56
1.3%
80
98.7%
Q3 - 3:22MIAHaslem 7' Hook Shot (15 PTS)56
1.5%
80
98.5%
Q3 - 3:43MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)56
1.7%
78
98.3%
Q3 - 3:44SACMISS Douby 25' 3PT Jump Shot56
1.8%
78
98.2%
Q3 - 3:56MIAMarion Free Throw 1 of 1 (22 PTS)56
2.1%
78
97.9%
Q3 - 4:15MIABlount REBOUND (Off:2 Def:5)56
3.3%
75
96.7%
Q3 - 4:16SACMISS Garcia 25' 3PT Jump Shot56
3.5%
75
96.5%
Q3 - 4:26SACGarcia REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)56
4.0%
75
96.0%
Q3 - 4:27MIAMISS Wade 20' Jump Shot56
3.8%
75
96.2%
Q3 - 4:47MIABlount REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)56
3.3%
75
96.7%
Q3 - 4:49SACMISS Salmons 14' Jump Shot56
3.5%
75
96.5%
Q3 - 4:55SACSalmons REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)56
4.0%
75
96.0%
Q3 - 4:56MIAMISS Marion 6' Running Jump Shot56
3.8%
75
96.2%
Q3 - 5:14MIAMarion REBOUND (Off:0 Def:6)56
3.8%
75
96.2%
Q3 - 5:16SACMISS Hawes 8' Hook Shot56
4.0%
75
96.0%
Q3 - 5:29MIABlount 3 Second Violation Turnover (P3.T11)56
4.4%
75
95.6%
Q3 - 5:39SACBlount STEAL (1 STL)56
3.7%
75
96.3%
Q3 - 5:51SACHawes REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)56
4.4%
75
95.6%
Q3 - 5:52SACBlount BLOCK (2 BLK)56
3.9%
75
96.1%
Q3 - 6:01SACJohnson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)56
5.0%
75
95.0%
Q3 - 6:02MIAMISS Haslem 16' Jump Shot56
4.8%
75
95.2%
Q3 - 6:12MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)56
4.2%
75
95.8%
Q3 - 6:13SACMISS Salmons 17' Jump Shot56
4.4%
75
95.6%
Q3 - 6:18SACMoore REBOUND (Off:3 Def:6)56
5.0%
75
95.0%
Q3 - 6:20MIAMISS Williams 24' 3PT Jump Shot56
4.7%
75
95.3%
Q3 - 6:37SACSalmons Foul Turnover (P4.T14)56
4.2%
75
95.8%
Q3 - 7:00MIAMarion Alley Oop Dunk (19 PTS) (Wade 8 AST)56
4.9%
75
95.1%
Q3 - 7:04SACHaslem STEAL (3 STL)56
6.1%
73
93.9%
Q3 - 7:17MIAWilliams 24' 3PT Jump Shot (10 PTS) (Wade 7 AST)56
7.2%
73
92.8%
Q3 - 7:22MIAHEAT Rebound56
9.4%
70
90.6%
Q3 - 7:23MIAMISS Marion 18' Jump Shot56
10.5%
70
89.5%
Q3 - 7:43SACKings Turnover: Shot Clock (T#12)56
9.4%
70
90.6%
Q3 - 8:08MIABlount Alley Oop Dunk (13 PTS) (Williams 9 AST)56
11.6%
70
88.4%
Q3 - 8:15MIAWade REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)56
13.0%
68
87.0%
Q3 - 8:16SACMISS Miller 19' Jump Shot56
13.6%
68
86.4%
Q3 - 8:33MIAWade 19' Jump Shot (12 PTS) (Williams 8 AST)56
15.0%
68
85.0%
Q3 - 8:44MIAMarion REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)56
16.8%
66
83.2%
Q3 - 8:46SACMISS Martin 22' Jump Shot56
17.5%
66
82.5%
Q3 - 8:54SACMiller REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)56
19.3%
66
80.7%
Q3 - 8:55MIAMISS Williams 22' Jump Shot56
18.5%
66
81.5%
Q3 - 9:02MIAWilliams REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)56
17.6%
66
82.4%
Q3 - 9:03SACMISS Martin 24' 3PT Jump Shot56
18.2%
66
81.8%
Q3 - 9:18MIABlount Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T10)56
19.8%
66
80.2%
Q3 - 9:32SACWorld Peace Free Throw 2 of 2 (14 PTS)56
17.5%
66
82.5%
Q3 - 9:32SACWorld Peace Free Throw 1 of 2 (13 PTS)55
17.0%
66
83.0%
Q3 - 9:34MIAWade Bad Pass Turnover (P4.T9)54
15.6%
66
84.4%
Q3 - 9:41MIAMarion REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)54
13.7%
66
86.3%
Q3 - 9:43SACBlount BLOCK (1 BLK)54
14.2%
66
85.8%
Q3 - 9:46SACMoore REBOUND (Off:3 Def:5)54
15.6%
66
84.4%
Q3 - 9:48SACMISS World Peace 20' Jump Shot54
14.2%
66
85.8%
Q3 - 10:08MIAMarion 7' Jump Shot (17 PTS)54
16.4%
66
83.5%
Q3 - 10:25SACWorld Peace Free Throw 2 of 2 (12 PTS)54
18.2%
64
81.8%
Q3 - 10:25SACWorld Peace Free Throw 1 of 2 (11 PTS)53
17.7%
64
82.3%
Q3 - 10:38MIAWade Driving Layup (10 PTS)52
16.4%
64
83.6%
Q3 - 10:46MIABlount REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)52
18.2%
62
81.8%
Q3 - 10:48SACWade BLOCK (2 BLK)52
18.9%
62
81.1%
Q3 - 11:00MIAMarion Layup (15 PTS) (Blount 2 AST)52
20.6%
62
79.4%
Q3 - 11:15MIAMarion REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)52
23.7%
60
76.3%
Q3 - 11:16SACMISS Miller 25' 3PT Jump Shot52
24.5%
60
75.5%
Q3 - 11:35MIAMarion 8' Floating Jump Shot (13 PTS)52
26.4%
60
73.6%
Q2 - 0:00.0SAC52
29.0%
58
71.0%
Q2 - 0:00.0SACKings Rebound52
32.1%
58
67.9%
Q2 - 0:02.0SACBarron BLOCK (1 BLK)52
31.0%
58
69.0%
Q2 - 0:05.0MIAWade Bad Pass Turnover (P3.T8)52
32.3%
58
67.7%
Q2 - 0:22.0SACHawes 22' Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Udrih 2 AST)52
30.3%
58
69.7%
Q2 - 0:39.0MIABlount 3' Hook Shot (11 PTS) (Wade 6 AST)50
26.8%
58
73.2%
Q2 - 0:55.0MIADavis REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)50
30.2%
56
69.8%
Q2 - 0:56.0SACMISS Martin 25' 3PT Jump Shot50
30.9%
56
69.1%
Q2 - 1:13SACWorld Peace REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)50
32.6%
56
67.4%
Q2 - 1:14MIAMISS Wade Free Throw 2 of 250
32.4%
56
67.6%
Q2 - 1:14MIAMISS Wade Free Throw 1 of 250
30.3%
56
69.7%
Q2 - 1:18SACMoore Layup (8 PTS)50
31.1%
56
68.9%
Q2 - 1:21SACMoore REBOUND (Off:2 Def:5)48
27.2%
56
72.8%
Q2 - 1:24SACMISS Udrih 19' Jump Shot48
26.2%
56
73.8%
Q2 - 1:36MIAWilliams 25' 3PT Jump Shot (7 PTS) (Blount 1 AST)48
27.2%
56
72.8%
Q2 - 1:53SACWorld Peace Foul Turnover (P3.T11)48
33.9%
53
66.1%
Q2 - 2:10MIAWade Alley Oop Dunk (8 PTS) (Williams 7 AST)48
36.5%
53
63.5%
Q2 - 2:17MIABlount REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)48
39.6%
51
60.4%
Q2 - 2:19SACMISS World Peace 26' 3PT Jump Shot48
40.5%
51
59.5%
Q2 - 2:36MIAMarion Driving Dunk (11 PTS) (Williams 6 AST)48
42.4%
51
57.6%
Q2 - 2:56SACUdrih 17' Jump Shot (4 PTS)48
45.8%
49
54.2%
Q2 - 3:04SACMoore REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)46
43.1%
49
56.9%
Q2 - 3:05MIAMISS Davis 25' 3PT Jump Shot46
42.1%
49
57.9%
Q2 - 3:19MIAWilliams REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)46
39.8%
49
60.2%
Q2 - 3:21SACMISS Miller 18' Jump Shot46
40.8%
49
59.2%
Q2 - 3:33MIABlount Free Throw 2 of 2 (9 PTS)46
43.0%
49
57.0%
Q2 - 3:33MIABlount Free Throw 1 of 2 (8 PTS)46
43.7%
48
56.3%
Q2 - 3:33MIAHEAT Rebound46
45.6%
47
54.4%
Q2 - 3:34SACMISS Udrih 20' Jump Shot46
46.6%
47
53.4%
Q2 - 3:58MIADavis 22' Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Williams 5 AST)46
49.0%
47
51.0%
Q2 - 4:16SACMoore Free Throw 2 of 2 (6 PTS)46
51.7%
45
48.3%
Q2 - 4:16SACMoore Free Throw 1 of 2 (5 PTS)45
51.0%
45
49.0%
Q2 - 4:36MIAHaslem Layup (13 PTS) (Davis 1 AST)44
48.8%
45
51.2%
Q2 - 4:52SACMartin Free Throw 2 of 2 (12 PTS)44
51.7%
43
48.3%
Q2 - 4:52SACMISS Martin Free Throw 1 of 243
51.3%
43
48.7%
Q2 - 5:05MIAHaslem 12' Jump Shot (11 PTS) (Williams 4 AST)43
51.9%
43
48.1%
Q2 - 5:10MIAWilliams REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)43
54.4%
41
45.6%
Q2 - 5:11MIAMISS Wade Driving Layup43
56.5%
41
43.5%
Q2 - 5:31SACMartin 22' Jump Shot (11 PTS) (Miller 2 AST)43
54.4%
41
45.6%
Q2 - 5:48MIAHaslem Free Throw 1 of 1 (9 PTS)41
51.8%
41
48.2%
Q2 - 5:51MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)41
57.2%
38
42.8%
Q2 - 5:52MIAMISS Blount Layup41
59.3%
38
40.7%
Q2 - 6:09SACWorld Peace Free Throw 1 of 1 (10 PTS)41
57.0%
38
43.0%
Q2 - 6:23MIABanks Discontinue Dribble Turnover (P2.T7)38
52.1%
38
47.9%
Q2 - 6:43SACMartin 13' Jump Shot (9 PTS)38
48.8%
38
51.2%
Q2 - 6:56MIAHaslem Free Throw 2 of 2 (6 PTS)36
46.6%
38
53.4%
Q2 - 6:56MIAHaslem Free Throw 1 of 2 (5 PTS)36
47.1%
37
52.9%
Q2 - 6:56MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)36
48.8%
36
51.2%
Q2 - 6:57SACMISS Miller 21' Jump Shot36
49.8%
36
50.2%
Q2 - 7:16MIAHaslem 3 Second Violation Turnover (P1.T6)36
51.9%
36
48.1%
Q2 - 7:23MIABanks REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)36
49.1%
36
50.9%
Q2 - 7:24SACMISS Miller 19' Jump Shot36
50.0%
36
50.0%
Q2 - 7:38SACSalmons REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)36
52.0%
36
48.0%
Q2 - 7:40MIAMISS Davis 20' Jump Shot36
51.1%
36
48.9%
Q2 - 7:58SACSalmons Traveling Turnover (P2.T10)36
49.1%
36
50.9%
Q2 - 8:20SACMiller REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)36
51.8%
36
48.2%
Q2 - 8:21SACMISS World Peace 25' 3PT Jump Shot36
49.8%
36
50.2%
Q2 - 8:29SACWorld Peace REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)36
51.8%
36
48.2%
Q2 - 8:31MIAMISS Barron 8' Hook Shot36
50.9%
36
49.1%
Q2 - 8:50SACSalmons Layup (2 PTS)36
48.9%
36
51.1%
Q2 - 9:02MIABarron Free Throw 2 of 2 (5 PTS)34
46.7%
36
53.3%
Q2 - 9:02MIABarron Free Throw 1 of 2 (4 PTS)34
47.2%
35
52.8%
Q2 - 9:05SACDavis STEAL (1 STL)34
48.9%
34
51.1%
Q2 - 9:16MIAWade Free Throw 2 of 2 (6 PTS)34
51.7%
34
48.3%
Q2 - 9:16MIAWade Free Throw 1 of 2 (5 PTS)34
52.2%
33
47.8%
Q2 - 9:33SACMoore Traveling Turnover (P1.T8)34
53.9%
32
46.1%
Q2 - 9:47MIABanks Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T5)34
56.7%
32
43.3%
Q2 - 9:50SACBarron STEAL (1 STL)34
53.9%
32
46.1%
Q2 - 10:03MIABarron Free Throw 2 of 2 (3 PTS)34
56.5%
32
43.5%
Q2 - 10:03MIAMISS Barron Free Throw 1 of 234
57.1%
31
42.9%
Q2 - 10:08MIABarron REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)34
56.2%
31
43.8%
Q2 - 10:09MIAMISS Banks 25' 3PT Jump Shot34
58.1%
31
41.9%
Q2 - 10:20MIABarron REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)34
56.2%
31
43.8%
Q2 - 10:22MIAMISS Haslem 18' Jump Shot34
58.1%
31
41.9%
Q2 - 10:42SACJohnson Foul Turnover (P1.T6)34
56.2%
31
43.8%
Q2 - 10:51SACMoore REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)34
58.9%
31
41.1%
Q2 - 10:53MIAMISS Davis Free Throw 2 of 234
58.6%
31
41.4%
Q2 - 10:53MIADavis Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)34
56.9%
31
43.1%
Q2 - 11:05SACMarion STEAL (2 STL)34
58.5%
30
41.5%
Q2 - 11:15MIAWade Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T4)34
60.8%
30
39.2%
Q2 - 11:33SACHawes 21' Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Moore 2 AST)34
58.5%
30
41.5%
Q2 - 11:49MIAMarion Traveling Turnover (P1.T3)32
56.1%
30
43.9%
Q1 - 0:00.0SAC32
53.7%
30
46.3%
Q1 - 0:02.0SACJohnson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)32
55.5%
30
44.5%
Q1 - 0:03.0MIAMISS Wade Free Throw 1 of 132
55.2%
30
44.8%
Q1 - 0:11.0SACHawes Dunk (4 PTS) (World Peace 2 AST)32
58.4%
28
41.6%
Q1 - 0:29.0MIAWade 22' Jump Bank Shot (2 PTS)30
55.5%
28
44.5%
Q1 - 0:44.0SACWorld Peace Layup (7 PTS) (Hawes 1 AST)30
58.4%
26
41.6%
Q1 - 1:04MIAMarion 25' 3PT Jump Shot (9 PTS) (Wade 5 AST)28
55.6%
26
44.4%
Q1 - 1:12MIAWade REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)28
60.7%
23
39.3%
Q1 - 1:13SACMISS Salmons 17' Jump Shot28
61.2%
23
38.8%
Q1 - 1:31MIAMarion Layup (6 PTS) (Wade 4 AST)28
62.4%
23
37.6%
Q1 - 1:49SACHawes Dunk (2 PTS) (Johnson 1 AST)28
65.1%
21
34.9%
Q1 - 2:08SACMiller Free Throw Flagrant 2 of 2 (8 PTS)26
62.7%
21
37.3%
Q1 - 2:08SACMiller Free Throw Flagrant 1 of 2 (7 PTS)25
62.3%
21
37.7%
Q1 - 2:14SACSalmons REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)24
58.2%
21
41.8%
Q1 - 2:16MIAMISS Williams 18' Jump Shot24
57.5%
21
42.5%
Q1 - 2:18MIABarron REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)24
56.0%
21
44.0%
Q1 - 2:21SACMarion BLOCK (1 BLK)24
56.7%
21
43.3%
Q1 - 2:39MIABarron Layup (2 PTS) (Williams 3 AST)24
58.2%
21
41.8%
Q1 - 2:57SACMarion STEAL (1 STL)24
60.6%
19
39.4%
Q1 - 3:06SACMartin REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)24
62.3%
19
37.7%
Q1 - 3:08MIAMISS Wade 16' Jump Shot24
61.5%
19
38.5%
Q1 - 3:19SACWorld Peace Poss Lost Ball Turnover (P2.T3)24
59.9%
19
40.1%
Q1 - 3:26MIAWade Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T2)24
62.3%
19
37.7%
Q1 - 3:40SACWorld Peace Free Throw 2 of 2 (5 PTS)24
59.9%
19
40.1%
Q1 - 3:40SACWorld Peace Free Throw 1 of 2 (4 PTS)23
59.4%
19
40.6%
Q1 - 3:51MIAHaslem 17' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Wade 3 AST)22
58.0%
19
42.0%
Q1 - 4:06SACMartin 24' 3PT Jump Shot (7 PTS) (Miller 1 AST)22
59.6%
17
40.4%
Q1 - 4:35MIABlount Dunk (7 PTS)19
55.7%
17
44.3%
Q1 - 4:36MIABlount REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)19
57.4%
15
42.6%
Q1 - 4:38MIAMISS Blount Dunk19
59.3%
15
40.7%
Q1 - 4:53SACMartin Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)19
57.4%
15
42.6%
Q1 - 4:53SACMartin Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)18
57.2%
15
42.8%
Q1 - 4:59SACMartin REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)17
55.7%
15
44.3%
Q1 - 5:01MIAMISS Blount 19' Jump Shot17
54.6%
15
45.4%
Q1 - 5:18SACMiller 18' Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Udrih 1 AST)17
53.0%
15
47.0%
Q1 - 5:24MIAWilliams Layup (4 PTS)15
51.1%
15
48.9%
Q1 - 5:32SACUdrih Layup (2 PTS)15
53.0%
13
47.0%
Q1 - 5:45MIAWilliams 19' Jump Shot (2 PTS)13
51.1%
13
48.9%
Q1 - 5:52SACHaslem STEAL (2 STL)13
53.0%
11
47.0%
Q1 - 6:09MIAMarion Layup (4 PTS) (Wade 2 AST)13
54.9%
11
45.1%
Q1 - 6:21MIAHEAT Rebound13
56.8%
9
43.2%
Q1 - 6:22SACMISS Udrih 20' Jump Shot13
57.4%
9
42.6%
Q1 - 6:27SACUdrih REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)13
58.9%
9
41.1%
Q1 - 6:29MIAMISS Blount 16' Jump Shot13
58.2%
9
41.8%
Q1 - 6:49SACMiller Layup (4 PTS) (Moore 1 AST)13
56.8%
9
43.2%
Q1 - 6:52MIABlount Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T1)11
54.9%
9
45.1%
Q1 - 6:54MIABlount REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)11
52.8%
9
47.2%
Q1 - 6:55SACMISS World Peace 20' Jump Shot11
53.4%
9
46.6%
Q1 - 6:58SACWorld Peace REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)11
54.9%
9
45.1%
Q1 - 6:59SACWade BLOCK (1 BLK)11
53.4%
9
46.6%
Q1 - 7:21SACMoore REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)11
54.7%
9
45.3%
Q1 - 7:23MIAMISS Blount Free Throw 2 of 211
54.4%
9
45.6%
Q1 - 7:23MIABlount Free Throw 1 of 2 (5 PTS)11
53.2%
9
46.8%
Q1 - 7:35SACMartin 21' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (World Peace 1 AST)11
54.5%
8
45.5%
Q1 - 7:52MIABlount Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)9
52.8%
8
47.2%
Q1 - 7:52MIABlount Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)9
53.2%
7
46.8%
Q1 - 8:12SACHaslem STEAL (1 STL)9
54.7%
6
45.3%
Q1 - 8:28MIAHaslem 14' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Williams 2 AST)9
56.8%
6
43.2%
Q1 - 8:34MIAMarion REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)9
58.4%
4
41.6%
Q1 - 8:36SACMISS Moore 19' Jump Shot9
59.0%
4
41.0%
Q1 - 8:44SACMoore REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)9
60.4%
4
39.6%
Q1 - 8:46MIAMISS Wade 20' Jump Shot9
59.8%
4
40.2%
Q1 - 8:51MIAMarion REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)9
58.4%
4
41.6%
Q1 - 8:53SACMISS World Peace 21' Jump Shot9
59.0%
4
41.0%
Q1 - 9:03SACMoore REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)9
60.4%
4
39.6%
Q1 - 9:05MIAMISS Haslem 18' Jump Shot9
59.7%
4
40.3%
Q1 - 9:24SACWorld Peace Free Throw 1 of 1 (3 PTS)9
58.1%
4
41.9%
Q1 - 9:38MIAMarion Alley Oop Dunk (2 PTS) (Wade 1 AST)6
54.9%
4
45.1%
Q1 - 9:44MIAWilliams REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)6
56.3%
2
43.7%
Q1 - 9:45SACMISS World Peace 3PT Jump Shot6
57.0%
2
43.0%
Q1 - 10:01SACUdrih REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)6
58.3%
2
41.7%
Q1 - 10:03MIAMISS Blount 18' Jump Shot6
57.7%
2
42.3%
Q1 - 10:17SACMoore Dunk (4 PTS)6
56.2%
2
43.8%
Q1 - 10:19SACMoore REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)4
54.6%
2
45.4%
Q1 - 10:21SACMISS Martin 24' 3PT Jump Shot4
53.2%
2
46.8%
Q1 - 10:45MIABlount 21' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Williams 1 AST)4
54.7%
2
45.3%
Q1 - 10:55SACMiller 21' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Martin 2 AST)4
56.2%
0
43.8%
Q1 - 11:14SACMiller REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)2
54.3%
0
45.7%
Q1 - 11:16MIAMISS Haslem 16' Jump Shot2
53.8%
0
46.2%
Q1 - 11:18MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)2
52.7%
0
47.3%
Q1 - 11:20MIAMISS Williams 5' Jump Shot2
53.8%
0
46.2%
Q1 - 11:23MIABlount REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)2
52.7%
0
47.3%
Q1 - 11:25MIAMISS Marion 8' Hook Shot2
53.8%
0
46.2%
Q1 - 11:40SACMoore 17' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Martin 1 AST)2
52.7%
0
47.3%
Q1 - 12:00MIAJump Ball Blount vs. Miller: Tip to Moore0
50.7%
0
49.3%

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

SAC
0.95 47.3%
MIA
1.20 60.1%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)
SAC
17
21
81%
MIA
19
24
79%
Midrange
SAC
13
38
34%
MIA
15
40
38%
3PT | Effective 3PT
SAC
2
3.0
17
12%
18%
MIA
5
7.5
11
45%
68%
Free Throws
SAC
20
24
83%
MIA
24
32
75%
Makes
Effective 3P Makes
%
Efficiency
Misses
Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|
SAC logo Kings
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
S. Hawes1667%8.0 / 12
M. World Peace1441%7.0 / 17
K. Martin1454%7.0 / 13
M. Moore880%4.0 / 5
B. Miller850%4.0 / 8
J. Salmons836%4.0 / 11
S. Williams770%3.5 / 5
Q. Douby563%2.5 / 4
B. Udrih429%2.0 / 7
F. Garcia225%1.0 / 4
TS Makes
TS Misses

Total Points

|
MIA logo Heat
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
S. Marion2480%12.0 / 15
U. Haslem1771%8.5 / 12
D. Wade1554%7.5 / 14
M. Blount1454%7.0 / 13
R. Davis1150%5.5 / 11
E. Barron1161%5.5 / 9
J. Williams1063%5.0 / 8
M. Banks563%2.5 / 4
C. Quinn0-0.0 / 2
TS Makes
TS Misses

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

SAC
80
+10
-16
90
MIA
80
+9
-15
89
Base
ORB
TOV

Scoring Efficiency

SAC
0.95 47.3%
MIA
1.20 60.1%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Efficiency & PaceThis Game
Efficiency
107.2
100.2
SAC 89.6 +23.0
MIA 112.6
Pace
95.0
90.5
SAC 103.0 +14.1
MIA 88.9
Avg. Poss. Time
15.0
16.3
SAC 14.0 +2.2
MIA 16.2
Four FactorsThis Game
EFG %
50.3%
48.2%
SAC 43.4%
MIA 55.3% +11.9%
TO %
16.0%
15.4%
SAC 16.4%
MIA 14.4% +2.0%
ORB %
25.1%
22.2%
SAC 22.0%
MIA 22.2% +0.2%
FTrt
34.6
30.0
SAC 31.6
MIA 42.7 +11.1
Misc. StatsThis Game
AST %
51.5%
58.5%
SAC 50.0%
MIA 69.2% +19.2%
STL %
8.3%
7.9%
SAC 7.3%
MIA 9.5% +2.2%
BLK %
6.5%
7.1%
SAC 1.6%
MIA 13.6% +12.0%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Shooting EfficiencyThis Game
TS%
54.1%
50.6%
SAC 47.3%
MIA 60.1% +12.8%
Rim FG%
58.2%
59.2%
SAC 81.0% +1.8%
MIA 79.2%
Mid FG%
40.7%
38.8%
SAC 34.2%
MIA 37.5% +3.3%
3P %
37.3%
35.8%
SAC 11.8%
MIA 45.5% +33.7%
FT %
79.8%
72.7%
SAC 83.3% +8.3%
MIA 75.0%
Shot DistributionThis Game
Rim Att. %
36.7%
30.2%
SAC 27.6%
MIA 32.0% +4.4%
Mid Att. %
42.5%
48.1%
SAC 50.0% +3.3%
MIA 53.3%
3P Att. %
20.8%
21.7%
SAC 22.4% +7.7%
MIA 14.7%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.
Game TotalsSACMIA
Possessions9695
Possession Minutes22.425.6
Points86107
Rebounds3740
Assists1627
Steals79
Blocks18
Turnovers (Team)16 (1)15 (0)
Fouls
Off. Rebounds (Team)9 (1)8 (1)
Def. Rebounds (Team)28 (4)32 (2)
Field Goals32-7639-75
At-the-Rim FG17-2119-24
Midrange FG13-3815-40
2-Point FG30-5934-64
3-Point FG2-175-11
Free Throws20-2424-32
Fast Break Pts
2nd Chance Pts
Points in Paint
Pts off Turnovers
Bench Points
Biggest Lead

BOXSCORE

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PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
F · 6'7" 260 · 28
32.8
14
41%
3
2
0
0
3
3
1
2
8-8
100%
3-9
33%
0-5
0%
G · 6'7" 199 · 25
31.1
14
54%
4
2
0
0
0
1
0
4
3-4
75%
4-6
67%
1-5
20%
G · 6'3" 205 · 26
29.1
4
29%
2
3
1
0
0
1
0
2
0-0
-
2-7
29%
0-0
-
F · 7'0" 225 · 32
26.3
8
80%
9
2
3
0
2
1
3
6
2-2
100%
3-4
75%
0-0
-
C · 7'0" 261 · 32
22.2
8
50%
3
2
0
1
2
4
1
2
2-2
100%
3-7
43%
0-1
0%
F · 6'6" 210 · 28
26.4
8
36%
4
1
0
0
4
4
0
4
2-2
100%
3-8
38%
0-2
0%
F-C · 7'1" 245 · 20
25.7
16
67%
2
2
1
0
1
4
2
0
2-4
50%
7-10
70%
0-0
-
G-F · 6'7" 215 · 26
15.9
2
25%
3
0
2
0
0
4
1
2
0-0
-
1-2
50%
0-2
0%
G · 6'3" 175 · 24
12.5
5
63%
1
1
0
0
1
1
0
1
0-0
-
1-2
50%
1-2
50%
C-F · 6'9" 250 · 24
9.3
7
70%
4
0
0
0
0
1
1
3
1-2
50%
3-4
75%
0-0
-
G · 6'3" 195 · 33
8.7
0
0%
2
1
0
0
3
2
0
2
0-0
-
0-0
-
0-0
-
F-C · 6'11" 255 · 32
#9 · C-F · 6'7" 245 · 31
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
#10 · G · 6'0" 175 · 31
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
#3 · F · 6'9" 245 · 31
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
TOTAL
240
86
47%
37
16
7
1
16
0
9
28
20-24
83%
30-59
51%
2-17
12%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.