FinalWin Prob.pScore
543%96
98
1257%98
93
ORTG#PossPace
DET logo DET
106.59289.9
DEN logo DEN
106.98789.0

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

NuggetsPistonsQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Scoring Margin

NuggetsPistonsQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Play-by-Play

Score / WinProb
ClockTeamEventDETDEN
Q4 - 0:00.0DETEnd of 4th Period (11:25 PM EST)98
100%
93
0%
Q4 - 0:03.0DETWallace REBOUND (Off:1 Def:8)95
97.8%
93
2.2%
Q4 - 0:04.0DENMartin REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)95
92.5%
93
7.5%
Q4 - 0:04.0DENMISS Martin Tip Shot95
96.7%
93
3.3%
Q4 - 0:06.0DENMISS Smith Free Throw 3 of 395
93.3%
93
6.7%
Q4 - 0:06.0DENMISS Smith Free Throw 2 of 395
86.3%
93
13.7%
Q4 - 0:06.0DENSmith Free Throw 1 of 3 (13 PTS)95
71.1%
93
28.9%
Q4 - 0:21.0DENIverson REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)95
88.2%
92
11.8%
Q4 - 0:22.0DETMISS Wallace 25' 3PT Jump Shot95
90.9%
92
9.1%
Q4 - 0:41.0DENIverson Free Throw 2 of 2 (28 PTS)95
91.9%
92
8.1%
Q4 - 0:41.0DENMISS Iverson Free Throw 1 of 295
92.7%
91
7.3%
Q4 - 0:45.0DENSmith REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)95
90.4%
91
9.6%
Q4 - 0:46.0DETMISS Prince 21' Jump Shot95
92.1%
91
7.9%
Q4 - 1:10DENIverson 25' 3PT Jump Shot (27 PTS) (Smith 1 AST)95
92.4%
91
7.6%
Q4 - 1:23DETMcDyess Reverse Layup (16 PTS) (Prince 9 AST)95
96.5%
88
3.5%
Q4 - 1:44DENIverson Free Throw 2 of 2 (24 PTS)93
92.8%
88
7.2%
Q4 - 1:44DENIverson Free Throw 1 of 2 (23 PTS)93
93.3%
87
6.7%
Q4 - 1:50DETBillups 26' 3PT Jump Shot (17 PTS)93
95.0%
86
5.0%
Q4 - 2:13DETMcDyess REBOUND (Off:3 Def:10)90
88.6%
86
11.4%
Q4 - 2:15DENMISS Anthony Free Throw 2 of 290
87.7%
86
12.3%
Q4 - 2:15DENAnthony Free Throw 1 of 2 (23 PTS)90
84.0%
86
16.0%
Q4 - 2:36DETMcDyess 20' Jump Shot (14 PTS) (Billups 8 AST)90
86.1%
85
13.9%
Q4 - 2:49DETWallace REBOUND (Off:1 Def:7)88
83.2%
85
16.8%
Q4 - 2:50DETMISS Hamilton 23' Jump Shot88
75.2%
85
24.8%
Q4 - 3:06DETHamilton REBOUND (Off:1 Def:7)88
80.3%
85
19.7%
Q4 - 3:09DENMISS Camby 18' Jump Shot88
77.3%
85
22.7%
Q4 - 3:26DETBillups 17' Jump Shot (14 PTS)88
69.0%
85
31.0%
Q4 - 3:43DENSmith 25' 3PT Jump Shot (12 PTS) (Iverson 7 AST)86
59.1%
85
40.9%
Q4 - 3:54DENCamby REBOUND (Off:4 Def:7)86
75.1%
82
24.9%
Q4 - 3:55DETMISS Wallace 19' Jump Shot86
77.2%
82
22.8%
Q4 - 4:05DETMcDyess REBOUND (Off:3 Def:9)86
81.8%
82
18.2%
Q4 - 4:06DENMISS Camby Layup86
80.0%
82
20.0%
Q4 - 4:22DENCamby REBOUND (Off:4 Def:6)86
75.4%
82
24.6%
Q4 - 4:23DETMISS Wallace 22' Jump Shot86
77.6%
82
22.4%
Q4 - 4:31DETBillups Free Throw Technical (12 PTS)86
82.1%
82
17.9%
Q4 - 4:44DENAnthony Free Throw 2 of 2 (22 PTS)85
75.9%
82
24.1%
Q4 - 4:44DENAnthony Free Throw 1 of 2 (21 PTS)85
77.1%
81
22.9%
Q4 - 4:54DETPistons Turnover: Shot Clock (T#12)85
81.9%
80
18.1%
Q4 - 4:54DETPistons Rebound85
87.1%
80
12.9%
Q4 - 4:54DETMISS Stuckey 5' Running Jump Shot85
83.6%
80
16.4%
Q4 - 5:18DETWallace REBOUND (Off:0 Def:7)85
83.6%
80
16.4%
Q4 - 5:19DENMISS Anthony Driving Layup85
82.2%
80
17.8%
Q4 - 5:36DETPrince 21' Jump Shot (20 PTS) (Hamilton 6 AST)85
78.4%
80
21.6%
Q4 - 5:45DETWallace REBOUND (Off:0 Def:6)83
72.6%
80
27.4%
Q4 - 5:46DENMISS Iverson 25' 3PT Jump Shot83
70.4%
80
29.6%
Q4 - 5:54DENAnthony REBOUND (Off:2 Def:9)83
65.1%
80
34.9%
Q4 - 5:56DETMISS Stuckey 23' Jump Shot83
67.5%
80
32.5%
Q4 - 6:11DENIverson Out of Bounds Lost Ball Turnover (P2.T8)83
70.1%
80
29.9%
Q4 - 6:19DENNUGGETS Rebound83
62.4%
80
37.6%
Q4 - 6:19DETMISS Hamilton 20' Jump Shot83
64.9%
80
35.1%
Q4 - 6:39DENMartin 8' Floating Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Anthony 5 AST)83
70.2%
80
29.8%
Q4 - 6:59DETHamilton 19' Jump Shot (20 PTS)83
75.5%
78
24.5%
Q4 - 7:16DENJump Ball Kleiza vs. McDyess: Tip to Hamilton81
68.2%
78
31.8%
Q4 - 7:17DENKleiza REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)81
61.0%
78
39.0%
Q4 - 7:19DENMISS Martin 15' Jump Shot81
66.1%
78
33.9%
Q4 - 7:38DETHamilton 20' Jump Shot (18 PTS) (Stuckey 3 AST)81
61.1%
78
38.9%
Q4 - 7:55DETWallace REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)79
55.3%
78
44.7%
Q4 - 7:56DENMISS Iverson 25' 3PT Jump Shot79
52.9%
78
47.1%
Q4 - 8:16DETHamilton 17' Jump Shot (16 PTS) (Prince 8 AST)79
47.4%
78
52.6%
Q4 - 8:35DENIverson Free Throw 2 of 2 (22 PTS)77
41.2%
78
58.8%
Q4 - 8:35DENIverson Free Throw 1 of 2 (21 PTS)77
42.3%
77
57.7%
Q4 - 8:39DETSmith STEAL (3 STL)77
47.4%
76
52.6%
Q4 - 8:55DETWallace REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)77
54.0%
76
46.0%
Q4 - 8:57DENMISS Smith 27' 3PT Jump Shot77
52.0%
76
48.0%
Q4 - 9:07DENMartin REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)77
47.0%
76
53.0%
Q4 - 9:08DETMISS Hamilton 21' Jump Shot77
48.9%
76
51.1%
Q4 - 9:15DETPistons Rebound77
53.3%
76
46.7%
Q4 - 9:15DETMartin BLOCK (1 BLK)77
48.9%
76
51.1%
Q4 - 9:18DETHamilton REBOUND (Off:1 Def:6)77
53.3%
76
46.7%
Q4 - 9:19DENMISS Anthony 20' Jump Shot77
51.4%
76
48.6%
Q4 - 9:48DETHamilton Free Throw 2 of 2 (14 PTS)77
47.0%
76
53.0%
Q4 - 9:48DETHamilton Free Throw 1 of 2 (13 PTS)76
46.3%
76
53.7%
Q4 - 10:09DENSmith 27' 3PT Jump Shot (9 PTS) (Anthony 4 AST)75
41.4%
76
58.6%
Q4 - 10:35DETStuckey 18' Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Hayes 1 AST)75
52.3%
73
47.7%
Q4 - 11:01DETWallace REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)73
46.6%
73
53.4%
Q4 - 11:02DENMISS Smith 30' 3PT Jump Shot73
44.9%
73
55.1%
Q4 - 11:18DENNajera REBOUND (Off:2 Def:6)73
41.0%
73
59.0%
Q4 - 11:20DETMISS Wallace 8' Turnaround Jump Shot73
42.7%
73
57.3%
Q4 - 11:39DETStuckey REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)73
46.6%
73
53.4%
Q4 - 11:41DENMISS Iverson 24' 3PT Jump Shot73
44.9%
73
55.1%
Q3 - 0:00.0DENEnd of 3rd Period (10:46 PM EST)73
41.0%
73
59.0%
Q3 - 0:00.0DENNUGGETS Rebound73
41.0%
73
59.0%
Q3 - 0:00.0DENMISS Smith 50' 3PT Running Jump Shot73
44.9%
73
55.1%
Q3 - 0:00.0DETSmith STEAL (2 STL)73
41.0%
73
59.0%
Q3 - 0:05.0DENIverson Free Throw 2 of 2 (20 PTS)73
46.4%
73
53.6%
Q3 - 0:05.0DENIverson Free Throw 1 of 2 (19 PTS)73
47.2%
72
52.8%
Q3 - 0:23.0DENAnthony REBOUND (Off:2 Def:8)73
51.5%
71
48.5%
Q3 - 0:24.0DETMISS Prince 19' Jump Shot73
53.1%
71
46.9%
Q3 - 0:31.0DETBillups REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)73
56.6%
71
43.4%
Q3 - 0:33.0DENMISS Anthony 3PT Jump Shot73
55.1%
71
44.9%
Q3 - 0:44.0DETWallace 14' Jump Shot (10 PTS) (Prince 7 AST)73
51.5%
71
48.5%
Q3 - 1:05DENAnthony Alley Oop Dunk (20 PTS) (Camby 3 AST)71
46.2%
71
53.8%
Q3 - 1:07DENCamby REBOUND (Off:4 Def:5)71
50.9%
69
49.1%
Q3 - 1:08DENMISS Najera 20' Jump Shot71
54.4%
69
45.6%
Q3 - 1:23DETMaxiell 16' Jump Shot (4 PTS)71
50.9%
69
49.1%
Q3 - 1:38DETPistons Rebound69
46.2%
69
53.8%
Q3 - 1:39DETMISS Billups 25' 3PT Jump Shot69
42.8%
69
57.2%
Q3 - 1:58DENIverson 13' Jump Shot (18 PTS) (Najera 1 AST)69
46.2%
69
53.8%
Q3 - 2:15DETPrince Free Throw 2 of 2 (18 PTS)69
49.9%
67
50.1%
Q3 - 2:15DETPrince Free Throw 1 of 2 (17 PTS)68
49.0%
67
51.0%
Q3 - 2:22DETPistons Rebound67
45.7%
67
54.3%
Q3 - 2:22DETCamby BLOCK (2 BLK)67
42.2%
67
57.8%
Q3 - 2:32DETBillups Free Throw Technical (11 PTS)67
45.7%
67
54.3%
Q3 - 2:34DENKleiza 8' Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Iverson 6 AST)66
41.1%
67
58.9%
Q3 - 2:45DETHamilton 19' Jump Shot (12 PTS) (Billups 7 AST)66
45.3%
65
54.7%
Q3 - 2:51DENIverson Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T6)64
41.1%
65
58.9%
Q3 - 2:59DETHamilton Foul Turnover (P1.T9)64
36.3%
65
63.7%
Q3 - 3:04DETMcDyess REBOUND (Off:3 Def:8)64
41.3%
65
58.7%
Q3 - 3:06DENMISS Anthony 3PT Jump Shot64
39.9%
65
60.1%
Q3 - 3:20DETHamilton 19' Jump Shot (10 PTS) (Prince 6 AST)64
36.7%
65
63.3%
Q3 - 3:24DETAnthony BLOCK (2 BLK)62
30.0%
65
70.0%
Q3 - 3:24DETPistons Rebound62
32.9%
65
67.1%
Q3 - 3:24DETMaxiell REBOUND (Off:3 Def:0)62
32.9%
65
67.1%
Q3 - 3:25DETMISS McDyess 18' Jump Shot62
30.0%
65
70.0%
Q3 - 3:50DENKleiza 7' Running Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Iverson 5 AST)62
32.9%
65
67.1%
Q3 - 3:56DENCamby REBOUND (Off:3 Def:5)62
36.7%
63
63.3%
Q3 - 3:58DETMISS Maxiell Layup62
38.0%
63
62.0%
Q3 - 4:20DENKleiza 9' Running Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Iverson 4 AST)62
41.2%
63
58.8%
Q3 - 4:30DENCamby REBOUND (Off:3 Def:4)62
44.8%
61
55.2%
Q3 - 4:33DETMISS Maxiell Free Throw 2 of 262
45.5%
61
54.5%
Q3 - 4:33DETMISS Maxiell Free Throw 1 of 262
47.7%
61
52.3%
Q3 - 4:52DENIverson Free Throw 1 of 1 (16 PTS)62
49.8%
61
50.2%
Q3 - 4:58DENKleiza REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)62
57.8%
58
42.2%
Q3 - 4:59DETMISS Billups 25' 3PT Jump Shot62
59.3%
58
40.7%
Q3 - 5:06DETMcDyess REBOUND (Off:3 Def:7)62
61.6%
58
38.4%
Q3 - 5:07DENMISS Anthony 16' Turnaround Jump Shot62
60.3%
58
39.7%
Q3 - 5:26DETMcDyess 18' Jump Shot (12 PTS) (Billups 6 AST)62
57.3%
58
42.7%
Q3 - 5:37DETHamilton REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)60
53.5%
58
46.5%
Q3 - 5:38DENMISS Kleiza Free Throw 2 of 260
52.9%
58
47.1%
Q3 - 5:38DENMISS Kleiza Free Throw 1 of 260
50.1%
58
49.9%
Q3 - 5:54DETPrince 18' Jump Shot (16 PTS) (Hamilton 5 AST)60
49.0%
58
51.0%
Q3 - 6:02DETHamilton REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)58
44.9%
58
55.1%
Q3 - 6:03DENMISS Kleiza 24' 3PT Jump Shot58
43.6%
58
56.4%
Q3 - 6:18DETBillups 25' 3PT Jump Shot (10 PTS) (Prince 5 AST)58
40.7%
58
59.3%
Q3 - 6:23DENCamby Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T5)55
33.5%
58
66.5%
Q3 - 6:26DETAnthony STEAL (1 STL)55
29.8%
58
70.2%
Q3 - 6:49DENMartin 17' Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Camby 2 AST)55
33.5%
58
66.5%
Q3 - 7:03DENNUGGETS Rebound55
36.6%
56
63.4%
Q3 - 7:04DETMISS Hamilton 24' 3PT Jump Shot55
37.8%
56
62.2%
Q3 - 7:26DENAnthony Free Throw 1 of 1 (18 PTS)55
40.8%
56
59.2%
Q3 - 7:30DENAnthony REBOUND (Off:2 Def:7)55
47.9%
53
52.1%
Q3 - 7:30DENAnthony REBOUND (Off:1 Def:7)55
47.9%
53
52.1%
Q3 - 7:30DENMISS Anthony Layup55
51.0%
53
49.0%
Q3 - 7:30DENMISS Iverson 11' Jump Shot55
51.0%
53
49.0%
Q3 - 7:35DENNUGGETS Rebound55
47.9%
53
52.1%
Q3 - 7:37DENMISS Anthony 17' Fadeaway Jumper55
51.0%
53
49.0%
Q3 - 7:52DENCarter REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)55
47.9%
53
52.1%
Q3 - 7:53DETMISS Hamilton 16' Jump Shot55
49.3%
53
50.7%
Q3 - 8:19DENCarter 21' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Anthony 3 AST)55
52.2%
53
47.8%
Q3 - 8:42DETBillups Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T7)55
55.4%
51
44.6%
Q3 - 8:46DETPrince REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)55
59.6%
51
40.4%
Q3 - 8:48DENMISS Carter 5' Jump Shot55
58.4%
51
41.6%
Q3 - 8:55DENCamby REBOUND (Off:3 Def:3)55
55.4%
51
44.6%
Q3 - 8:56DETMISS Billups 16' Jump Shot55
56.7%
51
43.3%
Q3 - 9:10DETPistons Rebound55
58.5%
51
41.5%
Q3 - 9:11DENMISS Iverson Driving Layup55
57.4%
51
42.6%
Q3 - 9:22DETIverson STEAL (3 STL)55
54.9%
51
45.1%
Q3 - 9:25DETPrince REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)55
58.6%
51
41.4%
Q3 - 9:27DETMISS Wallace 25' 3PT Jump Shot55
56.0%
51
44.0%
Q3 - 9:33DETMcDyess REBOUND (Off:3 Def:6)55
58.6%
51
41.4%
Q3 - 9:34DETMISS Prince 17' Jump Shot55
56.0%
51
44.0%
Q3 - 9:59DETMcDyess REBOUND (Off:2 Def:6)55
58.7%
51
41.3%
Q3 - 10:00DENMISS Carter 17' Jump Shot55
57.5%
51
42.5%
Q3 - 10:21DETMcDyess Layup (10 PTS) (Hamilton 4 AST)55
54.2%
51
45.8%
Q3 - 10:27DETHamilton REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)53
51.1%
51
48.9%
Q3 - 10:28DENMISS Anthony 15' Turnaround Jump Shot53
49.9%
51
50.1%
Q3 - 10:44DETPrince Free Throw 2 of 2 (14 PTS)53
47.1%
51
52.9%
Q3 - 10:44DETPrince Free Throw 1 of 2 (13 PTS)52
46.5%
51
53.5%
Q3 - 10:59DENIverson 8' Fadeaway Jumper (13 PTS) (Carter 4 AST)51
44.0%
51
56.0%
Q3 - 11:08DETIverson STEAL (2 STL)51
47.1%
49
52.9%
Q3 - 11:09DETPrince REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)51
50.6%
49
49.4%
Q3 - 11:11DENMISS Anthony Driving Layup51
49.6%
49
50.4%
Q3 - 11:20DENNUGGETS Rebound51
47.1%
49
52.9%
Q3 - 11:20DENCamby REBOUND (Off:3 Def:2)51
47.1%
49
52.9%
Q3 - 11:20DENMISS Camby Tip Shot51
49.6%
49
50.4%
Q3 - 11:21DENMISS Martin 8' Jump Hook Shot51
49.6%
49
50.4%
Q3 - 11:42DETMcDyess Layup (8 PTS) (Prince 4 AST)51
47.1%
49
52.9%
Q2 - 0:00.0DETEnd of 2nd Period (10:03 PM EST)49
43.8%
49
56.2%
Q2 - 0:00.0DETPistons Rebound49
43.8%
49
56.2%
Q2 - 0:00.0DETMISS Billups 30' 3PT Running Jump Shot49
41.3%
49
58.7%
Q2 - 0:03.0DETMcDyess REBOUND (Off:2 Def:5)49
43.2%
49
56.8%
Q2 - 0:04.0DENMISS Smith 25' 3PT Jump Shot49
42.5%
49
57.5%
Q2 - 0:28.0DENAnthony REBOUND (Off:0 Def:7)49
40.9%
49
59.1%
Q2 - 0:29.0DETMISS Billups 25' 3PT Jump Shot49
41.6%
49
58.4%
Q2 - 0:38.0DENAnthony 17' Jump Shot (15 PTS)49
43.3%
49
56.7%
Q2 - 0:54.0DETBillups Free Throw 2 of 2 (7 PTS)49
47.5%
47
52.5%
Q2 - 0:54.0DETBillups Free Throw 1 of 2 (6 PTS)48
47.1%
47
52.9%
Q2 - 1:04DENAnthony Free Throw 2 of 2 (13 PTS)47
42.9%
47
57.1%
Q2 - 1:04DENAnthony Free Throw 1 of 2 (12 PTS)47
43.5%
46
56.5%
Q2 - 1:22DETMcDyess REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)47
47.7%
45
52.3%
Q2 - 1:22DETMcDyess Putback Layup (6 PTS)47
47.7%
45
52.3%
Q2 - 1:24DETMISS Hamilton 19' Jump Shot45
41.8%
45
58.2%
Q2 - 1:29DETPrince REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)45
42.9%
45
57.1%
Q2 - 1:30DETMISS Prince 19' Jump Shot45
41.8%
45
58.2%
Q2 - 1:39DETMcDyess REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)45
42.9%
45
57.1%
Q2 - 1:41DENMISS Smith Reverse Layup45
42.4%
45
57.6%
Q2 - 2:00DETHamilton Free Throw 2 of 2 (8 PTS)45
41.3%
45
58.7%
Q2 - 2:00DETHamilton Free Throw 1 of 2 (7 PTS)44
40.9%
45
59.1%
Q2 - 2:22DENKleiza Driving Layup (2 PTS) (Martin 3 AST)43
37.4%
45
62.6%
Q2 - 2:37DENCamby REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)43
40.7%
43
59.3%
Q2 - 2:39DETCamby BLOCK (1 BLK)43
41.5%
43
58.5%
Q2 - 3:01DENNajera 26' 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Martin 2 AST)43
43.5%
43
56.5%
Q2 - 3:04DENMartin REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)43
49.1%
40
50.9%
Q2 - 3:06DENMISS Iverson 13' Fadeaway Jumper43
51.4%
40
48.6%
Q2 - 3:16DENNajera REBOUND (Off:2 Def:5)43
49.1%
40
50.9%
Q2 - 3:17DETMISS Stuckey 11' Turnaround Jump Shot43
50.1%
40
49.9%
Q2 - 3:26DETStuckey REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)43
52.5%
40
47.5%
Q2 - 3:27DENMISS Kleiza 24' 3PT Jump Shot43
51.5%
40
48.5%
Q2 - 3:37DENNajera REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)43
49.1%
40
50.9%
Q2 - 3:38DETMISS Wallace 29' 3PT Jump Shot43
50.2%
40
49.8%
Q2 - 3:49DETAfflalo REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)43
52.5%
40
47.5%
Q2 - 3:53DENMISS Iverson 26' 3PT Jump Shot43
51.5%
40
48.5%
Q2 - 4:22DETJohnson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)43
48.9%
40
51.1%
Q2 - 4:22DETJohnson Tip Shot (2 PTS)43
48.9%
40
51.1%
Q2 - 4:25DETMISS Afflalo 17' Jump Shot41
44.0%
40
56.0%
Q2 - 4:40DETJohnson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)41
46.0%
40
54.0%
Q2 - 4:43DENMISS Anthony 21' Jump Shot41
45.1%
40
54.9%
Q2 - 4:51DENAnthony REBOUND (Off:0 Def:6)41
43.2%
40
56.8%
Q2 - 4:52DETMISS Stuckey 7' Running Jump Shot41
44.0%
40
56.0%
Q2 - 5:05DENNajera REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)41
46.0%
40
54.0%
Q2 - 5:05DENNajera Layup (2 PTS)41
46.0%
40
54.0%
Q2 - 5:07DENMISS Martin 7' Jump Shot41
50.7%
38
49.3%
Q2 - 5:23DETStuckey 19' Jump Shot (4 PTS)41
48.6%
38
51.4%
Q2 - 5:30DETHayes REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)39
46.0%
38
54.0%
Q2 - 5:32DENMISS Najera 25' 3PT Jump Shot39
45.1%
38
54.9%
Q2 - 5:42DETStuckey Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)39
43.0%
38
57.0%
Q2 - 5:42DETStuckey Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)38
42.4%
38
57.6%
Q2 - 5:51DENSmith Driving Layup (6 PTS)37
40.4%
38
59.6%
Q2 - 5:56DETSmith STEAL (1 STL)37
43.0%
36
57.0%
Q2 - 6:04DENSmith Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T4)37
46.0%
36
54.0%
Q2 - 6:15DENNajera REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)37
42.8%
36
57.2%
Q2 - 6:16DETMISS Hayes 25' 3PT Jump Shot37
43.8%
36
56.2%
Q2 - 6:36DENSmith Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)37
46.1%
36
53.9%
Q2 - 6:36DENMISS Smith Free Throw 1 of 237
46.5%
35
53.5%
Q2 - 6:53DENMartin REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)37
45.5%
35
54.5%
Q2 - 6:55DETMISS Wallace 16' Turnaround Jump Shot37
46.5%
35
53.5%
Q2 - 7:17DETAfflalo REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)37
48.4%
35
51.6%
Q2 - 7:18DENSmith REBOUND (Off:2 Def:0)37
45.6%
35
54.4%
Q2 - 7:18DENMISS Smith Tip Shot37
47.5%
35
52.5%
Q2 - 7:19DENMISS Najera 7' Fadeaway Jumper37
47.5%
35
52.5%
Q2 - 7:20DENSmith REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)37
45.6%
35
54.4%
Q2 - 7:20DENNajera REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)37
45.6%
35
54.4%
Q2 - 7:20DENMISS Smith Tip Shot37
47.5%
35
52.5%
Q2 - 7:21DENKleiza REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)37
45.6%
35
54.4%
Q2 - 7:21DENMISS Kleiza Putback Dunk37
47.5%
35
52.5%
Q2 - 7:22DENMISS Smith 3PT Jump Shot37
47.5%
35
52.5%
Q2 - 7:28DETIverson STEAL (1 STL)37
45.6%
35
54.4%
Q2 - 7:52DETWallace REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)37
48.4%
35
51.6%
Q2 - 7:54DENMISS Smith 26' 3PT Jump Shot37
47.5%
35
52.5%
Q2 - 8:08DETWallace 26' 3PT Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Stuckey 2 AST)37
45.2%
35
54.8%
Q2 - 8:25DENKleiza Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T3)34
40.5%
35
59.5%
Q2 - 8:42DETHamilton 12' Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Stuckey 1 AST)34
37.7%
35
62.3%
Q2 - 9:03DENIverson 21' Jump Shot (11 PTS)32
35.6%
35
64.4%
Q2 - 9:13DENCamby REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)32
37.7%
33
62.3%
Q2 - 9:15DENMISS Smith 25' 3PT Jump Shot32
39.6%
33
60.4%
Q2 - 9:25DENNajera REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)32
37.7%
33
62.3%
Q2 - 9:27DETMISS Wallace 13' Turnaround Jump Shot32
38.5%
33
61.5%
Q2 - 9:44DENIverson Free Throw 2 of 2 (9 PTS)32
40.4%
33
59.6%
Q2 - 9:44DENIverson Free Throw 1 of 2 (8 PTS)32
40.8%
32
59.2%
Q2 - 9:50DENNajera REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)32
42.5%
31
57.5%
Q2 - 9:52DETMISS Hayes 3PT Jump Shot32
43.4%
31
56.6%
Q2 - 9:59DETHamilton REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)32
45.3%
31
54.7%
Q2 - 10:00DENMISS Camby 19' Jump Shot32
44.5%
31
55.5%
Q2 - 10:18DENNUGGETS Rebound32
42.5%
31
57.5%
Q2 - 10:18DETMISS Maxiell 8' Jump Hook Shot32
43.3%
31
56.7%
Q2 - 10:35DETMaxiell REBOUND (Off:2 Def:0)32
45.2%
31
54.8%
Q2 - 10:36DETMISS Prince 21' Jump Shot32
43.3%
31
56.7%
Q2 - 11:04DENSmith 25' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Iverson 3 AST)32
44.7%
31
55.3%
Q2 - 11:11DETHamilton 18' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Prince 3 AST)32
49.5%
28
50.5%
Q2 - 11:17DETPrince REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)30
47.1%
28
52.9%
Q2 - 11:19DENMISS Anthony Driving Layup30
46.4%
28
53.6%
Q2 - 11:36DENAnthony REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)30
44.7%
28
55.3%
Q2 - 11:37DETMISS McDyess 16' Jump Shot30
45.4%
28
54.6%
Q1 - 0:00.0DENEnd of 1st Period (9:33 PM EST)30
47.1%
28
52.9%
Q1 - 0:00.0DETPrince 14' Jump Shot (12 PTS)30
44.7%
28
55.3%
Q1 - 0:04.0DETPrince REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)28
41.8%
28
58.2%
Q1 - 0:06.0DENMISS Iverson Driving Finger Roll Layup28
41.3%
28
58.7%
Q1 - 0:27.0DETMcDyess Reverse Layup (4 PTS) (Prince 2 AST)28
40.1%
28
59.9%
Q1 - 0:34.0DENMartin 4' Jump Hook Shot (4 PTS) (Iverson 2 AST)26
37.3%
28
62.7%
Q1 - 0:43.0DENCarter REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)26
40.1%
26
59.9%
Q1 - 0:44.0DENMISS Iverson 18' Jump Shot26
41.3%
26
58.7%
Q1 - 0:49.0DENNUGGETS Rebound26
40.1%
26
59.9%
Q1 - 0:49.0DENMISS Camby Driving Layup26
41.3%
26
58.7%
Q1 - 1:02DENAnthony REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)26
40.1%
26
59.9%
Q1 - 1:04DETMISS Billups 25' 3PT Jump Shot26
40.7%
26
59.3%
Q1 - 1:14DETMcDyess REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)26
41.9%
26
58.1%
Q1 - 1:15DENMISS Carter 22' Jump Shot26
41.3%
26
58.7%
Q1 - 1:29DENCamby REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)26
40.1%
26
59.9%
Q1 - 1:31DENMISS Iverson Driving Finger Roll Layup26
41.3%
26
58.7%
Q1 - 1:42DETPrince Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T2)26
40.1%
26
59.9%
Q1 - 1:59DENMartin Reverse Dunk (2 PTS) (Carter 3 AST)26
41.9%
26
58.1%
Q1 - 2:13DETPrince 22' Jump Shot (10 PTS) (Billups 5 AST)26
44.6%
24
55.4%
Q1 - 2:30DENAnthony Driving Finger Roll Layup (11 PTS)24
42.2%
24
57.8%
Q1 - 2:45DETMaxiell Layup (2 PTS)24
44.6%
22
55.4%
Q1 - 2:46DETMaxiell REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)22
42.2%
22
57.8%
Q1 - 2:47DETMISS Prince 25' 3PT Jump Shot22
40.7%
22
59.3%
Q1 - 3:11DETPistons Rebound22
42.2%
22
57.8%
Q1 - 3:11DENMISS Camby 21' Jump Shot22
41.4%
22
58.6%
Q1 - 3:20DENIverson REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)22
39.7%
22
60.3%
Q1 - 3:21DETMISS Maxiell 12' Jump Shot22
40.5%
22
59.5%
Q1 - 3:35DENCamby Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)22
42.2%
22
57.8%
Q1 - 3:35DENCamby Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)22
42.7%
21
57.3%
Q1 - 3:48DENNUGGETS Rebound22
44.2%
20
55.8%
Q1 - 3:50DETMISS McDyess 20' Jump Shot22
44.9%
20
55.1%
Q1 - 3:54DETPistons Rebound22
46.7%
20
53.3%
Q1 - 3:55DETMISS Hamilton 16' Jump Shot22
44.9%
20
55.1%
Q1 - 3:57DETHamilton REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)22
46.7%
20
53.3%
Q1 - 3:59DETMISS Hamilton 9' Jump Shot22
44.9%
20
55.1%
Q1 - 4:19DENIverson Free Throw 2 of 2 (7 PTS)22
46.5%
20
53.5%
Q1 - 4:19DENIverson Free Throw 1 of 2 (6 PTS)22
46.8%
19
53.2%
Q1 - 4:21DENIverson REBOUND (Off:2 Def:0)22
48.2%
18
51.8%
Q1 - 4:23DENMISS Iverson Driving Finger Roll Layup22
50.1%
18
49.9%
Q1 - 4:27DENAnthony REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)22
48.2%
18
51.8%
Q1 - 4:28DETMISS Hamilton 24' 3PT Jump Shot22
49.0%
18
51.0%
Q1 - 4:45DENAnthony 11' Turnaround Jump Shot (9 PTS) (Camby 1 AST)22
50.9%
18
49.1%
Q1 - 4:59DETPrince 19' Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Billups 4 AST)22
52.6%
16
47.4%
Q1 - 5:17DENIverson 26' 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Carter 2 AST)20
50.1%
16
49.9%
Q1 - 5:30DETHamilton 16' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (McDyess 2 AST)20
54.1%
13
45.9%
Q1 - 5:38DENCamby Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T2)18
52.2%
13
47.8%
Q1 - 5:52DETBillups 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Hamilton 3 AST)18
49.9%
13
50.1%
Q1 - 6:14DENCarter 13' Turnaround Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Anthony 2 AST)15
45.4%
13
54.6%
Q1 - 6:22DENAnthony REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)15
47.3%
11
52.7%
Q1 - 6:25DETMISS McDyess 16' Turnaround Jump Shot15
48.0%
11
52.0%
Q1 - 6:43DENAnthony 25' 3PT Jump Shot (7 PTS) (Iverson 1 AST)15
49.5%
11
50.5%
Q1 - 6:59DETWallace 9' Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Billups 3 AST)15
53.4%
8
46.6%
Q1 - 7:05DETMcDyess REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)13
50.7%
8
49.3%
Q1 - 7:08DENMISS Camby 15' Jump Shot13
50.1%
8
49.9%
Q1 - 7:31DETPrince Finger Roll Layup (6 PTS) (Billups 2 AST)13
48.7%
8
51.3%
Q1 - 7:34DENAnthony Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T1)11
47.0%
8
53.0%
Q1 - 7:53DETPrince 18' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Hamilton 2 AST)11
44.9%
8
55.1%
Q1 - 8:13DETPistons Rebound9
43.3%
8
56.7%
Q1 - 8:14DENMISS Martin 19' Jump Shot9
42.7%
8
57.3%
Q1 - 8:37DETWallace 26' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (McDyess 1 AST)9
41.3%
8
58.7%
Q1 - 9:00DENAnthony 19' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Carter 1 AST)6
37.9%
8
62.1%
Q1 - 9:08DETMcDyess Reverse Layup (2 PTS) (Hamilton 1 AST)6
39.1%
6
60.9%
Q1 - 9:29DENIverson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)4
37.8%
6
62.2%
Q1 - 9:29DENIverson Putback Layup (2 PTS)4
37.8%
6
62.2%
Q1 - 9:31DENMISS Anthony Finger Roll Layup4
40.7%
4
59.3%
Q1 - 9:38DETPrince Dunk (2 PTS) (Billups 1 AST)4
39.1%
4
60.9%
Q1 - 9:46DETWallace REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)2
37.8%
4
62.2%
Q1 - 9:48DENMISS Carter 24' 3PT Jump Shot2
37.1%
4
62.9%
Q1 - 10:02DETMcDyess Out of Bounds Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T1)2
35.7%
4
64.3%
Q1 - 10:02DETMcDyess REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)2
37.6%
4
62.4%
Q1 - 10:02DETAnthony BLOCK (1 BLK)2
36.3%
4
63.7%
Q1 - 10:15DENAnthony Alley Oop Layup (2 PTS) (Martin 1 AST)2
37.6%
4
62.4%
Q1 - 10:21DETBillups 10' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Prince 1 AST)2
39.2%
2
60.8%
Q1 - 10:41DENCamby 20' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Anthony 1 AST)0
37.6%
2
62.4%
Q1 - 10:51DENAnthony REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)0
39.1%
0
60.9%
Q1 - 10:52DETCarter BLOCK (1 BLK)0
39.8%
0
60.2%
Q1 - 11:07DETMcDyess REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)0
41.0%
0
59.0%
Q1 - 11:09DENMISS Iverson 6' Running Jump Shot0
40.5%
0
59.5%
Q1 - 11:23DENCamby REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)0
39.3%
0
60.7%
Q1 - 11:25DETMISS Prince 15' Turnaround Jump Shot0
39.8%
0
60.2%
Q1 - 11:42DETHamilton REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)0
41.0%
0
59.0%
Q1 - 11:44DENMISS Martin 9' Running Hook Shot0
40.5%
0
59.5%
Q1 - 12:00DENJump Ball Camby vs. Wallace: Tip to Martin0
39.3%
0
60.7%

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

DET
0.98 49.0%
DEN
0.89 44.7%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)
DET
10
17
59%
DEN
10
28
36%
Midrange
DET
23
53
43%
DEN
15
37
41%
3PT | Effective 3PT
DET
5
7.5
18
28%
42%
DEN
7
10.5
24
29%
44%
Free Throws
DET
17
19
89%
DEN
22
29
76%
Makes
Effective 3P Makes
%
Efficiency
Misses
Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|
DET logo Pistons
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
R. Hamilton2048%10.0 / 21
T. Prince2059%10.0 / 17
C. Billups2067%10.0 / 15
A. McDyess1662%8.0 / 13
R. Wallace1042%5.0 / 12
R. Stuckey643%3.0 / 7
J. Maxiell429%2.0 / 7
A. Johnson2100%1.0 / 1
J. Hayes0-0.0 / 3
A. Afflalo0-0.0 / 1
TS Makes
TS Misses

Total Points

|
DEN logo Nuggets
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
A. Iverson2856%14.0 / 25
C. Anthony2350%11.5 / 23
J. Smith1341%6.5 / 16
K. Martin840%4.0 / 10
L. Kleiza850%4.0 / 8
E. Najera550%2.5 / 5
M. Camby422%2.0 / 9
A. Carter433%2.0 / 6
TS Makes
TS Misses

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

DET
81
+18
-11
99
DEN
79
+21
-8
100
Base
ORB
TOV

Scoring Efficiency

DET
0.98 49.0%
DEN
0.89 44.7%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Efficiency & PaceThis Game
Efficiency
110.3
110.4
DET 106.5
DEN 106.9 +0.4
Pace
88.2
99.4
DET 89.9 +0.9
DEN 89.0
Avg. Poss. Time
16.9
13.9
DET 16.0 +0.2
DEN 16.2
Four FactorsThis Game
EFG %
49.5%
51.0%
DET 46.0% +6.1%
DEN 39.9%
TO %
12.6%
14.4%
DET 11.1%
DEN 7.3% +3.8%
ORB %
29.4%
25.6%
DET 27.5%
DEN 32.1% +4.6%
FTrt
30.0
35.8
DET 21.6
DEN 32.6 +11.0
Misc. StatsThis Game
AST %
61.1%
61.2%
DET 76.3%
DEN 78.1% +1.8%
STL %
8.1%
9.1%
DET 7.6%
DEN 8.0% +0.4%
BLK %
9.4%
9.9%
DET 4.6%
DEN 8.6% +4.0%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.2 and 2.2.

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Shooting EfficiencyThis Game
TS%
52.4%
54.4%
DET 49.0% +4.3%
DEN 44.7%
Rim FG%
60.1%
60.7%
DET 58.8% +23.1%
DEN 35.7%
Mid FG%
41.7%
40.4%
DET 43.4% +2.9%
DEN 40.5%
3P %
36.6%
35.5%
DET 27.8%
DEN 29.2% +1.4%
FT %
76.7%
75.1%
DET 89.5% +13.6%
DEN 75.9%
Shot DistributionThis Game
Rim Att. %
27.8%
38.1%
DET 19.3%
DEN 31.5% +12.1%
Mid Att. %
51.9%
39.1%
DET 60.2%
DEN 41.6% +18.7%
3P Att. %
20.3%
22.8%
DET 20.5%
DEN 27.0% +6.5%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.
Game TotalsDETDEN
Possessions9287
Possession Minutes24.623.4
Points9893
Rebounds4746
Assists2925
Steals77
Blocks36
Turnovers (Team)11 (1)8 (0)
Fouls
Off. Rebounds (Team)11 (7)17 (4)
Def. Rebounds (Team)36 (3)29 (4)
Field Goals38-8832-89
At-the-Rim FG10-1710-28
Midrange FG23-5315-37
2-Point FG33-7025-65
3-Point FG5-187-24
Free Throws17-1922-29
Fast Break Pts
2nd Chance Pts
Points in Paint
Pts off Turnovers
Bench Points
Biggest Lead

BOXSCORE

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PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
G · 6'7" 193 · 30
41.3
20
48%
8
6
1
0
1
4
1
7
4-4
100%
8-17
47%
0-2
0%
F · 6'9" 212 · 28
37.8
20
59%
6
9
1
0
3
1
2
4
4-4
100%
8-14
57%
0-1
0%
C · 6'11" 230 · 33
35.8
10
42%
9
0
1
1
1
3
1
8
0-0
-
2-7
29%
2-5
40%
F · 6'9" 245 · 33
35.6
16
62%
13
2
1
1
2
4
3
10
0-0
-
8-13
62%
0-0
-
G · 6'3" 210 · 31
33.6
20
67%
1
8
2
0
2
3
0
1
7-7
100%
2-4
50%
3-8
38%
F · 6'7" 260 · 25
16.7
4
29%
3
0
0
1
0
1
3
0
0-2
0%
2-6
33%
0-0
-
G · 6'5" 205 · 22
14.4
6
43%
2
3
0
0
2
1
0
2
2-2
100%
2-6
33%
0-0
-
F · 6'8" 228 · 27
10.3
0
0%
1
1
1
0
0
4
0
1
0-0
-
0-1
0%
0-2
0%
C-F · 6'9" 240 · 21
7.9
2
100%
2
0
0
0
0
3
1
1
0-0
-
1-1
100%
0-0
-
G · 6'5" 210 · 22
6.7
0
0%
2
0
0
0
0
1
0
2
0-0
-
0-1
0%
0-0
-
F · 6'9" 225 · 29
G · 6'3" 165 · 29
#35 · C · 7'1" 245 · 23
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
#10 · G · 6'2" 195 · 37
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
TOTAL
240
98
49%
47
29
7
3
11
0
11
36
17-19
89%
33-70
47%
5-18
28%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.