FinalWin Prob.pScore
2118%86
74
282%97
89
ORTG#PossPace
ATL logo ATL
82.29098.7
SAS logo SAS
98.99086.0

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

SpursHawksQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Scoring Margin

SpursHawksQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Play-by-Play

Score / WinProb
ClockTeamEventATLSAS
Q4 - 0:00.0SAS74
0%
89
100%
Q4 - 0:09.0SASThomas REBOUND (Off:3 Def:6)74
0%
89
100%
Q4 - 0:11.0ATLMISS Stoudamire Free Throw 2 of 274
0%
89
100%
Q4 - 0:11.0ATLStoudamire Free Throw 1 of 2 (9 PTS)74
0%
89
100%
Q4 - 0:15.0SASBonner 15' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Udoka 3 AST)73
0%
89
100%
Q4 - 0:26.0ATLStoudamire Free Throw 2 of 2 (8 PTS)73
0.1%
87
99.9%
Q4 - 0:26.0ATLStoudamire Free Throw 1 of 2 (7 PTS)72
0.1%
87
99.9%
Q4 - 0:32.0SASUdoka 26' 3PT Jump Shot (10 PTS) (Bonner 2 AST)71
0.1%
87
99.9%
Q4 - 0:53.0ATLStoudamire 24' 3PT Jump Shot (6 PTS)71
0.1%
84
99.9%
Q4 - 0:59.0SASBonner 17' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Stoudamire 1 AST)68
0.1%
84
99.9%
Q4 - 1:15SASThomas REBOUND (Off:3 Def:5)68
0.1%
82
99.9%
Q4 - 1:15ATLMISS Johnson Free Throw 2 of 268
0.1%
82
99.9%
Q4 - 1:15ATLJohnson Free Throw 1 of 2 (17 PTS)68
0.1%
82
99.9%
Q4 - 1:16SASUdoka 21' Jump Shot (7 PTS) (Bonner 1 AST)67
0.1%
82
99.9%
Q4 - 1:30ATLChildress 1' Tip Shot (7 PTS)67
0.1%
80
99.9%
Q4 - 1:31ATLChildress REBOUND (Off:5 Def:1)65
0.1%
80
99.9%
Q4 - 1:31ATLMISS Smith 2' Layup65
0.1%
80
99.9%
Q4 - 1:34ATLSmith REBOUND (Off:2 Def:11)65
0.1%
80
99.9%
Q4 - 1:35ATLMISS Horford 10' Jump Shot65
0.1%
80
99.9%
Q4 - 1:50SASDuncan Free Throw 1 of 1 (23 PTS)65
0.1%
80
99.9%
Q4 - 2:08SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:1 Def:9)65
0.1%
77
99.9%
Q4 - 2:09ATLMISS Bibby 25' 3PT Jump Shot65
0.1%
77
99.9%
Q4 - 2:29SASGinobili 24' 3PT Jump Shot (13 PTS) (Parker 8 AST)65
0.2%
77
99.8%
Q4 - 2:38SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:1 Def:8)65
0.4%
74
99.6%
Q4 - 2:39ATLMISS Bibby 25' 3PT Jump Shot65
0.5%
74
99.5%
Q4 - 2:45ATLHorford REBOUND (Off:6 Def:7)65
0.8%
74
99.2%
Q4 - 2:46SASMISS Duncan 9' Jump Bank Shot65
0.6%
74
99.4%
Q4 - 3:06SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:1 Def:7)65
0.6%
74
99.4%
Q4 - 3:07ATLHorry BLOCK (1 BLK)65
0.7%
74
99.3%
Q4 - 3:24SASDuncan Free Throw 2 of 2 (20 PTS)65
1.0%
74
99.0%
Q4 - 3:24SASDuncan Free Throw 1 of 2 (19 PTS)65
1.2%
73
98.8%
Q4 - 3:41SASHorry REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)65
2.2%
72
97.8%
Q4 - 3:42SASMISS Parker 18' Jump Shot65
2.9%
72
97.1%
Q4 - 3:59ATLPachulia Free Throw 2 of 2 (14 PTS)65
2.2%
72
97.8%
Q4 - 3:59ATLPachulia Free Throw 1 of 2 (13 PTS)64
2.0%
72
98.0%
Q4 - 4:05ATLWilliams REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)63
1.5%
72
98.5%
Q4 - 4:07SASMISS Horry Free Throw 2 of 263
1.4%
72
98.6%
Q4 - 4:07SASMISS Horry Free Throw 1 of 263
1.2%
72
98.8%
Q4 - 4:07SASSPURS Rebound63
1.0%
72
99.0%
Q4 - 4:08SASMISS Bowen 3PT Jump Shot63
1.3%
72
98.7%
Q4 - 4:27ATLSmith Foul Turnover (P8.T23)63
1.0%
72
99.0%
Q4 - 4:31ATLSmith REBOUND (Off:1 Def:11)63
1.5%
72
98.5%
Q4 - 4:32SASMISS Duncan 7' Jump Shot63
1.3%
72
98.7%
Q4 - 4:49SASSPURS Rebound63
1.0%
72
99.0%
Q4 - 4:49ATLParker BLOCK (2 BLK)63
1.1%
72
98.9%
Q4 - 5:02SASDuncan 3' Layup (18 PTS) (Parker 7 AST)63
2.0%
72
98.0%
Q4 - 5:24ATLChildress Free Throw 2 of 2 (5 PTS)63
2.7%
70
97.3%
Q4 - 5:24ATLMISS Childress Free Throw 1 of 262
2.5%
70
97.5%
Q4 - 5:41ATLPachulia REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)62
2.7%
70
97.3%
Q4 - 5:42SASMISS Duncan Free Throw 2 of 262
2.6%
70
97.4%
Q4 - 5:42SASMISS Duncan Free Throw 1 of 262
2.1%
70
97.9%
Q4 - 5:57SASParker REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)62
1.9%
70
98.1%
Q4 - 6:01SASMISS Ginobili 3PT Jump Shot62
2.9%
70
97.1%
Q4 - 6:05SASBowen REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)62
2.3%
70
97.7%
Q4 - 6:07ATLMISS Childress 2' Tip Shot62
2.5%
70
97.5%
Q4 - 6:08ATLChildress REBOUND (Off:4 Def:1)62
3.2%
70
96.8%
Q4 - 6:08ATLMISS Smith 2' Layup62
2.5%
70
97.5%
Q4 - 6:14SASParker Bad Pass Turnover (P3.T16)62
3.2%
70
96.8%
Q4 - 6:24ATLChildress 2' Dunk (4 PTS) (Johnson 5 AST)62
2.3%
70
97.7%
Q4 - 6:46SASStoudamire Traveling Turnover (P1.T15)60
1.8%
70
98.2%
Q4 - 7:03ATLJohnson 20' Jump Shot (16 PTS)60
1.6%
70
98.4%
Q4 - 7:10ATLSmith REBOUND (Off:1 Def:10)58
1.3%
70
98.7%
Q4 - 7:11ATLMISS Pachulia 21' Jump Shot58
1.0%
70
99.0%
Q4 - 7:28SASUdoka 16' Jump Shot (5 PTS)58
1.3%
70
98.7%
Q4 - 7:42ATLJohnson 25' 3PT Jump Shot (14 PTS) (Bibby 5 AST)58
1.6%
68
98.4%
Q4 - 7:59ATLJohnson REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)55
1.0%
68
99.0%
Q4 - 7:59SASMISS Udoka Free Throw 2 of 255
0.9%
68
99.1%
Q4 - 7:59SASUdoka Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)55
0.8%
68
99.2%
Q4 - 8:01ATLUdoka STEAL (1 STL)55
1.2%
67
98.8%
Q4 - 8:17SASStoudamire 25' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Udoka 2 AST)55
1.6%
67
98.4%
Q4 - 8:48ATLPachulia Free Throw 1 of 1 (12 PTS)55
2.6%
64
97.4%
Q4 - 9:02SASFinley 2' Layup (9 PTS) (Udoka 1 AST)52
1.8%
64
98.2%
Q4 - 9:05SASUdoka REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)52
2.3%
62
97.7%
Q4 - 9:06SASMISS Finley 3PT Jump Shot52
2.7%
62
97.3%
Q4 - 9:17SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:1 Def:6)52
2.3%
62
97.7%
Q4 - 9:18ATLMISS Stoudamire 22' Jump Shot52
2.4%
62
97.6%
Q4 - 9:33SASUdoka 22' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Finley 1 AST)52
2.9%
62
97.1%
Q4 - 9:56ATLStoudamire STEAL (1 STL)52
3.6%
60
96.4%
Q4 - 9:57ATLSmith REBOUND (Off:0 Def:10)52
4.6%
60
95.4%
Q4 - 9:58SASMISS Ginobili 20' Jump Bank Shot52
4.2%
60
95.8%
Q4 - 10:12ATLSmith Bad Pass Turnover (P6.T20)52
4.0%
60
96.0%
Q4 - 10:21SASDuncan Free Throw 2 of 2 (16 PTS)52
5.0%
60
95.0%
Q4 - 10:21SASDuncan Free Throw 1 of 2 (15 PTS)52
5.3%
59
94.7%
Q4 - 10:36ATLChildress 2' Layup (2 PTS)52
6.1%
58
93.9%
Q4 - 10:38ATLChildress REBOUND (Off:3 Def:1)50
5.0%
58
95.0%
Q4 - 10:39ATLMISS Smith 4' Jump Shot50
4.2%
58
95.8%
Q4 - 10:48SASGinobili Bad Pass Turnover (P3.T14)50
5.0%
58
95.0%
Q4 - 10:57ATLPachulia 11' Jump Shot (9 PTS) (Johnson 4 AST)50
3.9%
58
96.1%
Q4 - 11:18SASDuncan Bad Pass Turnover (P6.T13)48
3.6%
58
96.4%
Q4 - 11:25SASGinobili REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)48
2.9%
58
97.1%
Q4 - 11:26ATLMISS Johnson 24' 3PT Jump Shot48
3.1%
58
96.9%
Q4 - 11:43ATLSmith REBOUND (Off:0 Def:9)48
3.6%
58
96.4%
Q4 - 11:45SASMISS Duncan Free Throw 2 of 248
3.5%
58
96.5%
Q4 - 11:45SASDuncan Free Throw 1 of 2 (14 PTS)48
3.1%
58
96.9%
Q3 - 0:00.0ATL48
3.5%
57
96.5%
Q3 - 0:00.0ATLHawks Rebound48
4.4%
57
95.6%
Q3 - 0:00.0ATLMISS Johnson 8' Jump Shot48
3.8%
57
96.2%
Q3 - 0:11.0SASFinley 13' Jump Shot (7 PTS) (Ginobili 3 AST)48
4.7%
57
95.3%
Q3 - 0:33.0ATLSmith Free Throw 2 of 2 (6 PTS)48
5.7%
55
94.3%
Q3 - 0:33.0ATLSmith Free Throw 1 of 2 (5 PTS)47
5.4%
55
94.6%
Q3 - 0:38.0ATLPachulia REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)46
4.7%
55
95.3%
Q3 - 0:39.0SASMISS Stoudamire 19' Jump Shot46
4.4%
55
95.6%
Q3 - 0:55.0ATLPachulia Free Throw 2 of 2 (7 PTS)46
3.8%
55
96.2%
Q3 - 0:55.0ATLMISS Pachulia Free Throw 1 of 245
3.7%
55
96.3%
Q3 - 1:12SASParker 2' Driving Layup (15 PTS)45
4.1%
55
95.9%
Q3 - 1:26ATLWilliams 2' Layup (4 PTS) (Bibby 3 AST)45
4.9%
53
95.1%
Q3 - 1:31ATLBibby REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)43
4.1%
53
95.9%
Q3 - 1:33SASMISS Finley 25' 3PT Jump Shot43
3.8%
53
96.2%
Q3 - 1:45ATLJohnson Traveling Turnover (P6.T19)43
3.4%
53
96.6%
Q3 - 1:51ATLHorford REBOUND (Off:6 Def:6)43
4.1%
53
95.9%
Q3 - 1:52ATLMISS Bibby 26' 3PT Jump Shot43
3.6%
53
96.4%
Q3 - 2:12SASParker 4' Floating Jump Shot (13 PTS)43
4.3%
53
95.7%
Q3 - 2:26ATLBibby 1' Tip Shot (2 PTS)43
5.1%
51
94.9%
Q3 - 2:27ATLBibby REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)41
4.3%
51
95.7%
Q3 - 2:28ATLMISS Horford 12' Jump Shot41
3.8%
51
96.2%
Q3 - 2:47ATLBibby REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)41
4.3%
51
95.7%
Q3 - 2:48SASMISS Finley 18' Jump Shot41
4.1%
51
95.9%
Q3 - 3:08SASThomas REBOUND (Off:3 Def:4)41
3.8%
51
96.2%
Q3 - 3:10ATLThomas BLOCK (2 BLK)41
4.0%
51
96.0%
Q3 - 3:17ATLBibby REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)41
4.6%
51
95.4%
Q3 - 3:19SASMISS Bowen 14' Jump Shot41
4.3%
51
95.7%
Q3 - 3:34SASThomas REBOUND (Off:3 Def:3)41
3.8%
51
96.2%
Q3 - 3:35ATLMISS Williams 10' Jump Shot41
4.0%
51
96.0%
Q3 - 4:07SASParker 3' Layup (11 PTS)41
4.7%
51
95.3%
Q3 - 4:11SASHorry REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)41
5.4%
49
94.6%
Q3 - 4:13ATLMISS Johnson 10' Jump Shot41
5.7%
49
94.3%
Q3 - 4:33SASGinobili 24' 3PT Jump Shot (10 PTS)41
6.5%
49
93.5%
Q3 - 4:51SASBowen REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)41
8.8%
46
91.2%
Q3 - 4:52ATLMISS Bibby 3PT Jump Shot41
9.3%
46
90.7%
Q3 - 5:03ATLHorford REBOUND (Off:5 Def:6)41
10.6%
46
89.4%
Q3 - 5:05SASMISS Thomas 2' Tip Shot41
10.1%
46
89.9%
Q3 - 5:05SASThomas REBOUND (Off:3 Def:2)41
9.0%
46
91.0%
Q3 - 5:06SASMISS Parker 4' Driving Layup41
10.1%
46
89.9%
Q3 - 5:16SASHorry REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)41
9.0%
46
91.0%
Q3 - 5:17SASMISS Thomas 16' Jump Shot41
10.1%
46
89.9%
Q3 - 5:27SASParker REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)41
9.0%
46
91.0%
Q3 - 5:28ATLMISS Williams 12' Turnaround Jump Shot41
9.5%
46
90.5%
Q3 - 5:47SASParker 2' Reverse Layup (9 PTS) (Ginobili 2 AST)41
10.6%
46
89.4%
Q3 - 5:55ATLGinobili STEAL (3 STL)41
12.1%
44
87.9%
Q3 - 5:59ATLHorford REBOUND (Off:5 Def:5)41
14.2%
44
85.8%
Q3 - 6:00SASMISS Thomas 18' Jump Shot41
13.5%
44
86.5%
Q3 - 6:21SASThomas REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)41
12.1%
44
87.9%
Q3 - 6:22SASMISS Horry 18' Jump Shot41
13.4%
44
86.6%
Q3 - 6:42ATLJohnson Free Throw 2 of 2 (11 PTS)41
12.1%
44
87.9%
Q3 - 6:42ATLJohnson Free Throw 1 of 2 (10 PTS)40
11.8%
44
88.2%
Q3 - 6:44ATLJohnson REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)39
10.6%
44
89.4%
Q3 - 6:46ATLMISS Williams 20' Jump Shot39
9.5%
44
90.5%
Q3 - 6:49ATLJohnson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)39
10.6%
44
89.4%
Q3 - 6:50ATLMISS Johnson 4' Running Jump Shot39
9.5%
44
90.5%
Q3 - 7:14SASParker Free Throw 1 of 1 (7 PTS)39
10.7%
44
89.3%
Q3 - 7:18ATLDuncan STEAL (2 STL)39
13.8%
41
86.2%
Q3 - 7:28SASParker 1' Driving Layup (4 PTS)39
16.1%
41
83.9%
Q3 - 7:45ATLSmith 2' Finger Roll Layup (4 PTS)39
17.9%
39
82.1%
Q3 - 7:52SASGinobili Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T12)37
16.1%
39
83.9%
Q3 - 7:57ATLGinobili STEAL (2 STL)37
13.8%
39
86.2%
Q3 - 8:10ATLWilliams REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)37
15.9%
39
84.1%
Q3 - 8:11SASMISS Parker 19' Jump Shot37
15.3%
39
84.7%
Q3 - 8:25ATLBibby Bad Pass Turnover (P4.T15)37
13.8%
39
86.2%
Q3 - 8:31ATLWilliams REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)37
16.0%
39
84.0%
Q3 - 8:32SASMISS Ginobili 9' Jump Bank Shot37
15.3%
39
84.7%
Q3 - 8:39SASGinobili REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)37
13.8%
39
86.2%
Q3 - 8:40ATLMISS Horford 13' Jump Shot37
14.4%
39
85.6%
Q3 - 9:07SASGinobili 1' Layup (7 PTS) (Horry 1 AST)37
15.3%
39
84.7%
Q3 - 9:19SASSPURS Rebound37
17.3%
37
82.7%
Q3 - 9:19SASMISS Parker 2' Layup37
18.8%
37
81.2%
Q3 - 9:23SASParker REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)37
17.3%
37
82.7%
Q3 - 9:25ATLMISS Horford 13' Turnaround Jump Shot37
18.0%
37
82.0%
Q3 - 9:43SASDuncan Free Throw 2 of 2 (13 PTS)37
19.6%
37
80.4%
Q3 - 9:43SASDuncan Free Throw 1 of 2 (12 PTS)37
20.3%
36
79.7%
Q3 - 9:55SASHorry REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)37
21.9%
35
78.1%
Q3 - 9:56ATLMISS Smith 17' Jump Shot37
22.8%
35
77.2%
Q3 - 10:10ATLBibby REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)37
23.8%
35
76.2%
Q3 - 10:12SASMISS Parker 18' Jump Shot37
22.9%
35
77.1%
Q3 - 10:22SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)37
21.1%
35
78.9%
Q3 - 10:23ATLMISS Johnson 18' Jump Shot37
21.9%
35
78.1%
Q3 - 10:48SASBowen 24' 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Parker 6 AST)37
23.8%
35
76.2%
Q3 - 11:11ATLBibby Bad Pass Turnover (P3.T14)37
28.0%
32
72.0%
Q3 - 11:26SASDuncan 1' Layup (11 PTS)37
31.0%
32
69.0%
Q3 - 11:43ATLJohnson Bad Pass Turnover (P4.T13)37
33.9%
30
66.1%
Q2 - 0:00.0ATL37
37.3%
30
62.7%
Q2 - 0:00.0ATLWilliams REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)37
37.3%
30
62.7%
Q2 - 0:00.0SASMISS Ginobili 3PT Jump Shot37
36.3%
30
63.7%
Q2 - 0:05.0SASGinobili REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)37
33.5%
30
66.5%
Q2 - 0:06.0SASMISS Finley 24' 3PT Fadeaway Jumper37
34.9%
30
65.1%
Q2 - 0:33.0ATLGinobili STEAL (1 STL)37
33.5%
30
66.5%
Q2 - 0:40.0SASDuncan Foul Turnover (P5.T11)37
35.7%
30
64.3%
Q2 - 0:59.0SASVaughn REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)37
33.5%
30
66.5%
Q2 - 0:59.0ATLMISS Bibby Free Throw 2 of 237
33.8%
30
66.2%
Q2 - 0:59.0ATLMISS Bibby Free Throw 1 of 237
36.0%
30
64.0%
Q2 - 1:03SASBowen Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T10)37
34.7%
30
65.3%
Q2 - 1:10SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)37
33.2%
30
66.8%
Q2 - 1:12ATLDuncan BLOCK (3 BLK)37
33.7%
30
66.3%
Q2 - 1:34SASDuncan Free Throw 2 of 2 (9 PTS)37
34.7%
30
65.3%
Q2 - 1:34SASDuncan Free Throw 1 of 2 (8 PTS)37
35.6%
29
64.4%
Q2 - 1:53ATLHorford 4' Jump Shot (12 PTS) (Bibby 2 AST)37
39.2%
28
60.8%
Q2 - 1:57SASDuncan Bad Pass Turnover (P4.T9)35
34.8%
28
65.2%
Q2 - 2:15ATLHorford 7' Jump Shot (10 PTS) (Johnson 3 AST)35
31.8%
28
68.2%
Q2 - 2:35SASDuncan Free Throw 1 of 1 (7 PTS)33
29.0%
28
71.0%
Q2 - 2:43ATLHawks Turnover: Shot Clock (T#11)33
34.7%
25
65.3%
Q2 - 2:43ATLHawks Rebound33
37.3%
25
62.7%
Q2 - 2:44ATLDuncan BLOCK (2 BLK)33
35.5%
25
64.5%
Q2 - 3:09ATLSmith REBOUND (Off:0 Def:8)33
35.8%
25
64.2%
Q2 - 3:10SASMISS Ginobili 24' Jump Shot33
34.9%
25
65.1%
Q2 - 3:15SASFinley REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)33
32.8%
25
67.2%
Q2 - 3:15SASMISS Ginobili 12' Fadeaway Jumper33
34.9%
25
65.1%
Q2 - 3:23ATLBowen STEAL (2 STL)33
32.8%
25
67.2%
Q2 - 3:36SASFinley 16' Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Vaughn 1 AST)33
35.9%
25
64.1%
Q2 - 4:04ATLHorford 3' Layup (8 PTS) (Bibby 1 AST)33
36.8%
23
63.2%
Q2 - 4:11ATLHorford REBOUND (Off:5 Def:4)31
34.2%
23
65.8%
Q2 - 4:13ATLMISS Bibby 24' 3PT Jump Shot31
32.4%
23
67.6%
Q2 - 4:16ATLHorford REBOUND (Off:4 Def:4)31
34.2%
23
65.8%
Q2 - 4:17ATLMISS Smith 18' Jump Shot31
32.4%
23
67.6%
Q2 - 4:33SASFinley 26' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Duncan 1 AST)31
34.3%
23
65.7%
Q2 - 4:52ATLJohnson 3PT Jump Shot (9 PTS) (Smith 4 AST)31
39.7%
20
60.3%
Q2 - 5:03SASDuncan 4' Hook Shot (4 PTS)28
33.5%
20
66.5%
Q2 - 5:26SASFinley REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)28
35.9%
18
64.1%
Q2 - 5:27ATLMISS Smith 5' Jump Shot28
36.7%
18
63.3%
Q2 - 5:44SASGinobili Free Throw 2 of 2 (5 PTS)28
38.8%
18
61.2%
Q2 - 5:44SASGinobili Free Throw 1 of 2 (4 PTS)28
39.1%
17
60.9%
Q2 - 5:50SASGinobili REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)28
41.3%
16
58.7%
Q2 - 5:52ATLMISS Stoudamire 5' Running Jump Shot28
42.2%
16
57.8%
Q2 - 5:58ATLSmith REBOUND (Off:0 Def:7)28
44.3%
16
55.7%
Q2 - 5:58SASMISS Parker 5' Jump Shot28
43.3%
16
56.7%
Q2 - 6:19SASGinobili REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)28
39.9%
16
60.1%
Q2 - 6:19ATLMISS Pachulia Free Throw 1 of 128
40.3%
16
59.7%
Q2 - 6:29ATLStoudamire REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)26
37.8%
16
62.2%
Q2 - 6:31ATLMISS Childress 1' Layup26
35.7%
16
64.3%
Q2 - 6:35SASUdoka Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T8)26
37.9%
16
62.1%
Q2 - 6:51ATLPachulia 4' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Childress 1 AST)26
34.8%
16
65.2%
Q2 - 7:05ATLChildress REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)24
31.6%
16
68.4%
Q2 - 7:05SASMISS Bowen 3PT Jump Shot24
30.9%
16
69.1%
Q2 - 7:27ATLRichardson 24' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Pachulia 1 AST)24
29.3%
16
70.7%
Q2 - 7:38ATLChildress REBOUND (Off:2 Def:0)21
25.3%
16
74.7%
Q2 - 7:38ATLMISS Smith 5' Jump Shot21
23.8%
16
76.2%
Q2 - 7:54ATLRichardson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)21
25.3%
16
74.7%
Q2 - 7:55SASMISS Finley 27' 3PT Jump Shot21
24.6%
16
75.4%
Q2 - 8:03ATLFinley STEAL (1 STL)21
22.8%
16
77.2%
Q2 - 8:04ATLChildress REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)21
25.0%
16
75.0%
Q2 - 8:05ATLMISS Stoudamire 17' Jump Shot21
23.5%
16
76.5%
Q2 - 8:17SASBowen 12' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Parker 5 AST)21
25.0%
16
75.0%
Q2 - 8:37ATLPachulia Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)21
26.7%
14
73.3%
Q2 - 8:37ATLPachulia Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)20
26.3%
14
73.7%
Q2 - 8:55ATLSmith REBOUND (Off:0 Def:6)19
25.0%
14
75.0%
Q2 - 8:55SASMISS Parker 10' Jump Shot19
24.3%
14
75.7%
Q2 - 9:02SASParker REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)19
22.3%
14
77.7%
Q2 - 9:03ATLMISS Richardson 17' Jump Shot19
22.9%
14
77.1%
Q2 - 9:17SASThomas 3' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Parker 4 AST)19
24.3%
14
75.7%
Q2 - 9:34ATLThomas STEAL (1 STL)19
26.0%
12
74.0%
Q2 - 9:54SASParker 1' Layup (2 PTS)19
28.3%
12
71.7%
Q2 - 10:04ATLJohnson Traveling Turnover (P2.T7)19
30.0%
10
70.0%
Q2 - 10:18SASHorry 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Parker 3 AST)19
32.4%
10
67.6%
Q2 - 10:40ATLStoudamire 24' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Johnson 2 AST)19
36.6%
7
63.4%
Q2 - 11:06SASThomas 15' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Parker 2 AST)16
31.0%
7
69.0%
Q2 - 11:31SASThomas REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)16
33.2%
5
66.8%
Q2 - 11:32ATLMISS Johnson 25' 3PT Jump Shot16
33.9%
5
66.1%
Q1 - 0:00.0SAS16
35.5%
5
64.5%
Q1 - 0:00.0SASStoudamire REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)16
33.3%
5
66.7%
Q1 - 0:00.0ATLMISS Stoudamire 12' Fadeaway Jumper16
34.0%
5
66.0%
Q1 - 0:12.0ATLPachulia REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)16
34.4%
5
65.6%
Q1 - 0:13.0SASMISS Horry 22' Jump Shot16
33.9%
5
66.1%
Q1 - 0:29.0SASThomas REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)16
32.8%
5
67.2%
Q1 - 0:39.0SASMISS Ginobili 18' Jump Shot16
33.9%
5
66.1%
Q1 - 0:49.0SASThomas REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)16
32.8%
5
67.2%
Q1 - 0:51.0ATLThomas BLOCK (1 BLK)16
33.3%
5
66.7%
Q1 - 1:12ATLWilliams REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)16
34.2%
5
65.8%
Q1 - 1:12SASMISS Stoudamire 24' 3PT Jump Shot16
33.7%
5
66.3%
Q1 - 1:31SASSPURS Rebound16
32.6%
5
67.4%
Q1 - 1:32ATLMISS Williams 15' Jump Shot16
33.1%
5
66.9%
Q1 - 1:48SASGinobili Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T7)16
34.2%
5
65.8%
Q1 - 2:01ATLDuncan STEAL (1 STL)16
32.1%
5
67.9%
Q1 - 2:21ATLSmith REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)16
34.1%
5
65.9%
Q1 - 2:22SASMISS Stoudamire 3PT Jump Shot16
33.5%
5
66.5%
Q1 - 2:31SASHorry REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)16
32.1%
5
67.9%
Q1 - 2:31ATLMISS Smith 20' Jump Shot16
32.7%
5
67.3%
Q1 - 2:42ATLHorford REBOUND (Off:3 Def:4)16
34.1%
5
65.9%
Q1 - 2:43SASMISS Ginobili 5' Jump Shot16
33.5%
5
66.5%
Q1 - 4:01ATLJohnson 3PT Layup (6 PTS) (Smith 2 AST)16
29.7%
5
70.3%
Q1 - 4:18ATLSmith REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)13
26.6%
5
73.4%
Q1 - 4:20SASMISS Finley 24' 3PT Jump Shot13
25.9%
5
74.1%
Q1 - 4:40ATLWilliams Layup (2 PTS)13
24.5%
5
75.5%
Q1 - 4:41ATLWilliams REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)11
23.3%
5
76.7%
Q1 - 4:42ATLMISS Bibby 2' Layup11
22.0%
5
78.0%
Q1 - 4:42SASDuncan Out of Bounds Lost Ball Turnover (P3.T6)11
23.3%
5
76.7%
Q1 - 4:42ATLBibby Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T5)11
21.4%
5
78.6%
Q1 - 4:57ATLHorford REBOUND (Off:3 Def:3)11
23.3%
5
76.7%
Q1 - 4:59SASMISS Ginobili 3PT Jump Shot11
22.7%
5
77.3%
Q1 - 5:08SASFinley REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)11
20.6%
5
79.4%
Q1 - 5:10SASMISS Finley 22' Jump Shot11
21.6%
5
78.4%
Q1 - 5:10ATLJohnson Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T4)11
20.6%
5
79.4%
Q1 - 5:14ATLHorford REBOUND (Off:3 Def:2)11
22.1%
5
77.9%
Q1 - 5:19SASMISS Horry 1' Dunk11
21.7%
5
78.3%
Q1 - 5:19SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)11
20.6%
5
79.4%
Q1 - 5:20SASMISS Stoudamire 24' 3PT Jump Shot11
21.7%
5
78.3%
Q1 - 5:39ATLSmith 7' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Johnson 1 AST)11
20.6%
5
79.4%
Q1 - 5:49ATLJohnson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)9
19.4%
5
80.6%
Q1 - 5:50SASMISS Duncan 5' Running Hook Shot9
19.0%
5
81.0%
Q1 - 6:03SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)9
17.6%
5
82.4%
Q1 - 6:04ATLMISS Smith 3PT Jump Shot9
18.0%
5
82.0%
Q1 - 6:19SASParker Traveling Turnover (P2.T5)9
18.9%
5
81.1%
Q1 - 6:29ATLHorford 15' Jump Shot (6 PTS)9
17.6%
5
82.4%
Q1 - 6:42ATLSmith REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)7
16.5%
5
83.5%
Q1 - 6:42SASMISS Oberto 5' Jump Hook Shot7
16.2%
5
83.8%
Q1 - 7:00ATLSmith Discontinue Dribble Turnover (P2.T3)7
15.4%
5
84.6%
Q1 - 7:06ATLHorford REBOUND (Off:3 Def:1)7
16.1%
5
83.9%
Q1 - 7:07ATLMISS Williams 9' Turnaround Jump Shot7
15.3%
5
84.7%
Q1 - 7:22SASOberto Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T4)7
16.1%
5
83.9%
Q1 - 7:32SASOberto REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)7
15.0%
5
85.0%
Q1 - 7:34ATLParker BLOCK (1 BLK)7
15.3%
5
84.7%
Q1 - 7:46ATLHorford REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)7
16.1%
5
83.9%
Q1 - 7:47SASMISS Oberto 2' Layup7
15.8%
5
84.2%
Q1 - 8:01ATLSmith 3 Second Violation Turnover (P1.T2)7
14.7%
5
85.3%
Q1 - 8:16ATLHorford REBOUND (Off:2 Def:0)7
15.8%
5
84.2%
Q1 - 8:17ATLMISS Bibby 22' Jump Shot7
15.1%
5
84.9%
Q1 - 8:31SASDuncan Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)7
15.8%
5
84.2%
Q1 - 8:31SASDuncan Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)7
16.1%
4
83.9%
Q1 - 8:43ATLHorford Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)7
16.8%
3
83.2%
Q1 - 8:43ATLHorford Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)6
16.5%
3
83.5%
Q1 - 9:06SASDuncan Lost Ball Turnover (P2.T3)5
15.8%
3
84.2%
Q1 - 9:27SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)5
14.5%
3
85.5%
Q1 - 9:27ATLMISS Bibby 21' Jump Shot5
14.9%
3
85.1%
Q1 - 9:47SASGinobili 25' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Parker 1 AST)5
15.8%
3
84.2%
Q1 - 9:56ATLBowen STEAL (1 STL)5
17.6%
0
82.4%
Q1 - 9:59ATLHorford REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)5
19.0%
0
81.0%
Q1 - 9:59ATLMISS Johnson 24' 3PT Jump Shot5
18.0%
0
82.0%
Q1 - 10:08ATLSmith REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)5
18.8%
0
81.2%
Q1 - 10:10SASMISS Parker 2' Layup5
18.4%
0
81.6%
Q1 - 10:24ATLHorford 3' Running Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Williams 1 AST)5
17.5%
0
82.5%
Q1 - 10:39ATLJohnson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)3
16.6%
0
83.4%
Q1 - 10:39SASMISS Parker 20' Jump Shot3
16.3%
0
83.7%
Q1 - 10:53ATLJohnson 26' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Smith 1 AST)3
15.5%
0
84.5%
Q1 - 11:01SASDuncan Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T2)0
13.5%
0
86.5%
Q1 - 11:03SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)0
12.8%
0
87.2%
Q1 - 11:06ATLMISS Smith 8' Jump Shot0
13.0%
0
87.0%
Q1 - 11:14ATLSmith REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)0
13.5%
0
86.5%
Q1 - 11:15SASMISS Duncan 2' Layup0
13.3%
0
86.7%
Q1 - 11:29SASOberto REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)0
12.8%
0
87.2%
Q1 - 11:31ATLDuncan BLOCK (1 BLK)0
13.0%
0
87.0%
Q1 - 11:31SASParker Out of Bounds Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T1)0
13.6%
0
86.4%
Q1 - 12:00SASJump Ball Duncan vs. Smith: Tip to Oberto0
12.8%
0
87.2%

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

ATL
0.83 41.6%
SAS
1.01 50.6%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)
ATL
13
29
45%
SAS
15
26
58%
Midrange
ATL
5
30
17%
SAS
9
29
31%
3PT | Effective 3PT
ATL
7
10.5
16
44%
66%
SAS
8
12.0
21
38%
57%
Free Throws
ATL
17
24
71%
SAS
17
23
74%
Makes
Effective 3P Makes
%
Efficiency
Misses
Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|
ATL logo Hawks
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
J. Johnson1761%8.5 / 14
Z. Pachulia1478%7.0 / 9
A. Horford1250%6.0 / 12
S. Stoudamire956%4.5 / 8
J. Childress750%3.5 / 7
J. Smith623%3.0 / 13
M. Williams422%2.0 / 9
J. Richardson375%1.5 / 2
M. Bibby28%1.0 / 12
TS Makes
TS Misses

Total Points

|
SAS logo Spurs
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
T. Duncan2372%11.5 / 16
T. Parker1547%7.5 / 16
M. Ginobili1346%6.5 / 14
I. Udoka10100%5.0 / 5
M. Finley941%4.5 / 11
B. Bowen550%2.5 / 5
K. Thomas440%2.0 / 5
M. Bonner4100%2.0 / 2
R. Horry330%1.5 / 5
D. Stoudamire330%1.5 / 5
F. Oberto0-0.0 / 2
TS Makes
TS Misses

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

ATL
68
+20
-22
88
SAS
74
+13
-16
87
Base
ORB
TOV

Scoring Efficiency

ATL
0.83 41.6%
SAS
1.01 50.6%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Efficiency & PaceThis Game
Efficiency
106.6
106.5
ATL 82.2
SAS 98.9 +16.7
Pace
91.4
89.5
ATL 98.7 +12.7
SAS 86.0
Avg. Poss. Time
15.6
16.5
ATL 14.6 +2.2
SAS 16.7
Four FactorsThis Game
EFG %
48.3%
50.4%
ATL 38.0%
SAS 47.4% +9.4%
TO %
15.5%
13.4%
ATL 21.2%
SAS 15.7% +5.5%
ORB %
29.8%
23.4%
ATL 36.0% +12.1%
SAS 23.9%
FTrt
34.0
27.6
ATL 32.0 +1.7
SAS 30.3
Misc. StatsThis Game
AST %
60.6%
58.5%
ATL 68.0%
SAS 68.8% +0.8%
STL %
7.9%
7.1%
ATL 11.1%
SAS 12.2% +1.1%
BLK %
8.4%
6.5%
ATL 3.6%
SAS 13.6% +10.0%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Shooting EfficiencyThis Game
TS%
52.0%
52.8%
ATL 41.6%
SAS 50.6% +9.0%
Rim FG%
58.6%
60.6%
ATL 44.8%
SAS 57.7% +12.9%
Mid FG%
38.5%
40.4%
ATL 16.7%
SAS 31.0% +14.3%
3P %
35.6%
36.9%
ATL 43.8% +5.7%
SAS 38.1%
FT %
77.2%
76.1%
ATL 70.8%
SAS 73.9% +3.1%
Shot DistributionThis Game
Rim Att. %
36.9%
30.8%
ATL 38.7% +4.5%
SAS 34.2%
Mid Att. %
46.7%
44.1%
ATL 40.0%
SAS 38.2% +1.8%
3P Att. %
16.5%
25.1%
ATL 21.3%
SAS 27.6% +6.3%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.
Game TotalsATLSAS
Possessions9090
Possession Minutes21.925.1
Points7489
Rebounds5343
Assists1722
Steals1011
Blocks28
Turnovers (Team)22 (1)16 (0)
Fouls
Off. Rebounds (Team)18 (2)11 (2)
Def. Rebounds (Team)35 (0)32 (2)
Field Goals25-7532-76
At-the-Rim FG13-2915-26
Midrange FG5-309-29
2-Point FG18-5924-55
3-Point FG7-168-21
Free Throws17-2417-23
Fast Break Pts
2nd Chance Pts
Points in Paint
Pts off Turnovers
Bench Points
Biggest Lead

BOXSCORE

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PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
G · 6'7" 240 · 27
40.9
17
61%
5
5
1
0
6
0
2
3
3-4
75%
1-5
20%
4-7
57%
G · 6'2" 195 · 30
36.2
2
8%
5
5
1
0
4
2
1
4
0-2
0%
1-6
17%
0-5
0%
F · 6'9" 225 · 22
34.9
6
23%
13
4
3
1
8
4
2
11
2-2
100%
2-11
18%
0-1
0%
F · 6'9" 237 · 22
30.8
4
22%
6
1
2
1
0
1
1
5
0-0
-
2-9
22%
0-0
-
C · 6'10" 245 · 22
28.7
12
50%
13
0
2
0
1
1
6
7
2-2
100%
5-11
45%
0-0
-
F-G · 6'8" 210 · 25
29.5
7
50%
6
1
1
0
2
3
5
1
1-2
50%
3-6
50%
0-0
-
C · 6'11" 270 · 24
19.3
14
78%
3
1
0
0
1
5
0
3
6-8
75%
4-6
67%
0-0
-
G · 6'1" 175 · 25
11.8
9
56%
1
0
0
0
0
1
1
0
3-4
75%
0-4
0%
2-2
100%
G-F · 6'7" 195 · 24
6.7
3
75%
1
0
0
0
0
1
0
1
0-0
-
0-1
0%
1-1
100%
G · 6'5" 210 · 24
1.3
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
-
0-0
-
G · 6'3" 202 · 23
F · 6'10" 235 · 24
#12 · G · 5'11" 170 · 30
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
TOTAL
240
74
42%
53
17
10
2
22
0
18
35
17-24
71%
18-59
31%
7-16
44%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.