FinalWin Prob.pScore
1227%87
89
273%95
98
ORTG#PossPace
NOH
103.58692.8
SAS logo SAS
114.08680.2

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

SpursHornetsQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Scoring Margin

SpursHornetsQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Play-by-Play

Score / WinProb
ClockTeamEventNOHSAS
Q4 - 0:00.0SAS89
0%
98
100%
Q4 - 0:22.0SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:3 Def:8)89
0.1%
98
99.9%
Q4 - 0:23.0NOHMISS Paul 24' 3PT Jump Shot89
0.1%
98
99.9%
Q4 - 0:35.0SASDuncan 1' Dunk (25 PTS) (Ginobili 12 AST)89
0.1%
98
99.9%
Q4 - 0:35.0SASGinobili REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)89
0.1%
96
99.9%
Q4 - 0:37.0SASMISS Parker 20' Jump Shot89
0.2%
96
99.8%
Q4 - 1:02NOHChandler Free Throw 1 of 1 (8 PTS)89
0.5%
96
99.5%
Q4 - 1:02NOHChandler REBOUND (Off:2 Def:8)86
0.2%
96
99.8%
Q4 - 1:02NOHMISS Paul 3' Jump Shot86
0.1%
96
99.9%
Q4 - 1:06NOHPaul REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)86
0.2%
96
99.8%
Q4 - 1:08SASMISS Horry 3PT Jump Shot86
0.2%
96
99.8%
Q4 - 1:31NOHPaul 19' Jump Shot (27 PTS)86
0.2%
96
99.8%
Q4 - 1:43SASGinobili Free Throw 2 of 2 (30 PTS)84
0.2%
96
99.8%
Q4 - 1:43SASGinobili Free Throw 1 of 2 (29 PTS)84
0.2%
95
99.8%
Q4 - 1:46SASGinobili REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)84
0.3%
94
99.7%
Q4 - 1:47NOHMISS Stojakovic 21' Jump Shot84
0.4%
94
99.6%
Q4 - 2:08SASGinobili 25' 3PT Jump Shot (28 PTS) (Duncan 6 AST)84
0.6%
94
99.4%
Q4 - 2:14SASBowen REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)84
1.3%
91
98.7%
Q4 - 2:15NOHMISS Paul 26' 3PT Jump Shot84
1.6%
91
98.4%
Q4 - 2:36SASBowen 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Parker 4 AST)84
2.6%
91
97.4%
Q4 - 2:54NOHPaul Free Throw 2 of 2 (25 PTS)84
6.3%
88
93.7%
Q4 - 2:54NOHPaul Free Throw 1 of 2 (24 PTS)83
6.0%
88
94.0%
Q4 - 3:04SASParker Free Throw 2 of 2 (10 PTS)82
4.8%
88
95.2%
Q4 - 3:04SASParker Free Throw 1 of 2 (9 PTS)82
5.2%
87
94.8%
Q4 - 3:07SASOberto REBOUND (Off:1 Def:8)82
6.2%
86
93.8%
Q4 - 3:08NOHMISS James 19' Jump Shot82
7.3%
86
92.7%
Q4 - 3:28SASDuncan 3' Layup (23 PTS) (Ginobili 11 AST)82
10.7%
86
89.3%
Q4 - 3:46SASParker REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)82
15.9%
84
84.1%
Q4 - 3:47NOHMISS Stojakovic 25' 3PT Jump Shot82
17.6%
84
82.4%
Q4 - 4:09NOHChandler REBOUND (Off:1 Def:8)82
21.8%
84
78.2%
Q4 - 4:10SASMISS Parker 18' Jump Shot82
19.8%
84
80.2%
Q4 - 4:35NOHPaul 6' Running Jump Shot (23 PTS)82
15.7%
84
84.3%
Q4 - 4:50SASGinobili 2' Driving Layup (25 PTS) (Duncan 5 AST)80
11.5%
84
88.5%
Q4 - 5:05NOHWest 16' Jump Shot (16 PTS) (Paul 4 AST)80
16.5%
82
83.5%
Q4 - 5:23SASOberto Out of Bounds Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T11)78
12.5%
82
87.5%
Q4 - 5:30SASGinobili REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)78
9.1%
82
90.9%
Q4 - 5:32NOHMISS West 5' Jump Shot78
10.1%
82
89.9%
Q4 - 5:51SASGinobili Free Throw 2 of 2 (23 PTS)78
12.5%
82
87.5%
Q4 - 5:51SASGinobili Free Throw 1 of 2 (22 PTS)78
13.0%
81
87.0%
Q4 - 5:57SASGinobili REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)78
16.4%
80
83.6%
Q4 - 5:59NOHMISS Stojakovic 11' Jump Shot78
17.9%
80
82.1%
Q4 - 6:19SASDuncan Free Throw 2 of 2 (21 PTS)78
22.0%
80
78.0%
Q4 - 6:19SASDuncan Free Throw 1 of 2 (20 PTS)78
23.4%
79
76.6%
Q4 - 6:26SASBowen REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)78
26.7%
78
73.3%
Q4 - 6:28NOHMISS Pargo 25' 3PT Jump Shot78
28.9%
78
71.1%
Q4 - 6:42NOHStojakovic REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)78
34.1%
78
65.9%
Q4 - 6:43SASMISS Parker 18' Jump Shot78
31.7%
78
68.3%
Q4 - 7:05NOHJames 3' Finger Roll Layup (5 PTS) (West 4 AST)78
26.6%
78
73.4%
Q4 - 7:24SASBowen Poss Lost Ball Turnover (P2.T10)76
22.2%
78
77.8%
Q4 - 7:43NOHPargo 25' 3PT Jump Shot (9 PTS)76
17.2%
78
82.8%
Q4 - 7:53SASGinobili Foul Turnover (P3.T9)73
11.0%
78
89.0%
Q4 - 8:09NOHPargo 6' Fadeaway Jumper (6 PTS)73
9.4%
78
90.6%
Q4 - 8:21NOHPargo REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)71
7.4%
78
92.6%
Q4 - 8:22SASMISS Ginobili 19' Jump Shot71
6.9%
78
93.1%
Q4 - 8:37NOHChandler Foul Turnover (P1.T7)71
5.8%
78
94.2%
Q4 - 8:45SASDuncan Free Throw 2 of 2 (19 PTS)71
7.4%
78
92.6%
Q4 - 8:45SASDuncan Free Throw 1 of 2 (18 PTS)71
7.9%
77
92.1%
Q4 - 9:00SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:3 Def:7)71
9.3%
76
90.7%
Q4 - 9:01SASMISS Finley 20' Jump Shot71
11.5%
76
88.5%
Q4 - 9:15NOHArmstrong 1' Putback Slam Dunk (2 PTS)71
9.8%
76
90.2%
Q4 - 9:17NOHArmstrong REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)69
8.0%
76
92.0%
Q4 - 9:18NOHMISS Wells 3' Jump Shot69
6.8%
76
93.2%
Q4 - 9:29NOHWells REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)69
7.9%
76
92.1%
Q4 - 9:30SASMISS Finley 18' Jump Shot69
7.4%
76
92.6%
Q4 - 9:46SASHorry REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)69
6.3%
76
93.7%
Q4 - 9:47SASMISS Duncan 14' Jump Bank Shot69
7.4%
76
92.6%
Q4 - 10:20NOHWest 1' Dunk (14 PTS) (Wells 1 AST)69
6.8%
76
93.2%
Q4 - 10:31SASVaughn Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T8)67
5.6%
76
94.4%
Q4 - 10:54SASStoudamire REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)67
4.4%
76
95.6%
Q4 - 10:55NOHMISS Wells 16' Jump Shot67
4.7%
76
95.3%
Q4 - 11:07NOHWest REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)67
6.1%
76
93.9%
Q4 - 11:08SASMISS Stoudamire 18' Jump Shot67
5.7%
76
94.3%
Q4 - 11:25NOHPargo Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T6)67
4.9%
76
95.1%
Q4 - 11:42NOHArmstrong REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)67
6.1%
76
93.9%
Q4 - 11:43SASMISS Stoudamire 16' Jump Shot67
5.7%
76
94.3%
Q3 - 0:00.0SAS67
4.9%
76
95.1%
Q3 - 0:00.0NOHPaul 24' 3PT Jump Shot (21 PTS)67
4.9%
76
95.1%
Q3 - 0:05.0SASSPURS Turnover: Shot Clock (T#7)64
3.6%
76
96.4%
Q3 - 0:07.0SASSPURS Rebound64
3.0%
76
97.0%
Q3 - 0:07.0SASMISS Stoudamire 2' Layup64
3.4%
76
96.6%
Q3 - 0:30.0NOHPaul 2' Driving Layup (18 PTS)64
3.0%
76
97.0%
Q3 - 0:35.0NOHWest REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)62
2.4%
76
97.6%
Q3 - 0:36.0SASMISS Horry 25' 3PT Jump Shot62
2.3%
76
97.7%
Q3 - 0:55.0NOHPaul Free Throw 2 of 2 (16 PTS)62
2.0%
76
98.0%
Q3 - 0:55.0NOHPaul Free Throw 1 of 2 (15 PTS)61
1.9%
76
98.1%
Q3 - 0:58.0NOHWells REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)60
1.6%
76
98.4%
Q3 - 0:59.0SASMISS Udoka 3PT Jump Shot60
1.5%
76
98.5%
Q3 - 1:16NOHStojakovic Free Throw 2 of 2 (11 PTS)60
1.5%
76
98.5%
Q3 - 1:16NOHMISS Stojakovic Free Throw 1 of 259
1.5%
76
98.5%
Q3 - 1:26SASGinobili 2' Finger Roll Layup (21 PTS)59
1.5%
76
98.5%
Q3 - 1:38SASStoudamire REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)59
1.8%
74
98.2%
Q3 - 1:39NOHMISS Paul 9' Running Jump Shot59
2.0%
74
98.0%
Q3 - 1:54SASHorry 1' Slam Dunk (7 PTS) (Ginobili 10 AST)59
2.2%
74
97.8%
Q3 - 2:06SASUdoka REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)59
3.0%
72
97.0%
Q3 - 2:07NOHMISS Paul 22' Jump Shot59
3.1%
72
96.9%
Q3 - 2:17NOHPaul REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)59
3.6%
72
96.4%
Q3 - 2:18SASMISS Ginobili 24' 3PT Jump Shot59
3.4%
72
96.6%
Q3 - 2:34NOHWells Poss Lost Ball Turnover (P3.T5)59
2.9%
72
97.1%
Q3 - 2:47SASUdoka Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)59
3.6%
72
96.4%
Q3 - 2:47SASUdoka Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)59
3.7%
71
96.3%
Q3 - 3:03NOHDuncan STEAL (1 STL)59
4.6%
70
95.4%
Q3 - 3:16SASGinobili 25' 3PT Jump Shot (19 PTS) (Duncan 4 AST)59
5.5%
70
94.5%
Q3 - 3:39NOHWest 10' Jump Shot (12 PTS)59
7.6%
67
92.4%
Q3 - 3:57SASGinobili 3PT Jump Shot (16 PTS) (Stoudamire 1 AST)57
6.4%
67
93.6%
Q3 - 4:19SASSPURS Rebound57
9.0%
64
91.0%
Q3 - 4:19NOHMISS Wells 2' Alley Oop Dunk57
9.5%
64
90.5%
Q3 - 4:33NOHWells REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)57
10.8%
64
89.2%
Q3 - 4:34SASMISS Stoudamire 25' 3PT Jump Shot57
10.2%
64
89.8%
Q3 - 4:54SASUdoka REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)57
9.0%
64
91.0%
Q3 - 4:55NOHMISS Chandler Free Throw 2 of 257
9.3%
64
90.7%
Q3 - 4:55NOHChandler Free Throw 1 of 2 (5 PTS)57
10.0%
64
90.0%
Q3 - 5:00SASGinobili Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T6)56
9.2%
64
90.8%
Q3 - 5:09SASGinobili REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)56
8.1%
64
91.9%
Q3 - 5:10NOHMISS Paul 25' 3PT Jump Shot56
8.5%
64
91.5%
Q3 - 5:20NOHHornets Rebound56
9.5%
64
90.5%
Q3 - 5:20SASMISS Duncan 3' Layup56
9.1%
64
90.9%
Q3 - 5:20SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:2 Def:7)56
8.1%
64
91.9%
Q3 - 5:21SASMISS Ginobili 25' 3PT Jump Shot56
9.1%
64
90.9%
Q3 - 5:28SASGinobili Free Throw Technical (13 PTS)56
8.1%
64
91.9%
Q3 - 5:39NOHStojakovic Free Throw 2 of 2 (10 PTS)56
9.4%
63
90.6%
Q3 - 5:39NOHStojakovic Free Throw 1 of 2 (9 PTS)55
9.3%
63
90.7%
Q3 - 5:48NOHStojakovic REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)54
8.2%
63
91.8%
Q3 - 5:49SASMISS Ginobili 13' Jump Shot54
7.8%
63
92.2%
Q3 - 6:09NOHStojakovic 24' 3PT Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Chandler 1 AST)54
7.2%
63
92.8%
Q3 - 6:29SASGinobili 25' 3PT Jump Shot (12 PTS) (Duncan 3 AST)51
5.4%
63
94.6%
Q3 - 6:50NOHStojakovic 19' Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Paul 3 AST)51
7.2%
60
92.8%
Q3 - 7:09SASOberto 1' Layup (8 PTS) (Udoka 1 AST)49
6.6%
60
93.4%
Q3 - 7:16NOHWest 5' Jump Shot (10 PTS)49
7.4%
58
92.6%
Q3 - 7:32SASUdoka 18' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Ginobili 9 AST)47
6.5%
58
93.5%
Q3 - 7:47NOHStojakovic Free Throw 2 of 2 (3 PTS)47
7.4%
56
92.6%
Q3 - 7:47NOHMISS Stojakovic Free Throw 1 of 246
7.3%
56
92.7%
Q3 - 8:04SASDuncan 5' Jump Shot (17 PTS) (Ginobili 8 AST)46
7.7%
56
92.3%
Q3 - 8:21NOHStojakovic 18' Jump Shot (2 PTS)46
8.7%
54
91.3%
Q3 - 8:44NOHHornets Rebound44
7.7%
54
92.3%
Q3 - 8:44SASMISS Duncan 5' Jump Shot44
7.4%
54
92.6%
Q3 - 9:04NOHPaul 20' Jump Shot (14 PTS)44
6.8%
54
93.2%
Q3 - 9:31SASGinobili 17' Step Back Jump Shot (9 PTS) (Duncan 2 AST)42
5.9%
54
94.1%
Q3 - 9:52NOHPeterson 3PT Jump Shot (9 PTS) (West 3 AST)42
6.7%
52
93.3%
Q3 - 10:03SASBowen Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T5)39
5.3%
52
94.7%
Q3 - 10:15SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:1 Def:7)39
4.6%
52
95.4%
Q3 - 10:16NOHMISS West 18' Jump Shot39
4.8%
52
95.2%
Q3 - 10:36SASDuncan 8' Jump Bank Shot (15 PTS) (Ginobili 7 AST)39
5.3%
52
94.7%
Q3 - 10:58NOHWest 3' Layup (8 PTS)39
6.0%
50
94.0%
Q3 - 11:15NOHChandler REBOUND (Off:1 Def:7)37
5.4%
50
94.6%
Q3 - 11:16SASMISS Duncan 14' Jump Bank Shot37
5.2%
50
94.8%
Q3 - 11:34NOHPaul 8' Floating Jump Shot (12 PTS)37
4.7%
50
95.3%
Q2 - 0:00.0NOH35
4.2%
50
95.8%
Q2 - 0:00.0NOHHornets Rebound35
4.2%
50
95.8%
Q2 - 0:00.0NOHDuncan BLOCK (4 BLK)35
3.8%
50
96.2%
Q2 - 0:03.0SASStoudamire 3PT Jump Shot (7 PTS) (Ginobili 6 AST)35
4.4%
50
95.6%
Q2 - 0:26.0SASStoudamire REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)35
5.9%
47
94.1%
Q2 - 0:27.0SASMISS Horry 25' 3PT Jump Shot35
6.2%
47
93.8%
Q2 - 0:37.0SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:1 Def:6)35
5.8%
47
94.2%
Q2 - 0:38.0NOHMISS Paul 16' Jump Shot35
6.0%
47
94.0%
Q2 - 0:45.0SASDuncan 3' Dunk (13 PTS)35
6.4%
47
93.6%
Q2 - 0:46.0SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)35
7.5%
45
92.5%
Q2 - 0:46.0SASMISS Ginobili 3' Running Jump Shot35
7.9%
45
92.1%
Q2 - 0:58.0SASSPURS Rebound35
7.5%
45
92.5%
Q2 - 0:58.0NOHMISS Stojakovic 24' 3PT Jump Shot35
7.7%
45
92.3%
Q2 - 1:12NOHPeterson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)35
8.4%
45
91.6%
Q2 - 1:14SASMISS Parker 3' Jump Shot35
8.2%
45
91.8%
Q2 - 1:30SASParker REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)35
7.9%
45
92.1%
Q2 - 1:31SASMISS Parker 7' Jump Shot35
8.2%
45
91.8%
Q2 - 1:52NOHPaul 16' Jump Shot (10 PTS)35
7.9%
45
92.1%
Q2 - 2:00NOHChandler REBOUND (Off:1 Def:6)33
6.6%
45
93.4%
Q2 - 2:02SASMISS Ginobili 18' Jump Shot33
6.8%
45
93.2%
Q2 - 2:19NOHWest Free Throw 2 of 2 (6 PTS)33
6.3%
45
93.7%
Q2 - 2:19NOHWest Free Throw 1 of 2 (5 PTS)32
6.2%
45
93.8%
Q2 - 2:38SASDuncan Free Throw 1 of 1 (11 PTS)31
5.5%
45
94.5%
Q2 - 2:42SASGinobili REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)31
7.1%
42
92.9%
Q2 - 2:43NOHMISS Chandler 7' Jump Shot31
7.3%
42
92.7%
Q2 - 3:06SASParker 19' Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Ginobili 4 AST)31
8.2%
42
91.8%
Q2 - 3:25NOHPaul 16' Jump Shot (8 PTS)31
9.1%
40
90.9%
Q2 - 3:34NOHChandler REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)29
8.2%
40
91.8%
Q2 - 3:36SASMISS Parker 19' Jump Shot29
7.9%
40
92.1%
Q2 - 3:56NOHWest Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)29
7.3%
40
92.7%
Q2 - 3:56NOHMISS West Free Throw 1 of 228
7.1%
40
92.9%
Q2 - 4:09SASGinobili Out of Bounds Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T4)28
7.5%
40
92.5%
Q2 - 4:11NOHGinobili STEAL (1 STL)28
6.8%
40
93.2%
Q2 - 4:30SASDuncan 2' Layup (8 PTS) (Ginobili 3 AST)28
7.5%
40
92.5%
Q2 - 4:44SASSPURS Rebound28
8.3%
38
91.7%
Q2 - 4:44NOHMISS Paul 4' Jump Shot28
8.6%
38
91.4%
Q2 - 4:49SASParker 1' Layup (6 PTS) (Duncan 1 AST)28
9.3%
38
90.7%
Q2 - 4:55SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)28
10.3%
36
89.7%
Q2 - 4:57NOHDuncan BLOCK (3 BLK)28
10.6%
36
89.4%
Q2 - 5:12NOHPaul REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)28
11.5%
36
88.5%
Q2 - 5:13SASMISS Parker 19' Jump Shot28
11.1%
36
88.9%
Q2 - 5:22SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)28
10.3%
36
89.7%
Q2 - 5:23NOHMISS Chandler 4' Jump Shot28
10.7%
36
89.3%
Q2 - 5:43NOHChandler REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)28
11.5%
36
88.5%
Q2 - 5:44SASMISS Duncan 6' Hook Shot28
11.1%
36
88.9%
Q2 - 6:03SASBonner REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)28
10.4%
36
89.6%
Q2 - 6:04NOHMISS Paul 15' Jump Shot28
10.8%
36
89.2%
Q2 - 6:12NOHJames REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)28
11.7%
36
88.3%
Q2 - 6:13SASMISS Udoka 18' Jump Shot28
11.3%
36
88.7%
Q2 - 6:27SASOberto REBOUND (Off:1 Def:7)28
10.4%
36
89.6%
Q2 - 6:29NOHMISS Wells 3' Layup28
10.8%
36
89.2%
Q2 - 6:52SASFinley 13' Jump Shot (2 PTS)28
11.7%
36
88.3%
Q2 - 7:18NOHJames 24' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Pargo 2 AST)28
13.1%
34
86.9%
Q2 - 7:33SASFinley Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T3)25
10.9%
34
89.1%
Q2 - 7:53SASOberto REBOUND (Off:1 Def:6)25
9.8%
34
90.2%
Q2 - 7:55NOHMISS Wells 17' Jump Shot25
10.1%
34
89.9%
Q2 - 8:17SASOberto Free Throw 2 of 2 (6 PTS)25
11.0%
34
89.0%
Q2 - 8:17SASOberto Free Throw 1 of 2 (5 PTS)25
11.4%
33
88.6%
Q2 - 8:31SASOberto REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)25
11.9%
32
88.1%
Q2 - 8:33NOHMISS Armstrong 3' Jump Shot25
12.3%
32
87.7%
Q2 - 8:59SASHorry 1' Layup (5 PTS) (Oberto 1 AST)25
13.2%
32
86.8%
Q2 - 9:22NOHWells 21' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Pargo 1 AST)25
14.3%
30
85.7%
Q2 - 9:43SASStoudamire 11' Jump Shot (4 PTS)23
13.2%
30
86.8%
Q2 - 10:01NOHPargo 15' Jump Shot (4 PTS)23
14.5%
28
85.5%
Q2 - 10:11NOHPargo REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)21
13.4%
28
86.6%
Q2 - 10:12SASMISS Finley 25' 3PT Jump Shot21
13.0%
28
87.0%
Q2 - 10:27SASUdoka REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)21
12.2%
28
87.8%
Q2 - 10:28NOHMISS Pargo 17' Jump Shot21
12.5%
28
87.5%
Q2 - 10:45SASStoudamire 16' Jump Shot (2 PTS)21
13.4%
28
86.6%
Q2 - 11:09SASStoudamire REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)21
14.4%
26
85.6%
Q2 - 11:11NOHMISS Wells 3' Layup21
14.8%
26
85.2%
Q2 - 11:24NOHPargo REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)21
15.6%
26
84.4%
Q2 - 11:25SASMISS Horry 25' 3PT Jump Shot21
15.2%
26
84.8%
Q2 - 11:42NOHWells Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T2)21
14.4%
26
85.6%
Q1 - 0:00.0SAS21
15.7%
26
84.3%
Q1 - 0:00.0SASHorry REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)21
14.4%
26
85.6%
Q1 - 0:00.0NOHMISS Pargo 26' 3PT Jump Shot21
14.8%
26
85.2%
Q1 - 0:13.0NOHWest REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)21
15.5%
26
84.5%
Q1 - 0:14.0SASMISS Finley 25' 3PT Jump Shot21
15.2%
26
84.8%
Q1 - 0:39.0SASHorry REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)21
14.6%
26
85.4%
Q1 - 0:40.0NOHMISS Pargo 2' Layup21
14.8%
26
85.2%
Q1 - 0:49.0NOHPaul REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)21
15.5%
26
84.5%
Q1 - 0:50.0SASMISS Stoudamire 25' 3PT Jump Shot21
15.2%
26
84.8%
Q1 - 1:05NOHStoudamire STEAL (1 STL)21
14.6%
26
85.4%
Q1 - 1:06NOHPargo REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)21
15.5%
26
84.5%
Q1 - 1:07NOHMISS Paul 25' 3PT Jump Shot21
14.9%
26
85.1%
Q1 - 1:26SASGinobili Layup (7 PTS)21
15.5%
26
84.5%
Q1 - 1:36SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)21
17.1%
24
82.9%
Q1 - 1:38NOHMISS West 6' Jump Shot21
17.4%
24
82.6%
Q1 - 1:48NOHStojakovic REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)21
18.2%
24
81.8%
Q1 - 1:49SASMISS Horry 24' 3PT Jump Shot21
17.8%
24
82.2%
Q1 - 2:04NOHPaul 18' Jump Shot (6 PTS)21
17.0%
24
83.0%
Q1 - 2:16SASHorry 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Bowen 1 AST)19
15.7%
24
84.3%
Q1 - 2:34NOHPargo 1' Layup (2 PTS) (West 2 AST)19
18.4%
21
81.6%
Q1 - 2:54SASGinobili 2' Layup (5 PTS)17
16.9%
21
83.1%
Q1 - 3:12SASGinobili Free Throw Technical (3 PTS)17
18.2%
19
81.8%
Q1 - 3:13NOHPaul 17' Jump Shot (4 PTS)17
19.6%
18
80.4%
Q1 - 3:32SASParker 18' Jump Shot (4 PTS)15
18.4%
18
81.6%
Q1 - 3:42SASOberto REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)15
19.6%
16
80.4%
Q1 - 3:43SASMISS Bowen 25' 3PT Jump Shot15
20.7%
16
79.3%
Q1 - 3:51SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)15
19.6%
16
80.4%
Q1 - 3:53NOHMISS Peterson 2' Layup15
20.1%
16
79.9%
Q1 - 4:00NOHChandler REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)15
21.2%
16
78.8%
Q1 - 4:03SASMISS Ginobili 3PT Jump Shot15
20.4%
16
79.6%
Q1 - 4:11NOHMISS Stojakovic 25' 3PT Jump Shot15
19.8%
16
80.2%
Q1 - 4:11SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)15
19.3%
16
80.7%
Q1 - 4:21NOHChandler REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)15
21.0%
16
79.0%
Q1 - 4:22NOHMISS West 16' Jump Shot15
19.8%
16
80.2%
Q1 - 4:47SASDuncan 2' Layup (6 PTS) (Parker 3 AST)15
21.0%
16
79.0%
Q1 - 4:53SASParker REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)15
22.2%
14
77.8%
Q1 - 4:56NOHBowen BLOCK (1 BLK)15
22.7%
14
77.3%
Q1 - 5:20SASOberto 7' Jump Shot (4 PTS)15
23.4%
14
76.6%
Q1 - 5:41NOHChandler 2' Alley Oop Dunk (4 PTS) (Paul 2 AST)15
24.8%
12
75.2%
Q1 - 5:47SASDuncan Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T2)13
23.5%
12
76.5%
Q1 - 6:18NOHPeterson 3PT Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Stojakovic 1 AST)13
21.6%
12
78.4%
Q1 - 6:39NOHWest REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)10
19.1%
12
80.9%
Q1 - 6:40SASMISS Parker 3' Layup10
18.7%
12
81.3%
Q1 - 6:47SASOberto REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)10
17.8%
12
82.2%
Q1 - 6:48NOHDuncan BLOCK (2 BLK)10
18.2%
12
81.8%
Q1 - 7:01SASDuncan 2' Layup (4 PTS) (Ginobili 2 AST)10
19.0%
12
81.0%
Q1 - 7:18NOHPaul 1' Layup (2 PTS)10
20.0%
10
80.0%
Q1 - 7:25SASParker Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T1)8
19.0%
10
81.0%
Q1 - 7:40NOHPeterson 24' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (West 1 AST)8
17.7%
10
82.3%
Q1 - 7:44NOHWest REBOUND (Off:2 Def:0)5
15.7%
10
84.3%
Q1 - 7:46NOHMISS Stojakovic 15' Jump Shot5
14.9%
10
85.1%
Q1 - 7:49NOHStojakovic REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)5
15.7%
10
84.3%
Q1 - 7:50NOHMISS West 11' Jump Shot5
14.9%
10
85.1%
Q1 - 7:52NOHWest REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)5
15.7%
10
84.3%
Q1 - 7:53NOHMISS Peterson 4' Jump Shot5
14.9%
10
85.1%
Q1 - 8:07SASParker 15' Jump Shot (2 PTS)5
15.6%
10
84.4%
Q1 - 8:33NOHChandler 1' Alley Oop Dunk (2 PTS) (Paul 1 AST)5
16.5%
8
83.5%
Q1 - 8:40NOHChandler REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)3
15.6%
8
84.4%
Q1 - 8:42SASMISS Duncan 5' Jump Shot3
15.3%
8
84.7%
Q1 - 8:58SASOberto REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)3
14.5%
8
85.5%
Q1 - 8:58NOHMISS West Free Throw 2 of 23
14.7%
8
85.3%
Q1 - 8:58NOHWest Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)3
15.3%
8
84.7%
Q1 - 9:15SASOberto 2' Layup (2 PTS) (Parker 2 AST)2
14.6%
8
85.4%
Q1 - 9:31NOHWest 14' Jump Shot (2 PTS)2
15.3%
6
84.7%
Q1 - 9:50SASDuncan 3' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Ginobili 1 AST)0
14.6%
6
85.4%
Q1 - 9:56SASOberto REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)0
15.3%
4
84.7%
Q1 - 9:57NOHDuncan BLOCK (1 BLK)0
15.7%
4
84.3%
Q1 - 10:15SASBowen 21' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Parker 1 AST)0
16.4%
4
83.6%
Q1 - 10:25SASBowen REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)0
17.4%
2
82.6%
Q1 - 10:26NOHMISS Peterson 18' Jump Shot0
17.7%
2
82.3%
Q1 - 10:56SASGinobili 14' Jump Shot (2 PTS)0
18.6%
2
81.4%
Q1 - 11:14SASOberto REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)0
19.7%
0
80.3%
Q1 - 11:15NOHMISS Paul 6' Jump Shot0
20.0%
0
80.0%
Q1 - 11:33NOHChandler REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)0
20.8%
0
79.2%
Q1 - 11:35SASMISS Parker 18' Jump Shot0
20.4%
0
79.6%
Q1 - 11:43SASSPURS Rebound0
19.7%
0
80.3%
Q1 - 11:45SASMISS Ginobili 25' 3PT Jump Shot0
20.4%
0
79.6%
Q1 - 12:00SASJump Ball Duncan vs. Chandler: Tip to Parker0
19.7%
0
80.3%

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

NOH
1.01 50.6%
SAS
1.11 55.7%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)
NOH
11
26
42%
SAS
18
25
72%
Midrange
NOH
16
35
46%
SAS
12
30
40%
3PT | Effective 3PT
NOH
7
10.5
17
41%
62%
SAS
7
10.5
22
32%
48%
Free Throws
NOH
14
19
74%
SAS
17
17
100%
Makes
Effective 3P Makes
%
Efficiency
Misses
Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|
Hornets
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
C. Paul2754%13.5 / 25
D. West1647%8.0 / 17
P. Stojakovic1146%5.5 / 12
M. Peterson964%4.5 / 7
J. Pargo956%4.5 / 8
T. Chandler867%4.0 / 6
M. James583%2.5 / 3
B. Wells214%1.0 / 7
H. Armstrong250%1.0 / 2
TS Makes
TS Misses

Total Points

|
SAS logo Spurs
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
M. Ginobili3075%15.0 / 20
T. Duncan2569%12.5 / 18
T. Parker1036%5.0 / 14
F. Oberto8100%4.0 / 4
R. Horry744%3.5 / 8
D. Stoudamire744%3.5 / 8
B. Bowen583%2.5 / 3
I. Udoka450%2.0 / 4
M. Finley220%1.0 / 5
TS Makes
TS Misses

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

NOH
79
+8
-7
87
SAS
76
+10
-10
86
Base
ORB
TOV

Scoring Efficiency

NOH
1.01 50.6%
SAS
1.11 55.7%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Efficiency & PaceThis Game
Efficiency
110.8
106.5
NOH 103.5
SAS 114.0 +10.5
Pace
90.5
89.5
NOH 92.8 +12.6
SAS 80.2
Avg. Poss. Time
15.9
16.5
NOH 15.5 +2.4
SAS 18.0
Four FactorsThis Game
EFG %
51.2%
50.4%
NOH 48.1%
SAS 52.6% +4.5%
TO %
12.4%
13.4%
NOH 7.5% +4.0%
SAS 11.5%
ORB %
27.1%
23.4%
NOH 16.7%
SAS 22.2% +5.5%
FTrt
25.1
27.6
NOH 24.4 +2.3
SAS 22.1
Misc. StatsThis Game
AST %
56.4%
58.5%
NOH 38.2%
SAS 70.3% +32.1%
STL %
8.6%
7.1%
NOH 5.8% +2.3%
SAS 3.5%
BLK %
6.4%
6.5%
NOH 5.5%
SAS 8.2% +2.7%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.02 and 2.02.

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Shooting EfficiencyThis Game
TS%
53.3%
52.8%
NOH 50.6%
SAS 55.7% +5.1%
Rim FG%
58.2%
60.6%
NOH 42.3%
SAS 72.0% +29.7%
Mid FG%
43.1%
40.4%
NOH 45.7% +5.7%
SAS 40.0%
3P %
38.9%
36.9%
NOH 41.2% +9.4%
SAS 31.8%
FT %
76.9%
76.1%
NOH 73.7%
SAS 100.0% +26.3%
Shot DistributionThis Game
Rim Att. %
29.6%
30.8%
NOH 33.3% +0.9%
SAS 32.5%
Mid Att. %
46.5%
44.1%
NOH 44.9%
SAS 39.0% +5.9%
3P Att. %
23.9%
25.1%
NOH 21.8%
SAS 28.6% +6.8%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.
Game TotalsNOHSAS
Possessions8686
Possession Minutes22.325.8
Points8998
Rebounds3543
Assists1326
Steals53
Blocks35
Turnovers (Team)7 (0)10 (1)
Fouls
Off. Rebounds (Team)7 (1)8 (2)
Def. Rebounds (Team)28 (2)35 (3)
Field Goals34-7837-77
At-the-Rim FG11-2618-25
Midrange FG16-3512-30
2-Point FG27-6130-55
3-Point FG7-177-22
Free Throws14-1917-17
Fast Break Pts
2nd Chance Pts
Points in Paint
Pts off Turnovers
Bench Points
Biggest Lead

BOXSCORE

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PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
F · 6'9" 250 · 27
42.0
16
47%
6
4
1
0
1
5
2
4
4-6
67%
6-14
43%
0-0
-
F · 6'10" 229 · 31
38.0
11
46%
4
1
0
0
0
1
1
3
4-6
67%
2-5
40%
1-4
25%
C · 7'1" 240 · 25
36.6
8
67%
10
1
1
1
1
5
2
8
2-3
67%
3-5
60%
0-0
-
G · 6'0" 175 · 23
36.5
27
54%
4
4
1
0
0
0
0
4
4-4
100%
10-17
59%
1-6
17%
G · 6'7" 220 · 30
20.2
9
64%
1
0
0
0
0
2
0
1
0-0
-
0-4
0%
3-3
100%
G-F · 6'5" 210 · 31
19.5
2
14%
3
1
2
1
3
1
0
3
0-0
-
1-7
14%
0-0
-
G · 6'2" 188 · 33
15.9
5
83%
1
0
0
0
0
1
0
1
0-0
-
1-2
50%
1-1
100%
G · 6'1" 185 · 28
14.7
9
56%
4
2
0
0
2
1
1
3
0-0
-
3-5
60%
1-3
33%
F-C · 6'11" 235 · 23
11.4
2
50%
2
0
0
1
0
6
1
1
0-0
-
1-2
50%
0-0
-
F · 6'9" 218 · 32
5.3
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
-
0-0
-
F · 6'7" 215 · 29
C-F · 6'10" 260 · 30
#32 · F · 6'8" 225 · 21
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
TOTAL
240
89
51%
35
13
5
3
7
0
7
28
14-19
74%
27-61
44%
7-17
41%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.