FinalWin Prob.pScore
2617%87
100
883%99
127
ORTG#PossPace
MIL logo MIL
112.48994.9
DET logo DET
136.69387.6

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

PistonsBucksQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Scoring Margin

PistonsBucksQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Play-by-Play

Score / WinProb
ClockTeamEventMILDET
Q4 - 0:00.0DET100
0%
127
100%
Q4 - 0:12.0MILHayes STEAL (1 STL)100
0%
127
100%
Q4 - 0:25.0DETHerrmann Dunk (5 PTS) (Stuckey 5 AST)100
0%
127
100%
Q4 - 0:26.0DETDixon REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)100
0%
125
100%
Q4 - 0:28.0MILJohnson BLOCK (2 BLK)100
0%
125
100%
Q4 - 0:39.0MILBucks Rebound100
0%
125
100%
Q4 - 0:39.0DETMISS Dixon 25' 3PT Jump Shot100
0%
125
100%
Q4 - 0:48.0MILStuckey STEAL (1 STL)100
0%
125
100%
Q4 - 1:01DETDixon 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Stuckey 4 AST)100
0%
125
100%
Q4 - 1:15MILIvey Free Throw 2 of 2 (3 PTS)100
0.1%
122
99.9%
Q4 - 1:15MILIvey Free Throw 1 of 2 (2 PTS)99
0.1%
122
99.9%
Q4 - 1:18MILVoskuhl REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)98
0.1%
122
99.9%
Q4 - 1:20DETMISS Herrmann 9' Hook Shot98
0.1%
122
99.9%
Q4 - 1:32DETHayes REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)98
0.1%
122
99.9%
Q4 - 1:33MILMISS Bell 20' Jump Shot98
0.1%
122
99.9%
Q4 - 1:51MILYi REBOUND (Off:0 Def:6)98
0.1%
122
99.9%
Q4 - 1:53DETMISS Herrmann Layup98
0.1%
122
99.9%
Q4 - 2:11MILYi Foul Turnover (P2.T13)98
0.1%
122
99.9%
Q4 - 2:23DETHerrmann 25' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Stuckey 3 AST)98
0.1%
122
99.9%
Q4 - 2:46DETHerrmann REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)98
0.1%
119
99.9%
Q4 - 2:47DETMISS Hayes 3PT Jump Shot98
0.1%
119
99.9%
Q4 - 3:05MILIvey Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T12)98
0.1%
119
99.9%
Q4 - 3:12DETJohnson Layup (13 PTS) (Stuckey 2 AST)98
0.1%
119
99.9%
Q4 - 3:29MILIvey Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T11)98
0.1%
117
99.9%
Q4 - 3:47DETAfflalo Layup (7 PTS) (Hayes 1 AST)98
0.1%
117
99.9%
Q4 - 4:02DETJohnson REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)98
0.1%
115
99.9%
Q4 - 4:03MILMISS Ivey Free Throw 2 of 298
0.1%
115
99.9%
Q4 - 4:03MILIvey Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)98
0.1%
115
99.9%
Q4 - 4:18DETHayes 21' Jump Shot (7 PTS) (Stuckey 1 AST)97
0.1%
115
99.9%
Q4 - 4:33DETPISTONS Rebound97
0.1%
113
99.9%
Q4 - 4:34MILMISS Bell 26' 3PT Jump Shot97
0.1%
113
99.9%
Q4 - 4:46DETMaxiell Dunk (7 PTS) (Afflalo 2 AST)97
0.1%
113
99.9%
Q4 - 5:08MILYi Layup (8 PTS) (Bell 1 AST)97
0.3%
111
99.7%
Q4 - 5:28DETMaxiell Dunk (5 PTS) (Johnson 3 AST)95
0.2%
111
99.8%
Q4 - 5:36MILGadzuric Free Throw 2 of 2 (8 PTS)95
0.3%
109
99.7%
Q4 - 5:36MILGadzuric Free Throw 1 of 2 (7 PTS)94
0.2%
109
99.8%
Q4 - 5:37MILBucks Rebound93
0.2%
109
99.8%
Q4 - 5:37MILMISS Ivey Layup93
0.1%
109
99.9%
Q4 - 5:41MILGadzuric REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)93
0.2%
109
99.8%
Q4 - 5:42DETMISS Stuckey Tip Shot93
0.2%
109
99.8%
Q4 - 5:43DETStuckey REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)93
0.1%
109
99.9%
Q4 - 5:44DETMISS Stuckey 12' Running Jump Shot93
0.2%
109
99.8%
Q4 - 6:05MILBell Free Throw 2 of 2 (9 PTS)93
0.2%
109
99.8%
Q4 - 6:05MILMISS Bell Free Throw 1 of 292
0.2%
109
99.8%
Q4 - 6:08DETMaxiell Lost Ball Turnover (P3.T6)92
0.2%
109
99.8%
Q4 - 6:19MILSimmons 20' Jump Shot (2 PTS)92
0.1%
109
99.9%
Q4 - 6:34MILYi REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)90
0.1%
109
99.9%
Q4 - 6:37DETMISS Hayes 18' Fadeaway Jumper90
0.1%
109
99.9%
Q4 - 6:58MILGadzuric Putback Dunk (6 PTS)90
0.1%
109
99.9%
Q4 - 6:59MILGadzuric REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)88
0.1%
109
99.9%
Q4 - 7:00MILMISS Ivey 12' Jump Bank Shot88
0.1%
109
99.9%
Q4 - 7:13DETPISTONS Rebound88
0.1%
109
99.9%
Q4 - 7:13DETAfflalo Free Throw 2 of 2 (5 PTS)88
0.1%
109
99.9%
Q4 - 7:13DETMISS Afflalo Free Throw 1 of 288
0.1%
108
99.9%
Q4 - 7:15MILAfflalo STEAL (2 STL)88
0.1%
108
99.9%
Q4 - 7:28DETStuckey Free Throw 2 of 2 (6 PTS)88
0.1%
108
99.9%
Q4 - 7:28DETMISS Stuckey Free Throw 1 of 288
0.1%
107
99.9%
Q4 - 7:38MILBell 26' 3PT Jump Shot (8 PTS)88
0.1%
107
99.9%
Q4 - 7:48MILGadzuric REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)85
0.1%
107
99.9%
Q4 - 7:50DETMISS Stuckey 19' Jump Shot85
0.1%
107
99.9%
Q4 - 8:05DETAfflalo REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)85
0.1%
107
99.9%
Q4 - 8:07DETMISS Hayes 18' Jump Shot85
0.1%
107
99.9%
Q4 - 8:27MILBell Free Throw 1 of 1 (5 PTS)85
0.1%
107
99.9%
Q4 - 8:30DETAfflalo Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T5)82
0.1%
107
99.9%
Q4 - 8:37MILGadzuric Dunk (4 PTS) (Ivey 2 AST)82
0.1%
107
99.9%
Q4 - 8:44MILSimmons REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)80
0.1%
107
99.9%
Q4 - 8:45DETMISS Afflalo 24' 3PT Jump Shot80
0.1%
107
99.9%
Q4 - 9:02MILYi 16' Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Gadzuric 1 AST)80
0.1%
107
99.9%
Q4 - 9:25MILYi REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)78
0.1%
107
99.9%
Q4 - 9:27DETMISS Maxiell 16' Jump Shot78
0.1%
107
99.9%
Q4 - 9:54MILBell 14' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Ivey 1 AST)78
0.1%
107
99.9%
Q4 - 10:07DETHayes 24' 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Johnson 2 AST)76
0.1%
107
99.9%
Q4 - 10:29MILYi Driving Layup (4 PTS)76
0.1%
104
99.9%
Q4 - 10:50DETJohnson Layup (11 PTS) (Hamilton 3 AST)74
0.1%
104
99.9%
Q4 - 10:54DETMaxiell REBOUND (Off:3 Def:2)74
0.1%
102
99.9%
Q4 - 10:55MILMISS Ivey 15' Jump Shot74
0.1%
102
99.9%
Q4 - 11:17DETHamilton 16' Jump Shot (16 PTS)74
0.1%
102
99.9%
Q4 - 11:36DETJohnson REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)74
0.1%
100
99.9%
Q4 - 11:38MILMISS Bell 21' Jump Shot74
0.1%
100
99.9%
Q3 - 0:00.0DET74
0.1%
100
99.9%
Q3 - 0:00.0DETPISTONS Rebound74
0.1%
100
99.9%
Q3 - 0:00.0DETMISS Hayes 26' 3PT Jump Shot74
0.1%
100
99.9%
Q3 - 0:01.0DETMaxiell REBOUND (Off:3 Def:1)74
0.1%
100
99.9%
Q3 - 0:01.0DETMISS Maxiell 9' Jump Shot74
0.1%
100
99.9%
Q3 - 0:20.0DETHayes REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)74
0.1%
100
99.9%
Q3 - 0:23.0MILMISS Gadzuric Free Throw 2 of 274
0.1%
100
99.9%
Q3 - 0:23.0MILMISS Gadzuric Free Throw 1 of 274
0.1%
100
99.9%
Q3 - 0:25.0DETHamilton Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T4)74
0.1%
100
99.9%
Q3 - 0:34.0DETMaxiell REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)74
0.1%
100
99.9%
Q3 - 0:34.0DETMISS Maxiell Free Throw 2 of 274
0.1%
100
99.9%
Q3 - 0:34.0DETMISS Maxiell Free Throw 1 of 274
0.1%
100
99.9%
Q3 - 0:37.0DETJohnson REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)74
0.1%
100
99.9%
Q3 - 0:42.0MILMISS Bell 29' 3PT Jump Shot74
0.1%
100
99.9%
Q3 - 0:47.0MILSimmons REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)74
0.1%
100
99.9%
Q3 - 0:50.0MILMISS Gadzuric Dunk74
0.1%
100
99.9%
Q3 - 0:51.0MILGadzuric REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)74
0.1%
100
99.9%
Q3 - 0:51.0MILMISS Williams 22' Jump Shot74
0.1%
100
99.9%
Q3 - 0:59.0DETJohnson Layup (9 PTS) (Hamilton 2 AST)74
0.1%
100
99.9%
Q3 - 1:06DETJohnson REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)74
0.2%
98
99.8%
Q3 - 1:08DETMISS Billups 17' Jump Shot74
0.3%
98
99.7%
Q3 - 1:32MILVillanueva Free Throw 2 of 2 (18 PTS)74
0.2%
98
99.8%
Q3 - 1:32MILVillanueva Free Throw 1 of 2 (17 PTS)73
0.2%
98
99.8%
Q3 - 1:41MILVillanueva REBOUND (Off:3 Def:1)72
0.2%
98
99.8%
Q3 - 1:42DETMISS Maxiell 16' Jump Shot72
0.2%
98
99.8%
Q3 - 2:00MILGadzuric Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)72
0.1%
98
99.9%
Q3 - 2:00MILMISS Gadzuric Free Throw 1 of 271
0.1%
98
99.9%
Q3 - 2:20DETMaxiell Free Throw 1 of 1 (3 PTS)71
0.2%
98
99.8%
Q3 - 2:24MILMcDyess STEAL (1 STL)71
0.3%
95
99.7%
Q3 - 2:38DETHamilton Free Throw 1 of 1 (14 PTS)71
0.3%
95
99.7%
Q3 - 2:47DETMaxiell REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)71
0.4%
92
99.6%
Q3 - 2:48MILMISS Williams 19' Jump Shot71
0.5%
92
99.5%
Q3 - 3:04DETMcDyess Layup (15 PTS)71
0.6%
92
99.4%
Q3 - 3:22MILMason Free Throw 1 of 1 (7 PTS)71
0.7%
90
99.3%
Q3 - 3:27DETBillups Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T3)68
0.5%
90
99.5%
Q3 - 3:41MILVillanueva Putback Layup (16 PTS)68
0.4%
90
99.6%
Q3 - 3:44MILVillanueva REBOUND (Off:3 Def:0)66
0.4%
90
99.6%
Q3 - 3:46MILMISS Redd Free Throw 3 of 366
0.3%
90
99.7%
Q3 - 3:46MILMISS Redd Free Throw 2 of 366
0.4%
90
99.6%
Q3 - 3:46MILMISS Redd Free Throw 1 of 366
0.4%
90
99.6%
Q3 - 3:52MILRedd REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)66
0.4%
90
99.6%
Q3 - 3:53DETMISS Maxiell Layup66
0.3%
90
99.7%
Q3 - 4:11DETHamilton REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)66
0.3%
90
99.7%
Q3 - 4:13MILMISS Villanueva 16' Turnaround Jump Shot66
0.4%
90
99.6%
Q3 - 4:34DETBillups 26' 3PT Jump Shot (21 PTS)66
0.4%
90
99.6%
Q3 - 4:47MILVillanueva 10' Running Jump Shot (14 PTS)66
0.6%
87
99.4%
Q3 - 4:59MILRedd REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)64
0.5%
87
99.5%
Q3 - 5:01DETMISS Billups 25' 3PT Jump Shot64
0.5%
87
99.5%
Q3 - 5:23MILWilliams 20' Jump Shot (16 PTS)64
0.5%
87
99.5%
Q3 - 5:34DETMcDyess Reverse Dunk (13 PTS) (Prince 3 AST)62
0.4%
87
99.6%
Q3 - 5:55MILVillanueva 18' Jump Shot (12 PTS) (Mason 2 AST)62
0.5%
85
99.5%
Q3 - 6:05DETWallace Layup (17 PTS) (Billups 10 AST)60
0.5%
85
99.5%
Q3 - 6:18MILWilliams 17' Jump Shot (14 PTS)60
0.5%
83
99.5%
Q3 - 6:26DETPrince 19' Jump Shot (10 PTS) (McDyess 3 AST)58
0.5%
83
99.5%
Q3 - 6:48MILBogut Free Throw 2 of 2 (11 PTS)58
0.5%
81
99.5%
Q3 - 6:48MILBogut Free Throw 1 of 2 (10 PTS)57
0.5%
81
99.5%
Q3 - 7:07DETWallace Free Throw 2 of 2 (15 PTS)56
0.5%
81
99.5%
Q3 - 7:07DETWallace Free Throw 1 of 2 (14 PTS)56
0.5%
80
99.5%
Q3 - 7:07DETWallace Free Throw Technical (13 PTS)56
0.6%
79
99.4%
Q3 - 7:07DETWallace Free Throw Technical (12 PTS)56
0.7%
78
99.3%
Q3 - 7:28DETMcDyess REBOUND (Off:3 Def:4)56
0.8%
77
99.2%
Q3 - 7:29MILMISS Villanueva 26' 3PT Jump Shot56
0.8%
77
99.2%
Q3 - 7:35MILVillanueva REBOUND (Off:2 Def:0)56
1.0%
77
99.0%
Q3 - 7:36MILMISS Mason 11' Jump Shot56
0.8%
77
99.2%
Q3 - 7:56DETWallace Reverse Layup (11 PTS) (Billups 9 AST)56
1.0%
77
99.0%
Q3 - 7:59DETPrince REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)56
1.1%
75
98.9%
Q3 - 8:00MILMISS Villanueva 16' Jump Shot56
1.1%
75
98.9%
Q3 - 8:24DETPrince 13' Jump Shot (8 PTS)56
1.4%
75
98.6%
Q3 - 8:49MILVillanueva Free Throw 2 of 2 (10 PTS)56
1.6%
73
98.4%
Q3 - 8:49MILVillanueva Free Throw 1 of 2 (9 PTS)55
1.5%
73
98.5%
Q3 - 9:02DETMcDyess Free Throw 2 of 2 (11 PTS)54
1.4%
73
98.6%
Q3 - 9:02DETMISS McDyess Free Throw 1 of 254
1.5%
72
98.5%
Q3 - 9:20MILVillanueva Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T8)54
1.4%
72
98.6%
Q3 - 9:33DETWallace Free Throw 2 of 2 (9 PTS)54
1.6%
72
98.4%
Q3 - 9:33DETWallace Free Throw 1 of 2 (8 PTS)54
1.7%
71
98.3%
Q3 - 9:56MILRedd 3PT Jump Shot (18 PTS) (Mason 1 AST)54
1.9%
70
98.1%
Q3 - 10:02MILMason REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)51
1.5%
70
98.5%
Q3 - 10:03DETMISS Hamilton 15' Jump Shot51
1.4%
70
98.6%
Q3 - 10:20MILRedd Free Throw 1 of 1 (15 PTS)51
1.3%
70
98.7%
Q3 - 10:43DETHamilton Free Throw 1 of 1 (11 PTS)48
1.0%
70
99.0%
Q3 - 11:05MILMason 21' Jump Shot (4 PTS)48
1.3%
67
98.7%
Q3 - 11:30DETMcDyess 19' Jump Shot (10 PTS) (Billups 7 AST)46
1.2%
67
98.8%
Q3 - 11:43DETPISTONS Rebound46
1.3%
65
98.7%
Q3 - 11:43DETMISS Hamilton Layup46
1.5%
65
98.5%
Q2 - 0:00.0DET46
1.3%
65
98.7%
Q2 - 0:03.0DETBillups Free Throw 2 of 2 (18 PTS)46
1.6%
65
98.4%
Q2 - 0:03.0DETBillups Free Throw 1 of 2 (17 PTS)46
1.7%
64
98.3%
Q2 - 0:13.0DETJump Ball Afflalo vs. Redd: Tip to Billups46
2.0%
63
98.0%
Q2 - 0:22.0MILAfflalo BLOCK (1 BLK)46
2.0%
63
98.0%
Q2 - 0:34.0DETBillups Free Throw 2 of 2 (16 PTS)46
2.1%
63
97.9%
Q2 - 0:34.0DETBillups Free Throw 1 of 2 (15 PTS)46
2.2%
62
97.8%
Q2 - 0:40.0DETPISTONS Rebound46
2.5%
61
97.5%
Q2 - 0:41.0DETMISS Prince Layup46
2.7%
61
97.3%
Q2 - 0:59.0MILRedd Driving Layup (12 PTS)46
2.5%
61
97.5%
Q2 - 1:09DETBillups Free Throw 2 of 2 (14 PTS)44
2.2%
61
97.8%
Q2 - 1:09DETMISS Billups Free Throw 1 of 244
2.3%
60
97.7%
Q2 - 1:13MILAfflalo STEAL (1 STL)44
2.4%
60
97.6%
Q2 - 1:31DETJohnson Free Throw 1 of 1 (7 PTS)44
2.5%
60
97.5%
Q2 - 1:32DETJohnson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)44
3.5%
57
96.5%
Q2 - 1:33DETMISS Prince 20' Jump Shot44
3.6%
57
96.4%
Q2 - 1:46DETWallace REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)44
3.5%
57
96.5%
Q2 - 1:48MILMISS Bogut Tip Shot44
3.5%
57
96.5%
Q2 - 1:49MILBogut REBOUND (Off:3 Def:2)44
3.7%
57
96.3%
Q2 - 1:50MILMISS Redd 21' Jump Shot44
3.5%
57
96.5%
Q2 - 2:05DETBillups Free Throw 2 of 2 (13 PTS)44
4.0%
57
96.0%
Q2 - 2:05DETBillups Free Throw 1 of 2 (12 PTS)44
4.0%
56
96.0%
Q2 - 2:12DETPISTONS Rebound44
4.5%
55
95.5%
Q2 - 2:13MILMISS Williams 20' Jump Shot44
4.6%
55
95.4%
Q2 - 2:15MILBucks Rebound44
5.0%
55
95.0%
Q2 - 2:16MILWallace BLOCK (3 BLK)44
4.6%
55
95.4%
Q2 - 2:36DETJohnson 7' Hook Shot (4 PTS) (Billups 6 AST)44
5.0%
55
95.0%
Q2 - 2:54DETBillups REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)44
5.7%
53
94.3%
Q2 - 2:56MILMISS Williams 26' 3PT Jump Shot44
5.9%
53
94.1%
Q2 - 3:01MILMason REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)44
6.5%
53
93.5%
Q2 - 3:02DETMISS Billups 26' 3PT Jump Shot44
6.3%
53
93.7%
Q2 - 3:09DETBillups REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)44
5.7%
53
94.3%
Q2 - 3:10DETMISS Wallace 26' 3PT Jump Shot44
6.3%
53
93.7%
Q2 - 3:26DETPrince REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)44
5.7%
53
94.3%
Q2 - 3:27MILMISS Villanueva 18' Jump Shot44
6.0%
53
94.0%
Q2 - 3:46DETBillups Free Throw 2 of 2 (11 PTS)44
6.5%
53
93.5%
Q2 - 3:46DETBillups Free Throw 1 of 2 (10 PTS)44
6.6%
52
93.4%
Q2 - 3:51DETPISTONS Rebound44
7.2%
51
92.8%
Q2 - 3:51DETMISS Afflalo Layup44
7.8%
51
92.2%
Q2 - 3:54MILJohnson STEAL (2 STL)44
7.2%
51
92.8%
Q2 - 4:04DETStuckey Free Throw 2 of 2 (5 PTS)44
8.1%
51
91.9%
Q2 - 4:04DETStuckey Free Throw 1 of 2 (4 PTS)44
8.2%
50
91.8%
Q2 - 4:25MILWilliams 20' Jump Shot (12 PTS)44
9.0%
49
91.0%
Q2 - 4:33MILBogut REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)42
8.1%
49
91.9%
Q2 - 4:34DETMISS Stuckey 21' Jump Shot42
7.8%
49
92.2%
Q2 - 4:51MILWilliams Free Throw 2 of 2 (10 PTS)42
7.2%
49
92.8%
Q2 - 4:51MILWilliams Free Throw 1 of 2 (9 PTS)41
7.2%
49
92.8%
Q2 - 5:08DETJohnson Dunk (2 PTS) (Afflalo 1 AST)40
6.6%
49
93.4%
Q2 - 5:13DETWallace REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)40
7.2%
47
92.8%
Q2 - 5:14MILMISS Williams 26' 3PT Jump Shot40
7.5%
47
92.5%
Q2 - 5:25MILMISS Redd Free Throw Technical40
8.1%
47
91.9%
Q2 - 5:39DETWallace 13' Turnaround Jump Shot (7 PTS) (Prince 2 AST)40
8.1%
47
91.9%
Q2 - 5:57DETJohnson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)40
8.9%
45
91.1%
Q2 - 5:59MILMISS Bogut Layup40
9.2%
45
90.8%
Q2 - 6:09DETAfflalo Dunk (4 PTS) (Johnson 1 AST)40
10.0%
45
90.0%
Q2 - 6:12MILJohnson STEAL (1 STL)40
10.8%
43
89.2%
Q2 - 6:31DETAfflalo Reverse Layup (2 PTS) (Wallace 1 AST)40
12.2%
43
87.8%
Q2 - 6:36MILWallace STEAL (1 STL)40
13.1%
41
86.9%
Q2 - 6:55DETStuckey 20' Jump Shot (3 PTS)40
14.7%
41
85.3%
Q2 - 7:00DETStuckey REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)40
15.8%
39
84.2%
Q2 - 7:02MILWallace BLOCK (2 BLK)40
16.3%
39
83.7%
Q2 - 7:10MILGadzuric REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)40
17.4%
39
82.6%
Q2 - 7:11DETMISS Prince 8' Jump Shot40
16.9%
39
83.1%
Q2 - 7:26DETAfflalo REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)40
15.8%
39
84.2%
Q2 - 7:27MILMISS Redd 21' Jump Shot40
16.3%
39
83.7%
Q2 - 7:42MILYi REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)40
17.4%
39
82.6%
Q2 - 7:43DETMISS Stuckey Free Throw 2 of 240
17.2%
39
82.8%
Q2 - 7:43DETStuckey Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)40
16.2%
39
83.8%
Q2 - 7:45DETWallace REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)40
17.3%
38
82.7%
Q2 - 7:49MILJohnson BLOCK (1 BLK)40
17.8%
38
82.2%
Q2 - 7:58DETWallace Putback Dunk (5 PTS)40
19.0%
38
81.0%
Q2 - 7:59DETWallace REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)40
20.5%
36
79.5%
Q2 - 8:01DETMISS Johnson 12' Hook Shot40
21.6%
36
78.4%
Q2 - 8:34MILYi Dunk (2 PTS) (Simmons 1 AST)40
20.2%
36
79.8%
Q2 - 8:45MILGadzuric REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)38
18.8%
36
81.2%
Q2 - 8:47DETMISS Wallace 10' Turnaround Jump Shot38
18.3%
36
81.7%
Q2 - 9:08MILWilliams 16' Jump Shot (8 PTS)38
16.8%
36
83.2%
Q2 - 9:18MILYi REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)36
15.6%
36
84.4%
Q2 - 9:19DETMISS Stuckey Layup36
15.1%
36
84.9%
Q2 - 9:26DETHamilton REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)36
14.2%
36
85.8%
Q2 - 9:27MILMISS Simmons 19' Jump Shot36
14.6%
36
85.4%
Q2 - 9:42MILYi REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)36
15.6%
36
84.4%
Q2 - 9:43DETMISS Hamilton 27' 3PT Jump Shot36
15.1%
36
84.9%
Q2 - 10:03DETHayes REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)36
14.3%
36
85.7%
Q2 - 10:03MILMISS Gadzuric Free Throw 2 of 236
14.4%
36
85.6%
Q2 - 10:03MILGadzuric Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)36
15.0%
36
85.0%
Q2 - 10:15MILWilliams REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)35
14.4%
36
85.6%
Q2 - 10:16DETMISS Stuckey 17' Jump Shot35
14.0%
36
86.0%
Q2 - 10:38MILYi Traveling Turnover (P1.T3)35
13.1%
36
86.9%
Q2 - 10:59DETMcDyess Dunk (8 PTS) (Billups 5 AST)35
14.4%
36
85.6%
Q2 - 11:15DETPISTONS Rebound35
15.2%
34
84.8%
Q2 - 11:16MILMISS Gadzuric 21' Jump Shot35
15.5%
34
84.5%
Q2 - 11:26MILBucks Rebound35
16.5%
34
83.5%
Q2 - 11:27MILMcDyess BLOCK (1 BLK)35
15.6%
34
84.4%
Q2 - 11:42DETBillups Free Throw 2 of 2 (9 PTS)35
16.5%
34
83.5%
Q2 - 11:42DETMISS Billups Free Throw 1 of 235
16.6%
33
83.4%
Q1 - 0:00.0DET35
16.5%
33
83.5%
Q1 - 0:00.0DETPISTONS Rebound35
16.5%
33
83.5%
Q1 - 0:00.0DETMISS Billups 70' 3PT Jump Shot35
17.5%
33
82.5%
Q1 - 0:01.0DETMcDyess REBOUND (Off:3 Def:3)35
16.4%
33
83.6%
Q1 - 0:01.0MILMISS Bogut Layup35
16.8%
33
83.2%
Q1 - 0:19.0MILRedd REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)35
17.5%
33
82.5%
Q1 - 0:20.0DETMISS Hayes 25' 3PT Jump Shot35
17.1%
33
82.9%
Q1 - 0:42.0MILBogut 8' Hook Shot (9 PTS)35
16.4%
33
83.6%
Q1 - 1:01DETBillups Driving Layup (8 PTS)33
14.9%
33
85.1%
Q1 - 1:06DETMcDyess REBOUND (Off:3 Def:2)33
16.4%
31
83.6%
Q1 - 1:07MILMISS Villanueva Layup33
16.7%
31
83.3%
Q1 - 1:11DETMaxiell Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T2)33
17.4%
31
82.6%
Q1 - 1:14DETMaxiell REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)33
16.4%
31
83.6%
Q1 - 1:15DETMISS McDyess 17' Jump Shot33
17.1%
31
82.9%
Q1 - 1:28MILRedd Free Throw 1 of 1 (10 PTS)33
16.4%
31
83.6%
Q1 - 1:29DETMaxiell Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T1)30
13.7%
31
86.3%
Q1 - 1:40MILVillanueva 18' Jump Shot (8 PTS)30
12.9%
31
87.1%
Q1 - 1:53MILMason REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)28
11.6%
31
88.4%
Q1 - 1:55DETMISS Hayes 20' Jump Shot28
11.4%
31
88.6%
Q1 - 2:12MILWilliams 26' 3PT Jump Shot (6 PTS)28
10.8%
31
89.2%
Q1 - 2:33DETHayes 20' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (McDyess 2 AST)25
9.1%
31
90.9%
Q1 - 2:43MILRedd Free Throw 1 of 1 (7 PTS)25
9.9%
29
90.1%
Q1 - 2:55DETPrince 20' Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Billups 4 AST)22
8.3%
29
91.7%
Q1 - 3:13MILMason 16' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Williams 3 AST)22
9.1%
27
90.9%
Q1 - 3:35DETPrince 6' Hook Shot (4 PTS)20
8.4%
27
91.6%
Q1 - 3:44DETPrince REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)20
9.1%
25
90.9%
Q1 - 3:45DETMISS Wallace 27' 3PT Jump Shot20
9.7%
25
90.3%
Q1 - 4:02MILBogut 6' Hook Shot (7 PTS)20
8.9%
25
91.1%
Q1 - 4:22DETHamilton Free Throw 2 of 2 (8 PTS)18
8.4%
25
91.6%
Q1 - 4:22DETHamilton Free Throw 1 of 2 (7 PTS)18
8.4%
24
91.6%
Q1 - 4:44MILRedd Driving Layup (4 PTS)18
8.9%
23
91.1%
Q1 - 5:07DETWallace 27' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Hamilton 1 AST)16
8.3%
23
91.7%
Q1 - 5:24MILVillanueva 16' Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Williams 2 AST)16
9.6%
20
90.4%
Q1 - 5:37DETMcDyess Driving Reverse Layup (6 PTS) (Billups 3 AST)14
8.9%
20
91.1%
Q1 - 5:56MILWilliams 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Redd 2 AST)14
9.6%
18
90.4%
Q1 - 6:15DETBillups 26' 3PT Jump Shot (6 PTS)11
8.3%
18
91.7%
Q1 - 6:29MILVillanueva 18' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Bogut 1 AST)11
9.6%
15
90.4%
Q1 - 6:38MILMISS Redd Free Throw Technical9
8.9%
15
91.1%
Q1 - 6:58DETHamilton 17' Fadeaway Jumper (6 PTS)9
8.9%
15
91.1%
Q1 - 7:05DETHamilton REBOUND (Off:2 Def:0)9
9.6%
13
90.4%
Q1 - 7:07DETMISS Hamilton 15' Jump Shot9
10.1%
13
89.9%
Q1 - 7:28MILRedd 7' Running Jump Shot (2 PTS)9
9.6%
13
90.4%
Q1 - 7:51DETHamilton 19' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Billups 2 AST)7
9.0%
13
91.0%
Q1 - 8:01MILBogut Putback Layup (5 PTS)7
9.4%
11
90.6%
Q1 - 8:03MILBogut REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)5
8.8%
11
91.2%
Q1 - 8:04MILMISS Bogut 8' Jump Shot5
8.4%
11
91.6%
Q1 - 8:19MILMason REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)5
8.8%
11
91.2%
Q1 - 8:22DETMISS Prince 24' 3PT Jump Shot5
8.6%
11
91.4%
Q1 - 8:30DETWallace REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)5
8.2%
11
91.8%
Q1 - 8:31MILWallace BLOCK (1 BLK)5
8.4%
11
91.6%
Q1 - 8:32MILVillanueva REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)5
8.9%
11
91.1%
Q1 - 8:33MILBillups BLOCK (1 BLK)5
8.4%
11
91.6%
Q1 - 8:42DETPrince 16' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Billups 1 AST)5
8.9%
11
91.1%
Q1 - 8:48DETMcDyess REBOUND (Off:3 Def:1)5
9.4%
9
90.6%
Q1 - 8:50MILMISS Bogut Layup5
9.6%
9
90.4%
Q1 - 8:51MILBogut REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)5
10.2%
9
89.8%
Q1 - 8:52MILMISS Redd 15' Jump Shot5
9.6%
9
90.4%
Q1 - 9:01DETHamilton 18' Jump Shot (2 PTS)5
10.1%
9
89.9%
Q1 - 9:03DETHamilton REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)5
10.6%
7
89.4%
Q1 - 9:04DETMcDyess REBOUND (Off:3 Def:0)5
10.6%
7
89.4%
Q1 - 9:04DETMISS McDyess Layup5
11.3%
7
88.7%
Q1 - 9:05DETMISS McDyess Tip Shot5
11.3%
7
88.7%
Q1 - 9:05DETMcDyess REBOUND (Off:2 Def:0)5
10.6%
7
89.4%
Q1 - 9:06DETMISS Hamilton 9' Jump Shot5
11.3%
7
88.7%
Q1 - 9:20MILBogut Free Throw 1 of 1 (3 PTS)5
10.6%
7
89.4%
Q1 - 9:30DETMcDyess 15' Jump Shot (4 PTS)2
9.4%
7
90.6%
Q1 - 9:47MILVillanueva Reverse Layup (2 PTS) (Williams 1 AST)2
9.9%
5
90.1%
Q1 - 10:06DETBillups 27' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (McDyess 1 AST)0
9.4%
5
90.6%
Q1 - 10:11DETMcDyess REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)0
10.6%
2
89.4%
Q1 - 10:12DETMISS Billups 19' Jump Shot0
11.2%
2
88.8%
Q1 - 10:27DETWallace REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)0
10.6%
2
89.4%
Q1 - 10:28MILMISS Mason 17' Jump Shot0
10.9%
2
89.1%
Q1 - 10:51DETMcDyess 14' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Prince 1 AST)0
11.5%
2
88.5%
Q1 - 11:07MILRedd Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T2)0
12.2%
0
87.8%
Q1 - 11:18MILBogut REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)0
12.9%
0
87.1%
Q1 - 11:20DETMISS Hamilton 15' Turnaround Jump Shot0
12.7%
0
87.3%
Q1 - 11:36MILWilliams Traveling Turnover (P1.T1)0
12.2%
0
87.8%
Q1 - 12:00DETJump Ball Wallace vs. Bogut: Tip to Villanueva0
12.9%
0
87.1%

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

MIL
1.15 57.5%
DET
1.18 58.8%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)
MIL
14
25
56%
DET
19
28
68%
Midrange
MIL
19
40
48%
DET
20
42
48%
3PT | Effective 3PT
MIL
4
6.0
10
40%
60%
DET
7
10.5
19
37%
55%
Free Throws
MIL
22
33
67%
DET
28
36
78%
Makes
Effective 3P Makes
%
Efficiency
Misses
Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|
MIL logo Bucks
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
M. Redd1869%9.0 / 13
C. Villanueva1860%9.0 / 15
M. Williams1667%8.0 / 12
A. Bogut1150%5.5 / 11
C. Bell956%4.5 / 8
J. Yi867%4.0 / 6
D. Gadzuric850%4.0 / 8
D. Mason770%3.5 / 5
R. Ivey325%1.5 / 6
B. Simmons250%1.0 / 2
TS Makes
TS Misses

Total Points

|
DET logo Pistons
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
C. Billups2175%10.5 / 14
R. Wallace1785%8.5 / 10
R. Hamilton1662%8.0 / 13
A. McDyess1568%7.5 / 11
A. Johnson1393%6.5 / 7
T. Prince1056%5.0 / 9
J. Hayes739%3.5 / 9
J. Maxiell744%3.5 / 8
A. Afflalo758%3.5 / 6
R. Stuckey630%3.0 / 10
W. Herrmann563%2.5 / 4
J. Dixon375%1.5 / 2
TS Makes
TS Misses

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

MIL
74
+12
-15
86
DET
87
+22
-6
109
Base
ORB
TOV

Scoring Efficiency

MIL
1.15 57.5%
DET
1.18 58.8%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Efficiency & PaceThis Game
Efficiency
105.5
110.3
MIL 112.4
DET 136.6 +24.2
Pace
91.2
88.2
MIL 94.9 +7.3
DET 87.6
Avg. Poss. Time
16.0
16.9
MIL 15.2 +1.3
DET 16.4
Four FactorsThis Game
EFG %
48.2%
49.5%
MIL 52.0%
DET 55.6% +3.6%
TO %
15.5%
12.6%
MIL 14.4%
DET 5.4% +9.0%
ORB %
30.1%
29.4%
MIL 25.7%
DET 41.0% +15.3%
FTrt
29.4
30.0
MIL 44.0 +3.6
DET 40.4
Misc. StatsThis Game
AST %
58.2%
61.1%
MIL 43.2%
DET 71.7% +28.5%
STL %
7.2%
8.1%
MIL 6.7%
DET 8.6% +1.9%
BLK %
7.2%
9.4%
MIL 11.4%
DET 12.3% +0.9%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Shooting EfficiencyThis Game
TS%
50.9%
52.4%
MIL 57.5%
DET 58.8% +1.3%
Rim FG%
54.3%
60.1%
MIL 56.0%
DET 67.9% +11.9%
Mid FG%
41.4%
41.7%
MIL 47.5%
DET 47.6% +0.1%
3P %
34.4%
36.6%
MIL 40.0% +3.2%
DET 36.8%
FT %
73.3%
76.7%
MIL 66.7%
DET 77.8% +11.1%
Shot DistributionThis Game
Rim Att. %
37.4%
27.8%
MIL 33.3% +1.9%
DET 31.5%
Mid Att. %
43.2%
51.9%
MIL 53.3%
DET 47.2% +6.1%
3P Att. %
19.5%
20.3%
MIL 13.3%
DET 21.3% +8.0%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.
Game TotalsMILDET
Possessions8993
Possession Minutes22.525.5
Points100127
Rebounds3242
Assists1633
Steals68
Blocks88
Turnovers (Team)15 (0)6 (0)
Fouls
Off. Rebounds (Team)9 (3)16 (6)
Def. Rebounds (Team)23 (1)26 (4)
Field Goals37-7546-89
At-the-Rim FG14-2519-28
Midrange FG19-4020-42
2-Point FG33-6539-70
3-Point FG4-107-19
Free Throws22-3328-36
Fast Break Pts
2nd Chance Pts
Points in Paint
Pts off Turnovers
Bench Points
Biggest Lead

BOXSCORE

Access to boxscore predictions requires a premium subscription.
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
G · 6'1" 198 · 25
31.6
16
67%
1
5
1
1
2
3
0
1
2-2
100%
4-7
57%
2-4
50%
G · 6'6" 215 · 28
30.3
18
69%
3
2
1
2
3
3
0
3
3-8
38%
6-11
55%
1-1
100%
C · 7'0" 260 · 23
28.4
11
50%
5
1
0
0
1
0
3
2
3-3
100%
4-10
40%
0-0
-
F · 6'11" 232 · 23
28.3
18
60%
4
0
1
1
1
4
3
1
4-4
100%
7-11
64%
0-2
0%
F · 6'5" 222 · 30
27.4
7
70%
4
2
0
1
1
4
0
4
1-1
100%
3-5
60%
0-0
-
G · 6'3" 200 · 29
21.7
9
56%
0
1
0
0
1
3
0
0
2-3
67%
2-4
50%
1-3
33%
F · 7'0" 250 · 20
19.6
8
67%
6
0
0
1
2
4
0
6
0-0
-
4-6
67%
0-0
-
F · 6'6" 235 · 28
18.5
2
50%
2
2
1
0
0
3
1
1
0-0
-
1-2
50%
0-0
-
C · 6'11" 240 · 30
15.5
8
50%
6
1
2
1
1
2
2
4
4-8
50%
2-5
40%
0-0
-
G · 6'4" 200 · 26
12.4
3
25%
0
2
0
0
2
0
0
0
3-4
75%
0-4
0%
0-0
-
F-C · 6'8" 248 · 31
4.0
0
0%
0
0
0
1
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
-
0-0
-
C · 6'11" 255 · 30
2.2
0
0%
1
0
0
0
1
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-0
-
0-0
-
#34 · F-G · 6'6" 230 · 24
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
#20 · F-G · 6'6" 225 · 31
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
#7 · G · 6'3" 190 · 22
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
TOTAL
240
100
57%
32
16
6
8
15
0
9
23
22-33
67%
33-65
51%
4-10
40%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.