FinalWin Prob.pScore
1842%90
92
2058%92
99
ORTG#PossPace
MIA logo MIA
97.99493.0
CHI logo CHI
102.19798.9

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

BullsHeatQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Scoring Margin

BullsHeatQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Play-by-Play

Score / WinProb
ClockTeamEventMIACHI
Q4 - 0:00.0CHI92
0%
99
100%
Q4 - 0:04.0CHIThomas REBOUND (Off:3 Def:9)92
0.1%
99
99.9%
Q4 - 0:05.0MIAMISS Wade 25' 3PT Jump Shot92
0.1%
99
99.9%
Q4 - 0:12.0CHISefolosha Free Throw 2 of 2 (17 PTS)92
0.1%
99
99.9%
Q4 - 0:12.0CHIMISS Sefolosha Free Throw 1 of 292
0.2%
98
99.8%
Q4 - 0:19.0CHIHinrich Free Throw 2 of 2 (24 PTS)89
0.1%
98
99.9%
Q4 - 0:19.0CHIHinrich Free Throw 1 of 2 (23 PTS)89
0.1%
97
99.9%
Q4 - 0:20.0MIADavis 10' Jump Shot (7 PTS)89
0.1%
96
99.9%
Q4 - 0:34.0MIAMarion REBOUND (Off:0 Def:7)87
0.1%
96
99.9%
Q4 - 0:36.0CHISefolosha REBOUND (Off:4 Def:8)87
0.1%
96
99.9%
Q4 - 0:36.0CHIMISS Sefolosha Tip Shot87
0.1%
96
99.9%
Q4 - 0:37.0CHIMISS Nocioni 23' Jump Shot87
0.1%
96
99.9%
Q4 - 0:42.0CHISmith REBOUND (Off:4 Def:7)87
0.1%
96
99.9%
Q4 - 0:44.0CHIMISS Hinrich 24' 3PT Jump Shot87
0.2%
96
99.8%
Q4 - 1:03CHISmith REBOUND (Off:3 Def:7)87
0.2%
96
99.8%
Q4 - 1:06MIAMISS Davis 28' 3PT Jump Shot87
0.3%
96
99.7%
Q4 - 1:17CHISmith Free Throw 2 of 2 (19 PTS)87
0.7%
96
99.3%
Q4 - 1:17CHISmith Free Throw 1 of 2 (18 PTS)87
0.8%
95
99.2%
Q4 - 1:31CHIHinrich REBOUND (Off:1 Def:6)87
1.6%
94
98.4%
Q4 - 1:33MIAMISS Wade 17' Jump Shot87
1.9%
94
98.1%
Q4 - 1:41MIADavis REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)87
3.2%
94
96.8%
Q4 - 1:43CHIMISS Thomas Free Throw 2 of 287
3.0%
94
97.0%
Q4 - 1:43CHIThomas Free Throw 1 of 2 (10 PTS)87
2.3%
94
97.7%
Q4 - 1:44MIAThomas STEAL (1 STL)87
3.2%
93
96.8%
Q4 - 1:56CHISefolosha Free Throw 2 of 2 (16 PTS)87
5.4%
93
94.6%
Q4 - 1:56CHISefolosha Free Throw 1 of 2 (15 PTS)87
6.1%
92
93.9%
Q4 - 1:59CHISefolosha REBOUND (Off:3 Def:8)87
8.1%
91
91.9%
Q4 - 2:01MIAMISS Blount 15' Jump Shot87
9.9%
91
90.1%
Q4 - 2:18CHIHinrich 19' Jump Shot (22 PTS) (Thomas 1 AST)87
15.1%
91
84.9%
Q4 - 2:30MIABanks 25' 3PT Jump Shot (9 PTS) (Wade 7 AST)87
18.5%
89
81.5%
Q4 - 2:45CHIThomas Free Throw 2 of 2 (9 PTS)84
10.3%
89
89.7%
Q4 - 2:45CHIMISS Thomas Free Throw 1 of 284
11.4%
88
88.6%
Q4 - 2:54CHISmith REBOUND (Off:3 Def:6)84
9.8%
88
90.2%
Q4 - 2:57MIAMISS Blount Free Throw 2 of 284
10.4%
88
89.6%
Q4 - 2:57MIABlount Free Throw 1 of 2 (6 PTS)84
13.0%
88
87.0%
Q4 - 3:12MIAMarion REBOUND (Off:0 Def:6)83
11.3%
88
88.7%
Q4 - 3:14CHIMISS Nocioni 25' 3PT Jump Shot83
9.5%
88
90.5%
Q4 - 3:20CHISefolosha REBOUND (Off:3 Def:7)83
6.4%
88
93.6%
Q4 - 3:22MIAThomas BLOCK (4 BLK)83
7.6%
88
92.4%
Q4 - 3:34CHISmith 18' Jump Shot (17 PTS) (Hinrich 4 AST)83
13.5%
88
86.5%
Q4 - 3:48MIAMarion 5' Running Hook Shot (23 PTS) (Wade 6 AST)83
17.7%
86
82.3%
Q4 - 4:13CHISmith 19' Jump Shot (15 PTS) (Hinrich 3 AST)81
12.8%
86
87.2%
Q4 - 4:25MIABanks Out of Bounds Lost Ball Turnover (P4.T17)81
17.2%
84
82.8%
Q4 - 4:42CHIHinrich 21' Jump Shot (20 PTS)81
23.6%
84
76.4%
Q4 - 4:55MIAWade 10' Jump Bank Shot (27 PTS)81
30.6%
82
69.4%
Q4 - 5:17CHIHinrich Free Throw 2 of 2 (18 PTS)79
25.3%
82
74.7%
Q4 - 5:17CHIMISS Hinrich Free Throw 1 of 279
26.2%
81
73.8%
Q4 - 5:25MIABanks 3PT Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Davis 2 AST)79
25.0%
81
75.0%
Q4 - 5:41MIADavis REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)76
14.7%
81
85.3%
Q4 - 5:42CHIMISS Hinrich 19' Jump Shot76
13.4%
81
86.6%
Q4 - 5:56MIAWade Free Throw 2 of 2 (25 PTS)76
10.8%
81
89.2%
Q4 - 5:56MIAWade Free Throw 1 of 2 (24 PTS)75
10.2%
81
89.8%
Q4 - 6:02MIABarron REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)74
9.9%
81
90.1%
Q4 - 6:03CHIMISS Smith 18' Jump Shot74
9.0%
81
91.0%
Q4 - 6:06CHIBULLS Rebound74
7.2%
81
92.8%
Q4 - 6:09CHIMISS Hinrich 23' Jump Shot74
9.0%
81
91.0%
Q4 - 6:20MIADavis 23' Jump Shot (5 PTS)74
7.1%
81
92.9%
Q4 - 6:36CHIHinrich 23' Jump Shot (17 PTS)72
5.6%
81
94.4%
Q4 - 6:55MIASefolosha STEAL (4 STL)72
7.1%
79
92.9%
Q4 - 7:07CHISmith Free Throw 2 of 2 (13 PTS)72
11.5%
79
88.5%
Q4 - 7:07CHIMISS Smith Free Throw 1 of 272
12.0%
78
88.0%
Q4 - 7:07CHISmith REBOUND (Off:3 Def:5)72
11.2%
78
88.8%
Q4 - 7:09CHIMISS Hinrich 11' Jump Shot72
13.5%
78
86.5%
Q4 - 7:12CHIHinrich REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)72
11.1%
78
88.9%
Q4 - 7:14CHIMISS Smith 11' Jump Shot72
13.4%
78
86.6%
Q4 - 7:46CHISmith REBOUND (Off:2 Def:5)72
11.0%
78
89.0%
Q4 - 7:47MIAMISS Banks 23' Jump Shot72
12.0%
78
88.0%
Q4 - 8:00CHIHinrich Step Out of Bounds Turnover (P3.T16)72
14.4%
78
85.6%
Q4 - 8:03MIASmith STEAL (1 STL)72
12.7%
78
87.3%
Q4 - 8:16CHINocioni Lost Ball Turnover (P3.T15)72
15.7%
78
84.3%
Q4 - 8:19CHIHinrich REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)72
12.6%
78
87.4%
Q4 - 8:21MIAMISS Blount 23' Jump Shot72
13.5%
78
86.5%
Q4 - 8:42CHISefolosha REBOUND (Off:3 Def:6)72
15.7%
78
84.3%
Q4 - 8:42CHISefolosha Layup (14 PTS)72
15.7%
78
84.3%
Q4 - 8:43CHINoah REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)72
19.3%
76
80.7%
Q4 - 8:43CHIMISS Noah Tip Shot72
22.3%
76
77.7%
Q4 - 8:46CHIMISS Noah Layup72
22.3%
76
77.7%
Q4 - 9:01MIAWade Layup (23 PTS)72
20.3%
76
79.7%
Q4 - 9:18CHINoah Slam Dunk (4 PTS) (Hinrich 2 AST)70
16.8%
76
83.2%
Q4 - 9:32CHIDuhon REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)70
20.3%
74
79.7%
Q4 - 9:34MIAMISS Marion 25' 3PT Jump Shot70
21.5%
74
78.5%
Q4 - 9:45CHISefolosha Bad Pass Turnover (P4.T14)70
24.6%
74
75.4%
Q4 - 10:05MIADavis 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Blount 1 AST)70
21.1%
74
78.9%
Q4 - 10:30MIABlount REBOUND (Off:2 Def:5)67
14.7%
74
85.3%
Q4 - 10:31CHIMISS Thomas 13' Turnaround Jump Shot67
13.8%
74
86.2%
Q4 - 10:51MIAWade Driving Layup (21 PTS)67
11.8%
74
88.2%
Q4 - 11:06CHINocioni Running Layup (18 PTS) (Noah 1 AST)65
10.6%
74
89.4%
Q4 - 11:29MIAWade Free Throw 2 of 2 (19 PTS)65
12.7%
72
87.3%
Q4 - 11:29MIAWade Free Throw 1 of 2 (18 PTS)64
12.3%
72
87.7%
Q4 - 11:45CHISefolosha 16' Jump Shot (12 PTS)63
10.6%
72
89.4%
Q3 - 0:00.0MIA63
12.7%
70
87.3%
Q3 - 0:00.0CHIThomas Free Throw 2 of 2 (8 PTS)63
15.4%
70
84.6%
Q3 - 0:00.0CHIThomas Free Throw 1 of 2 (7 PTS)63
16.2%
69
83.8%
Q3 - 0:07.0MIAWade Bad Pass Turnover (P5.T14)63
19.4%
68
80.6%
Q3 - 0:24.0MIAWade REBOUND (Off:1 Def:6)63
22.7%
68
77.3%
Q3 - 0:25.0CHIMISS Nocioni Running Layup63
21.7%
68
78.3%
Q3 - 0:39.0CHISefolosha REBOUND (Off:2 Def:6)63
19.3%
68
80.7%
Q3 - 0:40.0MIAMISS Marion Layup63
20.3%
68
79.7%
Q3 - 0:54.0MIAMarion REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)63
22.7%
68
77.3%
Q3 - 0:55.0CHIMISS Hinrich 25' 3PT Jump Shot63
21.6%
68
78.4%
Q3 - 1:03CHIHinrich REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)63
20.1%
68
79.9%
Q3 - 1:05MIAMISS Marion 3PT Jump Shot63
21.1%
68
78.9%
Q3 - 1:23CHINocioni Out of Bounds Lost Ball Turnover (P2.T13)63
23.5%
68
76.5%
Q3 - 1:36CHISefolosha REBOUND (Off:2 Def:5)63
20.1%
68
79.9%
Q3 - 1:37MIAMISS Wade 19' Jump Shot63
21.1%
68
78.9%
Q3 - 1:54CHINocioni 3PT Jump Shot (16 PTS) (Smith 2 AST)63
23.5%
68
76.5%
Q3 - 2:12MIAWade Free Throw 2 of 2 (17 PTS)63
31.0%
65
69.0%
Q3 - 2:12MIAWade Free Throw 1 of 2 (16 PTS)62
30.3%
65
69.7%
Q3 - 2:29CHISmith 19' Jump Shot (12 PTS)61
27.5%
65
72.5%
Q3 - 2:42CHISefolosha REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)61
31.0%
63
69.0%
Q3 - 2:44MIAMISS Wright 19' Jump Shot61
32.4%
63
67.6%
Q3 - 3:01CHINocioni 19' Jump Shot (13 PTS) (Hinrich 1 AST)61
35.9%
63
64.1%
Q3 - 3:12CHIThomas REBOUND (Off:3 Def:8)61
39.8%
61
60.2%
Q3 - 3:13CHIMISS Thomas Layup61
43.0%
61
57.0%
Q3 - 3:18CHIBULLS Rebound61
39.8%
61
60.2%
Q3 - 3:19CHIMISS Hinrich 18' Jump Shot61
43.0%
61
57.0%
Q3 - 3:31MIAMarion Bad Pass Turnover (P4.T13)61
39.8%
61
60.2%
Q3 - 3:45CHIHinrich 16' Floating Jump Shot (15 PTS)61
44.4%
61
55.6%
Q3 - 3:51CHISmith REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)61
48.6%
59
51.4%
Q3 - 3:52MIAMISS Marion 15' Jump Shot61
50.1%
59
49.9%
Q3 - 4:10CHIBULLS Turnover: Shot Clock (T#12)61
52.8%
59
47.2%
Q3 - 4:37MIAMarion 8' Jump Shot (21 PTS) (Wade 5 AST)61
47.9%
59
52.1%
Q3 - 4:48MIABlount REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)59
44.2%
59
55.8%
Q3 - 4:50CHIMISS Smith Reverse Layup59
42.7%
59
57.3%
Q3 - 5:01CHIThomas REBOUND (Off:2 Def:8)59
39.6%
59
60.4%
Q3 - 5:02MIAMISS Wade 15' Pullup Jump Shot59
40.9%
59
59.1%
Q3 - 5:19CHIHinrich Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T11)59
43.9%
59
56.1%
Q3 - 5:21CHIHinrich REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)59
39.6%
59
60.4%
Q3 - 5:22MIAMISS Wright 20' Jump Shot59
40.9%
59
59.1%
Q3 - 5:48CHIHinrich 25' 3PT Jump Shot (13 PTS) (Duhon 8 AST)59
44.0%
59
56.0%
Q3 - 6:06MIAWilliams 22' Jump Shot (9 PTS) (Marion 3 AST)59
51.3%
56
48.7%
Q3 - 6:26CHIThomas 6' Hook Shot (6 PTS)57
47.6%
56
52.4%
Q3 - 6:41MIAMarion 25' 3PT Jump Shot (19 PTS) (Wright 3 AST)57
51.4%
54
48.6%
Q3 - 6:51MIAWright REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)54
43.6%
54
56.4%
Q3 - 6:54CHIMISS Hinrich 25' 3PT Jump Shot54
42.4%
54
57.6%
Q3 - 6:56CHISmith REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)54
39.5%
54
60.5%
Q3 - 6:59CHIMISS Nocioni 14' Jump Shot54
42.4%
54
57.6%
Q3 - 7:19MIAWright 19' Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Marion 2 AST)54
39.0%
54
61.0%
Q3 - 7:39CHIThomas Foul Turnover (P3.T10)52
35.9%
54
64.1%
Q3 - 8:00CHIThomas REBOUND (Off:2 Def:7)52
31.9%
54
68.1%
Q3 - 8:02MIAMISS Blount Free Throw 2 of 252
32.8%
54
67.2%
Q3 - 8:02MIABlount Free Throw 1 of 2 (5 PTS)52
34.8%
54
65.2%
Q3 - 8:10MIAWright REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)51
32.7%
54
67.3%
Q3 - 8:11CHIMISS Sefolosha 24' 3PT Jump Shot51
31.5%
54
68.5%
Q3 - 8:16CHISmith REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)51
29.0%
54
71.0%
Q3 - 8:17CHIMISS Duhon 21' Jump Shot51
31.5%
54
68.5%
Q3 - 8:31MIAWade Alley Oop Layup (15 PTS) (Williams 3 AST)51
29.0%
54
71.0%
Q3 - 8:47CHINocioni Driving Layup (11 PTS) (Sefolosha 1 AST)49
26.4%
54
73.6%
Q3 - 8:59CHIThomas REBOUND (Off:2 Def:6)49
29.0%
52
71.0%
Q3 - 9:01MIAMISS Wright 19' Jump Shot49
30.2%
52
69.8%
Q3 - 9:09MIAWade REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)49
32.4%
52
67.6%
Q3 - 9:10CHIMISS Nocioni 3PT Jump Shot49
31.4%
52
68.6%
Q3 - 9:28MIAMarion Free Throw 2 of 2 (16 PTS)49
29.2%
52
70.8%
Q3 - 9:28MIAMarion Free Throw 1 of 2 (15 PTS)48
28.6%
52
71.4%
Q3 - 9:32CHIThomas Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T9)47
26.4%
52
73.6%
Q3 - 9:44MIAWade Foul Turnover (P4.T12)47
23.5%
52
76.5%
Q3 - 9:51MIAWade REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)47
26.4%
52
73.6%
Q3 - 9:54CHIMISS Sefolosha Layup47
25.5%
52
74.5%
Q3 - 10:18MIAWilliams 18' Jump Shot (7 PTS)47
23.8%
52
76.2%
Q3 - 10:24MIAMarion REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)45
21.6%
52
78.4%
Q3 - 10:26CHIMISS Thomas 9' Hook Shot45
20.7%
52
79.3%
Q3 - 10:28CHIThomas REBOUND (Off:2 Def:5)45
19.0%
52
81.0%
Q3 - 10:29CHIMISS Nocioni 15' Pullup Jump Shot45
20.7%
52
79.3%
Q3 - 10:43CHISefolosha REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)45
19.0%
52
81.0%
Q3 - 10:44MIAMISS Marion 25' 3PT Jump Shot45
19.7%
52
80.3%
Q3 - 10:54CHISmith 15' Jump Shot (10 PTS)45
21.5%
52
78.5%
Q3 - 11:12MIAWade 17' Jump Shot (13 PTS)45
24.2%
50
75.8%
Q3 - 11:29CHINocioni Driving Layup (9 PTS)43
21.8%
50
78.2%
Q3 - 11:43MIAMarion Traveling Turnover (P3.T11)43
24.2%
48
75.8%
Q2 - 0:00.0CHI43
26.9%
48
73.1%
Q2 - 0:00.0CHIBULLS Rebound43
24.2%
48
75.8%
Q2 - 0:00.0CHIMISS Duhon 25' 3PT Jump Shot43
26.1%
48
73.9%
Q2 - 0:24.0MIAWade Running Layup (11 PTS)43
25.2%
48
74.8%
Q2 - 0:27.0MIAMarion REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)41
22.1%
48
77.9%
Q2 - 0:29.0CHIMISS Thomas Layup41
21.6%
48
78.4%
Q2 - 0:33.0CHISmith REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)41
20.5%
48
79.5%
Q2 - 0:35.0MIAWade REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)41
22.1%
48
77.9%
Q2 - 0:35.0MIAMISS Wade Layup41
21.0%
48
79.0%
Q2 - 0:37.0MIAMISS Davis 18' Jump Shot41
21.0%
48
79.0%
Q2 - 1:01CHISmith Free Throw 2 of 2 (8 PTS)41
22.4%
48
77.6%
Q2 - 1:01CHISmith Free Throw 1 of 2 (7 PTS)41
22.8%
47
77.2%
Q2 - 1:08CHIHinrich REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)41
25.9%
46
74.1%
Q2 - 1:11MIABlount REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)41
27.2%
46
72.8%
Q2 - 1:11MIAMISS Blount Tip Shot41
26.2%
46
73.8%
Q2 - 1:12MIAMISS Wright Layup41
26.2%
46
73.8%
Q2 - 1:14MIAWright REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)41
27.1%
46
72.9%
Q2 - 1:16MIAMISS Wright 19' Jump Shot41
26.2%
46
73.8%
Q2 - 1:25MIAWade REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)41
27.1%
46
72.9%
Q2 - 1:27CHIMISS Hinrich 21' Jump Shot41
26.7%
46
73.3%
Q2 - 1:32CHIThomas REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)41
25.8%
46
74.2%
Q2 - 1:34MIAHeat Rebound41
27.1%
46
72.9%
Q2 - 1:34MIAMISS Wright Free Throw 2 of 241
26.0%
46
74.0%
Q2 - 1:34MIAMISS Wright Free Throw 1 of 241
27.9%
46
72.1%
Q2 - 1:37MIAWright REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)41
27.1%
46
72.9%
Q2 - 1:37CHIMISS Thomas 7' Jump Shot41
26.7%
46
73.3%
Q2 - 1:48MIAWade 19' Jump Shot (9 PTS)41
25.8%
46
74.2%
Q2 - 1:59MIAWade REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)39
22.3%
46
77.7%
Q2 - 2:00CHIMISS Nocioni 26' 3PT Jump Shot39
22.0%
46
78.0%
Q2 - 2:15MIAWright 20' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Wade 4 AST)39
21.2%
46
78.8%
Q2 - 2:33CHISmith 18' Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Duhon 7 AST)37
19.0%
46
81.0%
Q2 - 2:56CHIThomas REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)37
21.2%
44
78.8%
Q2 - 2:59MIAThomas BLOCK (3 BLK)37
21.8%
44
78.2%
Q2 - 3:03CHISefolosha Bad Pass Turnover (P3.T8)37
24.0%
44
76.0%
Q2 - 3:16CHIGray REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)37
21.6%
44
78.4%
Q2 - 3:17MIAMISS Williams 26' 3PT Jump Shot37
22.3%
44
77.7%
Q2 - 3:32CHIGray Layup (4 PTS) (Duhon 6 AST)37
23.9%
44
76.1%
Q2 - 3:42CHIThomas REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)37
25.9%
42
74.1%
Q2 - 3:43MIAMISS Barron 20' Jump Shot37
26.7%
42
73.3%
Q2 - 4:06MIABarron REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)37
28.6%
42
71.4%
Q2 - 4:08CHIMISS Thomas 7' Hook Shot37
27.9%
42
72.1%
Q2 - 4:24MIAMarion 3PT Jump Shot (14 PTS) (Davis 1 AST)37
26.4%
42
73.6%
Q2 - 4:48MIABarron REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)34
22.1%
42
77.9%
Q2 - 4:49CHIMISS Sefolosha Layup34
21.5%
42
78.5%
Q2 - 5:03MIAMarion Free Throw 2 of 2 (11 PTS)34
20.4%
42
79.6%
Q2 - 5:03MIAMarion Free Throw 1 of 2 (10 PTS)33
20.1%
42
79.9%
Q2 - 5:12MIAWright REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)32
18.8%
42
81.2%
Q2 - 5:13CHISefolosha REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)32
17.0%
42
83.0%
Q2 - 5:13CHIMISS Sefolosha Tip Shot32
18.2%
42
81.8%
Q2 - 5:15CHIMISS Smith Reverse Layup32
18.2%
42
81.8%
Q2 - 5:32CHISefolosha REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)32
17.0%
42
83.0%
Q2 - 5:34MIAMISS Davis 24' 3PT Jump Shot32
17.5%
42
82.5%
Q2 - 5:48CHISmith 18' Fadeaway Jumper (4 PTS) (Duhon 5 AST)32
18.7%
42
81.3%
Q2 - 6:07CHINocioni REBOUND (Off:0 Def:6)32
20.7%
40
79.3%
Q2 - 6:08MIAMISS Barron Free Throw 1 of 132
21.0%
40
79.0%
Q2 - 6:26CHISefolosha Free Throw 2 of 2 (10 PTS)30
19.3%
40
80.7%
Q2 - 6:26CHISefolosha Free Throw 1 of 2 (9 PTS)30
19.8%
39
80.2%
Q2 - 6:28MIAHinrich STEAL (1 STL)30
20.7%
38
79.3%
Q2 - 6:37MIABlount REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)30
23.0%
38
77.0%
Q2 - 6:39CHIMISS Sefolosha 15' Jump Shot30
22.3%
38
77.7%
Q2 - 6:52MIABarron Out of Bounds Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T9)30
20.7%
38
79.3%
Q2 - 7:12CHIGray Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T7)30
23.5%
38
76.5%
Q2 - 7:28CHINoah REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)30
21.5%
38
78.5%
Q2 - 7:31MIAMISS Davis 17' Jump Shot30
22.1%
38
77.9%
Q2 - 7:43CHIGray 8' Turnaround Hook Shot (2 PTS)30
23.5%
38
76.5%
Q2 - 7:55CHISefolosha REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)30
25.3%
36
74.7%
Q2 - 7:56MIAMISS Blount 19' Jump Shot30
25.9%
36
74.1%
Q2 - 8:14CHISefolosha Free Throw 2 of 2 (8 PTS)30
27.6%
36
72.4%
Q2 - 8:14CHISefolosha Free Throw 1 of 2 (7 PTS)30
28.2%
35
71.8%
Q2 - 8:15MIASefolosha STEAL (3 STL)30
29.4%
34
70.6%
Q2 - 8:34CHINoah 18' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Nocioni 2 AST)30
31.9%
34
68.1%
Q2 - 8:58CHINocioni REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)30
33.9%
32
66.1%
Q2 - 8:58MIAMISS Barron 18' Jump Shot30
34.7%
32
65.3%
Q2 - 9:22CHINocioni Step Out of Bounds Turnover (P1.T6)30
36.5%
32
63.5%
Q2 - 9:26MIASefolosha STEAL (2 STL)30
34.0%
32
66.0%
Q2 - 9:45CHIHinrich 22' Jump Shot (10 PTS)30
36.5%
32
63.5%
Q2 - 9:55CHINocioni REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)30
38.6%
30
61.4%
Q2 - 9:57MIAMISS Wade Free Throw 2 of 230
39.0%
30
61.0%
Q2 - 9:57MIAMISS Wade Free Throw 1 of 230
40.6%
30
59.4%
Q2 - 10:05MIABarron REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)30
41.3%
30
58.7%
Q2 - 10:07CHIMISS Gray 6' Hook Shot30
40.4%
30
59.6%
Q2 - 10:24MIABanks Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T6)30
38.6%
30
61.4%
Q2 - 10:38MIAMarion REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)30
41.3%
30
58.7%
Q2 - 10:40CHIMISS Sefolosha 18' Jump Shot30
40.4%
30
59.6%
Q2 - 10:48MIABanks Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T5)30
38.6%
30
61.4%
Q2 - 10:51MIAMarion REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)30
41.3%
30
58.7%
Q2 - 10:53CHIMISS Nocioni 15' Turnaround Jump Shot30
40.4%
30
59.6%
Q2 - 11:14MIAMarion Out of Bounds Lost Ball Turnover (P2.T4)30
38.5%
30
61.5%
Q2 - 11:28CHIHinrich Driving Layup (8 PTS)30
40.8%
30
59.2%
Q2 - 11:43MIAMarion 11' Turnaround Jump Shot (9 PTS)30
43.2%
28
56.8%
Q1 - 0:00.0MIA28
40.8%
28
59.2%
Q1 - 0:00.0MIAHeat Rebound28
40.8%
28
59.2%
Q1 - 0:00.0MIAMISS Wade 42' 3PT Jump Shot28
39.2%
28
60.8%
Q1 - 0:01.0CHISefolosha Lost Ball Turnover (P2.T5)28
40.3%
28
59.7%
Q1 - 0:05.0MIABanks 24' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Wade 3 AST)28
38.6%
28
61.4%
Q1 - 0:16.0MIAHeat Rebound25
33.7%
28
66.3%
Q1 - 0:17.0MIAMISS Marion 25' 3PT Jump Shot25
32.6%
28
67.4%
Q1 - 0:28.0CHIBULLS Turnover: Shot Clock (T#4)25
33.7%
28
66.3%
Q1 - 0:51.0CHIThomas REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)25
32.1%
28
67.9%
Q1 - 0:53.0MIAMISS Blount 17' Jump Shot25
32.6%
28
67.4%
Q1 - 1:13CHIHinrich 22' Jump Shot (6 PTS)25
33.8%
28
66.2%
Q1 - 1:27MIAMarion 25' 3PT Jump Shot (7 PTS) (Williams 2 AST)25
36.4%
26
63.6%
Q1 - 1:35MIABlount REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)22
31.7%
26
68.3%
Q1 - 1:37CHIMISS Noah 11' Hook Shot22
31.2%
26
68.8%
Q1 - 1:53MIAWilliams 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Wade 2 AST)22
30.1%
26
69.9%
Q1 - 2:11CHIHinrich 16' Jump Shot (4 PTS)19
26.3%
26
73.7%
Q1 - 2:20CHINocioni REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)19
28.2%
24
71.8%
Q1 - 2:22MIAThomas BLOCK (2 BLK)19
28.8%
24
71.2%
Q1 - 2:27CHIHinrich Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T3)19
30.0%
24
70.0%
Q1 - 2:40MIAMarion 9' Hook Shot (4 PTS)19
28.2%
24
71.8%
Q1 - 2:59MIAHeat Rebound17
26.2%
24
73.8%
Q1 - 2:59CHIMISS Duhon Layup17
25.7%
24
74.3%
Q1 - 3:20MIAWade 19' Jump Shot (7 PTS) (Williams 1 AST)17
24.8%
24
75.2%
Q1 - 3:35CHIHinrich 19' Jump Shot (2 PTS)15
23.3%
24
76.7%
Q1 - 3:40CHIHinrich REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)15
24.8%
22
75.2%
Q1 - 3:42MIAMISS Wright 3PT Jump Shot15
25.3%
22
74.7%
Q1 - 4:07CHINocioni Running Layup (7 PTS) (Duhon 4 AST)15
26.9%
22
73.1%
Q1 - 4:23CHISmith REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)15
28.3%
20
71.7%
Q1 - 4:26MIAMISS Wade Layup15
28.9%
20
71.1%
Q1 - 4:33MIABlount REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)15
30.5%
20
69.5%
Q1 - 4:34CHIMISS Duhon 3PT Jump Shot15
29.8%
20
70.2%
Q1 - 4:52CHINocioni REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)15
28.3%
20
71.7%
Q1 - 4:53MIAMISS Blount Free Throw 2 of 215
28.6%
20
71.4%
Q1 - 4:53MIAMISS Blount Free Throw 1 of 215
29.7%
20
70.3%
Q1 - 4:53MIABlount REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)15
30.5%
20
69.5%
Q1 - 4:56MIAMISS Marion 13' Jump Shot15
28.9%
20
71.1%
Q1 - 5:08CHIThomas Finger Roll Layup (4 PTS)15
30.6%
20
69.4%
Q1 - 5:29MIAWade 26' 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Wright 2 AST)15
32.2%
18
67.8%
Q1 - 5:51CHIThomas Layup (2 PTS) (Duhon 3 AST)12
28.8%
18
71.2%
Q1 - 5:58CHINocioni REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)12
30.4%
16
69.6%
Q1 - 5:59MIAMISS Wade 21' Jump Shot12
31.0%
16
69.0%
Q1 - 6:16CHISefolosha Running Layup (6 PTS) (Smith 1 AST)12
32.4%
16
67.6%
Q1 - 6:28MIAWilliams 21' Jump Shot (2 PTS)12
34.1%
14
65.9%
Q1 - 6:33MIAWilliams REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)10
32.4%
14
67.6%
Q1 - 6:35CHIMISS Smith 13' Fadeaway Jumper10
31.9%
14
68.1%
Q1 - 6:51MIAWade Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T3)10
30.6%
14
69.4%
Q1 - 7:07CHISmith Running Layup (2 PTS) (Duhon 2 AST)10
32.7%
14
67.3%
Q1 - 7:22MIABlount Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)10
34.2%
12
65.8%
Q1 - 7:22MIABlount Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)9
33.8%
12
66.2%
Q1 - 7:27MIAWilliams REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)8
32.7%
12
67.3%
Q1 - 7:28CHIMISS Smith 18' Jump Shot8
32.2%
12
67.8%
Q1 - 7:49MIAWade Dunk (2 PTS) (Wright 1 AST)8
30.9%
12
69.1%
Q1 - 7:53MIAWright REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)6
29.4%
12
70.6%
Q1 - 7:56CHIMISS Sefolosha 15' Jump Shot6
28.9%
12
71.1%
Q1 - 8:02CHISmith REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)6
27.9%
12
72.1%
Q1 - 8:03MIAMISS Wade Alley Oop Dunk6
28.4%
12
71.6%
Q1 - 8:12CHIDuhon 25' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS)6
29.6%
12
70.4%
Q1 - 8:23MIAWright 20' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Wade 1 AST)6
32.7%
9
67.3%
Q1 - 8:42CHIThomas Traveling Turnover (P1.T2)4
31.2%
9
68.8%
Q1 - 8:51MIABlount Layup (2 PTS) (Marion 1 AST)4
29.4%
9
70.6%
Q1 - 9:09CHISefolosha Dunk (4 PTS) (Duhon 1 AST)2
28.0%
9
72.0%
Q1 - 9:11CHIDuhon REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)2
29.1%
7
70.9%
Q1 - 9:13MIAThomas BLOCK (1 BLK)2
29.7%
7
70.3%
Q1 - 9:34CHINocioni Driving Dunk (5 PTS)2
31.2%
7
68.8%
Q1 - 9:49MIAMarion Traveling Turnover (P1.T2)2
32.4%
5
67.6%
Q1 - 10:03CHISefolosha Dunk (2 PTS) (Nocioni 1 AST)2
34.3%
5
65.7%
Q1 - 10:08MIASefolosha STEAL (1 STL)2
35.8%
3
64.2%
Q1 - 10:23CHINocioni Free Throw 1 of 1 (3 PTS)2
37.8%
3
62.2%
Q1 - 10:36CHIThomas REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)2
41.1%
0
58.9%
Q1 - 10:37MIAMISS Williams 25' 3PT Jump Shot2
41.7%
0
58.3%
Q1 - 10:57MIAWade REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)2
43.2%
0
56.8%
Q1 - 11:00CHIMISS Thomas Reverse Layup2
42.6%
0
57.4%
Q1 - 11:09CHIThomas REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)2
41.2%
0
58.8%
Q1 - 11:10CHIMISS Nocioni 26' 3PT Jump Shot2
42.4%
0
57.6%
Q1 - 11:25MIAMarion Dunk (2 PTS)2
41.2%
0
58.8%
Q1 - 11:31CHISefolosha Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T1)0
39.3%
0
60.7%
Q1 - 11:41CHISefolosha REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)0
37.7%
0
62.3%
Q1 - 11:42CHIMISS Nocioni 13' Jump Shot0
38.8%
0
61.2%
Q1 - 12:00CHIJump Ball Thomas vs. Blount: Tip to Duhon0
37.7%
0
62.3%

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

MIA
1.07 53.5%
CHI
0.98 49.0%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)
MIA
8
17
47%
CHI
16
29
55%
Midrange
MIA
16
36
44%
CHI
19
43
44%
3PT | Effective 3PT
MIA
10
15.0
21
48%
71%
CHI
3
4.5
13
23%
35%
Free Throws
MIA
14
23
61%
CHI
20
25
80%
Makes
Effective 3P Makes
%
Efficiency
Misses
Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|
MIA logo Heat
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
D. Wade3063%15.0 / 24
S. Marion2361%11.5 / 19
J. Williams964%4.5 / 7
M. Banks9113%4.5 / 4
R. Davis750%3.5 / 7
M. Blount630%3.0 / 10
D. Wright630%3.0 / 10
E. Barron233%1.0 / 3
TS Makes
TS Misses

Total Points

|
CHI logo Bulls
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
K. Hinrich2460%12.0 / 20
J. Smith1959%9.5 / 16
A. Nocioni1850%9.0 / 18
T. Sefolosha1750%8.5 / 17
T. Thomas1038%5.0 / 13
J. Noah440%2.0 / 5
A. Gray467%2.0 / 3
C. Duhon330%1.5 / 5
TS Makes
TS Misses

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

MIA
76
+7
-18
83
CHI
83
+16
-14
99
Base
ORB
TOV

Scoring Efficiency

MIA
1.07 53.5%
CHI
0.98 49.0%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Efficiency & PaceThis Game
Efficiency
100.2
104.1
MIA 97.9 +4.2
CHI 102.1
Pace
90.5
93.0
MIA 93.0
CHI 98.9 +5.9
Avg. Poss. Time
16.3
15.3
MIA 15.5
CHI 14.6 +0.9
Four FactorsThis Game
EFG %
48.2%
47.0%
MIA 52.7% +6.2%
CHI 46.5%
TO %
15.4%
15.1%
MIA 17.6%
CHI 14.3% +3.3%
ORB %
22.2%
28.9%
MIA 9.1%
CHI 29.5% +20.4%
FTrt
30.0
29.6
MIA 31.1 +1.7
CHI 29.4
Misc. StatsThis Game
AST %
58.5%
60.6%
MIA 58.8% +8.8%
CHI 50.0%
STL %
7.9%
8.2%
MIA 7.4% +0.2%
CHI 7.2%
BLK %
7.1%
8.5%
MIA 5.6%
CHI 7.5% +1.9%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Shooting EfficiencyThis Game
TS%
50.6%
50.2%
MIA 53.5% +4.5%
CHI 49.0%
Rim FG%
59.2%
53.0%
MIA 47.1%
CHI 55.2% +8.1%
Mid FG%
38.8%
40.0%
MIA 44.4% +0.2%
CHI 44.2%
3P %
35.8%
36.3%
MIA 47.6% +24.5%
CHI 23.1%
FT %
72.7%
75.6%
MIA 60.9%
CHI 80.0% +19.1%
Shot DistributionThis Game
Rim Att. %
30.2%
32.5%
MIA 23.0%
CHI 34.1% +11.1%
Mid Att. %
48.1%
48.4%
MIA 48.6% +1.9%
CHI 50.6%
3P Att. %
21.7%
19.0%
MIA 28.4% +13.1%
CHI 15.3%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.22 and 2.22.
Game TotalsMIACHI
Possessions9497
Possession Minutes24.323.5
Points9299
Rebounds3553
Assists2019
Steals77
Blocks44
Turnovers (Team)18 (0)14 (2)
Fouls
Off. Rebounds (Team)4 (3)13 (3)
Def. Rebounds (Team)31 (1)40 (0)
Field Goals34-7438-85
At-the-Rim FG8-1716-29
Midrange FG16-3619-43
2-Point FG24-5335-72
3-Point FG10-213-13
Free Throws14-2320-25
Fast Break Pts
2nd Chance Pts
Points in Paint
Pts off Turnovers
Bench Points
Biggest Lead

BOXSCORE

Access to boxscore predictions requires a premium subscription.
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
G · 6'4" 220 · 26
42.0
30
63%
7
7
2
0
6
4
1
6
6-8
75%
9-17
53%
2-4
50%
F · 6'7" 228 · 30
40.8
23
61%
7
3
4
1
5
2
0
7
4-4
100%
5-10
50%
3-7
43%
C · 7'0" 250 · 32
40.0
6
30%
7
1
1
2
0
4
2
5
4-8
50%
1-6
17%
0-0
-
F · 6'9" 205 · 22
30.1
6
30%
6
3
0
0
0
3
1
5
0-2
0%
3-8
38%
0-1
0%
G · 6'1" 180 · 32
26.1
9
64%
2
3
0
0
0
0
0
2
0-0
-
3-4
75%
1-3
33%
G · 6'7" 195 · 28
26.8
7
50%
2
2
0
0
2
1
0
2
0-0
-
2-4
50%
1-3
33%
G · 6'2" 205 · 26
21.9
9
113%
0
1
0
1
4
4
0
0
0-0
-
0-1
0%
3-3
100%
F-C · 7'0" 250 · 27
12.3
2
33%
4
0
0
0
1
2
0
4
0-1
0%
1-3
33%
0-0
-
F · 6'9" 240 · 25
G · 6'5" 210 · 21
G · 6'2" 175 · 24
C · 6'9" 245 · 26
#33 · C · 6'10" 261 · 38
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
#40 · F · 6'8" 235 · 28
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
#21 · G · 6'4" 190 · 27
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
TOTAL
240
92
54%
35
20
7
4
18
0
4
31
14-23
61%
24-53
45%
10-21
48%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.