FinalWin Prob.pScore
1360%101
114
2140%97
113
ORTG#PossPace
DEN logo DEN
111.810294.6
MIA logo MIA
111.910189.4

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

HeatNuggetsQ1Q2Q3Q4OT19:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:002:00

Scoring Margin

HeatNuggetsQ1Q2Q3Q4OT19:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:002:00

Play-by-Play

Score / WinProb
ClockTeamEventDENMIA
OT1 - 0:00.0DENEnd of 1st OT (10:09 PM EST)114
100%
113
0%
OT1 - 0:01.0DENCamby REBOUND (Off:7 Def:9)114
97.6%
113
2.4%
OT1 - 0:02.0MIAMISS Wade 22' Jump Shot114
92.5%
113
7.5%
OT1 - 0:07.0MIAWright REBOUND (Off:4 Def:4)114
66.3%
113
33.7%
OT1 - 0:08.0DENMISS Anthony 21' Jump Shot114
74.3%
113
25.7%
OT1 - 0:33.0MIADavis 24' 3PT Jump Shot (10 PTS) (Wright 4 AST)114
83.0%
113
17.0%
OT1 - 0:38.0MIAWade REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)114
94.1%
110
5.9%
OT1 - 0:39.0MIAMISS Wade 25' 3PT Jump Shot114
96.6%
110
3.4%
OT1 - 0:54.0DENAnthony Free Throw 2 of 2 (22 PTS)114
92.2%
110
7.8%
OT1 - 0:54.0DENAnthony Free Throw 1 of 2 (21 PTS)113
91.4%
110
8.6%
OT1 - 1:12DENAnthony REBOUND (Off:2 Def:9)112
85.0%
110
15.0%
OT1 - 1:13MIAMISS Davis 25' 3PT Jump Shot112
82.2%
110
17.8%
OT1 - 1:26DENCarter Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)112
74.5%
110
25.5%
OT1 - 1:26DENCarter Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)111
72.2%
110
27.8%
OT1 - 1:30DENCarter REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)110
65.4%
110
34.6%
OT1 - 1:32DENMISS Iverson 17' Jump Shot110
55.4%
110
44.6%
OT1 - 1:39DENCamby REBOUND (Off:7 Def:8)110
65.0%
110
35.0%
OT1 - 1:40DENMISS Carter 25' 3PT Jump Shot110
55.6%
110
44.4%
OT1 - 1:52DENIverson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:6)110
64.5%
110
35.5%
OT1 - 1:53MIAMISS Marion 10' Jump Shot110
60.8%
110
39.2%
OT1 - 2:10MIABlount REBOUND (Off:3 Def:10)110
51.5%
110
48.5%
OT1 - 2:11DENMISS Anthony 25' 3PT Jump Shot110
56.6%
110
43.4%
OT1 - 2:34MIAWade 25' 3PT Jump Shot (29 PTS)110
67.9%
110
32.1%
OT1 - 2:47DENMartin 5' Turnaround Jump Shot (24 PTS)110
81.1%
107
18.9%
OT1 - 3:03MIAMarion Free Throw 1 of 1 (23 PTS)108
74.5%
107
25.5%
OT1 - 3:21DENAnthony 18' Jump Shot (20 PTS) (Martin 2 AST)108
85.5%
104
14.5%
OT1 - 3:40DENAnthony REBOUND (Off:2 Def:8)106
78.3%
104
21.7%
OT1 - 3:42MIAMISS Marion Driving Layup106
76.3%
104
23.7%
OT1 - 4:05DENAnthony 16' Jump Shot (18 PTS)106
71.1%
104
28.9%
OT1 - 4:20MIABlount 19' Jump Shot (18 PTS) (Marion 3 AST)104
63.3%
104
36.7%
OT1 - 4:39DENCamby Tip Shot (12 PTS)104
71.1%
102
28.9%
OT1 - 4:41DENCamby REBOUND (Off:6 Def:8)102
63.3%
102
36.7%
OT1 - 4:42DENMISS Anthony 9' Jump Shot102
56.5%
102
43.5%
OT1 - 5:00MIAJump Ball Blount vs. Camby: Tip to Martin102
63.3%
102
36.7%
Q4 - 0:17.0MIABlount 21' Jump Shot (16 PTS) (Marion 2 AST)102
70.3%
102
29.7%
Q4 - 0:29.0MIAHEAT Rebound102
80.0%
100
20.0%
Q4 - 0:30.0MIAMISS Wright Tip Shot102
88.7%
100
11.3%
Q4 - 0:31.0MIAWright REBOUND (Off:4 Def:2)102
79.9%
100
20.1%
Q4 - 0:32.0MIAMISS Marion 9' Jump Shot102
89.0%
100
11.0%
Q4 - 0:41.0MIAMarion REBOUND (Off:6 Def:12)102
78.3%
100
21.7%
Q4 - 0:42.0MIAMISS Wade 25' 3PT Jump Shot102
86.4%
100
13.6%
Q4 - 1:10MIABlount REBOUND (Off:3 Def:9)102
74.6%
100
25.4%
Q4 - 1:11DENMISS Martin 9' Jump Shot102
78.1%
100
21.9%
Q4 - 1:35MIAWade 9' Floating Jump Shot (26 PTS)102
83.9%
100
16.1%
Q4 - 1:41DENIverson 16' Pullup Jump Shot (16 PTS)102
88.6%
98
11.4%
Q4 - 1:52DENIverson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)100
82.7%
98
17.3%
Q4 - 1:54MIAMISS Wade 16' Fadeaway Jumper100
80.4%
98
19.6%
Q4 - 2:19DENNuggets Turnover: Shot Clock (T#15)100
73.1%
98
26.9%
Q4 - 2:41DENCamby REBOUND (Off:5 Def:8)100
84.4%
98
15.6%
Q4 - 2:42MIAMISS Wade 19' Jump Shot100
81.5%
98
18.5%
Q4 - 2:57DENWright STEAL (2 STL)100
71.3%
98
28.7%
Q4 - 2:59DENCamby REBOUND (Off:5 Def:7)100
81.6%
98
18.4%
Q4 - 3:01DENMISS Camby Tip Shot100
74.9%
98
25.1%
Q4 - 3:02DENCamby REBOUND (Off:4 Def:7)100
81.7%
98
18.3%
Q4 - 3:03DENMISS Anthony Layup100
74.9%
98
25.1%
Q4 - 3:15DENAnthony REBOUND (Off:2 Def:7)100
82.0%
98
18.0%
Q4 - 3:17MIAMISS Marion Dunk100
79.2%
98
20.8%
Q4 - 3:18MIAMarion REBOUND (Off:5 Def:12)100
71.4%
98
28.6%
Q4 - 3:19MIAMISS Wade 19' Jump Shot100
79.3%
98
20.7%
Q4 - 3:28MIAHEAT Rebound100
71.4%
98
28.6%
Q4 - 3:30DENMISS Iverson 17' Jump Shot100
75.1%
98
24.9%
Q4 - 3:49MIAMarion 10' Floating Jump Shot (20 PTS)100
78.4%
98
21.6%
Q4 - 4:08DENCamby 12' Jump Shot (10 PTS) (Martin 1 AST)100
84.0%
96
16.0%
Q4 - 4:28DENCamby REBOUND (Off:3 Def:7)98
78.7%
96
21.3%
Q4 - 4:29MIAMISS Wade Free Throw 2 of 298
77.8%
96
22.2%
Q4 - 4:29MIAWade Free Throw 1 of 2 (24 PTS)98
73.0%
96
27.0%
Q4 - 4:43MIAMarion REBOUND (Off:4 Def:12)98
78.3%
95
21.7%
Q4 - 4:45DENMISS Smith 25' 3PT Jump Shot98
80.3%
95
19.7%
Q4 - 4:53MIADavis Lost Ball Turnover (P2.T13)98
84.4%
95
15.6%
Q4 - 4:59DENDavis STEAL (1 STL)98
78.3%
95
21.7%
Q4 - 5:13DENAnthony REBOUND (Off:2 Def:6)98
82.5%
95
17.5%
Q4 - 5:14MIAMISS Marion 4' Jump Shot98
80.9%
95
19.1%
Q4 - 5:30MIAWright REBOUND (Off:3 Def:2)98
76.9%
95
23.1%
Q4 - 5:31MIAMISS Marion 25' 3PT Jump Shot98
80.9%
95
19.1%
Q4 - 5:46DENNajera Tip Shot (2 PTS)98
76.9%
95
23.1%
Q4 - 5:47DENNajera REBOUND (Off:2 Def:0)96
70.7%
95
29.3%
Q4 - 5:49DENMISS Iverson 14' Fadeaway Jumper96
65.5%
95
34.5%
Q4 - 6:13MIAMarion Alley Oop Dunk (18 PTS) (Wade 10 AST)96
70.5%
95
29.5%
Q4 - 6:16MIAWright REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)96
75.6%
93
24.4%
Q4 - 6:17DENMISS Camby Layup96
77.5%
93
22.5%
Q4 - 6:19DENCamby REBOUND (Off:3 Def:6)96
81.4%
93
18.6%
Q4 - 6:20DENMISS Smith 26' 3PT Jump Shot96
77.5%
93
22.5%
Q4 - 6:27DENCamby REBOUND (Off:2 Def:6)96
81.4%
93
18.6%
Q4 - 6:29MIAMISS Blount 19' Jump Shot96
79.8%
93
20.2%
Q4 - 6:52DENSmith 25' 3PT Jump Shot (28 PTS) (Najera 2 AST)96
75.7%
93
24.3%
Q4 - 7:12MIABlount 3' Jump Shot (14 PTS)93
64.2%
93
35.8%
Q4 - 7:15MIABlount REBOUND (Off:3 Def:8)93
69.5%
91
30.5%
Q4 - 7:18MIAMISS Davis Driving Layup93
73.9%
91
26.1%
Q4 - 7:31DENNuggets Turnover: Shot Clock (T#12)93
69.5%
91
30.5%
Q4 - 7:31DENNuggets Rebound93
75.7%
91
24.3%
Q4 - 7:32DENMISS Smith 26' 3PT Jump Shot93
71.5%
91
28.5%
Q4 - 7:45DENMISS Anthony Free Throw Technical93
75.8%
91
24.2%
Q4 - 7:55DENAnthony REBOUND (Off:2 Def:5)93
75.8%
91
24.2%
Q4 - 7:56MIAMISS Wade 16' Jump Shot93
74.0%
91
26.0%
Q4 - 8:20DENSmith 25' 3PT Jump Shot (25 PTS) (Iverson 7 AST)93
69.1%
91
30.9%
Q4 - 8:29DENKleiza REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)90
57.4%
91
42.6%
Q4 - 8:30MIAMISS Wade 25' 3PT Jump Shot90
55.4%
91
44.6%
Q4 - 8:35MIAWright REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)90
50.9%
91
49.1%
Q4 - 8:36MIAMISS Davis 21' Jump Shot90
55.4%
91
44.6%
Q4 - 8:55DENSmith 25' 3PT Jump Shot (22 PTS) (Iverson 6 AST)90
50.9%
91
49.1%
Q4 - 9:06MIADavis 25' 3PT Jump Shot (7 PTS) (Wade 9 AST)87
40.4%
91
59.6%
Q4 - 9:28DENSmith Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T11)87
51.9%
88
48.1%
Q4 - 9:38MIAWade 26' 3PT Jump Shot (23 PTS) (Banks 4 AST)87
58.1%
88
41.9%
Q4 - 9:52DENSmith 25' 3PT Jump Shot (19 PTS)87
68.9%
85
31.1%
Q4 - 10:11MIAWright 21' Jump Shot (19 PTS) (Davis 3 AST)84
58.2%
85
41.8%
Q4 - 10:32DENKleiza Foul Turnover (P1.T10)84
63.2%
83
36.8%
Q4 - 10:54MIADavis Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)84
68.7%
83
31.3%
Q4 - 10:54MIADavis Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)84
69.5%
82
30.5%
Q4 - 11:01MIABlount REBOUND (Off:2 Def:8)84
72.1%
81
27.9%
Q4 - 11:02DENMISS Smith 24' 3PT Jump Shot84
73.5%
81
26.5%
Q4 - 11:18MIAWade 24' 3PT Jump Shot (20 PTS) (Davis 2 AST)84
76.5%
81
23.5%
Q4 - 11:40MIAMarion REBOUND (Off:4 Def:11)84
83.3%
78
16.7%
Q4 - 11:42DENMISS Martin 21' Jump Shot84
84.2%
78
15.8%
Q3 - 0:00.0DENEnd of 3rd Period (9:21 PM EST)84
86.2%
78
13.8%
Q3 - 0:00.0DENSmith REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)84
86.2%
78
13.8%
Q3 - 0:01.0MIAMISS Wright 25' 3PT Jump Shot84
84.7%
78
15.3%
Q3 - 0:16.0DENSmith 25' 3PT Jump Shot (16 PTS) (Camby 2 AST)84
82.8%
78
17.2%
Q3 - 0:22.0DENKleiza REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)81
76.1%
78
23.9%
Q3 - 0:23.0MIAMISS Banks Layup81
74.9%
78
25.1%
Q3 - 0:45.0DENMartin 4' Hook Shot (22 PTS) (Iverson 5 AST)81
72.1%
78
27.9%
Q3 - 1:01MIABlount 3' Jump Shot (12 PTS)79
67.9%
78
32.1%
Q3 - 1:23DENMartin 8' Jump Shot (20 PTS) (Smith 3 AST)79
71.9%
76
28.1%
Q3 - 1:37DENCamby REBOUND (Off:2 Def:5)77
67.9%
76
32.1%
Q3 - 1:39MIAMISS Wright Driving Layup77
66.5%
76
33.5%
Q3 - 1:51DENIverson Driving Finger Roll Layup (14 PTS)77
63.3%
76
36.7%
Q3 - 2:04MIABanks 3 Second Violation Turnover (P1.T12)75
58.8%
76
41.2%
Q3 - 2:16DENMartin 15' Jump Bank Shot (18 PTS)75
53.8%
76
46.2%
Q3 - 2:32DENMartin REBOUND (Off:3 Def:3)73
49.5%
76
50.5%
Q3 - 2:33MIAMISS Blount 25' 3PT Jump Shot73
48.0%
76
52.0%
Q3 - 2:49DENKleiza Free Throw 2 of 2 (6 PTS)73
44.5%
76
55.5%
Q3 - 2:49DENMISS Kleiza Free Throw 1 of 272
43.7%
76
56.3%
Q3 - 2:52DENIverson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)72
44.9%
76
55.1%
Q3 - 2:54MIAMISS Wright 22' Jump Shot72
43.4%
76
56.6%
Q3 - 3:21DENIverson Free Throw 1 of 1 (12 PTS)72
41.0%
76
59.0%
Q3 - 3:29DENCamby REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)69
32.9%
76
67.1%
Q3 - 3:30MIAMISS Wade 21' Jump Shot69
31.6%
76
68.4%
Q3 - 3:47DENAnthony 9' Jump Shot (16 PTS) (Carter 1 AST)69
28.8%
76
71.2%
Q3 - 3:56MIAWilliams 24' 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Wade 8 AST)67
25.4%
76
74.6%
Q3 - 4:07MIABlount REBOUND (Off:2 Def:7)67
33.6%
73
66.4%
Q3 - 4:09DENMISS Iverson 18' Jump Shot67
35.0%
73
65.0%
Q3 - 4:30MIAWade 21' Jump Shot (17 PTS) (Williams 6 AST)67
38.1%
73
61.9%
Q3 - 4:38MIAMarion REBOUND (Off:4 Def:10)67
41.7%
71
58.3%
Q3 - 4:39DENMISS Anthony 19' Jump Shot67
43.1%
71
56.9%
Q3 - 4:44DENCamby REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)67
46.5%
71
53.5%
Q3 - 4:48MIAMISS Blount 6' Hook Shot67
45.0%
71
55.0%
Q3 - 4:54MIAMarion REBOUND (Off:4 Def:9)67
41.6%
71
58.4%
Q3 - 4:56DENMISS Iverson 9' Fadeaway Jumper67
43.1%
71
56.9%
Q3 - 5:07DENAnthony REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)67
47.1%
71
52.9%
Q3 - 5:08MIAMISS Wright 21' Jump Shot67
45.8%
71
54.2%
Q3 - 5:28DENMartin 7' Running Hook Shot (16 PTS)67
42.6%
71
57.4%
Q3 - 5:50MIABlount Tip Shot (10 PTS)65
38.9%
71
61.1%
Q3 - 5:51MIABlount REBOUND (Off:2 Def:6)65
42.6%
69
57.4%
Q3 - 5:53MIAMISS Marion Driving Layup65
45.7%
69
54.3%
Q3 - 6:12DENMartin Putback Dunk (14 PTS)65
43.5%
69
56.5%
Q3 - 6:13DENMartin REBOUND (Off:3 Def:2)63
39.9%
69
60.1%
Q3 - 6:14DENMISS Iverson Driving Layup63
37.1%
69
62.9%
Q3 - 6:29DENCamby REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)63
39.9%
69
60.1%
Q3 - 6:30MIAMISS Williams 25' 3PT Jump Shot63
38.6%
69
61.4%
Q3 - 6:55DENMarion STEAL (2 STL)63
35.8%
69
64.2%
Q3 - 7:07MIAMarion 9' Jump Shot (16 PTS) (Wright 3 AST)63
40.3%
69
59.7%
Q3 - 7:09MIAWright REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)63
43.6%
67
56.4%
Q3 - 7:11MIAMISS Wade Layup63
46.6%
67
53.4%
Q3 - 7:21MIAMarion REBOUND (Off:4 Def:8)63
43.6%
67
56.4%
Q3 - 7:22DENMISS Anthony Layup63
44.9%
67
55.1%
Q3 - 7:27DENMartin REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)63
48.0%
67
52.0%
Q3 - 7:28DENMISS Anthony 26' 3PT Jump Shot63
44.9%
67
55.1%
Q3 - 7:41MIAHEAT Turnover: Shot Clock (T#11)63
48.0%
67
52.0%
Q3 - 8:07DENMarion STEAL (1 STL)63
44.4%
67
55.6%
Q3 - 8:13DENCarter REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)63
48.7%
67
51.3%
Q3 - 8:14MIAMISS Blount 16' Jump Shot63
47.4%
67
52.6%
Q3 - 8:35MIABlount REBOUND (Off:1 Def:6)63
44.4%
67
55.6%
Q3 - 8:37DENMISS Iverson Reverse Layup63
45.7%
67
54.3%
Q3 - 8:42DENMartin REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)63
48.6%
67
51.4%
Q3 - 8:43MIAMISS Wade 20' Jump Shot63
47.3%
67
52.7%
Q3 - 8:57DENWade STEAL (2 STL)63
44.3%
67
55.7%
Q3 - 9:13MIAWade Lost Ball Turnover (P2.T10)63
49.0%
67
51.0%
Q3 - 9:21MIAMarion REBOUND (Off:4 Def:7)63
45.3%
67
54.7%
Q3 - 9:22DENMISS Anthony 25' 3PT Jump Shot63
46.4%
67
53.6%
Q3 - 9:30DENAnthony REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)63
49.0%
67
51.0%
Q3 - 9:33MIAMISS Marion 5' Jump Shot63
47.9%
67
52.1%
Q3 - 9:56DENMartin 6' Jump Shot (12 PTS) (Camby 1 AST)63
45.2%
67
54.8%
Q3 - 10:04DENCamby REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)61
43.1%
67
56.9%
Q3 - 10:06DENMISS Iverson 17' Jump Shot61
40.3%
67
59.7%
Q3 - 10:23MIAMarion Layup (14 PTS) (Wade 7 AST)61
43.0%
67
57.0%
Q3 - 10:41DENIverson 19' Jump Shot (9 PTS)61
46.0%
65
54.0%
Q3 - 10:55MIABlount 16' Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Wade 6 AST)59
42.9%
65
57.1%
Q3 - 11:13DENCarter 9' Running Jump Shot (2 PTS)59
47.2%
63
52.8%
Q3 - 11:26DENIverson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)57
43.9%
63
56.1%
Q3 - 11:27MIAMISS Wright 20' Jump Shot57
42.8%
63
57.2%
Q3 - 11:37MIAMarion REBOUND (Off:4 Def:6)57
40.4%
63
59.6%
Q3 - 11:38MIAMISS Wright 19' Jump Shot57
42.8%
63
57.2%
Q2 - 0:00.0MIAEnd of 2nd Period (8:43 PM EST)57
40.3%
63
59.7%
Q2 - 0:00.0MIAHEAT Rebound57
40.3%
63
59.7%
Q2 - 0:00.0DENMISS Camby Dunk57
41.4%
63
58.6%
Q2 - 0:01.0DENCamby REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)57
44.3%
63
55.7%
Q2 - 0:02.0DENMISS Iverson Driving Layup57
42.8%
63
57.2%
Q2 - 0:11.0MIAWade 21' Jump Shot (15 PTS)57
44.3%
63
55.7%
Q2 - 0:29.0DENCamby Slam Dunk (8 PTS) (Iverson 4 AST)57
48.5%
61
51.5%
Q2 - 0:40.0MIAWright Free Throw 1 of 1 (17 PTS)55
44.3%
61
55.7%
Q2 - 0:52.0DENAnthony 9' Jump Shot (14 PTS)55
51.8%
58
48.2%
Q2 - 1:00MIAWright 17' Jump Shot (14 PTS) (Williams 4 AST)53
47.6%
58
52.4%
Q2 - 1:14DENAnthony Reverse Layup (12 PTS)53
52.5%
56
47.5%
Q2 - 1:25MIAWade Reverse Layup (13 PTS) (Williams 3 AST)51
47.8%
56
52.2%
Q2 - 1:39DENIverson Free Throw 2 of 2 (7 PTS)51
52.5%
54
47.5%
Q2 - 1:39DENIverson Free Throw 1 of 2 (6 PTS)50
51.9%
54
48.1%
Q2 - 1:42DENAnthony REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)49
47.8%
54
52.2%
Q2 - 1:44MIAMISS Wade Driving Layup49
47.2%
54
52.8%
Q2 - 1:50MIAWright REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)49
46.1%
54
53.9%
Q2 - 1:52DENAnthony REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)49
47.7%
54
52.3%
Q2 - 1:52DENMISS Anthony Tip Shot49
46.6%
54
53.4%
Q2 - 1:54DENMISS Anthony 4' Jump Shot49
46.6%
54
53.4%
Q2 - 2:00MIABlount Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T9)49
47.7%
54
52.3%
Q2 - 2:12DENMartin 9' Jump Shot (10 PTS) (Anthony 4 AST)49
46.0%
54
54.0%
Q2 - 2:33MIAMarion Alley Oop Dunk (12 PTS) (Wright 2 AST)47
42.7%
54
57.3%
Q2 - 2:42MIABlount REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)47
46.0%
52
54.0%
Q2 - 2:44DENMISS Anthony Tip Shot47
46.9%
52
53.1%
Q2 - 2:45DENAnthony REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)47
48.8%
52
51.2%
Q2 - 2:46DENMISS Najera 4' Jump Shot47
46.9%
52
53.1%
Q2 - 2:47DENNajera REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)47
48.8%
52
51.2%
Q2 - 2:48DENMISS Smith 25' 3PT Jump Shot47
46.9%
52
53.1%
Q2 - 2:57MIAWade Layup (11 PTS) (Williams 2 AST)47
48.8%
52
51.2%
Q2 - 3:14DENMartin Dunk (8 PTS) (Anthony 3 AST)47
52.7%
50
47.3%
Q2 - 3:19MIAMarion Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T8)45
50.0%
50
50.0%
Q2 - 3:35DENSmith Step Out of Bounds Turnover (P1.T6)45
46.7%
50
53.3%
Q2 - 3:50MIAWade Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T7)45
50.0%
50
50.0%
Q2 - 4:06DENSmith Free Throw 1 of 1 (13 PTS)45
47.7%
50
52.3%
Q2 - 4:19MIAMarion Tip Shot (10 PTS)41
39.2%
50
60.8%
Q2 - 4:21MIAMarion REBOUND (Off:3 Def:6)41
42.0%
48
58.0%
Q2 - 4:24MIAMISS Marion Layup41
43.9%
48
56.1%
Q2 - 4:25MIAMarion REBOUND (Off:2 Def:6)41
42.0%
48
58.0%
Q2 - 4:27MIAMISS Blount Dunk41
43.9%
48
56.1%
Q2 - 4:29MIAMarion REBOUND (Off:1 Def:6)41
42.0%
48
58.0%
Q2 - 4:30MIAMISS Marion Dunk41
43.9%
48
56.1%
Q2 - 4:38MIAHEAT Rebound41
41.9%
48
58.1%
Q2 - 4:39MIAMISS Wade 20' Jump Bank Shot41
43.9%
48
56.1%
Q2 - 4:47MIAMarion REBOUND (Off:0 Def:6)41
41.9%
48
58.1%
Q2 - 4:48DENMISS Martin 25' 3PT Jump Shot41
42.8%
48
57.2%
Q2 - 4:55MIADavis 19' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Wade 5 AST)41
44.8%
48
55.2%
Q2 - 5:12DENSmith 3PT Jump Shot (9 PTS) (Najera 1 AST)41
48.1%
46
51.9%
Q2 - 5:28MIABanks Free Throw 1 of 1 (3 PTS)38
42.7%
46
57.3%
Q2 - 5:30DENBanks STEAL (1 STL)38
48.0%
43
52.0%
Q2 - 5:36MIAWade Free Throw 2 of 2 (9 PTS)38
51.1%
43
48.9%
Q2 - 5:36MIAMISS Wade Free Throw 1 of 238
51.6%
42
48.4%
Q2 - 6:01DENAnthony Free Throw 2 of 2 (10 PTS)38
51.3%
42
48.7%
Q2 - 6:01DENAnthony Free Throw 1 of 2 (9 PTS)37
50.9%
42
49.1%
Q2 - 6:18MIAHEAT Turnover: Shot Clock (T#6)36
49.1%
42
50.9%
Q2 - 6:18MIAHEAT Rebound36
45.8%
42
54.2%
Q2 - 6:19MIAMISS Blount 15' Jump Shot36
48.1%
42
51.9%
Q2 - 6:42DENSmith Free Throw 2 of 2 (6 PTS)36
45.8%
42
54.2%
Q2 - 6:42DENMISS Smith Free Throw 1 of 235
45.3%
42
54.7%
Q2 - 6:47DENCarter REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)35
46.3%
42
53.7%
Q2 - 6:47MIAMISS Marion 24' 3PT Jump Shot35
45.3%
42
54.7%
Q2 - 7:10DENKleiza Reverse Layup (5 PTS) (Smith 2 AST)35
44.4%
42
55.6%
Q2 - 7:16MIACook Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T5)33
41.9%
42
58.1%
Q2 - 7:37DENSmith Driving Layup (5 PTS)33
39.2%
42
60.8%
Q2 - 7:47MIADavis Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T4)31
36.8%
42
63.2%
Q2 - 8:05DENSmith 27' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Iverson 3 AST)31
34.5%
42
65.5%
Q2 - 8:16MIAMarion Slam Dunk (8 PTS) (Banks 3 AST)28
30.3%
42
69.7%
Q2 - 8:38MIACook REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)28
32.2%
40
67.8%
Q2 - 8:39DENMISS Carter 3PT Jump Shot28
33.0%
40
67.0%
Q2 - 8:41DENKleiza REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)28
34.8%
40
65.2%
Q2 - 8:44DENMISS Smith Driving Layup28
33.0%
40
67.0%
Q2 - 8:57DENNuggets Rebound28
34.8%
40
65.2%
Q2 - 8:58MIAMISS Banks Layup28
34.0%
40
66.0%
Q2 - 9:02MIADavis REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)28
33.1%
40
66.9%
Q2 - 9:03DENMISS Kleiza 25' 3PT Jump Shot28
33.9%
40
66.1%
Q2 - 9:18DENNuggets Rebound28
35.6%
40
64.4%
Q2 - 9:19MIAMISS Wright 16' Jump Shot28
34.8%
40
65.2%
Q2 - 9:23MIABanks REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)28
33.1%
40
66.9%
Q2 - 9:26DENMISS Iverson 9' Running Jump Shot28
33.8%
40
66.2%
Q2 - 9:47MIABarron 20' Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Banks 2 AST)28
35.5%
40
64.5%
Q2 - 10:10DENKleiza Driving Dunk (3 PTS)28
37.8%
38
62.2%
Q2 - 10:26MIAMarion Dunk (6 PTS) (Davis 1 AST)26
35.8%
38
64.2%
Q2 - 10:36DENCamby Dunk (6 PTS) (Smith 1 AST)26
37.8%
36
62.2%
Q2 - 10:50MIABarron Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)24
35.8%
36
64.2%
Q2 - 10:50MIABarron Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)24
36.4%
35
63.6%
Q2 - 11:08MIAMarion REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)24
38.7%
34
61.3%
Q2 - 11:09DENMISS Kleiza Free Throw 2 of 224
39.0%
34
61.0%
Q2 - 11:09DENKleiza Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)24
40.6%
34
59.4%
Q2 - 11:15MIAWright Dunk (12 PTS) (Banks 1 AST)23
38.6%
34
61.4%
Q2 - 11:21MIAMarion REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)23
40.9%
32
59.1%
Q2 - 11:22DENMISS Smith 24' 3PT Jump Shot23
41.7%
32
58.3%
Q2 - 11:42DENIverson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)23
43.3%
32
56.7%
Q2 - 11:43MIAMISS Banks 3PT Jump Shot23
42.5%
32
57.5%
Q1 - 0:00.0MIAEnd of 1st Period (8:06 PM EST)23
40.9%
32
59.1%
Q1 - 0:00.0MIABarron REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)23
40.9%
32
59.1%
Q1 - 0:00.0DENMISS Iverson 24' 3PT Jump Shot23
41.6%
32
58.4%
Q1 - 0:24.0MIAWright 24' 3PT Jump Shot (10 PTS) (Williams 1 AST)23
43.3%
32
56.7%
Q1 - 0:45.0DENMartin 9' Turnaround Jump Shot (6 PTS)23
48.6%
29
51.4%
Q1 - 1:00MIAWade Driving Layup (8 PTS)21
45.7%
29
54.3%
Q1 - 1:15DENWright STEAL (1 STL)21
48.7%
27
51.3%
Q1 - 1:23DENMartin REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)21
50.6%
27
49.4%
Q1 - 1:25DENMISS Camby 20' Jump Shot21
49.3%
27
50.7%
Q1 - 1:40MIABarron 17' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Wade 4 AST)21
50.6%
27
49.4%
Q1 - 2:00MIABarron REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)21
53.4%
25
46.6%
Q1 - 2:02DENMISS Anthony 10' Turnaround Jump Shot21
54.4%
25
45.6%
Q1 - 2:27MIAMarion Dunk (4 PTS) (Wright 1 AST)21
55.8%
25
44.2%
Q1 - 2:48DENAnthony Slam Dunk (8 PTS)21
58.3%
23
41.7%
Q1 - 2:58MIAWright Reverse Layup (7 PTS)19
55.8%
23
44.2%
Q1 - 3:10MIABlount REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)19
58.3%
21
41.7%
Q1 - 3:11DENMISS Iverson 16' Turnaround Jump Shot19
59.0%
21
41.0%
Q1 - 3:26MIAWade Driving Layup (6 PTS)19
60.7%
21
39.3%
Q1 - 3:32MIABlount REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)19
62.6%
19
37.4%
Q1 - 3:34DENMISS Iverson Driving Layup19
63.3%
19
36.7%
Q1 - 3:42MIAHEAT Turnover: Shot Clock (T#3)19
64.9%
19
35.1%
Q1 - 4:07DENCamby 17' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Iverson 2 AST)19
62.7%
19
37.3%
Q1 - 4:16DENIverson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)17
61.1%
19
38.9%
Q1 - 4:18MIAMISS Marion Dunk17
60.3%
19
39.7%
Q1 - 4:31DENCarter Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T3)17
58.5%
19
41.5%
Q1 - 4:34DENMartin REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)17
61.1%
19
38.9%
Q1 - 4:36MIAMISS Marion Driving Finger Roll Layup17
60.3%
19
39.7%
Q1 - 4:47MIABlount REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)17
58.5%
19
41.5%
Q1 - 4:49DENMISS Anthony 17' Jump Shot17
59.3%
19
40.7%
Q1 - 5:00MIAWilliams Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T2)17
61.1%
19
38.9%
Q1 - 5:18DENWade STEAL (1 STL)17
59.0%
19
41.0%
Q1 - 5:38DENNuggets Rebound17
61.3%
19
38.7%
Q1 - 5:39MIAMISS Wade Driving Layup17
60.6%
19
39.4%
Q1 - 5:55DENMartin 14' Jump Shot (4 PTS)17
59.0%
19
41.0%
Q1 - 6:12MIAWright 24' 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Marion 1 AST)15
57.3%
19
42.7%
Q1 - 6:33DENAnthony Dunk (6 PTS) (Iverson 1 AST)15
61.2%
16
38.8%
Q1 - 6:38MIAWright Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T1)13
59.3%
16
40.7%
Q1 - 6:43MIAMarion REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)13
57.3%
16
42.7%
Q1 - 6:44DENMISS Carter 15' Jump Shot13
57.9%
16
42.1%
Q1 - 6:50DENCarter REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)13
59.3%
16
40.7%
Q1 - 6:51MIAMISS Marion 9' Jump Shot13
58.7%
16
41.3%
Q1 - 7:05DENIverson Free Throw 2 of 2 (5 PTS)13
57.8%
16
42.2%
Q1 - 7:05DENIverson Free Throw 1 of 2 (4 PTS)12
57.5%
16
42.5%
Q1 - 7:15MIAWade 20' Jump Shot (4 PTS)11
56.1%
16
43.9%
Q1 - 7:23MIABlount REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)11
57.8%
14
42.2%
Q1 - 7:24DENMISS Camby 9' Jump Shot11
58.4%
14
41.6%
Q1 - 7:41MIAWade Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)11
59.8%
14
40.2%
Q1 - 7:41MIAWade Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)11
60.1%
13
39.9%
Q1 - 7:46MIAMarion REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)11
61.4%
12
38.6%
Q1 - 7:47DENMISS Martin 19' Jump Shot11
62.0%
12
38.0%
Q1 - 8:08MIABlount 4' Jump Shot (6 PTS)11
64.0%
12
36.0%
Q1 - 8:24DENWilliams STEAL (1 STL)11
65.5%
10
34.5%
Q1 - 8:37MIAWilliams Driving Finger Roll Layup (2 PTS)11
67.3%
10
32.7%
Q1 - 8:55DENAnthony 20' Jump Shot (4 PTS)11
68.8%
8
31.2%
Q1 - 9:11MIAMarion Alley Oop Dunk (2 PTS) (Wade 3 AST)9
67.3%
8
32.7%
Q1 - 9:23DENAnthony 17' Jump Shot (2 PTS)9
68.5%
6
31.5%
Q1 - 9:37MIABlount 4' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Wade 2 AST)7
67.4%
6
32.6%
Q1 - 10:01DENMartin Slam Dunk (2 PTS) (Anthony 2 AST)7
68.6%
4
31.4%
Q1 - 10:11MIAWright Reverse Layup (2 PTS)5
67.2%
4
32.8%
Q1 - 10:29DENIverson Free Throw 1 of 1 (3 PTS)5
68.6%
2
31.4%
Q1 - 10:33DENAnthony REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)2
65.5%
2
34.5%
Q1 - 10:34MIAMISS Williams 18' Jump Shot2
64.9%
2
35.1%
Q1 - 10:37MIAWade REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)2
63.5%
2
36.5%
Q1 - 10:40DENMISS Iverson 9' Fadeaway Jumper2
64.1%
2
35.9%
Q1 - 10:55MIABlount 4' Hook Shot (2 PTS) (Wade 1 AST)2
65.5%
2
34.5%
Q1 - 11:11MIAMarion REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)2
67.1%
0
32.9%
Q1 - 11:12DENMISS Anthony 21' Jump Shot2
67.6%
0
32.4%
Q1 - 11:19DENCamby REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)2
68.6%
0
31.4%
Q1 - 11:21MIAMISS Blount Tip Shot2
68.1%
0
31.9%
Q1 - 11:22MIABlount REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)2
67.1%
0
32.9%
Q1 - 11:24MIAMISS Marion 7' Jump Bank Shot2
68.1%
0
31.9%
Q1 - 11:43DENCamby 17' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Anthony 1 AST)2
67.1%
0
32.9%
Q1 - 12:00MIAJump Ball Blount vs. Camby: Tip to Anthony0
65.4%
0
34.6%

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

DEN
1.07 53.3%
MIA
1.02 50.9%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)
DEN
18
32
56%
MIA
23
42
55%
Midrange
DEN
19
41
46%
MIA
16
39
41%
3PT | Effective 3PT
DEN
8
12.0
22
36%
55%
MIA
8
12.0
19
42%
63%
Free Throws
DEN
16
20
80%
MIA
11
13
85%
Makes
Effective 3P Makes
%
Efficiency
Misses
Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|
DEN logo Nuggets
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
J. Smith2882%14.0 / 17
K. Martin2475%12.0 / 16
C. Anthony2244%11.0 / 25
A. Iverson1636%8.0 / 22
M. Camby1255%6.0 / 11
L. Kleiza660%3.0 / 5
A. Carter440%2.0 / 5
E. Najera250%1.0 / 2
TS Makes
TS Misses

Total Points

|
MIA logo Heat
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
D. Wade2950%14.5 / 29
S. Marion2344%11.5 / 26
D. Wright1959%9.5 / 16
M. Blount1856%9.0 / 16
R. Davis1071%5.0 / 7
E. Barron6100%3.0 / 3
J. Williams563%2.5 / 4
M. Banks338%1.5 / 4
TS Makes
TS Misses

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

DEN
89
+17
-13
106
MIA
91
+18
-10
109
Base
ORB
TOV

Scoring Efficiency

DEN
1.07 53.3%
MIA
1.02 50.9%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Efficiency & PaceThis Game
Efficiency
110.4
100.2
DEN 111.8
MIA 111.9 +0.1
Pace
99.4
90.5
DEN 94.6 +5.2
MIA 89.4
Avg. Poss. Time
13.9
16.3
DEN 15.2 +0.9
MIA 16.1
Four FactorsThis Game
EFG %
51.0%
48.2%
DEN 51.6% +0.6%
MIA 51.0%
TO %
14.4%
15.4%
DEN 12.6%
MIA 11.0% +1.6%
ORB %
25.6%
22.2%
DEN 33.3% +3.5%
MIA 29.8%
FTrt
35.8
30.0
DEN 21.1 +8.1
MIA 13.0
Misc. StatsThis Game
AST %
61.2%
58.5%
DEN 46.7%
MIA 66.0% +19.3%
STL %
9.1%
7.9%
DEN 7.8%
MIA 8.9% +1.1%
BLK %
9.9%
7.1%
DEN 12.3% +10.9%
MIA 1.4%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.2 and 2.2.

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Shooting EfficiencyThis Game
TS%
54.4%
50.6%
DEN 53.3% +2.4%
MIA 50.9%
Rim FG%
60.7%
59.2%
DEN 56.3% +1.5%
MIA 54.8%
Mid FG%
40.4%
38.8%
DEN 46.3% +5.3%
MIA 41.0%
3P %
35.5%
35.8%
DEN 36.4%
MIA 42.1% +5.7%
FT %
75.1%
72.7%
DEN 80.0%
MIA 84.6% +4.6%
Shot DistributionThis Game
Rim Att. %
38.1%
30.2%
DEN 33.7%
MIA 42.0% +8.3%
Mid Att. %
39.1%
48.1%
DEN 43.2%
MIA 39.0% +4.2%
3P Att. %
22.8%
21.7%
DEN 23.2% +4.2%
MIA 19.0%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.
Game TotalsDENMIA
Possessions102101
Possession Minutes25.927.1
Points114113
Rebounds4946
Assists2131
Steals89
Blocks101
Turnovers (Team)13 (2)10 (3)
Fouls
Off. Rebounds (Team)16 (1)14 (4)
Def. Rebounds (Team)33 (3)32 (2)
Field Goals45-9547-100
At-the-Rim FG18-3223-42
Midrange FG19-4116-39
2-Point FG37-7339-81
3-Point FG8-228-19
Free Throws16-2011-13
Fast Break Pts
2nd Chance Pts
Points in Paint
Pts off Turnovers
Bench Points
Biggest Lead

BOXSCORE

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PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
G · 6'0" 165 · 33
50.6
16
36%
6
7
0
0
2
0
0
6
6-6
100%
5-19
26%
0-1
0%
C · 6'11" 240 · 34
41.9
12
55%
16
2
1
7
2
2
7
9
0-0
-
6-11
55%
0-0
-
F · 6'9" 225 · 30
41.7
24
75%
6
2
1
1
0
2
3
3
0-0
-
12-15
80%
0-1
0%
F · 6'8" 240 · 24
41.2
22
44%
11
4
2
1
3
2
2
9
4-5
80%
9-20
45%
0-3
0%
G · 6'1" 190 · 33
27.8
4
40%
4
1
1
0
3
2
1
3
2-2
100%
1-2
50%
0-2
0%
G-F · 6'6" 225 · 22
26.8
28
82%
1
3
1
0
2
4
0
1
2-3
67%
1-2
50%
8-14
57%
F · 6'8" 234 · 23
18.1
6
60%
3
0
0
1
1
1
1
2
2-4
50%
2-2
100%
0-1
0%
F · 6'8" 235 · 32
17.0
2
50%
2
2
2
0
0
1
2
0
0-0
-
1-2
50%
0-0
-
C-F · 6'11" 250 · 25
F-G · 6'7" 225 · 25
C · 7'0" 240 · 26
G · 6'5" 209 · 23
#12 · G · 5'11" 185 · 33
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
TOTAL
265
114
53%
49
21
8
10
13
0
16
33
16-20
80%
37-73
51%
8-22
36%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.