FinalWin Prob.pScore
565%93
94
2235%88
90
ORTG#PossPace
DET logo DET
108.08785.1
ATL logo ATL
105.98586.9

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

HawksPistonsQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Scoring Margin

HawksPistonsQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Play-by-Play

Score / WinProb
ClockTeamEventDETATL
Q4 - 0:00.0DET94
100%
90
0%
Q4 - 0:05.0DETAfflalo REBOUND (Off:2 Def:0)94
99.8%
90
0.2%
Q4 - 0:08.0DETMISS Afflalo Free Throw 2 of 294
98.5%
90
1.5%
Q4 - 0:08.0DETMISS Afflalo Free Throw 1 of 294
99.3%
90
0.7%
Q4 - 0:09.0DETPistons Rebound94
99.4%
90
0.6%
Q4 - 0:10.0ATLMISS Johnson 26' 3PT Jump Shot94
99.2%
90
0.8%
Q4 - 0:13.0DETHamilton Free Throw 2 of 2 (12 PTS)94
97.9%
90
2.1%
Q4 - 0:13.0DETHamilton Free Throw 1 of 2 (11 PTS)93
97.6%
90
2.4%
Q4 - 0:14.0ATLSmith Free Throw 2 of 2 (30 PTS)92
95.1%
90
4.9%
Q4 - 0:14.0ATLMISS Smith Free Throw 1 of 292
96.1%
89
3.9%
Q4 - 0:14.0ATLSmith REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)92
94.3%
89
5.7%
Q4 - 0:16.0ATLMISS Johnson Layup92
97.2%
89
2.8%
Q4 - 0:22.0DETBillups 18' Jump Shot (16 PTS)92
92.4%
89
7.6%
Q4 - 0:43.0ATLSmith 25' 3PT Jump Shot (29 PTS) (Johnson 4 AST)90
81.8%
89
18.2%
Q4 - 0:50.0ATLWilliams REBOUND (Off:4 Def:4)90
93.6%
86
6.4%
Q4 - 0:52.0DETMISS Billups 21' Jump Shot90
94.5%
86
5.5%
Q4 - 1:12DETHamilton REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)90
95.3%
86
4.7%
Q4 - 1:14ATLMISS Smith Layup90
94.3%
86
5.7%
Q4 - 1:34ATLWilliams REBOUND (Off:4 Def:3)90
90.4%
86
9.6%
Q4 - 1:38DETMISS McDyess Free Throw 2 of 290
90.9%
86
9.1%
Q4 - 1:38DETMcDyess Free Throw 1 of 2 (8 PTS)90
92.9%
86
7.1%
Q4 - 1:38DETMcDyess REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)89
90.8%
86
9.2%
Q4 - 1:39DETMISS Prince Layup89
86.8%
86
13.2%
Q4 - 2:00DETPrince REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)89
90.2%
86
9.8%
Q4 - 2:01ATLMISS Smith Layup89
88.9%
86
11.1%
Q4 - 2:25DETBillups Driving Layup (14 PTS)89
83.7%
86
16.3%
Q4 - 2:39DETHamilton REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)87
80.0%
86
20.0%
Q4 - 2:40ATLMISS Johnson 15' Fadeaway Jumper87
76.5%
86
23.5%
Q4 - 2:52ATLJohnson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:8)87
65.5%
86
34.5%
Q4 - 2:55DETMISS Billups 25' 3PT Jump Shot87
69.4%
86
30.6%
Q4 - 3:10DETPistons Rebound87
77.6%
86
22.4%
Q4 - 3:11ATLMISS Horford Layup87
74.4%
86
25.6%
Q4 - 3:28DETBillups 25' 3PT Jump Shot (12 PTS)87
65.6%
86
34.4%
Q4 - 3:51ATLChildress Layup (12 PTS) (Horford 1 AST)84
49.1%
86
50.9%
Q4 - 3:53ATLHorford REBOUND (Off:7 Def:9)84
57.9%
84
42.1%
Q4 - 3:55ATLMISS Smith 26' 3PT Jump Shot84
64.3%
84
35.7%
Q4 - 4:22DETBillups 26' 3PT Jump Shot (9 PTS)84
57.6%
84
42.4%
Q4 - 4:30ATLHorford Lost Ball Turnover (P2.T14)81
39.3%
84
60.7%
Q4 - 4:47DETMcDyess Foul Turnover (P2.T8)81
30.1%
84
69.9%
Q4 - 4:50DETPrince REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)81
39.2%
84
60.8%
Q4 - 4:52ATLMISS Johnson 25' 3PT Jump Shot81
36.3%
84
63.7%
Q4 - 5:07ATLSmith REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)81
34.8%
84
65.2%
Q4 - 5:09DETSmith BLOCK (3 BLK)81
37.2%
84
62.8%
Q4 - 5:29ATLHorford Free Throw 2 of 2 (12 PTS)81
42.9%
84
57.1%
Q4 - 5:29ATLHorford Free Throw 1 of 2 (11 PTS)81
45.3%
83
54.7%
Q4 - 5:49DETBillups 18' Jump Shot (6 PTS)81
50.8%
82
49.2%
Q4 - 6:03ATLJohnson Free Throw 2 of 2 (11 PTS)79
46.3%
82
53.7%
Q4 - 6:03ATLMISS Johnson Free Throw 1 of 279
47.6%
81
52.4%
Q4 - 6:19DETWallace Free Throw 2 of 2 (21 PTS)79
45.0%
81
55.0%
Q4 - 6:19DETMISS Wallace Free Throw 1 of 278
43.4%
81
56.6%
Q4 - 6:36ATLHorford Free Throw 2 of 2 (10 PTS)78
46.0%
81
54.0%
Q4 - 6:36ATLHorford Free Throw 1 of 2 (9 PTS)78
48.2%
80
51.8%
Q4 - 6:36ATLHorford REBOUND (Off:6 Def:9)78
52.5%
79
47.5%
Q4 - 6:36ATLMISS Johnson 18' Jump Shot78
58.5%
79
41.5%
Q4 - 6:51ATLHorford REBOUND (Off:5 Def:9)78
52.5%
79
47.5%
Q4 - 6:53DETMISS Hamilton 15' Jump Shot78
55.1%
79
44.9%
Q4 - 6:58ATLSmith Bad Pass Turnover (P4.T13)78
61.0%
79
39.0%
Q4 - 7:20DETHamilton Driving Layup (10 PTS)78
54.8%
79
45.2%
Q4 - 7:26ATLLue Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T12)76
48.7%
79
51.3%
Q4 - 7:46DETChildress STEAL (2 STL)76
40.9%
79
59.1%
Q4 - 7:56DETHamilton REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)76
48.6%
79
51.4%
Q4 - 7:58ATLMISS Smith Driving Layup76
46.2%
79
53.8%
Q4 - 8:13ATLJohnson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:7)76
43.1%
79
56.9%
Q4 - 8:17ATLMISS Lue 25' 3PT Jump Shot76
47.6%
79
52.4%
Q4 - 8:28ATLJohnson Free Throw Technical (10 PTS)76
43.0%
79
57.0%
Q4 - 8:54ATLSmith REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)76
49.4%
78
50.6%
Q4 - 8:54DETSmith BLOCK (2 BLK)76
51.4%
78
48.6%
Q4 - 9:09DETWallace REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)76
57.2%
78
42.8%
Q4 - 9:12ATLMISS Lue Layup76
55.3%
78
44.7%
Q4 - 9:26DETHamilton Step Out of Bounds Turnover (P2.T6)76
50.9%
78
49.1%
Q4 - 9:45ATLHorford Putback Layup (8 PTS)76
57.1%
78
42.9%
Q4 - 9:47ATLHorford REBOUND (Off:5 Def:8)76
62.6%
76
37.4%
Q4 - 9:49ATLMISS Pachulia Layup76
66.6%
76
33.4%
Q4 - 10:10DETStuckey Putback Layup (12 PTS)76
62.6%
76
37.4%
Q4 - 10:12DETStuckey REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)74
57.6%
76
42.4%
Q4 - 10:14DETMISS Hamilton 14' Jump Shot74
53.4%
76
46.6%
Q4 - 10:28ATLHorford Foul Turnover (P1.T11)74
57.6%
76
42.4%
Q4 - 10:30ATLHorford REBOUND (Off:4 Def:8)74
51.5%
76
48.5%
Q4 - 10:33DETMISS Wallace 25' 3PT Jump Shot74
53.4%
76
46.6%
Q4 - 10:55DETWallace REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)74
57.6%
76
42.4%
Q4 - 10:57ATLMISS Williams 15' Jump Shot74
55.8%
76
44.2%
Q4 - 11:07ATLHorford REBOUND (Off:4 Def:7)74
51.6%
76
48.4%
Q4 - 11:08DETMISS Stuckey Driving Layup74
53.3%
76
46.7%
Q4 - 11:15DETMaxiell REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)74
57.2%
76
42.8%
Q4 - 11:17ATLMISS Williams 16' Jump Shot74
55.5%
76
44.5%
Q4 - 11:33ATLPachulia REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)74
51.6%
76
48.4%
Q4 - 11:36ATLMISS Horford 16' Jump Shot74
55.5%
76
44.5%
Q3 - 0:00.0ATL74
51.6%
76
48.4%
Q3 - 0:00.0ATLHAWKS Rebound74
51.6%
76
48.4%
Q3 - 0:00.0ATLMISS Smith 44' 3PT Jump Shot74
55.6%
76
44.4%
Q3 - 0:03.0DETStuckey Layup (10 PTS)74
53.2%
76
46.8%
Q3 - 0:18.0ATLWilliams Slam Dunk (8 PTS) (Lue 3 AST)72
48.0%
76
52.0%
Q3 - 0:27.0DETChildress STEAL (1 STL)72
53.1%
74
46.9%
Q3 - 0:28.0DETMcDyess REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)72
58.2%
74
41.8%
Q3 - 0:30.0ATLMISS Williams Layup72
56.6%
74
43.4%
Q3 - 0:35.0ATLLue REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)72
53.1%
74
46.9%
Q3 - 0:37.0DETSmith BLOCK (1 BLK)72
54.6%
74
45.4%
Q3 - 0:42.0ATLWilliams Bad Pass Turnover (P3.T10)72
58.1%
74
41.9%
Q3 - 0:53.0DETStuckey 21' Jump Shot (8 PTS)72
53.0%
74
47.0%
Q3 - 1:03ATLChildress Dunk (10 PTS) (Lue 2 AST)70
49.6%
74
50.4%
Q3 - 1:04ATLLue REBOUND (Off:2 Def:0)70
54.3%
72
45.7%
Q3 - 1:06ATLMISS Lue Layup70
57.7%
72
42.3%
Q3 - 1:33DETMaxiell Free Throw 2 of 2 (3 PTS)70
54.2%
72
45.8%
Q3 - 1:33DETMISS Maxiell Free Throw 1 of 269
52.6%
72
47.4%
Q3 - 1:33DETMaxiell REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)69
54.4%
72
45.6%
Q3 - 1:34DETMISS Prince 17' Jump Shot69
50.9%
72
49.1%
Q3 - 1:59ATLSmith Free Throw 2 of 2 (26 PTS)69
54.3%
72
45.7%
Q3 - 1:59ATLSmith Free Throw 1 of 2 (25 PTS)69
55.5%
71
44.5%
Q3 - 2:10ATLHorford REBOUND (Off:4 Def:6)69
59.0%
70
41.0%
Q3 - 2:14ATLMISS Johnson 26' 3PT Jump Shot69
62.4%
70
37.6%
Q3 - 2:42DETMcDyess 12' Turnaround Jump Shot (7 PTS) (Prince 2 AST)69
59.0%
70
41.0%
Q3 - 3:08ATLSmith Driving Layup (24 PTS) (Johnson 3 AST)67
55.6%
70
44.4%
Q3 - 3:21DETAfflalo Free Throw 2 of 2 (5 PTS)67
59.6%
68
40.4%
Q3 - 3:21DETMISS Afflalo Free Throw 1 of 266
58.8%
68
41.2%
Q3 - 3:45ATLJohnson 15' Jump Shot (8 PTS)66
59.9%
68
40.1%
Q3 - 3:51ATLHAWKS Rebound66
63.8%
66
36.2%
Q3 - 3:51DETMISS Billups 20' Jump Shot66
65.2%
66
34.8%
Q3 - 4:17ATLSmith 10' Turnaround Jump Shot (22 PTS)66
68.5%
66
31.5%
Q3 - 4:38DETAfflalo Step Out of Bounds Turnover (P1.T4)66
71.6%
64
28.4%
Q3 - 4:52DETPrince REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)66
75.4%
64
24.6%
Q3 - 4:54ATLMISS Childress Layup66
74.3%
64
25.7%
Q3 - 5:15DETPrince Free Throw 2 of 2 (6 PTS)66
71.7%
64
28.3%
Q3 - 5:15DETPrince Free Throw 1 of 2 (5 PTS)65
71.0%
64
29.0%
Q3 - 5:32ATLJohnson Bad Pass Turnover (P3.T9)64
68.4%
64
31.6%
Q3 - 5:49ATLJohnson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:7)64
64.4%
64
35.6%
Q3 - 5:52DETMISS Prince Free Throw 1 of 164
65.0%
64
35.0%
Q3 - 6:04ATLHorford Free Throw 1 of 1 (6 PTS)62
61.3%
64
38.7%
Q3 - 6:09ATLSmith REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)62
68.3%
61
31.7%
Q3 - 6:12DETMISS Billups 26' 3PT Jump Shot62
69.4%
61
30.6%
Q3 - 6:38ATLJohnson Layup (9 PTS) (Johnson 2 AST)62
71.9%
61
28.1%
Q3 - 6:40ATLWilliams REBOUND (Off:4 Def:2)62
74.8%
59
25.2%
Q3 - 6:43DETMISS Hamilton 19' Jump Shot62
75.8%
59
24.2%
Q3 - 7:02ATLHorford REBOUND (Off:3 Def:6)62
77.4%
59
22.6%
Q3 - 7:02ATLHorford Putback Layup (3 PTS)62
77.4%
59
22.6%
Q3 - 7:05ATLMISS Johnson Layup62
81.5%
57
18.5%
Q3 - 7:09ATLHorford REBOUND (Off:2 Def:6)62
79.6%
57
20.4%
Q3 - 7:11DETMISS Billups 16' Jump Shot62
80.5%
57
19.5%
Q3 - 7:33ATLJohnson Driving Layup (6 PTS)62
82.4%
57
17.6%
Q3 - 7:37ATLHorford REBOUND (Off:2 Def:5)62
84.2%
55
15.8%
Q3 - 7:40DETMISS Billups 3PT Jump Shot62
84.9%
55
15.1%
Q3 - 8:02ATLJohnson Free Throw 2 of 2 (7 PTS)62
86.3%
55
13.7%
Q3 - 8:02ATLJohnson Free Throw 1 of 2 (6 PTS)62
86.6%
54
13.4%
Q3 - 8:10DETHamilton Free Throw 2 of 2 (8 PTS)62
87.8%
53
12.2%
Q3 - 8:10DETHamilton Free Throw 1 of 2 (7 PTS)61
87.6%
53
12.4%
Q3 - 8:12ATLWilliams Lost Ball Turnover (P2.T8)60
86.3%
53
13.7%
Q3 - 8:16ATLJohnson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)60
84.2%
53
15.8%
Q3 - 8:19DETMISS Prince 24' 3PT Jump Shot60
84.9%
53
15.1%
Q3 - 8:31DETMcDyess REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)60
86.3%
53
13.7%
Q3 - 8:33ATLMISS Williams 16' Jump Shot60
85.7%
53
14.3%
Q3 - 8:39ATLJohnson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:6)60
84.2%
53
15.8%
Q3 - 8:42DETMISS Prince 18' Turnaround Jump Shot60
84.8%
53
15.2%
Q3 - 9:05ATLJohnson Layup (4 PTS) (Smith 2 AST)60
85.9%
53
14.1%
Q3 - 9:18ATLWilliams REBOUND (Off:4 Def:1)60
87.6%
51
12.4%
Q3 - 9:21ATLMISS Smith Layup60
88.7%
51
11.3%
Q3 - 9:30ATLHorford REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)60
87.6%
51
12.4%
Q3 - 9:32DETMISS Wallace 3PT Jump Shot60
88.1%
51
11.9%
Q3 - 9:56ATLSmith Layup (20 PTS)60
89.2%
51
10.8%
Q3 - 10:07ATLHAWKS Rebound60
90.2%
49
9.8%
Q3 - 10:07ATLMISS Horford 11' Jump Shot60
91.1%
49
8.9%
Q3 - 10:22DETWallace Free Throw 2 of 2 (20 PTS)60
90.2%
49
9.8%
Q3 - 10:22DETMISS Wallace Free Throw 1 of 259
89.9%
49
10.1%
Q3 - 10:40DETPrince REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)59
90.3%
49
9.7%
Q3 - 10:42ATLMISS Johnson 19' Jump Shot59
89.9%
49
10.1%
Q3 - 10:58DETWallace Free Throw 2 of 2 (19 PTS)59
88.9%
49
11.1%
Q3 - 10:58DETWallace Free Throw 1 of 2 (18 PTS)58
88.6%
49
11.4%
Q3 - 11:10DETPistons Rebound57
87.4%
49
12.6%
Q3 - 11:11DETMISS Hamilton 17' Jump Shot57
86.3%
49
13.7%
Q3 - 11:27ATLHorford Free Throw 2 of 2 (1 PTS)57
87.5%
49
12.5%
Q3 - 11:27ATLMISS Horford Free Throw 1 of 257
87.9%
48
12.1%
Q3 - 11:41DETWallace 18' Jump Shot (17 PTS) (Billups 8 AST)57
87.4%
48
12.6%
Q2 - 0:00.0DET55
85.9%
48
14.1%
Q2 - 0:17.0ATLLue Free Throw 2 of 2 (7 PTS)55
85.2%
48
14.8%
Q2 - 0:17.0ATLLue Free Throw 1 of 2 (6 PTS)55
85.4%
47
14.6%
Q2 - 0:17.0ATLLue REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)55
87.2%
46
12.8%
Q2 - 0:18.0ATLMISS Smith 19' Jump Shot55
87.9%
46
12.1%
Q2 - 0:38.0DETStuckey Driving Layup (6 PTS)55
87.2%
46
12.8%
Q2 - 0:45.0ATLSmith Bad Pass Turnover (P3.T7)53
85.2%
46
14.8%
Q2 - 0:49.0ATLJohnson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)53
84.0%
46
16.0%
Q2 - 0:54.0DETMISS Johnson 11' Jump Hook Shot53
84.4%
46
15.6%
Q2 - 1:24ATLLue 25' 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Johnson 2 AST)53
84.7%
46
15.3%
Q2 - 1:42DETJohnson REBOUND (Off:3 Def:1)53
88.4%
43
11.6%
Q2 - 1:42DETJohnson Putback Layup (6 PTS)53
88.4%
43
11.6%
Q2 - 1:43DETMISS Prince Layup51
85.7%
43
14.3%
Q2 - 2:00ATLSmith Free Throw 2 of 2 (18 PTS)51
86.3%
43
13.7%
Q2 - 2:00ATLSmith Free Throw 1 of 2 (17 PTS)51
86.7%
42
13.3%
Q2 - 2:17DETStuckey 8' Jump Bank Shot (4 PTS) (Wallace 2 AST)51
87.7%
41
12.3%
Q2 - 2:41DETJohnson REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)49
86.2%
41
13.8%
Q2 - 2:42ATLMISS Johnson 14' Jump Shot49
85.8%
41
14.2%
Q2 - 3:00DETHamilton 17' Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Johnson 1 AST)49
84.9%
41
15.1%
Q2 - 3:21ATLSmith Driving Layup (16 PTS)47
82.8%
41
17.2%
Q2 - 3:25ATLWilliams REBOUND (Off:3 Def:1)47
84.3%
39
15.7%
Q2 - 3:26ATLMISS Lue 21' Jump Shot47
85.5%
39
14.5%
Q2 - 3:38DETJohnson REBOUND (Off:2 Def:0)47
84.3%
39
15.7%
Q2 - 3:38DETJohnson Putback Layup (4 PTS)47
84.3%
39
15.7%
Q2 - 3:40DETMISS Stuckey Layup45
81.5%
39
18.5%
Q2 - 4:03ATLWilliams Running Layup (6 PTS)45
82.5%
39
17.5%
Q2 - 4:09DETJohnson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)45
84.1%
37
15.9%
Q2 - 4:09DETJohnson Layup (2 PTS)45
84.1%
37
15.9%
Q2 - 4:18DETHorford BLOCK (1 BLK)43
81.4%
37
18.6%
Q2 - 4:43ATLLue 17' Jump Shot (2 PTS)43
82.5%
37
17.5%
Q2 - 4:51ATLWilliams REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)43
84.1%
35
15.9%
Q2 - 4:53DETMISS Hamilton 18' Jump Shot43
84.6%
35
15.4%
Q2 - 5:10ATLJohnson Free Throw 1 of 1 (5 PTS)43
85.6%
35
14.4%
Q2 - 5:14ATLJohnson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)43
88.0%
32
12.0%
Q2 - 5:16DETMISS Hayes 14' Jump Shot43
88.4%
32
11.6%
Q2 - 5:35ATLWilliams REBOUND (Off:2 Def:0)43
89.3%
32
10.7%
Q2 - 5:35ATLWilliams Putback Layup (4 PTS)43
89.3%
32
10.7%
Q2 - 5:37ATLMISS Lue 20' Jump Shot43
91.0%
30
9.0%
Q2 - 6:05DETStuckey 12' Turnaround Jump Shot (2 PTS)43
89.9%
30
10.1%
Q2 - 6:20ATLSmith 15' Turnaround Jump Shot (14 PTS)41
89.1%
30
10.9%
Q2 - 6:46ATLHAWKS Rebound41
90.0%
28
10.0%
Q2 - 6:48DETMISS Hayes 25' 3PT Jump Shot41
90.3%
28
9.7%
Q2 - 7:08ATLSmith 17' Jump Shot (12 PTS)41
90.6%
28
9.4%
Q2 - 7:33DETHamilton 16' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Stuckey 2 AST)41
91.4%
26
8.6%
Q2 - 7:42ATLSmith Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T6)39
90.6%
26
9.4%
Q2 - 8:01DETHamilton 16' Fadeaway Jumper (2 PTS)39
89.2%
26
10.8%
Q2 - 8:20ATLChildress Layup (8 PTS) (Pachulia 2 AST)37
88.4%
26
11.6%
Q2 - 8:32DETStuckey Poss Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T3)37
89.3%
24
10.7%
Q2 - 8:50ATLSmith 13' Running Jump Shot (10 PTS) (Lue 1 AST)37
90.3%
24
9.7%
Q2 - 9:14DETAfflalo Driving Layup (4 PTS)37
90.8%
22
9.2%
Q2 - 9:19ATLWilliams Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T5)35
90.0%
22
10.0%
Q2 - 9:32DETMcDyess Layup (5 PTS) (Stuckey 1 AST)35
89.0%
22
11.0%
Q2 - 9:37DETMaxiell REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)33
88.1%
22
11.9%
Q2 - 9:41ATLMISS Wright 18' Jump Shot33
87.7%
22
12.3%
Q2 - 10:00DETMcDyess Free Throw 2 of 2 (3 PTS)33
86.9%
22
13.1%
Q2 - 10:00DETMISS McDyess Free Throw 1 of 232
86.5%
22
13.5%
Q2 - 10:18ATLPachulia Driving Layup (2 PTS) (Law 2 AST)32
86.7%
22
13.3%
Q2 - 10:37DETHayes 25' 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Billups 7 AST)32
87.7%
20
12.3%
Q2 - 11:04ATLWilliams 7' Running Jump Shot (2 PTS)29
85.2%
20
14.8%
Q2 - 11:18DETHayes Driving Dunk (2 PTS)29
86.4%
18
13.6%
Q2 - 11:22ATLChildress Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T4)27
85.2%
18
14.8%
Q2 - 11:37DETBillups Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)27
84.0%
18
16.0%
Q2 - 11:37DETBillups Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)26
83.8%
18
16.2%
Q1 - 0:00.0DET25
82.6%
18
17.4%
Q1 - 0:00.0DETPistons Rebound25
82.6%
18
17.4%
Q1 - 0:00.0DETMISS Afflalo 39' 3PT Jump Shot25
81.6%
18
18.4%
Q1 - 0:05.0DETPistons Rebound25
82.1%
18
17.9%
Q1 - 0:05.0ATLMISS Law Layup25
81.8%
18
18.2%
Q1 - 0:29.0DETAfflalo 22' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Billups 6 AST)25
81.1%
18
18.9%
Q1 - 0:42.0ATLJohnson 21' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Pachulia 1 AST)23
79.2%
18
20.8%
Q1 - 0:56.0ATLPachulia REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)23
81.1%
16
18.9%
Q1 - 0:58.0DETMISS Maxiell Free Throw 1 of 123
81.2%
16
18.8%
Q1 - 0:58.0DETMaxiell REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)21
79.2%
16
20.8%
Q1 - 1:00DETMISS Hayes 17' Jump Shot21
78.4%
16
21.6%
Q1 - 1:02DETMcDyess REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)21
79.2%
16
20.8%
Q1 - 1:05DETMISS Billups 16' Jump Shot21
78.4%
16
21.6%
Q1 - 1:26ATLChildress Layup (6 PTS) (Smith 1 AST)21
79.2%
16
20.8%
Q1 - 1:31ATLJohnson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)21
81.0%
14
19.0%
Q1 - 1:32DETMISS Afflalo Layup21
81.4%
14
18.6%
Q1 - 1:34DETAfflalo REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)21
82.1%
14
17.9%
Q1 - 1:36DETMISS Prince Layup21
81.4%
14
18.6%
Q1 - 2:01ATLChildress Driving Layup (4 PTS) (Law 1 AST)21
82.4%
14
17.6%
Q1 - 2:05ATLLaw REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)21
83.8%
12
16.2%
Q1 - 2:08DETMISS McDyess 12' Turnaround Jump Shot21
84.1%
12
15.9%
Q1 - 2:29DETBillups REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)21
84.9%
12
15.1%
Q1 - 2:31ATLMISS Horford 17' Jump Shot21
84.6%
12
15.4%
Q1 - 2:47DETPrince Driving Dunk (2 PTS) (Wallace 1 AST)21
83.8%
12
16.2%
Q1 - 2:58ATLChildress REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)19
82.4%
12
17.6%
Q1 - 2:58ATLChildress Putback Layup (2 PTS)19
82.4%
12
17.6%
Q1 - 3:01ATLMISS Smith Layup19
84.2%
10
15.8%
Q1 - 3:16ATLJohnson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)19
83.3%
10
16.7%
Q1 - 3:18DETMISS Wallace 25' 3PT Jump Shot19
83.7%
10
16.3%
Q1 - 3:35DETMcDyess REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)19
84.6%
10
15.4%
Q1 - 3:37ATLMISS Law 18' Jump Shot19
84.2%
10
15.8%
Q1 - 3:51DETWallace Layup (15 PTS) (Billups 4 AST)19
83.3%
10
16.7%
Q1 - 3:57ATLJohnson Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T3)17
82.2%
10
17.8%
Q1 - 4:23DETWallace 26' 3PT Jump Shot (13 PTS) (Billups 3 AST)17
80.6%
10
19.4%
Q1 - 4:29DETBillups REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)14
78.0%
10
22.0%
Q1 - 4:32ATLHorford REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)14
76.1%
10
23.9%
Q1 - 4:32ATLMISS Horford Tip Shot14
77.4%
10
22.6%
Q1 - 4:34ATLMISS Johnson 17' Jump Shot14
77.4%
10
22.6%
Q1 - 4:39ATLHorford REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)14
76.1%
10
23.9%
Q1 - 4:41DETMISS Billups 18' Jump Shot14
76.6%
10
23.4%
Q1 - 5:03ATLSmith Layup (8 PTS)14
77.7%
10
22.3%
Q1 - 5:11DETWallace 26' 3PT Jump Shot (10 PTS) (Prince 1 AST)14
79.0%
8
21.0%
Q1 - 5:24DETBillups REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)11
76.3%
8
23.7%
Q1 - 5:26DETMISS Billups 18' Jump Shot11
75.1%
8
24.9%
Q1 - 5:49ATLSmith Dunk (6 PTS) (Williams 1 AST)11
76.3%
8
23.7%
Q1 - 5:52ATLJohnson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)11
77.6%
6
22.4%
Q1 - 5:54DETMISS Prince 17' Jump Shot11
78.1%
6
21.9%
Q1 - 6:22ATLSmith 19' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Johnson 1 AST)11
78.8%
6
21.2%
Q1 - 6:42ATLSmith REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)11
80.1%
4
19.9%
Q1 - 6:44DETMISS Prince 14' Jump Shot11
80.5%
4
19.5%
Q1 - 6:55DETPrince REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)11
81.4%
4
18.6%
Q1 - 6:57ATLMISS Smith Layup11
81.0%
4
19.0%
Q1 - 7:18DETWallace 26' 3PT Jump Shot (7 PTS) (Billups 2 AST)11
79.7%
4
20.3%
Q1 - 7:25DETPistons Rebound8
77.3%
4
22.7%
Q1 - 7:29ATLMISS Johnson 24' 3PT Jump Shot8
76.8%
4
23.2%
Q1 - 7:33DETJohnson STEAL (1 STL)8
75.8%
4
24.2%
Q1 - 7:33ATLJohnson Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T2)8
77.3%
4
22.7%
Q1 - 8:00DETHamilton Poss Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T1)8
75.8%
4
24.2%
Q1 - 8:12ATLSmith Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T1)8
77.7%
4
22.3%
Q1 - 8:19ATLHAWKS Rebound8
76.2%
4
23.8%
Q1 - 8:19ATLWilliams REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)8
76.2%
4
23.8%
Q1 - 8:19ATLMISS Williams Tip Shot8
77.3%
4
22.7%
Q1 - 8:20ATLMISS Williams Layup8
77.3%
4
22.7%
Q1 - 8:26ATLHorford REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)8
76.2%
4
23.8%
Q1 - 8:28ATLMISS Johnson Layup8
77.3%
4
22.7%
Q1 - 8:46DETWallace 15' Turnaround Jump Shot (4 PTS)8
76.2%
4
23.8%
Q1 - 8:56DETMcDyess REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)6
74.9%
4
25.1%
Q1 - 8:59ATLMISS Williams 16' Turnaround Jump Shot6
74.5%
4
25.5%
Q1 - 9:16DETWallace 11' Turnaround Jump Shot (2 PTS)6
73.1%
4
26.9%
Q1 - 9:35ATLSmith Driving Dunk (2 PTS)4
72.0%
4
28.0%
Q1 - 9:44DETBillups Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)4
73.2%
2
26.8%
Q1 - 9:44DETBillups Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)3
73.0%
2
27.0%
Q1 - 9:47DETBillups REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)2
72.1%
2
27.9%
Q1 - 9:49ATLMISS Williams 18' Jump Shot2
71.5%
2
28.5%
Q1 - 9:53ATLHorford REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)2
70.1%
2
29.9%
Q1 - 9:55DETMISS Hamilton 16' Jump Shot2
70.7%
2
29.3%
Q1 - 10:01DETHamilton REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)2
71.9%
2
28.1%
Q1 - 10:04ATLMISS Johnson 19' Jump Shot2
71.4%
2
28.6%
Q1 - 10:17DETMcDyess 17' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Billups 1 AST)2
70.2%
2
29.8%
Q1 - 10:40ATLJohnson Layup (2 PTS) (Johnson 1 AST)0
68.8%
2
31.2%
Q1 - 10:51ATLHorford REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)0
70.1%
0
29.9%
Q1 - 10:54DETMISS Billups 26' 3PT Jump Shot0
70.7%
0
29.3%
Q1 - 11:05DETHamilton REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)0
71.8%
0
28.2%
Q1 - 11:07ATLMISS Horford 17' Jump Shot0
71.4%
0
28.6%
Q1 - 11:22ATLSmith REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)0
70.4%
0
29.6%
Q1 - 11:25DETMISS Hamilton 18' Jump Shot0
70.8%
0
29.2%
Q1 - 11:41DETWallace REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)0
71.8%
0
28.2%
Q1 - 11:43ATLMISS Johnson 17' Jump Shot0
71.4%
0
28.6%
Q1 - 12:00ATLJump Ball Smith vs. Wallace: Tip to Horford0
70.4%
0
29.6%

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

DET
1.02 51.1%
ATL
0.98 48.9%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)
DET
15
25
60%
ATL
24
43
56%
Midrange
DET
14
35
40%
ATL
9
30
30%
3PT | Effective 3PT
DET
6
9.0
16
38%
56%
ATL
2
3.0
9
22%
33%
Free Throws
DET
18
28
64%
ATL
18
21
86%
Makes
Effective 3P Makes
%
Efficiency
Misses
Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|
DET logo Pistons
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
R. Wallace2181%10.5 / 13
C. Billups1644%8.0 / 18
R. Hamilton1243%6.0 / 14
R. Stuckey1267%6.0 / 9
A. McDyess867%4.0 / 6
T. Prince627%3.0 / 11
A. Johnson675%3.0 / 4
J. Hayes550%2.5 / 5
A. Afflalo536%2.5 / 7
J. Maxiell375%1.5 / 2
TS Makes
TS Misses

Total Points

|
ATL logo Hawks
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
J. Smith3063%15.0 / 24
A. Horford1250%6.0 / 12
J. Childress1286%6.0 / 7
J. Johnson1137%5.5 / 15
M. Williams833%4.0 / 12
A. Johnson850%4.0 / 8
T. Lue744%3.5 / 8
Z. Pachulia250%1.0 / 2
A. Law0-0.0 / 2
L. Wright0-0.0 / 1
TS Makes
TS Misses

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

DET
79
+13
-8
92
ATL
71
+20
-14
91
Base
ORB
TOV

Scoring Efficiency

DET
1.02 51.1%
ATL
0.98 48.9%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Efficiency & PaceThis Game
Efficiency
110.3
106.6
DET 108.0 +2.2
ATL 105.9
Pace
88.2
91.4
DET 85.1
ATL 86.9 +1.8
Avg. Poss. Time
16.9
15.6
DET 16.9
ATL 16.6 +0.4
Four FactorsThis Game
EFG %
49.5%
48.3%
DET 50.0% +6.1%
ATL 43.9%
TO %
12.6%
15.5%
DET 8.3% +5.0%
ATL 13.3%
ORB %
29.4%
29.8%
DET 26.8%
ATL 42.5% +15.7%
FTrt
30.0
34.0
DET 36.8 +11.2
ATL 25.6
Misc. StatsThis Game
AST %
61.1%
60.6%
DET 42.9%
ATL 51.4% +8.5%
STL %
8.1%
7.9%
DET 12.6% +9.1%
ATL 3.5%
BLK %
9.4%
8.4%
DET 8.2% +1.5%
ATL 6.7%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Shooting EfficiencyThis Game
TS%
52.4%
52.0%
DET 51.1% +2.2%
ATL 48.9%
Rim FG%
60.1%
58.6%
DET 60.0% +4.2%
ATL 55.8%
Mid FG%
41.7%
38.5%
DET 40.0% +10.0%
ATL 30.0%
3P %
36.6%
35.6%
DET 37.5% +15.3%
ATL 22.2%
FT %
76.7%
77.2%
DET 64.3%
ATL 85.7% +21.4%
Shot DistributionThis Game
Rim Att. %
27.8%
36.9%
DET 32.9%
ATL 52.4% +19.5%
Mid Att. %
51.9%
46.7%
DET 46.1%
ATL 36.6% +9.5%
3P Att. %
20.3%
16.5%
DET 21.1% +10.1%
ATL 11.0%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.
Game TotalsDETATL
Possessions8785
Possession Minutes24.523.5
Points9490
Rebounds3447
Assists1518
Steals113
Blocks64
Turnovers (Team)8 (0)14 (0)
Fouls
Off. Rebounds (Team)11 (2)17 (3)
Def. Rebounds (Team)23 (4)30 (2)
Field Goals35-7635-82
At-the-Rim FG15-2524-43
Midrange FG14-359-30
2-Point FG29-6033-73
3-Point FG6-162-9
Free Throws18-2818-21
Fast Break Pts
2nd Chance Pts
Points in Paint
Pts off Turnovers
Bench Points
Biggest Lead

BOXSCORE

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PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
C · 6'11" 230 · 33
36.6
21
81%
3
2
5
2
1
6
0
3
4-6
67%
4-4
100%
3-6
50%
G · 6'7" 193 · 30
35.3
12
43%
5
0
1
0
3
3
0
5
4-4
100%
4-12
33%
0-0
-
F · 6'9" 212 · 28
33.7
6
27%
5
2
0
2
0
0
0
5
2-3
67%
2-9
22%
0-1
0%
F · 6'9" 245 · 33
33.3
8
67%
6
0
0
1
2
4
2
4
2-4
50%
3-4
75%
0-0
-
G · 6'3" 210 · 31
29.4
16
44%
4
8
0
0
0
1
1
3
4-4
100%
3-10
30%
2-6
33%
F · 6'7" 260 · 25
18.9
3
75%
4
0
1
1
0
2
2
2
1-3
33%
1-1
100%
0-0
-
G · 6'5" 205 · 22
18.6
12
67%
1
2
1
0
1
1
1
0
0-0
-
6-9
67%
0-0
-
F · 6'8" 228 · 27
14.3
5
50%
0
0
2
0
0
1
0
0
0-0
-
1-3
33%
1-2
50%
G · 6'5" 210 · 22
13.1
5
36%
2
0
1
0
1
1
2
0
1-4
25%
2-4
50%
0-1
0%
C-F · 6'9" 240 · 21
6.8
6
75%
4
1
0
0
0
1
3
1
0-0
-
3-4
75%
0-0
-
F · 6'9" 225 · 29
C · 7'1" 255 · 28
#10 · G · 6'2" 195 · 37
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
#35 · C · 7'1" 245 · 23
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
#6 · G · 6'3" 200 · 29
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
TOTAL
240
94
51%
34
15
11
6
8
0
11
23
18-28
64%
29-60
48%
6-16
38%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.