FinalWin Prob.pScore
1720%87
89
580%98
108
ORTG#PossPace
ATL logo ATL
100.08994.0
HOU logo HOU
122.78883.6

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

RocketsHawksQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Scoring Margin

RocketsHawksQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Play-by-Play

Score / WinProb
ClockTeamEventATLHOU
Q4 - 0:00.0HOU89
0%
108
100%
Q4 - 0:20.0ATLWest Free Throw 1 of 1 (4 PTS)89
0%
108
100%
Q4 - 0:35.0HOUNovak 25' 3PT Jump Shot (9 PTS) (Brooks 3 AST)86
0%
108
100%
Q4 - 0:57.0ATLChildress Free Throw 2 of 2 (18 PTS)86
0.1%
105
99.9%
Q4 - 0:57.0ATLChildress Free Throw 1 of 2 (17 PTS)85
0.1%
105
99.9%
Q4 - 0:57.0ATLChildress REBOUND (Off:3 Def:1)84
0.1%
105
99.9%
Q4 - 0:58.0ATLPachulia REBOUND (Off:5 Def:4)84
0.1%
105
99.9%
Q4 - 0:58.0ATLMISS Pachulia Tip Shot84
0.1%
105
99.9%
Q4 - 1:00ATLMISS Pachulia Layup84
0.1%
105
99.9%
Q4 - 1:22ATLPachulia REBOUND (Off:4 Def:4)84
0.1%
105
99.9%
Q4 - 1:23HOUMISS Brooks 25' 3PT Jump Shot84
0.1%
105
99.9%
Q4 - 1:37ATLChildress Dunk (16 PTS) (Pachulia 2 AST)84
0.1%
105
99.9%
Q4 - 1:53HOUJames Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T14)82
0.1%
105
99.9%
Q4 - 2:07ATLChildress Driving Layup (14 PTS)82
0.1%
105
99.9%
Q4 - 2:12ATLShel. Williams REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)80
0.1%
105
99.9%
Q4 - 2:14HOUMISS James Layup80
0.1%
105
99.9%
Q4 - 2:16HOUJames REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)80
0.1%
105
99.9%
Q4 - 2:17HOUMISS James 25' 3PT Jump Shot80
0.1%
105
99.9%
Q4 - 2:36ATLChildress Free Throw 1 of 1 (12 PTS)80
0.1%
105
99.9%
Q4 - 2:38ATLChildress REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)77
0.1%
105
99.9%
Q4 - 2:41ATLMISS Childress Driving Layup77
0.1%
105
99.9%
Q4 - 3:00HOUBrooks 19' Jump Shot (7 PTS)77
0.1%
105
99.9%
Q4 - 3:16ATLShel. Williams Layup (8 PTS) (Pachulia 1 AST)77
0.1%
103
99.9%
Q4 - 3:33HOUNovak 20' Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Hayes 4 AST)75
0.1%
103
99.9%
Q4 - 3:50ATLPachulia Driving Layup (11 PTS)75
0.1%
101
99.9%
Q4 - 4:07HOUBrooks Layup (5 PTS) (Novak 1 AST)73
0.1%
101
99.9%
Q4 - 4:10HOUROCKETS Rebound73
0.1%
99
99.9%
Q4 - 4:11HOUMISS Landry Layup73
0.1%
99
99.9%
Q4 - 4:31ATLChildress Free Throw 2 of 2 (9 PTS)73
0.1%
99
99.9%
Q4 - 4:31ATLChildress Free Throw 1 of 2 (8 PTS)72
0.1%
99
99.9%
Q4 - 4:50HOUNovak 21' Running Bank Shot (4 PTS) (Brooks 2 AST)71
0.1%
99
99.9%
Q4 - 5:06ATLShel. Williams Free Throw 2 of 2 (6 PTS)71
0.1%
97
99.9%
Q4 - 5:06ATLShel. Williams Free Throw 1 of 2 (5 PTS)70
0.1%
97
99.9%
Q4 - 5:06HOUNovak Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T13)69
0.1%
97
99.9%
Q4 - 5:24ATLShel. Williams Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)69
0.1%
97
99.9%
Q4 - 5:24ATLShel. Williams Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)68
0.1%
97
99.9%
Q4 - 5:27HOUBrooks Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T12)67
0.1%
97
99.9%
Q4 - 5:37HOULandry REBOUND (Off:3 Def:1)67
0.1%
97
99.9%
Q4 - 5:38ATLMISS Shel. Williams 19' Jump Shot67
0.1%
97
99.9%
Q4 - 5:56HOUJames Discontinue Dribble Turnover (P1.T11)67
0.1%
97
99.9%
Q4 - 6:04HOUNovak REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)67
0.1%
97
99.9%
Q4 - 6:06HOUMISS Novak 25' 3PT Jump Shot67
0.1%
97
99.9%
Q4 - 6:13HOUHayes REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)67
0.1%
97
99.9%
Q4 - 6:15ATLNovak BLOCK (1 BLK)67
0.1%
97
99.9%
Q4 - 6:31HOUNovak 19' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Hayes 3 AST)67
0.1%
97
99.9%
Q4 - 6:49ATLLaw 16' Turnaround Fadeaway (9 PTS)67
0.1%
95
99.9%
Q4 - 7:00ATLHawks Rebound65
0.1%
95
99.9%
Q4 - 7:00ATLHayes BLOCK (1 BLK)65
0.1%
95
99.9%
Q4 - 7:14ATLWest REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)65
0.1%
95
99.9%
Q4 - 7:15ATLMISS Shel. Williams 16' Turnaround Jump Shot65
0.1%
95
99.9%
Q4 - 7:24ATLHawks Rebound65
0.1%
95
99.9%
Q4 - 7:27ATLMISS Law 20' Jump Shot65
0.1%
95
99.9%
Q4 - 7:48ATLWest REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)65
0.1%
95
99.9%
Q4 - 7:49HOUMISS Landry Layup65
0.1%
95
99.9%
Q4 - 8:00HOUJump Ball Wells vs. Childress: Tip to Novak65
0.1%
95
99.9%
Q4 - 8:13ATLHawks Rebound65
0.1%
95
99.9%
Q4 - 8:15HOUMISS Novak 3PT Jump Shot65
0.1%
95
99.9%
Q4 - 8:24HOUWells REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)65
0.1%
95
99.9%
Q4 - 8:26ATLMISS Pachulia 18' Jump Shot65
0.1%
95
99.9%
Q4 - 8:44HOULandry Slam Dunk (6 PTS) (Hayes 2 AST)65
0.1%
95
99.9%
Q4 - 8:52ATLLaw Free Throw 2 of 2 (7 PTS)65
0.1%
93
99.9%
Q4 - 8:52ATLLaw Free Throw 1 of 2 (6 PTS)64
0.1%
93
99.9%
Q4 - 8:57ATLPachulia REBOUND (Off:4 Def:3)63
0.1%
93
99.9%
Q4 - 8:59HOUMISS Landry 20' Jump Shot63
0.1%
93
99.9%
Q4 - 9:08HOUWells REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)63
0.1%
93
99.9%
Q4 - 9:09ATLMISS Shel. Williams 21' Jump Shot63
0.1%
93
99.9%
Q4 - 9:25HOUWells Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T10)63
0.1%
93
99.9%
Q4 - 9:38ATLPachulia 19' Jump Shot (9 PTS)63
0.1%
93
99.9%
Q4 - 9:52HOUBrooks 25' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Wells 6 AST)61
0.1%
93
99.9%
Q4 - 10:14ATLPachulia 10' Jump Bank Shot (7 PTS) (Shel. Williams 1 AST)61
0.1%
90
99.9%
Q4 - 10:28ATLShel. Williams REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)59
0.1%
90
99.9%
Q4 - 10:30HOUWells REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)59
0.1%
90
99.9%
Q4 - 10:30HOUMISS Wells Tip Shot59
0.1%
90
99.9%
Q4 - 10:33HOUMISS Yao 18' Jump Shot59
0.1%
90
99.9%
Q4 - 10:56ATLShel. Williams Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)59
0.1%
90
99.9%
Q4 - 10:56ATLShel. Williams Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)58
0.1%
90
99.9%
Q4 - 11:13HOUYao 21' Jump Shot (28 PTS) (Brooks 1 AST)57
0.1%
90
99.9%
Q4 - 11:39ATLWilliams Layup (8 PTS) (Law 2 AST)57
0.1%
88
99.9%
Q4 - 11:43HOUYao Bad Pass Turnover (P3.T9)55
0.1%
88
99.9%
Q3 - 0:00.0ATL55
0.1%
88
99.9%
Q3 - 0:00.0HOULandry REBOUND (Off:3 Def:0)55
0.1%
88
99.9%
Q3 - 0:00.0HOULandry Tip Shot (4 PTS)55
0.1%
88
99.9%
Q3 - 0:00.0HOUMISS Yao Driving Layup55
0.1%
86
99.9%
Q3 - 0:15.0ATLLaw Free Throw 2 of 2 (5 PTS)55
0.1%
86
99.9%
Q3 - 0:15.0ATLMISS Law Free Throw 1 of 254
0.1%
86
99.9%
Q3 - 0:27.0HOUMcGrady 28' 3PT Jump Shot (15 PTS) (Wells 5 AST)54
0.1%
86
99.9%
Q3 - 0:37.0ATLPachulia Free Throw 2 of 2 (5 PTS)54
0.1%
83
99.9%
Q3 - 0:37.0ATLMISS Pachulia Free Throw 1 of 253
0.1%
83
99.9%
Q3 - 0:45.0HOUMcGrady 14' Jump Shot (12 PTS) (Yao 3 AST)53
0.1%
83
99.9%
Q3 - 0:58.0ATLChildress Free Throw 2 of 2 (7 PTS)53
0.1%
81
99.9%
Q3 - 0:58.0ATLChildress Free Throw 1 of 2 (6 PTS)52
0.1%
81
99.9%
Q3 - 1:02HOUScola Lost Ball Turnover (P2.T8)51
0.1%
81
99.9%
Q3 - 1:25ATLLaw Driving Layup (4 PTS)51
0.1%
81
99.9%
Q3 - 1:34HOUWells Layup (11 PTS) (McGrady 8 AST)49
0.1%
81
99.9%
Q3 - 1:39HOUScola REBOUND (Off:1 Def:8)49
0.1%
79
99.9%
Q3 - 1:41ATLYao BLOCK (2 BLK)49
0.1%
79
99.9%
Q3 - 2:00HOUYao Dunk (26 PTS) (McGrady 7 AST)49
0.1%
79
99.9%
Q3 - 2:06HOUScola REBOUND (Off:1 Def:7)49
0.1%
77
99.9%
Q3 - 2:07ATLMISS Law 20' Jump Shot49
0.2%
77
99.8%
Q3 - 2:32HOUYao Free Throw 2 of 2 (24 PTS)49
0.2%
77
99.8%
Q3 - 2:32HOUYao Free Throw 1 of 2 (23 PTS)49
0.2%
76
99.8%
Q3 - 2:44ATLPachulia 15' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Law 1 AST)49
0.2%
75
99.8%
Q3 - 2:48ATLLaw REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)47
0.2%
75
99.8%
Q3 - 2:50ATLMISS Smith 19' Jump Shot47
0.1%
75
99.9%
Q3 - 3:04ATLPachulia REBOUND (Off:4 Def:2)47
0.2%
75
99.8%
Q3 - 3:06HOUMISS McGrady 26' 3PT Jump Shot47
0.2%
75
99.8%
Q3 - 3:09HOUBattier REBOUND (Off:3 Def:2)47
0.2%
75
99.8%
Q3 - 3:10HOUYao REBOUND (Off:1 Def:8)47
0.2%
75
99.8%
Q3 - 3:10HOUMISS Yao Layup47
0.2%
75
99.8%
Q3 - 3:13HOUBattier REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)47
0.2%
75
99.8%
Q3 - 3:13HOUMISS Battier Tip Shot47
0.2%
75
99.8%
Q3 - 3:14HOUMISS Scola Layup47
0.2%
75
99.8%
Q3 - 3:28ATLAlston STEAL (1 STL)47
0.2%
75
99.8%
Q3 - 3:49HOUScola 6' Hook Shot (14 PTS) (Yao 2 AST)47
0.2%
75
99.8%
Q3 - 4:06HOUROCKETS Rebound47
0.3%
73
99.7%
Q3 - 4:07ATLMISS Smith 19' Jump Shot47
0.3%
73
99.7%
Q3 - 4:34HOUYao Dunk (22 PTS) (McGrady 6 AST)47
0.3%
73
99.7%
Q3 - 4:48HOUYao REBOUND (Off:0 Def:8)47
0.4%
71
99.6%
Q3 - 4:50ATLMISS Williams Layup47
0.4%
71
99.6%
Q3 - 5:03HOUScola Layup (12 PTS)47
0.6%
71
99.4%
Q3 - 5:21ATLSmith Foul Turnover (P2.T7)47
0.6%
69
99.4%
Q3 - 5:34HOUMcGrady Free Throw 2 of 2 (10 PTS)47
0.8%
69
99.2%
Q3 - 5:34HOUMcGrady Free Throw 1 of 2 (9 PTS)47
0.8%
68
99.2%
Q3 - 5:48ATLChildress Layup (5 PTS) (Johnson 4 AST)47
0.9%
67
99.1%
Q3 - 5:52ATLJohnson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)45
0.8%
67
99.2%
Q3 - 5:54HOUMISS Alston 25' 3PT Jump Shot45
0.7%
67
99.3%
Q3 - 6:08ATLHorford Foul Turnover (P1.T6)45
0.7%
67
99.3%
Q3 - 6:13ATLChildress REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)45
0.9%
67
99.1%
Q3 - 6:15ATLMISS Johnson 21' Jump Shot45
0.8%
67
99.2%
Q3 - 6:22ATLHorford REBOUND (Off:4 Def:4)45
0.9%
67
99.1%
Q3 - 6:24HOUMISS McGrady 26' 3PT Jump Shot45
0.8%
67
99.2%
Q3 - 6:41ATLSmith Layup (7 PTS)45
0.7%
67
99.3%
Q3 - 6:51ATLHorford REBOUND (Off:4 Def:3)43
0.6%
67
99.4%
Q3 - 6:52HOUMISS Battier 3PT Jump Shot43
0.6%
67
99.4%
Q3 - 7:09ATLHorford Layup (8 PTS) (Johnson 3 AST)43
0.6%
67
99.4%
Q3 - 7:12ATLJohnson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)41
0.5%
67
99.5%
Q3 - 7:13ATLMISS Williams 17' Jump Shot41
0.5%
67
99.5%
Q3 - 7:25HOUAlston Discontinue Dribble Turnover (P1.T7)41
0.5%
67
99.5%
Q3 - 7:28HOUAlston REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)41
0.4%
67
99.6%
Q3 - 7:30ATLMISS Johnson Dunk41
0.5%
67
99.5%
Q3 - 7:34HOUMcGrady Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T6)41
0.5%
67
99.5%
Q3 - 7:43HOUYao REBOUND (Off:0 Def:7)41
0.4%
67
99.6%
Q3 - 7:44ATLMISS Horford 17' Jump Shot41
0.4%
67
99.6%
Q3 - 7:50ATLHawks Rebound41
0.5%
67
99.5%
Q3 - 7:50ATLMISS Williams 10' Jump Shot41
0.4%
67
99.6%
Q3 - 8:03HOUYao 9' Turnaround Jump Shot (20 PTS) (Battier 2 AST)41
0.6%
67
99.4%
Q3 - 8:25ATLJohnson Layup (8 PTS) (Smith 4 AST)41
0.6%
65
99.4%
Q3 - 8:36HOUAlston Free Throw 2 of 2 (10 PTS)39
0.6%
65
99.4%
Q3 - 8:36HOUAlston Free Throw 1 of 2 (9 PTS)39
0.6%
64
99.4%
Q3 - 9:01ATLHorford Slam Dunk (6 PTS) (Smith 3 AST)39
0.7%
63
99.3%
Q3 - 9:05ATLWilliams REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)37
0.6%
63
99.4%
Q3 - 9:07HOUMISS McGrady Layup37
0.6%
63
99.4%
Q3 - 9:28ATLWilliams 21' Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Johnson 2 AST)37
0.5%
63
99.5%
Q3 - 9:49ATLHawks Rebound35
0.4%
63
99.6%
Q3 - 9:49HOUMISS McGrady 26' 3PT Jump Shot35
0.4%
63
99.6%
Q3 - 9:55HOUYao REBOUND (Off:0 Def:6)35
0.4%
63
99.6%
Q3 - 9:57ATLMISS Johnson Driving Layup35
0.4%
63
99.6%
Q3 - 10:09HOUYao Layup (18 PTS)35
0.5%
63
99.5%
Q3 - 10:26ATLWilliams 7' Turnaround Jump Shot (4 PTS)35
0.6%
61
99.4%
Q3 - 10:35HOUYao 11' Turnaround Fadeaway (16 PTS)33
0.5%
61
99.5%
Q3 - 10:55ATLJohnson 13' Jump Shot (6 PTS)33
0.5%
59
99.5%
Q3 - 11:18HOUMcGrady 25' 3PT Jump Shot (8 PTS)31
0.5%
59
99.5%
Q3 - 11:33HOUROCKETS Rebound31
0.7%
56
99.3%
Q3 - 11:33ATLMISS Smith 11' Hook Shot31
0.7%
56
99.3%
Q3 - 11:44ATLHorford REBOUND (Off:4 Def:2)31
0.8%
56
99.2%
Q3 - 11:46ATLMISS Johnson 10' Running Jump Shot31
0.7%
56
99.3%
Q2 - 0:00.0HOU31
0.8%
56
99.2%
Q2 - 0:00.0ATLJohnson Foul Turnover (P2.T5)31
0.7%
56
99.3%
Q2 - 0:04.0HOUScola Dunk (10 PTS) (Alston 5 AST)31
0.9%
56
99.1%
Q2 - 0:09.0HOUBattier REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)31
1.0%
54
99.0%
Q2 - 0:10.0ATLMISS Johnson 6' Running Jump Shot31
1.1%
54
98.9%
Q2 - 0:14.0ATLHawks Rebound31
1.1%
54
98.9%
Q2 - 0:14.0ATLAlston BLOCK (1 BLK)31
1.1%
54
98.9%
Q2 - 0:29.0ATLPachulia REBOUND (Off:4 Def:1)31
1.1%
54
98.9%
Q2 - 0:31.0ATLMISS Johnson 11' Jump Shot31
1.1%
54
98.9%
Q2 - 0:40.0ATLWilliams REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)31
1.1%
54
98.9%
Q2 - 0:41.0HOUMISS Alston 24' 3PT Jump Shot31
1.1%
54
98.9%
Q2 - 0:54.0ATLWilliams Reverse Layup (2 PTS) (Smith 2 AST)31
1.0%
54
99.0%
Q2 - 1:13HOUYao 20' Jump Shot (14 PTS) (McGrady 5 AST)29
0.9%
54
99.1%
Q2 - 1:23HOUYao REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)29
1.1%
52
98.9%
Q2 - 1:24ATLMISS Williams Layup29
1.2%
52
98.8%
Q2 - 1:35ATLJohnson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)29
1.2%
52
98.8%
Q2 - 1:36HOUMISS Battier 23' Jump Shot29
1.2%
52
98.8%
Q2 - 1:57HOUScola REBOUND (Off:1 Def:6)29
1.1%
52
98.9%
Q2 - 1:59ATLMISS Johnson Reverse Layup29
1.2%
52
98.8%
Q2 - 2:13ATLSmith REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)29
1.4%
52
98.6%
Q2 - 2:13HOUMISS Scola Free Throw 2 of 229
1.3%
52
98.7%
Q2 - 2:13HOUMISS Scola Free Throw 1 of 229
1.3%
52
98.7%
Q2 - 2:34HOUBattier REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)29
1.2%
52
98.8%
Q2 - 2:35ATLMISS Pachulia Layup29
1.3%
52
98.7%
Q2 - 2:49HOUYao Discontinue Dribble Turnover (P2.T5)29
1.4%
52
98.6%
Q2 - 3:03HOUYao REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)29
1.3%
52
98.7%
Q2 - 3:04ATLMISS Johnson 20' Jump Shot29
1.4%
52
98.6%
Q2 - 3:22HOUBattier 21' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Hayes 1 AST)29
1.5%
52
98.5%
Q2 - 3:33ATLJohnson Foul Turnover (P1.T4)29
1.7%
50
98.3%
Q2 - 3:44HOUHayes Layup (4 PTS) (Wells 4 AST)29
1.9%
50
98.1%
Q2 - 4:02ATLJohnson Layup (4 PTS) (Smith 1 AST)29
2.3%
48
97.7%
Q2 - 4:08HOUYao Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T4)27
2.0%
48
98.0%
Q2 - 4:22HOUHayes REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)27
1.8%
48
98.2%
Q2 - 4:24ATLMISS Johnson 20' Jump Shot27
1.9%
48
98.1%
Q2 - 4:34ATLPachulia REBOUND (Off:3 Def:1)27
2.0%
48
98.0%
Q2 - 4:35ATLMISS Smith 25' 3PT Jump Shot27
1.9%
48
98.1%
Q2 - 5:08HOUYao 10' Jump Hook Shot (12 PTS) (Wells 3 AST)27
2.1%
48
97.9%
Q2 - 5:29ATLJohnson 12' Turnaround Jump Shot (2 PTS)27
2.3%
46
97.7%
Q2 - 5:51ATLHawks Rebound25
2.1%
46
97.9%
Q2 - 5:52ATLBattier BLOCK (1 BLK)25
1.9%
46
98.1%
Q2 - 5:53ATLPachulia REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)25
2.1%
46
97.9%
Q2 - 5:54ATLMISS Horford Layup25
1.9%
46
98.1%
Q2 - 6:14HOUWells Layup (9 PTS) (Yao 1 AST)25
2.2%
46
97.8%
Q2 - 6:35HOUBrooks REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)25
2.4%
44
97.6%
Q2 - 6:37ATLMISS Horford 11' Turnaround Jump Shot25
2.5%
44
97.5%
Q2 - 6:51ATLSmith REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)25
2.7%
44
97.3%
Q2 - 6:52HOUMISS Brooks Driving Layup25
2.6%
44
97.4%
Q2 - 7:16HOUYao REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)25
2.6%
44
97.4%
Q2 - 7:16ATLMISS Smith Free Throw 2 of 225
2.7%
44
97.3%
Q2 - 7:16ATLSmith Free Throw 1 of 2 (5 PTS)25
2.9%
44
97.1%
Q2 - 7:33HOUYao Layup (10 PTS) (Wells 2 AST)24
2.6%
44
97.4%
Q2 - 7:39HOUBrooks REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)24
2.9%
42
97.1%
Q2 - 7:40HOUMISS Brooks Layup24
3.1%
42
96.9%
Q2 - 7:53HOUYao REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)24
2.9%
42
97.1%
Q2 - 7:53ATLMISS Smith Free Throw 2 of 224
2.9%
42
97.1%
Q2 - 7:53ATLMISS Smith Free Throw 1 of 224
3.1%
42
96.9%
Q2 - 8:12HOUWells Free Throw 2 of 2 (7 PTS)24
3.3%
42
96.7%
Q2 - 8:12HOUWells Free Throw 1 of 2 (6 PTS)24
3.4%
41
96.6%
Q2 - 8:22HOULandry REBOUND (Off:2 Def:0)24
3.6%
40
96.4%
Q2 - 8:24HOUMISS Brooks Layup24
3.9%
40
96.1%
Q2 - 8:47ATLJohnson 14' Running Jump Shot (8 PTS)24
3.6%
40
96.4%
Q2 - 9:06HOUHayes Layup (2 PTS)22
3.4%
40
96.6%
Q2 - 9:07HOUHayes REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)22
3.8%
38
96.2%
Q2 - 9:10HOUMISS McGrady 18' Jump Shot22
4.0%
38
96.0%
Q2 - 9:25ATLWest Free Throw 2 of 2 (1 PTS)22
3.7%
38
96.3%
Q2 - 9:25ATLMISS West Free Throw 1 of 221
3.7%
38
96.3%
Q2 - 9:27HOUMcGrady Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T3)21
3.8%
38
96.2%
Q2 - 9:39HOUBrooks REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)21
3.4%
38
96.6%
Q2 - 9:40ATLMISS Lue 18' Jump Shot21
3.5%
38
96.5%
Q2 - 10:02HOUWells Free Throw 2 of 2 (5 PTS)21
3.9%
38
96.1%
Q2 - 10:02HOUWells Free Throw 1 of 2 (4 PTS)21
4.0%
37
96.0%
Q2 - 10:08HOUHayes REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)21
4.2%
36
95.8%
Q2 - 10:10ATLMISS Lue 25' 3PT Jump Shot21
4.4%
36
95.6%
Q2 - 10:22HOUMcGrady 21' Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Wells 1 AST)21
4.7%
36
95.3%
Q2 - 10:31HOULandry REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)21
5.1%
34
94.9%
Q2 - 10:33HOUMISS McGrady 25' 3PT Jump Shot21
5.5%
34
94.5%
Q2 - 10:43HOUROCKETS Rebound21
5.1%
34
94.9%
Q2 - 10:45ATLMISS Johnson 20' Jump Shot21
5.3%
34
94.7%
Q2 - 11:02ATLHorford REBOUND (Off:3 Def:2)21
5.7%
34
94.3%
Q2 - 11:02HOUMISS Wells Free Throw 2 of 221
5.6%
34
94.4%
Q2 - 11:02HOUWells Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)21
5.3%
34
94.7%
Q2 - 11:06HOUMcGrady REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)21
5.7%
33
94.3%
Q2 - 11:08ATLMISS Childress 3PT Jump Shot21
5.8%
33
94.2%
Q2 - 11:25HOUWells Layup (2 PTS) (McGrady 4 AST)21
6.2%
33
93.8%
Q2 - 11:29HOUMcGrady REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)21
6.8%
31
93.2%
Q2 - 11:32ATLMISS Law 20' Jump Shot21
7.0%
31
93.0%
Q2 - 11:38ATLHorford REBOUND (Off:3 Def:1)21
7.5%
31
92.5%
Q2 - 11:39ATLMISS Williams 19' Jump Shot21
7.0%
31
93.0%
Q1 - 0:00.0ATL21
7.5%
31
92.5%
Q1 - 0:00.0ATLHawks Rebound21
7.5%
31
92.5%
Q1 - 0:00.0ATLMISS Johnson 27' 3PT Jump Shot21
7.0%
31
93.0%
Q1 - 0:08.0ATLChildress REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)21
7.4%
31
92.6%
Q1 - 0:08.0HOUMISS McGrady Free Throw 2 of 221
7.4%
31
92.6%
Q1 - 0:08.0HOUMcGrady Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)21
7.0%
31
93.0%
Q1 - 0:27.0HOUMcGrady REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)21
7.6%
30
92.4%
Q1 - 0:28.0ATLMISS Horford Layup21
7.7%
30
92.3%
Q1 - 0:30.0ATLHorford REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)21
8.1%
30
91.9%
Q1 - 0:32.0ATLMISS Law 9' Jump Shot21
7.7%
30
92.3%
Q1 - 0:46.0ATLWilliams REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)21
8.1%
30
91.9%
Q1 - 0:47.0HOUMISS Scola Layup21
8.0%
30
92.0%
Q1 - 1:06ATLHorford 7' Jump Shot (4 PTS)21
7.6%
30
92.4%
Q1 - 1:09ATLHorford REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)19
6.8%
30
93.2%
Q1 - 1:09ATLMISS Childress Free Throw 2 of 219
6.4%
30
93.6%
Q1 - 1:09ATLChildress Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)19
6.9%
30
93.1%
Q1 - 1:28HOULandry Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T2)18
6.3%
30
93.7%
Q1 - 1:36ATLPachulia Discontinue Dribble Turnover (P1.T3)18
5.9%
30
94.1%
Q1 - 1:45ATLPachulia REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)18
6.3%
30
93.7%
Q1 - 1:46HOUMISS Landry 22' Jump Shot18
6.1%
30
93.9%
Q1 - 2:04ATLLaw 20' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Horford 2 AST)18
5.9%
30
94.1%
Q1 - 2:28HOUAlston 26' 3PT Jump Shot (8 PTS)16
5.3%
30
94.7%
Q1 - 2:32HOUAlston REBOUND (Off:2 Def:0)16
6.4%
27
93.6%
Q1 - 2:33HOUMISS Landry Free Throw 1 of 116
6.9%
27
93.1%
Q1 - 2:46HOUROCKETS Rebound16
7.6%
25
92.4%
Q1 - 2:46ATLMISS Pachulia 16' Jump Shot16
7.8%
25
92.2%
Q1 - 3:07HOUBattier REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)16
8.4%
25
91.6%
Q1 - 3:07HOUBattier Tip Shot (2 PTS)16
8.4%
25
91.6%
Q1 - 3:08HOUMISS McGrady Layup16
9.6%
23
90.4%
Q1 - 3:13ATLScola STEAL (1 STL)16
9.0%
23
91.0%
Q1 - 3:18ATLSmith REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)16
9.9%
23
90.1%
Q1 - 3:19HOUMISS Battier 20' Jump Shot16
9.6%
23
90.4%
Q1 - 3:34ATLChildress Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)16
9.0%
23
91.0%
Q1 - 3:34ATLChildress Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)15
8.9%
23
91.1%
Q1 - 3:51HOUScola Layup (8 PTS) (Alston 4 AST)14
8.4%
23
91.6%
Q1 - 4:02ATLPachulia Layup (2 PTS)14
8.9%
21
91.1%
Q1 - 4:04ATLPachulia REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)12
8.4%
21
91.6%
Q1 - 4:05ATLMISS Pachulia 17' Jump Shot12
7.8%
21
92.2%
Q1 - 4:20HOUYao Layup (8 PTS) (McGrady 2 AST)12
8.4%
21
91.6%
Q1 - 4:34HOUScola REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)12
8.9%
19
91.1%
Q1 - 4:34ATLMISS Smith Free Throw 1 of 112
9.0%
19
91.0%
Q1 - 4:36ATLWilliams REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)10
8.4%
19
91.6%
Q1 - 4:37ATLMISS Williams 10' Running Jump Shot10
7.8%
19
92.2%
Q1 - 5:04HOUYao 7' Jump Hook Shot (6 PTS) (Alston 3 AST)10
8.4%
19
91.6%
Q1 - 5:16HOUYao REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)10
9.0%
17
91.0%
Q1 - 5:17ATLMISS Law 16' Jump Shot10
9.2%
17
90.8%
Q1 - 5:30ATLSmith REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)10
9.8%
17
90.2%
Q1 - 5:32HOUMISS Yao 13' Turnaround Jump Shot10
9.5%
17
90.5%
Q1 - 5:48ATLJohnson Free Throw 2 of 2 (6 PTS)10
9.0%
17
91.0%
Q1 - 5:48ATLJohnson Free Throw 1 of 2 (5 PTS)9
8.9%
17
91.1%
Q1 - 5:57HOUScola Layup (6 PTS) (McGrady 1 AST)8
8.4%
17
91.6%
Q1 - 6:08ATLJohnson Layup (4 PTS)8
9.1%
15
90.9%
Q1 - 6:31HOUAlston 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Battier 1 AST)6
8.5%
15
91.5%
Q1 - 6:48HOUScola REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)6
9.8%
12
90.2%
Q1 - 6:49ATLMISS Johnson 24' 3PT Jump Shot6
10.0%
12
90.0%
Q1 - 6:56ATLSmith REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)6
10.5%
12
89.5%
Q1 - 6:57HOUMISS Yao 8' Turnaround Hook Shot6
10.3%
12
89.7%
Q1 - 7:21ATLHorford 17' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Johnson 1 AST)6
9.9%
12
90.1%
Q1 - 7:38HOUAlston 10' Running Jump Shot (2 PTS)4
9.3%
12
90.7%
Q1 - 7:53ATLSmith 22' Jump Shot (2 PTS)4
9.8%
10
90.2%
Q1 - 8:25HOUYao Layup (4 PTS) (Alston 2 AST)2
9.2%
10
90.8%
Q1 - 8:32HOUScola REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)2
9.7%
8
90.3%
Q1 - 8:33HOUMISS McGrady 25' 3PT Jump Shot2
10.3%
8
89.7%
Q1 - 8:40HOUAlston REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)2
9.7%
8
90.3%
Q1 - 8:41HOUMISS Alston Layup2
10.3%
8
89.7%
Q1 - 8:55HOUScola REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)2
9.7%
8
90.3%
Q1 - 8:57ATLMISS Horford 20' Jump Shot2
10.0%
8
90.0%
Q1 - 9:07HOUYao Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)2
10.4%
8
89.6%
Q1 - 9:07HOUYao Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)2
10.5%
7
89.5%
Q1 - 9:20HOUScola REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)2
11.0%
6
89.0%
Q1 - 9:21ATLMISS Johnson 20' Jump Shot2
11.3%
6
88.7%
Q1 - 9:31ATLHorford REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)2
12.0%
6
88.0%
Q1 - 9:32HOUMISS McGrady 21' Jump Shot2
11.6%
6
88.4%
Q1 - 9:40HOUMcGrady REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)2
11.0%
6
89.0%
Q1 - 9:41ATLMISS Smith 16' Jump Shot2
11.3%
6
88.7%
Q1 - 10:06HOUScola 12' Jump Shot (4 PTS)2
11.9%
6
88.1%
Q1 - 10:20HOUROCKETS Rebound2
12.6%
4
87.4%
Q1 - 10:20ATLYao BLOCK (1 BLK)2
12.8%
4
87.2%
Q1 - 10:28HOUMcGrady 23' Jump Shot (2 PTS)2
13.5%
4
86.5%
Q1 - 10:49ATLJohnson 12' Running Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Horford 1 AST)2
14.3%
2
85.7%
Q1 - 11:09HOUScola Layup (2 PTS) (Alston 1 AST)0
13.4%
2
86.6%
Q1 - 11:14ATLYao STEAL (1 STL)0
14.3%
0
85.7%
Q1 - 11:30HOUScola Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T1)0
15.2%
0
84.8%
Q1 - 11:31HOUScola REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)0
14.3%
0
85.7%
Q1 - 11:32ATLMISS Williams 21' Jump Shot0
14.6%
0
85.4%
Q1 - 11:39ATLWilliams REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)0
15.2%
0
84.8%
Q1 - 11:41HOUMISS Battier 25' 3PT Jump Shot0
14.9%
0
85.1%
Q1 - 12:00HOUJump Ball Yao vs. Smith: Tip to Alston0
14.3%
0
85.7%

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

ATL
0.86 43.2%
HOU
1.17 58.7%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)
ATL
18
35
51%
HOU
21
36
58%
Midrange
ATL
14
46
30%
HOU
17
26
65%
3PT | Effective 3PT
ATL
5
0%
HOU
6
9.0
19
32%
47%
Free Throws
ATL
25
33
76%
HOU
14
19
74%
Makes
Effective 3P Makes
%
Efficiency
Misses
Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|
ATL logo Hawks
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
J. Childress1875%9.0 / 12
Z. Pachulia1142%5.5 / 13
A. Law945%4.5 / 10
J. Johnson831%4.0 / 13
A. Horford844%4.0 / 9
M. Williams833%4.0 / 12
A. Johnson850%4.0 / 8
S. Williams850%4.0 / 8
J. Smith732%3.5 / 11
M. West467%2.0 / 3
T. Lue0-0.0 / 2
TS Makes
TS Misses

Total Points

|
HOU logo Rockets
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
Yao2874%14.0 / 19
T. McGrady1547%7.5 / 16
L. Scola1470%7.0 / 10
B. Wells1179%5.5 / 7
R. Alston1071%5.0 / 7
S. Novak975%4.5 / 6
A. Brooks750%3.5 / 7
C. Landry643%3.0 / 7
S. Battier429%2.0 / 7
C. Hayes4100%2.0 / 2
M. James0-0.0 / 2
TS Makes
TS Misses

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

ATL
80
+22
-9
102
HOU
74
+16
-14
90
Base
ORB
TOV

Scoring Efficiency

ATL
0.86 43.2%
HOU
1.17 58.7%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Efficiency & PaceThis Game
Efficiency
106.6
106.4
ATL 100.0
HOU 122.7 +22.7
Pace
91.4
90.7
ATL 94.0 +10.4
HOU 83.6
Avg. Poss. Time
15.6
16.5
ATL 15.3 +1.9
HOU 17.2
Four FactorsThis Game
EFG %
48.3%
49.2%
ATL 37.2%
HOU 58.0% +20.8%
TO %
15.5%
14.4%
ATL 8.2% +5.3%
HOU 13.5%
ORB %
29.8%
29.1%
ATL 34.0%
HOU 39.5% +5.5%
FTrt
34.0
27.6
ATL 38.4 +14.9
HOU 23.5
Misc. StatsThis Game
AST %
60.6%
58.5%
ATL 50.0%
HOU 72.7% +22.7%
STL %
7.9%
8.0%
ATL 11.2% +6.7%
HOU 4.5%
BLK %
8.4%
7.8%
ATL 3.2%
HOU 7.4% +4.2%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Shooting EfficiencyThis Game
TS%
52.0%
51.2%
ATL 43.2%
HOU 58.7% +15.5%
Rim FG%
58.6%
57.9%
ATL 51.4%
HOU 58.3% +6.9%
Mid FG%
38.5%
40.6%
ATL 30.4%
HOU 65.4% +35.0%
3P %
35.6%
34.2%
ATL 0.0%
HOU 31.6% +31.6%
FT %
77.2%
72.6%
ATL 75.8% +2.1%
HOU 73.7%
Shot DistributionThis Game
Rim Att. %
36.9%
33.9%
ATL 40.7%
HOU 44.4% +3.7%
Mid Att. %
46.7%
40.6%
ATL 53.5%
HOU 32.1% +21.4%
3P Att. %
16.5%
25.5%
ATL 5.8%
HOU 23.5% +17.6%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.
Game TotalsATLHOU
Possessions8988
Possession Minutes22.725.3
Points89108
Rebounds3946
Assists1632
Steals104
Blocks26
Turnovers (Team)9 (0)14 (0)
Fouls
Off. Rebounds (Team)16 (6)15 (1)
Def. Rebounds (Team)23 (2)31 (5)
Field Goals32-8644-81
At-the-Rim FG18-3521-36
Midrange FG14-4617-26
2-Point FG32-8138-62
3-Point FG0-56-19
Free Throws25-3314-19
Fast Break Pts
2nd Chance Pts
Points in Paint
Pts off Turnovers
Bench Points
Biggest Lead

BOXSCORE

Access to boxscore predictions requires a premium subscription.
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
G · 6'7" 240 · 27
31.7
8
31%
3
4
0
0
2
2
1
2
2-2
100%
3-10
30%
0-2
0%
C · 6'10" 245 · 22
27.0
8
44%
8
2
1
0
1
2
4
4
0-0
-
4-9
44%
0-0
-
F · 6'9" 237 · 22
26.9
8
33%
5
1
1
0
0
3
1
4
0-0
-
4-12
33%
0-0
-
F · 6'9" 225 · 22
26.9
7
32%
5
4
2
0
3
3
0
5
1-5
20%
3-8
38%
0-1
0%
G · 6'3" 195 · 33
16.9
8
50%
0
0
1
0
1
2
0
0
0-0
-
4-8
50%
0-0
-
C · 6'11" 270 · 24
29.0
11
42%
9
2
1
0
1
4
5
4
1-2
50%
5-12
42%
0-0
-
F-G · 6'8" 210 · 25
25.9
18
75%
4
0
1
0
1
3
3
1
10-11
91%
4-6
67%
0-1
0%
G · 6'3" 202 · 23
23.1
9
45%
1
2
0
0
0
0
1
0
3-4
75%
3-8
38%
0-0
-
C-F · 6'9" 250 · 24
14.3
8
50%
2
1
2
0
0
0
0
2
6-6
100%
1-5
20%
0-0
-
G · 6'5" 210 · 24
13.2
4
67%
2
0
1
2
0
1
1
1
2-3
67%
1-2
50%
0-0
-
G · 6'0" 175 · 31
5.0
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-1
0%
0-1
0%
F-C · 6'11" 255 · 32
#12 · G · 5'11" 170 · 30
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
#20 · G · 6'1" 175 · 25
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
#44 · F · 6'10" 235 · 24
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
TOTAL
240
89
43%
39
16
10
2
9
0
16
23
25-33
76%
32-81
40%
0-5
0%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.