FinalWin Prob.pScore
3011%88
96
589%103
107
ORTG#PossPace
MIL logo MIL
107.98987.8
DAL logo DAL
118.99091.2

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

MavericksBucksQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Scoring Margin

MavericksBucksQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Play-by-Play

Score / WinProb
ClockTeamEventMILDAL
Q4 - 0:00.0DAL96
0%
107
100%
Q4 - 0:04.0DALGeorge Free Throw Technical (3 PTS)96
0%
107
100%
Q4 - 0:04.0DALMAVERICKS Rebound96
0%
106
100%
Q4 - 0:05.0MILMISS Williams 26' 3PT Jump Shot96
0%
106
100%
Q4 - 0:11.0DALBass Free Throw 2 of 2 (8 PTS)96
0.1%
106
99.9%
Q4 - 0:11.0DALBass Free Throw 1 of 2 (7 PTS)96
0.1%
105
99.9%
Q4 - 0:13.0MILBogut REBOUND (Off:3 Def:11)96
0.1%
104
99.9%
Q4 - 0:13.0MILBogut Tip Shot (24 PTS)96
0.1%
104
99.9%
Q4 - 0:13.0MILMISS Williams Driving Layup94
0.1%
104
99.9%
Q4 - 0:18.0DALTerry Free Throw 2 of 2 (23 PTS)94
0.1%
104
99.9%
Q4 - 0:18.0DALTerry Free Throw 1 of 2 (22 PTS)94
0.1%
103
99.9%
Q4 - 0:23.0DALMAVERICKS Rebound94
0.1%
102
99.9%
Q4 - 0:25.0MILMISS Williams 26' 3PT Jump Shot94
0.1%
102
99.9%
Q4 - 0:30.0DALNowitzki Free Throw 2 of 2 (29 PTS)94
0.1%
102
99.9%
Q4 - 0:30.0DALNowitzki Free Throw 1 of 2 (28 PTS)94
0.1%
101
99.9%
Q4 - 0:33.0DALNowitzki Free Throw 1 of 1 (27 PTS)94
0.4%
100
99.6%
Q4 - 0:33.0MILBogut Free Throw 1 of 1 (22 PTS)94
0.4%
99
99.6%
Q4 - 0:51.0DALNowitzki 10' Running Jump Shot (26 PTS) (Terry 4 AST)91
0.3%
99
99.7%
Q4 - 1:08DALHoward REBOUND (Off:2 Def:6)91
0.7%
97
99.3%
Q4 - 1:09MILNowitzki BLOCK (1 BLK)91
0.9%
97
99.1%
Q4 - 1:23DALNowitzki 18' Jump Shot (24 PTS) (Terry 3 AST)91
1.7%
97
98.3%
Q4 - 1:37DALHoward REBOUND (Off:2 Def:5)91
3.1%
95
96.9%
Q4 - 1:38MILMISS Mason 12' Jump Shot91
3.6%
95
96.4%
Q4 - 1:48DALTerry Dunk (21 PTS) (Bass 1 AST)91
5.6%
95
94.4%
Q4 - 1:50MILBarea STEAL (2 STL)91
8.6%
93
91.4%
Q4 - 2:12DALBass Slam Dunk (6 PTS)91
13.9%
93
86.1%
Q4 - 2:14DALBass REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)91
17.6%
91
82.4%
Q4 - 2:15DALMISS Terry 11' Jump Shot91
25.2%
91
74.8%
Q4 - 2:39MILBell 24' 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Bogut 2 AST)91
17.2%
91
82.8%
Q4 - 2:59DALTerry Free Throw 2 of 2 (19 PTS)88
10.0%
91
90.0%
Q4 - 2:59DALTerry Free Throw 1 of 2 (18 PTS)88
10.6%
90
89.4%
Q4 - 3:04MILBarea STEAL (1 STL)88
12.7%
89
87.3%
Q4 - 3:21MILWilliams REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)88
20.8%
89
79.2%
Q4 - 3:22DALMISS Nowitzki 13' Jump Shot88
17.8%
89
82.2%
Q4 - 3:46MILVillanueva Free Throw 2 of 2 (16 PTS)88
14.1%
89
85.9%
Q4 - 3:46MILVillanueva Free Throw 1 of 2 (15 PTS)87
13.3%
89
86.7%
Q4 - 3:46MILVillanueva REBOUND (Off:5 Def:2)86
10.4%
89
89.6%
Q4 - 3:47MILMISS Williams 24' 3PT Jump Shot86
8.1%
89
91.9%
Q4 - 4:00DALNowitzki Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T9)86
10.3%
89
89.7%
Q4 - 4:11DALDiop REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)86
7.2%
89
92.8%
Q4 - 4:12MILMISS Williams 12' Jump Shot86
8.0%
89
92.0%
Q4 - 4:23MILBogut REBOUND (Off:2 Def:11)86
10.3%
89
89.7%
Q4 - 4:24DALMISS Nowitzki 15' Jump Shot86
9.2%
89
90.8%
Q4 - 4:39MILBogut Slam Dunk (19 PTS) (Villanueva 3 AST)86
7.1%
89
92.9%
Q4 - 4:42MILVillanueva REBOUND (Off:4 Def:2)84
5.1%
89
94.9%
Q4 - 4:43MILMISS Bell 25' 3PT Jump Shot84
3.9%
89
96.1%
Q4 - 5:01DALHoward Free Throw 2 of 2 (17 PTS)84
5.6%
89
94.4%
Q4 - 5:01DALHoward Free Throw 1 of 2 (16 PTS)84
5.9%
88
94.1%
Q4 - 5:16MILBogut REBOUND (Off:2 Def:10)84
7.5%
87
92.5%
Q4 - 5:16MILBogut Putback Layup (17 PTS)84
7.5%
87
92.5%
Q4 - 5:20MILDiop BLOCK (1 BLK)82
4.4%
87
95.6%
Q4 - 5:40MILBogut REBOUND (Off:1 Def:10)82
5.6%
87
94.4%
Q4 - 5:41DALMISS Terry 19' Jump Shot82
5.0%
87
95.0%
Q4 - 6:06MILBogut 9' Jump Hook Shot (15 PTS)82
4.3%
87
95.7%
Q4 - 6:23DALNowitzki 19' Jump Shot (22 PTS) (Howard 1 AST)80
3.3%
87
96.7%
Q4 - 6:26DALHoward REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)80
4.3%
85
95.7%
Q4 - 6:27DALMISS George 27' 3PT Jump Shot80
5.4%
85
94.6%
Q4 - 6:45DALNowitzki REBOUND (Off:3 Def:7)80
4.3%
85
95.7%
Q4 - 6:46MILMISS Bogut 9' Jump Hook Shot80
4.7%
85
95.3%
Q4 - 7:11DALTerry 16' Jump Shot (17 PTS) (Nowitzki 12 AST)80
6.3%
85
93.7%
Q4 - 7:29DALHoward REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)80
7.9%
83
92.1%
Q4 - 7:29MILMISS Williams 20' Jump Shot80
8.6%
83
91.4%
Q4 - 7:47MILBogut REBOUND (Off:1 Def:9)80
10.5%
83
89.5%
Q4 - 7:48DALMISS Nowitzki Free Throw 2 of 280
10.1%
83
89.9%
Q4 - 7:48DALNowitzki Free Throw 1 of 2 (20 PTS)80
8.4%
83
91.6%
Q4 - 8:11MILBell Driving Reverse Layup (2 PTS)80
10.8%
82
89.2%
Q4 - 8:20MILGadzuric REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)78
8.6%
82
91.4%
Q4 - 8:21MILMISS Mason 19' Jump Shot78
7.3%
82
92.7%
Q4 - 8:49DALBass Layup (4 PTS) (Nowitzki 11 AST)78
8.5%
82
91.5%
Q4 - 9:08DALBass REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)78
10.6%
80
89.4%
Q4 - 9:08MILMISS Mason Free Throw 2 of 278
10.9%
80
89.1%
Q4 - 9:08MILMason Free Throw 1 of 2 (11 PTS)78
12.4%
80
87.6%
Q4 - 9:35DALGeorge Layup (2 PTS) (Terry 2 AST)77
10.7%
80
89.3%
Q4 - 9:40DALTerry REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)77
13.2%
78
86.8%
Q4 - 9:41MILMISS Williams 16' Jump Shot77
14.1%
78
85.9%
Q4 - 9:58DALTerry 26' 3PT Jump Shot (15 PTS) (Nowitzki 10 AST)77
16.3%
78
83.7%
Q4 - 10:21MILVillanueva 20' Jump Shot (14 PTS) (Williams 4 AST)77
23.1%
75
76.9%
Q4 - 10:40DALTerry 18' Jump Shot (12 PTS)75
19.6%
75
80.4%
Q4 - 10:49MILGadzuric Layup (4 PTS) (Villanueva 2 AST)75
23.1%
73
76.9%
Q4 - 11:04MILBucks Rebound73
19.8%
73
80.2%
Q4 - 11:05DALMISS Howard Free Throw 1 of 173
19.3%
73
80.7%
Q4 - 11:25MILWilliams 19' Jump Shot (36 PTS)73
23.3%
71
76.7%
Q4 - 11:34DALBass Foul Turnover (P3.T8)71
19.8%
71
80.2%
Q4 - 11:44DALNowitzki REBOUND (Off:3 Def:6)71
16.4%
71
83.6%
Q4 - 11:45MILMISS Mason Alley Oop Dunk71
17.4%
71
82.6%
Q3 - 0:00.0MIL71
19.8%
71
80.2%
Q3 - 0:00.0MILVillanueva REBOUND (Off:3 Def:2)71
19.8%
71
80.2%
Q3 - 0:02.0MILMISS Gadzuric 11' Jump Shot71
16.9%
71
83.1%
Q3 - 0:19.0MILGadzuric REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)71
19.0%
71
81.0%
Q3 - 0:19.0MILMISS Villanueva 27' 3PT Jump Shot71
16.9%
71
83.1%
Q3 - 0:34.0MILGadzuric REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)71
19.0%
71
81.0%
Q3 - 0:34.0DALMISS Nowitzki 9' Jump Shot71
18.1%
71
81.9%
Q3 - 0:49.0MILWilliams 7' Running Hook Shot (34 PTS)71
16.1%
71
83.9%
Q3 - 1:08MILVillanueva REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)69
13.2%
71
86.8%
Q3 - 1:08DALMISS Nowitzki 11' Fadeaway Jumper69
12.5%
71
87.5%
Q3 - 1:22MILVillanueva Palming Turnover (P2.T8)69
11.0%
71
89.0%
Q3 - 1:33DALNowitzki 12' Jump Shot (19 PTS)69
13.2%
71
86.8%
Q3 - 1:54MILMason Reverse Layup (10 PTS) (Bogut 1 AST)69
15.5%
69
84.5%
Q3 - 1:59DALBass Lost Ball Turnover (P2.T7)67
13.2%
69
86.8%
Q3 - 2:03DALBass REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)67
10.8%
69
89.2%
Q3 - 2:04MILMISS Bogut 20' Jump Shot67
11.4%
69
88.6%
Q3 - 2:29DALTerry 14' Jump Shot (10 PTS)67
12.9%
69
87.1%
Q3 - 2:37DALTerry REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)67
15.0%
67
85.0%
Q3 - 2:38MILMISS Mason 8' Running Hook Shot67
15.8%
67
84.2%
Q3 - 2:52MILBogut REBOUND (Off:1 Def:8)67
17.7%
67
82.3%
Q3 - 2:53DALMISS Terry 3PT Jump Shot67
16.9%
67
83.1%
Q3 - 3:13DALHoward REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)67
15.0%
67
85.0%
Q3 - 3:14MILMISS Williams 27' 3PT Jump Shot67
15.7%
67
84.3%
Q3 - 3:36DALHoward 12' Turnaround Jump Shot (13 PTS) (Nowitzki 8 AST)67
17.6%
67
82.4%
Q3 - 3:56MILBogut 8' Jump Hook Shot (13 PTS)67
20.1%
65
79.9%
Q3 - 4:11MILBucks Rebound65
16.9%
65
83.1%
Q3 - 4:12DALMISS Ager 25' 3PT Jump Shot65
16.1%
65
83.9%
Q3 - 4:28MILMason Layup (8 PTS) (Villanueva 1 AST)65
14.4%
65
85.6%
Q3 - 4:42DALAger Foul Turnover (P1.T6)63
12.6%
65
87.4%
Q3 - 4:49MILBogut 9' Turnaround Hook Shot (11 PTS)63
10.6%
65
89.4%
Q3 - 5:12DALHoward 12' Jump Shot (11 PTS) (Terry 1 AST)61
9.3%
65
90.7%
Q3 - 5:24MILWilliams 16' Jump Shot (32 PTS)61
10.7%
63
89.3%
Q3 - 5:30MILWilliams REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)59
9.3%
63
90.7%
Q3 - 5:32DALMISS Dampier Reverse Dunk59
8.8%
63
91.2%
Q3 - 5:56MILVillanueva REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)59
7.9%
63
92.1%
Q3 - 5:56MILVillanueva Putback Layup (12 PTS)59
7.9%
63
92.1%
Q3 - 5:57MILMISS Villanueva 9' Running Jump Shot57
6.1%
63
93.9%
Q3 - 6:13MILBogut REBOUND (Off:1 Def:7)57
6.9%
63
93.1%
Q3 - 6:13DALMISS Nowitzki 17' Jump Shot57
6.5%
63
93.5%
Q3 - 6:27MILVillanueva Free Throw 2 of 2 (10 PTS)57
5.8%
63
94.2%
Q3 - 6:27MILVillanueva Free Throw 1 of 2 (9 PTS)56
5.7%
63
94.3%
Q3 - 6:34MILIvey REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)55
5.1%
63
94.9%
Q3 - 6:35DALMISS Howard 15' Fadeaway Jumper55
4.8%
63
95.2%
Q3 - 6:43DALDampier REBOUND (Off:5 Def:5)55
4.3%
63
95.7%
Q3 - 6:44MILMISS Ivey 23' Jump Shot55
4.5%
63
95.5%
Q3 - 6:51MILWilliams REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)55
5.1%
63
94.9%
Q3 - 6:52DALMISS Howard 26' 3PT Jump Shot55
4.8%
63
95.2%
Q3 - 6:58DALDampier REBOUND (Off:5 Def:4)55
4.3%
63
95.7%
Q3 - 6:58DALMISS Howard 12' Jump Shot55
4.8%
63
95.2%
Q3 - 7:19DALMAVERICKS Rebound55
4.4%
63
95.6%
Q3 - 7:19MILMISS Williams 22' Jump Shot55
4.6%
63
95.4%
Q3 - 7:26MILBogut REBOUND (Off:1 Def:6)55
5.2%
63
94.8%
Q3 - 7:27DALMISS Howard 11' Turnaround Jump Shot55
5.0%
63
95.0%
Q3 - 7:42DALJones REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)55
4.4%
63
95.6%
Q3 - 7:43MILMISS Bell 24' 3PT Jump Shot55
4.6%
63
95.4%
Q3 - 7:56DALHoward 18' Jump Shot (9 PTS) (Dampier 1 AST)55
5.2%
63
94.8%
Q3 - 8:00DALMAVERICKS Rebound55
5.9%
61
94.1%
Q3 - 8:01DALMISS Jones 26' 3PT Jump Shot55
6.6%
61
93.4%
Q3 - 8:20DALNowitzki REBOUND (Off:3 Def:5)55
5.9%
61
94.1%
Q3 - 8:21MILMISS Bogut 16' Jump Shot55
6.2%
61
93.8%
Q3 - 8:43MILBogut REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)55
7.0%
61
93.0%
Q3 - 8:44DALMISS Dampier Free Throw 2 of 255
6.8%
61
93.2%
Q3 - 8:44DALMISS Dampier Free Throw 1 of 255
6.3%
61
93.7%
Q3 - 8:54MILVillanueva Free Throw 2 of 2 (8 PTS)55
5.9%
61
94.1%
Q3 - 8:54MILVillanueva Free Throw 1 of 2 (7 PTS)54
5.8%
61
94.2%
Q3 - 9:08DALJones Reverse Layup (6 PTS) (Nowitzki 7 AST)53
5.1%
61
94.9%
Q3 - 9:24MILWilliams 19' Jump Shot (30 PTS)53
5.9%
59
94.1%
Q3 - 9:41DALBarea Finger Roll Layup (13 PTS) (Nowitzki 6 AST)51
5.1%
59
94.9%
Q3 - 9:49DALDampier REBOUND (Off:4 Def:4)51
5.9%
57
94.1%
Q3 - 9:50MILMISS Bogut 10' Jump Hook Shot51
6.1%
57
93.9%
Q3 - 10:14DALNowitzki 18' Jump Shot (17 PTS)51
6.7%
57
93.3%
Q3 - 10:36DALDampier REBOUND (Off:4 Def:3)51
7.5%
55
92.5%
Q3 - 10:37DALMISS Barea 26' 3PT Jump Shot51
8.3%
55
91.7%
Q3 - 10:55MILBogut Free Throw 2 of 2 (9 PTS)51
7.5%
55
92.5%
Q3 - 10:55MILBogut Free Throw 1 of 2 (8 PTS)50
7.2%
55
92.8%
Q3 - 11:04MILBogut REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)49
6.5%
55
93.5%
Q3 - 11:05DALMISS Barea Layup49
6.2%
55
93.8%
Q3 - 11:14DALNowitzki REBOUND (Off:3 Def:4)49
5.6%
55
94.4%
Q3 - 11:15MILMISS Ivey 27' 3PT Jump Shot49
5.9%
55
94.1%
Q3 - 11:37DALHoward 9' Turnaround Jump Shot (7 PTS)49
6.5%
55
93.5%
Q2 - 0:00.0DAL49
7.3%
53
92.7%
Q2 - 0:00.0MILWilliams 36' 3PT Jump Bank Shot (28 PTS)49
7.3%
53
92.7%
Q2 - 0:03.0DALNowitzki Free Throw 1 of 1 (15 PTS)46
5.7%
53
94.3%
Q2 - 0:24.0DALBarea REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)46
7.6%
50
92.4%
Q2 - 0:25.0MILMISS Bell 19' Step Back Jump Shot46
7.8%
50
92.2%
Q2 - 0:29.0MILBucks Rebound46
8.3%
50
91.7%
Q2 - 0:30.0MILMISS Williams 7' Floating Jump Shot46
7.8%
50
92.2%
Q2 - 0:43.0MILWilliams REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)46
8.3%
50
91.7%
Q2 - 0:44.0DALMISS Barea 27' 3PT Jump Shot46
8.0%
50
92.0%
Q2 - 1:09MILWilliams 19' Jump Shot (25 PTS)46
7.8%
50
92.2%
Q2 - 1:18MILBell REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)44
6.5%
50
93.5%
Q2 - 1:19DALMISS Terry 25' 3PT Jump Shot44
6.4%
50
93.6%
Q2 - 1:46MILWilliams 26' 3PT Jump Shot (23 PTS) (Ruffin 2 AST)44
6.1%
50
93.9%
Q2 - 2:05DALNowitzki Free Throw 2 of 2 (12 PTS)41
4.8%
50
95.2%
Q2 - 2:05DALNowitzki Free Throw 1 of 2 (11 PTS)41
4.8%
49
95.2%
Q2 - 2:16MILJones STEAL (2 STL)41
5.4%
48
94.6%
Q2 - 2:34DALNowitzki 20' Jump Shot (10 PTS) (Barea 4 AST)41
6.0%
48
94.0%
Q2 - 2:43DALNowitzki REBOUND (Off:3 Def:3)41
6.8%
46
93.2%
Q2 - 2:45MILMISS Bell 26' 3PT Jump Shot41
7.0%
46
93.0%
Q2 - 3:07MILBucks Rebound41
7.6%
46
92.4%
Q2 - 3:07DALMISS Howard 18' Jump Shot41
7.3%
46
92.7%
Q2 - 3:16DALDampier REBOUND (Off:3 Def:3)41
6.7%
46
93.3%
Q2 - 3:17MILMISS Williams 20' Jump Shot41
7.0%
46
93.0%
Q2 - 3:36MILBogut REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)41
7.6%
46
92.4%
Q2 - 3:37DALMISS Howard Free Throw 2 of 241
7.5%
46
92.5%
Q2 - 3:37DALHoward Free Throw 1 of 2 (5 PTS)41
6.9%
46
93.1%
Q2 - 3:37DALHoward REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)41
7.5%
45
92.5%
Q2 - 3:38DALMISS Barea Running Layup41
8.2%
45
91.8%
Q2 - 3:56MILWilliams Free Throw 2 of 2 (20 PTS)41
7.5%
45
92.5%
Q2 - 3:56MILWilliams Free Throw 1 of 2 (19 PTS)40
7.4%
45
92.6%
Q2 - 4:04DALBarea Running Layup (11 PTS)39
6.7%
45
93.3%
Q2 - 4:10DALNowitzki REBOUND (Off:3 Def:2)39
7.4%
43
92.6%
Q2 - 4:11MILMISS Bogut 6' Hook Shot39
7.7%
43
92.3%
Q2 - 4:29DALNowitzki 18' Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Barea 3 AST)39
8.3%
43
91.7%
Q2 - 4:39DALJones REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)39
9.2%
41
90.8%
Q2 - 4:40MILMISS Villanueva 25' 3PT Jump Shot39
9.5%
41
90.5%
Q2 - 4:55MILBell REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)39
10.2%
41
89.8%
Q2 - 4:56DALMISS Nowitzki 19' Jump Shot39
9.9%
41
90.1%
Q2 - 5:03DALDampier REBOUND (Off:3 Def:2)39
9.0%
41
91.0%
Q2 - 5:04MILMISS Bogut Driving Layup39
9.3%
41
90.7%
Q2 - 5:24DALBarea Free Throw 1 of 1 (9 PTS)39
10.1%
41
89.9%
Q2 - 5:41MILWilliams 20' Jump Shot (18 PTS)39
12.2%
38
87.8%
Q2 - 5:58DALHoward 8' Turnaround Fadeaway (4 PTS) (Nowitzki 5 AST)37
11.2%
38
88.8%
Q2 - 6:13MILWilliams 21' Jump Shot (16 PTS)37
12.0%
36
88.0%
Q2 - 6:36DALHassell 20' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Jones 3 AST)35
11.1%
36
88.9%
Q2 - 7:02MILVillanueva 15' Jump Shot (6 PTS)35
11.9%
34
88.1%
Q2 - 7:19DALTerry 3PT Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Jones 2 AST)33
10.9%
34
89.1%
Q2 - 7:46MILWilliams 6' Running Jump Shot (14 PTS)33
13.1%
31
86.9%
Q2 - 7:50MILWilliams REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)31
12.0%
31
88.0%
Q2 - 7:52DALMISS Hassell Layup31
11.7%
31
88.3%
Q2 - 8:11MILVillanueva Tip Shot (4 PTS)31
10.8%
31
89.2%
Q2 - 8:12MILVillanueva REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)29
10.0%
31
90.0%
Q2 - 8:14MILMISS Bell 7' Running Hook Shot29
9.2%
31
90.8%
Q2 - 8:21MILVillanueva REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)29
9.9%
31
90.1%
Q2 - 8:23DALMISS Terry 17' Jump Shot29
9.6%
31
90.4%
Q2 - 8:37DALDampier REBOUND (Off:3 Def:1)29
8.9%
31
91.1%
Q2 - 8:38DALMISS Hassell 6' Jump Shot29
9.6%
31
90.4%
Q2 - 8:59MILMason Free Throw 2 of 2 (6 PTS)29
9.0%
31
91.0%
Q2 - 8:59MILMason Free Throw 1 of 2 (5 PTS)28
8.7%
31
91.3%
Q2 - 9:01MILIvey REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)27
8.1%
31
91.9%
Q2 - 9:03DALMISS Terry Running Layup27
7.9%
31
92.1%
Q2 - 9:08MILGeorge STEAL (1 STL)27
7.3%
31
92.7%
Q2 - 9:10MILRuffin REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)27
8.1%
31
91.9%
Q2 - 9:11DALMISS Bass Running Layup27
7.9%
31
92.1%
Q2 - 9:28MILVillanueva 9' Jump Hook Shot (2 PTS) (Ruffin 1 AST)27
7.3%
31
92.7%
Q2 - 9:41DALTerry Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T5)25
6.8%
31
93.2%
Q2 - 9:48DALBass REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)25
6.1%
31
93.9%
Q2 - 9:49MILMISS Villanueva 11' Jump Shot25
6.3%
31
93.7%
Q2 - 10:06DALBass Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)25
6.9%
31
93.1%
Q2 - 10:06DALBass Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)25
7.0%
30
93.0%
Q2 - 10:19DALHoward REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)25
7.4%
29
92.6%
Q2 - 10:20MILMISS Williams 20' Jump Shot25
7.7%
29
92.3%
Q2 - 10:39MILMason REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)25
8.2%
29
91.8%
Q2 - 10:40DALMISS Howard 8' Floating Jump Shot25
8.0%
29
92.0%
Q2 - 10:57DALBass REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)25
7.4%
29
92.6%
Q2 - 10:58MILMISS Gadzuric 8' Fadeaway Bank Shot25
7.7%
29
92.3%
Q2 - 11:18MILRuffin REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)25
8.0%
29
92.0%
Q2 - 11:19MILMISS Williams Free Throw 3 of 325
7.4%
29
92.6%
Q2 - 11:19MILWilliams Free Throw 2 of 3 (12 PTS)25
7.9%
29
92.1%
Q2 - 11:19MILWilliams Free Throw 1 of 3 (11 PTS)24
7.8%
29
92.2%
Q2 - 11:23MILBucks Rebound23
6.7%
29
93.3%
Q2 - 11:23MILBass BLOCK (1 BLK)23
6.3%
29
93.7%
Q2 - 11:39MILMason REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)23
6.7%
29
93.3%
Q2 - 11:40DALMISS Terry 21' Jump Shot23
6.5%
29
93.5%
Q1 - 0:00.0DAL23
6.1%
29
93.9%
Q1 - 0:00.0DALMAVERICKS Rebound23
6.1%
29
93.9%
Q1 - 0:00.0DALMISS Hassell 24' 3PT Jump Shot23
6.5%
29
93.5%
Q1 - 0:04.0MILWilliams 23' Jump Shot (10 PTS)23
6.2%
29
93.8%
Q1 - 0:29.0DALTerry 12' Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Nowitzki 4 AST)21
5.5%
29
94.5%
Q1 - 0:50.0MILWilliams Double Dribble Turnover (P1.T5)21
6.2%
27
93.8%
Q1 - 0:55.0MILGadzuric REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)21
6.6%
27
93.4%
Q1 - 0:56.0DALMISS Nowitzki 7' Running Jump Shot21
6.5%
27
93.5%
Q1 - 1:06DALTerry REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)21
6.2%
27
93.8%
Q1 - 1:06MILMISS Williams 18' Fadeaway Jumper21
6.3%
27
93.7%
Q1 - 1:24DALTerry 26' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Nowitzki 3 AST)21
6.6%
27
93.4%
Q1 - 1:29DALBass REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)21
8.1%
24
91.9%
Q1 - 1:31DALMISS Howard 25' 3PT Jump Shot21
8.4%
24
91.6%
Q1 - 1:48MILMason Running Finger Roll Layup (4 PTS) (Williams 3 AST)21
8.1%
24
91.9%
Q1 - 2:10DALHoward 13' Pullup Jump Shot (2 PTS)19
7.3%
24
92.7%
Q1 - 2:30MILGadzuric Slam Dunk (2 PTS) (Williams 2 AST)19
8.0%
22
92.0%
Q1 - 2:35DALHoward Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T4)17
7.3%
22
92.7%
Q1 - 2:39MILHoward STEAL (2 STL)17
6.7%
22
93.3%
Q1 - 2:53DALBass Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T3)17
7.3%
22
92.7%
Q1 - 3:17MILBogut Slam Dunk (7 PTS) (Gadzuric 1 AST)17
6.6%
22
93.4%
Q1 - 3:27DALNowitzki Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T2)15
6.2%
22
93.8%
Q1 - 3:47MILMason Driving Layup (2 PTS)15
5.6%
22
94.4%
Q1 - 4:06DALNowitzki Free Throw 2 of 2 (6 PTS)13
5.1%
22
94.9%
Q1 - 4:06DALNowitzki Free Throw 1 of 2 (5 PTS)13
5.2%
21
94.8%
Q1 - 4:24MILWilliams Free Throw 2 of 2 (8 PTS)13
5.5%
20
94.5%
Q1 - 4:24MILMISS Williams Free Throw 1 of 212
5.4%
20
94.6%
Q1 - 4:33MILBogut REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)12
5.6%
20
94.4%
Q1 - 4:34MILMISS Bell 25' 3PT Jump Shot12
5.2%
20
94.8%
Q1 - 4:40MILBogut REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)12
5.6%
20
94.4%
Q1 - 4:42DALMISS Jones Layup12
5.4%
20
94.6%
Q1 - 4:56DALNowitzki REBOUND (Off:3 Def:1)12
5.1%
20
94.9%
Q1 - 4:57DALMISS Jones 27' 3PT Jump Shot12
5.4%
20
94.6%
Q1 - 5:04DALHoward REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)12
5.1%
20
94.9%
Q1 - 5:06MILMISS Williams 16' Jump Shot12
5.2%
20
94.8%
Q1 - 5:18DALDampier Free Throw 2 of 2 (6 PTS)12
5.5%
20
94.5%
Q1 - 5:18DALDampier Free Throw 1 of 2 (5 PTS)12
5.7%
19
94.3%
Q1 - 5:19DALDampier REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)12
5.9%
18
94.1%
Q1 - 5:21DALMISS Howard 18' Jump Shot12
6.3%
18
93.7%
Q1 - 5:43DALDampier REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)12
5.9%
18
94.1%
Q1 - 5:44MILMISS Mason 12' Running Bank Shot12
6.1%
18
93.9%
Q1 - 6:03MILBogut REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)12
6.5%
18
93.5%
Q1 - 6:05DALMISS Nowitzki 5' Fadeaway Jumper12
6.3%
18
93.7%
Q1 - 6:06DALNowitzki REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)12
6.0%
18
94.0%
Q1 - 6:07DALDampier REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)12
6.0%
18
94.0%
Q1 - 6:07DALMISS Dampier Tip Shot12
6.3%
18
93.7%
Q1 - 6:09DALMISS Howard 8' Running Jump Shot12
6.3%
18
93.7%
Q1 - 6:36MILWilliams Driving Layup (7 PTS)12
6.0%
18
94.0%
Q1 - 6:45DALBarea Running Finger Roll Layup (6 PTS)10
5.6%
18
94.4%
Q1 - 6:59MILWilliams 26' 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS)10
6.0%
16
94.0%
Q1 - 7:07DALJones Reverse Layup (4 PTS) (Barea 2 AST)7
5.2%
16
94.8%
Q1 - 7:14MILBogut 12' Turnaround Hook Shot (5 PTS)7
5.6%
14
94.4%
Q1 - 7:32DALNowitzki Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)5
5.2%
14
94.8%
Q1 - 7:32DALMISS Nowitzki Free Throw 1 of 25
5.3%
13
94.7%
Q1 - 7:32MILHoward STEAL (1 STL)5
5.2%
13
94.8%
Q1 - 7:36DALJones Driving Reverse Layup (2 PTS) (Nowitzki 2 AST)5
5.6%
13
94.4%
Q1 - 7:47DALNowitzki REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)5
6.0%
11
94.0%
Q1 - 7:48MILMISS Bogut 7' Jump Hook Shot5
6.1%
11
93.9%
Q1 - 8:03DALDampier Slam Dunk (4 PTS) (Nowitzki 1 AST)5
6.3%
11
93.7%
Q1 - 8:13MILBogut 8' Jump Hook Shot (3 PTS) (Williams 1 AST)5
6.8%
9
93.2%
Q1 - 8:25DALNowitzki 24' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Barea 1 AST)3
6.3%
9
93.7%
Q1 - 8:46MILBogut Free Throw 2 of 2 (1 PTS)3
7.3%
6
92.7%
Q1 - 8:46MILMISS Bogut Free Throw 1 of 22
7.1%
6
92.9%
Q1 - 9:06DALDampier Slam Dunk (2 PTS) (Jones 1 AST)2
7.3%
6
92.7%
Q1 - 9:23MILBell Out of Bounds Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T2)2
7.6%
4
92.4%
Q1 - 9:24MILBell REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)2
8.4%
4
91.6%
Q1 - 9:26MILJones BLOCK (1 BLK)2
7.9%
4
92.1%
Q1 - 9:49DALBarea 18' Jump Shot (4 PTS)2
8.4%
4
91.6%
Q1 - 10:15DALNowitzki REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)2
8.8%
2
91.2%
Q1 - 10:16DALMISS Howard 25' 3PT Jump Shot2
9.3%
2
90.7%
Q1 - 10:26DALMAVERICKS Rebound2
8.8%
2
91.2%
Q1 - 10:28DALMISS Howard 12' Turnaround Jump Shot2
9.3%
2
90.7%
Q1 - 10:55MILWilliams Running Finger Roll Layup (2 PTS)2
8.8%
2
91.2%
Q1 - 11:08DALDampier Traveling Turnover (P1.T1)0
8.2%
2
91.8%
Q1 - 11:13DALHoward REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)0
7.7%
2
92.3%
Q1 - 11:14MILMISS Bogut 18' Jump Shot0
7.8%
2
92.2%
Q1 - 11:36DALBarea Running Layup (2 PTS)0
8.2%
2
91.8%
Q1 - 11:40MILJones STEAL (1 STL)0
8.8%
0
91.2%
Q1 - 12:00DALJump Ball Dampier vs. Bogut: Tip to Bell0
9.3%
0
90.7%

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

MIL
1.03 51.6%
DAL
1.10 55.2%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)
MIL
16
21
76%
DAL
15
24
63%
Midrange
MIL
17
45
38%
DAL
20
40
50%
3PT | Effective 3PT
MIL
4
6.0
16
25%
38%
DAL
4
6.0
16
25%
38%
Free Throws
MIL
18
22
82%
DAL
25
31
81%
Makes
Effective 3P Makes
%
Efficiency
Misses
Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|
MIL logo Bucks
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
M. Williams3656%18.0 / 32
A. Bogut2457%12.0 / 21
C. Villanueva1667%8.0 / 12
D. Mason1150%5.5 / 11
C. Bell525%2.5 / 10
D. Gadzuric450%2.0 / 4
R. Ivey0-0.0 / 2
TS Makes
TS Misses

Total Points

|
DAL logo Mavericks
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
D. Nowitzki2963%14.5 / 23
J. Terry2368%11.5 / 17
J. Howard1745%8.5 / 19
J. Barea1365%6.5 / 10
B. Bass880%4.0 / 5
E. Jones650%3.0 / 6
E. Dampier650%3.0 / 6
D. George375%1.5 / 2
T. Hassell225%1.0 / 4
J. Howard0-0.0 / 1
M. Ager0-0.0 / 1
TS Makes
TS Misses

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

MIL
79
+14
-10
93
DAL
81
+15
-9
96
Base
ORB
TOV

Scoring Efficiency

MIL
1.03 51.6%
DAL
1.10 55.2%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Efficiency & PaceThis Game
Efficiency
105.5
110.6
MIL 107.9
DAL 118.9 +11.0
Pace
91.2
90.6
MIL 87.8
DAL 91.2 +3.4
Avg. Poss. Time
16.0
16.4
MIL 16.4
DAL 15.8 +0.6
Four FactorsThis Game
EFG %
48.2%
50.2%
MIL 47.6%
DAL 51.3% +3.7%
TO %
15.5%
13.3%
MIL 9.8%
DAL 8.8% +1.0%
ORB %
30.1%
26.8%
MIL 28.6%
DAL 30.8% +2.2%
FTrt
29.4
31.8
MIL 26.8
DAL 38.8 +12.0
Misc. StatsThis Game
AST %
58.2%
56.9%
MIL 32.4%
DAL 66.7% +34.3%
STL %
7.2%
6.6%
MIL 2.2%
DAL 7.8% +5.6%
BLK %
7.2%
7.5%
MIL 7.8% +1.7%
DAL 6.1%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Shooting EfficiencyThis Game
TS%
50.9%
53.9%
MIL 51.6%
DAL 55.2% +3.6%
Rim FG%
54.3%
58.5%
MIL 76.2% +13.7%
DAL 62.5%
Mid FG%
41.4%
44.3%
MIL 37.8%
DAL 50.0% +12.2%
3P %
34.4%
35.2%
MIL 25.0%
DAL 25.0%
FT %
73.3%
81.4%
MIL 81.8% +1.2%
DAL 80.6%
Shot DistributionThis Game
Rim Att. %
37.4%
28.9%
MIL 25.6%
DAL 30.0% +4.4%
Mid Att. %
43.2%
49.6%
MIL 54.9%
DAL 50.0% +4.9%
3P Att. %
19.5%
21.5%
MIL 19.5%
DAL 20.0% +0.5%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.05 and 2.05.
Game TotalsMILDAL
Possessions8990
Possession Minutes24.323.7
Points96107
Rebounds3942
Assists1226
Steals27
Blocks54
Turnovers (Team)10 (0)9 (0)
Fouls
Off. Rebounds (Team)12 (2)12 (3)
Def. Rebounds (Team)27 (3)30 (3)
Field Goals37-8239-80
At-the-Rim FG16-2115-24
Midrange FG17-4520-40
2-Point FG33-6635-64
3-Point FG4-164-16
Free Throws18-2225-31
Fast Break Pts
2nd Chance Pts
Points in Paint
Pts off Turnovers
Bench Points
Biggest Lead

BOXSCORE

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PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
G · 6'1" 198 · 25
46.5
36
56%
5
4
1
0
1
5
0
5
5-7
71%
11-22
50%
3-7
43%
F · 6'3" 200 · 29
38.8
5
25%
3
0
0
0
2
2
1
2
0-0
-
1-4
25%
1-6
17%
C · 7'0" 260 · 23
37.3
24
57%
14
2
1
1
2
1
3
11
4-5
80%
10-19
53%
0-0
-
F · 6'11" 232 · 23
32.1
16
67%
7
3
0
0
2
3
5
2
6-6
100%
5-7
71%
0-2
0%
G · 6'4" 200 · 26
21.4
0
0%
2
0
0
0
0
3
0
2
0-0
-
0-1
0%
0-1
0%
G · 6'5" 222 · 30
37.0
11
50%
2
0
0
2
2
5
0
2
3-4
75%
4-9
44%
0-0
-
C · 6'11" 240 · 30
16.3
4
50%
4
1
0
0
0
1
2
2
0-0
-
2-4
50%
0-0
-
F-C · 6'8" 248 · 31
10.7
0
0%
2
2
0
2
1
2
1
1
0-0
-
0-0
-
0-0
-
F · 6'6" 235 · 28
F · 7'0" 250 · 20
F-G · 6'6" 225 · 31
C · 6'11" 255 · 30
#22 · G · 6'6" 215 · 28
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
#34 · F-G · 6'6" 230 · 24
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
#7 · G · 6'3" 190 · 22
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
TOTAL
240
96
52%
39
12
2
5
10
0
12
27
18-22
82%
33-66
50%
4-16
25%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.