FinalWin Prob.pScore
2911%83
95
189%98
100
ORTG#PossPace
MIA logo MIA
109.28790.7
DET logo DET
114.98783.6

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

PistonsHeatQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Scoring Margin

PistonsHeatQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Play-by-Play

Score / WinProb
ClockTeamEventMIADET
Q4 - 0:00.0MIA95
0%
100
100%
Q4 - 0:05.0DETBillups Free Throw 2 of 2 (15 PTS)95
0.1%
100
99.9%
Q4 - 0:05.0DETBillups Free Throw 1 of 2 (14 PTS)95
0.1%
99
99.9%
Q4 - 0:06.0MIAWright Tip Shot (14 PTS)95
0.8%
98
99.2%
Q4 - 0:07.0MIAWright REBOUND (Off:1 Def:7)93
0.3%
98
99.7%
Q4 - 0:08.0MIAMISS Davis 24' 3PT Jump Shot93
0.2%
98
99.8%
Q4 - 0:11.0DETBillups Free Throw 2 of 2 (13 PTS)93
0.5%
98
99.5%
Q4 - 0:11.0DETBillups Free Throw 1 of 2 (12 PTS)93
0.5%
97
99.5%
Q4 - 0:17.0MIADavis Free Throw 2 of 2 (20 PTS)93
1.3%
96
98.7%
Q4 - 0:17.0MIAMISS Davis Free Throw 1 of 292
1.1%
96
98.9%
Q4 - 0:20.0DETHamilton Free Throw 2 of 2 (19 PTS)92
1.6%
96
98.4%
Q4 - 0:20.0DETHamilton Free Throw 1 of 2 (18 PTS)92
1.8%
95
98.2%
Q4 - 0:21.0MIADavis 26' 3PT Jump Shot (19 PTS) (Wade 12 AST)92
3.7%
94
96.3%
Q4 - 0:24.0DETPrince 22' Jump Shot (14 PTS) (Wallace 3 AST)89
0.9%
94
99.1%
Q4 - 0:45.0DETPrince REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)89
3.4%
92
96.6%
Q4 - 0:46.0DETMISS Billups 26' 3PT Jump Shot89
5.7%
92
94.3%
Q4 - 1:10DETWallace REBOUND (Off:3 Def:7)89
4.4%
92
95.6%
Q4 - 1:11DETMISS Hamilton 25' 3PT Jump Shot89
6.8%
92
93.2%
Q4 - 1:32MIAHamilton STEAL (2 STL)89
4.8%
92
95.2%
Q4 - 1:44MIAWright REBOUND (Off:0 Def:7)89
8.7%
92
91.3%
Q4 - 1:45DETMISS Wallace Layup89
7.6%
92
92.4%
Q4 - 1:56MIAWade Free Throw 2 of 2 (30 PTS)89
5.4%
92
94.6%
Q4 - 1:56MIAWade Free Throw 1 of 2 (29 PTS)88
5.0%
92
95.0%
Q4 - 2:10DETWallace 14' Turnaround Jump Shot (26 PTS) (Prince 7 AST)87
3.8%
92
96.2%
Q4 - 2:23DETPrince REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)87
4.9%
90
95.1%
Q4 - 2:24MIAMISS Al. Johnson 16' Jump Shot87
6.0%
90
94.0%
Q4 - 2:45DETWallace Free Throw 2 of 2 (24 PTS)87
9.3%
90
90.7%
Q4 - 2:45DETWallace Free Throw 1 of 2 (23 PTS)87
10.1%
89
89.9%
Q4 - 2:53MIAWade 9' Running Jump Shot (28 PTS) (Al. Johnson 3 AST)87
13.1%
88
86.9%
Q4 - 3:17MIABlount REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)85
10.1%
88
89.9%
Q4 - 3:18DETMISS Billups 26' 3PT Jump Shot85
8.5%
88
91.5%
Q4 - 3:25DETWallace REBOUND (Off:2 Def:7)85
5.7%
88
94.3%
Q4 - 3:26DETMISS Hayes 26' 3PT Jump Shot85
8.5%
88
91.5%
Q4 - 3:49MIAHamilton STEAL (1 STL)85
7.3%
88
92.7%
Q4 - 4:07DETHayes Layup (7 PTS) (Stuckey 3 AST)85
10.4%
88
89.6%
Q4 - 4:10MIAHayes STEAL (2 STL)85
14.2%
86
85.8%
Q4 - 4:26MIAWright REBOUND (Off:0 Def:6)85
19.9%
86
80.1%
Q4 - 4:28DETMISS Hamilton 16' Turnaround Jump Shot85
18.0%
86
82.0%
Q4 - 4:51MIAWright 21' Jump Shot (12 PTS) (Wade 11 AST)85
14.2%
86
85.8%
Q4 - 5:15DETHayes 26' 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Stuckey 2 AST)83
10.5%
86
89.5%
Q4 - 5:39MIAAl. Johnson Putback Layup (11 PTS)83
18.4%
83
81.6%
Q4 - 5:42MIAAl. Johnson REBOUND (Off:2 Def:6)81
14.1%
83
85.9%
Q4 - 5:43MIAMISS Wade 21' Jump Shot81
11.4%
83
88.6%
Q4 - 5:57DETStuckey Free Throw 2 of 2 (3 PTS)81
14.1%
83
85.9%
Q4 - 5:57DETMISS Stuckey Free Throw 1 of 281
14.9%
82
85.1%
Q4 - 5:57MIAHayes STEAL (1 STL)81
13.9%
82
86.1%
Q4 - 6:14MIAAl. Johnson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:6)81
17.7%
82
82.3%
Q4 - 6:15DETMISS McDyess Layup81
16.2%
82
83.8%
Q4 - 6:24DETMISS Hamilton Free Throw Technical81
13.2%
82
86.8%
Q4 - 6:36DETMcDyess REBOUND (Off:3 Def:10)81
13.2%
82
86.8%
Q4 - 6:37MIAMISS Al. Johnson Free Throw 2 of 281
13.8%
82
86.2%
Q4 - 6:37MIAAl. Johnson Free Throw 1 of 2 (9 PTS)81
15.9%
82
84.1%
Q4 - 6:37MIAWade Free Throw Technical (26 PTS)80
13.7%
82
86.3%
Q4 - 6:53DETWallace Free Throw 2 of 2 (22 PTS)79
10.5%
82
89.5%
Q4 - 6:53DETMISS Wallace Free Throw 1 of 279
11.1%
81
88.9%
Q4 - 7:12MIAWright Free Throw 2 of 2 (10 PTS)79
10.3%
81
89.7%
Q4 - 7:12MIAWright Free Throw 1 of 2 (9 PTS)78
9.8%
81
90.2%
Q4 - 7:36DETWallace 19' Turnaround Jump Shot (21 PTS) (Hamilton 3 AST)77
8.2%
81
91.8%
Q4 - 7:53MIADavis 13' Turnaround Jump Shot (16 PTS)77
10.2%
79
89.8%
Q4 - 8:17DETWallace Free Throw 2 of 2 (19 PTS)75
8.7%
79
91.3%
Q4 - 8:17DETWallace Free Throw 1 of 2 (18 PTS)75
9.1%
78
90.9%
Q4 - 8:18MIAWallace STEAL (1 STL)75
10.9%
77
89.1%
Q4 - 8:31DETWallace Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T10)75
13.6%
77
86.4%
Q4 - 8:49MIAWright 19' Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Wade 10 AST)75
10.8%
77
89.2%
Q4 - 9:07DETHamilton 20' Jump Shot (17 PTS) (Prince 6 AST)73
8.7%
77
91.3%
Q4 - 9:25MIAWright 15' Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Al. Johnson 2 AST)73
10.7%
75
89.3%
Q4 - 9:31MIAAl. Johnson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)71
8.7%
75
91.3%
Q4 - 9:33DETMISS Stuckey Layup71
8.1%
75
91.9%
Q4 - 9:37MIAStuckey STEAL (1 STL)71
6.9%
75
93.1%
Q4 - 10:00MIAWright REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)71
8.7%
75
91.3%
Q4 - 10:01DETMISS Prince Free Throw 2 of 271
8.8%
75
91.2%
Q4 - 10:01DETMISS Prince Free Throw 1 of 271
7.6%
75
92.4%
Q4 - 10:07DETWallace REBOUND (Off:1 Def:7)71
7.2%
75
92.8%
Q4 - 10:09MIAMISS Wade 11' Jump Shot71
7.7%
75
92.3%
Q4 - 10:17DETPISTONS Turnover: 5 Second Inbound (T#9)71
9.0%
75
91.0%
Q4 - 10:17DETPISTONS Rebound71
7.2%
75
92.8%
Q4 - 10:18DETMISS Stuckey 12' Running Jump Shot71
8.4%
75
91.6%
Q4 - 10:33MIAWade Free Throw 2 of 2 (25 PTS)71
7.2%
75
92.8%
Q4 - 10:33MIAWade Free Throw 1 of 2 (24 PTS)70
6.9%
75
93.1%
Q4 - 10:44MIABarron REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)69
5.9%
75
94.1%
Q4 - 10:45DETMISS Maxiell 16' Jump Shot69
5.5%
75
94.5%
Q4 - 11:05MIAWade Layup (23 PTS) (Barron 1 AST)69
5.1%
75
94.9%
Q4 - 11:08DETHamilton Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T8)67
4.2%
75
95.8%
Q4 - 11:26MIADavis Free Throw 1 of 1 (14 PTS)67
3.4%
75
96.6%
Q4 - 11:42MIABarron REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)64
2.2%
75
97.8%
Q4 - 11:44DETMISS Maxiell 20' Jump Shot64
2.1%
75
97.9%
Q3 - 0:00.0DET64
1.8%
75
98.2%
Q3 - 0:00.0DETPISTONS Rebound64
1.8%
75
98.2%
Q3 - 0:01.0DETMISS Prince 3PT Jump Shot64
2.3%
75
97.7%
Q3 - 0:18.0DETAfflalo REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)64
2.0%
75
98.0%
Q3 - 0:19.0MIAMISS Wright 18' Jump Shot64
2.1%
75
97.9%
Q3 - 0:35.0DETPrince Free Throw 2 of 2 (12 PTS)64
2.4%
75
97.6%
Q3 - 0:35.0DETPrince Free Throw 1 of 2 (11 PTS)64
2.5%
74
97.5%
Q3 - 0:42.0DETPrince REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)64
2.9%
73
97.1%
Q3 - 0:42.0MIAMISS Wade 19' Jump Shot64
3.1%
73
96.9%
Q3 - 0:57.0DETBillups Free Throw 2 of 2 (11 PTS)64
3.6%
73
96.4%
Q3 - 0:57.0DETBillups Free Throw 1 of 2 (10 PTS)64
3.6%
72
96.4%
Q3 - 1:20MIAWade Free Throw 2 of 2 (21 PTS)64
4.5%
71
95.5%
Q3 - 1:20MIAWade Free Throw 1 of 2 (20 PTS)63
4.3%
71
95.7%
Q3 - 1:31DETMcDyess 19' Jump Shot (10 PTS) (Billups 10 AST)62
3.8%
71
96.2%
Q3 - 1:48MIAWade 16' Running Bank Shot (19 PTS)62
4.5%
69
95.5%
Q3 - 2:01DETBillups Free Throw 2 of 2 (9 PTS)60
3.9%
69
96.1%
Q3 - 2:01DETBillups Free Throw 1 of 2 (8 PTS)60
4.0%
68
96.0%
Q3 - 2:22MIABarron Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T5)60
4.6%
67
95.4%
Q3 - 2:37DETMcDyess 17' Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Prince 5 AST)60
5.6%
67
94.4%
Q3 - 2:55DETBillups REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)60
6.5%
65
93.5%
Q3 - 2:56MIAMISS Al. Johnson Layup60
6.9%
65
93.1%
Q3 - 3:14DETAfflalo 17' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Prince 4 AST)60
8.1%
65
91.9%
Q3 - 3:34MIABlount 16' Jump Shot (14 PTS) (Davis 2 AST)60
9.4%
63
90.6%
Q3 - 3:54DETMcDyess 18' Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Billups 9 AST)58
8.1%
63
91.9%
Q3 - 4:07DETWallace REBOUND (Off:1 Def:6)58
9.1%
61
90.9%
Q3 - 4:08MIAMISS Al. Johnson 21' Jump Shot58
9.7%
61
90.3%
Q3 - 4:17MIAWright REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)58
10.9%
61
89.1%
Q3 - 4:18DETMISS Billups 20' Jump Shot58
10.4%
61
89.6%
Q3 - 4:30MIADavis Out of Bounds Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T4)58
9.2%
61
90.8%
Q3 - 4:50DETHamilton Out of Bounds Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T7)58
11.0%
61
89.0%
Q3 - 5:07MIAAl. Johnson 10' Hook Shot (8 PTS)58
9.3%
61
90.7%
Q3 - 5:27MIAAl. Johnson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)56
8.1%
61
91.9%
Q3 - 5:30DETMISS Prince 14' Hook Shot56
7.7%
61
92.3%
Q3 - 5:46MIAHeat Turnover: Shot Clock (T#3)56
6.8%
61
93.2%
Q3 - 5:50MIAHeat Rebound56
8.1%
61
91.9%
Q3 - 5:51MIAWallace BLOCK (1 BLK)56
7.2%
61
92.8%
Q3 - 6:09MIAAl. Johnson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)56
8.0%
61
92.0%
Q3 - 6:11DETMISS Billups 11' Jump Shot56
7.7%
61
92.3%
Q3 - 6:19DETWallace REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)56
6.9%
61
93.1%
Q3 - 6:20MIAMISS Wade 3PT Jump Shot56
7.2%
61
92.8%
Q3 - 6:39DETWallace 17' Turnaround Jump Shot (17 PTS) (Billups 8 AST)56
8.0%
61
92.0%
Q3 - 6:56MIAAl. Johnson 3 Second Violation Turnover (P1.T2)56
9.2%
59
90.8%
Q3 - 7:20DETHamilton Layup (15 PTS) (Billups 7 AST)56
10.8%
59
89.2%
Q3 - 7:26DETWallace REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)56
12.1%
57
87.9%
Q3 - 7:28MIAMISS Blount 20' Jump Shot56
12.7%
57
87.3%
Q3 - 7:36MIAWright REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)56
14.2%
57
85.8%
Q3 - 7:39DETMISS Hamilton 13' Running Jump Shot56
13.5%
57
86.5%
Q3 - 7:49DETMcDyess REBOUND (Off:3 Def:9)56
12.1%
57
87.9%
Q3 - 7:50MIAMISS Williams 20' Jump Shot56
12.7%
57
87.3%
Q3 - 8:15DETHamilton 18' Jump Shot (13 PTS) (Billups 6 AST)56
13.9%
57
86.1%
Q3 - 8:32MIAWade 20' Jump Shot (17 PTS) (Williams 2 AST)56
15.6%
55
84.4%
Q3 - 8:47DETHamilton 19' Jump Shot (11 PTS) (Billups 5 AST)54
14.0%
55
86.0%
Q3 - 9:03MIAWade 19' Jump Shot (15 PTS)54
14.9%
53
85.1%
Q3 - 9:26DETPrince 26' 3PT Jump Shot (10 PTS) (Billups 4 AST)52
13.3%
53
86.7%
Q3 - 9:35DETPrince REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)52
17.0%
50
83.0%
Q3 - 9:37DETMISS Prince 6' Hook Shot52
18.5%
50
81.5%
Q3 - 9:49DETMcDyess REBOUND (Off:3 Def:8)52
17.0%
50
83.0%
Q3 - 9:50MIAMISS Blount 21' Jump Shot52
17.7%
50
82.3%
Q3 - 10:01MIAWade REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)52
18.4%
50
81.6%
Q3 - 10:02DETMISS Hamilton Layup52
17.6%
50
82.4%
Q3 - 10:18MIABlount Dunk (12 PTS) (Wright 2 AST)52
16.1%
50
83.9%
Q3 - 10:37DETWallace 17' Turnaround Jump Shot (15 PTS)50
14.5%
50
85.5%
Q3 - 11:04MIAWade 21' Jump Shot (13 PTS)50
15.5%
48
84.5%
Q3 - 11:18MIAAl. Johnson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)48
13.8%
48
86.2%
Q3 - 11:19MIAMISS Blount 21' Jump Shot48
12.7%
48
87.3%
Q3 - 11:31MIAWright REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)48
13.9%
48
86.1%
Q3 - 11:32DETMISS Billups 18' Jump Shot48
13.3%
48
86.7%
Q3 - 11:38DETBillups REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)48
12.2%
48
87.8%
Q3 - 11:39MIAMISS Wright 19' Jump Shot48
12.7%
48
87.3%
Q2 - 0:00.0MIA48
13.9%
48
86.1%
Q2 - 0:00.0MIAHeat Rebound48
13.9%
48
86.1%
Q2 - 0:01.0MIAMISS Wade 14' Running Jump Shot48
12.7%
48
87.3%
Q2 - 0:04.0DETHamilton 19' Jump Shot (9 PTS) (Billups 3 AST)48
13.4%
48
86.6%
Q2 - 0:27.0DETWallace REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)48
15.6%
46
84.4%
Q2 - 0:28.0MIAMISS Davis 26' 3PT Jump Shot48
16.0%
46
84.0%
Q2 - 0:43.0DETMcDyess Layup (4 PTS) (Billups 2 AST)48
16.9%
46
83.1%
Q2 - 0:53.0DETMcDyess REBOUND (Off:3 Def:7)48
19.4%
44
80.6%
Q2 - 0:54.0MIAMISS Wade 17' Jump Shot48
19.9%
44
80.1%
Q2 - 1:11DETBillups Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T6)48
20.5%
44
79.5%
Q2 - 1:20MIABlount Out of Bounds Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T1)48
19.4%
44
80.6%
Q2 - 1:33DETPrince Free Throw 2 of 2 (7 PTS)48
20.5%
44
79.5%
Q2 - 1:33DETPrince Free Throw 1 of 2 (6 PTS)48
20.9%
43
79.1%
Q2 - 1:38DETMcDyess REBOUND (Off:3 Def:6)48
23.8%
42
76.2%
Q2 - 1:40DETMISS Prince 19' Jump Shot48
24.6%
42
75.4%
Q2 - 1:49DETWallace REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)48
23.8%
42
76.2%
Q2 - 1:52MIAMISS Wade 12' Running Jump Shot48
24.1%
42
75.9%
Q2 - 2:01MIAWade REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)48
24.8%
42
75.2%
Q2 - 2:02DETMISS Wallace 10' Jump Shot48
24.1%
42
75.9%
Q2 - 2:23MIAWade Layup (11 PTS) (Davis 1 AST)48
22.7%
42
77.3%
Q2 - 2:35MIADavis REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)46
20.4%
42
79.6%
Q2 - 2:36DETMISS Wallace Free Throw 1 of 146
20.2%
42
79.8%
Q2 - 2:42DETPrince REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)46
22.7%
40
77.3%
Q2 - 2:43MIAMISS Barron 18' Jump Shot46
23.3%
40
76.7%
Q2 - 3:02DETWallace Free Throw 2 of 2 (11 PTS)46
23.6%
40
76.4%
Q2 - 3:02DETWallace Free Throw 1 of 2 (10 PTS)46
24.1%
39
75.9%
Q2 - 3:21MIACook 19' Jump Shot (4 PTS)46
25.7%
38
74.3%
Q2 - 3:44DETHamilton 27' 3PT Jump Shot (7 PTS) (Prince 3 AST)44
23.8%
38
76.2%
Q2 - 4:04MIABlount Free Throw 2 of 2 (10 PTS)44
26.7%
35
73.3%
Q2 - 4:04MIABlount Free Throw 1 of 2 (9 PTS)43
26.2%
35
73.8%
Q2 - 4:13MIACook REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)42
24.5%
35
75.5%
Q2 - 4:14DETMISS Wallace 26' 3PT Jump Shot42
23.9%
35
76.1%
Q2 - 4:25MIAWade Driving Layup (9 PTS)42
22.5%
35
77.5%
Q2 - 4:33MIAWade REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)40
20.6%
35
79.4%
Q2 - 4:34DETMISS Stuckey 14' Jump Shot40
20.0%
35
80.0%
Q2 - 4:50MIAAl. Johnson 20' Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Wade 8 AST)40
18.8%
35
81.2%
Q2 - 5:00DETJohnson 5' Hook Shot (2 PTS)38
17.1%
35
82.9%
Q2 - 5:21DETJohnson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)38
18.2%
33
81.8%
Q2 - 5:23MIAMISS Al. Johnson 5' Hook Shot38
18.8%
33
81.2%
Q2 - 5:38MIAAl. Johnson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)38
20.1%
33
79.9%
Q2 - 5:39DETMISS Wallace 19' Fadeaway Jumper38
19.5%
33
80.5%
Q2 - 5:59MIAWade Free Throw 2 of 2 (7 PTS)38
18.2%
33
81.8%
Q2 - 5:59MIAMISS Wade Free Throw 1 of 237
17.9%
33
82.1%
Q2 - 6:21DETHayes Step Out of Bounds Turnover (P1.T5)37
18.0%
33
82.0%
Q2 - 6:23MIADavis 26' 3PT Jump Shot (11 PTS) (Wade 7 AST)37
16.1%
33
83.9%
Q2 - 6:56DETStuckey Layup (2 PTS)34
13.6%
33
86.4%
Q2 - 7:03MIAWade Driving Layup (6 PTS)34
14.5%
31
85.5%
Q2 - 7:16DETHayes 21' Jump Shot (2 PTS)32
13.3%
31
86.7%
Q2 - 7:38MIACook 19' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Wade 6 AST)32
14.5%
29
85.5%
Q2 - 7:53DETMaxiell Traveling Turnover (P2.T4)30
13.4%
29
86.6%
Q2 - 7:53DETMaxiell REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)30
12.1%
29
87.9%
Q2 - 7:55DETMISS Hayes 9' Turnaround Jump Shot30
13.0%
29
87.0%
Q2 - 8:15MIADavis 25' 3PT Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Wade 5 AST)30
12.0%
29
88.0%
Q2 - 8:41DETHamilton Dunk (4 PTS) (Wallace 2 AST)27
10.1%
29
89.9%
Q2 - 8:44DETWallace REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)27
10.9%
27
89.1%
Q2 - 8:45MIAMaxiell BLOCK (1 BLK)27
11.3%
27
88.7%
Q2 - 9:04DETMaxiell 5' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Stuckey 1 AST)27
11.9%
27
88.1%
Q2 - 9:21DETPISTONS Rebound27
12.8%
25
87.2%
Q2 - 9:22MIAMISS Cook 26' 3PT Jump Shot27
13.2%
25
86.8%
Q2 - 9:40DETWallace 13' Turnaround Jump Shot (9 PTS) (Hayes 2 AST)27
14.2%
25
85.8%
Q2 - 9:49DETStuckey REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)27
15.3%
23
84.7%
Q2 - 9:50MIAMISS Barron 17' Jump Shot27
15.7%
23
84.3%
Q2 - 9:58MIAHeat Rebound27
16.8%
23
83.2%
Q2 - 9:59MIAMISS Williams Layup27
15.7%
23
84.3%
Q2 - 10:15DETWallace 19' Turnaround Jump Shot (7 PTS) (Hayes 1 AST)27
16.8%
23
83.2%
Q2 - 10:47MIADavis 26' 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS)27
18.1%
21
81.9%
Q2 - 10:58DETPrince Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T3)24
15.5%
21
84.5%
Q2 - 11:22MIABarron Driving Dunk (2 PTS) (Cook 1 AST)24
13.7%
21
86.3%
Q2 - 11:33DETPrince Free Throw 1 of 1 (5 PTS)22
12.6%
21
87.4%
Q2 - 11:42DETAfflalo REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)22
14.9%
18
85.1%
Q2 - 11:43MIAMISS Barron 21' Jump Shot22
15.3%
18
84.7%
Q1 - 0:00.0DET22
16.2%
18
83.8%
Q1 - 0:00.0DETPrince REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)22
14.9%
18
85.1%
Q1 - 0:01.0MIAMISS Davis 27' 3PT Jump Shot22
15.1%
18
84.9%
Q1 - 0:08.0MIABlount REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)22
15.7%
18
84.3%
Q1 - 0:09.0DETMISS Afflalo 3PT Jump Shot22
15.4%
18
84.6%
Q1 - 0:32.0DETMcDyess REBOUND (Off:2 Def:6)22
14.8%
18
85.2%
Q1 - 0:33.0MIAMISS Williams 24' 3PT Jump Shot22
15.0%
18
85.0%
Q1 - 0:50.0MIAHeat Rebound22
15.7%
18
84.3%
Q1 - 0:51.0DETMISS McDyess 19' Jump Shot22
15.4%
18
84.6%
Q1 - 1:05MIADavis 20' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Wade 4 AST)22
14.7%
18
85.3%
Q1 - 1:24DETBillups 19' Jump Shot (7 PTS)20
13.3%
18
86.7%
Q1 - 1:36MIAWade Reverse Layup (4 PTS)20
14.7%
16
85.3%
Q1 - 1:39MIAWade REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)18
13.3%
16
86.7%
Q1 - 1:40MIAMISS Barron Layup18
12.7%
16
87.3%
Q1 - 2:03DETPrince 22' Jump Shot (2 PTS)18
13.3%
16
86.7%
Q1 - 2:23DETMcDyess REBOUND (Off:2 Def:5)18
14.5%
14
85.5%
Q1 - 2:25MIAPrince BLOCK (1 BLK)18
14.8%
14
85.2%
Q1 - 2:47MIAWright REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)18
15.6%
14
84.4%
Q1 - 2:48DETMISS Maxiell Layup18
15.3%
14
84.7%
Q1 - 2:53DETMcDyess REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)18
14.5%
14
85.5%
Q1 - 2:54MIAMISS Wright 20' Jump Shot18
14.8%
14
85.2%
Q1 - 3:09DETMaxiell Out of Bounds Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T2)18
15.2%
14
84.8%
Q1 - 3:25MIABlount Tip Shot (8 PTS)18
14.0%
14
86.0%
Q1 - 3:26MIABlount REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)16
13.1%
14
86.9%
Q1 - 3:27MIAMISS Wade Layup16
12.3%
14
87.7%
Q1 - 3:31DETBillups Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T1)16
13.1%
14
86.9%
Q1 - 3:35DETPISTONS Rebound16
12.0%
14
88.0%
Q1 - 3:36DETMISS Afflalo Layup16
12.7%
14
87.3%
Q1 - 3:40DETMcDyess REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)16
12.0%
14
88.0%
Q1 - 3:42MIAMISS Blount 5' Hook Shot16
12.3%
14
87.7%
Q1 - 3:46MIABarron REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)16
13.1%
14
86.9%
Q1 - 3:49DETMISS Prince 7' Hook Shot16
12.7%
14
87.3%
Q1 - 4:05DETAfflalo REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)16
11.5%
14
88.5%
Q1 - 4:08DETMISS Billups 20' Fadeaway Jumper16
12.3%
14
87.7%
Q1 - 4:15DETPISTONS Rebound16
11.5%
14
88.5%
Q1 - 4:15DETMISS Maxiell Free Throw 2 of 216
12.5%
14
87.5%
Q1 - 4:15DETMISS Maxiell Free Throw 1 of 216
12.0%
14
88.0%
Q1 - 4:39MIAAl. Johnson Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)16
11.6%
14
88.4%
Q1 - 4:39MIAAl. Johnson Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)15
11.3%
14
88.7%
Q1 - 4:56DETMcDyess 16' Turnaround Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Prince 2 AST)14
10.9%
14
89.1%
Q1 - 5:22MIABlount 19' Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Wade 3 AST)14
11.2%
12
88.8%
Q1 - 5:43MIAWade REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)12
10.5%
12
89.5%
Q1 - 5:44DETMISS Prince 20' Jump Shot12
10.2%
12
89.8%
Q1 - 5:55DETHamilton REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)12
9.6%
12
90.4%
Q1 - 5:56MIAMISS Wade 17' Jump Bank Shot12
9.9%
12
90.1%
Q1 - 6:23DETHamilton Layup (2 PTS) (Wallace 1 AST)12
10.3%
12
89.7%
Q1 - 6:40MIAWade 16' Jump Shot (2 PTS)12
11.0%
10
89.0%
Q1 - 6:46MIAWilliams REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)10
10.3%
10
89.7%
Q1 - 6:47DETMISS Hamilton 20' Jump Shot10
10.0%
10
90.0%
Q1 - 6:54DETMcDyess REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)10
9.5%
10
90.5%
Q1 - 6:55MIAMISS Wade Layup10
9.7%
10
90.3%
Q1 - 7:12DETBillups 17' Jump Shot (5 PTS) (McDyess 1 AST)10
10.0%
10
90.0%
Q1 - 7:22DETMcDyess REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)10
10.6%
8
89.4%
Q1 - 7:24DETMISS Hamilton 19' Jump Shot10
11.2%
8
88.8%
Q1 - 7:27DETMcDyess REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)10
10.6%
8
89.4%
Q1 - 7:29DETMISS Billups 10' Hook Shot10
11.2%
8
88.8%
Q1 - 7:50MIABlount 17' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Al. Johnson 1 AST)10
10.7%
8
89.3%
Q1 - 8:15MIABlount REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)8
9.8%
8
90.2%
Q1 - 8:16DETMISS Hamilton 20' Jump Shot8
9.5%
8
90.5%
Q1 - 8:36MIAAl. Johnson Dunk (2 PTS) (Wright 1 AST)8
9.1%
8
90.9%
Q1 - 8:40MIAAl. Johnson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)6
8.5%
8
91.5%
Q1 - 8:42DETMISS Wallace 13' Jump Bank Shot6
8.3%
8
91.7%
Q1 - 9:04MIABlount 19' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Wade 2 AST)6
7.8%
8
92.2%
Q1 - 9:23DETWallace 26' 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Billups 1 AST)4
7.4%
8
92.6%
Q1 - 9:33DETMcDyess REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)4
8.3%
5
91.7%
Q1 - 9:34MIAMISS Wade 26' 3PT Jump Shot4
8.5%
5
91.5%
Q1 - 9:55DETWallace 16' Fadeaway Jumper (2 PTS) (Prince 1 AST)4
9.1%
5
90.9%
Q1 - 10:14DETWallace REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)4
9.5%
3
90.5%
Q1 - 10:15DETMISS Hamilton 20' Jump Shot4
10.0%
3
90.0%
Q1 - 10:18DETPISTONS Rebound4
9.5%
3
90.5%
Q1 - 10:19DETMISS Wallace 12' Turnaround Jump Shot4
10.0%
3
90.0%
Q1 - 10:35MIAWright 21' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Williams 1 AST)4
9.5%
3
90.5%
Q1 - 10:51MIABlount REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)2
9.0%
3
91.0%
Q1 - 10:52DETMISS Hamilton 18' Jump Shot2
8.8%
3
91.2%
Q1 - 11:16MIAWright 20' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Wade 1 AST)2
8.3%
3
91.7%
Q1 - 11:35DETBillups 24' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Hamilton 1 AST)0
7.8%
3
92.2%
Q1 - 12:00DETJump Ball Wallace vs. Blount: Tip to McDyess0
8.9%
0
91.1%

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

MIA
1.10 55.2%
DET
1.08 53.8%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)
MIA
11
20
55%
DET
10
16
63%
Midrange
MIA
22
41
54%
DET
21
48
44%
3PT | Effective 3PT
MIA
4
6.0
13
31%
46%
DET
5
7.5
12
42%
63%
Free Throws
MIA
17
20
85%
DET
23
31
74%
Makes
Effective 3P Makes
%
Efficiency
Misses
Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|
MIA logo Heat
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
D. Wade3052%15.0 / 29
R. Davis2091%10.0 / 11
M. Blount1464%7.0 / 11
D. Wright1470%7.0 / 10
A. Johnson1155%5.5 / 10
D. Cook467%2.0 / 3
E. Barron220%1.0 / 5
J. Williams0-0.0 / 4
TS Makes
TS Misses

Total Points

|
DET logo Pistons
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
R. Wallace2668%13.0 / 19
R. Hamilton1953%9.5 / 18
C. Billups1554%7.5 / 14
T. Prince1454%7.0 / 13
A. McDyess1071%5.0 / 7
J. Hayes770%3.5 / 5
R. Stuckey330%1.5 / 5
J. Maxiell220%1.0 / 5
A. Afflalo233%1.0 / 3
A. Johnson2100%1.0 / 1
TS Makes
TS Misses

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

MIA
77
+9
-10
86
DET
78
+15
-9
93
Base
ORB
TOV

Scoring Efficiency

MIA
1.10 55.2%
DET
1.08 53.8%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Efficiency & PaceThis Game
Efficiency
100.2
110.3
MIA 109.2
DET 114.9 +5.7
Pace
90.5
88.2
MIA 90.7 +7.0
DET 83.6
Avg. Poss. Time
16.3
16.9
MIA 15.9 +1.3
DET 17.2
Four FactorsThis Game
EFG %
48.2%
49.5%
MIA 52.7% +2.0%
DET 50.7%
TO %
15.4%
12.6%
MIA 11.7%
DET 10.0% +1.7%
ORB %
22.2%
29.4%
MIA 15.2%
DET 27.0% +11.8%
FTrt
30.0
30.0
MIA 27.0
DET 40.8 +13.8
Misc. StatsThis Game
AST %
58.5%
61.1%
MIA 62.2%
DET 83.3% +21.1%
STL %
7.9%
8.1%
MIA 4.6%
DET 6.9% +2.3%
BLK %
7.1%
9.4%
MIA 3.1%
DET 4.9% +1.8%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Shooting EfficiencyThis Game
TS%
50.6%
52.4%
MIA 55.2% +1.4%
DET 53.8%
Rim FG%
59.2%
60.1%
MIA 55.0%
DET 62.5% +7.5%
Mid FG%
38.8%
41.7%
MIA 53.7% +9.9%
DET 43.8%
3P %
35.8%
36.6%
MIA 30.8%
DET 41.7% +10.9%
FT %
72.7%
76.7%
MIA 85.0% +10.8%
DET 74.2%
Shot DistributionThis Game
Rim Att. %
30.2%
27.8%
MIA 27.0% +6.0%
DET 21.1%
Mid Att. %
48.1%
51.9%
MIA 55.4% +7.8%
DET 63.2%
3P Att. %
21.7%
20.3%
MIA 17.6% +1.8%
DET 15.8%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.
Game TotalsMIADET
Possessions8787
Possession Minutes23.025.0
Points95100
Rebounds3238
Assists2330
Steals46
Blocks23
Turnovers (Team)10 (1)9 (1)
Fouls
Off. Rebounds (Team)5 (4)10 (5)
Def. Rebounds (Team)27 (1)28 (1)
Field Goals37-7436-76
At-the-Rim FG11-2010-16
Midrange FG22-4121-48
2-Point FG33-6131-64
3-Point FG4-135-12
Free Throws17-2023-31
Fast Break Pts
2nd Chance Pts
Points in Paint
Pts off Turnovers
Bench Points
Biggest Lead

BOXSCORE

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PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
G · 6'4" 220 · 26
41.4
30
52%
5
12
1
1
4
5
1
4
8-9
89%
11-22
50%
0-3
0%
C · 7'0" 250 · 32
38.1
14
64%
5
0
0
0
1
3
1
4
2-2
100%
6-10
60%
0-0
-
F · 6'9" 205 · 22
32.4
14
70%
8
2
1
0
0
3
1
7
2-2
100%
6-9
67%
0-0
-
F · 6'9" 240 · 25
31.5
11
55%
8
3
0
0
1
3
2
6
3-4
75%
4-8
50%
0-0
-
G · 6'1" 180 · 32
27.4
0
0%
1
2
0
1
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-2
0%
0-2
0%
G · 6'7" 195 · 28
31.7
20
91%
1
2
0
0
3
2
0
1
2-3
67%
3-3
100%
4-7
57%
F-C · 7'0" 250 · 26
26.0
2
20%
3
1
2
0
1
3
0
3
0-0
-
1-5
20%
0-0
-
G · 6'5" 210 · 21
11.6
4
67%
1
1
0
0
0
5
0
1
0-0
-
2-2
100%
0-1
0%
G · 6'2" 175 · 24
F · 6'8" 235 · 28
C · 6'10" 261 · 38
C · 6'9" 245 · 25
#21 · G · 6'4" 190 · 27
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
TOTAL
240
95
55%
32
23
4
2
10
0
5
27
17-20
85%
33-61
54%
4-13
31%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.