FinalWin Prob.pScore
1268%98
114
2632%92
82
ORTG#PossPace
TOR logo TOR
126.79098.2
MIA logo MIA
91.19083.1

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

HeatRaptorsQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Scoring Margin

HeatRaptorsQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Play-by-Play

Score / WinProb
ClockTeamEventTORMIA
Q4 - 0:00.0MIA114
100%
82
0%
Q4 - 0:26.0MIAQuinn Driving Layup (11 PTS)114
99.9%
82
0.1%
Q4 - 0:38.0TORFord Driving Dunk (4 PTS)114
99.9%
80
0.1%
Q4 - 0:57.0MIAWright Free Throw 2 of 2 (17 PTS)112
99.9%
80
0.1%
Q4 - 0:57.0MIAWright Free Throw 1 of 2 (16 PTS)112
99.9%
79
0.1%
Q4 - 1:07MIAAl. Johnson REBOUND (Off:4 Def:6)112
99.9%
78
0.1%
Q4 - 1:08TORMISS Dixon 20' Jump Shot112
99.9%
78
0.1%
Q4 - 1:24MIAAl. Johnson Driving Dunk (10 PTS) (Cook 3 AST)112
99.9%
78
0.1%
Q4 - 1:32MIAHEAT Rebound112
99.9%
76
0.1%
Q4 - 1:33MIAMISS Barron Driving Layup112
99.9%
76
0.1%
Q4 - 1:34TORBarron STEAL (1 STL)112
99.9%
76
0.1%
Q4 - 1:36TORNesterovic REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)112
99.9%
76
0.1%
Q4 - 1:37MIAMISS Al. Johnson 15' Jump Shot112
99.9%
76
0.1%
Q4 - 1:50MIAAl. Johnson REBOUND (Off:4 Def:5)112
99.9%
76
0.1%
Q4 - 1:51TORMISS Ford 25' 3PT Jump Shot112
99.9%
76
0.1%
Q4 - 1:59MIAWright Reverse Layup (15 PTS)112
99.9%
76
0.1%
Q4 - 2:15MIACook REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)112
99.9%
74
0.1%
Q4 - 2:16TORMISS Graham 19' Jump Shot112
99.9%
74
0.1%
Q4 - 2:31MIABarron Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T21)112
99.9%
74
0.1%
Q4 - 2:36MIAWright REBOUND (Off:1 Def:6)112
99.9%
74
0.1%
Q4 - 2:38TORMISS Dixon Driving Layup112
99.9%
74
0.1%
Q4 - 2:52TORNesterovic REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)112
99.9%
74
0.1%
Q4 - 2:53MIAMISS Cook 24' 3PT Jump Shot112
99.9%
74
0.1%
Q4 - 3:12TORGraham 14' Turnaround Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Kapono 2 AST)112
99.9%
74
0.1%
Q4 - 3:35TORGraham REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)110
99.9%
74
0.1%
Q4 - 3:36MIAMISS Quinn 22' Jump Shot110
99.9%
74
0.1%
Q4 - 3:59TORDixon 24' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Nesterovic 1 AST)110
99.9%
74
0.1%
Q4 - 4:10TORFord REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)107
99.9%
74
0.1%
Q4 - 4:11TORMISS Dixon 25' 3PT Jump Shot107
99.9%
74
0.1%
Q4 - 4:30MIABarron Free Throw 2 of 2 (6 PTS)107
99.9%
74
0.1%
Q4 - 4:30MIABarron Free Throw 1 of 2 (5 PTS)107
99.9%
73
0.1%
Q4 - 4:38MIAWright REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)107
99.9%
72
0.1%
Q4 - 4:39TORMISS Kapono 12' Jump Shot107
99.9%
72
0.1%
Q4 - 4:54MIAQuinn 22' Jump Shot (9 PTS)107
99.9%
72
0.1%
Q4 - 5:02MIAQuinn REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)107
99.9%
70
0.1%
Q4 - 5:03TORMISS Dixon 24' 3PT Jump Shot107
99.9%
70
0.1%
Q4 - 5:20MIAWright 20' Jump Shot (13 PTS) (Cook 2 AST)107
99.9%
70
0.1%
Q4 - 5:31MIACook REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)107
99.9%
68
0.1%
Q4 - 5:32TORMISS Dixon 16' Jump Shot107
99.9%
68
0.1%
Q4 - 5:42MIACook Discontinue Dribble Turnover (P4.T20)107
99.9%
68
0.1%
Q4 - 5:55TORDixon Out of Bounds Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T11)107
99.9%
68
0.1%
Q4 - 6:02MIAHEAT Turnover: Shot Clock (T#19)107
99.9%
68
0.1%
Q4 - 6:04MIABarron REBOUND (Off:3 Def:1)107
99.9%
68
0.1%
Q4 - 6:06MIAMISS Al. Johnson 20' Jump Shot107
99.9%
68
0.1%
Q4 - 6:29TORFord 4' Jump Shot (2 PTS)107
99.9%
68
0.1%
Q4 - 6:34MIAQuinn Lost Ball Turnover (P2.T18)105
99.9%
68
0.1%
Q4 - 6:48TORHumphries Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)105
99.9%
68
0.1%
Q4 - 6:48TORHumphries Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)104
99.9%
68
0.1%
Q4 - 6:51MIAWright Bad Pass Turnover (P3.T17)103
99.9%
68
0.1%
Q4 - 7:08MIAWright REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)103
99.9%
68
0.1%
Q4 - 7:09TORMISS Ford 14' Jump Shot103
99.9%
68
0.1%
Q4 - 7:19TORBargnani REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)103
99.9%
68
0.1%
Q4 - 7:20MIAMISS Quinn 25' 3PT Jump Shot103
99.9%
68
0.1%
Q4 - 7:29MIAAl. Johnson REBOUND (Off:4 Def:4)103
99.9%
68
0.1%
Q4 - 7:31TORMISS Kapono 19' Jump Shot103
99.9%
68
0.1%
Q4 - 7:47MIACook 22' Jump Shot (7 PTS) (Quinn 4 AST)103
99.9%
68
0.1%
Q4 - 8:05TORKapono 24' 3PT Jump Shot (13 PTS) (Delfino 3 AST)103
99.9%
66
0.1%
Q4 - 8:15MIAAl. Johnson Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T16)100
99.9%
66
0.1%
Q4 - 8:32MIAAl. Johnson REBOUND (Off:4 Def:3)100
99.9%
66
0.1%
Q4 - 8:34TORBlount BLOCK (1 BLK)100
99.9%
66
0.1%
Q4 - 8:44TORBargnani REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)100
99.9%
66
0.1%
Q4 - 8:46MIAMISS Blount 20' Jump Shot100
99.9%
66
0.1%
Q4 - 9:13TORHumphries 6' Turnaround Hook Shot (2 PTS) (Ford 4 AST)100
99.9%
66
0.1%
Q4 - 9:21MIACook Bad Pass Turnover (P3.T15)98
99.9%
66
0.1%
Q4 - 9:38TORDelfino Free Throw 2 of 2 (7 PTS)98
99.9%
66
0.1%
Q4 - 9:38TORDelfino Free Throw 1 of 2 (6 PTS)97
99.9%
66
0.1%
Q4 - 9:41MIAQuinn Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T14)96
99.9%
66
0.1%
Q4 - 9:47MIAQuinn REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)96
99.9%
66
0.1%
Q4 - 9:48MIAMISS Cook 24' 3PT Jump Shot96
99.9%
66
0.1%
Q4 - 10:04TORHumphries Foul Turnover (P1.T10)96
99.9%
66
0.1%
Q4 - 10:13MIACook 15' Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Quinn 3 AST)96
99.9%
66
0.1%
Q4 - 10:30TORDelfino 25' 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Ford 3 AST)96
99.9%
64
0.1%
Q4 - 10:49MIABlount Free Throw 2 of 2 (12 PTS)93
99.9%
64
0.1%
Q4 - 10:49MIABlount Free Throw 1 of 2 (11 PTS)93
99.9%
63
0.1%
Q4 - 11:14TORBargnani 17' Jump Shot (22 PTS) (Delfino 2 AST)93
99.9%
62
0.1%
Q4 - 11:24TORDelfino REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)91
99.9%
62
0.1%
Q4 - 11:26MIAMISS Al. Johnson 5' Jump Shot91
99.9%
62
0.1%
Q4 - 11:28MIAAl. Johnson REBOUND (Off:4 Def:2)91
99.9%
62
0.1%
Q4 - 11:29MIAMISS Al. Johnson 5' Jump Shot91
99.9%
62
0.1%
Q4 - 11:49TORKapono 12' Hook Shot (10 PTS)91
99.9%
62
0.1%
Q3 - 0:00.0MIA89
99.9%
62
0.1%
Q3 - 0:04.0TORBargnani Free Throw 2 of 2 (20 PTS)89
99.8%
62
0.2%
Q3 - 0:04.0TORBargnani Free Throw 1 of 2 (19 PTS)88
99.8%
62
0.2%
Q3 - 0:23.0TORBargnani REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)87
99.8%
62
0.2%
Q3 - 0:24.0MIAMISS Cook 25' 3PT Jump Shot87
99.7%
62
0.3%
Q3 - 0:44.0TORParker 3PT Jump Shot (18 PTS) (Bosh 4 AST)87
99.7%
62
0.3%
Q3 - 0:54.0TORBargnani REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)84
99.5%
62
0.5%
Q3 - 0:55.0MIAMISS Al. Johnson 17' Jump Shot84
99.5%
62
0.5%
Q3 - 1:16MIAAl. Johnson REBOUND (Off:3 Def:2)84
99.3%
62
0.7%
Q3 - 1:17TORMISS Parker 3PT Jump Shot84
99.4%
62
0.6%
Q3 - 1:35TORParker REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)84
99.4%
62
0.6%
Q3 - 1:36MIAMISS Cook 25' 3PT Jump Shot84
99.4%
62
0.6%
Q3 - 1:44MIAWright REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)84
99.3%
62
0.7%
Q3 - 1:46TORMISS Moon 20' Jump Shot84
99.4%
62
0.6%
Q3 - 2:09TORBosh REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)84
99.3%
62
0.7%
Q3 - 2:10MIAMISS Wade 3PT Jump Shot84
99.3%
62
0.7%
Q3 - 2:15MIAWade REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)84
99.1%
62
0.9%
Q3 - 2:16MIAMISS Davis 25' 3PT Jump Shot84
99.3%
62
0.7%
Q3 - 2:22TORDavis STEAL (1 STL)84
99.2%
62
0.8%
Q3 - 2:31TORRaptors Rebound84
99.3%
62
0.7%
Q3 - 2:32TORMISS Bosh 17' Turnaround Jump Shot84
99.2%
62
0.8%
Q3 - 2:52MIAWade 15' Jump Bank Shot (12 PTS)84
99.3%
62
0.7%
Q3 - 3:03TORBargnani 7' Hook Shot (18 PTS) (Bosh 3 AST)84
99.3%
60
0.7%
Q3 - 3:18MIAWright Free Throw 2 of 2 (11 PTS)82
99.2%
60
0.8%
Q3 - 3:18MIAWright Free Throw 1 of 2 (10 PTS)82
99.2%
59
0.8%
Q3 - 3:30MIACook REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)82
99.3%
58
0.7%
Q3 - 3:32TORMISS Moon 6' Hook Shot82
99.4%
58
0.6%
Q3 - 3:46TORCalderon REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)82
99.4%
58
0.6%
Q3 - 3:48MIAMISS Barron 14' Turnaround Jump Shot82
99.4%
58
0.6%
Q3 - 4:15TORBargnani 24' 3PT Jump Shot (16 PTS) (Parker 3 AST)82
99.2%
58
0.8%
Q3 - 4:31TORParker REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)79
98.9%
58
1.1%
Q3 - 4:32MIAMISS Davis 6' Jump Shot79
98.9%
58
1.1%
Q3 - 4:50TORMoon Alley Oop Dunk (6 PTS) (Calderon 10 AST)79
98.7%
58
1.3%
Q3 - 4:58TORMoon REBOUND (Off:1 Def:8)77
98.5%
58
1.5%
Q3 - 5:00MIAMISS Williams 3PT Jump Shot77
98.4%
58
1.6%
Q3 - 5:19TORParker 6' Jump Shot (15 PTS)77
98.0%
58
2.0%
Q3 - 5:37MIAWright 6' Jump Shot (9 PTS) (Davis 5 AST)75
97.6%
58
2.4%
Q3 - 5:55TORCalderon 25' 3PT Jump Shot (11 PTS) (Moon 1 AST)75
98.0%
56
2.0%
Q3 - 6:15MIABarron 21' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Wade 4 AST)72
96.9%
56
3.1%
Q3 - 6:41MIADavis REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)72
97.4%
54
2.6%
Q3 - 6:42TORMISS Parker Free Throw 2 of 272
97.4%
54
2.6%
Q3 - 6:42TORMISS Parker Free Throw 1 of 272
97.7%
54
2.3%
Q3 - 6:44MIAWright Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T13)72
97.8%
54
2.2%
Q3 - 6:54TORBosh Dunk (24 PTS) (Parker 2 AST)72
97.4%
54
2.6%
Q3 - 7:04TORMoon REBOUND (Off:1 Def:7)70
96.6%
54
3.4%
Q3 - 7:05TORMISS Bargnani 22' Jump Shot70
96.2%
54
3.8%
Q3 - 7:21TORBosh REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)70
96.7%
54
3.3%
Q3 - 7:22MIAMISS Wade 5' Running Hook Shot70
96.5%
54
3.5%
Q3 - 7:36MIAHEAT Rebound70
96.0%
54
4.0%
Q3 - 7:37MIAMISS Wade 19' Jump Shot70
96.5%
54
3.5%
Q3 - 7:56TORMoon 20' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Calderon 9 AST)70
96.0%
54
4.0%
Q3 - 8:20MIAWade 7' Hook Shot (10 PTS)68
95.4%
54
4.6%
Q3 - 8:29TORMoon Foul Turnover (P1.T8)68
95.9%
52
4.1%
Q3 - 8:39MIADavis 17' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Williams 1 AST)68
96.5%
52
3.5%
Q3 - 8:53TORParker 3PT Jump Shot (13 PTS) (Calderon 8 AST)68
96.9%
50
3.1%
Q3 - 9:11MIAWilliams 24' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Wade 3 AST)65
95.7%
50
4.3%
Q3 - 9:29TORCalderon 19' Jump Shot (8 PTS)65
96.8%
47
3.2%
Q3 - 9:46MIAWade 15' Jump Shot (8 PTS)63
96.3%
47
3.7%
Q3 - 10:05TORBosh Free Throw 2 of 2 (22 PTS)63
96.6%
45
3.4%
Q3 - 10:05TORBosh Free Throw 1 of 2 (21 PTS)62
96.5%
45
3.5%
Q3 - 10:20MIABarron Foul Turnover (P1.T12)61
96.1%
45
3.9%
Q3 - 10:35TORBargnani 19' Jump Shot (13 PTS)61
95.5%
45
4.5%
Q3 - 10:54MIABlount Running Dunk (10 PTS) (Wade 2 AST)59
94.9%
45
5.1%
Q3 - 10:59TORWade STEAL (2 STL)59
95.5%
43
4.5%
Q3 - 11:11MIABlount Free Throw 2 of 2 (8 PTS)59
96.0%
43
4.0%
Q3 - 11:11MIABlount Free Throw 1 of 2 (7 PTS)59
96.1%
42
3.9%
Q3 - 11:19MIABarron REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)59
96.5%
41
3.5%
Q3 - 11:20MIAMISS Davis 15' Jump Shot59
96.8%
41
3.2%
Q3 - 11:27MIAWilliams REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)59
96.5%
41
3.5%
Q3 - 11:28TORMISS Bargnani 22' Jump Shot59
96.6%
41
3.4%
Q3 - 11:39TORBosh REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)59
96.9%
41
3.1%
Q3 - 11:41MIAMISS Barron 17' Jump Shot59
96.8%
41
3.2%
Q2 - 0:00.0TOR59
96.5%
41
3.5%
Q2 - 0:01.0MIAWade Bad Pass Turnover (P3.T11)59
96.5%
41
3.5%
Q2 - 0:13.0MIAAl. Johnson REBOUND (Off:3 Def:1)59
96.2%
41
3.8%
Q2 - 0:14.0TORMISS Parker 22' Jump Shot59
96.3%
41
3.7%
Q2 - 0:34.0TORMoon REBOUND (Off:0 Def:7)59
96.6%
41
3.4%
Q2 - 0:36.0MIAMISS Barron Tip Shot59
96.5%
41
3.5%
Q2 - 0:37.0MIABarron REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)59
96.3%
41
3.7%
Q2 - 0:38.0MIAMISS Wade 10' Hook Shot59
96.5%
41
3.5%
Q2 - 0:52.0TORParker 19' Jump Shot (10 PTS)59
96.3%
41
3.7%
Q2 - 1:07TORMoon REBOUND (Off:0 Def:6)57
95.3%
41
4.7%
Q2 - 1:08MIAMISS Williams 25' 3PT Jump Shot57
95.2%
41
4.8%
Q2 - 1:18MIAHEAT Rebound57
94.9%
41
5.1%
Q2 - 1:19MIAMISS Barron Layup57
95.2%
41
4.8%
Q2 - 1:34TORBosh Free Throw 2 of 2 (20 PTS)57
95.0%
41
5.0%
Q2 - 1:34TORBosh Free Throw 1 of 2 (19 PTS)56
94.8%
41
5.2%
Q2 - 1:48MIADavis Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T10)55
94.0%
41
6.0%
Q2 - 2:03TORCalderon 18' Jump Shot (6 PTS)55
93.0%
41
7.0%
Q2 - 2:26MIADavis Layup (2 PTS) (Wade 1 AST)53
92.2%
41
7.8%
Q2 - 2:48TORBosh Foul Turnover (P2.T6)53
93.1%
39
6.9%
Q2 - 3:03MIAAl. Johnson 5' Jump Shot (8 PTS)53
93.5%
39
6.5%
Q2 - 3:22TORBosh 17' Jump Shot (18 PTS) (Calderon 7 AST)53
94.1%
37
5.9%
Q2 - 3:38MIAWade Alley Oop Dunk (6 PTS) (Davis 4 AST)51
93.5%
37
6.5%
Q2 - 3:43MIABarron REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)51
94.1%
35
5.9%
Q2 - 3:45TORMISS Kapono 12' Floating Jump Shot51
94.3%
35
5.7%
Q2 - 4:04MIAWade Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)51
94.5%
35
5.5%
Q2 - 4:04MIAWade Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)51
94.6%
34
5.4%
Q2 - 4:07MIAWilliams REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)51
95.1%
33
4.9%
Q2 - 4:08TORMISS Kapono 25' 3PT Jump Shot51
95.2%
33
4.8%
Q2 - 4:24TORKapono REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)51
95.6%
33
4.4%
Q2 - 4:26MIAMISS Wade 20' Jump Shot51
95.4%
33
4.6%
Q2 - 4:55TORKapono 19' Jump Shot (8 PTS)51
95.1%
33
4.9%
Q2 - 5:05TORHumphries REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)49
94.4%
33
5.6%
Q2 - 5:06TORMISS Bosh 19' Jump Shot49
93.9%
33
6.1%
Q2 - 5:15MIADavis Foul Turnover (P1.T9)49
94.4%
33
5.6%
Q2 - 5:17TORBlount STEAL (1 STL)49
93.7%
33
6.3%
Q2 - 5:31MIAHEAT Turnover: Shot Clock (T#8)49
94.4%
33
5.6%
Q2 - 5:55TORDelfino Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T4)49
93.7%
33
6.3%
Q2 - 6:05MIABlount Layup (6 PTS) (Davis 3 AST)49
94.2%
33
5.8%
Q2 - 6:18TORDelfino 22' Jump Shot (2 PTS)49
94.7%
31
5.3%
Q2 - 6:27MIAWright Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T7)47
94.2%
31
5.8%
Q2 - 6:49TORFord Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T3)47
93.5%
31
6.5%
Q2 - 6:56MIABlount 14' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Wright 1 AST)47
94.2%
31
5.8%
Q2 - 7:21TORKapono 19' Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Ford 2 AST)47
94.4%
29
5.6%
Q2 - 7:31MIAQuinn Free Throw 2 of 2 (7 PTS)45
93.8%
29
6.2%
Q2 - 7:31MIAQuinn Free Throw 1 of 2 (6 PTS)45
93.9%
28
6.1%
Q2 - 7:45TORKapono 19' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Delfino 1 AST)45
94.4%
27
5.6%
Q2 - 7:54MIACook Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T6)43
93.8%
27
6.2%
Q2 - 8:08TORBosh Free Throw 2 of 2 (16 PTS)43
92.9%
27
7.1%
Q2 - 8:08TORBosh Free Throw 1 of 2 (15 PTS)42
92.8%
27
7.2%
Q2 - 8:22MIAQuinn 25' 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS)41
92.3%
27
7.7%
Q2 - 8:39MIACook REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)41
93.5%
24
6.5%
Q2 - 8:40TORMISS Humphries 17' Jump Shot41
93.7%
24
6.3%
Q2 - 9:01MIAWright Free Throw 2 of 2 (7 PTS)41
94.0%
24
6.0%
Q2 - 9:01MIAWright Free Throw 1 of 2 (6 PTS)41
94.1%
23
5.9%
Q2 - 9:06MIAWright REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)41
94.4%
22
5.6%
Q2 - 9:08TORMISS Delfino 3PT Jump Shot41
94.6%
22
5.4%
Q2 - 9:19MIACook 25' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Al. Johnson 1 AST)41
95.0%
22
5.0%
Q2 - 9:40TORKapono Reverse Layup (2 PTS) (Ford 1 AST)41
95.9%
19
4.1%
Q2 - 9:55MIAWright Free Throw 1 of 1 (5 PTS)39
95.5%
19
4.5%
Q2 - 9:59MIAAl. Johnson REBOUND (Off:3 Def:0)39
96.2%
16
3.8%
Q2 - 10:00MIAMISS Quinn 25' 3PT Jump Shot39
96.5%
16
3.5%
Q2 - 10:20TORCalderon Layup (4 PTS) (Kapono 1 AST)39
96.1%
16
3.9%
Q2 - 10:24MIACook Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T5)37
95.7%
16
4.3%
Q2 - 10:37TORBosh Dunk (14 PTS) (Bargnani 3 AST)37
95.2%
16
4.8%
Q2 - 10:57MIAAl. Johnson 19' Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Quinn 2 AST)35
94.8%
16
5.2%
Q2 - 11:17TORBargnani 16' Jump Shot (11 PTS) (Bosh 2 AST)35
95.1%
14
4.9%
Q2 - 11:39MIAQuinn 20' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Davis 2 AST)33
94.6%
14
5.4%
Q1 - 0:00.0MIA33
95.1%
12
4.9%
Q1 - 0:00.0MIAWright REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)33
95.1%
12
4.9%
Q1 - 0:00.0TORMISS Calderon 25' 3PT Jump Shot33
95.2%
12
4.8%
Q1 - 0:14.0MIAWade Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T4)33
95.2%
12
4.8%
Q1 - 0:35.0TORRaptors Turnover: Shot Clock (T#2)33
94.9%
12
5.1%
Q1 - 0:35.0TORRaptors Rebound33
95.3%
12
4.7%
Q1 - 0:36.0TORMISS Bosh 14' Jump Shot33
95.0%
12
5.0%
Q1 - 0:59.0MIAWright Driving Layup (2 PTS)33
95.3%
12
4.7%
Q1 - 1:23TORBargnani 24' 3PT Jump Shot (9 PTS) (Calderon 6 AST)33
95.7%
10
4.3%
Q1 - 1:30TORMoon REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)30
94.8%
10
5.2%
Q1 - 1:32MIAMISS Wade Driving Layup30
94.7%
10
5.3%
Q1 - 1:38MIAWright REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)30
94.4%
10
5.6%
Q1 - 1:39MIAMISS Cook 25' 3PT Jump Shot30
94.7%
10
5.3%
Q1 - 1:48MIAQuinn REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)30
94.4%
10
5.6%
Q1 - 1:49TORMISS Bargnani 25' 3PT Jump Shot30
94.5%
10
5.5%
Q1 - 2:03MIAWade Driving Finger Roll Layup (2 PTS) (Quinn 1 AST)30
94.8%
10
5.2%
Q1 - 2:30TORBosh 2' Jump Shot (12 PTS)30
95.3%
8
4.7%
Q1 - 2:52MIAAl. Johnson Slam Dunk (4 PTS) (Cook 1 AST)28
94.8%
8
5.2%
Q1 - 2:58TORWade STEAL (1 STL)28
95.3%
6
4.7%
Q1 - 3:11TORMoon REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)28
95.3%
6
4.7%
Q1 - 3:12MIAMISS Cook 18' Jump Shot28
95.2%
6
4.8%
Q1 - 3:31MIAAl. Johnson REBOUND (Off:2 Def:0)28
94.9%
6
5.1%
Q1 - 3:32MIAMISS Williams 21' Jump Shot28
95.2%
6
4.8%
Q1 - 3:41TORBosh Layup (10 PTS) (Calderon 5 AST)28
94.9%
6
5.1%
Q1 - 3:49TORCalderon REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)26
94.5%
6
5.5%
Q1 - 3:50MIAMISS Williams 25' 3PT Jump Shot26
94.3%
6
5.7%
Q1 - 4:00MIAWade REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)26
94.0%
6
6.0%
Q1 - 4:02TORWright BLOCK (1 BLK)26
94.0%
6
6.0%
Q1 - 4:15TORMoon REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)26
94.4%
6
5.6%
Q1 - 4:17MIAMISS Al. Johnson 12' Turnaround Jump Shot26
94.2%
6
5.8%
Q1 - 4:44TORMoon Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)26
93.8%
6
6.2%
Q1 - 4:44TORMoon Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)25
93.6%
6
6.4%
Q1 - 5:00TORParker REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)24
93.4%
6
6.6%
Q1 - 5:01MIAMISS Davis 22' Jump Shot24
92.7%
6
7.3%
Q1 - 5:09TORParker 3PT Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Bargnani 2 AST)24
92.3%
6
7.7%
Q1 - 5:27TORBargnani REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)21
91.1%
6
8.9%
Q1 - 5:28MIAMISS Wade 16' Jump Shot21
90.9%
6
9.1%
Q1 - 5:42TORBosh Dunk (8 PTS) (Calderon 4 AST)21
90.3%
6
9.7%
Q1 - 5:53MIAAl. Johnson Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T3)19
89.7%
6
10.3%
Q1 - 6:06TORBargnani 16' Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Parker 1 AST)19
88.3%
6
11.7%
Q1 - 6:20TORMoon REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)17
87.5%
6
12.5%
Q1 - 6:22MIAMISS Al. Johnson 19' Jump Shot17
87.2%
6
12.8%
Q1 - 6:44MIAWilliams REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)17
86.6%
6
13.4%
Q1 - 6:45TORMISS Bosh Free Throw 2 of 217
86.7%
6
13.3%
Q1 - 6:45TORBosh Free Throw 1 of 2 (6 PTS)17
87.3%
6
12.7%
Q1 - 6:58MIAAl. Johnson Layup (2 PTS)16
86.6%
6
13.4%
Q1 - 6:59MIAAl. Johnson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)16
87.5%
4
12.5%
Q1 - 7:00MIAMISS Al. Johnson Layup16
88.1%
4
11.9%
Q1 - 7:23TORBosh Free Throw 1 of 1 (5 PTS)16
87.0%
4
13.0%
Q1 - 7:38MIAWade Traveling Turnover (P1.T2)13
85.3%
4
14.7%
Q1 - 7:44MIAHEAT Rebound13
84.2%
4
15.8%
Q1 - 7:45MIAMISS Davis 14' Fadeaway Jumper13
84.9%
4
15.1%
Q1 - 7:59TORCalderon 16' Jump Shot (2 PTS)13
84.2%
4
15.8%
Q1 - 8:12MIABlount Layup (2 PTS)11
83.6%
4
16.4%
Q1 - 8:14MIABlount REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)11
84.5%
2
15.5%
Q1 - 8:15MIAMISS Barron 20' Jump Shot11
85.3%
2
14.7%
Q1 - 8:26TORParker 25' 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Calderon 3 AST)11
84.5%
2
15.5%
Q1 - 8:43TORMoon REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)8
82.5%
2
17.5%
Q1 - 8:44MIAMISS Williams 25' 3PT Jump Shot8
82.1%
2
17.9%
Q1 - 9:02MIADavis REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)8
81.1%
2
18.9%
Q1 - 9:03TORMISS Bargnani 25' 3PT Jump Shot8
81.5%
2
18.5%
Q1 - 9:28MIABarron 19' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Davis 1 AST)8
82.6%
2
17.4%
Q1 - 9:44TORBargnani Driving Dunk (4 PTS)8
83.4%
0
16.6%
Q1 - 9:50TORCalderon REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)6
82.6%
0
17.4%
Q1 - 9:52MIAMISS Barron 18' Jump Shot6
82.1%
0
17.9%
Q1 - 10:11TORBosh 18' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Calderon 2 AST)6
81.1%
0
18.9%
Q1 - 10:26MIAHEAT Turnover: Shot Clock (T#1)4
80.1%
0
19.9%
Q1 - 10:26MIAHEAT Rebound4
78.7%
0
21.3%
Q1 - 10:27MIAMISS Williams Driving Layup4
79.7%
0
20.3%
Q1 - 10:53TORBargnani 20' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Bosh 1 AST)4
78.7%
0
21.3%
Q1 - 11:04TORBosh REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)2
77.5%
0
22.5%
Q1 - 11:06MIAMISS Blount 6' Hook Shot2
77.1%
0
22.9%
Q1 - 11:32TORParker 18' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Calderon 1 AST)2
76.3%
0
23.7%
Q1 - 11:37TORRaptors Rebound0
74.8%
0
25.2%
Q1 - 11:38TORMISS Moon 19' Jump Shot0
73.9%
0
26.1%
Q1 - 12:00MIAJump Ball Blount vs. Bosh: Tip to Calderon0
74.8%
0
25.2%

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

TOR
1.34 67.1%
MIA
0.92 46.1%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)
TOR
11
13
85%
MIA
14
23
61%
Midrange
TOR
23
42
55%
MIA
14
36
39%
3PT | Effective 3PT
TOR
10
15.0
19
53%
79%
MIA
3
4.5
16
19%
28%
Free Throws
TOR
16
19
84%
MIA
17
17
100%
Makes
Effective 3P Makes
%
Efficiency
Misses
Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|
TOR logo Raptors
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
C. Bosh2480%12.0 / 15
A. Bargnani2273%11.0 / 15
A. Parker1890%9.0 / 10
J. Kapono1365%6.5 / 10
J. Calderon1192%5.5 / 6
C. Delfino788%3.5 / 4
J. Moon650%3.0 / 6
T. Ford440%2.0 / 5
K. Humphries450%2.0 / 4
J. Dixon325%1.5 / 6
J. Graham250%1.0 / 2
TS Makes
TS Misses

Total Points

|
MIA logo Heat
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
D. Wright17106%8.5 / 8
D. Wade1246%6.0 / 13
M. Blount1275%6.0 / 8
C. Quinn1169%5.5 / 8
A. Johnson1038%5.0 / 13
D. Cook739%3.5 / 9
E. Barron630%3.0 / 10
R. Davis429%2.0 / 7
J. Williams321%1.5 / 7
TS Makes
TS Misses

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

TOR
79
+6
-11
85
MIA
72
+16
-18
88
Base
ORB
TOV

Scoring Efficiency

TOR
1.34 67.1%
MIA
0.92 46.1%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Efficiency & PaceThis Game
Efficiency
109.7
100.2
TOR 126.7
MIA 91.1 +35.6
Pace
90.7
90.5
TOR 98.2 +15.1
MIA 83.1
Avg. Poss. Time
15.9
16.3
TOR 14.7 +2.7
MIA 17.3
Four FactorsThis Game
EFG %
51.1%
48.2%
TOR 66.2% +22.9%
MIA 43.3%
TO %
12.3%
15.4%
TOR 12.7% +7.6%
MIA 20.3%
ORB %
23.5%
22.2%
TOR 10.3%
MIA 28.2% +17.9%
FTrt
24.7
30.0
TOR 25.7 +3.0
MIA 22.7
Misc. StatsThis Game
AST %
62.0%
58.5%
TOR 70.5% +9.2%
MIA 61.3%
STL %
7.6%
7.9%
TOR 12.2% +6.6%
MIA 5.6%
BLK %
6.9%
7.1%
TOR 3.4%
MIA 3.6% +0.2%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.16 and 2.16.

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Shooting EfficiencyThis Game
TS%
53.7%
50.6%
TOR 67.1% +21.0%
MIA 46.1%
Rim FG%
58.5%
59.2%
TOR 84.6% +23.7%
MIA 60.9%
Mid FG%
43.3%
38.8%
TOR 54.8% +15.9%
MIA 38.9%
3P %
39.2%
35.8%
TOR 52.6% +33.8%
MIA 18.8%
FT %
81.2%
72.7%
TOR 84.2%
MIA 100.0% +15.8%
Shot DistributionThis Game
Rim Att. %
28.9%
30.2%
TOR 17.6%
MIA 30.7% +13.1%
Mid Att. %
49.4%
48.1%
TOR 56.8%
MIA 48.0% +8.8%
3P Att. %
21.7%
21.7%
TOR 25.7% +4.3%
MIA 21.3%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.
Game TotalsTORMIA
Possessions9090
Possession Minutes22.026.0
Points11482
Rebounds3137
Assists3119
Steals115
Blocks22
Turnovers (Team)11 (1)18 (3)
Fouls
Off. Rebounds (Team)3 (3)11 (5)
Def. Rebounds (Team)28 (0)26 (0)
Field Goals44-7431-75
At-the-Rim FG11-1314-23
Midrange FG23-4214-36
2-Point FG34-5528-59
3-Point FG10-193-16
Free Throws16-1917-17
Fast Break Pts
2nd Chance Pts
Points in Paint
Pts off Turnovers
Bench Points
Biggest Lead

BOXSCORE

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PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
C · 7'0" 245 · 22
34.1
22
73%
5
3
0
0
0
4
0
5
2-2
100%
7-10
70%
2-4
50%
F · 6'11" 235 · 24
33.7
24
80%
4
4
0
0
4
2
0
4
8-9
89%
8-11
73%
0-0
-
G · 6'3" 200 · 26
31.3
11
92%
3
10
1
0
1
1
0
3
0-0
-
4-4
100%
1-2
50%
G · 6'6" 210 · 33
27.5
18
90%
3
3
1
0
0
0
0
3
0-2
0%
3-4
75%
4-5
80%
F · 6'8" 205 · 28
25.7
6
50%
9
1
1
0
1
2
1
8
2-2
100%
2-5
40%
0-0
-
F · 6'8" 215 · 27
20.5
13
65%
1
2
4
0
0
2
0
1
0-0
-
5-8
63%
1-2
50%
G-F · 6'6" 230 · 25
17.6
7
88%
1
3
1
0
1
0
0
1
2-2
100%
1-1
100%
1-2
50%
G · 6'0" 165 · 25
16.8
4
40%
1
4
2
0
1
0
1
0
0-0
-
2-4
50%
0-1
0%
F · 6'9" 235 · 23
14.0
4
50%
1
0
1
1
1
3
1
0
2-2
100%
1-3
33%
0-0
-
F · 6'7" 230 · 26
6.8
2
50%
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
1-2
50%
0-0
-
G · 6'3" 165 · 29
6.0
3
25%
0
0
0
0
1
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-3
0%
1-3
33%
C · 7'0" 255 · 32
6.0
0
0%
2
1
0
1
1
1
0
2
0-0
-
0-0
-
0-0
-
#9 · F · 6'10" 230 · 32
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
#15 · F · 6'9" 245 · 30
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
#2 · G · 5'11" 170 · 37
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
TOTAL
240
114
67%
31
31
11
2
11
0
3
28
16-19
84%
34-55
62%
10-19
53%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.