FinalWin Prob.pScore
537%91
67
263%95
90
ORTG#PossPace
DAL logo DAL
78.88584.3
DET logo DET
105.98585.7

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

PistonsMavericksQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Scoring Margin

PistonsMavericksQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Play-by-Play

Score / WinProb
ClockTeamEventDALDET
Q4 - 0:00.0DETEnd of 4th Period (4:42 PM EST)67
0%
90
100%
Q4 - 0:14.0DETHayes REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)67
0%
90
100%
Q4 - 0:15.0DALMISS George 20' Jump Shot67
0%
90
100%
Q4 - 0:38.0DALDiop REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)67
0%
90
100%
Q4 - 0:39.0DETMISS Afflalo Free Throw 2 of 267
0%
90
100%
Q4 - 0:39.0DETMISS Afflalo Free Throw 1 of 267
0%
90
100%
Q4 - 0:58.0DETStuckey REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)67
0%
90
100%
Q4 - 1:00DALMISS Barea Layup67
0.1%
90
99.9%
Q4 - 1:16DETJohnson Inbound Turnover (P1.T9)67
0.1%
90
99.9%
Q4 - 1:16DALBarea 26' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS)67
0.1%
90
99.9%
Q4 - 1:27DETAfflalo 21' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Stuckey 2 AST)64
0.1%
90
99.9%
Q4 - 1:36DETJohnson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)64
0.1%
88
99.9%
Q4 - 1:37DALMISS Ager 25' 3PT Jump Shot64
0.1%
88
99.9%
Q4 - 2:03DETHayes Layup (10 PTS) (Afflalo 1 AST)64
0.1%
88
99.9%
Q4 - 2:06DETAfflalo REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)64
0.1%
86
99.9%
Q4 - 2:07DALJohnson BLOCK (1 BLK)64
0.1%
86
99.9%
Q4 - 2:32DETHerrmann 27' 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Hayes 1 AST)64
0.1%
86
99.9%
Q4 - 2:55DALBarea Palming Turnover (P3.T11)64
0.1%
83
99.9%
Q4 - 3:16DETHerrmann Driving Layup (2 PTS) (Stuckey 1 AST)64
0.1%
83
99.9%
Q4 - 3:32DALJo. Howard Free Throw 2 of 2 (15 PTS)64
0.1%
81
99.9%
Q4 - 3:32DALJo. Howard Free Throw 1 of 2 (14 PTS)63
0.1%
81
99.9%
Q4 - 3:42DALNowitzki REBOUND (Off:3 Def:7)62
0.1%
81
99.9%
Q4 - 3:43DETMISS Hamilton 21' Jump Shot62
0.1%
81
99.9%
Q4 - 3:52DETHamilton REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)62
0.1%
81
99.9%
Q4 - 3:53DALMISS Barea 16' Jump Shot62
0.1%
81
99.9%
Q4 - 4:11DETHamilton 14' Jump Shot (10 PTS)62
0.1%
81
99.9%
Q4 - 4:25DETStuckey REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)62
0.1%
79
99.9%
Q4 - 4:28DALMISS Barea 10' Running Jump Shot62
0.1%
79
99.9%
Q4 - 4:39DETStuckey Layup (11 PTS) (McDyess 2 AST)62
0.1%
79
99.9%
Q4 - 5:01DETStuckey REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)62
0.4%
77
99.6%
Q4 - 5:02DALMISS Nowitzki 26' 3PT Jump Shot62
0.4%
77
99.6%
Q4 - 5:09DALJo. Howard REBOUND (Off:0 Def:9)62
0.5%
77
99.5%
Q4 - 5:10DETMISS Hamilton 15' Jump Shot62
0.5%
77
99.5%
Q4 - 5:33DALNowitzki Free Throw 2 of 2 (15 PTS)62
0.4%
77
99.6%
Q4 - 5:33DALNowitzki Free Throw 1 of 2 (14 PTS)61
0.4%
77
99.6%
Q4 - 5:40DALBass REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)60
0.3%
77
99.7%
Q4 - 5:43DETMISS Wallace 16' Turnaround Jump Shot60
0.2%
77
99.8%
Q4 - 6:00DALMavericks Turnover: Shot Clock (T#10)60
0.2%
77
99.8%
Q4 - 6:00DALMavericks Rebound60
0.3%
77
99.7%
Q4 - 6:01DALMISS Nowitzki 26' 3PT Jump Shot60
0.4%
77
99.6%
Q4 - 6:26DALBass REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)60
0.4%
77
99.6%
Q4 - 6:28DETMISS McDyess Tip Shot60
0.4%
77
99.6%
Q4 - 6:29DETMcDyess REBOUND (Off:3 Def:8)60
0.3%
77
99.7%
Q4 - 6:33DETMISS Stuckey 4' Running Jump Shot60
0.4%
77
99.6%
Q4 - 6:50DETMcDyess REBOUND (Off:2 Def:8)60
0.3%
77
99.7%
Q4 - 6:51DALMISS Nowitzki 12' Jump Shot60
0.3%
77
99.7%
Q4 - 7:19DETHayes 25' 3PT Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Wallace 3 AST)60
0.7%
77
99.3%
Q4 - 7:31DETWallace REBOUND (Off:2 Def:7)60
1.1%
74
98.9%
Q4 - 7:32DALMISS Jo. Howard 21' Jump Shot60
1.2%
74
98.8%
Q4 - 7:48DALTerry REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)60
1.5%
74
98.5%
Q4 - 7:49DETMISS Maxiell Layup60
1.4%
74
98.6%
Q4 - 8:07DALJo. Howard Free Throw 2 of 2 (13 PTS)60
1.5%
74
98.5%
Q4 - 8:07DALMISS Jo. Howard Free Throw 1 of 259
1.5%
74
98.5%
Q4 - 8:18DALDampier REBOUND (Off:5 Def:5)59
1.5%
74
98.5%
Q4 - 8:19DETMISS Hayes 24' 3PT Jump Shot59
1.4%
74
98.6%
Q4 - 8:37DALJo. Howard Driving Layup (12 PTS)59
1.2%
74
98.8%
Q4 - 9:01DETHayes 18' Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Hamilton 7 AST)57
1.2%
74
98.8%
Q4 - 9:10DETMcDyess REBOUND (Off:2 Def:7)57
1.5%
72
98.5%
Q4 - 9:11DALMISS Terry 18' Jump Shot57
1.6%
72
98.4%
Q4 - 9:24DETStuckey 11' Running Bank Shot (9 PTS)57
1.9%
72
98.1%
Q4 - 9:44DALJo. Howard 16' Turnaround Jump Shot (10 PTS)57
2.3%
70
97.7%
Q4 - 10:15DETHamilton Free Throw 2 of 2 (8 PTS)55
2.2%
70
97.8%
Q4 - 10:15DETHamilton Free Throw 1 of 2 (7 PTS)55
2.3%
69
97.7%
Q4 - 10:17DETPISTONS Rebound55
2.7%
68
97.3%
Q4 - 10:18DETMISS Maxiell 14' Jump Shot55
3.2%
68
96.8%
Q4 - 10:35DALDampier Layup (8 PTS) (Bass 1 AST)55
2.7%
68
97.3%
Q4 - 10:46DALHassell REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)53
2.2%
68
97.8%
Q4 - 10:48DETMISS Hamilton 17' Jump Shot53
2.0%
68
98.0%
Q4 - 11:02DALBass Layup (14 PTS) (Terry 3 AST)53
2.1%
68
97.9%
Q4 - 11:19DETStuckey Tip Shot (7 PTS)51
1.7%
68
98.3%
Q4 - 11:20DETStuckey REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)51
2.1%
66
97.9%
Q4 - 11:21DETMISS Stuckey Layup51
2.4%
66
97.6%
Q4 - 11:40DALHamilton STEAL (1 STL)51
2.0%
66
98.0%
Q3 - 0:00.0DALEnd of 3rd Period (4:09 PM EST)51
2.5%
66
97.5%
Q3 - 0:00.0DALMavericks Rebound51
2.5%
66
97.5%
Q3 - 0:00.0DALMISS Jo. Howard 39' 3PT Jump Shot51
2.2%
66
97.8%
Q3 - 0:02.0DETHamilton 17' Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Billups 6 AST)51
3.0%
66
97.0%
Q3 - 0:23.0DALBarea Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T8)51
3.6%
64
96.4%
Q3 - 0:39.0DALJo. Howard REBOUND (Off:0 Def:8)51
4.4%
64
95.6%
Q3 - 0:40.0DETMISS Wallace 20' Jump Shot51
4.1%
64
95.9%
Q3 - 0:55.0DETMaxiell REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)51
3.6%
64
96.4%
Q3 - 0:57.0DALMISS Nowitzki 14' Jump Shot51
3.8%
64
96.2%
Q3 - 1:22DETWallace 15' Turnaround Jump Shot (21 PTS) (Billups 5 AST)51
4.9%
64
95.1%
Q3 - 1:38DETPISTONS Rebound51
5.9%
62
94.1%
Q3 - 1:38DALMISS Jo. Howard 17' Jump Shot51
6.2%
62
93.8%
Q3 - 1:58DETWallace Layup (19 PTS) (Prince 3 AST)51
7.1%
62
92.9%
Q3 - 2:13DETWallace REBOUND (Off:2 Def:6)51
8.9%
60
91.1%
Q3 - 2:14DALMISS Nowitzki 24' 3PT Jump Shot51
9.5%
60
90.5%
Q3 - 2:21DETPrince Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T8)51
10.7%
60
89.3%
Q3 - 2:34DALWallace STEAL (1 STL)51
8.9%
60
91.1%
Q3 - 2:49DALNowitzki REBOUND (Off:3 Def:6)51
10.7%
60
89.3%
Q3 - 2:50DETMISS Billups 15' Jump Shot51
10.1%
60
89.9%
Q3 - 3:04DETBillups REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)51
9.6%
60
90.4%
Q3 - 3:05DALMISS Jones 19' Jump Shot51
10.1%
60
89.9%
Q3 - 3:35DETBillups Driving Layup (9 PTS)51
11.3%
60
88.7%
Q3 - 4:01DALMavericks Turnover: Shot Clock (T#6)51
13.4%
58
86.6%
Q3 - 4:27DETHamilton 19' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Wallace 2 AST)51
15.8%
58
84.2%
Q3 - 4:41DALJo. Howard 17' Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Dampier 2 AST)51
17.9%
56
82.1%
Q3 - 4:46DALNowitzki REBOUND (Off:3 Def:5)49
15.8%
56
84.2%
Q3 - 4:47DETMISS McDyess 10' Jump Shot49
15.0%
56
85.0%
Q3 - 4:56DETMcDyess REBOUND (Off:2 Def:6)49
13.4%
56
86.6%
Q3 - 4:59DETMISS Wallace 18' Jump Shot49
15.0%
56
85.0%
Q3 - 5:03DETWallace REBOUND (Off:2 Def:5)49
14.0%
56
86.0%
Q3 - 5:05DETMISS Wallace Layup49
15.6%
56
84.4%
Q3 - 5:17DALDampier Tip Shot (6 PTS)49
14.0%
56
86.0%
Q3 - 5:20DALDampier REBOUND (Off:5 Def:4)47
12.2%
56
87.8%
Q3 - 5:21DALMISS Bass 10' Jump Shot47
10.9%
56
89.1%
Q3 - 5:29DALBass REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)47
12.2%
56
87.8%
Q3 - 5:30DETMISS McDyess 19' Jump Shot47
11.6%
56
88.4%
Q3 - 5:44DALTerry Foul Turnover (P1.T5)47
10.4%
56
89.6%
Q3 - 6:09DETBillups Layup (7 PTS) (Prince 2 AST)47
12.7%
56
87.3%
Q3 - 6:10DETPrince REBOUND (Off:2 Def:5)47
14.4%
54
85.6%
Q3 - 6:13DALMISS Jo. Howard 8' Running Jump Shot47
15.1%
54
84.9%
Q3 - 6:36DALDampier REBOUND (Off:4 Def:4)47
16.7%
54
83.3%
Q3 - 6:37DETMISS Billups 19' Jump Shot47
15.9%
54
84.1%
Q3 - 6:53DALBass Layup (12 PTS)47
14.4%
54
85.6%
Q3 - 7:10DETHamilton 20' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Billups 4 AST)45
13.1%
54
86.9%
Q3 - 7:15DETPrince Free Throw Flagrant 2 of 2 (16 PTS)45
14.6%
52
85.4%
Q3 - 7:15DETPrince Free Throw Flagrant 1 of 2 (15 PTS)45
15.1%
51
84.9%
Q3 - 7:17DALPrince STEAL (1 STL)45
19.0%
50
81.0%
Q3 - 7:21DALJo. Howard REBOUND (Off:0 Def:7)45
21.8%
50
78.2%
Q3 - 7:22DETMISS Hamilton 18' Jump Shot45
20.9%
50
79.1%
Q3 - 7:29DETPrince REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)45
18.9%
50
81.1%
Q3 - 7:31DETMISS McDyess 21' Jump Shot45
20.9%
50
79.1%
Q3 - 7:46DALTerry 3PT Jump Shot (7 PTS) (Nowitzki 2 AST)45
18.9%
50
81.1%
Q3 - 8:20DETPrince Layup (14 PTS) (Billups 3 AST)42
15.3%
50
84.7%
Q3 - 8:23DETMcDyess REBOUND (Off:1 Def:6)42
17.0%
48
83.0%
Q3 - 8:25DALWallace BLOCK (4 BLK)42
17.8%
48
82.2%
Q3 - 8:31DALDampier REBOUND (Off:4 Def:3)42
19.6%
48
80.4%
Q3 - 8:32DALMISS Bass Layup42
17.8%
48
82.2%
Q3 - 8:33DALBass REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)42
19.6%
48
80.4%
Q3 - 8:34DALWallace BLOCK (3 BLK)42
17.8%
48
82.2%
Q3 - 8:52DALJo. Howard REBOUND (Off:0 Def:6)42
19.6%
48
80.4%
Q3 - 8:53DETMISS Hamilton 15' Jump Shot42
18.8%
48
81.2%
Q3 - 9:02DETMcDyess REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)42
17.3%
48
82.7%
Q3 - 9:03DALMISS Jo. Howard 19' Jump Shot42
17.9%
48
82.1%
Q3 - 9:11DALDampier REBOUND (Off:3 Def:3)42
19.5%
48
80.5%
Q3 - 9:12DETMISS Hamilton Layup42
18.8%
48
81.2%
Q3 - 9:36DALJo. Howard 19' Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Terry 2 AST)42
17.3%
48
82.7%
Q3 - 9:46DALNowitzki REBOUND (Off:3 Def:4)40
15.3%
48
84.7%
Q3 - 9:48DETMISS Hamilton Layup40
14.7%
48
85.3%
Q3 - 9:49DETHamilton REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)40
13.5%
48
86.5%
Q3 - 9:50DETMISS Billups 26' 3PT Jump Shot40
14.7%
48
85.3%
Q3 - 10:07DETPISTONS Rebound40
13.7%
48
86.3%
Q3 - 10:08DALMISS Nowitzki 25' 3PT Jump Shot40
14.3%
48
85.7%
Q3 - 10:28DETWallace 17' Turnaround Jump Shot (17 PTS) (Hamilton 6 AST)40
15.7%
48
84.3%
Q3 - 10:44DALJo. Howard 19' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Dampier 1 AST)40
17.4%
46
82.6%
Q3 - 11:09DETWallace 18' Turnaround Jump Shot (15 PTS) (Prince 1 AST)38
15.9%
46
84.1%
Q3 - 11:32DETMcDyess REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)38
17.7%
44
82.3%
Q3 - 11:33DALMISS Nowitzki 26' 3PT Jump Shot38
18.4%
44
81.6%
Q3 - 11:51DALDampier REBOUND (Off:3 Def:2)38
19.9%
44
80.1%
Q3 - 11:52DETMISS McDyess 12' Jump Shot38
19.2%
44
80.8%
Q2 - 0:00.0DALEnd of 2nd Period (3:23 PM EST)38
17.7%
44
82.3%
Q2 - 0:00.0DALMavericks Rebound38
19.9%
44
80.1%
Q2 - 0:00.0DALMISS Bass Tip Shot38
18.3%
44
81.7%
Q2 - 0:01.0DALBass REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)38
20.1%
44
79.9%
Q2 - 0:02.0DALMISS Nowitzki 22' Jump Shot38
19.1%
44
80.9%
Q2 - 0:19.0DALMavericks Rebound38
20.0%
44
80.0%
Q2 - 0:21.0DETMISS Hamilton 16' Jump Shot38
19.6%
44
80.4%
Q2 - 0:42.0DALNowitzki Free Throw 2 of 2 (13 PTS)38
18.5%
44
81.5%
Q2 - 0:42.0DALNowitzki Free Throw 1 of 2 (12 PTS)37
18.3%
44
81.7%
Q2 - 0:53.0DALNowitzki REBOUND (Off:3 Def:3)36
16.1%
44
83.9%
Q2 - 0:56.0DETMISS Billups Free Throw 1 of 136
15.9%
44
84.1%
Q2 - 1:17DALNowitzki Layup (11 PTS)36
19.2%
42
80.8%
Q2 - 1:19DALNowitzki REBOUND (Off:3 Def:2)34
16.4%
42
83.6%
Q2 - 1:20DALMaxiell BLOCK (2 BLK)34
15.7%
42
84.3%
Q2 - 1:44DETPrince Layup (12 PTS)34
16.4%
42
83.6%
Q2 - 2:03DETHamilton REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)34
19.1%
40
80.9%
Q2 - 2:04DETMISS Wallace Tip Shot34
20.4%
40
79.6%
Q2 - 2:06DETWallace REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)34
19.1%
40
80.9%
Q2 - 2:07DETMISS Wallace Layup34
20.4%
40
79.6%
Q2 - 2:21DALNowitzki Free Throw 2 of 2 (9 PTS)34
19.1%
40
80.9%
Q2 - 2:21DALNowitzki Free Throw 1 of 2 (8 PTS)33
18.9%
40
81.1%
Q2 - 2:37DETPrince Free Throw 2 of 2 (10 PTS)32
17.1%
40
82.9%
Q2 - 2:37DETPrince Free Throw 1 of 2 (9 PTS)32
17.4%
39
82.6%
Q2 - 2:51DETWallace REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)32
19.1%
38
80.9%
Q2 - 2:53DALMISS Dampier 8' Hook Shot32
19.6%
38
80.4%
Q2 - 3:14DETPrince Free Throw 2 of 2 (8 PTS)32
21.4%
38
78.6%
Q2 - 3:14DETPrince Free Throw 1 of 2 (7 PTS)32
21.8%
37
78.2%
Q2 - 3:32DALTerry Driving Dunk (4 PTS)32
23.3%
36
76.7%
Q2 - 3:46DETWallace 17' Jump Shot (13 PTS) (Hamilton 5 AST)30
21.4%
36
78.6%
Q2 - 3:59DALBass Free Throw 2 of 2 (10 PTS)30
23.2%
34
76.8%
Q2 - 3:59DALBass Free Throw 1 of 2 (9 PTS)29
22.9%
34
77.1%
Q2 - 4:04DALTerry REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)28
21.5%
34
78.5%
Q2 - 4:05DETMISS Billups 19' Jump Shot28
20.9%
34
79.1%
Q2 - 4:13DETWallace REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)28
19.6%
34
80.4%
Q2 - 4:15DALMISS Terry 7' Running Jump Shot28
20.2%
34
79.8%
Q2 - 4:31DETWallace 8' Turnaround Jump Shot (11 PTS) (Hamilton 4 AST)28
21.5%
34
78.5%
Q2 - 4:44DALDiop Traveling Turnover (P1.T3)28
23.5%
32
76.5%
Q2 - 5:03DETWallace 26' 3PT Jump Shot (9 PTS) (McDyess 1 AST)28
25.8%
32
74.2%
Q2 - 5:20DALBass Layup (8 PTS) (Diop 1 AST)28
30.1%
29
69.9%
Q2 - 5:37DETAfflalo Foul Turnover (P1.T7)26
28.0%
29
72.0%
Q2 - 5:49DETBillups REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)26
25.6%
29
74.4%
Q2 - 5:50DETMISS McDyess 19' Jump Shot26
27.3%
29
72.7%
Q2 - 6:10DETHayes REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)26
25.6%
29
74.4%
Q2 - 6:11DALMISS Diop Layup26
26.4%
29
73.6%
Q2 - 6:23DALNowitzki REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)26
28.2%
29
71.8%
Q2 - 6:25DETMISS Billups 26' 3PT Jump Shot26
27.4%
29
72.6%
Q2 - 6:35DALJones Layup (5 PTS) (Nowitzki 1 AST)26
25.6%
29
74.4%
Q2 - 6:48DALNowitzki REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)24
24.0%
29
76.0%
Q2 - 6:49DETMISS Hayes 24' 3PT Jump Shot24
23.3%
29
76.7%
Q2 - 7:05DALNowitzki Free Throw 1 of 1 (7 PTS)24
22.3%
29
77.7%
Q2 - 7:06DALNowitzki REBOUND (Off:2 Def:0)21
18.9%
29
81.1%
Q2 - 7:07DALMISS Nowitzki Layup21
17.8%
29
82.2%
Q2 - 7:27DETHayes 27' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS)21
18.9%
29
81.1%
Q2 - 7:33DETMcDyess REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)21
22.2%
26
77.8%
Q2 - 7:36DETMISS Maxiell Layup21
23.6%
26
76.4%
Q2 - 7:44DALHayes STEAL (2 STL)21
22.2%
26
77.8%
Q2 - 8:03DALJones REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)21
24.3%
26
75.7%
Q2 - 8:04DETMISS Stuckey Layup21
23.7%
26
76.3%
Q2 - 8:21DALBass 20' Jump Shot (6 PTS)21
22.2%
26
77.8%
Q2 - 8:31DALBass REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)19
20.7%
26
79.3%
Q2 - 8:32DETMISS Maxiell 18' Jump Shot19
20.1%
26
79.9%
Q2 - 8:45DETMcDyess REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)19
18.8%
26
81.2%
Q2 - 8:45DALMISS Bass Free Throw 2 of 219
19.1%
26
80.9%
Q2 - 8:45DALBass Free Throw 1 of 2 (4 PTS)19
20.2%
26
79.8%
Q2 - 8:45DALMavericks Rebound18
19.0%
26
81.0%
Q2 - 8:46DETMISS Stuckey 10' Running Jump Shot18
18.5%
26
81.5%
Q2 - 8:59DALDampier Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)18
17.3%
26
82.7%
Q2 - 8:59DALMISS Dampier Free Throw 1 of 217
16.8%
26
83.2%
Q2 - 8:59DALMavericks Rebound17
17.5%
26
82.5%
Q2 - 9:00DETMISS Hayes Layup17
17.0%
26
83.0%
Q2 - 9:17DETMaxiell REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)17
16.1%
26
83.9%
Q2 - 9:18DETMISS Billups 20' Jump Shot17
17.2%
26
82.8%
Q2 - 9:24DALHayes STEAL (1 STL)17
16.1%
26
83.9%
Q2 - 9:30DETStuckey 13' Running Jump Shot (5 PTS)17
17.7%
26
82.3%
Q2 - 9:47DALBass Free Throw 2 of 2 (3 PTS)17
19.0%
24
81.0%
Q2 - 9:47DALMISS Bass Free Throw 1 of 216
18.7%
24
81.3%
Q2 - 10:05DETMaxiell Putback Dunk (4 PTS)16
19.4%
24
80.6%
Q2 - 10:06DETMaxiell REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)16
20.8%
22
79.2%
Q2 - 10:07DETMISS Billups 24' 3PT Jump Shot16
22.1%
22
77.9%
Q2 - 10:23DALBass 18' Fadeaway Jumper (2 PTS)16
20.8%
22
79.2%
Q2 - 10:48DALTerry REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)14
19.4%
22
80.6%
Q2 - 10:49DALMISS Terry 23' Jump Shot14
18.2%
22
81.8%
Q2 - 11:13DALDampier REBOUND (Off:3 Def:1)14
19.3%
22
80.7%
Q2 - 11:14DETMISS Stuckey 18' Jump Shot14
18.9%
22
81.1%
Q2 - 11:23DETJohnson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)14
17.9%
22
82.1%
Q2 - 11:26DALMISS Terry 14' Running Jump Shot14
18.3%
22
81.7%
Q2 - 11:41DETStuckey Layup (3 PTS) (Hamilton 3 AST)14
19.3%
22
80.7%
Q1 - 0:00.0DETEnd of 1st Period (2:46 PM EST)14
20.9%
20
79.1%
Q1 - 0:00.0DETPISTONS Rebound14
20.9%
20
79.1%
Q1 - 0:00.0DETMISS Wallace 79' 3PT Jump Shot14
22.0%
20
78.0%
Q1 - 0:02.0DETWallace REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)14
21.2%
20
78.8%
Q1 - 0:03.0DALMISS Terry 19' Jump Shot14
21.5%
20
78.5%
Q1 - 0:25.0DETStuckey Free Throw 2 of 2 (1 PTS)14
22.4%
20
77.6%
Q1 - 0:25.0DETMISS Stuckey Free Throw 1 of 214
22.7%
19
77.3%
Q1 - 0:34.0DETMaxiell REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)14
22.8%
19
77.2%
Q1 - 0:35.0DALMISS Jo. Howard 21' Jump Shot14
23.2%
19
76.8%
Q1 - 0:56.0DETStuckey Foul Turnover (P1.T6)14
24.1%
19
75.9%
Q1 - 1:04DETMaxiell REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)14
22.8%
19
77.2%
Q1 - 1:05DALMISS Bass 11' Jump Shot14
23.2%
19
76.8%
Q1 - 1:19DALHassell REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)14
24.2%
19
75.8%
Q1 - 1:21DETMISS Stuckey 19' Turnaround Jump Shot14
23.8%
19
76.2%
Q1 - 1:30DETHamilton REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)14
22.8%
19
77.2%
Q1 - 1:31DALMISS Jo. Howard 16' Jump Shot14
23.2%
19
76.8%
Q1 - 1:54DALJo. Howard REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)14
24.2%
19
75.8%
Q1 - 1:55DETMISS Hamilton 19' Jump Shot14
23.8%
19
76.2%
Q1 - 2:12DETPISTONS Rebound14
22.9%
19
77.1%
Q1 - 2:13DALMISS Terry 26' 3PT Jump Shot14
23.3%
19
76.7%
Q1 - 2:35DETPrince Dunk (6 PTS) (Wallace 1 AST)14
24.4%
19
75.6%
Q1 - 2:47DETPISTONS Rebound14
26.3%
17
73.7%
Q1 - 2:48DALWallace BLOCK (2 BLK)14
26.8%
17
73.2%
Q1 - 2:51DALNowitzki REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)14
28.0%
17
72.0%
Q1 - 2:53DALMISS Jo. Howard 26' 3PT Jump Shot14
26.8%
17
73.2%
Q1 - 2:57DALDampier REBOUND (Off:3 Def:0)14
28.0%
17
72.0%
Q1 - 2:58DALMISS Nowitzki Layup14
26.8%
17
73.2%
Q1 - 3:07DALJo. Howard REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)14
28.2%
17
71.8%
Q1 - 3:08DETMISS Maxiell 15' Jump Shot14
27.6%
17
72.4%
Q1 - 3:16DETPrince REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)14
26.2%
17
73.8%
Q1 - 3:18DALMaxiell BLOCK (1 BLK)14
26.8%
17
73.2%
Q1 - 3:40DETMaxiell Dunk (2 PTS) (Billups 2 AST)14
28.2%
17
71.8%
Q1 - 4:00DALNowitzki Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)14
29.9%
15
70.1%
Q1 - 4:00DALNowitzki Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)13
29.7%
15
70.3%
Q1 - 4:11DETPrince Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)12
28.2%
15
71.8%
Q1 - 4:11DETPrince Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)12
28.5%
14
71.5%
Q1 - 4:27DETPISTONS Rebound12
29.6%
13
70.4%
Q1 - 4:28DALMISS Nowitzki 21' Jump Shot12
30.3%
13
69.7%
Q1 - 4:44DALJo. Howard REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)12
31.9%
13
68.1%
Q1 - 4:45DETMISS McDyess 20' Jump Shot12
31.2%
13
68.8%
Q1 - 5:02DETPrince REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)12
29.5%
13
70.5%
Q1 - 5:04DALMISS Hassell 10' Fadeaway Jumper12
30.1%
13
69.9%
Q1 - 5:34DETBillups 18' Jump Shot (3 PTS)12
31.5%
13
68.5%
Q1 - 5:39DETPrince REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)12
33.2%
11
66.8%
Q1 - 5:40DALMISS Jo. Howard 21' Jump Shot12
33.8%
11
66.2%
Q1 - 5:58DETHamilton Palming Turnover (P1.T5)12
35.3%
11
64.7%
Q1 - 6:00DETHamilton REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)12
33.2%
11
66.8%
Q1 - 6:02DALMISS Jones 25' 3PT Jump Shot12
33.5%
11
66.5%
Q1 - 6:09DETBillups Bad Pass Turnover (P3.T4)12
34.8%
11
65.2%
Q1 - 6:13DETWallace REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)12
33.0%
11
67.0%
Q1 - 6:15DALMISS Terry 15' Jump Shot12
33.5%
11
66.5%
Q1 - 6:41DETMcDyess Layup (2 PTS) (Hamilton 2 AST)12
34.9%
11
65.1%
Q1 - 6:54DALJones Free Throw 1 of 1 (3 PTS)12
36.6%
9
63.4%
Q1 - 6:58DETBillups Lost Ball Turnover (P2.T3)9
33.1%
9
66.9%
Q1 - 7:19DALJo. Howard Driving Layup (2 PTS)9
31.0%
9
69.0%
Q1 - 7:44DETWallace 25' 3PT Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Hamilton 1 AST)7
29.6%
9
70.4%
Q1 - 7:52DETBillups Free Throw Technical (1 PTS)7
32.7%
6
67.3%
Q1 - 8:03DETPrince REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)7
34.3%
5
65.7%
Q1 - 8:04DETMISS Billups 17' Jump Shot7
35.7%
5
64.3%
Q1 - 8:19DETMcDyess REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)7
34.3%
5
65.7%
Q1 - 8:20DALMISS Dampier Free Throw 2 of 27
34.6%
5
65.4%
Q1 - 8:20DALDampier Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)7
35.5%
5
64.5%
Q1 - 8:20DALDampier REBOUND (Off:2 Def:0)6
34.5%
5
65.5%
Q1 - 8:22DALMISS Dampier Layup6
33.2%
5
66.8%
Q1 - 8:25DALDampier REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)6
34.5%
5
65.5%
Q1 - 8:26DALMISS Jo. Howard 27' 3PT Jump Shot6
33.2%
5
66.8%
Q1 - 8:48DETBillups Foul Turnover (P1.T2)6
34.5%
5
65.5%
Q1 - 8:50DETPrince REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)6
32.6%
5
67.4%
Q1 - 8:53DALPrince BLOCK (1 BLK)6
33.2%
5
66.8%
Q1 - 9:02DETWallace 26' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Billups 1 AST)6
34.5%
5
65.5%
Q1 - 9:28DALNowitzki 21' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Jo. Howard 1 AST)6
37.5%
2
62.5%
Q1 - 9:32DALMavericks Rebound4
36.2%
2
63.8%
Q1 - 9:33DALWallace BLOCK (1 BLK)4
34.7%
2
65.3%
Q1 - 9:54DETPrince Layup (2 PTS)4
36.2%
2
63.8%
Q1 - 10:17DALTerry Driving Layup (2 PTS)4
37.4%
0
62.6%
Q1 - 10:23DALJo. Howard REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)2
35.9%
0
64.1%
Q1 - 10:25DETMISS Wallace 18' Fadeaway Jumper2
35.3%
0
64.7%
Q1 - 10:39DETMcDyess REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)2
34.0%
0
66.0%
Q1 - 10:40DALMISS Nowitzki 19' Jump Shot2
34.6%
0
65.4%
Q1 - 10:55DETWallace Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T1)2
35.9%
0
64.1%
Q1 - 11:14DETWallace REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)2
34.0%
0
66.0%
Q1 - 11:15DALMISS Jones 26' 3PT Jump Shot2
34.5%
0
65.5%
Q1 - 11:19DALJo. Howard REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)2
35.6%
0
64.4%
Q1 - 11:22DETMISS Wallace 13' Turnaround Jump Shot2
35.1%
0
64.9%
Q1 - 11:40DALDampier 7' Hook Shot (2 PTS) (Jones 1 AST)2
34.0%
0
66.0%
Q1 - 12:00DETJump Ball Wallace vs. Dampier: Tip to Nowitzki0
32.3%
0
67.7%

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

DAL
0.74 36.8%
DET
0.99 49.5%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)
DAL
13
25
52%
DET
16
28
57%
Midrange
DAL
8
37
22%
DET
14
43
33%
3PT | Effective 3PT
DAL
2
3.0
14
14%
21%
DET
6
9.0
12
50%
75%
Free Throws
DAL
19
24
79%
DET
12
16
75%
Makes
Effective 3P Makes
%
Efficiency
Misses
Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|
DAL logo Mavericks
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
J. Howard1539%7.5 / 19
D. Nowitzki1534%7.5 / 22
B. Bass1458%7.0 / 12
E. Dampier844%4.0 / 9
J. Terry732%3.5 / 11
E. Jones550%2.5 / 5
J. Barea338%1.5 / 4
T. Hassell0-0.0 / 1
D. Diop0-0.0 / 1
D. George0-0.0 / 1
M. Ager0-0.0 / 2
TS Makes
TS Misses

Total Points

|
DET logo Pistons
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
R. Wallace2158%10.5 / 18
T. Prince16114%8.0 / 7
R. Stuckey1146%5.5 / 12
R. Hamilton1036%5.0 / 14
J. Hayes1071%5.0 / 7
C. Billups938%4.5 / 12
W. Herrmann5125%2.5 / 2
J. Maxiell429%2.0 / 7
A. McDyess213%1.0 / 8
A. Afflalo250%1.0 / 2
TS Makes
TS Misses

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

DAL
76
+15
-9
91
DET
76
+15
-9
91
Base
ORB
TOV

Scoring Efficiency

DAL
0.74 36.8%
DET
0.99 49.5%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Efficiency & PaceThis Game
Efficiency
110.6
110.3
DAL 78.8 +27.1
DET 105.9
Pace
90.6
88.2
DAL 84.3
DET 85.7 +1.4
Avg. Poss. Time
16.4
16.9
DAL 17.1
DET 16.8 +0.3
Four FactorsThis Game
EFG %
50.2%
49.5%
DAL 31.6%
DET 47.0% +15.4%
TO %
13.3%
12.6%
DAL 11.3%
DET 9.1% +2.2%
ORB %
26.8%
29.4%
DAL 23.9%
DET 29.5% +5.6%
FTrt
31.8
30.0
DAL 31.6 +12.3
DET 19.3
Misc. StatsThis Game
AST %
56.9%
61.1%
DAL 47.8%
DET 69.4% +21.6%
STL %
6.6%
8.1%
DAL 3.5%
DET 5.9% +2.4%
BLK %
7.5%
9.4%
DAL 4.2%
DET 12.9% +8.7%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Shooting EfficiencyThis Game
TS%
53.9%
52.4%
DAL 36.8%
DET 49.5% +12.7%
Rim FG%
58.5%
60.1%
DAL 52.0%
DET 57.1% +5.1%
Mid FG%
44.3%
41.7%
DAL 21.6%
DET 32.6% +11.0%
3P %
35.2%
36.6%
DAL 14.3%
DET 50.0% +35.7%
FT %
81.4%
76.7%
DAL 79.2% +4.2%
DET 75.0%
Shot DistributionThis Game
Rim Att. %
28.9%
27.8%
DAL 32.9%
DET 33.7% +0.8%
Mid Att. %
49.6%
51.9%
DAL 48.7% +3.1%
DET 51.8%
3P Att. %
21.5%
20.3%
DAL 18.4% +4.0%
DET 14.5%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.05 and 2.05.
Game TotalsDALDET
Possessions8585
Possession Minutes24.223.8
Points6790
Rebounds4248
Assists1125
Steals35
Blocks38
Turnovers (Team)9 (2)9 (0)
Fouls
Off. Rebounds (Team)11 (4)13 (2)
Def. Rebounds (Team)31 (3)35 (5)
Field Goals23-7636-83
At-the-Rim FG13-2516-28
Midrange FG8-3714-43
2-Point FG21-6230-71
3-Point FG2-146-12
Free Throws19-2412-16
Fast Break Pts
2nd Chance Pts
Points in Paint
Pts off Turnovers
Bench Points
Biggest Lead

BOXSCORE

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PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
F · 6'7" 210 · 28
40.7
15
39%
9
1
0
0
0
1
0
9
3-4
75%
6-14
43%
0-3
0%
G · 6'2" 185 · 30
37.7
7
32%
3
3
0
0
1
2
1
2
0-0
-
2-9
22%
1-2
50%
F · 7'0" 245 · 30
34.1
15
34%
10
2
1
0
1
1
3
7
9-9
100%
3-13
23%
0-5
0%
C · 6'11" 265 · 33
31.4
8
44%
10
2
1
1
0
3
5
5
2-4
50%
3-7
43%
0-0
-
G · 6'6" 200 · 36
20.1
5
50%
1
1
0
0
1
1
0
1
1-1
100%
2-3
67%
0-2
0%
F · 6'8" 250 · 23
30.8
14
58%
6
1
0
1
1
3
2
4
4-6
67%
5-9
56%
0-0
-
F-G · 6'5" 227 · 29
13.7
0
0%
2
0
0
0
1
1
0
2
0-0
-
0-1
0%
0-0
-
G · 6'0" 185 · 24
12.9
3
38%
0
0
1
0
3
1
0
0
0-0
-
0-3
0%
1-1
100%
C · 7'0" 280 · 26
8.3
0
0%
1
1
0
1
1
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-1
0%
0-0
-
F · 6'8" 235 · 30
3.5
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-1
0%
0-0
-
F · 6'9" 250 · 35
3.5
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
-
0-0
-
F-G · 6'5" 202 · 24
3.2
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
1
0
0
0-0
-
0-1
0%
0-1
0%
#34 · G · 6'3" 185 · 25
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
#42 · F · 6'6" 218 · 33
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
#20 · F · 6'11" 235 · 23
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
TOTAL
240
67
37%
42
11
3
3
9
0
11
31
19-24
79%
21-62
34%
2-14
14%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.