for complete access.
All Games Wednesday, January 30, 2008
FinalWin Prob.pScore
28
Heat
17%93
91
11
Magic
83%105
107
ORTG#PossPace
MIA logo MIA
102.28988.7
ORL logo ORL
121.68888.3

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

MagicHeatQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Scoring Margin

MagicHeatQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Play-by-Play

Score / WinProb
ClockTeamEventMIAORL
Q4 - 0:00.0ORL91
0%
107
100%
Q4 - 0:09.0ORLHoward REBOUND (Off:3 Def:10)91
0%
107
100%
Q4 - 0:10.0MIAMISS Wright 21' Jump Shot91
0%
107
100%
Q4 - 0:17.0MIAWright REBOUND (Off:3 Def:5)91
0%
107
100%
Q4 - 0:18.0ORLMISS Turkoglu 24' 3PT Jump Shot91
0%
107
100%
Q4 - 0:39.0ORLTurkoglu REBOUND (Off:3 Def:9)91
0.1%
107
99.9%
Q4 - 0:40.0MIAMISS Quinn Free Throw 2 of 291
0.1%
107
99.9%
Q4 - 0:40.0MIAQuinn Free Throw 1 of 2 (14 PTS)91
0.1%
107
99.9%
Q4 - 0:59.0ORLDooling 14' Fadeaway Jumper (9 PTS)90
0.1%
107
99.9%
Q4 - 1:20MIABarron Free Throw 2 of 2 (1 PTS)90
0.1%
105
99.9%
Q4 - 1:20MIAMISS Barron Free Throw 1 of 289
0.1%
105
99.9%
Q4 - 1:41MIABarron REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)89
0.1%
105
99.9%
Q4 - 1:42ORLMISS Lewis Layup89
0.1%
105
99.9%
Q4 - 1:58MIADavis Free Throw 2 of 2 (21 PTS)89
0.1%
105
99.9%
Q4 - 1:58MIADavis Free Throw 1 of 2 (20 PTS)88
0.1%
105
99.9%
Q4 - 2:09MIACook REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)87
0.1%
105
99.9%
Q4 - 2:10ORLMISS Lewis 25' 3PT Jump Shot87
0.1%
105
99.9%
Q4 - 2:27ORLTurkoglu REBOUND (Off:3 Def:8)87
0.1%
105
99.9%
Q4 - 2:28MIAMISS Blount 24' 3PT Jump Shot87
0.1%
105
99.9%
Q4 - 2:41ORLDooling Foul Turnover (P1.T16)87
0.1%
105
99.9%
Q4 - 2:59MIAWright 17' Jump Shot (12 PTS)87
0.1%
105
99.9%
Q4 - 3:13ORLTurkoglu Bad Pass Turnover (P6.T15)85
0.1%
105
99.9%
Q4 - 3:33ORLHoward REBOUND (Off:3 Def:9)85
0.1%
105
99.9%
Q4 - 3:34MIAMISS Davis 25' 3PT Jump Shot85
0.1%
105
99.9%
Q4 - 3:51ORLTurkoglu Driving Layup (27 PTS)85
0.1%
105
99.9%
Q4 - 4:11MIABlount Layup (10 PTS) (Cook 3 AST)85
0.1%
103
99.9%
Q4 - 4:23ORLTurkoglu Traveling Turnover (P5.T14)83
0.1%
103
99.9%
Q4 - 4:37ORLArroyo REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)83
0.1%
103
99.9%
Q4 - 4:38MIAMISS Williams 27' 3PT Jump Shot83
0.1%
103
99.9%
Q4 - 4:50ORLTurkoglu Free Throw 2 of 2 (25 PTS)83
0.1%
103
99.9%
Q4 - 4:50ORLTurkoglu Free Throw 1 of 2 (24 PTS)83
0.1%
102
99.9%
Q4 - 5:00ORLHoward REBOUND (Off:3 Def:8)83
0.1%
101
99.9%
Q4 - 5:01MIAMISS L. Jackson 8' Jump Shot83
0.1%
101
99.9%
Q4 - 5:23ORLHoward 3 Second Violation Turnover (P5.T13)83
0.1%
101
99.9%
Q4 - 5:39MIABlount 18' Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Davis 4 AST)83
0.1%
101
99.9%
Q4 - 6:04ORLTurkoglu Free Throw 2 of 2 (23 PTS)81
0.1%
101
99.9%
Q4 - 6:04ORLTurkoglu Free Throw 1 of 2 (22 PTS)81
0.1%
100
99.9%
Q4 - 6:11ORLHoward REBOUND (Off:3 Def:7)81
0.1%
99
99.9%
Q4 - 6:12MIAMISS L. Jackson 22' Jump Shot81
0.1%
99
99.9%
Q4 - 6:26ORLDooling 11' Fadeaway Jumper (7 PTS)81
0.2%
99
99.8%
Q4 - 6:36ORLDooling REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)81
0.2%
97
99.8%
Q4 - 6:37MIAMISS Williams 21' Jump Shot81
0.2%
97
99.8%
Q4 - 6:51ORLDooling Free Throw 2 of 2 (5 PTS)81
0.3%
97
99.7%
Q4 - 6:51ORLDooling Free Throw 1 of 2 (4 PTS)81
0.3%
96
99.7%
Q4 - 7:11ORLTurkoglu REBOUND (Off:3 Def:7)81
0.5%
95
99.5%
Q4 - 7:12MIAMISS L. Jackson Free Throw 2 of 281
0.5%
95
99.5%
Q4 - 7:12MIAL. Jackson Free Throw 1 of 2 (14 PTS)81
0.6%
95
99.4%
Q4 - 7:30ORLArroyo Free Throw 2 of 2 (6 PTS)80
0.5%
95
99.5%
Q4 - 7:30ORLArroyo Free Throw 1 of 2 (5 PTS)80
0.6%
94
99.4%
Q4 - 7:32ORLTurkoglu REBOUND (Off:3 Def:6)80
0.7%
93
99.3%
Q4 - 7:34MIAHoward BLOCK (4 BLK)80
0.7%
93
99.3%
Q4 - 7:49MIAL. Jackson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:6)80
0.9%
93
99.1%
Q4 - 7:50ORLMISS Howard Free Throw 1 of 180
0.9%
93
99.1%
Q4 - 8:08ORLMAGIC Rebound80
1.5%
91
98.5%
Q4 - 8:09MIAMISS Davis 26' 3PT Jump Shot80
1.6%
91
98.4%
Q4 - 8:33ORLHoward Slam Dunk (14 PTS)80
1.9%
91
98.1%
Q4 - 8:34ORLHoward REBOUND (Off:3 Def:6)80
2.5%
89
97.5%
Q4 - 8:35ORLMISS Bogans Layup80
2.9%
89
97.1%
Q4 - 8:56ORLArroyo REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)80
2.4%
89
97.6%
Q4 - 8:57MIAMISS Blount 20' Jump Shot80
2.6%
89
97.4%
Q4 - 9:17ORLLewis 8' Running Jump Shot (19 PTS)80
3.5%
89
96.5%
Q4 - 9:35ORLMAGIC Rebound80
4.3%
87
95.7%
Q4 - 9:35MIAMISS L. Jackson 9' Jump Shot80
4.7%
87
95.3%
Q4 - 9:58ORLBogans Free Throw 2 of 2 (7 PTS)80
5.5%
87
94.5%
Q4 - 9:58ORLBogans Free Throw 1 of 2 (6 PTS)80
5.8%
86
94.2%
Q4 - 10:07ORLHoward REBOUND (Off:2 Def:6)80
7.2%
85
92.8%
Q4 - 10:08MIAMISS Wright 20' Jump Shot80
7.7%
85
92.3%
Q4 - 10:19MIABarron REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)80
9.0%
85
91.0%
Q4 - 10:21MIAMISS Cook 20' Jump Shot80
7.7%
85
92.3%
Q4 - 10:41ORLDooling Layup (3 PTS) (Bogans 2 AST)80
9.0%
85
91.0%
Q4 - 11:00MIACook 21' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Quinn 1 AST)80
10.8%
83
89.2%
Q4 - 11:08MIAL. Jackson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)78
9.5%
83
90.5%
Q4 - 11:09ORLMISS Arroyo Layup78
9.0%
83
91.0%
Q4 - 11:25MIAWright 19' Jump Shot (10 PTS) (Cook 2 AST)78
7.7%
83
92.3%
Q4 - 11:45ORLHoward 3 Second Violation Turnover (P4.T12)76
6.4%
83
93.6%
Q3 - 0:00.0MIA76
5.1%
83
94.9%
Q3 - 0:00.0MIACook REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)76
6.4%
83
93.6%
Q3 - 0:01.0ORLMISS Nelson 17' Jump Shot76
6.2%
83
93.8%
Q3 - 0:12.0MIAQuinn Free Throw 2 of 2 (13 PTS)76
5.4%
83
94.6%
Q3 - 0:12.0MIAQuinn Free Throw 1 of 2 (12 PTS)75
5.2%
83
94.8%
Q3 - 0:29.0MIABarron REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)74
4.5%
83
95.5%
Q3 - 0:31.0ORLMISS Bogans 25' 3PT Jump Shot74
4.2%
83
95.8%
Q3 - 0:38.0ORLNelson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)74
3.7%
83
96.3%
Q3 - 0:39.0MIAMISS Wright 18' Jump Shot74
3.9%
83
96.1%
Q3 - 0:57.0ORLNelson Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)74
4.5%
83
95.5%
Q3 - 0:57.0ORLMISS Nelson Free Throw 1 of 274
4.6%
82
95.4%
Q3 - 1:07MIAQuinn Free Throw 2 of 2 (11 PTS)74
4.7%
82
95.3%
Q3 - 1:07MIAQuinn Free Throw 1 of 2 (10 PTS)73
4.5%
82
95.5%
Q3 - 1:22ORLTurkoglu 18' Fadeaway Jumper (21 PTS)72
3.9%
82
96.1%
Q3 - 1:34ORLDooling REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)72
4.7%
80
95.3%
Q3 - 1:35MIAMISS Davis 25' 3PT Jump Shot72
5.0%
80
95.0%
Q3 - 1:49MIADavis Free Throw Technical (19 PTS)72
5.7%
80
94.3%
Q3 - 2:00ORLTurkoglu Traveling Turnover (P4.T11)71
4.7%
80
95.3%
Q3 - 2:04ORLBogans REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)71
4.0%
80
96.0%
Q3 - 2:05MIAHoward BLOCK (3 BLK)71
4.3%
80
95.7%
Q3 - 2:20ORLTurkoglu Free Throw 2 of 2 (19 PTS)71
4.9%
80
95.1%
Q3 - 2:20ORLMISS Turkoglu Free Throw 1 of 271
5.0%
79
95.0%
Q3 - 2:27ORLNelson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)71
4.8%
79
95.2%
Q3 - 2:28MIAMISS Davis 10' Fadeaway Jumper71
5.1%
79
94.9%
Q3 - 2:48MIAHeat Rebound71
5.8%
79
94.2%
Q3 - 2:50ORLMISS Nelson 22' Jump Shot71
5.5%
79
94.5%
Q3 - 3:09ORLDooling REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)71
5.1%
79
94.9%
Q3 - 3:11MIAMISS Wright 23' Jump Shot71
5.4%
79
94.6%
Q3 - 3:25MIAQuinn REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)71
6.1%
79
93.9%
Q3 - 3:26ORLMISS Turkoglu 24' 3PT Jump Shot71
5.8%
79
94.2%
Q3 - 3:43ORLTurkoglu REBOUND (Off:3 Def:5)71
5.1%
79
94.9%
Q3 - 3:44MIAMISS Cook 20' Jump Shot71
5.4%
79
94.6%
Q3 - 4:03ORLTurkoglu Free Throw 1 of 1 (18 PTS)71
6.2%
79
93.8%
Q3 - 4:20MIAWright Layup (8 PTS) (Williams 8 AST)71
8.4%
76
91.6%
Q3 - 4:38ORLNelson Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T10)69
7.3%
76
92.7%
Q3 - 4:47ORLHoward REBOUND (Off:2 Def:5)69
6.1%
76
93.9%
Q3 - 4:49MIAWright REBOUND (Off:3 Def:4)69
7.3%
76
92.7%
Q3 - 4:49MIAMISS Wright Putback Dunk69
6.4%
76
93.6%
Q3 - 4:51MIAHoward BLOCK (2 BLK)69
6.4%
76
93.6%
Q3 - 5:12ORLLewis Free Throw 2 of 2 (17 PTS)69
7.5%
76
92.5%
Q3 - 5:12ORLMISS Lewis Free Throw 1 of 269
7.6%
75
92.4%
Q3 - 5:23ORLLewis REBOUND (Off:4 Def:4)69
7.4%
75
92.6%
Q3 - 5:24MIAMISS Davis 24' 3PT Jump Shot69
7.8%
75
92.2%
Q3 - 5:39ORLHoward Foul Turnover (P3.T9)69
8.7%
75
91.3%
Q3 - 5:56MIADavis 17' Jump Shot (18 PTS) (Williams 7 AST)69
7.4%
75
92.6%
Q3 - 6:11ORLTurkoglu 16' Jump Shot (15 PTS)67
6.5%
75
93.5%
Q3 - 6:29MIAL. Jackson Driving Layup (13 PTS)67
7.5%
73
92.5%
Q3 - 6:44ORLLewis Driving Layup (16 PTS)65
6.5%
73
93.5%
Q3 - 7:07MIAL. Jackson 24' 3PT Jump Shot (11 PTS) (Davis 3 AST)65
7.6%
71
92.4%
Q3 - 7:16MIADavis REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)62
5.8%
71
94.2%
Q3 - 7:17ORLMISS Arroyo 27' 3PT Jump Shot62
5.5%
71
94.5%
Q3 - 7:39MIAL. Jackson Free Throw 2 of 2 (8 PTS)62
4.9%
71
95.1%
Q3 - 7:39MIAMISS L. Jackson Free Throw 1 of 261
4.7%
71
95.3%
Q3 - 8:04ORLEvans 3PT Jump Shot (13 PTS) (Arroyo 3 AST)61
5.1%
71
94.9%
Q3 - 8:21MIAWright 19' Jump Shot (6 PTS) (L. Jackson 2 AST)61
6.6%
68
93.4%
Q3 - 8:36MIAL. Jackson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)59
5.9%
68
94.1%
Q3 - 8:37ORLMISS Lewis 25' 3PT Jump Shot59
5.6%
68
94.4%
Q3 - 8:49MIABlount 20' Jump Shot (6 PTS)59
5.0%
68
95.0%
Q3 - 9:03ORLTurkoglu Free Throw 1 of 1 (13 PTS)57
4.4%
68
95.6%
Q3 - 9:18ORLLewis REBOUND (Off:4 Def:3)57
5.8%
65
94.2%
Q3 - 9:19MIAMISS Davis 23' Jump Shot57
6.0%
65
94.0%
Q3 - 9:38MIABlount REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)57
6.7%
65
93.3%
Q3 - 9:39ORLEvans REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)57
5.8%
65
94.2%
Q3 - 9:39ORLMISS Evans Tip Shot57
6.4%
65
93.6%
Q3 - 9:40ORLMISS Howard 11' Hook Shot57
6.4%
65
93.6%
Q3 - 9:57MIADavis Driving Layup (16 PTS)57
5.8%
65
94.2%
Q3 - 10:12ORLTurkoglu Bad Pass Turnover (P3.T8)55
5.1%
65
94.9%
Q3 - 10:17ORLLewis REBOUND (Off:4 Def:2)55
4.4%
65
95.6%
Q3 - 10:18MIAMISS Wright 15' Jump Shot55
4.6%
65
95.4%
Q3 - 10:42ORLTurkoglu Driving Layup (10 PTS)55
5.1%
65
94.9%
Q3 - 11:01MIADavis Free Throw 1 of 1 (14 PTS)55
5.7%
63
94.3%
Q3 - 11:06ORLArroyo Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T7)52
4.4%
63
95.6%
Q3 - 11:11MIAEvans STEAL (1 STL)52
3.9%
63
96.1%
Q3 - 11:27ORLHoward Traveling Turnover (P2.T6)52
4.4%
63
95.6%
Q3 - 11:44ORLTurkoglu REBOUND (Off:3 Def:4)52
3.9%
63
96.1%
Q3 - 11:45MIAMISS Blount Free Throw 2 of 252
3.9%
63
96.1%
Q3 - 11:45MIAMISS Blount Free Throw 1 of 252
4.3%
63
95.7%
Q2 - 0:00.0MIA52
4.4%
63
95.6%
Q2 - 0:00.0MIAHeat Rebound52
4.4%
63
95.6%
Q2 - 0:00.0MIAMISS Williams 31' 3PT Jump Shot52
4.0%
63
96.0%
Q2 - 0:03.0ORLArroyo 21' Jump Shot (4 PTS)52
4.6%
63
95.4%
Q2 - 0:21.0ORLTurkoglu REBOUND (Off:3 Def:3)52
5.4%
61
94.6%
Q2 - 0:22.0MIAMISS Al. Johnson Free Throw 1 of 152
5.4%
61
94.6%
Q2 - 0:24.0MIADavis REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)50
4.6%
61
95.4%
Q2 - 0:26.0MIAMISS Williams 25' 3PT Jump Shot50
4.3%
61
95.7%
Q2 - 0:43.0ORLHoward Free Throw 2 of 2 (12 PTS)50
4.6%
61
95.4%
Q2 - 0:43.0ORLHoward Free Throw 1 of 2 (11 PTS)50
4.8%
60
95.2%
Q2 - 0:57.0MIAWilliams Driving Layup (11 PTS)50
5.3%
59
94.7%
Q2 - 1:04ORLBogans Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T5)48
4.7%
59
95.3%
Q2 - 1:09ORLArroyo REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)48
4.4%
59
95.6%
Q2 - 1:11MIAHoward BLOCK (1 BLK)48
4.5%
59
95.5%
Q2 - 1:28ORLTurkoglu Free Throw 2 of 2 (8 PTS)48
4.7%
59
95.3%
Q2 - 1:28ORLTurkoglu Free Throw 1 of 2 (7 PTS)48
4.8%
58
95.2%
Q2 - 1:44MIAAl. Johnson Slam Dunk (2 PTS) (Wright 2 AST)48
5.6%
57
94.4%
Q2 - 2:02MIADavis REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)46
5.0%
57
95.0%
Q2 - 2:02ORLMISS Howard Free Throw 1 of 146
4.9%
57
95.1%
Q2 - 2:03ORLTurkoglu REBOUND (Off:3 Def:2)46
5.6%
55
94.4%
Q2 - 2:06ORLMISS Lewis 25' 3PT Jump Shot46
6.1%
55
93.9%
Q2 - 2:21ORLLewis REBOUND (Off:4 Def:1)46
5.6%
55
94.4%
Q2 - 2:22ORLMISS Lewis 16' Jump Shot46
6.1%
55
93.9%
Q2 - 2:39MIAWright 21' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Williams 6 AST)46
5.6%
55
94.4%
Q2 - 2:49MIAWilliams REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)44
4.9%
55
95.1%
Q2 - 2:51ORLMISS Evans Driving Layup44
4.8%
55
95.2%
Q2 - 3:05MIADavis Driving Layup (11 PTS)44
4.5%
55
95.5%
Q2 - 3:20MIAWright REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)42
4.1%
55
95.9%
Q2 - 3:21ORLMISS Howard Free Throw 2 of 242
4.0%
55
96.0%
Q2 - 3:21ORLHoward Free Throw 1 of 2 (8 PTS)42
3.8%
55
96.2%
Q2 - 3:35ORLHoward REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)42
4.0%
54
96.0%
Q2 - 3:37MIAMISS Davis 20' Jump Shot42
4.2%
54
95.8%
Q2 - 3:52ORLLewis 24' 3PT Jump Shot (14 PTS) (Turkoglu 3 AST)42
4.6%
54
95.4%
Q2 - 4:06ORLLewis REBOUND (Off:3 Def:1)42
5.8%
51
94.2%
Q2 - 4:08ORLMISS Lewis Reverse Layup42
6.2%
51
93.8%
Q2 - 4:18ORLTurkoglu REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)42
5.8%
51
94.2%
Q2 - 4:19MIAMISS Wright 23' Jump Shot42
6.0%
51
94.0%
Q2 - 4:38ORLLewis Free Throw 1 of 1 (11 PTS)42
6.4%
51
93.6%
Q2 - 4:49MIAWilliams 25' 3PT Jump Shot (9 PTS) (Cook 1 AST)42
8.0%
48
92.0%
Q2 - 5:14ORLLewis 25' 3PT Jump Shot (8 PTS)39
6.5%
48
93.5%
Q2 - 5:15ORLLewis REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)39
7.9%
45
92.1%
Q2 - 5:19ORLMISS Turkoglu 15' Jump Shot39
8.6%
45
91.4%
Q2 - 5:20ORLTurkoglu REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)39
7.9%
45
92.1%
Q2 - 5:21ORLMISS Arroyo 22' Jump Shot39
8.6%
45
91.4%
Q2 - 5:40MIAQuinn 25' 3PT Jump Shot (9 PTS) (Williams 5 AST)39
7.9%
45
92.1%
Q2 - 5:49ORLBogans Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T4)36
6.5%
45
93.5%
Q2 - 6:04MIACook 23' Jump Shot (2 PTS)36
5.8%
45
94.2%
Q2 - 6:21ORLHoward Free Throw 2 of 2 (7 PTS)34
5.4%
45
94.6%
Q2 - 6:21ORLMISS Howard Free Throw 1 of 234
5.6%
44
94.4%
Q2 - 6:21ORLHoward REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)34
5.3%
44
94.7%
Q2 - 6:22ORLMISS Howard Layup34
5.7%
44
94.3%
Q2 - 6:30ORLArroyo REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)34
5.3%
44
94.7%
Q2 - 6:31MIAMISS Williams 24' 3PT Jump Shot34
5.5%
44
94.5%
Q2 - 6:49ORLArroyo 20' Jump Shot (2 PTS)34
6.0%
44
94.0%
Q2 - 6:58ORLHoward REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)34
6.5%
42
93.5%
Q2 - 6:59MIAMISS Williams Layup34
6.7%
42
93.3%
Q2 - 7:17ORLLewis Free Throw 1 of 1 (5 PTS)34
7.5%
42
92.5%
Q2 - 7:37ORLBogans REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)34
9.0%
39
91.0%
Q2 - 7:38MIAMISS Blount Free Throw 1 of 134
9.1%
39
90.9%
Q2 - 7:45MIADavis REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)32
8.2%
39
91.8%
Q2 - 7:46ORLMISS Foyle Layup32
8.0%
39
92.0%
Q2 - 8:01ORLMAGIC Rebound32
7.4%
39
92.6%
Q2 - 8:03ORLMISS Bogans 25' 3PT Jump Shot32
8.0%
39
92.0%
Q2 - 8:16ORLDooling Free Throw Technical (1 PTS)32
7.4%
39
92.6%
Q2 - 8:25MIAQuinn Step Out of Bounds Turnover (P1.T4)32
8.2%
38
91.8%
Q2 - 8:40MIAWright REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)32
9.1%
38
90.9%
Q2 - 8:40ORLMISS Lewis 16' Jump Shot32
8.8%
38
91.2%
Q2 - 8:51ORLLewis REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)32
8.2%
38
91.8%
Q2 - 8:52MIAMISS Barron 15' Jump Shot32
8.4%
38
91.6%
Q2 - 9:04MIAWright REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)32
9.1%
38
90.9%
Q2 - 9:05ORLMISS Bogans 24' 3PT Jump Shot32
8.8%
38
91.2%
Q2 - 9:14MIAQuinn 13' Fadeaway Jumper (6 PTS)32
8.2%
38
91.8%
Q2 - 9:33ORLFoyle Dunk (6 PTS) (Dooling 1 AST)30
7.5%
38
92.5%
Q2 - 9:52MIAQuinn 25' 3PT Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Davis 1 AST)30
8.2%
36
91.8%
Q2 - 10:15ORLLewis 12' Running Jump Shot (2 PTS)27
7.0%
36
93.0%
Q2 - 10:28ORLFoyle REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)27
7.6%
34
92.4%
Q2 - 10:30MIAMISS Cook 17' Jump Shot27
7.8%
34
92.2%
Q2 - 10:45ORLFoyle Layup (4 PTS) (Nelson 3 AST)27
8.4%
34
91.6%
Q2 - 10:57MIADavis 19' Jump Shot (9 PTS)27
9.1%
32
90.9%
Q2 - 11:21ORLFoyle 8' Hook Shot (2 PTS)25
8.2%
32
91.8%
Q2 - 11:45ORLDooling REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)25
9.0%
30
91.0%
Q2 - 11:46MIAMISS Barron 6' Fadeaway Jumper25
9.2%
30
90.8%
Q1 - 0:00.0MIA25
9.8%
30
90.2%
Q1 - 0:00.0MIAHeat Rebound25
9.8%
30
90.2%
Q1 - 0:00.0MIAMISS L. Jackson 41' 3PT Jump Shot25
9.2%
30
90.8%
Q1 - 0:02.0ORLNelson Free Throw 3 of 3 (3 PTS)25
9.7%
30
90.3%
Q1 - 0:02.0ORLNelson Free Throw 2 of 3 (2 PTS)25
9.9%
29
90.1%
Q1 - 0:02.0ORLNelson Free Throw 1 of 3 (1 PTS)25
10.0%
28
90.0%
Q1 - 0:23.0MIAQuinn Free Throw 2 of 2 (1 PTS)25
11.7%
27
88.3%
Q1 - 0:23.0MIAMISS Quinn Free Throw 1 of 224
11.5%
27
88.5%
Q1 - 0:39.0ORLTurkoglu Driving Dunk (6 PTS)24
11.5%
27
88.5%
Q1 - 0:50.0MIAL. Jackson Traveling Turnover (P2.T3)24
12.7%
25
87.3%
Q1 - 1:00ORLHoward Free Throw 2 of 2 (6 PTS)24
13.6%
25
86.4%
Q1 - 1:00ORLHoward Free Throw 1 of 2 (5 PTS)24
14.0%
24
86.0%
Q1 - 1:22MIAWilliams 22' Jump Shot (6 PTS)24
15.0%
23
85.0%
Q1 - 1:39ORLBogans 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Nelson 2 AST)22
13.6%
23
86.4%
Q1 - 1:52MIAWilliams Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)22
16.3%
20
83.7%
Q1 - 1:52MIAWilliams Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)21
16.1%
20
83.9%
Q1 - 1:59MIABlount REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)20
14.7%
20
85.3%
Q1 - 2:00ORLMISS Howard 5' Jump Shot20
14.5%
20
85.5%
Q1 - 2:18MIAL. Jackson 3PT Jump Shot (7 PTS) (Wright 1 AST)20
13.7%
20
86.3%
Q1 - 2:26ORLHoward Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T3)17
11.6%
20
88.4%
Q1 - 2:44MIADavis 20' Jump Shot (7 PTS) (Williams 4 AST)17
10.7%
20
89.3%
Q1 - 3:01ORLBogans Layup (2 PTS) (Nelson 1 AST)15
9.8%
20
90.2%
Q1 - 3:05ORLNelson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)15
10.6%
18
89.4%
Q1 - 3:06MIAMISS Blount 15' Jump Shot15
10.9%
18
89.1%
Q1 - 3:26ORLTurkoglu 10' Jump Shot (4 PTS)15
11.6%
18
88.4%
Q1 - 3:41MIABlount 3 Second Violation Turnover (P1.T2)15
12.4%
16
87.6%
Q1 - 3:53MIAL. Jackson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)15
13.5%
16
86.5%
Q1 - 3:54ORLMISS Arroyo 18' Jump Shot15
13.2%
16
86.8%
Q1 - 4:08ORLHoward REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)15
12.1%
16
87.9%
Q1 - 4:09MIAMISS Williams 24' 3PT Jump Shot15
12.4%
16
87.6%
Q1 - 4:21MIAWright REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)15
13.3%
16
86.7%
Q1 - 4:22ORLMISS Turkoglu 19' Jump Shot15
12.9%
16
87.1%
Q1 - 4:40MIAL. Jackson 26' 3PT Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Williams 3 AST)15
12.1%
16
87.9%
Q1 - 4:46MIAWilliams REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)12
10.5%
16
89.5%
Q1 - 4:47ORLMISS Evans 3PT Jump Shot12
10.2%
16
89.8%
Q1 - 5:16MIADavis 19' Jump Shot (5 PTS)12
9.5%
16
90.5%
Q1 - 5:32ORLEvans 24' 3PT Jump Shot (10 PTS) (Turkoglu 2 AST)10
8.8%
16
91.2%
Q1 - 5:47MIAWright 21' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Williams 2 AST)10
10.2%
13
89.8%
Q1 - 6:06ORLEvans 24' 3PT Jump Shot (7 PTS)8
9.5%
13
90.5%
Q1 - 6:23ORLEvans REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)8
11.0%
10
89.0%
Q1 - 6:25ORLMISS Turkoglu 24' 3PT Jump Shot8
11.6%
10
88.4%
Q1 - 6:38MIADavis 25' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Williams 1 AST)8
11.0%
10
89.0%
Q1 - 6:51ORLTurkoglu Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)5
9.5%
10
90.5%
Q1 - 6:51ORLTurkoglu Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)5
9.6%
9
90.4%
Q1 - 7:02ORLEvans REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)5
10.1%
8
89.9%
Q1 - 7:03MIAMISS Blount 21' Jump Shot5
10.4%
8
89.6%
Q1 - 7:15ORLTurkoglu Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T2)5
10.9%
8
89.1%
Q1 - 7:18ORLTurkoglu REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)5
10.1%
8
89.9%
Q1 - 7:19ORLMISS Bogans 25' 3PT Jump Shot5
10.7%
8
89.3%
Q1 - 7:37MIAL. Jackson Step Out of Bounds Turnover (P1.T1)5
10.1%
8
89.9%
Q1 - 7:45MIADavis REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)5
10.9%
8
89.1%
Q1 - 7:46ORLMISS Arroyo 16' Jump Shot5
10.7%
8
89.3%
Q1 - 8:01MIAL. Jackson Free Throw 2 of 2 (1 PTS)5
10.0%
8
90.0%
Q1 - 8:01MIAMISS L. Jackson Free Throw 1 of 24
9.8%
8
90.2%
Q1 - 8:14ORLEvans Slam Dunk (4 PTS) (Arroyo 1 AST)4
10.0%
8
90.0%
Q1 - 8:18ORLHoward REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)4
10.7%
6
89.3%
Q1 - 8:19MIAMISS Wright 8' Jump Shot4
10.9%
6
89.1%
Q1 - 8:32MIAL. Jackson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)4
11.5%
6
88.5%
Q1 - 8:32ORLMISS Howard 9' Hook Shot4
11.2%
6
88.8%
Q1 - 8:48ORLEvans REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)4
10.7%
6
89.3%
Q1 - 8:49MIAMISS Blount 6' Hook Shot4
10.9%
6
89.1%
Q1 - 9:00MIAHeat Rebound4
11.5%
6
88.5%
Q1 - 9:01MIATurkoglu BLOCK (1 BLK)4
10.8%
6
89.2%
Q1 - 9:02MIAWright REBOUND (Off:2 Def:0)4
11.4%
6
88.6%
Q1 - 9:03MIAMISS Wright Tip Shot4
10.8%
6
89.2%
Q1 - 9:04MIAWright REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)4
11.4%
6
88.6%
Q1 - 9:06MIAMISS Blount 8' Jump Shot4
10.8%
6
89.2%
Q1 - 9:32ORLHoward Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)4
11.4%
6
88.6%
Q1 - 9:32ORLHoward Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)4
11.7%
5
88.3%
Q1 - 9:32ORLHoward REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)4
12.0%
4
88.0%
Q1 - 9:34ORLMISS Lewis 6' Hook Shot4
12.7%
4
87.3%
Q1 - 9:54MIABlount Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)4
12.0%
4
88.0%
Q1 - 9:54MIABlount Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)3
11.8%
4
88.2%
Q1 - 10:03MIAL. Jackson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)2
11.3%
4
88.7%
Q1 - 10:04ORLMISS Evans 15' Jump Shot2
11.1%
4
88.9%
Q1 - 10:19MIAWilliams Driving Layup (2 PTS)2
10.5%
4
89.5%
Q1 - 10:38ORLEvans Layup (2 PTS) (Lewis 1 AST)0
9.9%
4
90.1%
Q1 - 10:43ORLLewis REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)0
10.5%
2
89.5%
Q1 - 10:45ORLMISS Lewis 25' 3PT Jump Shot0
11.1%
2
88.9%
Q1 - 10:57ORLArroyo REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)0
10.5%
2
89.5%
Q1 - 10:58MIAMISS Blount 19' Jump Shot0
10.8%
2
89.2%
Q1 - 11:15ORLTurkoglu Discontinue Dribble Turnover (P1.T1)0
11.2%
2
88.8%
Q1 - 11:22ORLTurkoglu REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)0
10.6%
2
89.4%
Q1 - 11:23MIAMISS Wright 19' Jump Shot0
10.8%
2
89.2%
Q1 - 11:42ORLHoward Alley Oop Dunk (2 PTS) (Turkoglu 1 AST)0
11.2%
2
88.8%
Q1 - 12:00ORLJump Ball Howard vs. Blount: Tip to Lewis0
12.0%
0
88.0%

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

MIA
0.98 48.9%
ORL
1.24 62.2%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)
MIA
11
18
61%
ORL
16
25
64%
Midrange
MIA
15
42
36%
ORL
12
25
48%
3PT | Effective 3PT
MIA
7
10.5
18
39%
58%
ORL
6
9.0
19
32%
47%
Free Throws
MIA
18
28
64%
ORL
33
40
83%
Makes
Effective 3P Makes
%
Efficiency
Misses
Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|
MIA logo Heat
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
R. Davis2166%10.5 / 16
L. Jackson1464%7.0 / 11
C. Quinn14100%7.0 / 7
D. Wright1235%6.0 / 17
J. Williams1146%5.5 / 12
M. Blount1038%5.0 / 13
D. Cook429%2.0 / 7
A. Johnson467%2.0 / 3
E. Barron113%0.5 / 4
TS Makes
TS Misses

Total Points

|
ORL logo Magic
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
H. Turkoglu2775%13.5 / 18
R. Lewis1956%9.5 / 17
D. Howard1662%8.0 / 13
M. Evans1372%6.5 / 9
K. Dooling9113%4.5 / 4
K. Bogans744%3.5 / 8
C. Arroyo638%3.0 / 8
A. Foyle675%3.0 / 4
J. Nelson450%2.0 / 4
TS Makes
TS Misses

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

MIA
84
+8
-5
92
ORL
72
+13
-16
85
Base
ORB
TOV

Scoring Efficiency

MIA
0.98 48.9%
ORL
1.24 62.2%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Efficiency & PaceThis Game
Efficiency
100.2
111.2
MIA 102.2
ORL 121.6 +19.3
Pace
90.5
93.5
MIA 88.7 +0.4
ORL 88.3
Avg. Poss. Time
16.3
15.1
MIA 16.2 +0.1
ORL 16.3
Four FactorsThis Game
EFG %
48.2%
53.7%
MIA 46.8%
ORL 53.6% +6.8%
TO %
15.4%
14.7%
MIA 5.2% +10.4%
ORL 15.6%
ORB %
22.2%
23.4%
MIA 11.1%
ORL 33.3% +22.2%
FTrt
30.0
35.5
MIA 35.9
ORL 58.0 +22.1
Misc. StatsThis Game
AST %
58.5%
55.8%
MIA 63.6% +19.5%
ORL 44.1%
STL %
7.9%
6.8%
MIA 5.6% +4.5%
ORL 1.1%
BLK %
7.1%
6.2%
MIA 6.0%
ORL 8.3% +2.3%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Shooting EfficiencyThis Game
TS%
50.6%
55.9%
MIA 48.9%
ORL 62.2% +13.3%
Rim FG%
59.2%
61.5%
MIA 61.1%
ORL 64.0% +2.9%
Mid FG%
38.8%
40.8%
MIA 35.7%
ORL 48.0% +12.3%
3P %
35.8%
38.6%
MIA 38.9% +7.3%
ORL 31.6%
FT %
72.7%
72.1%
MIA 64.3%
ORL 82.5% +18.2%
Shot DistributionThis Game
Rim Att. %
30.2%
35.5%
MIA 23.1%
ORL 36.2% +13.2%
Mid Att. %
48.1%
32.3%
MIA 53.8%
ORL 36.2% +17.6%
3P Att. %
21.7%
32.2%
MIA 23.1%
ORL 27.5% +4.5%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.29 and 2.29.
Game TotalsMIAORL
Possessions8988
Possession Minutes24.123.9
Points91107
Rebounds2952
Assists2115
Steals51
Blocks35
Turnovers (Team)5 (0)16 (0)
Fouls
Off. Rebounds (Team)5 (3)12 (1)
Def. Rebounds (Team)24 (1)40 (2)
Field Goals33-7834-69
At-the-Rim FG11-1816-25
Midrange FG15-4212-25
2-Point FG26-6028-50
3-Point FG7-186-19
Free Throws18-2833-40
Fast Break Pts
2nd Chance Pts
Points in Paint
Pts off Turnovers
Bench Points
Biggest Lead

BOXSCORE

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28 Miami Heat
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
Ricky Davis
G · 6'7" 195 · 28
41.9
21
66%
5
4
0
0
1
2
1
4
4-4
100%
7-10
70%
1-5
20%
Dorell Wright
F · 6'9" 205 · 22
39.6
12
35%
8
2
0
1
0
3
3
5
0-0
-
6-17
35%
0-0
-
Luke Jackson
F · 6'7" 215 · 26
34.3
14
64%
6
2
1
0
2
6
0
6
3-6
50%
1-4
25%
3-4
75%
Jason Williams
G · 6'1" 180 · 32
33.1
11
46%
2
8
2
0
0
3
0
2
2-2
100%
3-5
60%
1-6
17%
Mark Blount
C · 7'0" 250 · 32
29.2
10
38%
2
1
2
1
1
4
0
2
2-5
40%
4-10
40%
0-1
0%
Daequan Cook
G · 6'5" 210 · 21
25.2
4
29%
2
3
0
0
0
2
0
2
0-0
-
2-7
29%
0-0
-
Chris Quinn
G · 6'2" 175 · 24
17.9
14
100%
1
1
0
0
1
3
0
1
6-8
75%
1-1
100%
2-2
100%
Earl Barron
F-C · 7'0" 250 · 26
15.5
1
13%
3
0
0
0
0
4
1
2
1-2
50%
0-3
0%
0-0
-
Alexander Johnson
F · 6'9" 240 · 25
3.4
4
67%
0
0
0
1
0
1
0
0
0-1
0%
2-3
67%
0-0
-
Dwyane Wade
G · 6'4" 220 · 26
Udonis Haslem
F · 6'8" 235 · 28
Joel Anthony
C · 6'9" 245 · 25
Shaquille O'Neal
#32 · C · 7'1" 325 · 36
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
Smush Parker
#21 · G · 6'4" 190 · 27
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
Alonzo Mourning
#33 · C · 6'10" 261 · 38
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
TOTAL
240
91
49%
29
21
5
3
5
0
5
24
18-28
64%
26-60
43%
7-18
39%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.