FinalWin Prob.pScore
2346%100
96
2454%102
98
ORTG#PossPace
IND logo IND
99.097109.0
MIA logo MIA
99.09989.6

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

HeatPacersQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Scoring Margin

HeatPacersQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Play-by-Play

Score / WinProb
ClockTeamEventINDMIA
Q4 - 0:00.0IND96
0%
98
100%
Q4 - 0:00.0INDPacers Rebound96
3.5%
98
96.5%
Q4 - 0:00.0INDMISS Owens 39' 3PT Jump Shot96
0.7%
98
99.3%
Q4 - 0:05.0INDMurphy REBOUND (Off:4 Def:6)96
7.4%
98
92.6%
Q4 - 0:07.0INDMISS Rush 24' 3PT Jump Shot96
6.7%
98
93.3%
Q4 - 0:15.0MIAHEAT Turnover: Shot Clock (T#17)96
19.8%
98
80.2%
Q4 - 0:15.0MIAHEAT Rebound96
7.3%
98
92.7%
Q4 - 0:16.0MIAMISS Davis Reverse Layup96
14.9%
98
85.1%
Q4 - 0:17.0MIADavis REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)96
7.3%
98
92.7%
Q4 - 0:18.0MIAMISS Haslem 20' Jump Shot96
15.0%
98
85.0%
Q4 - 0:39.0INDGranger Free Throw 2 of 2 (13 PTS)96
12.2%
98
87.8%
Q4 - 0:39.0INDGranger Free Throw 1 of 2 (12 PTS)95
11.0%
98
89.0%
Q4 - 0:48.0MIAWade 12' Fadeaway Jumper (35 PTS)94
8.5%
98
91.5%
Q4 - 1:07INDRush 25' 3PT Jump Shot (12 PTS) (Owens 5 AST)94
16.1%
96
83.9%
Q4 - 1:16INDDunleavy REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)91
6.9%
96
93.1%
Q4 - 1:17MIAMISS Blount 13' Fadeaway Jumper91
5.8%
96
94.2%
Q4 - 1:40INDDunleavy 18' Jump Shot (25 PTS) (Foster 2 AST)91
5.4%
96
94.6%
Q4 - 2:01MIAWade Free Throw 2 of 2 (33 PTS)89
4.6%
96
95.4%
Q4 - 2:01MIAWade Free Throw 1 of 2 (32 PTS)89
4.9%
95
95.1%
Q4 - 2:15INDDunleavy Reverse Layup (23 PTS)89
6.0%
94
94.0%
Q4 - 2:22INDRush REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)87
4.8%
94
95.2%
Q4 - 2:23MIAMISS Blount 19' Jump Shot87
3.9%
94
96.1%
Q4 - 2:46INDRush Driving Layup (9 PTS)87
2.4%
94
97.6%
Q4 - 3:09INDPacers Rebound85
2.5%
94
97.5%
Q4 - 3:11MIAMISS Williams 25' 3PT Jump Shot85
2.1%
94
97.9%
Q4 - 3:31MIADavis REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)85
2.8%
94
97.2%
Q4 - 3:32INDMISS Granger 26' 3PT Jump Shot85
3.1%
94
96.9%
Q4 - 3:44INDFoster REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)85
3.8%
94
96.2%
Q4 - 3:45MIAMISS Wade 25' 3PT Jump Shot85
3.4%
94
96.6%
Q4 - 4:16INDMurphy Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T19)85
2.5%
94
97.5%
Q4 - 4:20MIABlount Lost Ball Turnover (P4.T16)85
3.6%
94
96.4%
Q4 - 4:25INDWilliams STEAL (6 STL)85
2.4%
94
97.6%
Q4 - 4:34MIAWade 24' 3PT Jump Shot (31 PTS)85
3.5%
94
96.5%
Q4 - 4:57INDMurphy Offensive Goaltending Turnover (P1.T17)85
7.0%
91
93.0%
Q4 - 5:02INDRush REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)85
12.6%
91
87.4%
Q4 - 5:04INDMISS Diener Driving Layup85
10.1%
91
89.9%
Q4 - 5:19MIAHaslem Out of Bounds Lost Ball Turnover (P3.T15)85
12.5%
91
87.5%
Q4 - 5:33MIAWade REBOUND (Off:1 Def:7)85
9.1%
91
90.9%
Q4 - 5:34INDMISS Murphy 18' Jump Shot85
10.0%
91
90.0%
Q4 - 5:50MIABlount Free Throw 2 of 2 (19 PTS)85
12.4%
91
87.6%
Q4 - 5:50MIABlount Free Throw 1 of 2 (18 PTS)85
13.3%
90
86.7%
Q4 - 5:53INDWilliams STEAL (5 STL)85
16.3%
89
83.7%
Q4 - 6:08MIABlount 18' Jump Shot (17 PTS) (Williams 8 AST)85
23.9%
89
76.1%
Q4 - 6:24INDWilliams STEAL (4 STL)85
28.8%
87
71.2%
Q4 - 6:37INDRush REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)85
36.4%
87
63.6%
Q4 - 6:38MIAMISS Davis 18' Jump Shot85
33.9%
87
66.1%
Q4 - 7:04INDRush Layup (7 PTS)85
30.6%
87
69.4%
Q4 - 7:15MIABlount 18' Jump Shot (15 PTS) (Williams 7 AST)83
25.6%
87
74.4%
Q4 - 7:36INDRush Driving Layup (5 PTS)83
30.4%
85
69.6%
Q4 - 7:56INDMurphy REBOUND (Off:3 Def:6)81
25.5%
85
74.5%
Q4 - 7:57MIAMISS Davis 20' Jump Shot81
23.7%
85
76.3%
Q4 - 8:09INDDunleavy Traveling Turnover (P4.T14)81
21.9%
85
78.1%
Q4 - 8:19INDGranger REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)81
26.6%
85
73.4%
Q4 - 8:20MIAMISS Davis 15' Jump Shot81
25.1%
85
74.9%
Q4 - 8:30MIAWade REBOUND (Off:1 Def:6)81
21.8%
85
78.2%
Q4 - 8:32INDMISS Dunleavy 19' Jump Shot81
23.2%
85
76.8%
Q4 - 8:38INDRush REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)81
26.6%
85
73.4%
Q4 - 8:39INDMISS Rush 25' 3PT Jump Shot81
23.2%
85
76.8%
Q4 - 8:47INDDiener REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)81
26.6%
85
73.4%
Q4 - 8:48MIAMISS Wade 11' Running Jump Shot81
25.0%
85
75.0%
Q4 - 9:00INDDunleavy Free Throw 2 of 2 (21 PTS)81
21.8%
85
78.2%
Q4 - 9:00INDDunleavy Free Throw 1 of 2 (20 PTS)80
21.1%
85
78.9%
Q4 - 9:11MIAWade Free Throw 2 of 2 (28 PTS)79
19.2%
85
80.8%
Q4 - 9:11MIAWade Free Throw 1 of 2 (27 PTS)79
19.9%
84
80.1%
Q4 - 9:15INDDavis STEAL (1 STL)79
23.0%
83
77.0%
Q4 - 9:24INDGranger REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)79
27.7%
83
72.3%
Q4 - 9:25MIAMISS Wright 19' Jump Shot79
26.2%
83
73.8%
Q4 - 9:41INDDiener 18' Jump Shot (8 PTS)79
22.9%
83
77.1%
Q4 - 9:51MIAWright 19' Jump Shot (14 PTS) (Davis 4 AST)77
19.1%
83
80.9%
Q4 - 10:14MIADavis REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)77
23.8%
81
76.2%
Q4 - 10:16INDMISS Shaw. Williams 21' Jump Shot77
25.2%
81
74.8%
Q4 - 10:31MIABlount Dunk (13 PTS) (Davis 3 AST)77
28.5%
81
71.5%
Q4 - 10:49MIAWade REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)77
33.0%
79
67.0%
Q4 - 10:51INDFoster REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)77
38.6%
79
61.4%
Q4 - 10:51INDMISS Foster Tip Shot77
34.7%
79
65.3%
Q4 - 10:53INDMISS Rush Driving Layup77
34.7%
79
65.3%
Q4 - 11:10MIABlount 6' Jump Bank Shot (11 PTS) (Cook 3 AST)77
38.7%
79
61.3%
Q4 - 11:29MIAHEAT Rebound77
43.7%
77
56.3%
Q4 - 11:30INDWright BLOCK (2 BLK)77
45.4%
77
54.6%
Q4 - 11:34INDFoster REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)77
49.4%
77
50.6%
Q4 - 11:35MIAMISS Cook 26' 3PT Jump Shot77
47.6%
77
52.4%
Q4 - 11:40MIADavis REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)77
43.7%
77
56.3%
Q4 - 11:42MIAMISS Wade 4' Jump Shot77
47.6%
77
52.4%
Q3 - 0:00.0MIA77
43.7%
77
56.3%
Q3 - 0:00.0MIAHEAT Rebound77
43.7%
77
56.3%
Q3 - 0:00.0MIAMISS Wade 42' 3PT Jump Shot77
47.6%
77
52.4%
Q3 - 0:03.0INDOwens Free Throw 2 of 2 (13 PTS)77
44.1%
77
55.9%
Q3 - 0:03.0INDOwens Free Throw 1 of 2 (12 PTS)76
43.1%
77
56.9%
Q3 - 0:20.0INDOwens REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)75
39.1%
77
60.9%
Q3 - 0:21.0MIAMISS Wright 19' Jump Shot75
37.6%
77
62.4%
Q3 - 0:39.0MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:0 Def:9)75
34.3%
77
65.7%
Q3 - 0:41.0INDMISS Daniels 9' Turnaround Jump Shot75
35.7%
77
64.3%
Q3 - 0:58.0MIAWade 18' Jump Shot (26 PTS) (Williams 6 AST)75
39.0%
77
61.0%
Q3 - 1:16INDOwens 19' Jump Shot (11 PTS)75
44.1%
75
55.9%
Q3 - 1:27MIAWright Alley Oop Dunk (12 PTS) (Williams 5 AST)73
39.5%
75
60.5%
Q3 - 1:45INDFoster Layup (6 PTS) (Dunleavy 3 AST)73
44.1%
73
55.9%
Q3 - 2:07MIAWade Free Throw 1 of 1 (24 PTS)71
39.5%
73
60.5%
Q3 - 2:10INDWade STEAL (1 STL)71
48.2%
70
51.8%
Q3 - 2:26MIAWade Driving Dunk (21 PTS)71
53.3%
70
46.7%
Q3 - 2:32INDWilliams STEAL (3 STL)71
57.5%
68
42.5%
Q3 - 2:41MIAWade 9' Jump Bank Shot (19 PTS)71
62.4%
68
37.6%
Q3 - 2:47MIAWade REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)71
66.3%
66
33.7%
Q3 - 2:49INDMISS Rush 25' 3PT Jump Shot71
67.7%
66
32.3%
Q3 - 2:53INDMurphy REBOUND (Off:3 Def:5)71
70.7%
66
29.3%
Q3 - 2:55INDWade BLOCK (1 BLK)71
67.7%
66
32.3%
Q3 - 3:15MIAWade 17' Jump Shot (17 PTS)71
69.9%
66
30.1%
Q3 - 3:24MIAWright REBOUND (Off:0 Def:10)71
73.3%
64
26.7%
Q3 - 3:25INDMISS Granger 8' Running Jump Shot71
74.5%
64
25.5%
Q3 - 3:41MIAWright 20' Jump Shot (10 PTS) (Williams 4 AST)71
76.9%
64
23.1%
Q3 - 4:04INDGranger 19' Jump Shot (11 PTS) (Diener 3 AST)71
78.5%
62
21.5%
Q3 - 4:13MIAWade 19' Fadeaway Jumper (15 PTS)69
75.9%
62
24.1%
Q3 - 4:23MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:0 Def:8)69
78.5%
60
21.5%
Q3 - 4:25INDMISS Rush 25' 3PT Jump Shot69
79.6%
60
20.4%
Q3 - 4:36INDMurphy REBOUND (Off:2 Def:5)69
81.7%
60
18.3%
Q3 - 4:37MIAMISS Williams 25' 3PT Jump Shot69
80.8%
60
19.2%
Q3 - 4:42MIAWade REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)69
78.6%
60
21.4%
Q3 - 4:43INDMISS Granger 25' 3PT Jump Shot69
79.6%
60
20.4%
Q3 - 4:59MIABlount 3 Second Violation Turnover (P3.T14)69
81.8%
60
18.2%
Q3 - 5:23INDDiener 24' 3PT Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Dunleavy 2 AST)69
77.8%
60
22.2%
Q3 - 5:30INDMurphy REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)66
71.7%
60
28.3%
Q3 - 5:31INDMISS Rush 25' 3PT Jump Shot66
69.1%
60
30.9%
Q3 - 5:41INDDunleavy REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)66
71.8%
60
28.2%
Q3 - 5:42MIAMISS Blount 24' 3PT Jump Shot66
70.6%
60
29.4%
Q3 - 6:01INDDunleavy 24' 3PT Jump Shot (19 PTS) (Diener 2 AST)66
67.0%
60
33.0%
Q3 - 6:19MIABlount Slam Dunk (9 PTS) (Wade 4 AST)63
59.9%
60
40.1%
Q3 - 6:30MIABlount REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)63
63.4%
58
36.6%
Q3 - 6:32INDMISS Diener 19' Jump Shot63
64.7%
58
35.3%
Q3 - 6:47MIAHaslem 4' Jump Shot (12 PTS)63
67.4%
58
32.6%
Q3 - 7:05INDGranger 12' Jump Shot (9 PTS)63
69.3%
56
30.7%
Q3 - 7:17MIABlount Driving Dunk (7 PTS)61
66.5%
56
33.5%
Q3 - 7:36INDDunleavy Foul Turnover (P3.T10)61
69.4%
54
30.6%
Q3 - 7:47MIAWright 19' Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Williams 3 AST)61
73.0%
54
27.0%
Q3 - 7:59INDMurphy Driving Layup (9 PTS)61
75.6%
52
24.4%
Q3 - 8:21MIAWilliams 18' Jump Shot (4 PTS)59
72.5%
52
27.5%
Q3 - 8:42INDMurphy 19' Jump Shot (7 PTS) (Diener 1 AST)59
75.1%
50
24.9%
Q3 - 8:57MIAWade Out of Bounds Lost Ball Turnover (P3.T13)57
72.6%
50
27.4%
Q3 - 9:06MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:0 Def:7)57
68.2%
50
31.8%
Q3 - 9:07INDMISS Rush 25' 3PT Jump Shot57
69.2%
50
30.8%
Q3 - 9:13INDDunleavy REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)57
71.4%
50
28.6%
Q3 - 9:14MIAMISS Wade 18' Jump Shot57
70.5%
50
29.5%
Q3 - 9:39INDWilliams STEAL (2 STL)57
68.3%
50
31.7%
Q3 - 9:53MIABlount Layup (5 PTS) (Williams 2 AST)57
71.5%
50
28.5%
Q3 - 10:11MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:0 Def:6)57
73.4%
48
26.6%
Q3 - 10:12INDMISS Dunleavy 24' 3PT Jump Shot57
74.3%
48
25.7%
Q3 - 10:22INDGranger REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)57
76.4%
48
23.6%
Q3 - 10:24MIAMISS Williams 6' Jump Shot57
75.5%
48
24.5%
Q3 - 10:40INDWilliams STEAL (1 STL)57
73.4%
48
26.6%
Q3 - 10:56MIAJump Ball Wade vs. Granger: Tip to Murphy57
76.4%
48
23.6%
Q3 - 11:00MIAWright REBOUND (Off:0 Def:9)57
73.4%
48
26.6%
Q3 - 11:05INDMISS Rush 19' Jump Shot57
73.7%
48
26.3%
Q3 - 11:24MIAHaslem 3 Second Violation Turnover (P2.T11)57
75.6%
48
24.4%
Q3 - 11:40INDGranger Traveling Turnover (P1.T7)57
72.9%
48
27.1%
Q2 - 0:00.0IND57
75.7%
48
24.3%
Q2 - 0:00.0INDPacers Rebound57
75.7%
48
24.3%
Q2 - 0:02.0INDMISS Owens 26' 3PT Jump Shot57
73.0%
48
27.0%
Q2 - 0:07.0MIADavis Layup (2 PTS) (Cook 2 AST)57
74.3%
48
25.7%
Q2 - 0:29.0INDMurphy Free Throw 2 of 2 (5 PTS)57
77.5%
46
22.5%
Q2 - 0:29.0INDMurphy Free Throw 1 of 2 (4 PTS)56
77.0%
46
23.0%
Q2 - 0:31.0INDPacers Rebound55
74.3%
46
25.7%
Q2 - 0:32.0MIAMISS Wade 26' 3PT Jump Shot55
73.8%
46
26.2%
Q2 - 0:46.0INDDaniels Driving Layup (4 PTS)55
72.5%
46
27.5%
Q2 - 1:00MIAWright 18' Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Cook 1 AST)53
69.0%
46
31.0%
Q2 - 1:22INDGranger Driving Layup (7 PTS)53
72.1%
44
27.9%
Q2 - 1:45MIAWade 24' 3PT Jump Shot (13 PTS) (Williams 1 AST)51
68.1%
44
31.9%
Q2 - 2:06INDOwens 25' 3PT Jump Shot (9 PTS)51
73.3%
41
26.7%
Q2 - 2:12MIAWade Driving Layup (10 PTS)48
68.0%
41
32.0%
Q2 - 2:30MIAWright REBOUND (Off:0 Def:8)48
70.8%
39
29.2%
Q2 - 2:31INDMISS Granger 20' Jump Shot48
71.6%
39
28.4%
Q2 - 2:35INDGranger REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)48
73.1%
39
26.9%
Q2 - 2:37MIAMISS Cook 16' Jump Shot48
72.5%
39
27.5%
Q2 - 2:47MIAWilliams REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)48
70.9%
39
29.1%
Q2 - 2:48INDMISS Murphy 26' 3PT Jump Shot48
71.6%
39
28.4%
Q2 - 3:25INDOwens REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)48
72.3%
39
27.7%
Q2 - 3:26MIAMISS Wright 16' Jump Shot48
71.5%
39
28.5%
Q2 - 3:35INDMurphy 19' Jump Shot (3 PTS)48
69.6%
39
30.4%
Q2 - 3:47MIAWade Driving Layup (8 PTS)46
67.3%
39
32.7%
Q2 - 4:03MIAWright REBOUND (Off:0 Def:7)46
68.8%
37
31.2%
Q2 - 4:05INDMISS Owens Free Throw 1 of 146
69.2%
37
30.8%
Q2 - 4:10MIABarron Driving Layup (10 PTS)44
66.3%
37
33.7%
Q2 - 4:18MIABarron REBOUND (Off:3 Def:1)44
68.8%
35
31.2%
Q2 - 4:19INDMISS Daniels 19' Jump Shot44
69.6%
35
30.4%
Q2 - 4:34INDMurphy REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)44
71.3%
35
28.7%
Q2 - 4:35INDMISS Granger 18' Jump Shot44
69.6%
35
30.4%
Q2 - 4:44INDMurphy REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)44
71.3%
35
28.7%
Q2 - 4:46MIAMISS Wade 19' Jump Shot44
70.6%
35
29.4%
Q2 - 5:03INDMurphy Free Throw 2 of 2 (1 PTS)44
68.3%
35
31.7%
Q2 - 5:03INDMISS Murphy Free Throw 1 of 243
67.8%
35
32.2%
Q2 - 5:10INDDunleavy REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)43
68.5%
35
31.5%
Q2 - 5:11MIAMISS Davis 7' Jump Shot43
67.7%
35
32.3%
Q2 - 5:31INDGranger 25' 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Owens 4 AST)43
65.8%
35
34.2%
Q2 - 5:43MIAHaslem 8' Hook Shot (10 PTS) (Wright 1 AST)40
60.8%
35
39.2%
Q2 - 5:55MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)40
63.3%
33
36.7%
Q2 - 5:56INDMISS Dunleavy 24' 3PT Jump Shot40
64.1%
33
35.9%
Q2 - 6:02MIAWright Bad Pass Turnover (P4.T10)40
65.7%
33
34.3%
Q2 - 6:20MIAWilliams REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)40
62.7%
33
37.3%
Q2 - 6:22MIAMISS Barron Tip Shot40
64.8%
33
35.2%
Q2 - 6:23MIABarron REBOUND (Off:3 Def:0)40
62.7%
33
37.3%
Q2 - 6:24MIAMISS Barron Tip Shot40
64.8%
33
35.2%
Q2 - 6:25MIABarron REBOUND (Off:2 Def:0)40
62.7%
33
37.3%
Q2 - 6:28MIAMISS Williams Driving Layup40
64.8%
33
35.2%
Q2 - 6:37MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)40
62.7%
33
37.3%
Q2 - 6:38INDMISS Rush 24' 3PT Jump Shot40
63.6%
33
36.4%
Q2 - 6:45INDMurphy REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)40
65.7%
33
34.3%
Q2 - 6:46MIAMISS Williams 27' 3PT Jump Shot40
64.8%
33
35.2%
Q2 - 7:02MIAWright REBOUND (Off:0 Def:6)40
62.2%
33
37.8%
Q2 - 7:03INDMISS Owens 25' 3PT Jump Shot40
63.0%
33
37.0%
Q2 - 7:18MIABarron Layup (8 PTS) (Davis 2 AST)40
64.8%
33
35.2%
Q2 - 7:39INDGranger 19' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Owens 3 AST)40
67.0%
31
33.0%
Q2 - 7:50MIAWright Dunk (4 PTS) (Barron 1 AST)38
64.9%
31
35.1%
Q2 - 7:53INDBarron STEAL (1 STL)38
67.1%
29
32.9%
Q2 - 7:56INDDunleavy REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)38
69.5%
29
30.5%
Q2 - 7:58MIAMISS Blount 19' Jump Shot38
68.8%
29
31.2%
Q2 - 8:13INDDunleavy Foul Turnover (P1.T5)38
66.5%
29
33.5%
Q2 - 8:22MIABarron 4' Jump Shot (6 PTS)38
69.0%
29
31.0%
Q2 - 8:47INDFoster Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T4)38
70.9%
27
29.1%
Q2 - 9:01MIABarron Foul Turnover (P1.T9)38
72.5%
27
27.5%
Q2 - 9:16INDShaw. Williams 25' 3PT Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Owens 2 AST)38
70.3%
27
29.7%
Q2 - 9:26INDOwens REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)35
66.1%
27
33.9%
Q2 - 9:27MIAMISS Barron 19' Jump Shot35
65.4%
27
34.6%
Q2 - 9:41INDFoster Foul Turnover (P1.T3)35
63.6%
27
36.4%
Q2 - 9:44MIAWright Bad Pass Turnover (P3.T8)35
66.2%
27
33.8%
Q2 - 10:01INDQuinn STEAL (1 STL)35
63.2%
27
36.8%
Q2 - 10:13INDFoster REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)35
65.8%
27
34.2%
Q2 - 10:15MIAMISS Haslem 15' Jump Shot35
65.0%
27
35.0%
Q2 - 10:43INDFoster Layup (4 PTS) (Rush 3 AST)35
63.2%
27
36.8%
Q2 - 10:55MIAQuinn 17' Jump Shot (2 PTS)33
61.2%
27
38.8%
Q2 - 11:15INDRush 24' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Foster 1 AST)33
62.8%
25
37.2%
Q2 - 11:26MIABarron 18' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Quinn 1 AST)30
58.1%
25
41.9%
Q2 - 11:42INDOwens Driving Layup (4 PTS)30
60.5%
23
39.5%
Q1 - 0:00.0MIA28
58.2%
23
41.8%
Q1 - 0:01.0INDOwens Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T1)28
55.6%
23
44.4%
Q1 - 0:14.0MIAHaslem 4' Hook Shot (8 PTS) (Davis 1 AST)28
57.4%
23
42.6%
Q1 - 0:35.0INDDaniels Layup (2 PTS) (Dunleavy 1 AST)28
60.2%
21
39.8%
Q1 - 0:44.0MIABarron Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)26
57.4%
21
42.6%
Q1 - 0:44.0MIABarron Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)26
58.0%
20
42.0%
Q1 - 0:44.0MIABarron REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)26
60.2%
19
39.8%
Q1 - 0:45.0MIAMISS Quinn 25' 3PT Jump Shot26
61.5%
19
38.5%
Q1 - 1:01INDOwens Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)26
60.2%
19
39.8%
Q1 - 1:01INDOwens Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)25
59.7%
19
40.3%
Q1 - 1:13MIAWade Free Throw 2 of 2 (6 PTS)24
57.4%
19
42.6%
Q1 - 1:13MIAWade Free Throw 1 of 2 (5 PTS)24
57.8%
18
42.2%
Q1 - 1:19MIAWade REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)24
60.2%
17
39.8%
Q1 - 1:20MIAMISS Haslem 17' Jump Shot24
61.4%
17
38.6%
Q1 - 1:32MIAHEAT Rebound24
60.2%
17
39.8%
Q1 - 1:33MIAMISS Davis 3PT Jump Shot24
61.4%
17
38.6%
Q1 - 1:51INDFoster Layup (2 PTS) (Daniels 2 AST)24
60.2%
17
39.8%
Q1 - 2:02INDFoster REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)22
57.6%
17
42.4%
Q1 - 2:03MIAMISS Wade 17' Jump Shot22
57.0%
17
43.0%
Q1 - 2:21INDShaw. Williams 26' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Daniels 1 AST)22
55.5%
17
44.5%
Q1 - 2:45MIAWade Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)19
50.6%
17
49.4%
Q1 - 2:45MIAMISS Wade Free Throw 1 of 219
51.1%
16
48.9%
Q1 - 3:08INDDunleavy Driving Dunk (16 PTS)19
50.2%
16
49.8%
Q1 - 3:19INDShaw. Williams REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)17
48.2%
16
51.8%
Q1 - 3:20MIAMISS Haslem 8' Jump Shot17
47.5%
16
52.5%
Q1 - 3:32MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)17
45.7%
16
54.3%
Q1 - 3:33INDMISS Dunleavy 24' 3PT Jump Shot17
46.5%
16
53.5%
Q1 - 3:40INDShaw. Williams REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)17
48.3%
16
51.7%
Q1 - 3:41MIAMISS Haslem 16' Jump Shot17
47.5%
16
52.5%
Q1 - 4:05INDDunleavy Layup (14 PTS) (Owens 1 AST)17
45.5%
16
54.5%
Q1 - 4:10INDOwens REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)15
43.8%
16
56.2%
Q1 - 4:11MIAMISS Williams 18' Jump Shot15
43.0%
16
57.0%
Q1 - 4:16MIAWilliams REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)15
41.2%
16
58.8%
Q1 - 4:17INDMISS Owens 6' Jump Shot15
42.0%
16
58.0%
Q1 - 4:33MIAHaslem 14' Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Wade 3 AST)15
43.8%
16
56.2%
Q1 - 4:55INDDunleavy Free Throw 2 of 2 (12 PTS)15
45.5%
14
54.5%
Q1 - 4:55INDDunleavy Free Throw 1 of 2 (11 PTS)14
45.2%
14
54.8%
Q1 - 4:58MIABlount Lost Ball Turnover (P2.T7)13
43.8%
14
56.2%
Q1 - 5:10INDDunleavy Free Throw 2 of 2 (10 PTS)13
41.3%
14
58.7%
Q1 - 5:10INDDunleavy Free Throw 1 of 2 (9 PTS)12
41.0%
14
59.0%
Q1 - 5:32MIAHaslem 17' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Wade 2 AST)11
39.5%
14
60.5%
Q1 - 5:47MIABlount REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)11
41.3%
12
58.7%
Q1 - 5:48INDMISS Diener 17' Jump Shot11
42.0%
12
58.0%
Q1 - 5:52INDPacers Rebound11
43.6%
12
56.4%
Q1 - 5:53INDMISS Diener 25' 3PT Jump Shot11
42.0%
12
58.0%
Q1 - 6:02INDRush REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)11
43.4%
12
56.6%
Q1 - 6:03MIAMISS Blount 17' Jump Shot11
42.8%
12
57.2%
Q1 - 6:11MIAWright REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)11
41.3%
12
58.7%
Q1 - 6:12INDMISS Granger 19' Jump Shot11
42.0%
12
58.0%
Q1 - 6:24MIAWilliams 19' Jump Shot (2 PTS)11
43.4%
12
56.6%
Q1 - 6:28MIABlount REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)11
45.3%
10
54.7%
Q1 - 6:30INDMISS Granger Driving Layup11
45.9%
10
54.1%
Q1 - 6:37MIAWade 16' Jump Shot (3 PTS)11
47.4%
10
52.6%
Q1 - 6:51MIAWade REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)11
49.3%
8
50.7%
Q1 - 6:52INDMISS Granger 19' Jump Shot11
50.0%
8
50.0%
Q1 - 7:03INDMurphy REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)11
51.0%
8
49.0%
Q1 - 7:04MIAMISS Wade Free Throw 2 of 211
50.7%
8
49.3%
Q1 - 7:04MIAWade Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)11
49.5%
8
50.5%
Q1 - 7:15INDDunleavy Free Throw 2 of 2 (8 PTS)11
50.8%
7
49.2%
Q1 - 7:15INDDunleavy Free Throw 1 of 2 (7 PTS)10
50.5%
7
49.5%
Q1 - 7:16INDDunleavy REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)9
49.1%
7
50.9%
Q1 - 7:17INDWright BLOCK (1 BLK)9
47.6%
7
52.4%
Q1 - 7:21MIAWade Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T6)9
49.1%
7
50.9%
Q1 - 7:45INDDunleavy Layup (6 PTS) (Murphy 1 AST)9
47.0%
7
53.0%
Q1 - 7:59MIAWright Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T5)7
45.3%
7
54.7%
Q1 - 8:01MIAWright REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)7
43.5%
7
56.5%
Q1 - 8:02INDMISS Murphy 25' 3PT Jump Shot7
44.1%
7
55.9%
Q1 - 8:13MIAHaslem 15' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Wade 1 AST)7
45.5%
7
54.5%
Q1 - 8:26INDDunleavy 14' Jump Shot (4 PTS)7
47.2%
5
52.8%
Q1 - 8:40MIABlount Free Throw 1 of 1 (3 PTS)5
45.5%
5
54.5%
Q1 - 8:51MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)5
49.1%
2
50.9%
Q1 - 8:52INDMISS Rush 19' Jump Shot5
49.7%
2
50.3%
Q1 - 9:02MIABlount 3 Second Violation Turnover (P1.T4)5
51.1%
2
48.9%
Q1 - 9:18INDDiener 25' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Rush 2 AST)5
48.7%
2
51.3%
Q1 - 9:26MIAWilliams Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T3)2
45.5%
2
54.5%
Q1 - 9:33MIAWright REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)2
43.1%
2
56.9%
Q1 - 9:35INDMISS Diener 24' 3PT Jump Shot2
43.8%
2
56.2%
Q1 - 9:45INDMurphy REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)2
45.5%
2
54.5%
Q1 - 9:46MIAMISS Blount 6' Jump Shot2
44.8%
2
55.2%
Q1 - 10:02MIAWright REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)2
43.2%
2
56.8%
Q1 - 10:03INDMISS Granger 25' 3PT Jump Shot2
43.8%
2
56.2%
Q1 - 10:12MIAWright Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T2)2
45.3%
2
54.7%
Q1 - 10:25INDDunleavy Layup (2 PTS) (Rush 1 AST)2
43.2%
2
56.8%
Q1 - 10:34INDRush REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)0
41.6%
2
58.4%
Q1 - 10:35MIAMISS Williams 18' Jump Shot0
41.0%
2
59.0%
Q1 - 10:53MIAWright REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)0
39.5%
2
60.5%
Q1 - 10:54INDMISS Granger 17' Jump Shot0
40.1%
2
59.9%
Q1 - 11:01INDGranger REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)0
41.4%
2
58.6%
Q1 - 11:02MIAMISS Wright 19' Jump Shot0
40.9%
2
59.1%
Q1 - 11:13MIAWade REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)0
39.8%
2
60.2%
Q1 - 11:14INDMISS Dunleavy 8' Running Hook Shot0
40.3%
2
59.7%
Q1 - 11:28MIAWright 19' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Haslem 1 AST)0
41.4%
2
58.6%
Q1 - 11:37MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)0
43.4%
0
56.6%
Q1 - 11:38INDMISS Rush 25' 3PT Jump Shot0
43.9%
0
56.1%
Q1 - 11:44MIAHaslem Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T1)0
45.0%
0
55.0%
Q1 - 12:00MIAJump Ball Blount vs. Murphy: Tip to Williams0
43.3%
0
56.7%

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

IND
1.05 52.7%
MIA
1.05 52.7%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)
IND
16
22
73%
MIA
17
22
77%
Midrange
IND
10
28
36%
MIA
22
49
45%
3PT | Effective 3PT
IND
9
13.5
30
30%
45%
MIA
2
3.0
12
17%
25%
Free Throws
IND
17
19
89%
MIA
14
16
88%
Makes
Effective 3P Makes
%
Efficiency
Misses
Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|
IND logo Pacers
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
M. Dunleavy2569%12.5 / 18
D. Granger1341%6.5 / 16
A. Owens1359%6.5 / 11
K. Rush1238%6.0 / 16
T. Murphy950%4.5 / 9
T. Diener850%4.0 / 8
J. Foster675%3.0 / 4
S. Williams6100%3.0 / 3
M. Daniels450%2.0 / 4
TS Makes
TS Misses

Total Points

|
MIA logo Heat
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
D. Wade3570%17.5 / 25
M. Blount1963%9.5 / 15
D. Wright1464%7.0 / 11
U. Haslem1255%6.0 / 11
E. Barron1063%5.0 / 8
J. Williams422%2.0 / 9
R. Davis214%1.0 / 7
C. Quinn250%1.0 / 2
D. Cook0-0.0 / 2
TS Makes
TS Misses

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

IND
78
+11
-19
89
MIA
83
+10
-16
93
Base
ORB
TOV

Scoring Efficiency

IND
1.05 52.7%
MIA
1.05 52.7%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Efficiency & PaceThis Game
Efficiency
105.8
100.2
IND 99.0
MIA 99.0 +0.0
Pace
98.0
90.5
IND 109.0 +19.4
MIA 89.6
Avg. Poss. Time
14.1
16.3
IND 13.2 +2.9
MIA 16.1
Four FactorsThis Game
EFG %
49.8%
48.2%
IND 49.4%
MIA 50.6% +1.2%
TO %
15.0%
15.4%
IND 17.7%
MIA 15.9% +1.8%
ORB %
24.4%
22.2%
IND 19.0% +0.6%
MIA 18.4%
FTrt
29.2
30.0
IND 23.8 +4.5
MIA 19.3
Misc. StatsThis Game
AST %
60.1%
58.5%
IND 54.3%
MIA 61.0% +6.7%
STL %
7.7%
7.9%
IND 8.2%
MIA 10.1% +1.9%
BLK %
7.9%
7.1%
IND 1.4%
MIA 6.0% +4.6%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Shooting EfficiencyThis Game
TS%
52.8%
50.6%
IND 52.7%
MIA 52.7%
Rim FG%
58.0%
59.2%
IND 72.7%
MIA 77.3% +4.6%
Mid FG%
38.9%
38.8%
IND 35.7%
MIA 44.9% +9.2%
3P %
37.4%
35.8%
IND 30.0% +13.3%
MIA 16.7%
FT %
76.8%
72.7%
IND 89.5% +2.0%
MIA 87.5%
Shot DistributionThis Game
Rim Att. %
31.0%
30.2%
IND 27.5% +1.0%
MIA 26.5%
Mid Att. %
40.1%
48.1%
IND 35.0% +24.0%
MIA 59.0%
3P Att. %
28.9%
21.7%
IND 37.5% +23.0%
MIA 14.5%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.
Game TotalsINDMIA
Possessions9799
Possession Minutes21.426.5
Points9698
Rebounds3941
Assists1925
Steals810
Blocks13
Turnovers (Team)19 (0)16 (1)
Fouls
Off. Rebounds (Team)8 (3)7 (3)
Def. Rebounds (Team)31 (2)34 (1)
Field Goals35-8041-83
At-the-Rim FG16-2217-22
Midrange FG10-2822-49
2-Point FG26-5039-71
3-Point FG9-302-12
Free Throws17-1914-16
Fast Break Pts
2nd Chance Pts
Points in Paint
Pts off Turnovers
Bench Points
Biggest Lead

BOXSCORE

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PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
G · 6'6" 215 · 27
41.1
12
38%
6
3
2
0
4
2
2
4
0-0
-
3-6
50%
2-10
20%
F · 6'9" 222 · 25
40.4
13
41%
5
0
1
1
1
3
0
5
2-2
100%
4-11
36%
1-4
25%
F · 6'9" 230 · 27
38.4
25
69%
6
3
1
0
4
4
1
5
8-8
100%
7-10
70%
1-4
25%
C · 6'11" 245 · 28
30.4
9
50%
10
1
1
0
2
1
4
6
3-4
75%
3-5
60%
0-2
0%
G · 6'1" 175 · 26
22.3
8
50%
1
3
2
0
2
1
0
1
0-0
-
1-4
25%
2-4
50%
G · 6'4" 200 · 27
25.8
13
59%
4
5
0
0
3
1
0
4
4-5
80%
3-5
60%
1-4
25%
F-C · 6'11" 250 · 31
17.6
6
75%
5
2
1
0
3
1
1
4
0-0
-
3-4
75%
0-0
-
F · 6'6" 200 · 27
13.2
4
50%
0
2
0
0
0
3
0
0
0-0
-
2-4
50%
0-0
-
F · 6'10" 230 · 22
10.9
6
100%
2
0
0
0
0
3
0
2
0-0
-
0-1
0%
2-2
100%
F · 6'9" 250 · 24
C · 7'0" 280 · 25
G-F · 6'6" 215 · 26
#11 · G · 6'3" 188 · 30
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
#7 · C-F · 6'11" 255 · 29
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
TOTAL
240
96
53%
39
19
8
1
19
0
8
31
17-19
89%
26-50
52%
9-30
30%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.