FinalWin Prob.pScore
1328%93
93
472%101
101
ORTG#PossPace
ORL logo ORL
108.18685.2
DET logo DET
116.18787.8

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

PistonsMagicQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Scoring Margin

PistonsMagicQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Play-by-Play

Score / WinProb
ClockTeamEventORLDET
Q4 - 0:00.0DET93
0%
101
100%
Q4 - 0:16.0DETAfflalo REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)93
0.1%
101
99.9%
Q4 - 0:17.0ORLMISS Lewis 21' Jump Shot93
0.1%
101
99.9%
Q4 - 0:22.0DETAfflalo Free Throw 2 of 2 (5 PTS)93
0.1%
101
99.9%
Q4 - 0:22.0DETMISS Afflalo Free Throw 1 of 293
0.1%
100
99.9%
Q4 - 0:26.0DETHamilton Free Throw 2 of 2 (32 PTS)90
0.1%
100
99.9%
Q4 - 0:26.0DETMISS Hamilton Free Throw 1 of 290
0.1%
99
99.9%
Q4 - 0:33.0DETHamilton REBOUND (Off:2 Def:6)90
0.1%
99
99.9%
Q4 - 0:34.0DETMISS Hamilton 26' 3PT Jump Shot90
0.1%
99
99.9%
Q4 - 1:00ORLHoward Free Throw 2 of 2 (22 PTS)90
0.2%
99
99.8%
Q4 - 1:00ORLMISS Howard Free Throw 1 of 289
0.1%
99
99.9%
Q4 - 1:00ORLHoward REBOUND (Off:7 Def:7)89
0.2%
99
99.8%
Q4 - 1:00ORLMISS Arroyo 11' Running Jump Shot89
0.1%
99
99.9%
Q4 - 1:08ORLLewis REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)89
0.2%
99
99.8%
Q4 - 1:09ORLMISS Lewis 27' 3PT Jump Shot89
0.1%
99
99.9%
Q4 - 1:16DETPrince Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T14)89
0.3%
99
99.7%
Q4 - 1:40ORLArroyo Driving Layup (16 PTS)89
0.3%
99
99.7%
Q4 - 1:46ORLBogans REBOUND (Off:0 Def:6)87
0.2%
99
99.8%
Q4 - 1:47DETMISS McDyess 21' Jump Shot87
0.2%
99
99.8%
Q4 - 1:50DETPISTONS Rebound87
0.1%
99
99.9%
Q4 - 1:50DETMISS Prince Layup87
0.2%
99
99.8%
Q4 - 2:12ORLHoward Free Throw 2 of 2 (21 PTS)87
0.1%
99
99.9%
Q4 - 2:12ORLHoward Free Throw 1 of 2 (20 PTS)86
0.1%
99
99.9%
Q4 - 2:23DETWallace Foul Turnover (P3.T13)85
0.1%
99
99.9%
Q4 - 2:41DETHamilton REBOUND (Off:1 Def:6)85
0.1%
99
99.9%
Q4 - 2:42ORLMISS Arroyo 25' 3PT Jump Shot85
0.1%
99
99.9%
Q4 - 2:55ORLLewis Free Throw Technical (13 PTS)85
0.2%
99
99.8%
Q4 - 2:56DETBillups Lost Ball Turnover (P3.T12)84
0.1%
99
99.9%
Q4 - 3:02DETHamilton REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)84
0.1%
99
99.9%
Q4 - 3:04ORLMISS Lewis 13' Running Jump Shot84
0.1%
99
99.9%
Q4 - 3:20DETHamilton Layup (31 PTS) (Billups 6 AST)84
0.1%
99
99.9%
Q4 - 3:37DETHamilton REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)84
0.4%
97
99.6%
Q4 - 3:40DETMISS Billups 25' 3PT Jump Shot84
0.5%
97
99.5%
Q4 - 3:56ORLHoward Free Throw 2 of 2 (19 PTS)84
0.3%
97
99.7%
Q4 - 3:56ORLMISS Howard Free Throw 1 of 283
0.3%
97
99.7%
Q4 - 4:02ORLBogans REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)83
0.3%
97
99.7%
Q4 - 4:04DETMISS Maxiell 18' Turnaround Jump Shot83
0.3%
97
99.7%
Q4 - 4:28ORLLewis Free Throw 2 of 2 (12 PTS)83
0.2%
97
99.8%
Q4 - 4:28ORLLewis Free Throw 1 of 2 (11 PTS)82
0.2%
97
99.8%
Q4 - 4:43ORLHoward REBOUND (Off:6 Def:7)81
0.2%
97
99.8%
Q4 - 4:45DETMISS Prince Free Throw 2 of 281
0.1%
97
99.9%
Q4 - 4:45DETPrince Free Throw 1 of 2 (8 PTS)81
0.1%
97
99.9%
Q4 - 4:50DETMaxiell REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)81
0.1%
96
99.9%
Q4 - 4:51ORLMISS Turkoglu Layup81
0.2%
96
99.8%
Q4 - 5:14DETMaxiell 16' Turnaround Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Hamilton 8 AST)81
0.4%
96
99.6%
Q4 - 5:33DETBillups REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)81
0.5%
94
99.5%
Q4 - 5:34ORLMISS Turkoglu 21' Jump Shot81
0.6%
94
99.4%
Q4 - 5:57ORLHoward REBOUND (Off:6 Def:6)81
0.7%
94
99.3%
Q4 - 5:59DETMISS Prince 14' Hook Shot81
0.7%
94
99.3%
Q4 - 6:23DETHamilton REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)81
0.7%
94
99.3%
Q4 - 6:24ORLMISS Bogans 24' 3PT Jump Shot81
0.8%
94
99.2%
Q4 - 6:35ORLLewis REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)81
1.0%
94
99.0%
Q4 - 6:36DETMISS Hamilton Layup81
0.9%
94
99.1%
Q4 - 6:55ORLBogans 26' 3PT Jump Shot (10 PTS) (Turkoglu 3 AST)81
0.7%
94
99.3%
Q4 - 7:01DETHamilton Bad Pass Turnover (P3.T11)78
0.6%
94
99.4%
Q4 - 7:07DETHamilton REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)78
0.5%
94
99.5%
Q4 - 7:10ORLMISS Turkoglu Reverse Layup78
0.5%
94
99.5%
Q4 - 7:35DETHamilton 16' Jump Shot (29 PTS) (Stuckey 2 AST)78
0.6%
94
99.4%
Q4 - 7:58ORLArroyo Driving Layup (14 PTS)78
0.8%
92
99.2%
Q4 - 8:04ORLMISS Lewis Free Throw Technical76
0.9%
92
99.1%
Q4 - 8:18ORLHoward REBOUND (Off:6 Def:5)76
0.8%
92
99.2%
Q4 - 8:21DETMISS Stuckey Layup76
0.8%
92
99.2%
Q4 - 8:42DETStuckey REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)76
0.6%
92
99.4%
Q4 - 8:43ORLMISS Turkoglu 20' Jump Shot76
0.7%
92
99.3%
Q4 - 9:01DETStuckey Foul Turnover (P1.T10)76
1.1%
92
98.9%
Q4 - 9:12DETWallace REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)76
0.8%
92
99.2%
Q4 - 9:13ORLMISS Lewis 25' 3PT Jump Shot76
0.9%
92
99.1%
Q4 - 9:37DETMaxiell 19' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Prince 8 AST)76
1.0%
92
99.0%
Q4 - 9:55ORLStuckey STEAL (1 STL)76
1.3%
90
98.7%
Q4 - 10:12DETAfflalo Step Out of Bounds Turnover (P1.T9)76
2.0%
90
98.0%
Q4 - 10:29DETPrince REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)76
1.5%
90
98.5%
Q4 - 10:30ORLMISS Cook 21' Jump Shot76
1.7%
90
98.3%
Q4 - 10:58DETWallace Out of Bounds Lost Ball Turnover (P2.T8)76
2.0%
90
98.0%
Q4 - 11:17ORLLewis Layup (10 PTS)76
1.8%
90
98.2%
Q4 - 11:38DETHamilton 26' 3PT Jump Shot (27 PTS) (Billups 5 AST)74
1.5%
90
98.5%
Q4 - 11:45DETAfflalo REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)74
2.2%
87
97.8%
Q4 - 11:46ORLMISS Dooling 21' Jump Shot74
2.4%
87
97.6%
Q3 - 0:00.0DET74
2.8%
87
97.2%
Q3 - 0:09.0DETAfflalo REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)74
2.6%
87
97.4%
Q3 - 0:11.0ORLMISS Dooling Free Throw 2 of 274
2.6%
87
97.4%
Q3 - 0:11.0ORLDooling Free Throw 1 of 2 (5 PTS)74
3.1%
87
96.9%
Q3 - 0:27.0DETHamilton 21' Jump Shot (24 PTS) (Billups 4 AST)73
2.6%
87
97.4%
Q3 - 0:41.0ORLTurkoglu 17' Jump Shot (20 PTS) (Howard 2 AST)73
3.1%
85
96.9%
Q3 - 0:58.0ORLBogans REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)71
2.6%
85
97.4%
Q3 - 0:59.0DETMISS McDyess 21' Jump Shot71
2.4%
85
97.6%
Q3 - 1:19ORLBogans 26' 3PT Jump Shot (7 PTS) (Dooling 1 AST)71
2.4%
85
97.6%
Q3 - 1:25ORLTurkoglu REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)68
1.6%
85
98.4%
Q3 - 1:27DETMISS Hamilton 21' Jump Shot68
1.5%
85
98.5%
Q3 - 1:41DETPrince REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)68
1.3%
85
98.7%
Q3 - 1:42ORLMISS Cook 21' Jump Shot68
1.4%
85
98.6%
Q3 - 1:58ORLHoward REBOUND (Off:6 Def:4)68
1.6%
85
98.4%
Q3 - 1:59DETMISS Prince 27' 3PT Jump Shot68
1.5%
85
98.5%
Q3 - 2:04DETMcDyess REBOUND (Off:4 Def:9)68
1.5%
85
98.5%
Q3 - 2:05DETMISS Hamilton 12' Jump Shot68
1.7%
85
98.3%
Q3 - 2:22ORLMcDyess STEAL (1 STL)68
1.5%
85
98.5%
Q3 - 2:33ORLBogans REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)68
1.8%
85
98.2%
Q3 - 2:36DETMISS Prince 10' Running Jump Shot68
1.7%
85
98.3%
Q3 - 2:54ORLDooling 21' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Howard 1 AST)68
1.5%
85
98.5%
Q3 - 3:10DETBillups Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T7)66
1.4%
85
98.6%
Q3 - 3:34ORLTurkoglu Driving Layup (18 PTS)66
1.2%
85
98.8%
Q3 - 3:43ORLHoward REBOUND (Off:6 Def:3)64
1.0%
85
99.0%
Q3 - 3:44DETMISS Billups 26' 3PT Jump Shot64
0.9%
85
99.1%
Q3 - 3:58ORLTurkoglu Free Throw 2 of 2 (16 PTS)64
0.8%
85
99.2%
Q3 - 3:58ORLTurkoglu Free Throw 1 of 2 (15 PTS)63
0.8%
85
99.2%
Q3 - 4:03ORLLewis REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)62
0.8%
85
99.2%
Q3 - 4:04DETMISS Prince 26' 3PT Jump Shot62
0.8%
85
99.2%
Q3 - 4:36ORLTurkoglu Driving Layup (14 PTS)62
0.7%
85
99.3%
Q3 - 5:01DETBillups 24' 3PT Jump Shot (21 PTS) (Hamilton 7 AST)60
0.7%
85
99.3%
Q3 - 5:09ORLHamilton STEAL (2 STL)60
0.9%
82
99.1%
Q3 - 5:20ORLHoward REBOUND (Off:6 Def:2)60
1.1%
82
98.9%
Q3 - 5:21ORLMISS Evans 24' 3PT Jump Shot60
1.0%
82
99.0%
Q3 - 5:33DETMcDyess 19' Jump Shot (10 PTS) (Hamilton 6 AST)60
1.1%
82
98.9%
Q3 - 5:50ORLLewis Free Throw 2 of 2 (8 PTS)60
1.2%
80
98.8%
Q3 - 5:50ORLLewis Free Throw 1 of 2 (7 PTS)59
1.2%
80
98.8%
Q3 - 5:52ORLHoward REBOUND (Off:5 Def:2)58
1.1%
80
98.9%
Q3 - 5:53ORLMISS Turkoglu 25' 3PT Jump Shot58
0.9%
80
99.1%
Q3 - 6:16DETBillups Free Throw 2 of 2 (18 PTS)58
1.2%
80
98.8%
Q3 - 6:16DETBillups Free Throw 1 of 2 (17 PTS)58
1.2%
79
98.8%
Q3 - 6:25DETMcDyess REBOUND (Off:3 Def:9)58
1.4%
78
98.6%
Q3 - 6:26ORLMISS Howard Free Throw 2 of 258
1.4%
78
98.6%
Q3 - 6:26ORLMISS Howard Free Throw 1 of 258
1.6%
78
98.4%
Q3 - 6:36DETWallace Layup (15 PTS) (Hamilton 5 AST)58
1.7%
78
98.3%
Q3 - 6:54ORLArroyo 22' Jump Shot (12 PTS) (Turkoglu 2 AST)58
1.9%
76
98.1%
Q3 - 7:21ORLTurkoglu REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)56
1.8%
76
98.2%
Q3 - 7:22DETMISS Billups 26' 3PT Jump Shot56
1.7%
76
98.3%
Q3 - 7:28DETHamilton REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)56
1.5%
76
98.5%
Q3 - 7:29ORLMISS Lewis 24' 3PT Jump Shot56
1.6%
76
98.4%
Q3 - 7:50DETHamilton 17' Turnaround Jump Shot (22 PTS)56
1.8%
76
98.2%
Q3 - 7:54DETBillups REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)56
2.1%
74
97.9%
Q3 - 7:55DETMISS Hamilton 17' Jump Shot56
2.3%
74
97.7%
Q3 - 8:06ORLPrince STEAL (1 STL)56
2.2%
74
97.8%
Q3 - 8:08ORLHoward REBOUND (Off:4 Def:2)56
2.6%
74
97.4%
Q3 - 8:08ORLMISS Arroyo 21' Jump Shot56
2.3%
74
97.7%
Q3 - 8:34DETBillups 17' Jump Shot (16 PTS)56
2.6%
74
97.4%
Q3 - 8:41DETWallace REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)56
2.9%
72
97.1%
Q3 - 8:43ORLMISS Howard 5' Hook Shot56
3.1%
72
96.9%
Q3 - 8:53ORLHoward REBOUND (Off:3 Def:2)56
3.5%
72
96.5%
Q3 - 8:56DETMISS McDyess 9' Turnaround Jump Shot56
3.3%
72
96.7%
Q3 - 9:12ORLTurkoglu Driving Layup (12 PTS)56
3.1%
72
96.9%
Q3 - 9:33DETPrince 18' Jump Shot (7 PTS) (Hamilton 4 AST)54
2.7%
72
97.3%
Q3 - 9:43ORLHamilton STEAL (1 STL)54
3.1%
70
96.9%
Q3 - 10:02DETHamilton Step Out of Bounds Turnover (P2.T6)54
3.8%
70
96.2%
Q3 - 10:20ORLLewis 3PT Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Arroyo 6 AST)54
3.2%
70
96.8%
Q3 - 10:31DETBillups 18' Turnaround Jump Shot (14 PTS)51
2.5%
70
97.5%
Q3 - 10:54DETMcDyess REBOUND (Off:3 Def:8)51
2.8%
68
97.2%
Q3 - 10:55ORLMISS Lewis Layup51
3.0%
68
97.0%
Q3 - 11:10ORLHoward REBOUND (Off:3 Def:1)51
3.4%
68
96.6%
Q3 - 11:11ORLMISS Howard Free Throw 1 of 151
3.0%
68
97.0%
Q3 - 11:15DETHamilton Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T5)49
2.6%
68
97.4%
Q3 - 11:20DETPrince REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)49
2.3%
68
97.7%
Q3 - 11:21ORLMISS Arroyo 19' Jump Shot49
2.4%
68
97.6%
Q3 - 11:36ORLHoward REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)49
2.6%
68
97.4%
Q3 - 11:37DETMISS Billups 19' Jump Shot49
2.5%
68
97.5%
Q2 - 0:00.0DET49
2.3%
68
97.7%
Q2 - 0:04.0ORLEvans Alley Oop Layup (2 PTS) (Arroyo 5 AST)49
2.6%
68
97.4%
Q2 - 0:10.0DETBillups Free Throw 2 of 2 (12 PTS)47
2.2%
68
97.8%
Q2 - 0:10.0DETBillups Free Throw 1 of 2 (11 PTS)47
2.2%
67
97.8%
Q2 - 0:23.0ORLArroyo 16' Jump Shot (10 PTS)47
2.6%
66
97.4%
Q2 - 0:46.0ORLEvans REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)45
2.2%
66
97.8%
Q2 - 0:47.0DETMISS Prince 26' 3PT Jump Shot45
2.1%
66
97.9%
Q2 - 1:04DETMcDyess REBOUND (Off:3 Def:7)45
2.2%
66
97.8%
Q2 - 1:07ORLMISS Howard 5' Hook Shot45
2.2%
66
97.8%
Q2 - 1:21DETMcDyess Driving Reverse Layup (8 PTS) (Hamilton 3 AST)45
2.3%
66
97.7%
Q2 - 1:33ORLHoward Free Throw 1 of 1 (16 PTS)45
2.8%
64
97.2%
Q2 - 1:48DETMcDyess Layup (6 PTS) (Prince 7 AST)42
2.0%
64
98.0%
Q2 - 1:56DETPrince REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)42
2.5%
62
97.5%
Q2 - 1:57ORLMISS Evans 16' Jump Shot42
2.5%
62
97.5%
Q2 - 2:20DETHamilton 16' Jump Shot (20 PTS) (Billups 3 AST)42
2.9%
62
97.1%
Q2 - 2:24DETBillups Free Throw Technical (10 PTS)42
3.3%
60
96.7%
Q2 - 2:24DETMcDyess REBOUND (Off:3 Def:6)42
3.7%
59
96.3%
Q2 - 2:25DETMISS Wallace 27' 3PT Jump Shot42
4.0%
59
96.0%
Q2 - 2:36ORLArroyo Driving Layup (8 PTS)42
3.7%
59
96.3%
Q2 - 2:51DETHamilton 17' Jump Shot (18 PTS) (Prince 6 AST)40
3.2%
59
96.8%
Q2 - 3:08ORLTurkoglu Free Throw 1 of 1 (10 PTS)40
4.0%
57
96.0%
Q2 - 3:28DETHamilton 17' Jump Shot (16 PTS) (Prince 5 AST)37
3.2%
57
96.8%
Q2 - 3:44ORLArroyo Driving Layup (6 PTS)37
3.5%
55
96.5%
Q2 - 4:01DETHamilton 17' Jump Shot (14 PTS) (Prince 4 AST)35
3.4%
55
96.6%
Q2 - 4:03DETPISTONS Rebound35
3.8%
53
96.2%
Q2 - 4:03DETMISS Stuckey Layup35
4.1%
53
95.9%
Q2 - 4:28ORLArroyo 16' Fadeaway Jumper (4 PTS)35
3.8%
53
96.2%
Q2 - 4:36ORLArroyo REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)33
3.4%
53
96.6%
Q2 - 4:39DETMISS Stuckey 20' Jump Shot33
3.2%
53
96.8%
Q2 - 4:59DETMcDyess REBOUND (Off:2 Def:6)33
3.0%
53
97.0%
Q2 - 5:00ORLMISS Bogans Free Throw 2 of 233
3.0%
53
97.0%
Q2 - 5:00ORLBogans Free Throw 1 of 2 (4 PTS)33
3.3%
53
96.7%
Q2 - 5:05DETJohnson Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T4)32
3.1%
53
96.9%
Q2 - 5:21ORLHoward 8' Hook Shot (13 PTS) (Arroyo 4 AST)32
2.8%
53
97.2%
Q2 - 5:29ORLBogans REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)30
2.5%
53
97.5%
Q2 - 5:30DETMISS McDyess 19' Jump Shot30
2.4%
53
97.6%
Q2 - 5:47ORLHoward Free Throw 2 of 2 (11 PTS)30
2.2%
53
97.8%
Q2 - 5:47ORLHoward Free Throw 1 of 2 (10 PTS)29
2.1%
53
97.9%
Q2 - 5:52ORLBogans REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)28
2.0%
53
98.0%
Q2 - 5:54DETMISS McDyess Tip Shot28
1.9%
53
98.1%
Q2 - 5:56DETMcDyess REBOUND (Off:2 Def:5)28
1.8%
53
98.2%
Q2 - 5:57DETMISS Stuckey Layup28
1.9%
53
98.1%
Q2 - 6:02DETJohnson REBOUND (Off:3 Def:1)28
1.9%
53
98.1%
Q2 - 6:03DETMISS Stuckey 20' Jump Shot28
2.1%
53
97.9%
Q2 - 6:19DETMcDyess REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)28
1.9%
53
98.1%
Q2 - 6:21ORLMISS Arroyo Free Throw 1 of 128
1.9%
53
98.1%
Q2 - 6:31DETHamilton 24' 3PT Jump Shot (12 PTS) (McDyess 1 AST)26
1.7%
53
98.3%
Q2 - 6:45ORLTurkoglu Free Throw 2 of 2 (7 PTS)26
2.1%
50
97.9%
Q2 - 6:45ORLMISS Turkoglu Free Throw 1 of 225
2.1%
50
97.9%
Q2 - 6:53DETAfflalo Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)25
2.2%
50
97.8%
Q2 - 6:53DETAfflalo Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)25
2.2%
49
97.8%
Q2 - 6:53DETAfflalo REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)25
2.3%
48
97.7%
Q2 - 6:54DETMISS Stuckey Layup25
2.6%
48
97.4%
Q2 - 6:58DETStuckey REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)25
2.3%
48
97.7%
Q2 - 7:00ORLMISS Lewis 13' Jump Shot25
2.4%
48
97.6%
Q2 - 7:21DETHamilton 19' Jump Shot (9 PTS) (Stuckey 1 AST)25
2.9%
48
97.1%
Q2 - 7:27DETStuckey REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)25
3.2%
46
96.8%
Q2 - 7:28ORLMISS Lewis 25' 3PT Jump Shot25
3.3%
46
96.7%
Q2 - 7:48ORLTurkoglu REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)25
3.6%
46
96.4%
Q2 - 7:49DETMISS Hamilton 12' Jump Shot25
3.5%
46
96.5%
Q2 - 8:03ORLTurkoglu Free Throw 2 of 2 (6 PTS)25
3.3%
46
96.7%
Q2 - 8:03ORLTurkoglu Free Throw 1 of 2 (5 PTS)24
3.3%
46
96.7%
Q2 - 8:20DETHayes 18' Turnaround Jump Shot (2 PTS)23
3.0%
46
97.0%
Q2 - 9:03DETHamilton Free Throw Technical (7 PTS)20
2.6%
44
97.4%
Q2 - 9:03DETJohnson REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)20
3.5%
41
96.5%
Q2 - 9:06DETMISS Johnson Layup20
3.7%
41
96.3%
Q2 - 9:08DETJohnson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)20
3.5%
41
96.5%
Q2 - 9:10DETMISS Hamilton 17' Jump Shot20
3.7%
41
96.3%
Q2 - 9:22DETPISTONS Rebound20
3.5%
41
96.5%
Q2 - 9:22ORLJohnson BLOCK (3 BLK)20
3.6%
41
96.4%
Q2 - 9:40DETHayes Foul Turnover (P1.T3)20
3.9%
41
96.1%
Q2 - 9:46DETMcDyess REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)20
3.5%
41
96.5%
Q2 - 9:47ORLMISS Turkoglu 27' 3PT Jump Shot20
3.6%
41
96.4%
Q2 - 10:13DETMaxiell 8' Jump Shot (2 PTS)20
4.0%
41
96.0%
Q2 - 10:29DETMaxiell REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)20
4.3%
39
95.7%
Q2 - 10:29DETMISS Hayes 21' Jump Shot20
4.7%
39
95.3%
Q2 - 10:37DETAfflalo REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)20
4.3%
39
95.7%
Q2 - 10:39ORLJohnson BLOCK (2 BLK)20
4.5%
39
95.5%
Q2 - 10:47ORLArroyo REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)20
4.8%
39
95.2%
Q2 - 10:51DETMISS Hayes 9' Hook Shot20
4.7%
39
95.3%
Q2 - 11:10ORLCook 21' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Arroyo 2 AST)20
4.5%
39
95.5%
Q2 - 11:27ORLMagic Rebound18
4.1%
39
95.9%
Q2 - 11:28DETMISS Afflalo Layup18
3.9%
39
96.1%
Q2 - 11:30DETJohnson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)18
3.7%
39
96.3%
Q2 - 11:32ORLJohnson BLOCK (1 BLK)18
3.8%
39
96.2%
Q2 - 11:41ORLTurkoglu REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)18
4.1%
39
95.9%
Q2 - 11:42DETMISS Prince Layup18
3.9%
39
96.1%
Q1 - 0:00.0DET18
3.7%
39
96.3%
Q1 - 0:00.0DETPISTONS Rebound18
3.7%
39
96.3%
Q1 - 0:00.0ORLMISS Howard 8' Hook Shot18
3.8%
39
96.2%
Q1 - 0:17.0DETBillups 27' 3PT Jump Shot (9 PTS) (Prince 3 AST)18
4.1%
39
95.9%
Q1 - 0:32.0ORLHoward Free Throw 2 of 2 (9 PTS)18
5.1%
36
94.9%
Q1 - 0:32.0ORLMISS Howard Free Throw 1 of 217
4.9%
36
95.1%
Q1 - 0:41.0ORLDooling REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)17
5.0%
36
95.0%
Q1 - 0:44.0DETMISS Maxiell Alley Oop Dunk17
4.9%
36
95.1%
Q1 - 1:04ORLDooling Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)17
4.7%
36
95.3%
Q1 - 1:04ORLMISS Dooling Free Throw 1 of 216
4.6%
36
95.4%
Q1 - 1:19DETPrince Free Throw 1 of 1 (5 PTS)16
4.6%
36
95.4%
Q1 - 1:36ORLCook Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T5)16
5.6%
33
94.4%
Q1 - 1:54DETAfflalo 17' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Billups 2 AST)16
6.0%
33
94.0%
Q1 - 2:11DETBillups REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)16
6.7%
31
93.3%
Q1 - 2:14ORLMISS Howard 9' Hook Shot16
6.9%
31
93.1%
Q1 - 2:28DETWallace 14' Fadeaway Jumper (13 PTS)16
7.3%
31
92.7%
Q1 - 2:49DETMaxiell REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)16
8.0%
29
92.0%
Q1 - 2:50ORLMISS Howard Free Throw 2 of 216
8.1%
29
91.9%
Q1 - 2:50ORLMISS Howard Free Throw 1 of 216
8.5%
29
91.5%
Q1 - 3:09DETHamilton Layup (6 PTS) (Billups 1 AST)16
9.0%
29
91.0%
Q1 - 3:12ORLWallace STEAL (2 STL)16
9.7%
27
90.3%
Q1 - 3:23DETBillups 21' Jump Shot (6 PTS)16
10.6%
27
89.4%
Q1 - 3:35DETPrince REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)16
11.4%
25
88.6%
Q1 - 3:36ORLMISS Cook 27' 3PT Jump Shot16
11.7%
25
88.3%
Q1 - 3:51ORLDooling Free Throw Technical (1 PTS)16
12.4%
25
87.6%
Q1 - 4:01DETBillups Foul Turnover (P1.T2)15
11.5%
25
88.5%
Q1 - 4:18ORLHoward Dunk (8 PTS) (Evans 2 AST)15
10.5%
25
89.5%
Q1 - 4:23ORLHoward REBOUND (Off:2 Def:0)13
9.8%
25
90.2%
Q1 - 4:24ORLMISS Turkoglu 26' 3PT Jump Shot13
9.2%
25
90.8%
Q1 - 4:50DETBillups 17' Jump Shot (4 PTS)13
9.8%
25
90.2%
Q1 - 4:59DETMcDyess REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)13
10.5%
23
89.5%
Q1 - 5:00ORLMISS Lewis 25' 3PT Jump Shot13
10.8%
23
89.2%
Q1 - 5:10DETWallace 10' Turnaround Jump Shot (11 PTS)13
11.6%
23
88.4%
Q1 - 5:38ORLHoward Alley Oop Dunk (6 PTS) (Turkoglu 1 AST)13
12.4%
21
87.6%
Q1 - 5:54DETPrince 6' Hook Shot (2 PTS)11
11.6%
21
88.4%
Q1 - 6:04DETMcDyess REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)11
12.6%
19
87.4%
Q1 - 6:05ORLMISS Arroyo Layup11
12.9%
19
87.1%
Q1 - 6:15DETWallace 3 Second Violation Turnover (P1.T1)11
13.6%
19
86.4%
Q1 - 6:32ORLHoward Putback Layup (4 PTS)11
12.6%
19
87.4%
Q1 - 6:35ORLHoward REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)9
11.8%
19
88.2%
Q1 - 6:36ORLMISS Lewis 19' Jump Shot9
11.2%
19
88.8%
Q1 - 6:49DETBillups Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)9
11.8%
19
88.2%
Q1 - 6:49DETBillups Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)9
11.9%
18
88.1%
Q1 - 7:09DETMcDyess REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)9
12.9%
17
87.1%
Q1 - 7:11ORLMISS Arroyo Layup9
13.2%
17
86.8%
Q1 - 7:20DETWallace Tip Shot (9 PTS)9
13.9%
17
86.1%
Q1 - 7:22DETWallace REBOUND (Off:2 Def:0)9
14.7%
15
85.3%
Q1 - 7:23DETMISS McDyess 20' Jump Shot9
15.4%
15
84.6%
Q1 - 7:44ORLHoward 8' Hook Bank Shot (2 PTS)9
14.7%
15
85.3%
Q1 - 8:02DETMcDyess 20' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Prince 2 AST)7
13.8%
15
86.2%
Q1 - 8:19ORLTurkoglu Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)7
14.6%
13
85.4%
Q1 - 8:19ORLTurkoglu Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)6
14.5%
13
85.5%
Q1 - 8:27DETMcDyess Tip Shot (2 PTS)5
13.8%
13
86.2%
Q1 - 8:30DETMcDyess REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)5
14.6%
11
85.4%
Q1 - 8:33DETMISS Prince 7' Jump Shot5
15.4%
11
84.6%
Q1 - 8:49DETPrince REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)5
14.6%
11
85.4%
Q1 - 8:50DETMISS Prince Layup5
15.4%
11
84.6%
Q1 - 8:56ORLBillups STEAL (1 STL)5
14.6%
11
85.4%
Q1 - 9:11DETHamilton 10' Running Jump Shot (4 PTS)5
15.6%
11
84.4%
Q1 - 9:34ORLMagic Turnover: Shot Clock (T#2)5
16.4%
9
83.6%
Q1 - 9:34ORLMagic Rebound5
17.7%
9
82.3%
Q1 - 9:34ORLWallace BLOCK (1 BLK)5
16.8%
9
83.2%
Q1 - 10:03DETWallace 27' 3PT Jump Shot (7 PTS) (Hamilton 2 AST)5
17.6%
9
82.4%
Q1 - 10:15DETHamilton REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)5
19.8%
6
80.2%
Q1 - 10:16ORLMISS Lewis 24' 3PT Jump Shot5
20.2%
6
79.8%
Q1 - 10:30DETWallace 9' Turnaround Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Hamilton 1 AST)5
21.1%
6
78.9%
Q1 - 10:54ORLTurkoglu 17' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Evans 1 AST)5
22.2%
4
77.8%
Q1 - 11:02DETWallace Tip Shot (2 PTS)3
20.9%
4
79.1%
Q1 - 11:04DETWallace REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)3
22.3%
2
77.7%
Q1 - 11:05DETMISS Hamilton 17' Jump Shot3
23.1%
2
76.9%
Q1 - 11:22ORLLewis 25' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Arroyo 1 AST)3
22.3%
2
77.7%
Q1 - 11:34DETHamilton 17' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Prince 1 AST)0
19.8%
2
80.2%
Q1 - 11:46ORLWallace STEAL (1 STL)0
21.0%
0
79.0%
Q1 - 12:00DETJump Ball Wallace vs. Howard: Tip to Arroyo0
22.2%
0
77.8%

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

ORL
1.08 54.1%
DET
1.11 55.5%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)
ORL
16
27
59%
DET
10
22
45%
Midrange
ORL
9
24
38%
DET
26
46
57%
3PT | Effective 3PT
ORL
6
9.0
19
32%
47%
DET
5
7.5
13
38%
58%
Free Throws
ORL
25
39
64%
DET
14
17
82%
Makes
Effective 3P Makes
%
Efficiency
Misses
Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|
ORL logo Magic
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
H. Turkoglu2364%11.5 / 18
D. Howard2261%11.0 / 18
C. Arroyo1657%8.0 / 14
R. Lewis1336%6.5 / 18
K. Bogans10100%5.0 / 5
K. Dooling563%2.5 / 4
M. Evans233%1.0 / 3
B. Cook220%1.0 / 5
TS Makes
TS Misses

Total Points

|
DET logo Pistons
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
R. Hamilton3270%16.0 / 23
C. Billups2181%10.5 / 13
R. Wallace1594%7.5 / 8
A. McDyess1045%5.0 / 11
T. Prince831%4.0 / 13
J. Maxiell660%3.0 / 5
A. Afflalo563%2.5 / 4
A. Johnson2100%1.0 / 1
J. Hayes233%1.0 / 3
R. Stuckey0-0.0 / 6
TS Makes
TS Misses

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

ORL
77
+9
-9
86
DET
73
+17
-14
90
Base
ORB
TOV

Scoring Efficiency

ORL
1.08 54.1%
DET
1.11 55.5%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Efficiency & PaceThis Game
Efficiency
111.2
110.3
ORL 108.1
DET 116.1 +8.0
Pace
93.5
88.2
ORL 85.2
DET 87.8 +2.6
Avg. Poss. Time
15.1
16.9
ORL 16.9
DET 16.4 +0.5
Four FactorsThis Game
EFG %
53.7%
49.5%
ORL 48.6%
DET 53.7% +5.1%
TO %
14.7%
12.6%
ORL 10.3% +3.4%
DET 13.7%
ORB %
23.4%
29.4%
ORL 19.0%
DET 39.5% +20.5%
FTrt
35.5
30.0
ORL 55.7 +34.7
DET 21.0
Misc. StatsThis Game
AST %
55.8%
61.1%
ORL 51.6%
DET 61.0% +9.4%
STL %
6.8%
8.1%
ORL 7.0%
DET 9.2% +2.2%
BLK %
6.2%
9.4%
ORL 8.8% +1.0%
DET 7.8%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Shooting EfficiencyThis Game
TS%
55.9%
52.4%
ORL 54.1%
DET 55.5% +1.4%
Rim FG%
61.5%
60.1%
ORL 59.3% +13.8%
DET 45.5%
Mid FG%
40.8%
41.7%
ORL 37.5%
DET 56.5% +19.0%
3P %
38.6%
36.6%
ORL 31.6%
DET 38.5% +6.9%
FT %
72.1%
76.7%
ORL 64.1%
DET 82.4% +18.3%
Shot DistributionThis Game
Rim Att. %
35.5%
27.8%
ORL 38.6% +11.4%
DET 27.2%
Mid Att. %
32.3%
51.9%
ORL 34.3% +22.5%
DET 56.8%
3P Att. %
32.2%
20.3%
ORL 27.1% +11.1%
DET 16.0%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.29 and 2.29.
Game TotalsORLDET
Possessions8687
Possession Minutes24.223.8
Points93101
Rebounds3149
Assists1625
Steals68
Blocks64
Turnovers (Team)9 (1)14 (0)
Fouls
Off. Rebounds (Team)8 (1)15 (2)
Def. Rebounds (Team)23 (1)34 (2)
Field Goals31-7041-81
At-the-Rim FG16-2710-22
Midrange FG9-2426-46
2-Point FG25-5136-68
3-Point FG6-195-13
Free Throws25-3914-17
Fast Break Pts
2nd Chance Pts
Points in Paint
Pts off Turnovers
Bench Points
Biggest Lead

BOXSCORE

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PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
C · 6'11" 265 · 22
44.0
22
61%
14
2
1
2
4
0
7
7
8-16
50%
7-11
64%
0-0
-
F · 6'10" 220 · 29
43.4
23
64%
4
3
1
1
0
3
0
4
8-9
89%
6-11
55%
1-4
25%
F · 6'10" 235 · 28
41.6
13
36%
3
0
2
2
1
4
1
2
5-6
83%
1-8
13%
2-8
25%
G · 6'2" 200 · 28
37.9
16
57%
2
6
1
0
1
6
0
2
0-1
0%
8-13
62%
0-1
0%
G · 6'5" 220 · 29
20.8
2
33%
1
3
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
1-2
50%
0-1
0%
G-F · 6'5" 215 · 28
24.2
10
100%
6
1
1
0
0
1
0
6
1-2
50%
0-0
-
3-4
75%
C-F · 6'9" 250 · 27
13.9
2
20%
0
0
0
0
3
0
0
0
0-0
-
1-4
25%
0-1
0%
G · 6'3" 195 · 28
10.1
5
63%
1
1
0
0
0
1
0
1
3-5
60%
1-2
50%
0-0
-
C · 6'10" 270 · 33
4.0
0
0%
0
0
0
1
0
1
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
-
0-0
-
F · 6'9" 238 · 31
G-F · 6'4" 200 · 24
F · 6'10" 235 · 24
#4 · C · 6'11" 240 · 32
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
#13 · C · 6'11" 240 · 24
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
#14 · G · 6'0" 190 · 26
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
TOTAL
240
93
54%
31
16
6
6
9
0
8
23
25-39
64%
25-51
49%
6-19
32%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.