FinalWin Prob.pScore
2640%101
92
2460%104
104
ORTG#PossPace
IND logo IND
103.489100.5
MIL logo MIL
116.98979.9

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

BucksPacersQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Scoring Margin

BucksPacersQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Play-by-Play

Score / WinProb
ClockTeamEventINDMIL
Q4 - 0:00.0IND92
0%
104
100%
Q4 - 0:02.0INDGranger REBOUND (Off:1 Def:8)92
0%
104
100%
Q4 - 0:03.0MILMISS Redd 20' Jump Shot92
0%
104
100%
Q4 - 0:28.0MILBogut REBOUND (Off:0 Def:7)92
0.1%
104
99.9%
Q4 - 0:29.0INDMISS Diener 21' Jump Shot92
0.1%
104
99.9%
Q4 - 0:38.0MILBogut Free Throw 2 of 2 (17 PTS)92
0.1%
104
99.9%
Q4 - 0:38.0MILMISS Bogut Free Throw 1 of 292
0.1%
103
99.9%
Q4 - 0:52.0INDDunleavy Free Throw 2 of 2 (22 PTS)92
0.1%
103
99.9%
Q4 - 0:52.0INDDunleavy Free Throw 1 of 2 (21 PTS)91
0.1%
103
99.9%
Q4 - 0:59.0MILBell 18' Jump Shot (10 PTS) (Villanueva 3 AST)90
0.1%
103
99.9%
Q4 - 1:20INDDiener 16' Jump Shot (15 PTS) (Graham 1 AST)90
0.1%
101
99.9%
Q4 - 1:32INDGranger REBOUND (Off:1 Def:7)88
0.1%
101
99.9%
Q4 - 1:33MILMISS Redd 25' 3PT Jump Shot88
0.1%
101
99.9%
Q4 - 1:57INDBell STEAL (2 STL)88
0.1%
101
99.9%
Q4 - 2:06MILBogut Free Throw 2 of 2 (16 PTS)88
0.2%
101
99.8%
Q4 - 2:06MILMISS Bogut Free Throw 1 of 288
0.3%
100
99.7%
Q4 - 2:27MILBogut REBOUND (Off:0 Def:6)88
0.2%
100
99.8%
Q4 - 2:28INDMISS Murphy 26' 3PT Jump Shot88
0.2%
100
99.8%
Q4 - 2:35INDDunleavy REBOUND (Off:0 Def:6)88
0.4%
100
99.6%
Q4 - 2:37MILMISS Redd 27' 3PT Jump Shot88
0.3%
100
99.7%
Q4 - 2:50MILVillanueva REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)88
0.2%
100
99.8%
Q4 - 2:52INDMISS Rush 21' Jump Shot88
0.4%
100
99.6%
Q4 - 3:09MILBogut Running Dunk (15 PTS) (Redd 5 AST)88
0.6%
100
99.4%
Q4 - 3:25INDGranger 26' 3PT Jump Shot (20 PTS) (Murphy 2 AST)88
0.7%
98
99.3%
Q4 - 3:34INDMurphy REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)85
0.8%
98
99.2%
Q4 - 3:35INDMISS Dunleavy 17' Jump Shot85
0.6%
98
99.4%
Q4 - 3:50MILRedd Free Throw 2 of 2 (37 PTS)85
0.7%
98
99.3%
Q4 - 3:50MILRedd Free Throw 1 of 2 (36 PTS)85
0.8%
97
99.2%
Q4 - 3:52INDRedd STEAL (1 STL)85
1.0%
96
99.0%
Q4 - 3:58INDFoster REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)85
1.5%
96
98.5%
Q4 - 3:59MILMISS Redd 27' 3PT Jump Shot85
1.3%
96
98.7%
Q4 - 4:22MILBUCKS Rebound85
1.0%
96
99.0%
Q4 - 4:22INDBogut BLOCK (3 BLK)85
1.1%
96
98.9%
Q4 - 4:38MILRedd 26' 3PT Jump Shot (35 PTS) (Williams 9 AST)85
1.4%
96
98.6%
Q4 - 4:55INDDiener 26' 3PT Jump Shot (13 PTS) (Foster 3 AST)85
2.9%
93
97.1%
Q4 - 5:06MILBogut Alley Oop Dunk (13 PTS) (Williams 8 AST)82
2.2%
93
97.8%
Q4 - 5:18MILRedd REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)82
2.9%
91
97.1%
Q4 - 5:19INDMISS Rush 27' 3PT Jump Shot82
3.3%
91
96.7%
Q4 - 5:40MILRedd 28' 3PT Jump Shot (32 PTS)82
4.1%
91
95.9%
Q4 - 6:06INDGranger 26' 3PT Jump Shot (17 PTS) (Diener 9 AST)82
8.9%
88
91.1%
Q4 - 6:12INDGranger REBOUND (Off:1 Def:6)79
5.3%
88
94.7%
Q4 - 6:13MILMISS Redd 9' Running Jump Shot79
4.8%
88
95.2%
Q4 - 6:29INDDiener Free Throw 2 of 2 (10 PTS)79
3.8%
88
96.2%
Q4 - 6:29INDDiener Free Throw 1 of 2 (9 PTS)78
3.6%
88
96.4%
Q4 - 6:38MILIvey Free Throw 2 of 2 (5 PTS)77
2.9%
88
97.1%
Q4 - 6:38MILIvey Free Throw 1 of 2 (4 PTS)77
3.1%
87
96.9%
Q4 - 6:56INDGranger 20' Jump Shot (14 PTS) (Diener 8 AST)77
3.7%
86
96.3%
Q4 - 7:16MILBell 3PT Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Villanueva 2 AST)75
3.9%
86
96.1%
Q4 - 7:35MILBell REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)75
6.2%
83
93.8%
Q4 - 7:37INDMISS Granger 26' 3PT Jump Shot75
6.8%
83
93.2%
Q4 - 7:49MILBell 18' Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Redd 4 AST)75
8.3%
83
91.7%
Q4 - 7:56MILRedd REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)75
10.3%
81
89.7%
Q4 - 7:57INDMISS Diener 3PT Jump Shot75
11.2%
81
88.8%
Q4 - 8:14MILRedd 15' Jump Shot (29 PTS) (Ivey 5 AST)75
14.8%
81
85.2%
Q4 - 8:38MILVillanueva REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)75
18.2%
79
81.8%
Q4 - 8:40INDRuffin BLOCK (1 BLK)75
19.4%
79
80.6%
Q4 - 8:59MILBell Bad Pass Turnover (P3.T10)75
22.4%
79
77.6%
Q4 - 9:16MILBell REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)75
19.1%
79
80.9%
Q4 - 9:17MILMISS Redd 26' 3PT Jump Shot75
22.0%
79
78.0%
Q4 - 9:24MILRuffin REBOUND (Off:5 Def:2)75
19.1%
79
80.9%
Q4 - 9:25INDMISS Shaw. Williams Layup75
20.3%
79
79.7%
Q4 - 9:43MILVillanueva 8' Jump Hook Shot (4 PTS) (Ivey 4 AST)75
23.3%
79
76.7%
Q4 - 9:57INDShaw. Williams Out of Bounds Lost Ball Turnover (P2.T13)75
27.7%
77
72.3%
Q4 - 10:06MILIvey 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Villanueva 1 AST)75
33.3%
77
66.7%
Q4 - 10:19MILVillanueva REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)75
43.6%
74
56.4%
Q4 - 10:21MILMISS Bell 26' 3PT Jump Shot75
47.8%
74
52.2%
Q4 - 10:43INDShaw. Williams Foul Turnover (P1.T12)75
43.6%
74
56.4%
Q4 - 10:50INDShaw. Williams REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)75
49.7%
74
50.3%
Q4 - 10:51MILMISS Redd 17' Jump Shot75
47.8%
74
52.2%
Q4 - 11:02INDBell STEAL (1 STL)75
43.5%
74
56.5%
Q4 - 11:10INDMurphy REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)75
49.1%
74
50.9%
Q4 - 11:11MILMISS Villanueva 10' Jump Hook Shot75
47.4%
74
52.6%
Q4 - 11:25INDDunleavy Free Throw 2 of 2 (20 PTS)75
43.5%
74
56.5%
Q4 - 11:25INDDunleavy Free Throw 1 of 2 (19 PTS)74
42.6%
74
57.4%
Q4 - 11:29INDOwens REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)73
38.5%
74
61.5%
Q4 - 11:30INDMISS Owens 16' Jump Shot73
34.8%
74
65.2%
Q4 - 11:39INDDunleavy REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)73
38.5%
74
61.5%
Q4 - 11:40MILMISS Villanueva Layup73
36.8%
74
63.2%
Q3 - 0:00.0MIL73
33.2%
74
66.8%
Q3 - 0:00.0INDPacers Rebound73
33.2%
74
66.8%
Q3 - 0:01.0INDMISS Daniels 63' 3PT Running Jump Shot73
35.1%
74
64.9%
Q3 - 0:01.0INDDaniels REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)73
33.7%
74
66.3%
Q3 - 0:02.0INDMISS Daniels 40' 3PT Jump Shot73
35.1%
74
64.9%
Q3 - 0:04.0MILMISS Ivey 15' Jump Shot73
36.9%
74
63.1%
Q3 - 0:04.0INDMurphy REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)73
33.7%
74
66.3%
Q3 - 0:22.0INDDunleavy Free Throw 2 of 2 (18 PTS)73
33.7%
74
66.3%
Q3 - 0:22.0INDDunleavy Free Throw 1 of 2 (17 PTS)72
32.9%
74
67.1%
Q3 - 0:30.0MILSimmons 16' Jump Shot (16 PTS) (Bell 2 AST)71
29.2%
74
70.8%
Q3 - 0:41.0MILSimmons REBOUND (Off:2 Def:6)71
33.7%
72
66.3%
Q3 - 0:43.0INDBogut BLOCK (2 BLK)71
35.1%
72
64.9%
Q3 - 1:00INDMurphy REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)71
38.4%
72
61.6%
Q3 - 1:01MILMISS Simmons Free Throw 2 of 271
37.8%
72
62.2%
Q3 - 1:01MILSimmons Free Throw 1 of 2 (14 PTS)71
34.6%
72
65.4%
Q3 - 1:15INDSimmons STEAL (3 STL)71
38.3%
71
61.7%
Q3 - 1:21INDGranger REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)71
43.1%
71
56.9%
Q3 - 1:22MILMISS Bogut Layup71
41.6%
71
58.4%
Q3 - 1:29MILRedd REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)71
38.3%
71
61.7%
Q3 - 1:31INDMISS Murphy 7' Jump Shot71
39.7%
71
60.3%
Q3 - 1:53MILBell Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T9)71
43.1%
71
56.9%
Q3 - 2:13INDMurphy Layup (4 PTS) (Granger 2 AST)71
37.7%
71
62.3%
Q3 - 2:18INDGranger REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)69
33.8%
71
66.2%
Q3 - 2:20INDMISS Diener 24' 3PT Jump Shot69
30.7%
71
69.3%
Q3 - 2:36MILBogut Slam Dunk (11 PTS) (Redd 3 AST)69
33.8%
71
66.2%
Q3 - 2:42MILRedd REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)69
37.7%
69
62.3%
Q3 - 2:44INDBogut BLOCK (1 BLK)69
39.2%
69
60.8%
Q3 - 2:50INDMurphy REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)69
42.6%
69
57.4%
Q3 - 2:51MILMISS Redd 27' 3PT Jump Shot69
41.1%
69
58.9%
Q3 - 2:57MILIvey REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)69
37.7%
69
62.3%
Q3 - 2:58INDMISS Murphy 15' Jump Shot69
39.2%
69
60.8%
Q3 - 3:28MILBogut Dunk (9 PTS) (Williams 7 AST)69
42.5%
69
57.5%
Q3 - 3:31MILWilliams REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)69
46.7%
67
53.3%
Q3 - 3:32MILMISS Redd 18' Jump Shot69
50.0%
67
50.0%
Q3 - 3:55MILWilliams REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)69
46.7%
67
53.3%
Q3 - 3:56INDMISS Dunleavy 26' 3PT Jump Shot69
48.1%
67
51.9%
Q3 - 4:10MILBell Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T8)69
50.8%
67
49.2%
Q3 - 4:32MILBogut REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)69
45.9%
67
54.1%
Q3 - 4:33INDMISS Granger 27' 3PT Jump Shot69
47.4%
67
52.6%
Q3 - 4:41INDFoster REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)69
50.9%
67
49.1%
Q3 - 4:42MILMISS Simmons 17' Jump Shot69
49.3%
67
50.7%
Q3 - 4:59MILBUCKS Rebound69
45.9%
67
54.1%
Q3 - 5:00INDMISS Rush 16' Jump Shot69
47.4%
67
52.6%
Q3 - 5:14MILRedd 17' Jump Shot (27 PTS) (Simmons 3 AST)69
50.2%
67
49.8%
Q3 - 5:45INDDunleavy 19' Jump Shot (16 PTS) (Granger 1 AST)69
54.1%
65
45.9%
Q3 - 5:58MILYi Free Throw 2 of 2 (6 PTS)67
50.3%
65
49.7%
Q3 - 5:58MILYi Free Throw 1 of 2 (5 PTS)67
51.0%
64
49.0%
Q3 - 5:58MILYi REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)67
54.1%
63
45.9%
Q3 - 5:59MILMISS Redd Layup67
57.2%
63
42.8%
Q3 - 6:21INDDunleavy 25' 3PT Jump Shot (14 PTS) (Foster 2 AST)67
53.3%
63
46.7%
Q3 - 6:34MILWilliams Reverse Layup (9 PTS) (Bogut 3 AST)64
45.6%
63
54.4%
Q3 - 6:56INDDunleavy 27' 3PT Jump Shot (11 PTS) (Rush 1 AST)64
49.3%
61
50.7%
Q3 - 7:19MILWilliams Layup (7 PTS)61
41.3%
61
58.7%
Q3 - 7:26MILSimmons REBOUND (Off:2 Def:5)61
44.6%
59
55.4%
Q3 - 7:28INDMISS Dunleavy 8' Jump Shot61
45.9%
59
54.1%
Q3 - 7:37MILRedd 9' Jump Shot (25 PTS)61
49.0%
59
51.0%
Q3 - 7:59INDRush 24' 3PT Jump Shot (14 PTS) (Dunleavy 5 AST)61
52.3%
57
47.7%
Q3 - 8:07INDDunleavy REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)58
45.0%
57
55.0%
Q3 - 8:08MILMISS Yi 20' Jump Shot58
43.7%
57
56.3%
Q3 - 8:28INDFoster Driving Layup (13 PTS) (Diener 7 AST)58
40.8%
57
59.2%
Q3 - 8:35INDGranger REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)56
37.7%
57
62.3%
Q3 - 8:37MILMISS Yi Layup56
36.4%
57
63.6%
Q3 - 8:44MILBUCKS Rebound56
33.7%
57
66.3%
Q3 - 8:45MILMISS Williams 14' Jump Shot56
36.4%
57
63.6%
Q3 - 8:59INDDiener Layup (8 PTS)56
33.7%
57
66.3%
Q3 - 9:11MILWilliams Layup (5 PTS)54
30.6%
57
69.4%
Q3 - 9:17MILBogut REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)54
33.7%
55
66.3%
Q3 - 9:18INDMISS Diener 25' 3PT Jump Shot54
34.7%
55
65.3%
Q3 - 9:25INDDunleavy REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)54
37.1%
55
62.9%
Q3 - 9:26MILMISS Yi 13' Jump Shot54
36.1%
55
63.9%
Q3 - 9:48MILSimmons REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)54
33.7%
55
66.3%
Q3 - 9:49INDMISS Granger Layup54
34.7%
55
65.3%
Q3 - 10:02MILYi Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T7)54
37.2%
55
62.8%
Q3 - 10:13MILBogut REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)54
33.5%
55
66.5%
Q3 - 10:14INDMISS Diener 26' 3PT Jump Shot54
34.6%
55
65.4%
Q3 - 10:34INDRush REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)54
37.1%
55
62.9%
Q3 - 10:35MILMISS Simmons 26' 3PT Jump Shot54
36.0%
55
64.0%
Q3 - 11:03INDGranger Running Layup (12 PTS) (Dunleavy 4 AST)54
33.6%
55
66.4%
Q3 - 11:23MILSimmons 26' 3PT Jump Shot (13 PTS) (Bogut 2 AST)52
30.7%
55
69.3%
Q3 - 11:45INDDunleavy Layup (8 PTS) (Diener 6 AST)52
36.8%
52
63.2%
Q2 - 0:00.0IND50
33.8%
52
66.2%
Q2 - 0:00.0INDPacers Rebound50
33.8%
52
66.2%
Q2 - 0:00.0INDMISS Owens 14' Jump Shot50
31.6%
52
68.4%
Q2 - 0:18.0MILRedd Free Throw 2 of 2 (23 PTS)50
33.5%
52
66.5%
Q2 - 0:18.0MILRedd Free Throw 1 of 2 (22 PTS)50
33.9%
51
66.1%
Q2 - 0:32.0MILWilliams REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)50
37.4%
50
62.6%
Q2 - 0:33.0INDMISS Shaw. Williams Tip Shot50
38.1%
50
61.9%
Q2 - 0:33.0INDShaw. Williams REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)50
39.6%
50
60.4%
Q2 - 0:34.0INDMISS Diener Layup50
38.1%
50
61.9%
Q2 - 0:49.0MILRedd Free Throw 2 of 2 (21 PTS)50
39.7%
50
60.3%
Q2 - 0:49.0MILRedd Free Throw 1 of 2 (20 PTS)50
40.1%
49
59.9%
Q2 - 0:51.0MILBUCKS Rebound50
43.8%
48
56.2%
Q2 - 0:51.0MILMISS Simmons 28' 3PT Jump Shot50
45.4%
48
54.6%
Q2 - 1:10INDOwens Driving Reverse Layup (2 PTS)50
44.0%
48
56.0%
Q2 - 1:32MILRedd 27' 3PT Jump Shot (19 PTS) (Ivey 3 AST)48
39.3%
48
60.7%
Q2 - 1:42INDWilliams STEAL (1 STL)48
47.2%
45
52.8%
Q2 - 1:51MILBogut Layup (7 PTS)48
48.9%
45
51.1%
Q2 - 2:06INDMurphy 14' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Daniels 1 AST)48
52.4%
43
47.6%
Q2 - 2:23MILBUCKS Turnover: Shot Clock (T#6)46
49.0%
43
51.0%
Q2 - 2:23MILBUCKS Rebound46
46.2%
43
53.8%
Q2 - 2:23MILMISS Bogut 4' Jump Shot46
48.2%
43
51.8%
Q2 - 2:48INDDaniels Foul Turnover (P1.T8)46
46.2%
43
53.8%
Q2 - 2:57MILBogut 4' Hook Shot (5 PTS)46
49.0%
43
51.0%
Q2 - 3:08MILSimmons REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)46
51.3%
41
48.7%
Q2 - 3:09MILMISS Redd 25' 3PT Jump Shot46
53.6%
41
46.4%
Q2 - 3:30INDGranger Dunk (10 PTS) (Owens 2 AST)46
51.3%
41
48.7%
Q2 - 3:36INDDaniels REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)44
48.7%
41
51.3%
Q2 - 3:38MILMISS Williams 24' 3PT Jump Shot44
47.7%
41
52.3%
Q2 - 3:54MILRedd REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)44
45.4%
41
54.6%
Q2 - 3:55INDMISS Daniels 14' Jump Shot44
46.4%
41
53.6%
Q2 - 4:13MILSimmons Foul Turnover (P2.T5)44
47.9%
41
52.1%
Q2 - 4:34INDFoster 7' Running Jump Shot (11 PTS) (Owens 1 AST)44
45.0%
41
55.0%
Q2 - 4:43INDGranger REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)42
42.2%
41
57.8%
Q2 - 4:44MILMISS Williams 15' Jump Shot42
41.4%
41
58.6%
Q2 - 5:09INDGranger Foul Turnover (P3.T7)42
39.2%
41
60.8%
Q2 - 5:19MILBogut Lost Ball Turnover (P2.T4)42
42.1%
41
57.9%
Q2 - 5:37MILSimmons REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)42
39.2%
41
60.8%
Q2 - 5:38INDMISS Granger 17' Jump Shot42
40.1%
41
59.9%
Q2 - 5:52INDRush REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)42
42.1%
41
57.9%
Q2 - 5:53MILMISS Bogut Free Throw 2 of 242
41.7%
41
58.3%
Q2 - 5:53MILMISS Bogut Free Throw 1 of 242
40.3%
41
59.7%
Q2 - 6:07MILSimmons REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)42
39.0%
41
61.0%
Q2 - 6:08INDMISS Granger 19' Jump Shot42
39.9%
41
60.1%
Q2 - 6:19INDGranger REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)42
42.2%
41
57.8%
Q2 - 6:22MILMISS Simmons 16' Jump Shot42
41.2%
41
58.8%
Q2 - 6:37INDRush 26' 3PT Jump Shot (11 PTS) (Diener 5 AST)42
39.0%
41
61.0%
Q2 - 6:42INDFoster REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)39
34.4%
41
65.6%
Q2 - 6:43MILMISS Redd Layup39
33.5%
41
66.5%
Q2 - 6:58INDDunleavy Free Throw 2 of 2 (6 PTS)39
31.4%
41
68.6%
Q2 - 6:58INDDunleavy Free Throw 1 of 2 (5 PTS)38
31.1%
41
68.9%
Q2 - 7:05MILRedd 19' Jump Shot (16 PTS) (Bell 1 AST)37
29.8%
41
70.2%
Q2 - 7:10MILRuffin REBOUND (Off:5 Def:1)37
31.9%
39
68.1%
Q2 - 7:12MILMISS Redd Layup37
33.6%
39
66.4%
Q2 - 7:26INDFoster Layup (9 PTS)37
31.9%
39
68.1%
Q2 - 7:27INDFoster REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)35
29.8%
39
70.2%
Q2 - 7:29INDVillanueva BLOCK (1 BLK)35
28.2%
39
71.8%
Q2 - 7:30INDDiener REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)35
29.8%
39
70.2%
Q2 - 7:32INDMISS Rush 16' Jump Shot35
28.2%
39
71.8%
Q2 - 7:51INDMurphy REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)35
29.8%
39
70.2%
Q2 - 7:52INDMISS Shaw. Williams 26' 3PT Jump Shot35
28.2%
39
71.8%
Q2 - 7:58INDShaw. Williams REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)35
29.8%
39
70.2%
Q2 - 8:00MILMISS Villanueva Layup35
29.1%
39
70.9%
Q2 - 8:17MILIvey REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)35
27.4%
39
72.6%
Q2 - 8:18INDMISS Daniels 11' Jump Shot35
28.2%
39
71.8%
Q2 - 8:31MILRedd 15' Jump Shot (14 PTS) (Ivey 2 AST)35
29.8%
39
70.2%
Q2 - 8:45MILRuffin REBOUND (Off:4 Def:1)35
31.8%
37
68.2%
Q2 - 8:46MILMISS Bell 28' 3PT Jump Shot35
33.6%
37
66.4%
Q2 - 8:59MILVillanueva REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)35
31.8%
37
68.2%
Q2 - 9:00INDMISS Shaw. Williams 25' 3PT Jump Shot35
32.6%
37
67.4%
Q2 - 9:14INDDaniels REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)35
34.3%
37
65.7%
Q2 - 9:15INDMISS Diener 25' 3PT Jump Shot35
32.5%
37
67.5%
Q2 - 9:47MILVillanueva Reverse Layup (2 PTS) (Williams 6 AST)35
34.3%
37
65.7%
Q2 - 10:00INDMurphy Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T6)35
36.3%
35
63.7%
Q2 - 10:06MILVillanueva Out of Bounds Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T3)35
38.9%
35
61.1%
Q2 - 10:41INDDiener 26' 3PT Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Dunleavy 3 AST)35
36.3%
35
63.7%
Q2 - 10:50INDShaw. Williams REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)32
32.1%
35
67.9%
Q2 - 10:51MILMISS Bell 24' 3PT Jump Shot32
31.4%
35
68.6%
Q2 - 11:15MILIvey REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)32
29.7%
35
70.3%
Q2 - 11:17INDMISS Shaw. Williams 27' 3PT Jump Shot32
30.4%
35
69.6%
Q2 - 11:27MILBell 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Ivey 1 AST)32
31.8%
35
68.2%
Q2 - 11:45MILRuffin REBOUND (Off:3 Def:1)32
36.2%
32
63.8%
Q2 - 11:46INDMISS Shaw. Williams Layup32
36.9%
32
63.1%
Q1 - 0:00.0MIL32
38.5%
32
61.5%
Q1 - 0:00.0MILRuffin REBOUND (Off:3 Def:0)32
36.2%
32
63.8%
Q1 - 0:02.0MILMISS Williams 23' Jump Shot32
37.4%
32
62.6%
Q1 - 0:27.0INDGranger Free Throw 1 of 1 (8 PTS)32
36.3%
32
63.7%
Q1 - 0:44.0MILSimmons Traveling Turnover (P1.T2)29
31.5%
32
68.5%
Q1 - 1:05INDDaniels 13' Jump Shot (2 PTS)29
30.0%
32
70.0%
Q1 - 1:22MILRedd Layup (12 PTS)27
27.6%
32
72.4%
Q1 - 1:42INDGranger Dunk (5 PTS) (Diener 4 AST)27
30.0%
30
70.0%
Q1 - 1:47INDDaniels REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)25
27.6%
30
72.4%
Q1 - 1:49MILMISS Williams 26' 3PT Jump Shot25
27.2%
30
72.8%
Q1 - 2:10MILRuffin REBOUND (Off:2 Def:0)25
26.2%
30
73.8%
Q1 - 2:12MILMISS Simmons 24' 3PT Jump Shot25
27.4%
30
72.6%
Q1 - 2:21INDRuffin STEAL (1 STL)25
26.2%
30
73.8%
Q1 - 2:40MILSimmons 3PT Jump Shot (10 PTS) (Williams 5 AST)25
27.9%
30
72.1%
Q1 - 2:56INDFoster Free Throw 2 of 2 (7 PTS)25
32.0%
27
68.0%
Q1 - 2:56INDFoster Free Throw 1 of 2 (6 PTS)24
31.4%
27
68.6%
Q1 - 3:01INDFoster REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)23
30.2%
27
69.8%
Q1 - 3:03INDMISS Rush Layup23
28.7%
27
71.3%
Q1 - 3:09INDDunleavy REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)23
30.2%
27
69.8%
Q1 - 3:10MILMISS Simmons 24' 3PT Jump Shot23
29.5%
27
70.5%
Q1 - 3:15MILRuffin REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)23
28.1%
27
71.9%
Q1 - 3:16MILMISS Simmons 3PT Jump Shot23
29.5%
27
70.5%
Q1 - 3:24INDFoster Traveling Turnover (P1.T4)23
28.1%
27
71.9%
Q1 - 3:39MILBogut Foul Turnover (P1.T1)23
30.1%
27
69.9%
Q1 - 3:52MILBogut REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)23
28.1%
27
71.9%
Q1 - 3:53INDMISS Granger 26' 3PT Jump Shot23
28.7%
27
71.3%
Q1 - 4:04MILRedd 26' 3PT Jump Shot (10 PTS) (Bogut 1 AST)23
30.2%
27
69.8%
Q1 - 4:21INDRush 3PT Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Diener 3 AST)23
33.6%
24
66.4%
Q1 - 4:38MILRedd 25' 3PT Jump Shot (7 PTS) (Williams 4 AST)20
30.2%
24
69.8%
Q1 - 4:44MILWilliams REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)20
33.6%
21
66.4%
Q1 - 4:45INDMISS Granger Layup20
34.4%
21
65.6%
Q1 - 5:07MILWilliams 24' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Redd 2 AST)20
35.7%
21
64.3%
Q1 - 5:17INDFoster 7' Hook Shot (5 PTS) (Dunleavy 2 AST)20
39.5%
18
60.5%
Q1 - 5:31MILSimmons 26' 3PT Jump Shot (7 PTS) (Redd 1 AST)18
37.7%
18
62.3%
Q1 - 5:46INDFoster Free Throw 1 of 1 (3 PTS)18
41.5%
15
58.5%
Q1 - 6:00MILRedd Layup (4 PTS) (Simmons 2 AST)15
37.7%
15
62.3%
Q1 - 6:05INDSimmons STEAL (2 STL)15
39.2%
13
60.8%
Q1 - 6:11MILBogut Free Throw 1 of 1 (3 PTS)15
41.2%
13
58.8%
Q1 - 6:25INDDiener Free Throw 3 of 3 (3 PTS)15
45.1%
10
54.9%
Q1 - 6:25INDDiener Free Throw 2 of 3 (2 PTS)14
44.9%
10
55.1%
Q1 - 6:25INDDiener Free Throw 1 of 3 (1 PTS)13
44.6%
10
55.4%
Q1 - 6:37MILYi Layup (4 PTS) (Simmons 1 AST)12
41.2%
10
58.8%
Q1 - 6:48MILSimmons REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)12
43.1%
8
56.9%
Q1 - 6:50INDMISS Dunleavy 25' 3PT Jump Shot12
43.8%
8
56.2%
Q1 - 6:57MILRedd 7' Hook Bank Shot (2 PTS)12
45.2%
8
54.8%
Q1 - 7:16INDDunleavy 10' Jump Shot (4 PTS)12
46.2%
6
53.8%
Q1 - 7:52MILYi 20' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Williams 2 AST)10
44.6%
6
55.4%
Q1 - 8:05MILBUCKS Rebound10
46.3%
4
53.7%
Q1 - 8:07INDMISS Granger 26' 3PT Jump Shot10
46.9%
4
53.1%
Q1 - 8:07INDRush REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)10
48.4%
4
51.6%
Q1 - 8:08MILMISS Bogut 4' Hook Shot10
47.7%
4
52.3%
Q1 - 8:36INDRush 26' 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS)10
46.2%
4
53.8%
Q1 - 8:48INDRush REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)7
42.7%
4
57.3%
Q1 - 8:49MILMISS Redd 25' 3PT Jump Shot7
42.1%
4
57.9%
Q1 - 8:55INDSimmons STEAL (1 STL)7
40.7%
4
59.3%
Q1 - 9:01INDGranger REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)7
42.7%
4
57.3%
Q1 - 9:02MILMISS Yi Dunk7
41.9%
4
58.1%
Q1 - 9:12INDGranger 25' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Diener 1 AST)7
40.3%
4
59.7%
Q1 - 9:24MILSimmons 12' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Williams 1 AST)4
37.2%
4
62.8%
Q1 - 9:35INDDunleavy Out of Bounds Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T1)4
38.5%
2
61.5%
Q1 - 10:02INDPacers Rebound4
40.5%
2
59.5%
Q1 - 10:03MILMISS Redd 28' 3PT Jump Shot4
39.9%
2
60.1%
Q1 - 10:23INDRush 17' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Dunleavy 1 AST)4
38.5%
2
61.5%
Q1 - 10:34INDPacers Rebound2
37.0%
2
63.0%
Q1 - 10:35INDMISS Granger 18' Jump Shot2
35.6%
2
64.4%
Q1 - 10:48INDDunleavy REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)2
37.0%
2
63.0%
Q1 - 10:49MILMISS Williams 27' 3PT Jump Shot2
36.4%
2
63.6%
Q1 - 11:05MILBogut REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)2
35.2%
2
64.8%
Q1 - 11:06INDMISS Dunleavy 15' Jump Shot2
35.7%
2
64.3%
Q1 - 11:19MILSimmons Layup (2 PTS)2
36.8%
2
63.2%
Q1 - 11:22MILSimmons REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)2
38.6%
0
61.4%
Q1 - 11:23MILMISS Bogut Layup2
39.7%
0
60.3%
Q1 - 11:38INDDunleavy 19' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Foster 1 AST)2
38.6%
0
61.4%
Q1 - 11:57INDFoster REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)0
36.8%
0
63.2%
Q1 - 11:58MILMISS Redd 20' Jump Shot0
36.3%
0
63.7%
Q1 - 12:00MILJump Ball Bogut vs. Foster: Tip to Redd0
35.2%
0
64.8%

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

IND
1.06 52.9%
MIL
1.09 54.7%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)
IND
10
21
48%
MIL
15
26
58%
Midrange
IND
11
28
39%
MIL
12
26
46%
3PT | Effective 3PT
IND
11
16.5
29
38%
57%
MIL
12
18.0
31
39%
58%
Free Throws
IND
17
17
100%
MIL
14
19
74%
Makes
Effective 3P Makes
%
Efficiency
Misses
Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|
IND logo Pacers
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
M. Dunleavy2273%11.0 / 15
D. Granger2059%10.0 / 17
T. Diener1554%7.5 / 14
K. Rush1464%7.0 / 11
J. Foster1393%6.5 / 7
T. Murphy440%2.0 / 5
M. Daniels214%1.0 / 7
A. Owens233%1.0 / 3
S. Williams0-0.0 / 6
TS Makes
TS Misses

Total Points

|
MIL logo Bucks
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
M. Redd3758%18.5 / 32
A. Bogut1761%8.5 / 14
B. Simmons1657%8.0 / 14
C. Bell1071%5.0 / 7
M. Williams945%4.5 / 10
J. Yi643%3.0 / 7
R. Ivey583%2.5 / 3
C. Villanueva440%2.0 / 5
TS Makes
TS Misses

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

IND
74
+14
-15
88
MIL
80
+14
-9
94
Base
ORB
TOV

Scoring Efficiency

IND
1.06 52.9%
MIL
1.09 54.7%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Efficiency & PaceThis Game
Efficiency
105.8
105.5
IND 103.4
MIL 116.9 +13.5
Pace
98.0
91.2
IND 100.5 +20.7
MIL 79.9
Avg. Poss. Time
14.1
16.0
IND 14.3 +3.7
MIL 18.0
Four FactorsThis Game
EFG %
49.8%
48.2%
IND 48.1%
MIL 54.2% +6.1%
TO %
15.0%
15.5%
IND 14.9%
MIL 9.9% +5.0%
ORB %
24.4%
30.1%
IND 26.8%
MIL 26.8%
FTrt
29.2
29.4
IND 21.8
MIL 22.9 +1.1
Misc. StatsThis Game
AST %
60.1%
58.2%
IND 81.3% +4.4%
MIL 76.9%
STL %
7.7%
7.2%
IND 3.4%
MIL 9.0% +5.6%
BLK %
7.9%
7.2%
IND 1.9%
MIL 10.2% +8.3%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Shooting EfficiencyThis Game
TS%
52.8%
50.9%
IND 52.9%
MIL 54.7% +1.8%
Rim FG%
58.0%
54.3%
IND 47.6%
MIL 57.7% +10.1%
Mid FG%
38.9%
41.4%
IND 39.3%
MIL 46.2% +6.9%
3P %
37.4%
34.4%
IND 37.9%
MIL 38.7% +0.8%
FT %
76.8%
73.3%
IND 100.0% +26.3%
MIL 73.7%
Shot DistributionThis Game
Rim Att. %
31.0%
37.4%
IND 26.9%
MIL 31.3% +4.4%
Mid Att. %
40.1%
43.2%
IND 35.9%
MIL 31.3% +4.6%
3P Att. %
28.9%
19.5%
IND 37.2%
MIL 37.3% +0.2%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.
Game TotalsINDMIL
Possessions8989
Possession Minutes21.326.8
Points92104
Rebounds4141
Assists2630
Steals38
Blocks15
Turnovers (Team)15 (0)9 (1)
Fouls
Off. Rebounds (Team)11 (3)11 (3)
Def. Rebounds (Team)30 (1)30 (3)
Field Goals32-7839-83
At-the-Rim FG10-2115-26
Midrange FG11-2812-26
2-Point FG21-4927-52
3-Point FG11-2912-31
Free Throws17-1714-19
Fast Break Pts
2nd Chance Pts
Points in Paint
Pts off Turnovers
Bench Points
Biggest Lead

BOXSCORE

Access to boxscore predictions requires a premium subscription.
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
G · 6'1" 175 · 26
40.0
15
54%
1
9
1
0
1
1
1
0
5-5
100%
2-5
40%
2-7
29%
F · 6'9" 230 · 27
39.2
22
73%
6
5
0
1
2
2
0
6
8-8
100%
4-7
57%
2-4
50%
F · 6'9" 222 · 25
38.4
20
59%
9
2
0
0
4
2
1
8
1-1
100%
5-10
50%
3-7
43%
G · 6'6" 215 · 27
34.7
14
64%
4
1
0
0
2
2
0
4
0-0
-
1-6
17%
4-5
80%
C · 6'11" 250 · 31
24.5
13
93%
6
3
2
0
1
2
2
4
3-3
100%
5-6
83%
0-0
-
F-C · 6'11" 245 · 28
23.5
4
40%
6
2
0
0
2
5
2
4
0-0
-
2-4
50%
0-1
0%
F · 6'6" 200 · 27
18.4
2
14%
4
1
0
0
1
3
2
2
0-0
-
1-5
20%
0-2
0%
F · 6'10" 230 · 22
9.6
0
0%
4
0
0
0
2
2
1
3
0-0
-
0-3
0%
0-3
0%
G · 6'4" 200 · 27
9.4
2
33%
1
2
0
0
0
0
1
0
0-0
-
1-3
33%
0-0
-
G-F · 6'6" 215 · 26
2.3
0
0%
0
1
0
0
0
1
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
-
0-0
-
F · 6'9" 250 · 24
C · 7'0" 280 · 25
#11 · G · 6'3" 188 · 30
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
#7 · C-F · 6'11" 255 · 29
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
TOTAL
240
92
53%
41
26
3
1
15
0
11
30
17-17
100%
21-49
43%
11-29
38%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.