FinalWin Prob.pScore
369%97
90
2331%91
89
ORTG#PossPace
SAS logo SAS
103.48789.7
MIA logo MIA
102.38784.5

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

HeatSpursQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Scoring Margin

HeatSpursQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Play-by-Play

Score / WinProb
ClockTeamEventSASMIA
Q4 - 0:00.0MIA90
100%
89
0%
Q4 - 0:00.0MIADavis REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)90
94.4%
89
5.6%
Q4 - 0:00.0SASMISS Parker Free Throw 2 of 290
95.0%
89
5.0%
Q4 - 0:00.0MIAWade Lost Ball Turnover (P4.T11)90
97.6%
89
2.4%
Q4 - 0:14.0MIAHEAT Rebound90
71.5%
89
28.5%
Q4 - 0:16.0MIAMISS Wade 16' Jump Bank Shot90
84.4%
89
15.6%
Q4 - 0:36.0SASGinobili Driving Layup (18 PTS)90
68.8%
89
31.2%
Q4 - 0:45.0SASGinobili REBOUND (Off:2 Def:9)88
54.5%
89
45.5%
Q4 - 0:47.0MIAMISS Wade 18' Jump Shot88
48.7%
89
51.3%
Q4 - 1:11SASWade STEAL (4 STL)88
39.1%
89
60.9%
Q4 - 1:33SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:2 Def:9)88
59.6%
89
40.4%
Q4 - 1:35MIAMISS Wade 17' Jump Shot88
55.2%
89
44.8%
Q4 - 1:52SASWade STEAL (3 STL)88
46.7%
89
53.3%
Q4 - 2:10MIAWade Driving Layup (27 PTS) (Williams 4 AST)88
63.3%
89
36.7%
Q4 - 2:23SASParker Free Throw 2 of 2 (12 PTS)88
69.5%
87
30.5%
Q4 - 2:23SASParker Free Throw 1 of 2 (11 PTS)87
67.4%
87
32.6%
Q4 - 2:27SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:2 Def:8)86
63.9%
87
36.1%
Q4 - 2:28MIAMISS Wade 16' Jump Shot86
59.1%
87
40.9%
Q4 - 2:40MIAWright REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)86
47.2%
87
52.8%
Q4 - 2:42SASMISS Bowen 3PT Jump Shot86
52.6%
87
47.4%
Q4 - 2:57SASGinobili REBOUND (Off:2 Def:8)86
62.1%
87
37.9%
Q4 - 2:59MIAMISS Blount 20' Jump Shot86
57.9%
87
42.1%
Q4 - 3:29SASDuncan 9' Jump Bank Shot (30 PTS) (Ginobili 8 AST)86
47.6%
87
52.4%
Q4 - 3:47MIAWright 22' Jump Shot (9 PTS)84
43.2%
87
56.8%
Q4 - 4:10SASParker 18' Jump Shot (10 PTS) (Duncan 5 AST)84
51.4%
85
48.6%
Q4 - 4:26SASOberto REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)82
42.4%
85
57.6%
Q4 - 4:27MIAMISS Wade 19' Jump Shot82
39.4%
85
60.6%
Q4 - 4:57MIAWright REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)82
32.7%
85
67.3%
Q4 - 4:58MIAMISS Haslem 17' Jump Shot82
39.1%
85
60.9%
Q4 - 5:00MIAWade REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)82
32.7%
85
67.3%
Q4 - 5:02MIAMISS Wade Layup82
43.8%
85
56.2%
Q4 - 5:11MIADavis REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)82
37.9%
85
62.1%
Q4 - 5:12SASMISS Horry 24' 3PT Jump Shot82
40.4%
85
59.6%
Q4 - 5:30SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:2 Def:7)82
46.2%
85
53.8%
Q4 - 5:31MIAMISS Davis 18' Jump Shot82
43.6%
85
56.4%
Q4 - 5:47MIAWright REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)82
37.6%
85
62.4%
Q4 - 5:48SASMISS Ginobili Free Throw 2 of 282
38.7%
85
61.3%
Q4 - 5:48SASGinobili Free Throw 1 of 2 (16 PTS)82
44.6%
85
55.4%
Q4 - 6:00MIAWade 14' Jump Shot (25 PTS)81
37.9%
85
62.1%
Q4 - 6:14SASBowen 21' Jump Shot (7 PTS) (Ginobili 7 AST)81
48.6%
83
51.4%
Q4 - 6:29SASGinobili REBOUND (Off:2 Def:7)79
42.1%
83
57.9%
Q4 - 6:30MIAMISS Barron Free Throw 2 of 279
41.0%
83
59.0%
Q4 - 6:30MIAMISS Barron Free Throw 1 of 279
36.5%
83
63.5%
Q4 - 6:46SASDuncan 16' Jump Shot (28 PTS)79
33.9%
83
66.1%
Q4 - 7:17MIAWade Driving Layup (23 PTS)77
32.6%
83
67.4%
Q4 - 7:35SASDuncan Dunk (26 PTS) (Ginobili 6 AST)77
37.9%
81
62.1%
Q4 - 7:36SASHorry REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)75
32.5%
81
67.5%
Q4 - 7:39SASMISS Bowen 24' 3PT Jump Shot75
27.9%
81
72.1%
Q4 - 8:06SASFinley REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)75
34.7%
81
65.3%
Q4 - 8:07MIAMISS Wade 17' Jump Shot75
32.9%
81
67.1%
Q4 - 8:26SASDuncan Dunk (24 PTS)75
29.0%
81
71.0%
Q4 - 8:50MIAWade 8' Jump Shot (21 PTS)73
24.0%
81
76.0%
Q4 - 9:03MIAWade REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)73
31.8%
79
68.2%
Q4 - 9:05SASMISS Finley 16' Jump Shot73
33.5%
79
66.5%
Q4 - 9:17MIABlount 19' Jump Shot (23 PTS) (Williams 3 AST)73
37.4%
79
62.6%
Q4 - 9:32MIAWright REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)73
42.8%
77
57.2%
Q4 - 9:33SASMISS Ginobili 26' 3PT Jump Shot73
44.7%
77
55.3%
Q4 - 9:52MIADavis Traveling Turnover (P4.T10)73
49.0%
77
51.0%
Q4 - 10:13SASDuncan 6' Hook Bank Shot (22 PTS) (Finley 2 AST)73
44.1%
77
55.9%
Q4 - 10:24MIAWright 20' Jump Shot (7 PTS) (Williams 2 AST)71
39.0%
77
61.0%
Q4 - 10:46SASGinobili Layup (15 PTS) (Duncan 4 AST)71
44.0%
75
56.0%
Q4 - 11:08MIAWilliams 24' 3PT Jump Shot (14 PTS)69
39.6%
75
60.4%
Q4 - 11:22SASDuncan Layup (20 PTS) (Vaughn 3 AST)69
50.0%
72
50.0%
Q4 - 11:29SASHorry REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)67
44.9%
72
55.1%
Q4 - 11:31MIAMISS Blount 17' Jump Shot67
43.2%
72
56.8%
Q4 - 11:48SASGinobili Layup (13 PTS) (Vaughn 2 AST)67
39.3%
72
60.7%
Q3 - 0:00.0MIA65
34.5%
72
65.5%
Q3 - 0:00.0MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:3 Def:9)65
29.5%
72
70.5%
Q3 - 0:00.0SASMISS Ginobili 25' 3PT Jump Shot65
31.0%
72
69.0%
Q3 - 0:17.0SASHorry REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)65
36.8%
72
63.2%
Q3 - 0:18.0MIAMISS Williams 26' 3PT Jump Shot65
35.4%
72
64.6%
Q3 - 0:39.0SASGinobili Free Throw 2 of 2 (11 PTS)65
32.1%
72
67.9%
Q3 - 0:39.0SASGinobili Free Throw 1 of 2 (10 PTS)64
31.4%
72
68.6%
Q3 - 0:54.0MIADavis Free Throw 2 of 2 (6 PTS)63
27.7%
72
72.3%
Q3 - 0:54.0MIADavis Free Throw 1 of 2 (5 PTS)63
28.4%
71
71.6%
Q3 - 1:09SASFinley 25' 3PT Jump Shot (10 PTS) (Ginobili 5 AST)63
34.5%
70
65.5%
Q3 - 1:16SASSpurs Rebound60
26.3%
70
73.7%
Q3 - 1:17SASWade BLOCK (1 BLK)60
23.7%
70
76.3%
Q3 - 1:31MIAWade Free Throw 2 of 2 (19 PTS)60
26.3%
70
73.7%
Q3 - 1:31MIAWade Free Throw 1 of 2 (18 PTS)60
27.0%
69
73.0%
Q3 - 1:34MIADavis REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)60
30.1%
68
69.9%
Q3 - 1:36SASMISS Barry 24' 3PT Jump Shot60
31.4%
68
68.6%
Q3 - 1:47MIAWade Free Throw 1 of 1 (17 PTS)60
34.5%
68
65.5%
Q3 - 1:50MIAWade REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)60
43.6%
65
56.4%
Q3 - 1:53SASMISS Barry 26' 3PT Jump Shot60
45.1%
65
54.9%
Q3 - 2:02MIAWilliams Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T9)60
49.8%
65
50.2%
Q3 - 2:05SASWilliams STEAL (4 STL)60
44.7%
65
55.3%
Q3 - 2:26MIABlount Dunk (21 PTS) (Wade 9 AST)60
49.7%
65
50.3%
Q3 - 2:39MIAWilliams REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)60
53.9%
63
46.1%
Q3 - 2:40SASMISS Parker 18' Jump Shot60
55.5%
63
44.5%
Q3 - 2:59MIAWright Reverse Layup (5 PTS)60
58.9%
63
41.1%
Q3 - 3:18SASBarry 24' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Udoka 1 AST)60
63.6%
61
36.4%
Q3 - 3:34MIAHaslem Out of Bounds Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T8)57
55.2%
61
44.8%
Q3 - 3:53SASDuncan Foul Turnover (P2.T11)57
50.4%
61
49.6%
Q3 - 4:07MIAWade 18' Jump Shot (14 PTS)57
56.4%
61
43.6%
Q3 - 4:27SASParker Foul Turnover (P2.T10)57
59.9%
59
40.1%
Q3 - 4:29SASUdoka REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)57
64.6%
59
35.4%
Q3 - 4:31MIAMISS Blount Layup57
63.2%
59
36.8%
Q3 - 4:36MIAWright REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)57
59.9%
59
40.1%
Q3 - 4:37SASMISS Parker 3PT Jump Shot57
61.3%
59
38.7%
Q3 - 4:53MIAWade Bad Pass Turnover (P3.T7)57
64.5%
59
35.5%
Q3 - 5:07MIAWade REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)57
60.7%
59
39.3%
Q3 - 5:08SASMISS Udoka 19' Jump Shot57
62.0%
59
38.0%
Q3 - 5:38MIAWright Alley Oop Dunk (3 PTS) (Wade 8 AST)57
64.8%
59
35.2%
Q3 - 5:46MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:3 Def:8)57
68.2%
57
31.8%
Q3 - 5:47MIAMISS Blount 18' Jump Shot57
70.9%
57
29.1%
Q3 - 5:56MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:2 Def:8)57
68.2%
57
31.8%
Q3 - 5:58SASMISS Duncan 19' Jump Shot57
69.4%
57
30.6%
Q3 - 6:06SASGinobili REBOUND (Off:2 Def:6)57
72.2%
57
27.8%
Q3 - 6:07MIAMISS Wade 19' Jump Shot57
71.1%
57
28.9%
Q3 - 6:22SASDuncan Layup (18 PTS)57
68.6%
57
31.4%
Q3 - 6:25SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:2 Def:6)55
65.3%
57
34.7%
Q3 - 6:27SASMISS Duncan 9' Jump Shot55
62.6%
57
37.4%
Q3 - 6:47SASGinobili REBOUND (Off:2 Def:5)55
65.3%
57
34.7%
Q3 - 6:48MIAMISS Williams 20' Jump Shot55
64.1%
57
35.9%
Q3 - 6:54MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:2 Def:7)55
61.3%
57
38.7%
Q3 - 6:56SASMISS Finley 19' Jump Shot55
62.5%
57
37.5%
Q3 - 7:15MIABlount 19' Jump Shot (19 PTS) (Haslem 2 AST)55
65.3%
57
34.7%
Q3 - 7:26SASWilliams STEAL (3 STL)55
68.2%
55
31.8%
Q3 - 7:32SASFinley REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)55
71.9%
55
28.1%
Q3 - 7:33MIAMISS Williams 25' 3PT Jump Shot55
70.8%
55
29.2%
Q3 - 7:49SASDuncan 11' Hook Shot (16 PTS) (Finley 1 AST)55
68.2%
55
31.8%
Q3 - 8:13MIAWilliams 3PT Jump Shot (11 PTS) (Haslem 1 AST)53
65.9%
55
34.1%
Q3 - 8:39SASBowen 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Ginobili 4 AST)53
71.9%
52
28.1%
Q3 - 8:59MIABlount Layup (17 PTS) (Wade 7 AST)50
65.8%
52
34.2%
Q3 - 9:15SASFinley 24' 3PT Jump Shot (7 PTS) (Ginobili 3 AST)50
69.3%
50
30.7%
Q3 - 9:30MIAWade Free Throw 2 of 2 (12 PTS)47
62.9%
50
37.1%
Q3 - 9:30MIAWade Free Throw 1 of 2 (11 PTS)47
63.5%
49
36.5%
Q3 - 9:30SASWade STEAL (2 STL)47
66.1%
48
33.9%
Q3 - 9:31SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:1 Def:6)47
69.4%
48
30.6%
Q3 - 9:32MIAMISS Wade 15' Jump Shot47
68.4%
48
31.6%
Q3 - 9:39MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:2 Def:6)47
66.1%
48
33.9%
Q3 - 9:40SASMISS Finley 3PT Jump Shot47
67.1%
48
32.9%
Q3 - 9:51SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)47
69.4%
48
30.6%
Q3 - 9:52MIAMISS Haslem Layup47
68.4%
48
31.6%
Q3 - 10:06MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:2 Def:5)47
66.9%
48
33.1%
Q3 - 10:07MIAMISS Williams 10' Jump Shot47
69.3%
48
30.7%
Q3 - 10:23SASDuncan Layup (14 PTS) (Ginobili 2 AST)47
66.8%
48
33.2%
Q3 - 10:37MIAHaslem Tip Shot (4 PTS)45
63.9%
48
36.1%
Q3 - 10:38MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)45
66.8%
46
33.2%
Q3 - 10:39MIAMISS Williams 17' Jump Shot45
69.2%
46
30.8%
Q3 - 10:48MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)45
66.8%
46
33.2%
Q3 - 10:50SASMISS Duncan 14' Turnaround Jump Shot45
67.8%
46
32.2%
Q3 - 11:11MIAWade Traveling Turnover (P2.T6)45
70.9%
46
29.1%
Q3 - 11:23MIABlount REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)45
67.8%
46
32.2%
Q3 - 11:24SASMISS Ginobili 24' 3PT Jump Shot45
68.8%
46
31.2%
Q3 - 11:32SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)45
70.9%
46
29.1%
Q3 - 11:34MIAMISS Wright 20' Jump Shot45
70.0%
46
30.0%
Q2 - 0:00.0MIA45
67.8%
46
32.2%
Q2 - 0:00.0MIAWright REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)45
67.8%
46
32.2%
Q2 - 0:01.0MIAMISS Davis 24' 3PT Jump Shot45
70.1%
46
29.9%
Q2 - 0:07.0SASSpurs Turnover: Shot Clock (T#7)45
68.8%
46
31.2%
Q2 - 0:07.0SASSpurs Rebound45
70.7%
46
29.3%
Q2 - 0:08.0SASMISS Ginobili 25' 3PT Jump Shot45
69.4%
46
30.6%
Q2 - 0:30.0SASGinobili REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)45
70.7%
46
29.3%
Q2 - 0:31.0SASMISS Finley 24' 3PT Jump Shot45
69.3%
46
30.7%
Q2 - 0:49.0SASFinley REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)45
70.7%
46
29.3%
Q2 - 0:50.0MIAMISS Blount 20' Jump Shot45
70.1%
46
29.9%
Q2 - 1:06SASDuncan 13' Turnaround Jump Shot (12 PTS)45
69.1%
46
30.9%
Q2 - 1:29SASParker REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)43
64.9%
46
35.1%
Q2 - 1:30MIAMISS Wade Free Throw 2 of 243
64.7%
46
35.3%
Q2 - 1:30MIAMISS Wade Free Throw 1 of 243
62.5%
46
37.5%
Q2 - 1:43MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)43
63.3%
46
36.7%
Q2 - 1:44SASMISS Ginobili 25' 3PT Jump Shot43
63.8%
46
36.2%
Q2 - 2:06MIAWade Free Throw 1 of 1 (10 PTS)43
65.9%
46
34.1%
Q2 - 2:22SASGinobili 25' 3PT Jump Shot (9 PTS) (Duncan 3 AST)43
71.4%
43
28.6%
Q2 - 2:47MIABlount 19' Jump Shot (15 PTS) (Wade 6 AST)40
65.7%
43
34.3%
Q2 - 3:00MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)40
68.8%
41
31.2%
Q2 - 3:01SASMISS Finley 15' Jump Shot40
70.0%
41
30.0%
Q2 - 3:15SASGinobili REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)40
71.9%
41
28.1%
Q2 - 3:18MIAMISS Wright 19' Jump Shot40
71.0%
41
29.0%
Q2 - 3:33SASDuncan Free Throw 2 of 2 (10 PTS)40
69.0%
41
31.0%
Q2 - 3:33SASDuncan Free Throw 1 of 2 (9 PTS)39
68.3%
41
31.7%
Q2 - 3:54MIABlount Layup (13 PTS) (Wade 5 AST)38
66.7%
41
33.3%
Q2 - 4:10SASGinobili Free Throw 2 of 2 (6 PTS)38
69.7%
39
30.3%
Q2 - 4:10SASGinobili Free Throw 1 of 2 (5 PTS)37
69.4%
39
30.6%
Q2 - 4:13SASGinobili REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)36
67.2%
39
32.8%
Q2 - 4:15MIAMISS Blount Layup36
66.4%
39
33.6%
Q2 - 4:24MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)36
64.6%
39
35.4%
Q2 - 4:25SASMISS Finley 17' Jump Shot36
65.4%
39
34.6%
Q2 - 4:46MIABlount Free Throw 2 of 2 (11 PTS)36
67.2%
39
32.8%
Q2 - 4:46MIAMISS Blount Free Throw 1 of 236
67.8%
38
32.2%
Q2 - 5:05SASFinley 16' Jump Shot (4 PTS)36
67.5%
38
32.5%
Q2 - 5:11SASOberto REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)34
65.2%
38
34.8%
Q2 - 5:13MIAMISS Wade 18' Jump Shot34
64.4%
38
35.6%
Q2 - 5:22MIABlount REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)34
62.4%
38
37.6%
Q2 - 5:23SASMISS Finley 7' Jump Shot34
63.2%
38
36.8%
Q2 - 5:44MIAHaslem 15' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Wright 1 AST)34
65.2%
38
34.8%
Q2 - 6:07MIAAl. Johnson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)34
67.9%
36
32.1%
Q2 - 6:08SASMISS Udoka 3PT Jump Shot34
68.7%
36
31.3%
Q2 - 6:20SASFinley REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)34
70.7%
36
29.3%
Q2 - 6:21MIAMISS Al. Johnson 19' Jump Shot34
69.8%
36
30.2%
Q2 - 6:41SASFinley Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)34
67.8%
36
32.2%
Q2 - 6:41SASFinley Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)33
67.5%
36
32.5%
Q2 - 6:45MIADavis Bad Pass Turnover (P3.T5)32
65.9%
36
34.1%
Q2 - 6:46MIADavis REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)32
62.8%
36
37.2%
Q2 - 6:47MIAMISS Quinn 25' 3PT Jump Shot32
65.0%
36
35.0%
Q2 - 7:04SASWright STEAL (2 STL)32
63.8%
36
36.2%
Q2 - 7:10SASUdoka REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)32
66.4%
36
33.6%
Q2 - 7:11SASMISS Barry 25' 3PT Jump Shot32
64.6%
36
35.4%
Q2 - 7:24SASFinley REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)32
66.3%
36
33.7%
Q2 - 7:25MIAMISS Davis 19' Jump Shot32
65.6%
36
34.4%
Q2 - 7:40SASBarry Foul Turnover (P1.T5)32
63.8%
36
36.2%
Q2 - 7:55MIAQuinn 17' Jump Shot (2 PTS)32
66.3%
36
33.7%
Q2 - 8:11MIABarron REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)32
68.4%
34
31.6%
Q2 - 8:12SASMISS Barry 24' 3PT Jump Shot32
69.1%
34
30.9%
Q2 - 8:27SASGinobili REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)32
70.9%
34
29.1%
Q2 - 8:29SASMISS Barry 26' 3PT Jump Shot32
69.1%
34
30.9%
Q2 - 8:43MIADavis Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T4)32
70.9%
34
29.1%
Q2 - 8:56SASGinobili Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)32
68.4%
34
31.6%
Q2 - 8:56SASGinobili Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)31
68.1%
34
31.9%
Q2 - 9:22MIADavis Dunk (4 PTS) (Wade 4 AST)30
66.7%
34
33.3%
Q2 - 9:52SASParker Layup (8 PTS) (Duncan 2 AST)30
68.7%
32
31.3%
Q2 - 10:04MIABarron 18' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Davis 1 AST)28
66.6%
32
33.4%
Q2 - 10:30SASDuncan 19' Jump Shot (8 PTS)28
68.5%
30
31.5%
Q2 - 10:47SASHorry REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)26
66.6%
30
33.4%
Q2 - 10:48MIAMISS Al. Johnson Layup26
65.9%
30
34.1%
Q2 - 11:13SASUdoka 11' Jump Shot (2 PTS)26
64.7%
30
35.3%
Q2 - 11:38MIABarron Tip Shot (2 PTS)24
62.4%
30
37.6%
Q2 - 11:39MIABarron REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)24
64.6%
28
35.4%
Q2 - 11:40MIAMISS Wade 14' Running Jump Shot24
66.2%
28
33.8%
Q1 - 0:00.0MIA24
64.6%
28
35.4%
Q1 - 0:01.0SASWade STEAL (1 STL)24
65.0%
28
35.0%
Q1 - 0:07.0MIAWade 16' Jump Bank Shot (7 PTS)24
66.6%
28
33.4%
Q1 - 0:26.0MIAQuinn REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)24
69.2%
26
30.8%
Q1 - 0:27.0SASMISS Vaughn 5' Running Jump Shot24
69.7%
26
30.3%
Q1 - 0:48.0SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)24
70.8%
26
29.2%
Q1 - 0:49.0MIAMISS Wade Free Throw 2 of 224
70.6%
26
29.4%
Q1 - 0:49.0MIAMISS Wade Free Throw 1 of 224
69.1%
26
30.9%
Q1 - 0:54.0SASWilliams STEAL (2 STL)24
69.2%
26
30.8%
Q1 - 1:10MIADavis 19' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Wade 3 AST)24
70.9%
26
29.1%
Q1 - 1:32SASDuncan Finger Roll Layup (6 PTS) (Vaughn 1 AST)24
73.2%
24
26.8%
Q1 - 1:45MIAWade Free Throw 2 of 2 (5 PTS)22
70.8%
24
29.2%
Q1 - 1:45MIAMISS Wade Free Throw 1 of 222
71.2%
23
28.8%
Q1 - 2:00SASVaughn 17' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Duncan 1 AST)22
71.3%
23
28.7%
Q1 - 2:16MIADavis Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T3)20
69.4%
23
30.6%
Q1 - 2:34SASDuncan Finger Roll Layup (4 PTS)20
67.5%
23
32.5%
Q1 - 2:36SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)18
65.3%
23
34.7%
Q1 - 2:38SASMISS Vaughn 8' Running Hook Shot18
63.9%
23
36.1%
Q1 - 3:06MIABlount 19' Jump Shot (10 PTS) (Williams 1 AST)18
66.0%
23
34.0%
Q1 - 3:19MIABlount REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)18
67.7%
21
32.3%
Q1 - 3:20SASMISS Ginobili 25' 3PT Jump Shot18
68.4%
21
31.6%
Q1 - 3:41MIABlount Driving Dunk (8 PTS)18
69.8%
21
30.2%
Q1 - 3:52MIABlount REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)18
71.5%
19
28.5%
Q1 - 3:53SASMISS Ginobili 14' Jump Shot18
72.1%
19
27.9%
Q1 - 4:14MIABlount Free Throw 2 of 2 (6 PTS)18
73.9%
19
26.1%
Q1 - 4:14MIAMISS Blount Free Throw 1 of 218
74.3%
18
25.7%
Q1 - 4:29SASOberto 14' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Ginobili 1 AST)18
73.5%
18
26.5%
Q1 - 4:38SASGinobili REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)16
72.1%
18
27.9%
Q1 - 4:39MIAMISS Wade 24' 3PT Jump Shot16
71.5%
18
28.5%
Q1 - 4:55SASHorry Layup (2 PTS) (Oberto 1 AST)16
69.9%
18
30.1%
Q1 - 5:04SASGinobili REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)14
69.0%
18
31.0%
Q1 - 5:05MIAMISS Haslem 16' Jump Shot14
68.4%
18
31.6%
Q1 - 5:14MIAWade REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)14
67.0%
18
33.0%
Q1 - 5:15SASMISS Parker 18' Jump Shot14
67.6%
18
32.4%
Q1 - 5:29MIAWright Free Throw 2 of 2 (1 PTS)14
69.0%
18
31.0%
Q1 - 5:29MIAMISS Wright Free Throw 1 of 214
69.3%
17
30.7%
Q1 - 5:32SASWright STEAL (1 STL)14
68.8%
17
31.2%
Q1 - 5:44MIAWade 19' Jump Bank Shot (4 PTS)14
70.8%
17
29.2%
Q1 - 6:08SASGinobili 19' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Horry 1 AST)14
72.4%
15
27.6%
Q1 - 6:18MIAWade 17' Jump Shot (2 PTS)12
70.9%
15
29.1%
Q1 - 6:36SASOberto Layup (2 PTS)12
72.4%
13
27.6%
Q1 - 6:38SASSpurs Rebound10
70.9%
13
29.1%
Q1 - 6:40SASMISS Bowen 19' Jump Shot10
69.6%
13
30.4%
Q1 - 6:55MIABlount Layup (5 PTS) (Wade 2 AST)10
70.9%
13
29.1%
Q1 - 7:10SASBowen Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)10
72.8%
11
27.2%
Q1 - 7:10SASBowen Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)9
72.3%
11
27.7%
Q1 - 7:19MIABlount Out of Bounds Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T2)8
71.5%
11
28.5%
Q1 - 7:25MIAWilliams REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)8
69.7%
11
30.3%
Q1 - 7:27SASMISS Parker 18' Jump Shot8
70.2%
11
29.8%
Q1 - 7:51SASOberto REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)8
71.4%
11
28.6%
Q1 - 7:52MIAMISS Blount 20' Jump Shot8
70.9%
11
29.1%
Q1 - 8:06MIAWade REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)8
70.4%
11
29.6%
Q1 - 8:07SASMISS Duncan 15' Jump Shot8
70.9%
11
29.1%
Q1 - 8:14SASFinley REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)8
72.1%
11
27.9%
Q1 - 8:15SASMISS Finley 25' 3PT Jump Shot8
70.9%
11
29.1%
Q1 - 8:36MIAWilliams 26' 3PT Jump Shot (8 PTS)8
72.1%
11
27.9%
Q1 - 8:38SASWilliams STEAL (1 STL)8
74.9%
8
25.1%
Q1 - 8:40MIAWade Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T1)8
76.4%
8
23.6%
Q1 - 8:53SASParker 7' Running Jump Shot (6 PTS)8
74.8%
8
25.2%
Q1 - 8:57SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)6
73.6%
8
26.4%
Q1 - 8:58MIAMISS Haslem 16' Jump Shot6
73.1%
8
26.9%
Q1 - 9:23SASParker Driving Layup (4 PTS)6
71.7%
8
28.3%
Q1 - 9:39MIAWilliams 25' 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Wade 1 AST)4
70.6%
8
29.4%
Q1 - 9:59SASParker 19' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Bowen 1 AST)4
73.2%
5
26.8%
Q1 - 10:15MIABlount Free Throw 1 of 1 (3 PTS)2
72.0%
5
28.0%
Q1 - 10:25MIABlount REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)2
74.8%
2
25.2%
Q1 - 10:26SASMISS Duncan 8' Hook Shot2
75.2%
2
24.8%
Q1 - 10:42SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)2
76.3%
2
23.7%
Q1 - 10:44MIAMISS Wade 18' Jump Shot2
75.8%
2
24.2%
Q1 - 11:03SASDuncan 9' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Parker 1 AST)2
75.0%
2
25.0%
Q1 - 11:24MIAWilliams Driving Layup (2 PTS)0
73.5%
2
26.5%
Q1 - 11:39MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)0
75.0%
0
25.0%
Q1 - 11:41SASMISS Bowen 17' Jump Shot0
75.4%
0
24.6%
Q1 - 12:00MIAJump Ball Blount vs. Duncan: Tip to Parker0
76.2%
0
23.8%

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

SAS
1.07 53.6%
MIA
1.02 51.1%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)
SAS
14
16
88%
MIA
16
21
76%
Midrange
SAS
16
34
47%
MIA
16
43
37%
3PT | Effective 3PT
SAS
5
7.5
24
21%
31%
MIA
4
6.0
9
44%
67%
Free Throws
SAS
15
18
83%
MIA
13
23
57%
Makes
Effective 3P Makes
%
Efficiency
Misses
Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|
SAS logo Spurs
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
T. Duncan3075%15.0 / 20
M. Ginobili1856%9.0 / 16
T. Parker1255%6.0 / 11
M. Finley1042%5.0 / 12
B. Bowen750%3.5 / 7
F. Oberto4100%2.0 / 2
B. Barry325%1.5 / 6
R. Horry250%1.0 / 2
I. Udoka225%1.0 / 4
J. Vaughn233%1.0 / 3
TS Makes
TS Misses

Total Points

|
MIA logo Heat
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
D. Wade2748%13.5 / 28
M. Blount2361%11.5 / 19
J. Williams1470%7.0 / 10
D. Wright964%4.5 / 7
R. Davis650%3.0 / 6
U. Haslem433%2.0 / 6
E. Barron467%2.0 / 3
C. Quinn250%1.0 / 2
A. Johnson0-0.0 / 2
TS Makes
TS Misses

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

SAS
74
+10
-13
84
MIA
76
+9
-11
85
Base
ORB
TOV

Scoring Efficiency

SAS
1.07 53.6%
MIA
1.02 51.1%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Efficiency & PaceThis Game
Efficiency
106.5
100.2
SAS 103.4 +1.1
MIA 102.3
Pace
89.5
90.5
SAS 89.7 +5.2
MIA 84.5
Avg. Poss. Time
16.5
16.3
SAS 16.1 +1.0
MIA 17.0
Four FactorsThis Game
EFG %
50.4%
48.2%
SAS 50.7%
MIA 52.1% +1.4%
TO %
13.4%
15.4%
SAS 14.6%
MIA 11.7% +2.9%
ORB %
23.4%
22.2%
SAS 18.4%
MIA 20.5% +2.1%
FTrt
27.6
30.0
SAS 24.3
MIA 31.5 +7.2
Misc. StatsThis Game
AST %
58.5%
58.5%
SAS 65.7% +18.5%
MIA 47.2%
STL %
7.1%
7.9%
SAS 8.0%
MIA 11.5% +3.5%
BLK %
6.5%
7.1%
SAS 4.7% +2.7%
MIA 2.0%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Shooting EfficiencyThis Game
TS%
52.8%
50.6%
SAS 53.6% +2.5%
MIA 51.1%
Rim FG%
60.6%
59.2%
SAS 87.5% +11.3%
MIA 76.2%
Mid FG%
40.4%
38.8%
SAS 47.1% +9.9%
MIA 37.2%
3P %
36.9%
35.8%
SAS 20.8%
MIA 44.4% +23.6%
FT %
76.1%
72.7%
SAS 83.3% +26.8%
MIA 56.5%
Shot DistributionThis Game
Rim Att. %
30.8%
30.2%
SAS 21.6%
MIA 28.8% +7.1%
Mid Att. %
44.1%
48.1%
SAS 45.9% +13.0%
MIA 58.9%
3P Att. %
25.1%
21.7%
SAS 32.4% +20.1%
MIA 12.3%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.
Game TotalsSASMIA
Possessions8787
Possession Minutes23.324.7
Points9089
Rebounds3839
Assists2317
Steals710
Blocks31
Turnovers (Team)13 (1)11 (0)
Fouls
Off. Rebounds (Team)7 (3)8 (1)
Def. Rebounds (Team)31 (0)31 (0)
Field Goals35-7436-73
At-the-Rim FG14-1616-21
Midrange FG16-3416-43
2-Point FG30-5032-64
3-Point FG5-244-9
Free Throws15-1813-23
Fast Break Pts
2nd Chance Pts
Points in Paint
Pts off Turnovers
Bench Points
Biggest Lead

BOXSCORE

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PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
F · 6'11" 250 · 32
38.9
30
75%
11
5
0
1
3
4
2
9
2-2
100%
14-19
74%
0-0
-
G · 6'2" 185 · 26
35.6
12
55%
1
1
1
0
2
1
0
1
2-4
50%
5-8
63%
0-1
0%
F · 6'7" 200 · 37
33.3
7
50%
0
1
1
0
1
3
0
0
2-2
100%
1-3
33%
1-3
33%
G · 6'7" 225 · 35
24.1
10
42%
6
2
0
0
1
1
1
5
2-2
100%
1-6
17%
2-5
40%
C · 6'10" 245 · 33
19.8
4
100%
3
1
0
0
1
2
0
3
0-0
-
2-2
100%
0-0
-
G · 6'6" 205 · 30
37.4
18
56%
11
8
2
0
4
2
2
9
7-8
88%
4-5
80%
1-7
14%
F-C · 6'10" 240 · 37
16.6
2
50%
4
1
0
1
0
0
1
3
0-0
-
1-1
100%
0-1
0%
G-F · 6'5" 220 · 30
14.0
2
25%
2
1
3
0
0
4
1
1
0-0
-
1-3
33%
0-1
0%
G · 6'1" 190 · 33
12.4
2
33%
0
3
0
0
0
2
0
0
0-0
-
1-3
33%
0-0
-
G · 6'7" 210 · 36
7.8
3
25%
0
0
0
1
1
1
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
-
1-6
17%
C-F · 6'10" 235 · 28
C-F · 7'0" 240 · 32
#28 · C · 6'11" 262 · 21
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
#23 · G-F · 6'7" 195 · 24
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
TOTAL
240
90
54%
38
23
7
3
13
0
7
31
15-18
83%
30-50
60%
5-24
21%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.